Sports Picks & Predictions

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Mets over the Washington Nationals.  When the Nationals signed free agent pitcher Patrick Corbin to a six-year, $140 Million contract in the off-season, there were a lot of people questioning it.  After all, the veteran LHP has been in the league for six seasons -- only two of which (2013 and 2018) would warrant that type of reward.  That, coupled with the fact that Corbin has had a history of injuries, makes the Nats' contract questionable at best.  Sure, Corbin's first start was decent, but it wasn't anything special so the jury is certainly still out.  He will try to take the next step this afternoon against the Mets in New York.  Fellow southpaw Steven Matz goes for the home team and his last start against DC here at Citi Field was one of the strangest results we've seen.  Despite a very strong performance (one run on five hits in seven innings), the Mets lost 15-0.  With an improved bullpen this season, a similar effort today should not be in vain.   Corbin's teams (the D-Backs and Nats) are 13-18 (-7 games on the money line) in his last 31 road starts.  Take the Mets.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Memphis.  This is the first of two back-to-back games played by these teams (they'll meet in Memphis on Sunday).  Dallas comes into tonight's game off an upset home loss to Minnesota.  And they also play with revenge from two losses to the Grizzlies earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with Dallas, as home favorites have cashed 64.7% in the regular season since 1990 when playing with double revenge against a division rival, if our home team is also off an upset home loss.  Take the Mavericks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Washington.  San Antone is locked into a tight battle with the Oklahoma City Thunder for the 7th spot out West.  If the Spurs are to catch the Thunder (they're currently one game behind), then a win tonight is critical.  San Antonio does come into tonight's game off five straight point spread losses.  But the Spurs are 38-20 ATS as road favorites of -10 or less points off 3+ ATS defeats.  Take San Antonio.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks are one of four Eastern Conference teams battling for the last three Playoff spots.  Currently, Orlando, Miami and Brooklyn all have 40 losses, while Detroit has 39.  Thus, tonight's home game vs. Atlanta is huge for Orlando.  The Magic have been dominant at home, as they currently have won eight straight in front of the home faithful (6-2 ATS), including a 7-point win over Golden State, and a double-digit win over these Hawks.  Orlando's 20-12-1 ATS its last 33 at home, and should be fired-up tonight as it will be its final home game of the season.  The Hawks have been awful on the road when playing an opponent in its final home game (4-22 straight-up; 6-17-3 ATS).  Take Orlando.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over DePaul.  The Bulls have covered four straight heading into tonight's game at McGrath-Phillips Arena.  The first two games in this series went down to the wire.  South Florida outlasted DePaul, 63-61, on Monday at Yuengling Center, in Tampa.  Then, on Wednesday, the Blue Demons evened up the series with a 4-point overtime win, here in Chicago.  South Florida, though, covered the closing line of +4.5 (it did open at +3.5, however).  Given the closeness of this series, it's hard to turn down points with the Bulls.  After all, besides its current 4-game ATS win streak, the Bulls have gone 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Blue Demons.  Take South Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Florida Panthers.  The same team that tried to help the Islanders on Monday night will now face them at home in the next-to-last game of the season for both teams.  I say "tried" because, despite the fact that the Panthers beat the first-place Caps here three days ago, the Isles lost that same night at home to the Leafs, 2-1.  So tonight is a must-win situation for the visitors if they are to have any hope of winning the Division (and they will keep their collective eyes on the out-of-town scoreboard as the Caps play the Habs at home at the same time).  In what can only be described as "too little - too late", Florida comes in on a three-game win streak having beaten the Senators, Bruins, and aforementioned Caps, but the Panthers had already been eliminated from post-season contention.  This series has not been kind to the hosts lately as the home team is 1-6 in the last seven meetings of the Isles and Panthers.  Even better for the Isles:  they are 16-7 in their last 23 games after scoring two goals or less in their previous game.  Take New York.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns over Lipscomb.  The #5-seeded Bison have been underdogs (or PK) every step of the way in this NIT Tournament.  And they've been installed as a dog, yet again, in this Championship game.  By my numbers, though, they should be getting 1.5 more points, so the value rests on the side of the Longhorns.  Even worse for Lipscomb:  underdogs have been awful in the NIT Tournament off 3 straight wins as an underdog (or PK), as they've gone 1-6 ATS in that role.  And teams seeded#5 (or worse) are 0-6-1 ATS in the NIT Final Four if they're matched up against a higher-seeded opponent (here, Texas is seeded 2nd).  Finally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 12-3 ATS in the NIT Tournament, at the quarter-final round forward, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when not favored by 4+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over San Antonio.  This is one of the few games left on the NBA schedule where both teams will be well-motivated to win.  San Antonio is in a tight battle with Oklahoma City for the 7th seed, while Denver desperately wants to hang on to the #2 seed.  The home court has been the decisive factor in this series, as the home team has now won nine straight times, including San Antonio's 104-103 victory in the Alamo City on March 4.  The Spurs have also mightily struggled when playing revenge-minded Western Conference teams, and especially if their opponent owned a W/L percentage greater than .440.  Over the last two years, San Antonio is 5-18 straight-up and 6-17 ATS, including 0-9 SU/ATS in the regular season when getting more than 4 points.  Take Denver to blow out the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 2 of the Best-of-3 Championship series of the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over South Florida.  These two schools have a long history against one another, as they were member schools in Conference USA together, and also member schools of the Big East Conference together.  Currently, South Florida is an American Athletic Conference member, so this series was the first time the schools had met since March 2013.  Lately, South Florida has had the upper hand, with nine straight wins (8-0-1 ATS).  But since 1996, the series has been pretty evenly played, with the Bulls holding a 13-11 record (12-11-1 ATS).  The key factor for tonight's game is that the Bulls have been dreadful in the post-season when they've had to play on an opponent's home court.  They've gone 0-8 straight-up and 1-6-1 ATS (with their only ATS win by a single point).  And, yes, it's true that South Florida is 2-0-1 ATS its last three games, while DePaul is 0-2-1 ATS in its last three.  But in post-season tournaments, home teams not off an ATS win in either of their two previous games, have covered 63.1% if they weren't favored by more than 7 points against a foe which didn't fail to cover the spread in either of its two previous games.  Take the Blue Demons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Vancouver Canucks.  Although the Sharks can't catch the Calgary Flames for first place in the Pacific Division, they still are in a battle to hold onto the second-best record in the Western Conference.  San Jose's 97 points coming into tonight is 1 point better than the Jets, who are leading the Central Division.  And this is a position that the Sharks would like to maintain with three games left in the regular season.  Tonight, they head to Vancouver to play the Canucks -- a team they have totally dominated in recent meetings.  In fact, the Sharks are 6-0 in their last six games against Vancouver going back to December of 2017.  They are also 21-8 in the last 29 meetings at Rogers Arena.  The Canucks did beat the Stars, 3-2, in OT in their last game.  But that may not bode well for tonight as they are 6-12 in their last 18 (-6 games on the money line) off of a home win.  They are also 3-9 in their last 12 after an overtime victory.  Take the Sharks.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over TCU.  Both of these teams come into this NIT Semi-Final off 13-point wins.  Texas defeated Creighton, 71-58, while TCU bested Colorado, 68-55.  The Longhorns and Horned Frogs are both Big 12 Conference members, of course.  And the two teams met twice earlier this season, with TCU coming out on top in both games.  However, Texas now falls into several revenge systems of mine, with records of 35-12, 35-18 and 10-0 ATS.  Even better:  TCU is an awful 35-56-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded Conference foe, including 4-16 ATS if the Horned Frogs were off a double-digit win.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks beat the league's #1 team on Sunday, while the Spurs were stunned, 113-106, at home by Sacramento.  I love the Spurs to bounce back this evening, as NBA teams off 7-point (or worse) defeats have gone 115-77, 60% ATS, vs. foes off upset wins over .667 (or better) teams.  San Antonio has also cashed 75% since April 18, 1993 off an upset loss as a double-digit home favorite.  Lay the points with the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Lakers come into tonight's game off back to back wins (and covers) over Charlotte (129-115) and New Orleans (130-102), while the Thunder suffered their biggest upset loss of the season, on Sunday, when they fell to Dallas, as a 12.5-point favorite (106-103).  OKC will once again be favored by double-digits tonight, and I expect a much different result than the last time these two teams met (the Lakers upset OKC, 138-128, on Jan. 17).  First of all, the Lakers are an awful 33-62-4 ATS in the regular season off back to back wins and covers, if their opponent was off a loss.  And, second, the Thunder are 32-15 ATS in the Regular season when playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, if the Thunder owned a winning record.  Lay the points with OKC.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks' injury list is extensive for tonight's game:  Nikola Mirotic (Out), Malcolm Brogdon (Out), Pau Gasol (Out), Donte DiVincenzo (Out), Khris Middleton (Questionable), Tony Snell (Questionable).  They played yesterday in Atlanta (also minus Eric Bledsoe and Giannis Antetokounmpo), and went into overtime in a 136-135 loss.  That sets up Milwaukee in a bad situation tonight, as unrested teams are 25-44 ATS after playing in a high-scoring game (262+ points) the day before.  Certainly, this is a big game for both of these teams, as each is fighting for playoff positions.  But Brooklyn's urgency is a bit greater as it sits just a half-game behind Detroit for 6th, and is in front of Miami by the same amount for the 7th spot.  Milwaukee, meanwhile, still has 3 games of breathing room between it and Toronto for the #1 spot (with just five games to play).  Brooklyn lost at home to these Bucks, 113-94, in their last meeting.  But Brooklyn is 14-1 ATS, including 11-0 ATS its last 11, when playing with revenge and not getting more than 6 points.  Take the Nets.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the New York Islanders.  The Maple Leafs will try to salvage the third game of their 3-game road trip tonight.  They lost at Philadelphia, 5-4, and then lost at Ottawa, 4-2.  The good news for the Leafs is that they've only lost three-in-a-row once this season, as they're a super 11-1 this season when working on a two-game losing streak.  The Islanders, meanwhile, are ripe for a letdown following their back-to-back 5-goal efforts at Winnipeg (5-4) and vs. Buffalo (5-1).  New York's a poor 34-45 (minus 11 games on the money line) after scoring 3+ goals in back to back games.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over Detroit.  The Red Wings come into game off their first home shutout win of the season -- 4-0 vs. New Jersey.  And that was just their 2nd shutout of the season, overall. This is a tough spot for the Red Wings, as they're playing their 3rd game in 4 nights, while Boston has had the last two days off.  Detroit is an awful 1-10 at home when playing its 3rd game in four nights.  And it's also just 24-60 its last 84 divisional contests, and 12-27 after giving up less than two goals in its previous game.  Take Boston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Sacramento.  The Spurs earned a playoff berth last night when Sacramento lost to Houston.  And that moved the Spurs into the NBA record books as they've now made the Playoffs for 22 seasons in a row (tied with the 76ers franchise, 1950-71)!  Tonight, the Spurs will take on Sacramento.  And San Antonio will look to avenge its loss at Sacramento last month.  This is a huge game for the Spurs as they want to win each of their last six games to avoid finishing in 8th place, and drawing the Warriors in the Opening Round.  San Antonio is 48-26 ATS off a win, if it was playing with revenge against an opponent off a loss, and the Spurs weren't favored by 13+ points.  Take San Antonio to blow out the Kings.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Michigan State.  Mike Krzyzewski has owned Tom Izzo, with seven straight wins in this series.  This evening, I look for Duke to rip off its 8th straight win vs. Michigan State.  Yes, it's true that the Spartans come into this game off impressive wins over LSU (80-63) and Minnesota (70-50), while Duke has yet to cover the spread in the Tourney.  But Number 1-seeded teams have covered 68% off back to back ATS losses, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Duke falls into several of my very best systems, with records of 287-191, 32-8 and 164-81 ATS.  Lay the small number with the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers upset Tennessee, in overtime, on Thursday.  Unfortunately, single-digit underdogs (or PK) off upset wins have cashed just 57 of 132 NCAA Tournament games vs. foes off a point spread loss.  And teams off overtime wins are a horrid 29% ATS since 2001, including 9-38 ATS when priced from -3 to +10 points.  Take Virginia.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are off to a 3-0 ATS start to this Tournament.  And they've won each game in blowout fashion, with wins by 15 (Northern Kentucky), 20 (Buffalo) and 19 (Michigan).  Unfortunately, NCAA Tourney teams have cashed just 18.7% over the last 29 years off three ATS wins, if they won those three games by 15+ points.  Take Gonzaga today to blow out Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Philadelphia Flyers.  No team has been as up-and-down this season as the Flyers.  Looking totally lost at some times and like a playoff team at others, the Flyers have pretty much been treading water for the last two months and look to be staying home for the post-season this year.  They somehow managed to beat the Maple Leafs in their last, 5-4, in a shootout.  But the Flyers were just 2-5 in their previous seven games.  The 'Canes did not help their case for a Wild Card spot this past week, losing two straight games.  But those were against the defending Cup Champion Capitals, who are hungry to repeat.  And the Canes did go 4-1 in their previous five, with the only loss coming against the best team in the League (Tampa).  They are no doubt looking forward to their final five games, three of which come against the Flyers (2) and Devils.  The Flyers are just 18-20 away from Philadelphia this season while Carolina is 6-1 in its last seven home games vs. teams with a losing road record.  Take the Hurricanes.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Wildcats have rebounded off their loss to Tennessee in the SEC Conference Tournament with back to back wins (and covers) over Abilene Christian and Wofford.  On Friday, the Wildcats will take on the 33-3 Houston Cougars.  And Kentucky is at its very best in the post-season when matched up against top-level teams with a win percentage of .750 (or better), if Kentucky is not off 3+ ATS wins.  Since 1991, the Wildcats are an awesome 42-14-2 ATS, including 11-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament.  Lay the points with Kentucky.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Oregon.  The Ducks, as a 12 seed, are the lowest seed remaining in this Tourney.  They upset Wisconsin in the first round, and then caught a break by getting to play 13-seed Cal Irvine last Sunday.  Oregon was favored by 4.5 in that game, and won, 73-54.  Unfortunately, Oregon won't be catching a break in the Sweet 16, as they'll have to play the 2nd best team in the Tournament.  And teams seeded #11 (or worse), that won as a favorite in Round 2, are a horrid 0-13 straight up and 3-9-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round.  Admittedly, the Ducks are the hottest team left in the Tournament, with 10 straight wins and covers.  But that's never been a positive indicator in this NCAA Tournament, as teams off 9+ ATS wins have covered just 22% over the past 26 years.  Take Virginia.  NCAA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Florida State.  Number 1 seeds have dominated, lately, in the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 Round.  Over the last four seasons, they've gone 12-0 straight-up, and 10-1-1 ATS.  And, dating back to 1990, #1 seeds, priced from -6 to -10 points, are 37-4 straight-up and 27-13-1 ATS in the Sweet 16.  This is also a huge revenge game for Gonzaga, which lost in last season's Sweet 16 Round to these same Seminoles.  Last season, the Bulldogs were a #4 seed, but they were still favored by 6 over the 9th-seeded Seminoles, who pulled off the upset, 75-60.  However, in the post-season, over the last 18 years, teams playing with revenge from an upset Tourney loss, in which they failed to cover by more than 7 points, have gone 12-0 straight-up and 10-0-2 ATS (including 6 outright upset wins)!   Take Gonzaga to blow out the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Dallas Stars.  With six games to go in the regular season, the Flames are inching ever closer to wrapping up the best record in the West (along with home ice through the Conference Finals).  So it's a bit of a mystery how -- as a huge favorite and riding a three-game win streak -- Calgary managed to get shut out by the Kings in its last game on Monday, 3-0.  About the only thing you can point to is the fact that goalie Mike Smith had been used in three straight games in five days (with a road game in the middle) and simply ran out of gas.  So tonight the Flames will turn to David Rittich and give Smith a much-needed break.  He may be a little-known back-up with just 16 starts under his belt heading into the season, but Rittich has been rock-solid so far for his team with a 26-12 record in his starts with a .911 save pct and 2.63 GAA.  This is a big revenge situation as the Stars have beaten the Flames in both their meetings this season.  The Flames are 12-5 (+ 6 games on the money line) in their last 17 revenging two consecutive losses.  And Dallas is 8-25 (including 1-8 this season) after scoring more than 4 goals in their previous game.  Take Calgary.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Colorado, in the quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament.  The Buffaloes won and covered their first two games in this NIT Tournament.  But both of those were played in Boulder.  This game will be in Austin, Texas.  And Colorado is a horrid 9-27 straight-up and 8-27-1 ATS in its last 36 lined road games, including 2-18 ATS when the Buffaloes owned a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Even worse:  the Buffs are 9-24 ATS off back to back ATS wins, including 1-9 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Big 12 Conference has been strong (8-1 ATS their last nine) in the NIT Tournament, at the quarterfinal round forward.  Take Texas to blow out the Buffaloes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Indiana.  These two teams met 13 days ago in Indianapolis, and the Pacers came away with a 2-point victory, as a 1-point home favorite.  That game kick-started a 1-5 SU/ATS stretch for the Thunder, which reached its lowest point this past Monday when they lost to the woeful Grizzlies, 115-103.  OKC is now in 7th place in the Western Conference.  But I love OKC to bounce back on this Wednesday.  Indiana hasn't been able to beat quality teams on the road this season.  Since December 19, the Pacers are 0-10 straight up and 2-8 ATS on the road vs. foes with a win percentage of .481 (or better).  And OKC is 43-21-2 ATS in the regular season when playing with same-season revenge vs. Eastern Conference foes that won their previous game.  Take the Thunder.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Los Angeles Kings.  For the first 10 years of his career, the Kings' Jonathan Quick was one of the most feared goalies in the league.  Along with dominant numbers, multiple All Star appearances, and numerous individual awards came two Stanley Cup Championships (2012 and 2014).  But to say that Quick has taken a step back this season would be a gross understatement.  His GAA (3.25), and saves percentage (.891) are both career-worsts, and he will finish the season with a losing record for the first time since he became a full-time net-minder in 2008-2009.  It wouldn't be fair to pin all of the fault for L.A.'s lousy season on Quick, but he certainly hasn't helped matters much.  The Oilers looked like they might be a playoff team into early December, but those hopes have since been dashed by their inconsistent play.  The Kings beat the Oilers in the last meeting in L.A., 4-0 but Edmonton is 10-4 (+8 games on the money line) in its last 14 revenging a loss in which it scored one goal or less.  The home team is also 20-7 in the last 27 meetings.  Take the Oilers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Wichita State.  The Shockers will attempt to become the first NIT Tournament team (in the Tourney's 82-year history) to knock off its Region's Top 3 Seeds.  Wichita has already won blowouts at Furman (76-70) and at Clemson (63-55).  Unfortunately for the Shockers, NIT Tourney teams are a soft 34-54 ATS away from home after covering the point spread by 6+ points in each of their previous two games.  Take Indiana to blow out Wichita.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the Boston Bruins.  The Bruins might be almost 20 points behind the Lightning in their division, but they are also likely the second-best team in the Eastern Conference, if not the entire League right now.  And the Bruins would like to show tonight that they can beat the Bolts when they need to.  It might be tempting to assume that the Lightning will spend their remaining regular season games trying to stay healthy without giving a 100% effort since they already have the Presidents Trophy locked up.  But the last thing Tampa wants to do is go into the playoffs on a losing note, especially losing to teams like the Bruins who it may very well see again in May.  Sure, the Bruins are on fire, having won their last three by a combined 17-4.  But two of those were against the Devils and Panthers.  And Tampa poses a much bigger challenge tonight, especially at home.  Amalie Arena has not been kind to the Bruins lately as they are 1-4 in their last five here.  Also, the Bruins are also 1-5 in the last six meetings overall while the favorite is 26-11 in the last 37 meetings.  Take the Lightning.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  The key factor in this game is WVU's home court.  The Mountaineers have been solid over the years in the post-season, when playing at home.  Since 1990, they've cashed 64%, including a perfect 3-0 ATS when laying 9+ points.  Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has been awful in the post-season when playing away from home (8-27 straight-up; 5-10 ATS (with 20 non-lined games).  And when the point spread on the game was in the single-digits (i.e., below 10), then the Chanticleers were 1-7 ATS.  West Virginia blew out Grand Canyon, 77-63, here, at home, in its first round game.  In contrast, Coastal Carolina struggled, somewhat, at home vs. Howard, and failed to cover the 11-point spread in an 81-72 win.  WVU is 48-20-1 ATS at home off a home win, including 19-3 ATS if its opponent failed to cover the point spread in its previous game.  Take the Mountaineers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Buffalo.  The Bulls won the Mid-American Conference this season, and are 30-3 on the year.  But Mid-American Conference teams are an awful 0-11 straight-up and 2-9 ATS as underdogs of +3.5 (or more) points off an NCAA Tournament win.  And MAC Conference teams are also 1-23 straight-up and 5-17-2 ATS vs. Big 12 foes with a win percentage of .800 (or better), including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  We played on the Red Raiders in their Friday victory over Northern Kentucky.  Texas Tech won that game, 72-57, as a 13-point favorite.  And the Red Raiders are now 10-1 straight-up and 9-2 ATS their last 11 games.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago.  The Jazz went into Atlanta on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, but left with their tail between their legs after the Hawks upset them, 117-114, as a 7.5 point underdog.  I look for Quin Snyder's men to bounce back on this Saturday, as they're 19-9 ATS off a loss this season.  Meanwhile, Chicago's an awful 2-10 ATS at home off a win.  Lay the points with Utah.  NBA GAME OF THE WEEK!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Minnesota Wild.  The Wild pulled off an upset Friday night, beating the Defending Cup Champion Capitals in Washington by a 2-1 margin.  Now they head south to Raleigh to face a Canes team that is only two points out of third place in the Metropolitan -- the final guaranteed playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.  So Carolina's backs are against the wall heading into this game having lost its last one by a 6-3 tally on Thursday.  But losing to the Lightning almost doesn't count at this point as the team that has already clinched the President's Trophy is running over every other club in the league right now.  Prior to the loss to the Bolts, Carolina had won four of out five, including victories over the Penguins, Predators, and Avalanche.  The home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings of these two while the favorite is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings as well.  It's true that this is also a revenge situation for the Wild, as they lost 5-4 to Carolina back in October.  But they are just 8-15 in the last 23 (-10 games on the money line) avenging a same season loss.  Take the Canes.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks defeated the Hoosiers by a point earlier this season.  But that game was played in Fayetteville.  On the road, Arkansas has consistently burned money for bettors over the years.  Indeed, the Razorbacks are a miserable 16-33 on the road vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-10 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with Indiana.  High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, on Friday afternoon, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Cal Irvine.  The Wildcats were seeded #1 in their Big 12 Conference tourney, but were bounced out by the Iowa State Cyclones.  They're now seeded 4th in this NCAA Tournament against a 13th-seeded Anteaters squad, which has won 16 straight games.  We'll lay the points with the Wildcats, as NCAA Tourney teams, seeded #4 or #3, that lost as a top 2-seeded team in either the quarter-finals or semi-finals of their conference tourney, have cashed 63.2% since 1990 vs. foes off SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Kansas State falls into my favorite Tourney system which is 155-58 ATS since 1990.  Finally, Big West Conference teams are a horrid 23-52 ATS vs. Big 12 member schools, including 6-25 ATS when priced from -3 to +13 points.  Take Kansas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Phoenix.  The Pistons come into tonight's game vs. the Suns off a road loss, at Cleveland.  But I love Detroit to rebound off that defeat, and blow out the Suns tonight.  Detroit already pounded Phoenix earlier this season, 118-107.  And that was Detroit's fourth straight double-digit win vs. the Suns (by an average of 22.25 ppg).  Even more impressive is the fact that the Pistons are a super 12-1 ATS in their last 13 meetings vs. the Suns.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Syracuse.  Baylor enters this Tournament ice cold, with four straight losses.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Baylor.  But teams off 4+ losses have actually cashed 65.3% over the last 29 years in the post-season (non-conference) tournaments, if they were at home, or on a neutral court.  Moreover, Baylor is a spectacular 57-25-4 ATS off back to back defeats, including 7-0 ATS when priced from PK to +2.5.  And, finally, the Big 12 Conference has dominated the ACC Conference lately, with a 25-7 SU and 23-9 ATS record over the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 11-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4.5 to +3.5 points.  Take Baylor.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie

At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Fairleigh Dickinson.  The Bulldogs were upset by rival St. Mary's to end their West Coast Conference season.  Gonzaga, though, is an awesome 24-2 SU and 16-9 ATS off a loss.  Even better:  #1-seeded teams are a solid 60% in the post-season off an upset loss, if they're playing the 2nd of back to back games away from home.  Take the Zags minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the COLLEGE INSIDER TOURNAMENT, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Buccaneers had covered nine straight games prior to losing to Radford in the semifinals of the Big South Conference tourney.  We'll take the Bucs to bounce back at home tonight vs. the Owls, as the Owls have covered just two of their last 11 post-season games.  Finally, Charleston Southern falls into a 69-27 ATS Tourney system of mine which plays on certain home teams in Conference tourneys.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Murray State.  The Racers upset Belmont in the Championship game of the Ohio Valley Tournament, and are 27-4 this season.  Meanwhile, Marquette was upset by Seton Hall to end its Big East season, and finished with a 24-9 overall record.  Over the last 29 seasons, teams off upset defeats have covered 64.3% vs. .750 (or better) foes off upset wins.  Take Marquette.

At 3:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Belmont.  The Bruins have been a great offensive team this season, as they average 87.2 ppg.  But I believe they'll find it a tad difficult to score against this Maryland club, which gives up just 65.1 ppg.  Even worse:  In the NCAA Tourney, teams seeded #3 (or worse), that average 86+ points per game, are an awful 0-16 ATS as underdogs of less than 12 points (or PK).  Take Maryland.

At 12:40 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Yale.  Yale comes into this game off three straight wins -- over Princeton (twice) and Harvard in the Ivy League title game.  But all three of those games were played on Yale's home court.  And, dating back to 1990, teams that had the benefit of winning their conference tournament on their home court have burned $$$ in their first NCAA tourney game.  Even worse for Yale:  it's a woeful 2-13 ATS as an underdog priced from +4 to +9 points.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Baptist Lancers + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions have been an historically poor traveler, as they've covered just 65 of 155 road games.  That doesn't bode well for them tonight, as a small road favorite.  Even worse:  West Coast Conference teams (like Loyola) are a horrid 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine on the road in the post-season.  Finally, Loyola was upset by Pepperdine, as a 4.5-point favorite in the West Coast Conference tourney.  And road favorites have cashed just 34.3% over the past 29 years in the post-season tournaments off an upset defeat.  Take California Baptist.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Chicago.  The Wizards are mathematically still alive for a Playoff spot, but just barely.  They come into tonight's game off a 21-point loss to Utah, and trail 8th-seeded Miami by 4.5 games with just 11 to play.  That makes tonight's game against the 20-52 Bulls ultra-important.  I fully expect the Wizards to rebound off that blowout loss, as they had covered seven of eight going into that game.  And there's no shame in losing to the Jazz right now, as Utah's won its last four games by 17, 20, 16 and 21 points.  Meanwhile, Chicago is coming off an upset win at Phoenix.  We had a play on Chicago that night, but will go against the Bulls today.  One of my stocks-in-trade is to go against certain bad teams off wins.  The Bulls certainly fit the bill tonight, as they fall into several of my best negative systems, with records of 63-121, 202-317 and 138-233 ATS.  Throw in the fact that Chicago is a miserable 5-14 ATS at home this season vs. other losing teams, and we'll pull the trigger on the Wizards.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Central Michigan. The Blue Demons lost to St Johns, 82-74, to end their Big East season.  That game, however, was played in St. John's home town of New York City.  Tonight's game will be back in Chicago, where the Demons are 12-6 this season.  We'll lay the points, as Mid-American Conference teams are an awful 30-57 ATS as non-conference underdogs away from home, priced from +3 to +5.5 points, including 5-26 ATS their last 31, and 4-16 ATS in the Tournaments.  Additionally, DePaul's cashed 67% as a home favorite in the post-season off a SU loss.  And it also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 135-55 ATS since 1990.  Take DePaul.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers + the points over Southern Mississippi.  Over the last 29 years, there have been 101 home underdogs in the post-season (non-conference) tourneys, and the Lancers are the only double-digit home underdog among them.  Over the last five seasons, home dogs in these tournaments have cashed 63.8%, and we'll grab the points with Longwood tonight.  The Lancers fall into 67-27 and 17-0 ATS tourney systems of mine.  Meanwhile, Southern Miss is a poor 2-9 SU and 3-7-1 ATS on the road in the post-season, including 0-5 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Longwood.

At 9:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Temple.  Belmont falls into an NCAA Tourney systems, which is 62-30 ATS.  That angle plays on certain teams off a double-digit loss (Belmont fell to Murray State, 77-65, to end its season).  But before that defeat, Belmont had won its previous 14 games (10-2-2 ATS)!  I won't step in front of Belmont tonight, given the short price, as .833 (or better) NCAA Tourney teams have cashed 69 percent as favorites of -8 or less points, if they were off a loss to end their season.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Utah Valley.  The Matadors are double-digit underdogs this evening, and it's hard to turn down that many points with a team which was 16-4-1 ATS as an underdog/PK this season (and 20-7-2 ATS, overall).  Northridge also falls into a 100% Perfect, 16-0 ATS Tourney system of mine.  Take the points with the Matadors.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over South Dakota State.  Texas ended its season with losses in five of its last six games.  One problem for the Longhorns was that their leading scorer, Kerwin Roach II (14.7 ppg), missed five of those six games due to suspension.  But he returned for Texas' final Big 12 game of the season -- a 65-57 loss to Kansas in the quarterfinals.  The NIT Tournament committee seeded Texas #2 in its region, so it will start this tourney at home, in Austin.  And the Longhorns won 12 of their 18 home games this season.  That bodes well for Texas tonight, as home teams have cashed 78% in the post-season tourneys since 1991 if they owned a .666 (or better) home W/L percentage, and lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Detroit Red Wings.  The road has been a tough place lately for the Rangers as they have been away for six of their last seven, losing all six.  Their lone home game during that period was a 4-2 victory over the Devils.  The Rangers aren't going anywhere come playoff time but they're still a dangerous team at home.  After losing four in a row and 12 of their last 13, the Red Wings somehow managed a win over the Islanders on Saturday, 2-1.  But Detroit is 2-7 in the last nine trips to MSG and the home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings, so the Wings success could be short-lived as they try to beat the odds tonight on the road.  And that's the other problem as Detroit has won just 11 times in 33 games away from home.  Another issue for the Wings tonight is injuries.  While New York is close to 100% healthy, Detroit has a list of walking wounded.  Finally, the Red Wings are a wallet-busing 11-27 (-17 games on the money line) in their last 38 after not allowing 2+ goals in their previous game.  Take New York.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials over Cornell.  This game will be played in Coraopolis, PA, where Robert Morris was 12-3 SU and 8-5 ATS this season.  Cornell, meanwhile, won just six of its 17 games away from home.  And it lost its last four road games by 24, 23, 18 and 9 points.  Yet the Big Red have been installed as a road favorite.  We'll go against Cornell, as road favorites have covered just 10 of 34 games to open a post-season tournament.  Take Robert Morris.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the San Jose Sharks over the Vegas Golden Knights.  With a seven point lead over the fourth-place Coyotes, the Golden Knights have a pretty good hold on the last guaranteed playoff spot from the Pacific Division.  Still, despite a successful (i.e., winning) season, this year's version of the Knights appears to fall far short of the one which went all the way to the Finals less than 12 months ago.  The Sharks, on the other hand, stand an excellent chance of eclipsing their wins and point total from last season and reaching the century mark for the second straight year.  San Jose would like to be this year's Vegas, and make it all the way to the Finals for what would be its second time in the last four seasons.  Vegas won at home last night, but they are just a .500 team on the road this season (18-18).  Even worse for Vegas:  this will be the sixth time this season that it had to go on the road as an underdog after playing the previous day.  And Vegas has gone 0-5 in the five previous games, while being outscored in those games, 22-8.  Finally, the fact that the Sharks have allowed four goals in each of their last two games (vs. the Panthers and Predators) has triggered a team situation which is 75%, as the Sharks are 18-6 (+12 games on the money line) after allowing four or more goals in two straight.  Take San Jose.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls + the points over Phoenix.  The Suns won their last game -- at New Orleans -- but are just 17-54 on the season.  And I love playing against certain bad teams off wins.  Phoenix, tonight, certainly fits the bill, as they fall into a negative 36-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain .333 (or worse) teams off a win.  The Suns are a poor 1-8 ATS at home their last nine after back to back road games.  And they're 9-21 ATS at home off a point spread win.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Golden State.  Gregg Popovich's crew is currently the hottest team in the NBA, with eight straight wins.  And they're now within shouting distance of a top 4 seed (and home court advantage) in the first round of the NBA Playoffs.  As things currently stand, San Antone is in 6th place in the West, but just a half-game ahead of the eighth-seeded Clippers, so each game has significant importance to the team.  Tonight, the Spurs will welcome the West's best team, the 47-21 Warriors, to the Alamo City.  When these two teams last met, Golden State ran the Spurs out of the gym, with a 141-102 cakewalk.  I look for the Spurs to avenge that defeat, as they're a perfect 17-0 ATS at home vs. foes with a .600 to .750 win percentage, if the Spurs were playing with revenge from a loss by more than 21 points.  Take San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Minnesota.  James Harden will likely suit up tonight, per his coach, Mike D'Antoni.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Houston in this important game.  The Rockets have lost the last two meetings to the T-Wolves but are 13-4 ATS their last 17 when playing with double revenge.  And they also fall into a great 67-35 ATS Revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 3:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Cincinnati.  These two teams met just seven days ago in Cincinnati, and the Cougars blew out the Bearcats, 85-69.  And Houston also won the first meeting, 65-58, at home.  That bodes well for Houston this afternoon vs. the 27-6 Bearcats, as College Basketball underdogs of +1.5 (or more) points, with a win percentage greater than .700, have cashed just 35 of 97 times when playing with double-revenge.  Take the Cougars minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the New Jersey Devils.  The Devils' six-game road trip comes to an end this afternoon in Denver.  The good news for them is that after today, six of their final nine games are at home.  New Jersey's road record this season is atrocious at 10-27 -- the second-worst in the league.  And Colorado has not been friendly to them as the Devils are 1-6 in the last seven meetings here and 4-11 in the last 15 meetings altogether.  Already eliminated from playoff contention, it's been a lost season for New Jersey, with injuries to the roster almost too numerous to mention heading into the final weeks.  The Avs almost certainly will be staying home in mid-April as well, despite some of the most talented offensive players in the league.  A recent upper body injury to All Star winger Gabriel Landeskog has doomed them, but the Avs still have enough fire power to handle the Devils.  Colorado won the the only other meeting this season on October 18 and the Devils are 5-18 in the last 23 (-13 games on the money line) revenging a same season loss vs. an opponent.  Take the Avs.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia St. Panthers minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mavericks have won and covered five straight games, heading into this Championship round match.  They've been installed as an underdog vs. the Panthers, who defeated them in each of the two regular season meetings this season (63-58; 77-71).  And it's actually the 3rd straight Tournament game in which Texas Arlington has been the underdog.  That doesn't bode well for them this afternoon, as Sun Belt Conference teams have cashed just once in 10 Title games when they were off an upset win in the Semi-Finals (and their foe was not).  Take Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over Oregon.  The Ducks won and covered for the 7th straight time last night when they stormed back in the 2nd half and won in overtime vs. the Utah Utes.  But off that overtime win, we will fade the Ducks tonight.  One reason is Oregon's long ATS win streak.  And the Ducks fall into a negative 29-79 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on long point spread win streaks.  Additionally, Washington falls into 41-5, 63-27 and 56-18 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in the Conference tourneys with stellar records (the Huskies have won 17 of 20 Pac-12 Conference games this season, and earned the #1 seed in the Tournament).  Finally, Washington is 24-15-1 ATS in its last 40 Pac-12 Conference games, and Top 2-seeded teams have cashed 19 of their last 24 Pac-12 Tourney games (including 9-0 ATS when priced from +2 to -4.5 points).  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs over Portland.  Both of these teams played last night, and each put another game into the win column.  The Spurs were at home, and notched their seventh straight win with a blowout of New York.  Meanwhile, Portland went into the Big Easy, and defeated New Orleans, 122-110.  The Spurs have an advantage tonight due to Portland's travel situation.  And San Antone is also a super 94-56-2 ATS vs. unrested foes, including 7-0 ATS their last seven.  Take the Spurs minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons moved into this Mid-American Conference Championship round game with wins over Ball State and and Northern Illinois.  This will be a much taller task for Bowling Green, as #1-seeded Buffalo is on an 11-game win streak.  Even worse:  Mid-American Conference underdogs of +4 (or more) points, with a .636 (or better) conference win percentage, have gone 99-151 ATS, if they were off a win vs. a conference foe in their previous game.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  Any hope that the Bruins had of catching the Atlantic Division-leading Lightning just went out the window with a three game losing streak.  Boston is now 19 points behind Tampa and hoping to hold on to second place with the Toronto Maple Leafs hot on the trail.  The good news for tonight is that the Bruins are back home after losing those three on the road, as Boston is 27-7-3 at the TD Garden this season.  The bad news is that after tonight, seven of the Bruins last 10 games are on the road.  This is a revenge situation, as one of those three losses was in Columbus on Tuesday when the Jackets blitzed the Bruins, 7-4.  Boston is 6-3 in its last nine games when revenging a blowout loss by an opponent of three or more goals.  This has also been a very host-friendly series lately as the home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings of these two.  Boston is also 21-10 (+ 8 games on the money line) in its last 31 after playing three consecutive road contests.  Take the Bruins.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie. 

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Seton Hall.  This is a big revenge game for the Wildcats, who lost to the Pirates in their final regular season game.  The Wildcats are a super 67% ATS as a favorite in the post-season since 1990 when playing with revenge.  And they're also 21-6 ATS off a point spread defeat.  With the Wildcats in off an ATS loss to Xavier yesterday, we'll lay the points with the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones + over Kansas.  The Cyclones play this game with revenge from an 80-76 loss at Kansas, on January 21.  And Iowa State is 53-26-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss on the road earlier in the season (including 13-6 in the Tournament).  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Diego St.  The Aztecs pulled off a big upset last night when they defeated top-seeded Nevada.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams have cashed just 14% when matched up against .813 (or better) teams after upsetting the top seed in the Semi-Final round.  Take Utah St.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers over Texas State.  The Panthers come into this afternoon's game on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak.  And they also play with revenge from a 13-point home defeat to the Bobcats back on January 24.  Georgia State is an awesome 31-14-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 5-0 ATS their last five, and 15-3 ATS when the point spread was 6 points or less.  And the Panthers also fall into 44-7 and 58-20 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine that play on certain teams that covered the spread by 8+ points in their previous game.  Finally, the Panthers have an advantage today in that they received a "bye" into this semi-final round, while the Bobcats had to play yesterday.  And, since 2007, teams that received a bye into the semi-finals have covered 70% of the time vs. unrested foes off a quarter-final round win.  Take Georgia State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies over Fresno State.  The Aggies are 25-6 this season, and have won their last eight games in a row.  It's true that they failed to cover last night as a double-digit favorite.  However, the price is much cheaper tonight.  There's no way I will step in front of this freight train, and especially not in this price range.  Indeed, over the last 25 years, the Aggies have cashed 68% in the Conference Tourney when the line was 8 points or less, including 11-0 ATS its last 11 if Utah State was off a point spread defeat.  Take the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Iowa.  We played on the Hawkeyes last night, and were rewarded with a blowout win over Illinois.  The Hawkeyes now will try to upset a Wolverines team which was defeated by Michigan State, 75-63, in its final regular season game.  Michigan, though, is a spectacular 70-27 SU and 61-32-1 ATS off a loss, including 11-1 ATS its last 12.  Take Michigan minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Volunteers were upset on the road by Auburn to end their regular season.  I fully expect the Vols to rebound tonight, as top 3-seeded SEC Conference teams have cashed 75% in the Tourney over the past 29 years if they were upset in their final regular season game.  Lay the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers stunned the 2nd-seeded Texas Tech Red Raiders last night.  But it's "out of the frying pan, and into the fire" for the Mountaineers, as they will now have to face the 3rd-seeded Jayhawks.  And Kansas has generally destroyed its opponents when such foes were off an upset Tourney win, in which they covered the point spread by double-digits.  Since 1992, the Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Dallas Stars.  If the Golden Knights are going to make it back to the Stanley Cup Finals, they're going to have to get over two big hurdles -- the Flames and Sharks.  Calgary and San Jose are both double-digit points ahead of the Knights as of this writing.  The Flames just showed how dominant they can be, when they beat the Knights, 6-3, last Sunday to snap the Knights' six-game win streak.  The good news for Vegas tonight is that it will have had four days of rest coming in and it is 11-5 in its last 16 when playing on three or more days off.  The Stars have won their last two -- both on the road -- against the the Sabres and Wild, but they've struggled against Vegas, losing four of the five games that have been played between the two, including the last three.  The Knights are also 25-15 (+ 10 games on the money line) immediately following a road loss.  Take Vegas.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  Avery Johnson's Crimson Tide upset Ole Miss last night to advance to this quarterfinal round game.  And they also upset Kentucky when the two teams last met in January.  The Wildcats, meanwhile, lost against the spread vs. Florida to end their regular season.  But we'll lay the points with Kentucky tonight, as SEC Conference teams have covered 75% over the last 29 years in the Tourney, if they were off an ATS loss, and favored against a team which defeated it in the season's previous meeting.  Even better:  the Wildcats are 34-16 ATS in the post-season off a point spread defeat.  This will be a rout.  Take Kentucky minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over SMU.  The Bearcats are 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.  And they also lost their last two games, both straight-up and ATS, to end their regular season.  So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Cincy, and on the Mustangs, who won and covered their last two games.  But since 1990, Tourney teams seeded #2 or better have covered 79% if they lost their two previous games SU/ATS while their opponent won their two previous games SU/ATS.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Central Michigan.  The 18th-ranked Bulls failed to cover the point spread in their last four regular season games.  But they bounced back in a big way yesterday with a blowout win (82-46) over Akron to kick off what they hope will be a run to the MAC Conference Tournament Championship.  This evening, they will look to make it two-in-a-row, and they'll battle the Chippewas, who upset Kent State yesterday.  The Chips are also on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  However, double-digit underdogs off an upset Conference Tourney win (and off 3 SU/ATS wins, overall), have covered just 35% of Conference Tourney games since 1990.  Take Buffalo.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over South Alabama.  The eighth-seeded Jaguars upset Louisiana-Lafayette last night, while Texas State was upset, on the road, by Texas Arlington to end its regular season.  The good news, though, for the Bobcats is that teams off upset road losses have covered 73% since 1990 vs. 8th-seeded (or worse) foes off an upset Tourney win.  Take Texas State.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Illinois.  The Hawkeyes come into this game on an 8-game point spread losing streak.  And they've also lost their last four games straight-up.  Still, Iowa throttled Illinois earlier this season, 95-71, as a 9-point home favorite.  I don't foresee much changing tonight, given that Illinois had to go to overtime to win last night, 74-69 in its Tourney opener vs. Northwestern.  Illinois is a poor 7-23 ATS off a win, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Iowa falls into 59-26, 85-45 and 18-6 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a string off losses.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Kansas.  Texas stumbled down the stretch with back to back losses, 70-51 at Texas Tech and 69-56 at home (as a 7-point favorite) vs. TCU.  However, Texas is a super 45-23-1 ATS off a home defeat, including 3-0 ATS in the Tourneys, and 16-3 ATS if they lost their previous game by more than 10 points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Southern Utah. The Bears were stunned, 89-78, as a 13-point home favorite by Northern Arizona in their final regular season game.  Off that horrible game, we will back Northern Colorado to bounce back this evening.  Generally speaking, teams off double-digit losses as double-digit favorites do bounce back in their next game, including 141-106, 57% ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points with the Bears.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners over UAB.  The Roadrunners were blown out, 81-48, by Southern Mississippi to end their regular season.  Off that debacle, we'll play on UTSA this evening.  One reason I am not unnerved by that 33-point loss is that the Roadrunners were great against the point spread this season, with a 16-9 ATS record.  And NCAA teams with a winning ATS record have cashed 57% ATS in the Conference Tourneys off a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  UTSA also falls into 21-1, 45-10 and 47-18 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Roadrunners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs over Louisiana Tech.  Old Dominion comes into this game off back to back upset losses.  Still, ODU was 13-5 in Conference USA play this season.  And teams with a .601 (or better) conference W/L percentage have covered 67% since 1990 in the Conference Tourneys, if they were off back to back upset losses. Take Old Dominion.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Indiana.  Ohio State has dropped its last three games, including an overtime heartbreaker on Sunday vs. Wisconsin.  The good news for the Buckeyes this afternoon is that they will be playing an Indiana team off a 16-point home blowout of Rutgers (and an 18-point road win at Illinois two games back).  Why is this good?  Because Indiana is an awful 33-55 ATS away from home after covering the spread in back to back games.  And it's 0-8 ATS away from home after winning its previous game by 15+ points.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Providence.  The #1-seeded Wildcats were upset in their final regular season game -- 79-75 at Seton Hall.  We'll take the 'Cats to bounce back this afternoon, as teams off upset losses away from home to end the regular season have rebounded to cover the spread 59% of the time in the Conference Tourney.  Even better:  Villanova won both meetings this season vs. Providence, including an 18-point blowout on Feb. 13.  Take Villanova.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Oregon.  Wazzu has lost five straight games -- both SU and ATS -- while Oregon has won and covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Cougars.  But I have a great 39-9 ATS system, as well as a 26-3 ATS angle, that both play on certain teams off 5 straight losses (and 3 straight ATS losses).  The Cougars are also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 post-season games.  Take Washington State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Suns were a 17-point road underdog on Sunday night, in Oakland.  And they had lost 18 straight games to Golden State going into that game.  But they pulled the biggest upset in the NBA in over 3 years (and equaled the biggest ROAD upset in almost 21 years) when they won outright, 115-111.  Faithful followers, though, know that I love going against bad teams off wins.  And Phoenix -- with a 16-52 record -- certainly fits the bill.  Tonight, the Suns have been installed as a single-digit home underdog vs. Utah.  And that doesn't bode well for them, as they've lost by double-digits to the Jazz in each of the last four meetings, including identical 116-88 scores in each of the last two meetings!  It's true that Utah has stumbled to the eighth seed in the current race for a Western Conference playoff berth.  The good news for Utah, though, with respect to tonight's game is that it's 20-10 off an ATS loss this season, while Phoenix is 9-20 ATS at home off an ATS win.  And the Jazz are also 83-53 ATS in the regular season as a favorite off an upset loss at home.  And they've cashed 75% over the past 21 years as a rested road favorite of -7+ points off a loss.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Florida International.  This is a rematch of a game played four days ago on the Panthers home court.  Florida International did win that home game, 73-58.  But that sets up North Texas to get revenge today, as teams off a SU/ATS road loss in their final regular season game have covered 57% of the time when they're matched up against the very same foe in the Conference tourney.  Take North Texas.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Pittsburgh.  After losing 13 straight games (both SU and ATS) - which was the first time it has happened in the 29 years my database covers (and maybe the first time ever) - the Panthers have ripped off 2 straight wins and covers.  We actually played on Pitt in the first of those two wins (against Notre Dame), though we laid off yesterday's game vs. Boston College.  We won't lay off tonight's game, though, as Syracuse falls into an 85-47 ATS system of mine, based on its 67-55 loss to Clemson on Saturday.  And it's also 7-1 ATS off a double-digit loss this season.  Additionally, Syracuse has defeated Pitt four straight times.  And the Panthers are a poor 5-13 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  Take Syracuse.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Chicago Blackhawks.  Considering they went 9-23 in their first 32 games of the season, the fact that the Blackhawks are now 30-30-9 doesn't seem so bad.  In fact the Hawks are on a three-game win streak heading into this match-up in Toronto tonight.  But those three victories have come against the Sabres (in OT), Stars, and Coyotes -- three teams with a combined record of 101-107.  The Leafs set a franchise record with 105 points last season, and with 13 games to go in the regular season, they only need to go 8-5 in order to match that number.  The difference is that they finished first in the Division in 2018, but will do no better than second -- and might even finish in third -- thanks to a very tough couple of teams in the Bruins and Lightning.  And speaking of Tampa, the Bolts just had their way with Toronto, beating the Leafs 6-2 in their last game on Monday.  That defeat bodes well for the Leafs tonight as they are 18-3 (+14 games on the money line) in their last 21 coming off of a loss to a Division rival by two or more goals.  Take Toronto.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders have dropped four straight games heading into this Atlantic 10 Tourney.  But Fordham hasn't done much better, with losses in five of its last six games (and 16 of its last 19).  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as favorites on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks have cashed 71% of Tournament games provided they weren't upset in their previous game.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the San Jose Sharks.  The two division leaders in the West face off tonight in a crucial game with only three weeks to go in the regular season.  Winnipeg will likely be happy to get back to inter-conference play after an eastern road trip that saw them go 2-2.  They lost the last game of that trip on Sunday, 3-1, but there's no shame in losing a close game in DC to the defending Champion Capitals right now.  The Sharks, meanwhile, are on a five game win streak, but three of those five have come against the Avs, Blackhawks, and Wild -- all teams with losing records.  And four of the five were played in San Jose where the Sharks have an incredible 25-5-5 record compared to one that is barely over .500 on the road (19-14-3).  That's a similar situation to the Jets, who have been dominant here at Bell MTS Place (22-8-4).  The Jets have taken three of the last four meetings with the Sharks, with their lone loss coming in OT (3-2) in the last one on February 5.  The Jets are also 45-29 (+13 games on the money line) in their last 74 games revenging a same-season loss.  Take Winnipeg.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Fighting Irish are currently riding a 7-game losing streak, as they haven't won since February 10.  And their opponent on that day?  These Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.  Notre Dame won that game, 69-59.  And we'll look for the Irish to defeat Georgia Tech once again on this Tuesday afternoon, as favorites on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks have cashed 70% of Tournament games provided they weren't upset in their previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the NY Rangers.  We played against Edmonton here, at home, on Saturday, and got the $$$ when Toronto came into Rogers Place, and defeated the Oilers, 3-2.  But we'll switch gears and take Edmonton tonight, as it will be facing a Rangers team which has lost six of its last seven games (and 21 of its last 31).  Even worse for New York:  it lost, 2-1, earlier this season at Madison Square Garden to Edmonton.  And it's a poor 30-48, -17 games on the money line, when playing with revenge from an earlier loss in the season.  The Oilers are just 7 points away from the Playoff Picture at the moment so, with 14 games to go, there's still an opportunity in front of them, if they can string some wins together.  Take the Oilers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Vegas.  The Golden Knights had to play last night.  And, although they won, 6-2, at Vancouver, they'll be hard-pressed to duplicate that feat tonight.  Indeed, this will be the fifth time this season that Vegas has had to go on the road as an underdog after playing the previous day.  And Vegas went 0-4 in the four previous games, while being outscored in those games, 16-5.  In contrast, Calgary will be playing tonight's game after having the two previous days off.  Take the Flames to blow out Vegas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pepperdine.  The Dons have dropped three straight games.  But this losing streak has triggered several of my best systems, with records of 89-41, 75-35 and 237-163.  Moreover, in the West Coast Conference Tournament, teams off 3 ATS losses have covered 75% of the time, including a perfect 7-0 ATS when favored by more than a point.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over LSU.  The Commodores were blitzed, 84-48, as a 1.5-point home underdog vs. Arkansas.  The good news is that SEC Conference teams have generally rebounded off horrible losses, as they've cashed 77% as underdogs in Conference games off a loss where they failed to cover by 30+ points.  Take Vanderbilt + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over Furman.  The Bears suffered their worst Southern Conference defeat as NC Greensboro blew them out by 27 points last Saturday.  But we'll grab the points with Mercer, as losing teams, off a double-digit SU/ATS loss (and 2 SU/ATS losses, overall), have cashed 78.5% since 1990 in the Tourneys vs. winning teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Mercer.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Edmonton Oilers.  The Oilers' current winning streak is tied for their longest of the season at four games.  But three of those four were against the likes of the Sabres, Senators, and Canucks, three losing teams with a combined record of 81-122.  So they take a big step up in class tonight against a Maple Leafs team that is 41-21-5 and also a team that just pounded the Oilers on February 27, 6-2 in Toronto.  It doesn't appear that the Oilers will have much -- if any -- of a home ice advantage tonight.  The Oilers are just 15-17 at Rogers Place.  But more important is the fact that the Leafs are sporting one of the best road records in the league at 20-9-4.  And even more dominant is Toronto's 11-3 record in its last 14 games as a heavy road favorite and the fact that the Oilers are 1-6 in their last seven games as a home underdog.  Finally, the Leafs are 32-17 (+10 games on the money line) in their last 49 games when playing on two days of rest, including 8-1 their last nine on the road.  Take Toronto.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State.  These two teams just met seven days ago, and Western Illinois lost by 20, 86-66.  But we'll take the double-digit underdog in this re-match, as underdogs have covered a solid 58.4% in the Summit League Tourney.  The Leathernecks also fall into 75-35 and 84-46 ATS systems of mine.  Take Western Illinois.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over North Carolina.  UNC went into Durham, and routed the Blue Devils, 88-72, in late February.  But we'll grab the points with Duke in this rematch, as the revenging team in this series has covered 10 straight away from home if it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Duke.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers + the points over Drake.  The Panthers have been a consistently good tournament team over the years, and especially when they owned a winning Missouri Valley Conference record.  Since 1994, they've cashed 71.4% in this role.  Northern Iowa has also dominated the Bulldogs, as they've gone 39-18-3 ATS in the series, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 off a game in which they covered by 6+ points.  Take Northern Iowa.