Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Illinois State.  The Aces come into tonight's game off back to back blowout losses to Bradley (79-47) and Loyola-Chicago (77-48), and have won just 4 of 16 games.  Meanwhile, Illinois State is 9-9, and has covered 6 of 7.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against Evansville tonight, especially given the single-digit point spread.  But NCAA teams off back to back 25-point (or worse) losses have covered 72 of 115 vs. .500 (or better) foes, when our 'play-on' team (here, Evansville) wasn't getting 10+ points.  That bodes well for Evansville tonight.  As does the fact that it's 11-3-1 ATS at Illinois State, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Evansville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Waves have dropped 4 straight games (both SU and ATS) and fall into a 429-239 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Loyola did win its previous game -- 70-58 vs. Portland -- also here, at home.  But Loyola is a poor 7-16 ATS its last 23, and 55-76-4 ATS its last 135 off a home win.  And it's 15-31 ATS in this series.  Take Pepperdine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Long Beach State 49ers over UC San Diego.  The Tritons have lost 3 straight games (both SU and ATS), and have been installed as a home dog vs. Long Beach.  We'll take the Beach, as they're 23-7 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. foes off back to back losses, including 11-1 ATS if Long Beach was off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Beach.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies over Boise St.  The Aggies have lost 3 straight, and failed to cover their last two, including a 61-54 defeat at Fresno on Tueday.  But Utah State is back home in Logan tonight, where it has gone 29-3 SU and 18-9 ATS off a point spread defeat (including 9-0 SU and 7-1 ATS since Jan 11, 2020).  Take the Aggies.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Idaho.  The Bears were upset by Sacramento State, 85-71, in their last game.  We'll lay the points tonight with Northern Colorado, as it's 11-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, including 9-0 ATS its last nine.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls State Colonels minus the points over Northwestern State.  Nicholls State was upset by New Orleans, 78-66, in its last game.  And that was its second straight defeat.  But the Colonels are 6-1 ATS off back to back conference losses.  And they also fall into 104-67 and 77-35 ATS systems of mine based on their 2-game losing streak.  Take the Colonels.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over Oral Roberts.  North Dakota falls into a 209-105 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  And the Fighting Hawks have dropped six straight games.  But they played well in defeat in their last game -- a 5-point home loss, as a 9-point home dog.  We took North Dakota in that game, and will take them again tonight at Oral Roberts which has won five straight.  But the Golden Eagles are a poor 0-4 ATS their last four (and 10-24 ATS their last 34) at home off back to back wins.  And they're 7-16 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  Take the Fighting Hawks + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Phoenix.  Both teams enter tonight's game is superb form.  Dallas has won 10 of 11 (and has gone 8-3 ATS), while Phoenix has won 7 of 8 (6-1-1 ATS).  This is the 3rd meeting of the season between these two teams.  Dallas lost the first two (both at Phoenix), but covered the point spread in each game.  We'll take Dallas tonight, as it's 90-46-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with double-revenge, if it's matched up against an opponent off a straight-up win.  With the Suns in off a 14-point win at San Antone, we'll go against Phoenix, and take Dallas + the points tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Buffalo Sabres.  Dallas will be looking to snap a 3-game slide tonight, after a 5-3 home loss to Montreal on Tuesday.  We'll take Dallas on the road, as it's 101-78 (+19 games on the moneyline) off 3+ losses.  And it's 113-75 (+29.2 games on the moneyline) off a home loss by 2+ goals.  Meanwhile, the Sabres won on the road, 3-1, against Ottawa, on Tuesday.  Unfortunately, Buffalo is a woeful 20-35 off a win.  Even worse:  this will be the Sabres' 3rd game in four nights, and 6th game in 10 nights.  And Buffalo's 11-31 when playing at least 6 games over a 10-day stretch.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

>At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over SMU.  Memphis returns home tonight off back to back upset road losses against UCF and East Carolina.  We'll lay the points with Penny Hardaway's men, as they're 30-13 ATS off back to back conference defeats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Florida International.  The Panthers were blown out, 50-39, at Middle Tennessee on Saturday.  And that was Florida International's 3rd straight double-digit loss.  We'll fade the Panthers tonight, as they are 1-9 ATS off a double-digit loss.  And they're 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS their last 11 vs. the Thundering Herd.  Take Marshall.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Purdue.  The Hoosiers will desperately want to get back into the win column in this Hoosier State rivalry, as they've lost nine straight to the Boilers.  We'll play against Purdue off its road upset win at Illinois, as it's 10-34 ATS when favored away from home off a win, if its foe was playing with revenge.  Take Indiana + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Colorado State.  The Rams are 13-1 after a blowout win at San Jose State on Saturday.  They're back home to face a Lobos squad in off four straight losses, and one which they beat by 14 and 33 points in the last two meetings.  This is a classic letdown spot, and we'll grab the double digits with the Mountain West road underdog, as Mountain West dogs of more than 13 points have gone 101-56 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back wins.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Auburn.  The Tigers have ripped off 13 straight wins (and six straight covers) to move to 16-1 on the season.  They're now favored north of 20 points against an SEC rival.  We'll take the points with the Bulldogs, as SEC Conference underdogs of more than 14 points have covered over 72% (50-19-1 ATS) of regular season SEC games if they weren't off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent owned an .888 (or better) win percentage.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Oklahoma City.  San Antone will play tonight's game with revenge from a loss at OKC earlier this season.  And the Spurs are 34-14 ATS at home in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Illinois State.  Missouri State fell, 79-74, as a 6-point road favorite at Illinois State earlier this season.  But that upset defeat has triggered a very good 161-90 ATS revenge system of mine.  Even worse for the Redbirds:  they upset Bradley, 74-65, as a home dog in their last game.  Unfortunately, they're 1-10-1 ATS their last 12 off a conference win.  Take Missouri State minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU.  The Cowboys will be seeking revenge tonight from a pair of losses last season to the Horned Frogs.  And we'll look for them to get their revenge, as TCU is an awful 12-30 ATS as underdogs on the conference road, when it owned a winning record and its opponent was playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cowboys upset Baylor as a 14-point road underdog in their last game.  And home teams off upset wins as a 14-point (or greater) underdog, have covered 64.7% as a favorite vs. foes also off a win.  Take Oklahoma State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Arizona Coyotes.  If the Coyotes could play the Canadiens every night, they might be able to manage a .500 record.  Arizona took its 8-24-4 record into Monday's game with the Habs and came away with a 5-2 victory.  That's the good news for the visitors coming into this game.  The bad news is that on only one other occasion this season when the Coyotes got the W did they manage to come back and win the next time out (against seven defeats).  Tonight they travel to the Meadowlands where the Coyotes have not had much success lately.  A healthy Arizona club would likely still be an underdog tonight, but the current roster is anything but healthy right now.  There are at least four skaters and one goalie (Scott Wedgewood) out on COVID protocol and another five skaters and one goalie (Carter Hutton) out with various injuries.  The Coyotes are 8-20 in their last 28 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents as well as 3-9 in the last 12 meetings with the Devils and 1-5 in the last six here at Prudential Center.  Take New Jersey.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Beacons + the points over Northern Iowa.  Valpo was blown out here at home, 74-57, by Missouri State in its last game.  But the Beacons are 58-33 ATS off a double digit loss.  Moreover, Valpo lost at Northern Iowa, 92-65, earlier this month.  But Missouri Valley Conference teams are 139-92 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 17 points, provided they weren't favored by more than 3 points in the current game.  Take Valpo + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners minus the points over Cal Poly SLO.  Bakersfield comes into tonight's game off back to back losses, and will host the 4-10 Mustangs on Tuesday night.  And the Mustangs are a horrid 17-46 ATS when facing opponents off back to back losses.  Take Cal State Bakersfield minus the points.

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over the Vancouver Canucks.  Like some other teams from up north, the Canucks have had a slew of home games postponed due to COVID and the Canadian attendance restrictions.  In fact, Vancouver hasn't played a home game in over a month as its last time hosting was on December 14.  Tonight will be the Canucks ninth straight road contest, and they've actually done okay away from home, going 4-4.  They broke a three game losing streak on Sunday afternoon when they caught a flat Caps team coming off a road game 24 hours earlier.  But now it's the Preds who come in off a three game swoon, having lost to the Sabres, Bruins, and Blues -- the latter being last night.  With the quick turnaround and regular goalie Juuse Saros having played on Monday, Nashville will turn to capable back-up David Rittich tonight.  Rittich has only lost once in regulation coming in and all six of his games so far have been on the road.  The Canucks are 2-5 in the last seven meetings in Nashville.  Take the Predators.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders were upset at home, 87-84, by Davidson on Friday.  We'll look for Richmond to rebound on the road tonite, as it's 12-4 ATS as a road favorite vs. foes with a winning ATS record.  Meanwhile, the Rams are a wallet-breaking 16-42 ATS at home vs. conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take Richmond minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks over Ohio.  The Bobcats are in the midst of an 8-game win streak, and are unbeaten in Mid-American Conference play, at 4-0.  And they've also won 4 straight in this series.  Still, we will go against the hot Bobcats, as they fall into a negative 35.9% ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams undefeated in conference play.  Additionally, Miami is a strong 77-49-3 ATS at home if it wasn't favored by more than 2 points.  Take Miami.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Ohio State.  For the Buckeyes, this non-conference home game vs. the Jaguars is sandwiched between two Big 10 Conference home games vs. Penn State and Nebraska.  We will fade the Buckeyes, as Big 10 home favorites of -8 (or more) points are a woeful 26.6% ATS since 1990 in regular season non-conference home games sandwiched in between two conference games.  Take IUPUI as a big underdog.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Davidson.  As they say, "all good things must come to an end."  This past Friday, we had one of our strongest plays of the year, when we took St. Bonaventure against VCU.  The Rams came in on a 7-game win streak, but left on the short end of a 73-53 defeat.  Now, they return home to host Davidson, which is on a 13-game win streak.  And we will look for this streak to also come to an end tonight, as the Wildcats fall into a negative 21-54 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Rams are 11-2 SU and 8-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points, while Davidson is 4-9 ATS as an underdog vs. winning foes off a loss.  Take VCU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Jacksonville.  Both of these teams come into this game on 4-game win streaks.  But the Dolphins were never a decided underdog in any of those four games.  They are tonight, as they're catching double-digits from the Flames.  We will fade Jacksonville, as it's a poor 4-10 ATS when priced from +9 to +15 points.  Lay the points with Liberty.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Akron.  Yes, the Broncos have lost six straight games.  But they've also covered the spread their last three times as a double-digit underdog.  And we'll happily take the double-digits tonight, as Western Michigan falls into a 208-115 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks.  Take Western Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Pittsburgh Penguins.  When the Penguins beat the Flyers on January 6 by a lopsided 6-2 score, it marked their 10th win in a row.  No doubt they had no problem going out on the road for an extended period knowing they were flying high at that point.  But the trip out west hasn't gone according to plan for Sidney Crosby and Co.  The Pens lost in Dallas to start things off then beat the Ducks in Anaheim, but followed that up with a clunker in L.A., losing to the Kings 6-2.  They barely won their last game in San Jose as the over-matched Sharks took them OT before falling.  Pittsburgh has gotten a bunch of players back from injury and illness, but back-up goalie Casey DeSmith has been placed on COVID protocol and the way Tristan Jarry has been playing in January, the Pens probably wish they had DeSmith ready to go if needed.  The favorite is 5-1 in the last six meetings of these two and the Knights are 50-24 in their last 74 games at home when priced at -101 (or higher) and 4-0 in their last four vs. Metropolitan teams.  Take Vegas.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Phoenix.  We played on the Suns yesterday, and got the $$$$ with a blowout win over Detroit.  We'll take the Spurs tonight, as they're 34-13 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Los Angeles Rams/Arizona Cardinals game.  These two teams played high scoring games in the regular season, with each team scoring 30+ points in a road victory.  But this is the playoffs, not the regular season, and I expect a much better game today on the defensive side of the football.  And the Rams, especially, have tightened things up defensively following their mid-season three game losing streak.  Los Angeles gave up 28, 31 and 36 points in those defeats, and were being roundly criticized.  But since hitting that rock-bottom level, the Rams have gone 5-1, with their only loss coming in overtime.  And they have given up just 18.16 ppg in this stretch.  The Cardinals, meanwhile, are 9-1 UNDER on turf, and 11-3 UNDER off a SU loss.  Take the under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Northern Arizona.  We played against Idaho on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Idaho State, as our #1 Big Sky Game this season.  But on this Monday, we'll switch gears and take the Vandals in an underdog role.  Idaho is a solid 94-62 ATS away from home off a loss, including 34-16-2 ATS when priced from +3 to +10 points.  Take the Vandals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over Wyoming.  The Cowboys pulled off a big upset at Utah State on Saturday.  Unfortunately, they're 10-22 ATS on the conference road off an upset win.  Take Nevada.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over SIU Edwardsville.  The Bruins laid an egg at home vs. Murray State in their last game, as they were blown out by 22, as a 6-point favorite.  But Belmont usually bounces back strong off ATS losses, as it's 33-13-1 ATS in the regular season following a point spread defeat, including 14-0-1 ATS when priced from -10 to -14.5 points.  Take Belmont.

At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Chicago.  The Grizz had their 11-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Dallas, 112-85.  But we'll play on Memphis to resume its winning ways tonight, as it's 19-10 ATS off a loss by 15+ points.  And home teams have gone 97-67 ATS on MLK Day vs. non-division foes, if our home team wasn't laying 9+ points.  Take Memphis.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have underperformed this season and especially off big wins.  Indeed, Brooklyn is 0-10 ATS off a win by 9+ points.  With the Nets off a 120-105 victory on Saturday vs. New Orleans, we'll lay the points with Cleveland today.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over St Francis.  The Terriers have not been a bettor-friendly home team, as they're 7-15 ATS their last 22.  And they're also a poor 4-10 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Meanwhile, Long Island is 23-10 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Lay the points on the road with the Sharks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Denver. The Jazz have dropped four straight games. But this losing streak coincided with a number of players entering COVID-19 protocols, so it wasn't altogether related to poor play (though there was some of that, too). The good news is that Rudy Gobert and Rudy Gay have cleared protocols and are set to rejoin the team. We'll lay the points tonight, as Utah is well-rested, while Denver played last night in a blowout win over the Lakers. And Denver's a horrid 13-36 ATS its last 49 (and 52-99-1 ATS its last 152) at home when it played without rest. Take Utah to bounce back strong tonight, and blow out the Nuggets. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over San Francisco.  This is San Francisco's 2nd straight road game, as it played at Los Angeles last Sunday.  The 49ers upset the Rams, 27-24, in overtime for their second straight win, overall.  We'll go against San Francisco on Sunday, as NFL teams playing back to back road games, have covered just 25 of 73 playoff games if they were off an upset win, and not getting 8+ points in the current game.  Moreover, Dallas has covered the point spread by 7.06 ppg at home this season, while the 49ers have covered by just 1.44 ppg on the road.  And the Cowboys also own the better offensive and defensive scoring numbers, as they're 6.05 ppg better on offense, and 0.41 ppg better on defense.  For the season, Dallas has outscored its foes by 10.11 ppg.  And it's not often you get such a team in this price range, at home, in the playoffs.  But when you do, you should generally consider taking the home team, as they're 10-0 ATS in the Playoffs since 1980 when not laying 4+ points, when they've owned a scoring margin of 9.75 (or better).  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over St John's.  The Hoyas are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, including back-to-back blowout losses at the hands of Marquette and Butler.  This afternoon, they'll face a St. John's team which is off back to back losses, itself.  We'll grab the points with the Hoyas, as the Red Storm is a poor 5-17 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a SU loss (and 1-6 ATS off back to back losses).  And they're 5-13 ATS in this rivalry, when off a loss.  Take the Hoyas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison over American.  It's not often that you see a Bucknell team mired in a 6-game losing streak.  Or see it with an 0-5 Patriot League record.  But that's the situation today, as the Bison are 0-5 in league play.  And they're 5 games under .500 in conference play which puts them in jeopardy of having their worst Patriot League season in 32 years (heretofore, their worst season was 2008-09, in which they went 6-10 in Patriot League games).  But they should be primed to snap their losing streak today, as they fall into several of my better NCAA systems, including one which is 78-28 ATS since 1990.  Take Bucknell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:10 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset the Raptors on Friday, 103-87, as a 9-point home underdog.  And faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams immediately after wins.  So, off that upset win, we will fade Detroit this afternoon, as 9-point (or greater) home underdogs have covered just 33 of 93 after pulling an upset at home in their previous game.  Take Phoenix minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars were blown out by Gonzaga in their last game.  And that continued a long-term trend for BYU where it's struggled as an underdog vs. foes off back to back wins.  And BYU especially is poor as an underdog away from home vs. revenge-minded foes off back to back wins (like San Francisco, which lost twice to BYU last season).  In that situation, BYU is an ugly 9-28 ATS.  That bodes well for San Francisco tonight.  Even better:  the Dons have won all 12 home games this season, including a 24-point win over Loyola Marymount two days ago.  And San Francisco is 22-8 ATS off a win by more than 16 points over a conference foe.  Finally, the Dons fall into a 379-231 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain favorites off big wins.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos + the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Gauchos are on a 6-game ATS losing streak, while the Titans have won four straight, and are also on a 4-game ATS winning streak.  We'll take UCSB + the points, as Big West Conference teams are 28-10 ATS off 3 ATS losses, if they're playing a foe off back to back ATS wins.  Take Cal Santa Barbara.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions over San Diego.  The Toreros have been installed as small home underdog tonight.  But they're a poor 3-18 ATS when priced from -2 to +7.5 points, including 0-8 ATS at home.  Take Loyola Marymount

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals minus the points over Idaho.  These two rivals are struggling to win games.  Idaho St. is 2-11, while its cross-state rival, Idaho, is a half-game better, at 3-11.  In Vegas, however, it's the Vandals who have been superior, as they're 9-3 ATS, while Idaho State is 1-10 ATS.  But this lack of point spread success -- Idaho State has failed to cover the spread by an average of 9.86 ppg this season -- has worked to create value on behalf of the home team.  And we will lay the points with Idaho State tonight, as it falls into several of my better systems, including one which is 97-39 ATS since 1990.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Arizona.  The Utes have lost their last four games -- both straight up and ATS -- and have been installed as a huge road underdog at Arizona.  But Pac-12 teams are a super 40-24 ATS when getting more than 19 points, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Utah + the points.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the St. Louis Blues.  This is the fourth game of a five-game home-stand for the Blues and it's been very successful so far.  The Blues have won all three here at the Enterprise Center, limiting their opponent to just a single goal in each of those three.  That could be more difficult tonight against a Maple Leafs club that's averaging better than 3.3 goals per game this season.  The Leafs have recently gotten several key players back from COVID protocol, including LW Pierre Engvall and RW Mitch Marner.  St. Louis however is still struggling to keep its players on the ice with no fewer than six skaters out on COVID protocol as of this writing.  This series has been friendly to the visitors recently as the road team is 4-1 in the last five meetings of the Blues and Leafs.  The Leafs have had an extra day off and that's a situation that's been advantageous for them as Toronto is 36-16 in its last 52 when playing on two days of rest.  Finally, the Leafs are also 21-5 in their last 26 games as a favorite.  Take Toronto.  As always good luck...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers over Southern.  Grambling is back home this evening after a trip to the Sunshine State, which saw it split games against Bethune Cookman and Florida A&M.  Grambling will host Southern, which enters on a 7-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately for Southern, NCAA teams on ATS win streaks longer than 6 games have covered just 43% away from home vs. foes not off back to back ATS wins.  And Grambling also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 75-21 ATS since 1990.  Take Grambling.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Panthers were routed by UAB two days ago, 84-56, while the Blue Raiders blew out Florida Atlantic, 70-57, the same night.  But the Blue Raiders are a poor 5-12 ATS off a double-digit win, and 3-11 ATS their last 14 vs. Florida International, including 1-7 ATS if the Panthers were off a loss.  Take Florida International.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Houston Baptist Huskies + the points over McNeese St.  Ron Cottrell's men have dropped their last three games (all played last weekend in the Southland Tip-Off Tourney in Katy, Texas), and are also on a 5-game ATS losing streak.  But the Huskies fall into a super 67% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, this will be the first time all season that the Cowboys have been installed as a favorite.  And they're 1-5 ATS their last six in that role.  Take the Huskies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Portland State Vikings over Sacramento St.  The Hornets blew out Northern Colorado, 85-71 last Saturday.  But Sacramento State is a poor 12-21 ATS off a double-digit win over a conference foe, while Portland State is 37-22 ATS as a road underdog of more than 2 points.  Take the Vikings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals minus the points over Las Vegas.  The Raiders come into this game off three straight upset wins, including a 35-32 overtime win at home last Sunday vs. the Chargers.  We'll fade Las Vegas on Saturday, as road teams have covered just 60 of 157 non-division game off back to back upset wins, including 3-12 ATS in the Playoffs.  And the Raiders are 1-13 ATS off an upset home win over a division rival.  Take Cincinnati minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on Coppin State over Morgan State.  These two Baltimore rivals come into this afternoon game off wins over South Caroina State.  Coppin St. upset the Bulldogs, 74-65, last Saturday, while Morgan State pulled off the same feat two days later, with an 88-81 win.  We'll take Coppin St. in this road game, as the road team has won six of the last seven in this series, while Morgan St. is a poor 9-16 ATS in competitively-priced games with spreads of less than 4 points. Take Coppin State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over Tennessee Martin.  The Skyhawks were blown out by Morehead St. on Wednesday, 76-62.  And that doesn't bode well for them tonight, as they're 12-25 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Take Tennessee Tech.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over LSU.  The Tigers are 15-1 after their upset win in Gainesville, on Wednesday.  LSU was a 3-point road underdog at Florida, but upended the Gators, 64-58.  That was LSU's 3rd straight win and cover.  But it's been dreadful at home over the last 32 seasons off an upset win, if it also was on a 3-game SUATS win streak, as it's covered just 25% since 1990.  Take Arkansas.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Cornell.  Yale's on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, and is 6-8 overall this season.  But this is a perfect spot for it to get back into the win column, as it is Yale's Ivy League opener.  And Yale is 7-0 SU its last seven conference openers.  And, even better, it has won the last 15 meetings vs. Cornell, and has gone 12-3 ATS in those 15 games.  Take Yale.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota St. Bison minus the points over After starting the season with an 8-2 SU record, and 7-1 ATS record, the Leathernecks have hit the skids, with a 1-6 ATS mark since December 18.  We'll lay the points with the Bison, as they're 22-13-4 ATS as a favorite of less than 10 points.  Take North Dakota State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Charlotte.  After a 3-week layoff, Charlotte got back onto the court two days ago here, at home, vs. Western Carolina.  And Charlotte blew out the Catamounts, 98-82.  We will fade Charlotte off that big win, as it is a wallet-busting 16-33-1 ATS at home off a double-digit win.  Take Texas San Antonio + the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Cleveland.  San Antone was upset here, at home, by Houston in its last game -- its 3rd straight loss.  We'll take the Spurs as a home dog tonight, as it has cashed 75% as a home dog since 1990 off an upset loss.  And it's 28-15 ATS off 3+ losses, when matched up against a non-conference foe.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Golden State.  These two teams met earlier this season in San Francisco, and the Warriors crushed Chicago, 119-93, as a 5.5-point home favorite.  The Warriors, though, were in the midst of playing their best basketball of the season, as they had won (and covered) their six previous games by an average of 20.66 ppg.  And, then, subsequent to their 26-point win over the Bulls, the Warriors went on to win (and cover) seven of their next eight games.  Overall, in that 4-week, 14-1 SU/ATS stretch of basketball, the Warriors won by an average of 16.53 ppg, and covered the spread by 9.96 ppg.  Since that time, the Warriors have come crashing down to earth.  They're 12-9 SU, but 8-12-1 ATS, and have only won by an average of 2.19 ppg, and have failed to cover the spread by -2.09 ppg.  Golden State's worst point spread subset in this downturn is on the road, where it is 3-8-1 ATS.  And it's 0-7-1 ATS when the game is competitively-priced with a point spread of less than 5 points.  Take Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over VCU.  The Rams are on a 7-game win streak (and 6-game ATS win streak), while the Bonnies are comparatively cold, with a 7-game ATS losing streak entering tonight's key Atlantic 10 Conference match.  But don't be surprised if the two teams' hot/cold ATS streaks get snapped tonight.  Indeed, VCU falls into a negative 39.7% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on 4-game (or better) ATS win streaks, while the Bonnies fall into a 67.5 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  St. Bonaventure is 35-13 SU and 31-16-1 ATS its last 48 Atlantic 10 Conference games, including 15-4 in games with point spreads of 4 points or less, 14-5 ATS at home, and 23-9-1 ATS as a favorite.  And VCU is a horrid 11-25 ATS its last 36 vs. .750 (or better) foes, including 0-11 ATS when priced to -6 to +3 points.  Lay the points with St. Bonaventure.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Portland.  Denver comes into tonight's game off an upset loss at the hands of the Clippers, on Tuesday, while Portland upset Brooklyn in its previous game.  This will be the 3rd meeting between the Northwest division rivals this season.  And the Nuggets were blown out by Portland, 119-100, when the two teams last met, back in November.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Denver is 32-13 ATS as a favorite of 7+ points, if it's playing with revenge, and off a SU/ATS loss in its previous game.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies won their 10th straight game, with an upset win at home over the Warriors.  But off that win, we'll fade Memphis, as home teams have gone 184-268 ATS in the regular season off upset home wins, when matched up against a foe off a loss.  Take Minnesota + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over New Orleans.  When these teams last met earlier this season, the Pelicans upset the Clippers, in Los Angeles, 123-104, as a 7-point road underdog.  We'll take L.A. to avenge that loss, as it's 28-11 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset home loss, in which it was favored by 7+ points.  Take the Clippers + the points.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks plus the points over Western Illinois.  The Fighting Hawks come into tonight's game on a 5-game losing streak, and they've also failed to cover the spread in three straight.  But North Dakota's poor play has triggered a 77-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game losing streaks.  Additionally, Summit League home underdogs of more than 8 points have covered 72%.  Take North Dakota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Ohio State.  Wisconsin was blown out by the Buckeyes earlier this season, 73-55, in Columbus.  We'll take Wisky in this rematch, as it's 54-20 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. .750 (or better) foes.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over NC Asheville.  The Bulldogs come into this game off 4 straight wins, and 3 straight covers, while Winthrop is on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  And Asheville also upset the Eagles, 57-55, as a 12.5-point road underdog when the two teams last met.  We'll take the Eagles, as revenge-minded NCAA favorites of 2+ points, on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak, have covered 59% vs. foes that were on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  Take Winthrop.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans over IUP-Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons have covered five straight, including back to back SU/ATS road wins vs. Youngstown and Robert Morris.  We'll look for this ATS win streak to come to an end tonight, as Fort Wayne has been poor as a favorite of 10 or less points, as it's 48-67 ATS, including 14-24 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, Detroit has won and covered 3 straight, and is 23-13 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins, when it wasn't getting 2+ points.  Take Detroit Mercy as a small underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over Sacramento.  When playing at home vs. the Lakers, the Kings have burned money, as they're 9-22 ATS, including 0-7 ATS their last seven, and 0-11 ATS off a game where they covered by more than 2 points.  The Lakers also fall into 2 systems of mine, with records of 124-60 and 107-43 ATS, that play on certain rested road teams off a loss.  Lay the points with the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm -- a somewhat unusual start time for a Chicago Bulls home game -- our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Chicago.  The Nets are clearly underperforming this season, as they're 25-14 SU, but just 15-24 ATS.  Their average point spread differential is -2.91, but when one looks closer, one sees that Brooklyn has done much better on the road, than at home.  At home, Brooklyn's average point spread differential is -6.88, but on the road, it's a positive 1.72.  And they've also had a positive SU/ATS record on the road, at 14-4 SU and 10-8 ATS (compared to 11-10 SU and 5-16 ATS at home).  Overall, the Nets are riding a 7-game ATS losing streak.  But we'll step in and take the "undervalued" Nets, as they've been installed as a road underdog at Chicago.  And road underdogs have covered 60% over the past 32 years off 7 ATS losses.  Take the Nets + the points.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Cleveland.  Utah has certainly struggled without their defensive stalwart, Rudy Gobert, as they've dropped their last three games -- all on the road -- to Eastern conference foes Toronto, Indiana, and Detroit.  But Utah's back home tonight, and it's covered 61% at home since 1990 when favored by 4+ points, and off a game where it failed to cover by more than 20 points.  Take the Jazz.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri.  The Tigers pulled off a massive upset over the weekend, when they upset the Crimson Tide, 92-86, as a 14-point dog.  But that game was at home, where Missouri has been very strong as an underdog (45-30-6 ATS).  On the road, it's a completely different story for the Tigers, who are a dreadful 74-111-5 ATS as a road underdog, and 11-29 ATS their last 40 as road dogs when matched up against a foe off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are 37-24 ATS as a home favorite off back to back losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware State Hornets + the points over Norfolk State.  Delaware State enters this game on a 9-game losing streak, as well as a 5-game ATS losing streak.  And they've lost their last three games by 33, 42 and 37 points!  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against such an ice-cold team.  But teams off three straight SU/ATS losses by 21+ points have covered 60.1% over the last 32 years.  Take Delaware State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over LSU.  The Gators come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Alabama and Auburn.  But Florida is a solid 43-13-1 ATS off two ATS defeats, when matched up against a .680 (or better) foe off a win.  Take the Gators.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Campbell.  The Bucs come into this game on a 5-game losing streak, and a 4-game ATS losing streak.  But they're undervalued by my numbers, and are 10-3 ATS when priced from +12.5 to +18 points on the road.  Meanwhile, the Fighting Camels are 3-9 ATS their last 12 when laying 5+ points.  And Charleston Southern also falls into a 138-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Bucs + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams enter tonight's game off an upset win over La Salle, and have covered five straight, overall.  We'll fade Fordham, as it's a wallet-busting 24-45 ATS off 3+ ATS wins, and has lost the last six meeting to the Dukes.  Additionally, Duquesne falls into a 61% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites vs. foes off wins.  Lay the points with the Dukes.  Good luck, as always...Al  McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Anaheim Ducks.  The Pens' 10-game win streak was snapped on Saturday, in a 3-2 loss to Dallas.  Tonight, they'll travel to Anaheim to face a Ducks team which they defeated in Pittsburgh, 1-0, earlier this season.  Anaheim is a poor 21-43 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, while Pittsburgh is 82-46 off a road loss.  Take the Penguins to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  Nate Oates' men return home to Tuscaloosa, after a shocking 92-86 loss at Missouri, as a 14-point favorite.  The good news for 'Bama is that home favorites have covered the spread in 73% of Conference games over the past 32 seasons, if they were upset on the road as a 14-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game.  Even better:  Auburn is 1-10 ATS on the road when not getting 4+ points, if its foe failed to cover the spread by more than 13 points in its previous game.  Lay the points with Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Detroit.  The Bulls had last night off following a blowout loss in Dallas, on Sunday, while Detroit pulled off a huge upset on Monday, with a double-digit win as a double-digit home underdog vs. Utah.  We will fade the Pistons tonight, as underdogs of 10+ points have covered just 33% since 1990 off an upset win as a 9-point (or greater) underdog, including 0-15 ATS their last 15.  Take the Bulls.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns minus the points over Toronto.  The Raptors have won their last six games, and will go for seven-in-a-row tonight vs. Phoenix, which was stunned by Miami on Saturday, 123-100, as an 9.5-point favorite.  But off that loss, the Suns fall into a super NBA system of mine which has cashed 67% since 1990, which plays on certain rested road favorites off upset losses as favorites of more than 9 points.  Phoenix is also 44-16 ATS as a road favorite off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Suns.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over Davidson.  We played against the Wildcats on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Rhode Island.  The Rams lost by 4 to Davidson, but covered the spread as a sizable road underdog, and snapped Davidson's 9-game ATS win streak.  UMass has been installed as an even bigger underdog at Davidson tonight, and we'll grab the double digits with the Minutemen, as Davidson continues to be overvalued on the heels of that long point spread win streak.  UMass is a solid 19-5-1 ATS on the conference road off a SU loss, if it was getting 8+ points in its current game.  Take the Minutemen.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Portland.  The shorthanded Trail Blazers upset Sacramento, 103-88, last night, while Brooklyn edged the San Antonio Spurs, in overtime, 121-119.  We will go against Portland at home, as NBA home underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a win by 15 (or more) points, are an awful 0-12 ATS if they owned a win percentage and also an ATS win percentage less than .450.  Take Brooklyn.

At 8 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs and Alabama Crimson Tide to go UNDER the total.  The storyline for this game is undoubtedly whether Georgia can avenge its loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship game.  So, it's worth noting that, in the Kirby Smart-Era, the Bulldogs are 7-1 SU/ATS when installed as a favorite, and playing with revenge.  In their seven wins, they've held their opponents to 8.28 points per game, even though their opponents averaged north of 29 points per game, on offense.  Of course, the one loss was last month to this Alabama team, when the Crimson Tide scored 41 points against the Bulldogs' defense.  I believe that game was more of an anomaly than anything else.  After all, this is a Georgia team which had given up just 6.9 ppg in its first 12 games this season.  And, importantly, it showed just how dominant it can be when it held an excellent Michigan team -- the 3rd best football team in the country this season -- to a meager 84 rushing yards (139.8 yards below its season average) and 11 points (26.6 points below its season average).  Georgia has gone UNDER the total in nine of its last 13 post-season games.  And NCAA Football teams that gave up 14 or less points per game (thru their first 10 games) have gone UNDER 70.9% since 2014 if the O/U line was 52+ points.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game on Monday night.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons defeated Orlando, 97-92, on Saturday, for their eighth win of the season.  But they've only won back-to-back games once, and they're a horrid 6-42 straight-up, and 12-33-3 ATS off a win, including 2-14 ATS at home!  Take Utah minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Charlotte.  This is the 2nd of back to back games between the teams.  Charlotte won Round 1, with an 8-point win here, at home, on Saturday.  We'll take Milwaukee in the rematch, as it's covered 67% over the past 21 seasons when favored by 5 or less points against a team which defeated it in its previous game.  And the Bucks are also 57-34-1 ATS on the road when favored by more than a point off a straight-up loss.  Take the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers minus the points over Carolina.  After ending last season on a 7-0 SU/ATS run to win the Super Bowl, and bringing back all their starters for this season, the expectation was that Tampa would win the NFC Conference, and compete with Kansas City for the league's best overall record.  But as we see time, and time again, defending Super Bowl champs don't always have great regular seasons.  And they surely don't have great seasons against the point spread.  The Buccaneers are 8-8 ATS this season and, like their defending champion predecessors, they struggled greatly as favorites on the road.  Tampa started out 2021 with five straight ATS defeats (including 0-4 ATS as a favorite) before finishing with a 3-1 ATS road mark (and 3-6 ATS overall).  But things were markedly better at home, where Tampa went 5-2 ATS.  This afternoon, the Bucs will look to bounce back off last week's poor game, where they failed to cover the spread by 10.5 points against the New York Jets.  The good news is that Tampa is back home to host the Carolina Panthers, who have lost  (both SU and ATS) six straight games.  And while it's true that teams on ATS losing streaks of 4+ games are essentially 50% plays toward the end of a season, they perform MUCH better at home than on the road.  And in the season's final week, they're especally BAD on the road, as they're 8-22-1 ATS, including 2-7 ATS if they were on a 5-game (or worse) losing streak.  We'll lay the points with Tampa Bay, as defending Super Bowl champs are a super 29-13 ATS after failing to cover the spread by 9+ points, if matched up against .375 (or worse) opposition.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hofstra Pride over James Madison.  We played against Hofstra in its last game, and took William & Mary +17, and were rewarded with an outright win, 63-62.  But that was a great set-up, as Hofstra was in off back to back upset wins over Arkansas and Monmouth.  Here, they're in off an upset defeat as a 17-point road favorite!  The Dukes are off to a great start, and are 9-2 SU and 7-2 ATS, yet have been installed as a home underdog vs. Hofstra.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on JMU, but be careful.  In "win situation" games, with point spreads between +3 and -3, the Pride has gone 53-28-1 ATS away from home.  In contrast, James Madison has covered just 20 of 59 home games vs. conference foes when the line was priced from +3 to -3 points.  That bodes well for Hofstra this afternoon.  As does the fact that the Dukes are a dreadful 33-52 ATS as a home underdog vs. Colonial Athletic Ass'n foes, while Hofstra is 36-13-2 ATS on the conference road when priced from +1 to -6.5 points.  Finally, the Pride falls into a 265-186-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites in confererence games.  Take Hofstra.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  Yesterday, we played on the Los Angeles Clippers, who had the good fortune of hosting the Memphis Grizzlies, who were without Ja Morant, their best players.  But the Clippers were unable to rise to the occasion, and were blown out by 15+ points for the 3rd straight game, 123-108.  They'll attempt to break their losing streak tonight against the Hawks, but Atlanta will also be seeking to bounce back off a blowout loss, as they fell to the Lakers here, at Crypto.com Arena, two nights ago.  The Clippers' management likes having home games scheduled on back to back days.  But the problem is that the team underperforms in the 2nd of these home games, as it's 21-32-1 ATS, including 0-6 ATS off a loss by more than 10 points; 1-10 ATS off a point spread loss by 10+ points; and 2-10 ATS as an underdog of more than 2 points.  Meanwhile, Atlanta is a very good 7-0 ATS its last seven, and 54-22 ATS its last 76, vs. unrested foes, if the Hawks are off a double-digit loss, and not getting more than 2 points.  Take Atlanta minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Kings are enjoying a seven-game homestand, which, in the middle of a pandemic is perhaps more important than it normally is for a professional sports team.  L.A. has split the first four games and they have two very tough teams visiting next week to wrap up the series in the Rangers and Penguins.  Which makes tonight's contest against the 16-18 Red Wings -- who are only 4-10-1 on the road -- all that more important.  One of the few teams that hasn't had major parts of its roster decimated lately by illness, Detroit really hasn't taken advantage of its good fortune in the health department.  The Wings went the entire month of December without a road victory (their last one was on November 30) and Staples Center, er, Crypto.com Arena, hasn't been very friendly to them recently either.  The Wings have lost five of their six games in L.A. with their last victory here coming more than five years ago.  The favorite is 30-11 in the last 41 meetings of the Red Wings and Kings.  Take Los Angeles.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the New York Knicks.  This is a home-and-home series between the teams, and New York won Round 1, on Thursday.  We'll take Boston in the rematch, as NBA teams favored have gone 63% ATS since 1990 in the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings, if they lost the first meeting SU/ATS, and weren't an underdog of more than 2 points in either game.  Take the Celtics minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green + the points over Brown.  The Bruins pulled off a big upset win, 84-73, last night at Harvard.  Unfortunately, though, Brown is 0-11 ATS its last 11 as a favorite off an upset win.  Take Dartmouth + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes + the points over South Dakota St.  This rivalry series has been good to the underdog, as the dog is 10-4 ATS, including 6-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  With the Coyotes in on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, we'll grab the points with South Dakota this evening.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Cornell.  The Tigers won their sixth straight game last night, with a 15-point win over Columbia.  And Princeton is 17-9 ATS its last 26.  It's also dominated Cornell over the years, and especially in this price range, as Princeton is 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS (including 9-0 ATS its last nine) when favored between -5.5 and -11 points vs. the Big Red.  Lay the points with Princeton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on Charleston Southern + the points over North Carolina-Asheville.  The Bulldogs pulled off a big upset on the road in their last game -- a 60-54 win at Campbell, as a 6.5-point road underdog.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 133-226 ATS system of mine that goes against certain double-digit favorites off road upset wins.  Even worse for Asheville:  it's 5-12 ATS off a conference win.  Grab the points with the Buccaneers.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos + the points over Kansas City.  The Broncos will wind-up their season this afternoon in front of their home faithful.  And, although it's been a losing season, Denver's defense has played well, and has given up more than 23 points just four times this season.  That bodes well for them as a big underdog, as NFL teams that give up 21 or less points per game have gone 113-81 ATS in the regular season as an underdog of +10.5 (or more) points.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers + the points over Bethune Cookman.  This will be the Wildcats' 2nd game in its new conference -- the Southwestern Athletic Conference -- after playing for years in the MEAC.  The Wildcats will host Grambling this afternoon, and we'll grab the points with the Tigers, who are on a 6-game losing streak.  But Grambling is undervalued, and it also falls into a 76-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing records.  Take the Tigers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our Mountain West Game of the Week is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Colorado State.  The Rams are 11-0, but have not yet played a true road game.  So, this afternoon's game against the Aztecs will be their first.  And we'll go against Colorado State, as it falls into a negative 78-160 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams that have played home-heavy schedules to start the season.  Even better for San Diego State:  it's won its last four, straight-up, and has covered its last three.  And the short price this afternoon has triggered a 232-135 ATS momentum system of mine which plays on certain home teams on 3-game SU/ATS win streaks, that are not favored by more than six points.  Lay the points with San Diego State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Kansas.  The Jayhawks have been installed as a road favorite following their win at Oklahoma State, which raised their record to 12-1 on the season.  But Kansas falls into a negative 72-136 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road favorites off road wins, while Texas Tech falls into a super 161-72 ATS angle, which plays on certain single-digit underdogs with winning SU/ATS records.  Take Texas Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies are in the midst of an 8-game win streak after walloping Detroit, 118-88, on Thursday.  But NBA teams that have won 5+ games in a row, and won their most recent game by more than 25 points, have gone 4-26 ATS their last 30.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.