Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Chattanooga.  The Paladins were ranked among the Top 25 earlier this season, when they were 12-0.  But they've gone 3-4 since, including back to back road defeats last week.  The good news for Furman is that it's back home tonight, where it is 9-0 straight-up this season.  And the Paladins are 33-12-1 ATS their last 45 at home.  And they also fall into a 42-14 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams with strong home courts off losses.  Lay the points over Chattanooga.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Fort Wayne Mastodons minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Mavericks have won their last four games.  But they were favored in each of those games.  They're not favored tonight.  And the Mavericks are 3-13-1 as underdogs of more than 3 points.  Even better:  Fort Wayne is 19-3 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins.  And Fort Wayne falls into an 86-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Take the Mastodons.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Minnesota Wild.  Despite only 22 wins in their 48 games, the Avalanche still find themselves tied for third place in the Central Division thanks to eight over-time losses.  It also doesn't hurt them that the Central is one of the weakest groups in the league.  But if Colorado is going to be a serious contender come April, it's going to have to play like it was in the beginning of the season.  After crushing the Kings, 7-1, here at home on Saturday, the Avs were soundly beaten by the Predators, 4-1, in their next game (also here) despite out-shooting Nashville, 36-27 (the fourth straight game they out-shot their opponents).  The Wild come in having put up a .500 overall record so far, and they are riding a two-game winning streak having beaten the Blue Jackets and Golden Knights.  But this match-up hasn't been kind to them lately as the Wild is 1-4 in the last five meetings overall and 1-4 in the last five trips to Denver.  The home team is also 5-1 in the last six meetings.  Take the Avs.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over San Jose State.  After failing to cover the spread in each of their last three games (each as a double-digit underdog), the Cowboys get to step down in class and face a team which is actually worse than itself, as San Jose is just 3-14 this season.  And that bodes well for Wyoming, as home favorites have gone 94-67 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses as double-digit underdogs.  Take Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri.  The Razorbacks are back home after going on the road last week to Tennessee and Mississippi, both currently ranked among the Top 20.  And the Razorbacks lost each of those two games SU/ATS, which stretched their losing streak to 4 games SU/ATS.  We'll lay the points tonight, as SEC Conference home favorites, off 4 ATS defeats, are an awesome 60.9% ATS in conference games since 1990.  And Arkansas is also 47-23-2 ATS at home off a road loss, if the Razorbacks were an underdog in their previous game.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Houston.  The Pirates lost by a whopping 51 points to these Cougars in the last meeting.  And that defeat is one of the reasons why I like the underdog here, tonight, as underdogs of +9.5 (or more points) have covered 62% in conference games with revenge from losses by 43+ points.  Take the Pirates + the points.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Arizona Coyotes.  Early in the second half of the season, the Canadiens seemed to be trending in the right direction, winning four straight between January 12 and 18.  And in those victories, the Habs out-scored their opposition by 15-4.  But going from Columbus (their last victory) to their home ice in back-to-back days proved a bit too much as the Canadiens fell to the Flyers by a 5-2 final.  The good news is that was four days ago and the Habs haven't had to travel in the interim so they should be rested and ready to go as the Coyotes visit Bell Centre for the first time in over a year.  It's Arizona's turn to travel for games on back-to-back nights and the Coyotes are coming into this off of an unlikely winning streak, having won in Toronto and Ottawa in their last two.  But a plethora of injuries continues to keep the Coyotes from being competitive.  The Habs are 12-3 (+10 games on the money line) in their last 15 off of a home blowout loss by three or more goals.  Even better:  Arizona is 6-17 in the last 23 meetings and 3-8 in the last 11 in Montreal.  Take the Canadiens.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Toronto.  The Pacers lost both meetings earlier this season to the Raptors.  But each of those two defeats were on the road.  Here, at home, the Pacers are 4-1 SU/ATS their last five vs. the Raptors.  And they're 17-6 straight-up, and 13-10 ATS at home this season, including 10-0 SU and 9-1 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -10.5 points.  And Indiana is also 15-0 SU/ATS since March 26, 2017 when favored at home vs. an opponent which defeated it in the previous meeting that season.  I look for Indiana to run this revenge streak to 16-0 with a blowout win tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Purdue.  The Buckeyes have lost their last four games, both straight-up and ATS.  But this 4-game SU/ATS losing streak has triggered 103-54 and 209-128 ATS systems of mine.  Even better:  the Buckeyes were upset by Maryland, 75-61, in their last game.  However, Ohio State is a super 37-16-1 ATS in Big 10 Conference games off an upset loss, while Purdue is 2-9 ATS in Big 10 games off a road win.  Take the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over LSU.  Georgia lost by 10 points at home to Florida over the weekend, and that was its 3rd straight defeat (both SU and ATS).  I expect the Bulldogs to rebound tonight, as they're 6-0 ATS on the road off a home conference loss.  And they're 8-1 ATS on the road off back to back ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, LSU is a poor 29-56-3 ATS as a favorite of -8 (or more) points.  Take Georgia.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Fresno State.  The Aztecs blew out New Mexico, 97-77, last Tuesday.  And the Aztecs are a spectacular 78-32 ATS off a 14-point (or greater) win, if they're not laying double-digits, including 14-2 ATS when priced from +4.5 to +8.5 points.  The Aztecs also fall into 407-251, 355-208, 372-228 and 317-178 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Ole Miss.  Alabama took the AP Poll's current #1 team (Tennessee) to the wire on Saturday, before falling 71-68.  But Bama still covered the 13-point spread.  Tonight, they're a small favorite at home vs. Ole Miss, and I look for Bama to cover for the 8th time in 10 games tonight, as they fall into 161-93 and 142-60 ATS systems of mine.  Even better:  Alabama is an awesome 39-14-5 ATS off a straight-up loss when it is not favored by 5+ points.  Take the Crimson Tide.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.   

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Florida.  The Aggies were blown out, 66-43, as a 4.5-point home favorite by Missouri, on Saturday.  But I love A&M to bounce back on the road tonight.  Over the last 29 years, the Aggies have cashed 72% on the road off a 12-point (or worse) loss, if they were playing an opponent off a win.  And the Aggies also fall into a 401-216 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back defeats.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers + the points over South Florida.  Since 1997, the Bulls are a horrid 35-68-4 ATS at home in conference games when not favored by more than four points, if the Bulls were off a straight-up loss.  The Bulls lost by nine to Houston here, at home, on Saturday, so we'll fade the Bulls tonight.  Take Wichita St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Villanova.  These two teams last met in last season's Big East Conference tournament.  The Wildcats blew out Butler by 19 points in that game.  But favorites, playing with revenge from a Tourney defeat of 14+ points, have cashed 58% since 1990 if they enter the game off a win.  With the Bulldogs, indeed, off an 80-71 win over St. John's this past Saturday, we'll lay the small number with the Bulldogs.  Take Butler.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Eagles are 2-3 inside the Mid-American Conference thus far, while Bowling Green is unbeaten, at 5-0.  And Eastern Michigan also has a losing record, overall, at 7-9.  Yet the Eagles are favored.  And, since 1994, losing teams (both inside the conference, and overall) have cashed 71% as favorites (or PK) vs. conference foes that have a conference record of 4-0 (or better).  Take Eastern Michigan.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Clemson.  Florida State has lost its last three games, and was favored in its last two games.  But the Seminoles have cashed 64.2% over the last 29 years off back to back upset defeats, including 71% when favored (or PK).  And FSU also falls into a 67.2% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back upset defeats.  Take Florida State

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are in a tailspin, as they've lost their last two games to Baylor and Iowa State, and they were favored in each.  I look for Texas Tech to lose its 3rd straight game, as .780 (or better) teams have cashed just 35.4% away from home off back to back upset defeats.  Take the Wildcats.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over Florida.  These two teams have been "mirror opposites" over their last nine games.  The Sharks enter off back to back 6-3 losses to the Coyotes and Lightning.  And this current losing streak has come on the heels of a 7-game win streak.  In contrast, the Panthers have won back to back games, and their win streak followed a 7-game losing streak.  I love San Jose tonight, as it's 16-4 its last 20 (and a perfect 7-0 this season) after giving up more than 3 goals in each of its two previous games.  Meanwhile, the Panthers are an awful 25-45 (minus 30 games on the moneyline) after back to back wins by more than a goal.  Finally, the Sharks have won each of the last three meetings here, in Miami.  Take San Jose tonight.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over Colorado.  The Predators and Avalanche last met just after Thanksgiving, and the Avalanche upset Nashville, 3-2, even though Nashville out-shot the Avs, 38-25.  That loss snapped a then-6-game home win streak for the Predators.  But I love Nashville to avenge that defeat this afternoon, as it is 27-7 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And it's also won the last three meetings here, in Denver, and nine of the last 10.  We actually played on Colorado in its last game, a 7-1 blowout win over Los Angeles.  But the Avalanche are a poor 1-8 after scoring more than five goals in their previous game.  Take Nashville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns are 11-36 this season, but one of their rare wins was against this Minnesota team.  I love the T-wolves to avenge that defeat, as NBA double-digit underdogs (like Phoenix), with a win percentage less than .250, have covered just 42 of 116 games on the road vs. opponents playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  That bodes well for the home club.  As does the fact that the T-wolves are 18-7-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over New England, as the Chiefs fall into several of my very best Playoff systems, with records of 84-27, 25-6, 46-14, 91-35, 85-35 and 13-0 ATS since 1980.  We played on both the Chiefs and Patriots big last week.  And they both were able to take advantage of road-weary teams (Colts, Chargers) that were each playing their 3rd straight road game.  Not surprisingly, the home-standing Chiefs and Patriots rolled to easy victories.  For this game, however, the scheduling situation will work against the Patriots.  This will be New England's first road game in 35 days, as it's been at home ever since it traveled (and lost) to Pittsburgh on December 16.  Indeed, New England's been an awful road team this season.  It went 3-5 SU/ATS in its eight road games.  And its only impressive game of its three wins was at Chicago, where it survived to win, 38-31, as a 1-point favorite.  Its other two road wins were against two of the league's bottom-feeders, Buffalo and the NY Jets.  Its five losses were to the Jaguars, Lions, Titans, Dolphins and Steelers, and it failed to cover the spread in those five games by an average of 17.1 ppg.  So, now let's put the Patriots' 2018 road record into context.  In the previous two seasons, New England went 15-1 straight-up in its 16 road games, and 13-3 ATS (covering the point spread by an average of 6.18 ppg).  It's clear that this year's edition of the Patriots is a far cry from the last two seasons, when it reached the Super Bowl both times.  It's true, of course, that New England did defeat these Chiefs in Foxborough, in October.  But Kansas City still covered the 4-point spread.  And KC also has only lost one of its nine games straight-up in Arrowhead this season (29-28 vs. the Chargers), and covered the point spread at home this season by an average of 5.90 ppg.  Last week, the Patriots rolled up 41 points vs. the Chargers, which was just the 2nd time New England scored more than 38 points this season.  Unfortunately, New England also surrendered 28 to the Chargers.  And in this Conference Championship round of the Playoffs, road teams are an awful 0-9 SU/ATS after scoring 27+ points the previous week at home, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 10 points in that victory.  Even better:  NFL revenge-minded teams have covered 62% in the Conference Championship round if they were playing at home with revenge against its opponent.  Take the Chiefs to smash New England.  NFL Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and New England Patriots to go 'over' the total.  These two teams played in October, and the over/under was 59.5 points.  The Patriots won 43-40, and the game sailed OVER the total by 23.5 points.  Now, for this Playoff game, the Over/Under has opened a couple of points lower, which provides us with good value, in my opinion.  Moreover, NFL games, like this one, with very high totals (57 points or higher) generally go OVER the number, as they've gone 19-6-1 OVER since 1980, including a perfect 7-0-1 OVER if it's the last 4 weeks of the regular season, or the Playoffs.  Also, the Patriots have had a stark tendency to play high-scoring Playoff games.  Since 2010, they've gone OVER 14-6-1.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets blew out Phoenix, 135-115, last night at home, while Indiana downed Dallas, 111-99, here at Bankers Life Fieldhouse.  So, the Pacers will have a scheduling advantage tonight, in that they didn't have to travel.  Indiana also plays this game with revenge from a 127-109 blowout loss in Charlotte, on November 21.  And Indiana is an awesome 41-17-1 ATS when playing at home with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including a jaw-dropping 14-0 ATS when favored.  Take the Pacers.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears + the points over Drake.  The Bears come into this game off an upset loss at the hands of the Evansville Aces.  And the Bears also play this game with revenge from two upset losses to Drake last season.  I look for a well-motivated Bears squad to pull the upset this afternoon, as teams off an upset loss, and also playing with revenge from two upset defeats the previous season, have cashed 63% the past 29 seasons.  Take Missouri State.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over Pittsburgh.  The Pens won in overtime last night, 3-2, at Arizona, while Vegas has had the last three nights off to rest up for this game.  That bodes well for the Knights in this game.  Also in their favor is the fact that they only scored one goal on Tuesday, at Winnipeg.  But Vegas is 19-5 after not scoring 2 or more goals in its previous game.  Take the Knights to blow out Pittsburgh.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Minnesota.  It's true that Minnesota is 13-4, while Penn State is 7-11, but their disparate records result from the fact that the Gophers have played a much easier schedule.  Indeed, Minnesota's Big 10 Conference games thus far have included games against Illinois and Rutgers.  And just one (Maryland) of Minnesota's six Big 10 Conference foes thus far (and none of its non-conference foes) are currently ranked among the Nation's Top 25.  In contrast, Penn State's Big 10 Conference slate has included five games against Top 25 opponents.  And the Nittany Lions have played seven games against Top 25-ranked teams when you include their non-conference schedule.  So, yes, Penn State has won just one game (Virginia Tech) this season against Top-ranked competition, but at least they've battled such teams.  The upshot is that we have significant point spread value on the side of Penn State.  Also, the Nittany Lions fall into 40-8, 402-243 and 18-0 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Nittany Lions + the points.  Big 10 Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles + the points over Jacksonville St.  The Golden Eagles come into this game off back to back upset losses, at home, while the Gamecocks are on a six-game win streak.  I look for Tennessee Tech to cover this big number tonight, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 57% of conference games off back to back upset losses.  Take the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over Ottawa.  The Blues are a solid 8-2 this season (and 30-17 the past three seasons) off back to back losses.  And we'll take a rested St. Louis team tonight, as it catches the Senators off a road game last night.  Ottawa is a poor 6-13 after scoring more than 3 goals in its previous game.  Take St. Louis.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over Winnipeg.  The Jets enter tonight's game on a 4-game win streak.  But that's not good news, necessarily, as Winnipeg is an atrocious 0-6 off 4+ wins when playing away from home.  Meanwhile, the Stars are on a streak of their own -- in the opposite direction -- as they've lost their last four games.  But Dallas is 40-16 at home off a defeat, and also 72-53 off 3+ losses.  These two teams met in Winnipeg just 13 days ago, and the Jets came away with a 5-1 victory.  But Dallas is 8-2 this season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year.  Take the Stars tonight. NHL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers + the points over IUPUI.  The Panthers won, 81-69, as a home underdog vs. Illinois-Chicago on Thursday, and they're dressed up as a home underdog again tonight.  We'll take the Panthers, as home dogs have covered 58% of conference games off a double-digit win as a conference home dog in their previous game.  Take Milwaukee.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Towson Tigers + the points over Delaware.  The Tigers come into this evening's game riding a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Faithful followers know I will often play on teams mired in such streaks, and this game fits several of my very best NCAA Basketball systems, including one with a 77-27 ATS record.  Throw in the facts that (i) road underdogs are 100-73 (58%) ATS in conference games, while on a 6-game SU/ATS losing streak, and (ii) Delaware has covered just 26 of 71 home games off an ATS win, and we have all we need to pull the trigger on the Tigers.  Take Towson + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Virginia.  The Devils were stunned, 95-91, at home by Syracuse in their last game.  And Duke was a 17-point favorite vs. the Orange!  That was the first time (of 91 games) that Duke had lost at home to an unranked team while being ranked #1 in the AP poll.  Now, the #1 Blue Devils (AP Poll) will face the team ranked #1 in the Coaches Poll, Virginia.  We'll take the Devils, as they've cashed 65% over the past 29 years off a loss, if they failed to cover the spread by more than 15 points in that defeat.  Take Duke.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Washington.  The Bears have lost six straight games, and have failed to cover four straight.  Meanwhile, the Huskies are mirror opposites, as they've won their last six, and have covered their last four.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Huskies, but over the past 29 seasons, teams off 5+ wins and 3+ covers have cashed just 32% vs. foes off 5+ losses, and 3+ ATS defeats, including just 3 of 27 games when favored by more than 15 points.  Additionally, the Golden Bears fall into 82-38, 186-88, 293-169 and 124-47 ATS systems of mine.  Grab the points with California.  Pac-12 Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Cardinals are 10-7 (and 1-3 in Mid-American Conference play), but favored over the Chippewas, who are 14-3 overall, and 3-1 inside the conference.  It's counter-intuitive, of course, but road favorites with a worse conference record, as well as a worse overall record, have covered 71% of Mid-American Conference games.  Even worse for Central Michigan:  it's an awful 2-10-1 ATS in MAC Conference games as a home underdog with a winning record.  Take Ball State.  MAC GAme of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Cougars + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride have won 13 straight games, but have not performed well over the years as a home favorite, as they're 31-54-1 ATS, while the Cougars have been solid as a road underdog, with a 76-48-2 ATS record.  Additionally, Charleston falls into a 510-358 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with inferior records.  Look for Charleston to snap Hofstra's long winning streak this afternoon.  Take Charleston + the points.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Los Angeles Kings.  One of the better teams in the league through the month of November, the Colorado Avalanche have been in a bit of a free-fall since early December. The Avs have gone 4-14 since December 8 and have won just twice in their last 12 games.  But seven of their last 11 have been on the road and now the Avs come home to a place that's almost always been kind to them -- and they have five straight here, starting with this afternoon affair against the Kings.  If they're looking for a way to get back on track -- which they obviously are -- this home date with the Kings would seem to be a perfect formula.  L.A is just 8-15 on the road this season, and the Kings have by far the worst scoring average in the NHL when playing games away from their home ice -- a paltry 1.87 goals per game (vs. 2.62 GPG at home).  The Kings upset the Stars, 2-1 on Thursday, but they are just 2-10 after not giving up 2+ goals in their previous game. Take the Avalanche.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Richmond.  The Wildcats have lost the last four meetings to Richmond, but fall into a 112-71 ATS revenge system of mine.  Even better:  they come into this game off a loss at St Joseph's.  But Davidson is 12-5 ATS at home off a conference defeat.  Take Davidson minus the points.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over Arizona.  The Pens come into tonight's game off back to back blowout losses by an identical 5-2 score.  I love Pittsburgh to bounce back tonight, as it's owned the Coyotes, of late, with three blowout wins since last season (outscoring the Coyotes 11-3) and five wins in the last six meetings (outscoring Arizona, 27-7).  Arizona's 11-40 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 2 goals, while Pittsburgh is 9-1 off back to back road defeats.  Take the Penguins.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over New York.  The Caps have dropped three straight games (coinciding with the injury sustained to Braden Holtby in Saturday's overtime loss to Columbus), but they're an awesome 18-5 (+11 games on the money line) off back to back losses.  And they received some good news when they learned this morning that Braden Holtby will be back in goal.  Take Washington.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Ottawa Senators.  The Hurricanes were on quite a roll, winning seven of eight games between New Years Eve and January 13.  During that stretch, they out-scored their opponents by 31-19 in those seven victories and the lone loss came in Tampa against the team with the best record in the NHL.  Then in their last one, the 'Canes laid an egg, losing to the Rangers in New York badly, 6-2.  But it was their fourth game in six days and they clearly needed a rest and a chance to get back to home ice.  Tonight, the 'Canes are back in Raleigh with two off-days since that disappointing effort in the Big Apple.  Home has been a good place overall for the Hurricanes this season as they've lost in regulation just seven times in 24 games here.  And the road has been a struggle for the Senators, who are just 6-16 away from Ottawa.  Finally, the home team is 28-9 in the last 37 meetings, including a perfect 5-0 the last five in this building.  Take the 'Canes.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the E. Michigan Eagles + the points over Buffalo.  These two teams met in Ypsilanti just two weeks ago, and the Bulls came away with a 74-58 win.  We'll take E. Michigan in the re-match, as revenge-minded Mid-American Conference road underdogs, off a straight-up loss, have gone 46-23 ATS against conference foes off a win.  Take the Eagles.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Toledo.  Ohio was upset at home, 66-52, as a 4-point favorite by Kent State.  However, I love Ohio to rebound tonight, as it's gone 51-27-2 ATS off an upset loss to a Mid-American Conference foe.  Take the Bobcats + the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Maryland.  The Terrapins are on a 6-game win streak, while Ohio State has lost its last three games, both SU and ATS.  But we'll lay the points with Ohio State, as favorites (or PK'em teams) are 46-22 ATS if they're off 3+ losses, and their opponent is off 4+ wins, and owns a .500 (or better) record.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans have won their last 10 games, and have covered six straight.  Unfortunately for Michigan State, NCAA road teams off 10+ wins and 3+ covers are a poor 20% ATS in the regular season when not favored by more than 3 points, if they were playing the 2nd of back to back games away from home.  Take Nebraska.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over The Citadel.  Samford returns to its home arena tonight, after a 3-game road trip which saw it go 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS.  But Samford's been terrific at home this year, as it's 8-2 straight-up, and 7-2 ATS.  It's true that Samford is off back to back SU losses as a favorite.  However, it falls into 86-38, 80-35 and 72-34 ATS systems of mine that each play on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points with Samford.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Sacramento.  These two teams met in the California state capital five days ago, and the Kings earned a 104-97 victory, as a 6-point home favorite.  That win was part of a 3-game home stand for the Kings, in which they went 3-0 SU/ATS.  Now, however, Sacramento is on the road.  And it's an awful 3-12 ATS its last 15 when facing a revenge-minded foe on the road, while Charlotte is 6-3 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  And Sacramento is a also a poor 4-12 ATS as an underdog off 3 ATS wins, and 21-44 ATS on the road off 3+ straight-up wins.  Lay the points with the Hornets. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Towson Tigers + the points over Drexel.  The Dragons are favored tonight, even though they've lost the last six in this series, and 10 of the last 12.  Of course, the primary reason is that Towson is mired in a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But Colonial Athletic Association teams are a solid 84-62 ATS in conference games off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Towson + the points.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Utah.   The Clippers are on a 3-game losing streak, while the Jazz are on a 4-game win streak.  But I love Los Angeles to put an end to its losing ways, tonight.  The Clippers are 22-10-1 ATS at home, off a home loss, if their opponent was off back to back wins, including 8-0-1 ATS when priced from -2 to +3.5 points.  And Utah's a poor 17-39-1 ATS as a road underdog of less than 8 points in the regular season.  Take the Clippers.

At 9 pm, on ESPN-U television, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders have won five straight games, including a road win at Texas, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Cyclones have dropped their last two contests.  But Texas Tech falls into a negative 33-74 ATS system of mine following that upset win, in Austin.  Additionally, the Cyclones are a super 49-30-2 ATS off a loss, if their opponent is off back to back wins.  And they're 69-47-2 ATS off back to back point spread losses.  Finally, the Red Raiders are a money-burning 17-36 ATS at home (or on neutral courts) off an upset win, including 2-16 ATS when priced from +2 to -9 points.  Take Iowa State. NCAA TV Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Georgia Tech.  Clemson is winless in ACC Conference play, with an 0-3 record.  Of course, it was also an underdog in those three ACC games.  Tonight, it's a home favorite vs. Georgia Tech.  And Clemson has won 13 straight (8-5 ATS) home games vs. the Yellow Jackets, by an average of 9.92 ppg.  The Tigers are also 53-23 ATS at home off a double-digit loss.  Take the Tigers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Dallas.  The Spurs were upset by Tony Parker & the Charlotte Hornets, 108-93, on Monday, as a 7.5-point favorite.  But San Antonio generally bounces back from upset home defeats, as it's 116-78 ATS, including 3-1 ATS this season.  Take San Antonio.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics over Toronto.  The Celtics will get the services of PG Kyrie Irving back tonight, which is all I need to pull the trigger on them, here, at home.  Boston's dropped its last three games, but it's an awesome 19-5 ATS in the regular season off 3+ defeats (including 9-0 ATS at home).  Take the Celtics.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over Drake.  The Braves are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but I love them to bounce back tonight.  Bradley's generally been great at home, as they're 19-9-1 ATS their last 29.  And Missouri Valley Conference home teams are also a super 96-68-4 ATS off 3 (or more) SU/ATS losses.  Take Bradley.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Bruins were rolling along with 5 straight wins around the start of 2019.  However they've now lost two of their last three after that win streak.  But all three of those were against some of the better teams in the East (Washington, Toronto, Montreal), so now they get a bit of a break by taking on the 17-29 Flyers.  No matter what happens to them, the Flyers will likely remember this season as the one where every one of their net-minders got injured.  Despite that run of bad luck in goal the Flyers exploded in their last game, and beat the Wild, 7-4.  It's the most goals they've scored since their fourth game of the season when they beat the Senators in Ottawa by the same tally.  But that's not necessarily a good thing for tonight as Philly is a horrid 3-13 in its last 16 after scoring five goals or more in its previous game.  Also, this series has not been kind to Philadelphia recently as the Bruins are 22-7 in the last 29 meetings.  Take Boston.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over South Carolina.  The Commodores are 9-6 on the season, but do come into this game on a 3-game losing streak.  I look for Vandy to get back into the win column this evening, as it is 18-5 ATS at home off back to back losses, if it had a .600 (or better) record.  Take the Commodores.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Iowa.  The Nitts have started the Big 10 season 0-6, but they were underdogs in five of those six games.  They're favored this evening.  And they're 33-19 ATS their last 52 as favorites, including 8-1 ATS off back to back losses, and 21-9 ATS when the line was -7 (or less) points!  In contrast, the Nitts are 4-12 ATS as underdogs of +7 or less points, and 12-18-1 ATS, overall, as underdogs.  Meanwhile, Iowa enters off 3 SU/ATS wins.  But Big 10 Conference single-digit underdogs are an awful 30-57 ATS over the last 28 seasons if they won and covered their three previous games.  And the Hawkeyes have also covered just seven of their last 31 road games.  Take Penn State.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos + the points over Nevada.  The Broncos have a very strong home court, and have won 87 of 101 home games over the past seven seasons.  They've also won their last three games by 14, 24, and 23 points.  That bodes well for them as a big home underdog tonight, as home teams off a nine-point win, and 3 ATS wins overall, have gone 20-1 ATS when getting 4+ points, if they have a strong home court, with at least 32 wins in their previous 40 home games.  Take Boise State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Los Angeles Kings.  Last night, the Wild were drilled, 7-4, by the Philadelphia Flyers.  I love them to rebound tonight, however, as the Wild are 28-17 after allowing more than 3 goals.  And they're 20-7 following a loss by more than 2 goals.  The Kings have also had trouble in this series, of late, as they lost both meetings earlier this season (being outscored 7-2).  And, even worse, they've only won one of the last 12 meetings in regulation!  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  This is a major revenge spot for the Milwaukee Bucks, who have lost six straight times to Miami, including a 94-87 defeat earlier this season.  But NBA revenge-minded favorites of -5 or more points, that have lost their previous six meetings to their opponent (including an earlier season defeat), have covered at a 58% clip over the past 29 seasons.  That bodes well for the Bucks.  As does the fact that Milwaukee is #1 in point differential this season, and is outscoring foes at home by 13.6 ppg (120.4 to 106.8).  Not surprisingly, the Bucks are 19-4 straight-up, and 15-7-1 ATS at home.  Finally, the Bucks return to Milwaukee tonight after a 3-game road trip.  And the Bucks are 51-31 ATS at home off a 3-game (or longer) road trip.  Take the Bucks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over the Detroit Red Wings.  Double-digit-game losing streaks are never fun for the team that's going through them, and the latest one to attest to that is Anaheim.  The Ducks' dry spell has grown to 11 games heading into tonight.  But there are some positive signs in their last two as the Ducks' offense -- which was basically a no-show throughout the first nine losses -- was able to put up seven total goals (four and three, respectively) over the weekend.  And those two games were against two of the NHL's best in the Penguins and Jets, the latter of which went to overtime in Winnipeg before the home team finally prevailed.  So perhaps Anaheim couldn't have hand-picked a better situation to try to finally put an end to its bleeding.  For one thing, Detroit is just as bad at home (9-16) as it is on the road (8-14).  And this is one team that the Ducks have dominated in recent meetings (and there aren't many of those) taking eight of the last 11, overall, including three of the last four.  The Wings are also 5-13 (-7 games on the money line) revenging a road loss.  Take Anaheim.  Hockey Game of the Month.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over South Florida.  Cincy is 14-3 on the season, but has lost its last three games to the point spread.  Meanwhile, South Florida has covered its last four.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Bulls, and against the "cold" Bearcats.  But consider that double-digit favorites, with win percentages greater than .800, have covered 70% since 1990 if they lost their previous three games to the spread, while their opponent was off three ATS wins.  And South Florida's a wallet-busting 5-13 ATS on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the St. Louis Blues.  The Caps had their winning streak snapped at three straight by the visiting Blue Jackets on Saturday even though they out-played the visitors and out-shot them by 33-22.  The Caps got a scare when Braden Holtby was forced out of the game after Cam Atkinson's stick went under Holtby's mask and caught him in the eye.  Although he didn't return, Holtby appears to have avoided serious injury and may be back in goal tonight.  If not, back-up Pheonix Copley has been very solid and should provide another quality outing at home.  The Blues come into tonight having won back-to-back contests against the Canadiens and Stars, but they're just 1-5 in the last six meetings with Washington.  They are one of the least productive road teams in the league, averaging just 2.31 goals-per-game away from St. Louis.  They did beat the Caps just 10 days ago at home, 5-2.  However, the Caps are 6-1 in their last seven (and 42-19, +18 games on the money line, in their last 61) when playing with revenge from a same-season loss to an opponent.  Take Washington.  NHL High Roller Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Seminoles are 13-3 this season, with losses to ACC rivals Duke + Virginia (arguably the top 2 teams in the entire country), and Villanova -- the defending national champions. Tonight, they'll travel to the Steel City to take on Pittsburgh, which has rebounded nicely off its winless ACC Conference season last year.  Pitt has won 11 of its first 16 games, overall, and has covered the spread in two of its first three ACC games.   But long-term, the Panthers haven't done well at home for almost a decade.  Since November 27, 2010, the Panthers are an awful 46-76-2 ATS at home, including 19-44-1 ATS vs. opponents off a straight-up loss.  With FSU, indeed, off a loss to Duke in its last game, we'll lay the points with Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New England Patriots and LA Chargers to go 'over' the total, as it falls into Totals systems of mine that are 52-23 and 32-10.  After missing the Playoffs following their 2008 season, the Patriots have qualified for the post-season every single year.  And, even more impressively, they've owned one of the top 2 seeds (and, thus, at least one home game) in each of these 10 seasons.  And they've been a solid bet to go 'over' the total when playing at home, or on neutral fields.  And especially when the over/under line was greater than 43 points, as they've gone 'over' the total 13-4-1.  It's true that the Chargers have gone 'under' the total their last three games.  But they didn't face a quality offense in those three games (Ravens (twice); Broncos).  The last two times that the Chargers faced a potent offense (Chiefs, Steelers), they went 'over' the total in both games.  Finally, since 1980, in Playoff games between two teams that entered off 'unders' in their previous game, 58% have gone 'over' the total when the over/under line was 43+ points.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:35 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Carolina Hurricanes.  It's a bit unusual when two teams don't meet in a calendar year, but this will be the first meeting of these two since December 2017.  This is the sixth and final game in the Predators road trip and it was a successful one regardless of the outcome this afternoon.  The Preds have won three of the five games so far, including a shutout victory in Toronto against a very good Maple Leafs team.  Today, they'll take on a Hurricanes squad which beat the Sabres in their last one, 4-3.  But the Canes were out-shot in that one as they have been in each of their last four games.  And winning a close game doesn't necessarily bode well for Carolina today as it is 13-25 (-19 games on the money line) in its last 28 immediately following a victory by one goal in the previous game.  The Predators' offense has actually been more productive on the road this season (3.17 GPG) than it has been at home (2.88), and I look for Nashville to get the road victory.  Take Nashville.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:35 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Indianapolis.  Certainly, the Chiefs' lack of playoff success (1-11 record since 1994) hangs like an albatross around their neck.  But from my perspective that factoid is a bunch of noise, and has worked to provide us with point spread value in this game.  Instead, the most important statistic for this game is that the Chiefs had the #1 offense in the league this season (425.6 yards), and scored the most points (35.3).  And if I can play on a rested home team, which has a proficient offense which scores 28+ points a game, and lay less than a touchdown against an opponent playing back-to-back road playoff games, I'm going to do it virtually every time.  Of course, Indianapolis isn't just playing "back-to-back" road games.  This will actually be its 3RD STRAIGHT game away from home.  And NFL road teams have cashed just 35.7 percent in the playoffs if they were playing their 3rd straight on the road.  Take Kansas City to blow out the Colts.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks + the points over Austin Peay.  The Governors are off three straight wins -- each by double-digits.  But off those wins, we'll fade Austin Peay this afternoon, as it's an awful 20% ATS over the past 17 seasons as a favorite of more than 4 points off back to back double-digit wins.  And Tennessee-Martin also falls into 123-59, 158-87 and 82-42 ATS systems of mine.  Grab the points with the home underdog Skyhawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Delaware.  The Cougars were upset, 79-78, as a 13-point home favorite in their last game, while Delaware enters off four straight wins and covers.  But I love the Cougars to bounce back this afternoon, as they've covered 69% over the last 14 years off an upset loss if their opponent was off back to back wins.  Lay the points with Charleston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans minus the points over South Alabama.  Little Rock upset Troy State, 73-59, as a 2-point home underdog in its last game.  And that upset win has triggered one of my best "momentum" systems this afternoon.  That system has a record of 107-43 ATS since 1990, and is the primary reason for our play today on the Trojans.  Additionally, South Alabama has covered just 37% as an underdog vs. foes off upset wins, and has won straight-up just once in its past 22 road games (which is a factor here, given the very short point spread).  Lay the small number with Arkansas Little Rock.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over South Florida.  We played on Temple in its last game, when it handed the then-15-0 Houston Cougars their first loss of the season.  They now have to play another tough foe in South Florida, which is 12-3 to start the 2018-19 campaign.  But Temple excels against great teams as it's 45-27-4 ATS vs. .690 (or better) foes, including 24-10 ATS at home.  Take the Owls.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers minus the points over Princeton.  These two teams met last Saturday to kick off this Ivy League season, and the Tigers won outright, in overtime, as a 1.5-point home underdog.  We'll take the Quakers to avenge that defeat, as they've cashed 73% at home since 1992 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and priced from -3 to -10 points.  Take Pennsylvania.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Flyers must have one heck-of-a collection of goalie equipment in the storage room these days.  That's because this team has tied the NHL record for most goalies started in a single season (7).  And we're only at the half-way point.  This is not a good thing by the way.  Their top three net minders (Elliott, Neuvirth, Stolarz) are all out with various injuries, which leaves the Flyers with the unfortunate pair of 20-year-old rookie Carter Hart and 35 YO journeyman Mike McKenna.  Philadelphia is McKenna's eighth NHL team, and third already this season, as the Flyers claimed him off waivers from the Canucks after he was with them for one day following a trade from Ottawa.  Hart will likely be in goal tonight in New Jersey, but it hardly matters as with a 16-28 overall record, Phily's season is all but over already.  The Flyers were shut out by the Devils at home on November 15, and they are 1-8 in their last nine revenging a same-season loss.  Prudential Center has also not been kind to them lately as they are 1-4 in their last five here.  Take New Jersey.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Mississippi.  The Bulldogs were upset on the road earlier this week by the South Carolina Gamecocks.  But I love the Bulldogs to rebound off that defeat, and snap Ole Miss' 9-game win streak in the process.  Over the last 29 years, the Bulldogs are a super 67% ATS at home off an upset road loss.  And the favorite in this rivalry series is 6-0 if the underdog is off back to back wins, and it's a perfect 10-0 ATS when priced from -5 to -7.5 points.  Take Mississippi State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks + the points over Buffalo.  The Bulls are 14-1, and are ranked among the Top 20 in the nation.  And they've won their last three games by 15, 16 and 30 points.  But I love Miami to get inside the number today, as it falls into a 116-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit losses.  Additionally, Mid-American Conference teams have only cashed 20% at home over the past 13 years off three straight wins by 15+ points.  Take the Red Hawks.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers are undefeated, at 14-0, and were also my preseason pick (at 22-1 odds) to win the NCAA Championship this season.  But we  will fade Virginia this afternoon, as Clemson comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses at Duke and Syracuse.  However, Clemson is an incredible 100-63 ATS off back to back losses since 1990, including 48-28 ATS if they also failed to cover the spread in each of those two defeats.  Take the Tigers.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Raptors lost the first meeting this season between these two teams.  But that loss has triggered a very good 134-65 ATS revenge system of mine.  I look for Toronto to avenge that defeat, as it had won 12 straight games vs. the Nets (8-4 ATS) before its defeat last month.  The Raptors are 42-27 ATS their last 69 vs. losing teams, and 22-5 ATS at home vs. division rivals (including 14-0 ATS when favored by less than 11 points).  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Buffalo Sabres.  After a very promising start to the season which saw them go 17-8 in their first 25 games, the Sabres have really struggled lately.  Buffalo is just 3-6 in its last nine games, and those wins came against the likes of the Devils, Panthers, and Ducks -- three losing teams with a combined record of 52-75.  So this is not a team trending in the right direction as its heads into the second half of the season.  It doesn't help matters that the Sabres are still without their best player -- #1 Center Jack Eichel -- who has been nursing an upper body injury and hasn't played in a game since the end of 2018.  The 'Canes, meanwhile, have been playing their best hockey of the season, having won five straight by a combined score of 21-13 before losing at Tampa, the best team in the league, on Thursday.  Despite their loss in that one, the 'Canes should still be confident about their chances this evening.  Buffalo is 0-6 in the last six meetings and 2-8 in the last 10 trips to Raleigh.  Take Carolina.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Gonzaga.  The Bulldogs come into this game off five straight wins and covers, and have won each of those five games by 43+ points.  But we'll go against the Bulldogs tonight, as double-digit home favorites have covered just 36% of conference games since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS wins, if they won each of those games by 25+ points.  Take Pacific + the points.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over Ottawa.  Last night, the Senators came back in the 3rd period to tie Anaheim at 1 goal apiece, and then scored the game-winner in overtime for a 2-1 victory.  That snapped an 8-game losing streak, but the Senators' success should be short-lived.  Tonight, they'll have to go into Staples Center to take on a Kings team looking for revenge from a 5-1 loss suffered in Ottawa earlier this season.  The Kings are 35-17 when playing with revenge from a loss by 4+ goals, while Ottawa is 1-7 this season when playing without rest.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks + the points over Murray State.  The Racers are on a 3-game win streak, following home wins over Eastern Kentucky, Morehead State and Bethel.  But the Racers are an awful 12-38 ATS as a favorite of more than 8 points off back to back wins.  Take Tennessee-Martin.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders + the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Blue Raiders have covered the point spread just once this season -- three games ago at Rhode Island.  We cashed Middle Tenn in that game, and will come back with it, here, tonight, as it falls into a strong 76-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, the Blue Raiders are 19-9 ATS off an upset loss, and 5-0 ATS off back to back home defeats.  Take the Blue Raiders.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over UAB, as the Bulldogs fall into a 121-60 ATS system of mine.  The Blazers are 3-0 straight-up and 2-0 ATS in their last three games.  But all three of those games were played at home.  The Blazers have played just two true road games this season (among their 15 games), and are 0-2 ATS in those two games.  And they're 8-17 ATS their last 25 road games, and 2-9 ATS on the road off a home win.  The Bulldogs, meanwhile, were upset by Rice last Saturday, 78-66.  But Louisiana Tech is a solid 10-5 ATS off an upset loss, including 7-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite.  Take the Bulldogs.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over SMU.  The Huskies are 9-6 on the season, but have started out 0-2 in American Athletic Conference play.  Meanwhile, SMU has won both its conference games.  But I love UConn tonight, as .600 (or better) teams that are winless in Conference play, with an 0-2 (or worse) record, are 69.4% ATS vs. conference foes that are 2-0 (or better) inside the conference, if our winless team was PK'em or favored.  Take the Huskies.  AAC Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the LA Lakers.  LeBron James remains out for the Lakers, who have won just two of seven games in his absence.  One of those victories was their last game, at Dallas.  But the Lakers are an awful 10-18 ATS off a straight-up win, and 7-17 ATS vs. losing clubs.  Finally, L.A. is 1-4 SU/ATS vs. the Pistons in the last five meetings.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over Ottawa.  Certainly, something will have to give tonight, as both teams enter off eight-game losing streaks.  But in this match-up between the league's worst defense (Ottawa), and the league's next-to-last offense (Ducks), we'll take Anaheim, as it's 42-29 (+9 games on the money line) against opponents that give up 3+ goals per game.  Additionally, the Ducks have won the last three home meetings vs. Ottawa, and nine of the last 11.  And they're a solid 21-8 after a blowout defeat by more than 2 goals (Edmonton blanked the Ducks, 4-0, on Sunday).  Likewise, they're 36-20, +18 games on the money line, after giving up more than three goals in their previous game.  Finally, the Senators are 0-9 after scoring more than three goals in their previous game (Ottawa lost, 5-4, to Carolina on Sunday).  Take the Ducks.  Good luck, as always.....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls over Houston.  The Cougars enter this game with a perfect 15-0 record.  But I expect the Owls to saddle the Cougars with their first defeat of the season.  Temple is 38-12 ATS at home over the last 12 years vs. conference foes if the Owls weren't favored by more than six points, including 17-2 ATS if their win percentage was greater than .580.  Take Temple.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Oklahoma.  This series has been dominated by the homestanding teams.  Since February 23, 2000, the home team has gone 24-13 ATS including 8-0 ATS since 2015.  That bodes well for the Red Raiders tonight.  As does the fact that the Sooners are 0-15 ATS with a winning record, if they were off a home/neutral win vs. a Big 12 Conference foe in their previous game.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams also played here, in Oklahoma, 16 days ago, and the Thunder were upset, 114-112.  We'll take the Thunder in this revenge situation on Tuesday, as the Thunder are 61.4% ATS since 1990 against losing teams, when OKC is playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and not favored by more than 9 points.  Even better:  the Thunder lost, 116-98, here vs. the Wizards on Sunday.  But .625 (or better) teams have cashed 61% since 1990 at home off a home loss in which they failed to cover the point spread by 25+ points.  Take OKC. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  Some years, you will get to the mid-way point of a season without a clear-cut front-runner.  That is not the case with the 2018-2019 NHL season.  The Tampa Bay Lightning are threatening to run away with the Presidents Trophy with a 32-8-2 record and a commanding 10-point lead over the next-best clubs.  Whether or not they will be able to make a deep run in the post-season is another matter, but the Bolts are without doubt the best team in hockey right now.  They started the second half with a bit of a clunker in their 42nd game, losing to the Sharks, 5-2.  But that was the final game of a 3-game western road swing, so we can certainly understand if Tampa was a little bit tired and not at 100% in that one.  Back home after a two-day break should find the Bolts in peak form against the Jackets, who they've dominated over the last two years.  The Jackets are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings in Tampa, while the Bolts are 11-2 in their last 13 immediately following a game in which they allowed four or more goals.  And Tampa's also 11-0 at home following a road trip of 3+ games.  Take Tampa.  NHL High Roller Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over New Orleans.  The Grizzlies' promising start to the season is nothing but a memory at this point.  Memphis started 12-5 SU and ATS.  But it has gone 6-16 SU and 5-17 ATS since.  It is currently riding a 5-game losing streak (and 6-game ATS losing streak).  I look for the Grizzlies, though, to snap their point spread slide tonight.  They're on the road at division rival, New Orleans, which is coming off a 35-point blowout of Cleveland.  And since 1990, road underdogs of more than 4 points have cashed 60% vs. division rivals off a straight-up win.  Even better:  Memphis is 10-4 SU/ATS vs. New Orleans since April 2015.  And New Orleans is an awful 9-31-1 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) win.  Take Memphis.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers + the points over Alabama.  It's hard for me to pass up this many points with a team which has the better rush defense, the better rush offense, and the better defense in terms of points per game.  Clemson has allowed 11.9 ppg, while Alabama's defense has given up 16.2.  And Clemson rushed for 6.7 yards per carry (against foes that give up 4.5 ypr).  On defense, the Tigers were also stellar, as they gave up just 2.4 yards per rush (against foes that averaged 4.4).  In contrast, Alabama rushed for 5.3 ypr (against foes that surrendered 4.5 ypr (the same as Clemson's opponents, but 1.4 ypr less than Clemson gained)).  And Alabama gave up 3.5 ypr against foes that averaged 4.8 ypr).  When all the numbers are blended together, then Clemson's total YPR differential was +2.40 relative to Alabama.  And its defense differential was +3.28 ppg.  To illustrate how rare it is that you get that combination of YPR and Defensive PPG strength in a big underdog in a bowl game, consider that in the last 39 years, there has NEVER been an underdog of +6 or more points -- until Clemson in this game -- that owned a defense 3.28 ppg better, and a Total YPR differential of +2.40.  Ok, so what if we relaxed our stats and just looked at how single-digit underdogs did if they owned a defensive PPG differential greater than 0, and a Total YPR differential greater than 0?  Then, we find those teams have gone a very solid 104-71-2 ATS in the Bowl games.  That's one reason I love Clemson as a big underdog.  Another is that the Tigers lost in the semi-finals last year to Alabama.  And defending National Champions are an awful 8-29-2 ATS when priced from -2 to -6.5 points vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-19 ATS if their opponent covered its previous game by more than 3 points!  With the Tigers in off a 30-3 blowout of Notre Dame, as a 10.5-point favorite, we'll grab the points with the Tigers.  Take Clemson.  NCAA Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over the Minnesota Wild.  Two teams floundering in fifth place in their respective divisions at the half-way point in the season meet tonight in Montreal.  It is first meeting of these two here in more than a year (November 2017) and it's been pretty much all Minnesota lately when they get together.  But the Habs have been playing perhaps their best hockey of the season lately, winning five of their last seven games, including a recently completed road trip in which they took four of the last five.  Carey Price has fought through injuries in two of the last three seasons, but he finally appears to be healthy and is playing like the Carey Price of old, registering a shutout two games ago against the Canucks.  His 2.76 GAA is almost 1/2 goal better than the number he put up last season.  He had a bit of a letdown in the game after the shutout, allowing three goals in 31 shots in a 4-1 loss to the Predators.  But that may not be a bad thing for tonight as the Canadiens are 22-6 in their last 28 games following a home loss by three or more goals.  Take Montreal.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + over Toronto.  The Pacers had last night off, while Toronto was in Milwaukee to play the Bucks.  Toronto won that game, but now has to take on a revenge-minded Pacers team, which Toronto defeated by 3 points earlier this season.  And Indiana also comes into this game on a red-hot roll, with six wins in a row.  The Pacers are a fantastic 216-154, 58.4% ATS when rested and playing with revenge against an opponent off a win, and we'll back Indiana this evening.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Caps looked like they might break out of their funk on Friday night when they went to a 3-on-3 overtime period against the Stars.  They came out of Dallas with a point, but their losing streak grew to three games when Seguin scored in the OT and now DC finds itself tied atop the Metro Division with the surging Penguins.  The Capitals likely couldn't have hand-picked a better match-up for Sunday in an effort to get back to their winning ways.  Washington is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings with the Red Wings and 5-1 in its last six trips to Detroit.  The Wings beat the Predators as a big underdog in their last game.  And, although that victory was here in Detroit, the Wings are just 7-22 in their last 29 home games vs. teams with a winning road record.  Meanwhile, the Caps are 26-7 (+19 games on the money line) in their last 33 immediately following a losing streak of at least two games.  And they are 30-9 in their last 39 after scoring fewer than two goals in their previous game.  NHL Game of the Week!  Take Washington.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Dallas Stars.  The Jets reached the Conference Finals last May for the first time in their history and they're looking to build on that success.  So far, so good, as Winnipeg will finish the first half of the season atop the Central Division.  Clearly, this is not the same Jets team we were used to seeing in seasons past.  Winger Blake Wheeler led the NHL in assists last season and, with more weapons at his disposal, is on track to smash through the 68 helpers he notched (he currently has 44 in 40 games).  The Stars wrapped up a successful four-game home-stand with an OT win over the Caps on Friday.  But the road has been a struggle for them so far as Dallas is just 8-13 away from American Airlines Center.  And a trip to Winnipeg presents even more problems for the Stars.  The Jets have won eight of the last nine meetings including five straight here at home.  Dallas won the only meeting this season back in early October, 5-1 at home, but the Jets are 39-17 (+20 on the money line) in their last 56 revenging a road loss.  Take Winnipeg.  NHL Payback Payday. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles OVER the total.  The Eagles had a great season last year, and also had a great Playoffs run, as they held the Falcons to 10 points, and the Vikings to just seven points in their two NFC wins before winning the Super Bowl, 41-33, vs. New England.  But without a doubt, the fact that they had the #1 seed, and home field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs was a major factor in their success (and ability to hold the Falcons and Vikings to 17 points combined).  This season, it's a completely different story, as they won't play any of their games at home.  And that's problematic, as their defense didn't play well at all this season against teams that are currently in the Playoffs, and especially not on the road.  Philly had six regular season games against other current Playoff teams, and 10 games against teams that failed to make the Playoffs.  In those 6 games against Playoff competition, the Eagles' defense gave up 173 points for an average of 28.8 per game!  And on the road that defensive number ballooned to 33.3 ppg.  In contrast, the Eagles' defense gave up just 17.5 ppg vs. non-playoff teams (and just 16.8 in its road games vs. non-Playoff teams).  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take the 'over.'  NFL Conference Playoff Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over George Mason.  The Patriots kicked off their Atlantic 10 campaign with an upset win over St. Joseph's, 85-60 to move their record to 7-7 this season.  They'll try to make it two Conference wins in a row this afternoon.  But the Patriots are a horrid 2-16-2 ATS at home in Conference games, including 0-11-2 ATS as a favorite, if they entered off an upset win in their previous game.  That certainly doesn't bode well for George Mason today.  Nor does the fact that two of my better systems -- with records of 402-247 and 299-187 ATS -- both go against the Patriots today.  Finally, .500 (or worse) Atlantic 10 Conference teams have covered just 56 of 139 Conference home games off an upset win.  Take the points with St. Bonaventure.  Perfect 10 Club play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over Edmonton.  The Kings are off back to back losses, and are in last place in the Western Conference, but have actually played better than the Oilers since December 16.  The Oilers have won just once in their last 7 games, while the Kings are 5-3 over their last eight.  Even worse for the Oilers:  they've won just once in Los Angeles in their last 14 games here at Staples Center, dating back to 2012.  I look for the Kings to continue their home dominance tonight.  Take Los Angeles.  NHL Roadkill Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento.  The Warriors were up BIG over the Houston Rockets at the half of Thursday's game, but fell apart in the 2nd half, and lost at the buzzer, 135-134. Golden State is now in the 3rd seed in the Western Conference -- just 2 games ahead of Houston.  And the Warriors are only 2.5 games in front of the Clippers for the division lead.  I love Golden State to rebound off that loss in this Pacific division game in Sacramento, as the Warriors are an awesome 45-19 ATS off a loss, if matched up against a division rival.  It's true that Sacramento is much-improved this season.  The Kings are 19-19 straight-up, and 21-16-1 ATS.  But the Kings are doing a lot better vs. teams that don't score a lot of points, compared to the ones that do.  Indeed, this season, Sacramento is 14-6 straight-up and 15-5 ATS vs. foes that average less than 110 points per game.  Against the better offenses that score 110+ points per game, Sacramento is 5-13 straight-up, and 6-11-1 ATS.  Golden State, of course, has one of the league's best offenses, and scores 116.2 ppg.  Similarly, the Warriors are excelling against the league's lesser defenses and/or faster-paced teams that give up 110+ points.  Golden State is a solid 11-8 ATS vs. those teams, but an awful 5-15 ATS vs. foes that don't surrender 110 points per game.  Take the Warriors to blow out the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.