Sports Picks & Predictions

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Baltimore Ravens minus the points over Indianapolis.  The Ravens blew out Cleveland, 27-10, last week, while Indy fell to the Broncos, 25-13.  We'll lay the points with the Ravens, as they are 17-0 ATS at home off a win by more than 15 points, when playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Baltimore.  NFL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Army Black Knights + the points over San Diego State.  The Service Academies (Army, Navy and Air Force) have always excelled in the Bowl games, no doubt due to the extreme discipline and preparedness that permeate the programs.  Indeed, dating back to 1980, the three academies are 31-14 ATS in the Bowl games, with Army leading the pack at 5-1, 83% ATS.  And they're a combined 14-3 ATS when getting more than six points.  That bodes well for the Black Knights on Saturday.  As does the fact that the Aztecs are 2-5 ATS their last seven as a favorite in the post-season.   Finally, Army led the nation with 356 rushing yards per game, and also was among the Top 5 in yards per rush, with 6.1.  And over the last 22 seasons, underdogs of more than four points have cashed 100% (10-0 ATS) in the Bowls if they average at least 5.75 yards per rush.  Take Army.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers (rotation #584) minus the points over Wagner.  The Seahawks have been a generally poor bet over the last few years, as they're 4-11 ATS their last 15 lined ball games.  Meanwhile, Dayton's a solid 28-16 ATS its last 44 as favorites of more than 9 points.  And it also falls into an 81-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of 5+ points.  Take the Flyers.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (rotation #581) plus the points over Georgetown.  We played on Georgetown in its last game, a 75-63 win over North Texas.  And the Hoyas rewarded us with a point spread cover.  But that ATS win snapped Georgetown's 5-game ATS losing streak, and it's just 2-5 ATS on the season.  Even worse:  the Hoyas are an awful 0-8 ATS when laying 15+ points over the past three seasons.  Take Alabama A&M.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  These two schools met 16 days ago in Ypsilanti, and the Eagles upset Oakland, 95-89, as a 2-point home underdog.  But I love Oakland to avenge that defeat as college basketball home favorites of -5 or more points have cashed 85% over the past 15 years vs. non-conference foes, if our team was playing with revenge from an upset loss away from home earlier in the season.  Even better: Oakland is 20-5 ATS since 2015 when playing with revenge, including 14-1 ATS off a straight-up win, while Eastern Michigan is 18-42 as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded foe, including 0-11 ATS since 2014.  Take Oakland. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Central Michigan.  Wyoming ended its season with two straight defeats.  It lost 13-7, at home, to Fresno State.  And then was upset, 20-17, as an 18-point favorite at San Jose St.  But QB Josh Allen didn't play in either game.  He's expected to be back under center this afternoon, and that will greatly help the Cowboys' offense.  Meanwhile, Central Michigan upset Northern Illinois, 31-24, as a 2.5-point underdog in its last regular season game.  Unfortunately, since 1980, teams off upset wins to end their regular season have cashed just 36% in Bowl games away from home vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Wyoming.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings are 9-3 straight-up and 9-0 ATS to start the season, while California is a pedestrian 6-6 SU and 4-5 ATS.  But the Vikings' red-hot start "in Vegas" has set them up in an awful point spread situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-16 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over Chicago.  Dallas has dropped three straight games, but it's a fantastic 24-8 off a loss, including 10-1 off 3+ losses the past two seasons.  This will be the 3rd meeting this season between these two clubs, and Dallas won both of the other two.  Take the Stars.  NHL High Roller Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  This is the first meeting of the Pens and Jackets since the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs last April.  Pittsburgh dispatched of Columbus quite easily in that series (4-1) and although the Jackets may have taken a step forward since then -- and the Pens perhaps a step back -- if that series were held again today, few would bet against the defending Cup Champs.  The Jackets beat the Leafs last night by 4-2 and it was behind back-up goalie Joonas Korpisalo, who turned aside 39 of 41 shots.  Because they will be playing on back-to-back nights, the Jackets will likely go back to regular #1 Sergei Bobrovsky between the pipes.  Bobrovsky has been getting roughed up quite a bit lately, allowing a whopping 18 goals in his last four starts.  A similar performance tonight will likely not end well for Bobrovsky or his team against a very good Pittsburgh offense.  The home team is 8-1 in the last nine meetings of these two and the Jackets are 5-16 in the last 21 meetings in Pittsburgh.  Take the Pens.  NHL Elite Info Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls won again last night, and that was their 8th straight cover (and 7th straight outright win).  They'll now take on LeBron James & Co., in Cleveland.  And the Cavs have won 18 of their last 20.  Unfortunately for the Bulls, non-winning teams, off 7+ ATS wins, are an awful 0-17 ATS since 1996 as road underdogs of +7.5 or more points.  Take Cleveland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Flyers had their six-game win streak snapped in their last game here at home.  We played on the L.A. Kings in that game, and they came away from Philly with a 4-1 victory.  But the Flyers get a step-down-in-class tonight as the Red Wings come in for the Flyers' fourth consecutive home game.  Watching Detroit play this season, it's hard to believe this is the same franchise that went to the playoffs 25 straight seasons before 2016 and that has won 11 Stanley Cups.  They come into this game off of just their third victory in their last 13 games.  The Wings are clearly in a rebuilding mode and while they have some talented youngsters on their roster, their biggest challenge is on offense as they are averaging just 2.63 goals per game this season (26th in the league). And that number drops to 2.36 when Detroit is on the road.  The Wings are 1-10 in the last 11 meetings in Philadelphia and the home team is 19-5 in the last 24 meetings.  Take Philly.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Toronto Maple Leafs.  The Leafs broke a three-game losing streak on Tuesday afternoon with a victory over the Hurricanes at home.  More importantly, their offense broke out of its slump with a huge eight-goal performance.  With their #1 player -- F Auston Matthews --continuing to miss time with a somewhat mysterious injury, that 8-1 victory looks more like an aberration than anything else.  And it looks like Matthews will be absent again tonight so it wouldn't be at all surprising if the Leafs go back to the type of offense they were exhibiting before the blowout win when they managed only four goals in four games.  The Blue Jackets come back home after a rough two-game road trip, losing back-to-back contests in Carolina and Boston.  But Nationwide Arena has been a friendly place for them lately as the Jackets are 41-18 in their last 59 home games.  The Leafs are 1-4 in their last five road games as well as 14-38 in their last 52 road games vs. teams with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Take the Jackets.  HIGH ROLLER WINNER. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas minus the points over North Texas.  These two teams have had "mirror opposite" seasons against the point spread.  North Texas lost against the spread in its first lined game, but has covered five in a row since.  Meanwhile, the Hoyas covered the spread in their first lined game, but then failed to cover each of their next five.  I look for both teams to reverse course on this Wednesday, and will lay the points with Georgetown.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off five ATS losses have covered 71% since 1990 as a favorite vs. foes off five ATS wins (including 9-0 ATS the last three years).  Take Georgetown.  NCAA ROADKILL WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Sacramento State.  Northridge comes into this game on a nine-game losing streak (and seven-game ATS losing streak).  But we'll grab the points, as the Hornets have only covered 33% of their non-conference games the past 11 years when installed as a favorite.  Also, Northridge falls into a 142-63 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ ATS losses.  Take the Matadors + the points. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Southern Utah.  The Thunderbirds are 6-4 straight-up and 8-0 ATS to start the season.  But their hot start has set them up in an awful situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take Iowa.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Northern Colorado.  Wyoming is 9-3 on the season, and has yet to lose at home.  And they're a solid 18-11 ATS as a home favorite.  Wyoming also falls into a fantastic 79-23 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points.  Take the Cowboys.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over Washington.  The Stars have dominated the Capitals as much as any NHL team can do to another, as they've won 10 of the past 11 meetings, and 22 of the past 28.  Tonight, the Stars will look to snap a two-game losing streak with a home victory.  And they usually do, as they're 24-7 at home off a loss, and also 10-4 off back to back road defeats.  Take the Stars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks over Cleveland.  Jason Kidd's Bucks have largely been great since the acquisition of guard Eric Bledsoe from Phoenix on November 7.  With Bledsoe in the lineup, Milwaukee won 11 of its first 15 games.  But it stumbled last week, and lost all three games.  Still, the glass is more than half-full for the Bucks' franchise, as the team is 15-13 this season.  And Giannis Antetokounmpo currently ranks as the league's 2nd best player in PER, behind LeBron James.  Tonight, the Bucks will attempt to snap their losing streak, and will host Cleveland, which defeated Milwaukee twice earlier this season.  But winning NBA teams, playing with double-revenge in the regular season, and also off back to back losses, have covered 63% at home vs. foes off back to back wins.  That bodes well for Milwaukee on Tuesday.  As does the fact that the Bucks have gone 35-10-1 ATS their last 46 at home off back-to-back losses, including 10-1 ATS if they were playing with more rest than their opponent (which Milwaukee is).  Take the Bucks on Tuesday.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans over Austin Peay.  The Trojans were blown out, 88-63, by Arkansas on Saturday.  But Troy has generally bounced back from blowout defeats, as it's 23-10 ATS off a loss by 20+ points.  Even better:  Troy falls into a 94-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Trojans.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall has been a double-digit underdog just once before this season.  And we went against Marshall in that game, and got the $$$ with Illinois.  We'll go against Marshall as a double-digit underdog again tonight, in this game at Xavier.  The Musketeers are the nation's 3rd best field goal shooting team, so Marshall's up-tempo style plays right into the hands of the Musketeers.  Xavier's 9-2 ATS this season, while Marshall is a wallet-busting 83-121 ATS as a road underdog (or PK).  Lay the points with Xavier.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Carolina Hurricanes.  On the surface, this game between the Leafs and Canes may not seem like anything special, but in at least one way, it is.  On December 19, 1917 -- about one mile from where this game will be played -- the Toronto Arenas lost to the Montreal Wanderers in the first-ever NHL game.  That means that this afternoon marks the official 100th birthday of the Maple Leafs and the anniversary of the beginning of the league, and the Leafs will wear Toronto Arenas sweaters to commemorate the occasion.  Having lost three straight games coming into this historic game the Leafs would like nothing more than to turn their losing streak around.  Another good birthday present for the home team would be the return of their best player, Auston Matthews, who is listed as doubtful.  It doesn't appear that he will play, however, as he failed to practice yesterday.  But I'm still on Toronto this afternoon, as the Leafs will play their first home game since a victory over the Oilers on December 10.  And they're 10-5 at the Air Canada Centre this season.  This also is a good match-up for them as Toronto is 3-1 in the last four meetings with the Canes.  Finally, Carolina is a horrid 31-52 off a win (minus 24 games on the moneyline).  Take the Leafs.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Bucs and Atlanta Falcons to go 'under' the total.  This play is purely technical in nature, and based on the season stats of Tampa and Atlanta.  It falls into 116-60 and 169-111 Totals systems of mine (both of which supported our play last Monday on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game).  Interestingly, these two teams have combined for 54, 71 and 55 points in their three previous meetings.  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to look for another high-scoring game tonight.  But consider that division games that have combined for 54+ points in each of the three previous meetings have gone 'under' the total 67.6% of the time over the past 27 years.  Finally, Tampa Bay is a solid 19-9 'under' the total its last 28 division games at home (including 8-2 'under' its last 10), while Atlanta is 8-3-2 'under' its last 13 division road games.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Denver.  The Thunder were upset by the Nuggets earlier this season.  But OKC will avenge that loss tonight, as it's an awesome 65-38 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset defeat.  Additionally, the Thunder fall into a division revenge system of mine which is 130-64 ATS since 1990.  Finally, OKC is also 11-3 SU and 9-4-1 ATS its last 14 meetings vs. Denver.  Lay the points. NBA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Kings over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Flyers are on a roll, and Brian Elliott is a big reason why.  The veteran goalie -- who the Flyers signed to a two-year contract in July -- has been in net for all six straight games that Philly has won coming into tonight.  But he's also been one of the busiest net-minders as the lower body injury to Michael Neuvirth has meant that Elliott has started and played all 60 minutes of 10 of the Flyers last 11 games.  He will have to carry the load again tonight as the Kings visit Philadelphia for only the second time in over two years.  By contrast, Kings goalie Jonathan Quick has been getting relief from able back-up Darcy Keumper, who has started every third or fourth game including L.A.'s last one, an overtime loss in New Jersey to the Devils on Saturday.  So Quick will be back between the pipes tonight against a foe that he's had plenty of success against in his career.  In 12 games vs. the Flyers, Quick has posted a 1.64 GAA and .944 saves pct.  The Kings have won three of the last four meetings with the Flyers.  Take L.A.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Raiders + the points over Dallas, as Oakland falls into a 124-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs.  Dallas does come into this game off back to back blowout wins, as it defeated Washington, 38-14, two weeks ago.  And it smashed the Giants, 30-10, last Sunday.  Unfortunately for the Cowboys, unrested NFL road teams off back to back SU/ATS wins, in which they scored 30+ points in each game, have gone 121-162 ATS.  That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys at Oakland.  And neither does the fact that, late in the season, NFL home underdogs have excelled, as they've cashed 57.4% off a straight-up loss, at Week 14 forward.  Finally, Dallas is 7-6 SU/ATS this season.  But it's a woeful 24-41 ATS as a road favorite if it owned a winning SU/ATS record.  Take the points with the Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Vancouver.  The Flames lost at home last night, 2-0, to Nashville.  And that was the third straight defeat for Calgary after it bested these Canucks, 4-2, back on December 9.  I look for the Flames to once again triumph over Vancouver, as the Flames are a solid 21-9 after not scoring 2+ goals in their previous game.  And they're also a solid 8-3 off back to back home losses.  Vancouver, meanwhile, is an awful 27-47 off a win, including 3-12 off a home win, in which it scored more than three goals.  Take the Flames. NHL High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers won at home last night, 109-100, over the Utah Jazz.  And that was Cleveland's 17th win in its last 18 games.  We actually had a big play against Cleveland in the one game it lost over this stretch, and that was when it played at Indiana nine days ago.  One of the reasons I loved Indiana was that Cleveland's gaudy record, of late, is primarily due to a very soft schedule.  Indeed, of the Cavs' 17 wins, only 3 have come against teams with an average margin of victory greater than 0.  And the most difficult road game was the one at Indiana, and Cleveland failed that test.  Sunday's game at Washington will also be a staunch test for the Cavs, as it comes on the heels of a game last night.  This will be Cleveland's second road game this season when it had to play without rest.  The other game was at Brooklyn back on October 25, which followed a home game vs. Chicago.  Not surprisingly, Cleveland was upset by the Nets, 112-107, as an 8-point favorite.  The Cavs are a dreadful 1-15 ATS their last 16 when playing on the road without rest, if they're off back-to-back wins!  Take Washington over the Cavs.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the St. Louis Blues.  The Blues beat the Jets last night, 2-0 as both teams played their back-up goaltenders in that game.  For the Blues, Carter Hutton made his first appearance in five games as he has been ailing with a lower body injury.  He added to his stellar record (4-2 with a 1.90 GAA in seven games - six starts) with his shutout at home.  The Jets meanwhile welcomed back their #2 net-minder, Steve Mason, who had been sidelined since the end of November with a concussion he suffered against the San Jose Sharks.  Although they lost, Mason didn't play badly considering the nature of his injury and the time he's missed, and the Jets dominated play on the ice other than on the scoreboard, out-shooting the Blues by a lopsided 48-30.  You could certainly argue that Hutton is just as good as St. Louis' #1 goalie, Jake Allen who will get the start tonight opposite Winnipeg's #1 Connor Hellebuyck (who has been very solid).  Prior to last night's loss the Jets had won six straight meetings against the Blues, and I look for them to resume their winning ways in this series tonight.  Take Winnipeg. NHL Elite Info Play. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils come into this game off an upset win last week at Kansas.  That extended ASU's streak to start the season to 9-0 straight-up and 8-0 ATS. In contrast, the Commodores are 3-6 this season, and 0-8 ATS.  Thus, this is the rarest of games with respect to two teams going in opposite directions against the spread.  Indeed, my basketball database goes back to 1990.  There have been 78,660 games played over the past 28 years (with pointspreads), including 61,176 games played where each team had at least eight games under its belt, and it has NEVER before happened that one team had been on an 8-game ATS win streak, while its opponent was on an 8-game ATS losing streak!  Of course, one thing that isn't quite rare is a team, by itself, going on a 5-game ATS losing streak.  And such teams have actually done quite well as double-digit road underdogs when matched up against foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Since 1990, they've covered 66%.  Even worse for the Sun Devils:  they're a horrid 15-39 ATS off an upset win since February 2001.  Take Vanderbilt + the points.  NCAA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Minnesota.  The Bengals' 4-game point spread win streak was snapped last Sunday by the Chicago Bears, as Cincy lost, 33-7, as a 6-point favorite.  But underdogs of more than 3 points, off a double-digit loss as a favorite of -6 points (or more), have cashed 63.3% over the last 30 years.  And the Bengals also fall into a 140-62 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Finally, Cincinnati is 19-5 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points vs. non-division foes off a loss (including 9-0 ATS their last nine), while the Vikings have covered just 10 of 37 as a 7-point (or greater) favorite off a loss.  Take Cincy.  NFL Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Browns + the points over Baltimore.  It's true that the Browns are 0-13 on the season (and 1-28 the past two seasons).  But it's also a team which is still playing hard.  Last week, it fought gamely against a Green Bay team still in the Playoff hunt, and lost in overtime, 27-21.  The week before, it played a Chargers squad that's currently won 7 of 9, yet lost by just nine points, 19-10.  This week, it will take on the Baltimore Ravens, who lost, 39-38, at Pittsburgh last week.  And the fact that Cleveland has yet to win means that it will continue to fight hard for that maiden victory.  Indeed, 0-13 (or worse) teams have gone 8-2 ATS in the season's final three weeks.  Even more impressive is the fact that those teams went 5-5 straight-up, notwithstanding the fact that they were underdogs in each game (with an average point spread of +9.15).  Finally, the Ravens have covered just six of 24 games off back-to-back point spread wins.  Don't be surprised if Cleveland wins, straight-up.  Take the points with the Browns.  NFL Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Philadelphia Eagles.  Certainly, Philadelphia caught a tough break last week when its 1st string quarterback, Carson Wentz, was lost to injury for the remainder of the season.  So, now, the Eagles will turn to their 2nd string QB, Nick Foles.  Interestingly, the NFC’s top two teams — Minnesota and Philadelphia — both have backup quarterbacks as their starter, so it may be premature to shovel dirt on the Eagles’ grave, as the Vikings are clearly proving that you can have extreme success with a back-up QB.  That being said, I’m still going to take the points with the New York Giants on Sunday.  One reason is that this will be the Eagles’ third straight road game.  And NFL teams are a wallet-busting 71-121 ATS when playing their 3rd straight road game, provided they’re not off back to back losses in the previous two.  That bodes well for the Giants.  As does the fact that home underdogs (or PK) are 169-123 ATS at Week 14 forward, if they’re off a SU/ATS loss.  Take New York.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over the New Orleans Saints.  The Jets were shutout, 23-0, in an upset loss last week at Denver.  But teams off a 21-point (or worse) upset shutout loss have covered 63% over the past 25 years.  Take the New York Jets.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Redskins minus the points over Arizona.  The Redskins return home off back to back road losses at Dallas, and at the Chargers.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are off an upset win over Tennessee.  But .260 (or better) teams have gone 48-22 ATS off back to back road losses, when matched up against foes off upset wins.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over Nashville.  The Flames come into this game off a tough, 3-2 loss at home to San Jose.  And they lost 2-1 at Minnesota in their game immediately before that.  But I look for the Flames to rebound tonight, as they're 14-6 off back to back games where they failed to score 3+ goals.  In contrast, Nashville won in a blowout -- 4-0 -- at Edmonton on Thursday.  But the Predators are a poor 6-15 off a win by more than three goals.  Take Calgary.  NHL High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Memphis.  The Grizzlies come into tonight's game off a win over the Atlanta Hawks.  And that was just Memphis' 9th win on the season.  I love playing against bad teams off a win (as they rarely win back to back games), and we'll pull the trigger on the Celtics tonight, especially since Boston -- a very good team -- is off an upset loss to the Jazz.  And, since 1990, .666 (or better) teams off a loss are 68.1% ATS on the road vs. .333 (or worse) non-division foes off a win.  Moreover, Boston's 4-1-1 ATS off a loss this season, while Memphis has gone 0-4 ATS after its last 4 wins.  Take Boston minus the points.  NBA ROAD WARRIOR.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over the New York Rangers.  The Rangers notched a big win over the visiting Kings last night, 4-2, but now they head north for a game in Boston and the road hasn't been too kind to them lately.  New York is just 6-15 in its last 21 games away from Madison Square Garden going back to the end of last season.  The Bruins lost their last game to the Capitals, but they had won five of six before that and had allowed two goals or less in those five victories.  And in those two losses, the Bruins started back-up goalie Anton Khudobin with Tuukka Rask going for them in the five victories.  The veteran netminder from Finland has been on fire, and his 2.41 GAA ranks him third in the Eastern Conference and Rask should be back between the pipes this evening in front of the home faithful.  The home team is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings while the Rangers are 2-6 in their last eight road games vs. teams with a winning home record.  Take Boston. NHL Roadkill! As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Chicago/Detroit game.  Both of these teams went 'under' the total last week.  Chicago defeated Cincy, 33-7, and that game went under the posted total of 40.5 by a half-point.  Meanwhile, Detroit and Tampa Bay combined for 45 points, which stayed under that game's total of 48.  The Bears are 9-4 'under' this season, and have also gone 'under' in 31 of 54 division games.  And this game also falls into a 157-94 Totals system of mine.  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over NC Greensboro.  The Spartans are 7-3 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season, but I look for NC State to hand them their first point spread defeat on Saturday afternoon.  Long-term, the Spartans have been dreadful off a point spread win (63-97 ATS since 1990), including 25-44 ATS as a single-digit underdog.  They're also a soft 17-24 ATS vs. the ACC Conference, including 0-4 ATS when they owned a winning point spread record.  NC State falls into a 131-52 ATS system of mine which plays against certain underdogs off ATS wins.  Take the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Philadelphia 76ers over Oklahoma City.  The Thunder are currently installed as a small underdog on the overnight line.  And, should this point spread hold, it will be the very first time the Thunder have been an underdog on the road this season.  They were favored in each of their first 14 road games, and have gone 4-10 straight-up and 3-11 ATS in those 14 road games.  The other interesting thing to note about this game is that Oklahoma City has defeated Philadelphia 16 straight games.  Unfortunately, teams that have won 16 (or more) straight games in a row vs. their opponent have gone just 24-50 ATS, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog!  The 76ers are a solid 33-20 ATS at home the past two seasons, and will win and cover tonight.  Take Philly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos and Indianapolis Colts Over the total.  The Colts lost in overtime to Buffalo last week, 13-7.  And that was the fifth straight 'Under' played by the Colts.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play this game 'Under' the total as well, especially since Denver was also involved in a very low-scoring game (23-0) last week vs. the Jets.  But consider that NFL teams off 4 straight 'Unders' have gone 'OVER' THE TOTAL 133-86-6 (60.7%) if they scored less than 13 points in their previous game, including 92-46-3 'OVER' if the line was 37+ points!  Take the 'Over.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Anaheim Ducks.  In what could possibly be a Stanley Cup Finals preview, the Lightning beat the Blues on Tuesday, 3-0, breaking St. Louis's four-game winning streak.  The loss to the Bolts is likely an indication of how much better the Eastern Conference appears to be this season than the West and not necessarily an indictment of what looks like a very good Blues team.  So tonight the Blues get back to facing a team from the West as the Ducks visit the Gateway city for the second time this season.  Anaheim won the first meeting, 3-2, despite being out-shot by 39-30.  But the Ducks are very banged up right now, with no fewer than six front-line regulars out with injuries, including #1 RW Corey Perry, #2 LW Nick Ritchie, and #2 C Ryan Kesler.  Anaheim's victory over the Hurricanes on Monday was just its third win in the last 11 games.  The home team is 39-13-1 in the last 53 meetings of these two clubs while the Ducks are 1-4 in the last five in St. Louis.  Take the Blues.  NHL Roadkill Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings have ripped off eight straight point spread wins to start the season.  But that streak should come to an end, in Eugene, tonight.  Indeed, since 1990, College Basketball teams on a 7-game ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 0-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take Oregon.  NCAA Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors minus the points over Phoenix.  The Suns will once again be without their best player, Devin Booker.  And they'll also not have Tyson Chandler tonight, who is being rested by the coaching staff.  That won't help them much against a Toronto team which will look to redeem itself after being upset by a short-handed Clippers team on Monday.  The Raptors are 17-8 SU this season, and are 5-2 ATS off a loss.  Even better:  since 1990, they've cashed 77% ATS as road favorites off an upset road defeat.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Chicago.  The Bulls come into tonight's game off 3 upset wins, while Utah is off 3 losses.  But we'll lay the points with the Jazz, as NBA road favorites of -5+ points, off 3+ losses, have gone 99-65 ATS since 1990.  Take Utah.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder over Indiana.  There's no doubt that the Thunder are underperforming right now.  They're 12-14 on the season, and are 7-18-1 ATS, including 0-9 ATS their last nine.  But they still have outscored opponents by an average of 2.15 ppg.  Interestingly, that's better than Indiana's margin of victory (+1.52), and the Pacers are 16-11 on the season (and 17-10 ATS).  But the fact that OKC is underperforming, and Indiana is overperforming has created line value for us in this game.  And, for further technical support, consider that teams off 9+ point spread defeats are 48-24-1 ATS.  Take the Thunder.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Michigan.  We played on the Wolverines in their last game -- a 78-69 overtime win vs UCLA.  That victory moved Michigan to 8-3 on the season.  But the Wolverines are 0-2 SU/ATS this year when they had to play on their opponent's home court, with losses at North Carolina and at Ohio State.  And they're 6-20 ATS off a home win, including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  Meanwhile, Texas is 6-2, but is a perfect 4-0 straight-up at home this season, with an average margin of victory of 27.75 points.  These two teams did meet last season in Ann Arbor, and the Wolves came away with a narrow three-point win (as a 10-point favorite).  But Michigan is a poor 38% ATS over the past 28 years vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes.  And the Longhorns also fall into a 285-174 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points.  Take Texas.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons minus the points over Denver.  The Pistons sprinted out to a 14-6 start, but have dropped six straight to fall to 14-12.  But take a look at the six opponents that defeated Detroit over the previous 11 days:  Washington, Philly, San Antonio, Milwaukee, Golden State and Boston.  There isn't a losing team among them.  And their combined record is 106-55.  Moreover, four of the six games were on the road.  So, tonight's home game against the 14-12 Nuggets -- though Denver is also a winning team -- will be a much more winnable game than those last six.  Also, for technical support, consider that NBA home favorites of -5+ points have gone 81-54 ATS if they lost their six previous games.  And Denver is 0-5 SU/ATS this season as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points. Take the Pistons.  NBA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Colorado Avalanche.  Following their loss to the Islanders, the Caps will be playing on back-to-back nights, traveling south from New York to DC.  And like they do so often in these situations, the Caps will turn to 26-year-old goalie Philipp Grubauer as they give their #1 Braden Holtby the night off.  For the first six weeks of the season, a Grubauer start meant a Capitals loss as the Caps back-up net-minder struggled mightily.  But Grubauer has found his rhythm in his last two starts -- November 24 vs. the Lightning and December 4 vs. the Sharks -- stopping a total of 49 of 51 shots in a pair of dominating victories.  Grubauer looks to do it again against a team that he's beaten in two of three games.  The Avs will look to do what they did in their last match-up against DC on November 16 when they blasted them, 6-2 at home.  But tonight is on the road in Washington where the Caps are 12-5 this season.  Washington is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.  And its also 28-16 revenging a same-season loss.  Take the Caps.  NHL Elite Info Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Bulldogs are 8-0 on the season, but have had a diet of creampuffs so far.  Indeed, this will be the Bulldogs' first game played away from home this season.  And just their 3rd game against a school from a major or mid-major conference (Dayton and Green Bay were the other two).  But even though Mississippi State defeated Dayton and Green Bay, it didn't cover the point spread in either game.  And neither was particularly close.  Miss State failed to cover by 10.5 points vs. Green Bay, and it failed to cover by 8 points vs. Dayton.  The Bulldogs did win their most recent game, 95-62, vs. North Georgia.  Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are an awful 0-7 ATS off a win by 18+ points.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the 'under' in the Miami/New England game, as it falls into a 90-55 Totals System of mine.  Additionally, both of these teams come into Monday's game off stellar defensive performances.  The Dolphins held Denver to just 9 points last week, while New England surrendered just 3 points to Buffalo.  And NFL match-ups, between two teams that each held their respective previous opponent to less than 10 points, have gone 'Under' 77% of the time since 1980 when the Over/Under line was 45+ points!  Moreover, New England is currently on an 8-game win streak keyed by its defense.  The Patriots' stop unit hasn't allowed any opponent to score more than 17 points throughout this stretch, and has gone 'Under' in six of the eight games.  Take the 'Under.'  Monday Night Football Total of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  Fred Hoiberg's men haven't won many games this season -- they're just 5-20 -- but they have won their last two games.  However, I love playing against bad teams off wins.  And especially off back to back wins, as .300 (or worse) teams have covered just 38 percent at home since 1990 off back to back wins when matched up against an opponent off a win.  Boston plays hard every night, as evidenced by its 25-8 ATS record on the road off a point spread win the past two years.  Lay the points with Boston.  NBA Road Warrior Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Washington Capitals.  After winning five out of six games between November 22 and December 4 (including all three away games), the Isles come into this critical match-up with the Caps having lost three straight on the road.  The Islanders lost in Tampa, Pittsburgh, and Boston -- three very tough places for visiting teams -- so they should be happy to get back to Brooklyn tonight to face the Caps.  It's a team that the Isles have had some success against lately, having won four of the last seven meetings, including two here at home.  The Caps, meanwhile, have won four straight and seven of their last eight, but they've also had the good fortune of having played nine of their last ten in DC.  They have a losing record (6-7) on the road this season, while the Isles are 8-3 at Barclays Center coming in.  One of the Caps best players -- and leaders -- F T.J. Oshie hasn't played in two games due to a head injury and he will likely have to miss this one as well.  New York is 8-3 in its last 11 after scoring two goals or less in the previous game.  Take the Isles.  NHL Game of the Week. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the Colorado Avalanche.  When Pens goalie Matt Murray went down with injuries last season, the Penguins turned to veteran Marc-Andre Fleury who almost always filled in admirably.  But now Fleury is gone (in the expansion draft to Vegas) and so the Pens will lean on Murray that much more.  But once again their Stanley Cup winning Goalie is on the shelf with a lower-body injury, so now it is up to 22-year-old Tristan Jarry to fill in until Murray is ready to return.  So far, so good, as Jarry is 5-1 with a 2.67 GAA and .914 saves pct. in nine games played (eight starts).  With Murray still a few day away, Jarry will go again tonight at home against the Avs.  Colorado won its last game, scoring a season-high seven goals.  But that was against a bad Panthers team that has allowed a conference-high 104 goals this season.  The Avs will have a much tougher time tonight in Pittsburgh, even with Murray's back-up between the pipes.  The Pens are 10-4-1 at home while the Avs are 5-8-1 on the road.  And Colorado's also a poor 12-24 after a win by 2+ goals, while the Pens are 50-19 after allowing more than 3 goals.  Take Pittsburgh.  NHL Roadkill Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers minus the points over Baltimore.  Pittsburgh was our preseason pick (at 12-1 odds) to win the Super Bowl, and it has done nothing to disappoint thus far.  Mike Tomlin's men are 10-2 straight-up, including 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS here at home.  And Pittsburgh has long had tremendous success at home, especially in this price range, as it is 89-27-1 SU and 72-44-1 ATS when priced between -3.5 and -7 points!  That bodes well for Pittsburgh on Sunday night.  As does the fact that the Steelers are 18-7-1 ATS as a home favorite of -2.5 (or more) points vs. Baltimore, including 10-1-1 ATS if the Ravens were off a point spread win.  Finally, Baltimore comes into this game off a 44-20 blowout win over Detroit.  But the Ravens are a woeful 8-25-4 ATS on the road off a win by more than 18 points, including 0-11 ATS when getting more than 3 points.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars minus the points over Seattle.  Last week, we had a big play on the Seattle Seahawks as a home underdog vs. Philadelphia.  And Seattle rewarded us with an upset win at home.  Unfortunately, they now have to go on the road.  And winning teams are a dreadful 39-74 ATS on the road vs. other winning teams, if our road team was off an upset win at home in its previous game.  Take Jacksonville.  Good luck as always…Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Denver Broncos over the NY Jets.  Last week, the Denver Broncos were favored by 1.5 points at Miami, but lost, 35-9.  Meanwhile, the New York Jets upset Kansas City, 38-31, as a 4-point home underdog.  Now, Denver has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as NFL home teams have cashed 80% over the past 17 years off an upset road loss if they're now matched up against an opponent off an upset win, and are not favored by 3+ points.  Also, Denver's 27-14-2 ATS its last 43 as home underdogs.  Take Denver.  NFL Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Kansas City/Oakland game.  Both of these teams have been playing relatively low-scoring games, of late.  The Raiders have gone 'under' in three straight, while the Chiefs have gone 'under' in three of their last four.  The Chiefs have gone 'under' in 9 of 13 division games at home with Over/Under lines greater than 42, while the Raiders have gone 'under' in 24 of 31 division games on the road with Over/Under lines greater than 42 (including the last 5 in a row).  Take the 'under.'

At 1 pm our selection is on the Carolina Panthers over Minnesota.  This will be Minnesota’s 3rd straight road game.  And NFL teams have gone a poor 71-120 against the spread since 1980 if they were playing their 3rd straight road game, and weren’t off back to back losses in the other two games.  Even worse for the Vikings:  they’ve won eight straight games, and covered their last seven.  But as we saw with the Philadelphia Eagles last week in their upset loss to the Seahawks, road teams that are favored (or PK em) off 7 straight point spread wins have covered just 35% over the last 38 years.  Take Carolina.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Tennessee Chattanooga, as Charlotte falls into 141-62, 80-18 and 116-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss.  The 49ers come into this game off a 23-point SU/ATS home loss to Wake Forest, while Chattanooga lost (but covered) as an 8-point road dog to Marshall.  Unfortunately for Chattanooga, it's a wallet-busting 20-44-3 ATS off a pointspread win vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat, including 3-15-1 ATS as a home favorite of -4 or more points.  Take Charlotte + the points.  NCAA Hoops Underdog of the Week!

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings are 7-2 straight-up this season, including an upset win at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday.  Even better:  the Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS on the year.  But this 7-0 point spread win streak has set up the Vikings in a negative 39-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams.  Moreover, Portland State is a wallet-busing 35.7% ATS on the road off back to back wins, if it pulled an upset in its previous game, while Santa Clara is an awesome 67% ATS at home since 1990 vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  Lay the points with the Broncos.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Memphis.  The Thunder have dropped their last seven in a row to the point spread, which may keep a lot of bettors away this evening.  But road teams favored by more than three points, off 7+ ATS losses, have covered 70.8% since 1993.  I look for Russell Westbrook & Co. to blow out the hapless Grizzlies on Saturday night.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars over the Vegas Golden Knights.  After losing three straight games, the Golden Knights have now won three straight.  But before anyone hands the Stanley Cup to the NHL's latest expansion franchise, they should take a closer look at that three-game win streak the Knights are currently enjoying.  Including last night's shootout victory, the Knights needed extra time in all three of those and the first two were against the Coyotes and Ducks.   These two clubs met less than two weeks ago (November 28) and the Stars easily won that one by a 3-0 shutout despite being out-shot by 34-30.  The Stars have lost two straight (to St. Louis and Nashville) but they put together a nice five-game win streak before that, out-scoring their opponents by a total of 23-11.  Dallas has one of the best home goal differentials in the league, scoring 3.46 goals per game on average at AA Center while allowing an average of just 2.23 (a 1.23 differential).  The Stars are 5-0 in their last five vs. teams from the Pacific Division.  Take Dallas.  NHL High Roller Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles are 0-9 on the season, so they should be a welcome sight for a 6-3 UConn team which has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS over its last five games (after starting the season 4-0).  But .800 (or worse) teams, favored by more than 18 points, off 5+ ATS losses, have covered 70.3% over the past 28 years.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Michigan minus the points over UCLA.  The Wolverines lost their previous game, 71-62, at Ohio State.  But U-M is 53-31 ATS off a loss.  And .500 (or better) teams are 49-22 ATS at home in games between the Big 10 and Pac-!2 Conferences, including 11-1 ATS off a loss.  Take Michigan.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over William & Mary, as Ohio State falls into 284-174, 78-2 and 130-50 ATS systems of mine.  William & Mary comes into this game off an upset win at George Mason, and is 6-2 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season.  However, the Buckeyes are 69-45 ATS at home vs. foes with an ATS win percentage of .333 (or better), while William & Mary is an awful 18-35-1 ATS away from home as a dog of +5 or more points, if it won and covered its previous game.  Take Ohio State.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Buffalo Sabres.  With their embarrassing 6-2 loss in DC two nights ago, the Blackhawks have now lost five games in a row.  All five of those defeats came against teams with winning records and the combined record of those teams is a very lofty 69-45 (they lost to the Stars twice).  So it must come as a welcome relief that their game tonight will be against the Buffalo Sabres.  If the Hawks wanted to choose a team to break their losing with, they couldn't have hand-picked a better opponent than the Sabres.  Sure, Buffalo won its last game -- in Colorado against a bad Avs club -- but that was just its second victory in the last 13 games overall.  Despite a losing record at home this season (6-7), the Blackhawks have some very good numbers when you break it down.  Here at United Center, they have a 3.54 scoring average vs. a 2.62 Goals-against -- for a 0.92 goal differential which is among the best in the league.  The Sabres are 0-11 in the last 11 meetings and 0-7 in the last seven in Chicago.  Take the Hawks.  NHL Elite Info.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Cavaliers have won 11 straight games.  But the primary reason for their win streak has been the dreadful level of competition.  Of the Cavs' 11 victories, only TWO were against teams that currently own a winning record:  Detroit (14-10) and Philadelphia (13-11).  Indeed, the Cavs' schedule has actually been pretty easy thus far, as it's only played nine games (of its 25 games) against the 14 other NBA teams that currently own a winning record.  Cleveland's schedule will toughen up over the next several weeks, as 11 of its next 18 games will be against foes that currently own a winning record.  Indiana is a solid 57-41-1 ATS vs. winning teams, including 30-19-1 ATS at home.  And it's 17-8-1 ATS its last 26 vs. Cleveland.  Finally, Cleveland is an awful 5-17-1 its last 23 as a favorite.  Take the Pacers.  NBA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:25 pm, our selection is on the 'under' in the Atlanta/New Orleans game, as it falls into 113-60 and 165-110 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, the Saints have gone 'under' in 30 of 44 division road games since Nov. 17, 2002, including 19-4 'under' when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK).  And the Falcons have gone 'under' in 16 of 19 games (84.2%) after scoring 21 or less points in their previous game.  Finally, seven of the last nine meetings between these two clubs in Atlanta have gone 'under' (as have 11 of the last 15 when the O/U line was greater than 45 points).  Take the 'under.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis.  These two teams met earlier this season at Pacific.  The Tigers were favored by 5.5 points in that game, but were upset, 62-58.  But Pacific has won five of its last six games.  And it's a solid 32-15 ATS when playing with revenge from a home upset loss.  Finally, the Tigers fall into a 93-54 ATS NCAA revenge system of mine.  Take Pacific.  NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers and Philadelphia Flyers to go 'under' the total.  The Flyers snapped their 10-game losing streak with 5-2 win at Calgary on Monday.  The Oilers are also off a high-scoring win, as they beat Calgary, as well, 7-5, on Saturday.  Tonight, I look for a low-scoring game, as Philly is 156-118 'under' after scoring 5+ goals in its previous game.  And the Oilers have gone 'under' in 22 of 31 at home off a win by 2+ goals, and 26 of 42 off back-to-back 'overs.'  Take the 'UNDER.'  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Boston.  We went against the Celtics last week in their game vs. the Suns (and cashed).  And one of the points I made in my analysis for that game was that the Celtics had only been favored by more than eight points once before in this season.  Well, Boston failed to cover that big point spread.  And now it is favored again by more than 8 points vs. Dallas (just Boston's 3rd time to be favored by this many points in its 26 games this season), notwithstanding the fact that the Mavericks are off back to back blowout wins of 17+ points.  And NBA road underdogs with a losing record have cashed 62% since 1990 off back to back home 17+ point wins!  These two teams met earlier this year in Dallas, and the Mavericks lost in overtime, 110-102, after leading by as many as 13 points in the 4th quarter.  But Dallas is a super 27-11 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-1 ATS when getting 6+ points.  Take the Mavericks. NBA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers over the Northern Kentucky Norse.  These two clubs met in the season opener, and the Norse came away with an 81-63 home victory, as a 5-point favorite.  Now, East Tennessee State has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as the Buccaneers fall into a 49-16 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams with a winning record, as well as a 33-14 ATS angle which plays on certain revengers that lost by more than 15 points earlier in the season.  East Tennessee is also 11-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit road defeat, while the Norse are a poor 40% ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less points.  Take East Tennessee.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma City Thunder minus the points over Utah.  The Thunder play with revenge from an upset loss to the Jazz back in October.  Utah won that game, 96-87, as a 4-point underdog.  However, the Thunder are 65-37-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, while the Jazz are a horrid 3-22 ATS as regular season road underdogs priced from +3 to +8.5 points.  Take the Thunder. NBA Game of the Week! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Montreal Canadiens.  The Canadiens were a team that almost couldn't manage a win no matter what they did in October and much of November.  But now they are red-hot, having won five straight coming into tonight.  But before we anoint this team the second coming of the great Montreal franchises of the past, let's consider who the Habs have beaten in their streak.  In only one of those five games did they face an opponent with a winning record (Columbus), while the other three have a combined won-lost ledger of 25-51 (they beat the Red Wings twice, accounting for the last two of the victories).  The Canadiens have been without #1 C Jonathan Drouin in those last two, as the veteran has been out with a lower-body injury and he won't be available for tonight's game either against a much better opponent.  The Blues are 17-10 and have a winning record on the road (8-5) as well as at home (9-5).  St. Louis has won each of the last three against the Habs, the latest of which was last February and they are 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.  Take the Blues.  NHL Elite Info Winner.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bengals + the points over Pittsburgh.  These two division rivals met earlier this season in the Steel City, and the Steelers blew out the Bengals, 29-14.  Pittsburgh's 9-2 on the season, while Cincy's just 5-6, but we'll fade Mike Tomlin's men on Monday.  And that's because NFL teams with a .750 (or better) record, that won the season's first meeting, have cashed just 30% on the road vs. losing foes.  That bodes well for the Bengals on Monday.  As does the fact that NFL home dogs of 6 or less points are a super 85-48 ATS in the season's final five weeks, if they're within one game of .500 (whether 1 game above .500, 1 game below .500 or exactly .500).  Take the Bengals.  Monday Night Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bears and Bison met earlier this season, in November, and Missouri State was upset in Springfield, 57-54, as a 9.5-point favorite. Since that defeat, however, the Bears have won five of six games to move their season record to 7-2.  In sports, revenge can often be sweet, and I expect the Bears to get some payback on this Monday night.  Indeed, NCAA road teams with a .625 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 71% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss, as a favorite of more than 6 points, to a non-conference foe.  Additionally, North Dakota State has covered just 11 of its last 34 non-conference games, and 14 of its last 40 as underdogs.  Take Missouri State. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets over Atlanta.  These two teams met on Saturday, in Brooklyn, and the Hawks snapped a 2-game losing streak with the 114-102 upset win.  That was a rare victory for Atlanta, which owns just a 5-17 record.  But off that victory, we'll fade the Hawks, as .333 (or worse) teams off upset road wins are a poor 18-48 ATS as home favorites since 1990 vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Brooklyn.  NBA Payback Payday!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Detroit.  The Titans are one of the highest scoring teams (#6) in the nation, as they average almost 94 points per game.  But their offensive efficiency is below average, as they rank 197th in that category.  So, the fact that they score such a high number of points relates to their pace of play.  Detroit's average possession lasts less than 15 seconds.  That won't bother UCLA, as the Bruins like to play EVEN FASTER than Detroit.  UCLA actually ranks 9th in the country in pace of play.  So, I expect a track meet tonight, which will play into the hands of UCLA, which is much more efficient on offense (#32) than Detroit.  The Titans are currently on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, the Titans are a poor 16-36 ATS when on a 3-game ATS win streak, while UCLA is 60-42 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, including 43-26 ATS as a favorite or PK.  Take the Bruins.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Avalanche over the Dallas Stars.  Colorado catches Dallas in a great spot, as the Stars had to play last night vs. the Blackhawks, while the Avalanche had the night off.  Colorado's also in the midst of a 5-game home stand, so it hasn't had to travel in 9 days.  Dallas is an awful 5-20 on the road when playing its 3rd game in four nights, 8-22 off a home win; and 48-68 off 4 wins.  Take Colorado.  NHL Roadkill Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over Carolina.  This NFC South division matchup is between the two teams that currently are atop the standings, as each comes in with an 8-3 record.  The Panthers are on a 4-game SU/ATS run.  Unfortunately, unrested NFL road teams, with a winning record, off 3 SU/ATS wins, are a poor 52-95 ATS vs. foes not off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The Saints blew out Carolina by 21 points in the first meeting this season, and they're 11-2 their last 13 NFC South division contests.  Lay the points.  NFC South Division Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Miami Hurricanes + the points over Clemson.  Last year, the Tigers won the ACC and National Championships, so they hope to repeat that feat by taking the first step this Saturday night in Charlotte.  The Tigers do come into this game off five straight wins and three straight covers, including a 34-10 victory at South Carolina last week, as a 12-point favorite.  But that 24-point win (and 12-point cover) sets up Clemson in a nasty 0-21 ATS situation which hasn't lost in 37 years.  What we want to do is play against any defending National Champ away from home if it's off back to back wins, not favored by 17+ points, and covered the point spread the previous week by 5+ points.  That doesn't bode well for Dabo Swinney's men on Saturday.  And neither does the fact that Clemson is a wallet-busting 12-32 ATS off 5+ wins since 1984.  Take Miami + the points.  NCAA FB TITLE GAME OF THE YEAR!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves over Troy State.  The Red Wolves put up 67 points last week in a blowout win at Louisiana Monroe.  And I love Arkansas State to end the season strong, as home teams have cashed 79 percent since 1980 in their final game of the season after scoring 52+ points on the road the previous week.  Take the Red Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Capitals over the Columbus Blue Jackets.  The Caps threw in another one of their clunker efforts as a favorite on Thursday night, losing to the Kings by a 5-2 score at Capital One Arena.  But many times, the Caps follow up a disappointing effort like that with a stellar one and that's certainly what they're hoping for tonight as the Blue Jackets come to town for the first meeting of these two this season.  Columbus comes into DC on a two game winning streak, but those victories were against the Ducks and Hurricanes, two teams with a combined record of 21-29.  The Jackets have the stingiest defense/goaltending in the league when they play at home, as they sport a 1.85 GAA at Nationwide Arena (the only team under two goals per game).  But on the road this season, that number is more than a full goal higher at 2.92.  The Caps are 5-2 in the last seven meetings while the home team is 6-3 in the last nine and the Jackets are 2-8 in the last 10 trips to Washington.  Take the Caps.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is  on the Tampa Bay Lightning over the San Jose Sharks.  The Lightning are a solid 17-8 this season, but have lost four of their last six games, including a 3-2 defeat to Boston on Wednesday.  The good news, though, for Tampa Bay fans is that it is 54-34 off a loss, and 29-13 when playing with 2 days' of rest.  They also will catch a break tonight due to the Sharks having to play last night in Miami against the Panthers.  Take Tampa Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars + the points over New Mexico St.  The Jaguars were whitewashed, 52-0, in an upset loss to Georgia Southern two weeks ago.  But I look for them to bounce back on Saturday.  Indeed, underdogs priced from +7 to +16 points, off losses by 38+ points, have covered 83% ATS since 1989 in their final game of the season when playing an opponent off a win.  Take the Jaguars.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs over Auburn.  The Tigers upset previously undefeated Alabama last week.  But off that huge upset win, we will fade Auburn in this SEC Title game.  Indeed, since 1980, college football teams have generally had big letdowns away from home following wins over previously undefeated teams (with a 5-0 or better record), provided they weren't favored by 3+ points in that previous game, including an 11-29 ATS mark as a favorite of less than 15 points vs. .500 or better competition.  Since 2002, Auburn's won just five of the 16 meetings between these two SEC clubs, including a 1-6 SU/ATS record away from home.  Take the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday.  ELITE INFO WINNER!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Illinois State.  The Golden Hurricane and Redbirds met earlier this season, and the Redbirds upset Tulsa, 84-68, as a 2-point underdog.  Since that game, though, Tulsa's gone 2-0, while Illinois State has gone 1-2, including losses in each of its last two games. We'll take the Golden Hurricane as the underdog in the rematch, as they fall into an 89.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, in non-conference games, that play with revenge from an upset loss.  Even better:  Tulsa's a super 27-6 ATS vs. non-conference foes with a losing record (Illinois State is 3-4), including 11-0 ATS vs. such foes off back to back losses.  Take Tulsa.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Flyers over the Boston Bruins.  The Flyers are mired in a 9-game losing streak (though five of those nine defeats came in OT or shootouts).  But i love them to snap their losing streak here at home, on Saturday afternoon.  They'll catch the Bruins off a home win vs. Tampa Bay.  But Boston is a poor 0-6 off a home win this season.  Take Philadelphia.

At 1:05 pm, our selection is on the Phoenix Suns + the points over Boston.  Yes, the Celtics are the league's best team -- record-wise -- and own a 19-4 SU record, and 18-4-1 ATS record.  But they're laying too many points to the Suns on this Saturday afternoon (notwithstanding the fact that the Suns just got blown out by 24 in Detroit).  Indeed, Boston's only been favored by more than 8 points ONCE this entire season.  And that was when they laid 11 points to Sacramento on November 1.  So, this will be Boston's biggest point spread yet this season, by a full two points.  And the Celts are a dreadful 18-38-2 ATS when favored by more than 9 points vs. an opponent off a loss.  Meanwhile, the Suns are 82-47-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points.  Take Phoenix.  NBA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers over Georgia Southern.  After starting the season 0-9, the Eagles are off back to back upset wins over South Alabama and Louisiana Lafayette.  And they've now been installed as a road favorite in their final game of the season.  Unfortunately for the Eagles, favorites (or PK) off back to back upset wins, are an awful 3-21 ATS in their final game of the season, including 0-7 ATS if they weren't a winning team.  Take the points with Coastal Caroiina.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Oklahoma.  It's often said that defense wins championships.  And, based on my data, there's a whole lotta truth in that saying.  In this match-up, the Horned Frogs own the better defense, and it's not close.  TCU is giving up just 15.6 ppg, while Oklahoma's stop unit is 10 points worse.  And it's not a wise move to lay points in a post-season game to a much better defensive club.  Indeed, College Football teams getting more than a field goal have covered a whopping 68.4% since 1980 if their defense was at least 9.2 points better than their opponent's, including a perfect 9-0 ATS since 2009.  Grab the points with the Horned Frogs.  HIGH NOON HANGING.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Illinois.  The 'Cats were upset not once, but twice last season by Illinois.  In this, their Big 10 Opener, the Wildcats will look to avenge those two defeats.  And, if history is any indication, they will, as College teams have cashed 68.8% since 1991 in their Conference openers when playing with revenge from two upset losses the previous season!  Take Northwestern.  PAYBACK PAYDAY.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans over Utah.  This is a tough situational spot for the Jazz, who had to play last night in Los Angeles.  Meanwhile, the Pels are well-rested following their upset defeat on Wednesday at the hands of Minnesota.  But New Orleans is 6-3 ATS off a loss this season, and 3-0 ATS off back to back defeats.  And it's also 9-1 SU/ATS vs. non-winning teams this season, including a perfect 6-0 SU/ATS on the road (compared to 2-8 SU and 3-7 ATS this season vs. winning opposition).  Take the Pelicans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Devils over the Colorado Avalanche.  The Avalanche won the Stanley Cup in its team's first year of existence -- after coming to the Mile High City from Quebec in 1995.  They then went on the become a fixture in the playoffs for the next nine years, and won a second Cup in the process in 2001.  But since 2010, Colorado has only made one post-season appearance -- in 2014 -- and only had one winning campaign (that same year).  The Avs are without some key pieces right now, including #1 LW, Gabriel Landeskog, who will miss four games due to a suspension for a cross-check on Calgary's Matthew Tkachuk and won't be eligible to play until Dec. 7.  The Devils may be on the road tonight, but that's not necessarily a bad thing as they are currently sporting a much better record away from New Jersey (8-4) than they are at home (6-6).  The Devils also just beefed up their defense by trading for veteran Sami Vatanen from the Ducks in a three-player deal.  Colorado is 1-5 in its last six home games vs. teams with a road winning % of greater than .600, and it's a poor 26-46 (minus 15 games on the moneyline) off a win.  Take New Jersey.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the OKC Thunder minus the points over Minnesota.  The criticism of Oklahoma City has reached its highest point after the team lost to the Orlando Magic on Tuesday.  That was Orlando's first win in a 10-game span, and also moved the Thunder's road record to 0-7 in November.  The good news for the Thunder is that they're back home tonight.  More good news:  teams that were upset as a 6-point (or greater) favorite by opponents on a 7-game (or worse) losing streak have generally bounced back from that upset defeat.  Dating back to 1993, they've covered 62.3% of the time.  Take the Thunder to rebound on Friday night.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the St. Louis Blues over the Los Angeles Kings.  The Kings are on a three-game winning streak, their latest victims being the Caps, who appeared to be suffering from some Thanksgiving hangover last night.  The Caps hadn't played a game in five days and it showed in a lack-luster 5-2 blow-out to the visitors from L.A.  Now the Kings head west to the Gateway City for their second game in St. Louis in a little over a month.  The Blues handled the Kings pretty easily back on October 30, 4-2, and have now won five of the last six meetings.  With Jonathan Quick having played last night, the Kings might turn to back-up Darcy Kuemper tonight against the Blues.  The Kings are still without #2 Center Jeff Carter who has a bad ankle and was seen moving around Staples Center in a motorized scooter, so he is nowhere near returning.  The home team is 4-1 in the last five meetings and the Kings are 1-5 in their last six vs. teams from the West while the Blues are 6-2 in their last eight vs. teams from the Pacific.  St. Louis is also 56-33 off a defeat.  Take the Blues. NHL High Roller Winner. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Golden State Warriors minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic upset the Thunder, 121-108, in their last game to snap their 9-game losing streak.  Faithful followers know I love to play against bad teams off wins, as they tend to not win back to back games.  And I won't make an exception here, as Orlando falls into negative 47-105 and 11-43 ATS systems of mine based on that general principle.  Take the Warriors.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Broncos come into this game off back to back upset losses to Alaska Anchorage and Sam Houston State.  So they will no doubt be happy to take on the 0-6 Lumberjacks.  And, yes, it's true that Northern Arizona is 3-2 ATS this season.  Unfortunately, underdogs of +13 or more points, with a winning ATS record, are an awful 0-17-1 ATS if their win percentage is less than .160, and their opponent is off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Santa Clara.  NCAA Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Blackhawks over the Dallas Stars.  Both of these teams are treading water a bit at this point in the season, with the Blackhawks sitting at .500 (12-9-3) and the Stars only slightly better at 13-10-1.  Dallas posted its second shut-out of the season on Tuesday, winning in Las Vegas by a 3-0 final.  But the Golden Knights are probably the most injured team in the NHL right now, so a victory against them on the road like that has a bit of an asterisk to go with it.  And while the Stars were taking advantage of their situation in Sin City, the Hawks were in Nashville, playing their Kryptonite from last season and once again the Preds wound up on top.  But now they get to do the same thing to the Stars, who probably aren't looking forward to playing a team that they've gone 0-5 against in the last five meetings.  And Dallas is 0-4 in its last four after allowing two goals or less in the previous game.  Chicago is 4-0 in its last four when playing on one day of rest.  Take the Hawks.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.