Sports Picks & Predictions

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Campbell Fighting Camels minus the points over NC Asheville.  The Camels were defeated in the season's first meeting by the Bulldogs, 58-55.  We'll take Campbell in this revenge match, as it falls into a 179-119 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Bulldogs are 1-6 ATS in the season's 2nd meeting vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Campbell.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones are 13-25 ATS as a road favorite, and also 2-4 ATS on the road vs. SEC Conference foes.  Take Missouri + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Northeastern.  The Blue Hens lost at Northeastern, 59-58, 12 days ago.  We'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Blue Hens, as the Huskies have covered just 33% since 1990 as a road underdog when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated at home in the season's first meeting.  Even better:  the Blue Hens were upset by Hampton, 67-66, on Thursday.  And they've covered 72% since 1990 as a single-digit favorite off an upset conference defeat.  Take Delaware.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over New Mexico.  The Falcons were blown out by 30 points, 82-52, at San Jose on Tuesday.  And that followed a 70-60 loss to San Diego State.  We'll take Air Force to bounce back tonight, as it's 48-28-3 ATS off back to back losses, if it was playing away from home against an opponent not off back to back losses.  And it's also 64-31-3 ATS away from home when getting 12+ points.  Take the Falcons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  This is becoming one of the better rivalries in the NBA after Dallas knocked the Suns out of the playoffs last season.  This will be the 3rd meeting this season, and the series stands at 1-game apiece after Dallas won by 19 at home in December following Phoenix's 2-point win on opening night.  The Mavs are currently on a 2-game losing streak, while Phoenix is on a 4-game winning streak.  But Dallas is an awesome 145-91 off a SU loss when playing a foe off a SU win.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio + the points over North Texas.  The Roadrunners have dropped their last six games.  But they're a solid 9-2 off 3 straight conference losses, while North Texas is a poor 13-22-1 ATS at home vs. foes off 3 straight losses.  Take Texas-San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Sam Houston Bearkats minus the points over Seattle.  Sam Houston has won its last 3 games, including a 19-point blowout of Rio Grande Valley on Saturday.  The Bearkats are a solid 58-37 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Sam Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Buffalo Sabres.  The Jets lost 2-1 at Nashville on Tuesday.  But after playing eight of their last nine games on the road, the Jets will certainly be happy to be home tonight.  And Winnipeg has won 7 of its last 8 home games, including the last five in a row.  The Jets are also 12-3 off a division loss, and 22-8 vs. teams that allow 3+ goals per game (the Sabres give up 3.4).  Take Winnipeg.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Florida Ospreys over Central Arkansas.  The Ospreys are a super 36-22 ATS vs. losing teams, and 51-37 their last 88 conference games.  Take North Florida.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Kennesaw.  The Owls are on a 5-game win streak, and are favored by double digits against Austin Peay, which has lost its last 4 games.  But the Governors are 24-13 ATS off back to back losses when matched up against an opponent off back to back wins.  Take Austin Peay + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Northern Kentucky.  The Norse blew out the Phoenix twelve days ago, 74-53.  We'll take the Phoenix + the points in this rematch, as they're 63-27 ATS if they lost the previous meeting against the opponent by more than 12 points.  Take Wisconsin-Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright St Raiders minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Raiders were upset here, at home, by Cleveland State on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Wright State, as it's 29-15 ATS off a home upset loss.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks won the season's first meeting, 68-55.  But NC Wilmington is an awful 2-14-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points against a revenge-minded opponent it defeated earlier in the season.  Take Monmouth + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over Sacred Heart.  The Pioneers are a double-digit home favorite vs. the 2-18 Sharks tonight.  But Sacred Heart has covered just 1 of its last 11 games as a home favorite.  Take Long Island.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 19-1 and ranked in the Top 25.  But Middle Tenn is also playing very good basketball of late, as it's on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak (including upset wins in three of its last four games).  The Blue Raiders are 25-15-1 ATS when getting more than 3 points, including 9-3-1 ATS when they've owned a win percentage greater than .600.  Take Middle Tennessee St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights minus the points over St Francis Pa.  The Knights will look to snap their 2-game losing streak tonight, as they were upset by Stonehill and Sacred Heart in their last two games.  Tonight, they'll host St. Francis Pa, which is a wallet breaking 24-43 ATS its last 67, including 11-23 ATS as a road underdog.  Even better:  the Knights are 7-3 ATS off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Fairleigh-Dickinson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Kraken over the Vancouver Canucks.  No matter what happens to them the rest of the season, what the Seattle Kraken have already accomplished in just their second NHL Campaign cannot be over-stated.  With 59 points, the Kraken are the second-best team in the Pacific Division and fourth-best in the Conference heading into Tuesday's games.  Maybe the league is catching up to them a bit recently as Seattle is 1-3 in its last four contests but there is still much room for improvement with this young roster of players.  They'll take on a Canucks squad that is really struggling right now, having lost seven of their last eight games overall.  Vancouver has allowed the second-most goals this season, with teams lighting the lamp an average of 3.96 times per game (only Anaheim is worse at 4.36).  That could be a big problem tonight against a Kraken offense that has scored at a 3.61 GPG clip this season.  The Kraken are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. teams with a winning percentage below .400.  Take Seattle.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Boston College.  The Cards lost their two previous game -- both at home -- by more than 20 points.  We'll take Louisville to bounce back, as NCAA teams off back to back SU/ATS home losses by more than 20 points have covered 60.9% the past 33 seasons.  Take the Cardinals + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Providence.  The Bulldogs come into this game off a 30-point beatdown at the hands of Connecticut.  We played against Butler in that game, but will switch gears and take the points with the Bulldogs tonight.  Indeed, Big East teams are 26-7 ATS following a loss by 30+ points.  And Butler's 8-0 ATS away from home off back to back losses.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder have covered seven straight games after their upset win on Sunday over Denver.  But they still have a losing record on the season.  And losing teams have gone 51-78-1 ATS after covering 7+ games, including 12-27 ATS off an upset win, when playing a rested opponent.  Take the Hawks tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UT-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros + the points over Stephen F. Austin.  Rio Grande Valley was blown out, 83-64, at Sam Houston St, on Saturday.  We'll take the Vaqueros to bounce back tonight, as they're 13-2 ATS their last 15 off a double-digit loss.  Take Rio Grande Valley.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Indiana.  We played on the Pacers last night as an underdog for our NBA Central Division Game of the Month.  And Indiana rewarded us by snapping its 7-game losing streak.  But off that upset win, we'll fade the Pacers tonight, as they've covered just 37% as an underdog since 1990 off an upset win when playing without rest vs. a rested opponent.  Additionally, the Magic play this game with double-revenge from 2 losses earlier this year.  And Indiana is a horrible 29-50 ATS on the road in the regular season, if it was off a win and playing a foe it defeated in each of the season's two previous meetings.  Lay the points with Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs are undefeated in Southern Conference play, with an 8-0 record.  But they fall into a negative 45-77 ATS system of mine, based on that undefeated conference record.  Additionally, the Paladins are 65-32-2 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over South Florida.  The Owls are an awesome 81-48 ATS at home when not favored by more than 7 points.  Take Temple to blow out the Bulls.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Florida.  The Gators upset Mississippi State, 61-59, in Starkville, on Saturday.  Unfortunately for Florida, favorites of more than 14 points have gone just 85-128 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses, if our favorite was off an upset road win.  Take South Carolina + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Kansas State.  The Wildcats come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins over Kansas and Texas Tech.  But both of those games were at home.  We'll fade the Wildcats here, in Ames, as Iowa State has covered 56.2% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Clemson.  The Jackets have lost their last three games by double-digits.  We'll take the points with Georgia Tech, as it's 31-17 ATS off back to back double-digit losses, when matched up against winning foes (including 8-2 ATS as a double-digit dog).  Grab the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls drilled Atlanta last night, 111-100, for their 3rd straight win and cover.  They'll attempt to make it four-in-a-row tonight against the homestanding Pacers -- losers of seven straight.  Unfortunately for Chicago, unrested teams with a .500 (or worse) record, off a double-digit win and 3 ATS wins, overall, have covered just 3 of 26 games vs. foes off 3 ATS losses.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets come into this game off 3 high-scoring SU/ATS wins.  Ten days ago, the Rockets blew out Northern Illinois, 84-67, and then followed that up with big wins over Ohio (90-75) and Buffalo (86-77).  But NCAA teams off 3 ATS wins, that scored 80+ in each of those games, have gone just 13-38-2 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Arkansas.  LSU has dropped its last six games (including its last 5 ATS).  But Arkansas hasn't been playing much better, as it's 1-6 ATS its last seven.  We'll take the points with LSU, as SEC Conference teams off a 12-point loss have covered 146 of 237 (62.1%) as double-digit dogs in conference games.  Take LSU.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Rockets and T-wolves met in Minneapolis over the weekend, and the T-wolves earned a comeback win, 113-104.  That was Houston's 13th straight loss.  We'll take Houston in this rematch, as home underdogs of +6 (or less) points have covered 59% since 1990 in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS on the road to the same opponent in their previous game.  And NBA teams on 13-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 155-130-5 ATS.  Finally, since 1990, Minnesota has covered just 37% on the road off a SU/ATS win against the same opponent, while the Rockets have covered 60.4% at home off a SU/ATS loss when playing back to back games against the same opponent.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the New York Islanders.  In the battle for NHL bragging rights in Eastern Canada on Saturday, it was the Montreal Canadiens coming up with a huge upset at home over the Toronto Maple Leafs, 3-2 in overtime.  That victory will not salvage what has been a very frustrating season for the Habs, but it may make them feel just a little bit better.  The Leafs come back to Toronto tonight to host the Islanders.  After a fast start to the season that saw them with a 15-8 record at Thanksgiving, the Isles have really struggled lately, winning just eight of their last 25 games since then.  Offensive injuries in the last several weeks have resulted in a severe scoring drought as the Isles have netted just 15 goals in their last nine games coming into tonight.  In fact, only the Coyotes have averaged fewer goals so far for the month of January as the Isles have scored at a rate of just 2.00 GPG.  Although the Isles won the season's first meeting, New York is still just 1-4 in the last five meetings with the Leafs and 2-6 in the last eight in Toronto, while the favorite is 16-5 in the last 21.  And the Leafs are 25-6 when playing with revenge from a home loss.  Take Toronto.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets blew out the Warriors, 143-113, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take Golden State in the rematch, as it's 14-0 straight-up, and 13-1 ATS when favored by more than 4 points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 22+ points.  Even better:  the Warriors are 13-0 ATS their last 13 (and 22-1 ATS their last 23) at home vs. .400 (or better) foes, if the Warriors were not favored by 9+ points.  Take Golden State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Dallas Cowboys/San Francisco 49ers game.  Since trading for Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense has received a major lift.  Prior to the trade, the Niners averaged 20.33 ppg, and SF went Under in five of its six games.  But following the trade, the 49ers' offense has averaged 30.75 ppg, and nine of the 12 games have gone Over the total.   Likewise, since QB Dak Prescott returned from injury, the Cowboys have averaged 32.33 ppg on offense, and seven of their 12 games have gone Over the total.  Last week, both the Cowboys and 49ers had high-scoring offensive performances in the Wild Card round.  Dallas defeated Tampa 31-14, while San Francisco bested Seattle, 41-23.  Since 1980, NFL Playoff games have gone OVER the total 63% if each team scored more than 30 points its previous game, and the O/U line was greater than 46 points.  And, finally, the 49ers have gone OVER 10-1-1 when priced as a favorite of -3.5 to -6 points, including 7-0 OVER at home.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Washington State.  The Buffs are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But we'll back them this evening at home, as they're 25-1 ATS at home off back to back SU/ATS losses, if their opponent was also off a loss, and Colorado wasn't favored by more than 11 points.  Moreover, Washington State is a dreadful 12-33-1 ATS as a road underdog in Pac-12 games vs. foes with a losing ATS record.  Take Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals to go OVER the total.  When these two teams met in Cincinnati 20 days ago, the O/U line was 50.5.  And when the game was stopped in the first quarter, the in-game O/U line was 56.5.  Now, for this playoff game, the O/U line has been installed at a number less than the regular season meeting.  By my math, the value rests with the Over in this game.  Additionally, Bills have scored 32, 35, 35 and 34 points in their last four games, all of which went Over the total.  And the Bills have gone OVER in 11 of 14 home playoff games since 1980.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  The Gophers were embarrassed at home by Purdue on Thursday, as they scored just 39 points in a 61-39 blowout loss.  But off that defeat, we'll look for Minnesota to bounce back on Sunday.  Indeed, Big 10 underdogs have covered 64% of conference games since 1990 off a loss by 18+ points, if they scored 45 or less points in that previous game.  Additionally, the Gophers are 13-3 ATS away from home vs. winning teams.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Butler.  The Huskies and Bulldogs met earlier this season, and the Huskies routed Butler, 68-46.  They also met twice last year, and those two games were mismatches, as well, with UConn winning, 75-56 and 76-59.  We'll fade Butler, as it is a horrid 7-43 SU and 16-34 ATS its last 50 as an underdog of more than 3 points, including 0-8 SU/ATS its last eight.  Take UConn minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 19-1, and ranked among the nation's Top 25.  But the Miners are also playing solid basketball, and have covered nine of their last 10.  UTEP's on a 2-game win streak following its 20-point blowout of Florida International.  We'll take the points with the home underdog, as UTEP is 14-0 ATS when getting more than 2 points at home, if it wasn't off an ATS loss.  Take the Miners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles minus the points over the New York Giants.  This is the Giants' 3rd straight road game, while Philly will be playing at home for its 3rd straight game.  Since 1980, whether in the regular season or playoffs, NFL teams (like New York) playing their 3rd straight road game have covered just 32% vs. foes who were playing their 3rd straight home game.  (In the playoffs, the record of our road teams is 4-13-2 ATS, including 0-5 ATS vs. .700 (or better) foes).  Last week, the Giants took advantage of a defensively-challenged Vikings team.  Minnesota made the playoffs even though it had a negative scoring margin (minus 0.17), and was giving up 25.11 ppg.  Indeed, the Vikings were just the 12th team since 1980 to earn a playoff berth with a defense that gave up more than 25 ppg.  So, kudos to New York for pulling the upset.  But also take that win with a boulder of salt.  This will be a much more difficult match-up for the Giants, as Philly's scoring margin rates 7.76 ppg better than New York's.  And, had QB Jalen Hurts played in the Eagles' two losses to Dallas + New Orleans, then that 7.76 number would be likely larger.  Since October 30, the Giants have gone 4-6-1 straight-up.  And in their last 11 games, they did not earn a single win against a team with a positive season scoring margin.  Their 4 wins were against the Houston Texans (minus 7.7 scoring margin), Washington Commanders (minus 1.29 scoring margin), Indianapolis Colts (minus 8.11 scoring margin), and the Vikings (minus 0.17 scoring margin).  New York lost both games this season to Philadelphia by an average of 16 ppg, and I don't believe it will be up to the task on Saturday night.  Take the Eagles minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Minnesota.  The Rockets have lost 12 straight games.  But we'll step in and take them as a big road underdog on this Saturday night.  Minnesota's defense has been horrible of late.  It allowed 126, 122 and 126 points in its last three games.  And it allowed those three opponents to shoot 53.6%, 52.9% and 52.9%.  We'll fade Minnesota, as home favorites are 0-10 ATS their last 10 off back-to-back games where they gave up more than 120 points.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Clemson.  The Hokies lost, 68-65, earlier this year to the Tigers.  We'll grab the points with the Hokies, as Clemson is 24-44 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated earlier in the season, provided Clemson wasn't favored by 4+ points in the current game.  Take Virginia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Alabama A&M.  The Tigers have won 17 straight vs. the Bulldogs, and 28 of the last 29.  Last season, they were favored by 12 and won by 34.  Today, the tariff is much lower, as Texas Southern is a small road favorite in Huntsville.  The Bulldogs come into tonight's game on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they're a wallet-breaking 15-31-1 ATS as an underdog off a SU loss.  Lay the points with Texas Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Jaguars improbably roared back from a 27-0 deficit to stun the Los Angeles Chargers, 31-30.  That was the 3rd biggest comeback in the post-season (following Buffalo's comeback from a 32-point deficit on the Houston Oilers (Tennessee Titans) in the 1993 playoffs, and the Indianapolis Colts' comeback from a 28-point deficit on the Kansas City Chiefs.  And it was one of 26 comeback wins in NFL history by teams trailing by at least 24 points in the game.  However, when one looks at how those teams do the following week, they don't do very well.  Indeed, since 1980, they've covered the spread the following week just 30.7% of the time.  But that's not the worst part.  If a team came back from a 24-point (or worse) deficit, and was on the road in their next game, they've covered just 14%. And if they were playing a .615 (or better) opponent in their next game, then they've covered just 1 of 9.  And if they were an underdog of +4 (or more) points in their next game -- whether home or away -- then they've gone 0-6 ATS.  None of this bodes well for a Jaguars team playing a well-rested, Andy Reid-coached team.  In Reid's career, his teams have gone 29-6 SU and 22-13 ATS when playing with a week of rest, including 9-1 straight-up with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, and 13-0 straight-up when priced from -3.5 to -9.5 points.  It's true that the Jaguars are playing with revenge from a 10-point loss suffered here earlier this season.  But Reid's teams have gone 83-65-3 ATS against revenge-minded foes, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. foes off an upset home win.  Finally, the over/under line for this game is north of 50 points.  Unfortunately for Jacksonville, it's 0-16 straight-up and 2-14 ATS in games with an over/under line of 49+ points.  And it's 0-7 SU/ATS as an underdog of +13 or less points when matched up against an offense that scores > 27.75 ppg.  Take the Chiefs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers + the points over St. Bonaventure.  The Bonnies have been installed as a small road favorite this afternoon vs. Loyola following their upset win over Duquesne on Wednesday.  But St. Bonaventure is a horrid 0-5 ATS its last five (and 7-16 ATS its last 23) as a road favorite of -7 (or less) points.  And Loyola is a solid 22-11-3 ATS at home vs. foes off an upset win.  Take the Ramblers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Brown.  Brown comes into this game off back to back ATS wins over Princeton and Yale.  Unfortunately, it's an awful 10-31 ATS in Ivy League games off back to back ATS wins.  Meanwhile, the Lions are 111-68 ATS as a road underdog of +7 (or more) points.  Take Columbia + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers enter this home game off three straight point spread wins on the road, while Florida State comes into this game off an upset win at Notre Dame.  We'll fade the Panthers, as home favorites have covered just 39.7% of conference games since 1990 off 3 road ATS wins, if they were playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Even worse for Pittsburgh:  it's 2-18 ATS as a home favorite in conference games following ATS wins in each of its three previous games.  Grab the points with Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers + the points over St. Louis.  The Explorers were upset at home, 71-59, by St. Joseph's on Monday.  We'll take La Salle to bounce back, as double-digit road underdogs have covered 58.2% of conference games off a double-digit home upset defeat.  Take La Salle + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison minus the points over Holy Cross.  Bucknell comes into this game off an upset win over Army.  And the Bison also play with revenge this afternoon, as the Crusaders won the season's first meeting, 60-58.  We'll take the Bison in the revenge role, as they've covered 67% off an upset win, when playing with revenge against their current foe.  And Holy Cross has covered just 33% in a season's second meeting vs. revenge-minded opponents.  Lay the points with Bucknell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over UCLA.  The Wildcats have won 29 of their last 30 (and 39 of their last 44) home games, straight-up.  We'll take Arizona as UCLA has covered just 37% of its Pac-12 road games when it wasn't getting more than 3 points, and its opponent had won at least 31 of its previous 40 home games.  And the home team has gone 13-5 ATS in this series when it wasn't favored by more than 2 points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Coyotes were upset, 75-60, here at home by Denver, on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with South Dakota, as it's cashed 80% at home off a home upset loss.  And the Mavericks have covered just 37% on the road vs. foes off an upset home loss.  Take South Dakota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Utah.  The Jazz blew out the Clippers, 126-103, on Wednesday.  But off that win, we'll fade Will Hardy's men tonight, and grab the points with a Brooklyn club off 4 SU/ATS losses.  The good news for the Nets is that they're 57-26-2 ATS as an underdog off back to back SU/ATS losses when matched up against a foe off a win by more than 8 points.  Take Brooklyn.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  The Spurs are the league's worst defensive team, but had one of their better games Wednesday when they upset Brooklyn, 106-98.  San Antonio held the Nets to just 42.0 percent shooting, which was just the 7th time all season the Spurs' defense held its opponent to less than 44.0 percent from the floor.  Unfortunately, for San Antonio, it generally doesn't put two good defensive games together, back-to-back.  Indeed, the Spurs have gone 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS in their six games following a defensive effort below 44%.  They lost by an average of 24 ppg, and their defensive FG percentage and points allowed in those six games were 53.8%/143 points, 53.4%/132 points, 52.1%/133 points, 48.4%/126 points, 53.5%/130 points, and 58.1%/126 points.  San Antonio is already 0-2 SU/ATS this season vs. the Clippers.  And they're an ugly 0-10 SU/ATS this season vs. Pacific division teams.  Lay the points with the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Ottawa Senators.  At 29.4 years of age, the Penguins have the second-oldest roster in the NHL this season (Washington's the oldest, at 30.1).  That advanced age can have a positive as well as a negative effect.  On the positive side, there are few substitutes for experience in the NHL, and Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Jeff Carter certainly have plenty of that.  On the negative side, older players almost always wear down faster and get injured more often than their younger brethren.  We've seen both sides from the Pens this season who haven't had a losing campaign since 2005-2006, but who are sitting at 22-22 after 44 games.  The good news is that they're facing a Senators team tonight which has won just eight games on the road this season.  And this is the back-end of a home-and-home situation in which the Senators took Game 1 at home on Wednesday in overtime.  That victory makes the home team 36-16 in the last 52 meetings.  And the Sens are a horrid 4-22 in the last 26 meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Pens.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St John's Red Storm minus the points over Villanova.  The Red Storm were a double-digit dog at UConn, but won outright by double-digits!  Now, they return home, and seek revenge against Villanova.  We'll lay the points, as home favorites off a double-digit win as a double-digit dog have covered 73% when playing an opponent it lost to earlier in the season.  Take the Red Storm.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils + the points over UCLA.  The Sun Devils have won 4 straight, and have been installed as a home dog tonight vs. the Top 5-ranked Bruins.  We'll take Arizona State, as it's 18-9 ATS as a home underdog off back to back wins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UC San Diego Tritons + the points over Cal Poly SLO.  The Mustangs return home tonight after losing back to back road games at Long Beach St and Cal-Riverside.  And they're now on a 5-game losing streak, overall.  The Mustangs are a dreadful 39-68-2 ATS in conference games off a conference loss, including 4-14 ATS as a home favorite.  Take the Tritons + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over Arizona.  The Caps outshot Minnesota, 36-22, in a 4-2 defeat, on Tuesday.  In contrast, Arizona won its game on Tuesday, 4-3, vs. Detroit, even though it was outshot 40-23.  Still, the Coyotes had lost nine straight games prior to that upset win over the Red Wings.  We'll go against Arizona tonight, as it's 42-83 (minus 28.8 net games) off a win by a single goal.  And Washington is 17-6 (+9.6 net games) off a home loss by 2+ goals.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions come into this game off a 14-point win over San Diego.  We'll fade Loyola Marymount, as Gonzaga is 23-5 ATS at home vs. foes off a win by more than 8 points.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Cleveland St.  Both teams come into this Horizon League game with a 6-2 conference record.  In its last game, the Vikings pulled off a big upset, as they went into Fort Wayne, and knocked off the Mastodons, 72-60, as a 5.5-point road underdog.  We'll fade Cleveland State this evening, as it's covered just 33% on the road off an upset win, if it was matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Additionally, the Norse are 8-0 ATS their last at home vs. winning teams.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hampton Pirates + the points over Drexel.  The Dragons are 10-8 this season following their upset road win over Northeastern on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Pirates enter tonight on a long, 9-game losing streak.  We'll go against the Dragons, as they've covered just 23% since 1990 off an upset win, if they were matched up in their current game against a foe off back to back losses.  Take Hampton + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Charleston.  The Cougars blew out William & Mary, 82-54, on Monday.  Off that win, we'll fade Charleston, as it's 0-8 ATS its last eight (and 1-14 ATS its last 15) conference games off a 20-point (or greater) home conference win.  Take Monmouth + the points.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Colorado.  Both the Flames and Avalanche have under-performed this season, but for different reasons.  The Avalanche have been injury-ravaged, while the Flames have just been maddeningly inconsistent.  Colorado does come into this game off back to back high-scoring wins over Ottawa (7-0) and Detroit (6-3).  But the Avs are a wallet-busting 6-9 (minus 11.2 net games) this season after back to back games in which they scored 3+ goals.  Take Calgary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah Tech Trailblazers + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes were upset on the road by Cal Baptist, 79-74, and now return home to face Utah Tech.  Unfortunately, double-digit home favorites have not done well in the regular season off an upset road loss.  Additionally, WAC Conference double-digit home favorites off an upset loss have covered just 35.7% of games vs. foes off a loss.  Finally, the Antelopes fall into a negative 622-850 ATS system of mine.  Take Utah Tech + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Virginia.  The Hokies have lost their last five games -- each as a favorite.  We'll grab the points with Virginia Tech, as road teams off 4+ upset losses have covered 65.5%.  Take the Hokies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers + the points over St. Louis.  Loyola-Chicago has won 38 of its last 43 home games.  But it's a big home dog tonight.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs of more than 5 points that have won at least 35 of their previous 40 home games, have cashed 60% since 1990.  Take Loyola + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the American Univ. Eagles minus the points over Lafayette.  The Eagles went into Lafayette in late December and blew out the Leopards, 60-47.  That kicked off a four-game win streak for the Eagles.  But American stumbled on the road last week vs. Army and Lehigh, so it's now lost its last two game.  We'll take the Eagles to bounce back tonight against a Lafayette team riding a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, as the Leopards have covered just 37% off back to back wins.  And they've won just 13 of the last 38 games in this series.  Lay the points with American.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs enter Lexington off back to back wins.  We'll fade Georgia, as Kentucky is 71-34 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back wins, if Kentucky wasn't favored by more than 14 points.  Lay it.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise St Broncos minus the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack won a squeaker earlier this year, 74-72, over Boise.  We'll take the Broncos to avenge that defeat, as it falls into a 123-59 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain .666 (or better) teams playing with revenge.  And Boise's also 25-14 ATS as a home favorite when playing an opponent it lost to earlier in the season.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Clemson.  Wake's 5-1 SU/ATS its last six, and will look to avenge a 20-point blowout at the hands of the Tigers in early December.  The Tigers are a poor 13-22 ATS as a road dog vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Southern Illinois.  The Salukis have won 9 of their last 10, and have been installed as a huge home favorite vs. the Purple Aces, who have dropped 6 straight.  It's true that Evansville was defeated by 27 in the first meeting between these teams.  But Missouri Valley Conference underdogs (or PK) have gone 136-91 ATS as underdogs (or PK) when playing with revenge from an 18-point loss earlier in the season.  Take Evansville.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Florida Panthers.  Toronto comes into this game off a tough, 4-3, road loss to the Boston Bruins, as the Maple Leafs surrendered the 4th goal in the waning minutes.  We'll take Toronto to bounce back here, at home, as it's 27-4 at home off a road game.  And the Leafs are 22-9 after giving up 4 (or more) goals in a loss to a division rival.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over North Carolina.  The Eagles were blown out, 85-63, by Wake Forest in their last game.  And they also lost 88-72 two games back.  But BC is 50-28 ATS away from home off back to back ATS losses, including 8-1 ATS its last 9.  Take the Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Houston.  The Green Wave have won and covered 5 straight, and are also 19-7 ATS their last 26 conference games.  Last year, Houston routed the Green Wave by 20.  But we'll grab the points with the red-hot home underdog, as Tulane's covered 67% since 1990 when they were off 3 SU/ATS wins and playing with revenge.  Take Tulane.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Kent St.  The Eagles come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS road losses, while Kent has won each of its last two games.  We'll take the big home dog tonight, as Eastern Michigan has covered 66% the past 33 seasons as a double-digit dog off back to back SU/ATS losses, if its foe was off back to back wins.  Grab the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  Yes, the Rockets have lost 10 straight, and are the league's worst W/L team.  But the Lakers can't be trusted to lay points to any team, as they're 24-40-1 ATS as a favorite, including 4-11 ATS vs. .285 (or worse) opponents.  The Rockets also fall into a great NBA system of mine which is 409-277 ATS.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on Cal State Northridge + the points over Hawaii.  Big West Conference underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 74-40 ATS off a home loss, when matched up against conference foes off a win.  With Northridge in off a 71-57 SU/ATS home loss to Irvine, and Hawaii off a SU/ATS win over Long Beach, we'll grab the points with the Matadors.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Dallas Cowboys to go OVER the total.  These playoff games have all gone over the total thus far, and we'll look for the Bucs and Cowboys to make it a perfect 6-0 SWEEP for the Overs in the Wild Card round.  The Cowboys have played five of their last six (and seven of their last nine) OVER the total, while the Bucs have gone OVER in four of their last five.  And the OVER also falls into a 77-45 Totals system of mine.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wagner Seahawks + the points over Merrimack.  The Warriors upset Stonehill, 59-47, on Saturday.  But that game was on the road.  Now, Merrimack is back home, where it's 1-11-1 ATS its last 13 when not favored by more than 5 points.  Take Wagner as a road underdog.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  The Rangers were stunned at home by the Canadiens yesterday afternoon, 2-1 despite out-shooting Montreal by a 39-31 margin.  So today they head west to Columbus to play the only team in the Conference with a worse record than the one that just beat them.  It's been a painfully bad season for the Blue Jackets so far as they have managed just 13 wins in 42 games.  Only the Blackhawks have less points in the standings at the half-way point of the season.  The Rangers hope to take advantage of their weak opposition -- and they need to tonight because their schedule gets much tougher after this (Boston, Florida, Toronto, Vegas, and Calgary).  The only thing worse than a bad team is a bad team with injuries, and that's Columbus right now.  No fewer than seven regular Jackets are either questionable, unavailable for this game, or out for the season.  The road team is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings of these two clubs and the Rangers are 7-3 in their last 10 away from home.  Take New York.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 16-1, but are ripe for an upset loss tonight.  Florida Atlantic has been installed as a road favorite vs. the Hilltoppers, who are on a 3-game win streak (both SU and ATS).  But the Owls are 6-15-1 ATS when favored on the road by more than 2 points.  Take Western Kentucky to win its fourth straight game SU/ATS.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley St Delta Devils + the points over Florida A&M.  The Rattlers have won 6 of their last 25 games, and have gone 9-13-1 ATS over that stretch, but have been installed as a small favorite this afternoon.  Florida A&M is 2-9 ATS when not getting double-digits, and 1-4 ATS as a favorite.  And it's 1-7 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Mississippi Valley St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Georgetown.  The Wildcats have dropped 3 straight games since routing Georgetown, 73-57, in DC.  We'll lay the points, as the Hoyas are 1-7 ATS their last eight with revenge, while Villanova is 50-27-4 ATS off a point spread loss.  Take the Wildcats.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Cornell.  The Lions have been blown out in each of their last three games, but are 14-2 ATS their last 16 off three ATS losses in their 3 previous games.  Take Columbia + the points.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Cincinnati/Baltimore game.  We played on the Over last week in the Bengals/Ravens game, and got the $$$ with Cincy's 27-16 win.  And we'll come right back with the Over in this Playoff game rematch.  Indeed, there have been 15 playoff games since 1980 where the teams also met in the final regular season game, and 12 of those 15 playoff games went Over the total.  Even better, the Bengals have gone Over the total 9 straight division games when the O/U line was between 38 and 44 points.  Take the Ravens/Bengals Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants and Minnesota Vikings Under the total.  The New York Giants went under the total in 10 of their 17 games this season, and have gone under 106-79-1 their last 186 games.  Even better:  when priced as an underdog of less than 4 points (or PK), New York has gone under 32-13-1, including 10-0 under its last 10.  And, finally, the Giants have also gone under in nine of their last 12 playoff games.  Likewise, Minnesota has gone under the total in nine of their last 12 playoff games.  This will be a low-scoring game.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marquette.  We played on the Golden Eagles in their upset win over UConn on Wednesday.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Marquette this afternoon, as it falls into negative 64-104 and 40-79 ATS systems of mine that fade certain teams off upsets.  Additionally, Xavier is on a 10-game win streak and has covered four straight.  And the Musketeers fall into a 251-149 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home teams on SU/ATS win streaks.  Finally, Xavier plays this game with revenge from a loss to Marquette last season.  And the Musketeers are 45-21 ATS when playing with revenge, if they owned a winning SU/ATS record, and their foe was off a SU/ATS win.  Take Xavier.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers over Dallas.  The Mavericks have won 6 straight vs. Portland, and also come into this game off an overtime win vs. the Lakers.  We'll take Portland, as Dallas is a wallet-breaking 18-41-1 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes with a .333 (or better) W/L percentage, if Dallas was off a SU win.  Take the Blazers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Utah.  The Sixers were shocked, 133-114, by Oklahoma City, as a 10.5-point home favorite on Thursday.  We'll look for Philly to bounce back, as it's cashed 67% since 1990 as a favorite off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 9 points.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas-Arlington Mavericks + the points over New Mexico St.  We played on the Aggies in their last game, and got the $$$ when they covered the spread in a 3-point loss vs. Seattle.  They were a 4-point underdog in that game.  But tonight, they're a big favorite against a Mavericks squad on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  We'll take the points with Arlington, as the Mavs are 82-60 ATS as underdogs, including 13-4 ATS when they were off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And the Aggies are 0-12-1 ATS at home off a loss when playing a foe off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take Texas Arlington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St Aztecs minus the points over New Mexico.  The Lobos are 15-2 on the season, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. 13-3 SDSU.  We'll lay the points, as Mountain West Conference home favorites have covered 60% since 1990 vs. conference foes with a better overall record.  Take San Diego St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers and Jacksonville Jaguars Over the total.  The Jaguars come into this game off 3 straight Unders, and they also won each of those games SU.  But off that string of low-scoring victories, we'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on Saturday, as NFL teams off 3 straight wins, and 3 straight unders have proceeded to go OVER the total 69.2% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Chargers flew over the total in their previous game by 20 points, as they lost 31-28 to Denver, when the O/U line was just 39.  That also bodes well for the Over, as teams off high-scoring games that went over the total by 20+ points have also gone Over in their next game in the Playoffs 59% of the time.  The meeting between these teams earlier this season went over the total by 2.5 points, and 11 of the 13 meetings in this series have gone Over.  We'll look for another high-scoring game on Saturday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Bradley.  The Braves blew out Evansville by 45 points in their previous game.  Off that big win, we'll fade Bradley today, as it's 25-45 ATS as a road underdog off a double-digit win.  Take Drake.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Montreal Canadiens.  It's been a rough week for the Islanders who have lost four straight games coming into tonight.  Those four losses however were to four very good teams from the West in the Oilers, Flames, Wild and Stars (the worst of the four are the Oilers and they have 47 points).  So no doubt the Isles are looking forward to playing one of the East's worst teams tonight in the Canadiens.  The Habs lost 10 of 11 games between December 14 and January 5 but since then they have won two of three against the Blues and Predators.  Both of those victories came at home and tonight Montreal is on the road where it has won just eight of 14 games this season.  With Carey Price out for the season, Jake Allen has assumed the #1 goalie's job for the Habs, but Allen has missed the last two games with an upper body injury and is questionable to play tonight.  The Canadiens are 11-28 in their last 39 games immediately following a win and they're 10-24 in their last 34 vs. Metropolitan Division teams.  Take the Isles.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Little Rock Trojans + the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Panthers have long been one of the worst ATS teams at home, as they're 93-136-2 ATS in Charleston, including a blowout, 80-62, loss on Thursday vs. Edwardsville.  We'll take Little Rock this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But LSU has cashed 60% of SEC games since 1990 as double-digit dogs off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers upset South Florida, 70-66, on Thursday.  We'll fade Wichita this afternoon, as it's 3-14 ATS its last 17 games off a win, including 0-8 ATS when favored by more than 2 points, and 0-7 ATS vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Tulsa.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over East Tennessee St.  The Buccaneers are a dismal 4-10 ATS their last 14, overall.  But at home, the numbers are even worse, as the Bucs are 0-9 ATS their last nine (and 4-17 ATS their last 21).  Take Mercer + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls St Colonels minus the points over Northwestern St.  The Colonels were upset, 69-66, as an 11-point favorite by Lamar on Thursday.  We'll take Nicholls State to bounce back, as it falls into a 72.4 percent ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Additionally, the Colonels have covered 57% off an upset loss, while Northwestern St. is 28% ATS as an underdog vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Nicholls St. minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions minus the points over Florida A&M.  The Golden Lions have been installed as a road favorite this afternoon.  We'll lay the points, as the Golden Lions are 11-1 ATS when not installed as an underdog of more than a point.  Take Pine Bluff.