Sports Picks & Predictions

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles + the points over Miami.  The Hurricanes are an ugly 0-11 ATS when favored by 12+ points against .875 (or worse) opponents.  Take Florida St. + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Bryant Bulldogs plus the points over Vermont.  The Bulldogs lost by 10 points earlier this season at Vermont.  This season, home teams that weren't getting 3+ points, have gone 93-65 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss earlier in the season.  That bodes well for the Bulldogs today.  As does the fact that Vermont is 10-22-1 ATS when not favored by 3+ points.  Even worse for the Catamounts:  their Road/Home point spread differential is -4.63 ppg this season, while Bryant's Home/Road point spread differential is +1.02.  Take Bryant as a home underdog this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls + the points over Toledo.  The Bulls blew out Central Michigan by 28 points on Tuesday, 63-35.  We'll grab the points with the Bulls as double-digit road underdogs, off a SU/ATS win in which they held their opponent to 35 or less points, have covered 67% since 1990.  Take Buffalo.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green + the points over Penn.  Perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm for Dartmouth this afternoon.  The Big Green will be playing their 3rd straight road game, and failed to cover the spread in the first two.  But Ivy League teams have covered 67.5% since 1990 as underdogs of +8 (or more) points away from home, if they were off back to back road ATS losses.  Take Dartmouth.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs over Furman.  Samford is 13-2 at home this season (and 20-2 its last 22), and is outscoring its foes here by 14.4 ppg.  It's also covered the point spread by an average of 4.27 ppg at home this season.  We'll take the Bulldogs and go against Furman, which is 6-18-1 ATS away from home vs. foes that score 74+ ppg.  Take Samford.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Radford Highlanders minus the points over Campbell.  The Highlanders come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, and have been installed as a home favorite vs. the Fighting Camels, a team Radford defeated by 8 points earlier this season in Buies Creek.  We'll lay the points, as Radford falls into a 110-47 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, Campbell gave up 95 points at Winthrop on Wednesday.  But it's 3-10 ATS after allowing 80+ points in its previous game.  And it's also 2-7 ATS vs. winning foes when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points with Radford.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Sacramento.  The Clippers were blown out, 123-96, by Sacramento when these teams last met earlier this season.  But neither Paul George nor Kawhi Leonard suited up for that game.  They're both back in the lineup now, and the Clippers overpowered the Warriors and Suns behind their two superstars in their final two games before the All-Star Break.  We'll take the revenge-minded Clippers tonight, as they're 72-42 ATS when favored by 3 (or more) points against a team which defeated it by more than 5 points earlier in the season.  Even better:  the Over/Under line has been installed at 232 points.  And the Clippers are 34-16 ATS when favored by more than 3 points in games with O/U lines at 230+ points.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the Colorado Avalanche.  The Jets have lost three of their last four games but when you consider those losses came in New York, New Jersey, and Columbus, it's really not that surprising.  The fact is that Winnipeg has been a .500 team at best on the road this season, but has been killing it here at home.  In 28 games at Canada Life Centre, the Jets are 20-8 -- the best home record in the Western Conference.  If we take a look at the Jets goals against this season, it's easy to see why they're so much better at home.  In those 28 games here in Winnipeg, the Jets have allowed an average of 2.29 GPG -- best in the Conference and second-best in the NHL.  But in their 30 games on the road, that number balloons to 2.87.  In a season full of injuries, the Avs were dealt another blow when All Star Defenseman Cale Makar recently went out with concussion symptoms and will not be available tonight.  This has been one of most host-friendly series in hockey recently as the home team is 25-9 in the last 34 meetings.  Take the Jets.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gulf Coast Eagles minus the points over Austin Peay.  The Atlantic Sun Conference wraps up its regular season schedule tonight, and the Eagles will be looking to bounce back off losses in its last three games.  Their most recent two losses came as a home favorite.  And that's key, as NCAA home teams have cashed 80% of their final regular season games since 1990, if they were off back to back home upset losses.  Additionally, the Governors are 6-15 ATS their last 21 conference road games, including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  Take Florida Gulf Coast minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats + the points over Eastern Washington.  The Eagles are in the midst of a 17-game win streak, and are 15-0 in Big Sky Conference play.  But we'll look for their hot streak to come crashing to a halt tonight, at Weber State.  The Wildcats are 27-13 ATS at home in 'win situation' games with point spreads of 3 points or less.  And they're 34-16-1 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from an earlier season loss.  Take Weber St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton St. Texans + the points over Utah Valley.  The Wolverines are on a 5-game win streak (and 4-game ATS win streak), while Tarleton enters tonight's game off back to back 5-point defeats.  But we'll back the home team tonight, as the Texans are playing their final home game of the season, and fall into a 'Last Home Game' system of mine which has cashed 58% since 1990.  Additionally, WAC Conference teams have cashed 63.4% since 1990 at home when they weren't getting 5+ points, if they were off a SU loss and matched up against a foe off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Tarleton St. + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UMKC Kangaroos + the points over South Dakota St.  Missouri-Kansas City lost a 1-point game, 67-66, to the Jackrabbits last month.  We'll take UMKC to avenge that defeat, as it's 13-0-2 ATS its last 15 as an underdog of less than 17 points off back to back losses.  Additionally, the Jackrabbits are a poor 2-13-1 ATS off back to back point spread wins.  Take Missouri-KC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Golden Eagles defeated the Coyotes by 50 points earlier this season.  We'll take South Dakota + the points tonight, as NCAA teams have cashed 65% since 1995 when playing with revenge from a loss by 50+ points earlier in the season.  Additionally, the Golden Eagles have gone 16-36 ATS as a favorite of -5 (or more) points off back to back wins.  Take South Dakota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Baptist Lancers + the points over Sam Houston St.  In the previous meeting, the Bearkats crushed Cal Baptist, 65-35.  We'll take the Lancers in the revenge role as they've cashed 67% as underdogs with revenge from a double-digit loss.  Grab the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Denver.  The Nuggets are atop the Western Conference, but have not played well on the road this season.  And that's been Denver's Achilles' Heel for some time, now.  This season, Denver is 14-14 SU and 12-16 ATS on the road.  And it's failed to cover the spread by 4.16 ppg (compared to a 20-10-1 ATS record at home).  We'll fade the Nuggets at Cleveland, as the Cavs are 19-10-2 ATS at home, and have won 25 of their 31 home games, straight-up.  And Cleveland is 12-1 ATS its last 13 at home vs. .570 (or better) foes (and 22-5-1 ATS its last 28).  Take the Cavaliers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the Detroit Red Wings.  The Rangers made a couple of early deadline trades, acquiring forward Vladimir Tarasenko and defenseman Niko Mikkola from St. Louis Blues on February 9, and then re-acquiring forward Tyler Motte from the Ottawa Senators on February 19 (Motte was with New York for a bit last season).  The Rangers are serious about trying to win this season, despite the fact that it's still a tall mountain to climb when you consider the competition in the East.  And don't be surprised if the Rangers aren't done as there is still more than a week left before the deadline.  They travel to the Motor City for the second time this season and they can only hope that this trip is as fruitful as the last one when New York steamrolled the Wings here on November 10, 8-2.  That's been par for the course for this series as the road team is 5-1 in the last six meetings of these two.  Detroit will likely be without C Robby Fabri who continues to battle a lower body injury.  New York is 6-2 in the last eight meetings.  Take the Rangers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over North Texas.  The 49ers play this game with revenge from a 67-43 loss at North Texas less than 2 weeks ago.  But the 49ers have rebounded off that blowout defeat to go 2-0 SU/ATS over their last two games.  And, since 1990, Charlotte's a terrific 65.3% ATS as a revenge-minded home underdog off a SU win.  Take the 49ers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons minus the points over Northeastern.  The Dragons are playing their final home game of the season tonight.  And they're also on a 3-game losing streak, which has lowered their W/L record to 15-14.  We'll lay the points with the Dragons, as home favorites of -5 (or more) points, with a winning record, have covered 63% since 1990 in their final home game, if they were off 2+ losses, and playing a conference foe off a point spread win.  Take the Dragons.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Penn State.  The Buckeyes have been in a sustained free-fall over the last 50 days, as they're 1-13 SU/ATS.  But we'll back the Buckeyes tonight against Penn State, as they're 32-18 ATS as a home favorite of less than 8 points off a point spread defeat.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Stars minus 1.5 goals over the Chicago Blackhawks.  In their last game, the Blackhawks knocked off the mighty Toronto Maple Leafs on Sunday, 5-3.  And this after Toronto fortified its offensive lines by acquiring Ryan O'Reilly and Noel Acciari in a three-team deal with St. Louis.  If fans think the 'Hawks 18-32-5 record is hard to stomach now, they will feel even more ill if the rumors turn out to be true and the team sends Patrick Kane packing in the next couple of weeks.  Kane is the only bona-fide superstar on the team that he's been with for 15+ seasons (ever since the 34-year-old came into the NHL at age 19).  But it's certainly possible that a contending club like Dallas would offer up plenty in return for a valuable veteran winger like Kane.  Despite their win over the Leafs, the 'Hawks are still just 9-45 in their last 54 against teams with a winning record.  They are also 0-5 in their last five meetings with the Stars.  Take Dallas minus 1.5 goals.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers + the points over Fordham.  The Ramblers were blown out, 65-49, here at home, last Friday. We'll take Loyola Chicago to bounce back, and get the $$$ as a home underdog tonight, as Fordham has covered just 7 of 27 as a favorite off an SU loss, if it was playing a foe off a point spread defeat.  Additionally, the Ramblers fall into a 270-180 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams, with inferior records, not getting 5+ points.  Take Loyola.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks + the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide is having a great season.  But it may unravel a bit following the news that Brandon Miller, in response to his friend's request, brought his friend's gun to him, and that gun was then used in a murder.  But regardless of the background noise of that situation, we're' going to fade Alabama tonight.  The Gamecocks pulled off an upset win over LSU on Saturday, and have covered four of five.  Alabama did top the century mark vs. Georgia, in a 108-59 win, but is a horrid 0-20 ATS when favored by more than 10 points against a foe with a worse W/L record, if Alabama was off a win in which it scored 85+ points.  Take South Carolina + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Houston.  The Green Wave are having a solid season, as they're 17-7, including 10-3 in American Athletic Conference play.  Of course, Houston sits atop the league standings with a 13-1 AAC mark.  Tulane blew out South Florida, 84-66, on the road in its last game.  And that's triggered a momentum system of mine which is 269-152-8 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, the Cougars are a soft 35.3% ATS since 1990 as a home favorite vs. revenge-minded winning foes that the Cougars defeated earlier in the season.  We'll grab the points with the high-quality underdog tonight.  Take Tulane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois St Redbirds + the points over Drake.  The Bulldogs blew out Belmont, 70-56, in its last game.  We'll fade Drake today, as it's 0-10 ATS off a double-digit win, when priced from -7 to -21 points.  Take Illinois St. + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes over Marshall.  The Dukes come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  And they fall into a momentum system of mine which is 283-183 ATS since 1990.  Even better:  they defeated Marshall, 72-66, in December, as a 4.5-point dog, and are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings with the Thundering Herd.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the American Eagles over Navy.  The Eagles come into this game off an upset home loss at the hands of Lehigh.  American was favored by 5, but lost, 62-59.  We'll take the Eagles to bounce back as it's 3-0 ATS off an upset home loss vs. a foe off a win.  And the Eagles also fall into an 87-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. foes off a win.  Take American.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Providence.  The Friars won the first meeting between these teams this season, 73-61, at home.  We'll take UConn to avenge that defeat, as it's 20-8-1 ATS at home off a win, if it owned a winning record, and was playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season to its opponent.  And the revenge-minded team is 21-6-1 ATS in this series if it lost the previous meeting by 7+ points, including 6-0 ATS the last six.  Take Connecticut minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over NC Asheville.  The Bulldogs have won 4 straight, and are 22-7 on the season.  But we'll grab the points with Charleston Southern, as it's 8-0 ATS its last eight away from home vs. winning foes.  Take the Buccaneers + the points.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers minus 1.5 goals over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Oilers have had a rough go of it lately, with four straight losses to the likes of the Canadiens, Red Wings, Rangers, and Avalanche.  To make things even more frustrating, three of those losses were in overtime, with two of those coming by way of the dreaded shootout.  Edmonton will step down in class tonight, and welcome the 22-35 Flyers into Rogers Place.  This is also a revenge situation as Philadelphia just beat Edmonton less than two weeks ago, 2-1 -- again in a shootout situation.  With the trade deadline quickly approaching and the Flyers going nowhere fast, names of Philly players who could help contending teams -- including Konecny and van Riemsdyk -- are being circulated throughout the league and media.  The Flyers won't be rushing back any of their injured players at this point, so look for them to get some youngsters on the ice in the meantime.  The Flyers are 3-8 in their last 11 trips to Edmonton and 0-4 in their last four vs. Western teams.  Take the Oilers minus 1.5 goals.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over East Carolina.  The Golden Hurricane have the worst point spread win percentage in college basketball -- and by a wide margin.  Tulsa is a nasty 4-20-2 ATS.  And it's 0-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS its last eight.  But we're going to hold our nose and take Tulsa tonight, on Tuesday.  The Golden Hurricane have gone 17-8-2 ATS vs. the Pirates, including 7-3-2 ATS at home.  And East Carolina is a horrid 4-13 ATS as a favorite/PK away from home vs. conference foes with a losing record.  Take Tulsa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Morgan St. Bears + the points over Howard.  The Bears return home from an unsuccessful 3-game road trip which saw them go 0-3 SU/ATS.  But Morgan State has won 8 of its 9 home games, straight-up, this season.  And they're 11-1 SU at home, dating back to last season.  We'll take the Bears as a home dog this evening, as Howard is 13-26 ATS on the road off a point spread win.  And the Bears fall into a 162-81 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs with good home W/L records.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Coppin State Eagles + the points over Norfolk St.  The Eagles have lost 9 straight games -- both SU and ATS -- including a 31-point defeat at the hands of these Spartans.  We'll take Coppin St to avenge that defeat, as it falls into a 167-99 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points to their opponent earlier in the season.  Take Coppin State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:05 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Colorado Avalanche.  The Maple Leafs threw down the gauntlet and pulled off the first blockbuster trade of the winter when they acquired forwards Ryan O'Reilly and Noel Acciari from the St. Louis Blues in a three-team deal.  But don't be surprised if this is the first for many teams in the NHL, including the Oilers as they find themselves in a situation very similar to the Leafs with the trade deadline fast approaching.  Edmonton currently holds the first Wild Card spot in the Western Conference but it has lost three straight, including the last two in shootouts against the Rangers and Red Wings by identical 5-4 margins.  The Oilers must be happy to be back to playing Western Conference opponents as they are 6-0 in their last six vs. teams from the West.  And oddly, they may also be happy to be out of Edmonton, as the Oilers are 17-8-2 on the road this season and 9-3 in their last 12 games away from home.  The Oilers are also 28-14 after surrendering more than 4 goals in their previous game.  And the Oilers are still looking for a bit of payback after being swept out of last year's Western Conference Finals.  Take the Oilers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Temple.  Both of these teams come into Sunday's game on extended losing streaks.  Temple's lost its last four, while Tulsa is on a 7-game losing streak.  And the Golden Hurricane have dropped their last three by wide margins (38, 44 and 27 points) We'll take the points with Tulsa, as NCAA road teams on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak have covered 76.1% if they lost their three previous games, in the aggregate, by more than 95 points.  Take the Golden Hurricane.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:00 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Bradley.  The Braves won the first meeting, 62-52, at home.  We'll take the points with the home dog in this rematch, as Bradley is a horrid 39-72-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season, if Bradley wasn't off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Salukis + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Detroit.  The Titans return home today off a 22-point blowout win over Oakland on Friday, and will look to extend their win streak to 3-games.  The Jaguars also played Oakland in their previous game -- a 4-point setback on Wednesday) -- and have dropped their last three.  We'll take the points with the road team, as Horizon League home favorites of more than 10 points are a soft 63-96 ATS off a SU win, if they were matched up against a conference foe off a SU loss.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the New York Rangers.  The Flames look to bounce back from back-to-back losses to Ottawa and Detroit earlier this week.  And Calgary actually outshot those two teams by large margins, as they outshot Ottawa, 37-25, and outshot Detroit, 35-24.  They've now outshot each of their last four opponents by more than 10 shots.  We'll take the Flames to break through with a win tonight, as they're 21-5 at home after outshooting each of their three previous opponents by 8+ shots.  Take the Flames.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Mustangs were blown out in the first meeting, 65-36.  We'll take the double-digits in the rematch, as revenge-minded Big West road underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 86-62 ATS off an ATS loss when matched up against a conference foe which defeated it earlier in the season.  Take Cal Poly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Mississippi Valley St.  The Tigers were upset by the Delta Devils, 71-67, earlier this season.  But Texas Southern had won the previous 10 meetings (and 18 of the previous 19).  I look for the Tigers to resume their winning ways in this SWAC series, as Texas Southern falls into a 307-183 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks + the points over Liberty.  The Flames routed the Gamecocks, 75-41, last month.  We'll take the home dog to avenge that defeat, as it falls into a 75% ATS revenge system of mine.  Moreover, the Gamecocks are on a 6-1 ATS run, including a 76-69 victory over Queens U., on Thursday.  And Jacksonville St. is a super 75-41-4 ATS as an underdog off a SU win.  Take the Gamecocks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers come into this ACC contest on a 6-game win streak.  But it should come to an end in Blacksburg, as Virginia Tech falls into one of my favorite systems which is 270-180 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, the Hokies were upset by Georgia Tech in Atlanta, as a 9-point favorite in their last game, and also were upset here in Blacksburg, in their previous home game by Boston College.  But NCAA home favorites have covered 58% since 1990 vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, if our home team was off an upset road loss as a 3-point (or greater) favorite, and also was upset in its previous home game.  Meanwhile, the Panthers are 4-12 ATS as road underdogs of +3 (or more) points vs. foes that were upset away from home in their previous game.  Take Virginia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Baylor.  The Bears won 75-69 in the season's first meeting vs. Kansas.  And they're also on a 4-game SU/ATS winning streak.  We'll fade the Bears, and take the Jayhawks in the revenge role, as Kansas is 54-28 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, when Kansas was priced from -3.5 to -13.5 points, including 10-2 ATS if Kansas was playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls St. Colonels minus the points over Incarnate Word.  Nicholls was upset, 69-67, by the Cardinals last month.  We'll lay the points, as Nicholls has covered the point spread by an average of 5 ppg at home this season (compared to minus 2.07 ppg away from home).  Additionally, Nicholls falls into a 175-98 ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Coppin St. Eagles + the points over Howard.  The Bison come into this road game off a 9-point home win vs. Maryland-Eastern Shore.  We'll take the home underdog, and go against a Howard team which is 2-12 ATS away from home off a SU win.  Take Coppin St. + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Morgan St. Bears + the points over Norfolk St.  The Spartans are a wallet-breaking 1-7-1 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points.  Even better for Morgan St.:  this season, the Bears are a perfect 6-0 ATS when getting more than 9 points, but 4-11 ATS when they were not.  With Morgan St. catching double-digits this afternoon, we'll take Morgan St. + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the NC A&T Aggies + the points over Towson.  Last month, the Tigers blew out the Aggies, 79-67.  We'll take NC A&T to avenge that defeat, as Towson is 28-44-2 ATS as a favorite vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take the Aggies + the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams come into this road game off a blowout home win, 78-63, over St. Bonaventure. And that was their 3rd straight win and cover.  We'll fade Fordham this afternoon, as it's a poor 13-33 ATS away from home off a double-digit win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Youngstown St.  The Penguins blew out Milwaukee by 29, on Thursday, while Green Bay lost by 15 at Robert Morris.  We'll take the double-digits with the Phoenix, and fade the Penguins, as Horizon League home teams are a horrid 49-80 ATS as a favorite of -12+ points off a win, if they were playing a conference foe off a loss.  Take Green Bay + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over South Carolina.  The Tigers have lost 13 straight games.  But they were underdogs in each of those 13 games.  Here, they're favored.  And LSU has won all 10 games this season, straight-up, when installed as a favorite.  And it's cashed 83% the past 13 seasons when favored off 3+ losses.  Take the Tigers minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UMass Lowell River Hawks minus the points over Binghamton.  The Bearcats upset UMass Lowell in Binghamton, 66-65, as a 6-point underdog last month.  We'll take the River Hawks to avenge that defeat, as they're 9-4-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge.  And UMass Lowell also falls into a 215-115 ATS revenge system of mine.  Finally, the River Hawks have played better at home this season, as they're covering the spread by an average of 3.72 ppg at home (compared to minus 0.43 ppg on the road).  Lay the wood with Massachusetts Lowell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red minus the points over Dartmouth.  Cornell suffered its worst Ivy League loss of the season its last time out when it fell, 80-66, at Brown.  We'll take the Big Red to bounce back at home this evening, as it's 15-0 ATS at home off a loss away from home by 10+ points, if it's not getting more than 6 points.  Take Cornell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Stanford.  This game has a relatively-low Over/Under line.  And UCLA is 27-12-1 ATS when the O/U line is 140 or less points.  Even worse for Stanford:  it comes into tonight's game off a big upset win over Arizona.  Unfortunately, the Bruins are 31-11 ATS when favored vs. foes off an upset victory, if UCLA was off a SU win.  Take the Bruins minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  We played on the Clippers two nights ago, and were rewarded with a 10-point win over Golden State.  We'll come right back with the Clippers tonight, as a road underdog, as they play this game with revenge from 2 home losses earlier this season.  And the Clippers have cashed 61% on the road when playing with double-revenge.  Take Los Angeles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Utah.  The Utes have been terrible travelers of late, as they're 12-27-1 ATS on the road.  Utah did upset the Wildcats in December.  But Arizona was not playing well at that time, as it was in the midst of a 1-6 ATS run.  Currently,  Arizona is on a super 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS run.  And the Wildcats are also 15-6 ATS when laying 10+ points vs. a foe it lost to earlier in the season.  Take the Wildcats minus the points.

At 9:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Detroit Red Wings.  Since the All Star Break, the Flames have been struggling, losing three of four games.  But there's still plenty of season left and, despite a 25-29 record, the Flames are still only one point back in the race for a Wild Card spot.  And with the trade deadline approaching, it wouldn't be surprising if Calgary is a buyer and brings in some additional talent for the stretch drive.  The Wings came into last night's game against the Oilers (a shootout win) having won three in a row for the third time this season.  But two of those victories were against the Canucks, who are 21-33 on the season.  The third win was against this Calgary club in Detroit on February 9 which makes this a revenge situation for the home team tonight.  Detroit will have to play tonight without rest.  And since it used #1 goalie Ville Husso last night, that means back-up Magnus Hellberg will be in net tonight.  The Wings are 0-6 in the last six meetings in Calgary.  Take the Flames.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars over the Southern Miss Golden Eagles.  Southern Miss is atop the Sun Belt standings, with a 12-2 record.  One of those wins came last month when they defeated the Jaguars by four points in Hattiesburg.  We'll take South Alabama to avenge that loss, as it's a powerful 26-7-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if it wasn't favored by 2.5 or more points (including 14-2 ATS at home).  Moreover, Sun Belt teams, with a conference win percentage > .840, have covered just 2 of 22 games when they were not favored by more than 3 points (at Game 8 forward).  Take South Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Rice.  The Roadrunners lost earlier this season to the Owls by 7 points.  We'll take UTSA in this rematch, as Rice is 1-9 ATS its last 10 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take the Roadrunners + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri St. Redhawks minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Panthers and Redhawks met a few weeks ago, and SEMO won, 79-68.  But the Redhawks have gone 0-4 ATS since, including 0-3 SU their last three.  We'll take the Redhawks to sweep the season series (and snap their losing streak in the process).  Eastern Illinois has not performed well in the Revenge role, as it's 11-26 ATS its last 37, including 0-7 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +11.  Even worse:  the Panthers are 6-21 ATS in the last 27 meetings with SEMO, including 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS when priced from PK to +8.5.  Take the Redhawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers minus the points over Georgia State.  The Panthers' 4-game home stand started off well, with a win over Georgia Southern.  But they lost the next three games SU/ATS (including an 11-point loss to Marshall on Saturday) and are on a 1-7 SU/ATS run.  We'll lay the points with Coastal Carolina, as the Panthers are 1-10 ATS away from home off a double-digit home loss.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Robert Morris.  The Phoenix were thrashed, 72-38, by the Colonials in Pittsburgh last month.  We'll take the Phoenix to avenge that defeat, as they're 65-30-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points.  Take Green Bay.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Albany Great Danes + the points over Maryland-Baltimore County.  The Retrievers upset Bryant, 76-73, on Saturday for their 2nd straight win, and are favored on the road tonight.  Meanwhile, the Great Danes have lost their last nine games -- both SU and ATS.  But for most of their game at Binghamton, on Saturday, they certainly looked set to snap their ATS losing streak.  Unfortunately, the game went into overtime, and Albany lost by 14 points, as a 6.5-point underdog.  We'll grab the points with the Great Danes tonight, at home, as underdogs on a 9-game (or worse) ATS losing streak have covered 60.4% since 1990 vs. foes off back-to-back wins.  Take Albany + the points.  Good luck as always..Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Alabama.  The Vols come into this game off back to back upset losses to Vanderbilt and Missouri, and have also lost the last three meetings with Alabama.  But Tennessee is an awesome 18-0 ATS at Game 18 forward, off back to back losses, if it was not favored by 4+ points, and was playing an SEC foe with a .500 (or better) conference win percentage, and a win percentage > .650, overall.  Additionally, Alabama is a poor 36-75 ATS in the regular season off a win, when priced from -3.5 to +6.5 away from home, provided Alabama was not playing with revenge.  Take Tennessee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  Since December 18, the Jaguars have been making a lot of friends "in Vegas," as they're 12-4 ATS.  They're catching double-digits tonight from the Grizzlies, who lost at Milwaukee, 80-77, over the weekend.  We'll fade Oakland tonight, as it's 5-17 ATS off a SU loss, including 0-7 ATS when favored by 4+ points, and 1-11 ATS when playing a sub-.580 foe.  Take IUPUI + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over Golden State.  The Clippers will be looking to avenge a 17-point loss in San Francisco earlier this season.  And I believe they'll get it, as the Warriors are an awful 31-67 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, if the Warriors were off an ATS win.  And Golden State is, indeed, off a point spread win, as it won last night, 135-126, over Washington, as a 3.5-point home favorite.  Also, the Clippers are 72-41 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and seeking revenge from a loss by 6+ points.  Take the Clippers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Air Force.  The Aggies come into tonight's game off back to back losses to San Diego St and San Jose St.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Utah St is a stellar 10-0 ATS its last 10 when favored by more than 12 points off back to back losses.  Take the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Kansas State.  The Sooners come into this game off four straight double-digit losses, including a 23-point thrashing at the hands of Kansas, on Saturday.  We'll take Oklahoma to bounce back tonight, as it's 28-14-1 ATS as a home favorite in conference games off a double-digit conference loss.  Meanwhile, the Wildcats are a poor 12-25-2 ATS off a loss away from home, including 1-9 ATS their last nine vs. conference foes with a losing conference record.  Take Oklahoma.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the New York Islanders over the Ottawa Senators.  The Islanders come into this game off back to back losses to Vancouver (6-5) and Montreal (4-3).  And they blew leads of 4-2 and 3-2 in those two defeats.  We'll take New York to bounce back tonight, as it's 28-17 (+7.7 net games) off a 1-goal defeat, and 6-2 off back to back losses by a single goal.  Additionally, New York lost at Ottawa last month, 2-1.  But it's 11-5 when playing with revenge from a road defeat.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Boston.  The Celtics have won 4 straight, but will be shorthanded tonight vs. a Milwaukee team seeking its 11th straight win.  And the Bucks will be looking for a bit of "Payback" after getting shellacked on Christmas Day, 139-118.  We'll take Milwaukee minus the points, as it's 29-10 ATS vs. foes off a win, when Milwaukee was playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points.  Lay the points with the Bucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Missouri.  Auburn dropped its 3rd straight game Saturday when it fell, 77-69, here at home to rival Alabama.  Meanwhile, Missouri comes into tonight's game off an upset road win at Tennessee.  We'll take Auburn to bounce back tonight, as SEC Conference teams, off back to back losses, are a super 96-60 ATS as favorites vs. SEC foes with a winning conference record.  Even better:  Missouri is a miserable 2-11 ATS on the road following a road win.  Take Auburn minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers upset the defending champion, Golden State Warriors, 109-103, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, Portland was upset, 138-129, by Oklahoma City.  We'll go against Los Angeles, as NBA teams off an upset win over the defending champs have covered just 40% since 1990 as single-digit underdogs vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Portland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Texas.  The Longhorns blew out West Virginia, 94-60, on Saturday, in Austin.  But Texas is 3-14 ATS away from home off a home win, including 0-5 ATS off a win by > 15 points.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks minus the points over Brooklyn.  The Nets have won 9 straight in this series, and are 3 games ahead in the standings, but find themselves installed as an underdog tonight.  We'll lay the points with the Knicks, as NBA favorites have covered 57% since 1990, if they lost the previous 9 meetings to their opponent, and owned a worse W/L record.  Take New York.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs plus the points over Cleveland.  The Spurs have been installed as a huge underdog tonight, and this point spread is tied with two other games as being the largest in the NBA this year.  But the other two games (Houston, Dec 27; San Antonio, Jan 7) both had the Boston Celtics as their opponent.  Here, the Spurs are facing a somewhat weaker opponent in Cleveland.  The Cavaliers are a soft 19-32 ATS when laying more than 12 points.  And the Spurs are 197-140 ATS vs. Eastern Conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over College of Charleston.  The Cougars come into tonight's game on a 3-game win streak.  But we'll go against the Cougars, as they're a poor 39-60 ATS as a favorite off 3+ wins.  Take Northeastern + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Miami-Fla.  The Hurricanes are outscoring their opposition by 8.56 ppg this season.  But North Carolina is an awesome 106-57 ATS at home when favored/PK against foes that have a scoring margin of +8.2 (or better).  Take the Tar Heels minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Stony Brook.  The Blue Hens are on an ugly 3-game losing streak (and 5-game ATS losing streak).  But these results have triggered a 23-0 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Even better:  Delaware is 16-0-1 ATS when it was on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, and its opponent was on an ATS winning streak.  Take the Blue Hens minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, on February 12, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles to go OVER the total.  The Chiefs were the #1 offensive team in the league this past season, as they scored 29.1 ppg.  The Eagles finished #3, with an average of 28.05 ppg.  But the Chiefs failed to reach 28 points in either of their two playoff games, and both went under the total.  Indeed, the Chiefs have now gone under the total in each of their last three games by 5.5, 5.0 and 8.0 points.  But off those three games, we'll look for a much higher scoring game on Super Bowl Sunday, as Andy Reid-coached teams have gone Over the total 63% off 3+ Unders.  Additionally, NFL games with Over/Under lines of 50+ points have gone OVER the total 84.2% since 1980 if a team averaged at least 23 ppg on offense, and each of its three previous games went UNDER the total by more than 4 points.  And, finally, NFL match-ups between two exceptional offensive teams with scoring averages at 27.0 ppg (or better) have gone OVER the total 75.8% since 2003 if neither team went OVER the total in its previous game.  This will be a high-scoring game.  Take Super Bowl 57 OVER the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Boston Celtics.  The Grizzlies lost the season's first meeting, 109-106.  We'll take Memphis to avenge that defeat, as it's gone 49-15 ATS in the regular season when rested, and playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take Memphis + the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Purdue.  The Wildcats come into this home game off momentum-building, back to back SU/ATS road wins, while Purdue is in off a double-digit victory vs. Iowa.  It's true that Purdue has won 11 straight (6-4-1 ATS) in this series.  But we'll take the points with the home underdog, as Purdue is a dismal 13-42-2 ATS off a win, when playing away from home vs. a revenge-minded underdog.  Take Northwestern + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The Gophers were obliterated by Maryland, 81-46, here at home, last weekend.  And they also lost by 35 to Rutgers the game before that.  We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off those 2 blowout defeats, as Big 10 home teams have covered 65.2% since 1990 off back to back losses by more than 20 points.  Take the Gophers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings over Dallas.  This is a rematch of last night's game, won by the Mavericks.  We'll take the Kings tonight, as Dallas is 19-43 ATS off a win, if it was playing a .333 (or better) revenge-minded foe it defeated earlier in the season.  And the Mavericks are also a measly 38-70 ATS off back to back ATS wins as an underdog when they were not getting 6+ points.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines minus the points over Southern Utah.  The Thunderbirds won the first meeting, 79-67.  But the Wolverines were an underdog in that game.  Tonight, they're favored.  And Utah Valley is 15-5 ATS its last 20 as a single-digit favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Spurs lost a heartbreaker last night, 138-131, in double-overtime.  But if there was a silver lining in defeat, it was that newly-acquired Devonte' Graham scored 31 points in his debut as a Spur.  Tonight, the Spurs will be catching double-digits vs. Atlanta, which blew out Phoenix, 116-107, on Thursday.  We'll take the Spurs + the points, as Atlanta is a poor 45-70 ATS at home off a win vs. a foe off a loss, including 10-23 ATS when favored by more than 8 points.  Take San Antone.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Central Florida.  The Golden Hurricane come into tonight's game off a 38-point blowout loss to Houston.  But they're 6-1 ATS off a loss by more than 30 points.  And the Knights are a dismal 7-14 ATS as a home favorite of -9 (or more) points.  Take Tulsa as a double-digit underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets + the points over Philadelphia.  We played on the Nets on Thursday, and were rewarded with a 116-105 win over Chicago.  The Nets have now covered nine straight games, including their last four in a row.  We'll come right back with Brooklyn tonight, as it will be seeking revenge from a 137-133 loss to the 76ers last month. And the Nets are 66-42 ATS as a revenge-minded underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers are 17-7 on the season, but we'll go against them in Ann Arbor, on Saturday evening.  The Wolverines are a wallet-fattening 97-46 ATS at home, or on neutral courts, when playing a sub-.800 foe off a SU/ATS win.  With Indy in off a SU/ATS win over Rutgers, we'll fade the Hoosiers today.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks minus the points over Arkansas-Little Rock.  The Trojans upset Morehead St, 72-68, as a 2-point home underdog, on Thursday.  But Little Rock has not traveled well, as it's 21-38-1 ATS on the road, including 4-14 ATS its last 18 off a SU win.  Take the Skyhawks minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Northern Illinois.  The Broncos lost by 14 at home to the Huskies less than two weeks ago.  We'll take Western Michigan + the points, as it's 8-1 ATS its last nine (and 37-24 ATS its last 61) when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Broncos.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Mustangs have lost 12 straight games.  Their last win:  against these Matadors back on December 29.  We'll take Cal Poly SLO to sweep the season series, as Northridge is 37-59 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a road defeat.  Meanwhile, Cal Poly is 7-0 ATS on the road when they've lost their previous 8 games.  And Big West Conference road underdogs are 285-234 ATS in conference games off back to back losses, including 100-76 ATS when playing a revenge minded foe.  Take Cal Poly SLO.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on The Citadel + the points over Samford.  The Citadel comes into this Southern Conference game on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and owns a 9-17 record, while Samford is just the opposite, at 17-9.  We'll grab the points, as Samford is a horrid 23-51 ATS at home vs. losing foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-10 its last 10 if its foe was off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take The Citadel.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams won by double-digits, 77-67, at home vs. UMass, on Wednesday, while Davidson has had six days off following its 15-point SU/ATS win over UMass last Saturday.  We'll lay the points, as the Rams are an atrocious 11-26 ATS as a road underdog off a win when playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Take Davidson.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers had a disappointing road trip, as they lost at Tennessee (46-43) and at Texas A&M (83-78).  They're back home today, and we'll grab the points with Auburn, and go against the #3-ranked Crimson Tide.  Auburn is a solid 95-73-4 ATS off back to back SEC Conference losses, including 18-6 ATS vs. foes off a win by more than 12 points.  Take Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers + the points over Bradley.  The Racers come into this afternoon's game off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Bradley has won five straight (and covered three in a row).  We'll take the underdog Racers, as they're 60.6% ATS since 1990 in conference games off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take Murray State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red minus the points over Brown.  The Bears are an ugly 10-27-2 ATS at home in Ivy League games, while Cornell is 16-10 ATS its last 26 on the road, and 15-10 ATS its last 25 as a road favorite.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers + the points over Indiana St.  The Panthers play this game with revenge from an 8-point loss in Terre Haute two weeks ago.  We'll take the Panthers, as Missouri Valley Conference home underdogs have covered 58.2% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Northern Iowa.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Albany Great Danes + the points over Binghamton.  These two teams met in January, and Binghamton upset the Great Danes, 65-54.  But we'll fade Binghamton this afternoon, as the Bearcats are a horrid 9-22 ATS at home, including 1-6 ATS when favored by 3+ points, and 2-7 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Albany as a road underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over American.  The Crusaders come into this afternoon game off back to back home losses to Navy and Lafayette, while American's off a loss to Boston U.  Last month, the Eagles went into Worcester and defeated the Crusaders, 73-68.  We'll take Holy Cross in this rematch, as the Crusaders are 16-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 4 points when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Holy Cross.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:35 pm, our selection is on the Edmonton Oilers over the Ottawa Senators.  After their loss to the Kings on January 9, the Oilers were treading water with a .500 record (21-21).  But Edmonton finished off the first month of 2023 going 7-1 the rest of the way to up its record to 28-22 putting the Oilers in the top three for Pacific Division title.  They lost a tough one in Philly on Thursday, falling to the Flyers in a shootout, 2-1 and now they travel to Ottawa for this Saturday matinee with the Senators.  It will be the first meeting of these two Canadian clubs in over a year and the Sens own the last two, having topped the Oilers twice in January of 2022.  But that's about all the Senators have managed to do against their rivals recently as the Oilers had won nine straight meetings going back to January of 2021 prior to those two Ottawa victories.  And the Oilers have done by far their best work away from Edmonton this season as they are 16-7-2 in 25 games on the road (compared to 13-11-3 in 27 home contests).  They are 6-1 in the last seven meetings here in Ottawa.  Take the Oilers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Minnesota.  The Timberwolves come into this game off a 143-118 upset win over the Utah Jazz.  And Minnesota also won the previous two meetings vs. the Grizzlies this season.  But each of those two games was in Minneapolis; tonight's game is on Beale Street.  We'll lay the points, as Memphis is 48-15 ATS in the regular season when rested, and playing with revenge against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, including 20-4 ATS if it lost the previous meeting by more than 10 points.  Take the Grizzlies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Detroit Pistons.  These two teams are among the four teams "competing" for one of the three worst records and, with it, the most combinations in the NBA Draft Lottery -- which is the most highly-anticipated lottery since LeBron James was taken #1 in 2003.  The top pick will be Victor Wembanyama, but even the likely 2nd pick (Scoot Henderson) should have a stellar career.  From my perspective, any time you can go against one of these four horrible teams (Rockets, Pistons, Spurs, Hornets) as a favorite, you should consider doing so.  When you look at this basket of cellar-dwellers, you'll see that they've burned money as a favorite (or PK), going 7-13-1 ATS, including 1-10 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Even worse for Detroit: it's gone 0-11 ATS at home when playing a foe off back to back SU/ATS losses, if Detroit wasn't getting 2+ points.  Take the Spurs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.