Sports Picks & Predictions

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Towson.  The Hawks have been installed as a big underdog this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as Colonial Athletic Ass'n road underdogs of +9 (or more) points have gone 89-56 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Monmouth.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Colgate.  The Raiders are on a 5-game win streak, and are 11-7 on the season.  But we'll take the underdog Bison, as Bucknell has cashed 65% as an underdog off a SU loss, if they were playing a .600 (or better) foe.  Grab the points with Bucknell.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Harvard.  The Lions are catching double-digits this afternoon from Harvard.  Columbia is 88-55 ATS away from home when getting more than 9 points, so that bodes well for the road team.  And the Crimson are a poor 25-42-2 ATS as a home favorite in Ivy League games off a SU loss.  Take Columbia.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Georgia.  The Rebels are on a 5-game losing streak.  But we'll lay the points this afternoon, as SEC favorites have gone 96-59 ATS off back to back losses when matched up against a conference foe which owned a winning conference record.  Take Mississippi.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers + the points over St Josephs.  The Hawks are on a 4-game losing streak, and have also failed to cover three straight.  They're installed as a home favorite vs. Loyola.  But St Joe's is a poor 28% ATS at home since 1990 off back to back losses, if they were also playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Additionally, the Ramblers fall into a super 129-61 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off SU/ATS losses.  Take Loyola + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers defeated the Wildcats in last year's SEC Tournament, as a 3-point underdog.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Wildcats, as Kentucky is 46-36-4 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset conference loss.  And Tennessee is 7-23 ATS off a win, when playing an opponent it upset in the previous meeting.  Take Kentucky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over Miami-Fla.  These teams met 5 weeks ago in Miami, and the Hurricanes took an 80-73 victory.  We'll take NC State in this rematch, as it's cashed 61% since 1990 in ACC Conference games, if it was favored and playing with revenge from a loss in the season's first meeting.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers over the Denver Nuggets.  The Nuggs blew out Phoenix, 126-97, on Wednesday to run their win streak to 4 games.  But all four games were at home.  They'll now play on the road, where they've dropped five of their last seven.  Denver is also 49-85-1 ATS on the road off a SU/ATS win, including 25-54-1 ATS off a double-digit win.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Sacramento Kings.  The Rockets and Kings met here, in Sacramento, on Wednesday, and the Kings blew out Houston, 135-115.  We'll take Houston in the rematch, as double-digit road dogs have covered 61% off a 20-point (or worse) loss to the same opponent in their previous game.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over San Antonio.  The Warriors have lost three straight games -- all as a home favorite -- so they'll look to get off the schneid tonight.  This game will be played at the Alamodome (which I still wish was the Spurs' home venue), and will break the all-time attendance record, as 63,592 tickets have already been sold.  Since 1990, defending NBA champs have covered 61% as road favorites of -6 (or more) points off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Warriors minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Indiana.  Trae Young has been upgraded to probable, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on the Hawks tonight.  Young didn't play on Wednesday vs. Milwaukee.  Understandably, the Hawks were hammered, 114-105.  And they also lost to Indiana, 129-114, in late December.  We'll take Atlanta tonight, as road favorites off a home loss, and playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, have gone 182-138 ATS.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St Peter's Peacocks + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Bobcats come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Unfortunately, they're 0-9-1 ATS when priced from -4 to -13 points off back to back ATS wins.  Additionally, the Peacocks are 125-91-5 ATS as a road underdog.  Grab the points with the Peacocks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over Florida.  The Panthers upset the Avalanche, 5-4, in Denver, on Tuesday.  But off that win, we'll fade Florida here, in Las Vegas, tonight.  Florida is a dreadful 4-14 off a win this season, including 0-5 if they won their previous game by a single goal.  And Vegas is 46-31 off a loss.  Take the Golden Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Seattle.  The Redhawks are 12-4, and have won their last 4 games.  But we'll fade Seattle tonight, as New Mexico State is 10-2 ATS its last 12 vs. foes with a .750 (or better) record.  Grab the points with the Aggies.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Sacramento State.  The Bears are 0-4 in conference play following their loss at home to Montana on Saturday.  We'll grab the points with Northern Colorado, as Big Sky Conference teams have gone 96-55 ATS in conference games away from home if they were off a loss, if they didn't own a winning conference record.  Grab the points with the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Arizona St.  The Sun Devils are back on the Pac-12 road after a 3-game home stand.  ASU won its last two games, with wins over Washington State and Washington.  Unfortunately, the Sun Devils are a nasty 39-54-7 ATS on the road off back to back home games.  Lay the points with Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Mavericks are 40-20-3 ATS off back to back losses, and 82-59-4 ATS as an underdog.  And if the Mavs were a road underdog off back to back losses, then they've gone 19-8-1 ATS.  Take Texas Arlington + the points tonight.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the St. Louis Blues.  Tonight the Flames and Blues play their second straight game in St. Louis (unlike the more common "home-and-home" two-game series).  The Blues took the first meeting on Tuesday in a close 4-3 overtime affair.  Despite being the road team again, the Flames are solid favorites tonight in this rematch.  The Blues have actually done better away from St. Louis this season than here at Enterprise Center where their record is just 8-8-2.  St. Louis won that last game despite a plethora of injuries.  The Blues' blue line has been decimated as no fewer than five defensemen are out indefinitely or questionable for tonight's game.  Those absences have resulted in an average of almost 3.6 goals-per-game allowed -- much worse than the 2.91 number this team put up last season.  The Blues are 3-8 in their last 11 games when playing with one day off.  But the most telling statistic for tonight is that Calgary is 6-0 in its last six games revenging a loss against an opponent as a road favorite.  Take the Flames.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Boston.  The Nets' hot streak reached 14-1 their last 15 with a 102-101 road victory over Miami.  And what's been most impressive about Brooklyn's tear is that 10 of those 15 games were on the road.  Brooklyn's back home for this game, and it will be just its fourth home game since December 10.  The Nets, though, have thoroughly dominated here, at home, as they won those three games by 30 (Golden State), 18 (Milwaukee) and 36 (San Antonio).  We'll look for another big game by Brooklyn tonight against the unrested Celtics, who won last night vs. New Orleans.  Brooklyn is 65-38 ATS as a rested underdog vs. unrested foes off a win.  Take Brooklyn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes minus 1.5 goals over Columbus.  The Hurricanes are on a 4-game losing streak.  But they scored 3 goals in defeat, in each of those games.  And that bodes well for the road team tonight, as the Canes are 33-13 after scoring 3+ goals in 4 straight games.  Lay 1.5 goals with Carolina.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Missouri.  Texas A&M is 67-48-1 ATS as a single-digit home favorite, while Missouri is 36-63-4 ATS as a single-digit road underdog.  Lay the points with the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Tulane.  The Green Wave upset Temple in Philadelphia, 87-76, on Saturday.  But Tulane is a horrible 15-34 ATS in conference games off a road win.  Take SMU as a home dog tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Hofstra.  The Hawks were blown out by 32 points, 67-35, on Saturday by Drexel.  And that was Monmouth 5th straight loss (both SU and ATS), overall.  We'll take Monmouth as a double-digit road underdog tonight, as Colonial Athletic Ass'n teams have gone 89-55 ATS as road dogs of +9 (or more) points off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Monmouth.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the High Point Panthers minus the points over Charleston Southern.  The Buccaneers upset Presbyterian, 67-61, as a 3-point road underdog on Saturday.  They're now installed as a small home underdog vs. the Panthers, who are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Unfortunately, Charleston Southern is a poor 11-20 ATS as an underdog of less than 11 points.  And NCAA road favorites have cashed 62% vs. .400 (or better) foes when our road favorite was on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Lay the points with High Point.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks over Alabama.  When these teams last met, Alabama edged Arkansas, 68-67, at home, as a 5-point favorite.  We'll take Arkansas tonight, as 'Bama is 34-73 ATS away from home in the regular season when priced from -3 to +6.5, if it was off a win, and not playing with revenge.  Take the Razorbacks.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Connecticut.  Marquette is on a 4-game SU/ATS winning streak, and falls into a 68-34 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3+ SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles are 52-32 ATS as an underdog off back to back ATS wins.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Navy minus the points over Lafayette.  The Midshipmen were upset by Lehigh, 78-73, as a 9-point home favorite on Sunday.  We'll take Navy to bounce back tonight, as it's 10-5 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack blew out  San Jose St, 67-40, on Saturday.  But San Diego St is 90-53-1 ATS as a favorite (or PK) vs a foe off a win by more than 8 points.  Take the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns have won the last 3 meetings in this series, but will field a much different team tonight due to their injuries.  And the Suns are struggling mightily without their best players, as they have lost six straight games.   Golden State is also on a losing streak, but a much smaller one.  The Orlando Magic upset Golden State, 115-101, on Saturday.  And that was Golden State's 2nd straight upset defeat here, at home.  We'll take the Warriors to bounce back, as they're 131-96 ATS off back to back losses, including 24-12 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points.  Moreover, the Warriors are 25-14 ATS when playing with double revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the St Louis Blues.  The news on the injury front got even worse for St. Louis last week, as defensemen Nick Leddy and Robert Bortuzzo sustained injuries.  For a team already missing Vladimir Tarasenko, Ryan O'Reilly, Torey Krug, Marco Scandella and Scott Perunovich, it was the last thing coach Craig Berube wanted.  Berube will continue to cobble together makeshift lines, but his team will be hard-pressed to win tonight.  The Blues are 7-10 at home this season.  Even worse:  they're 0-8 at home vs. opponents that were averaging 3+ goals per game.  With the Flames averaging 3.1 gpg, we'll take Calgary tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Temple.  The Golden Hurricane have lost 4 straight games (both SU and ATS), but are undervalued tonight.  Temple is 1-11 ATS on the road when playing an opponent off back to back losses (and on a 3-game ATS losing streak).  Take Tulsa + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Seattle Kraken.  Last night, Seattle shut out Montreal, 4-0, while the Sabres were shut out, 4-0, by Philadelphia.  We'll take Buffalo to bounce back this evening, as Seattle will be playing on the road without rest for the first time all season.  Philipp Grubauer will get the start in goal for Seattle tonight, while Eric Comrie will be back on the ice for the first time since his mid-November injury.  Seattle has won just one of Grubauer's last seven starts.  And it's 4-10 its last 14 when playing without rest.  Take the Sabres.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Irish have lost their last 3 games SU/ATS.  But over the last 33 years, ACC teams off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 68% as single-digit favorites vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS loss.  And the Irish are 7-0 ATS the last seven meetings vs. Ga Tech.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over VCU.  The Ramblers have lost four straight games, and are a home dog tonight vs. the Rams, who won, 89-72, vs. Davidson, on Saturday.  We'll fade the Rams, as they're a poor 15-29 ATS on the conference road off a SU/ATS win, if they're playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Loyola-Chicago + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams + the points over Dayton.  The Rams are 12-1 at home, but have been installed as a big home dog vs. the Flyers, who are on a 6-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately for Dayton, it's an awful 2-14 ATS on the road when it's been on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Take Fordham.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys + the points over Kansas St.  The Wildcats upset Baylor on the road, 97-95, in overtime on Saturday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Wildcats at home tonight, as it falls into a negative 30-81 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Wildcats are a wallet-burning 14-25 ATS off back to back wins, if it was off an upset win in its previous game.  Grab the points with Oklahoma St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Los Angeles Kings.  The Kings are on an 8-2-1 run, including a 5-1 blowout of Vegas, on Saturday.  Unfortunately for the Kings, they're 10-21 at home after scoring more than 3 goals in their previous game, and 42-71 (minus 35.1 net games) following a win by more than 3 goals.  Meanwhile, Edmonton has won 34 of its last 48 division games.  Take the Oilers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Lakers enter tonight's game on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak.  And Los Angeles was an underdog in each of those 5 games!  Will it make it six-in-a-row tonight?  I don't think so, as the Lakers are a poor 26-47-4 ATS in the regular season vs. .600 (or better) foes, if L.A. is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Oral Roberts.  The Lobos come into this home game off back to back upset losses to Fresno and UNLV.  We'll lay the points with New Mexico, as it's 12-2-1 ATS its last 15 (and 39-19-2 ATS its last 60) at home off back-to-back losses.  Take the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs are the defending champs, and are a deserved favorite.  But they've been an average team against the point spread this year.  They're 7-7 ATS, and have gone 4-4 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 1.75.  In contrast, TCU is 10-2-2 ATS, and has gone 5-0-2 ATS away from home, with an average point spread differential of 7.00.  Additionally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 14-5 ATS in the Bowls when installed as an underdog of more than 9 points.  We'll take the points with the Horned Frogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after 3 upset wins over the Nets, 76ers and Jazz.  Tonight, they'll face a revenge-minded Celtics team which is looking to avenge a 14-point loss to Chicago earlier this season.  We'll take Boston, as Chicago is a dismal 35-53 ATS  off 3 SU/ATS wins if they were matched up against a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  This is the 2nd game in two days for the Jazz, who lost in Chicago on Saturday, 126-118.  And that was Utah's sixth loss in its last seven games (2-5 ATS).  Utah is now 20-22, which is a far cry from its 10-3 SU/ATS start to the season.  In that 10-3 start, the Jazz defeated Utah twice.  But both of those games were in Salt Lake City.  Today's game is in Memphis, where the Grizzlies are 34-15 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge.  Utah's a poor 4-16 ATS on the road when its opponent has revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And it's 30-48-2 ATS when unrested and playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games (including 5-16-1 ATS when getting more than 6 points).  Take Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Florida Panthers.  The Panthers come into this game off back to back wins over the Coyotes and Red Wings.  But neither of those teams have won a majority of their games.  Dallas, on the other hand, has won 23 of 38.  The Panthers are a miserable 8-15 this season vs. winning foes, and they're 4-13 off a win.  Even worse, they're 1-8 vs. goalies with a Saves Pct. of 91.5% (Dallas' Jake Oettinger currently has a 92.0% Saves Pct).  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over the Minnesota Vikings.  The Vikings were blown out last week, and they’re now a road favorite against Nathan Peterman and the Bears.  Unfortunately for Minnesota, it’s 0-12 ATS as a division road favorite of -3 (or more) points if Minnesota lost its previous game.  And it’s 0-2 ATS this year, and 2-9 ATS its last 11 when favored by more than 5 points.  Meanwhile, the Bears are 21-5 ATS as a home dog if they were off back to back losses, and failed to cover the spread by more than 3 points in their previous game.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New York Jets/Miami Dolphins game.  These two teams met in Week 5, and the Jets bombed Miami, 40-17, and went over the total of 46 by 11 points.  The Dolphins will have the same quarterback (Skylar Thompson) they did for that game, while the Jets will be led by Joe Flacco (who started New York's first three games this season) rather than Zach Wilson.  Thompson actually was not the starter in that game, but he took over for an injured-Teddy Bridgewater on Miami's 2nd offensive play.  Thompson was 19 of 33 for 166 yards and an interception in that game.  With Flacco under center, New York's first three games this season averaged 44.3 ppg, and I expect New York's offense to move the ball against a Dolphins' defense which has allowed 33, 23, 32, 26 and 23 points in its last five games.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens Over the total.  This is the lowest Over/Under the Bengals have had since last year's final regular season game, when they matched up against the Cleveland Browns.  For my money, the number is too low.  Yes, Baltimore's offense is greatly hampered by the absence of Lamar Jackson.  But there's two sides to every coin, and Cincy's offense is humming right now.  Even last week against a good Buffalo defense, Cincinnati scored a touchdown on its first possession, and was on its way to a touchdown or field goal on its second possession when the game was halted.  The in-game Over/Under line was at 56.5 at the time the game was stopped.  The Bengals have scored an average of 29.28 ppg over their previous seven games, and I believe they'll find the end zone often this afternoon.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  This will likely be the first of back-to-back meetings between these AFC North rivals, as Cincinnati will probably be seeded #3, while the Ravens will probably earn the #6 seed in the conference seedings.  Anything could happen, of course, but that's the most likely scenario.  If they meet next week, there would also possibly be a major change in the Ravens' on-field personnel, as QB Lamar Jackson would make his return from injury.  For this game, Baltimore will once again start Tyler Huntley.  That gives the decided edge in this game to Cincinnati, which is playing the best of any team in the league.  Last Monday, in the cancelled game vs. Buffalo, the Bengals had scored a touchdown on their first possession, and looked to be on their way to scoring at least a field goal, if not a touchdown, on their second possession.  When the Bengals/Bills game was halted, the in-game line was Cincinnati -3.5, with an over/under of 56.5.  I believe the Bengals would have gone on to win that game.  This Bengals team is just not one I want to step in front of right now.  They’ve covered 12 of their last 13, with their only loss coming on Monday Night Football in a horrible situation against the Browns, who were looking to snap a 4-game losing streak.  The Bengals are an incredible 9-0 ATS their last 9 (and 20-4 ATS their last 24) when playing a winning opponent, if the Bengals were not getting more than 5 points.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over New Orleans.  The Mavs had last night off, while New Orleans lost, 108-102, to the red-hot Brooklyn Nets.  We'll take Dallas, as it's 29-13 ATS at home when favored by more than 5, and playing with rest against an unrested division foe.  And Dallas is also 20-6-1 ATS at home vs. the Pelicans, if New Orleans wasn't playing with revenge from a loss suffered earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the New York Rangers.  We played on the Devils on Wednesday vs. Detroit, and got the $$$ in a 5-1 win.  And we'll come right back with them here, at home, this afternoon vs. the Rangers.  It's true that New York is off three high-scoring wins over Florida (5-3), Carolina (5-3) and Montreal (4-1).  But the Rangers are a wallet-breaking 17-25 (minus 12.6 net games) off three straight games where they tallied 3+ goals. Take New Jersey.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over the Detroit Pistons.  The Spurs have been installed as a small favorite (as of this writing).  And it's just the 2nd time all season that the Spurs were favored.  Surprisingly, the only other time was against the Milwaukee Bucks, who (obviously) played without Giannis Antetokounmpo on that night.  The Spurs blew out Milwaukee, 111-93, in that game.  And they're now 21-12-1 ATS their last 34 as a favorite.  Even better:  the Spurs have gone 65-22 ATS at home vs. Eastern conference foes, if the Spurs were off a loss, and their opponent was not off a SU/ATS loss.  And San Antonio is 11-4 ATS the last 15 meetings vs. Detroit, including 7-0 SU and 6-1 ATS at home.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Arizona.  The Huskies come into this game off 3 home losses to Auburn (84-61), USC (80-67) and UCLA (74-49).  I love Washington to bounce back tonight, as it falls into a 269-173-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, NCAA teams off 3 SU/ATS home losses have gone 139-109-3 ATS away from home in the regular season since 1990.  Finally, Washington is a solid 40-24-1 ATS as a double-digit road underdog off a SU loss.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Houston.  The Jazz suffered their fifth straight defeat on Tuesday when Sacramento edged them for the 2nd time in five days, 117-115.  And the most frustrating part of this 5-game losing streak is that the losses have been by 4, 5, 1, 3 and 2 points.  Tonight, Utah will travel to Houston to take on the woeful Rockets.  Houston is also riding a 5-game losing streak.  But, unlike Utah, its losses have been by 24, 15, 20, 5 and 11 points.  The Rockets are an ugly 4-27 ATS at home off 3+ losses, if they were playing a rested foe with a losing record.  And Utah's 43-21 ATS off an upset home loss, if the Jazz were rested, and playing a losing team.  Take the Jazz minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin Cajuns minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Cajuns are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak after dropping a 70-66 decision to Old Dominion on Saturday.  But all of those losses were on the road.  The good news is that the Cajuns are back home tonight to take on the Monarchs.  And La-Lafayette has cashed 71% as a home favorite since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Louisiana Lafayette tonight.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Dallas.  The Celts were smashed, 150-117, by Oklahoma City in their previous game.  And that was their 2nd straight upset defeat.  But Boston is 14-1 ATS off back to back upset losses, if they were favored by 2+ points in their current game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Seattle Kraken.  The Seattle Kraken's dream season continues.  With their win over the Oilers on Tuesday, the Kraken improved their overall record to 20-12-4 in just their second season in the league.  That Tuesday victory was a revenge win as the Oilers beat the Kraken on December 30 in Seattle.  That game also started a grueling seven game road trip for the Kraken who will play the first four of those (including Tuesday) in Canada.  Tonight it will be the very tough environs of Scotiabank Arena to face a very good Toronto squad.  The Leafs have only lost twice in regulation here at home this season, so Seattle has its work cut out for it this evening.  These teams have only met twice in their history, with the Maple Leafs winning each of those (one in February 2022 and one in March).  In each of those games, the Leafs scored six times so look for more of the same from Matthews and company tonight.  Toronto is 9-2 in its last 11 games vs. Western teams and 5-0 in its last five vs. teams from the Pacific.  Take the Leafs.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Fort Wayne.  The Phoenix lost by 16 at Oakland, 81-65, as a 12-point underdog on Saturday.  And that was their 2nd straight ATS defeat.  But Green Bay is 72-52 ATS on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks + the points over Liberty.  The Gamecocks come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to North Alabama and Jacksonville.  But the Gamecocks have excelled as double-digit underdogs, as they're 66-42 ATS.  And they've also gone 27-14 ATS on the road off back to back ATS losses.  Take the Gamecocks + the points. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Connecticut.  Providence has won and covered 7 straight.  And this hot streak has triggered several 'momentum' systems of mine, with records of 33-4, 50-20 and 55-24 ATS.  Additionally, the Friars are 21-12 ATS as a home dog off a win.  Take Providence.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri.  Arkansas is 11-2 on the season while Mizzou is 12-1.  We'll lay the points with the Razorbacks, as they're 40-21-2 ATS at home vs. conference foes with a better SU/ATS record.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions + the points over Alabama State.  The Hornets defeated Mississippi Valley St, 70-61, on Monday.  But they're 13-20 ATS off a conference win.  We'll grab the points with Pine Bluff, as it falls into a 64.6% ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams as road underdogs.  Take the Golden Lions + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Nets blew out San Antone, 139-103, for their 12th win in a row.  We'll fade Brooklyn tonight, as NBA teams on a 5-game (or better) win streak, are 11-37 ATS off a win by more than 25 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Missouri St.  The Bears are a woeful 2-15-2 ATS at home when favored by more than 12 points.  Take Evansville as a double-digit dog.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over Samford.  Samford is 8-7 on the season, while VMI is 5-10, including back to back SU/ATS losses in its last two games.  We'll take the underdog, as VMI is 30-6 ATS as an underdog of +5 (or more) points when playing a foe with a winning record, while Samford is 0-7 ATS at home vs. losing teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the points with the Keydets.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies blew out Charlotte, 130-99, when these teams met earlier this season.  We'll take the Hornets to avenge that loss, as they're 52-35 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  Last night, OKC scored 150 in its upset win over Boston.  But unrested NBA road teams have covered just 36% the past 33 seasons off a home win in which they scored more than 140 points.  Take Orlando.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  Indiana comes into this game off 4 straight upset wins.  But each of those games was at home.  Now, the Pacers have to play on the road where they've won 17 of their last 60 games, straight-up.  Even worse:  NBA underdogs off back to back upsets in which they scored 120+ points in each victory have gone 10-29-1 ATS.  Take Philly minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Detroit Red Wings.  You can bet that the Devils are glad to see the month of December end.  New Jersey's NHL team entered the final month of 2022 with a sparkling 19-4 record.  But they had a dismal December, winning just four times in 13 games to drop their record to 23-13 -- still pretty good, but not nearly as dominant as their first two months.  The Devils are a very talented team, but also very young so big streaks like that are not all that surprising.  Tonight they'll face a team that struggled in the last month as much as they did.  Like New Jersey, Detroit went 4-9 in December to bring its overall record below the .500 mark (16-12-7).  The Wings' roster is missing several key players right now due to injury, including #1 goalie Ville Husso who missed the last two games with an illness and is doubtful to play this evening.  This series has not been very friendly to the hosts lately as the road team is 4-0 in the last four meetings.  The Red Wings are also 11-23 in their last 34 games following a victory.  Take New Jersey.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over The Citadel.  The Paladins enter tonight's game with a 10-5 record, while The Citadel is 6-8.  We'll lay the points, as the Paladins are an awesome 50-13 ATS vs. .455 (or worse) foes, if Furman was favored by 6+ points.  Take Furman to blow out The Citadel.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Tulane.  The Green Wave upset Memphis on Sunday, 96-89, as a 4-point home dog.  We'll fade Tulane tonight, as it is 0-8 ATS its last eight games off a SU win.  And it's 4-16-1 ATS at home off a conference win.  Take Tulsa + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Kansas State.  This is a great Big 12 match-up, as both teams enter on 6-game win streaks.  The Wildcats are 12-1 straight-up.  But they've also only played 1 game as an underdog on their opponent's home court this season.  And that was their lone loss, as they fell at Butler, 76-64, as a 2.5-point road underdog.  We'll lay the points with Texas, as it's 25-15-2 ATS off an ATS loss vs. a conference foe off an ATS win. And K-State is a poor 6-12 ATS as an underdog of more than 7 points away from home vs. a foe off a win.  Take Texas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over the Pitt Panthers.  The Virginia Cavaliers enter tonight's game looking up at the Pitt Panthers in the ACC Conference standings.  Pitt's a perfect 3-0, while Virginia is 2-1.  But Virginia's an awesome 28-9 ATS in ACC Conference play in the regular season when it owned the worse W/L record, including 18-4 vs. foes off back to back wins, and 14-4 ATS on the road.  Take Virginia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the St John's Red Storm + the points over Marquette.  The Red Storm have lost their last three games SU/ATS, while Marquette's off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We'll take the Red Storm to bounce back at home, as they're 21-2-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes, if St John's was off back to back ATS losses, and not getting 4+ points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Vegas Golden Knights.  If the season ended today prior to this game, the defending champion Avalanche would not make the post-season after Seattle's victory last night at home over the Islanders.  The Avs are off to a slower than expected start and have lost three straight coming into tonight -- their third three-game losing streak of the season.  The Knights have had their struggles lately as well, having won just three of their last seven games going back to December 17.  Their biggest problem right now is injuries as no fewer than nine regular Vegas players are temporarily on the shelf, out indefinitely, or lost for the season.  The Knights' goalie tandem of Logan Thompson and Adin Hill has not been sharp lately with Thompson allowing 12 goals over his last three starts and Hill allowing 10 over his last three.  The Avalanche are 49-14 in their last 63 after scoring two goals or less in their previous game.  They are also 6-2 in their last eight immediately after a home loss of three or more goals.  Take Colorado.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilers are 13-0, and ranked #1 in the country.  But they've had scant success "in Vegas" this season, as they're currently riding a 7-game ATS losing streak.  We'll take Purdue minus the points tonight, as it's 58-24-3 ATS at home off a point spread loss, when playing a Big 10 foe, and not favored by double-digits.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 1 pm, in the Cotton Bowl, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave and USC Trojans to go Under the total.  The Trojans had a meltdown in the 2nd half of the Pac-12 Championship game, as they allowed 30 points en route to a 47-24 loss.  Utah bullied the Trojans on the ground with 223 yards on 35 rushes, and Utes QB Cam Rising threw for 310 yards on 22-34 passing.  That was the Trojans' worst defensive performance of the season -- in terms of points surrendered -- and I expect that they will tighten things up today on that side of the ball.  Pac-12 teams have gone 19-8 Under their last 27 Bowl games, while American Athletic Conference teams have gone Under in 16 of their last 19 Bowl games.  Take the Cotton Bowl Under the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens and Pittsburgh Steelers OVER the total.  The Ravens come into this game off 4 straight unders, including a 17-9 win over the Atlanta Falcons last Saturday.  Lamar Jackson will once again be sidelined, so the knee-jerk reaction might be to look for yet another low-scoring game tonight.  And especially because the Steelers + Ravens went Under earlier this season in Baltimore's 16-14 win.  But the Steelers have gone Over the total 60% of their rematches the past 23 seasons if the previous meeting went Under the total.  And the Over also falls into Totals system of mine which is 102-55 since 1980.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Kraken over the New York Islanders.  The Kraken got off to a fast start this season, but ended 2022 with a thud.  On Friday, Seattle was blown out, 7-2, by Edmonton.  Even worse, that loss dropped the Kraken to 5th place in the Pacific division, and out of the playoff picture.  So, Seattle will look to bounce back tonight against an Islanders team on a 3-game win streak after a 2-1 win vs. Columbus.  But each of those three wins by New York came at home.  On the road, the Isles are 1-4 their last five.  And New York's also 76-103 (minus 37.4 net games) off 3 or more wins.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Ohio St.  The Buckeyes come into this Big 10 game off back to back blowout wins over Maine (95-61) and Alabama A&M (90-59).  Unfortunately for Ohio St, it's a dreadful 5-16 ATS off back to back wins, in which it scored 80% points, including 0-8 ATS if the Buckeyes weren't favored by more than 4 points.  And home dogs (like Northwestern) with a W/L percentage greater than .750, at Game 10 forward, have cashed 59% of conference games since 1990 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Green Bay Packers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Packers and Vikings met in Week #1.  Early in that game, rookie WR Christian Watson dropped a sure TD pass as he sprinted wide open down the right sideline.  That miscue was the key play in that game, and the Packers could never get their offense on track in the 23-7 loss.  Fast forward to mid-November, and Watson had still never hauled in a TD pass.  But he had his coming-out party in Green Bay's 31-28 overtime win vs. Dallas, as he caught 3 TD passes of 58, 39 and 7 yards.  The Packers snapped their five-game losing streak that afternoon, and have won three of their five games since to pull into the Playoff picture.  Should the Packers win today and next week, and the Commanders lose once more, the Packers would qualify for the playoffs.  So, today's game is huge for Aaron Rodgers & Co.  And the Packers are an awesome 72-42-4 ATS at home with Rodgers under center, including 29-10-2 ATS in the regular season vs. an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over SMU.  Tulsa was humiliated at home by Houston, 89-50, on Wednesday.  We'll look for Tulsa to rebound this afternoon, as it's 7-1 ATS off a loss by 28+ points.  Take the Golden Hurricane + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Washington St Cougars minus the points over USC.  The Cougars lost by a single point here, at home, to UCLA on Friday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Washington State against USC, which is on a 7-game win streak.  The Cougars are 24-6 ATS at home off a home loss, if matched up against an opponent off a win, and the Cougars were not getting 5+ points.  Take Washington St.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the UNDER in the Indianapolis/NY Giants game.  Last week, I had my Monday Night Football Total of the Year on the UNDER in the Colts/Chargers game, and was rewarded with a 20-3 Chargers victory.  The Colts managed just 69 rushing yards and 104 passing yards for the entire game.  I don’t see much more scoring here, as the Giants generally play Unders.  New York is 36-16 Under at home, including 18-5 Under when the line was less then 44 points.  And it's also 12-0 Under at home off a straight up loss.  Meanwhile, the Colts have gone 8-3 Under their last 11 on the road, and 31-18 Under off a loss.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Georgia.  The Buckeyes were a whopping 9-point home favorite, but were blown out in the 2nd half of their season-ending game vs. rival Michigan.  Ohio State actually held the lead, 20-17, at the break.  But it couldn't find the end zone after intermission, and lost, 45-23.  The Buckeyes, though, have excelled as an underdog in Bowl games, including 9-1 ATS when getting 4 or more points!  Even better:  Bowl underdogs, priced from +3.5 to +8 points, off an upset loss as a 9-point (or greater) favorite, have gone 10-0 ATS.  This will be a difficult match-up for the Bulldogs, who are 2nd in scoring defense (12.77 ppg), but whose pass defense ranks 51st, surrendering 215.1 passing yards per game.  Ohio State will be able to exploit Georgia's secondary, as OSU boasts the nation's top QB in passer efficiency rating (CJ Stroud), and a brilliant route-runner (Marvin Harrison, Jr) at WR.  Stroud threw for 3,340 yards, 37 TDs (and just six INTs), while Harrison had 72 receptions for 1,157 yards (16.1 avg yds), and 12 TDs.  Ohio State's covered 15 of 18 away from home off a home loss, including 9-0 ATS vs. .666 (or better) foes.  And, finally, defending National Champs are a wallet-busting 22-44 ATS away from home off a win, if priced from -4.5 to -14 points.  Take the Buckeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos + the points over St Mary's.  The Gaels knocked the Broncos out of last season's West Coast Conference tournament, with a 75-72 win.  We'll take Santa Clara to avenge that tournament loss, as it's gone 86-61-5 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog in conference games.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros + the points over San Francisco.  The Toreros were blown out by 27 points, 85-58, at St Marys in their previous game.  And that was San Diego's 2nd straight loss (both SU and ATS). But we'll take the Toreros to bounce back as they fall into a 449-247 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the St. Louis Blues.  The Wild were upset by Dallas at home, 4-1, on Thursday.  But I love them to bounce back tonight.  Last season, the Blues knocked Minnesota out of the playoffs with a 4-2 series win.  No doubt, the Wild have had this date circled on their calendar since the season started.  We'll take the Wild to avenge that playoff ouster, as they're 13-5 off a home loss by 2+ goals.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Tigers were blown out by BYU, 69-49, in their previous game, which was their West Coast Conference opener.  We'll take Pacific to bounce back, as home dogs, with a losing record, off a 20-point (or worse) loss in conference opener, have covered 70% as home dogs in their 2nd conference game vs. winning foes off a conference win.  Take Pacific.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over New Mexico.  The Cowboys come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  But they've covered 76.4% at home the past 33 seasons off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 84.6% in conference play.  Grab the points with Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over UAB.  The Blazers are a poor 12-18-1 ATS their last 31, including 4-10-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take UTSA + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Hilltoppers were upset at home by Rice in their previous game.  But Western Kentucky has gone 35-21-1 ATS as an underdog off a loss.  Take the Hilltoppers + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota State Jackrabbits minus the points over St. Thomas.  The Jackrabbits are a spectacular 53-26-1 ATS at home if they won their previous game.  With the Jackrabbits in off a 7-point triumph over Western Illinois, we'll lay the points today vs. the Tommies.  Take South Dakota State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Arkansas Bears + the points over Kennesaw St.  The Bears come into this game off a blowout loss (103-57) at the hands of TCU.  We'll take the Bears to bounce back, as they've cashed 71% off a loss by 33+ points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves.  The Braves were upset by Belmont in their last game, while Illinois Chicago won, 55-51, vs. Illinois St.  We'll take Bradley to bounce back as it's cashed 61% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. a conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Braves minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes minus the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks had their 6-game win streak snapped on Tuesday, 71-64,  by South Dakota State (though they covered the +8 point spread in that game).  We'll fade Western Illinois today, as they're 47-69-2 ATS in conference games off a conference loss, including 7-21-1 ATS off a point spread win.  Take South Dakota.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Elon.  Delaware comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses (vs. Ohio and Hofstra).  We'll take Delaware in this game, as it's 36-21-1 ATS Colonial Athletic Ass'n games off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over St Josephs.  The Billikens were upset by SIU-Edwardsville in the previous game, while St Joe's blew out Central Connecticut St, 83-66.  We'll take St Louis to rebound off that loss, as it's covered 64% since 1990 as a favorite off a loss, vs. a conference foe off a win.  Take the Billikens.

At 12 Noon, in the Music City Bowl, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Kentucky.  The Over/Under line (currently 31) is the lowest OU Line for any FBS game in the past 10 seasons.  And the Hawkeyes have excelled in games with low OU lines, as they're 7-1 ATS their last eight when the line has been less than 42 points.  Iowa's also 7-0-1 ATS their last eight in 'win situation' games where the line was less than 3 points.  The Hawkeyes have covered the point spread by an average of 4.70 ppg away from home this season, while Kentucky's point spread differential away from home has been -0.75.  That bodes well for the Hawkeyes.  As does the fact that they're 13-7-1 ATS their last 21 bowl games.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the OVER in the Iowa/Kentucky game.  This is the lowest OU line over the past 10 years in a game matching two FBS schools -- in part, due to the fact that each team will be playing without their starting quarterbacks.  Iowa will turn to 3rd string QB, Joe Labas, while Kentucky will have Destin Wade under center.  Still, by my math, the line is too low, and confers value on the OVER.  For technical support, consider that 63% of Big 10/SEC Conference matchups have gone OVER the total the past 10 seasons when the line was less than 60 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over the Rutgers Scarlet Knights.  Coppin State has been installed as a huge underdog tonight, at Rutgers.  We'll go against the Scarlet Knights, as they're an awful 9-22-1 ATS as a favorite of -14 (or more) points.  Even worse:  the Knights are 8-4 SU/ATS this season, including back to back SU/ATS wins over Wake Forest + Bucknell in their last two games.  But Rutgers is a miserable 18-40 ATS off back to back point spread wins, if it owned a winning SU/ATS record, including 0-9 ATS its last nine.  Take Coppin State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Wyoming.  These two teams will meet in the Arizona Bowl, in Tucson, this afternoon.  We'll go against a Cowboys team which laid an egg (literally, a 'Goose Egg'), as it was shut out, 30-0, by Fresno in its final regular season game.  Wyoming is a horrid 8-27 ATS away from home off a SU/ATS loss, if it wasn't getting 5+ points.  And the Cowboys are 3-18 ATS away from home after scoring 14 points or less, if they weren't getting 4+ points in their current game.  Lay the points with Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.