Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints and Atlanta Falcons 'UNDER' the total.  Both of these teams went UNDER the total last week.  And division games have gone UNDER the total 161-118-2 when both teams went 'under' in their previous game, the line was 43+ points.  Additionally, the 'under' falls into 70-36 and 79-43 Totals systems of mine.  This will be a relatively-low scoring game.  Take the 'under.'  NFL Total of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Mississippi State.  The Bulldogs blew out Arkansas, 52-6, last week, while their rival, Ole Miss, lost its fifth straight to the point spread, 36-29, at Vanderbilt.  But the point spread has taken into account the poor play of Ole Miss, and it's already moved four points higher from the opening number on Sunday.  We'll grab the points with the underdog, as we note that .200 (or better) home underdogs of +19 or less points have cashed 76% off 5+ ATS defeats, if they were playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the points with the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Stanford.  The Gators were upset, 65-60, by Oklahoma last night in this Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament.  But that upset loss has triggered a very good 66% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Additionally, that was the 2nd straight ATS defeat suffered by Florida.  But the Gators are 71-39-4 ATS off back to back ATS losses, including 14-0-1 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes!  Lay the points with Florida.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Canisius.  Jay Wright's men don't look like they will be defending their national championship this season.  Last season, the Wildcats lost just four games the entire year.  This season, after starting 2-0, they proceeded to lose their next two games.  And they failed to cover the spread in those games by an average of 28.75 ppg!  But off those two defeats, we'll play on Villanova, as they're 11-3 ATS their last 14 off an ATS loss.  And Villanova also falls into a 62% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with a negative point spread differential.  Take the Wildcats.  NCAA High Roller Winner! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our NFC NORTH DIVISION TOTAL OF THE MONTH is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  These two teams met just 11 days ago in Chicago.  The Bears won a high-scoring contest, 34-22, as a 7-point favorite.  In the NFL, when two teams met two games back, and played a high-scoring game that went 'over' the total, the rematch has gone 'under' the total 58% of the time.  The Under also falls into a 158-97 Totals System of mine.  Take the Bears and Lions UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis.  The Spurs have completely dominated this series over the last nine seasons, as they're 34-8 straight-up and 26-15-1 ATS since the 2011-12 season.  San Antonio did lose its previous game, 140-126, to the Pelicans.  But that wasn't a surprise to us, as we had our strongest play this month on New Orleans in that game.  San Antonio is a solid 78-49 ATS off a loss when not installed as an underdog of more than 2 points, while the Grizzlies fall into a negative 6-32 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off 3+ ATS wins.  Take the Spurs.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Portland.  The Blazers had to play last night in New York, while Milwaukee was resting at home.  This will also be Portland's 3rd game in four nights.  And Milwaukee will be playing with revenge from a loss in Portland on November 6.  Portland's covered just 15 of 42 road games off back-to-back wins, if it's matched up against a revenge-minded foe with a .625 (or better) record.  And the Bucks fall into a super 237-152 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Bucks minus the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Detroit.  This will be the first of a home-and-home series with the Pistons (they'll play in Detroit in Friday).  The Rockets are finally playing up to their expectations, with four straight wins and covers.  I look for them to make it five in a row, as home favorites off three straight double-digit wins, in which they scored 105+ points in each victory, are 109-69 ATS including 64-31 ATS vs. winning opponents.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Florida Panthers.  If it's possible that a team can get a boost from a loss then the Lightning possibly just did that.  Heading to Nashville to face the #1 team is no cake walk for any club in the NHL, but the Bolts basically played the Predators even for 60 minutes, finally succumbing by a slim 3-2 margin while holding their own in basically every phase of the game.  The Bolts had won two straight before that loss -- in Pittsburgh and Philadelphia -- and tonight they go "down in class" by facing the Panthers at home.  Tampa is 7-3 at Amalie Arena, and should penetrate Florida's defense, which has broken down on this road trip by allowing 16 goals in the last three games -- at Columbus, New York, and Ottawa.  And the Bolts' offense has posted a league-leading 3.57 goals-per-game average.  The Panthers are 0-5 in the last five meetings in Tampa while the home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings of these two.  Take Tampa.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over New Orleans.  Dating back to last season, the 76ers are 35-4 straight-up and 27-12 ATS at home, including 15-0 SU and 13-2 ATS vs. foes with a losing ATS record (New Orleans is 8-9 ATS). Meanwhile, New Orleans is 3-20 ATS off a double-digit division win, if it's on the road, and not favored by 3.5.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets minus the points over Indiana.  The Pacers come into this game off an upset win as a 4-point underdog over Utah, 121-94, at home on Monday.  But off that big win, we will fade the Pacers as a road dog tonight.  Since 1990, underdogs have covered just 36.1% in the regular season after an upset win in which they covered the spread by more than 30 points, if they were on the road vs. an opponent also off a win.  Take Charlotte.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Buffalo Sabres.  Philly's on a 3-game losing streak (all at home, no less), even though they've outshot their opponents 104-83 over those three games.  The problem hasn't been their offense, but rather their goaltending.  The Flyers gave up six goals in their last game -- a 6-5 loss to Tampa Bay -- and that was all coach Dave Hakstol needed to pull the trigger on a goalie change.  Tonight, 25-year-old Alex Lyon will make his first appearance of the season after being called up from the AHL last week.  He will replace Cal Pickard, who had a 4.60 GAA and .852 saves pct. in eight appearances.  I look for Lyon to be the catalyst for Philly to get back to its winning ways.  The Flyers are 6-2 off 3 home losses, while Buffalo is a poor 29-53 when playing its fourth game in seven nights, and 6-12 after scoring 4+ goals in a road win.  Take the Flyers.  NHL Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Toronto.  The Magic won their 3rd straight game (both SU and ATS) on Sunday, when they blew out the Knicks, 131-117.  And that followed a 130-117 upset win over the Lakers, on Saturday, and an upset win over Philly, on Wednesday.  I look for Orlando to get its fourth straight cover, as .500 (or better) home underdogs (or PK) are 59-28-2 ATS off back to back double-digit SU/ATS wins.   And Toronto is an awful 1-7 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Magic.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the LA Clippers.  The Clippers are outperforming expectations this season, as they are 11-5, including a 32-point blowout win over these Wizards in Los Angeles last month.  This will be the 3rd game of a 3-game road trip for L.A., which won SU/ATS last night at Atlanta.  L.A.'s been installed as a small underdog.  But, unfortunately for the Clippers, .500 (or better) underdogs off a SU/ATS win are 16-40 ATS vs. foes playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat.  Meanwhile, Washington is an awesome 28-8 ATS at home when playing with revenge, and not favored by more than two points.  Take the Wizards.  NBA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Kings have outperformed expectations in this young season, with a .500 record through the first month.  One of their early wins was an 11-point upset win at Oklahoma City in the first week of the season.  Some might look for the Thunder to avenge that defeat tonight, but Oklahoma City has been awful in that role of late, as it's 4-17 ATS its last 21 when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, including 1-10 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes!  And, yes, it's true that Sacramento is off back to back SU/ATS losses, while OKC is off 3 SU/ATS wins.  But home underdogs off back-to-back SU/ATS losses have gone 110-66 ATS vs. non-division foes off 3 ATS wins.  Take Sacramento.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams over Kansas City.  This is the most anticipated Monday Night NFL game of the season, as it pits the 9-1 Chiefs vs. the 9-1 Rams.  If history is any indication, the homestanding Rams will get the victory.  First, in weekday (Monday/Thursday) games between teams with .715 (or better) records (at Game 7 forward), the favorites have gone 18-2 SU and 16-2-2 ATS since 1987.  And, second, in Monday Night games since 1980, .430 (or better) home teams have gone 95-52-4 ATS off a win, if they were playing a non-division foe.  It's true that the underdog Chiefs have won 4 straight games, while the Rams have lost their last three to the point spread.  But the point spread has also started to catch up with Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs, as they've lost two of their last three to the spread.  And NFL teams, like Kansas City, off 4+ wins, and an ATS loss in their previous game, are an awful 15.7% ATS vs. non-division foes off 3+ ATS losses.  Finally, the Chiefs also fall into negative 2-17 and 27-57 ATS systems of mine that play against certain NFL underdogs off wins.  Take Los Angeles.  Monday Night Football Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Nuggs lost at home, 121-111, to Milwaukee eight days ago.  But that loss has triggered a 125-73 ATS revenge system of mine.  Even better for Denver:  it lost its previous game, 125-115, at New Orleans.  But Denver is a solid 22-7 ATS off a loss when not favored by more than three points (including a perfect 10-0 ATS vs. .583 (or better) foes.  Take Denver.  Perfect 10 Club Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over San Antonio.  The Spurs have had more success than any franchise in our four major sports, but they've had NO SUCCESS in the Crescent City over the last 8 years.  Certainly, the one game that most basketball fans would remember came on the last day of the 2014-15 season.  The Spurs needed to win in New Orleans to secure the #2 seed in the playoffs.  But they lost as a 5.5-point favorite, and that single defeat knocked them all the way down to the #6 seed (and they they lost to the Clippers in the first round).  San Antonio is now 1-14 ATS in their last 15 meetings here in New Orleans, including the last eight in a row.  And they've failed to cover the point spread by an average of 9.63 points per game.  We played on San Antonio last night vs. Golden State, and the Spurs rewarded us by winning an emotional game vs. the defending NBA Champs.  But NBA underdogs are a poor 21-33 ATS after defeating Golden State, including 0-9 ATS when priced from +6 to +7.5 points, and 3-12 ATS on the road if its opponent was playing with revenge.  With the Pelicans indeed playing with revenge from a 14-point loss suffered in San Antonio earlier this month, we'll lay the points with Anthony Davis & Co.  Take New Orleans.  NBA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Florida Panthers over the Ottawa Senators.  The Panthers are in the midst of an eastern road swing that started out well enough with a win over the Flyers in Philadelphia.  But since that one they've lost two straight in Columbus and New York and now they travel north to face the Senators for the second time this season.  The Panthers jumped all over this club only eight days ago, taking a convincing 5-1 game in south Florida.  And they did that with their back-up goalie, James Reimer, in net.  Veteran Roberto Luongo should be back in goal tonight. And despite his ripe age of 39, Luongo is enjoying another solid season with a 2.48 GAA and .918 save pct., since returning to action just 17 days ago.  With 81 goals allowed in their first 20 games, the Sens have the dubious distinction of having the worst defense in the NHL with a horrific 4.05 GAA.  And they've allowed an absurd average of 38.4 shots on goal per game.  Florida has a losing record so far this season at 7-7-3, but that may not be the best thing for Ottawa, as it's just 10-26 in its last 36 vs. losing teams.  Take the Panthers.  NHL High Roller Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Buffalo Sabres.  Two weeks ago, the Pens pulled a rare feat -- for them -- by losing five games in a row.  They're staring at another four-game losing streak tonight.  But two weeks ago, after losing three straight, they were facing the Caps followed by the Devils -- two teams that always give them fits.  Tonight, it's perhaps the one team they'd MOST like to see in this situation as the Sabres come to town for the first time in almost a year.  Pittsburgh has won the last five in a row and nine of the last 10 vs. Buffalo.  The numbers are almost as lopsided here in PPG Paints Arena where the Pens are 24-7 in the last 31 meetings.  Despite their recent success, the Sabres are still 14-26, -14 games on the money line, off a win.  And they're an awful 28-53, -14 games on the money line, when playing their fourth game in seven days.  Meanwhile, the Pens are 55-29 after allowing more than three goals, and 6-0 after allowing more than three goals in three straight games.  After giving up 22 goals on 129 shots over his last six appearances, I look for goalie Matt Murray (and the Penguins) to bounce back tonight.  Take Pittsburgh.  NHL Game of the Month.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Golden State.  Since the 1997-98 season, the Spurs have been the best franchise.  And not just in the NBA, but in all of the major North American sports.  And of all the great statistics to illustrate just how good this franchise has been, this one is my favorite.  Since the 1997-98 season, the Spurs have had a record under .500 for a total of 48 days.  The next closest NBA team:  the Houston Rockets, who have been under .500 for 884 days!  San Antonio will try to not go under .500 for the first time this season, as it enters this evening's game with a 7-7 record.  The Spurs have lost their last three games.  But I love them to bounce back at home tonight vs. a Warriors club which had to play last night in Dallas.  San Antonio will be much more well-rested, as it has had the last 2 days off.  The Spurs are 87-56-2 ATS vs. unrested foes.  And they're 146-118-1 ATS when they had the previous 2 days off.  Finally, the Spurs are 45-27-1 ATS in the regular season off 3+ losses, Take San Antone.  NBA Elite INfo Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over VMI.  The Keydets are 3-1 on the season after defeating South Carolina Upstate, 78-72, on Tuesday.  But the Wildcats are a Top 10-ranked team, so VMI will be clearly outclassed this evening.  Indeed, VMI's lone loss this year was to ACC Conference member, Pittsburgh (94-55), while its three wins were vs. Goucher, Washington (MD), and South Carolina Upstate.  It's tough even for winning teams to step up in class, as evidenced by the fact that .630 (or better) teams are a poor 41-78 ATS as road underdogs of more than 23 points.  Kentucky comes into this game off a blowout win over another outclassed foe, North Dakota.  Kentucky was favored by 26, and won by 38.  And the Wildcats are 10-3 ATS at home their last 13 when favored by 26+ points.  Take Kentucky to blow out VMI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over New Orleans.  The Eagles were upset by the Dallas Cowboys last Sunday night, as a 7.5-point favorite.  We had a play on the Cowboys, so that result didn't surprise us.  But off that upset loss, we'll look for Philly to bounce back on the road, at New Orleans, on Sunday.  Indeed, defending Super Bowl champions have cashed 82.6% over the last 39 seasons on the road off a loss, if they weren't favored by 2+ points, and their opponent was off a point spread win!  Even better:  if our defending Champs were off an UPSET loss, then our 82.6% ATS angle zooms to a perfect 16-0-2 ATS.  Additionally, the Eagles fall into 154-68, 224-118 and 101-45 ATS systems of mine.  Take Philly. 5* NFL Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Arizona/Oakland game.  Both of these two teams have been hemorrhaging points on defense.  In their last four games, the Raiders have given up 27, 42, 34 and 20 points (30.75 ppg), while Arizona has given up 27, 45, 15 and 26 points (28.25 ppg).  The over falls into 79-56, 110-73 and 159-108 systems of mine.  Take the 'over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Arizona.  This match-up is obviously one between two very bad teams.  Oakland is 1-8, after dropping a 20-6 home game to the Chargers, while Arizona is 2-7 following its 26-14 loss at Kansas City.  Certainly, I won't be able to extol any of Oakland's virtues (because there are none).  Instead, I will just submit that it's dangerous in the NFL to lay points with bad teams, like Arizona.  And that's even if their opponent is equally bad, or worse (as is Oakland).  Indeed, since 1980, at Game 8 forward, NFL home favorites of more than 2 points, with a .225 (or worse) win percentage, have covered just 36 of 99 games, including just four of 18 games if their opponent had less than two wins on the season.  The Raiders also fall into a 66-37 and 106-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks, as well as 65-29 and 115-68 ATS angles that play on certain teams that failed to score 10 points in their previous game.  Take Oakland.  NFL Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Memphis.  Last night, Jimmy Butler showed why he is such a great player.  The 76ers went to him for game-winning buckets, both at the end of regulation (he missed), and at the end of the overtime session (he converted).  The 76ers were missing a player with his skill set to whom they could turn for end-of-game offense, so his acquisition has completely transformed their team.  But just because the Timberwolves divested themselves of Butler's talent, it would a mistake to think that Minnesota will necessarily win less games.  Chemistry is very important for an NBA roster, and Butler's personality didn't mesh with Minnesota's other star talent.  Since trading him, the T-Wolves have gone 3-0 SU/ATS, and I look for them to stretch their win streak to 4 games this afternoon.  Even though Minnesota hasn't been above .500 all season, they've actually played great at home, at the Target Center, where they're 7-1 straight-up and 6-2 ATS (compared to 0-8 SU and 2-6 ATS on the road).  Lay the points with Minnesota.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons minus the points over Dallas.  Last week, the Cowboys upset the defending Super Bowl champion Eagles, 27-20, as a 7.5-point underdog.  But off that upset win, let’s fade the Cowboys in Atlanta.  For technical support, consider that teams that pulled upset wins over the defending Super Bowl Champs, and covered the point spread by 14 or more points in that upset win, have gone 6-18 ATS in their next game if installed as a road underdog.  Also, last week, the Falcons were upset as a 5.5-point road favorite by the Cleveland Browns.  But home teams, off upset road losses, have gone 71-43 ATS since 1980 vs. opponents off upset wins.  Take the Falcons minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over the New York Giants.  Tampa Bay scored just three points last week, notwithstanding the fact it went up and down the field, and amassed 501 yards of offense.  Turnovers, of course, were the primary culprit.  QB Ryan Fitzpatrick had three turnovers, which marred a 29-of-41 passing day (for 406 yards).  For the season, Tampa ranks dead last in turnovers, at 25.  The good news, though, for this game is that the Giants rank as the 8th worst team in forcing turnovers, as they've only taken away the ball nine times.  Last week, New York upset the San Francisco 49ers, 27-23, as a 3-point underdog.  But the Giants are a miserable 1-8 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals and Baltimore Ravens to go 'under' the total.  The Ravens have issues at the quarterback position for this game, as starter Joe Flacco is out with a hip injury.  Thus, rookie first-round pick, Lamar Jackson, is going to get the nod, with Robert Griffin III to serve as his back-up.  Regardless, though, of who is going to be under center for Baltimore, I love the UNDER.  Baltimore has played six of its last seven UNDER the total.  And 12 of its last 16 home divisional match-ups have sailed UNDER the total.  The Ravens also have gone UNDER in 20 of their last 24 games that were priced between 43.5 and 49.5 points, including 9-1 UNDER if the Ravens were favored in those games by 4+ points.  The Bengals also will be without their best offensive player, A.J. Green.  Take the Ravens/Bengals UNDER the total.  AFC North Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Tennessee.  The Titans have won their last two games -- both as underdogs -- against the Cowboys and Patriots.  And they've covered their last three in a row (each in the underdog role).  Tennessee is now 5-4 on the season, and will travel to Indianapolis today to take on its AFC South division rival.  The Colts also have been playing well of late, as they're 3-0 SU and 2-0-1 ATS in their last three games, with the primary difference being that they were installed as a favorite (rather than an underdog) in each game.  The Colts are 9-1 SU and 7-2-1 ATS their last 10 as a favorite.  And they're 21-2 SU and 16-5-2 ATS when favored over a division rival.  Finally, NFL road teams are a miserable 25.7% ATS over the last 39 years after covering the point spread as underdogs in each of their last three games.  Take Indianapolis.  AFC South Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over UNLV.  The Runnin' Rebels upset San Diego St., 27-24, as a 24-point underdog last Saturday.  That was the 2nd biggest upset on the road this season.  Only Oregon State's 41-34 upset at Colorado, as a 26.5-point underdog, was a bigger upset.  Not surprisingly, as a majority of teams do after pulling such upsets on the road, Oregon State failed to cover the spread the next week vs. USC.  Indeed, since 1980, teams off a road upset as an underdog greater than 19 points, have covered just 35% their following game, including a paltry 18% if its opponent was off a point spread loss.  And Hawaii is off an ATS loss, as it fell by 39 points to the Utah St. Aggies two weeks ago, as a 17.5-point underdog.  The fact that Hawaii will play with an extra week of rest certainly won't hurt (Hawaii's cashed 64% at home since 1985 when playing with rest vs. an unrested opponent).  Even worse for UNLV:  it's just 2-14 ATS off a road win over a conference foe.  Take Hawaii.  Mountain West Conf. Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over St. Louis.  Last night, the Blues went into Vegas, and upset the Golden Knights.  Can they make it two upsets in a row?  It's not likely, as San Jose will be the more well-rested team this evening, as it had last night off.  Moreover, the Sharks will be looking to avenge a 4-0 shutout loss to the Blues eight days ago.  And San Jose is a super 24-9 when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 3 goals, and 9-3 when playing with revenge from a shutout loss.  Take the Sharks.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Edmonton Oilers.  Two teams that are seemingly treading water at this point in the season meet tonight in Calgary as the Oilers come in for their first visit since last Spring.  Edmonton made two appearances here, 18 days apart on March 13 and 31 and the Flames won both of those. Sure, they feature the best player on the Planet in Connor McDavid, but is he enough to make the Oilers a legitimate Stanley Cup contender?  Not when the rest of the team keeps under-achieving.  And although they added some pieces in the off-season, they may not have done enough to differentiate themselves from other contenders.  The results of the season so far seem to bear that out as the Oilers have gone just 9-8-1 in their first 18 games.  The offense was there last season, but the Oilers needed to improve on Defense.  And so far, at least, they haven't done that.  The Oilers' 3.11 GAA is only slightly better than their 3.20 number from last season, which was highest in the Western Conference.  The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings of these two.  Take the Flames.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Los Angeles Kings.  After starting their season with eight straight road wins, the Predators hit the proverbial wall, and have lost their last three road games.  The good news for the Preds is that they're back home tonight.  And they'll have the added advantage of playing an unrested Kings team off an upset win over the Blackhawks last night.  L.A. is an awful 53-88 on the road when the O/U line was 6 goals or more, and it's won just 17 of 50 games (minus 19 games on the money line) when playing an opponent with a winning record!  Meanwhile, Nashville's a powerful 21-8, + 13 games on the money line, off back to back losses (and 6-1 off 3+ losses).  Take the Predators.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over Georgia Southern.  Coastal Carolina comes into this game -- its final home game of the season -- off back-to-back home losses.  But home dogs have cashed 57% since 1980 in their final home game of the season off back to back home defeats.  Moreover, the Chanticleers will be playing, perhaps, their biggest home game ever in their school history this afternoon.  With a win, Coastal Carolina will become bowl-eligible, and will qualify to play in a Post-season Bowl game for the very first time.  With that huge motivation on its side, we'll grab the points with the Chanticleers today.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers minus the points over Drexel.  The Dragons may be without point guard Kurk Lee (14.5 ppg) today.  He sat out Drexel's 118-41 win over tiny Bryn Athyn (the smallest school in Division III) on Wednesday, but I expect him to play.  Regardless, we will go against Drexel in this cross-town rivalry contest.  Last year, Drexel went into La Salle, and upset the Explorers, 72-70, as a 12-point underdog.  Today's game is also at La Salle, and I love the Explorers to avenge last season's upset loss.  Indeed, over the last 29 seasons, double-digit home favorites have cashed 81% when playing with revenge  from a loss as a double-digit favorite vs. a non-conference foe.  Take La Salle. NCAA Payback Payday! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Notre Dame.  The Fighting Irish are 10-0, and ranked #3 in the country.  And they enter this game off a 29-point win over Florida State last weekend.  But College Football favorites of 15 points or less (or PK) have covered just 31.3% away from home since 1980 in the regular season, if they were on an 8-game (or better) win streak, and off a point spread win.  Take Syracuse.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Ohio State.  The Buckeyes have been a big money-burner in Las Vegas this season, as they're 4-6 ATS, including 2-5 ATS vs. Big 10 Conference foes.  I don't expect things to change on this Saturday, as they will have to play a Maryland club desperate to earn a win in one of its final two games to qualify for a Bowl game.  The Terrapins certainly had hoped to secure their 6th victory of the season in one of their two previous games, but they lost at home to Michigan State, and then last week at Indiana.  The good news, though, for Maryland is that it's 11-2 ATS since 1980 in its last home game of the season, if it's off a SU/ATS loss, and facing a conference opponent (and 7-0 ATS if it's off back to back SU/ATS losses).  Meanwhile, Ohio State has been awful vs. Big 10 Conference foes off back to back losses.  Since 2006, it has gone 5-15 ATS, including 0-7 ATS when priced from -10.5 to -24 points.  Finally, the Buckeyes fall into a negative 40-91 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off SU/ATS wins.  Take Maryland.  Big 10 Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers minus the points over Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons pulled off a monstrous upset last week, when they went into Raleigh, and upended the NC State Wolfpack, 27-23, as a 19-point dog.  Unfortunately, they're a horrid 1-12 ATS at home in competitively-priced games with a line less than 8 points, if they're off an upset win.  And, generally speaking, teams off upset wins as underdogs of +19 or more points don't do very well in their next game.  And especially not at home, where they've cashed just 30 of 79.  I look for Pitt to cover its sixth straight game today.  Lay the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Middle Tennessee State.  The Wildcats fall into my favorite College Football system, which is 89-39 ATS since 1980.  And that angle plays on certain NCAA teams off blowout losses (Kentucky lost, 24-7, at Tennessee last Saturday).  That was the 2nd straight blowout loss suffered by Kentucky (it lost, 34-17, to Georgia two weeks ago), which has seen its record fall to 7-3.  But I love the 'Cats to bounce back vs. Middle Tennessee, as SEC Conference teams have covered 68.1% vs. non-conference foes, if our SEC team was off an upset conference loss, and also lost SU/ATS two games back.  Even worse for the Blue Raiders:  they've done very poorly vs. SEC Conference teams.  This season, Middle Tenn was blown out by Vanderbilt (35-7) and Georgia (49-7); last year, it also got drubbed by Vandy (28-6).  Dating back to 2009, it's 1-13 straight up vs. SEC Conference foes, and 4-10 ATS.  Take Kentucky.  Non-Conference Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Boise State.  The Broncos come into this game on a five-game win streak after upsetting Fresno State last week.  Meanwhile, New Mexico has dropped its last five games.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against the cold Lobos, and bet on the hot Broncos, including a 42-24 defeat, as a 14-point underdog, at Air Force last Saturday.  But since 1980, home teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks have covered 67% vs. foes on 5-game (or better) win streaks, if our home team was also off an ATS loss, while our road team was off an ATS win.  Take New Mexico.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Memphis.  SMU enters this game off back to back double-digit wins over Houston (45-31) and Connecticut (62-50).  Off those two high-scoring wins, we'll grab the points with SMU, as it falls into a system of mine which has cashed 63% since 1980.  What we want to do is play on any home underdog off back to back wins, if it scored 90+ points combined over its two previous games.  SMU needs just one more win to achieve eligibility to play in a post-season Bowl game.  With this being its final home game of the season, I expect a supreme effort tonight.  Take the Mustangs + the points. NCAA Football Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over The Citadel.  The Bulldogs are 2-1 following a 137-60 blowout of Florida Christian College, while the Longhorns are 3-0 after their 65-55 win over Louisiana Monroe, as a 19-point favorite.  It's true that Texas has yet to cash a ticket in Vegas, as it is 0-3 ATS this season.  But I look for that to change tonight, as undefeated teams, with an 0-3 ATS record, have cashed 71% since 1992, if installed as a favorite.  Lay the points with the Longhorns.  NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Golden State, as Houston falls into an 89-48 ATS revenge system of mine.  These two teams met for the "de facto" NBA Championship last season, in the Western Conference finals, and Houston lost a heartbreaking 7th game, 101-92, when it blew an 11-point halftime lead.  Certainly, when the NBA execs drew up the schedule, this game would have been one of the most highly anticipated games of the season.  But some of its luster has been lost due to the absence of Steph Curry, as well as by Houston's slow start to the season.  The Rockets are a game below .500, at 6-7, but I expect it to be in the Conference's upper tier by season's end.  For our purposes tonight, Houston's losing record has created significant point spread value, especially given that Golden State's best player (Curry) won't be in uniform.  And even though Golden State owns the league's best record, at 12-3, it has gone 0-4 ATS this season on the road vs. teams that currently have a .400 (or better) win percentage.  Finally, the Warriors are an awful 12-23 ATS as underdogs vs. .660 (or worse) opposition, including 1-9 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Rockets.  NBA TV Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Ottawa Senators over Detroit.  The Sens are mired in last place in the Atlantic division, but I love them to get back into the win column on Thursday night.  Ottawa's greatest problem has been its inability to win away from home, as it's lost five of its last six road games.  At home, the Sens have been much more competitive, as they're 5-3 their last eight, including a perfect 4-0 when not installed as an underdog greater than +140.  Here, of course, Ottawa's a slight favorite, and it's actually the first time all season (in 19 games) that the Sens were the favored club!  It's true that Detroit does enter on a win streak, but the Red Wings are a poor 11-21, minus 10 games on the money line, off back to back wins.  And they're also 11-22, minus 12 games on the money line, after not allowing 2+ goals in their previous game.  Finally, Ottawa has the benefit of being well-rested, as it hasn't played in the last three days, while Detroit will be playing its fourth game in seven nights.  The only other time this season that Ottawa played with 3+ days off was on October 20, vs. Montreal, and the Senators upset the Canadiens, 5-4.  Also, Detroit's a poor 31-51, minus 17 games on the money line, when saddled with a 4th game in seven nights.  Take Ottawa. NHL Division Game of the Month! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the New Jersey Devils.  The 2018-2019 version of the Devils is a pretty good team, and they would be a very good team if it weren't for one glaring problem.  They are terrible when playing on the road.  In eight games at Prudential Center, the Devils are 6-1-1 and they have an average goal-differential of 1.62 (3.75 GF vs. 2.13 GA) -- second-best in the NHL (Boston 1.89).  But away from New Jersey, this team is 1-7 with a -2.50 average differential (2.38 vs. 4.88).  This makes them the biggest Jeckyll and Hyde team of the season so far.  The Devils returned from a disastrous seven-game road trip where they went 1-6 and were out-scored in those losses, 33-12 to beat a very good Penguins team at home on Tuesday, 4-2.  The Flyers had won three straight coming into the week but lost a tough one to the Panthers on Tuesday, 2-1, despite out-shooting them.  Still, this a team on the right trajectory, having won five of its last seven, with the two losses being close, one-goal games.  The home team is 6-2 in the last eight meetings of these two.  Take Philly.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Portland.  The Trail Blazers are currently on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak, and have sprinted out to a 10-3 record -- which is the 2nd best record in the Western Conference.  But Portland is nowhere near the 2nd best team.  Indeed, its gaudy record has more to do with its schedule than its true talent.  The primary reason for Portland's record is that it has played nine of its 13 games at home.  And three of its four road games were played against teams that currently sport losing records!  Tonight, the Blazers will travel to Los Angeles to take on a Lakers team it already played twice at home.  We played on Portland in the first meeting, and on the Lakers in the 2nd meeting, and cashed both games.  We'll take the Lakers tonight, as LeBron James' teams have cashed 71% in his career as favorites vs. conference foes on a 4-game (or better) win streak.  Lay the points.  NBA GAME OF THE WEEK!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Anaheim Ducks.  With Marc-Andre Fleury struggling of late, the Golden Knights decided to give their All Star goalie a break when they played their second game in as many days on Sunday.  The switch to back-up Malcolm Subban didn't help however as Vegas dropped its second in a row (and third in its last four), by a 4-1 count to the Bruins.  But Fleury has been a home-ice specialist this season as he is 4-2-1 with a 2.28 GAA in seven starts at T-Mobile Arena vs. just 3-5-0 with a 3.02 number in eight starts elsewhere.  The Ducks are already thin on the front lines, with four wingers out due to injury tonight (Eaves, Rowney, Perry, Roy).  And now there is more bad news for Anaheim as its #1 blue-line player, D Cam Fowler, took a puck to the face on Monday, so he will not be available either.  The Ducks cannot afford to have offensive players sitting out as their goals-per-game ranks as the second-worst in the NHL, bettering only the LA Kings' 2.06 gpg.  The Golden Knights are 14-5 after not scoring 2+ goals in their previous game, and are 4-1 their last five vs. the Ducks.  Take Vegas. NHL HIGH ROLLER WINNER.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Marquette.  The Eagles are 2-0, with home wins over Maryland-Baltimore County (67-42) and Bethune-Cookman (92-59).  Unfortunately, the Eagles are an awful 1-9 ATS their last 10 off a double-digit win.  Even worse for Marquette:  it has to play on the road at Assembly Hall vs. a Hoosiers team which won its first two games by a combined score of 184-90.  Off those two wins, Indiana now falls into a 'momentum' system of mine which is 85-29 ATS since 1990.  Finally, NCAA basketball teams that give up 45 ppg (or less) on defense have covered 73% at home since 1990 vs. foes off a win, if our home team also covered the spread by 10+ points its previous game.  Take the Hoosiers. NCAA GAME OF THE WEEK. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Miami-Ohio.  The Huskies have won six straight, and covered their last three.  And this will be their final home game of the season.  They'll welcome Miami-Ohio to DeKalb, a week after the Red Hawks pulled an upset, at home, vs. Ohio U.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Miami, as road teams have gone just 118-162 ATS off an upset conference win the previous week, if they're now playing a conference foe in its final home game of the season.  Take the Huskies.  NCAA ELITE INFO WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats minus the points over Buffalo.  The Bulls are 9-1 this season, yet find themselves installed as an underdog at 6-4 Ohio.  That doesn't bode well, as .900 (or better) teams, at Game 10 forward, have cashed just 20% since 1980 as underdogs in the regular season vs. foes with a W/L percentage less than .643.  The Bobcats also fall into a 251-155 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain high-scoring teams at home (Ohio averages 39.3 ppg), as well as an 80-33 ATS angle.  Take the Bobcats.  MAC CONFERENCE GAME OF THE MONTH!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over Montreal.  The Oilers are on a 4-game losing streak, but will happy to see the Canadiens this evening.  Last season, the Oilers won both match-ups in blowout fashion, as they tallied 10 goals combined in the two games (vs. just three goals for Montreal).  Montreal does come into this game off a 5-4 upset win vs. Vegas, but is a poor 11-18, minus 10 games on the money line, after scoring 5+ goals.  Edmonton, meanwhile, is 7-3 after not scoring 2+ goals in either of its two previous games.  Take the Oilers.  NHL Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Georgetown.  Brad Underwood's Illini crushed Evansville on Thursday, 99-60, as a 16-point favorite.  They'll now take on Patrick Ewing's Hoyas tonight, in this contest, which is part of the Gavitt Tipoff Games.  The Hoyas opened their season with two uninspiring wins at home.  Last Tuesday, they were favored by 30.5 points vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore, but won by just 15, 68-53.  Then, on Saturday, they eked out an 85-78 win vs. Central Connecticut St.  Now, they have to go on the road for the first time this season.  Unfortunately, undefeated teams, off back to back home wins to start their season, have cashed just 37.2% in Game 3 as road underdogs of more than 2 points.  Even worse:  that number collapses to 16% their offense averages 21 points (or more) less than their opponent's.  In nine contests since 1990, Georgetown has won just one game outright as an underdog of 3+ points vs. Big 10 opposition.  Illinois, meanwhile, is 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS as favorites of more than 6 points vs. Big East opponents.  And, over the last 6 seasons, the Illini are 41-1 SU and 28-12 ATS as favorites of more than 6 points, including 10-0 ATS their last 10 when playing with at least 3 days of rest.  Take the Illini.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Western Michigan.  Last year the Cardinals lost 55-3 to the Broncos.  Ball State had last week off to prepare for this revenge game.  And, since 1980, rested teams playing with revenge from a 42-point (or worse) defeat are 54-28 ATS, including 8-2 ATS if it was their final home game of the season.  Take Ball State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Miami Heat minus the points over Philadelphia.  The 76ers traded two of their rotation players -- Dario Saric and Robert Covington -- for Jimmy Butler over the weekend.  Butler will no doubt improve this Sixers squad, but he won't be in uniform tonight.  So, Philadelphia will -- for this game anyway -- be short-handed.  That especially doesn't bode well, as Miami will be highly motivated to avenge its first round series defeat to the 76ers in last year's Playoffs.  And Miami falls into a 24-3 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a Playoff series defeat.  Even better:  Miami's off back to back home defeats, and the Heat are 20-10 ATS their last 30 off back to back home losses.  Take Miami minus the points.  NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics + the points over Portland.  The Celtics lost their last game -- at Utah -- but G Kyrie Irving didn't play, as he attended a memorial service for his grandfather.  Irving is expected to be back in uniform tonight which, of course, is key, as Portland boasts one of the better backcourts in the NBA. This is the last game of a 5-game road trip for Boston, which has dropped three of the first four games.  But Boston has generally been terrific as road underdogs under coach Brad Stevens.  Indeed, in the regular season since 2015, Boston's 49-30 as a road underdog.  And, interestingly, it has also excelled in difficult scheduling situations under Coach Stevens, as it's 42-12 ATS as road underdogs when playing its third game in four nights since he was hired in 2013.  The Celtics also fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 277-179 ATS since 1990.  Take Boston + the points.  NBA Non-Conference Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Calgary Flames.  After beating the Kings in Los Angeles last night, the Flames travel north to play the Sharks, who come into this game having lost two straight.  Those two were on the road in Dallas and St. Louis and no doubt the Sharks are glad to be back at the SAP Center tonight where they are 4-2 in regulation games this season (with one OT loss).  Calgary's veteran (36-year-old) primary goalie, Mike Smith has really struggled so far, posting a 3.66 GAA and .872 Saves percentage in 11 games.   Back-up David Rittich got the call last night in L.A. so Smith could be back in net tonight and that's not necessarily a good thing based on how he's played.  On the other end, Martin Jones has been the primary net-minder for the Sharks, although they used back-up Aaron Dell in that last game -- a 4-0 loss to the Blues.  With seven wins this season, Jones is tied for third in the league in that category.  The Flames are 0-5 in the last five meetings (0-4 in the last four in San Jose) and the home team is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  San Jose's also 29-13, +14 games on the money line, its last 42 division games, while Calgary is a poor 27-39, minus 18 games on the money line, its last 66 division contests.  Take the Sharks.  NHL Division Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Los Angeles Rams/Seattle Seahawks game.  This is the 2nd meeting this season between the Rams and Seahawks.  The first meeting was won in high-scoring fashion by the Rams, 33-31.  But since that game, the Rams have gone 'under' the total in three of their four games, while Seattle has gone 'under' the total in all three of its games. Moreover, in division games with over/under lines of 47 or more points, the games have gone 'under' 69 percent of the time if both teams scored 28+ points in the season's previous meeting.  Finally, nine of Seattle's last 11 road games (and 14 of its last 19 road division games) have gone 'under' the total.  Take the 'under.' NFL Total of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Kings pulled off an upset win last night, when they won, 121-110, at home vs. Minnesota.  But off that upset win, we'll fade Sacramento tonight, as they'll be matched up a very well-rested Lakers team which has had the last two nights off. And unrested home teams off an upset home win are an awful 23% ATS since 1990 vs. division foes.  Moreover, LeBron James' teams have cashed 65.5% as road favorites vs. foes off home upset wins (and 84% if its foe won by 10+ points in its previous game).  Take the Lakers minus the points.  NBA Division Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Clemson.  The Eagles are having a special season.  Just three years removed from going winless in ACC Conference play, the Eagles enter this game with their highest ranking (#17) in 11 years, and are 4-1 in Conference games.  Certainly, this is a tall task, as Clemson is 9-0 after blowing out Louisville, 77-16, last week, and ranked #2 in the country.  But home teams with a .700 (or better) conference win percentage are 101-54 ATS vs. foes with a 4-0 (or better) conference record.  And undefeated teams, with a 9-0 (or better) record are a soft 39-64-1 ATS when favored on the road by less than 22 points (or PK), including 4-17 ATS if they scored more than 50 points in their previous game.  Take Boston College.  ACC Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Arkansas.  The Tigers lost last week, 29-0, at home to the Alabama Crimson Tide.  But I love LSU to bounce back on Saturday, as NCAA favorites playing away from home, that lost a home game the previous week, and failed to score 6 points in that defeat, have gone 13-0 ATS since 2004.  LSU is a super 27-15 ATS on the conference road off a loss, including 6-0 ATS off a shutout defeat.  Take the Tigers. SEC Favorite of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  The Blazers are 8-1 SU/ATS this season, and have won/covered each of their last seven games.  If UAB was not at home, I would consider playing against it, as such teams with spectacular SU/ATS records this late in the season underperform away from home.  But at home, they've actually covered more often than not over the last 39 seasons. Instead, we'll go against a Southern Miss team which pulled an upset over Marshall as a home underdog last Saturday.  And double digit road underdogs have covered just 35 of 91 vs. conference foes off a double-digit cover, if our road dog entered the game off a home upset conference win its last time out.  Take UAB.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Florida Hurricanes + the points over Georgia Tech.  Miami comes into this game off three straight upset losses, while Georgia Tech enters off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Hurricanes, and on the red-hot Rambling Wreck.  But NCAA teams off 3 straight upset losses have covered 73% vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins over the past 38 years.  Additionally, Miami falls into a 44-15 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that didn't score 45+ points combined in their previous three games (Miami scored just 39).  Take the Hurricanes.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points at Cincinnati.  South Florida opened this season with seven straight wins before losing badly its last two games.  Last week, the Bulls were annihilated, 41-15, at home by Tulane.  And they were blown out two weekends ago, 57-36, by Houston.  And they've failed to cover their last four games.  But we'll still grab the points with South Florida, as .666 (or better) underdogs of 7+ points are 27-9 ATS off 4+ ATS defeats.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Toronto Maple Leafs.  If the Caps, Lightning, and Penguins are the Beasts of the East, then the Leafs are the Darlings.  This is the team that people are looking to knock the old guard of the Conference off of the throne.  And, so far at least, the Leafs have not disappointed. But now they face a new challenge -- perhaps their biggest of the season.  Toronto's best player -- 21-year-old superstar center Auston Matthews -- injured his shoulder at the end of October and may not be back on the ice until after Thanksgiving.  Matthews has 16 points in just 11 games played this season, and his loss will likely require Toronto to completely re-align its offensive strategy.  It's true that the Leafs didn't suffer on offense last night, as they won 6-1 vs. the Devils.  But Toronto's a poor 48-64, minus 27 games on the money line after winning by 4+ goals.  The Bruins thrive against clubs from their own conference, going 6-1 in their last seven games vs. East teams.  And they're 4-1 vs. the Maple Leafs in the last five meetings here in Boston.  Take the Bruins.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears upset Oklahoma State, 35-31, as a 6-point home underdog last Saturday, while Iowa State blew out Kansas, 27-3.  Unfortunately for Baylor, winning teams, off an upset win as a 6-point (or greater) conference home dog, are a poor 25% ATS as road underdogs vs. conference foes off a double digit win.  Take Iowa State.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Alabama.  The Bulldogs are 6-3 this season, and own the 5th best defense (tied with Fresno State) in the country, as they're giving up just 12.33 ppg.  Let's grab the points with Mississippi State, as underdogs are 261-187 ATS if they give up less than 13.5 points per game, at Game 6 forward. Take the Bulldogs.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers are having a solid season.  They're 5-4 this year, but, if truth be told, have had a pretty favorable schedule.  The Boilers have played just three of their nine games on the road.  And those three games were against Nebraska, Illinois and Michigan State.  Purdue won the games vs. Nebraska and Illinois.  But those two schools are 6-12 combined this year.  Moreover, Nebraska is 1-10 ATS its last 11 lined home games, while Illinois is 5-14 ATS its last 19 home games.  Not surprisingly, Purdue lost its only tough game on the road, as it fell by 10 points at Michigan State (well, at least, we weren't surprised, as we had a big play on Michigan State in that game).  Minnesota, notwithstanding its 24-point road loss last week, will give Purdue all it can handle, now that it's back home.  The Golden Gophers are 4-1 SU/ATS at home this season, and have won 28 of their last 40 home games.  And the Gophers also fall into an 86-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams (like Minnesota) off blowout losses.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the St. Louis Blues.  The Sharks were on a two game winning streak before losing a tough one to the Stars last night by a 4-3 margin in Dallas.  They hope to bounce back tonight in St. Louis against a Blues team that is currently sitting in last place in the Central Division.  The Blues are just 5-8 so far and their 3.69 Goals against this season is one of the worst in the NHL.  The Blues have won three of their last four, but they lost one of their best players, C Brayden Schenn, to an upper body injury and he won't be available tonight.  Last summer’s addition of Erik Karlsson and the acquisition of Evander Kane at last season’s trade deadline bring two exciting new pieces to the Sharks' lineup.  The Sharks are 36-16 in their last 52 vs. teams with a losing record and 31-14 in their last 45 road games vs. teams with a losing home record (the Blues are 4-5 here at the Enterprise Center this season).  And the Blues are 7-17 in their last 24 vs. teams with a winning record.  Take San Jose. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Syracuse.  Last week, the Cardinals were shellacked, 77-16, by Clemson.  That was the most points given up by an ACC school in 23 years, and was the 2nd worst defeat by a team in an ACC Conference game in the last 39 seasons.  It was also Louisville's 4th SU/ATS loss in a row, and the 2nd straight game that Louisville failed to cover by 23+ points.  This last fact will no doubt keep a lot of bettors away from the Cardinals side in this game.  But it shouldn't, as road teams off back to back SU/ATS losses, in which they failed to cover by 20+ points, have actually covered the spread more often than not -- including 34-20-2 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  The Cardinals also fall into a 96-56 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take Louisville + the points.  NCAA Football High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the LA Clippers.  The Blazers are off to a super 8-3 start this season.  And two of their defeats were at home vs. Washington and the Lakers.  But those two games were incredibly bad situations, as Washington and the Lakers, in those road games vs. Portland, were our two strongest plays of this NBA season-to-date.  So, from my perspective, Portland's only played one bad game this season, and that was its 9-point road loss at Miami.  It's true that the Clippers are also having a solid start to the season.  But Portland rates better in both margin of victory (+3.50) and point spread differential (+1.35).  And the Clippers have underwhelmed on the road this season, with a 2-3 SU/ATS record.  And their only two road wins were against Orlando and a Houston Rockets squad which played without James Harden.  Portland's won and covered the last three meetings vs. the Clippers.  And it's also 25-5 straight-up and 22-6-2 ATS in calendar year 2018 at home in the regular season.  Take Portland.  WESTERN CONF. GAME OF THE WEEK.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers to defeat Carolina.  The Panthers have won their last three games, including back-to-back home wins over Baltimore (36-21) and Tampa Bay (42-28) the past two weeks.  But dating back to December 11, 2005, the Steelers are 18-2 straight-up and 15-6 ATS at home vs. foes on a 3-game (or better) win streak.  Even better:  since 1980, teams off back to back home wins, in which they scored 28+ points, are 4-25 SU and 7-22 ATS in the regular season.  These two franchises have met six times since Carolina entered into the league, and the Steelers have won five, and covered all six.  Take Pittsburgh to defeat Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Ottawa Senators.  It's early still, but both Conference Champions -- the Caps over in the East and the Golden Knights -- have been struggling so far.  The Knights have been especially troubled in the first month, posting just 13 points in their first 15 games (6-8-1).  Two key injuries on the front line (Stastny and Haula) and a costly suspension on defense (Schmidt) have certainly played a role in Vegas' struggles.  And you have to wonder if the Knights are regretting at all the big contract extension they rewarded veteran goalie Marc-Andre Fleury with (three years at $21M) as the 34-year-old has been average at best.  But slow starts are nothing new for Fleury and you can expect him to begin excelling as the season goes longer.  The Knights' injuries woes are nothing compared to those of the Senators, who currently have eight regulars either out indefinitely or questionable at best for tonight's game.  The Senators are 8-20 in their last 28 vs. the Western Conference and 9-23 in their last 32 vs. losing teams.  And they're 10-31 when playing their 4th game in seven days.  Take the Golden Knights.  NHL Elite Info Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Miami.  The more things change, the more they stay the same down on the Riverwalk.  Gregg Popovich's Spurs were not expected to make the Playoffs this season, much less be in the Western Conference's upper tier.  But nine games into the season finds them sitting in 4th place, with a 6-3 record.  Even their defense -- which ranked dead last earlier this season -- has improved and become more "Spurs-like."  In their four-game win streak, the Spurs gave up, on average, less than 100 ppg, and held their opponents to 45.0% FG shooting.  They then pulled a clunker in their last game, a 117-110 home loss to the Magic, primarily because they surrendered 36 points in the first quarter.  It also didn't help that the Spurs were on the 2nd of a back-to-back.  After the game, LaMarcus Aldridge commented, "We just came in and we didn’t play as good at defense as we can. We’ll get better and be better at it next game."  I think that will definitely prove to be the case, tonight.  And it certainly will help that Spurs had Monday and Tuesday off to rest.  Take San Antonio. NBA High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Red Wings over the Vancouver Canucks.  The Red Wings were predicted to be one of the worst teams in the entire league.  For starters, the team that was a perennial power-house for years now enters the post-Zetterberg era and must go forward without one of the franchise's all-time greats.  But I wouldn't be surprised if the Wings out-perform their low expectations this season.  They added veteran forward Thomas Vanek, who had 24 goals and 56 points last season in stints with the Canucks and Blue Jackets, and he should give this offense a much-needed boost.  Tonight, Detroit will face the Canucks, who are a better team than the Red Wings on paper, and enter off a 7-6 home win over Colorado.  But Vancouver is very banged-up at the current time.  Jay Beagle (forearm), Brandon Sutter (shoulder), Sven Baertschi (upper body) and Brock Boeser (groin) all are questionable to play tonight (or already ruled out).  Finally, the Canucks are 3-7 in the last 10 meetings with the Red Wings, and 5-16, minus 12 games on the money line, off a home win, in which they scored more than 3 goals.  Take Detroit.  NHL Elite Info Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Charlotte.  The Hawks enter this game off an upset win over the Miami Heat.  They were a 5.5-point home dog, but won 123-118, and covered by 10.5 points.  Tonight, they'll take on another division opponent -- the Charlotte Hornets.  Charlotte also is off a big win, as it blew out Cleveland, 126-94, on Saturday.  Unfortunately for Charlotte, teams off a win by more the 30 points, that scored more than 120 points, have covered just 34% as favorites of more than 10 points against losing teams.  Additionally, the Hawks fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which is now 300-207 ATS since 1990, including a win on Sunday on our Eastern Conference Game of the Week on the Wizards.  Take the Hawks.  NBA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Dallas.  The Cowboys were upset by the Washington Redskins in their last game, 20-17, as a 1.5-point favorite.  And NFL teams have covered just 73 of 184 Monday Night Football games if they were off an upset loss in their previous game.  Tennessee, meanwhile, is very well rested following its game in London two weekends ago.  And, since 2015, rested NFL teams have gone 14-2-1 ATS after playing in London, including a perfect 9-0 ATS off an ATS win.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Dallas Stars.  It's good to be a Boston Sports fan these days.  The Red Sox won the World Series, the Patriots look like Super Bowl Contenders once again, the Celtics are one of the best teams in the East, and a rejuvenated Bruins team will try to improve off of a 50 win, 112 point season.  At its best and when all are healthy, Boston’s top front line unit of Patrice Bergeron, Brad Marchand, and David Pastrnak is without peer at both ends of the ice.  And with a glut of defensemen, the Bruins have the deepest blueline in the Atlantic, perhaps the entire NHL.  They lost a tough one their last time out in Nashville as the Predators shut them out, 1-0 on Saturday.  They come back home to face a Stars team that has won three road games in a row, including a big OT victory on Saturday in DC against the Defending Champs.  Boston hopes to exploit Dallas' banged up Defense tonight as the Stars have three blue-liners who are out with injuries (Methot, Johns, Carrick).  The Stars are 1-4 in the last five meetings with the Bruins.  And Dallas is an awful 10-20, minus 18 games on the money line, off back to back wins.  Take Boston.  Hockey Roadkill Play.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Memphis.  These two teams met eight days ago, at Memphis, in a game won by the home team, 117-96.  But the Suns' best player, Devin Booker (25.8 ppg, 6.6 assists) was injured, and didn't play.  But Booker returned to the court this past Friday, and scored 18 points in 36 minutes.  Certainly, he was a bit rusty after missing three games, but he will no doubt be better tonight.  Since defeating Phoenix, Memphis also won its next two games -- against Washington and Utah.  But Memphis' win streak is a bit deceptive, as it occurred against teams all playing very poor basketball.  The Suns are mired in a 7-game losing streak; Utah has lost its last three; and Washington has lost five in a row.  And both Utah and (as I mentioned) Phoenix were without their top scorers.  Since 1990, winning NBA teams, off 3+ wins, are a poor 71-97 ATS vs. Non-Division foes off 7+ losses.  That doesn't bode well for Memphis as a road favorite tonight.  Also, the Suns fall into 60-24 and 274-179 ATS systems of mine.  Take Phoenix.  NBA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over New York.  The Wizards are off to a 1-7 start this season, with their only win by a single point, at Portland.  But I love them tonight vs. the Knicks.  Washington has won 15 of 17 since 2013, and has gone 12-2 ATS when not favored by double-digits.  The Wizards also fall into one of my favorite NBA systems, which motivated our big play on the Lakers last night (and is 298-207 ATS since 1990).  Take Washington.  Eastern Conf. Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Rams over the New Orleans Saints.  Last week, the Saints avenged their Playoff ouster last year at the hands of the Vikings with a 30-20 road win.  And that was New Orleans' sixth straight win, and fifth straight point spread cover.  But we'll go against the red-hot Saints, as unrested NFL teams off 6 straight wins, and 3 straight covers are an awful 37-71 ATS in games with point spreads of 10 points or less, if their foe is NOT off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And our 37-71 stat devolves to a woeful 0-7-1 ATS if their foe's W/L percentage was .833 (or better).  The Rams lead the league with an 8-0 record.  We played against them last week, and got the $$$ with the underdog Packers.  However, off that ATS loss, we'll jump on Los Angeles, as undefeated teams off an ATS loss have cashed 58% since 1980 vs. winning foes off an ATS win.  Take the Rams. NFL Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over Houston.  The Broncos are 3-5, but have played a murderous schedule.  Four of their eight games were against teams currently in the Playoffs, and they lost (twice) to the once-beaten Chiefs, and also lost to the undefeated Rams, while defeating 5-3 Seattle.  In contrast, the Texans have played just one team (New England) in their first eight games which would currently be in the Playoffs, and they lost SU/ATS, 27-20, as a 6.5-point underdog.  The Broncos are a fantastic 45-18-4 ATS at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Take Denver.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons over the Washington Redskins.  The Falcons had high hopes coming into the 2018 season, but got off to a poor 1-4 start due to several close losses by six points or less to Playoff contenders (Eagles, Saints, Bengals).  However, Atlanta was able to right its ship, and won the two games preceding its bye week last week.  So, the Falcons are now 3-4, and sit just one game behind the Seahawks for the final Playoff spot in the NFC.  I love Atlanta to win its 3rd straight game, as rested NFL road teams off back-to-back wins have gone 61-34 ATS if they weren't getting 3+ points.  And the Redskins are an awful 31-71 ATS at home vs. losing teams, if the 'Skins weren't getting 2+ points.  Take Atlanta.  NFC Conference Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs + the points over Carolina.  The Panthers are off back to back upset wins over Philadelphia and Baltimore.  Unfortunately, favorites of 4+ points, off back to back upset wins, have cashed just 19 of 68 vs. .500 (or worse) foes off a SU loss.  Take Tampa Bay.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills + the points over Chicago.  The Bills obviously are challenged to score points right now.  They scored just six last week vs. the Patriots, and five the week before that, at Indianapolis.  Even worse:  they gave up 25 and 37 to their opponents in those games.  But I've never been one to shy away from playing on poor teams.  And I won't back off the Bills this afternoon.  For technical support, consider that teams that scored 12 combined points, or less, over their two previous games (and lost each), while giving up more than 55 points combined in those two games, have cashed 21 of 25 when getting more than six points.  And Buffalo's also 41-16 ATS off a home loss, if they didn't cover the spread in that defeat, and their opponent is off a SU win.  Take the Bills.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Steelers are the Ravens' biggest rival, so Baltimore always gets up for Pittsburgh.  And this week's game should be especially important to the Ravens, as they're off back to back losses, and now sit outside the Playoff picture (one game behind the Bengals), at 4-4.  Meanwhile, the Steelers have reeled off three straight wins to wrest control of the division lead.  However, since 1980, the Ravens are a fantastic 15-1-1 ATS at home vs. the Steelers, if the Ravens were off a loss, and didn't have a winning ATS record.  Even better:  NFL favorites off back to back losses have cashed 60% since October 25, 1981 vs. foes off 3 wins.  Take the Ravens.  NFL Division Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'over' in the Buffalo Bills/Chicago Bears game.  The Bills offense is certainly moribund right now.  They've scored just 6 and 5 points in their last two games.  And their 87-point total through eight games is the lowest in franchise history.  Of course, the over/under line reflects Buffalo's ineptitude.  But we're now at the point where there's value in betting on a relatively high-scoring game.  Indeed, over the last 31 seasons, NFL teams that scored less than 12 points combined over their two previous games have gone 'over' the total 97-62.  Take the 'over' in the Bears/Bills game.  NFL Total of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over Portland.  We played on the Trail Blazers when these two teams met in their season opener, and were rewarded with a win and cover by Portland.  That was also the 16th straight win by Portland in this series, which ties it for the 2nd longest active win streak by one team against another (only OKC's 18-game win streak vs. Philly is longer).  However, this win streak should come to a halt tonight, as teams that have lost 16+ games in a row to their opponent actually do quite well against the spread, with a 65.7% win rate over the last 29 seasons.  And the Lakers also fall into one of my very best NBA systems, with a 297-207 ATS record since 1990, as well as a 2nd angle (based on revenge) which is 205-128 ATS.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Oregon St.  The Beavers pulled off a stunning win in overtime last week, when it roared back from a 31-3 deficit to defeat Colorado, 41-34.  Oregon State was a 26.5-point underdog in that game, so that upset ranked as one of the 31 biggest upsets of the past 39 seasons.  Generally speaking, I'll look to go against such teams in their next game, as they often will suffer letdowns following such massive victories.  And such teams have been especially weak against .500 (or better) opponents, as they covered just 22% of those games.  It's true that the Trojans come into this game on a 2-game losing streak.  But USC is 7-2 ATS since 2001 off back to back losses.  This will be a blowout.  Lay the points with USC.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Louisiana Tech.  Last Friday, Louisiana Tech went into Florida Atlantic, and upset the Owls, 21-13, as a 3.5-point underdog.  Can it pull off back to back road upsets?  It's not likely, as double-digit road underdogs have cashed just 38% since 1980 vs. non-conference foes, if they upset a conference foe on the road in their previous game.  Lay the points with Mississippi State.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Notre Dame.  The Fighting Irish are undefeated, with an 8-0 record, while Northwestern is just 5-3.  But both teams are equal in Las Vegas, as each has a 4-4 ATS record.  We'll go against Notre Dame, as undefeated teams, with a record of 8-0 (or better), have cashed just 50 of 131 on the road vs. opponents that owned a .500 (or better) ATS win percentage.  Also, Northwestern's a solid 21-8 ATS as a home underdog priced from +7 to +13.5 points.  Take the Wildcats.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers + the points over Charlotte.  The Cavs might be 1-7 straight-up, but they've actually been doing OK vs. the point spread, with a 4-4 record.  However, they're a perfect 3-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points.  And that's the situation tonight, at Charlotte.  Also, Cleveland was blown out, 110-91, by Denver, on Thursday.  But that 19-point loss has triggered one of my favorite NBA systems, which is 125-51 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain teams to bounce back off blowout losses.  Take Cleveland + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the New York Islanders.  The Islanders have won their last four games, including back to back wins over the Pittsburgh Penguins.  But New York is a horrid 14-36, minus 26 games on the money line, off 4+ wins.  Yikes!  The Devils have won the last three meetings in this series, and I look for another win by the Devils this evening.  Take New Jersey.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over Montreal.  It's been feast or famine for Tampa Bay this past week.  After scoring 1 goal in a 7-1 loss last Saturday, at Arizona, the Lightning erupted for 8 goals in an 8-3 win vs. the Devils, on Tuesday.  But Tampa then scored just 1 goal on Thursday, at Nashville, and fell 4-1 to the Predators.  That was the 3rd time this season that Tampa scored just 1 goal.  But it's 3-0 in its very next game, and it's averaged 6.33 goals per game in those three.  Tampa's also 49-27 its last 76 off a loss.  Take the Lightning.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over Ottawa.  The Senators are tasked with playing their fourth game in seven days this afternoon in Buffalo.  And Ottawa's an awful 9-29 in that scheduling situation.  These two teams actually met in Ottawa two nights ago, and the Senators came away with a 4-2 victory.  However, it was the Sabres who dominated the shots, as they tallied a season-high 48 shots on goal to Ottawa's 32.  I look for Buffalo to avenge that defeat in front of its home crowd this afternoon.  Take the Sabres.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons come into this road game on a 3-game losing streak, and they've lost 4 of 7 to the point spread to start the season.  Meanwhile, the 76ers are 5-4 on the season.  And, interestingly, they've won all five of their home games, but lost all four of their road games.  So, it's a good thing that the Sixers will play this afternoon's game at home, today.  And dating back to last season, the 76ers are 31-4 straight-up and 25-10 ATS at home, including 13-0 SU and 12-1 ATS vs. foes with a losing record ATS.  Take Philly minus the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over Arizona.  The Buffaloes were inexplicably upset by Oregon State last Saturday, 41-34, in overtime, after leading the game by a score of 31-3!  And that was Colorado's 3rd straight loss, overall.  Certainly, last week's defeat was a gut-wrenching game, as it matched the largest blown lead in school history.  But I fully expect Mike MacIntyre's men to rebound on Friday.  For technical support, consider that road underdogs of +6 points or less have cashed 64% over the last 38 years off 3+ losses, if they were upset in their previous game.  Additionally, Arizona's a horrid 0-10 ATS since 1991 as a favorite of more than 2 points off an upset win.  Take the Buffaloes.  Perfect 10 Club play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over Vancouver.  The Canucks come into tonight's game off back to back wins over Minnesota (5-2) and Chicago (4-2).  But they're a dreadful 14-32 (minus 14 games on the money line) after scoring 4+ goals in each of their two previous games.  Even worse:  it will be Vancouver's fourth game in seven nights.  And it's 28-58 (minus 17 games on the money line) when saddled with such a schedule.  Take Colorado.  Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over Arizona.  The Hurricanes dropped their two previous games -- both at home -- to the Islanders (2-1) and Bruins (3-2), and will look to bounce back on the road, at Arizona.  Carolina is 27-17 on the road off back to back home losses, so that bodes well for it tonight.  Meanwhile, Arizona enters off four straight wins, in which it held each of its four opponents to a single goal.  But the Coyotes are a money-burning 11-40 after allowing less than three goals in back-to-back games (and 0-3 if they allowed less than three goals in their last four games).  And they're 3-12 (minus 10 games on the money line) off 3+ wins.  Take Carolina. NHL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Memphis.  The Jazz were upset here, at home, by Memphis, 92-84, as an 11-point favorite in the season's first week.  And they also were upset by the T-wolves on Wednesday, 128-125, as a 7.5-point road favorite.  But I look for the Jazz to avenge their loss to Memphis, as teams off an upset road loss in their previous game, as a 7-point (or greater) favorite, are 15-0-1 ATS since Nov. 26, 2004 when priced from -4.5 to -13.5 points!   And the Jazz are also 102-74 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -9.5 at home, and playing with revenge from an earlier season defeat.  Lay the points with Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.