Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri St. Bears + the points over Drake.  The Bulldogs routed Evansville, 97-48, on Saturday.  Unfortunately, Drake is a dreadful 0-8 ATS off a win by 27+ points.  And it's 9-24 ATS its last 33 at Missouri St.  Grab the points with the home underdog Bears.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois-Chicago Flames + the points over Indiana St.  The Sycamores are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  But they're a wallet-breaking 7-15 ATS as a favorite after winning their three previous games SU/ATS.  Even worse:  Missouri Valley Conference teams off a SU/ATS win have gone 113-169-8 ATS vs. .400 (or better) foes on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  Take Illinois-Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  The Crimson Tide come into this game off a 20-point blowout loss at Tennessee.  But that was on the road, where Alabama is 12-19-1 ATS its last 32.  At home, in Tuscaloosa, it's been a different story, as 'Bama is 17-1 SU and 13-5 ATS its last 18.  And it's 29-14-2 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over Washington.  The T-Wolves dropped their second straight game on Monday when they were stunned by the Charlotte Hornets, 128-125, as a 14-point favorite.  We'll take Minny to rebound tonight, as it's 23-11 ATS off back to back losses, including 8-1 ATS when favored by 15 or less points (or PK).  And in the 2nd half of the NBA season, .625 (or better) teams have covered 73% as a road favorite following a straight-up loss to a sub-.250 opponent.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Samford.  Furman's on a 4-game win streak, and will look for their 5th straight win when they welcome the 17-2 Bulldogs to Timmons Arena.  The Paladins have dominated at home, as they're 85-20 SU and 67-36-2 ATS their last 105 lined games, including 5-0 ATS vs. .880 (or better) foes.  And Furman is 21-10 ATS in the last 31 meetings with the Bulldogs, including a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS when priced from -1.5 to -4.5 points.  Lay the points with Furman.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Texas A&M.  The Tigers are mired in a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And they've also lost 8 straight games (1-7 ATS) to teams not on the Added Board.  Still, I will grab the points with Missouri tonight, as SEC Conference teams have gone 96-66-1 ATS in conference games, if they were off 4 ATS losses, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  And, although there's nothing wrong with 96-66, we can improve our numbers to 20-3 ATS since Jan. 14, 1995 by restricting our plays to double-digit underdogs.  Grab the points with Missouri.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Oklahoma City.  The Trail Blazers have likely done something this season never before done by another NBA team:  they have lost two consecutive meetings to an opponent by a combined 105 points.  Portland lost at home to OKC in November, 134-91, and then fell by 62 points just 12 days ago, 139-77.  Indeed, in the last 34 seasons (which is as far back as my database goes), the most a team had ever lost 2 straight meetings to an opponent was a combined 94 points.  Coincidentally, that honor goes to Portland's opponent tonight, Oklahoma City.  Back in 2008, the Thunder (then the Seattle SuperSonics) lost back to back meetings to Denver by scores of 168-116 and 138-96).  Of course, the third time was the charm for Seattle that night, as they upset the Nuggets, 151-147, as 12.5-point underdogs.  We'll take the points with Portland in this major revenge spot, and we will note that road teams have gone 19-7 ATS when playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) road defeat earlier in the season (including 10-1 ATS if our road team was a double-digit underdog).  Take Portland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the SE Louisiana Lions minus the points over Northwestern St.  The Lions were blown out, 68-52, by Texas A&M-Commerce on Saturday.  We'll take SE Louisiana to bounce back off that defeat as it's 30-15 ATS its last 45 off a double-digit loss.  Additionally, the Lions play with double-revenge, including a double-digit upset loss to Northwestern St. last season.  Lay the points with SE Louisiana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills OVER the total.  Last week, the Chiefs held the high-octane Miami Dolphins' offense -- which was averaging 29 ppg -- to just 7 points.  And that game went under the total of 43.5.  But NFL teams that hold a Playoff opponent to 20+ points less than their scoring average (and went Under the total in that win), have proceeded to go 12-0 OVER the total in their next game.  Moreover, after its 31-17 win against the Steelers, Buffalo's home playoff games have now gone 11-1 Over when the line was 48 or less points.  Take the Chiefs and Bills Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions and Tampa Bay Bucs to go OVER the total.  This game will be played at Ford Field, which is an enclosed stadium.  And enclosed stadia tend to be higher scoring as they're not exposed to the (sometimes) inclement weather, and have gone Over the total 59.5 percent since 1980.  That's one reason I favor a high-scoring game.  Another is that Detroit has gone 18-2 Over at home if it wasn't off a game which went Over the total (including 12-0 Over if the O/U line was 47+ points).  Take the Lions and Bucs Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over Tampa Bay.  We played on Detroit last week as a 3-point home favorite and unfortunately lost, as Detroit won that game, 24-23.  We'll come right back with Dan Campbell's men in this Divisional round game.  The Lions are a super 18-5 ATS under Campbell if their opponent wasn't off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, Tampa Bay has held its last two opponents (Eagles, Panthers) to 9 combined points.  And NFL teams have covered just 31% in the Playoffs after not giving up 10+ points in either of their two previous games.  Take Detroit to blow out the Buccaneers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Bakersfield.  The Roadrunners routed Cal Riverside, 80-56, in their most recent game.  Unfortunately, the Roadrunners are a terrible 15-33-2 ATS off a SU win, including 3-14-1 ATS at home.  Take Cal Poly + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber St. Wildcats minus the points over Idaho.  The Vandals are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  I look for this streak to extend to 5 games tonight, as Idaho is a soft 27-48-1 ATS off a point spread loss.  Lay the points with Weber St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the San Francisco 49ers minus the points over Green Bay.  The 49ers had last week off following their 21-20 loss to the LA Rams, as a 6-point home favorite, to end the regular season.  Meanwhile, the Packers went into Dallas and shocked the Cowboys last week, 48-32, as a 7-point road underdog.  Unfortunately, it's tough to pull off two road upsets in a row in the Playoffs.  We'll fade Green Bay, as NFL road teams, with a sub-.666 record, have cashed just 40% on the post-season road since 1980, if they won as a road dog in the Playoffs the previous week.  Even worse for Green Bay:  the 49ers are 70-31 ATS off an upset loss, if the 49ers were favored by 3+ points in their previous game.  Take San Francisco minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Duke.  The Panthers lost by 22 to Duke earlier this month.  And they also lost their last game by 11 points to Syracuse.  We'll take the revenge-minded Panthers tonight, as ACC Conference underdogs of +6 (or more) points have gone 49-27 when playing with revenge from a 20+ point defeat, if they also lost SU in their previous game.  Take Pitt.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Sam Houston St.  The Flames have dropped their last five to the point spread.  But I like Liberty to snap its ATS losing streak this evening.  The Flames are a solid 15-5-1 ATS their last 21 as home favorites.  And they also fall into a 40-8 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys + the points over Kansas St.  The Cowboys have lost their last four games SU/ATS.  We'll take Oklahoma State this evening as underdogs in Big 12 Conference games have gone 91-70-5 ATS when they had lost their 3 previous games SU/ATS.  Take the Cowboys.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over Santa Clara.  The Pilots are 7-11 after its loss at San Francisco last Saturday.  We'll take Portland, as the Broncos are a brutal 25-48 ATS when favored by more than 3 points at home against losing teams.  Take Portland + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over UC San Diego.  The Rainbows come into this game off a SU/ATS loss on Thursday at Long Beach State.  We'll take Hawaii + the points, as it's 18-11 ATS off a point spread defeat.  Take the Rainbows.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs have been installed as a large home favorite.  We'll grab the points with the Bears, as they're 15-5 ATS when getting 12+ points.  And Samford is a wallet-breaking 5-14 ATS off a win, if it was laying double-digits at home.  Take Mercer.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Houston.  We had a big play on the Texans last Saturday, and were rewarded with a 45-14 blowout win.  We also played against Baltimore in its last game, and got the $$$ with the Steelers, when they defeated the Ravens, 17-10.  Here, however, we'll take the Ravens and fade Houston off its 31-point victory.  Indeed, underdogs of +5 to +15 points, off a win by 28+ points, have gone 0-13 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up loss.  That doesn't bode well for Houston.  Nor does the fact that the Ravens are a spectacular 45-14 ATS when playing a non-division foe that owns a winning record, if the Ravens weren't off an ATS win.  And Houston is a horrible 22-39-3 ATS off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Ohio.  The Bobcats blew out Central Michigan, 73-61, on Tuesday.  We'll fade Ohio off that victory, as it's 1-10 ATS its last 11 off a win in its previous game, including 0-8 ATS its last eight.  Likewise, it's 6-18 ATS off a double-digit home win.  Grab the points with Eastern Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over Utah St.  The Bulldogs have been installed as a big underdog on this Saturday.  We'll take Fresno, as it's a fantastic 53-25 ATS as a double-digit road dog.  Grab the points.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Detroit.  The Bucks were blasted, 135-95, on Wednesday by the Cleveland Cavaliers.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee as the Bucks are 44-25 ATS as a road favorite.  And road teams off losses by 40+ points have gone 69-44-3 ATS.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over SMU.  The Golden Hurricane blew out Texas-San Antonio, 107-78, on Wednesday.  We'll take Tulsa to follow up that blowout win with another strong game this afternoon, as Tulsa is a solid 47-25 ATS off a home conference win.  Grab the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Purdue.  These teams met last month, and Purdue drilled the Hawkeyes, 87-68, as a 13.5-point home favorite.  We'll take Iowa in this rematch, as Purdue is 15-45 ATS away from home when off a straight-up win, and favored vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green + the points over Yale.  The Big Green enter today's home game on a 4-game losing streak.  We'll grab the points with Dartmouth, as it's 31-18-1 ATS off 3+ losses, including 10-2 ATS as a double-digit underdog.  Take the Big Green.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins + the points over Bradley.  The Bruins lost, 83-72, at home vs. Northern Iowa on Wednesday.  We'll take Belmont to bounce back, as it's 8-0 ATS as an underdog of +3 (or more) points off a straight-up loss.  Take the Bruins.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks are off to a 14-3 start this season.  But the Razorbacks have dominated top-level conference foes at home, as they're 23-10-4 ATS vs. .785 (or better) SEC teams at Game 16 forward.  Take the Razorbacks.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairfield Stags minus the points over St. Peter's.  The Peacocks ousted Fairfield from last season's MAAC Tournament with an 18-point upset win, as a 2-point underdog (before eventually falling, themselves, in the MAAC semifinals).  This season, the Peacocks have sprinted out to a 5-0 start in MAAC play, and are 9-5, overall (including 8-1 their last nine games).  Fairfield is also playing well, with a 4-2 MAAC record.  And it's won nine of its last 10, overall.  We'll lay the points with the Stags, as they fall into a 212-137 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost in the previous season's conference tourney.  Additionally, the Stags enter tonight's game off a 25-point upset win at Canisius.  And the Stags are 9-0 ATS their last nine off an upset road win, and 4-1 ATS off a win by 25+ points.  Take Fairfield to blow out St. Peter's.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Oregon.  The Ducks come into this Pac-12 contest on a six-game win streak.  But they've been installed as a road underdog vs. Colorado.  We'll lay the points, as the Buffaloes are 8-0 SU/ATS as a favorite vs. Oregon.  Take Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal-Irvine Anteaters minus the points over UC San Diego.  The Tritons are on a 7-game ATS win streak.  We'll fade them tonight, as NCAA road underdogs that were on an ATS win streak of 7+ games, have cashed 91 of 214 vs. conference foes.  Take the Anteaters minus the points.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Utah Jazz.  Utah has been red-hot of late, with 6 straight wins, including a 132-105 blowout of the Indiana Pacers on Monday.  We'll fade the Jazz tonight, as teams on 5-game (or better) win streaks have gone 15-45 ATS if they won their previous game by more than 25 points, including 1-8 ATS as an underdog.  Take the Thunder minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes have lost 2 of their last 3 games to fall to 15-2 on the season.  We played against James Madison in each of those 2 defeats, and we'll go against them tonight as a huge home favorite.  JMU is a poor 68-98 ATS at home off a SU loss.  Take Monroe + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes + the points over St. Thomas.  The Coyotes enter tonight's home game vs. the Tommies on a 4-game ATS losing streak.  We'll grab the points with the home pup, as South Dakota is 9-1 ATS when it failed to cover its four previous games.  Take the Coyotes.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks + the points over Portland St.  The Vikings have been installed as a road favorite.  But they're a soft 7-18 ATS when favored, and also 6-16 ATS vs. conference foes.  Take Northern Arizona + the ponts.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Hofstra Pride minus the points over Hampton.  The Pirates have lost their last eight games, and have failed to cover their last five.  Their last defeat was an absolute heartbreaker, as they fell by a single point, 81-80, to NC A&T.  This game will not be close, though, and we'll lay the points with Hofstra, as Hampton is a horrible 0-10 ATS after a loss by 3 points or less.  Additionally, it's 5-14 ATS when it had lost its 3 previous games.  Take Hofstra minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wright St. Raiders minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  The Phoenix come into this game off back to back wins over IUPUI and Cleveland St.  Unfortunately, they're 44-69 ATS off back to back wins over conference foes.  And they're 18-34 ATS as an underdog.  Lay the points with Wright St.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Auburn.  Vandy is off to an 0-3 start in the SEC, while Auburn has won each of its 3 conference games.  The Commodores have been installed as a double-digit home dog tonight.  We'll grab the points as Vandy is 41-27-2 ATS as a home dog vs. conference foes with a winning SEC record.  Additionally, double-digit SEC underdogs have gone 150-93-2 ATS in conference games off losses by 12+ points.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Cougars were 14-0 going into their 2-game road trip last week.  Unfortunately, Kelvin Sampson's men stumbled badly, and lost both games (at Iowa State and at TCU).  We'll take the Coogs to bounce back tonight, as they're a jaw-dropping 54-20 ATS on an ATS losing streak (and 14-4 ATS on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak).  Even better:  Texas Tech is a terrible 40-65 ATS as an underdog of 9+ points.  Lay the points with the Cougars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd time in the last 11 days that these Southeast division rivals have met.  The Magic won in overtime, 117-110, earlier this month, and we'll take the Hawks to avenge that defeat.  Atlanta had one of its best halves of basketball its last time out, as it sprinted to a 35-point lead against the San Antonio Spurs after two quarters.  Atlanta took its foot off the gas in the 2nd half to let the Spurs back into the game, but won by 10, 109-99.  The Hawks are a solid 45-29-1 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite vs. a division rival.  And the Magic are a wallet-breaking 42-57-2 ATS off a SU/ATS win, if they were a road underdog vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Lay the points with the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Utah St.  This is the 2nd of back to back home games for New Mexico, as it blew out San Diego St, 88-70, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, this is the 2nd of back to back road games for the Aggies, as they defeated UNLV, 87-86, on Saturday, as a 2-point favorite.  We'll fade the Aggies as a road underdog tonight, as they're 29-51 ATS as a road underdog in the 2nd of back to back road games, including 9-27 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Lobos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over the Sacramento Kings.  The Suns currently reside in 8th place in the Western Conference standings, which is not what many pundits expected out of this talent-laden team.  Sacramento is two games ahead of Phoenix, in 5th place.  We'll lay the points with Phoenix, as it's 33-16 ATS vs. division rivals with a better record, if Phoenix wasn't getting more than 3 points.  Moreover, the Suns lost to the Kings in the prior meeting, and are 34-18 ATS when favored and playing with revenge.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over SMU.   Temple enters tonight's game off back to back losses at home vs. East Carolina, and at North Texas, while SMU won its previous game, 75-64, at East Carolina.  We'll take Temple to bounce back tonight, as the Owls are a strong 20-7-1 ATS off back to back losses, if they were an underdog vs. a conference foe off a win.  Take Temple + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Richmond.  The Spiders downed George Mason, 77-70, at home on Saturday.  We'll fade Richmond on the road tonight, as it's a poor 3-11 ATS in the regular season off a conference win.  And it also falls into a negative 51-110 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 4+ ATS wins.  Lay the points with the Dukes.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers have lost their last three games SU/ATS, while 'Bama has won its last 5 games SU, after defeating Miss State, 82-74, on the road.  Since 1990, underdogs of > 14 points have covered 60% of SEC Conference games if they weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Take Missouri + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Toledo.  The Bulls were blown out, 76-59, at Akron, on Saturday.  We'll take the Bulls to bounce back tonight, as they're 21-6 ATS off a loss by 15+ points, including 8-1 ATS as a double-digit underdog, while Toledo is 8-16-1 ATS vs. a foe off a loss by 15+ points.  Take Buffalo.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Western Carolina Catamounts minus the points over Samford.  The Catamounts come into this game off 9 straight wins, including back to back blowouts over East Tennessee St and Mercer.  We'll take Western Carolina to continue its solid play, as it's 11-2 ATS off a double-digit win.  And it falls into a 256-161 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Lay the points.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Tampa Bay Buccaneers to go OVER the total.  Last week, the Tampa Bay Bucs won, 9-0, at Carolina.  Off that extremely low scoring game, we'll look for a bounce higher tonight.  Indeed, NFL games have gone OVER the total 62-40-3 when the line was < 46 points, if a team's prior game totaled less than 14 points (including 4-1 Over in the Playoffs).  Likewise, Tampa has gone Over the total 16 of 21 at home following a low-scoring game which totaled 28 points or less.  Finally, the Eagles are 31-11 Over the total when the line was 44 < points, if the Eagles scored less than 24 points in their previous game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stetson Hatters minus the points over Chicago State.  This will be Chicago State's final game of an 8-game road trek, while the Hatters will return home off back to back road games.  Last month, the Cougars upset the Hatters, 77-54, as 7.5-point home underdogs.  We'll take the revenge-minded Hatters tonight, as Stetson is 22-7 ATS when playing with revenge, including 8-1 ATS if it lost the prior meeting by 15+ points.   And the Hatters are also 9-3 ATS at home off back to back road games.  Finally, the Hatters fall into a 59% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost to their opponent earlier in the season by more than 20 points.  Take the Hatters minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Over the total.  The weather forecast for Buffalo, NY on Sunday is calling for winds in the 15 to 25 mph range.  This has caused the O/U line to be adjusted downward.  I think the move has been too severe, and that there's value on the over.  Buffalo's home playoff games have also tended to be relatively high scoring, as the Over has cashed 10 straight when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Likewise, the Steelers are 15-1 Over their last 16 Playoff games (and 24-6 Over their last 30) when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Pittsburgh Steelers to go Over the total.  The weather forecast for Buffalo, NY on Sunday is calling for winds in the 15 to 25 mph range.  This has caused the O/U line to be adjusted downward.  I think the move has been too severe, and that there's value on the over.  Buffalo's home playoff games have also tended to be relatively high scoring, as the Over has cashed 10 straight when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Likewise, the Steelers are 15-1 Over their last 16 Playoff games (and 24-6 Over their last 30) when the O/U line was 44 points or less.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green + the points over Princeton.  The Big Green dropped their Ivy League opener to the Penn Quakers, 80-51.  And that was Dartmouth's 3rd straight loss.  We'll take the Big Green this afternoon, as they're 10-1 ATS as double-digit dogs off 3+ losses.  And Princeton is 10-23 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Seattle Kraken.  The game time was moved up 5 hours so as to not conflict with the Steelers/Bills game at 4:30 pm today.  Pittsburgh enters this contest off back to back overtime losses, while the Kraken are currently riding a 9-game win streak, following a 7-4 win at Columbus.  And Seattle's 9-game streak has followed closely on the heels of an 8-game losing streak, which stretched from Nov. 24 thru Dec. 10.  I like the Penguins to snap Seattle's streak, as Pittsburgh is 73-34 at home after allowing 3+ goals in back to back games.  And it's 5-3 this season off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, the Kraken are 1-4 this season after scoring more than 4 goals.  Take the Penguins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions minus the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  Los Angeles went into San Francisco and upset the 49ers last Sunday, 21-20, while Detroit downed the Minnesota Vikings, 30-20.  The Lions have excelled since Dan Campbell took over as head coach.  They've gone 21-13 SU and 24-9-1 ATS, including an awesome 16-2-1 ATS vs. foes that didn't have a losing record.  On Sunday night, the Lions will welcome the Rams to Ford Field for Detroit's first home playoff game in 30 years.  This will be the Rams' 3rd straight road game, and NFL single-digit dogs off an upset win, and playing their 3rd straight road game have covered just 35.7% since 1980.  Additionally, the Rams are a poor 14-29 ATS off back to back wins (including 1-7 ATS off an upset win).  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over the Washington Huskies.  Four days ago, the Bruins suffered their worst defeat since Stanford blew them out, 109-61, back on Jan. 9, 1997.  UCLA was an 8.5-point underdog this past Thursday at Utah, and was walloped 90-44, so it failed to cover the spread by 37.5 points.  That was the Bruins' 4th straight loss (and 3rd straight ATS loss).  I look for the Bruins to bounce back, as they're 15-3 ATS at home off a loss by 15+ points.  And they're also 14-7 ATS their last 21 vs. Washington.  Meanwhile, Washington is a poor 6-22-2 ATS on the road vs. foes on a 3-game ATS losing streak, including 1-8-1 ATS as a favorite, and 0-12-1 ATS vs. foes that failed to cover by > 5 points in their previous game.  Finally, UCLA's 46-point loss at Utah has triggered a 600-400-26 ATS system of mine.  We'll take the Bruins as a home dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Green Bay.  The Cowboys annihilated their opponents here, at home, this season.  Dallas went 8-0 and covered the point spread by an average of 12.87 ppg!  Dating back to last season, the Cowboys' home win streak is 16 games, and it's gone 12-4 ATS, and has covered the spread in those home games by 9.78 ppg.  Green Bay was 4-5 ATS on the road this season (but 1-5 ATS in non-division road games, compared to 3-0 ATS vs. its division rivals).  Dallas and Green Bay did meet last season at Lambeau Field, and the Packers came away with a 31-28 victory.  Unfortunately for the Packers, revenge-minded favorites of -7 (or more) points have covered 67% in the NFL Playoffs.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over San Francisco.  Portland was blown out, 95-52, at St. Mary's on Thursday.  We'll take the Pilots to bounce back off that 43-point loss, as it triggered a 599-397 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, the Dons are a dreadful 8-18 ATS when favored by 14+ points vs. foes not off an ATS win.  Take Portland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.  

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Loyola Marymount.  When these two West Coast Conference foes last met, the Lions edged the Tigers, 90-88, as a 9.5-point home favorite.  We'll take Pacific tonight, as a big underdog, as the Lions are a terrible 14-40 ATS at home vs. revenge-minded conference foes, including 3-22 ATS when favored vs. foes off a loss.  Take Pacific + the points.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over Kansas City.  The Chiefs' offense was a mess for much of the season, and it finished the regular season with an offensive average of 21.82 ppg.  In contrast, Miami averaged 29.0 ppg.  To put Kansas City's number into context, it averaged 35.31, 28.18, 29.56, 28.23, and 29.17 ppg over the previous five seasons.  We'll grab the points with the Dolphins as underdogs have cashed 67% the last 44 seasons in the Playoffs, if their offense averaged 4.30+ ppg more than their opponent.  Take Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Houston.  We played against Boston two nights ago, and were rewarded with a blowout win by Milwaukee, 135-102.  Tonight, they'll welcome the Rockets to Boston, and the Rockets won, 112-110, last night vs. Detroit.  We'll take the Celtics to bounce back off that loss, as they're 16-4-1 ATS at home vs. unrested opponents off a SU win, if the Celtics are rested.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over Samford.  The Bulldogs are riding a 14-game wins streak, and have covered eight straight.  We'll fade Samford this evening, as the Keydets are an awesome 33-11-1 ATS as an underdog of 5+ points vs. .501 (or better) opponents off a SU win.  Take VMI + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Duke.  The Yellow Jackets already defeated Duke earlier this season, as they upset the Blue Devils, 72-68, back on December 2.  We'll take the Yellow Jackets as a big underdog as Duke is a soft 7-18 ATS when playing with revenge vs. conference foes, and favored by more than 13 points.  Take Georgia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Cleveland.  The Texans punched a spot into the Playoffs with a road win at Indianapolis, while Cleveland rested many of its players, and mailed in its game at Cincy last week, with a 31-14 loss.  These two teams met here, in Houston, three weeks ago, and the Browns were victorious, 36-22.  We'll take Houston to avenge that loss, as revenge-minded NFL home teams have cashed 69% in the Playoffs if the two teams recently met within the three previous games.  Even better:  the Browns are a wallet-breaking 0-12 ATS off a SU/ATS loss if it defeated its opponent earlier in the season.  Grab the points with Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian St. Mountaineers + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are a wallet-busting 64-95-1 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including 44-83-1 ATS if they weren't favored by 7+ points.  Take the Mountaineers.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Fullerton Titans + the points over Cal State Northridge.  We played against the Matadors on Thursday and got the $$$ with Cal Davis, as the Aggies ended Northridge's 7-game win streak.  We'll go against the Matadors again this afternoon, as they're 23-42 ATS at home off a double-digit loss.  Take Fullerton.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Kentucky.  The Aggies have dropped their last two games SU, and have failed to cover the spread in four straight.  We'll take the Aggies to bounce back tonight, as SEC Conference teams off back to back losses have gone 100-61-5 ATS when favored over a conference foe with a winning conference record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  The Jaguars are currently riding a 4-game losing streak following their 10-point home loss to Green Bay.  We'll take IUPUI + the points, as they're 16-6-1 ATS as a double-digit conference underdog, while Oakland is a horrid 6-14 ATS as a double-digit conference favorite.  Take IUPUI.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Illinois-Chicago Flames + the points over Bradley.  The Flames have lost their last 5 games to the spread, while Bradley is 4-0-1 ATS its last five, and has won its last 5 straight-up.  We'll take Illinois-Chicago to snap its ATS losing streak, as .316 (or better) Missouri Valley Conference teams have cashed 60.1% when they were on 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, and their opponent  was off a SU/ATS win.  Take Illinois-Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Mississippi.  The Commodores have been installed as a big underdog this afternoon vs. the Rebels.  We'll grab the points, as Vandy is an awesome 34-12-1 ATS away from home when not favored by 8+ points (and 16-3-1 ATS if it was getting 8+ points).  Even better:  Ole Miss is a miserable 4-14 ATS at home vs. conference foes, including 1-8 ATS vs. a foe off a SU loss.  Take Vanderbilt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars + the points over Morehead State.  The Eagles have covered nine straight games.  We'll fade Morehead at Edwardsville, as NCAA teams have covered just 43.1% away from home, when they were on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, and their opponent wasn't off an ATS win.  Take SIU-Edwardsville.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over New Orleans.  The Nuggets will look to rebound off a miserable game two nights ago in Salt Lake City.  Denver was a 7-point road favorite, but was wiped out, 124-111, by the Jazz.  Denver is 35-22 ATS as a favorite off an upset loss.  And it's 14-3-1 ATS at home vs. foes off back-to-back wins.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over the Utah Jazz.  Utah's certainly been playing well, as it's 12-4 SU/ATS its last 16, including upset wins over Philly, Milwaukee and Denver in its last 3 games.  Unfortunately for the Jazz, they're favored in this game.  And Utah's burned money when installed as a favorite of 6 or less points, going 17-36-1 ATS.  Toronto enters off back to back losses, and has been solid off 2+ losses, with a 131-84-5 ATS mark (including 13-6-1 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins).  Grab the points with the Raptors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Indiana.  The Hawks will have revenge on their mind when Indiana pays them a visit tonight.  When these two teams last met 7 days ago,  the Hawks were blown out, 150-116.  We'll take Atlanta to avenge that loss, as NBA teams have cashed 74% since 1991 when playing with revenge from a game they surrendered 150+ points (including 88% as a favorite).  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Akron.  Buffalo was blown out, 86-65, on Tuesday by Miami-Ohio.  But off that loss, we'll take the Bulls to bounce back, as they're 15-1-1 ATS off a loss by 20+ points.  That bodes well for Buffalo tonight.  As does the fact that the Zips are 6-10 ATS vs. foes off a loss by 20+ points.  Finally, Mid-American Conference underdogs of more than 14 points, not off an ATS win, have cashed 33 of 49 conference games.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Dayton.  The Flyers have won 9 straight games, while the Dukes are on a 2-game SU/ATS losing streak.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Flyers as an underdog.  But Dayton is a dreadful 6-23-1 ATS off a win, if it was not favored by 3+ points, and its opponent was off an ATS loss.  Take Duquesne to snap Dayton's win streak tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over the Minnesota Golden Gophers.  Minnesota has won 7 straight games.  But all but one of those games was on the road.  And that spells trouble for Minnesota in Bloomington this evening, as Indiana is 34-7 SU and 26-15 ATS at home its last 41, including 11-3 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back wins.  And the Gophers are a ghastly 22-70 ATS on the road, when priced from +11 to -1 vs. Big 10 foes.  Take the Hoosiers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders plus the points over Louisiana Tech.  The Blue Raiders have been dominant at home, with a 34-6 SU record, and a point spread mark of 24-8-2 ATS.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs of +5 (or more) points, have gone 99-62-4 ATS if they had a strong home court, and won at least 34 of their previous 40 games.  Take the Blue Raiders.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento St. Hornets + the points over Weber St.  The Wildcats went into Tulsa and defeated Oral Roberts, 83-78, as a 2.5-point road favorite.  Weber St. is once again favored on the road.  But it's covered just 36% as a road favorite off a SU/ATS win as a road favorite in its previous game.  Take the Hornets + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal-Davis Aggies minus the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Matadors upset Hawaii, 76-66, as a 1-point home underdog last Saturday.  We'll take Cal Davis tonight, as it's cashed 71% since 2005 if it was off a loss, and its opponent was off an upset win.  Even better:  the Aggies have dominated the Matadors, with a 23-6 record since 2010, and a 20-9 ATS record.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics needed overtime last night to defeat Minnesota, 127-120, while Milwaukee had Wednesday off following its blowout loss at the hands of the Utah Jazz.  That was Milwaukee's 2nd straight loss, overall, and its 5th straight ATS loss.  We'll take the Bucks here, at home, as they're an awesome 50-19-1 ATS at home in the regular season off back to back losses, including 9-0 ATS vs. .640 (or better) foes off a win.  Additionally, .718 (or better) underdogs of +6 (or more) points have gone just 38-65-3 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up loss.  Take Milwaukee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over South Alabama.  The Dukes were 14-0 going into their game last Saturday as Southern Miss.  We played on the Golden Eagles +7.5 in that game and were rewarded with an 81-71 upset win.  We'll switch gears and take the Dukes to bounce back off that upset loss.  Last season, the Golden Eagles upset James Madison, 75-66, in the Sun Belt Tourney semifinals.  We'll take the revenge-minded Dukes tonight, as they've cashed 82% since 1990 as a double-digit favorite off an upset loss.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Horned Frogs suffered a narrow, 2-point loss (83-81) at #3-ranked Kansas, on Saturday to fall to 11-3 on the season.  We'll take the Frogs to bounce back tonight, as they're 10-0 ATS off a straight-up loss when they owned a .750 (or better) win percentage.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin.  The Badgers have been installed as a road underdog tonight, in Columbus.  We'll fade Wisconsin, as it's a woeful 29-47-2 ATS as a road underdog of +8 points or less (or PK) in conference games, if the Badgers were off a win.  Lay the points with Ohio State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Indiana St.  The Bulldogs were upset by Belmont, 87-65, on Sunday, and are now 3-1 in Missouri Valley Conference play.  The Sycamores are 4-0 inside the conference, and are an underdog tonight in Des Moines.  We'll fade the Sycamores, as Missouri Valley teams, with an .833 (or better) conference record (at Game 5 forward), have gone 31-57-4 ATS when not laying 5+ points vs. conference foes not off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Bulldogs to blow out Indiana St.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Philadelphia.  Both teams come into tonight's game on a 2-game losing streak.  The Sixers suffered upset home losses at the hands of the Knicks and Jazz, while the Hawks lost road games at Indiana and Orlando.  We'll fade Philadelphia, as NBA teams with W/L percentages greater than .650 have covered just 37 of 95 games off back to back home upset losses, if they were favored by 3+ points in those 2 defeats.  And the Hawks are 114-80-1 ATS at home in non-division games when they were off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Celtics lost, 133-131, at Indiana, on Monday.  We'll take Boston to bounce back tonight, as it's 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS off a loss this season, and 36-22 ATS its last 58 off a SU loss.  Even better:  the T-Wolves had to play last night, while Boston was resting.  And the Celts are a super 55-32-3 ATS when playing with more rest than their opponent, including 21-5 ATS their last 26 off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens plus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Billikens lost at George Mason, 79-67, on Saturday.  We'll take them to bounce back tonight, at home, as the Billikens are 36-9 ATS off a road loss, including 15-0 ATS if their win percentage was < .533.  Take St. Louis.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Miami-Fla.  Last season, Miami won both of the regular season meetings, so the Cards will have revenge on their minds tonight.  Louisville is a solid 118-91 ATS when playing with revenge against conference opponents.  And the Cards are also a super 19-6-1 ATS as road underdogs of +11 (or more) points.  Take Louisville.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  The Jaguars dropped their 3rd straight Horizon League game on Saturday, with a 75-65 loss at Youngstown St.  We'll take IUPUI to snap its 3-game losing streak this afternoon, as it's 12-1 ATS as underdogs of more than 6 points in conference games off 3+ losses.  Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Air Force Falcons + the points over Nevada.  The Falcons are a double-digit dog tonight in Reno.  We'll grab the points, as Air Force is a solid 69-34 ATS away from home when catching more than 11 points, while Nevada is a soft 41-54 ATS as a home favorite of more than 11.  Take the Falcons.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks are 13-1 and 11-3 ATS, yet have been installed as a double-digit underdog tonight in Tuscaloosa.  At Game 15 forward, .920 (or better) teams have covered just 34.8% vs. conference foes off a win.  We'll lay the points with Alabama tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St Cyclones + the points over Houston.  The Cougars are undefeated, at 14-0, but have only played one true road game among their first 14.  That was in Cincinnati vs. Xavier, and the Cougars failed to cover the 8.5-point spread.  We'll grab the points with Iowa State, as it's a super 59-31 ATS at home in 'win situation' games with point spreads of 3 or less.  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Penguins missed the NHL playoffs last Spring for the first time since 2006 and if they're going to avoid another absence, they need to get busy.  Pittsburgh is currently in 7th place in the Division and out of the post-season picture but the good news is that it still has a healthy Crosby, Letang, and Malkin on the team -- three players that were key to the Pens' back-to-back Stanley Cups in 2016 and 2017.  And Crosby is having an outstanding campaign with 41 points in 38 games and a +14 rating while being named to his 6th All Star roster this past week.  The Flyers took both meetings with the Pens so far this season when the two played a home-and-home series in early December.  But Pittsburgh has been pretty dominant in this series otherwise, taking seven of the previous eight meetings before those, going back to May of 2021.  Take the Pens.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Buffalo/Miami game.  Buffalo has been installed as a road favorite.  And it's 8-0 Under its last eight as a road favorite of less than 6 points, while Miami is 42-21 Under at home when playing with revenge.  Take the Under.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Miami Dolphins + the points over the Buffalo Bills.  The Dolphins were blown out last week by Baltimore, 56-19.  But winning teams, off a loss by more than 7 points, have covered 86% as home underdogs since 1980, if they were playing with revenge.  And the Dolphins do, indeed, have revenge, since Buffalo blasted them by 28 points earlier this season.  I'll take the points with the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.