Sports Picks & Predictions

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over Dallas.  After an 11-2 stretch, the Wild have dropped seven of nine, including a 5-4 loss at Buffalo on Friday.  We'll look for the Wild to bounce back at home this afternoon, as they're hosting a Dallas team off three straight wins over Buffalo (4-2), Los Angeles (4-3) and Winnipeg (4-3).  But the Stars are a poor 7-16 on the road off a win, and 20-37 on the road off back to back wins by 1 goal.  Meanwhile, the Wild are 19-5 after allowing more than 3 goals in back to back games.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Phoenix.  The Bucks were blown out by 24 points last month in Phoenix.  We played on the Suns in that game, which was a big revenge match for them, given the Bucks won last year's NBA Finals against them.  But we'll take Milwaukee as the home favorite this afternoon, and go against the 51-12 Suns.  For technical support, consider that .783 (or better) NBA teams off a win are a dreadful 43-88-3 ATS at Game 50 forward, when not favored by 4+ points, and playing a rested opponent.  Take the Bucks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens over Drexel.  The Blue Hens are 0-3 SU/ATS their last three coming into this Colonial Athletic Ass'n Tourney game.  We'll take Delaware to snap their losing streak, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 58.3% in this Tournament since 1991.  Take the Blue Hens.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Tech Highlanders + the points over Vermont.  The Catamounts won the two previous meetings by 26 and 23 points, which sets up our revenge play this afternoon.  We'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech, as double-digit underdogs have gone 89-57 ATS when playing with revenge from two losses earlier in the season by more than 16 points.  Take New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers minus the points over UMass-Lowell.  The River Hawks swept the season series, 2 games to none.  But UMBC now falls into 96-56, 419-290 and 44-13 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, the Retrievers are 21-12 ATS in competitively-priced games with spreads less than 4 points, while the River Hawks are 9-13 ATS in such games.  Finally, America East Conference double-revengers are 34-18 ATS in this Conference tournament.  Lay the points with UMBC.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers minus the points over Morehead State.  The Racers come into this Ohio Valley Championship game with a 29-2 record, and a 19-game win streak after blowing out Southeast Missouri yesterday.  I won't step in front of this freight train, as teams on 9-game (or better) win streaks have covered 58.2% in conference tourney title games since 1992.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers minus the points over Georgia Southern.  The Eagles upset Coastal Carolina, 70-64, on Thursday, as a 5-point underdog.  But off that win, the Eagles now fall into negative 16-42 and 55-111 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams in tourney games off upset wins.  Georgia Southern is also 1-8 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Appalachian State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers defeated Miami here in South Florida, back in January.  So, Miami will look to avenge that defeat tonight.  We'll lay the points, as Miami is 88-61 ATS as a favorite of 5 or less points, and it's also 7-3 ATS its last 10 vs. the 76ers.  Take the Heat.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Charlotte.  With a Spurs victory tonight, the Spurs' Gregg Popovich will tie Don Nelson for the all-time record for regular season wins as a head coach.  One of the reasons that Popovich is in this position is because he generally gets his troops to avoid long losing streaks.  Tonight, the Spurs will look to snap a 3-game losing streak, and they're 36-24 ATS on the road in the regular season off 3+ losses.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Northeastern.  This is about as big of a revenge game as a team can have in College Basketball.  Less than 10 days ago, the Huskies thoroughly humiliated William and Mary by holding it to just 28 points, in a 62-28 defeat.  Needless to say, William and Mary will be out to redeem itself this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as William and Mary is an awesome 54-18 ATS when playing with revenge.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Troy Trojans minus the points over Arkansas Little Rock.  We played on Little Rock in its last game -- an upset win as a 12.5-point underdog -- over South Alabama.  But we will fade Little Rock this afternoon, as Troy is coming off a loss to Texas State.  And the Trojans are 9-1 ATS their last 10 off a loss.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Western Kentucky.  The Herd lost to the Hilltoppers three days ago, 86-72, in Huntington.  We'll grab the points in this rematch, as Marshall has covered 58% since 1990 as a revenge-minded, double-digit underdog off a SU/ATS loss (and 86% if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game).  Take the Thundering Herd + the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Notre Dame.  The Panthers come into this game off back to back home losses to Miami and Duke.  But Pitt is a super 14-3 ATS off back to back home defeats, while Notre Dame is a wallet breaking 27-57 ATS as a home favorite of -10 (or more) points vs. a foe not off an ATS win.  Take Pittsburgh + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  This is a rematch of a game played just two days ago.  The Owls went into Florida International, and blew out the Panthers, 71-51, as a 5.5 point road favorite.  We'll take the points in this rematch, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 63% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) home defeat to their opponent in the previous game.  Take Florida International.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Indiana.  The Boilers will be looking to bounce back this afternoon from losses at Wisconsin and Michigan State.  And they'll also be looking to avenge a defeat at Indiana, back in January.  We'll lay the points as teams with a .500 (or better) conference record have covered 62.6% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they were playing their final home game of the season, and favored by 6 (or more) points.  Even better:  Purdue's 30-17 ATS at home off a SU/ATS loss, and 16-4 ATS at home off a point spread defeat if it lost on the road to its opponent earlier in the season.  Take the Boilermakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over San Diego.  The Favorites have dominated in the West Coast Conference tournament, including 2-0 ATS yesterday, and 74-46 ATS their last 120 when priced at -11 or less.  We'll lay the points with the Pilots, as they also fall into a 239-149 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams not favored by double-digits vs. foes off a win.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears minus the points over Western Carolina.  The Catamounts upset Mercer less than two weeks ago, 69-65, as a 6-point home dog.  And they've now covered three straight games.  Unfortunately, the Catamounts are an awful 6-15-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins, including 1-10 ATS vs. foes with a losing conference record.  And they're 12-30 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they upset in the previous meeting.  Take Mercer minus the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  February was good to the Kings, who went 6-2 in the month which put them right in the mix for the Pacific Division title.  At one point between February 18 and 26, L.A. won five in a row.  March hasn't started out quite as well for the Kings, who will try to bounce back from a 4-3 loss to the Stars in their last game on Wednesday.  They travel to Columbus for the first time since December of 2019 when the Jackets prevailed, 3-2 in overtime.  Despite that loss, the Kings have done very well vs. Columbus, taking 19 of the last 28 meetings.  The momentum that Columbus has had lately has been somewhat stalled by a myriad of recent injuries.  Overall, the Jackets have no fewer than seven regular players out with various ailments, including two of their goaltenders (Korpisalo and Tarasov).  These cross-country match-ups have not been good for Columbus who is 0-4 in its last four vs. teams from the Pacific.  The favorite is 22-7 in the last 29 meetings of these two.  Take the Kings.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Miami-Ohio.  The RedHawks are one of the worst home favorites in college basketball, as they're 21-41-2 ATS including 0-10 ATS when priced from -7 to -10.5 points.  Take Eastern Michigan as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets upset Buffalo, 92-76, on Tuesday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Toledo this evening, as .636 (or better) Mid-American Conference favorites of more than 4 points, are a dismal 31-67 ATS in home conference games off an upset road win.  Take Bowling Green + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over High Point.  The Panthers upset the Eagles in the teams' lone meeting this past regular season.  We'll lay the points with Winthrop, as the Eagles are 18-7 ATS when playing with revenge.  And Southern Conference Tournament favorites are 26-16-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the The Citadel + the points over East Tennessee State.  The Bulldogs were blown out by 35 points last Saturday by Furman.  This afternoon, they'll look to bounce back from that defeat, and they will face a Buccaneers team which defeated them by 10 points on Feb. 19.  We'll grab the points as The Citadel is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 19-7 ATS its last 28) as an underdog of 14 (or less) points away from home off a loss by 14+ points.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona.  Stanford comes into tonight's game off back to back double-digt blowout losses.  And the Cardinal were favored in each of those two games.  We'll grab the points tonight, as NCAA double-digit dogs are a sensational 71% on the conference road, if they were off back to back double-digit upset losses, and their foe was off a SU win.  Take Stanford.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over Vegas.  The Golden Knights shut down San Jose on Tuesday, as they held the Sharks to just one goal on 17 shots.  But Vegas is a dismal 27-28 (but minus 15.7 games on the moneyline) after surrendering less than two goals in their previous game.  And they're also 0-3 at home this season after allowing 20 or less shots on goal in their previous game.  Take Boston tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Pacific/Loyola Marymount game.  The previous meeting of these teams went 'over' the total by 31 points, which has led the oddsmakers to inflate the number of this Total.  We'll take advantage and look for a relatively-low scoring game tonight, as post-season games have gone 'under' 55% when the previous meeting went 'over' by 25+ points.  Even better:  the UNDER falls into a 76% Totals system of mine.  Take the UNDER. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland State Vikings minus the points over Robert Morris.  The Colonials shocked Youngstown, 77-73, as a 7.5-point underdog on Monday.  But Robert Morris is a wallet-breaking 1-9 ATS off a SU win, and 0-6 ATS off an upset win.  Take Cleveland State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over TCU.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between these Big 12 Conference rivals.  Jamie Dixon's men won the first meeting -- in Forth Worth -- on Tuesday, 74-64, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll lay the points tonight with Kansas, as it's 38-18 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons have won both meetings vs. Toronto this season.  We'll lay the points with Toronto in Round 3, as Detroit has covered just 37.2% as a road underdog since 1990 when playing a foe with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season.  Take the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit.  We played on the Titans on Tuesday, and were rewarded with a 17-point win over Green Bay.  But Detroit is an awful 20-36 ATS on the road off a double-digit home win.  The Norse did lose both regular season meetings vs. Detroit.  But Northern Kentucky is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Northern Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Navy Midshipmen minus the points over American.  Navy swept the season series vs. American, and is 24-13 ATS as a favorite the past two seasons.  It's true that American ended the regular season with back to back wins.  But it's a horrid 0-6 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Navy.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans + the points over South Alabama.  The Trojans were blown out, 77-46, by the Jaguars earlier this season, and are 8-18 on the season.  We'll take the points with Little Rock, as .500 (or worse) teams have cashed 62.3% in the post season if they were an underdog of +5 (or more) points, and playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Little Rock + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Campbell Fighting Camels minus the points over Presbyterian.  The Blue Hose upset Campbell when these teams last met four weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with Campbell, as revenge-minded favorites have cashed 72% in the Big South Tournament if they lost all of the meetings in the regular season vs. their opponent.  Take Campbell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers blew out the Knicks on Sunday, 125-109 (though the game was tied at 98, in the 4th quarter before Philly's finishing kick).  We'll take the Knicks this evening, as double-digit dogs have covered over 63% since 1990 if they lost SU/ATS to the very same opponent in their previous game.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the St. Louis Blues.  The Rangers come into this east-west match-up having lost on back-to-back days to the Penguins and Canucks.  In the second game -- a 5-2 defeat here at home -- New York had to use its back-up goalie, Alexandar Georgiev.  Their regular net-minder, Igor Shesterkin, will be back in goal tonight with a fresh pair of legs.  The 26-year-old Russian is the favorite to win this season's Vezina Trophy for top goaltender in the league.  In 34 games played, Shesterkin has a 25-6-3 record with a 1.95 GAA and a league-leading .941 saves pct.  The two days of rest that the Rangers have had since that stinging defeat here to Vancouver could really help them out tonight as they are 9-3 in their last 12 games when playing on two or more day off.  New York is also 5-0 in its last five games following a loss by three or more goals.  Take the Rangers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams (both in Orlando).  The Magic won Round 1, 119-103, as a 2.5-point favorite.  Tonight, it's the Pacers who are favored, in part because Malcolm Brogdon will play tonight after missing the prior game.  We'll lay the points, as the Pacers fall into a 132-94 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, in the 2nd of back to back meetings between the same two teams, the loser of the first meeting has covered the 2nd game 56.9% if both games were competitively-priced with point spreads of 3 points or less.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Sacred Heart.  The Pioneers enter the tourney on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak.  Not to be outdone, Long Island comes into this Northeast Conference game on a 6-game win streak.  It's 11-1 SU at home, and 7-4 ATS.  Sacred Heart, meanwhile, is an awful 2-15 ATS on the road off a SU win.  Take the Sharks minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Middle Tennessee.  Nick McDevitt's Blue Raiders have won 8 straight (and are 7-0 ATS their last seven).  But we'll look for this hot streak to come to a halt tonight, as Middle Tenn falls into a negative 119-177 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams on win streaks.  Moreover, since 1990, Conference USA home underdogs, with a .500 (or better) conference W/L record, have cashed 60% in conference games off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Charlotte + the points.

At 11:30 am (note the early start time), our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over Radford.  These two teams met this past Saturday in Greensboro, and the Highlanders upset the Aggies, 62-53.  Overall, the Aggies are off back to back SU/ATS losses, and have also dropped 4 straight games entering this Big South Tournament, while the Highlanders are off back to back ATS wins.  We'll take NC A&T + the points, as teams off 4 SU and 2 ATS losses have covered 57% of tourney games since 1990 vs. foes not off an ATS loss.  Additionally, the Highlanders are 0-7 off a road upset win, while the Aggies are 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over UCSB.  Cal Santa Barbara is on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak, while the Matadors are 0-4 SU/ATS their last four.  We'll grab the double-digits with Northridge, as UCSB has covered just 14 of 48 at home off 3+ wins.  Additionally, Big West road teams have gone 30-11 ATS off 3 ATS losses when playing a conference foe off back to back ATS wins.  Take the Matadors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats + the points over Houston.  The Cougars blew out Cincy earlier this season by 22 points.  We'll grab the points with the Bearcats in this rematch, as they've covered 67% since 1990 when playing with revenge, if they were off a SU loss in their previous game, while their opponent was off a SU win.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Michigan State.  The Wolves come into this game off an 8-point loss to Illinois, while the Spartans upset the Boilermakers in East Lansing, on Saturday.  But Michigan is a solid 80-46-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Spartans are 3-13 ATS off a conference home win.  Take the Wolverines.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  IUPUI has been installed as a massive road underdog in the opening round of the Horizon League tournament.  And that's to be expected, given IUPUI's 3-25 record (9-17 ATS), compared to that of Oakland (19-11 SU, 14-14 ATS).  We'll grab the points, as road underdogs of more than 18 points have gone 17-2 ATS in the post-season vs. foes that didn't have a losing ATS record.  And Oakland is a poor 20-38 ATS as a favorite of more than 4 points.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin-Milwaukee + the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Panthers were blown out, 71-58, by the Flames here, on Saturday.  We'll take Milwaukee in this rematch, as it's 27-9 ATS as a revenge-minded road underdog vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Panthers + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Toronto.  Last night, we played on the Raptors, and were rewarded with a 36-point blowout of these Nets.  We'll take Brooklyn as a big underdog in this rematch, as it's 41-17 ATS as an underdog on the road when playing with revenge.  Take the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Oilers and Hurricanes clashed on Sunday and the game was as expected -- close until the very end.  The 'Canes came out of it with a hard-fought 2-1 victory in Raleigh despite being limited to under 30 shots on goal.  No doubt, the Oilers are looking forward to this trip up north as they will get to visit Philadelphia (tonight), Chicago (Wednesday) and then Montreal.  For the Flyers, they had one of their biggest victories of the season when they beat the Capitals here on Saturday afternoon, 2-1.  But despite that success, let's not forget we're still talking about a team that is just 16-36 overall and 9-18 here at home.  Even an injured Edmonton club (they are currently without eight regular skaters) should be able to get by the Flyers tonight in the first meeting of these two here in over three years.  The Flyers are 3-14 in their last 17 when their opponent allows two goals or less in their previous game.  Take Edmonton.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  Detroit suffered its first home loss of the season on Saturday, when it fell by 3 points to Fort Wayne.  Detroit is 14-9 ATS at home off a SU loss, while Green Bay is 5-12-1 ATS away from home as an underdog vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Detroit.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders minus the points over American.  The Eagles upset Holy Cross here, in Worcester, on Valentine's Day, 60-54.  We'll lay the points in this rematch, as Holy Cross is 12-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Crusaders.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lafayette Leopards minus the points over Bucknell.  The Bison upset Boston U., 89-78, on Saturday (and also defeated Lafayette, 92-89, in February).  But Bucknell is a poor 5-10 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Leopards were upset by Lehigh, 78-58.  However, they're 4-0 ATS off a loss by more than 16 points, and 19-13 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Lafayette minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on New Jersey Tech + the points over Stony Brook.  The Highlanders are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Seawolves are off a SU/ATS home win over Albany last Saturday.  Unfortunately for Stony Brook, it's 2-11 ATS off a home conference win.  And, notwithstanding its last victory, it's still just covered eight of 26 at home vs. conference foes.  The Highlanders' 3-game SU/ATS losing streak has triggered a very good 705-494 ATS system of mine, so we'll grab the points with New Jersey Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Diego State.  The Cowboys are 23-5 on the season, including 13-0 straight-up (and 6-4-2 ATS) at home, and 10-5 SU/ATS away from home.  Tonight, notwithstanding their perfect home record, the Cowboys are a home underdog.  But home teams with a 13-0 (or better) home record have cashed 56% ATS at home over the past 32 years, when not favored by 5+ points (including 8-1 ATS this season).  Indeed, this past Saturday, we saw Tennessee (14-0 at home) defeat Auburn, St Mary's (15-0 at home) upset #1 Gonzaga, and Middle Tennessee (14-0 at home) blow out Western Kentucky.  Grab the points with Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  Mike Budenholzer's men come into this game off back-to-back losses.  But the Bucks are a sensational 48-21 ATS at home off back-to-back losses.  And they also fall into an 85-49 ATS revenge system of mine, based on the fact that Charlotte has won the previous two meetings.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder won without Josh Giddey on Friday, at Indiana, as they upset the Pacers, 129-125.  But off that win, we will fade the Thunder tonight vs. Sacramento, as OKC falls into negative 78-145 and 110-200 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upset wins.  Even better:  the Kings are off a loss at Denver, but are 25-16 ATS off back to back losses, if their previous game was on the road.  Take the Kings minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Raptors were blown out by 27 points in their last game by Atlanta.  And that was Toronto's 2nd straight loss since resuming play after the break.  But Toronto is 23-13 ATS off a loss by more than 11 points, and 110-71 ATS off back to back losses, overall.  Take Toronto.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over Vancouver.  This is a tough spot for the Canucks, who had to play the Rangers yesterday, while the Devils are well-rested following two off days on Saturday and Sunday.  Thatcher Demko will sit tonight for Vancouver, who will instead turn to veteran Jaroslav Halak.  Unfortunately, the Canucks have dropped seven of the nine games started by Halak, and they're 3-15 their last 18 when playing the 2nd of back to back games.  Even worse:  yesterday, the Canucks tallied 5 goals in a 5-2 win over the Rangers.  But they're 7-20 after winning a game on the road while scoring more than 3 goals.  Take New Jersey.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Howard Bison minus the points over South Carolina State.  The Bulldogs upset the Bison four weeks ago, 58-55, as a 7-point home underdog.  So, we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bison, as they fall into a 169-92 ATS revenge system of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors thrashed the Mavericks, 130-92, in the previous meeting.  Unfortunately for Golden State, winning teams that won by 38+ points in the season's previous meeting have covered just 36% at home since 1990 in the next match-up.  And the Mavericks are also 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings between these Western conference foes.  Take Dallas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  In a scheduling quirk, this will be the 2nd time in three games that these two teams will have met.  And, then, they will play for a 3rd time in four games when they play here, in Houston, on Tuesday.  The Clippers blew out Houston by 31 points in the game right before the All-Star Break.  We'll take the Rockets in this rematch, as the Clippers are 20-44 ATS when favored by 4+ points against a revenge-minded foe.  And NBA home underdogs off back to back SU/ATS losses are a solid 150-112 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over Boston.  The Pacers stumbled coming out of the All-Star Break, as they were upset, 129-125, as an 8-point favorite vs. Oklahoma City.  Of course, this is to be somewhat expected, as the long layoff creates a little bit of rust.  But we'll take Indiana to bounce back, as teams that were off upset losses in their first game after the All-Star Break have covered 64.8% at home when not laying more than 7 points (and 90% when getting 2+ points).  Additionally, the Pacers are 54-30 ATS as an underdog of +4 (or more) points off an upset home loss, including 12-1-1 ATS vs. unrested foes.  Grab the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over SMU.  Kelvin Sampson's men have lost just twice in American Athletic Conference play this season:  to Memphis and SMU.  So, they'll get their first chance to avenge a conference defeat today, at home, in the friendly confines of the Fertitta Center.  Houston is a powerful 34-17-3 ATS in conference games when playing with revenge, including 23-7 ATS off a point spread win.  And it's 18-9 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss.  Even better:  in regular season match-ups between .735 (or better) teams, the revenger has covered 58% since 1990 when priced as a PK/Favorite at home or on neutral courts.  We'll lay the points with Houston this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Colorado State.  Utah State blew out New Mexico, 81-56, here at home, on Tuesday.  And they'll welcome the 22-4 Rams tonight for their final home game of the season.  The Aggies have always had a strong home court, and they're 27-4 in their final home game of the season since 1991.  Even better:  Utah State has cashed 60% since 1994 at home vs. Conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels + the points over Gonzaga.  The Gaels have yet to taste defeat at home this season, as they're 15-0.  And home teams with a strong home court, that have won at least 35 of their last 40 home games (which St. Mary's has), are 61.2% ATS as home dogs of +5 or more points, vs. conference foes off a SU win since 1990.  Take the Gaels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Washington.  We played against the Wizards last night, and took the Spurs as a small road favorite.  San Antonio + Washington went to double-overtime before the Spurs prevailed by a 157-153 count.  Off that extended game, and having to travel, I look for Washington to be a bit overmatched against a rested Cavaliers team.  The Cavs were upset in their last game by the cellar-dwelling Pistons, so they'll be extra motivated this evening.  Cleveland's an awesome 47-21 ATS as a favorite of -6 (or more) points vs. losing foes, if the Cavs were off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Memphis Grizzlies.  The Bulls have won six straight, and currently are atop the Eastern Conference.  They'll welcome the #3-seeded Western Conference team to the Windy City tonight.  The Grizzlies got the better of Chicago on Beale Street, in January.  But we'll take Chicago to avenge that defeat tonight, as .650 (or better) revenge-minded teams are 545-442 ATS at home in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes, if our revenger wasn't favored by 11+ points.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over Arizona.  The Buffaloes had their five-game win streak snapped on Thursday, when they suffered an upset loss at the hands of Arizona State.  We'll take the Buffs to bounce back tonight, as Colorado is a solid 51-30 ATS at home when not favored by 17+ points.  Take the Buffaloes as a home underdog.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Tarleton St.  Yes, Lamar is 2-24 on the season.  But really bad teams have been solid bets on the road over the years late in the season.  Indeed, at Game 21 forward, teams that have won less than 10% of their games have covered 61.2 percent on the road, dating back to 1999.  Take Lamar + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Toronto.  The Raptors won by 11 points earlier this month vs. Atlanta, so the Hawks will play this game with revenge.  We went against Toronto last night when they went into Charlotte to play another revenge-minded foe, and were rewarded with a 125-93 blowout win.  And we'll look for the Raptors to lose back to back games.  Atlanta is a solid 93-54 ATS at home when playing with rest and revenge from a loss by more than 10 points.  And Atlanta also falls into a strong 144-66 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Hawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over Rice.  The Owls have not been a reliable home favorite of -12 (or more) points, as they've covered just 31% over the last 32 seasons in this role.  That doesn't bode well for the home team today.  Moreover, Southern Miss falls into a 704-494 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses..  Take the Golden Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Wisconsin.  The Badgers are an awful 26-52 ATS on the Big 10 Conference road when they've been a regular season underdog of less than 13 points, and their foe's ATS win percentage was .563 (or less).  Take Rutgers minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri State Redhawks + the points over Murray State.  The Racers had their most impressive win of the season when they blew out a strong Belmont team, 76-43, last Saturday.  But Murray is a poor 4-15 ATS on the road off a 15+ point win.  Take the Redhawks + the points.

At 4:45 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix minus the points over IUPUI.  The Jaguars are 3-24 and come into this game off a blowout home loss to Milwaukee.  IUPUI is a woeful 8-17 ATS its last 25 as a home dog.  Take Green Bay minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Virginia.  The Seminoles come into this game off back to back blowout losses (of 18 and 16 points).  But FSU is 10-1 ATS off back to back losses by 15+ points.  Grab the points with Florida State.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Lipscomb Bisons minus the points over Central Arkansas.  The Bears upset Lipscomb in January, 93-88, as a 6-point home dog.  We'll take the Bisons this afternoon to avenge that defeat, as they're 11-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And they also fall into a 166-92 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Long Island.  The Knights narrowly lost to the Sharks, 79-75, at home back in January.  We'll grab the double-digits in this rematch, as Fairleigh Dickinson falls into a super 90-39 ATS system of mine which plays on certain big underdogs in conference games. Even better:  the Knights upset Wagner, 88-86, as a 13.5-point home dog in their last game.  And underdogs off upset home wins, as an underdog of 13+ points, have covered 60.3% since 1990.  Take the Knights + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Alabama Lions + the points over Jacksonville State.  The Gamecocks come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak while the Lions have lost their last 7 (1-6 ATS).  But we'll grab the points with North Alabama, as it falls into a super 439-242 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are a horrid 4-21 ATS as a double-digit favorite vs. opponents not off a SU/ATS win.  Take North Alabama + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans minus the points over Fort Wayne.  Detroit has gone 8-0 SU at home this season, and this will be its final regular season home game.  One of the things I like to do is play on home teams in their final regular season home game, if they're undefeated at home, and matched-up against a non-losing foe.  And if they're playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (which Detroit is), then even better.  Lay the points with the Titans.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Maryland-Baltimore Country.  The Retrievers annihilated the Black Bears when the two teams met in Maryland earlier this season.  UMBC won that game by a whopping 42 points.  But that massive defeat sets up our play today, as teams playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) setback have gone 97-67 ATS.  Take Maine + the points.

At 12:10 pm, in an early start, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Detroit.  Boston's won 10 out of 11 games.  Its one loss:  a 1-point home defeat to these Pistons, on Feb 16.  So, don't be surprised if the Celtics avenge that loss in a big way on this Saturday.  Indeed, revenge-minded, double-digit road favorites have cashed 73.9% since 1990 if they were off a win in their previous game.  Take Boston.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Washington.  The Spurs have won 3 of 4 games (all on the road) to move up to 11th place in the Western Conference, just one game outside the final play-in spot currently held by the Trail Blazers.  They'll visit a Wizards club which is currently in a 4-16-1 ATS tailspin, including 2-11-1 ATS their last 14 at home.  Even worse for Washington:  it won its last game, 117-103, over the Nets.  But Washington is 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 3-14 ATS its last 17) games off a straight-up win.  Take San Antonio to blow out Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Toronto.  Going into the All-Star Break, these two teams were headed in opposite directions.  Toronto had gone 9-2 SU/ATS since Jan. 29, while the Hornets had won just one of their 10 previous games, straight-up.  One of those nine defeats was a 15-point home loss to this Raptors team, on February 7.  We'll take the Hornets + the points, as they fall into a 97-35 ATS revenge system of mine, as well as a 66% ATS system which plays on certain .450 (or better) home teams off a loss vs. non-division foes.  Finally, the Raptors are 8-26 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads of 5 or less, if they're playing a .480 (or better) double-revenge-minded foe.  Grab the points with Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes -1.5 goals over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  Tonight will be the fourth meeting of the season between the 'Canes and Jackets.  It looked like it was going to be a one-sided series after the first two -- both won by Carolina rather easily.  But the Blue Jackets came back with a vengeance on January 13, shutting out the 'Canes, 6-0.  So now this is a revenge situation for the home team as the 'Canes hope to get the bad taste of that stinging defeat -- their worst of the season -- out of their mouths.  It's been a carousel for the Jackets in goal this season with their top two veteran net-minders (Merzlikins and Korpisalo) plus their talented rookie Tarasov out with injuries.  Number four Jean-Francois Berube has stepped in with two solid starts, but with Columbus having played last night, it'll be down to the last option tonight in recently-signed Jet Greaves who has yet to play an NHL game.  The 'Canes are 4-1 in their last five vs. Metro teams while the Jackets are 1-5 in the last six meetings of these two.  Take Carolina -1.5 goals.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Akron.  The Zips come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Eastern Michigan and Bowling Green.  But they're a wallet-breaking 18-34 ATS off back to back wins, including 0-6 ATS their last six.  This is the final home game of the season for Ohio, and it currently sports a super 14-1 record at the Convocation Center.  The Bobcats are also 29-4 SU their last 33, and 20-12 ATS their last 32 lined games.  And they're a spectacular 17-1 ATS in their final home game of the season when playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take Ohio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins + the points over Murray State.  This is a great match-up between the 23-5 Bruins and 26-2 Racers.  Earlier this year, the Racers went into Belmont and shocked the Bruins, 82-60, as a 6-point road underdog.  But Belmont has bounced back from that loss, and has won 11 of 12, including its last 10 in a row.  The Bruins are 12-1 ATS as an underdog of 2+ points.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Morehead State Eagles minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Eagles were stunned, 92-84, at home by Southeast Missouri on Saturday, as a double-digit home favorite.  We'll lay the points with Morehead tonight, as I love it to bounce back.  And especially since it's 18-7 ATS on the road off an upset conference defeat.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Chicago.  The Bulls ended the first half on a 5-game win streak, but momentum won't carry over after the eight-day layoff.  We'll grab the points with Atlanta, which plays tonight with double-revenge from a pair of losses to Chicago in December.  The Hawks are 9-1 SU and 10-0 ATS as underdogs with double-revenge (including outright upset wins as underdogs of +4.5, +5.5, +6, +8.5 and +11 points).  Take the Hawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Eagles + the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits are 16-0 in Summit League play, but Oral Roberts was competitive in defeat at South Dakota State back in December, as they lost by just six, as a 9-point road underdog.  We'll take ORU + the points, as teams that are 14-0 (or better) in conference play have covered just 30% of the time when they weren't laying 6+ points.  Take the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over North Texas.  The Golden Eagles have dropped 10 straight, while the Mean Green have won 12 in a row.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot North Texas squad, but consider that teams off a SU/ATS loss, and 10 losses in a row, overall, have covered 76.6% over the last 32 years vs. foes off 6+ wins.  This angle has already had four plays this season, and is 3-1 ATS.  And it's 7-1 ATS the last three seasons.  Take Southern Miss + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Abilene Christian.  Lamar is 2-23 this season, but 0-23 vs. Division 1 foes.  Obviously, they've been non-competitive.  But one of the few games where they were ultra-competitive in defeat was against these Wildcats, on January 29.  They were an 11.5-point home dog, but lost by just three, 85-82.  That narrow loss will serve Lamar in good stead tonight, and give them confidence.  We'll grab the big number tonight with the Cardinals.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals + the points over Northern Arizona.  The Lumberjacks have burned money as a home favorite, as they've covered just 11 of their last 40, including just 4 of 26 vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take Idaho State + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Minnesota Wild.  With their overtime loss to the Blue Jackets on Tuesday, the Maple Leafs are in the midst of just their second three-game losing streak of the season.  Things don't get any easier for them tonight as they face the Minnesota Wild who have almost an identical record to that of Toronto.  At least the Leafs are back home tonight, where they've lost only six times all season.  This is a revenge situation for Toronto as in the only previous meeting of these two this season, the Wild came out on top in a shootout at home back on December 4.  Despite its success lately, the Wild is just 2-5 in its last seven as a road underdog while the Leafs are 23-9 in their last 32 as a home favorite.  Take Toronto.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Maryland.  The Hoosiers are on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, while Maryland won + covered 2 straight.  We'll lay the points with the ice cold Hoosiers, as they fall into a 59.6% ATS system of mine which plays on certain .555 (or better) favorites of -6 (or more) points off 4 SU/ATS losses.  The Terps are a poor 8-18 ATS off a point spread win.  Lay the points with Indiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons are on a 7-game win streak.  But this hot streak has placed Fort Wayne into a negative 50-98 ATS system of mine.  Meanwhile, Oakland comes into this game off back to back upset losses, but now falls into a 152-86 system that plays on certain teams off 2+ upset.  Lay the points with the Grizzlies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Northern Kentucky.  The Norse have covered just 5 of their last 20 as home favorites, including 0-7 when laying more than 7 points.  That doesn't bode well for Darrin Horn's men tonight.  Moreover, the Colonials are 6-1 ATS their last seven as underdogs off back to back losses.  Grab the points with Robert Morris.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over William & Mary.  On New Year's Eve, the Tribe upset the Huskies, 71-70, as a double-digit underdog.  Take Northeastern in this revenge match, as William & Mary is a wallet-breaking 8-15 ATS off a loss, and 22-44 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points.

At 6 pm (note the early start time), our selection is on the Army Black Knights minus the points over Bucknell.  The Bison come into this game off a 92-89 win over Lafayette.  But Bucknell's a poor 0-6 ATS after scoring 85+ points.  Meanwhile, Army will play its final home game of the season this evening, and look to snap a 6-game losing streak in the process.  It lost 83-67 at American on Saturday, which dropped its season record to 13-15, but is 15-5 ATS off a road defeat.  Army's been installed as a home favorite, and already defeated the 7-21 Bison by 7 points in Lewisburg back in January.  We'll lay the points with the Black Knights, as losing NCAA teams have gone 27-9 ATS at home when favored, and playing their final home game of the season off 5+ losses.  Additionally, the Black Knights are 7-2 SU when playing their final home game of the season, while Bucknell's 6-19 SU when facing a foe playing its final home game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Texas Tech.  These two teams met just 13 days ago, and Oklahoma routed the Red Raiders, 70-55, in Norman.  Since that game, however, the Sooners have dropped three straight, while Texas Tech has won three in a row.  Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's a poor 3-15 ATS off three straight wins.  Meanwhile, Oklahoma is 13-0 ATS as an underdog of +2 (or more) points vs. foes off 3+ wins.  Take the Sooners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Northwestern.  The Wildcats are 12-13 on the season, and 5-11 in Big 10 Conference play.  And they're favored by double-digits against a foe they already soundly defeated, 87-63, less than three weeks ago.  The motivation will be on the Nebraska side this evening.  So, we'll happily take the double-digits against a Northwestern club which is now 0-12 ATS its last 12 regular season Big 10 games as a favorite of more than 4 points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  Just because the Maple Leafs have one of the best records in the East, don't assume they will sit quietly coming up to the trade deadline.  This is a team with plenty of high-end talent but one that needs depth at pretty much every position. They'd like to add a defenseman to ease the burden on their young blue line.  And #1 net-minder Jack Campbell has looked a bit more human lately, so maybe Toronto would like some insurance in goal as well.  When Campbell got his third start in five days on Saturday, that shakiness was apparent as he allowed five goals on 33 shots in Toronto's loss to St. Louis.  The Leafs will step down-in-class tonight against a Blue Jackets team whose last four victories have come against the Blackhawks, Canadiens, and Sabres (twice).  So the fact that Columbus is a hot team lately is more than a little misleading.  The Leafs are 5-0 in their last five against the Metropolitan and 15-3 in their last 18 vs. teams from the East.  Take Toronto.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Texas A/M.  The Bulldogs were blown out, 85-68, on Saturday by Ole Miss.  But SEC Conference double-digit dogs off losses by 12+ points have gone 144-85 ATS in conference play, including 69-32 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And the Aggies are a horrid 5-17 ATS as favorites of -9 (or more) points.  It's true that A&M bested the Bulldogs in Athens, in early January.  But the Bulldogs are 13-0 ATS in the regular season as underdogs of more than 7 points when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Georgia + the points.