Sports Picks & Predictions

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Virginia Tech.  The Green Wave lost coach Willie Fritz to the University of Houston, and have a lot of player absences as well, which is why they're catching double-digits this afternoon.  We'll happily take the points, as double-digit Bowl underdogs have gone 83-62 ATS at home, or on neutral fields.  Even better:  Tulane is 10-0 ATS away from home when not laying 10+ points.  Take the Green Wave.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Chicago.  Trae Young has been upgraded to play tonight, and that's all we need to pull the trigger on Atlanta.  Atlanta comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Miami and Memphis, but those two defeats have set the Hawks up in a 124-69 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Brooklyn Nets.  The Pistons are now tied for the most consecutive losses (26) within a single season, and will hold the record by themselves with a straight-up loss tonight.  Of course, we only care about the point spread, and will grab the points with Detroit.  We actually played against the Pistons and took the Nets when these two team met three days ago in Brooklyn.  The Nets won that game by 11 (as a 10-point favorite).  But I expect a much closer game in this rematch, as the Pistons fall into a super 75-26 ATS system of mine, while Brooklyn is a wallet-busting 39-57-1 ATS as a road favorite of 5 or more points.  Take Detroit as a home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Texas State.  This Lone Star State battle in the First Responder Bowl will take place in Dallas, Texas.  We'll grab the points with Rice, primarily because of its advantages on the defensive side of the ball.  Texas State ranks #104 in yards given up, at 414.3 (Rice is #55 at 370.1), and #116 in points allowed, at 33.83 (Rice is #66, at 26.67).  And Texas State's porous defense has triggered negative systems of mine that are 49-103, 34-76 ATS, and 26-60 ATS.  Finally, the Owls are 11-4 ATS as an underdog (or PK), while the Bobcats are a soft 10-16 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS vs. winning ATS foes.  Grab the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Gophers stumbled at the end of the season, with four straight losses (both SU and ATS).  But we'll still take them as a small favorite over a Mid-American Conference foe.  Big 10 Conference teams have excelled in the Bowls off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, as they've gone 13-4-1 ATS.  And teams off 3+ losses have gone 34-25-1 ATS in the Bowls since 1983.  Meanwhile, MAC Conference teams are a soft 14-30-3 ATS in the post-season vs. an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Minnesota minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs and Las Vegas Raiders Over the total.  We played on each of these teams to go over the total last week, and cashed both, as the Raiders put up 63 points in a 63-21 win over the Chargers, while the Chiefs tallied 27 in a 27-17 victory over New England.  We'll come right back with the Over in this divisional matchup on Christmas Day as it falls into 67-35 and 109-57 Totals systems of mine.  Additionally, six of the last seven meetings between these two rivals have gone OVER the total.  And those seven games have averaged 57.28 points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings between these teams.  Milwaukee was favored by 2 points on Saturday, and won by 19, 130-111.  The point spread is higher on Christmas, and we'll take the Knicks to avenge their loss.  Both teams have solid records.  New York is 16-12, while Milwaukee is 22-7.  In regular season matchups between foes with win percentages greater than .550, teams off a loss by 12+ points have gone 76-38 ATS vs. foes off a win by 12+ points (including 7-2 ATS if it was the 2nd of back to back meetings).  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Cardinals + the points over the Chicago Bears.  This is the 3rd time this season the Bears have been installed as a point spread favorite, and they've yet to cover in that role.  Even worse, Chicago is 23-38-2 ATS its last 63 games as a favorite, including 11-25-2 ATS when favored by less than 5 points.  Meanwhile, the Cardinals are 21-6-1 ATS as a single-digit road underdog, including 13-1 ATS vs. non-division foes.  Grab the points with Arizona.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys + the points over the Miami Dolphins.  I'm well aware of how poor Dallas has done vs. top-level teams.  But off its 21-point loss to Buffalo, we'll step in and take the Cowboys today.  Dallas is 22-12-1 ATS off a 20-point (or worse) loss when not getting 3+ points.  And the Cowboys also fall into a 97-52 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Take Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets and Washington Commanders Under the total.  Both of these teams come into this game with sub-.400 records.  The Jets are 5-9, while the Commanders are 4-10.  Late in the season, when two awful teams match-up, the games tend to be low-scoring, and have gone under the total 57.7% since 1980.  Additionally, the Jets were shutout, 30-0, at Miami last weekend.  And NFL teams off shutout losses have gone 42-27 under their last 69.  Take the under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers + the points over San Jose.  Coastal Carolina lost by 42 points in their final game of the season, as a 4-point underdog vs. James Madison.  We'll take the big underdog tonight, as Bowl underdogs of +8 (or more) points, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered 67% the last 10 seasons.  Take Coastal Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Chargers + the points over Buffalo.  The Chargers were the 2nd team this NFL season to fall by 40+ points when they were crushed, 63-21, by the Raiders on Thursday Night Football.  Historically, teams do bounce back from such blowout losses when they play at home in their next game, but not when they take to the road.  At home, our teams have gone 34-25-2 ATS, while they they've faltered on the road, to the tune of 6-12-2 ATS.  The Chargers have been installed as a double-digit home dog, which also bodes well, as double-digit home dogs have gone 130-102-2 ATS.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over Detroit.  This is the first of a back-to-back set between these teams, with Tuesday's game being played in Detroit.  We'll take the Nets to snap out of their funk.  Brooklyn's on a 5-game losing streak, but fall into a 181-100 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Brooklyn is 10-4 ATS at home this season, including 7-1 ATS as a favorite.  Lay it.   Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Boston Bruins over Minnesota.  These two teams met 4 days ago in Boston, and Minnesota came away with a 4-3 victory, in overtime.  Boston, though, did put 43 shots on goal (to Minnesota's 30), and was 9-1 (going into the Minnesota game) when it outshot its opponent.  So, that was an unusual result.  I expect Boston to avenge that defeat, as it's 42-21 its last 63 when playing with revenge.  Take the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles upset Buffalo, 24-11, to end their regular season.  Unfortunately, they're a paltry 7-18 ATS as an underdog away from home in non-conference games, if they were off a win, including 0-5 ATS off an upset win.  Take South Alabama minus the points.

At 4:30pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Steelers + the points over the Cincinnati Bengals.  This is the Steelers' final home game of the season.  And they come into the game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  We played against the Black and Gold last week, and got the $$$$ with the Colts.  But we'll switch gears today, and take the points with the home pup.  Indeed, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have covered 64% since 1980 in their final home game of the season.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mean Green have lost 3 straight games, and have failed to cover the spread in their last two, while Arlington is on a 4-game ATS win streak.  We'll take North Texas minus the points, as it's cashed 71% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. foes off back to back ATS wins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans + the points over NC State.  It's true that the Titans are 0-12 on the season, and have been outscored by 16.41 ppg. But we'll still take Detroit, and go against NC State, as ACC Conference teams are a miserable 46-78 ATS when favored against an opponent with a negative scoring margin that lost its last three games SU/ATS.  Take Detroit.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Toledo.  West Virginia lost here, in Morgantown, to Radford, 66-65, on Wednesday.  We'll lay the points with the Mountaineers, as they've cashed 73% since 1990 as a home favorite off an upset home loss.  Take WVU.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over Milwaukee.   The Knicks return home after playing their last 5 on the road.  And they're 47-23 ATS at home if they were off 3+ road games, and owned a winning record.  Admittedly, the Bucks have won 6 straight games.  But all 6 were played at home.  We'll fade Milwaukee on the road, as it's gone 20-36-2 ATS off 3 home wins.  Take New York.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Northern Illinois.  Butch Jones' men ended their regular season with a thud, as they lost, 35-21, to Marshall.  We'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back, as they're 11-2 ATS away from home off a double-digit conference defeat.  Take Arkansas St.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Missouri.  The Tigers are a woeful 13-27 ATS as an underdog of more than 4 points when not playing with revenge.  Lay the points with Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Bellarmine Knights + the points over BYU.  The Knights were blown out, 85-43, by Utah on Wednesday.  We'll grab the points, as Bellarmine is 8-0 ATS off a loss by more than 18 points.  Take the Knights.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over Southern Utah. The Blue Raiders lost by 37 at St. Mary's on Tuesday.  We'll take Middle Tennessee, as Southern Utah has cashed just 34.7% vs. foes off losses by more than 20 points.  Take the Blue Raiders.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Houston Rockets minus the points over Dallas.  Houston will look to snap its 3-game SU/ATS losing streak tonight, while Dallas will attempt to halt its 2-game SU/ATS slide.  I favor Houston, as the Mavericks have consistently burned money the last two seasons, with a 42-61 ATS mark.  And they're also 10-25-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  With the Rockets seeking revenge from a loss at Dallas last month, we'll lay the points with Houston.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Marist.  The Irish are 4-7 after getting upset, 65-45, by The Citadel, while Marist is 7-2 following its 24-point blowout of Maryland-Eastern Shore.  We'll take the Irish to bounce back on Friday, as ACC Conference teams are 79-53-4 ATS at home off an upset home loss, if they're matched up against a foe off a win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over VCU.  The Rams have been installed as a huge favorite this evening.  Unfortunately, they're 1-11 ATS off a win, if they were favored at home by 19+ points.  Take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis minus the points over Southern Indiana.  The Screaming Eagles won last year's meeting, 71-53.  We'll take the revenge-minded Salukis tonight, as they're 38-18 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points, when playing with revenge, including 27-8 ATS off a SU win.  Take Southern Illinois.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Mississippi Valley St.  The Bears lost their last two games, vs. Michigan St and Duke, after starting the season with nine straight wins.  We'll take Baylor tonight, as the Bears are 62-26 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Central Florida.  The Knights have been installed as a favorite in this Gasparilla Bowl.  But Central Florida is a woeful 0-8 ATS its last 8 when priced from -3.5 to -7 points!  That doesn't bode well for UCF this evening.  Nor does the fact that Georgia Tech is 12-3 ATS its last 15 as an underdog (or PK), including 7-1 ATS off a straight up loss.  Take Georgia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Portland Trail Blazers.  The Blazers pulled off a big upset win at home over Phoenix, 109-104, on Tuesday.  Meanwhile, the Wizards lost, 143-131, at Sacramento, on Monday.  We'll take Washington and go against Portland, as the Blazers have covered just 35.2% since 1990 at home off an upset home win, if they were playing an opponent off a loss.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Kent St.  The Ducks were blown out, 83-63, by Syracuse in its last game.  It was the lowest amount of points Oregon has scored this season, and resulted primarily from a 4-for-27 performance from 3-point territory.  Since 1990, Oregon has cashed 59.2% in non-conference games off an upset loss, including 7-0 ATS their last seven as a home favorite.  Take the Ducks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the New Orleans/Los Angeles game.  This game is a technical play, as it falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 65% over the last 44 seasons, as well as a 59% system.  Additionally, the Saints have held their last two opponents to 6 points each.  And NFL teams that have given up less than 13 points in their two previous games have gone 148-121-7 OVER.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Pels were upset, 115-113, at home by Memphis, on Tuesday, as an 8.5-point favorite.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with New Orleans in Cleveland tonight, as rested road favorites off an upset loss at home as an 8.5-point (or greater) favorite, have cashed 61.2% since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida A&M Rattlers + the points over Central Florida.  The Rattlers return home to the Sunshine State after getting blitzed in the state of Iowa last weekend.  Florida A&M lost to both Iowa and Iowa State by 36 and 38 points, respectively.  We'll take the Rattlers tonight, as they're 6-0 ATS their last six (and 11-1 ATS their last 12) as an underdog on a 2-game ATS losing streak.  Even better, at Game 10 forward, teams with a negative scoring margin of -15.0 ppg have cashed 61.1% on the road if they were off a 30-point (or worse) SU/ATS loss.  Take Florida A&M.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the College of Charleston Cougars minus the points over St. Joseph's.  The Hawks have won their last six games, including a 25-point blowout of cross-town rival, Iona, last Saturday.  The Hawks are now 9-2 on the season, but 10 of their 11 games were played in their home city of Philadelphia.  They have won 9 of those 10 games played in Philly, but lost their only game outside the city.  The Hawks are 9-17-1 ATS their last 26 road games off a point spread win, including 1-7 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Charleston minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over TCU.  The Monarchs lost to conference rival, James Madison, 84-69, in their last game.  We'll take ODU to bounce back, as it's 105-82 ATS in the regular season off a conference loss, including 9-0 ATS its last nine.  Take the Monarchs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Harvard.  The Crimson come into this game off four straight ATS losses.  We'll look for that losing streak to stretch to five games this afternoon, as Harvard is 51-84-1 ATS as a favorite off an ATS loss.  And it's also 14-38 ATS as a home favorite when it's been on a 2-game (or worse) losing streak.  Grab the points with Holy Cross.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn St. Braves + the points over George Washington.  The Revolutionaries will take the floor tonight for the first time in nine days, following their win over Bowie St, while the Braves played (and lost) just two days ago.  There's always a 'rest vs. rust' debate, and I favor the rust side in the debate when it comes to NCAA basketball.  Indeed, teams (like George Washington) that were off 3+ wins have gone 338-397 ATS at home in the regular season when they were playing with more than a week of rest, including 26.3% the last 7 years against foes that had no more than 1 day of rest.  The Revolutionaries are also 64-83-4 ATS as a favorite in non-conference games, including 9-15-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Alcorn St.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Tar Heels were upset by Kentucky, 87-83, on Saturday.  And that was North Carolina's 2nd straight loss.  We'll take the Tar Heels to bounce back, as they've gone 29-15-2 ATS in non-conference games off an upset loss.  Lay the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Houston Rockets.  We played against the Hawks in their last game, and got the money with the Pistons as a 12-point road underdog.  Atlanta won that game, 130-124, but failed to cover.  Its ATS record is now 6-19 ATS, which is the worst in the league.  But if one digs deeper into its numbers, one finds that it's only failed to cover the spread by an average of 0.55 ppg.  And it's actually covered the spread on the road by +1.73 ppg; at home is where Atlanta has really underperformed.  Tonight, the Hawks are on the road, and have been installed as a road underdog vs. Houston.  We'll take the Hawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers minus the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Lakers will hit the road tonight after losing their 2nd straight game on Monday, at home, vs. New York.  They've been installed as a road favorite vs. the 11-17 Bulls, who are coming in off an upset win over the 76ers, 108-104, in Philly.  Los Angeles is a solid 47-27 ATS on the road vs. non-division foes with a losing record, off an upset win.  Take the Lakers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines + the points over Liberty.  The Flames are outscoring their foes by 20.08 ppg this season.  But we will go against Liberty tonight, as Utah Valley is 24-4 ATS its last 28 when playing an opponent with a scoring margin north of 2.6 points per game.  Take the Wolverines.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over UC San Diego.  After covering the spread in five straight games, the Cal Bears stumbled vs. Ole Miss, and lost by 10, as a 2.5-point underdog.  We'll take California to get back into the win column this afternoon, as it's cashed 63% since 1990 as a home favorite vs. non-conference foes, if Cal was off a loss, and its opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Drake.  The Braves come into tonight's game off back to back losses to Maryland (105-65) and Northern Iowa (100-82).  We'll take the points with Alcorn State, as underdogs of 6+ points, off back to back SU/ATS losses in which they gave up 100+ points, have cashed 68.4% since 1990.  Take the Braves.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida St. Seminoles minus the points over North Florida.  The Ospreys blew out Trinity Baptist, 113-72, on Saturday.  We'll fade North Florida off that high-scoring win, as it is 10-23 ATS after scoring more than 78 points, including 0-7 ATS as an underdog of more than 12.  Take the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the SF Austin Lumberjacks minus the points over New Mexico St.  The Aggies come into this game off a heartbreaking 1-point loss to rival New Mexcio.  The Aggies were a 14.5-point underdog, and lost 73-72, as the Lobos scored the game-winning lay-up with 23 seconds left in the game.  I expect a letdown tonight, as road underdogs of +9 (or more) points off a 1-point loss in a game where they were 13-point (or greater) dogs, have gone 1-15 ATS in the regular season.  Lay the points with Stephen F. Austin.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Hurricanes over the Vegas Golden Knights.  The Knights are looking like they mean business and want to defend their Stanley Cup title from less than 6 months ago.  A big part of their success has been the play of Adin Hill, who sits atop the league's goaltending leaders with a 1.93 GAA and .933 saves percentage.  Unfortunately for Vegas however, Hill was removed from the team's last game on Sunday with an unspecified injury and is unlikely to suit up tonight for this match-up in Raleigh against the 'Canes.  With regular back-up Robin Lehner already on the long-term injury list (hip), Logan Thompson will likely be called upon for the net-minding duties this evening.  The Knights come to Raleigh after one of the easiest four-game homestands on their schedule which saw them go 3-1.  The four teams they played (Ottawa, Buffalo, Calgary, San Jose) have a combined record of 45-64-11 and the Knights needed OT for two of the wins.  Carolina is 2-1 in the last three meetings here.  Take the 'Canes.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Coppin St.  The Dukes are undefeated, at 10-0, and ranked #20 in the Associated Press poll.  Even better:  they're 7-2 ATS this season, and were 18-12 ATS last year (25-14 ATS combined).  One of the Dukes' losses last season was to Coppin St.  The Eagles upset the Dukes, 107-100, in Baltimore.  We'll take the revenge-minded Dukes to blow out the Eagles, as Coppin St is a woeful 1-6 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  And the Eagles are 8-17-1 ATS their last 26 road games.  Take the Dukes minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks Under the total.  The Eagles' defense has not played well the last three weeks, as it's given up 34, 42 and 33 points.  Off those three dismal performance, we'll take the Eagles and Seahawks to go under the total, as NFL teams that gave up more than 30 points in each of their 3 previous games have gone Under the total 59.5% since 1980.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  The Pistons have the NBA's worst record, at 2-24.  And they've lost 23 straight games, including a 146-114 blowout at Milwaukee on Saturday, which is 3 games shy of the all-time worst in-season losing streak.  But Atlanta has also been horrible this season.  Not straight-up, but against the spread.  The Hawks are the league's worst point spread team, as they're 6-18-1 ATS.  The Hawks are a horrid 13-29-1 ATS as a favorite their last 43, and they're 50-95-2 ATS vs. rested foes off a loss by 20+ points.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Eastern Shore Hawks + the points over Marist.  The Hawks won last year's meeting, 70-59, as a 2.5-point home favorite.  This season's game is in Poughkeepsie, and the Red Foxes come into this game off 5 straight covers.  But they were never laying double-digits in those games.  Indeed, this is the first time Marist has been favored by double-digits since 2021, a span of 60 games.  Notwithstanding Marist's recent success ATS, I think the point spread adjustment has been too great.  We'll take the Hawks, as they are 32-19-1 ATS on the road.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville Jaguars + the points over Baltimore.  The Jaguars come into this Sunday Night game off back to back losses to Cincinnati and Cleveland. They'll now play their 3rd straight game vs. an AFC North division foe, as Baltimore will come into Jacksonville. Since 1980, winning teams (like the Jaguars) have cashed 61 percent at home off back to back losses, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point. Take the Jaguars.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Bucks played last night (and won), and will be at home for the 2nd straight day on this Sunday.  We'll lay the points, as Milwaukee is 38-17 ATS on the 2nd of back-to-back days, off an ATS win the previous day.  And Houston is a poor 19-37-2 ATS as a road underdog.  Lay the points with Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills minus the points over Dallas.  Both Dallas and Buffalo scored their biggest wins of the season last Sunday. The Bills moved to 7-6 with a 20-17 win at Kansas City, while Dallas won at home, 33-13, vs. rival Philadelphia. That was Dallas' 5th straight win, overall. And four of those five wins came at home, including their last three. Now, the Cowboys have to take to the road, and play a Bills team which needs to keep winning to get into the Playoffs. I'll fade Dallas, as road teams off a home win, and 3 home games, overall, have gone 98-133-3 ATS. And the Cowboys are an ugly 1-10 ATS on the road vs winning teams that were in the Playoffs the previous season. Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and Los Angeles Rams Under the total.  The Commanders had last week off to rest, and regroup after 4 straight losses where they gave up more than 28 points.  They lost 29-26 at Seattle.  Then the New York Giants upset them, 31-19.  On Thanksgiving, Dallas blew them out, 45-10, while Miami put up 45 in a 30-point win two weeks ago.   All four of those games went Over the total.  I like the Under in this game, as teams off 3 straight Overs where they gave up more than 30 points in each of those three games, have then gone under the total 60% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Rams had a high-scoring game at Baltimore last Sunday.  But Los Angeles is 14-3-1 Under following a game that went Over the total, including 11-0 Under if the O/U line was greater than 42 points.  Take the Under.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders + the points over the Los Angeles Rams.  The Commanders had last week off to rest and prepare for this game, while the Rams lost an overtime affair at Baltimore (but covered the spread in defeat).  The Rams are a poor 8-21 ATS off 3 ATS wins, including 0-8 ATS when priced from -4.5 to -11 points.  And they're 1-12 ATS vs. rested foes when priced from -3 to -13 points.  Admittedly, the Commanders were playing poorly going into their Bye Week, as they had dropped 4 straight games, including their last three ATS.  The good news is that rested underdogs of more than 5 points have cashed 75% since 1990, if they had lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the McNeese State Cowboys minus the points over Louisiana Lafayette.  The Cowboys are off to a super 9-2 start this season, and they're 6-1 ATS in their seven lined games.  McNeese lost here, at home, to the Cajuns last season, 78-70, so they'll be looking to avenge that defeat this afternoon.  We'll lay the points, as the Rajin' Cajuns are a dreadful 13-28-3 ATS as an underdog away from home vs. a foe playing with revenge from a loss in the prior season.  Take McNeese St minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

  At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Boston.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings.  Boston won Round 1, 128-111, on Friday, as a 6-point home favorite.  And that ATS win by Boston snapped a 5-game ATS losing streak in the series.  The Celtics are also the home team for this re-match, but the point spread is higher.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Magic, as they're 29-15-1 ATS as an underdog when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Alcorn State Braves + the points over Northern Iowa.  The Braves come into this afternoon's game off their worst game of the season.  They were blown out by 40 points, 105-65, by Maryland as a 23-point underdog.  We'll take Alcorn State to bounce back as it's 13-5 ATS on the road off a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  And Northern Iowa is 1-13 ATS as a favorite of more than 13 points vs. a non-conference foe with a negative scoring margin.  Take Alcorn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots + the points over Kansas City.  Defending Super Bowl champs have not done well as road favorites vs. foes off a straight-up win, and especially not in non-division games, as they've gone 22-41 ATS since 1981, including 0-11 ATS when laying more than 7 points. Take New England + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints minus the points over the New York Giants.  The Giants pulled off a big upset this past Monday at home vs. Green Bay, as they won 24-22 as a 6-point home underdog. But road teams have had letdowns off upset home wins, if they were an underdog of more than 5 points in that upset win. Since 1980, those teams have gone 88-126-6 ATS. Take the Saints.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Carolina/Atlanta game.  The first meeting between these NFC South division rivals was low-scoring, with just 34 point scored (Atlanta won, 24-10).  Since 1980, subsequent meetings between division rivals have gone Over the total 55% if the prior meeting totaled less than 36 points.  Take the Falcons and Panthers Over the total.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New England/Kansas City game.  After scoring just 13 points over its three previous games, the New England offense broke out (for it, anyway) in a big way last Thursday.  It scored 21 first-half points, and coasted to a 21-18 victory in a game which went "over' by halftime.  We played on the Over in that Patriots/Steelers game, and will come right back with the Over in this Patriots/Chiefs game, as the number is still too low, by my math.  The Chiefs are also 24-10 Over their last 34 as road favorites of more than 6 points.  Take the Over.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the New York Giants/New Orleans Saints game.  The Giants had their 2nd best offensive performance of the season, in terms of yards gained, this past Monday.  New York rolled up 367 yards of offense, and tallied 24 points in an upset win of Green Bay.  That game easily went over the posted total of 37.5, and that was the 3rd time in its last four games that New York went Over the total (after playing 7 unders in a row prior to that).  New Orleans has had a similar arc.  After starting the season with 6 straight unders, it has now played Overs in four of its last seven.  We'll ride the current momentum, and look for another high-scoring game here.  Take the Giants and Saints Over the total.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Atlanta.  The Panthers have been installed as a home underdog in this NFC South division contest.  We'll grab the points, as home dogs off 3+ losses have done well in the final 4 games of the regular season, with a 95-60-2 ATS record vs. sub-.666 opponents.  That bodes well for Carolina.  As does the fact that the Falcons have covered just 10 of 29 as road favorites.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Clippers minus the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks and Clippers met earlier this season in the Big Apple.  Los Angeles was favored, but the Knicks blew out the Clippers by 14 points.  We'll take the Clippers to avenge that defeat as they've gone 74-47 ATS in the regular season when favored by 3+ points, and playing with revenge from a loss by 6+ points.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Antelopes upset Liberty, 69-64, as a 5-point road underdog last Saturday.  We'll fade Grand Canyon off that upset win, as it is 0-6-2 ATS as a favorite of more than 2 points off an upset win.  Take the Pilots + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over California.  The Red Raiders were annihilated in Austin, Texas, 57-7, at the end of their regular season.  But off that 50-point blowout loss, I expect Tech to bounce back in this bowl game and crush California.  Texas Tech is a super 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog, if it wasn't favored by double digits.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Alabama.  We played against Creighton its last time out, and easily got the $$$ when UNLV blew them out as a 13.5-point underdog.  Off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with the Blue Jays, as they're 31-13 ATS at home off a loss, including 9-1 ATS in non-conference games.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Boise St.  The Bruins were upset at home, 33-7, by California to end their regular season.  And the Bruins were favored by 9.5 points in that game.  Off that defeat, where they failed to cover the spread by 35.5 points, we'll take UCLA to rebound in this de facto home game (at SoFi Stadium), on Saturday.  UCLA is a stellar 29-12-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread by more than 10 points in its previous game (including a perfect 4-0 ATS in the post-season).  And it's 31-17 ATS when playing in Los Angeles vs. non-conference foes, and not favored by 14+ points.  Meanwhile, Boise St. is a brutal 2-9-2 ATS away from home against foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-4-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with Chip Kelly's Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks are 8-1 ATS this season.  However, their one ATS loss was when they were favored by 22 points vs. VMI.  They're a massive favorite in this game, and we will happily grab the points, as South Carolina is an awful 0-5 ATS their last five (and 11-21-1 ATS their last 33) when favored by more than 16 points vs. a non-conference foe.  Take Charleston Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:45 pm, our selection is on the Fresno St Bulldogs + the points over New Mexico St.  The Bulldogs fell flat in the season's final weeks, as they lost their last three games (both SU and ATS).  We'll take Fresno to bounce back, as it's 9-0 ATS when it was off 3+ losses, and not getting more than 7 points from its opponent.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis.  The Mustangs are favored on the road, even though they're 3-5 SU, and off an upset loss as a 9-point favorite vs. Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  We'll fade Cal Davis, and take the points with Pacific.  For technical support, consider that losing teams, off a SU/ATS loss, have covered just 107 of 255 as road favorites vs. non-conference foes.  Take Pacific + the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts over the Pittsburgh Steelers.  The Colts were blown out, 34-14, by Cincinnati last week, as a 3-point road underdog.  So, Indianapolis failed to cover the spread by 17 points.  But that bodes well for them here, at home, vs. Pittsburgh, as the Colts are 35-10 ATS off a straight-up loss, if they failed to cover the spread in that previous game by 8 or more points.  Take Indianapolis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the SE Louisiana Lions + the points over Murray State.  The Lions were blown out, 89-60, by Louisiana Tech on Tuesday.  But off that loss, we'll look for SE Louisiana to bounce back this afternoon.  The Lions are a solid 24-10 ATS off a double-digit road loss, while Murray St is a miserable 74-100 when favored by more than 10 points.  Take the Lions.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams upset North Texas, 60-59, as a 6-point underdog, and are now 5-5 on the season.  Unfortunately, the Rams are a wallet-breaking 18-37-1 ATS as an underdog of 6+ points on the road off a straight-up win.  Take St. John's.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Clemson.  Memphis is 7-2 after winning back to back road games at VCU and Texas A&M.  And last weekend's win over Texas A&M was quite impressive, as Memphis won 81-75 as an 8.5-point road underdog.  We'll take the Tigers here, at home, on Saturday, as they're 19-8 ATS at home off back to back road wins, including 7-0 ATS off an upset win.  Take Memphis.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  The Ragin' Cajuns ended their regular season by thumping rival, Louisiana Monroe, 52-21.  Unfortunately, the Cajuns are a horrid 0-10 ATS off a win by more than 17 points.  Lay the points with Jacksonville St.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Sacred Heart Pioneers + the points over Providence.  The Friars have been installed as a huge favorite this afternoon.  Unfortunately, they've burned $$$ when laying big wood, as they're 9-29 ATS vs. non-conference foes when favored by 17 or more points.  Take Sacred Heart + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Rockets and Grizzlies met two nights ago, and the Rockets won, 117-104.  That game was played in Texas; tonight's game is on Beale Street, in Memphis.  We'll grab the points with the Grizzlies, as they're 35-6 ATS at home in the regular season when playing an opponent off a win, if the Grizzlies had revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and weren't getting more than 9 points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over the Toronto Raptors.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings in Toronto between these teams.  The Raptors won, 135-128, on Tuesday, as a 2.5-point favorite.  This game is also competitively-priced with a point spread of 3 points or less.  And when NBA teams have played back to back games vs. the same opponent, each with a point spread of 3 or less, the straight-up loser of the prior meeting has covered 57% of the time.  And this applies to both regular season, and playoff games.  Take the Hawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over Philadelphia.  These two teams met two nights ago in the Motor City, and the Sixers were victorious, 129-111.  We'll take the double-digits in the rematch, as road underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 39-20-2 ATS in the regular season, if they lost SU/ATS to their opponent in their previous game.  Take Detroit.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Wizards have lost their last 5 game, straight-up, and their last 3 vs. the point spread.  But we'll take the points with Washington, and go against an Indiana team which has covered just 27 of 77 as a winning team vs. foes off 3 ATS defeats.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over Brooklyn.  Last season, the Nuggets won 44 of 52 home games, and went 31-19-2 ATS in those games.  This year, they got off to a 6-0 start, but lost their last home game, 114-106, to the Houston Rockets six days ago.  They bounced back with 2 road wins, and return home tonight to get back into the win column at Pepsi Center.  We'll lay the points, as Denver is 127-69 ATS at home when rested, and priced from +2.5 to -11, if it lost its previous home game straight-up.  Take the Nuggets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the OVER in the Las Vegas Raiders/Los Angeles Chargers game.  The Chargers lost quarterback Justin Herbert for the rest of the season, so Easton Stick will get the start on Thursday night. Prior to last week's games, the Over/Under line on this game was projected to be 42.5, but the number has been significantly adjusted after the results of the Chargers' 24-7 loss to Denver, and the Raiders' 3-0 loss to the Vikings. I think the adjustment has been too severe. We will take the Over, as NFL games have gone Over the total 59% of the time, if each team's previous game went under, and each scored less than 10 points in its prior game.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Creighton.  This game will be played at the Dollar Loan Center in Henderson, Nevada, so the Rebels will have a home-friendly crowd.  The Rebels have been installed as a huge underdog tonight vs. Creighton.  We'll grab the points as Mountain West Conference underdogs of > 13 points have gone 121-79 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take UNLV + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks minus the points over Indiana.  The Bucks play tonight's game with revenge from a loss to the Pacers last week in the In-Season Tournament.  And they're 0-2 this season vs. Indiana.  We'll lay the points with Milwaukee, as .523 (or better) teams have covered 62.1% when favored by 6+ points, and playing with revenge from 2 losses earlier in the season.  Milwaukee's also 12-6-1 ATS the previous 19 meetings with Indiana, and 8-2 ATS the previous 10 meetings at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Alabama State.  The Tigers have dropped their last four to the point spread, while Alabama State is on a 2-game ATS win streak.  We'll lay the points with LSU, as SEC Conference teams have cashed 67.4% since 1995 at home off 4+ ATS losses, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Lay the points with LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Philadelphia 76ers.  The Pistons have lost 20 straight games, but they fought hard to the end on Monday vs. Indiana.  I look for them to be competitive tonight vs. Philly.  We'll take the points, as double-digit home underdogs off a SU loss have gone 240-201-8 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Detroit.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Minnesota.  IUPUI was blown out, 75-58 at Eastern Illinois, last Thursday, as a 5-point road underdog.  IUPUI has now lost its last 3 games straight-up, and is 3-7 on the season.  Unfortunately for the Golden Gophers, they're a wallet-breaking 17-33-1 ATS vs. losing foes, including 0-11 ATS their last 11 vs. foes that failed to cover the spread by 7+ points in their previous game.  Take IUPUI.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Illinois-Chicago.  Green Bay has lost all 3 meetings to the Flames over the previous 2 seasons.  We'll take the revenge-minded Phoenix tonight, as they're 35-21 ATS when playing with revenge, including 17-9 ATS when it has lost at least the two previous meetings, and was now installed as an underdog.  Take Green Bay.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks + the points over UMass-Lowell.  The River Hawks come into this game off a 91-77 loss at UMass-Amherst (and 3 ATS losses, overall).  Yet UMass-Lowell has been installed as a huge, double-digit favorite (the most points they've been favored by in 9 seasons).  We'll grab the points with Long Island, as the Sharks are 29-16 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss, when the Sharks weren't favored by 6+ points.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  The Packers have won 3 straight games -- each as an underdog.  They upset Kansas City last week, the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, and the Los Angeles Chargers at Lambeau Field before that.  But now the Packers are favored by the most points they've been all season.  And NFL road favorites of -4 (or more) points, off back to back upset wins, have gone 4-17 ATS.  Even worse for Green Bay:  it's 2-10 ATS its last 12 as a favorite of -4 to -9.5 points, including 0-4 ATS on the road.  Take the Giants as the home underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the San Antonio Spurs + the points over the Houston Rockets.  The Spurs have lost 16 straight, and are 3-18 on the season.  But one of their three wins was vs. this Houston club.  The Rockets upset Denver, as an 8.5-point road underdog, in their previous game.  Unfortunately, home teams have gone 20-39-2 ATS off an upset win as an underdog of more than 8 points over the defending NBA champs.  Take San Antonio + the points.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans minus the points over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Pelicans were blown out, 133-89, on Thursday by the Lakers in the semi-finals of the In-Season Tournament.  We'll lay the points with New Orleans, as rested teams favored by 1.5 (or more) points, off a loss by 40+ points, have gone 11-0 ATS if they had at least the two previous days off.  Take New Orleans.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Denver Nuggets minus the points over the Atlanta Hawks.  Atlanta is on a six-game ATS losing streak, and has dropped 13 of its last 15 to the point spread.  At home, the Hawks are a miserable 1-7-1 ATS on the season.  Admittedly, Denver is on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But defending NBA champs have gone 25-13-1 ATS in the regular season on the road off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Nuggets.