Sports Picks & Predictions

At 4:25 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas City Chiefs minus the points over Dallas.  To borrow a line from Mark Twain, the reports of Kansas City's death have been an exaggeration.  Yes, the Chiefs have not looked, at times, like the juggernaut from 2019-20, but their 41-14 dismantling of Las Vegas last week should serve as a reminder that they are a force with which to be reckoned.  And I believe the Chiefs are still woefully undervalued.  Last week, they laid just 2.5 points on the road vs. the Raiders (after being favored by 7.5, 7, and 14.5 points at the Raiders the three previous seasons).  Now, they're a short home favorite vs. an admittedly good Dallas team.  Still, Kansas City is 46-24 ATS in the regular season when not laying more than 7 points.  Meanwhile, Dallas is 14-33-1 ATS vs. winning opposition when not getting 3+ points.  Take the Chiefs to blow out Dallas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:40 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over Los Angeles.  In last year's playoffs, the Clippers bounced the Mavs off the hardwood, and onto the golf course, with a 7-game series win.  So, with revenge on its mind from that playoff ouster, we'll back the Mavericks in this underdog role this afternoon, as it falls into several of my better revenge systems.  Additionally, the Mavericks are a super 23-8 ATS their last 31 off a road defeat.  With Dallas, indeed, off a road loss at Phoenix, we'll grab the points with the Mavs.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Princeton.  Wayne Tinkle's Beavers were upset, 78-77, here in Corvallis by Samford, on Thursday.  The Bulldogs shot 50.9% for the game, which was the first time this season Oregon State allowed 44+ percent.  Still, Oregon State is a solid 19-8 ATS its last 27, including 8-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Beavers fall into a 66% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Minnesota Vikings + the points over the Green Bay Packers.  Green Bay is 8-2, and has covered nine straight games (winning eight, straight-up), heading into this divisional match-up vs. Minnesota, which is 4-5 on the season.  Unfortunately, teams off 9 straight ATS wins have gone 0-5 ATS since Jan. 8, 2005.  And road teams, at Game 11 forward, have cashed just 1 of 14 divisional games vs. losing opposition, if our road team's ATS win percentage was greater than .750.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New York Jets + the points over Miami.  The Dolphins pulled off a massive upset last week when they defeated the Baltimore Ravens, as an 8.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately, road teams have covered just 60 of 149 over the last 42 years following an upset win as a dog of more than 8 points, and just 37% when priced as a road favorite.  Take the New York Jets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings + the points over Utah.  The Kings were booed off the court last night, as they were walloped 108-89 here, at home, by the Toronto Raptors.  I fully expect a much better effort tonight, and they'll be playing a Jazz team against which they've been very competitive in two losses this season.  The Jazz won the first meeting here, 110-101, but the game was tied at 95 before Utah went on a 15-6 run to close the game.  Then, earlier this month, the Kings lost by just six at Utah, 119-113, as a 9-point road underdog.  For technical support, consider that home dogs of +6 (or more) points have covered 62% since 1990 after an upset loss the previous day, in which they failed to cover the spread by 14+ points.  Take Sacramento.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  After an 0-2 road trip which saw the Grizzlies lose SU/ATS at Mississippi State (as an 11.5-point dog) and North Dakota (as a 7-point favorite), they'll no doubt be happy to be back home at Dahlberg Arena tonight.  And Montana has covered 67% at home vs. non-conference foes, if the Grizzlies were off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Mavericks are a poor 16-25 ATS their last 41.  And they fall into negative 43-92 and 91-158 ATS systems of mine that go against certain road teams vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Montana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Oregon.  The Utes come into this home game off back to back win over Stanford (52-7) and Arizona (38-29).  I love playing on home teams that can score, and especially when I don't have to lay a lot of points.  Indeed, over the last 42 years in the regular season, home teams not favored by 4+ points have cashed 60% following back to back wins away from home in which they scored more than 35 points.  Lay the points with Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks minus the points over Charlotte.  The Hornets are currently riding a 5-game SU/ATS win streak following their 121-118 victory over Indiana last night.  Unfortunately, unrested road underdogs of +6 (or more) points, off 5 SU/ATS wins, have covered just 28% in the regular season since 1990.  And the Hawks are a super 30-8 ATS at home vs. unrested foes off 4+ wins.  Lay the points with Atlanta.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats over Baylor.  The Wildcats have dropped the last three meetings vs. Baylor, but that streak should end here, in Manhattan, on Saturday.  Kansas State is on a 4-game win streak (and 3-game ATS win streak) following its 34-17 victory last Saturday against WVU.  And while Baylor also impressed last week with an upset win, at home, vs. then-undefeated Oklahoma, I expect a letdown away from home this weekend, as teams generally do just that off such wins (and especially when installed as a short road favorite, as they're 27-42 ATS).  Even worse, over the last 42 seasons, revenge-minded teams playing their final home game of the season, off a 17-point win, have gone 16-0 ATS when not laying double-digits vs. foes off an upset home win.  Take Kansas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Stanford.  This will be the Cardinal's second road game this season.  They were favored by 3 at Santa Clara in their first one, but were blown out, 88-72, by the Broncos.  In that game, Stanford allowed Santa Clara to shoot 59.6% from the floor.  The Cardinal have been consistently poor on the road for years, as they're 29-50 ATS their last 79, including 18-37 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Kansas.  The Jayhawks won their biggest game, perhaps, since 2008's Orange Bowl victory over Virginia Tech, when they upset Texas last week.  The Jayhawks won, 57-56, in overtime, as a 31-point road underdog, and it was the first time since October 4, 2008 that the Jayhawks won on the Big 12 road!  Unfortunately, Kansas is back on the road in this game at TCU, which will be looking to redeem itself after a 63-17 blowout loss at Oklahoma State last weekend.  We'll go against Kansas, as Big 12 Conference teams are 0-10 ATS on the road off an upset road win as a 6-point (or greater) underdog.  Take TCU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Ramblers won, 92-56, vs. Chicago St. on Tuesday.  And they're a terrific 57-32-1 ATS off a point spread win, including 27-10 ATS when favored by more than 6 points.  Even better:  that 36-point win against Chicago St. has triggered an 86-33 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points with Loyola-Chicago.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins + the points over Michigan.  The Terps are 5-5 straight-up, but they've lost their last six to the spread.  And they need to win one of their final two games (Michigan, Rutgers) to attain Bowl eligibility.  It's true that Michigan has been a great point spread team this season, with an 8-2 ATS record.  But NCAA teams off an ATS win have gone 15-32 ATS vs. foes off 6+ ATS losses in a row.  And .500 (or better) teams off 6+ ATS losses have cashed 43 of 75 (57.3%), including 6-2 ATS as a home dog of +7 (or more) points.  With Michigan off a big road win against a good Penn State team, we'll look for a letdown this afternoon.  Take Maryland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Red Wolves won their 2nd game of the season when they upset Louisiana Monroe last week, as a 3-point road underdog.  But they'll be hard-pressed to make it two-upsets-in-a-row, as the Panthers have covered five straight (and seven of eight) heading into this game in Atlanta.  Last week's game was Georgia State's most impressive yet, as they won, 42-40, as a 12.5-point road underdog at Coastal Carolina.  And that bodes well for Georgia State here, as teams off a game where they covered the spread by 13+ points have gone 100-57 ATS as double-digit home favorites vs. foes off upset conference wins.  Lay the points with the Panthers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over Austin Peay.  There's not been a team more disappointing this season than Anthony Grant's Flyers.  They're 0-3 ATS, and have failed to cover by 3.5, 19, and 28.5 points.  No other team has as bad a point spread differential (with at least 3 lined games) than does Dayton.  But this horrible start has, of course, led to an adjustment by the oddsmakers.  And this number, by my math, now confers great value on Dayton.  Indeed, the last time these two teams met, Dayton won by 28, as a 19.5-point favorite.  And Austin Peay's never been great against non-conference foes, as it's 29-106 SU and 52-78-5 ATS, including 0-41 SU and 12-28-1 ATS as an underdog of +14 (or more) points.  Take Dayton.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Richmond.  The Bulldogs have been one of the more reliable teams at home over the last several years, as they've gone 41-18 ATS at Knapp Center.  In their last game -- also here at home -- Drake routed South Dakota, 99-50.  And that 49-point blowout win has triggered very good 95-36 and 186-122 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Lay the points with Drake.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Stanford.  This will be the Cardinal's second road game this season.  They were favored by 3 at Santa Clara in their first one, but were blown out, 88-72, by the Broncos.  In that game, Stanford allowed Santa Clara to shoot 59.6% from the floor.  The Cardinal have been consistently poor on the road for years, as they're 29-50 ATS their last 79, including 18-37 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Michigan State.  Michigan State is 9-1 SU and 8-2 ATS this season, yet Sparty finds itself installed as a massive underdog against Ohio State (9-1 SU, 6-4 ATS).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points but consider that, in matchups between unrested winning teams, underdogs of more than 14 points have covered just 28% since 1985, at Game 8 forward, when getting more than 14 in a regular season game, if they didn't own a worse W/L percentage!  That doesn't bode well for Michigan State, in Columbus on Saturday.  Nor does the fact that Ohio State is 34-12-1 ATS when not laying more than 20 points, if its opponent owned a better ATS win percentage.  Take the Buckeyes to blow out Michigan State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners suffered their first loss of the season last week at Baylor, and are now 9-1 this season.  For all intents and purposes, that loss has eliminated Oklahoma from the National Title competition.  One of the things I love to do is play against certain teams that lose their first game late in the season, as they often suffer emotional letdowns following that initial defeat.  And this game vs. Iowa State is a very good place to step in and fade Oklahoma, as the Cyclones will play with revenge from a loss in last year's Big 12 Championship game.  Take Iowa State + the points.

At 11:30 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over San Diego State.  After starting the season 0-8, the Rebels have ripped off back to back blowout wins.  And they were underdogs in each game!  Last Saturday, UNLV stunned Hawaii, 27-13, as a 3.5-point home dog.  And the week prior to that, it upset New Mexico, in Albuquerque, 31-17, as a 2.5-point road dog.  We'll take the points here, as double-digit home dogs, off back to back double-digit wins, and also back to back double-digit covers, have cashed 65.2% over the last 42 seasons.  Even better:  this is the Rebels' final home game of the season.  And Mountain West Conference home teams have gone 40-20 ATS in their final home game, when installed as an underdog of more than 3 points.  Take UNLV.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Oakland.  Alabama is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, but failed to cover the spread vs. South Alabama on Tuesday.  It was favored by 20.5, yet won by just five, 73-68.  Tonight, they'll host Oakland in the first match-up between these teams since 2013 (a game Alabama won by 20).  The Golden Grizzlies are 3-0 ATS to start this young season.  But they're also a horrid 0-13 SU and 2-10-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back point spread wins.  The Crimson Tide, meanwhile, are 5-0 SU/ATS at home off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with Alabama.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers minus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay.  This game is being played at the Jersey Mike's Classic, in St. Petersburg, FL.  The Panthers blew out Ball State last night, 73-60, as a 1.5-point favorite.  And that was their second straight blowout win, as they also trounced Trinity (FL), 111-48, last Friday.  Green Bay, meanwhile, has yet to win a game, as it's 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS.  We'll take the Panthers tonight, as they're 31-16 ATS away from home off a double-digit win.  And, even better, the favored team in matchups between the Horizon League and Conference USA has gone 34-14 ATS when priced from -2 to -13 points.  Take Florida International.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Orlando Magic + the points over Brooklyn.  This will be Brooklyn's 3rd game in 4 nights, and Kevin Durant has just been scratched.  That's all we need to pull the trigger on Orlando as a big road underdog.  The Nets blew out Orlando, 123-90, earlier this season.  But NBA teams playing with revenge from a loss by more than 20 points are 8-1 ATS this year. Orlando also falls into a 66.0% ATS revenge system of mine, which plays on certain teams that lost at home to their opponent in the previous meeting.  Meanwhile, the Nets are a soft 42-63 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 nights.  Take Orlando.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers + the points over the Charlotte Hornets.  The Hornets are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak following their double-digit victory over division-leading Washington, while Indy has dropped back to back games to start its 3-game road trip, which finishes tonight in the Queen City.  We'll take the points with the Pacers, as small underdog, as they fall into a 134-68 ATS system of mine which plays on certain sub-.389 teams off upset losses, while Charlotte is a wallet-breaking 6-23 ATS its last 29 at home off 3 SU/ATS Wins.  Take the Pacers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Marquette.  This game is being played as part of the Charleston Classic, in South Carolina.  Marquette enters off back to back upset wins over Ole Miss (78-72) and Illinois (67-66), while WVU is 3-0 after blowing out Elon, 87-68, last night.  We'll fade Marquette off its back to back upsets, as it's covered just one of its last seven following 2 upset wins, while WVU is also 11-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back upsets (including 5-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes).  And Marquette also falls into a negative 88-139 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off back-to-back upsets.  Take WVU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:20 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the Atlanta Falcons + the points over the New England Patriots.  The Patriots have won and covered four straight games following their overtime defeat to the Dallas Cowboys.  And their last game was the most impressive, as they completely dismantled a good Cleveland Browns club, 45-7, as a 2.5-point favorite.  They'll now play a Falcons squad which was destroyed last week by Dallas, 43-3.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to lay the points with New England, given that it won by 38 last week, while Atlanta lost by 40.  But consider that home underdogs, priced from +3 to +14 points, have gone 85-59 ATS off a loss by more than 14 points, if their opponent was off a win by more than 14 points.  Even better:  if our home dog gave up 37+ points in that previous game, while our road favorite scored 37+ points in its previous game, then our 85-59 stat zooms to a perfect 11-0 ATS.  Take Atlanta + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers minus the points over South Carolina Upstate.  The Bucs were blown out by Tennessee, 94-62, on Saturday, but I love ETSU to bounce back this evening.  The Bucs are an impressive 28-11-2 ATS off a loss by more than 8 points, including 7-0 ATS the previous two seasons.  Meanwhile, the Spartans are a wallet-breaking 0-27 SU and 7-19-1 ATS as an underdog, priced from +6.5 to +20 points, including 1-8 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take East Tennessee State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10:05 pm, our selection is on the Seattle Kraken over the Chicago Blackhawks.  Chicago's on a 3-game win streak.  But all three wins were at home.  And the first two came via overtime/shootout, while the 3rd was in regulation, but against the 2-13-1 Arizona Coyotes.  On the road, the Blackhawks have yet to win, as they are 0-6, and have been outscored 25-11.  Chicago is 11-16 (minus 6.1 net games on the moneyline) off back-to-back wins; 15-27 (minus 11.0 net games) off back-to-back home games; and 12-20 (minus 8.7 net games) off a home win.  The Kraken's Philipp Grubauer has just been confirmed as tonight's goalie following the morning skate.  It's true that Grubauer has been a disappointment in the early going, and ranks near the bottom in the major statistical categories.  But the one goalie who has been worse than Grubauer is Chicago's Marc-Andre Fleury!  This game sets up well for Grubauer, who has had to play the lion's share between the pipes this season, as back-up Chris Driedger had been sidelined until November 3rd.  The Kraken have been off since Saturday, so Grubauer will be very well-rested when the team takes the ice tonight.  Take Seattle.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Detroit.  This is Ben Howland's seventh season as Mississippi State's head coach, and his men are off to a great start this season.  They blew out Montana by 37, and North Alabama by 26, while holding those two teams to 35 of 116 from the floor, combined (30.1%).  This stellar defense is in sharp contrast to that displayed by Detroit in its first two games, as Wyoming hit 34 of 62, while Toledo converted 29 of 60 vs. the Titans (51.6% combined).  The Bulldogs are an awesome 69-39-2 ATS since 2014 at home, here in Starkville.  Meanwhile, the Titans are a woeful 3-27 SU and 6-22-2 ATS as an underdog (or PK) against good defensive teams that give up 66.5 (or less) points per game, including 0-7-1 ATS as an underdog of 14+ points.  Lay the points with Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Pelicans + the points over Miami.  The Pelicans welcomed Brandon Ingram back last weekend from a 7-game absence due to an ankle injury.  Without Ingram in the lineup, New Orleans went 0-7 straight-up and 2-5 ATS.  And it lost by almost 15 points per game.  But with him back in the fold, they upset Memphis, 112-101, as a 3.5-point underdog, and then failed to cover by a mere half-point on Monday vs. the red-hot Wizards.  Ingram has poured in 50 points in these last two games, and I expect a further upswing by New Orleans tonight against a Miami Heat team which, itself, is dealing with injury issues.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Brooklyn Nets minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  The up-and-down Nets were down last night, as they were blown out, 117-99, by Golden State.  But Steve Nash's Nets have been somewhat predictable this season, as they're 1-6 ATS off a point spread win, but 6-1 ATS off a point spread loss.  The Nets also fall into a strong 116-67 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home blowout losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards + the points over Charlotte.  Bradley Beal miss the past two days for bereavement, but will be back on the court tonight, as Washington looks to extend its win streak to six games.  The Hornets are on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  But Charlotte's a dreadful 5-23 ATS at home off 3 SU/ATS wins, including 1-15 ATS as a favorite of 10 points or less.  Take Washington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Harvard Crimson minus the points over Albany.  The Great Danes are 0-2 this season following a 77-56 loss here, at home, vs. Towson, and a road defeat in Philadelphia against LaSalle.  They'll now take on Tommy Amaker's Crimson, and we'll lay the points with the road team.  Harvard is 24-12-1 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes, while Albany has covered just eight of its last 23 home games.  Additionally, the Great Danes fall into a negative 53-103 ATS system of mine based on their loss at LaSalle.  Take Harvard minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Baptist Lancers minus the points over Jackson State.  The Lancers have poured in 87 and 95 points in their first two games, which is not a surprise for this Rick Croy-coached team (the Lancers averaged 79.1 ppg last season).  In their last game, also against a SWAC Conference member (Mississippi Valley State), the Lancers won by 29, but failed to cover the 31-point spread.  But Cal Baptist is 10-4 ATS its last 14 off an ATS loss.  And Jackson State falls into negative 6-35 and 49-97 ATS systems of mine based on their start to this season.  Lay the points with the Lancers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bison played last night at UNLV, and lost a tough one, 64-62, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  They'll now make the trek to Tucson, to take on Arizona, which has had the last three days off following its 104-50 blowout of Rio Grande Valley, on Friday.  We'll lay the points with Tommy Lloyd's men, as the Bison are 33-54 ATS as a road underdog, while Arizona has cashed 75% since 2014 when playing with at least 3 extra days of rest than its opponent.  Finally, the Wildcats are an impressive 31-0 straight-up, and 27-3-1 ATS at home when favored by 7+ points, if the 'Cats were off a 20-point (or better) blowout win, and covered the spread by at least 10 points in that prior game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Charleston College.  The 18th-ranked Heels will pay a visit to TD Arena in Charleston tonight.  The last time, these two teams met here was in 2010, and the Cougars upset the Heels, 82-79, as a 13.5-point home dog.  But Carolina has won the two meetings since, including a 19-point SU/ATS win last season in Chapel Hill.  Charleston has been especially poor at home when they've not been the better team, as evidenced by their 8-20-1 ATS record at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Take North Carolina.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Saint Louis.  Penny Hardaway's 11th-ranked Tigers come into this game off back to back blowout wins over NC Central and Tennessee Tech.  And they've been installed as a double-digit favorite over the Billikens.  We'll lay the points, as Saint Louis is a horrid 1-41 straight-up, and 10-32 ATS as a non-conference underdog of +6 (or more) points.  Take Memphis.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over New Orleans.  Chris Collins' men are 2-0 SU/ATS after back-to-back wins over teams nicknamed the Panthers (Eastern Illinois + High Point).  New Orleans isn't the Panthers, but we'll still fade it on this Tuesday.  The Privateers have covered just 35.7% as a double-digit dog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And they lost SU/ATS here, at Northwestern, in 2016 and 2018 by 34 and 30 points, respectively.  The Wildcats are 26-14 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, and it also falls into a 70.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins.  Take Northwestern.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Georgia State.  The Spiders were upset by the Aggies of Utah State on Thursday, 85-74, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And that upset loss has triggered a very good 68.1% ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Spiders are 13-3 ATS their last 16 following an upset loss as a 3-point (or greater) favorite.  Take Richmond.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Los Angeles Lakers over the Chicago Bulls.  Tonight, the Bulls will once again be without All-Star center Nikola Vucevic, as he's sidelined following a positive COVID-19 test.  His absence will be particularly noticeable tonight, given the Lakers' frontcourt strength.  I expect Anthony Davis, who had 34 points and 15 rebounds yesterday, to have another great game.  Los Angeles has won eight straight in this series (5-2-1 ATS), and it also falls into a 101-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home wins.  Take Los Angeles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Phoenix.   The Phoenix Suns are on a roll, with 8 straight wins, and 7 straight covers following last night's 115-89 victory in Houston.  Unfortunately, this will be a tough scheduling spot for Monty Williams' men.  First, it will be Phoenix's 3rd road game in four days.  And the Suns are unrested, while Minnesota is rested.  So, even though the Suns are playing great ball, we will fade them tonight.  And, for technical support, consider that since 1991, unrested NBA teams off 2 SU/ATS wins have covered just 19 of 64 when playing their 3rd road game in four days against a rested foe, including 1-15 ATS if our road team was favored, and owned a win percentage of .610 (or better).   Take Minnesota.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks minus the points over Denver.  Both of these teams come into this game off big wins.  Dallas blew out San Antone on Saturday, 123-109, while Denver ran past Portland last night, 124-95.  When these two Western Conference rivals met last month, the Nuggets blew out the Mavs in Denver, 106-75.  But that 31-point loss has triggered a very good 63% ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost their previous meeting by 30+ points.   Even worse for Denver:  it's 19-41-1 ATS on the road off a win by more than 8 points.  Take Dallas minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Detroit.  The Pistons upset Toronto, 127-121, as an 7.5-point road underdog, on Saturday for their 3rd win of the season.  But, as faithful followers know, I love to go against bad NBA teams, with sub-.300 records, off wins.  And especially if they're playing at home off a road win as an underdog of more than 7 points.  Dating back 32 seasons, our bad teams have covered just 42% off that upset win.  Take Sacramento minus the points.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Boston Celtics minus the points over Cleveland.  This is the 2nd of back to back meetings here, in Cleveland, between the clubs.  The Cavaliers won Round 1 on Saturday, by two points, so we'll take the Celts in the rematch.  Over the last 42 years, road favorites have cashed 62% of the 2nd of back to back regular season meetings, if they lost the first meeting SU/ATS.  Take Boston.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Columbus Blue Jackets over the Detroit Red Wings.  These two teams will meet tonight for the second time this season.  The Wings got the better of the Jackets on October 19 by a 4-1 margin.  It was another win for the home team in this series as the hosts have been dominant lately, taking seven of the last eight meetings between Detroit and Columbus.  Among the Jackets five home wins this season are victories over the Islanders, Stars, and Avalanche.  The Red Wings will get back to what they were in their glory days with the young talent they have.  It just won't be this season, although they can consider it a success so far with a .500 record (8-6-2) after just 19 wins in 56 games last season.  With the loss in October, this is a revenge game for Columbus, which is 15-6 in the last 21 meetings with Detroit.  The favorite is also 42-16 in the last 58 meetings of these two. Take the Blue Jackets.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNC-Greensboro Spartans minus the points over Coppin State.  This will be the Eagles' 5th game in 7 days -- all on the road -- and they've played these games in the states of Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, and now North Carolina.  In its first four, Coppin State has gone 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS.  But one disturbing stat is that it's given up 103, 97, 81 and 89 points in its first four games, which is 13.5 ppg higher than its defensive average last season.  These two teams met in Baltimore last season, and the Eagles came away with an 85-80 victory.  I look for the Spartans to avenge that defeat, as it falls into 70-28 and 45-12 ATS Revenge systems of mine, as well as a 20-1 ATS angle which plays on certain revenge-minded teams against foes that give up 90+ points per game.  Take North Carolina-Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Calgary Flames over the Ottawa Senators.  The Senators pulled off a big upset last night, easily beating the Pittsburgh Penguins here at home, 6-3.  But before we hand them the Stanley Cup or even think they can do it again this evening, let's keep in mind that the Pens were still missing three of their best players last night (Crosby, Malkin, and Dumoulin).  And even with those three, they're still far from the same team that won back-to-back Cups four years ago.  Ottawa's win last night is made even more unexpected when you consider that the Sens have no fewer than eight players unavailable due to COVID protocol -- including former Pens goalie Matt Murray.  They won't be available tonight either against a healthy Flames team that has lost its last three games.  Calgary has done its best work on the road this season where it is 5-2-1 in eight games (vs. 2-1-3 at home).  The Senators are 1-6 in their last seven games as a home underdog and 0-5 in their last five games vs. teams from the Pacific Division.  Take the Flames.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 4:25 pm, our selection is on the Philadelphia Eagles + the points over Denver.  Last Sunday, the Broncos blew out Dallas, 30-16, as a double-digit underdog.  We had a big play on Denver last week, but will go against them here, as a home favorite.  Indeed, over the last 42 years, NFL teams with a win percentage greater than .300, off a double-digit win as a double-digit underdog, have covered just 10 of 40 games.  That doesn't bode well for Denver on Sunday.  Nor does the fact that the Broncos are a woeful 13-26 ATS as a home favorite of more than 2 points off an upset win.  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:05 pm, our selection is on the Carolina Panthers + the points over the Arizona Cardinals.  The Cards will be without QB Kyler Murray, and WR Deandre Hopkins this afternoon.  And that's enough for us to pull the trigger on Carolina (which will be starting its own backup QB in PJ Walker).  The Cardinals pulled off an upset last week against division rival San Francisco.  And that upset win over a division foe has triggered a very good 110-48-4 ATS system of mine, as well as a 119-73 ATS angle.  The Panthers have won + covered 5 straight in this series, including 10-point and 18-point upset wins the past two seasons.  Finally, the Cardinals are a dreadful 10-28 ATS as home favorites vs. foes not off an ATS win.  Take the Panthers as a road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  Jeff Linder took over the Wyoming basketball program last season, and the Cowboys played great toward the end of the season.  They went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS to finish the regular season.  And then they also covered the point spread in both Mountain West tourney games, including a narrow 3-point loss (as a 15.5-point underdog) against #1-seeded San Diego State to finish the 2020-21 season.  Wyoming got this year off on a great note, as it blew out Detroit on Thursday, 85-47, as a 4.5-point favorite, for its 7th straight ATS win, dating back to last year.  I look for the Cowboys to notch their 8th straight cover this afternoon against a Pine Bluff team which has allowed 90+ points in each of its first two games this season.  Additionally, the Cowboys are 9-0 ATS their last nine (and 16-5 ATS their last 21) off a cover by 11+ points.  Lay the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the New Orleans Saints + the points over Tennessee.  The Titans pulled off a stunning upset last week, as a 7-point road underdog, for their fifth straight victory and ATS win.  And their last four wins were all upsets, as they also upset the Colts, in overtime, two weeks ago, and the Chiefs and Bills before that.  Unfortunately for the Titans, favorites (or PK) off 3 straight covers have gone 0-9 ATS their last 9, and 22-53-2 ATS their last 75, while favorites off 4 straight upset wins have covered just 14% since 1980.  Meanwhile, the Saints suffered an upset loss at the hands of the Falcons.  But NFL teams off upset losses have covered 52 of 75 vs. .750 (or better) teams off upset wins, if our team off the loss wasn't getting 6+ points in the current game.  Take the Saints.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the New England Patriots minus the points over Cleveland.  The Browns upset division rival Cincinnati, 41-16, last Sunday, and will try to make it two upsets in a row when they take on the Patriots.  But underdogs are a wallet-breaking 60-94 ATS off upset wins by 20+ points.  And .500 (or better) teams have gone 6-24 straight-up, and have covered just 7 of 30 games, against the Patriots in Foxboro, if our road team wasn't getting more than 7 points.  Take New England to blow out the Browns.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Lions + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Lions are winless (0-8) on the season.  But they've actually performed better "in Vegas" than the 5-3 Steelers.  Detroit has gone 4-4 ATS, while Pittsburgh is 3-5 ATS after its point spread defeat this past Monday vs. Chicago.  We'll take the points with the Lions, as winless teams have gone 70-39 ATS as road underdogs of +7 (or more) points, if they were matched up against an opponent off a point spread defeat.  Take Detroit.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the UNDER in the Buffalo/New York Jets game.  The Bills were shocked last week by the Jacksonville Jaguars, who were a 14.5-point underdog, yet won, 9-6.  The Bills tend to bounce back from losses, and their games also tend to be relatively low-scoring.  Indeed, Buffalo has played its last eight games 'under' the total following a straight-up loss, and 18 of its last 24, including 9-0 UNDER if the line was 42+ points.  Take the Jets/Bills UNDER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Washington Football Team + the points over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.  When these two teams last met, the Bucs ousted Washington from the Playoffs, in a 31-23 win, as a 13.5-point road favorite.  Once again, the Bucs are favored by a big number on the road, and we'll grab the points with the home underdog.  Indeed, over the last 42 years, NFL teams playing with revenge from a playoff defeat in the previous season have covered 73.3% when installed as a double-digit underdog.  Even better:  home underdogs priced from +7 to +13 points have gone 43-16 ATS vs. defending Super Bowl champions.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indianapolis Colts minus the points over Jacksonville.  Last week, Urban Meyer's Jaguars upset Buffalo, 9-6, as a massive 14.5-point underdog.  Can they pull off back-to-back upsets?  It's definitely not likely, for several reasons.  First, last week's game was at home, vs. a non-division foe, while this is on the road, against a division rival.  And NFL road underdogs of more than 4 points have gone 13-98 SU and 35-73-3 ATS off an upset win as a home underdog of more than 4 points.  Likewise, NFL teams off upset wins at home vs. non-division foes have gone 94-129 ATS on the road vs. division rivals, including 38-68 ATS vs. foes off a SU win.  Take the Colts minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Yale.  Kevin Willard's Pirates got their campaign off to a promising start with a 93-49 victory over the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, as a 27-point favorite.  Now, they'll take on Yale, which should, once again, compete for the Ivy League title (which would be its 5th in 7 seasons).   The Pirates are 13-0 vs. Ivy League foes since 1990, and have gone 9-0 SU/ATS in their nine games against Ivy Leaguers since 2006.  The average margin of victory has been 18.2 ppg, while they've covered the spread by an average of 7.55 ppg.  Seton Hall is also 48-31-1 ATS its last 80 non-conference games, including 24-12-1 ATS here, at home.  But the clincher for us this afternoon is that Seton Hall is 12-0 ATS its last 12, and 22-2 ATS its last 24, vs. foes off a SU win, following a game where Seton Hall covered the spread by 12+ points, including a perfect 12-0 ATS here, at home.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Clippers.  We played on Minnesota last night, and were rewarded with a 107-83 blowout win against the LA Lakers.  Minny will now stay in Los Angeles to play the Clippers, and they'll be out for revenge since they lost twice at home to the Clippers earlier this month.  Unfortunately for L.A., it's 7-18 ATS at home in the regular season vs. double-revenge-minded opponents, including 0-7 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit win.  Take the Timberwolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Colorado.  Last year, the Buffaloes upset UCLA, 48-42, in Boulder, as a 7-point home underdog.  But with revenge on its mind, we'll lay the points with the Bruins, as it falls into a 68-36 ATS system of mind, which plays on certain rested home teams vs. unrested foes.  Even worse, last week, the Buffaloes upset Oregon State, 37-34, as an 11.5-point home dog.  Unfortunately, over the last 42 years, unrested teams off home upset wins have covered just 32.4% on the road vs. rested conference foes.  Take UCLA to blow out Colorado.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots minus the points over the Alcorn State Braves.  The Pilots come into this game off a 122-78 blowout of Willamette, and now will welcome the Braves to Chiles Center.  The Braves have started their 2021-22 campaign in the Pacific Northwest, and visited the cities of Pullman and Seattle, Washington earlier this week.  They lost those games to Washington State (85-67) and Seattle (69-66), and will finish this stretch with a game at #1-ranked Gonzaga, in Spokane, on Monday.  We will lay the points with Portland tonight, as the Pilots have gone 35-8 SU and 29-13-1 ATS when laying more than 3 points to non-conference foes.  Also, the Braves fall into negative 26-74 ATS and 43-98 ATS systems of mine, based on the stats of their first two games.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Red Wings over the Montreal Canadiens.  Nobody is predicting a Stanley Cup for the Detroit Red Wings this season.  But it might not be too long before the franchise notches its 12th NHL Championship.  The reason that folks in Detroit may be very optimistic about the future right now is because the Wings have arguably the two best rookies in the League in winger Lucas Raymond (14 points in 15 games) and Defenseman Moritz Seider (11 points).  These two young stars -- together with some solid veterans like Dylan Larkin and Tyler Bertuzzi -- are the main reasons why the Wings are 7-6-2 and in third place in the Atlantic Division behind only Florida and Toronto.  Things aren't nearly as uplifting if you're a fan of the Canadiens.  So far, the 2021-2022 season seems to be showing us all that Montreal's surprise appearance in last season's Cup Finals was a fluke.  The Habs are just 4-10-1 and have only won once on the road so far (out of six games).  Montreal is 0-5 in its last five immediately following a victory.  Take the Red Wings.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels + the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies have won (and covered) four straight games, dating back to their stunning upset of then-undefeated Alabama.  We played on the Aggies in that upset win, but will step in and go against them as a road favorite in Oxford.  Texas A&M has gone 25-63 ATS away from home in the regular season vs. .636 (or better) foes, including 4-12 ATS as a favorite, if A&M won at home the previous game.  Take Ole Miss.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over New Mexico.  The Bulldogs were shocked last week, 40-14, as a 4.5-point home favorite by Boise State.  But off that upset loss, in which they failed to cover the spread by more than 30 points, we'll look for Fresno to bounce back this evening.  This is Fresno's final home game of the year, and teams playing their final home game, off a loss by 20+ points, have gone 46-22 ATS when favored by 14+ points.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Stanford.  It's not often that one finds a team which has lost its last 11 meetings to an opponent also favored by more than 11 against that same opponent.  But that's our situation today, and we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Beavers.  Oregon State comes into this game off back to back upset losses at California, and at Colorado.  The good news is that they're playing a 3-6 Stanford team which is off 4 straight SU/ATS defeats, including a 52-7 loss to Utah last Friday.  We'll lay the points with the Beavers, as NCAA teams off back to back ATS losses as a road favorite have bounced back to cover 60% since 1980 vs. losing opposition.  Take Oregon State.

At 5:10 pm, our selection is on the Utah Jazz minus the points over Miami.  The Jazz come into this game off a home upset loss at the hands of the Indiana Pacers.   And they will no doubt be looking to make amends in this game -- also in front of their home faithful.  Last week, we played on the Miami Heat at home vs. Utah, and were rewarded with a 118-115 victory, as a 1-point underdog.  This afternoon, though, we will back the homestanding Jazz in this revenge match.  Utah is 52-32-1 ATS when priced from -3.5 and -8.5, and playing with revenge, if Utah was off a SU/ATS loss in its previous game.  And Utah's also won the last 3 meetings against the Heat here in Salt Lake City by 18, 15 and 27 points.  Take the Jazz to blow out Miami.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Evansville.  The Bruins lost their season opener, 92-80, to Ohio, as a 4-point favorite.  But that game was on the road; the Bruins are now back home where they've gone 19-1 SU and 15-5 ATS since Jan. 4, 2020.  Belmont is also 64% ATS off a double-digit loss when matched up against non-conference foes, and it's 4-1 ATS its last five home openers.  Meanwhile, Evansville is a woeful 14-27-1 ATS away from home vs. foes off an upset defeat, including 1-9-1 ATS if their opponent lost its previous game by more than 8 points.  Lay the points with Belmont.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Saint Peter's.   The Peacocks are 0-1 following their loss at VCU on Tuesday, while the Johnnies are 1-0 after walloping Mississippi Valley State, 119-61, as a 44-point home favorite.  That SU/ATS home win extended St. John's point spread success at home to 24-11 ATS their last 35, and they're 13-4 ATS their last 17 non-conference home games.  Even better:  Big East teams are 42-21 ATS in non-conference games following a win by 44+ points.  Take St. John's minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilers will look to make it three-upsets-in-a-row when they visit the Big 10-leading Buckeyes in Columbus.  Last week, the Boilermakers knocked off then-undefeated Michigan State, 40-29, as a 2.5-point home underdog.  And the previous week, Purdue upset Nebraska, in Lincoln.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams fail to cover the spread more often than not following a win over an undefeated team (with a 5-0 or better record), including 31.5% when installed as a double-digit underdog vs. another good team, with a win percentage > .800.  Even worse for Purdue:  it catches Ohio State off back to back ATS losses to Penn State and Nebraska.  But the Buckeyes are 17-6 ATS vs. .666 (or better) Big 10 foes, if the Buckeyes were off back to back ATS losses to Big 10 foes.  Take Ohio State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana-Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  Billy Napier's men have won 8 straight games, and have sewn up their Sun Belt division championship.  Their next goal is to earn home field advantage in the Sun Belt Title game played next month.  To that end, I don't expect a letdown this afternoon vs. Troy.  Last week, the Cajuns failed to cover the spread vs. Georgia State.  But that sets up our play this afternoon, as Louisiana is 20-3-1 ATS on the road when not laying double-digits, if they were off a conference ATS loss in their previous game.  Finally, the Trojans are 0-6 ATS as a home dog priced from +3.5 to +9.5 points.  Take Louisiana Lafayette minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Iowa.  The Gophers stumbled last week at home vs. Illinois, but had won (and covered) four straight prior to that.  They'll now take on a scuffling Iowa team which has dropped its last three to the point spread.  And Iowa's offense has managed a meager 31 points combined in its three previous games.  I'm not a fan of playing on College Football teams that can't score.  Indeed, NCAA teams off 3 ATS losses, that have scored 31 or less combined points in those three games, have covered just 5 of 25 when not getting more than 17 points (and just 1 off 11 when installed as a favorite).  Take Minnesota + the points over Iowa.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over UAB.  Marshall comes into this game off 4 straight wins, and 3 straight covers, which sets them up in several 'momentum' systems of mine that have records of 93-50, 45-17 and 244-138 ATS since 1980.  Additionally, the Herd plays this game with revenge from a loss to UAB last season.  And Marshall is 15-3 SU and 12-6 ATS as a revenge-minded home favorite.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Ramblers opened their season with a 103-45 victory over Coppin State, and will now welcome another squad of Eagles to Joseph J. Gentile Arena.  Florida Gulf Coast also won its season opener in blowout fashion, 94-57, vs. Florida National.  But the Ramblers are 24-6 ATS after holding their previous opponent to less than 50 points, including 9-1 ATS vs. foes that average more than 75 ppg.  Take Loyola-Chicago minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Oklahoma.  The Bears are 7-2, but lost last week, 30-28, as a 7.5-point favorite in Fort Worth against TCU.  We played against the Bears as a road favorite in that game, but will switch gears, and take the points with Dave Aranda's men as a home dog against the 9-0 Sooners.  Indeed, over the last 42 seasons, home dogs of less than 8 points, with a > .750 win percentage, have covered 89% after getting upset on the road in their previous game.  And Baylor's 23-6 ATS at home vs. foes not off a loss, including 10-0 ATS if Baylor wasn't laying 2+ points.  Take the home dog Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles will be playing their fourth game in five days when they take on UConn in this early game on Saturday (after playing a 7 pm game the night before).  And they've lost their first three by an average of 91.67 ppg, while failing to cover the spread by an average of 8.33 ppg.  Meanwhile, UConn will be well-rested following its 99-48 pasting of Central Connecticut St on Tuesday, as a 34.5-point favorite.  And the Huskies also fall into a 150-95 ATS 'momentum' system of mine, based on its 51-point win.  We will lay the big number here, and go against a road-weary Eagles squad.  Take Connecticut.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Villanova.  This is a great early season match-up between two of the top four teams in the country.  We'll lay the points with Mick Cronin's Bruins, as they're 7-0 ATS their last 7 (and 11-1 ATS their last 12) games vs. non-conference foes.  And Villanova is a dreadful 3-14 SU and 4-12-1 ATS as a non-conference underdog of +3 (or more) points!  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:40 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over the Los Angeles Lakers.  After a 3-1 start to the season, Minnesota has proceeded to lose its next 6 games, with most of the losses coming after it built up a significant, double-digit lead in the game.  Indeed, two games ago, it blew a 16-point lead vs. Memphis, and lost in overtime.  Then, in the game prior to that, it was up by 21 over the Clippers.  Minnesota was up by 13 over Orlando, and it also enjoyed a 14-point lead vs. Denver, before falling by 2 points, 93-91.  The T-Wolves just have to put four quarters together, rather than three.  Los Angeles will once again be without LeBron James tonight.  It's true that L.A. has won (and covered) its last two games.  But the Lakers are a soft 40-67-4 ATS at home in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 14-26-3 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Minnesota.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Atlanta Hawks + the points over Denver.  The Nuggets come into this game off 3 straight wins, with the last two as home underdogs, while the Hawks have dropped 5 straight, with the last three on the road.  Unfortunately for Denver, winning teams, off back to back home dog wins, have covered just 31.2% since 1995 vs. foes off back-to-back losses.  Take Atlanta + the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The 'Huskers lost their opener to Western Illinois, 75-74, but I look for them to rebound tonight in front of their home faithful.  Nebraska is a solid 24-12 ATS as a home favorite of 13 or less points vs. non-conference foes, if Nebraska was off a loss in its previous game.  Additionally, when playing at home, the Big 10 Conference has dominated WAC Conference foes, as Big 10 teams have cashed 67% over the last 32 years, including a perfect 9-0 ATS when priced from -7 to -13 points.   Take the Cornhuskers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Trail Blazers minus the points over Houston.   After starting the season with a difficult schedule (only 2 of Portland's first 12 opponents own a losing record), the Blazers get to (finally) step down in class tonight to play a really bad team.  Portland falls into a very 379-238 ATS system of mine which is based on playing on certain teams with much better win percentages than their foe.  Meanwhile, the Rockets are 1-10 SU/ATS as a home underdog vs. a foe off a loss.  Take Portland.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento Kings minus the points over Oklahoma City.  The Kings come into this game off a blowout loss to San Antonio, 136-117.  But that was a difficult situation for Sacramento, as the Spurs were returning home off an upset loss.  Here, the Kings will be playing an opponent off 3 straight wins.  And Sacramento is a solid 33-17 ATS its last 50 road games off a road loss, including 4-1 ATS as a favorite off a double-digit loss.  The Thunder are 1-5 ATS as a home dog vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Sacramento minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Pistons + the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  After starting the season as an underdog in its first 12 games, the Cavaliers are favored for the first time tonight.  So, yes, it's true the Cavs went 9-3 ATS in the underdog role.  But the burden is greater when you're laying points rather than taking them.  And Cleveland is a horrid 2-13 ATS the past two seasons as a favorite.  Even worse, dating back to 2017, the Cavs are 25-54-2 ATS as a home favorite.  Take Detroit + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Radford.  The Cavs were upset here, in Charlottesville, 66-58 by Navy on Tuesday night.  But Virginia typically bounces back off losses under Tony Bennett, and especially off non-conference defeats.  Indeed, Virginia's covered its last nine in that situation, and is 19-3-1 ATS since he took over the coaching reins in 2009.  Moreover, ACC Conference teams off a home upset loss, have cashed 78% as a home favorite vs. .550 (or better) non-conference foes.  Take Virginia.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Niagara.  The Purple Eagles will pay a visit to Ohio State in Columbus this evening, but they've had scant success vs. opponents from the elite conferences (ACC, Big 10, Pac 12, SEC, Big 12), as they've gone 1-17 straight-up, and 4-9-1 ATS.  Even worse, the Purple Eagles fall into a negative 47-96 ATS system of mine based on their season opening loss to Xavier, on Tuesday.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Northern Illinois.  The Hoosiers have dominated schools from the Mid-American Conference, as they're 24-1 straight-up, and 17-8 ATS, including 7-2 ATS when laying 20+ points.  Meanwhile, Northern Illinois has won just 1 of its 20 games vs. Big 10 foes since 1990, and has covered just one of its last 11.  Take the Hoosiers minus the points.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Lumberjacks were blown out in their first game, 81-52, by Arizona.  And they'll now travel to Seattle to play another Pac-12 team -- Washington -- which also lost its season opener, on Thursday.  Northern Arizona has now lost 14 straight games to Pac-12 conference foes, and has gone 4-10 ATS in those games. That doesn't bode well for Shane Burcar's men tonight.  Nor does the fact that Washington is 8-0 ATS its last eight non-conference games off an upset loss as a 5-point (or greater) favorite.  Lay the points with the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays minus the points over Kennesaw St.  This will be the 3rd meeting in as many seasons between these schools.  Last year, the Blue Jays blew out Kennesaw, 93-58, as a 37.5-point favorite.  And two years ago, the Blue Jays won by 26, as a 25.5-point favorite.  The Owls lost at Iowa State, 84-73, as a 15-point underdog to open their 2021-22 campaign, and will travel to Omaha to take on the Blue Jays tonight, who opened with a 90-77 win (though an ATS defeat) against Arkansas-Pine Blue.  We'll go against the Owls, as they're 1-6 ATS off a point spread win, and 16-30 ATS as a road underdog.  Meanwhile, the Blue Jays are an awesome 60-3 SU and 43-20 ATS at home when favored vs. a non-conference foe, including 12-1 ATS their last 13 off a point spread defeat.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:05 pm, our selection is on the Winnipeg Jets over the San Jose Sharks.  NHL teams have been hit by the COVID protocol this season, but none harder than the San Jose Sharks.  Currently, the Sharks have no fewer than six regulars out on COVID protocol and none of them made this Western Canada road trip.  Another one, winger Evander Cane, violated the league's policy so bad that he has been suspended until the end of this month.  San Jose's head coach, Bob Boughner, is also out on COVID protocol and has not joined the club and will be replaced on the bench by assistant John MacLean.  The Jets lost a tough one to the Blues in a shootout on Tuesday, but overall they've played very well here at home this season (4-1-0-1).  This is a revenge situation for the Jets as well as the Sharks won both meetings in October -- while playing at home.  The Sharks are 19-39 in their last 58 games as a road underdog while the Jets are 10-1 off an overtime/shootout defeat.  Take Winnipeg.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers minus the points over the North Carolina Tar Heels.  Mack Brown's men handed Wake Forest its first loss in nine games, with a thrilling, come-from-behind, 58-55 victory in Chapel Hill last Saturday.  We played on North Carolina in that game, but will fade them in the Steel City tonight, as teams off wins over undefeated teams (with an 8-0 or better record) are a soft 38% ATS since 1980 on the road, including just 26% ATS vs. winning foes.  North Carolina is 0-11 ATS off a home win over a conference foe, and a dreadful 11-28 ATS on the conference road against foes with a better conference record, if the Tar Heels weren't getting more than 10 points.  Meanwhile, Pitt is 32-16 ATS vs. winning conference foes, if the Panthers defeated a conference foe in their previous game.  Take the Panthers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers minus the points over Vermont.  The Panthers lost here, at home, to Nicholls State, 62-58, on Tuesday.  Northern Iowa shot just 30% from the floor, while the Colonels hit 49%.  I look for Northern Iowa to bounce back tonight, as the Panthers are 4-0 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes if the Panthers were off an upset loss.  Likewise, since 2010, Missouri Valley Conference teams are 40-3 straight-up, and 33-9-1 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, if our MVC team was upset in its previous game.  Northern Iowa is also 61-36 ATS as a home favorite of less than 7 points, while Vermont has covered just 20% vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Northern Iowa.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:10 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Timberwolves + the points over Golden State.  The Warriors have sprinted out to a 9-1 record, but we will go against Steph Curry & Co. tonight.  Minnesota comes into this game on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, but .676 (or better) NBA teams have covered just 21 of 62 vs. foes off 5 SU/ATS losses.  Take Minnesota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Pacers minus the points over Denver.  Nikola Jokic has been suspended, so he won't play tonight.  And that's all we need to pull the trigger on Indiana.  The Pacers have covered four straight entering tonight, and are 18-8-2 ATS their last 28 as road favorites, including 9-1 ATS vs. Western Conference foes.  Lay the points with the Pacers.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Dallas Mavericks + the points over the Chicago Bulls.  The Bulls upset Brooklyn, 118-95, on Monday.  But Chicago is 30-47 ATS at home off a home upset win.  And .700 (or better) NBA teams have cashed just 36% since 1997 at home off an upset home win.  Take Dallas.

At 8:10 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte Hornets + the points over Memphis.  The Hornets have lost their last 5 games SU/ATS.  But NBA road dogs off 5 (or more) SU/ATS losses have covered 56.7% since 1990.  Take Charlotte.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes + the points over Central Michigan.  We played on Kent State last week against Northern Illinois, and were rewarded with a 52-47 win (and cover).  And we also played on Central Michigan, as a 9-point road underdog vs. Western Michigan, and the Chips won that game outright, 42-30.  But off that huge road upset win, we'll fade the Chippewas tonight.  Indeed, Central Michigan has covered just 2 of 12 MAC Conference games following an upset win in a game they were an underdog of +3 (or more) points.  And they're 4-10 their last 14 games as home favorites vs. conference foes.  Meanwhile, Kent State is 6-0 ATS off a SU/ATS win, if its opponent is off an upset win.  And the road team has covered 5 of 7 in this series.  Finally, MAC teams off upset wins as a dog of more than 7 points, have covered their subsequent game vs. a conference foe just 39% of the time.  Grab the points with Kent State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:40 pm, our selection is on the Milwaukee Bucks + the points over the New York Knicks.  The Knicks ripped the Bucks five days ago at Fiserv Center, 113-98.  But we'll grab the points with Milwaukee in this rematch, as the Bucks fall into a 137-68 ATS revenge system of mine.   Even better, the Bucks are 30-10-2 ATS in the regular season when playing with revenge from a loss by 15+ points, including 14-2 ATS on the road.  Take Milwaukee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:35 pm, our selection is on the Toronto Maple Leafs over the Philadelphia Flyers.  The Maple Leafs were flying high on a five-game win streak when they ran into a bit of a buzz saw in the Los Angeles Kings on Monday.  On paper, the Leafs are a far superior team (as evidenced by the -250 line) but for whatever reason, they went to sleep and the Kings cruised to an easy 5-1 victory in Toronto.  The Leafs will simply move past that game as they now head to Philadelphia for their first match-up with the Flyers in almost two years.  The Flyers are 2-2 in their last four games with victories against a bad Arizona Coyotes team and a banged-up Caps club while dropping decisions to the Penguins and Flames.  That home loss to the Kings could actually be a good thing for the Leafs tonight as they are 5-2 in their last seven games following a home loss by three or more goals.  Meanwhile, the Flyers are 8-20 in their last 28 games following a victory and they are also 4-10 in their last 14 games as a home underdog.  Take the Maple Leafs.  As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Wizards minus the points over the Cleveland Cavaliers.  At 7-4, the Cavaliers are easily the most surprising team in this young seasons, and especially because they've been an underdog in all 11 games this season.  This will be the 12th straight game they're a dog (a streak which should end Friday vs. Detroit), and we'll fade Cleveland here, at home.  Indeed, winning teams, installed as a home underdog, have covered just 37.3% since 1990 off 4+ SU/ATS wins.  Take Washington.