Sports Picks & Predictions

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks come into this game off back to back upset wins over Tennessee and Clemson.  But I expect Notre Dame to halt their win streak, as the Irish are a perfect 13-0-1 ATS, if they owned a winning record, and were installed as a favorite of less than 14 points vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  We played against the Irish last Bowl season, in Marcus Freeman's debut as Notre Dame head coach, and got the $$$ with Oklahoma State as our 5* NCAA Football Game of the Year.  The Irish blew a big, 21-point lead in that Bowl game.  Rest assured that Freeman won't let that happen here.  Notre Dame is a spotless 5-0 SU/ATS in Bowl games when priced from -2 to -6 points (but 6-18 ATS when it wasn't).  And South Carolina is a wallet-busting 9-27-2 ATS off back to back ATS wins, when the point spread was 13 points or less (or PK).  Take Notre Dame minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Notre Dame/South Carolina game.  This Gator Bowl game will be played in Jacksonville, FL this afternoon.  Seven of the last nine Gator Bowls have gone Under, and we'll look for another relatively-low scoring game today.  Admittedly, it's true that South Carolina's offense has posted back-to-back high-scoring games, in wins over Tennesse (63-38) and Clemson (31-30).  And both of those games went Over the total.  But post-season games have gone Under 61.4% the past 10 seasons if a team has scored, in the aggregate, 85+ points over its two previous games.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Under in the Pittsburgh/UCLA game.  Over the last 8 seasons, Pac-12 teams have gone Under the total 69% in Bowl games when the O/U Line was 50+ points, including 4-0 Under already this Bowl season.  And when a Pac-12 team has been favored in a Bowl game, regardless of the OU Line, the bowl game has gone Under 70% of the time, including 6-0 Under the last six.  The Sun Bowl game, in El Paso, has had a long Bowl history.  There has often been issues with weather at this time of year in El Paso, and today will be no different.  Rain is in the forecast early in the morning, but should recede by game time.  However, winds will be around 15 miles per hour, with gusts upwards of 20 miles per hour (wind has the most impact on the passing game).  Five of the last six Sun Bowl games have gone Under the total, and that's the way we'll look for this Pitt/UCLA game.  Take the Under.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Over in the Maryland/NC State game.  Both of these teams ended the season with high-scoring wins.  Maryland tallied 37 in its win against Rutgers, while NC State scored 30 in its upset victory at North Carolina.  We'll look for both offense to continue to play well on this Friday, as post-season games have gone Over the total 88% the past 10 years if both teams scored 30+ points in their previous game, and the O/U line was 47 or less points.  Take the Over.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Texas/Washington game.  The Longhorns come into this game off back to back OVERS, as they defeated Kansas, 55-14, and then bested Baylor, 38-27.  Texas has gone UNDER in 8 straight games (and 31 of 46) following back to back games where 49+ points were scored.  And the UNDER also falls into a system of mine which has won 72.9%.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over Vancouver.  The Canucks won their 3rd straight game when they blew out San Jose, 6-2.  Unfortunately, the Canucks are 6-10 after scoring more than 5 goals in their previous game.  The Jets, meanwhile, suffered their 3rd straight loss Tuesday when the Minnesota Wild came into Manitoba, and left with a 4-1 victory.  But the Jets are 11-3 off a division loss, and 6-1 after scoring less than 1 goal in their previous game.  Take Winnipeg over Vancouver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is South Dakota over St Thomas.  The Coyotes are 13-5 ATS their last 18 Summit League games, including 9-1 ATS when not getting 2+ points.  And the Tommies are 1-11 ATS in conference games, when priced from +15 to -5 points.  Look for South Dakota to blow out St Thomas tonight.  Good luck as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  North Texas comes into tonight's game off 5 straight wins, and 2 straight covers.  We'll take North Texas, as it's 36-19 ATS in conference games, including 10-2-1 ATS if it wasn't favored by 4.5 points.  Take the Mean Green.

At 8 pm, our selection is on South Dakota St. minus the points over Western Illinois.  The Jackrabbits are a powerful 73-38-1 ATS at home, including 32-12 ATS vs. foes off a win.  With the Leathernecks, indeed, off a 19-point win over North Dakota St, we'll lay the points with South Dakota State tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Los Angeles.  The Celts come into this game off three straight blowout wins over Minnesota (121-109), Milwaukee (139-118) and Houston (126-102).  We'll lay the points with the Celtics, as they're 71-35 ATS off a home win by 20+ points.  Take Boston.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points over Toronto.  Memphis comes into this game off back to back double-digit losses to Golden State and Phoenix.  We'll take the Grizzlies to bounce back, as they're 10-0-1 ATS their last eleven (and 17-1-1 ATS their last 19) off back to back losses when they weren't getting more than 4 points.  Take the Grizzlies minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavs minus the points over the Indiana Pacers.  The Cavaliers are a solid 32-16-1 ATS when rested, and playing a winning opponent.  And Indiana is 0-7 ATS its last seven (and 11-36-4 ATS its last 51) when not getting more than 8 points against a foe off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Cleveland.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Rice.  The Hilltoppers were upset by South Carolina, 65-58, as a 2.5-point road favorite last Thursday.  We'll look for Western Ky to bounce back tonight against Rice.  The Owls are an awful 9-19 ATS as a road underdog, including 0-4 ATS vs. an opponent off an upset loss.  Take Western Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines covered in their previous game vs. North Carolina, as they lost by 4, as a 5-point underdog.  But the Wolverines are a poor 2-16 ATS when favored by 2+ points, and off a point spread win.  Take Central Michigan.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies over Wisconsin Milwaukee.  We played on the Grizzlies in their last game, and got the $$$ when they covered as a 21-point underdog vs. Michigan St.  We'll come right back with Oakland tonight, as it's 10-0 ATS its last 10 games vs. a foe off a win, if Oakland was off a game where it scored 60 or less points.  Take the Golden Grizzlies.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Providence.  Butler opened its Big East season 0-2.  But we'll lay the points with Butler tonight, as it's 14-3 ATS off back to back conference losses, including 8-0 ATS when not getting 7+ points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Florida St.  Over the last 42 years, Bowl underdogs of +8.5 (or more) points have gone 84-50-2 ATS if they weren't off back to back wins.  Take the Sooners + the points.

>At 2 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Minnesota/Syracuse game.  Both of these teams played Overs to end the regular season, and that's the way we'll look in this Pinstripe Bowl game.  The Over falls into a Totals system of mine which has cashed 67.7% since 2013.  And Syracuse has gone OVER the total 83% the past 10 seasons when the line has been less than 50 points.  Take the OVER.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St Aztecs minus the points over Air Force.  The Falcons are 9-4, including 4 straight wins heading into this Mountain West contest.  Meanwhile, the Aztecs come into this game with a 9-3 record following a 62-46 win over UC San Diego.  We'll lay the points tonight, as SDSU is 86-45-2 ATS vs. winning opponents, if SDSU was off a win by 15+ points.  Take the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys over Fresno.  The Cowboys are on a 2-game losing streak.  But Wyoming is a super 12-1 ATS away from home (and 23-7 ATS its last 30 away from home) off back to back losses.  And Fresno is 0-3 ATS at home this season, including an outright loss as a 9.5-point home favorite vs. Sacramento St the last time they took this court.  Take Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Denver.  The Kings blew a 20-point lead last night in their 7-point loss to the Nuggets.  We'll take the Kings as a home dog tonight, in this rematch, as Denver is a wallet-breaking 32-54-2 ATS on the road off a road win.  Take the Kings.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, in the Texas Bowl, our selection is on Mississippi minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders ended their season by scoring the most points they had all season vs. an FBS school, when they upset Oklahoma, 51-48, as a 2.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately for Texas Tech, it's 1-7-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points in its previous game.  And it's 12-25 ATS after an upset win, including 2-11 ATS when priced from +2 to +10 points.  Finally, the Red Raiders are 1-9-1 ATS in the Bowls when priced from +7 to -3.5 points, while the Rebels are 11-3-1 ATS their last 15 Bowl games.  Take Ole Miss minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks are 16-36-1 ATS on the road as a favorite in SEC Conference games, if Arkansas was off a win.  Take LSU + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Missouri.  The Tigers are 11-1 following upset wins over UCF and Illinois.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams upset wins, with a .900 (or better) record, have covered just 34% as home dogs vs. a foe off a SU win.  Lay the points with Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maine Black Bears + the points over Harvard.  The Black Bears return home following a road trip to the Buckeye State, which saw them lose to Ohio State, 95-61.  We'll take the home underdog tonight, as Harvard's 0-7 ATS vs. foes off a loss by 18+ points.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Temple Owls over East Carolina.  The Owls come into this game off 3 straight losses, and are 0-2-1 ATS in those games, while ECU is on a 3-game win streak.  But Temple is 27-14 ATS when on a 2-game ATS losing streak, including 8-0 ATS its last eight.  Take the Owls.

At 5:30 pm, on Wednesday, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Arkansas.  The Jayhawks greatly overachieved this season.  Picked by the media to finish last in the Big 12 conference, Kansas went 5-0 SU/ATS out of the gate, and was competitive in defeat vs. teams like TCU and Oklahoma.  Kansas did stumble badly its last two games, as it lost to Texas (55-14) and Kansas St (47-27), but still finished 6-6 to earn a bowl bid.  The Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS their last six post-season games, while Arkansas is 8-18-1 ATS its last 27 post-season games.  That bodes well for the Jayhawks as an underdog in this game.  As does the fact that the Underdog has gone 13-5 ATS in the Liberty Bowl games since 2004.  Finally, underdogs that were outscored, in the aggregate, by more than 40 points in their two previous games, have covered 62% in the post-season.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, in the Liberty Bowl, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks and Arkansas Razorbacks UNDER the total.  This Bowl game will match-up the Razorbacks from the SEC vs. the Jayhawks from the Big 12.  We'll look for a relatively-low scoring game, as Bowl games involving SEC teams are currently riding a 17-5-1 UNDER run, including 9-0 UNDER if our SEC team was priced between +3 to -7 points.  Likewise, Bowl games involving Big 12 teams have gone 21-5 UNDER, if our Big 12 team was installed as an underdog (or PK), including 14-1 UNDER their last 15.  Four of the last five Liberty Bowl games have gone Under the total.  Take the UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over NC Wilmington.  The Hawks were blown out by Yale, 76-44, in their previous game, while NC Wilmington is currently riding a 9-game win streak after it dispatched of Campbell, 74-66.  We'll take the Hawks as a home underdog tonight, as it falls into a 63% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs off a loss by more than 20 points, when matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  Take Monmouth.

At 2 pm, on Wednesday, in the Military Bowl, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Duke.  The Knights owned the nation's 7th most prolific rushing attack, as they averaged 235.6 yards on the ground this season.  And they've been installed as an underdog vs. Duke in this Bowl game.  We'll take the underdog, as we note that Bowl underdogs of +3 (or more) points, that averaged 235+ yards rushing on the season, have gone 77-56-1 ATS over the last 43 seasons.  Take UCF.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors pulled off a big upset win in their previous game, 123-109, vs. Memphis.  But Golden State is an awful 11-24-1 ATS off a 7-point (or greater) upset win.  Take Charlotte.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the New York Knicks + the points over the Dallas Mavericks.  New York lost earlier this season, at home, to these Mavericks, 121-100.  We'll take the Knicks tonight as a road dog, as they're 79-37 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes when playing with revenge from a home loss, if the Knicks were also off a SU/ATS loss in their previous game.  With New York in off a home loss to Philly on Christmas Day, we'll take Tom Thibodeau's men tonight.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M-Commerce Lions + the points over Texas.  In the last 20 days of November, the Lions were 6-0 ATS.  But in the first 20 days of December, they reversed course, and went 0-5 SU/ATS, including a 62-52 loss to IUPUI, as a 12.5-point favorite in their most recent game, last Tuesday.  I look for the Lions to get back into the win column, in Vegas, and cover this large number tonight.  Texas is a horrid 0-7-1 ATS off a win, when matched up against an opponent on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  And Texas is also 0-11 ATS at home vs. foes off an 8-point (or worse) upset loss.  Take Texas A&M-Commerce + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Penguins over the New York Islanders.  Dating back to November 17, the Pens are 13-4, including 6-1 on the road.  Meanwhile, the Islanders are 4-8 their last 12, including 2-3 at home.  Admittedly, New York did play a great game at home its last time on the ice, as it blew out Florida, 5-1.  But the Islanders are a dreadful 63-85 (minus 44.8 net games) at home after scoring 4+ goals in a home win, and 18-38 their last 56 vs. winning foes.  And they're also 15-24 their last 39 off a win by 2+ goals.  Both teams, of course, had the holiday weekend off to relax with their families.  And the Pens are 9-2 when well-rested following a 3-day (or greater) stretch of no games.  Take Pittsburgh.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers + the points over the Orlando Magic.  The Lakers have dropped 4 in a row following their nine-point loss at Dallas on Christmas Day.  We'll take Los Angeles as an underdog tonight, as Orlando's an ugly 17-43 ATS at home vs. foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Jacksonville.  The Dolphins are 7-3 after winning by 11, as a 7.5-point road favorite vs. Louisiana-Monroe. In contrast, the Fighting Irish come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses to Marquette, Georgia and Florida State.  But I look for the Irish to get back on the winning track tonight, as it will step down in class in hosting the Dolphins.  For technical support, consider that Notre Dame is 20-10-1 ATS off 3 SU losses, if matched up against an opponent off a SU win.  And Jacksonville is 0-15 SU and 3-12 ATS away from home off back to back wins, as an underdog of more than 2 points.  Take the Irish.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Under in the Colts/Chargers game.  The Colts were stunned last week by Minnesota, which roared back from a 33-0 deficit to down the Colts, 39-36.  We'll look for a much lower scoring game on Monday, as Indy has gone Under the total 47-27 at home off a loss in which it gave up 30+ points.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, on Monday, in the Quick Lane Bowl, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies + the points over Bowling Green.  After going 2-10 last year under coach Doug Martin, the Aggies turned to veteran head coach Jerry Kill to lead the team in 2022.  Kill previously manned the sideline at Northern Illinois (2008-2010) and Minnesota (2011-2015), and as an interim head coach last season at TCU.  Not including TCU, where he coached just 4 games, and went 2-2 ATS, Kill's teams have always been profitable.  Overall, he's gone 63-48-2 ATS, including 44-25 ATS when priced from -6 to +17 points.  His Aggies ended this season in impressive fashion, with a 65-3 blowout of Valparaiso, and a 49-14 upset win (as a 24-point underdog) at Liberty in their penultimate game.  They also were 5-1 ATS down the stretch.  In contrast, Bowling Green was 4-7-1 ATS this season, and 1-3 ATS in their final four games.  They scored just 14 points in their final game of the season -- a 24 point loss at Ohio, as a 5.5-point underdog.  The Mid-American Conference is, generally speaking, a horrible football conference.  And it's teams have gone 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite in the Bowls, if they were off a straight-up loss in their previous game.  Take the Aggies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Washington St.  The Aggies were upset, here, in Honolulu, on Friday by SMU.  Utah State was favored by 12, yet lost, 77-74.  Likewise, Washington St. was also upset in the 2nd round of the tournament by homestanding Hawaii, 62-51, as a 2.5-point favorite. We'll take Utah St. to bounce back, as it's 31-23-1 ATS off a loss where it failed to cover by more than 11 points.  Additionally, Washington St is a poor 4-13 ATS as an underdog away from home, if it was priced from +2.5 to +10 points, and off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Utah St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over Boston.  The Bucks come into this Christmas Day game vs. Boston off back-to-back losses at Cleveland and Brooklyn.  We'll take Milwaukee to bounce back, as it is an awesome 83-43-3 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including 26-7 ATS their last 33 vs. foes with a W/L percentage greater than .625.  Grab the points with Mike Budenholzer's men.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Over in the Denver/Los Angeles Rams game. The Broncos opened the season with 11 unders in their first 12 games. And after that start to the season, the oddsmakers continually adjusted the Over/Under lines to get us to the point today where we are at. By my math, the value in Denver's Over/Unders has been on the Over the last two games, and not surprisingly, both went Over the total.  I think there's also value on the Over in this game, as the line is still just too low.  Indeed,it's been 11 seasons since the Rams have seen an Over/Under line this low. And it's tied for the lowest Over/Under line in a Broncos game over the past 11 seasons. Take the Rams & Broncos to go Over the total. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Creighton.  After winning its first two road games this season (at Minnesota, at Loyola-Chicago), the Blue Demons have dropped their last three on the road (at St. Johns, at Duquesne, at Northwestern).  And their 83-45 loss at Northwestern was their worst defeat of the season yet.  We'll take the Blue Demons to bounce back off that blowout loss, as it's 10-2 ATS off a loss by more than 30 points, and 9-1 ATS after scoring 46 or less points.  Meanwhile, Creighton's a wallet-breaking 12-33 ATS vs. conference foes that failed to cover by more than 10 points in their previous game.  Take DePaul + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St Blue Raiders + the points over San Diego St.  The Blue Raiders ended the season on a 3-game win streak (2-1 ATS) to finish 7-5 on the season.  The Aztecs also were 7-5, but ended the season with a whimper, as they lost, 13-3, to Air Force.  They're laying a sizable amount of points today to Middle Tennessee, but I can't get behind an SDSU team which was 2-4 ATS as a favorite.  Even worse:  Mountain West Conference favorites of more than 3 points have gone 6-19 ATS in bowl games vs. foes not off a SU/ATS loss.  And Mountain West teams are 4-9 ATS their last 13 vs. Conference USA foes in Bowl games.  With San Diego State entering with a 1-6 ATS mark in the post-season when favored by more than 3 points, we'll take the Underdog Blue Raiders tonight.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Cowboys minus the points over Philadelphia.  We played against the Eagles last week, and cashed our NFC Underdog of the Month on the Chicago Bears.  This will be Philly's 3rd straight road game, and underdogs playing their 3rd straight road game, off back to back wins, have gone 24-37-1 ATS since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Cowboys lost, 40-34, at Jacksonville.  But the Cowboys are 25–12-1 ATS off an upset road loss, if they were playing an opponent off a SU win, including 7-0 ATS if they allowed 34+ points in that upset loss.  Take Dallas minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Washington Commanders and San Francisco 49ers Over the total.  Since trading for Christian McCaffrey, the 49ers' offense has scored 23, 31, 22, 38, 13, 33, 35 and 21 points, for an average of 27 points per game.  Before getting McCaffrey, the Niners' offense averaged 20.33 ppg.    Not surprisingly, five of San Francisco's first six games went under the total, but since the trade, it has gone OVER the total in five of eight games.  I look for another high-scoring game on Saturday.  Take Washington & San Francisco Over the total

At 1 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Houston Texans + the points over Tennessee.  The Titans are 7-7, but mired in a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak.  They now will be hosting a Texans team which is 1-12-1, but still playing hard, as evidenced by their last two losses to the KC Chiefs (30-24, overtime) and Dallas Cowboys (27-23).  I don't want any part of a Titans team without its #1 signal caller, Ryan Tannehill, who underwent ankle surgery, and will be unlikely to play the remainder of this season.  Tennessee will be quarterbacked this afternoon by rookie Mailk Willis.  Houston will be familiar with Willis, as he led Tennessee to a 17-10 win at Houston earlier this season (his first-ever NFL start), as a 1.5-point road favorite.  But non-winning NFL teams off a loss have covered just 34% at home vs revenge-minded foes, if they were favored by less than 7 points (or PK).  Take Houston + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Over in the Baltimore/Atlanta game.  The Ravens come into this game off 3 low-scoring contests vs. Denver (10-9), Pittsburgh (16-14) and Cleveland (13-3).  And each went under the total.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to look for another low-scoring game, here.  But NFL games have gone OVER the total 58% over the past 43 seasons if a team didn't score 17+ points in any of its three previous games, and those 3 games went Under the total, and totaled, in the aggregate, 80 or less points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over Detroit.  This is Carolina's final home game of the season, and they're off a loss to Pittsburgh where they failed to cover the spread by 11 points.  Meanwhile, Detroit’s off three straight wins, and has won 6 of 7.  We’ll take Carolina, as home teams have covered 59% of their final home games of the season if they failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game, and their opponent was off back to back wins.  Take the Panthers.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers minus the points over Toronto.  This series has been dominated by the home team.  Dating back to 2015, the home team has gone 27-12-1 ATS, including a perfect 2-0 ATS this season, and 13-2 ATS since Dec 2018.  Cleveland is 7-1 ATS its last eight home games vs Toronto, and it's also on a 5-game win streak coming into this game.  We had our 2nd strongest play of the NBA season-to-date this past Wednesday on Cleveland in its 114-106 win vs. Milwaukee.  And we'll come right back with the Cavaliers tonight, as they seek their 6th straight win.  Cleveland owns the best home record in the NBA, at 16-2, and it's covered the spread by 4.86 ppg at home this season.  Meanwhile, Toronto is a dismal 4-12 on the road, and it's failed to cover the spread by 2.46 ppg in those 16 road games.  Lay the points with Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Houston/Louisiana Lafayette game.  This Independence Bowl match-up will pit 9-3 Houston (from the American Athletic Conference) vs. 6-6 Louisiana (from the Sun Belt).  When the Cougars have been installed as a double-digit favorite, their games have generally been high-scoring, and have gone 11-3-1 ATS Over the total, including 4-0-1 Over their last 5.  BUT when Houston's been installed as a favorite of LESS than 10 points, they've gone Under 30-11 their last 41.  Here, of course, Houston is a single-digit favorite, which bodes well for the Under.  As does the fact that Louisiana is 28-16-1 Under its last 45, including 9-2 Under as an underdog of less than 13 points.  Finally, American Athletic Conference teams have played 7 straight Unders in Bowl games since 2021; are 8-0 Under their last 8 as a favorite in the Bowls; and have gone 13-2 Under their last 15 Bowl games, overall.  Take the Under.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels minus the points over Southern Mississippi.  UNLV was upset here, at home, by San Francisco on Saturday, 75-73, as a 6-point favorite.  But after seeing what San Francisco did last night to Arizona State (which was 11-1) -- a 37-point blowout win -- then losing by just two to the Red-Hot Dons doesn't seem all that bad.  And prior to losing to San Francisco, the Rebels had won 10 in a row, going 6-3-1 ATS.  UNLV is 21-12 ATS at home off a home upset loss.  Take the Rebels minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Hartford Hawks + the points over San Francisco.  Yesterday, the Dons played a great game, as they smashed Top 25-ranked Arizona State, 97-60, as a 2.5-point underdog.  But off that huge win, I'll look for a letdown tonight against lowly Hartford, as the Dons are 8-23-1 ATS off an upset win.  Take the Hawks + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Air Force.  The Falcons were 9-3 on the season, while Baylor was 6-6.  But the Bears played a rugged Big 12 schedule (as well as a road game at BYU), while Air Force played a comparatively-easy Mountain West schedule.  The Falcons played 4 teams that earned a bowl bid this season:  Wyoming, San Diego St, Boise St. and Utah St.  And Air Force went 1-3 in those games, with its lone win coming against San Diego St.  This is a big step-up in class for Air Force, and I don't think they'll get the job done tonight.  And especially not with Baylor coming into this game off a SU/ATS loss to Texas.  Key stat:  Baylor's 13-0-1 off an ATS loss when matched up against a foe with a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New York Rangers over the New York Islanders.  With more than one-third of the season elapsed, the two New York-based NHL teams have almost identical records.  Both the Rangers and Islanders have 18 victories coming into tonight, with the Rangers winning the scoring differential battle, +18 to +12.  The Rangers lost a tough one on Monday, falling in Pittsburgh to the Pens by a 3-2 final.  They'll try to start another win streak tonight at home as, before the loss in the Steel City, they had won seven straight.  Three of those seven were here at Madison Square Garden and that's a good sign as the Rangers had previously been struggling at home.  The biggest problem for the Isles right now is that #1 goalie Semyon Varlamov (8-3-1 with a 2.65 GAA in 12 games) is nursing an injury and hasn't resumed skating which means he will almost certainly miss tonight's game.  That means backup Ilya Sorokin will man the net and the Isles are 0-6 in his last six starts.  The Isles are also 1-5 in their last six playing on two days of rest.  Take the Rangers.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks upended Western Kentucky last season, 75-64, so the Hilltoppers will be looking for a measure of revenge tonight.  We'll lay the points with Western Kentucky, as they've cashed 65% since 1990 away from home when playing with revenge against a non-conference foe.  And South Carolina is a poor 35.7% ATS at home since 1990 when playing a revenge-minded, non-conference foe.  Take the Hilltoppers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Yale.  This past Saturday, the Hawks were hammered by Charlotte, 80-46, as a 10 points home underdog.  But off that blowout defeat, we'll grab the points with the Hawks here, at home, tonight, as Monmouth falls into a 269-177 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by 20+ points in their previous game against foes off a SU win.  Take the Hawks.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over NC State.  The Cardinals are 1-11 ATS this season.  We've played on the Cardinals just once this year, and that was the ONLY time they covered the spread (when they upset Western Kentucky as a 7.5-point home dog).  We'll take Louisville tonight at North Carolina State, as the Cards fit a super 172-88 ATS system of mine.  Moreover, the Wolfpack are not exactly point spread beaters, themselves, as they're 22-42-3 ATS their last 67, including 3-15 ATS at home vs. ACC conference foes (including 0-7 ATS if their foe was off an ATS loss).  Take Louisville + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos + the points over Boise St.  Santa Clara lost by 12 to Boise last year, and has been installed as a home dog this afternoon.  We'll grab the points, as Boise is a poor 36% ATS since 1990 as a favorite against a revenge-minded, non-conference foe.  Take Santa Clara.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the T-Wolves won, 116-106.  We'll take Dallas in the rematch, as it's 114-71-2 ATS off a double-digit road loss.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels minus the points over Wyoming.  The Gaels were upset here, at home, by Colorado St, on Sunday.  We'll take the Gaels to bounce back, as they're 19-6 ATS in non-conference games off an upset loss to a non-conference foe.  Take St. Mary's.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  These two teams met two nights ago, and the T-Wolves won, 116-106.  We'll take Dallas in the rematch, as it's 114-71-2 ATS off a double-digit road loss.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over SIU Edwardsville.  The Cougars come into this game off a 15-point win over Illinois Tech, but they're 4-8 ATS their last 12 off a double-digit win.   We played on St Louis over the weekend, and got the $$$ when it defeated Drake by 8 points.  We'll come right back with St Louis tonight vs Edwardsville, as the Billikens are 43-22-3 ATS as a home favorite, including 22-9-1 ATS vs. foes off a win by 5+ points.  And the Billikens also fall into a 260-175 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams favored in non-conference games.  Take St. Louis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave minus the points over Mississippi Valley St.  The Delta Devils are an ugly 11-27 ATS when getting more than 23 points.  Lay the points with Tulane.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Indiana.  The Celts have hit the skids with four losses in five games, and an 0-4-1 ATS losing streak along with it.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Boston is 13-0-1 ATS as a favorite of -2 (or more) points off back to back upset losses.  Take the Celtics.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Cleveland Cavaliers over the Milwaukee Bucks.  The Cavaliers come into this game on a red-hot 4-game win streak.  And they're 21-11 on the season, two games behind the Bucks in the race for the Central division lead.  We'll lay the points with the Cavs, as they're 13-0 ATS at home off back-to-back wins, against winning teams, when not laying 8 or more points.  Take Cleveland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mavericks come into tonight's game off a big upset win over San Francisco, as a 14.5-point underdog.  We'll fade the Mavericks, as California is 8-0 ATS its last eight (and 20-4 ATS its last 24) at home vs. foes off an upset win.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies + the points over Michigan State.  Oakland lost, 77-57, at Boise St on Sunday, and will look to snap its 7-game losing streak tonight, while Michigan State will seek its 3rd straight victory.  These two cross-state rivals have met 16 of the last 17 seasons, and the Grizz have only lost by 20+ points four times, including last season when they fell, 90-78.  I expect a relatively-close game tonight, as the Spartans are an awful 5-21 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes off a loss, when MSU is priced from -8.5 to -23.5 points.  And the Grizzlies are 15-4 ATS as underdogs off a loss by more than 15 points.  Take Oakland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over Cal State Bakersfield.  The Roadrunners are a dreadful 5-20-1 ATS their last 26 games when not getting 8+ points.  Take the Bulldogs as a road favorite.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Phoenix Suns.  The Wizards are on a 10-game losing streak, but were extremely competitive in their last two games (both single-digit losses) at the Clippers and Lakers.  Meanwhile, the Suns are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  We'll take Washington + the points at Phoenix, as NBA teams on 10-game (or worse) losing streaks have gone 12-1-1 ATS on the road vs. winning foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Wizards.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Idaho St Bengals + the points over Grand Canyon.  The Bengals enter this game off back to back SU/ATS wins against St Thomas and Washington.  But they're a solid 65% as a double digit road underdog off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Grab the points with Idaho St.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Queens U, NC.  The Cornhuskers lost, 71-56, vs. Kansas State in their previous game.  And the Huskers are back at home tonight vs. a Queens U, NC team on a 6-game ATS win streak.  We'll fade the Royals, as the Cornhuskers are 16-4 ATS as a home (or neutral) court favorite of more than 8 points off 2+ losses.  Take Nebraska.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames plus the points over Toledo.  The Flames have been installed as an underdog for this Boca Raton Bowl.  And Liberty is a solid 14-4 ATS its last 18 when not favored by more than 3 points.  Toledo, on the other hand, is 18-32-1 ATS in Non-Conference games when playing away from home.  Take Liberty.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over Tampa Bay.  After earning a point in 15 consecutive games, the Leafs stumbled in their last two outings at the Rangers, and at the Capitals.  But Toronto is back home tonight, and it's a stellar 25-4 at home following a road game.  And it's also 55-22 at home when the total was 6+ goals.  Meanwhile, Tampa is a poor 2-6 (minus 7.8 net games) when it was on a 5-game win streak.  The Leafs play this game with revenge from an overtime loss in Tampa earlier this month (not to mention a playoff series loss last spring).  The Maple Leafs are 34-14 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Toronto.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Elon.  We played against the Hoosiers on Saturday, as we laid the points with Kansas, and were rewarded with a 22 point blowout.  That was Indiana's 2nd straight ATS loss (both away from home).  But the Hoosiers are back in Bloomington tonight, and they are 10-1 ATS their last 11 at home off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with Indiana.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars over Marquette.  Both of these teams come into this Big East game with identical 9-3 records (and 1-0 conference records).  Providence is a solid 36-16 ATS in conference games against .750 (or better) foes, when not getting 7 or more points.  Take the Friars.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Connecticut.  The Hoyas lost, 102-89, at home to Xavier on Saturday, while UConn blew out Butler, 68-46.  We'll take Georgetown as a big road dog tonight, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 61% since 1990 in Big East conference games, if they were off a SU loss, and their opponent was off an ATS win.  Grab the points with the Hoyas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St Spartans minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles won their last 3 games, including a 38-19 win vs. Central Michigan to end its season.  Unfortunately, Eastern Michigan is a wallet-breaking 30-50 ATS off a win, including 5-18 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes.  Lay the points with San Jose St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:35 pm, our selection is on the Vancouver Canucks over the St Louis Blues.  Vancouver got off to a slow start this season, as it was 0-7 its first seven games, and 4-12 its first 16.  But since then, the Canucks have played much better, and have won nine of their last 14, while averaging 3.50 gpg.  The Canucks' offense didn't show up on Saturday, as Vancouver was blown out at home, 5-1, by the Winnipeg Jets.  They're on home ice once again tonight, and they're a solid 12-5 (but +11.0 net games) off a home loss by 3+ goals.  Take the Canucks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Minnesota.  The Mavs and T-Wolves will play two games here, in Minnesota, over the next three days.  We'll take Dallas in Round 1, as it comes into this game off a 1-point loss at Cleveland.  And Dallas is 14-0 ATS on the road off a road defeat, if the Mavs were rested, and not getting more than 3 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Orlando.  The Magic blew out Atlanta, 135-124, last week.  We'll take the Hawks, as they're 97-56-1 ATS at home when rested, and playing with revenge from a double-digit loss. Lay the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Raptors + the points over Philadelphia.  The Raptors were blown out, 126-110, by Golden State on Sunday.  And that was Toronto's 5th straight loss.  We'll take the points with the Raptors, as they're 110-70 ATS in regular season games off back to back losses (including 29-12 ATS when playing without rest).  Take the Raptors + the points.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Marshall.  It's never been a bad idea to take double-digit underdogs in Bowl games.  And that's because they've gone 85-64-3 ATS since 1980.  So, while I will go with a double-digit Bowl favorite on occasion, it's not something I will do with regularity.  Moreover, Connecticut was blown out, 34-17, by Army in its season-ending game.  And double-digit Bowl dogs have cashed 63% if they didn't win their previous game (compared to 54% if they were off a win).  Meanwhile, Marshall is 17-26 ATS away from home as a favorite of -7+ points, while UConn is 11-5 ATS as an underdog.  Finally, Sun Belt Conference favorites (or PK) are a dismal 41-75-3 ATS in non-conference games, if our Sun Belt team didn't own a losing record.  Take UConn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, in the Myrtle Beach Bowl, our selection is on the OVER in the Connecticut/Marshall game.  Both of these teams had mid-season stretches where they played a streak of Unders.  UConn went under the total 5 straight games starting on October 1, while Marshall went under in 6 straight games starting on September 24.  But both teams ended the season with high-scoring games that went over the total.  Marshall's season-ending game vs. Georgia St went over the total of 45.5 by 5.5 points, as the Herd lost, 28-23, to the Panthers.  Likewise, Connecticut's season-ending game vs. Army went over the 45-point total by 6 points, as Connecticut lost, 34-17.  And its next-to-last regular season game went over the total of 45 by 24 points, as it upset Liberty, 36-33.  In its last 10 seasons, Marshall has NEVER had a Total this low.  But it's gone Over the total 65% since 2013 when the Over/Under line was less than 48 points.  We'll look for a relatively high scoring game this afternoon.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the San Jose Sharks.  James Reimer was in goal for San Jose last night, so back-up Kaapo Kahkonen will be between the pipes tonight vs. Calgary.  When we last saw Kahkonen, he was getting torched by Vancouver, and only lasted two periods before getting pulled.  He surrendered four goals on 19 shots that night, which lowered his save percentage to .877, and raised his GAA to 3.71.  The Sharks have yet to beat a Pacific division rival here, at home, this season, as they're 0-6.  Take Calgary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  The Wizards had a lead entering the 4th quarter of yesterday's game against the Clippers, but collapsed, and lost by nine points.  That was the Wizards' 9th straight defeat, overall.  We'll take Washington tonight, as it falls into a super 405-277 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Additionally, the Wizards play with revenge from a loss to the Lakers two weeks ago, in DC.  And the Lakers are an awful 40-78 ATS at home when playing a revenge-minded opponent it defeated on the road earlier in the season.  Take Washington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Washington/New York Giants game.  The Giants' last four games have averaged 51.75 ppg, and three of the four have gone 'over' the total.  We'll look for another relatively-high scoring game on Sunday night, as the Over falls into a 98-53 Totals system of mine.  Take the Over.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the New York Giants + the points over Washington.  Last week, the Giants were mauled at home by the Philadelphia Eagles, 48-22.  New York now sits with a 7-5-1 record, and would earn the 7th (and final) NFC playoff berth, based on the current standings.  We'll grab the points with New York, as it's 14-4 ATS off a home loss by 20+ points.   And it's also 27-11 ATS as an underdog of +2.5 (or more) points vs. division rivals, if New York owned a winning record.  Take the Giants.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Kraken over the Winnipeg Jets.  At 16-10-3, they still have a winning record and they're still probably the most surprising team in the league, but the Kraken have run into some rough waters lately.  Coming into tonight, Seattle has lost five of its last six games -- all against Eastern Conference opponents.  So maybe they're happy to be playing a team from the West -- albeit a pretty good one in Winnipeg.  For the Jets, they had lost five of their last seven before winning last night's contest against the Canucks.  They will have a quick --less than 24 hours -- turnaround after their 10:00 pm ET Saturday match-up in Vancouver.  The Jets have a stingy defense at home this season, allowing just 2.25 GPG when playing in Winnipeg.  But on the road, that number balloons to 3.08.  The Jets went with regular #1 goalie Connor Hellebuyck last night against the Canucks which means they will use back-up David Rittich tonight.  Seattle is 5-0 in its last five games vs. teams from the Western Conference.  Take the Kraken.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bulls over the Minnesota Timberwolves.  The Bulls come into this game off 3 straight losses, while Minnesota enters off an upset win at Oklahoma City.  Chicago has been installed as a road favorite over the banged-up Timberwolves.  We'll take Chicago, as NBA road favorites (or PK) have cashed 55% since 1990 if they were rested, and off back-to-back losses.  Take the Bulls.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Houston Christian Huskies + the points over UT-Rio Grande Valley.  These two teams met eight days ago, in Houston, and the Vaqueros won, 95-82, as a 3-point road favorite.  We'll take the Huskies in this rematch on South Padre Island, as they've cashed 61.1% away from home when playing with revenge, while the Vaqueros are 40% ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  And the Huskies also fall into a 65.1% ATS revenge system of mine.  Take Houston Christian + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Santa Clara.  The Bears are winless, at 0-11.  That's the bad news.  The good news, though, with respect to this evening's game, is that winless teams, with an 0-11 (or worse) record, have cashed 65% since 1990 off back to back ATS losses.  Take California + the points.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the OVER in the Tampa Bay/Cincinnati game.  We played on the Buccaneers to go Over the total last week, in their game against San Francisco, and were rewarded with a 35-7 49ers blowout.  We'll look for this game to go Over the total, as well, as Tom Brady's teams have gone OVER 11 of 14 games after scoring less than 10 points, including 6-0 OVER if they lost that previous game by 17+ points.  Take the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers + the points over the Cincinnati Bengals.  Last week, Tom Brady & Co. played about as bad a game as they could have, and were destroyed by San Francisco, 35-7.  But off that 28-point blowout loss, we'll take the Bucs to bounce back on this afternoon.  Indeed, over the last 43 years, home dogs of more than 3 points that scored 7 or less, and allowed 35 or more in their previous game, have covered 62%.  We saw this situation earlier this season when Pittsburgh was blown out, 38-3, by Buffalo.  They played these Bucs in their next game, and we had a huge play on the Steelers as a 9.5-point underdog.  They won outright, 20-18.  Coincidentally, that game marked the start of Tampa's decline this season.  The Bucs were 3-2 entering that contest, but have gone 3-5 SU and 1-6-1 ATS from that point.  Of course, the oddsmakers have significantly adjusted the numbers for Tampa, such that it's now installed as a home dog vs. Cincy.  I won't pass up this opportunity to play on Tampa, as Tom Brady's teams are 16-0 ATS their last 16 (and 25-2 ATS their last 27) off a straight-up loss, if they weren't favored by more than 1 point!  Take the Buccaneers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Las Vegas Raiders + the points over New England.  The Raiders were upset by the Rams last Thursday night, as a road favorite, while New England won and covered as a road favorite at Arizona.  We'll take the Raiders, as teams off an upset loss as a road favorite have gone 54-33 ATS vs. foes off an SU/ATS win as a road favorite.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Orlando.  This is the 2nd of back-to-back meetings between these clubs.  Orlando took round 1 with a 117-109 victory, as a 13.5-point underdog.  We'll take Boston in the rematch, as the Celtics have covered 67% since 1990 as a home favorite in the regular season, if they were upset by their opponent in the Celtics' previous game.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Oregon St.  The Beavers have been installed as a huge favorite today vs. UWGB.  Unfortunately for Oregon St, it's a woeful 1-11-1 ATS as a favorite of 2+ points (and 6-21-1 ATS its last 28).  That bodes well for Green Bay tonight.  As does the fact that the Phoenix are 12-3-1 ATS in non-conference games off back to back ATS losses.  Take Wisconsin-Green Bay + the points.

At 1:00 pm, our selection is on the Chicago Bears + the points over Philadelphia.  The Bears come into this game on a 6-game losing streak.  And they've also failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games.  We'll take Chicago as a big home dog, as it's cashed 83% over the last 43 seasons as a home underdog of +6 (or more) points, if it didn't cover the spread in its two previous games.  Even better:  the Bears had their Bye week last weekend.  And NFL teams off their Bye week have cashed 67.7% as a home dog of more than 5 points.  Take Chicago + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:15 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green + the points over Boise St.  The Mean Green won't have to travel far from their Denton campus to this Frisco Bowl game, so they'll have most of today's crowd rooting for them.  We'll fade Boise St, as the Broncos have burned money in the post-season when favored by less than 12 points, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine!  And double-digit Conference USA underdogs have gone 14-7 ATS in Bowl games.  Take North Texas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma St Cowboys minus the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers blew out Mississippi Valley State, 71-48, in their last game.  Unfortunately, they're a dreadful 1-13 ATS off a win by 4+ points.  Take Oklahoma St minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins to go OVER the total.  Yes, it's the month of December, and wintry weather conditions are afoot.  But the forecast for Saturday night isn't horribly bad.  There's a little bit of snowfall in the forecast, with winds in the 10 mph to 15 mph range, and a temperature of 22 degrees.  I like the Over in this game, as this is a relatively-low total for a Bills game.  Indeed, in the past three seasons only eight Buffalo games have had a lower number than what we currently see for this game.  And the Bills went OVER the total in six of those eight games.  Similarly, the Dolphins have played 30 games over the past two seasons.  Only 7 of those 30 had a lower number than this game, and Miami went Over the total in four of those seven.  Earlier this season, the number posted for the Bills game in Miami was 54; last year, the two games had lines of 48.5 and 48.  By my math, the value clearly is on the side of the Over.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.