Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over East Tennessee St.  The Buccaneers blew out VMI on New Year's Eve, 64-50.  We'll take the double-digits with VMI in this revenge role tonight, and go against an East Tennessee squad which is a woeful 0-11 ATS as a home favorite since Jan. 22, 2022, and also 0-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded conference foe which didn't own a better conference record.  Take VMI + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the UC San Diego Tritons + the points over Hawaii.  The Tritons were upset, at home, by Cal State Bakersfield, 75-69, on Saturday, while Hawaii blew out Cal Poly SLO.  UC San Diego is on a 3-game losing streak.  But we'll take the Tritons to bounce back at Hawaii, as Big West underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points, off a home loss, have gone 76-30 ATS vs. conference foes off an ATS win.   That bodes well for the road team.  As does the fact that Hawaii is an awful 12-24 ATS as a double-digit home favorite vs. conference foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points with UC San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions + the points over St. Mary's.  The Gaels toppled Gonzaga, 78-70, on Saturday, in overtime.  Now, they're tasked with traveling to Los Angeles to take on Loyola Marymount, which was upset by San Diego over the weekend.  Still, LMU is a solid 16-9 SU and 14-9 ATS this season.  Unfortunately, for St. Mary's, teams have covered just 10 of 30 following a win over Gonzaga, including 2-6 ATS on the road.  And St. Mary's has covered just 10 of 44 games off a win, if they were matched up against a team win a winning SU/ATS record off an ATS loss.  St. Mary's won the season's first meeting, but I expect the Lions to avenge that defeat tonight.  Take Loyola Marymount + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over San Francisco.  Gonzaga did something on Saturday it doesn't do very often.  It lost.  The Bulldogs led for most of the game, but collapsed down the stretch, and fell in overtime, 78-70, to St. Mary's.  We'll take Gonzaga to bounce back tonight, as it's gone 16-3 ATS at home in West Coast Conference games off a straight-up loss, including 6-0 ATS when priced from -5 to -15.5 points.  Even better:  at home, in "The Kennel," the Bulldogs are 23-0 SU vs. the Dons, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Dons were off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  Both teams enter tonight's game on long win streaks.  The Rajin' Cajuns have won 10 straight, while Southern Miss has prevailed in each of its last seven (and has covered its last five).  Louisiana won Round 1 earlier this season with a 14-point win at home.  We'll take Southern Miss to avenge that defeat, as it's 15-4-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge from a loss in the first meeting of the season, including 6-0-1 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Vegas Golden Knights.  Things looked good for the Wild heading into the All Star break as they won five of their last eight games in January, including victories over the Capitals and Sabres.  But February has started out a bit rough for Minnesota.  On Monday, the lowly Coyotes pulled off an upset in Arizona to kick off the second half and then last night the Wild traveled to Dallas where the Stars got a big home victory.  At least now the team gets to return to Minneapolis where the Wild has done by far its best work, going 15-8-1 in 24 games here at the Xcel Energy Center.  The Knights got the month off on the right foot, downing the Predators in Nashville, 5-1.  But it's too early to tell if Vegas is out of the terrible funk it was mired in for most of January.  Tonight will be a big test for the Knights, who have actually done better on the road this season than at home.  But the home team has dominated this series lately, as the hosts are 5-0 in the last five meetings of these two going back to the 2021 playoffs.  Take the Wild.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Northwestern.  Chris Holtmann's men have one just once in their last 10 games.  But we'll look for Ohio State to get out of its funk tonight, at home, vs. the Wildcats.  Northwestern pulled off an upset in its last game, 54-52, at Wisconsin.  Unfortunately, Northwestern is a soft 30-50 ATS off an upset win.  Take Ohio State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Privateers + the points over Nicholls St.  The Colonels won, 92-91, at Houston Christian, on Saturday, which moved their season record to 11-11.  However, Nicholls St. has not reacted well as a .500 (or better) team off a win, as it's gone 12-29-1 ATS.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over the Chicago Bulls.  The New-Look Brooklyn Nets will welcome back Spencer Dinwiddie tonight following the trade which sent Kyrie Irving to the Dallas Mavericks.  Brooklyn also picked up Dorian Finney-Smith in the transaction.  Also, Mikal Bridges, Cam Johnson, and Jae Crowder will be in uniform soon following this morning's trade of Kevin Durant and TJ Warren to the Suns.  Cam Thomas has been picking up the slack lately, as he's scored 90 points over the last two games (both losses) vs. the Clippers and Suns.  Brooklyn was bested by Chicago, 121-112, last month.  We'll take the revenge-minded Nets, as they've gone 132-99 ATS when playing with revenge at home vs. non-division foes, provided the Nets were not getting 3+ points.  Take Brooklyn on Thursday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over James Madison.  The Eagles lost by 12 points to the Dukes earlier this season.  We'll take the home underdog tonight, as Georgia Southern is 18-4-1 ATS as a dog of less than 6 points when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Eagles.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 22-2 straight-up, and 16-5-1 ATS.  But they're laying double-digits tonight against a Rice team which is 15-8 SU and 11-9 ATS.  Since 1990, .650 (or better) underdogs of +12 (or more) points have gone 98-63-5 ATS (at Game 24 forward).  Take Rice + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Diego State.  The Aggies come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after an 88-79 win at Colorado State, on Saturday.  They'll host the Aztecs, and will be seeking to avenge a 10-point loss in San Diego two weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with Utah State, as it's 103-64 ATS at home off a SU win, when favored by 13 or less points (or PK).  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over DePaul.  Earlier this season, the Blue Demons stunned the Wildcats, 75-65, as a 6.5-point home underdog.  And that DePaul victory snapped its 22-game losing streak in this series (DePaul was 9-13 ATS during that losing streak).  We'll take the Wildcats to avenge that upset loss, as they've covered 68% over the last 30+ seasons when playing with revenge from a 5-point (or worse) defeat in the season's first meeting.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers won, 86-75, at Tulsa, on Sunday, and will welcome the Knights, who are on a 5-game losing streak.  But we'll fade Wichita tonight, as it's 0-9 ATS off a win, if its opponent was off a loss.  Take Central Florida.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Houston.  The Cougars are 22-2 after blowing out Temple, 81-65, in Philadelphia, on Sunday.  Unfortunately, Houston is a poor 4-20 ATS when favored by 6+ points off a double-digit road win.  Take Tulsa + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Toronto.  The Raptors blew out San Antone, 143-100, in the Alamo City earlier this season.  We'll take the Spurs to avenge that blowout loss, as they're 13-1-1 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes when playing with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And road teams have cashed 61% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season.  Take San Antonio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones upset Kansas, 68-53, in Ames, on Saturday.  But they're a wallet-breaking 4-13 ATS on the road off a home upset win.  Take West Virginia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the Nuggets withheld several of their best players from making the trip.  Not surprisingly, the undermanned Nuggets were blown out by 30 points, 128-98.  But Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon will be back on the court tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Denver.  The Nuggets are 104-69 ATS in the regular season off a double-digit loss to a division rival.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Maryland.  MSU is 6-6 in Big 10 play this season, while Maryland has a 7-5 league record.  Tom Izzo doesn't have .500 (or worse) Big 10 Conference records very often.  But when the Spartans have been at or below .500 in league play, they've been quite profitable at home over the years.  Indeed, since 1990, the Spartans have gone 50-23-2 ATS at home in Big 10 games when their Big 10 win percentage was .500 (or less).  Take Michigan State to blow out Maryland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Air Force.  Both of these teams come into this game on long losing streaks.  But we will side with the road team to snap its streak, as it plays with revenge from an 11-point home loss to Air Force last month.  And Air Force is an atrocious 24-54-3 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Air Force wasn't favored by 4+ points.  Grab the points with the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers upset the North Carolina Tar Heels, 65-64, as an 8.5-point road underdog in their previous game.  Unfortunately, for the Panthers, they've covered just 41% as a home favorite off an upset win since 1990.  And ACC teams have covered just 28% since 1990 off an upset road win over North Carolina, if the point spread in that upset win was 8+ points. Take Louisville + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Flashes return home after dropping a game at Akron, as a 1.5-point road favorite, on Friday.  Kent is 11-0 at home this season.  And it's covered 64% at home since 1990 in conference games off an upset conference defeat.  Lay the points.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears over Weber State.  This is the 4th straight road game for Weber State, which won at Idaho State, 72-71, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Bears return home from a miserable 3-game road trip which was a disastrous 0-3.  The good news for Northern Colorado is that home teams off a double-digit loss, and 3+ losses overall, have covered 59.1% since 1990 in conference games when favored (or PK) against a foe off a road win.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Bethune Cookman.  Perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm for Texas Southern?  The Tigers will conclude their 3-game home stand tonight when the Wildcats will come calling.  Unfortunately for Texas Southern, it dropped the first two games of this home stand -- 89-74 to Prairie View, and 76-69 to Florida A&M.  And Texas Southern was favored in both losses (and failed to cover the spread by 20+ points each game).  But off those two horrible games, we'll take the Tigers to rebound tonight.  Indeed, they've gone 24-11 ATS off back to back games where they gave up 75+ points. Take Texas Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over Chicago.  There's no doubt about how bad of a team San Antonio is.  Surprisingly, it sprinted out of the gate in October with a 5-2 SU/ATS record.  But after Halloween, the Spurs have been ghastly, with a 9-37 record, and an 18-28 point spread ledger.  They're currently riding an 8-game losing streak (and a 7-game ATS losing streak).  But we'll step in and take the double-digits with Gregg Popovich's men, as the Spurs have been profitable this season when getting more than 9 points, and they've cashed 64% long-term as a road dog of +9.5 (or more) points.  Additionally, the Spurs are 10-1 ATS vs. the Bulls, if the Spurs were off an ATS loss, and the Bulls were off an ATS win.  Take San Antone + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  Faithful followers know I love playing on bad teams, so tonight we're going to go with the Phoenix, who have the worst record (2-22) in College Basketball.  But they're not just bad in Green Bay; they're also bad "in Las Vegas" as they're 6-18 ATS this season, which is the 2nd-worst ATS percentage of the 363 NCAA Division 1 teams (only Tulsa is worse).  And they've failed to cover the spread by an average of -5.81 ppg, which ranks #360 of 363 in that metric.  So, why take the Phoenix tonight?  Because, by my numbers, there's value on them against the Panthers.  Additionally, Green Bay was blown out by Milwaukee, 81-67, in the first meeting this season.  But in this rivalry, the team which lost the season's first meeting has covered 64% in Round 2, including 6-1 ATS when getting 9+ points.  And Green Bay is also 73-45-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 13+ points.  Take Wisconsin-Green Bay + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Detroit.  The Celts own the best record in basketball (37-16), but they're in a mid-season swoon in Las Vegas, as they're 1-7 ATS their last eight after their 106-94 defeat at the hands of Phoenix.  The Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers are now breathing down Boston's neck in the standings (and Boston plays Philly next), so the Celtics know they must play better ASAP if they are to maintain their hold on the #1 spot.  We'll lay the points with Boston tonight, as it's 90-54 ATS on the road off a home loss by more than 7 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Bobcats and Mountaineers met earlier this season in Emmitsburg, and the Bobcats prevailed, 58-51, as a 6-point road favorite.  Quinnipiac is laying a bigger number this afternoon, and we'll take Mount St Mary's + the points in a revenge role.  Admittedly, the Mountaineers aren't playing their best ball of late.  They're 3-9 in league play, and lost by 30 points at Iona on Friday, which was their 3rd straight loss.  But the Bobcats are a horrid 7-28 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if such foe owned a losing conference record.  And they're 19-30-3 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season, including 3-9-2 ATS if the Bobcats were off back to back wins.  Take Mount St. Mary's as a big underdog this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Seton Hall.  The Blue Demons were routed by UConn, 90-76, on Tuesday.  And that was their 4th straight loss (both SU and ATS).  We'll take DePaul to bounce back off that blowout defeat, as Big East Conference teams have gone 194-132 ATS as road underdogs of +3 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss, if they're matched up against a Big East Conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  the Blue Demons are 12-3-1 ATS away from home off back to back ATS losses.  Take DePaul + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders come into this Atlantic 10 game off 4 straight losses, while Fordham is on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak after it won back to back home games to wrap up January.  We'll go against the Rams this afternoon, as they're a wallet-breaking 5-15 ATS away from home off back to back home wins, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Even worse:  they've won just 1 of the previous 19 meetings vs. the Spiders.  Take Richmond to blow out Fordham.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Atlanta.  The Hawks won last night in Salt Lake City, while Denver had Friday night off.  Unfortunately for Atlanta, teams playing on back to back days in the high altitude cities of Denver and Salt Lake City have covered just 39.1% since 1990 off a win, if their foe was rested.  Lay the points with Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies over Seattle.  The Aggies upset Stephen F. Austin, 73-67, on Wednesday, and return home to play the Redhawks who won the season's first meeting, 69-66.  We'll take New Mexico State, as the Aggies have covered 61.2% since 1990 in conference home games, if they were off a point spread win, and playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Florida.  The Gators pulled off a huge upset on Wednesday, as they defeated Tennessee, 67-54.  We'll fade Florida tonight, as it's 11-18-1 ATS as an underdog off an upset win, while Kentucky's 87-65-6 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Houston.  The Thunder have been the league's best point spread team this season, as they've covered 62.5%.  They did lose their last two games SU/ATS, including an upset loss at the hands of the Rockets.  We'll take OKC to avenge that defeat, as the Thunder have gone 66-45-2 ATS in non-division games when playing with revenge from an upset loss.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Miami.  The Heat won two meetings vs. Milwaukee in January.  But Giannis Antetokounmpo and Khris Middleton were sidelined for each game.  We'll take the Bucks to avenge those defeats, and win their 7th straight tonight.  Milwaukee has been awful as an underdog this season (4-8 ATS), but has gone 24-15-1 ATS when it wasn't an underdog, including 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS its last 10.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls minus the points over Portland.  The Bulls have been dominant as a home favorite, as they're 30-15 ATS their last 45.  Meanwhile, the Trail Blazers have been poor as an underdog, as they've gone 32-49-2 ATS their last 83.  That doesn't bode well for Portland tonight.  Nor does the fact that the Blazers had to play last night, while Chicago had Friday off.  Portland is a wallet-busting 6-17 ATS on the road when playing without rest, if their opponent was rested, and off a straight-up win.  Lay the points with Chicago.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over Dayton.  The Bonnies come into this home game off back to back upset wins over VCU and Richmond.  We'll look for St. Bonaventure to make it three-in-a-row, as it's 10-0 ATS at home its last 10 off an ATS win.  Take the Bonnies + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Northwestern St.  The Demons have won five straight, including an 80-65 victory over the Cardinals last Saturday, and are now 7-3 in Southland Conference play.  Unfortunately, they've covered just 22% off a win, when playing a revenge-minded opponent they defeated earlier in the season. We'll take Lamar in this rematch, as the Cardinals are 11-2-1 ATS as a home underdog priced from +5.5 to +13 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers have been installed as a road underdog this afternoon in Bloomington.  Unfortunately, for the #1-ranked Boilermakers, they're a horrid 37-60-6 ATS as single-digit road underdogs, including 3-10-3 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  With Indiana in off a 66-55 defeat at Maryland, we'll take the Hoosiers this afternoon to bounce back.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana State Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide blew out LSU last month, 106-66.  We'll take the revenge-minded Tigers this afternoon, as NCAA double-digit underdogs, playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat suffered earlier in the season, have covered 61% since 1990.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  We played against the Owls on Thursday, and got the $$$ with UAB.  And we'll go against Florida Atlantic once again, on this Saturday.  Charlotte lost by 4 points on the road vs. the Owls last month.  But the 49ers have covered 60.3% as home dogs when playing with revenge.  Take Charlotte + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Marquette.  The Bulldogs have lost their last 4 games SU/ATS, with each defeat by more than 20 points.  But off those 4 blowout losses, we'll take Butler, as NCAA teams off 4+ SU/ATS losses by more than 20 points have covered 62.9% since 1990.  Take Butler.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Drexel.  The Dragons smashed Monmouth, 67-35, last month.  We'll take Monmouth to avenge that embarrassing defeat, as NCAA home dogs have covered 65.3% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season in which they scored less than 38 points.  Take the Hawks.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers minus the points over Campbell. The Lancers return home off an upset loss at Winthrop.  And Longwood is 20-8-1 ATS at home its last 29, while Campbell is a poor 6-14 ATS vs. foes off a point spread loss.  Take Longwood.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU.  The Cowboys are favored in this game, and are 9-0 ATS their last nine as a favorite.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Morgan State Bears minus the points over Delaware State.  The Hornets won round 1 last Saturday as they defeated Morgan State, 64-62.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Newark, NJ, and we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bears, who have covered 83% the last 3 years when playing with same-season revenge.  Additionally, the Bears fall into a 60.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over NC State.  The Jackets were upset by Louisville, 68-58, on Wednesday.  We'll take Georgia Tech to bounce back this afternoon, as it's 18-4 ATS off a 9-point (or worse) upset loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Virginia.  The Home team has dominated this cross-state rivalry, with a 14-5 ATS record since February 2013, including 6-0 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points.  Lay the points with the Hokies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Kansas.  Kansas defeated the Cyclones by 2 points in Lawrence three weeks ago.  We'll take ISU in the rematch, as it's 46-30 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-2 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Iowa State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Boise State.  This Mountain West Conference game is between two teams with 8-2 league records, so the winner will sit alone in first place.  San Diego State was upset by Nevada on Tuesday, while Boise won that night at Air Force.  And those results set up our play tonight.  We'll lay the points with the homestanding Aztecs, as they fall into a 61% ATS system of mine.  What we want to do -- in conference match-ups between teams with > .750 league records (at Conference Game #10 forward) -- is play on teams off a loss vs. foes off wins.  Since 1990, our teams off a loss have cashed 61%.  Take the Aztecs on Friday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on Sacramento State over Eastern Washington.  The Eagles bested the Hornets, 78-75, earlier this season.  We'll take Sacramento State to avenge that defeat, as Big Sky Conference teams are 51-28-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if they didn't lose the season's previous meeting by more than 12 points.  Even better:  if our revenge-minded team wasn't favored by 2+ points, they our 51-28-1 ATS angle zooms to 37-14-1 ATS.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes are 4-12 ATS their last 16 as a favorite, and 1-8 ATS their last nine vs. California when favored by 5+ points.  Take the Golden Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  The Mustangs were blown out at home, 65-36, by Cal State Fullerton on Saturday, while UCSB comes into tonight's game off an upset win at Hawaii.  We'll take the points with Cal Poly SLO, as Big West Conference underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 75-30 ATS off a home loss, if they were playing a conference foe off an ATS win.  Take the Mustangs + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Pacific.  The Tigers are 0-7 ATS their last seven as a favorite.  And they're also a miserable 0-11-1 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 4 points.  Take Pepperdine + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Loyola Marymount.  Over the years, BYU has been solid as a home favorite (197-163-7 ATS), but awful as a home underdog (17-30-3 ATS).  Tonight, they're favored, and the Cougars have gone 21-12 (63.6% ATS) as a home favorite off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Dallas.  The Pelicans come into tonight's game seeking revenge from a 10-point loss last month, and I think they'll get it.  One reason is that the Mavericks have been horrible in the rebounding department since Christmas.  Indeed, in their last 18 games, the Mavericks have not out-rebounded any of their opponents!  Not surprisingly, they're 5-13 ATS in those games.  Even worse, Dallas has been dreadful as a favorite this season, and especially when laying more than 4 points, as it's 5-20-1 ATS, including 1-5 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent.  For the season, Dallas is also 4-10 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  And the Pelicans are 7-3-1 ATS their last 11 at Dallas when playing with revenge.  Take New Orleans + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oregon State.  ASU hasn't won since defeating these Beavers, 74-69, back on January 14.  Since then, Arizona State has dropped four straight.  So, the Beavers will surely be a welcome sight for the Sun Devils, as ASU has won the last 13 meetings vs. Oregon State in Tempe, and 21 of the last 22.  Arizona State is an awesome 28-8 ATS at home when it owned a .550 (or better) win percentage, and was off back to back losses!  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits edged the Fighting Hawks, 60-59, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take North Dakota + the points, as revenge-minded road teams have cashed 61.9% since 1990 vs. foes off a win, if our road team lost the season's previous meeting by a single point, and was off back to back losses.  Take the Fighting Hawks.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Liberty.  The Governors have been installed as a huge home dog.  And we'll take the points, as Austin Peay is 8-0 ATS as a home dog of more than 7 points, while the Flames are a poor 2-10 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points away from home.  Take Austin Peay.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers over Florida Atlantic.  We played against the Owls last Saturday and got the $$$ with Western Kentucky.  We'll come right back and go against Florida Atlantic again, as it will be taking on a UAB squad which seeks revenge from a narrow 2-point loss last month.  The Owls are 11-0 in Conference USA play this season.  But NCAA teams with an 11-0 (or better) conference record have cashed just 36% away from home when they were not favored by more than 4 points against a revenge-minded foe.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Stony Brook.  The Seawolves have burned money as a favorite of more than 3 points, as they're 12-24-2 ATS.  We'll take Elon as a road underdog, as it's 75-54 ATS on the road vs. foes off a SU win.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stetson Hatters minus the points over North Alabama.  Stetson comes into tonight's game with an 11-10 record after dropping its two previous games, but both were on the road.  Tonight's game is at home.  And the Hatters are 5-1 at home this season, and have covered the point spread at home by an average of 4.75 ppg.  Meanwhile, North Alabama is 0-7 ATS on the road vs. .475 (or better) foes off a loss.  Take Stetson minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on LSU + the points over Missouri.  Missouri is 16-5 after its blowout win over Iowa St.  We'll go against Mizzou tonight, as SEC Conference teams (like LSU) off 4 SU/ATS losses are a solid 20-4-1 ATS as underdogs vs. .750 (or better) conference foes.  That bodes well for LSU, which enters this game on a long, 8-game losing streak (and 7-game ATS losing streak).  Take LSU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  We had a big play on the Rockets in their last game, and were rewarded with an upset win, 117-114, over Detroit.  We'll switch gears and fade the Rockets tonight, as they're 24-60-3 ATS when playing at home vs. a losing team, and not favored by 13 (or more) points.  Here, of course, Houston is a home dog.  We'll take OKC minus the points vs. Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers upset UNC earlier this season at the Petersen Events Center.  But we'll lay the points with the Tar Heels tonight at Chapel Hill, as they're 8-1 ATS their last nine when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  And Pitt's 3-11 ATS its last 14 when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated in the season's previous meeting.  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bryant Bulldogs minus the points over Maine.  Bryant lost its last two games -- 98-79 at UMass Lowell, and 84-67 at Binghamton -- but is a super 8-0 ATS at home off back to back double-digit losses.  And it's 18-8 ATS off a point spread defeat.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Lowell River Hawks minus the points over Albany.  The River Hawks come into this game off back to back losses.  But those two games were on the road.  This evening's game is at home, where UMass Lowell is a perfect 11-0 this season.  It's also 5-3-1 ATS at home this season, and has covered the spread by an average of 2.66 ppg at home.  Albany, on the other hand, is 2-12 SU on the road (and 5-8 ATS), and has failed to cover the spread on the road by an average of 3.42 ppg.  Earlier this year, the Great Danes stunned the River Hawks, 89-63, as a 9 point home dog.  We'll lay the points River Hawks, as favorites of more than 10 points have covered 62% since 1990 when playing with revenge from an upset loss by more than 15 points earlier in the season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Denver.  The Pelicans lost, 99-98, at home to Denver a week ago.  We'll take New Orleans to avenge that defeat, as it's 88-52-3 ATS on the road off a loss, if it was also playing with revenge from a home defeat earlier in the season.  Take the Pelicans + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over UNLV.  The Rams return home tonight off an 0-2 road trip, as they lost at Wyoming (58-57) and at Boise State (80-59).  We'll lay the points with the Rams, as they're 41-23-2 ATS as a home favorite off back to back road games, including 9-1 ATS their last 10 when they were also off back to back losses.  Take Colorado State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Indiana.  Both of these teams are 11-1 at home this season, but own a losing record away from home.  Unfortunately for Indiana, this game is being play in College Park, MD.  The Hoosiers have failed to cover the spread by an average of 5.50 ppg away from home this season.  In contrast, they're covering the spread by 5.25 ppg at home, in Bloomington.  Take Maryland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Kansas State.  Earlier this season, the Wildcats upset Kansas, 83-82, in Manhattan.  We'll lay the points with Bill Self's men, as Kansas is 18-4 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, including 5-0 SU/ATS when matched-up against a .790 (or better) opponent.  And, since 1990, it's a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge against its rival, Kansas State, after the Wildcats defeated it earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Red Foxes were blown out, 70-55, by Siena, on Saturday.  But we'll look for Marist to bounce back tonight, as it's 17-3 ATS on the road off a double-digit loss when playing a foe also off a loss.  Take Marist.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Illinois.  The Illini routed Nebraska, 76-50, in Lincoln, three weeks ago.  We'll take the underdog 'Huskers tonight, as Big 10 teams have gone 142-91-7 ATS off a point spread defeat when playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) loss earlier in the season.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Bulldogs + the points over Florida A&M.  The Rattlers have not been a good point spread team at home, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine.  Meanwhile, Alabama State has excelled as a favorite of -10 points or less, as it's 16-7 ATS, including 8-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have been great at home this season, as they're 11-0 straight-up, and 7-4 ATS (and have covered by an average of 8.0 ppg).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Cyclones are just 2-4 straight-up, and have failed to cover the spread by 2.5 ppg.  And Iowa State is also a horrid 13-26 ATS its last 39 as a road favorite, including 5-17 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  It's true that the Cyclones blew out the Red Raiders, 84-50, earlier this month, in Ames.  But Big 12 teams are 33-14-3 ATS when playing with revenge from 24-point (or worse) defeat, if they weren't getting 7+ points in the current game.  Take Texas Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina State Bulldogs + the points over Howard.  The Bison won, 71-67, against NC Central on Saturday.  And that was Howard's 5th straight win (and 4th straight cover).  Still, Howard is a poor 6-17 ATS off a win, including 2-10 ATS vs. losing teams.  And South Carolina State is a solid 16-2 ATS its last 18 when playing with revenge.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over The Citadel.  Chicago State has been installed as a small road underdog tonight at The Citadel.  And the Cougars are a solid 17-6 ATS when they haven't been an underdog of more than 8 points.  Take Chicago State + the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals to go OVER the total.  These two AFC powerhouses met three times in 2022.  The Bengals won all three meetings by a field goal.  And all three games went for a total score NORTH of 50 points, as they totaled 65, 51 and 51 points.  The Over/Under line for this AFC Championship game is south of 50 points.  And the Chiefs have gone OVER in 9 of 11 games when the O/U line was 50 points or less.  We'll look for a relatively-high scoring game on Sunday.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the OVER in the Philadelphia/San Francisco game.  NFC Championship games have largely been high-scoring affairs.  Indeed, the last 31 NFC Title games have gone OVER 21-8-2.  It's true that the 49ers only scored 19 points last week, and their game went Under the total.  But they've still gone OVER in 9 of 13 games since trading for Christian McCaffrey.  And they're 5-0 OVER since October 9 following a game which went Under.  Additionally, the Eagles are 14-4 OVER when matched up against .700 (or better) foes when the O/U line was 48 or less.  Take the OVER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars +the points over Cleveland State.  The Jaguars have won just three times this season (and just once vs. Division 1 foes), but they are winning lately where it counts -- in Las Vegas.  IUPUI is 1-10 straight-up its last 11 games.  But it's also 8-2-1 ATS in those 11 games.  We'll take the points with IUPUI tonight, and go against Cleveland State, as Horizon League teams are 37-68 ATS when favored by more than 15 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners + the points over Hawaii.  Both teams come into this Big West Conference game off losses.  The Rainbow Warriors were upset by UC Santa Barbara on Thursday, while Bakersfield lost by 21 to Cal Davis.  We'll take the points with Bakersfield, as Big West teams have gone 79-58-3 ATS as road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss when matched up against a foe off an upset loss.  And Hawaii has gone 0-12 ATS as a favorite of 13+ points vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Cal State Bakersfield.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions have won the last two meetings vs. Pepperdine.  We'll take the points with Pepperdine, as revenge-minded conference underdogs have gone 33-10 ATS away from home vs. Loyola Marymount, including 22-4 ATS off a loss.  Take the Waves + the points.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers minus 1.5 goals over the Chicago Blackhawks.  Edmonton's 6-game win streak was snapped on Wednesday, as it lost, 3-2, here at home to Columbus.  But we'll take the Oilers to bounce back and blow out Chicago.  The Blackhawks are a miserable 12-55 their last 67 vs. winning foes, and 6-40 vs. foes with a scoring margin of at least 0.3 goals per game (Edmonton's margin is +0.42).  Lay the 1.5 goals with the Oilers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford.  California lost both home games last week to Oregon and Oregon State, and is now 2-7 in Pac-12 play.  We'll take the points with California as Pac-12 teams are 31-17-1 ATS as road dogs off back to back home losses.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Minnesota.  This is the first of back to back games in Minneapolis between these two teams.  Sacramento was upset by the Toronto Raptors, 113-95, on Wednesday.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with the Kings and go against a Timberwolves club which is 46-71-1 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Oklahoma St.  Ole Miss was blown out, 89-77, at home by Missouri on Tuesday.  But off that home loss, we'll take the Rebels to bounce back tonight, as Ole Miss is 20-6-1 ATS off a double-digit home loss.  And SEC Conference teams have cashed 61.5% in regular season non-conference games as a road underdog off a double-digit loss.  Take Mississippi + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets + the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset Brooklyn, 130-122, on Thursday.  They're favored vs. the Rockets tonight.  But Detroit hasn't won two in a row since November 23.  And it's 1-12 SU and 4-9 ATS its last 13 games off a SU win.  Even worse:  it's 0-15 SU/ATS at home off a 7-point (or greater) win.  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas have been installed as a home underdog today.  But they're a wallet busting 58-78-5 ATS as a home dog vs. Mid-American Conference foes.  Take the Broncos.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin-Green Bay + the points over Wright St.  The Raiders blew out the Phoenix, 99-67, on January 12.  We'll take the points with Green Bay, as it's 29-9-1 ATS when playing with revenge against a conference foe which scored 80+ points in the season's earlier meeting.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over VCU.  The Bonnies are 4-4 this season in Atlantic 10 Conference play, but are a double-digit dog this evening.  We'll take the points, as VCU is a poor 14-28-1 ATS its last 43 as a favorite of 9+ points vs. .500 (or better) Atlantic 10 Conference Foes.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats plus the points over Eastern Washington.  The Wildcats are on a 3-game win streak, and have been installed as a road underdog this afternoon vs. the Eagles, who have won 11 straight.  We'll take the points as Weber State is 15-8 ATS as a road underdog of +7 or less points (or PK).

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Jacksonville St.  The Governors have dropped five straight games, while the Gamecocks have lost seven of nine.  We'll take Austin Peay + the points as it's 40-22 ATS off back to back conference losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Maryland.  The Huskers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Penn State and Northwestern, while Maryland blew out Wisconsin, 73-55, in its previous game.  We'll take Nebraska, as it's 42-26-2 ATS off bck to back ATS losses, if its opponent was off a point spread win.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Hilltoppers lost the season's first meeting to the Owls, 76-62.  And that defeat started their current 4-game losing streak, which culminated with an upset loss at Florida International two days ago.  We'll grab the points with Western Kentucky this afternoon, as it's covered 69% as an underdog since 1990 off an upset road loss.  And Florida Atlantic is a poor 6-15 ATS as a favorite of -3 (or more) points vs. a revenge-minded opponent it defeated earlier in the season.  Take Western Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Norse come into this game off a SU/ATS win over Green Bay, and will be looking for a bit of payback today, as they were upset, 80-75, by the Panthers in Milwaukee earlier this season.  We'll lay the points with Northern Kentucky this afternoon, as it's 21-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge, including 9-0 ATS as a favorite off a SU/ATS win.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Bulldogs over the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats.  The Wildcats have been installed as a small favorite this afternoon.  We'll take the points, as Bethune-Cookman has covered just 37% as a favorite, while the Bulldogs are 25-15 ATS their last 40 on the road.  Take the points with Alabama St.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Utah Valley St.  This is the Aggies' 3rd straight road game.  They lost the first two, but the Aggies are 16-3 ATS in conference games off back to back road losses, including 6-0 ATS on the road.  Take New Mexico State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over TCU.  Miss State comes into this game on a 5-game losing streak, but will certainly be heartened by a 3-point loss to the #2-ranked Alabama Crimson Tide on Wednesday.  The Bulldogs are 54-22-1 ATS off back to back losses when not getting 5+ points.  Take Mississippi State + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Illinois.  Wisky comes into this game with a 4-5 record in Big 10 play.  But it's a super 55-28-1 ATS in conference games when it's owned a .500 (or worse) conference record.  Take the Badgers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over the Alabama Crimson Tide.  The Sooners come into this game vs. the #2-ranked Tide off a 27-point loss at TCU.  But the Sooners are 23-7-1 ATS at home off a loss by 14+ points.   And it's 10-1 ATS at home its last 11 vs. SEC conference foes.  Meanwhile, Alabama is 0-7 ATS on the road vs. Big 12 foes.  Take the Sooners + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.