Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Buffalo.  The Rockets play with revenge from a 30-point loss last month at Buffalo.  Toledo has a sparkling 20-4 record, including 11-1 at home, and 8-3 inside the Mid-American Conference).  And it's also won its last 5 games, straight-up, and its last four against the spread.  We'll grab the points, as .666 (or better) teams, off back-to-back SU/ATS wins and playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, have cashed 67.8% at home over the past 28 seasons.  Take Toledo.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Hawaii.  The Mustangs fall into a variation of my favorite College Basketball system, which is 411-246 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, they lost their previous game, 76-68 at home to Long Beach State.  But Big West Conference underdogs of 9+ points have covered 65.5% in Conference games off a SU/ATS home loss.  Take Cal Poly SLO.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on Loyola Marymount + the points over Gonzaga.  The Lions have won 12 of their last 14 home games, and are 9-5-1 ATS their last 15 as home underdogs.  They played Gonzaga earlier this season in Spokane, and hung tough in an 18-point loss (as a 23-point road underdog).  We'll grab the big number of points tonight, as the Lions fall into a 48-17 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off blowout wins (Gonzaga routed St. Mary's, 94-46, last Saturday).  Take the Lions + the points.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Toronto Maple Leafs.  The Knights were big favorites on Tuesday at home, but were stunned by the Arizona Coyotes, 5-2.  This despite the fact that they out-shot their visiting rivals by a whopping 43-26.  It was the Knights' fourth-straight home loss -- all as a prohibitive favorite -- and their task here at T-Mobile Arena doesn't get any easier with the Maple Leafs coming to town.  This will be Toronto's first visit to Las Vegas since New Years Eve 2017, a game which the home team won easily, 6-3.  In fact the home team is undefeated in this series, although it's a pretty small sample size (three games).  The Knights tend to come back with guns blazing after an embarrassing defeat like the one they just experienced.  In their last 16 games after allowing five goals or more, the Knights are 11-5 (and they are 43-18 in their last 61 after scoring two or less).  Despite his recent struggles, Vegas goalie Marc-Andre Fleury still leads the league with 29 victories and six shutouts.  Take the Golden Knights.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Utah.  The Wildcats come into this game off 5 straight losses, including back to back games in the past week as a home favorite vs. Washington and Washington State, and are now 5-6 in Pac-12 Conference play.  Meanwhile, Utah comes into this game off back to back road upset wins at USC and UCLA, and is 7-4 inside the conference.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Utes as a small home favorite, especially since they've also won and covered six of their last eight, own the better conference record, and have revenge from a 3-point loss at Arizona earlier this season.  But this is a classic example of a sucker bet.  To wit:  over the last 22 seasons, .750 (or worse) teams, off back to back upset home defeats, have cashed 83% vs. foes off back to back upset wins on the road.  Even better:  the Wildcats have won 19 of the last 21 meetings straight-up, including 3-1 SU/ATS as an underdog, and 9-1 SU/ATS when not favored by 8+ points.  Finally, the Wildcats are 39-25 ATS when they didn't own a winning Pac-12 Conference record.  Take Arizona + the points. College Hoops Sucker Bet of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic minus the points over Charlotte.  The Magic have won and covered four straight, including a 20-point blowout of the league's #1 team, Milwaukee.  I won't step in front of them here, at home, tonight, as they play with revenge from a 25-point loss to Charlotte on New Year's Eve.  And that defeat has triggered a very good 84-46 ATS revenge system of mine.  Even worse for the Hornets:  they've covered just 34 of their last 100 games when installed as an underdog.  Take Orlando minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Towson.  The Blue Hens are on an 0-5-1 ATS losing streak.  However, we'll grab the points with them tonight, as they're an awesome 26-9-2 ATS on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including a perfect 10-0-1 ATS vs. an opponent off an ATS win.  With Towson off a 66-59 win over James Madison, as a 3-point favorite, we'll fade the Tigers, and take the points with the Blue Hens.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Drexel.  The Dragons are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games.  But this ATS win streak has triggered a negative 112-208 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Dukes lost by five points at Drexel back in January.  However, Colonial Athletic Association teams are a solid 227-177 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, if they weren't off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent was off an ATS cover.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Houston.  The Cougars come into tonight's game off a huge win over Cincinnati last weekend.  Houston and Cincy were both 9-1 inside the AAC Conference, so Houston's 7-point win catapulted it into sole possession of 1st place.  One of the things I love to do is play against teams off wins in meetings between two top conference teams (with win percentages of .866 or better).  Such teams suffer letdowns over 60% of the time in their next game (and 67% if they're laying more than 6 points).  Indeed, we saw this just two days ago when Duke struggled to defeat Louisville after defeating Virginia in its previous game.  Take the points with Connecticut.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are just 12-45 this season, but did win their most recent game, 107-104, vs. New York.  Off that win, we'll fade Cleveland, as NBA home dogs off a straight-up win, that have won less than 22 percent of their games, have cashed just 36% since 1990 vs. .500 (or better) non-division foes.  Additionally, the Cavaliers are 12-24 ATS at home off a win, while Brooklyn is 44-25 ATS its last 69 road games.  Take the Nets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over South Florida.  The Knights have won 10 of their last 11 at home this season, with their only loss coming against #9-ranked Houston.  Tonight, they'll face the South Florida Bulls, and they've defeated South Florida six straight times, and eight of the last nine (6-3 ATS).  Over the last four seasons, the Knights are an awesome 45-6 straight-up and 33-17-1 ATS as a favorite, including 12-1-1 ATS when priced from -5 to -8 points.  Even better:  the Bulls are a horrid 43-75-1 ATS when priced as an underdog of +4.5 to +8 points, including 18-44-1 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Vegas Golden Knights over the Arizona Coyotes.  The Coyotes won for the first time in six games (their first win of the month) on Saturday, 3-2.  Their reward for beating a Dallas Stars team at home on that occasion is to go into one of the toughest arenas in the league to face the defending Stanley Cup Finalists from the West.  The Knights played a lackluster game here on the Strip on Saturday, falling to the Blue Jackets 4-3 in just their seventh home defeat in regulation this season.  No doubt the team was tired after returning from a grueling four-game eastern road trip, so the two days of home rest that they have enjoyed will likely come in handy tonight.  The Knights have lost to the Coyotes only once in their franchise history -- a 3-2 defeat last March -- but avenged that defeat with 2 wins this season, including a 5-1 blowout in the last meeting.  Vegas is 7-1 in its last eight games playing on two days of rest, while Arizona is 12-42 when it lost its previous meeting to its opponent by more than 2 goals.  Take the Golden Knights.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  Miss State comes into this game off back to back home losses to LSU and Kentucky.  I look for the 3rd game to be the charm, as Miss State falls into a 41-9 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Even better:  the Bulldogs are 94-62 ATS at home off a loss, and they're 49-24 ATS at home when playing with revenge, including 36-12 ATS if they weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St Johns Red Storm minus the points over Butler.  The Bulldogs come into this game at Carnesecca Arena off back to back wins over Seton Hall and Georgetown, while St Johns lost its last game -- here at home -- to Providence.  Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, they're 0-6 ATS this season off back to back wins, while St Johns is a super 11-3 ATS its last 14 off a home defeat.  That bodes well for St Johns tonight.  As does the fact that the Johnnies fall into a 95-56 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home losses.  Lay the points.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers minus the points over Boston.  This is the first time the Sixers have played the Celtics here at home since their 5-game Playoff series loss last year.  And there's probably not a game on the Sixers' schedule in these final two months which means more to this team.  Philly comes into this game off back to back home wins over Denver and the LA Lakers.  And Philly is a jaw-dropping 39-4 straight-up and 32-11 ATS its last 43 regular season home games when it was favored by 4+ points, including 8-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Sixers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies won, 99-90, here on Saturday vs. the Pelicans, and will try to make it two-in-a-row tonight when they take on their historical nemesis.  The Grizzlies haven't had much success vs. San Antonio, as they've won just 10 of the previous meetings, though they were victorious in the last meeting, back on January 9.  Unfortunately for Memphis, this is a horrible situational spot, as they will face a desperate San Antonio squad.  The Spurs' annual Rodeo Road Trip is not off to a good start, as they've lost the first four games of this eight-game trek, including a 20-point loss at Utah on Saturday.  But I love the Spurs to bounce back tonight, and blow out Memphis, as San Antone is 20-12 ATS in its Rodeo Road Trip games, if it's rested and off a loss, including a perfect 6-0 ATS if it was also playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Spurs are also 18-0 ATS off back to back losses, if they (i) lost by more than 11 points on the road in their previous game, (ii) were not getting 3+ points, and (iii) were playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Take San Antonio minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Ottawa Senators.  Hard to believe, but tonight's game in Ottawa is actually a revenge match-up for the visiting Hurricanes.  The Sens put a pretty good beating on the 'Canes in Raleigh back on January 18, 4-1.  It's also a bit hard to believe that the Senators are riding their third two-game win streak since the start of the new year.  28-year-old journeyman goalie Anders Nilsson has all of a sudden turned into Patrick Roy as he has put up some ridiculous numbers as the back-up to Craig Anderson since joining the Senators.  Given Nilsson's career numbers prior to coming to Ottawa (a 39-54-13 record with a goals-against above 3.00), he will almost certainly come back down to earth, especially considering the number of shots he's been facing lately.  This is the final game of a successful 5-game road trip for the 'Canes as they've gone 3-1 so far including dominant, shut-out victories in Pittsburgh and New York City.  The Senators are 4-11 (minus 8 games on the money line) in their last 15 games following two or more consecutive home victories.  Take the Hurricanes.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Quinnipiac.  The Broncos have lost their last four games, and they were favored in those four games by 4.5, 8, 9 and 7 points.  But off those string of losses, we'll step in and take the Broncs on the road this evening.  For technical support, consider that road teams off four upset defeats have covered 77.2% over the past 29 years.  Take Rider.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Dallas, as Houston falls into 133-81, 95-59 and 67-25 ATS systems of mine.  Yesterday, the Mavericks came back from a 15-point, 4th-quarter deficit to upset the Portland Trail Blazers, 102-101.  Off that upset win, we'll go against the Mavericks on the road tonight, as they're 11-29 straight-up, and 14-25-1 ATS on the road off an upset win, including 1-7 SU/ATS their last eight.  Meanwhile, Houston comes into this game off a home loss to OKC.  And Houston is a super 33-7 straight-up, and 28-12 ATS off a home defeat if the Rockets owned a winning record.  Finally, the Rockets play this game with revenge from two losses earlier this season to Dallas.  And Houston is 13-0 ATS when playing with double-revenge against foes with a win percentage from .400 to .800.  Take Houston.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves minus the points over the LA Clippers.  Los Angeles stormed back from a 28-point deficit to shock Boston, 123-112, as an 11.5-point road underdog.  But off that upset win, we will fade the Clippers tonight.  Los Angeles is an awful 1-15 straight-up and 2-14 ATS as a non-division underdog off a win, including 0-7 ATS off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Timberwolves are a strong 10-3 straight-up and 11-2 ATS their last 11 vs. foes off an upset win, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if the T-Wolves were off an upset win.  Finally, the Clippers are a horrid 47-73-3 ATS as an underdog off a SU/ATS win, if they were playing a revenge-minded opponent.  With Minny playing with revenge from an 11-point loss to the Clippers earlier this season, we'll lay the points. Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Penguins are riding a four-game losing streak coming into tonight, including Sunshine State losses at Florida (3-2) and Tampa Bay (5-4) their last two times on the ice.  Superstar Center Evgeni Malkin has missed the last five games due to an upper body injury.  Malkin could be activated in time for tonight's game in Philadelphia and no doubt the rest of the team is hoping that he will be recovered and can join them.  But even if Malkin isn't ready tonight, there are some solid reasons to like the Pens in this match-up.  Most obvious is the fact that Wells Fargo Center has been very kind to them recently as the Pens are 5-0 in their last five trips here.  Second -- and just as obvious -- is the fact that the road team has dominated this series lately, taking each of the last six meetings.  Finally, the Flyers are still without their top two goalies.  And even though Carter Hart has been fantastic filling in, the rookie's workload has to be of some concern, especially when he has to face a team like the Pens.  Pittsburgh is 10-1 (+8 games on the money line) in its last 11 coming off back-to-back road losses, and 62-35 after allowing more than 3 goals.  Take the Pens.  NHL Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over South Florida.  The Bulls are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  And among their wins in this stretch was a 20-point blowout of East Carolina on January 26.  We'll take the double-digits in this rematch, as college basketball teams off 3 SU/ATS wins have covered just 51 of 142 if they defeated their opponent by 14+ points earlier in the season, and their opponent is off a loss by 14+ points.  With East Carolina, indeed, off a 65-49 loss to Wichita in its last game, we'll grab the points with the Pirates on Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over Buffalo.  These two teams met in Winnipeg earlier this season, and the Sabres handed the Jets a rare loss on their home ice, by a 2-1 score, in a game which needed seven rounds of a shootout to determine the winner.  The Jets are an outstanding 30-12 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  And they're also 16-6 off a road defeat by more than 2 goals.  Take the Jets.  NHL Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Siena.  Rider has dropped its last seven games to the point spread, and has lost its last three, overall.  That's the bad news.  The good news is that the Broncs still only have four losses in Metro Atlantic Conference play, which ties them in the loss column atop the conference with Monmouth, Quinnipiac, Canisius, and today's opponent, Siena.  And they'll likely be favored in six of their final seven Conference games, so they still have a great shot to finish with the #1 seed in the MAAC Tournament.  We'll lay the points with the Broncs this afternoon, as they fall into a 54-25 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Also, Siena's a horrid 10-27-1 ATS when playing an opponent off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Rider.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over La Salle.  The Explorers have won four straight games to move their record to 7-14 on the season.  This afternoon, they'll take on a George Mason team coming off back to back losses.  Unfortunately, the Explorers have covered just 2 of 15 off four straight covers since 1990, including 0-7 ATS since January 9, 2008.  Meanwhile, George Mason is 51-34 ATS off back to back ATS losses.  And the Patriots are also a fantastic 49-19-3 ATS off a loss when playing an opponent which is not a winning team, including 13-0 ATS their last 13 if their opponent is off a win.  Take George Mason.

At 12:35 pm, our selection is on the Nashville Predators over St. Louis.  These two teams met in the Gateway City yesterday, and the Blues won, 3-2, to earn at least a point in 11 of their last 12 games.  We'll take Nashville in the rematch this afternoon, as the Predators have won six of the last eight in this series, overall, and have also won the last nine in Nashville (by an aggregate score of 34-11).  The Preds are also 53-25 when playing with revenge.  Take Nashville. NHL High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on ESPN TV, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Washington.  Arizona State had an awful game its last time on the court, as it lost by 21, at home, to Washington State.  We had a big play on Washington State in that game, so we weren't wholly surprised.  Here, though, we'll back the Sun Devils, as they're 19-10 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off an upset home defeat.  Moreover, ASU falls into a 195-130 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in their previous game.  Take the Sun Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on the Big 10 TV Network, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Purdue.  The 'Huskers have lost their last five games all as favorites -- and are 0-6 SU/ATS their last six, overall.  We'll grab the points with Nebraska, as College basketball teams have covered 88.2% on the road over the past 27 years off 4 (or more) upset losses.  Take the Cornhuskers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Old Dominion.  The Blue Raiders have won and covered three straight games.  And they fall into several "momentum" systems of mine, with records of 27-2, 22-2 and 46-14 ATS since 1990.  Even better:  the Blue Raiders are a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs. the Monarchs since 2014.  Take Middle Tennessee + the points.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon State.  We played on California on Wednesday, and got the $$$ when they covered the 16-point spread at Oregon.  That was the 2nd straight cover for the Bears, and I look for them to win their 3rd straight "in Vegas" today, as they're once again a double-digit dog.  The Beavers, meanwhile, were upset, 83-60, by Stanford, on Thursday.  And they have covered just 3 of 12 at home when favored by 13+ points off a loss.  Even worse:  NCAA favorites of more than 6 points have cashed just 28 of 80 conference games off a 21-point (or worse) upset conference defeat.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Montana St.  The Vandals come into this game off a 100-59 blowout loss, at Montana.  And that was their eighth straight defeat (and seventh straight point spread loss).  Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won their last two, and covered their last four  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Bobcats and against the "cold" Vandals.  But underdogs (or PK'em teams) off 3 SU/ATS losses, that gave up 99+ points in their previous game, have cashed 88% over the last 29 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, the Vandals fall into 135-88 and 403-217 ATS systems of mine that play on certain underdogs off blowout losses.  Grab the points with the Vandals. BIG SKY GAME OF THE YEAR!

At 4 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Hofstra.  The Tribe lost by 12 points, 72-60, at Northeastern, on Thursday.  But they played a much better game earlier this season against this afternoon's opponent, when they lost by just 3 to Hofstra. 93-90.  Generally speaking, road teams off double-digit conference losses have done very well over the past 29 years in a regular season's second meeting, if they narrowly lost the first meeting by 3 points or less.  And William & Mary is also a strong 33-13-1 ATS when playing with revenge, including 7-0-1 ATS off a loss by 7+ points.  Take William & Mary.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Northeastern.  Elon was drilled, 102-61, by Hofstra, on Thursday.  However, Colonial Athletic Association teams, off a 40-point (or worse) conference defeat, have cashed 80% of conference games since 1990.  Likewise, Colonial teams off a conference defeat in which they gave up 90+ points, and failed to cover by 10+ points, have rebounded to go 64-34 ATS in Colonial Athletic Ass'n games.  Take Elon.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Ottawa Senators.  While most of the NHL headlines these days might involve the Lightning, Flames, Capitals, Golden Knights, or Penguins, the Winnipeg Jets are very quietly putting together one of the best seasons in the league.  Winnipeg has climbed its way atop the Central Division ahead of Nashville while currently posting the third-best overall record.  And you need to look no further than the goal crease to find the biggest reason for the Jets' recent success.  The goaltending tandem of Connor Hellebuyck and Laurent Brossoit has been ultra-tough of late.  Little-known Brossoit doesn't have enough games to qualify for the goalie leaders.  But if he did, he would be right up at the top with a 2.09 GAA and .940 saves pct in 13 games.  On the other end of the spectrum are the Senators.  Ottawa's 45 points in 54 games ranks it as the worst team in the league.  The Sens beat a bad Ducks team on Thursday despite being out-shot 45-35.  The Jets are 15-4 (+10 games on the money line) in their last 19 games immediately following a loss.  Take Winnipeg.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Minnesota, as Michigan State falls into several of my favorite NCAA systems, including a 71-29 ATS angle, and a 58-18 ATS system.  The Spartans had won 13 straight games (and covered nine straight) prior to their game at Purdue, on January 27.  We played against Michigan State that afternoon, and easily got the $$$ when Purdue blew out MSU.  The Spartans, however, didn't bounce back off that loss, and instead also lost their next two games -- both as double-digit favorites -- vs. Indiana and Illinois.  I love the Spartans to bounce back today, as home teams have cashed 67% over the past 29 years off back-to-back losses as double-digit favorites, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Spartans.  BIG 10 FAVE OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Los Angeles Kings.  With his 1-0 shutout over the Capitals on February 3, Tuukka Rask became the winningest goaltender in Bruins franchise history.  And at only 31-years-old, Rask potentially still has plenty of years left to add to his legacy in Boston.  With a 2.30 GAA and .924 saves pct in his 29 games (28 starts), Rask is having arguably his best season since he won the Vezina Trophy in 2013-2014.  After back-to-back victories over two very good teams (the Caps and Isles), Rask took a night off on Wednesday and the Bruins paid for it, dropping a 4-3 SO decision to the Rangers in New York.  He will be back in net today at home to face the 23-31 Kings.  Los Angeles ended the Flyers win streak in its last game, beating them in Philadelphia on Thursday, 3-2 -- the Kings' third win in a row on this current east coast road swing.  Unfortunately for L.A., the Bruins are 6-1 in their last seven games coming off of a close road loss by one goal while the Kings are 7-15 in their last 22 coming off of a win.  Take Boston.  NHL HIGH ROLLER WINNER.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Kentucky.  The Bulldogs were upset by LSU, 92-88, here in Starkville, on Wednesday.  We'll grab the points with Miss State, as it's 19-3-1 ATS as a home underdog (or PK) off a straight-up loss, including 10-0 ATS when getting 4 or more points.  Take Mississippi State + the points.  PERFECT 10 CLUB PLAY.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Kent State.  The Zips return home tonight off a loss at Toledo.  And the Zips hardly ever lose at home.  They're 10-1 here this season, and 203-31 straight-up, and 98-78-4 ATS at home since 2004, including 9-3 ATS vs. .750 (or better) conference opponents.  Akron's also 22-10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less.  Take the Zips.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  The Wizards play with revenge from a loss to these Cavaliers, and they're 9-0 ATS this season at home when playing with revenge.  And they're also 17-0 ATS their last 17 at home when playing with revenge if they owned a win percentage less than .485.  That bodes well for Washington tonight.  As does the fact that the Cavs are 8-16-1 ATS as underdogs of more than 9 points.  Finally, since 1996, favorites playing with double-revenge from two losses earlier in the season, including an upset defeat in the previous meeting, have cashed 62% ATS in the regular season against teams off a point spread win.  Take Washington.  NBA Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over Quinnipiac.  The Gaels have lost three straight, including an upset home loss to Siena last Saturday.  Meanwhile, Quinnipiac upset Niagara, 84-73, on the road last Sunday.  Unfortunately for the Bobcats, road underdogs off an upset road win have performed poorly vs. foes off upset home defeats.  Since 1990, they're 57-204 straight-up and 110-145-6 ATS.  And Iona's a perfect 8-0 ATS its last eight off a home loss.  Lay the points with the Gaels.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Canisius.  Rider's point spread losing streak has now reached six games, including back-to-back upset losses in its last two games.  But this losing streak has triggered a 78% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, off back to back upset losses, that are matched up against losing teams.  Take Rider minus the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks.  Jacksonville State was upset, at home, by Austin Peay last Saturday.  And that defeat lowered the Gamecocks' record inside the Ohio Valley Conference to 8-2, and moved them into a four-way tie for first place with Austin Peay, Murray State and Belmont.  I love the Gamecocks to rebound off that loss, as they're 7-2 their last nine off an upset loss, and they're 95-66 ATS on the road if they're not off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, the Skyhawks have covered just 26 of their last 69 as a home underdog.  Take Jacksonville State minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over South Florida.  The Mustangs come into this game off back to back losses to Wichita State and Cincinnati.  But SMU was a road underdog in each of those two games; here, it's a home favorite.  SMU is a super 22-10-1 ATS its last 33 as a home favorite, while it's covered just seven of its last 24 games away from home.  Meanwhile, the Bulls are an atrocious 52-104-1 ATS vs. .725 (or worse) opponents when priced as an underdog of +1.5 to +8 points.  Take the Mustangs.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats over Washington.  The Huskies have won their last 11 games, while Arizona has dropped its last three.  But each of Arizona's last three losses were away from home, where the Wildcats were road underdogs.  And Arizona's covered just one of its previous nine games as underdogs away from home.  In contrast, the Wildcats are 21-8 ATS at home off back to back losses.  And they're 6-1 ATS -- regardless of venue -- off 3 or more losses.  Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils come into this game off a big win over their rival, Arizona.  But they have not fared well in the game immediately after playing their rival, as they've gone 17-29-1 ATS.  Even worse for the Sun Devils:  they're a horrid 7-27 ATS off a conference win, including 1-9 ATS as a favorite of -6 or more points.  Take Washington State.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over Montreal.  The Jets had their 3-game win streak snapped on Tuesday, when they lost, 3-2, to San Jose.  Meanwhile, Montreal won its second straight game with a 4-1 blowout of Anaheim two days ago.  I love Winnipeg to bounce back on this Thursday night, as it's 9-0 off a home loss by a goal, while Montreal is an awful 0-5 at home after not allowing 2 or more goals in its previous game.  Take the Jets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the St. Louis Blues.  These two teams met six times between March of 2004 and December 1 2006, with the Blues taking all six of those meetings.  Since that last victory more than two years ago however, they've only met three times with the Bolts going 3-0.  They didn't play each other in calendar year 2018 and this will be their first meeting of this season.  The Blues have enjoyed winning seasons every year since 2010, but with just 24 wins in 51 games, they are in danger of posting a losing campaign.  Rookie goalie Jordan Binnington has started six straight games, but with the youngster having gotten the call in Tuesday night's win, the Blues will probably have to turn to veteran Jake Allen tonight.  Allen has struggled mightily this season (15-19; 3.04 GAA) and that could be a big problem against the high-powered Bolts offense.  Tampa is 12-1 in its last 13 immediately following a loss, and 46-17 at home when the total is 6 goals or more.    Take the Lightning.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Detroit.  The Norse were upset, 69-67, by Illinois-Chicago, on Sunday.  But I love them to bounce back, at home, tonight, as they have cashed 63% as a favorite off an upset loss, and 78% as a double-digit favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  The Norse have covered four of the last five vs. the Titans, and have won the last two meetings by 28 and 22 points.  Lay it.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon.  The Bears fall into one of my favorite NCAA systems, which has cashed 67.7% since 1990.  And they are a live underdog tonight against an Oregon team which was blown out by 22 in its last game.  Even better:  the Bears have dominated this series, as they are 25-11-2 ATS in the last 38 meetings, including 17-3 ATS if they were off a point spread win.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over Chicago.  The Blackhawks have won four straight games.  But they've been out-shot in those four wins, 149-129.  And the Blackhawks have out-shot their opponent just once in their last 11 games, and have been out-shot, in the aggregate, by 8.3 shots per game (420-329).  This season, Chicago's won just 10 of its 27 road games, and was shutout here in the last meeting, 4-0, on November 1st.  The Oilers also won the other meeting this season -- in Chicago -- by a 2-1 score.  The Blackhawks are an awful 27-50 when playing with revenge, including 4-16 (minus 10 games on the money line) their last 20 when playing with double revenge.  And they're 6-18 off a road win.  Meanwhile, the favorite in this series is 13-5 in the last 18 meetings.  Take the Oilers.  NHL Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Manhattan.  The Jaspers come into tonight's game off back to back wins over Fairfield and St Peters, while Rider was upset by Monmouth in its previous game.  Unfortunately for the Jaspers, they're 0-11 ATS as underdogs of +5 or more points, if they were off a win, and their opponent was off an upset defeat.  Additionally, the Broncs fall into a super 65-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Take Rider.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Milwaukee.  The Nets have been one of the pleasant surprises this season.  After going 28-54 last season (and 15-26 at home), the Nets are off to a winning start (28-26) this season, and would be seeded 6th in the Eastern Conference, if the season ended today.  Brooklyn did lose its last two games -- to the Spurs and Magic -- but both of those were on the road.  Tonight's game is back in Brooklyn, where the Nets have quietly won nine straight games (6-3 ATS), and 13 of their last 14 (10-4 ATS).  Among Brooklyn's victims in this 14-game stretch were Toronto, Boston, and the Lakers (before LeBron James sustained his injury).  On Monday night, the Nets will try to make it 10-in-a-row at home when they welcome the league's #1 team to Barclays Center.  It's true that the Bucks have won 3 straight games.  But Milwaukee is a horrid 51-105-4 ATS off 3+ wins, when playing a rested opponent, including 5-25 ATS their last 30 when their foe was off back to back losses.  Take Brooklyn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Carolina Hurricanes.  Bill Peters coached the Hurricanes for the last four seasons without much success during that time.  Now, in his first season as skipper of the Flames, Peters is poised to have a breakthrough season.  The Flames looked a lot like the 'Canes last season, posting just 37 wins with Glen Gulutzan behind the bench for the second straight season.  But now that Peters is in charge, Calgary is poised to win its first Division Title since the 2005-2006 season.  The Flames have a commanding six point lead over the second place Sharks in the Pacific Division, although they come into this game having lost their last one on Friday night, 4-3, to the Caps.  This will be the second meeting of the season for these two, as the Flames beat the 'Canes at home on January 22, 3-2 in OT.  That loss to the Caps may bode well for the Flames tonight as they are 13-2 (+11 games on the money line) in their last 15 after allowing four or more goals in their previous game.  Meanwhile, the Canes are 2-7 in their last nine vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600.  Take Calgary.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Wild over the Chicago Blackhawks.  For the second time this season, the Blackhawks are on a three game winning streak after exploding for seven goals on just 30 shots against the Sabres on Friday night.  They've yet to win four in a row this season and in fact you have to go back to December of 2017 to find the last time the 'Hawks strung together more than three consecutive victories.  The Blackhawks have beaten the Wild in the last two meetings, the last of which was at the end of December in Chicago when they pounded them, 5-2.  But the Wild are 28-11 (+15 games on the money line) in their last 39 games when avenging a road loss by a margin of two or more goals.  This has also been a very home-friendly series lately as the host has won each of the last four meetings.  Even worse for Chicago:  this will be the first time the Blackhawks have played on back-to-back days since January 6 and 7.  And they are 6-20 in their last 26 games playing without rest.  Take Minnesota.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Central Michigan.  The Broncos were blown out at home, 93-67, as a 1-point underdog, last Saturday.  But off that defeat, we'll take the points with them on the road this afternoon, as single-digit College Basketball road dogs have covered 67% since 1990 if they failed to cover the spread by 25+ points at home in their previous game, and their opponent is off an ATS win.  Additionally, Western Michigan falls into a 195-127 ATS system of mine.  Take the Broncos.  MAC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Chattanooga Moccasins + the points over East Tennessee State.  The Mocs have dropped their last 3 games, including an upset loss here, at home, to Western Carolina on Thursday.  Meanwhile, the Bucs are on a 2-game SU/ATS win streak.  This will be the season's 2nd meeting between these teams.  They met earlier this season in Johnson City, and the Buccaneers blew out the Mocs by 26 points.  But that defeat has triggered my very best revenge system, which is 130-50 ATS since 1990.  Even better for Chattanooga:  NCAA revenge-minded teams have cashed 65% at home over the past 29 years if they lost by 24+ points in the season's first meeting, and were off an upset loss in their previous game, while their opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  Take Chattanooga + the points. Southern Conf. Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Hofstra.  The Pride are 19-3 on the season, and have won 16 straight games, yet find themselves installed as an underdog for just the 4th time all season.  And how did they do in their first three games this season when dressed up as an underdog?  They lost all three, of course (so, they're 16-0 straight-up when favored this season).  The Huskies come into this game with a 6-3 SU/ATS record inside the Colonial Athletic Ass'n.  And they're 12-9 SU and 10-10 ATS, overall, this season.  Since 1990, College teams on a 14-game (or better) win streak (like Hofstra) have covered just 35% when installed as an underdog vs. an opponent which doesn't have a losing ATS record.  Take Northeastern to rout the Pride.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Washington.  This series has been dominated by the Bruins, who have won eight of the past 10 meetings.  And they've covered the spread in the last three, and nine of the last 12.  UCLA also comes into this game off their two most impressive performances of the season.  The Bruins blew out Arizona, 90-69, as a 2.5-point favorite last weekend, and then crushed Washington State, 87-67, as a 4.5-point favorite.  That doesn't bode well for the Huskies, who have covered just 35% as home favorites in the last 29 years vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS wins, if the Huskies owned a winning conference record.  Even worse:  Washington falls into a negative 14-40 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on 10-game (or better) win streaks.  Take UCLA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Mary's Gaels minus the points over San Francisco.  St. Mary's should be in an ornery mood tonight, as it comes into the game off an upset loss to the Pepperdine Waves.  The Dons upended the Gaels, in San Francisco, earlier this season.  But St. Mary's is a jaw-dropping 28-7 ATS as a favorite, priced from -3.5 to -12 points, when playing with revenge.  And it also falls into a 74-35 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Take the Gaels minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over Virginia.  We played against the Cavaliers on Tuesday, and got the $$$ with NC State as a 7-point road underdog.  Here, of course, the Cavs are laying almost three times as many points to Miami, and we'll go against Virignia once again.  The 'Canes are off four SU/ATS losses, including an 82-70 defeat to Virginia Tech on Wednesday.  But Miami's a superb 53-20 ATS away from home, as a double-digit dog, if it didn't lose its previous game by more than 15 points.  Take the Hurricanes.  And it also falls into a 304-193 ATS system of mine.  Take Miami.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns plus the points over Coastal Carolina.  We played against the Cajuns their last time out, as we took Appalachian St. +1 over Lafayette, and were rewarded with a 104-77 win.  However, off that 27-point beat down, I look for La-Lafayette to rebound with an upset win of its own, this afternoon, as it falls into a 195-127 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off really bad losses.  Moreover, the Cajuns are 7-0 ATS their last seven off a double-digit upset loss.  Take Louisiana Lafayette + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over South Carolina.  The Bulldogs were blown out on the road, 70-60, by Arkansas, on Tuesday.  However, Georgia is a super 45-24 ATS off a double-digit defeat on the road, including 9-2 ATS when priced from PK to -3.  And it also falls into a 60% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that don't have a winning record.  Take the Bulldogs.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers over South Florida, as they fall into a 140-63 ATS system of mine.  The Tigers dropped to 5-3 in AAC Conference play this past Wednesday when they were upset by Tulsa, 95-79.  I look for the Tigers to rebound this afternoon, as they're an awesome 42-24-3 ATS off an upset loss, including 13-6-1 ATS on the road.  Meanwhile, the Bulls check in off a 20-point win at East Carolina last Sunday.  But they've covered just 14 of 43 conference games off a road win.  Take Memphis.  AAC Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Sabres over the Chicago Blackhawks.  At 25-19-6, the Sabres are treading water overall, but they have a very solid record here at KeyBank Center, going 14-6-3.  It's true that the Blackhawks are riding a two-game win streak for the fifth time this season, with wins over two of the Metropolitan Division's best in the Capitals and Islanders.  But only once this season were they able to stretch a 2-game win streak to three games.  And Chicago's latest two wins have both come at home.  To say the Hawks have struggled on the road this season would be an understatement.  Chicago's 8-17 record away from United Center is the worst road ledger in the Western Conference, and those eight wins are tied for third fewest in the NHL.  And Chicago's road record gets even worse when they play winning teams.  The Hawks are 6-21 in their last 27 road games vs. teams with a home winning % of greater than .600.  And they're also 6-16 (-12 games on the money line) in their last 22 when playing with three or more days of rest.  Take the Sabres.  Always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Riverside.  These two teams met just 8 days ago in San Luis Obispo, and the Highlanders upset the Mustangs, 74-51, as a 2.5-point underdog.  I love Cal Poly to avenge that upset loss tonight, as it falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 77-23, 41-8 and 187-89 ATS since 1990.  Even better:  Big West conference teams have cashed 90% of conference games since 1997 when playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) upset home defeat earlier in the season, if their opponent had a losing record inside the conference.  With Riverside currently 2-4 in Big West play this season, we'll fade Riverside and grab the points with Cal Poly SLO.  NCAA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Spurs won on Tuesday night here, at home, vs. Phoenix.  But coach Gregg Popovich wasn't pleased with the victory.  After the game, he lambasted his team for its lackluster effort and said, "They out-played us, out-coached us, out-physicaled us, out-executed us....We had no respect for them or for the game.  We didn't play with each other.  It was a pathetic performance, and Phoenix got robbed."  I expect the Spurs to give a much better effort tonight after that verbal spanking.  It also won't hurt matters to get DeMar DeRozan, their leading scorer (21.5 ppg), back as he missed the last three games.  San Antone is a fantastic 31-5 straight-up (including 15-0 the last 15 here at home) and 24-8-2 ATS vs. the Nets since March 6, 2003.  And the Spurs are 64-28 ATS at home vs. winning Eastern conference foes that are not off a SU/ATS loss.  Take San Antone.  NBA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Bruins went into the break having lost three of their last four games.  The good news is that they came out of the break seemingly firing on all cylinders.  They out-hit, out-shot, and out-played a good Winnipeg Jets team here at home on Tuesday.  The only problem is -- they still lost in a shoot-out, 4-3.  They're still only one point behind the Maple Leafs for second place in the division, so there's plenty of time to turn around their latest funk.  They need to start with tonight's match-up against a Flyers team that they've dominated in recent years (22-8 in the last 30 meetings).  And here at home, it's been even more lopsided with Boston taking 12 of the last 14 meetings.  But they can't take the red-hot Flyers for granted.  Philly has now won five straight despite being out-shot in all five victories, and despite a rash of injuries to key players, including their top two goal-tenders.  Even worse for Philly:  it's just 3-11 (-11 games on the money line) in its last 14 after scoring one goal or less in its previous game.   And it's 39-63 after not allowing 2 or more goals in each of its two previous games.  Take Boston.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over LSU.  We had a big play on Texas A&M on Saturday vs. Kansas State, and were rewarded with a 65-53 upset win.  That victory has triggered a very strong 104-43 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home dogs off wins.  LSU has covered just 5 of its last 19 SEC games where it was a road favorite, including just one of 12 when it was priced from -2.5 to -6 points.  Take Texas A&M + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over Fresno State.  Wyoming falls into 408-252 and 374-229 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, the Cowboys are a terrific 44-27 ATS as home underdogs, while Fresno is a poor 24-41-1 ATS as a conference road favorite.  Take Wyoming.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over SMU.  Wichita is having a down year, as it's 8-11.  It's currently riding a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But we'll step in and take the Shockers as a small home favorite, as Wichita has covered 64% over the last 29 years at home vs. winning opponents, if Wichita was on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  Take the Shockers minus the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Missouri.  The Tigers are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, including an upset loss at Mississippi State on Saturday.  But i love Auburn to rebound tonight, at home, as SEC Conference home favorites are 57-33 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 29-11 ATS vs. SEC Conference foes off a loss.  Take Auburn to blow out Missouri.  SEC Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds + the points over Drake.  The Bulldogs upset Valparaiso, 70-59, in their last game.  And that was the fourth straight win and cover for Drake.  Unfortunately, though, for the Bulldogs, Missouri Valley Conference teams off a double-digit upset win, and 4 SU/ATS wins overall, have covered just 18% over the past 29 years.  And Drake also falls into negative 49-128, 59-133 and 56-112 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Redbirds + the points. MVC Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Billikens minus the points over Richmond.  The Spiders are on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, including an upset home defeat to St. Bonaventure, on Saturday.  And St. Louis is also on a losing streak, as it's lost its last two games to Davidson and Duquesne.  Thus, something will have to give tonight.  And we will back the home team, as double-digit Atlantic 10 home favorites have covered 60% of conference games over the past 29 years if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was also off a loss.  Even better:  St. Louis is 9-0 ATS off back to back conference defeats.  Take the Billikens to blow out Richmond.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Iowa State.  The Mountaineers fall into a 405-244 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain teams with losing records, as well as a 304-192 ATS angle.  West Virginia has lost its last two games SU/ATS.  But Big 12 Conference teams, off back to back SU/ATS losses, have gone 98-72 ATS as underdogs over the past 29 years vs. Conference foes with a winning SU/ATS record.  Take the Mountaineers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Marquette.  The Bulldogs have owned Marquette over the years.  They've won and covered five straight in the series, and are 11-1-2 ATS in the last 14 meetings, including 6-0 ATS here at home.  It's true that Butler has lost its last 2 games SU/ATS.  But it's 31-14 ATS at home off back to back ATS defeats.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Tide has dominated the Bulldogs here in Tuscaloosa, with a 14-3 SU and 12-5 ATS record since 2001.  That's one reason I favor 'Bama tonight.  Another is that it lost at Baylor, 73-68, on Saturday.   And the Crimson Tide has gone 42-21-5 ATS at home since 1990 off a loss, if it wasn't favored by 4 or more points.  Take Alabama.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Wisconsin.  The 'Huskers have been exceptionally strong at home over the years, and especially when favored by three points or less.  Since 1990, the 'Huskers are 41-16 ATS.  Even better for Nebraska:  the Badgers are a poor 21-45 ATS as a Big 10 road dog of +6 or less points.  Take Nebraska.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over Cleveland.  Cleveland won at Chicago, 104-101, on Sunday, to snap its six-game losing streak, and improve to 10-41 on the season.  One of the things I love to do is play against certain bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games.  And tonight's situation is especially attractive, as the Wizards will be playing with revenge from a loss to these Cavaliers last month.  Since 1995, NBA teams off a win, with a W/L percentage less than .200, have cashed just 33% against revenge-minded opponents.  Take the Wizards to blow out Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio Red Hawks + the points over Toledo.  These two teams met just 2 weeks ago in Toledo, and the Rockets won, 71-59, as an 8-point home favorite.  The Red Hawks are a home dog tonight, and are also off 3 SU/ATS wins (all as an underdog).  That bodes well for Miami, as Mid-American Conference home teams, off 3 SU/ATS wins, and playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, have cashed 75% since 1990 when not favored by more than 5 points.  Here, of course, Miami is an underdog.  Take the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Virginia.  This is a great match-up tonight between the 16-4 Wolfpack and the 18-1 Cavaliers.  Virginia's covered the point spread in each of its last 10 games.  But this will be a tough spot to get #11 in a row, as Virginia is playing the 2nd of back to back road games.  And College Basketball teams off 10+ ATS wins are a soft 29% ATS the past 29 years if they were playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games.  Take the Wolfpack + the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Tennessee.  The #1-ranked Volunteers have reeled off 15 straight wins, including an 83-66 blowout of WVU on Saturday.  Unfortunately for Tennessee, NCAA basketball teams off 14 straight wins, and a win by 14+ points in their previous game, have cashed just 35.2% since 1990 as road favorites vs. foes off a SU loss.  Take South Carolina.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over TCU.  This is a great match-up tonight between two teams that have each lost just four times this season.  The key factor, though, will be Texas Tech's home court.  The Horned Frogs have played three road games this season as an underdog, and they've yet to win straight-up.  Indeed, since 2015, the Horned Frogs are 1-20 straight-up, and 3-16-2 ATS when priced as a road underdog of +4 to +11 points.  That doesn't bode well for them tonight in Lubbock, where the Red Raiders rarely lose.  Texas Tech is 59-8 straight-up and 27-20-2 ATS at home since Feb. 28, 2015, including 17-9-1 ATS off a straight-up win.  The Red Raiders also fall into a 148-66 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites with winning records.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Celtics had their five-game win streak snapped on Saturday by Golden State.  Of course, nobody's defeated the Warriors for 3 1-2 weeks, so there was no great shame in losing that game.  Tonight, Boston will look to avenge a defeat suffered to Brooklyn two weeks ago.  I believe it will, as Boston is a perfect 12-0 ATS at home vs. division rivals, if Boston wasn't favored by more than 13 points.  Additionally, Boston's 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. division rivals.  And it's a super 49-22 ATS off a home loss when matched up against division foes off an ATS win.  Finally, the Celtics fall into 135-66, 42-12 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Boston.  NBA Division Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Philadelphia Flyers.  For teams that head into All Star weekend bumbling and stumbling (the Capitals come to mind) the long break couldn't come at a better time.  For those who are finally hitting their stride, they probably wish they could just keep playing and skip the festivities.  The Flyers fall into the latter category.  Philly has won its last three games with an offensive out-burst that resulted in a total of 16 goals.  All Star Claude Giroux made his presence felt over the weekend in San Jose but the Flyers now hope he can do that for them.  After leading the league in assists last season (68), Giroux isn't even in the top 10 right now and he only has 14 goals in 48 games so far.  Like the Flyers, the Jets were on a roll as well having won four in a row between January 11 and 17.  But then right before the break, they threw in a clunker against the Stars.  It was their third game in five days so the time off will probably do them some good.  Despite their recent success, the Flyers are 0-5 in their last five home games vs. teams with a winning road record.  Take the Jets.  NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, on ESPN-TV, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Milwaukee.  The Bucks have won six straight games.  However, not a single one of those six victories came against a team which currently has a winning record.  That, of course, won't be the case today, as Milwaukee has to take on the team which sits in 3rd place in the Western Conference.  It's true that the Bucks own the league's #1 record this season.  But the Bucks have especially excelled against the Eastern Conference, as they're 17-10-3 ATS vs. the East (compared to 9-8 ATS vs. the West).  Likewise, OKC has also excelled vs. Eastern Conference foes this year, with a 12-4 SU and 10-6 ATS record.  Even worse for the Bucks:  they're a wallet-busting 3-18 ATS their last 21, and 19-51 ATS their last 70, off 3+ wins when playing a Western Conference foe.  Take Oklahoma City to blow out Milwaukee.  NBA TV Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the "OVER" in the Pro Bowl.  The line on this game opened signficantly higher, at 60 points, and has come down.  There is rain in the weather forecast for Sunday morning (40% chance), but it is expected to subside by the start of this game.  There's great value at this price, as six of the last nine Pro Bowls have gone 'over' the total, with the average combined score equaling 69.67 ppg. Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Houston.  The Cougars are ranked 17th in the country with a 19-1 record.  And they blew out East Carolina, 94-50, in their previous game this past Wednesday.  But off that 44-point win, we will fade the Cougars on the road tonight.  Indeed, since 1991, teams with a win percentage greater than .900, off wins by 40+ points, have cashed just 27% as favorites vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Tulsa.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Utah.  The Bears lost here, at home, to Colorado on Thursday night, while Utah won and covered its 3rd straight game,with an upset victory at Stanford.  The Pac-12 Conference has seen its teams cash 75.7% ATS since 1990 if they were off a loss as a home underdog, and their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Akron Zips minus the points over Northern Illinois.  The Huskies pulled off a big upset over Buffalo, as a 9.5-point home underdog, on Tuesday.  But off that win, we will fade Northern Illinois this evening, as the Huskies fall into a negative 17-46 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off big upset wins.  Additionally, the Zips have won 13 of 14 home games vs. N. Illinois (and has gone 8-2-2 ATS their last 12 lined games vs. the Huskies).  Take Akron.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Texas State.  The Eagles come into this game off an upset loss to Texas Arlington, on Thursday.  The good news, though, for Georgia Southern is that it's cashed 69% as a single-digit favorite off an upset loss.  Meanwhile, the Bobcats are a poor 2-10 ATS in Conference games off back to back point spread wins.  Lay the points with Georgia Southern. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Wyoming.  The Broncos enter this afternoon's home game off back to back upset losses (and 3 losses, overall).  I look for Boise to bounce back in a big way today, as Mountain West Conference home favorites off back to back upset losses have cashed 65.2% since 2000, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced as a 12-point (or greater) favorite.  And Wyoming is an awful 47-85-2 ATS away from home off a home win, including 19-51 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Take Boise State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Kansas State.  We played on the Aggies as a double-digit road underdog in their last game, on Tuesday, at Florida, and got the $$$ when the Aggies lost by just nine.  We'll come right back with A&M as a home underdog this afternoon, as A&M is 31-17 ATS as a home underdog since 2002, including 7-2 ATS their last nine.  And Texas A&M has cashed 25 of 31 non-conference home, or neutral court games off a straight-up loss.  Take the Aggies + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Panthers come into today's home game off an upset home loss to Texas State, which was their 2nd straight upset defeat.  Meanwhile, the Mavericks have won and covered five straight games, including a road win at Georgia Southern on Thursday.  Unfortunately for the Mavericks, NCAA teams playing back to back games away from home have covered just 27% since 1990, if they were on both a 5-game win streak, and a 5-game ATS win streak, and their foe was off an upset loss.  Take Georgia State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish + the points over Virginia.  The Cavaliers were my preseason choice this year to win the National Championship (at 22-1 odds), and they're looking good so far, including nine straight point spread wins since December 19.  But we will fade the Cavaliers this afternoon, as teams off 9+ covers have cashed just 38% since 1993 if they were favored away from home.  Take the Fighting Irish.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Maryland.  This game will be played at Madison Square Garden, in New York City.  The Illini lost at home to Wisconsin, on Wednesday, to drop to 5-14 SU and 7-12 ATS.  But they're a super 69-44 ATS off a conference loss, if they were matched up against an opponent also off a loss.  And they also fall into a 404-244 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing records. Take Illinois.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Minnesota.  This is a difficult scheduling spot for the T-Wolves.  Minnesota will be playing its 3rd straight road game, and was on the road last night against the Lakers.  Meanwhile, Utah had last night off after defeating the Nuggets, here at home, on Wednesday.  Since 1993, .583 (or worse) teams have gone 42-80 ATS on the road when playing without rest off back-to-back road wins against a rested opponent.  And if its opponent had a .500 (or better) record, then our 42-80 ATS stat moved to 22-52 ATS.  Take the Jazz minus the points.  NBA Elite Info Play.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals + the points over Montana.  The Grizzlies return home off back to back road blowout wins over Northern Colorado and Idaho, while Idaho State comes into tonight's game off two SU/ATS losses.  Still, we will grab the points with the underdog tonight, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 63% the past 29 years as double-digit underdogs vs. foes off back to back 15-point SU/ATS road wins.  Additionally, the Bengals fall into one of my favorite systems which is 402-216 ATS since 1990.  Take Idaho State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride have won 14 straight, and are 7-0 inside the Colonial Athletic Association.  But we will fade them tonight, as single-digit road favorites have covered just 35% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS home wins, if they owned a 7-0 or better conference record.  Additionally, the Dukes fall into 408-251, 373-228, 81-50 and 304-191 ATS systems of mine.  Take James Madison + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans have won their last 12 games, including a 22-point win over this Iowa squad, and have covered their last eight.  So, it's no surprise they've been installed as a big road favorite vs. the 16-3 Hawkeyes.  However, Iowa is 15-0 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog of +1.5 (or more) points, if it's matched up against a foe off a SU/ATS win, with a winning point spread record.  Take Iowa.