Sports Picks & Predictions

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic stunned the Denver Nuggets, 122-120, on Friday, as a 9.5-point road underdog.  Of that huge upset win, we'll fade Orlando today, as it falls into a negative 4-21 and 14-36 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams off big upsets.  Additionally, the Magic are a poor 2-11 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 9 points, if they were playing an opponent off a SU loss.  And Orlando is also 5-17 ATS as a home underdog vs. foes with worse W/L records.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Los Angeles Chargers to go Over the total.  The Chiefs are not incentivized to win, so they will turn to QB Blaine Gabbert to line up under center for this game, while Patrick Mahomes will be on the sidelines.  The line has been adjusted, of course, to compensate for the players who won't be available, but I think there's significant value now on the Over, as it falls into a 24-4 Totals system of mine.  Additionally, the Chargers have gone Over the total 14 of the last 17 years in their final game, while KC has gone 6-2 Over in their final road game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers + the points over Brooklyn.  The Blazers come into today's game off a 139-103 blowout loss at Dallas.  And that followed a 126-97 defeat -- also to the Mavericks -- in the game previous to that.  We'll take Portland to bounce back off those two blowout losses, as NBA underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 64.1% since 2000 off back to back losses by 24+ points.  Take the Trail Blazers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Atlanta/New Orleans game.  The Over falls into a 67-36 Totals system of mine, and I look for a relatively high scoring game on Sunday afternoon.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Tampa Bay game.  The Panthers and Buccaneers both played poorly on offense last week.  Carolina was shutout, 26-0, by Jacksonville, while Tampa mustered just 13 points in a 10-point home loss to New Orleans.  I expect a higher scoring game this week, as NFL games tend to go over the total more often than not when both teams scored less than 14 points in their previous game.  And the Over also falls into a 109-58 Totals system of mine.  Take Carolina/Tampa Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings + the points over Detroit.  These two teams met two game ago in Minneapolis, and the Lions came away with a 30-24 victory.  The story of that game was 4 interceptions thrown by Vikings QB Nick Mullens.  That led to Mullens being benched for last week's game vs. Green Bay.  But after the Vikes trailed 23-3 at halftime, coach Kevin O'Connell had second thoughts and inserted Mullens into the game to replace the ineffective Jaren Hall.  Mullens played better vs. Green Bay, as he was 13-of-22 for 113 yards and a TD.  But it was not enough as the Vikes fell, 33-10.  It's unclear who will start at QB for Minnesota in this game, which it must win if it is to have any shot at the Playoffs.  But regardless of who is under center, we'll take the road underdog, as Minnesota falls into a 152-77 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Grab the points with the Vikings.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over the Cleveland Browns.  Cincy lost at Cleveland, 24-3, to open the season.  We'll take the Bengals to close out the season with some payback, as Cleveland is a poor 5-21 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes that Cleveland defeated earlier in the season.  Additionally, the Bengals are 25-9 ATS in their final home game of the season, if they weren't laying more than 7 points.  Take Cincinnati.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Titans + the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, the Titans were blown out, 26-3, by Houston, while the Jaguars shut out Carolina, 26-0.  We'll take Tennessee to bounce back, as NFL home dogs  (or PK) have cashed 64% since 1980 off a loss by 23+ points, if their opponent was off a win by 23+ points.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  The Panthers were shut out, 26-0, by Jacksonville.  I look for Carolina to bounce back as teams off shutout losses have gone 66-40 ATS when priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points.  Even better, over the last 44 years, home underdogs have cashed 58.0 ATS in the last 3 weeks of the season, if they were off an SU/ATS loss.  Finally, the Panthers fall into 145-67, 84-25 and 157-72 ATS systems of mine.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes + the points over Montana.  The Grizzlies come into this game off a 96-86 win over North Dakota St.  Unfortunately, Montana is a soft 1-11 ATS as a favorite after scoring more than 92 points.  Take South Dakota.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans Under the total.  These two teams met earlier this season.  The Over/Under for that game was just 40 points. And it went over the total, as the two teams combined to score 51. This O/U line is significantly higher than the first meeting. I think it's too high. The Indianapolis Colts have not played a game with an Over/Under line this high in any of their last 30 games. And the Texans have only played two games this season with an over/under line north of 47 points. Both of those were 48, and Houston went under the total in each game. The Texans are 10-6 Under this season, and are 46-35 Under when the line was greater than 47 points. And the Colts are 86-59 under at home vs. division rivals, including 26-15 Under if the season's first meeting went Over the total.  Take the Under.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over St. Thomas.  This is the 2nd day of the Big Sky/Summit League Challenge (The Big Sky won 5 of the 9 match-ups on Wednesday).  The Tommies are on a 5-game win streak, and are also on a 5-game ATS win streak.  Notwithstanding their hot play, we'll fade St. Thomas tonight, as Summit League teams off 3 SU/ATS wins have cashed just 40% of non-conference games.  And Big Sky Conference teams have cashed 63% as underdogs vs. Summit League opposition.  Grab the points with Sacramento St.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Matadors have won their first two Big West Conference games, but haven't won 3 straight Big West games at any time in their last 56 conference match-ups.  We'll take Hawaii, as Northridge is 3-13 ATS its last 16 as home underdogs vs. conference foes.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  The Bengals are on a 6-game SU losing streak, and have also failed to cover in eight straight games.  Meanwhile, the Mavericks come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Mavericks against the ice-cold Bengals.  But Omaha has covered just 20% the past 12 seasons off back to back SU/ATS wins against foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And Idaho State also falls into an 80-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on a losing streak.  Take the Bengals minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celtics blew out Utah, 126-97, in Boston last night, and have been installed as a road favorite tonight, at Indiana.  This will be the first of two games here at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, as the two teams will also play on Monday night.  We'll lay the points as the Celtics are 43-14-2 ATS on the road off a 20-point home win.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs + the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack are 13-1, and have been installed as a big road favorite at Fresno.  We'll fade Nevada, as it's a poor 16-27-4 ATS as a conference road favorite of more than 4 points.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Ole Miss.  The Vols are 10-3 SU and 5-7-1 ATS, while the Rebels are 13-0 SU and 7-6 ATS.  Mississippi should lose its first game of the season tonight, in Knoxville, as Ole Miss is a poor 1-17 SU and 5-13 ATS their last 18 as an underdog.  Meanwhile, Tennessee is 42-13 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, against foes with a win percentage greater than .800, if Tennessee's ATS win percentage was less than .600.  Take Tennessee.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over the Baltimore Ravens.  The Ravens are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS, and will be the #1 seed in the AFC following their 56-19 blowout of the Miami Dolphins.  The Steelers are still in the running for the Playoffs.  And though they can still get in with a loss (if the Broncos win and the Jaguars lose), their chances will be greatly improved with a win.  We'll lay the points with Pittsburgh, as it's 81-34 ATS vs. foes that scored 23+ points in their previous game, if that foe owned an ATS win pct. of .400 (or better).  Additionally, Baltimore is 2-10 ATS at home vs. the rival Steelers, if Baltimore had a winning record ATS.  Lay the points with Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Alabama.  Alabama comes into this SEC Conference game off back to back blowout wins over Eastern Kentucky (111-67) and Liberty (101-56).  We'll fade Alabama in this game, as it's an awful 6-30 ATS as a double-digit favorite following a win, in which it scored 85+ points.  Take Vandy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are undefeated, at 14-0, and ranked #19 in the country.  JMU covered the spread in its two previous games, and is 10-3 ATS on the season.  Still, we'll take the points with Southern Miss, as it's cashed 62% over the last 34 seasons at home vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Golden Eagles.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee State Tigers + the points over Morehead St.  The Eagles have won their last three, and have covered their last six.  We will fade Morehead St., as the Tigers are a solid 47-29-3 ATS away from home as underdogs of more than 5 points vs. foes off back to back wins.  And the Eagles are a soft 56-75-2 ATS when favored by 6+ points.  Take Tennessee St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons minus the points over Miami-Fla.  This is the Hurricanes' 2nd game this season played at an opponent's home court.  Their first road game didn't go so well, as Kentucky blew out Miami by 22 points.  We'll take Wake Forest, as the Demon Deacons are 37-5 SU and 27-14-1 ATS at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders + the points over Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons are 13-2 on the season and outscoring their opposition by 17.8 ppg.  But the Raiders are 16-5 ATS vs. conference foes with a scoring margin greater than 7.6 ppg.  Grab the points with Wright St.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The T-Wolves come into tonight's game off back to back losses (against the Knicks and Pelicans).  It's Minnesota's first 2-game losing streak of the season, as it was 7-0 SU after its first seven defeats.  The T-Wolves are a super 11-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they also failed to cover the spread 3 games back.  And Houston is a poor 6-26 ATS vs. as an underdog of less than 8 points vs. foes off back to back ATS losses.  Lay the points with the T-Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  We played on the Atlanta Hawks two nights ago vs. Oklahoma City, which was on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, and were rewarded with an upset win by the Hawks.  Tonight, it's the Pacers who are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, following upset wins over division rival, Milwaukee, in their two previous games.  We'll fade the Pacers tonight, as NBA teams off back to back upset wins, including a division upset win in their previous game, have gone 140-186 ATS vs. rested foes.  Take Atlanta + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Siena Saints + the points over Fairfield.  These two teams are going in opposite directions.  Siena has lost six straight, while the Stags have won six in a row.  But these two streaks have worked to create value on the side of the home underdog, and we'll grab the points with Siena, which falls into a system of mine which has cashed 73.3% since 2011.  Even though the Stags won their previous game, 78-72, they failed to cover the 9.5-point number.  Meanwhile, the Saints did cover the 17.5-point number in their 13-point loss at UMass on Saturday.  All of this bodes well for the home dog tonight, as Saints are 17-9-1 ATS as an underdog off an ATS win, including 6-1 ATS at home.  And the Stags have cashed just 42 of 116 as a favorite off an ATS loss, including 18-40-1 ATS vs. foes off an ATS win.  Grab the points with Siena.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over San Francisco.  The Dons are 11-4 this season, and have outscored their foes by an average of 17.93 ppg.  We'll fade San Francisco, and take the home underdog Tigers, as Pacific is a solid 16-5 ATS at home vs. foes with a scoring margin greater than 15 ppg.  Take Pacific.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UCSB Gauchos + the points over UC San Diego.  The Tritons come into tonight's game off 3 straight ATS wins.  Unfortunately, they're also 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS when on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  And they're 1-5 SU/ATS in the last 6 meetings vs. the Gauchos.  Take UCSB minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Minnesota.  The Golden Gophers have been installed as a road underdog at Michigan, which comes into this game off back to back losses.  Michigan, though, is a solid 89-54-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Gophers are an ugly 31-82 ATS away from home vs. Big 10 foes, if they were priced from -1 to +11 points, including 10-45 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Oregon.  The Huskies will look to get into the Pac-12 win column tonight, as they lost their first two Pac-12 games, which were both on the road.  Washington did cover the spread in its 5-point loss at Utah on Sunday, and that moved its record to 27-6 ATS following a Pac-12 Conference loss.  Take Washington minus the points tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri St. Redhawks + the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks enter tonight's home game on a 5-game win streak.  And they're also on a 3-game ATS win streak.  We will fade Western Illinois, as it's a poor 42% ATS when it was on a 3-game ATS win streak, and it's also covered just 44% at home off 5+ wins.  Meanwhile, SE Missouri is 30-16-3 ATS vs. conference foes, including 9-1 ATS when priced from +5.5 to +15.5 points.  Take SE Missouri + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the San Antonio Spurs.  Milwaukee comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses at the hands of the Indiana Pacers.  We'll take the Bucks to bounce back tonight, as they are 17-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back upset losses, including 6-0 ATS when favored by more than 8 points.  The Spurs will be without Zach Collins tonight, as he sustained an ankle injury last week vs. Portland.  But when the Spurs and Bucks met 16 days ago, Collins was the Spurs' 2nd leading scorer with 22 points, and he had 8 rebounds, as well, so his absence will be felt.  Lay the points with the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  The Titans are 0-15 on the season, but I expect them to break through with a win vs. the Phoenix tonight.  Green Bay is on a 3-game win streak, but is a wallet-breaking 0-9 ATS off 3+ wins, and 14-26-2 ATS on the road.  Grab the points with Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Troy.  The Trojans  come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and have been installed as a home favorite tonight vs. ODU, which enters off back to back SU/ATS losses.  We'll take the Underdog Monarchs, as Troy is a woeful 12-30 ATS as a favorite, if it was off a win, and its opponent was off a loss.  And Old Dominion has cashed 69% over the last 33 years as an underdog off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. opponents off back to back wins.  Grab the points with the Monarchs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Orlando.  The Kings lost at home last night, as a 15.5-point favorite to the woeful Charlotte Hornets.  Off that embarrassing defeat, we'll take the Kings to redeem themselves tonight, as they're back in front of their home faithful.   And the Kings are 30-13 ATS off a home loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the S. Dakota St. Jackrabbits + the points over Weber St.  The Wildcats come into tonight's game off an 86-64 win over Montana St., while the Jackrabbits enter off a 19-point blowout win over N.Dakota.  We'll take the underdog Jackrabbits, as they're 108-71-1 ATS vs. a foe off a SU win, including 61-32 vs. foes off a double-digit win.  Take S. Dakota St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the New Orleans Pelicans.  These teams met last month in New Orleans, and the Pelicans came away with a 121-107 victory.  We'll take the revenge-minded T-Wolves, as they're 19-9 ATS when playing a foe it lost to in the season's prior meeting, including 5-1 ATS if its foe was unrested.  Take Minnesota.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over N. Dakota St.  This is a revenge game for the Grizz, who lost at home to the Bison, 78-69, in the first month of the season.  Montana is a solid 22-12 ATS on the road when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks plus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder won their 5th straight game last night, 127-123, at home, vs. the Boston Celtics.  Now, they have to play without rest against the rested Hawks, in Atlanta.  We'll take the Home Underdog, as the Hawks are 32-9-1 ATS at home vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams + the points over St. Joseph's.  The Hawks have been installed as a road favorite tonight vs. the Rams.  Unfortunately, St. Joe's is a poor 3-8 ATS its last 11 as a road favorite.  We'll grab the points with the Rams.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St. Cowboys minus the points over Chicago St.  The Cowboys won, 86-70, as a 25-point favorite vs. S. Carolina St. in their previous game, so they failed to cover by 9 points.  We'll lay the wood with Okie St tonight, as Big 12 teams are 76-50 ATS at home when laying more than 9 points vs. non-conference foes, if our Big 12 team failed to cover by 9+ points in their prior game.  Additionally, the Cowboys are 32-16 ATS as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes off a SU loss.  Take the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Chicago St. Cougars + the points over Kansas St.  The Cougars have gone 14-1 ATS when priced from +14 to +23.5 points, and today's point spread falls into that range.  Meanwhile, Kansas State is 0-5 ATS as a favorite of -14 to -23.5 points.  Additionally, the Cougars are 23-12 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Cougars + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Chicago.  This is the 2nd of back to back games against Chicago for Philadelphia.  We played on the Bulls as our Non-Division Game of the Month in Round 1, on Saturday, but we will switch gears and take the revenge-minded Sixers tonight (who are playing with double-revenge from 2 losses to the Bulls this season).  Philadelphia is an awesome 40-20 ATS when playing with revenge (and 11-3 when playing with double-revenge), while Chicago is 6-13 ATS when going into double-revenge.  Take the Sixers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  Denver was upset at home, 119-93, by Oklahoma City, on Friday.  We'll lay the points with Denver tonight, as it's an awesome 50-6 straight-up, and 40-13-1 ATS at home off a home loss by more than 10 points, provided Denver wasn't an underdog of more than 2 points in its current game.  Charlotte has lost 10 straight games heading into this affair, and is also an awful 0-17 SU and 1-16 ATS as a road underdog of 11+ points vs. Northwest division foes.  Take Denver minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Washington.  The Longhorns have the better ground game, as they're averaging 189 yards per game (compared to 125.2 by Washington).  And Texas' yards per rush is also favorable (4.9 vs 4.5).  All things being equal, I prefer to play on the team with the better ground game in the semifinals or championship games.  Indeed, the team with the better offensive YPR has gone 27-8 ATS their last 35.  That bodes well for Texas on Monday night.  As does the fact that Washington is a soft 6-12 ATS its last 18 as an underdog of 7 or less points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Washington/Texas game.  This game falls into my two best College Football Totals systems, which are 124-54 and 84-30.  Additionally, the Longhorns are surrendering just 17.54 ppg, and rank #11 in the country in defense.  This is the highest total they've had this season (and, in my estimation, too high).  Texas is 44-22 Under when the O/U line was greater than 58 points, while Washington is 26-18-3 Under with a line of 58+ points.  And, in the post-season, teams with defenses that give up less than 19 ppg are on a 60.5% under run when the O/U line was 53+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Alabama.  This is the 3rd straight season Michigan has made the College Football playoff, but the first that it entered as the #1 team in the country.  And its #1 ranking is warranted.  In 2021, Michigan was overmatched by a dominant Georgia team, which had a defense giving up just 9.5 ppg.  Then, last season, Michigan was really good, and led by its defense which was allowing just 13.3 ppg.  Unfortunately, they couldn't contain TCU's Quentin Johnson, and were burned for 51 points.  But this season, Michigan's defense has been the country's best (and the only defense to allow less than 10.0 ppg).  Texas' defense ranks 11th (17.54 ppg), Alabama's defense ranks 15th (18.38) and Washington's defense ranks 49th (23.62).  This is the 4th time a team was in the NCAA semifinals or championship game with a defense that gave up less than 10 ppg.  All three of the other teams won 15+ point blowouts, and covered by an average of 15.3 ppg.  The Wolverines are 26-13-2 ATS the last 3 seasons, including 14-3 ATS when not favored by 17+ points.  After knocking on the door the past 2 seasons, I expect Jim Harbaugh's men to bang it down this season.  Take Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Tennessee.  The Volunteers ended their regular season with 3 straight point spread defeats.  And now they've been installed as a sizable favorite vs. Iowa.  I don't want any part of Tennessee as a favorite, as NCAA teams have covered just 86 of 207 in the post season when favored by more than 1 points, if they were off back to back ATS losses to end the regular season.  Additionally, Iowa is 78-55-4 ATS off a SU/ATS loss, and 14-7-1 ATS its last 22 Bowl games.  Take the Hawkeyes + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, on Monday, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over LSU.  The Badgers have been installed as a huge underdog vs. LSU.  We'll happily grab the points with Luke Fickell's men, as Wisconsin is 38-15-2 ATS its last 55 games when getting more than 6 points.  Even better:  its defense gives up 8.83 ppg less than LSU's defense.  And NCAA teams that give up 8.83 points less than their foes are on a 61.4% run in the post-season.  Take Wisconsin + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset the Knicks, 117-108, on Friday, while Phoenix won (but failed to cover) vs. Charlotte.  We'll fade Orlando, as it's 20-34-2 ATS as a single-digit underdog off an upset win when playing a winning opponent off an ATS loss.  Meanwhile, Phoenix is a solid 31-19 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oral Roberts Golden Eagles + the points over Denver.  The Pioneers enter today's Summit League game off 3 straight wins, including in 95-80 win over Nebraska-Omaha in its conference opener.  We'll fade Denver today, and grab the points with Oral Roberts, as the Golden Eagles are a solid 25-10 ATS vs. foes off a win, if ORU was off a loss.  Take Oral Roberts.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Kansas City.  The Bengals lost in the Playoffs to the Chiefs last season, so that will be added incentive for Zac Taylor's men on Sunday.  Both of these teams come into this game off losses.  Cincy was blown out by Pittsburgh on Saturday, while the Chiefs lost to the Raiders on Monday.  I like the underdog Bengals here, as they're 14-1 ATS when installed as an underdog of more than 2 points.  Take Cincy.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri St. Redhawks plus the points over Morehead St.  Southeast Missouri has been installed as a big home dog vs. the Eagles, and we'll take SEMO, as it's 15-5 ATS at home vs. conference foes (including 5-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points).  And it's also 10-0 ATS vs. foes off a win, when priced from +4.5 to +14.5 points.  Take the Redhawks.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal + the points over Arizona.  Stanford was upset, 76-73, in its Pac-12 opener on Friday by Arizona St.  And that was Stanford's second straight defeat, overall.  We'll take the Cardinal to bounce back this afternoon, as they're 41-18-2 ATS at home off back to back losses.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Washington.  The Hawks are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, but should get back into the win column this afternoon vs. the Wizards.  These two teams met last month, and the Hawks blew out Washington, 136-108.  That was the 5th straight win by the Hawks in this series, and they've won by an average of 12 ppg.  The Wizards upset Brooklyn, 110-104, here, at home, on Friday.  Unfortunately, Washington is 34-62 ATS at home off an upset win, if it was playing a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota St. Jackrabbits minus the points over North Dakota.  Both teams come into this game off back to back losses.  The Jackrabbits lost neutral court games to Wyoming and Norfolk St., while the Fighting Hawks fell at Nebraska, and at home to St. Thomas.  South Dakota St. has been one of the most reliable home teams in NCAA basketball, as it's 79-43-1 ATS.  We'll fade the Fighting Hawks, as they're a poor 5-19 ATS on the road off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons are 12-2 after downing Northern Kentucky, 73-60, on Friday, while Detroit has yet to taste victory, as it lost its 14 straight game, 67-55, at IUPUI two nights ago.  We'll grab the points with winless Detroit, as Horizon League road teams off a loss have gone 97-64 ATS vs. conference foes off a win, if our road team was getting more than 10 points.  That bodes well for Detroit today.  As does the fact that Fort Wayne is 0-9 ATS at home vs. conference foes when laying 5+ points.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Rainbows come into this Big West Conference game off back to back home losses to Georgia Tech and TCU.  We'll take Hawaii to bounce back, as it's cashed 83% as a home favorite off back to back home defeats.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Edmonton Oilers.  We played against the Kings on Thursday and got the $$$ with Vegas, in a 3-2 home win.  Los Angeles was playing that game without rest, and it's now 1-5 this season when doing so.  Of course, that also means that Los Angeles is 19-7 this season when playing with rest.  Edmonton is allowing 3.31 goals per game, and the Kings are 47-20 (+19.9 net games on the moneyline) when playing an opponent which is giving up at least 3+ goals per game.  Additionally, the Kings will no doubt be emotionally charged for this game, given it was Edmonton which knocked it out of last year's playoffs in 6 games.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Detroit.  After losing to the Miami Dolphins last week, the Cowboys are now 1-12 ATS their last 13 on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. The good news for Dallas, then, in this game is that it is not on the road, and Detroit wasn't in the Playoffs last season. Dallas has played 5 games the past two seasons at home vs. winning clubs, and the Cowboys have won all 5, and have gone 3-2 straight-up. Even better: winning NFL teams have gone 41-20 ATS as a single-digit home favorite (or PK) off back to back SU/ATS road losses. Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Under in the Detroit/Dallas game.  The Lions come into this game off back to back Overs, as they blew out Denver, 42-17, and won at Minnesota, 30-24.  But off those two high-scoring games, we'll take the Under on Saturday night, as Detroit has gone 62-42 Under off back to back Overs, including 8-0 UNDER when the O/U line was 52+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Sixers defeated Houston, 131-127, last night, while the Chicago Bulls had Friday off after their Thursday home loss to Indiana.  We'll play on the rested Bulls, and go against a Philly team which will be playing back to back road games without rest.  Indeed, the 76ers are 0-16 ATS off back to back wins, when playing their 3rd game in four nights on the road without rest, if their opponent was rested and playing back to back home games, and the Sixers weren't favored by more than 4 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after delivering their biggest regular season victory in school history when they upset #4-ranked Arizona, 96-95, in double-overtime last Saturday.  Off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Owls against Florida Gulf Coast, as the Owls are 2-10 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins when playing an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  the Eagles play with revenge from a 32-point loss to the Owls last season.  And Florida Gulf Coast is 8-0 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog of more than 4 points.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Prairie View A&M Panthers + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies have not performed well as a big home favorite, as it's gone 15-27 ATS when laying 17+ points.  Likewise, the Aggies are 5-19 ATS at home when playing an opponent with a negative scoring margin of -3.00 ppg (or worse).  Last year, the Aggies won by 20 vs. Prairie View, 86-66.  The good news for the Panthers is that they've cashed 67% as revenge-minded underdogs.  Take Prairie View + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bellarmine Knights + the points over High Point.  The Knights come into Saturday's game off back to back 40+ point SU/ATS losses, while High Points enters off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We'll take Bellarmine to bounce back on Saturday evening, as NCAA teams off back to back 30-point (or worse) SU/ATS losses have cashed 57% since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Take Bellarmine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over BYU.  The Cougars come into this evening's game off back to back blowout wins over Georgia State (86-54) and Bellarmine (101-59).  We'll fade BYU, as it's a poor 37-62 ATS vs. winning foes, if BYU was off back to back double-digit wins, and also won its previous game ATS.  Take the Cowboys + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Valley St. Delta Devils + the points over San Francisco.  The Dons have covered 3 straight games.  But it's a dismal 1-9 ATS in non-conference games when it was on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Meanwhile, the Delta Devils are 35-18 ATS as an underdog of more than 8 points off a loss.  Take Mississippi Valley St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Razorbacks won, but failed to cover, their last two games (against Lipscomb and Abilene Christian).  But off those two ATS defeats, we'll lay the points with Arkansas, as it's cashed 63.1% of home non-conference games since 1990 off back to back ATS losses.  Take the Razorbacks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Wyoming.  The Rockets went 11-1 in the regular season, and reached the Mid-American Conference title game, where they lost to Miami-Ohio, 23-14.  Wyoming ended the season with back to back blowout wins to finish 8-4, but failed to reach the Mountain West championship game.  I like playing on .692 (or better) underdogs in the Bowls that played in their title game against opponents that did not reach their conference championship game.  Our Bowl underdogs have cashed 58.2%.  Moreover, favorites off back to back wins have gone 46-70-3 ATS away from home in the post-season vs. .846 (or better) opponents.  Take Toledo + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Florida St.  The Bulldogs were upset by the Alabama Crimson Tide in the SEC Championship game.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Georgia this afternoon, as Georgia is 10-1 ATS off an upset loss against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if Georgia wasn't getting 7+ points.  Even better:  undefeated teams (like Florida State), with a 5-0 (or better) record, have covered just 21.4% since 1994 when getting more than 14 points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Lafayette Leopards + the points over Richmond.  The Spiders won here, at home, nine days ago vs. Buffalo, 72-66, while Lafayette was blown out by 18 points, 78-60, by Quinnipiac.  The Leopards are 8-0 ATS as a double-digit dog off a SU loss, while Richmond is 6-17 ATS off a home win.  Take Lafayette + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers minus the points over Central Arkansas.  The Bears got the $$$ two days ago in a 16-point loss (as a 32.5-point underdog) vs. Oklahoma.  But off that ATS win, we'll fade Central Arkansas this afternoon, as it's 12-31-2 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Missouri.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs + the points over Georgia.  Alabama A&M has been installed as a monstrous underdog this afternoon, and we'll happily grab the points, noting that Georgia is an awful 27-50-2 ATS its last 79, including 2-11-1 ATS when favored by more than 9 points.  Take Alabama A&M.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Maryland.  The Tigers suffered a heartbreaking loss to rival Alabama at season's end, and finished with a 6-6 record.  The good news for Auburn is that it will be able to redeem itself in this Music City Bowl game vs. Maryland.  And it's 11-0 SU and 9-2 ATS when favored off back to back losses, if it didn't own a winning record.  The Terrapins will play this game without star QB, Taulia Tagovailoa, who is their all-time leader in passing yards (11,356), as well as the Big 10's all time leader.  In his stead will be Billy Edwards Jr., who had a QB rating of 59.4 (compared to Tagovailoa's 73.6 rating).  I expect Maryland to drop off significantly on offense without Tagovailoa, and we'll lay the points with Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Fordham Rams minus the points over Columbia.  The Lions enter off back to back SU/ATS road wins over Lafayette and Fairleigh Dickinson, while Fordham lost its two previous games, SU/ATS, to St. John's and Central Connecticut St.  We'll take Fordham to rebound off those losses, as it's 11-0 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Columbia is 11-31-1 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Fordham minus the points.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over San Antonio.  These two teams met last night, and we played on the Spurs as a small underdog.  San Antone blew out Portland from the get-go, with a 38-14 advantage after 12 minutes, and coasted to a 118-105 win.  Victor Wembanyama led the way for San Antonio, as he tallied 30 points, and blocked seven shots.  But Wemby will sit out tonight's game, since coach Gregg Popovich doesn't want him playing back to back nights right now.  The Trail Blazers fall into a 71-42 ATS revenge system of mine, so we'll take Portland to avenge its loss last night, and lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Illinois.  We played on the Illini in their previous game, and got the $$$ when they blew out Missouri, 97-73.  Tonight, Illinois will welcome Fairleigh Dickinson to Champaign, and the Knights lost their two previous games SU/ATS.  Unfortunately for Illinois, it's a poor 6-20-1 ATS off a win, when favored by more than 8 points against a foe off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Fairleigh Dickinson + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Kent State.  The Gaels had their 5-game win streak snapped last Saturday when they lost at home to Missouri St, 69-64, as a 13.5-point favorite.  We'll take Randy Bennett's men to bounce back on Friday, as they're 33-13 ATS their last 46 home non-conference games off an ATS loss.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio St Buckeyes minus the points over Missouri.  Ryan Day's men had high hopes to be in the FBS playoffs.  They were ranked #1 in the country, but lost their season-ending game at Michigan, 30-24.  I look for Ohio State to bounce back off that defeat, as it's a super 16-5 ATS away from home off a loss.  Meanwhile, Missouri is 2-11 ATS in the post-season off a straight-up win, and 19-40 ATS off a win, if they were playing an opponent off a road loss.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels + the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers were my preseason pick (at 15-1 odds) to win the national championship.  And, so far, they've not disappointed as they're ranked #1 with an 11-1 record.  Purdue blew out Jacksonville, 100-57, in their last game, while the Dolphins lost at Alabama.  We'll fade Purdue, as the Boilers are an ugly 0-10 ATS off a win by 14 (or more) points when they were matched up against an opponent off a loss.  Take Eastern Kentucky + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over McNeese St.  The Cowboys are 10-2, but this will be their toughest test yet.  The Wolves come into this game off a 106-101 loss to the Florida Gators, so they'll be looking to bounce back on Friday.  And Michigan generally does rebound off losses, as they're 93-56-2 ATS.  Lay the points with Juwan Howard's men.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Minnesota.  This will be the Golden Gophers' final non-conference tune-up before their Big 10 schedule resumes (they played Ohio State and Nebraska earlier this month).  The Gophers have won 4 straight, and have covered their last six.  But they also haven't played a game in over a week, so I expect some rust this evening.  Maine is 14-5 ATS as a double digit underdog.  And it's also 21-11 ATS off a loss vs. an opponent off a win.  Finally, the Black Bears fall into an 871-649-31 ATS system of mine. Take Maine + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Evansville.  The Bearcats will open their Big 12 Conference season at BYU next week, and will welcome the Purple Aces into Cincinnati as a final tune-up before conference play.  The Bearcats last played a week ago and downed Stetson, 83-75, as a 21.5-point home favorite.  Cincy is a stellar 15-0 ATS off an ATS loss, when it wasn't favored by more than 21 points, so I look for it to blow out Evansville tonight.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the North Florida Ospreys + the points over Miami-Fla.  The Hurricanes smashed Stonehill, 97-59, in their last game to move to 8-2 on the season.  Miami's favored by double-digits tonight, but is a woeful 7-23 ATS when laying 13+ points at home, including 13-1 ATS off back to back wins.  Even worse:  Miami is 2-11 ATS at home off a win by 30+ points.  Take North Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Iowa St.  This game will be played at the Tigers' home field in Memphis, so the Tigers will have a very friendly crowd in their corner.  Memphis is a solid 13-5 ATS as a home underdog, including 6-0 ATS when getting more than 5 points, while Iowa State is a soft 5-8 ATS as a double-digit road favorite.  Grab the points with the homestanding Tigers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Notre Dame.  This Sun Bowl game's over/under line has been installed around 41 points.  And that bodes well for Oregon State, as it's 11-1 ATS in games with O/U lines < 52 points.  Additionally, Oregon State is 17-8-1 ATS as an underdog.  And the underdog has cashed in 30 of 39 Sun Bowls, including 7-0 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Beavers + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats + the points over the Clemson Tigers.  The Wildcats pulled off a big upset to end their season, with a 38-31 win over rival, Louisville.  Kentucky has been installed as an underdog this afternoon in the Gator Bowl, and we'll grab the points, as Kentucky is 35-18-1 ATS in non-conference games, if it won its previous game, straight-up, including 5-1-1 ATS off an upset win.  And Clemson has covered just 3 of 11 bowl games when favored by 3 or more points.  Finally, the SEC conference is a solid 69-50 ATS as a post-season underdog vs. non-conference foes, including 23-11 ATS vs. the ACC conference.  Take Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Portland.  This is the first of back to back games between these clubs.  (Game #2 will be played here tomorrow night.)  The Blazers pulled off an upset of the Sacramento Kings, 130-113, on Tuesday.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 41-86 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off home upset victories.  The Spurs come into this game off 5 straight losses, including a 130-118 loss to the Jazz two days ago.  And coach Gregg Popovich is extremely displeased with his team's lack of effort on the defensive end (and has expressed his displeasure vociferously over the last 2 days).  The Spurs are 163-118 ATS in the regular season off a loss by more than 10 points.  I expect a better performance by the Silver and Black tonight, and we'll take the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Los Angeles Kings.  Los Angeles throtted Vegas here last month, 4-1, so the Knights will be playing with revenge.  And that bodes well, given that Vegas is 23-7 when looking to avenge a loss earlier in the season.  Admittedly, the Knights have lost their last four games.  But each of those was on the road, where Vegas has a losing record on the season.  At home, the Knights are 12-5.  Both of these teams played last night, and that also bodes well for Vegas, as Los Angeles is 1-4 this season when playing without rest.  We'll take Vegas to get back into the win column on Thursday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Alamo Bowl game to go Under the total.  This game will pit the Oklahoma Sooners vs. the Arizona Wildcats.  Each of these teams ended the season with high-scoring victories.  The Sooners put up 69 points in a 24-point win over TCU, while Arizona tallied 59 in a 36-point blowout of rival, Arizona St.  Dating back to 2013, match-ups between teams that scored 54+ points in their previous game have gone under 61% of the time.  Additionally, Arizona is 19-7 Under when the line has been 56+ points.  And the Under falls into a 139-62 Totals system of mine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over Utah.  The Jazz have won 3 straight, but I believe their win streak will be halted tonight by New Orleans.  These two teams met twice in Salt Lake City over Thanksgiving, and the Jazz swept that 2-game set with triumphs by 5 and 2 points.  We'll take the Pelicans to avenge those losses, as they're 76-39-2 ATS at home when playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season, including 55-25 ATS vs. foes off a straight-up win.  Take New Orleans minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas St. Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  The Wildcats were a 9.5-point home favorite, but fell by 7 points, 42-35, to Iowa St at the end of the regular season.  But K-State is a perfect 7-0 SU/ATS off a loss since 2022, and 81-46-1 ATS off a loss since 1990 (including 17-1 ATS its last 18 when it failed to cover by 13+ points in its previous game).  Additionally, ACC Conference teams off a win have covered just 23% away from home vs. Big 12 foes off a loss.  We'll take the Wildcats to blow out NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over SMU.  This game will be played less than 5 miles from B.C.'s campus, at Fenway Park, so the crowd will be decidedly in the Eagles' corner.  The Mustangs are laying double-digits, which is always a high tariff in a Bowl game.  Indeed, double-digit dogs are 88-67 ATS in the Bowls since 1981.  Even worse:  when SMU has had a winning record, it's a miserable 10-41 ATS away from home when priced from +10.5 to -14 points.  Grab the points with Boston College.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns over the Houston Rockets.  Phoenix has lost its last six (and 11 of its last 12) games to the point spread.  But it will play tonight's game with an extra day of rest, as Houston had to play Indiana last night, while the Suns had Tuesday off.  Phoenix is 31-19 as a rested road favorite vs. unrested foes, including 11-2 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take the Suns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Louisville.  The Trojans lost, 38-20, to rival UCLA at season's end.  We'll grab the points with the Trojans, as they're 25-10 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS loss.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers have woefully underperformed in the Bowls, as they're 7-24 ATS including 0-14 ATS when not getting 3+ points.  Take North Carolina as a big underdog.