Sports Picks & Predictions

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over Pittsburgh.  Certainly, there's nothing the Jackets want more than to avenge their Playoff series defeat to these Penguins last season.  They've had two opportunities already this season, but came up a goal short in each game.  But both of those games were in Pittsburgh.  So, this will be the first time they'll get the Pens here at home since that Playoff ouster.  Columbus has won six of the last eight meetings at home vs. Pittsburgh.  And they've averaged 4.5 goals per game in the previous four home meetings.  Take Columbus.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State.  The Panthers have lost their last four games by 33, 24, 34 and 23 points.  And they've failed to cover the spread in each.  But those games set up our play today, as double-digit underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses by more than 20 points each, have covered 65% over the past 28 years.  Additionally, the Panthers have covered five of the last seven in this series, and scored upset wins over the Seminoles each of the past two seasons.  Take the points with Pittsburgh.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the New Jersey Devils.  The Hurricanes play their third game in four days against New York Metropolitan area teams, and this evening will represent a revenge situation for them.  Three nights ago they lost in New Jersey to the Devils by a 5-2 margin and then followed that up with a real stinker here at home, losing to the Islanders, 3-0.  The good news is that their defense has been outstanding, allowing just 22 shots on goal in each of those last two, and in the loss to New York, it was simply a matter of a hot goaltender as the 'Canes couldn't get any of their 45 shots past Isles net-minder Thomas Greiss.  A similar number of shots tonight against Devils goalie Kevin Kinkaid and his mediocre .893 saves percentage should result in a 'Canes victory.  The Devils come into tonight off of a huge win over the East-leading Lightning so a let-down in a back-to-back situation is a very good possibility.  New Jersey is also a poor 1-5 in its last six games playing without rest.  Take Carolina.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Loyola Chicago.  Loyola's 22-5, and defeated the Aces earlier this season, 66-59, as n 8-point favorite.  They've been installed as a road favorite this afternoon, notwithstanding the fact that Evansville is 13-2 this season at home (and 7-4 ATS).  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as home teams that are more than 10 games above .500 at home on the season have cashed 62% when getting more than 4 points.  Take Evansville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini over Nebraska.  The Illini lost at Indiana on Wednesday, 78-68, as a 9.5-point underdog.  And that was Illinois' 4th straight defeat, overall.  But I love Illinois to bounce back at home this afternoon, as it's 94-57 ATS off a Big 10 defeat, provided Illinois was an underdog in that previous game.  We actually had a big play on the Illini when these two teams met earlier this season in Lincoln, and the Illini rewarded us with a nice win as a 4.5-point underdog.  Interestingly, that was the last time Nebraska failed to cover the spread, as they're 8-0 ATS since (to go win a 6-0 SU run).  But they fall into a negative 57-110 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on long win streaks.  Take Illinois.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane upset Connecticut on the road, 73-71, on Thursday.  They'll now take on a Bulls team currently riding a six-game losing streak (including a 9-point loss vs. Tulsa two weeks ago).  Unfortunately for Tulsa, double-digit home favorites generally suffer letdowns off road upset wins, if they're matched up against conference foes off a loss, provided such conference foe also has a losing record (both in conference play, and overall).  Since 1990, our home teams in this situation have gone 167-233 ATS.  Take the Bulls + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over DePaul.  Seton Hall is 17-9 on the year, but 0-4 SU/ATS its last four games.  But the good news for Pirates fans is that .555 (or better) teams, on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, tend to bounce back when favored by 6+ points, as they've gone 66% ATS since 1990.  Take the Pirates.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Washington Capitals.  It's true that the Blackhawks have lost eight straight games.  And it's also true that the Capitals blew out Chicago when these two teams met in DC earlier this season by a 6-2 score.  But Chicago can take heart in the fact that it out-shot the Caps by a 39-25 count in that defeat.  And the fact that Chicago's on an 8-game losing streak has created terrific line value in this game, and Chicago's rarely installed as an underdog or PK at home (this will be just the 2nd time this season).   Washington is an awful 1-6 its last seven games as a road favorite.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Mississippi State.  The Rebels have dropped their last six games (both SU and ATS).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to fade Mississippi.  But consider that SEC Conference underdogs of +6 (or more) points, on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, have gone 85.3% ATS vs. Conference foes not off an ATS defeat.  Take Ole Miss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  But three of those four games were at home.  And the lone road game was at NC State.  And the Tar Heels played that game with major revenge from a loss to the Wolfpack just two weeks earlier.  Tonight, however, North Carolina is not playing with revenge.  And Carolina has been awful away from home vs. revenge-minded conference foes if Carolina was off a win, as it's 1-10-1 ATS.  Take Louisville.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Texas Tech.  Baylor comes into this game red-hot, and has won its last four games, while it has covered its last five.  And it falls into a 'momentum' system of mine which has cashed 63% which plays on certain favorites off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Texas Tech, meanwhile, is an awful 71-117 ATS away from home as an underdog in the regular season, including 23-49-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Finally, the Bears lost to the Red Raiders by 24 in Lubbock back in December.  But Baylor's 65% over the past 28 years when favored and playing with revenge from a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Baylor.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over Davidson.  UMass comes into this evening's game off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But it falls into 77-27 and 390-210 ATS systems of mine that play on certain double-digit underdogs off back to back losses.  Moreover, UMass is a super 24-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6+ points in conference games off a loss, if its opponent had a .400 (or better) ATS record.  Take the Minutemen.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back wins, and are ranked among the Top 25 teams in the country, with a 22-5 record.  But they've been pedestrian against the spread, as they're just 13-12 ATS this season, and just 6-7 ATS on the road.  Today, they'll have to take on an Aggies squad looking to make amends for an awful, 78-63, loss at New Mexico this past Wednesday.  But Utah State's back home now, and it has won 10 of its 13 home games, straight-up (6-5 ATS) this year, and is also playing with revenge from a 26-point loss in Reno back in January.  The Aggies are a solid 13-3 ATS since 1992 at home off a loss, when playing with same season revenge, including a perfect 7-0 ATS since 2007.  Take Utah State.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  UCSB comes into this game on an impressive 8-game win streak.  Unfortunately, Cal Santa Barbara has burned money in the regular season off 3+ wins.  Since 1990, they're an ugly 36-59-2 ATS, including 0-8 ATS vs. .636 (or better) foes if the Gauchos covered their two previous games.  Take Cal Davis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks + the points over South Dakota.  Omaha fell by 14 points at home earlier this season to South Dakota.  But the Mavericks have been solid in the revenge role over the years, as they're 22-7-1 ATS their last 30.  South Dakota, meanwhile, has won its last five, and covered its last four.  But it falls into a negative 'contrarian' system of mine which is 51-125 ATS which goes against certain hot teams.  Take the double-digits with Omaha.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Arizona Coyotes.  For the second time this season, the Coyotes -- who are the worst team in the NHL -- have a three-game winning streak.  They've beaten the Sharks in San Jose and the Canadiens and Blackhawks here at home coming into this match-up with the Oilers.  Edmonton has a streak of its own going, but not the kind to be pleased with.  The Oilers have lost five straight coming into this game, their longest such losing streak of the season.  When you're as bad as Arizona is, there really isn't any home-ice advantage to be had.  The Coyotes have the same number of wins on the road this season (eight) as they do here at the Gila River Arena.  And the fact that they're playing a poor road team likely won't matter either as they are 1-7 in their last eight home games vs. teams with a road winning % of less than .400.  The Oilers are 5-0 in the last five meetings while Arizona is 1-9 in their last 10 following a three game unbeaten streak.  Take Edmonton.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers minus the points over South Alabama.  The Jaguars come into this afternoon's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, South Alabama's an awful 1-7-1 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins when playing a foe not off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina's cashed 75% over the past 10 years vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And it's cashed 63% as a favorite vs. foes off a win, including 89% vs. foes with a winning ATS record.  Finally, this will be Coastal Carolina's final home game of the season.  And it comes into today's game off back to back upset losses.  Since 1990, NCAA teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 62.1% if they were favored by 3+ points, and off back-to-back upset losses.  Take the Chanticleers.  Sun Belt Favorite of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State.  It's true that the Jackrabbits blew out Western Illinois by 28 four weeks ago.  But the Leathernecks have been solid on the road the past seven seasons when playing with revenge, as they've cashed 62%, including 80% as a double-digit underdog.  And Western Illinois also falls into a 140-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit underdogs off back to back losses.  Take the Leathernecks.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Anaheim Ducks.  The Wild were blown out here at home in their last game by the Washington Capitals.  But Minny generally bounces back off of losses (16-9), and especially after losing by 3 or more goals, as they're 11-2 in that situation.  Meanwhile, Anaheim is a dreadful 11-23 (minus 17 games on the money line) off a road win, and 17-26 when playing their third road game over a 5-day period.  Take the Wild.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide come into today's game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  But 'Bama is an awful 32-51-1 ATS away from home off back to back SU/ATS wins when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK), including 11-34 ATS if their W/L record wasn't worse than their opponent's.  Take Kentucky.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers minus the points over George Mason.  The Explorers have dropped five straight games ATS, but this ATS losing streak has triggered a terrific 'contrarian' system of mine which is 110-56 ATS since 1990.  Moreover, the Patriots upset Dayton, 85-67, as a 4-point home dog on Wednesday.  But George Mason is a wallet-busting 5-19-1 ATS off an upset conference win.  Take La Salle.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over Southern Illinois.  Indiana State's on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But I love them to bounce back on Saturday, as Missouri Valley Conference teams have cashed 61.6% at home over the past 26 years off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 69.4% ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  With the Sycamores, indeed, looking to avenge their 82-77 loss in Carbondale last month, we'll lay the points with Indiana State today.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Air Force.  Boise's 20-6, but comes into this game off back to back upset losses to Utah State and Nevada.  However, .725 (or better) teams are an awesome 65.7% ATS over the past 25 years at home when favored by more than 10 points, if they're off back to back upset defeats!  Lay the points with the Broncos.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Indiana.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Hawks fell by 13 points in Bloomington.  Currently, the Hawkeyes are mired in a 4-game losing streak, and have been installed as a home dog vs. Indiana, which is 16-9 ATS on the season, and has covered its last four games.  But Iowa's a stellar 14-0 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog of +1.5 or more points vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, if that foe also has a winning ATS record.  Take Iowa. NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMOrdie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the New York Islanders.  The Islanders shut out the Rangers on Thursday night, 3-0.  But before we get too excited, lets consider that this has become par for the course.  The Isles have now taken each of the last six meetings vs. the Rangers and 10 of the last 11, so it's hard to draw too much of a conclusion from this latest beat-down.  Things will get a little tougher tonight as New York ventures into Raleigh where the 'Canes have a winning record this season.  And they've won their last three home games by a combined score of 14-5.  The Isles are banged-up right now with five regular players either out for an extended period or questionable for tonight with various injuries.  They're also just 1-5 in their last 6 games playing without a day off, while the Hurricanes are 10-2 in their last 12 vs. teams with a losing record.  Take Carolina.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons come into this game off back to back upset wins, and have covered five in a row, overall.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the double-digits with the Falcons, especially given that Buffalo's an awful 0-4-2 ATS in its last six games.  But consider that, since 1992, double-digit road underdogs have covered just 36% vs. foes off 4+ point spread defeats!  Take Buffalo minus the points.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Cal Irvine.  This game is a classic example of two teams going in opposite directions.  The Anteaters are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, while Hawaii has lost its last five games, and has failed to cover three straight.  But Big West Conference teams are an awesome 24-4 ATS off three straight ATS defeats when matched up against a conference foe off back to back ATS wins, including a perfect 11-0 ATS if they also owned a better W/L record (which Hawaii does).  Take the Rainbow Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Colorado.  Wazzu is on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And it's also failed to cover in 11 of its last 12.  But, as faithful followers know, I often like to play on teams in freefalls, as such losing streaks often confer value.  And this is certainly one of those times, as Washington State falls into a 119-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks.  Also, Colorado has lost its last five games ATS as a road favorite, and is also a horrid 3-16-1 ATS off back to back wins (and 1-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins).   Finally, Washington State lost to the Buffaloes earlier this season in Boulder.  But Colorado is a wallet-busting 13-33-2 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Washington State + the points.  NCAA Hoops Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers are in a tough spot in this ballgame, as it’s their last game going into the All Star Break.  And, even worse for the Lakers, they’re on the road, they’re playing without rest, and their opponent — the Minnesota Timberwolves — are off a loss.   That doesn’t bode well for the Lakers, as unrested NBA teams playing on the road, in their final game before the break, are an awful 30-53 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always…Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Montreal Canadiens over Arizona.  The Canadiens played last night in Colorado, and used their back-up goalie, Antti Niemi, between the pipes.  So, #1 netminder, Carey Price, will get the start tonight.  Montreal will face a Coyotes squad off back to back wins vs. Chicago (6-1) and San Jose (2-1).  Unfortunately for Arizona, it's an awful 7-34 after not allowing 3+ goals in each of its two previous games, including 0-13 its last 13.  Take Montreal.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Oregon.  USC and Oregon both have won 17 games this season.  And each team has just five losses in Pac-12 Conference play.  So, this game will have a big impact on the eventual conference standings for the post-season Tournament.  It's true that the Trojans come into tonight's game on a 3-game losing streak.  But all three of those games were on the road.  Here, in Los Angeles, the Trojans have won their last five conference games (3-1-1 ATS).  And .651 (or better) teams are 83% ATS the past 10 years at home off 3 road losses.  Lay the points with the Trojans.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Blue Raiders have won their last seven games, and also easily defeated the Golden Eagles by 20 points in Murfreesboro earlier this season.  So, don't be surprised if Middle Tennessee comes out a bit complacent, and gets knocked off tonight by Southern Miss.  And the Golden Eagles have been playing well, of late, as they've covered their last three games, including a 72-54 blowout of Charlotte last Saturday.  That bodes well for them tonight, as home dogs off a double-digit straight-up win, and 3 ATS wins, are a super 163-106 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Even better:  Southern Miss is a perfect 7-0 ATS at home this season, and 24-9 ATS their last 33 in Hattiesburg.  Take the Golden Eagles.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Senators over the Buffalo Sabres.  In one of the biggest upsets so far in the second half of the season, the Sabres beat the mighty Lightning on Tuesday.  Not only did the Sabres net five goals in the victory, but they also out-shot the Bolts by a 33-29 margin.   Tonight, they'll take on the Ottawa Senators, who looked like they might turn their season around when they won four of five games to start the month of February -- with three of those coming right here at the Canadian Tire Centre.  But they had to go back on the road for their last two, and promptly lost both in Toronto and Pittsburgh.  But those are two of the hottest teams around right now.  So, tonight the 'Nats come back home to play a much worse opponent in the Sabres.  And over the last two seasons, Ottawa is 14-5 in home games which immediately followed two or more consecutive losses.  Take the Senators.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over Detroit.  The Lightning return home off back-to-back road losses to the Sabres and Maple Leafs.  Tampa surrendered 4 and 5 goals, respectively, in those two defeats.  But the Lightning are 45-27 after allowing more than three goals, and 61-38 off a loss.  Meanwhile, Detroit's an awful 15-27 off back to back wins, including 2-8 this season.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Florida.  These two teams met 15 days ago, in Athens, and the Bulldogs blew out the Gators, 72-60.  Since that game, however, Georgia's gone 0-3 SU/ATS.  Meanwhile, Florida's won its last two games, including a 65-41 blowout of South Carolina on Saturday.  Unfortunately, though, for the Gators, double-digit, revenge-minded home favorites, off a double-digit win, have covered just 38% since 1990 vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Even worse:  Georgia's 22-3 ATS away from home off a loss when matched up against a foe off a win, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when catching 7+ points.  Take Georgia + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Auburn.  The Wildcats come into tonight's game off 3 straight losses.  And they've also failed to cover their last four games.  Meanwhile, Auburn's off a 17-point win (and cover) at Georgia.  But that sets up our play tonight, as SEC Conference teams are a perfect 22-0 ATS when getting 6+ points, if they're off 3 straight losses, and also on a 4-game point spread losing streak, and matched up against a conference opponent not off an ATS loss.  Take Kentucky. NCAA ELITE INFO WINNER. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Indiana.  The Pacers are off a high-scoring, 121-113 win over the Knicks in their last game (their 2nd straight win, overall).  But off those two games, we'll fade Indy on the road, as NBA teams off back to back wins are a soft 93-133 ATS if they scored more than 116 in their previous game, and their opponent is off a loss.  Even worse:  Indiana is a poor 13-24 ATS on the road off a win, while Brooklyn is a solid 17-5 ATS as an underdog vs. a foe off a win.  Take the Nets + the points.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Atlanta.  These two teams met just three days ago, and the Hawks upset the Pistons, 118-115, as a 4-point home underdog.  (Detroit then followed up that loss with a home loss to the Pelicans.)  But I love Detroit to avenge that defeat tonight, as the Hawks are an awful 26-55 ATS on the road when playing a rested, revenge-minded foe which Atlanta upset in the previous meeting, including 5-23 ATS since 2007.  That doesn't bode well for Atlanta.  And neither does the fact that the Pistons are 32-21 ATS their last 53 off an upset defeat.  Take Detroit.  NBA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Villanova.  The Wildcats enter this game with a superb 23-2 record.  But NCAA teams that have won more than 90% of their games (thru their first 25+ games of the season) are an awful 30-56-3 ATS as single-digit favorites in Conference games vs. foes with a .500 (or better) conference record!  Also, Providence is 9-1 ATS its last 10 when playing with same-season revenge.  Take the Friars + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores minus the points over Mississippi State.  These two teams met in Starkville earlier this season, and the Bulldogs blew out Vandy, 80-62.  But you know what they say about 'paybacks,' and I love Vandy to avenge that defeat with a blowout of its own, tonight.  The Commodores are an awesome 50-33 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year, including 6-0 ATS the last three seasons.  That doesn't bode well for the Bulldogs.  And neither does the fact that Miss State is an awful 15-31-2 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. a foe playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the year, including 1-13 ATS when its foe was off a double-digit loss.  With Vandy, indeed, off a double-digit loss at Arkansas, we'll take the Commodores to roll this evening.  Take Vandy.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm (please note the early start time), our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights upset Memphis, 68-64, as a 3-point underdog in their previous game.  But off that upset win, we'll fade UCF as a double-digit favorite, as they fall into a 75-155 ATS 'letdown' system of mine, which goes against certain double-digit faves off upset wins.  Also, the underdog has covered 10 of 14 in this rivalry.  Take South Florida + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Virginia.  The Hurricanes are a fantastic 36-3 straight-up their last 39 home games.  And they've excelled vs. the better foes, as they've cashed 60% ATS vs. .714 (or better) opponents.  We'll grab the points with Miami, as home dogs of more than 5 points, that have won at least 35 of their previous 40 home games, have cashed 68.1% of their conference games since 1990.  Take the Hurricanes + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Tennessee.  The Gamecocks come into this game off 5 SU/ATS losses, while Tennessee's 18-6 SU and 14-8 ATS.  So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to lay the double-digits with the homestanding Volunteers.  But double-digit SEC road underdogs have gone 22-5 ATS off 4 point spread defeats.  And South Carolina also falls into a 536-400 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit dogs off a SU/ATS home defeat.  Take the Gamecocks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Anaheim Ducks over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Red Wings were no doubt looking forward to moving into their sleek, new downtown arena -- dubbed Little Caesars -- before the season started back in October.  And things started out well enough for them as they won their first-ever regular season game there, 4-2, over the Minnesota Wild on October 5.  But it looks like the new rink is no home-sweet-home for Detroit's hockey club.  Since that opening victory, the Wings have gone just 10-18 here and have -- not surprisingly -- been better on the road this season than at their new local digs.  The offense has come alive in the last two games, scoring 11 total goals in road games against the Isles and Caps.  The problem is, they've also allowed 11 goals in those and as a result have gone just 1-1 over that span (both overtime games).  But their home funk continues to be the Wings biggest problem as they are just 1-6 in their last seven games here.  The Ducks are 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  Take Anaheim.  NHL High Roller Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels over Arkansas.  Ole Miss comes into tonight's game off 5 straight losses (both SU and ATS).  But I love them to bounce back at home tonight, as Ole Miss is a super 94-59-2 ATS at home when priced from +1 to -8 points, while Arkansas is an awful 56-116 ATS on the SEC road when not getting 11+ points!  Finally, Ole Miss is 36-11-2 ATS its last 49 games vs. the Razorbacks, including 16-1-1 ATS when priced from +2 to -10.  Look for Mississippi to snap its losing streak tonight for coach Andy Kennedy (who just announced he will depart at the end of the season).  Take Mississippi.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas Tech.  The Sooners defeated Texas Tech, 75-65, in Norman five weeks ago, but have gone 3-6 SU and 1-8 ATS since (including 0-5 ATS their last five).  I love the Sooners to cover this big number, as .666 (or better) college hoops teams off 5+ ATS losses are 72% ATS when getting more than 6 points in conference games since 2005.  Take the Sooners.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Greensboro Spartans minus the points over East Tennessee State.  The Buccaneers come into this evening's game on an impressive 16-game win streak.  But they've been installed as an underdog tonight vs. UNCG.  And I expect the Spartans to put a halt to the Bucs' win streak, as College Basketball teams on a 14-game (or better) win streak are 10-32 straight-up and 14-27-1 ATS as underdogs in the regular season vs. conference foes with a worse record.  Also, NC-Greensboro is on a solid 8-2 ATS run at home, and is also 15-4-1 ATS in games where the line was less than 9 points.  Take UNC-G.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Oregon.  The Cougars have lost their last six games (both SU and ATS), with the last five coming by double-digits.  But we'll take the points with Washington State tonight, as Pac-12 Conference road underdogs (or PK) have cashed 61.1% over the past 23 years off three SU/ATS double-digit losses.  Take Washington State + the points.  NCAA Road Warrior.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the NY Islanders.  The Flames have actually been better (15-11) on the road this season than at home.  And we'll go against the Isles off their high-scoring, 7-6 home win vs. Detroit.  New York is a poor 26-36 (minus 14 games on the money line) off a home win.  And New York's also 99-131 after allowing 4+ goals in back-to-back games.  Take Calgary.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Buffalo Sabres.  For only the second time this season, the Sabres have pulled off a two-game winning streak with their victories over the Islanders and Bruins  That's a great accomplishment but let's not forget that this is still a pretty bad team that is just 16-29 this season.  The Avs got crushed in St. Louis in their last game, however this game doesn't bode well for Buffalo as the Sabres are 0-5 in their last five home games vs. teams with a road winning % of less than .400.   And they're 19-33 after scoring 4+ goals in their previous game, 28-54 off a win, and 15-54 in their last 69 vs. teams from the Central Division.  Take the Avs.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Indiana.  The Knicks were blown out, 113-88, three days ago by Toronto.  That was their first game since their All-Star, Kristaps Porzingis, was injured.  And it also was their third straight ATS defeat.  But I look for the Knicks to snap their losing streak this afternoon, as rested NBA road teams off back to back ATS defeats are 166-118 ATS as underdogs of 8+ points vs. foes that covered by 10+ in their previous game.  With Indiana, indeed, off a double-digit cover on Friday vs. Boston, we'll fade the Pacers today.  Take New York.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats blew out SMU by 20 points earlier this season.  But we'll take the revenge-minded home underdog this afternoon, as SMU is 12-1 ATS its last 13 when playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points.  And the Mustangs also fall into a 101-39 ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points earlier in the season.  Take SMU.  NCAA Hoops Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Boston.  The Cavaliers' front office orchestrated some great trades to not only shed the team of several players who just weren't working out (Isaiah Thomas, Derrick Rose, Jae Crowder), but also to bring in a great mix of young (Larry Nance, Jr.; Jordan Clarkson; Rodney Hood) and veteran (George Hill) talent.  The Cavs were able to hold a practice yesterday on their off day to work on the integration of the new players.  All of the players will be available today, though Cleveland's starting lineup should be similar (with one exception) to the one used in its last game, a blowout win over Atlanta.  Thus, I expect LeBron James, Cedi Osman and Tristan Thompson to start in the frontcourt, with JR Smith and newcomer George Hill in the backcourt.  Once Kevin Love returns, Cleveland will once again be the team to beat in the Eastern Conference.  But even without Love, I give them the edge this afternoon vs. Boston.  Take the Cavs + the points.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the New York Rangers.  The Jets are an awesome 20-6 at home this season, but did lose their previous game, 5-2, to the Blues.  But the Jets are 15-7 off a loss, and 26-11 at home off a loss by more than two goals.  Take Winnipeg.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Long Beach State 49ers minus the points over Cal Poly SLO.  The 49ers dropped their previous game -- also here at home -- to Cal Davis.  But Long Beach is an awesome 67.8% ATS since 1990 at home in conference games off a conference home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:15 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over USC.  The Wildcats were upset in their last games -- also here at home -- by the UCLA Bruins.  But I expect Arizona to bounce back tonight, as Arizona's cashed 89% since 1990 as home favorites priced from -3.5 to -13.5 points off an upset home loss.  And the Wildcats are also 12-5 ATS their last 17 games vs. USC, including 5-1 ATS off a SU loss.  Lay the points with Arizona.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers minus the points over Portland.  The Tigers have covered their last three games (and also 11 of their last 12).  I won't step in front of this freight train here, at home, as Pacific is 97-68 ATS at home off a home game.  And those numbers improve to 50-28 ATS when Pacific is matched up against a revenge-minded foe (Pacific already blew out Portland this season).  Take Pacific minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over Montana.  Sacramento State comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Grizzlies have won 12 straight games, including a 12-point win over these Hornets back in January.  But I look for a letdown vs. Sacramento State tonight, as revenge-minded teams off a loss (like the Hornets) have gone 248-195 ATS vs. foes off 12+ wins.  Take Sacramento State.  NCAA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Tennessee Tech + the points over Belmont.  The Golden Eagles are 10-1 at home this season, yet find themselves installed as a big home underdog vs. Belmont.  I love playing on teams with strong home courts as home underdogs, and won't make an exception here, as Tennessee Tech falls into a 126-59 ATS system of mine which takes such teams.  Moreover, Tennessee Tech plays with revenge from a 13-point loss at Belmont.  And the Golden Eagles are 40-22 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat.  Take Tennessee Tech + the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers and Arizona Coyotes 'under' the total.  Both of these teams enter tonight's game off relatively-high scoring games on offense.  The Flyers tallied 5 goals on Thursday vs. Montreal, while Arizona scored four times in its upset win at Minnesota.  But I look for a much more low-scoring game tonight, as the Flyers have gone 'under' 157-122 after scoring 5+ goals in their previous game, while Arizona has gone 'under' in 19 of 26 games after scoring 4+ goals, and 29 of 42 games off a road win.  Take the 'under.'  NHL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Samford minus the points over The Citadel.  Samford's lost its last three games SU/ATS, but has covered 63% as a favorite since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses.  And it's also 4-1 ATS its last 5 meetings vs. The Citadel.  Lay the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Clippers.  The 76ers have won and covered eight straight games here, at home, including a 100-82 beatdown of New Orleans last night.  And Philly is 31-15 ATS at home since January 1, 2017.  That bodes well for the 76ers tonight.  Also, Philly is a solid 21-9 ATS after covering the spread by 10+ points in its previous game.  Lay the points with the Sixers. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Dartmouth.  Princeton has won 46 of the last 54 meetings straight-up vs. Dartmouth.  And it's also 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings here, in Hanover.  It's true that the Tigers come into this game off 3 straight losses.  But those defeats have triggered a 237-148 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites (or PK) off 3+ losses.  Finally, the Big Green is a poor 22-40-1 ATS as home underdogs of +4.5 or more points.  Take Princeton.  IVY LEAGUE GAME OF THE WEEK. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Dayton.   The Flyers won, 88-73, vs. Duquesne on Wednesday.  Unfortunately, Anthony Grant's men are an awful 1-10 SU/ATS off a win.  Even worse:  Dayton already blew out VCU, 106-79, earlier this season.  But VCU is 22-9-1 ATS when favored by less than 12 points, and playing with same-season revenge.  Take the Rams minus the points.

At 5:15 pm, our selection is on Arkansas Little Rock + the points over Troy.  It's true that Little Rock has lost seven straight, while Troy is on a 2-game win streak.  But Troy is a dismal 14-30 ATS when laying 2+ points off a win.  And it's also 2-6 its last eight games vs. Little Rock.   Meanwhile, Sun Belt Conference underdogs of more than 3 points are 60.2% ATS away from home if they lost their 6 previous games.  Take Little Rock.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Southern Miss.  Charlotte comes into this game on a nine-game losing streak, and a 5-17 overall record.  But the 49ers fall into 399-238 and 139-69 ATS systems of mine which play on certain awful teams to cover the spread.  Also, the 49ers are 9-1 ATS their last 10 meetings at Southern Miss (and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 meetings, regardless of venue).  Take Charlotte + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Nebraska.  Rutgers dropped its last game -- at home -- by 22 points to the Indiana Hoosiers, as a 2-point underdog.  But I love Rutgers to bounce back today off that horrible game, as it's cashed 72% since 1990 in conference games after failing to cover by 20+ points in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the 'Huskers are an awful 22% ATS since 1990 in conference games off an upset win, if their opponent is off a SU/ATS home loss.  Take Rutgers.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Quinnipiac Bobcats + the points over Canisius.  The Golden Griffins bested the Bobcats by eight points, 82-74, on January 5.  And Canisius has also won its last three games.  Unfortunately, since 1990, Canisius is an awful 38% ATS as a favorite off back to back wins, including 28% ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Quinnipiac.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Rainbows, by virtue of being several hours away from the mainland, have always had a strong home court advantage.  And tonight's game falls into a very good long-term situation for Hawaii, as it's off a home loss (and four straight losses, overall).  And, since 1990, the Rainbows have covered 61% in conference games at home off a home loss (and 74% if they also lost two games back)!  Lay the points with Hawaii.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Boston Celtics.  Interestingly, both of these teams come off of games vs. the Wizards.  Boston had to go to overtime last night to defeat Washington, so will be a bit tired tonight vs. the Pacers.  That doesn't bode well for Boston, as it will be facing a very well-rested Pacers team which has had the last 3 days off following its home loss to the Wizards on Monday.  Even better:  Indy will be playing with revenge tonight from a 1-point loss suffered in their previous meeting, in December.  And the Pacers are 131-71 ATS off a loss when rested, and playing with revenge vs. an opponent off a win.  Take Indiana.  NBA Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Colorado Avalanche.  It looks like another winning season for the St. Louis Blues, and if they do in fact keep it up, it will be 10 of those in a row for one of the most consistent teams in the game.  The big prize has eluded St. Louis during that time, but no doubt the Blues are hoping that patience and hard work will eventually pay off.  They are well within striking range of the first place Jets, and tonight they get a very favorable match-up at home against the Avalanche.  As consistent as the Blues have been, that's how unpredictable the Avs have been.  They beat the Sharks at home in their last game, but lost four of five on the road before that and tonight they have to travel to a very difficult place to try to get out of their road funk.  The Avs are 1-8 in the last nine meetings and 2-12 in the last 14 trips to the Gateway City.  Take the Blues.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Ottawa Senators.  After making it all the way to Stanley Cup Finals last season -- their first trip there -- the Predators are hoping to return in 2018.  And there's reason to believe they just might do it.  With 72 points heading into tonight, the Preds are right on the heels of the first-place Winnipeg Jets and the team leading the other division -- and Western Conference -- the upstart Vegas Golden Knights.  How strange would a Nashville-Vegas NHL Conference Finals seem?  The Preds got a point last night but lost a tough one in a shoot-out in Toronto.  They'll be happy to get back home where they are 18-8 this season.  Perhaps the only thing worse than being a bad team is being a bad team with a lot of injuries.  And that's exactly the situation that the Senators find themselves in right now with no fewer than eight regulars either out indefinitely or questionable for tonight's game with various ailments.  Nashville is 6-1 in the last seven meetings with the Senators.  Take the Predators.  NHL High Roller. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Clemson.  We played against Pitt this past Saturday, and cashed a huge play on North Carolina when it blew out the Panthers, 96-65.  But that was Pitt's only point spread defeat in its past six games.  So, we'll reverse course, and look for Pitt to resume its winning ATS ways on this Thursday.  For technical support, consider that ACC Conference teams have gone 77-43-4 ATS as underdogs (or PK) off 25-point (or worse) defeats, provided their opponent wasn't also an ACC team off a 25-point loss.  Also, the Panthers fall into several of my favorite NCAA systems, with records of 184-87, 117-65 and 101-42 ATS.  Take Pitt.  ACC Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal Riverside.  Both teams enter this game on losing streaks:  Hawaii's dropped its last three; Riverside's lost its last 10.  But we'll lay the points with the homestanding Rainbow Warriors, as they've dominated this series, with 8 wins (both SU and ATS) in the last 11 meetings.  Additionally, the Highlanders have covered just 24 of their last 65 games, while Hawaii falls into a 237-147 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off 3+ losses.  Lay the points with Hawaii.  Big West Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Phoenix.  The Spurs have lost their last three games against the point spread.  And that bodes well for the Silver and Black tonight, as they're 32-8 ATS as road favorites of -10 or less points, if they're playing a .520 (or worse) opponent.  Phoenix will be without its best player -- Devin Booker -- tonight, so that bodes well for the Spurs.  Moreover, the Suns have the worst defensive efficiency rating in the NBA, so the Spurs' offense should get back on track.  Lay the points.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Boston Bruins.  The Bruins' #1 center Brad Marchand partook in the NHL All-Star festivities despite being suspended five games for an elbow he laid on New Jersey's Marcus Johansson on January 23.  With the suspension lifted, Marchand should return to his team tonight at Madison Square Garden, but the Boston star will need to shake off the rust that will likely be the result of not having played in a game in two weeks.  The Bruins will give #1 netminder Tuukka Rask the night off and his back-up Anton Khudobin will be between the pipes tonight.  But his team has lost five of Khudobin's last eight starts in goal going back to December 4 of last year, so the veteran is looking for a bit of a turnaround.  But this has been a very host-friendly series lately as the home team is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.  And the Bruins are 0-7 in the last seven meetings and 7-20 in the last 27 in New York.  Meanwhile, the Rangers are 18-8 after two or more consecutive losses over the past two seasons.  Take New York.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Oklahoma City.  We played on the Warriors two games ago and got the $$$ when they defeated Sacramento in a revenge game, 119-104.  Golden State is now 33-18 its last 51 games when playing with revenge, and tonight's game is one of those, as the Thunder bested the Warriors, 108-91, in Oklahoma City back in November.  Take Golden State to hand the reeling Thunder their fifth straight loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos over Boise State.  These two teams met earlier this season in Boise, and the Broncos blew out the Lobos by 28 points, 90-62.  But that huge loss sets up our play tonight, as New Mexico falls into a 74% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses by 27+ points.  Additionally, New Mexico falls into a 'contrarian' angle of mine which is 93-48 ATS which plays on certain teams, with a worse record, favored over a better opponent.  Finally, New Mexico is a solid 130-93 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including 43-27, 63.1% ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  And it's 5-2-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) conference defeat.  Take the Lobos tonight.  NCAA Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Missouri.  The Rebels lost at Tennessee by 33 points on Saturday.  But Ole Miss is a super 19-1 ATS off an SEC loss away from home, including 14-0 ATS since Jan. 27, 2016.  And it's also 22-11 ATS as a conference home favorite, if its opponent is off back to back wins.  Take Mississippi.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Nebraska.  The 'Huskers have won their last three games, and have covered their last five.  But this is an awful set-up for Nebraska, as it will have to take on a Gophers squad which is looking to snap a 5-game losing streak.  And Minny also will be playing with revenge from an upset loss to these Cornhuskers in Lincoln, in December.  Minnesota actually almost ended its losing streak over the weekend, but fell in overtime in Ann Arbor to the Wolverines, as a 12.5-point underdog.  But tonight's game is in Minneapolis.  And the Cornhuskers are an awful 25-57 ATS as an underdog (or PK) away from home after covering the spread by more than 3 points (and winning straight-up) in its previous game, including 3-9 ATS if its opponent was playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Minnesota.  Big 10 Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Boston College.  We played on Boston College on Sunday, and were rewarded with a win (and cover) in overtime vs. Georgia Tech.  The Eagles now have to travel to South Bend, Indiana to take on an Irish squad which is mired in a 7-game losing streak.  But the good news for Notre Dame is that favorites of more than 6 points off 7+ losses have gone 57% ATS at home (or on a neutral court) since 1990.  Take the Irish.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks won their last game -- 99-96 at New York -- but have covered just four of their last 15 games off a straight-up win.  And they're 1-5 ATS their last six as favorites vs. the Grizzlies.  Even worse:  Atlanta falls into a 33-66 ATS system of mine which fades certain bad teams as home favorites off SU wins.  Take the Grizzlies.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Boston.  The Raptors lost by a point earlier this season in Boston, but I love them to avenge that defeat tonight.  Toronto's currently on a 4-game win streak at home, and the last two wins were by 15+ points.  Those two victories have triggered an 88-37 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back blowouts.  Also, Toronto's 27-12 ATS its last 39 division games, including 6-2 ATS vs. the Celtics (4-0 ATS at home vs. Boston).  Lay the points. NBA Division Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Vegas Golden Knights.  Sometimes, when a team goes nuts on offense against a big rival, that same team can come back in the next game (especially when it's the next night) looking like it left everything on the ice with nothing left in the tank.  Such is the case with the Penguins, who had a huge victory over the Caps on Saturday night at home, putting up seven goals in a dominant 7-4 shellacking.  But on Sunday, the Pens traveled east to New Jersey and looked like a totally different team.  They managed just 16 total shots on goal (after putting up 39 against DC) and lost in an embarrassing 3-1 beat-down by the Devils.  Tonight they're back home against the surprising Golden Knights and this will also mark the return to Pittsburgh (for the first time) of long-time Pens goalie Marc-Andre Fleury, who was selected by the Knights in the expansion draft last June when the Pens left him unprotected.  Pittsburgh is 8-0 in its last eight home games off of a road loss and 28-8 at home off a loss, generally.  And it's also 42-14 off a loss by 2+ goals.  Take the Pens.  NHL High Roller Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Orlando.  It's true that the Cavs have been big-time $$$-burners this season, with a 14-36-1 ATS record.  But I love them tonight vs. the Magic, as Cleveland has dominated Orlando, with a 19-2 SU and 16-5 ATS record over the past six seasons.  And the Cavs will also play this game with two days' of rest, while the Magic will be unrested following a game last night in Miami.  Take the Cavaliers minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Toledo.  It's true that the Huskies were blown out by 16 points, on Saturday, as a 3.5-point home favorite by Miami-Ohio.  But the Huskies are a solid 49-27 ATS as a double-digit underdog off a loss, and 42-22 ATS away from home off a home loss.  And they also fall into a 386-208 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off losses.  Take the Huskies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears + the points over Indiana State.  Missouri State is 2-7 SU and 0-9 ATS its last nine games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Bears, but underdogs on a 9-game (or worse) point spread losing streak have actually been decent bets over the years, and especially if the also lost their two previous games, straight-up (63.4% ATS).  Take Missouri State.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Xavier.  The Bulldogs are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, including a 23-point blowout of DePaul on Saturday.  We'll take the Bulldogs at home, as they fall into a 'momentum' system of mine which is 175-96 ATS which plays on certain home teams off 3+ SU/ATS wins.  Butler's also 8-0 ATS its last eight at home off a win.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Penn.  The Quakers are 15-6 this season, and are undefeated in Ivy League play.  But this will actually be their first road game in the Ivy League, after opening league play with five straight home games.  And the Quakers have covered just nine of their last 29 Ivy League road games!  They've also lost their last eight games, straight-up, at Princeton.  Take the Tigers minus the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over the Utah Jazz.  The Utah Jazz enter the week as one of the league's hottest team, as they've won five straight games (both SU and ATS).  And even more impressive has been their offensive production, as they've scored 129, 129 and 120 points in their last three wins!  Moreover, their five opponents have not been creampuffs, as four of the wins were of the upset variety, against quality foes (Pistons, Raptors, Warriors and Spurs).  That being said, we'll fade the Jazz tonight, as road teams have been poor on the road off 5 SU/ATS wins, if they're matched up against a rested opponent off a straight-up loss.  Since 1990, they've gone 81-104-10 (43.7% ATS).  Also, teams off back to back wins are a poor 89-130-4 ATS if they scored more than 116 points in their previous game, and their opponent is off a SU loss.  Take the Pelicans over the Jazz on Monday.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New England.  The Eagles upset the Vikings as 3-point home underdogs.  And it wasn't even close, as the Eagles won by 31 points (38-7).  Meanwhile, the Patriots failed to cover vs. Jacksonville, as they won by just four (24-20), as a 7.5-point favorite.  That doesn't bode well for New England in the Super Bowl, as teams off a point spread defeat in the Conference Championship round have covered just 25% in Super Bowls since 1980.  Moreover, it's tough to play away from home in the post-season, and lay points to a team -- like Philadelphia -- with the better defense (the Eagles' defense rates 1.0 ppg better than the Patriots' defense).  Indeed, Playoff teams that owned the better defense have covered 73% in this situation over the last 38 years (and 85% if they were getting 3+ points).  Finally, teams (like Philadelphia) off back to back wins in which they weren't favored by 3+ points in either of those victories, have gone 8-0-1 ATS in Super Bowls since 1998.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total.  The Over falls into several of my best Totals systems, with records of 49-15, 90-62 and 98-58 since 1980.  Also, over the past six Playoff seasons, Bill Belichick's Patriots have gone 'over' the total 9-4-1, including a perfect 5-0 'over' if New England didn't go 'over' in its previous game.  Meanwhile, the Eagles have gone 'over' the total in 16 of their last 20 games away from home, including 10-0 'over' if the Eagles were an underdog of +6 points or less.  Finally, the Patriots have generally gone 'over' the total when Belichick has had two weeks to prepare, as they've gone 'over' 12-2 the past six seasons in this situation, including 6-0 'over' the past three seasons.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the San Jose Sharks.  The folks in Carolina were probably hoping they'd have a football team playing later today, but the NFL Panthers were knocked out of the playoffs and so fans will have to settle for the NHL team instead.  The 'Canes will be playing at home against a very consistent San Jose club.  But unfortunately for the Sharks, in this case consistent simply means consistently mediocre.  The Sharks have won 46 games each of the last two seasons, and they're on track to finish 2018 with right around that same number which should once again get them to the playoffs with little else to show for it.  San Jose simply can't seem to make the transition from a good to a great team, something that's haunted it pretty much from day one.  Carolina is in the same boat -- but worse -- although the 'Canes have been playing better lately, having won three in a row before losing to Detroit last time out.  This will be the Sharks' fourth consecutive road game and they are 2-11 in their last 13 road games after being away from home for their three previous.  Take Carolina.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Eagles are at home in Chestnut Hill for this afternoon contest vs. the Yellow Jackets after dropping their last two games (both SU and ATS) vs. Virginia Tech and Syracuse.  But the good news for BC is that it has covered 10 straight at home after not registering an ATS win in either of its two previous games.  And Boston College also falls into a 129-57 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off 3+ losses.  Finally, since 1990, ACC Conference teams are 67% ATS as home favorites off 3+ losses when matched up against a foe with a .500 (or better) SU/ATS record.  Take Boston College.  NCAA High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz won last night by 32 points at Phoenix.  But they'll have a much more difficult time this evening in the Alamo City, as the Spurs had last night off.  And San Antone will also be looking to avenge their loss to the Jazz earlier this season.  San Antonio is a super 84-52-2 ATS vs. unrested foes over the last nine seasons, including 27-13 ATS if the Spurs lost their previous game.  Lay the points with San Antonio.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Pittsburgh.  We played on the Panthers in their last game, and got the $$$ when they covered against Miami.  That was the Panthers' fifth straight ATS win.  But we'll fade them this evening in Chapel Hill, as they'll be up against a Tar Heel squad which should be in an ornery mood after losing its last three games (both SU and ATS).  But the good news for North Carolina is that favorites (or PK) off back-to-back losses have gone 72-46 ATS since 1990 vs. conference foes off 5+ ATS wins, including 15-4 ATS as favorites of 9+ points.  Take the Tar Heels.  NCAA Big Chalk Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Colorado Avalanche.  It may sound a little odd to start a sentence with the words, "the first place Winnipeg Jets" but that's what we're dealing with right now in one of the strangest seasons the Western Conference of the NHL has ever seen.  And even if the Jets and/or (equally surprising division-leading) Golden Knights aren't in first place come mid-April, it's still been quite an unexpected trip to this point.  You can sum up the Jets' success thus far with two words -- home ice.  The Jets have lost just five of 23 games played here at Bell MTS Centre, and two of those were in overtime.  And tonight they just happen to be playing one of the teams that is similar to them as the Avs are 18-8 at home, but just 10-14 on the road, and they have a huge negative scoring differential when playing away from Denver.  And this is also a very home-friendly series lately as the hosts are 6-0 in the last six meetings.  Finally, Winnipeg is 9-0 in its nine home games coming off of a loss this season.  Take the Jets.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Ottawa Senators.  The Senators have been dreadful since November 16, as they're 8-25 their last 33 games, including 2-16 their last 18 road games.  Yikes!  More bad news for Ottawa:  forward Bobby Ryan was injured in Thursday's win, so he'll be replaced on Ottawa's top line by rookie right winger Colin White.  The Flyers are 4-1-1 in their last six meetings vs. Ottawa, and I look for the Flyers to snap their 3-game losing streak this afternoon.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Sacramento.  Everyone knows the Warriors are (by far) the best team in basketball.  For the season, they are 40-11 straight-up and 22-29 ATS.  Of course, there's nothing wrong with a 40-11 record.  But upon close inspection, what jumps out is that they've lost six home games.  And five of those losses were to mediocre (or worse) teams:  Detroit, Sacramento, Denver, Charlotte, and the LA Clippers.  Those are teams that the Warriors could beat in their sleep.  So, the fact that they've lost those five home games really means just one thing:  the Warriors are going through the motions this regular season.  Because of this, if one is going to play on the Warriors, one has to try to find a spot where they will come to play.  Tonight is one of those spots.  First, Golden State was blown out in its last game by Utah, 129-99.  And that not only was the most points the Warriors have given up this season, but it also was their largest defeat (30 points) in the regular season in almost two years (137-105 loss to Portland, Feb. 19, 2016).  But Golden State is 36-17 ATS off a loss by 9+ points if their opponent is off a win (and Sacramento is, indeed, off a win).  The second reason I love the Warriors tonight is that they play with revenge from that aforementioned home loss to Sacramento.  And the Warriors are 11-1 (92%) ATS when playing a regular season game with revenge vs. a conference foe.  Take Golden State.  NBA Conference Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes over Utah.  The Buffaloes were swept by Utah in the two meetings last season, but I love Colorado to avenge those losses this evening.  And especially because Colorado checks into this game on a 3-game losing streak (while Utah is on a 3-game ATS win streak).  Indeed, since 1990, revenge-minded teams off a SU/ATS loss (and 3+ losses, overall) have gone 380-313 ATS vs. conference foes off three straight ATS wins.  Additionally, Colorado is a solid 25-11 ATS at home off 3+ losses.  Take the Buffaloes.  NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.