Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Dallas/Washington game.  These two teams met earlier this season and scored 52 combined points in a Cowboys 33-19 victory.  That game continued the trend in this series where the game has gone 'over' the posted total (now 4-0 'over' since 2016).  Indeed, the last two games here at AT & T Stadium each generated 57 points.  And Washington's currently 7-0 'over' the total on the road vs. division rivals.  Of course, it's true that the Cowboys have played four straight 'unders' since that 33-19 game vs. Washington, and have scored just 50 points combined over those four games (including a 28-6 loss on Thanksgiving to the Chargers).  But NFL teams off 4+ unders, that scored less than 13 points in their previous game, have gone 'over' the total 59% since 1980.  Take the 'over.'  NFC East Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Warriors lost at home to Sacramento on Monday, 110-106, as a 12.5-point favorite.  And that dropped their point spread record this season to 9-12 ATS.  But I love them to rebound tonight, as NBA road favorites, with a losing ATS record, have cashed 71% dating back to 1991 if they were upset as a 9-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game.  Take the Warriors to blow out L.A.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Cal Davis.  The Bears and Aggies actually met earlier this season, in Greeley Colorado.  And the Aggies upset the Bears, 74-59, as a 7-point underdog.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bears, as they fall into 59-18, 19-2 and 92-53 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, the Aggies are a poor 7-19 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge.  Take Northern Colorado.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is  on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Duke.  The Hoosiers have won 69 of their last 71 home games vs. non-conference foes, straight-up, and gone 36-16 ATS in those games, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from -12.5 to +12.5 points!  And they're 27-13 ATS as a home underdog since 1990, if they owned a win percentage greater than .415.  Take the Hoosiers + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Evansville.  The Lobos have dropped their last four games (though three of the four were on the road).  But they're back home this evening, where they've gone 113-9 straight-up and 51-33-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes since Dec. 8, 2003 (including 20-5 ATS as a favorite of -8 points or less).  We'll lay the points with the Lobos, as they've also cashed 71% over the last 28 years as a home favorite off 3+ losses.  Take New Mexico.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Long Beach State.  The Wildcats are off to a miserable 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS start this season, and come into tonight's game off three straight upset losses, at the hands of North Carolina State, SMU and Purdue.  But those three upsets have triggered very strong systems of mine, with records of 77-33, 93-44, 21-6 and 69-22 ATS.  Moreover, those three upsets were on the road.  The Wildcats are back home tonight, where they're a perfect 3-0 SU, with all three wins coming by 25+ points.  I look for the Wildcats to bounce back strong tonight.  Lay the points with Arizona.  NCAA Basketball Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over Tampa Bay.  After breaking out to a 15-4 start, the Tampa Bay Lightning have dropped three of their last five games.  And the reason has been their goal-scoring, which has averaged just 2.2 goals per game over their last five (compared to 4.1 goals per game in their first 19).  Tonight, the Lightning will play the 2nd of a back-to-back set (they were in Buffalo last night) vs. the Bruins, who had both Monday and Tuesday off following their home game on Sunday vs. the Oilers.  Unfortunately for the Lightning, they are a poor 1-3 this season when playing on back to back days (compared to 16-4 when playing with rest), and 110-164 their last 274 when playing on back to back nights.  Boston's won four of its last five games, and is also 13-3 the last 16 meetings in Boston between these clubs.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic are mired in a 9-game losing streak.  But don't expect the Thunder to be complacent tonight, as OKC will be coming into this game off back to back upset losses to Detroit and Dallas.  And the Thunder are just 8-11 on the season, so they need to string together some wins to get back into the Playoff picture.  OKC is a super 140-93 ATS in the regular season off a straight-up loss, when not favored by 10+ points (including 62-31 off back to back losses).  Take the Thunder minus the points. NBA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Chicago Blackhawks.  These two teams met in the first round of last season's playoffs and the Predators handed the Blackhawks an old-fashioned butt-whooping, sweeping them in four games.  The Hawks got at least some revenge by beating the Preds in the first meeting of this season back on October 14 before Nashville beat them in the last meeting 13 days later.  Chicago has a very busy schedule in which they play five games in seven days, and they played last night so it is likely that the start in goal tonight will go to Anton Forsberg.  With Scott Darling gone to Carolina in the off-season, Forsberg assumes the role of Corey Crawford's back-up.  The problem is that the 25-year-old has a career Saves Pct of .879 and a career GAA of 4.02.  That won't get it done against most NHL teams, and that certainly includes the defending Western Conference Champs.  After losing a very tough game in Carolina on Sunday in a shootout, the Predators are back home where they are 8-2 in their 10 games.  Take Nashville.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Dakota State.  The Rebels are 4-1 on the season, while the Jackrabbits are 6-2.  It's true that Ole Miss has failed to cover its last four games, but it's a solid 52-28 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, when it was on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak (and 9-0 ATS its last nine when it was on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak).  Additionally, Ole Miss falls into a 64-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats.  Take Mississippi.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers won their 8th straight game last night, when they upset the 76ers in Philly.  But they now have to return home to Cleveland, without any rest, and play the rested Miami Heat.  Cleveland falls into a negative 20-57 ATS system of mine which goes against certain unrested home teams vs. rested foes off a win.  Even worse for the Cavs:  they're 0-11-1 ATS their last 12 games as a home favorite, dating back to last season.  And Miami is 16-3 its last 19 as a road underdog.  Take the Heat.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston.  Baltimore's 5-5 on the season after shutting out Green Bay, 23-0, at Lambeau Field last week, while Houston comes in with a losing record, at 4-6.  The Ravens return home to M&T Bank Stadium after being on the road for their two previous games, but they did blow out the Dolphins, 40-0, in their last game here in Baltimore.  I look for another home victory on Monday, as NFL teams with a better record than their opponent have gone 45-7 SU and 38-12-2 ATS at home on Monday Nights, if they were on the road in their two previous games.  And Baltimore's 22-1 SU and 20-3 ATS as a home favorite since 1995 off a win by more than 18 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings are 4-2 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while Stanford is 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS.  This will be the final round of the PK80 Invitational Tournament, held in Portland.  And both Stanford and Portland State lost their two previous games in this tournament.  Let's lay the points with Stanford, as Winning teams (like Portland State) off 4+ covers have cashed just 2 of 28 games as an underdog vs. non-Winning opponents, if both they and their opponent are off SU losses.  Take Stanford.  NCAA Hoops Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams minus the points over New Orleans.  The Saints are off eight straight wins, and have scored 30+ points in each of their last three games, while the Rams come in off a loss to the Vikings.  But the Saints should get blown out this afternoon, as NFL road underdogs off 3+ wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each of those three games, have lost 78% ATS vs. non-division foes in the regular season since 1980.  Even better:  the Rams lost last season to New Orleans, 49-21.  But NFL teams off a straight-up loss, and playing with revenge, have cashed 78% since 1983 if they were favored (or PK), and gave up 44+ points to its opponent in the previous meeting!  Take the Rams.  NFL Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joe's Hawks minus the points over Sacramento State.  The Hawks come into this game off back to back losses to Washington State and Harvard, so they'll be thrilled to go up against an outclassed team like Sacramento State this afternoon.  St. Joe's has been installed as as double-digit favorite, which bodes well for Phil Martelli's Hawks, as they've gone 34-8 ATS when priced from -12 to -19 points, including a perfect 14-0 SU/ATS away from home.  St. Joe's also falls into 54-14 and 83-34 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Hawks.  NCAA Hoops Road Warrior!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Nashville Predators.  The Nashville Predators are having a season which is very reminiscent of their campaign a year ago.  That is to say, they are winning the great majority of their games at home in front of their rabid fans, but struggling mightily on the road.  Whether or not they can parlay that uneven play into another trip to the Stanley Cup Finals remains to be seen.  The Preds are back on the road today playing in a venue that hasn't been very kind to them in recent history.  Carolina's offense finished 20th in the NHL last season with a 2.59 GPG average, so it signed some scoring talent -- including former teammate Justin Williams -- and it seems to be helping.  The 'Canes are tied for 14th in scoring currently with 2.91 GPG.  But the area that they have potentially taken the biggest step is at the goalie position with the acquisition of former Blackhawk back-up Scott Darling.  The Preds are 1-4 in the last five meetings in Raleigh and the home team is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings overall.  Take the 'Canes.  NHL Game of the Week!  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Minnesota Wild.  Few pro sports teams can boast of going to the playoffs in 42 of its first 50 years in existence.  But if things keep going the way they have so far this season, then the Blues will be able to brag about that accomplishment come April.  And what better way to mark their 50th year in the league than to win their first Stanley Cup?  It could certainly happen as St. Louis has won 16 of its first 23 games coming into tonight.  Last night was not one of those winning occasions, but then again the Blues started their back-up net-minder -- Carter Hutton -- in the loss to Nashville here at home and tonight they will have #1 goalie Jake Allen back between the pipes.  The Wild also started its back-up last night -- Alex Stalock -- but that may have been due to the performance of #1 Devan Dubnyk more than anything else.  Dubnyk -- who was one of the top goalies in the league last season -- has struggled lately, allowing four goals in each of his last three starts.  Minny is 1-5 in the last six meetings while St. Louis is 10-3 in its last 13 home games.  Take the Blues.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Wisconsin.  This rivalry game -- at 127 meetings, it's the most played in Division 1 -- has been dominated by the Badgers of late, as they've won 13 straight years.  However, don't be surprised if the Golden Gophers stun Wisconsin with an upset win on Saturday.  Both teams, of course, need to win this game.  Minnesota needs one more win to attain eligibility for a Bowl game, while Wisconsin still has hopes of reaching the 4-team College Football Playoff.  Unfortunately for the Badgers, undefeated teams, with a 5-0 or better record, have covered just 35.7% over the last 38 years when priced as a road favorite from -11.5 to -21.5 points against a losing, revenge-minded foe.  Even worse for Wisconsin:  it's just 2-5 SU and 1-6 ATS its last seven when it was playing on the road with an undefeated record (of 5-0 or better).  And it's just 2-10-1 ATS since 1984 vs. the Gophers when laying 12+ points.  Take Minnesota.  Big 10 Conference Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Badgers are in the midst of a rare 3-game losing streak.  And they were favored to win in each of those three games!  But I love Wisky to bounce back, as it's 5-0 its last five when playing off 3+ losses; 3-0 ATS off three upset losses; and it's also 12-5-1 ATS at home since 1990 on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak.  Meanwhile, College Basketball favorites have covered the spread more often than not off three or more upset losses, including 67% if they're a losing team favored over a winning team.  Take Wisconsin minus the points. NCAA Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Virginia Tech.  We played on the Cavaliers last week, and easily got the cash when Virginia covered the point spread "wire to wire" at Miami.  Now, they return home for their final game of the regular season, and they'll take on their cross-state rival from Blacksburg, Virginia Tech.  We'll grab the points with the Cavaliers, as they're 31-19-1 ATS their last 51 as home underdogs, and also 14-0 ATS their last 14 as single-digit underdogs, if they're off a loss, and play with revenge.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Vancouver Canucks.  Going from "worst to first" in a single season is difficult to do in any major pro sports -- including the NHL.  But if any team has a chance to do that in the next year, it just might be the Devils.  New Jersey finished in last place in the Metropolitan Division last season, and the 70 points the team totaled was the worst in the Eastern Conference.  Fast forward to the present and the Devils are currently just one point behind Columbus for the lead in the Metropolitan and their record could be a lot better were it not for a slew of bad beats in overtime and shootouts.  The Canucks are coming off back-to-back dominating 5-2 road victories over the Flyers and Penguins, but they continue their east coast road swing against a team that has owned them in recent history.  The Devils are 6-0 in the last six meetings against Vancouver going back three years.  The Canucks are 7-26 in their last 33 after scoring five goals or more in their previous game and they're 1-4 in their last five following a win.  Take New Jersey.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Rockets have won six of their last seven, and have covered five of their last six.  Last week's victory at Bowling Green was one of their most impressive wins of the season, as they blew out the Falcons, 66-37, as a 16.5-point favorite.  Toledo is a super 25-1 ATS as a favorite of 21 or less points, if Toledo is off a win by 17+ points, and it covered that previous game by 6+ points.  Take the Rockets.  MAC Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the San Diego/Dallas game.  The Chargers erupted for 54 points last week, in a 54-24 blowout of the Buffalo Bills.  They'll now travel to Dallas to take on the Cowboys, and I foresee another relatively high-scoring game on Thursday.  Dallas is giving up over 24 points per game, and the Chargers have gone 'over' in 30 of 46 road games vs. foes that surrender at least 24 ppg.  The last nine Dallas Cowboys games have also AVERAGED 51.33 points.  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Minnesota.  The Vikings have won and covered each of their last five games.  And they've scored 24+ points in the last four of those.  But this win streak sets up our play against Minnesota on this Thanksgiving, as unrested NFL road teams off 4 SU/ATS wins in which they scored 24+ points in each game, have gone just 36% ATS since 1980 vs. .500 (or better) teams.  Even worse for Minnesota:  it's just 22-46 ATS as a road favorite of -3+ points, and has lost the last three meetings (both SU and ATS) in this series.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Arizona Coyotes.  After winning just three of their first 20 games -- and not being able to win two in a row during that time -- the Coyotes have all of a sudden gone on a three-game winning streak.  And even more unlikely is the fact that all three of those wins came on the road in Canada against the Canadiens, Senators, and Leafs.  They're back home tonight, but against a much more familiar foe in San Jose which is on a streak of its own.  But it's three LOSSES in a row for the Sharks coming into tonight, and they've only managed three total goals in those.  But when you consider that they out-shot their opponents in each of those games -- and by a total of 114 to 78 -- then it certainly looks like the Sharks were more unlucky than anything else.  San Jose is 4-1 in its last five vs. teams from the Western Conference and 20-7 in its last 27 road games vs. teams with a home winning % of less than .400.  The Coyotes are 1-8 in their last nine home games.  Take the Sharks.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over Detroit, as St. Louis falls into a 129-59 ATS system of mine.  I look for the Billikens to blow out Detroit, as the Titans have given up 100+ points in three of their four games this season.  It's true that Detroit did win its last game, against Houston Baptist, 116-109.  But College Basketball underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points have covered just 32.6% off a win in which they scored 112+ points.  Take St. Louis.  NCAA Hoops High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over Boston.  The Celts have now won 16 straight games.  But since 1990, NBA teams on an 11-game (or greater) win streak have gone just 51-63 straight-up and 46-67-1 ATS if they weren't favored by more than four points. And Boston also falls into a negative 8-33 ATS system of mine which similarly fades certain teams on long win streaks.  Finally, these two teams met earlier this season, and the Celtics came away with a six-point win.  But the Heat are 16-3 ATS their last 19 when playing with revenge, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points..  Take Miami on Wednesday.  NBA Underdog of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  These two teams met last Friday at Air Canada Centre, and the Raptors blew out New York, 107-84.  They then followed up that victory with a win vs. the Wizards, and have won four straight, overall.  Thus, the Knicks will seek to avenge that defeat on this Wednesday.  And New York's currently riding a 10-3 ATS run.  That bodes well for New York tonight.  As does the fact that Toronto is an awful 16-45 ATS off 4+ wins, if it also owned a win percentage of at least .550.  Take New York.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Chicago Blackhawks.  It's early in the season, but it appears the clear-cut #1 team in the NHL power rankings is the Tampa Bay Lightning.  First, the Bolts have scored a league-leading 3.95 goals-per-game.  And although their 2.55 goals-against isn't tops in the NHL, those two numbers result in a league-leading 1.40 goal-differential so far.  And the Lightning dominate in the individual categories as well.  The four major scoring categories (goals, assists, points, and plus/minus rating) are led by three different members of the team (Steven Stamkos, Nikita Kucherov, and Anton Stralman).  Not to be outdone by his offensive players, goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy leads all net-minders with 14 victories and is eighth with a .928 saves percentage.  The Blackhawks draw their second straight tough Eastern Conference road assignment, having beaten the Penguins in Pittsburgh in their last game.  But that was four days ago and the Lightning appear to be a much more formidable opponent right now.  The Hawks are 2-7 in the last nine meetings in Tampa. Take the Bolts.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over Vancouver.  The Pens have had the last three days off (following their loss to Chicago on Saturday), while the Canucks had to play the Flyers in Philly last night.  So, that's a big advantage for the defending Stanley Cup champs, who are 16-5 their last 21 when playing with 3 (or more) days' of rest.  Pittsburgh's a powerful 61-32 off a loss, and we'll take Sidney Crosby & Co. in the Igloo tonight.  Take the Penguins.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated records.  NC State is 4-0, while Arizona is 3-0.  But the Wolfpack has faced a soft schedule thus far, as none of its four victories came against a school from a major conference (and just one from a mid-major conference).  NC State is an awful 5-16 ATS its last 21 as an underdog, including 1-9 ATS off a straight-up win.  And it's covered just 19 of 56 off 4+ wins.  Meanwhile, Arizona is a solid 75-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes with an .800 (or better) record, provided the game is played at Arizona, or on a neutral court.  Lay the points.  NCAA Hoops Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons + the points over Eastern Michigan, as Bowling Green falls into a 93-56 ATS "stats-based" system of mine.  The Falcons have been installed as double-digit road underdogs, but they're a fantastic 50-30 ATS on the Mid-American Conference road.  And, yes, it's certainly true that Bowling Green was blown out by 29 points last Wednesday at home, vs. Toledo.  However, the Falcons are 12-3 ATS off a conference blowout loss by 21+ points.  Meanwhile, the Eagles upset Miami-Ohio in Oxford last week.  Unfortunately, they're a wallet-busting 19-36 ATS off a straight-up win.  Bowling Green has won 9 of the last 11 straight up in this series, including 2-0 SU/ATS the last two, here, in Ypsilanti.  Take the points with the Falcons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Anaheim Ducks.  Who's the most under-appreciated goalie in the NHL?  For my money, the answer is San Jose's Martin Jones.  Throughout his four-plus seasons, Jones has been a consistent winner with some of the best individual statistics of any net-minder in the league.  And so far, 2017-2018 is shaping up to be one of his best campaigns.  Through his first 13 games, the now-28-year-old is 8-5 with a 2.13 GAA and a .926 saves pct.  But without a Stanley Cup or Vezina Trophy to his credit, Jones continues to fly under the radar -- and that may be just fine with him.  He will get his 14th start tonight against a team -- Anaheim -- that he's done very well against in his career (1.84 GAA and .930 Saves pct).  And the Ducks offense he'll be facing tonight is extremely banged up right now with no fewer than five regulars out of action with various injuries -- including the top two Centers (Ryan Getzlaf and Ryan Kesler).  The Ducks are 3-10 in the last 13 meetings in San Jose and the home team is 19-7 in the last 26.  When these two teams met earlier here this year, the Sharks not only won, 2-1, but also outshot Anaheim, 45-26.  San Jose will dominate once again.  Take the Sharks.  NHL High Roller.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Seahawks over the Atlanta Falcons.  These two teams met in last year's NFL Playoffs, and the Falcons blew out the Seahawks, 36-20, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But I love the Seahawks to avenge that defeat, as teams playing on Monday Night Football with revenge from a Playoff defeat the previous season have cashed 79% since 1999, including a perfect 9-0 ATS vs. foes with W/L records between .250 and .750.  Additionally, Seattle is 82-28 SU and 67-38-5 ATS at home since 2005, including 5-1-2 ATS on Monday Nights, and 16-8-1 ATS with revenge.  Finally, Atlanta is an awful 0-9 ATS when not laying 3+ points against a winning team, if its foe is playing with revenge.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Detroit Pistons.  We're one-fifth of the way through the regular season, and the surprising Detroit Pistons are 11-5, and atop the NBA's Central Division.  But lurking just two games behind Detroit are LeBron James' Cavaliers, who have quietly won four straight games.  Certainly, one of the problems for Cleveland -- after reaching the NBA Finals the past three seasons -- is motivation.  But they'll be extremely motivated tonight, given that Detroit is ahead of them in the standings.  The Cavs will also greatly benefit from the fact that they had the previous two days off, while Detroit had to play the Timberwolves on the road last night.  So, Detroit will not only have to play this game without rest, but they also had to travel from Minneapolis back to Detroit overnight.  Finally, Cleveland falls into a super 55-20 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off back to back wins.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets blew out Utah, 118-107, in their last game to move to 6-9 this season.  But the Nets were favored to win that game, and they're 4-1 ATS as a favorite this season.  Unfortunately, they're 4-6 ATS as an underdog.  And they also fall into a negative 46-105 ATS System of mine which goes against certain losing teams off wins.  Lay the points with the Warriors.  High Roller Winner. Good luck as always....Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Marshall.  Illinois is off to a 3-0 start this season, and it's offense has hummed, with 102, 77 and 82 points scored (on 46% FG shooting) thus far.  Meanwhile, Marshall has allowed 91, 74 and 86 points (on 46% FG shooting) against teams that average 70 ppg and 39.4% from the floor.  That doesn't bode well for the Thundering Herd against Illinois.  And neither does the fact that the Illini are 39-21 ATS at home after scoring 80+ in their previous game.  Finally, the Herd is a poor 82-119 ATS as a road underdog.  Take Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over the New England Patriots.  Bill Belichick's men won by 25 points last week.  And that blowout victory has triggered an angle of mine which fades defending Super Bowl champions off 20-point (or greater) wins.  Since 1980, they've covered just 41% in this situation, including 2-13 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -7.5 points away from home.  Take the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Broncos are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and have failed to cover the spread by 21 and 18 points in their previous two games.  But it must be noted that the Broncos' last three games were played against three of the very best teams in the league (Philadelphia, New England and Kansas City).  In contrast, Cincinnati has also been playing extremely poorly.  It is 1-3 SU/ATS in its last four games, but has not played an overly difficult schedule.  Indeed, Cincy's only win in its last four games was by a single point vs. Indianapolis, as an 11-point favorite.  And the Bengals' only pointspread cover was also by a single point -- last week at Tennessee.  Denver's recent failures have worked to create terrific betting value in this game, and the Broncos fall into a 105-53 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over South Carolina.  This is a tough situational spot for the Gamecocks, as they actually played (and defeated) these Broncos just six days ago, at home, in Columbia, South Carolina.  So, the motivational edge seemingly would rest with the Broncos, who no doubt would like to avenge that 18-point defeat on this Sunday.  Western Michigan falls into 69-36 and 33-13 ATS revenge systems of mine  Take the Broncos + the points.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins + the points over New Orleans.  The Saints have won and covered seven straight games.  And Drew Brees & Co. are getting it done both on the offensive side, as well as the defensive.  New Orleans is scoring 29.8 points per game, and giving up just 18.3.  And its defense has been especially stellar the past three weeks.  Last Sunday, New Orleans held the Bills to 10 points.  And it defeated the Buccaneers (30-10) and Bears (20-12) in the two weeks prior to that.  Unfortunately, for New Orleans, single-digit favorites that held each of their last three opponents to less than 13 points have covered just 26% in the regular season since 1980 vs. .363 (or better) foes, including 1-14 ATS their last 15.  Take the Redskins.  NFL Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans over the Arizona Cardinals.  Both of these teams are dealing with major injuries at the quarterback position.  Houston's Deshaun Watson is out with a knee injury, while Arizona's Carson Palmer broke his left arm, and 2nd string QB Drew Stanton sustained an injury last week to his knee.  Thus, the Cards will turn to 3rd stringer Blaine Gabbert, while Houston will use erstwhile starter Tom Savage.  We'll take the homestanding Texans, as they fall into 155-85 and 139-61 ATS systems of mine that are based on season statistics.  Also, Houston lost 33-7 last Sunday at the LA Rams.  And NFL home teams off a loss by 23+ points are 82.1% ATS over the past 17 years vs. .416 (or better) non-division foes also off a loss, provided our home team is not favored by 2.5+ points.  Take Houston. NFL Elite Info. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Jacksonville.  The Browns may be 0-9 on the season, but they've actually been much more competitive against the pointspread of late.  Last week, they reached the 4-yard line with a great opportunity to cover the spread in the game's final minute, but turned the ball over.  Still, they only failed to cover the spread by 3.5 points.  The previous week, they also failed to cover -- by 6 points -- so they were within one score.  And three games ago, they did cover the spread by 2.5 points.  This week, they're getting a sizable amount of points at home, and we'll grab all we can with Cleveland, as winless home dogs of +7.5 or more points have gone 37-16 ATS if their record was 0-7 (or worse).  Take the Browns.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Colorado Avalanche.  The Avs had a huge victory at home on Thursday over the Washington Capitals, 6-2.  But goalie Philipp Grubauer was in net for the Caps that night and DC has not won a game yet this season with Braden Holtby's back-up playing (0-5-1).  They will likely have a much tougher time tonight in Nashville against the defending Western Conference Champions, especially when you consider how the Preds have dominated this series lately.  The Predators also beat the Caps - on Tuesday - which turned out to be their fifth win in a row, but they lost against the Wild two nights later.  That was a tough loss for a Nashville club that had been playing very well of late, especially here at Bridgestone Arena where the Predators have averaged four goals per game this season.  That number pales in comparison to what the Avs have done at home (4.63 GPG) but on the road that number sinks to 2.44.  The Avs are 0-7 in the last seven meetings.  Take Nashville.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors over Philadelphia.  Both teams are playing really well:  Philly is 8-6, and off back to back SU/ATS road wins over the Clippers and Lakers, while Golden State is 11-4, but did get upset by Boston on Thursday.  We'll take Steve Kerr's men to rebound off that defeat, as the Warriors are 20-1 ATS off an upset loss, if they're playing an opponent off a win, and the Warriors are favored by at least 6 points.  Take Golden State.  NBA Road Warrior.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona.  Oregon QB Justin Herbert has been upgraded to 'probable,' which is surely a welcome sight for the team.  After all, without their 1st string QB under center last week, the Ducks struggled to score, and lost 38-3 at Washington.  They'll host the Arizona Wildcats at Autzen Stadium on Saturday.  And Arizona comes into this contest off a 21-point win (49-28) over Oregon State.  Unfortunately for the Wildcats, they fall into a negative 15-45 ATS system of mine which goes against teams off 21+ point wins vs. foes off 21+ point losses.  Moreover, the 'Cats are a poor 6-15 ATS their last 21 as an underdog, and 10-26 ATS on the road after scoring 37+ points in their previous game.  Finally, Oregon is 44-22 ATS in 'win situation' games with a pointspread of 3 or less.  Lay it.  Pac 12 Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies are 6-4 on the season, but it's been a home-heavy schedule thus far, with just two of their 10 games having been played on an opponent's field.  So, this will be Texas A&M's 3rd road game of the season, and it has been, historically, a poor traveler.  Indeed, over the last 30 years, Texas A&M is an awful 13-41 ATS away from home off a home win if its opponent was not a losing team.  Take Mississippi.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Army.  These two teams last faced off against each other in the Heart of Dallas Bowl game, on December 27, at the Cotton Bowl.  Army triumphed, 38-31, in that game.  But I look for the Mean Green to avenge that Bowl game defeat.  Indeed, home teams have cashed 75% over the past 17 years when playing with revenge from a post-season defeat, so long as they're not laying 5.5 or more points.  Take North Texas.  Non-Conf. Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Maryland.  The Spartans will be playing their final home game of the season.  And they've dominated over the past 30 years in their final home games, with a 22-8 SU and 23-7 ATS record!  The Spartans also play with revenge from an upset loss sustained last season in College Park.  MSU was favored by 2.5, but lost to the Terrapins, 28-17.  However, Michigan State's a solid 6-1 ATS its last seven when playing with revenge from an upset loss, while Maryland's an awful 2-11-1 ATS its last 13 (and 0-5 ATS on the road) if it upset its opponent the previous season!  Take Michigan State.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over Florida.  Los Angeles has dropped four straight games, and they scored 2 goals or less in each of those defeats.  But LA is 10-0 its last 10 at home after four straight games where it scored 2 goals or less.  Take Los Angeles.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over UAB.  The Gators have had the proverbial "season from hell."  It started off well enough, as the Gators won their first three conference games vs. Tennessee, Kentucky and Vanderbilt.  But an onslaught of injuries and a resignation by their head coach, have made Gator fans want to put this season it the rear view mirror.  Florida's now lost its last five games, and has failed to cover its last four.  Still, I love Florida to get an easy win on Saturday vs. a UAB squad coming into Gainesville off an upset win over Texas San Antonio.  Over the last 30 years, home favorites of more than nine points, off four or more losses, have covered 73.6% vs. foes off a win.  And UAB is a wallet-busting 0-14 ATS on the road vs. .600 (or worse) opponents if UAB defeated a conference foe in its previous game.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Navy.  Notre Dame's 5-game win streak in this series was snapped last year when the Midshipmen upset the Irish, 28-27, as a 7.5-point underdog.  But I love Brian Kelly's men to avenge that defeat, and especially since they're coming off a 41-8 loss to Miami-Florida last week.  This also will be Notre Dame's final home game of the season, and NCAA favorites of more than 15 points have cashed 78% since 1980 in their final home game, if they were off a 20-point (or worse) defeat!  Lay it.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over South Alabama.  We played against Georgia Southern last week, and got the cash with Appalachian State, which defeated the Eagles, 27-6, as a 17.5-point favorite.  That loss lowered Georgia Southern's season record to 0-9 straight-up and 2-6 ATS.  But I love the Eagles in this home underdog role, on Saturday.  They catch South Alabama coming off a big upset win at home over Arkansas State, as a 13-point underdog.  And, unfortunately for the Jaguars, teams off home upsets as a 13-point (or greater) underdog have had huge letdowns in their next game as road favorites.  Since 1980, they've covered just 32.1% of their games.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Sun Belt Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Senators over the Arizona Coyotes.  The Coyotes won for just the third time in a league-leading 21 games on Thursday.  They beat the Canadiens on the road by a 5-4 margin, and as impressive as that might sound, a lot of clubs have been beating up on the Habs in their home arena this season so it could be a bit misleading.  The other big problem for them today is that the Coyotes have yet to win back-to-back games and in fact are 0-5 in their last five when coming off a win.  The Senators are finally healthy for the most part and playing some pretty good hockey although they lost their last game.  But getting beaten by the defending cup champions (Pittsburgh) by a 3-1 margin is nothing to hang your head about and they have an excellent shot at rebounding back at home this afternoon.  The Coyotes are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Ottawa while the 'Nats are are 29-14 in their last 43 vs. teams from the Pacific Division. Take the Senators.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Rice.  The Owls are 1-9 on the season, with eight straight losses, and are clearly playing out the string.  Old Dominion, on the other hand, is not playing out the string.  It's 4-6, but it's won each of its past two games, including last week's 37-30 upset win at Florida International, as a 10-point underdog.  I look for Old Dominion to keep its momentum going, at home, on Saturday, as teams (like Rice) that haven't won more than 1 game on the season, have cashed just 32% (at Game 11 forward) vs. conference foes off an upset win.  Take the Monarchs.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Rutgers.  Both of these teams are 4-6 on the season, but going in opposite directions in Las Vegas.  The Scarlet Knights have covered each of the last five games, while the Hoosiers are on an 0-7 ATS skein.  But before you open up your wallet for the "hot" Scarlet Knights, consider that teams off five straight ATS losses have covered 73% vs. foes off five straight ATS wins over the past 22 years!  That doesn't bode well for Rutgers on Saturday.  And neither does the fact that Rutgers has covered just 5 of 20 games vs. Conference foes playing their final home game of the season.  After this home game, the Hoosiers will play Purdue on the road.  And Indiana needs to win both to qualify for a Bowl game.  Take Indiana minus the points.  NCAA Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Miami.  In its last game, Miami upset the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, and the Hurricanes are now ranked #2 in the Country.  Unfortunately, they likely will have a letdown on Saturday vs. the Cavaliers.  Indeed, undefeated teams, with an 8-0 (or better) record have gone 1-10 ATS off an upset win, if priced between -6 and -21 points.  The Cavaliers are also 5-1 ATS their last six games at Miami, while college football teams are a horrid 12-27-2 ATS as a favorite (or PK) after upsetting the Fighting Irish in their previous game.  Grab the points.  NCAA High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Fresno State, as Arkansas falls into 119-70, 99-46 and 139-65 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine based on its two previous games -- wins by 28 and 39 points.  Also, the Razorbacks are 67% ATS over the last 28 years at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss, and have covered their last 6 at home (and 19 of their last 31).  Meanwhile, Fresno's 19-35 ATS off a straight-up win, if they're playing a non-conference foe off back to back wins. This will be a rout.  Lay the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Boston.  This is a match-up of the NBA's two best teams.  The Celtics have been the league's best team, record-wise.  Boston is 13-2 straight-up, and 12-2-1 ATS on the year.  It also owns the league's #1 adjusted defensive efficiency rating (99.13), and the #2 adjusted net rating (7.68).  But the #1 net rating (13.07) is held by the league's defending Champs, Golden State.  The Warriors also have the best adjusted offensive rating (117.99) and the 2nd best W/L record.  So, clearly, this game will be a measuring stick for both teams.  It's true that Boston has won 13 straight.  Unfortunately, teams on an 11-game (or better) win streak are a soft 45-67 ATS if they're not favored by more than four points.  Also, the Warriors will be well-rested, as they had Tuesday and Wednesday off.  And Golden State's 62-40 ATS with at least two days' of rest.  Lay the points.  NBA GAME OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Buffalo.  The Cardinals have lost their last seven games, straight-up, and failed to cover the pointspread in their last eight.  And such a losing streak will keep most of the bettors off of them, here, in this game.  But I love them as a home underdog vs. Buffalo, as Mid-American Conference home underdogs, off a SU/ATS loss (and an ATS loss two games back), have cashed 64% over the past 20 years vs. conference foes off a win!  And the Cardinals also fall into a super 68.3% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks.  Take Ball State + the points.  MAC Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, in the first round of the Puerto Rico Tip Off Tournament, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Illinois State.  Frank Martin's men are off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start this year, with blowout wins over Wofford (73-52) and Western Michigan (78-60).  They'll now face the Redbirds, who lost at Florida Gulf Coast, 87-98, in their season opener on Saturday. The biggest problem for Illinois State in that game was that it was outrebounded 48-24, even though both teams made virtually the same percentage of their field goals (50% for Illinois State; 49% for Florida Gulf Coast).  Corralling a rebound often just comes down to effort, so it's a big red flag when a team gets outrebounded by a 2:1 margin.  And it certainly doesn't bode well against a South Carolina squad which is outrebounding its foes by 13 rpg.  The Redbirds also fall into a negative 57-126 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points with South Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the New York Rangers.  After a slow start that saw them go 3-9 in their first dozen games, the Rangers have come out of nowhere to turn things around.   With six straight victories, New York has now evened its record at 9-9.  But a closer look at the winning streak shows that only two of those six teams - the Lightning and Golden Knights - had winning records at the time New York played them.  And four of the six wins were at MSG where the Rangers have won seven of their nine games and tonight they have to go to Chicago to play a struggling Chicago team that is very dangerous in this situation. There's good-and-bad news with the 'Hawks play lately.  The bad news is that they just allowed a season-high seven goals in their last game against the Devils, but the good news is that they seem to have broken out of their offensive slumber with nine goals in the last two games.  The Rangers are 0-5 in their last five playing on three or more days' rest while the Blackhawks are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. teams from the Metropolitan division.  Take Chicago.  NHL High Roller Winner!  As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Vegas Golden Knights.  Edmonton suffered a tough loss on Sunday in DC to the Capitals.  The Oilers out-shot the Caps by a whopping 30-19, but they got a big dose of Braden Holtby in net as Holtby stopped Edmonton's star -- and the player considered by some to be the best in the world -- Connor McDavid, including a huge save in the shootout.  The Oilers likely won't have to worry about a Holtby-like performance tonight as the Knights are down to their fourth-string goaltender.  The losses of Marc-Andre Fleury, Malcolm Subban, and Oscar Dansk leaves the Knights with the choice of rookies Maxime Legace and Dylan Ferguson, the latter of which is a 19-year-old who has yet to play a single minute in the NHL.  Vegas loves its new home in the desert (7-1), but has struggled on the road in its inaugural season, going 3-5 in games away from T-Mobile Arena.  That could be just what the doctor ordered for the 6-11 Oilers as they are 12-5 in their last 17 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.  Take Edmonton.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks won the Colonial Athletic Association the past two years, but this will be a "down" season for them, as they only returned one starter to go along with returnee, Devontae Cacok, who was the CAA Defensive Player of the Year.  And they also have a new head coach, as CB McGrath moved over from his assistant's job at North Carolina to take the reins from Kevin Keatts, who left for the greener pastures of North Carolina State.  McGrath's goal is to push the pace, but I believe that will play into the hands of this perimeter-oriented Davidson team.  Meanwhile, Davidson returned four starters from last year's squad.  And it opened up this campaign with a 110-62 win over Charleston Southern.  Davidson falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 138-65 ATS since 1990.  And the Wildcats are also 36-19 ATS after scoring 80+ points in their previous game.  Lay it.  NCAA Hoops High Roller.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  The Timberwolves are off back to back losses at Golden State and Phoenix.  So, they'll look to salvage their 3-game road trip with a win tonight in Salt Lake City.  Certainly, Minnesota is certainly not a good defensive team.  It ranks 28th in adjusted defensive efficiency.  But the good news for the T-Wolves is that Utah's hardly a good offensive team (it ranks 27th in adjusted offensive efficiency), so I don't believe it will take advantage of Minny's shortcomings tonight.  Now, Utah is a very good defensive team, but it won't have its very best defensive player -- Rudy Gobert -- on the court tonight, as he is out with a tibia injury.  The Timberwolves had won five straight, and gone 4-0-1 ATS immediately prior to its current 2-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they fall into a 126-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested teams off upset losses.  I look for the T-Wolves to get back on track tonight.  Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Dallas Stars.  The Stars are off to a decent start with a winning record at 9-7.  But they've struggled on the road so far (3-5).  This pretty much mirrors what happened to them last season when they missed the playoffs for the seventh time in the last nine seasons, thanks in large part to one of the worst road records in the league (12-29).  The biggest problem for them away from Dallas has been their defense.  At home, the Stars feature the #1 defense in the league based on a 1.75 GAA.  But on the road, that number is almost two goals higher at 3.63 and that's something that the Hurricanes will try to take advantage of tonight at home.  New goalie Scott Darling has improved the 'Canes' performance between the pipes this fall, but the offense has struggled at times.  They've made some adjustments and have been better lately putting up three goals in each of their last three.  Dallas tallied five goals in its last game, but that's not necessarily a good thing for tonight as the Stars are 2-10 in their last 12 after scoring five goals or more in the previous game.  Take the 'Canes.  NHL High Roller.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the San Jose Sharks.  The Kings missed the playoffs last season for the second time in three years and despite the struggles, the roster for 2017-2018 remains largely unchanged.   The biggest alterations came in the coaching ranks and in the front office as L.A. fired general manager Dean Lombardi and skipper Darryl Sutter, the architects of their Stanley Cup victories in 2012 and 2014.  Longtime franchise figure Rob Blake is the new GM, and veteran assistant coach John Stevens assumes the top job behind the bench.  Despite the status quo on the ice, the Kings are looking like they'll be a threat for another Cup run as they are 11-3-2 (24 points) and in first place in the Pacific Division, although it's obviously still early.  The Sharks on the other hand are treading water a bit so far (8-6 and eight points back).  The Sharks are 0-4 in their last four games playing on zero days rest and the Kings are 3-1 in the last four meetings of these two.  Take Los Angeles.  NHL Game of the Week! As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston.  The Celts have won 11 straight, but they'll be missing their top three players today (Al Horford, Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward).  Thus, they're not even favored at home vs. Toronto.  The Celtics fall into a negative 44-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams that have won more than 10 games in a row.  And Boston's also a poor 5-18 ATS off back to back home wins.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'Over' in the Los Angeles Chargers/Jacksonville Jaguars game.  The Jaguars have the league's best defense, and have held five of their eight opponents this season to less than 10 points (including Indy and Cincy in their last two games).   And, yes, it's true that neither of the Jaguars' last two games totaled more than 30 points.  But NFL teams have gone 'over' the total more often than not after playing two straight games that didn't total more than 30 points.  Interestingly, this will be the fourth meeting in the last four seasons between these two teams.  And each of the previous three meetings sailed 'over' the total, with an average of 51.67 ppg.  Moreover, the Chargers haven't scored less than 10 points in any of their last 27 games.  And they've averaged 23.33 ppg over this 27-game span.  So, I believe Philip Rivers & Co. will be able to put up some points on the Jags' #1-rated defense.  The OVER also falls into 82-53 and 99-68 systems of mine.  This will be a relatively high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils come into Pasadena off a 41-30 win vs. Colorado last Saturday, and are now 5-4 this season.  Meanwhile, Jim Mora's Bruins are 4-5 on the season after getting blown out by Washington (44-23) and Utah (48-17) in their last two games.  But UCLA's five losses have all come away from home, where the Bruins are 0-6 ATS their last six, and 2-11 ATS their last 13.  UCLA is back home on Saturday night, which bodes well for it, as UCLA has won all four of its home games this season!  UCLA is also a solid 44-27, 62% ATS at home when not laying more than 7 points.  Finally, revenge-minded favorites off back to back 21-point losses have cashed 79% since 1980 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take UCLA.  NCAA Roadkill Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets pulled a big upset last night in Portland, and that was their third straight ATS win.  Unfortunately for the Nets, they're 8-22 ATS on the road after three straight covers.  And they'll also be facing a rested Jazz team tonight which is looking to rebound off 4 straight losses!  Utah's 120-81 ATS at home after failing to cover its two previous games.  And the Jazz also fall into a super 84-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes.  Take Utah. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets over the Memphis Grizzlies.  Houston's lost just three times this season.  And it's been Memphis which has been Houston's thorn in its side, as the Grizzlies handed the Rockets two of those three defeats.  But I love Houston to deliver a measure of PAYBACK on Saturday night, as the Grizzlies are 17-40 ATS vs. teams playing with double-revenge, provided that opponent isn't off back to back losses.  Lay the points with the Rockets.  And Houston also falls into a 129-62 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Alabama.  Certainly, Alabama deserves its #1 ranking, as it's 9-0, with a 31.11 ppg margin of victory.  On the other hand, the Crimson Tide are below .500 against the spread, which indicates they're a tad overvalued in Vegas.  In contrast, Mississippi State has rewarded its bettors with a 6-3 ATS record to go along with its 7-2 SU record.  And that doesn't bode well for Nick Saban's troops on Saturday, as undefeated teams (at Game 8 forward) have covered just 1 of 15 games as double-digit road favorites vs. opponents with a winning SU and a winning ATS record!  Even better:  Miss State has cashed 83% at home over the past 38 years if they were off a win the previous week, and are now getting double-digits.  Finally, Miss State also falls into 32-1, 47-7, 84-32 and 21-0 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  SEC Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Toronto Maple Leafs.  These two teams played north-of-the-border last night, and the Leafs stunned the Bruins by scoring the tying goal in the game's final minute before winning in overtime, 3-2.  But I love Boston to get some revenge tonight, as #1 goalie Tuukka Rask will be in goal tonight vs. the Leafs' #2 goalie, Curtis McElhinney.  Also, Toronto's #1 center, Auston Matthews remains sidelined, and won't make the trip to Boston.  It's true that Toronto's won its last three games, but it's a poor 3-11 off three straight home wins, and 15-35 on the road off back to back home wins.  Take Boston. PAYBACK PAYDAY! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Clemson.  Last week, we played against Clemson, and got the $$$ with NC State, as a +7.5-point underdog.  And we'll go against the Tigers once again this week, as they fall into a negative 27-65 ATS system of mine.  Florida State is obviously having a "down" year, with a 3-5 record on the season (and 0-6-2 ATS), though it did get into the win column last week with a 27-24 triumph vs. Syracuse.  The Seminoles also received some welcome news this week when they learned that running back Jacques Patrick will be able to get back onto the field on this Saturday (after missing extended time with a knee injury).  We'll grab the points with Florida State, as winless ATS teams, with an 0-4 (or worse) ATS record, are 15-0 ATS since 2001 off a straight-up win if playing a winning opponent.  Take the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Virginia.  We played against Louisville in its last game, a blowout loss in Winston-Salem against Wake Forest.  The Cardinals had last week off to recover from that defeat, and that rest should serve them well against an unrested Cavaliers squad which is coming off a huge upset win vs. Georgia Tech.  Unfortunately for Virginia, it's covered just 33% of the time away from home the past 38 years off an upset win, if matched up against an opponent off an upset defeat.  Take Louisville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan St.  Ohio State suffered an embarrassing beatdown at the hands of the iowa Hawkeyes last week, as it lost by 31 points, as 21-point favorite.  And that 52-point differential between the final margin of victory and the pointspread was tied for the 20th worst pointspread differential in the past 38 years.  However, I expect Urban Meyer's men to bounce back off that defeat, as Ohio State's 28-9-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference games off a loss.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears opened this season with eight straight losses before finally getting a win -- against woeful Kansas.  But they'll be hard-pressed to make it two in a row, as they will face a Texas Tech squad which looks to make amends from an upset loss last week at home vs. Kansas State.  And the Red Raiders generally bounce back from losses, as they're 70-43 ATS vs. Conference foes.  Take Texas Tech.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Rutgers.  Penn State lost at Ohio State, 39-38, two weeks ago, and 27-24 at Michigan State last week.  But off those two road defeats, I look for Penn State to bounce back on Saturday.  Indeed, since 1980, teams that were undefeated through their first 7+ games, and then lost two games in a row, have bounced back strong (86.7% ATS) off those 2 losses, if they were playing a losing team!  Moreover, Rutgers is an awful 16-36-1 ATS when priced from +20 to +33.5 points.  Take Penn State.  High Noon Hanging!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over the Boston Celtics.  No team is hotter than Brad Stevens' Celtics, who have won their last 10 games.  Tonight, they're matched up against the Charlotte Hornets, who are on a 3-game losing streak.  Unfortunately for Boston, no less than three starters (Gordon Hayward, Al Horford and Jayson Tatusm) will be out of action for tonight's game.  And a fourth -- Marcus Morris -- is questionable.  We'll grab the points with the Hornets, as they fall into a 55% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a win, as well as a 65.7% ATS angle which plays on certain road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Charlotte.  NBA ROAD WARRIOR!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  The Hawks have gotten off to a 2-9 start this season, so it's likely that their 10-year run (2nd in the NBA to the Spurs' 20-year run) of making the Playoffs will end this season.  But if Mike Budenholzer's men can upset the 8-3 Pistons tonight, in Motown, he should send a 'thank you note' to the league office.  After all, Atlanta has a big scheduling advantage tonight, in that it has had the last three days off, while Detroit will play with just having had Thursday off.  And NBA road teams, off a loss, that had at least the three previous days off, have gone 60.8% ATS the last 24 seasons vs. foes that had just the previous day off.  Additionally, Detroit's a poor 4-16 ATS off back to back wins (and 0-5 ATS its last five off three or more wins).  Take Atlanta.  NBA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Carolina Hurricanes.  It became painfully obvious that despite having one of the best defenses in the league last season, the Hurricanes were going nowhere fast with the goalie tandem of Cam Ward and Eddie Lack.  So the 'Canes traded a third-round draft pick to the Blackhawks for Scott Darling -- better known as the back-up for Corey Crawford -- and then they locked him up with a four-year contract worth almost $17M.  About a month into this season the results are mixed as Darling has seen most of the action in net, and although his GAA is solidly where it was last season at 2.35, his saves percentage has gone down from .924 to .910.  And the other problem is that while the team's goals-against-per-game number of 2.77 is decent, it's still higher than their goal-scoring rate, which is 26th in the league at 2.62.  Now they have to head into Columbus, where the Jackets are averaging just 2.13 goals-allowed -- fourth-best in the NHL.  The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings and Carolina is 18-38 in its last 56 road games.  Take Columbus.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Temple.  The Owls stunned Navy last week, 34-26, as a 6-point home underdog!  Now, the Owls travel to the Queen City to play Cincinnati, and the Owls have been installed as a road favorite.  Obviously, it's not a common occurrence for College Football teams to be a home underdog one game, and a road favorite the next.  And, not surprisingly, NCAA teams that won outright as a home dog have had big letdowns their next game if installed as a road favorite.  Since 1980, they've cashed just 43% of the time.  Even worse for Temple:  it's defeated the Bearcats each of the past two seasons.  But Cincy's 24-13 ATS when playing with revenge, if it also lost to its opponent two meetings back.  And it's also 44-30 ATS at home when not favored by more than 5 points, including 4-1 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Bearcats.  AAC Conference Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  Philly comes into this game off ATS wins in its last seven contests, and a 6-1 SU record in those seven games.  But they're now in unfamiliar territory, as they haven't been this big of a road favorite since April 23, 2012 -- a span of 436 games!   The Kings come into this game off a huge upset win over Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home underdog.  And the Kings are also 8-2 ATS their last 10 as home dogs of more than 6 points vs. .600 (or better) foes.  I look for Sacramento to get the cash again tonight vs. this overpriced Sixers team.  Take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Wings were hoping to reload with some valuable free agents in the off-season after missing the playoffs for the first time in 25 years.  And in the past, big name players looking for big contracts would jump at the chance to go to Detroit.  But those days appear to be over -- despite the fact that Detroit has a new arena in a rejuvenated downtown.  So the Wings -- who are also severely challenged with the salary cap -- were left with just a single signing of note, a defenseman named Trevor Daley who has already won two Stanley Cups and is probably past his prime now at age 33.  So despite the new home ice, it could be a very challenging season for the 11-time Stanley Cup Champions.  This game caps a very tough stretch in which Detroit has had to play seven of eight games on the road.  The Wings are 1-4 in the last five meetings and the Flames are 12-4 in their last 16 vs. Eastern Conference teams.  Take Calgary.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets come into this game off three straight double-digit wins and three straight covers, including a 137-110 blowout of the Utah Jazz their last time out.  Unfortunately for Houston coach Mike D'Antoni, his teams have gone 26-46 ATS off back to back double digit wins.  And the Rockets are also a poor 2-12 ATS off three straight covers.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers minus the points over Georgia Southern.  Appy State was upset last week at Louisiana Monroe, when the Warhawks won, 52-45, as an 8-point underdog.  But NCAA Favorites of more than 15 points have covered 61.05% since 1980 off a road upset loss as an 8-point (or greater) favorite.  Take the Mountaineers to blow out Georgia Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over New York.  The Knicks won their 3rd straight game (and sixth of their last seven) with a 118-113 triumph at home last night vs. Charlotte.  But this will be a tough task for them tonight to take down Orlando, as the Magic are well-rested, having not played for the past two nights following their loss to Boston on Sunday.  Even worse for New York, NBA teams off three straight wins (both SU and ATS) that scored 117+ points in their previous game are 11-31 ATS in the regular season vs. foes off a loss.  Take Orlando.  NBA Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats + the points over Toledo.  Ohio comes into this game off three straight wins and covers.  And Ohio scored 48, 48 and 45 points in those three victories.  Faithful followers know I love to play on College Football home dogs that can score, as since 1983, home dogs off two wins, in which they scored 90+ points combined, are 66.9% ATS in the regular season.  Additionally, the Bobcats are 9-0 ATS their last nine when both they, and their opponent entered off a win.  Take Ohio.  MAC Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green.  Buffalo certainly wants to give the Falcons some "payback" tonight, as Buffalo has lost the last six meetings to Bowling Green.  And I think it will get its revenge, as Buffalo is 24-9-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. a conference foe.  And Buffalo also falls into 62-31 and 53-21 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Nashville Predators.  If the Predators are going to win their second-straight Western Conference Title, they're going to have to do better than a .500 record.  Right now, the Preds are just 7-5-2 after 14 games, including just 4-5 on the road.  The team that almost met them in the Stanley Cup Finals will try to take it one step further this season as the Blue Jackets attempt to improve on their franchise-best 108 points of 2016-2017.  They're off to a good start with 19 points and a tie for first place in the Metropolitan Division.  In what could be an Eastern Conference Finals preview, the Jackets lost a tough one to the Lightning on Saturday, 5-4 in overtime.  After being on the road for their last three games, the Blue Jackets get to enjoy some home cooking for seven of their next 11 starting with this game.  That could be very important tonight as the home team is 3-1 in the last four meetings of these two.  It's also important for this game because the Jackets are 35-16 in their last 51 at the Nationwide Arena.  Take Columbus.  NHL High Roller.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, on NBA TV, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Phoenix Suns.  The Nets are 3-6 SU and 4-5 ATS on the season, while Phoenix is 4-6 SU and 5-5 ATS.  The Nets have a scheduling advantage tonight, as Brooklyn was off on Saturday and Sunday, while Phoenix had to play the Spurs in the Alamo City last night.  Even worse for the Suns:  this will be their fifth game in seven days.  Phoenix has been installed, on the opening number, as a small favorite.  But the Suns are a dreadful 9-23 ATS their last 32 as a favorite (or PK), including 0-12 ATS if they owned a .500 (or better) record against the spread on the season.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Vegas Golden Knights.  It's hard enough being an expansion team in a major professional sport.  But try being an expansion team in the NHL when your first three options at goalie are out with injuries.  That's the situation that the Golden Knights find themselves in as Marc-Andre Fleury (concussion), Malcolm Subban (lower body), and more recently, third-string Oscar Dansk (also lower body) are sidelined for an extended period.  That leaves 25-year-old rookie Maxime Legace and the just-called-up Dylan Ferguson to share the load in net for the Knights while the other three are mending.  The talented Maple Leafs on the other hand are almost 100% healthy as they make a legitimate run for their first division title since the turn of the century.  They should be glad to get home for their next three games from a tough west coast road trip in which they went 1-3.   The Leafs' 6-4 loss in St. Louis on Saturday, and 5-3 loss at the LA Kings on Thursday, should bode well for them tonight as they are 83% the past 3 seasons after giving up 5+ goals in each of their two previous games.  Take Toronto.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders minus the points over the Miami Dolphins.  Both of these teams come into this game off blowout losses:  Oakland fell, 34-14, at Buffalo, while Miami was annihilated by Baltimore, 40-0.  The Raiders now sit at 3-5 on the season, yet have been installed as a road favorite at 4-3 Miami.  We'll lay the points with Oakland as road favorites of -3+ points that have a worse record than their opponent, have covered 68.1% in the regular season (at Game 8 forward) over the past 17 years.  Additionally, Miami's an awful 31-64 ATS at home when not getting 4.5 or more points, including 12-40 ATS if the Dolphins' W/L percentage wasn't worse than their opponent's.  Take Oakland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Colorado Avalanche.  The Islanders moved to Brooklyn before the 2015-2016 season and their new home through the first two seasons has been lukewarm for them, to say the least. But so far this fall, there’s been no place like home for the Isles as, despite being 7-5-1 overall, they are 4-0-1 at Barclays Center.  Meanwhile, the Avs have almost an identical record to the Islanders (7-5, including 5-1 at home).  However they are on the road tonight where they are just 2-4 so far.  When healthy, the Avs have a decent lineup but health is an issue right now as five front line regulars (Jost, Compher, Grimaldi, Wilson, Borque) are sidelined with injuries or illness and not playing.  Wilson was one of the Avs' few off-season acquisitions but he’s been sidelined since October 19 and has amassed just two assists in eight games.  And although he’s playing, disgruntled #1 Center Matt Duchene thought he would be traded in the off-season and is now more of a distraction than anything else.  Colorado is 1-8 in the last nine road meetings between these clubs, while New York is 24-8 its last 32 vs. the Western Conference. Take the Isles. As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Boston Celtics.  Boston's won and covered its last seven games, while Orlando's in off a 22-points upset home loss to Chicago.  But I look for the Magic to snap Boston's win streak on Sunday.  Indeed, the Magic are a perfect 3-0 this season vs. the three best teams that they've played (Spurs, Cavaliers, Grizzlies) and defeated San Antonio and Cleveland by 27 and 21 points, respectively.  Moreover, winning home teams off a SU/ATS loss are 110-81 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins, provided our home team isn't favored by more than 5 points.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Toronto, as Washington falls into a 285-203 ATS system of mine, based on its season statistics to date.  It's true that the Wizards' John Wall won't suit up tonight after hurting his shoulder in Washington's last game, but I'm still comfortable backing the Wizards this evening with the added points to compensate for his absence.  And, in that last game, the Wizards were upset, at home, 130-122, by the Cleveland Cavaliers.  But NBA teams generally bounce back from upset losses at home, if they scored a lot of points in that upset loss.  Indeed, teams off a home upset loss have cashed 67% since 1990 if they scored 120+ points, and are now matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Wizards.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat + the points over the Clippers.  We played on Miami on Friday, and got the cash when they lost, but covered against Denver.  And that pointspread win extended Miami's record to 27-13 its last 40 as road underdogs!  The Clippers were upset here at home yesterday by Memphis.  And, unfortunately for Los Angeles, unrested home teams, with a winning record, off an upset home loss, have cashed just 29.4% since 1990 vs. losing teams.  And the Heat are a fantastic 25-13 ATS on the road when rested, and playing against an unrested foe.  Take Miami + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Indianapolis Colts/Houston Texans game, as it falls into an 89-54 Totals system of mine.  The Texans started the year with QB Tom Savage under center, and lost on Opening Day, 29-7, to the Jaguars.  Savage lasted just 30 minutes before being replaced by Deshaun Watson, and the Texans were shut out in his 30 minutes of football.  With Watson as quarterback, the Texans' offense had hummed, as it scored 33, 57, 34, 33 and 38 points in Houston's last five games.  Unfortunately, he's out of the season, after sustaining an ACL injury in practice on Thursday.  So, the Texans will once again turn to Savage to lead the offense.  I look for a low-scoring game, as Indianapolis is offensively-challenged this season with its QB, Andrew Luck, sidelined, as it ranks just 25th in points scored (142).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over New Orleans.  These two teams are going in opposite directions, as Tampa Bay is 2-5, and is on an 0-5-1 ATS losing streak, while New Orleans is 5-2, and has covered its last five games.  Of course, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Saints, and against the "cold" Bucs.  But (as faithful followers might guess), that generally would be the wrong move.  Indeed, since 1980, NFL favorites off 5+ ATS wins have covered just 16% ATS vs. foes off 5+ ATS losses!  Also, New Orleans is a dreadful 39-78 ATS at home when not getting 6+ points, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss (including 11-34 ATS vs. division rivals).  Take the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.