Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Alabama Lions + the points over Memphis.  The Tigers come into this game off back to back wins.  But they're horrible (5-17-1 ATS) in non-conference games as a big favorite of more than 22 points if they're not off a SU loss.  Take North Alabama + the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Hawks come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Orlando is a dismal 8-29 ATS at home vs. foes off 3+ losses.  Take the Hawks.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Flyers are giving up less than 60 ppg, while Western Michigan is surrendering more than 74.  The Broncos are 15-32-1 ATS on the road when they were playing an opponent whose defensive ppg average was at least 7 points better.  Look for Dayton to hand Western Michigan its 6th straight ATS loss.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over High Point.  The Panthers come into this game off wins over Central Michigan and Tennessee State.  And they've been installed as a big favorite vs. Elon.  But the Phoenix are 22-4 ATS as double-digit road dogs vs. foes off back to back wins.  We'll fade the Panthers tonight.  Take Elon + the points.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Seattle Kraken.  Last season -- their inaugural one -- the Seattle Kraken had one three game win streak and nothing longer than that.  A quarter of the way through 2022-2023 and the surprising Kraken already have a five-game win streak going (and counting) and it's their second of at least five games so far since the season began.  At 13-8, Seattle is probably the most surprising team in the NHL at this early stage.  The Kraken haven't lost since dropping an OT decision to the Jets on November 13 and they've already beaten the Kings twice so far this season.  But let's not hand Seattle the Stanley Cup quite yet.  They still have a lot of work to do, especially on defense as they allowed four goals to the Ducks and five to the Sharks in recent games.  This season's Kings team seems to play to the level of their competition.  Though overall they are a .500 club, the Kings are 5-1 in their last six games vs. teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better.  Take Los Angeles.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Cal Irvine.  The Aztecs lost a heartbreaker in overtime to the Arkansas Razorbacks in the Maui Invitation, and dropped their second straight on the season (after a 4-0 start).  We'll take Brian Dutcher's men to bounce back at home tonight, as SDSU is 28-17-1 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Iowa sprinted out to a 5-0 start this season.  But the Hawkeyes were upset, 79-66, by TCU on Saturday, and suffered their first loss of the season.  We'll take the Hawkeyes to rebound tonight, as Georgia Tech is a dismal 18-32-1 ATS away from home vs. a foe off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Iowa.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Golden State Warriors.  The Mavericks and Warriors both enter tonight's game with 10 losses on the season, though it's the Mavericks who are playing worse of late.  Dallas has dropped its last four games, while the Warriors have won 3 straight.  We'll look for the Mavs to snap their losing streak tonight, and take the points.  Dallas is 27-12 ATS as a home underdog off a SU/ATS loss when playing an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Bellarmine.  This season, the Wildcats are 4-0 ATS as a favorite of more than 19 points, and 0-2 ATS when not favored by that many.  Kentucky last played on Nov. 23, so it's had the last 5 days off.  When Kentucky has played in the regular season with at least 5 days off, it's gone 95-20 SU and 60-39-1 ATS.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina State Bulldogs + the points over East Carolina.  The Bulldogs are in the midst of a season-opening schedule which will see them play 11 straight on the road (before their home opener on December 13).  The Bulldogs have been an underdog in every game thus far (and by an average of 25.14 ppg), so it's not a surprise that it's winless on the season.  It's catching double-digits tonight from an East Carolina team off a 21-point loss at Old Dominion.  The Pirates are 0-1 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season, and 2-8 its last 10 as a double-digit fave.  And it's an awful 0-11 ATS off a loss, if it was favored by 7+ points against a foe off an ATS loss.  Take South Carolina State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers minus the points over Cal Poly SLO.  Pacific comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We'll take Pacific tonight, as it's cashed 69% the past 33 seasons at home off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros minus the points over Longwood.  San Diego comes into this game off back to back losses, including an upset loss at the hands of Nicholls St on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with the Toreros, as they've cashed 77% since 1990 at home off back to back losses, if they were upset in their previous game.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over Kansas.  The Tigers come into this game off four straight losses -- all by 15+ points -- while Kansas checks in off a 14-point loss to Tennessee.  We'll go against Kansas, which is 12-24 ATS its last 36 non-conference games.  Take the points with Texas Southern

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners minus the points over Incarnate Word.  These two Alamo City rivals will actually be meeting for the very first time tonight, in the 210 San Antonio Shootout.  UTSA has lost its first two games of this holiday tourney, to Grambling and Dartmouth, while Incarnate Word triumphed over those same two teams.  We'll take the Roadrunners to win this final game, as they're 21-4 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins, when the Roadrunners weren't getting 10+ points.  Take UTSA.  Good luck, as always... Al McMordie

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The 76ers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Orlando, while Atlanta lost its two previous games to Houston and Miami.  We'll take the Hawks tonight, as they're 35-18 ATS when they've owned a winning record, and were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights minus 1.5 goals over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  Johnny Gaudreau is finding out that things won't go the same with the Blue Jackets as they did all those years with the Flames.  Sure, the 29-year-old superstar is posting a point per game so far this season -- his first in Columbus.  But that's quite a bit below the production level he put up last season when he tallied 115 points in a full slate of 82 games.  And he also led the lead with a +/- rating of +64 and so far in 20 games, Gaudreau is working at a -6 rate.  His biggest problem right now is that he's without his most important line-mate as winger Patrik Laine has been sidelined with a sprained ankle and will be out until at least mid-December.  The Jackets will welcome the Knights into town tonight for the first time since last March.  Vegas began the season red hot, although it lost its last game on Saturday to Vancouver, 5-1.  The Golden Knights are 8-0 in their last eight games against Eastern Conference teams and they 're also 7-1 in their last eight road contests.  Take Vegas minus 1.5 goals.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Portland State.  Oregon State plays this game with revenge from an 18-point blowout loss to the Vikings.  We'll lay the points with Oregon State, as it's 20-4 SU and 16-4-1 ATS when playing with revenge at home, or on a neutral court, vs. a non-conference foe.  Take the Beavers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones upset the #1-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels on Saturday.  But they'll have another tall task against a ranked opponent tonight, as they're matched up against 7-0 Connecticut.  We'll lay the points with the Huskies, as they've cashed 63.4% vs. non-conference foes off an upset win.  Take UConn.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Philadelphia.  The Magic are 5-14 on the season, and have been installed as a home favorite vs. the 10-9 Sixers.  We'll lay the points with Orlando, as < .312 NBA teams have cashed 85%, at Game 9 forward, as favorites/Pk vs. >.517 opponents off an upset win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams + the points over the Kansas City Chiefs.  Defending Super Bowl champions have never — at least not since 1980 which is when my database starts — been an underdog of +14 (or more) points….until now.  But they have done well as an underdog of +5 or more points, as they’ve gone 17-9 ATS.  And defending champs have also gone 28-15-2 ATS on the road off a loss vs. a foe off a win.  The Rams fall into two of my favorite systems, with records of 156-85 and 337-232 ATS, that play on certain losing teams off losses.  We'll grab the points with L.A.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Los Angeles Chargers.  The Cards were blown out by San Francisco this past Monday in Mexico, 38-10.  But off that loss, we'll step in and take Kyler Murray & Co. this afternoon.  Indeed, home underdogs are 60.1% ATS if they gave up 38+ points in their previous game, and failed to cover the spread in that game by 10 or more points.  Additionally, Arizona is 12-0 ATS following a loss by 17 or more points, if it was playing a .500 (or worse) foe in its current game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hofstra Pride minus the points over Quinnipiac.  The Pride upset NC Greensboro, 65-53, in this Tournament yesterday.  And that moved its non-conference record to 38-19-1 ATS their last 58.  We'll lay the points with Hofstra today, as it's 62-30-7 ATS away from home off a double-digit win.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Yale.  The Buffaloes are 53-31 ATS at home their last 84 when not favored by 17+ points.  Take Colorado.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans over the Cincinnati Bengals.  When these two teams last met, the Bengals bounced the #1-seeded Titans out of the Playoffs.  We'll take Tennessee this afternoon, as home teams are 62% ATS when playing with revenge from an upset playoff loss, if they were off a win.  Even better:  Tennessee comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Denver and Green Bay.  And home dogs/pk are 121-90 ATS in non-division games off back to back wins.  Take the Titans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Denver/Carolina game.  The Broncos come into this game off six straight Unders, while Carolina enters off back to back Unders.  Last week, the Broncos scored just 16 points, while the Panthers scored just three.  The result is that this O/U line is the lowest Total for the Broncos in 11 seasons, and the lowest Total for the Panthers in 12 seasons!  By my math, it's too low.  Indeed, since 1980, at Game 11 forward, NFL teams that averaged less than 15.9 ppg on offense, and whose games totaled, on average, less than 32 ppg, have gone OVER the total 65.1%.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies minus the points over SE Missouri.  The Aggies were upset at the buzzer by a Wisconsin-Milwaukee 3-pointer, so they'll look to bounce back this afternoon.  Cal Davis has cashed 62% away from home off an upset loss.  Take the Aggies

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Valparaiso Beacons minus the points over James Madison.  The Dukes come into this game off back to back wins, including a blowout of South Dakota State yesterday, while the Beacons are off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But we'll look for Valpo to get back into the ATS win column on Sunday, as it falls into 796-595 and 61-19 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Additionally, the Dukes have covered just 22% of their non-conference games, if the Dukes were off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Valparaiso + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the LA Lakers.  These two teams last weekend in LA, and also met here last night, and LeBron James & Co. routed San Antone in both games, 123-92, and 105-94.  We'll take the home dog in the rematch, as San Antonio is 32-21 ATS at home when playing with double-revenge in the regular season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the USC/Notre Dame game.  Last week, the Trojans outlasted rival, UCLA, 48-45, while Notre Dame blew out Boston College, 44-0.  These two teams tend to play lower-scoring games, and have gone Under each of the last three meetings, and are 17-10-1 Under the last 28.  Additionally, the Fighting Irish are 17-3 Under when playing an opponent which scored more than 42 points in its previous game.  We'll look for another relatively-low scoring game on Saturday evening.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas A/M Aggies + the points over LSU.  Brian Kelly's Tigers are having a super season.  They're 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS.  But the one negative spot for them is that they're 0-3 ATS as a favorite away from Baton Rouge.  They lost SU/ATS against Florida St, and also didn't cover as a favorite vs. Auburn and Arkansas.  At 4-7, Texas A&M won't be going to a bowl game this season.  So, tonight's game IS its "Bowl Game."  And the Aggies are a solid 18-6 ATS their last 24 as home underdogs of more than 5 points.  Take Texas A&M + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Montana State Bobcats minus the points over the Quinnipiac Bobcats.  Montana State was upset by NC Greensboro, 77-66, yesterday.  We'll take Montana State to rebound today, as it's cashed 69.2% in non-conference games off an upset loss.  Take Montana State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over the Toronto Raptors.  Dallas comes into this game off a loss at Boston, 125-112, on Wednesday.  We'll take the Mavs to bounce back tonight, as they're 14-1 ATS their last 15 as a road favorite off a road defeat.  Lay the points with Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over TCU.  All good things must eventually come to an end, so don't be surprised if TCU's win streak goes by the wayside on this Saturday.  Iowa State is giving up just 16.5 ppg this season (TCU gives up 25.5).  And at Game 11 forward, NCAA underdogs/pk off a loss, with a defense that gives up less than 17.5 ppg, have gone 57-24-3 ATS vs. foes off a win.   Take Iowa State + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Michigan State.  The Nittany Lions have won all nine games this season other than the two they played against the #2 (Ohio State) and #3 (Michigan) teams in the country.  And dating back to December 5, 2020, the Nittany Lions are 12-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4 to -24 points!  Lay the wood with Penn State.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Mississippi Valley State.  The Delta Devils have been installed as a big underdog this afternoon.  Unfortunately, they've had scant success in that role, as they're 9-25 ATS when getting more than 23 points.  Take the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers minus the points over Presbyterian.  The 49ers were upset, 70-49, by Detroit Mercy on Wednesday.  They'll look to bounce back tonight, as they welcome the Blue Hose to Charlotte.  The 49ers are a super 63.1% ATS since 1990 if they were off a SU/ATS loss, and favored by double-digits in their current game.  Take Charlotte. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon St. Beavers + the points over Oregon.  The Beavers have been a point spread covering machine in Corvallis.  Over the last 2 seasons, they're a perfect 11-0 ATS.  Even better:  the revenger in this rivalry is 16-7-1 ATS.  With Oregon State off a 38-29 loss to the Ducks last season, we'll take the Beavers + the points.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers snapped their 7-game losing streak last week when they upset Michigan St, 39-31, as a 12.5-point road underdog.  We'll look for Indiana to go back to its losing ways on Saturday, as it's 47-74 ATS as a home underdog, and 0-8 ATS after winning a game, straight-up, as a 9-point (or greater) dog.  Lay the points with Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans minus the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors are on a 6-1 ATS run, including back to back ATS wins over Utah St and UNLV in their previous two games.  But the Rainbows are 2-15 SU and 4-13 ATS as an underdog on the road off back to back ATS wins.  And they're 9-16 ATS vs. San Jose.  Lay it.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over Queens, NC.  The Patriots come into this game off 3 straight ATS losses.  But they're a fantastic 39-20-2 ATS off 3 ATS defeats, including 14-2 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -11.5 points.  Take George Mason.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the NC Asheville Bulldogs minus the points over Western Carolina.  The Bulldogs were upset, 74-68, by Georgia State in their previous game.  But Asheville has cashed 62% off an upset loss.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Fullerton Titans minus the points over Utah Tech.  Fullerton is 4-1 SU, and a perfect 3-0-1 ATS this season.  And, dating back to Nov. 16, 2021, it's 25-10 SU and 20-11-1 ATS, including 9-2-1 ATS in non-conference games.  Utah Tech, meanwhile, is 3-9 ATS its last 12 off a point spread loss.  Take Fullerton minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Buffalo.  Both of these teams enter today's game off a loss.  Buffalo fell, 31-27, at Central Michigan in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Golden Flashes were upset, 31-24, by Eastern Michigan last week.  But off that upset loss, we'll grab the points with Kent St, as MAC Conference teams have gone 58-32-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, when playing an opponent also off a loss.  Take Kent St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Clemson/South Carolina Under the total.  Eight of the last 11 games in this Palmetto State rivalry have gone Under the total, including last year's 30-0 win by the Tigers.  Both teams did go Over the total last week.  But Clemson is 20-11 UNDER off an Over, while South Carolina is 24-12 Under off an Over.  Take the UNDER.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Georgia played (for it) a lackluster game last week.  It won by 10 points over Kentucky, 16-6, as a 22-point favorite.  Still, the Bulldogs have been the best team in football over the past two seasons.  They're 25-1 SU and 16-10 ATS.  And they're 8-1 ATS off a point spread defeat. This afternoon, they'll welcome their cross-state rival, Georgia Tech, to Athens.  But it hasn't been much of a rivalry the past 31 seasons.  Since 1991, Georgia is 24-6 SU and 21-8-1 ATS vs. the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is a wallet-breaking 21-36 ATS its last 57, including 5-17 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Georgia.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Houston Christian.  The Tigers have been installed as a huge favorite vs. the Huskies.  And that bodes well for Missouri, given that it's covered 58% since 1990 as a favorite of more than 24 points.  Take the Tigers.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Utah.  After starting the season with a bang, the bloom is starting to come off the rose for the Jazz.  They've now dropped 5 of 7, after starting 10-3.  We'll fade the Jazz tonight, as they're 18-38 ATS off a point spread defeat, and 4-13 ATS off back to back losses.  Lay the wood with the Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers minus the points over Idaho.  The Vandals come into tonight's game on an 0-4 SU/ATS run.  Meanwhile, Pacific started its season with 3 ATS wins.  But has dropped its last 2 games -- both at home -- to Fullerton and Mount St Mary's.  We'll lay the points with the Tigers against Idaho, as Pacific is 11-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, if the Tigers were off back to back losses.  And Pacific also falls into a 75% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams to bounce back off losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers + the points over Texas San Antonio.  The Tigers were blown out by 31 points at Arizona St, on Tuesday.  But that defeat has triggered a super 113-49 ATS bounce-back angle of mine.  Take Grambling + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Indiana.  After a 2-5 start to the season, the Nets dismissed coach Steve Nash.  Jacque Vaughn is now running the team, and his troops are 7-5 since he took over.  Importantly, they're also 8-3 ATS.  We'll lay the points with Brooklyn, and go against a Pacers team coming off its worst shooting performance of the season, and worst defensive performance of the season.  We had a big play against Indiana in that game, and were rewarded when the Pacers converted just 38% of their shots in their 115-101 loss to the Timberwolves, and allowed Minny to shot 61%.  I look for Indy's troubles to continue tonight.  Lay the points with Brooklyn.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Florida St.  The Gators were upset by Vandy last week, as a double-digit favorite.  This week, they're an underdog, and the Gators are 12-4 ATS their last 16 as a dog (compare to 3-16-1 ATS their last 20 as a favorite).  Take Florida + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over Virginia.  The Hawks will look for a 2nd straight cover after blowing out Marist three days ago.  The Cavaliers come into this game off a 70-61 win over Illinois, and a win over Baylor before that.  But Virginia is 0-7 ATS at home after 2 non-conference games.  And the Hawks are 12-3 ATS off an ATS win.  Take Maryland-Eastern Shore + the points.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Iowa St.  North Carolina is 155-105 ATS at home, or on neutral courts in the regular season as a favorite vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with the Tar Heels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the California/UCLA game Under the total.  The last nine meetings (and 11 of the last 12) between the Bruins and Bears have gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we'll look in this game, as the UNDER also falls into a 62% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over Maryland.  The Eagles have dropped back to back games after a 3-game win streak.  But I love them to bounce back today, as they're 9-2 ATS on the road off back to back losses.  Take the Eagles + the points.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Washington Capitals.  The decimated Capitals managed to eke one out on Wednesday night, topping the Flyers in OT, 3-2.  DC is still without D Orlov, W Wilson, and C Backstrom with Wilson the first one expected back in mid-to-late December.  The injuries have hurt the Caps deeply and it shows in the numbers.  Last year, this team averaged 3.29 GPG, good for the 10th best scoring rate in the League.  So far in 2022-20223, the Caps are averaging just 2.76 GPG, good for just 26th out of the 32 teams.  The Flames had won four of five before losing to the Penguins in Pittsburgh in a shootout on Wednesday, 2-1.  The Flames' defense and goaltending has been better on the road this season, as they have allowed 3.36 GPG in Calgary versus just 3.00 in eight games away from home.  The road team is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings of these two clubs.  Take the Flames.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers + the points over Indiana.  The Tigers are 6-0 ATS their last six (and 10-2 ATS their last 12) as double-digit road dogs.  They're also 5-0-2 ATS their last seven games when playing with revenge.  Last year, the Hoosiers blew out JSU by 35, as a 24.5-point home favorite.  Take the Tigers + the points this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into this game off an upset road win at Central Michigan.  But they're back home today, and they're a horrid 8-22 ATS as a home underdog.  Take Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears defeated Texas, 31-24, last season.  We'll lay the points in this revenge match, as Baylor's 0-26 straight-up, an 8-16-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, and getting 6+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Cincinnati/Tulane game UNDER the total.  The winner of this game will claim the AAC regular season title, so the stakes are high.  The game is priced near Pk'em.  And that bodes well for a low-scoring game, as the Bearcats have gone UNDER 33-16 in competitively-priced games with a spread of 3 or less.  They've also gone UNDER 88-63 vs. conference foes.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots over the total.  The Patriots come into this game off 3 straight unders.  But the Pats have gone OVER the total 65% since 2010 if they were off 3+ unders.  Even better:  the Vikings were blown out last week by Dallas, 40-3.  But Minnesota has gone OVER the total 15 of 18 off a loss, including 7 straight off a double-digit loss.  Finally, the Over falls into two of my favorite Totals systems with records of 114-79 and 53-28.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators + the points over Xavier.  This game is being played at the Phil Knight Invitational, in Portland, Oregon.  These two teams met last season in the NIT Tourney, and the Musketeers got the 'W' with a 72-56 triumph.  We'll take Florida to avenge that loss, as the Gators are 57-43 ATS away from home in the regular season when playing with revenge.  Meanwhile, the Musketeers are 11-18 ATS away from home when playing a revenge-minded non-conference foe.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Wisconsin.  The defending champion Jayhawks moved their record to 5-0 yesterday when they defeated then-unbeaten NC State, 80-74 in the opening round of this Battle 4 Atlantis tournament, in Nassau, Bahamas.  Now, the Jayhawks will look to run their mark to 6-0, and will face a 4-0 Wisky team coming off a 1-point win, 43-42, over Dayton.  We'll fade the Badgers, as they're a horrid 5-16 ATS away from home when getting more than 3 points against an undefeated opponent.  Meanwhile, the Jayhawks are 18-11 ATS away from home vs. undefeated foes when priced as a favorite of 11 or less points.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Pepperdine.  UCLA stumbled in its last two games vs. Baylor and Illinois.  But I look for the Bruins to rebound tonight, as they're 40-31 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, including 9-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  And UCLA has dominated the Waves, as it's 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS the last six meetings.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over the LA Clippers.  The Warriors were blown out by 45 points by New Orleans on Monday.  We'll take Steph Curry & Co. to bounce back, as Golden State is 42-22 ATS as a home favorite of -6 (or more) points off a road loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Warriors to blow out the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over North Alabama.  The Lions got a 3-point play at the buzzer to defeat Hampton, 75-74, yesterday.  We'll fade the Lions today, as they'll be playing the Gauchos on UCSB's home court.  North Alabama is 10-17 ATS its last 27 road games, including 1-6 ATS when priced from +11 to +26.  And it also falls into negative 5-31 and 20-65 ATS systems of mine based on its win yesterday.  Lay the points with UCSB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Milwaukee.  After starting the season with a 9-0 SU and 8-1 ATS record, the Bucks have gone 3-4 SU and 2-5 ATS.  The Bulls are 13-0 ATS here, in Milwaukee, when priced from +12 to -7, if the Bucks were off a SU win.  Take Chicago.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota T-Wolves over the Indiana Pacers.  The Pacers' 5-game win streak should come to an end tonight when Indy welcomes Minnesota to Gainbridge Fieldhouse.  The T-Wolves are working on a 4-game win streak, themselves.  Indy has covered just 26 of 66 home games vs. non-division foes, if both Indy and its opponent were off back to back wins.  And Minnesota also falls into several of my best NBA systems, with records of 72-34, 73-28 and 102-64.  Take the Timberwolves.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Boston Bruins.  The best team in the NHL so far this season is the Boston Bruins who have opened their 2022-2023 campaign at an almost historical pace.  Boston is 17-2, has won seven in a row, and has a league-best +40 goal scoring differential already.  The best team last season had a +94 scoring differential, so if Boston keeps going at this rate, it will basically double that number by season's end.  That +94 was put up by the Panthers last season and after a solid start in October, they've stumbled a bit lately.  Florida has lost three straight coming into tonight but the Panthers are still a very dangerous team, especially here at home as the hosts are 4-0 in the last four meetings of these two teams.  The Panthers' 3.56 goals-per-game at home is one of the best such numbers in the East so far this season.  The Bruins on the other hand have allowed just 1.64 goals-per-game at home but that number goes up to 2.75 when they're playing away.  Both of their losses this season have come on the road.  Take the Panthers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars minus the points over Merrimack.  Providence enters tonight off back to back losses to Miami and St Louis.  We'll take the Friars to blow out Merrimack, as they're 33-22 ATS at home when favored off back to back losses.  Take Providence.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Abilene Christian Wildcats minus the points over Cal Riverside.  The Wildcats were upset by Weber State, 77-67, last night.  Meanwhile, Riverside upset Wright State.  We'll lay the points with Abilene Christian this evening, as it's 31-17 ATS as a favorite, including 7-1 ATS vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Wildcats.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Northern Kentucky.  The Rockets dropped their 2nd straight game yesterday, 86-75, to East Carolina.  We'll lay the points with the Rockets this morning, as they fall into a 156-89 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies minus the points over Sacramento St.  The Hornets stunned the Aggies here, at Golden 1 Center, last season, as they won 75-63, as an 8-point favorite, in the Causeway Classic.  Sacramento State leads in this rivalry series, 69-50, but we'll take the Aggies in the revenge role tonight.  Indeed, Cal Davis has cashed 68% since 1990 when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over Memphis.  The Kings have now won six straight games, and nine of their last 11.  And they're 11-4 ATS, and own the league's #1 ATS record on the season.  I won't step in front of this freight train.  Memphis is currently playing without its 2 best players -- Ja Morant & Desmond Bane.  And those two players were the two high scorers for Memphis when these two teams met back on October 27 (a 125-110 Grizzlies win).  Take Sacramento to avenge that loss, and win its seventh straight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Bowling Green.  This game is between the top 2 teams in the MAC East division.  Ohio comes in with a 6-1 conference record, while Bowling Green enters with a 5-2 record.  Last week, Bowling Green upset Toledo, 42-35, as a 14.5-point underdog.  But MAC road underdogs of +4 (or more) points have covered just 34% off a win, if they were matched up against an opponent with a better conference record playing its final home game of the season.  The Bobcats are riding a 6-game win streak, and have covered each of their last seven games.  Take Ohio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the North Alabama Lions over Hampton.  This game will be played in Santa Barbara, on a neutral court.  The Lions come into this game off an upset loss at Mississippi Valley St, which was their first defeat of the season (after starting with 3 wins).  The Pirates are 1-3.  We'll fade Hampton, which is a woeful 5-13 ATS in non-conference games. Even worse for the Pirates:  Colonial Athletic Ass'n teams are 2-24 ATS vs. winning, non-conference foes off an upset loss, if our Colonial team wasn't getting 4+ points.  Take North Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons over the Wichita St Shockers.  This game will be played at T-Mobile Center, in Kansas City, as part of the Hall of Fame Classic.  Yesterday, the Dons bested Northern Iowa, 75-69, to move their record to 5-0 on the season.  Meanwhile, Wichita St downed Grand Canyon, 55-43, and is 3-1.  We'll take San Francisco this afternoon, as it has covered 67.3% since 1990 away from home vs. foes off back to back ATS wins, if San Francisco wasn't favored by more than 2 points.  And Wichita has cashed just 31% the past 20 years against undefeated foes if Wichita wasn't getting 4+ points.  Take the Dons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over East Carolina.  This game will be played in the late morning, in the Gulf Coast Showcase, at Hertz Arena, in Estero, Florida.  Toledo was blown out yesterday, 83-71, by UMKC.  And Toledo was favored by 18 in that game!  But the good news for the Rockets is that it's covered 67% as a favorite off an upset loss, if it was favored by 10+ points in that previous game.  Meanwhile, East Carolina has covered just 26% over the last 33 years against foes that failed to cover the spread by 18+ points in their previous game.  Lay the points with Toledo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Vancouver Canucks.  They started out the NHL season as hot as a pistol but now the Golden Knights have cooled off, losing three of their last four games coming into Vancouver.  The last one was especially tough as Vegas dropped a 4-3 overtime decision in Edmonton despite out-shooting the Oilers by 11 (34-23).  This is the Knights' first match-up against the Canucks this season.  Vancouver has been struggling so far, winning just six times over its first 18 games.  A big part of the problem for the Canucks has been injuries.  They are currently without their top LW, Tanner Pearson, who is out until late December after undergoing hand surgery.  Vancouver is also missing one of its top blue-liners as D Travis Dermott on the sidelines while waiting to clear concussion protocol and there is no timetable for his return.  The Canucks have allowed 3.89 goals per game this season -- third worst in the League.  The Knights are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings with the Canucks in Vancouver.  Take Vegas.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Eastern Washington.  Wazzu opened the season with a blowout of Texas State, but has dropped its next two games SU/ATS to Boise St and Prairie View.  I love the Cougars to bounce back tonight, as they're playing with revenge from a shocking loss to the Eagles last season.  Washington State was favored by 19 points in that game, but fell, 76-71.  The Cougars have covered 64% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss as a favorite of > 8 points.  Take Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Georgia Tech.  This game is being played in Daytona Beach, as part of the Sunshine Slam.  The Utes look to bounce back from their loss to Sam Houston, on Thursday.  Since 1990, Utah's covered 69% away from home as a favorite vs. non-conference foes, if Utah was off an upset loss.  Meanwhile, Georgia Tech's 17-32-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Utes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Delaware State.  The Huskies have been a model of consistency this season, as they're 4-0, and have scored 85, 86, 84 and 86 points in each of their four games.  They've also won three of the four by 29+ points, and are 3-1 ATS.  We'll lay the points, as UConn has cashed 82% of its home non-conference games since 1990, if it was off 4 straight double-digit wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Wagner.  The Pirates lost at home, 83-67, to Iowa on Wednesday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with the Pirates, as they're 38-22 ATS off a home loss.  Take Seton Hall.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St Mountaineers minus the points over SE Louisiana.  The Mountaineers come into this game off back to back upset defeats at the hands of Campbell and Kennesaw.  Meanwhile, the Lions come into this afternoon's game off an upset win over Campbell.  We'll take Appalachian State, as it's cashed 63% here, at home, since 1990 vs. foes off upset wins.  Take the Mountaineers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Radford Highlanders minus the points over Army.  This game will be played in Williamsburg, VA, on a neutral court.  Radford comes into this game off back to back blowout wins by 51 and 45 points, respectively.  And we'll look for Radford to win its 3rd straight this afternoon.  Indeed, NCAA teams off back to back wins have cashed 69% since 1990 if they were playing on a neutral court, and won their two previous games by 95 points, in the aggregate.  Take Radford.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over the Washington Commanders.  The Commanders upset the then-undefeated Philadelphia Eagles last week, 33-21, and are now 5-5 on the season.  But off that huge upset win, we'll fade Washington on the road against Houston.  Indeed, since 1980, NFL road favorites of less than 6 points (or PK) have covered just 29.6% off an upset win on Monday Night Football.  Even better:  Houston's 16-7 ATS at home off back to back losses, when not favored by more than 7 pionts vs. a foe off a win.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Atlanta Falcons.  The Falcons are 6-4 ATS this season, but all six of their ATS wins have come when they were an underdog.  Today, Atlanta is favored.  And the Falcons have been horrible as a favorite, as they’re 28-50 ATS including 6-23 ATS as a home favorite when laying 3.5 or less points.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over the New York Jets.  When we last saw the Jets, they were upsetting the Buffalo Bills as a 10.5-point road underdog.  We'll fade the Flyboys off that upset win, as winning NFL teams have cashed just 33% on the road since 1980 off a win as an underdog of more than 10 points.  Take New England.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Chicago Bears/Atlanta Falcons game.  Nine of the last 11 meetings between these clubs have gone UNDER the total, and we'll look for this game to follow suit.  It's true that the Bears come into this game off 4 straight Overs.  But NFL teams off 4+ Overs tend to go UNDER the total in their next game, and especially when the line was > 46 points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  The Spurs were blown out, 130-112, by Sacramento, on Wednesday.  But the Spurs have been terrific over the years off Gregg Popovich-coached blowout losses by 18+ points, including 59-37-2 ATS when they were playing with rest.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the NY Rangers over San Jose.  The Rangers play this game with revenge from a 3-2 overtime loss to the Sharks in New York.  San Jose comes into this game off a 7-4 home loss to the Red Wings.  Unfortunately, the Sharks are 35-60 off a loss, and 10-30 at home when the O/U line was 6+ goals.  The Rangers have won the last 4 meetings here, in San Jose (and 12 of the last 18).  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Utah.  We played on the Jazz last night in their upset win over the Phoenix Suns.  But now, Utah is unrested, and must play a rested Blazers team off a SU loss to the Nets.  We'll lay the points with Portland, as it's 49-35 ATS when favored in division games if it was rested, and its opponent was unrested.  Take Portland.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado/Washington game Under the total.  These two teams have generally played low-scoring contests, as the last 5 meetings have all gone UNDER the total.  And that's the way we will look here, as the Under falls into a 62% totals system of mine.  For their part, the Huskies have played their last 3 games Under, and are also 14-9 Under off 3+ unders.  Meanwhile, the Buffaloes have gone Under in 10 of 13 November home games.  Take the Under.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Under in the USC/UCLA game. It’s true that USC has gone OVER the total in its last 4 games, and that the last 4 meetings between these two schools have also gone OVER. But teams off 3 or more overs have gone UNDER the total 61.9% when the OU line was greater than 71 points.  Take the Under.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Wake Forest.  The Orange come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and only scored 12 points combined in their 2 previous games.  But we'll grab the points, as road underdogs are 108-82 ATS in conference games, if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and failed to score 10+ points in each of their two previous games.  Take Syracuse.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Tigers were blown out last week, 66-24, by Tennessee.  The good news is that the Aggies are nowhere near as talented as Tennessee.  We'll take Missouri to bounce back in a big way on Saturday night, as it's 14-1 ATS at home off a loss the previous week, if it was favored by 13 or more points in its current game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri/New Mexico St game to go UNDER the total. Missouri had gone UNDER 8 straight games before last week's game at Tennessee, while New Mexico St had gone UNDER in 3 straight games (and 6 of 8) before last week's game vs. Lamar.  I look for these teams to play to form on Saturday night, and for this to be a low-scoring game.  For technical support, consider that Missouri has gone under 16-0-1 since October 26, 2013 at home, if it wasn't getting 7+ points in the game, and the OU Line was 54 or less points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Toronto.  The Hawks play this game with revenge from a 139-109 loss to the Raptors earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with Atlanta, as it's a super 85-44-2 ATS when rested, and playing with revenge at home vs. an opponent which defeated it by 10+ points earlier in the season.  Take the Hawks.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Temple.  The Bearcats have lost each of their last 5 games ATS.  And this long ATS losing streak is working to confer betting value on the side of the Bearcats.  We'll lay the points today, as we note that Temple is a wallet-busting 7-15 ATS its last 22 as underdogs.  Take the Bearcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Iowa.  The Gophers will look to snap their 7-game losing streak to Iowa today.  And I think they'll get the job done, as the Gophers have given up just 6.67 ppg in their six home games this season (5-1 ATS).  Minnesota is 17-10-1 ATS at home vs. FBS schools the past 5 seasons, including 6-3 ATS with revenge.  And revenge-minded teams with stellar defenses that allow less than 14.6 ppg, have covered 65% of their final home games of the season.  Lay the points with Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.