Sports Picks & Predictions

All Sports Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
11-27-15	Pelicans +6.5 v. Clippers		90-111	Loss	-107	12 h 50 m	Show
6* Pelicans/Clippers Western Conference BAILOUT on New Orleans +6.5 The Key: The Pelicans have won three straight coming in thanks to finally getting healthy. Anthony Davis has been a big reason why, scoring at least 20 points and grabbing at least 17 rebounds in all three games. The Pelicans are averaging 115.3 points during this win streak. Sixth man Ryan Anderson has averaged 26.6 points over his last five games. Backup point guard Ish Smith is contributing 18.0 points and 9.5 assists per game over his last four. The Clippers have lost 8 of their last 11 and should not be this heavily favored here. That includes an 11-point home loss to Utah, an 11-point home loss to Toronto, and an 11-point road loss to Portland in three of their last four games overall. Los Angeles is 20-34 ATS in its last 54 games as a home favorite, and 2-11 ATS in its last 13 November home games. The Pelicans are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Take New Orleans.
11-27-15	Oregon State +36 v. Oregon		42-52	Win	100	8 h 44 m	Show
6* Oregon State/Oregon Civil War Rivalry Play on Oregon State +36 The Key: The Oregon Ducks made a valiant effort to try and win the Pac-12 North for a second consecutive season. They won each of their last five games, which includes victories over both Stanford and USC in their last two games. But they still needed Stanford to lose to Cal last week, and that didn't happen, which means Oregon will not be going to the Pac-12 Championship. That is a huge emotional letdown for the Ducks right now, and one that is getting overlooked here with this massive 36-point spread. Plus, records haven't really mattered in the Civil War as the Beavers have pulled off some huge upsets. Obviously, the betting public wants nothing to do with Oregon State, which has gone 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games overall. But with that poor ATS record comes some serious line value here as 36-point dogs. The Beavers have only been dogs of more than 21 points once this season. They were 26-point dogs at Utah and only lost 12-27. Oregon State hasn't lost to Oregon by more than 28 points in any of the last 9 meetings. It only lost 35-36 as 24-point dogs in its last trip to Eugene in 2013. Take Oregon State.
11-27-15	Iowa v. Nebraska +2.5		28-20	Loss	-110	7 h 14 m	Show
6* Iowa/Nebraska Big Ten CA$H COW on Nebraska +2.5 The Key: This is a tough scheduling spot for Iowa and a great one for Nebraska. The Huskers had a bye last week and have had 12 days in between games as a result. The Hawkeyes had to play Purdue last Saturday and have had only 5 days between games. That extra rest of a big reason I'm taking Nebraska here. But I also like the fact that a win get the Huskers to a bowl game, plus they are better than their 5-6 record. Their six losses this season have come by an average of 3.8 points per game, so they've had brutal luck in close games all year. They finally got some luck to go their way in a 39-38 upset win over Michigan State in their last home game, and they followed that up with a 31-14 win at Rutgers. The Huskers are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 home games vs. teams who win more than 75% of their games and 17-5 ATS in their last 22 home games vs. good offensive teams that score 34 or more points per game. Mike Riley is 19-8 ATS off a bye week in all games he has coached. Take Nebraska.
11-27-15	Western Michigan v. Toledo -8	Top	35-30	Loss	-105	4 h 44 m	Show
7* Western Michigan/Toledo MAC HEAVY HITTER on Toledo -8 The Key: Toledo is 9-1 and has a chance to cap the regular season with its best record in 15 years and play for the MAC Championship. A win would put the Rockets in the MAC Championship for the first time since 2004. They have this opportunity because Northern Illinois lost to Ohio on Tuesday. Now I fully expect this re-energized group to take advantage and to pick up its sixth consecutive victory over Western Michigan in this series. The Rockets scored on their first six possessions and held Bowling Green's high-octane offense to a season-low 368 total yards in a 44-28 road win last week. Western Michigan gives up 185.3 rushing yards per game and has surrendered 525 rushing yards and five rushing TDs in its last two games. Kareem Hunt has gained 406 yards with six touchdowns over his last three games and is primed for a big day. The Rockets are 11-1-2 ATS in their last 14 games overall. Take Toledo.
11-26-15	Texas Tech v. Texas +2		48-45	Loss	-115	9 h 20 m	Show
6* Texas Tech/Texas Big 12 CA$H COW on Texas +2 The Key: Texas Tech has already clinched its bowl berth, but Texas still needs two more wins to get bowl eligible. I like the motivational angle of the Longhorns here. I also like the fact that the Longhorns simply have the Red Raiders figures out. Indeed, they are 6-0 in their last six meetings with all six wins coming by double-digits. That includes a 34-13 road win last year and a 41-16 home win in 2013. Also, Texas Tech hasn't won in Austin since 1997. It has lost eight straight visits by an average of 26.3 points per game. The Longhorns are 41-13-1 at home on Thanksgiving Day. They have rushed for 256.4 yards per game over their last five games. Texas Tech gives up 259.9 rushing yards per game, which is one of the worst marks in the country. Take Texas.
11-26-15	Panthers v. Cowboys +1.5	Top	33-14	Loss	-105	6 h 21 m	Show
7* Panthers/Cowboys Thanksgiving Day FEAST on Dallas +1.5 The Key: The Cowboys are showing solid value here as home underdogs to the Carolina Panthers. Jason Garrett is 23-13 ATS as an underdog as the coach of the Cowboys. Dallas is so much better with Tony Romo it's not even funny. The Cowboys are 3-0 with him and 0-7 without him this season. They won 24-14 over the Dolphins last week in a dominant effort, outgaining them 386-210 for the game. The Cowboys now have an elite offense again to go with one of the NFL's best defenses, giving up just 335.5 yards per game. The Panthers have had a very easy road schedule. They are 4-0 on the road this year, but three of those wins came against the Jags, Bucs & Titans. Dallas has won each of its last five meetings with Carolina and will make it six in a row here. Take Dallas.
11-25-15	Massachusetts +4 v. Creighton		76-97	Loss	-105	9 h 52 m	Show
6* NCAAB Wednesday Night CA$H COW on UMass +4 The Key: It's pretty clear that UMass is a better team that Creighton and shouldn't be an underdog in this game. The Minutemen have opened 4-0, which is really impressive when you consider they have been a dog in two games. They beat Harvard 69-63 on the road as 2.5-point underdogs. They also crushed Clemson 82-65 on a neutral court despite being 7.5-point dogs in that game. I have not been impressed with Creighton, which is 3-1. It was crushed 65-86 at Indiana, and it only beat an awful Rutgers team 85-75 as 12-point favorites on a neutral court. The other two wins came against overmatched Texas Southern and UT-San Antonio teams. The Minutemen are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 non-conference games. The Bluejays are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. UMass is 8-1 ATS in its last nine November games. Creighton is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 road games after allowing 75 points or more in two straight games coming in. Take UMass.
11-25-15	Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 196	Top	83-88	Win	100	8 h 59 m	Show
7* NBA Western Conference TOTAL Annihilator on Mavs/Spurs UNDER 196 The Key: The San Antonio Spurs are playing tremendous defense this season. They rank 2nd in the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up just 94.1 points per 100 possessions. But their offense has really been lacking recently. They've averaged 93.3 points in their last three games and have turned the ball over 39 times in their last two. This has typically been a low-scoring series of late as the UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. They have combined for 180, 195 and 192 points in their last three meetings dating back to last season. Dallas is 10-1 UNDER off a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons. The UNDER is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 games playing on 0 days rest. The UNDER is 5-1 in Spurs last 6 games overall. Take the UNDER.
11-24-15	Missouri +7.5 v. Northwestern		62-67	Win	100	7 h 33 m	Show
6* CBE Hall of Fame Classic Game of the Week on Missouri +7.5 The Key: It was a clear rebuilding season last year for the Missouri Tigers as they went 9-23 in Kim Anderson's first season. They had to play a ton of freshmen last year, but now they have a lot more experience with four returning starters. They have been way undervalued in the early going and are here again. They won 83-74 over Wofford as 2.5-point favorites, beat Maryland-East Shore 73-55, and lost at Xavier 66-78 as 13.5-point dogs. That was before an ugly 42-66 loss to Kansas State yesterday as they shot just 30.9 percent from the floor. I believe that blowout loss has the Tigers catching a few too many points here against Northwestern, which lost 69-80 to UNC yesterday. Northwestern is now 3-1, but two of its wins were far from impressive with a 79-72 home win over Fairfield as 15-point favorites and an 83-80 home win over Columbia as 5.5-point favorites. The Wildcats are a tired team as they'll be playing their 4th game in 7 days. Missouri will only be playing its 2nd game in 7 days. That's the difference here as the Tigers will have a lot more in the tank. Take Missouri.
11-24-15	Pacers v. Wizards -2.5		123-106	Loss	-105	6 h 8 m	Show
6* NBA Eastern Conference CA$H COW on Washington Wizards -2.5 The Key: The Washington Wizards come in playing well having won three straight games over Orlando, Milwaukee and Detroit by a combined 40 points. They have now had two days off in between games, and this will actually be just their 2nd game in 7 days. They'll be full of energy in this one to say the least. The Pacers are also playing well, but they are now overvalued here as only 2.5-point road underdogs in this game. The Wizards are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 vs. NBA Central division opponents. Take Washington.
11-24-15	Bowling Green v. Ball State +23.5	Top	48-10	Loss	-110	6 h 4 m	Show
7* Bowling Green/Ball State MAC HEAVY HITTER on Ball State +23.5 The Key: I really question the motivation of the Bowling Green Falcons right now. They already locked up their spot in the MAC Championship Game two weeks ago with a win over Western Michigan. They promptly fell flat on their faces last week in a 28-44 home loss to Toledo despite being 7-point favorites. They are in the exact same situation as last year where they clinched with two games left and lost their final two games before getting rolled by Northern Illinois in the Championship Game as well. In their season finale last year, the Falcons lost 24-41 as 10-point home favorites over Ball State. The Cardinals would like to end their season on a positive note with a win here, and it's also Senior Night, so they will be motivated. I have little doubt they'll stay within three touchdowns of Bowling Green in this one. They haven't lost by more than 14 points at home this year. They are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following two straight games where they gave up 37 or more points. Take Ball State.
11-23-15	Bills v. Patriots UNDER 48.5	Top	13-20	Win	100	60 h 7 m	Show
7* Bills/Patriots AFC East TOTAL Annihilator on UNDER 48.5 The Key: This UNDER fits a very profitable system dating back to 2003. It tells us to bet on all UNDERS with a total set of 44.5 or higher in division games after Week 11 or later. This system is 115-71 (61.8%) since 2003. By focusing in on late-season division rivalries, we are able to identify games in which two teams have already faced off. The level of familiarity leads to less scoring and better returns for under bettors. This system has been particularly profitable over the last 3 years, going 52-28 (67.4%). The Patriots are without two of their best weapons in Dion Lewis and Julian Edelman, so don't expect to see the 40-32 shootout we saw in the first meeting between these teams back in Week 2. This is going to be a grind-it-out game where both teams lean heavily on their rushing attacks, especially the Bills, who want to shorten the game, which will allow them to keep it close. Plays on the UNDER on any team against the total (BUFFALO) - after allowing 17 points or less in 2 straight games against opponent after scoring 25 points or more in 4 straight games are 29-8 over the last 10 seasons. Buffalo is 7-0 UNDER vs. winning teams in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. The Bills are 6-0 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 years. Take the UNDER.
11-23-15	76ers +8 v. Wolves		95-100	Win	100	6 h 6 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Philadelphia 76ers +8 The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers aren't going to go 0-82. This 0-14 start is ugly, but with that start comes some betting value here in the very near future, and I believe there's a lot of it tonight against the Minnesota Timberwolves. The Timberwolves are improved this season, but they shouldn't be 8-point favorites against anyone. That's especially the case when you consider how poorly they have played at home. The Timberwolves are 0-6 SU & 0-6 ATS in home games this year, getting outscored by 9.5 points per game in the process. The 76ers have gone a profitable 4-3 ATS on the road this year. The Timberwolves are now 2-14 ATS in their last 16 home games overall. Minnesota is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams who are outscored by 3-plus points per game. Take Philadelphia.
11-23-15	Kansas State v. Missouri +5.5		66-42	Loss	-112	5 h 1 m	Show
6* CBE Hall of Fame Classic CA$H COW on Missouri +5.5 The Key: It was a clear rebuilding season last year for the Missouri Tigers as they went 9-23 in Kim Anderson's first season. They had to play a ton of freshmen last year, but now they have a lot more experience with four returning starters. They have been way undervalued in the early going and are here again. They won 83-74 over Wofford as 2.5-point favorites, beat Maryland-East Shore 73-55, and lost at Xavier 66-78 as 13.5-point dogs. That game against Xavier was six days ago so they've had plenty of time to prepare for Kansas State. The Wildcats lost their top three scorers from last year in Marcus Foster, Nino Williams and Thomas Gipson, who all averaged at least 11.3 points per game. They are 3-0 this season, but have taken advantage of an extremely soft schedule with three home games against Maryland-East Shore, Columbia and South Dakota. The Tigers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. Big 12 opponents, and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. The Wildcats are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game. Take Missouri.
11-22-15	Bengals v. Cardinals -4.5		31-34	Loss	-102	36 h 57 m	Show
6* Bengals/Cardinals Sunday Night BAILOUT on Arizona -4.5 The Key: The Arizona Cardinals may very well be the best team in the NFL this season. They are outgaining teams by 105.0 yards per game, which is the best mark in the league. They have the #1 offense in the NFL at 421 yards per game, and they are #3 in total defense as well, giving up 316 yards per game. I like them here laying this short number against the Bengals, who are clearly overrated due to their 7-1-1 ATS record this season. The Bengals are playing on a short week after losing 6-10 at home to the Texans on Monday Night Football, which also puts them at a disadvantage. The Cardinals are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after outgaining each of their last two opponents by 100 or more total yards. Take Arizona.
11-22-15	Redskins +7.5 v. Panthers	Top	16-44	Loss	-113	29 h 38 m	Show
7* NFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Washington Redskins +7.5 The Key: The Panthers are 9-0 straight up and 7-2 ATS this season. They have made backers a lot of money, and as a result, they are clearly overvalued right now. They have a two-game lead for home-field advantage in the NFC, so they can afford to take their foot off the gas this week. The Washington Redskins have no such luxury. They are 4-5 on the season and can pull even with the New York Giants for the NFC East lead with a win this week. The Redskins are loaded with confidence right now after their 47-14 dismantling of the Saints last week. They racked up 526 total yards in the win, while holding the high-powered Saints to just 350 yards, outgaining them by 176. Washington is 39-23 ATS in its last 62 games as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points. The underdog is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the road team is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take Washington.
11-22-15	Raiders v. Lions +1		13-18	Win	100	29 h 37 m	Show
6* NFL Non-Conference Game of the Week on Detroit Lions +1 The Key: The line before the season on this game was somewhere in the neighborhood of Detroit -7.5. I believe we are getting serious value here with the Lions as a home underdog to the Raiders this week. Detroit has opened just 2-7, and that record has it undervalued. But this team has played better than its record, and it finally got rewarded with an 18-16 upset win at Green Bay last week as double-digit underdogs. Look for the Lions to come into this game playing with a ton of confidence now. I'm still not sold on the Raiders because of their defense. They give up 26.8 points, 408.6 yards per game and 6.1 per play this season. The Lions still have an above-average offense that is fully capable of putting up a big number on this Oakland D. The Raiders have only been favored twice this season, and they lost both of those games to the Bears and Vikings. Plays on team (DETROIT) - after being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games are 24-2 ATS over the last 10 seasons. Take Detroit.
11-21-15	Idaho +34 v. Auburn		34-56	Win	100	40 h 46 m	Show
6* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Week on Idaho +34 The Key: How can Auburn be trusted to lay 34 points with the season it is having right now? The Tigers are 5-5 and still not bowl eligible. They needed overtime to beat Jacksonville State as a 39-point favorite earlier this year and were outgained in that game by 37 yards. In fact, they have been outgained in seven of their 10 games this season. Idaho is better than Jacksonville State. It has been competitive this season as only one of its seven losses came by more than 27 points. That was a 9-59 loss at USC back in Week 2. Idaho does have a good offense that is averaging 29.2 points and 414.8 yards per game and put some points on the board to help with the cover. The Vandals have scored 27 or more points six times this year. Sophomore QB Matt Linehan is a stud, completing 63.8 percent of his passes while ranking third in the country in passing yards per game (274.6). Auburn is 2-10 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion percentage of 58% or better over the last two seasons. The Tigers will be looking ahead to their Iron Bowl showdown with Alabama next week and won't be up for the Vandals this week. The Tigers are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. Take Idaho.
11-21-15	Louisville v. Pittsburgh -2	Top	34-45	Win	100	40 h 31 m	Show
7* ACC GAME OF THE MONTH on Pittsburgh -2 The Key: The Pittsburgh Panthers are 7-3 this season and having a great year. Their three losses were to Notre Dame, Iowa and Pittsburgh, who have a combined two losses on the season. Both Notre Dame and Iowa are playoff contenders. The Panthers weren't overmatched against any of those three teams, losing by 12 points or less in all three games with a 3-point loss at Iowa, a 7-point loss to UNC, and a 12-point loss to Notre Dame. Now it will be up against a mediocre 6-4 Louisville team that has narrow wins over Boston College (17-14), Wake Forest (20-19) and Virginia (38-31) in three of its last four games. I look for the Panthers to take care of business at home. They are coming off a 31-13 road win at Duke in what was one of their most complete performances of the season. That's key because the Panthers are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 home games off a win by 10 points or more. Pitt is 5-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Louisville, winning four of the last five outright. Take Pittsburgh.
11-21-15	Florida Atlantic +31.5 v. Florida		14-20	Win	100	36 h 46 m	Show
6* NCAAF Situational SLAM DUNK on Florida Atlantic +31 The Key: It's all about survive and advance right now for the Florida Gators, which is precisely what they've done the last two weeks in lackluster performances. They only beat Vanderbilt 9-7 two weeks ago at home as 20.5-point favorites, and then needed a late TD to put away South Carolina 24-14 on the road last week. They aren't going to be concerned with how much they beat Florida Atlantic by, instead they'll be looking ahead to next week's showdown with Florida State that will determine whether or not it is a legitimate playoff contender. The Gators lack the firepower to put up big points as they average just 28.1 points and 371 yards per game. Florida Atlantic has been much better than its 2-8 record shows. All 8 of its losses have come by 24 or fewer points, including seven by 18 or less. They have played some good teams too in Miami, Marshall, Western Kentucky and Middle Tennessee. Florida only has one win by more than 28 points this season, which was back in the opener against an awful New Mexico State team. The Owls are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. FAU is 19-7 ATS in its last 26 road games and 4-1 ATS in its last 5 vs. SEC opponents. The Gators are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take Florida Atlantic.
11-20-15	Cincinnati v. South Florida +2	Top	27-65	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
7* Cincinnati/USF NCAAF Friday Night Lights on South Florida +2 The Key: The South Florida Bulls have a realistic shot of winning the AAC East division. They are one game back of Temple, which plays Memphis on Saturday. The Bulls beat the Owls 44-23 at home last week in a dominant effort, outgaining them by 176 yards behind 230 rushing yards from Marlon Mack. That followed up a 22-17 road win at East Carolina in which they outgained the Pirates by 222 yards. South Florida has been tough to beat at home, going 4-1 SU & 4-0-1 ATS this season, winning by an average of 21.4 PPG. The Bulls are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Cincinnati is 1-3 on the road this season with its only win coming by 4 points over Miami Ohio as 21-point favorites. The Bulls are 7-0 ATS in games played on a grass field this year. Take South Florida.
11-20-15	Knicks v. Thunder UNDER 207		93-90	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
6* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL Annihilator on Knicks/Thunder UNDER 207 The Key: The New York Knicks got a lot better defensively this season when they signed defensive anchor Robin Lopez in the offseason. They are playing great on the defensive end, holding eight of their last nine opponents to less than 100 points. But they haven't been a whole lot better offensively this year, scoring 99 or fewer points in seven of their last nine games. The UNDER is 7-2 in their last 9 games as a result. Their job defensively tonight got a whole lot easier when it was announced that Kevin Durant was going to miss this game as well as he continues to recover from injury. The Thunder just aren't as explosive offensively without him. These teams played in a couple low-scoring affairs last season. They combined for 192 and 183 points in their two meetings. I don't expect that a year later its' going to be any different, especially without Durant and with the way the Knicks are getting after it defensively. OKC is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in home games after scoring 110 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons. Take the UNDER.
11-19-15	Iowa -2 v. Marquette		89-61	Win	100	8 h 27 m	Show
6* NCAAB Game of the Night on Iowa -2 The Key: Marquette is clearly in trouble this season. It lost its top scorer from last season in Matt Carlino (15.0 PPG), and three other players who played significant minutes. Only two starters returned for the Golden Eagles. They lost 80-83 at home to Belmont in their opener, and then only beat IUPUI 75-71 at home as 13.5-point favorites last time out. That's the same IUPUI team that lost by 24 at NC State last night. Iowa is a veteran bunch that returned four starters this season. It has handled its business with 76-59 and 103-68 home wins over Gardner Webb and Coppin State, respectively. I look for the Hawkeyes to go on the road and get a win here as a short favorite. Marquette is 0-7 ATS as a home underdog of 6 points or less or a pick 'em over the last 3 seasons, losing by 13.0 points per game. Take Iowa.
11-19-15	Titans v. Jaguars -3	Top	13-19	Win	100	8 h 43 m	Show
7* Titans/Jaguars AFC South HEAVY HITTER on Jacksonville -3 The Key: Jacksonville is 3-6 this season, but only one game back of first place in the AFC South. The Jaguars have managed three wins despite playing just three home games this season compared to six on the road. They are playing well right now, going 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last three games. Their only loss was a 5-point road loss to the Jets in which they outgained them by 146 yards. Four turnovers are the only thing that prevented the Jags from winning that game. The Titans have lost five of their last six games and sit at just 2-7 on the season. Marcus Mariota is going to be without his top two receivers tonight in Justin Hunter and Kendall Wright. The home team has won six of the last eight meetings in this rivalry. Tennessee is 4-20 ATS in its last 24 vs. division opponents and 0-7 ATS in its last 7 vs. teams who are outscored by 6 or more points per game on the season. Take Jacksonville.
11-19-15	Bucks v. Cavs UNDER 195.5		100-115	Loss	-110	7 h 27 m	Show
6* Bucks/Cavaliers TNT TOTAL Annihilator on UNDER 195.5 The Key: These teams just played a few days ago on November 14 in a double-overtime thriller in which the Bucks won 108-105 at home. But this game was tied 88-88 at the end of regulation, which is 176 combined points, nearly 20 points below this 195.5-point total. These teams are obviously very familiar with each other after having just played, and I look for the defenses to be at an advantage because of it. The UNDER is 17-4 in Bucks last 21 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Take the UNDER.
11-19-15	East Carolina v. Central Florida +14.5		44-7	Loss	-110	7 h 47 m	Show
6* ECU/UCF ESPN National TV Annihilator on Central Florida +14.5 The Key: Because they are 0-10, the UCF Knights are show great value today as two-touchdown underdogs to the ECU Pirates. The betting public wants nothing to do with this 0-10 team. But the Knights are better than their record and played Tulsa very tough in their last game. ECU has really struggled of late with three straight losses while averaging just 14.7 points per game in them. This has become a nice rivalry, so the Knights will be motivated, especially since this game will be aired on ESPN. UCF has not lost by more than 14 points to ECU in any of the last 9 meetings, making for a 9-0 angle backing the Knights dating back to 2005. The Pirates are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games, while the Knights are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Thursday showdowns. Take UCF.
11-18-15	Western Michigan +3 v. Northern Illinois		19-27	Loss	-110	7 h 47 m	Show
6* WMU/NIU ESPN2 National TV Annihilator on Western Michigan +3 The Key: Western Michigan wants revenge from a 21-31 home loss to Northern Illinois last year that kept it out of the MAC Championship Game. The Broncos led 21-0 but committed six turnovers to give the game away in the second half. They have the team to beat Northern Illinois this year and get over the hump. The Huskies are playing with their backup QB in Ryan Graham, which is a big disadvantage. Western Michigan is averaging 543 yards per game and giving up just 376 in conference play, outgaining teams by 167 yards per game. The Broncos are 5-1 against common opponents with Northern Illinois, which is 4-2 against those same teams. Western Michigan is a perfect 6-0 ATS in conference road games the last two seasons, and 9-2 ATS as an underdog the last two years. Take Western Michigan.
11-18-15	St. Louis +6 v. SIU-Edwardsville		70-60	Win	100	7 h 46 m	Show
6* NCAAB Wednesday Night CA$H COW on Saint Louis -6 The Key: Saint Louis was in rebuilding mode last year with no returning starters, and it's no surprise they took a step back. But now the Billikens have 4 returning starters in 2015-16 and will be one of the most improved teams in the country. SIU-Edwardsville is in the same situation that Saint Louis was last year. The Panthers have zero returning starters this season. They only have one returning key reserve in C.J. Carr, who averaged 6.2 points per game last year. They are pretty much starting over this year. Saint Louis crushed Hartford 85-68 in its opener while shooting 52.8% from the floor and committing only 7 turnovers. Saint Louis beat SIU-Edwardsville 67-61 at home last year and 82-58 on the road in 2013. I expect a result somewhere in between those two performances. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points off a home win by 10 points or more in the first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 5 or more consecutive ATS losses are 30-9 ATS since 1997. Take Saint Louis.
11-18-15	Mavs v. Celtics -4.5	Top	106-102	Loss	-115	7 h 32 m	Show
7* NBA Non-Conference HEAVY HITTER on Boston Celtics -4.5 The Key: The Boston Celtics are rolling right now. They have gone 5-1 straight up and 5-1 against the spread in their last six games overall. They are not only winning, they are dominating as all five wins have come by 13 points or more. That includes road wins over Houston and Oklahoma City, as well as home wins over Washington and Atlanta, so it's not like they are beating up on bad teams. The Mavericks are a tired bunch right now as this will be their 7th game in 11 days. Dallas is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 vs. Eastern Conference foes. Boston is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 home games vs. teams who win 60% or more of their road games. Take this 14-0 angle backing the Celtics straight to the bank. Take Boston.
11-17-15	Georgetown v. Maryland -7.5		71-75	Loss	-105	8 h 13 m	Show
6* Georgetown/Maryland ESPN2 National TV Annihilator on Maryland -7.5 The Key: The Maryland Terrapins are the third-ranked team in the country this season. They returned two of their best players in Melo Trimble (16.2 ppg, 3.9 rpg) and Jake Layman (12.5 ppg, 5.8 rpg). They added in Duke transfer Rasheed Sulaimon, while also nabbing five-star recruit Diamond Stone. The Terrapins got off to a good start this season with an 80-56 win over Mount St. Mary's. Trimble (14) and Layman (16) led five players who scored in double figures as the Terps held Mount St. Mary's to 31.1% shooting and outrebounded them 44-20. Georgetown has just two starters back this year and is in serious trouble after losing 80-82 at home in double-overtime to Radford int he opener. The Hoyas were actually outrebounded 37-43 by Radford, yes Radford. Georgetown is 3-11 ATS as a road underdog over the last three seasons, losing by 11.5 points per game. Maryland is 42-23 ATS in its last 65 home games off a win by 15 points or more, winning by 21.5 points per game. Take Maryland.
11-17-15	Nuggets v. Pelicans -5.5		115-98	Loss	-104	7 h 54 m	Show
6* NBA Western Conference CA$H COW on New Orleans Pelicans -5.5 The Key: At 1-9 on the season, the Pelicans are in desperate need of a win to right the ship. The good news is that Anthony Davis recently returned to the lineup in an 87-95 loss at New York last time out and scored 36 points, so he appears healthy. Look for Davis to lead the Pelicans to a blowout win tonight over the Denver Nuggets, who lost 81-105 in Phoenix last time out. The Nuggets' best player in Kenneth Faried had to sit out the second half of that game, and he's questionable to return tonight with a back injury. Denver is 1-12 ATS when playing on two days' rest over the last two seasons, losing by 8.2 points per game in this spot. The Nuggets are 1-9 ATS off a blowout loss by 20 points or more over the last two years, losing by 10.8 points per game. Denver is 0-8 ATS after scoring 35 or fewer points in the first half last game over the last three seasons, losing by 11.3 points per game. The Pelicans are 24-8 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread over the last two seasons. Take New Orleans.
11-17-15	Toledo +8 v. Bowling Green	Top	44-28	Win	100	5 h 60 m	Show
7* Toledo/Bowling Green MAC GAME OF THE MONTH on Toledo +8 The Key: Bowling Green already clinched the MAC East title for the second consecutive season. It is now already penciled into the MAC Championship Game. Toledo is tied with Northern Illinois and Western Michigan atop the MAC West with 5-1 records each. The Rockets still have some work to do, and motivation will clearly be on their side in this one, while we don't know what we'll get from Bowling Green. The Falcons were in the same situation last year having clinched the MAC East early, and they proceeded to lose each of their final three games of the season, including a 17-point loss to Ball State at home as 10-point favorites. Toledo has won five straight meetings with Bowling Green. The Rockets are 10-1-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, including 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games. Take Toledo.
11-16-15	San Diego State v. Utah UNDER 132		76-81	Loss	-110	8 h 12 m	Show
6* SDSU/Utah ESPN 2 TOTAL Annihilator on UNDER 132 The Key: Utah and San Diego State are two teams that make a living off their defense. The Aztecs finished second in Division 1 in scoring defense last season at 53.9 points per game and 3rd in fewer points per possession. They limited Illinois State to 30.8 percent shooting in their opener. Utah held its opponents to 41.3 percent shooting on 2-point attempts last season behind the efforts of defensive anchor Jakob Poeltl. Both teams went over the total in their openers, which I think is why this total has been inflated. San Diego State beat Illinois State 71-60 while Utah beat Southern Utah 82-71 and allowed 50% shooting, including 10 of 19 from 3-point range. But look for the Utes to come back with a much stronger effort defensively in this one. This has been a very low-scoring series in recent meetings. SDSU beat Utah 53-49 at home last year for 102 combined points despite the total being set at 130.5. In their previous meeting, SDSU beat Utah 64-50 for 114 combined points with a total of 127. SDSU is 40-22 UNDER in all games over the last three seasons. Utah is 16-6 UNDER off one or more consecutive overs over the last three years. Take the UNDER.
11-16-15	Texans +11 v. Bengals	Top	10-6	Win	100	7 h 14 m	Show
7* Texans/Bengals MNF HEAVY HITTER on Houston +11 The Key: The Cincinnati Bengals could not possible be more overvalued than they are right now. They are 8-0 SU & 7-0-1 ATS this season, the NFL's only team without an ATS loss. The betting public has taken notice and has been quick to back them this week. They are now a double-digit favorite for the second consecutive week, and you're not going to lose a lot of money betting double-digit NFL favorites over the long run. We'll go the other way and side with the Texans, who are just 3-5 on the season, but they're a better team than that record. The Texans are only a half-game back in the AFC South and can pull into a tie for first place with a win this week. The Texans are outgaining teams by 18.5 yards per game this season behind the 9th-ranked offense and 14th-ranked defense. Houston has won five of its last six meetings with Cincinnati. Betting against favorites of 10.5 or more points, in the second half of the season, who beat the spread by 35 or more combined points over their past five games are 27-8 ATS over the last 10 years. Take Houston.
11-16-15	Pacers +6 v. Bulls		95-96	Win	100	7 h 47 m	Show
6* NBA Eastern Conference CA$H COW on Indiana Pacers +6 The Key: The grand plan of the Pacers to go smaller this season and utilize the talents of Paul George and Monte Ellis is coming to fruition. The Pacers are 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall with their only loss coming to the beat team in the Eastern Conference in the Cleveland Cavaliers by a final of 97-101 on the road as 8-point underdogs. George is averaging 29.3 points and 9.3 boards while shooting 47.5 percent, including 19 of 40 from 3-point range, over his last six games. Indiana is 10-1 ATS in November road games over the last two seasons. The Pacers are 33-15 ATS in their last 48 games against poor pressure defensive teams that force 12 or fewer turnovers per game. The Pacers are 6-0 ATS in their last six vs. Eastern Conference foes. The Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a win. Take Indiana.
11-15-15	Raptors v. Kings +3		101-107	Win	100	10 h 57 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Sacramento Kings +3 The Key: After a 1-7 start, the Sacramento Kings had a team meeting and it has really brought this club together. They have won two straight behind a healthy return of DeMarcus Cousins and a more comfortable Rajon Rondo. Cousins scored 30 of his 40 points in the second half while Rondo has 23 points, 14 assists and 10 rebounds in a win over the Nets on Friday. Cousins has now amassed 73 points in back-to-back wins over the Pistons and Nets. The Kings have averaged 107.5 points in games that Cousins has played this year, and only 97.5 in the four that he's missed. Sacramento is 15-3 straight up in its last 18 home meetings with Toronto and should not be an underdog here. Take Sacramento.
11-15-15	Lions +11 v. Packers		18-16	Win	100	4 h 34 m	Show
6* NFC Sunday Afternoon CA$H COW on Detroit Lions +11 The Key: My database shows that road teams who lost their previous game have gone 714-625 ATS since 2003, but that record improves to 285-196 ATS when those road teams have also played at least two consecutive road games coming in. Teams off a loss are almost always undervalued, especially when they are playing their 3rd straight road game. Double-digit underdogs have gone 93-68 ATS since 2003 in division games. Teams that allowed at least 42 points int heir previous game are 116-81 ATS. The Lions are coming off their bye week and will be motivated for this division game against the Packers. They have only lost by more than 10 points at Green Bay in one of the last five road meetings. Take Detroit.
11-15-15	Browns +6.5 v. Steelers		9-30	Loss	-108	4 h 34 m	Show
6* AFC Sunday Afternoon CA$H COW on Cleveland Browns +6.5 The Key: My database shows that road teams who lost their previous game have gone 714-625 ATS since 2003, but that record improves to 285-196 ATS when those road teams have also played at least two consecutive road games coming in. Teams off a loss are almost always undervalued, especially when they are playing their 3rd straight road game. Landry Jones is back at quarterback in place of an injured Ben Roethlisberger. The Browns also fit a system that is 97-53 ATS and focuses on teams who are coming off a blowout against "good" teams the previous game like the one the Browns suffered against the Bengals last Thursday. Cleveland has now had extra time to prepare for Pittsburgh as well after receiving a mini-bye week. Take Cleveland.
11-15-15	Jaguars +5.5 v. Ravens	Top	22-20	Win	100	4 h 33 m	Show
7* AFC GAME OF THE MONTH on Jacksonville Jaguars +5.5 The Key: My database shows that road teams who lost their previous game have gone 714-625 ATS since 2003, but that record improves to 285-196 ATS when those road teams have also played at least two consecutive road games coming in. Teams off a loss are almost always undervalued, especially when they are playing their 3rd straight road game. Baltimore is just 2-6 with season-ending injuries to Steve Smith Sr. Terrell Suggs and Matt Elam. The Jaguars outgained the Jets by 146 yards on the road last week after beating the Bills in London. The Ravens haven't beaten anyone by more than 3 points this year, and six of their eight games were decided by 5 points or less. Take Jacksonville.
11-14-15	Utah v. Arizona +6		30-37	Win	100	21 h 47 m	Show
6* Utah/Arizona Pac-12 BAILOUT on Arizona +6 The Key: Arizona needs one more win to get bowl eligible and would love to get it here against a highly-ranked Utah team. It doesn't want to have to bank on pulling the upset next week as road underdogs to Arizona State. The Wildcats are coming off one of their better performances of the season in a 30-38 road loss at USC as 19-point underdogs last week. Utah was fortunate to win at Washington last week as the Huskies committed four turnovers and gave the Utes a bunch of easy points. The Utes only gained 346 total yards in that game. Utah is only outgained teams by 17.6 yards per game on the season, so it is very fortunate to be 8-1 because it continues winning the turnover battle, which is luck more than anything. Arizona is outgaining teams by 47 yards per game this season behind an offense that is putting up 502.1 per contest. The Wildcats beat the Utes 42-10 as 5.5-point road underdogs last year while racking up 520 total yards of offense. Kyle Whittingham is 8-24 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 10 points as the coach of Arizona. Rich Rodriquez is 6-0 ATS off two or more straight losses as the coach of Arizona, with the Wildcats coming back to win by 15.8 points per game in this situation. Take Arizona.
11-14-15	76ers v. Spurs UNDER 196		83-92	Win	100	17 h 9 m	Show
6* NBA Non-Conference TOTAL Annihilator on 76ers/Spurs UNDER 196 The Key: Philadelphia just lost 85-102 at Oklahoma City last night in a low-scoring affair that saw 187 combined points. I expect more of the same from them tonight against the Spurs. The last time they traveled to San Antonio last season, they lost 75-100 for 175 combined points. The 76ers rank dead last in the NBA in offensive efficiency, averaging just 92.7 points per 100 possessions. Their defense is at least decent with all of the big guys in the middle at their disposal, but they can't get anything going offensively. It's not going to get any easier tonight against a Spurs team that ranks 2nd in the league in defensive efficiency, allowing 94.3 points per 100 possessions. San Antonio is 16-5 UNDER off a road win where it scored 110 points or more over the last 3 seasons. Plays on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 190 to 199.5 (76ers) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games, with a winning percentage of less than 25% and playing a team with a winning record are 72-32 since 1996. The UNDER is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings and 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Antonio. Take the UNDER.
11-14-15	Oklahoma v. Baylor -2		44-34	Loss	-110	19 h 47 m	Show
6* Oklahoma/Baylor Big 12 CA$H COW on Baylor -2 The Key: Baylor is 29-1 at home over the last five seasons. The Bears have won 20 straight at home by an average of 25 points per game with their 61-58 win over TCU last year the only game that was decided by less than a TD. That includes 13 straight Big 12 home wins as well. Baylor has beaten Oklahoma by 29 and 34 points the last two years while outgaining the Sooners by 222 and 225 yards, respectively. The Bears have averaged 42 PPG, 511 YPG and 6.2 YPP in their last four meetings with the Sooners. They have scored TDs on 21 of their 56 drives with nearly a quarter of their plays going for 10-plus yards. Jarrett Stidham is better than he's getting credit for here as he's thrown 9 touchdowns without an interception this season while completing 77% of his passes. The Bears are a ridiculous 26-7 ATS in their last 33 home games overall. Take Baylor.
11-14-15	Temple v. South Florida +3	Top	23-44	Win	100	18 h 48 m	Show
7* American Athletic GAME OF THE YEAR on South Florida +3 The Key: South Florida is 3-1 at home this season with its only loss to Memphis coming by a final of 24-17. USF has won its other three games at Raymond James Stadium by a combined 134-41 score. "I know one thing about Ray Jay, when it's rocking it's hard for any opponent to come in here and play," coach Willie Taggart told the Bulls' official website. "I've been on the other side of that coming in here and playing when that place is rocking. That's how we need it Saturday night." A win would have the Bulls becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2010, so expect a great crowd Saturday night. Temple is very beatable and is overvalued as the favorite here due to going 5-1 ATS in its last six games. It needed some late-game magic to beat both East Carolina and SMU on the road recently, which are two teams that aren't as good as this South Florida outfit. USF also beat ECU on the road and SMU by 24 at home. The Bulls have won four of their last five with their only loss coming at Navy 17-29 in a game that was very close until the 4th quarter. USF is 6-0 ATS in games played on a grass field this season. Take South Florida.
11-14-15	Kansas +45.5 v. TCU		17-23	Win	100	11 h 48 m	Show
6* Big 12 Game of the Week on Kansas +45.5 The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs are going to suffer a hangover Saturday from their 29-49 loss at Oklahoma State that likely cost it a shot to play in the four-team playoff. With Oklahoma and Baylor on deck, this is a sandwich game that the Horned Frogs aren't going to show up for. That's why they won't be able to put away Kansas by this ridiculous 45.5-point margin. Star WR Josh Doctson was knocked out of the Oklahoma State game with a wrist injury and the Horned Frogs never recovered. While he may return Saturday, he's not going to be 100% and won't be the factor he usually is, making this TCU offense less explosive. TCU has struggled to beat Kansas State the last three years. It is 0-3 ATS, only winning 20-6 as 18.5-point road favorites in 2012, 27-17 as 24-point home favorites in 2013, and 34-30 as 28-point road favorites last year. The Jayhawks were only outgained 418-463 by the Horned Frogs last season. Take Kansas.
11-14-15	Ohio State -16.5 v. Illinois		28-3	Win	100	11 h 47 m	Show
6* Ohio State/Illinois EARLY RISER on Ohio State -16.5 The Key: J.T. Barrett returns from his 1-game suspension and will be eager to lead the Buckeyes to a blowout win over Illinois Saturday. He missed last game against Minnesota, and Ohio State struggled offensively in a 28-14 win with Cardale Jones. Barrett had started his first game of the season the week before, leading the Buckeyes to a 49-7 win at Rutgers. Barrett threw for 223 yards and three touchdowns, while also rushing for 101 yards and two touchdowns in the win. He is the real deal, and this offense goes as he goes. Illinois has been a punching bag for Ohio State in recent years and I look for that to continue. The Buckeyes have won the least three meetings by 41, 25 and 30 points, or by an average of 32.0 points per game. The Buckeyes are 38-16-1 ATS in their last 55 road games. The Fighting Illini are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games following a ATS win. Take Ohio State.
11-13-15	USC v. Colorado OVER 59		27-24	Loss	-110	8 h 40 m	Show
6* USC/Colorado Pac-12 TOTAL Annihilator on OVER 59 The Key: This one is pretty easy folks as this game is going to be a shootout between Colorado and USC. They combined for 86 points last year in a 56-28 USC victory in which Cody Kessler threw a school-record 7 touchdown passes. That followed up a 76-point effort in 2013 when USC won 47-29 at Colorado. USC has combined for 66 or more points with 3 of its last 4 opponents. Colorado has combined for 65 or more points in 4 of its last 6 games with its opposition. Colorado is 9-1 to the OVER in its last 10 games against teams that win 60% to 75% of their games with 74 points per game on average in this spot. Take the OVER.
11-13-15	Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 203.5	Top	90-84	Win	100	6 h 16 m	Show
7* NBA Eastern Conference Total of the Week on Cavs/Knicks UNDER 203.5 The Key: When looking at the recent history between the Cavs and Knicks, it's easy to see that there is some serious value with the UNDER 203.5 tonight. The UNDER is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings with combined scores of 182, 184, 177 and 185 points, which comes out to an average of 182 points per game. That's 21.5 points less than this 203.5-point total. These teams just played on November 4 with 182 combined points. This total just makes no sense to me with how high it has been set, and we'll take advantage and back the UNDER. Take the UNDER.
11-12-15	Bills v. Jets -1.5	Top	22-17	Loss	-109	7 h 8 m	Show
7* Bills/Jets NFL Thursday HEAVY HITTER on New York -1.5 The Key: This line is indicating that the Bills are actually the better team. Once again, the Jets aren't getting enough credit for how good they really are as only 1.5-point favorites here. They rank 4th in the NFL in total defense and 11th in total offense, outgaining teams by 42.6 yards per game. The Bills are getting outgained by 3.0 yards per game this year. This line is an overreaction from Buffalo's blowout win over Miami last week in which the Bills were in a good spot because they returned from their bye. It's also an overreaction from losses in two of the last three games from the Jets, but two of those games on the road to the Pats and Raiders, and they rebounded with a home win over the Jaguars last week. New York is now 3-1 at home this year and should be 4-0 because it outgained Philadelphia by nearly 100 yards but committed 4 turnovers in a 17-24 loss. Buffalo is 9-26 ATS in its last 35 games following a win by 10 points or more against a division opponent. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. Take New York.
11-12-15	Warriors v. Wolves +9.5		129-116	Loss	-110	7 h 48 m	Show
6* Warriors/Timberwolves TNT CA$H COW on Minnesota +9.5 The Key: The Golden State Warriors are in a very tough spot here. They will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days. I always look to fade teams in this spot, and this is a prime opportunity to do so. The Warriors are 9-0 and the betting public cannot get enough of them right now. Oddsmakers are forced to jack up their lines game in and game out, and it's going to be profitable to fade them sooner rather than later. This looks like the prime opportunity to do so as the Warriors would have to go on the road and win by double-digits in this spot to beat us. Minnesota is 4-3 this season with 4 wins over the Lakers, Nuggets, Bulls and Hawks all on the road, and three of those coming by 9 points or more. The Timberwolves will be motivated for their first home win here. Andrew Wiggins and Ricky Rubio both didn't play against Charlotte on Tuesday, but both are coming back for this game. The Warriors are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a losing home record. Take Minnesota.
11-12-15	UL-Lafayette +2 v. South Alabama		25-32	Loss	-102	6 h 6 m	Show
6* UL-Lafayette/South Alabama Sun Belt Game of the Week on UL-Lafayette +2 The Key: Despite sharing identical 4-4 records, there's no question in my mind that UL-Lafayette is by far the superior team in this matchup with South Alabama. The Rajin' Cajuns are outgaining teams by 2 yards per game this season, while the Jaguars are getting outgained by 30 yards per game. Lafayette is also only getting outscored by 1.3 points per game, while South Alabama is getting outscored by 9.9 points per game. This is a great matchup for the Rajin' Cajuns. They are a run-first team that averages 211 rushing yards per game and 5.3 per carry. They'll be up against a South Alabama defense that gives up 218 rushing yards per game and 5.1 per carry. Their ability to run the football at will is going to prove to be the difference in this one. South Alabama is 1-11 ATS in weeks 10 through 13 in its last 12 tries. The Jaguars are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win. Plays against home teams where the line is +3 to -3 off a home win after the first month of the season are 58-19 ATS over the last 5 years. Take Lafayette.
11-11-15	Bucks v. Nuggets -3		102-103	Loss	-108	8 h 14 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Denver Nuggets -3 The Key: The Denver Nuggets will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days tonight, so they will be ready to go when they welcome the Milwaukee Bucks. The same cannot be said for the Bucks, who are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back here after their 83-99 loss at home to Boston yesterday. Making matters worse for the Bucks is that three of their best players are expected to miss this game in O.J. Mayo, Jabari Parker and Michael Carter-Williams. The thick air in Denver is going to play a big role here. The Bucks haven't had much luck in Denver anyways, going 8-36 in 44 meetings all-time. They have dropped five straight trips to Denver as well. Milwaukee is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games against the Western Conference. Take Denver.
11-11-15	Bowling Green v. Western Michigan +3		41-27	Loss	-115	7 h 8 m	Show
6* Bowling Green/Western Michigan MAC CA$H COW on Western Michigan +3 The Key: Western Michigan is 4-1 at home this season with its only loss coming 24-37 to Michigan State. It is outscoring teams by an average of 18.0 points per game at home this year. The Broncos will pick up another win as home underdogs to the Bowling Green Falcons tonight. Western Michigan has the better defense in this one, and its balance offensively with 208 rushing yards per game and 278 passing is a nice asset to have. The Broncos are 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Falcons, including last year's 26-14 road win. Western Michigan is 9-1 against the spread in its last 10 games as an underdog. Take Western Michigan.
11-11-15	Pacers v. Celtics -3.5	Top	102-91	Loss	-105	7 h 44 m	Show
7* NBA BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Boston Celtics -3.5 The Key: The Boston Celtics are one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season. They had a tremendous preseason and that has carried over into the regular season. They are coming off back-to-back blowout wins over quality opponents in Washington (118-98) and Milwaukee (99-83). Yes, they did play last night against the Bucks, but they had three days off before that game, so that makes this second of a back-to-back a non-factor. Plus, the Celtics will bring plenty of energy into this one anyways as they want revenge from their 98-100 road loss to Indiana a week ago today. The Pacers are overvalued heading into this game because they have gone 5-0 against the spread in their last five games overall. Boston was a 2-point road favorite at Indiana in the first meeting, and now it is only a 3.5-point home favorite in the rematch. Based on that 2-point spread, the Celtics should be roughly 8-point home favorites here when you factor in home-court advantage. I believe were are getting them at a discounted price as a result. Boston is 14-3 ATS when playing on back-to-back days over the last two seasons. This is one of the deepest teams in the NBA, which is why the Celtics have been so profitable to back in these no rest situations. Take Boston.
11-10-15	Toledo v. Central Michigan +4.5	Top	28-23	Loss	-110	8 h 32 m	Show
7* Toledo/CMU NCAAF Tuesday HEAVY HITTER on Central Michigan +4.5 The Key: The Central Michigan Chippewas are a sensational 8-1 against the spread in 2015. The oddsmakers continue to undervalue this team, and that's the case here as 4.5-point home underdogs. They have lost four games this year, but they covered the spread in all four and arguably should have won three of them. They outgained Michigan State, Western Michigan and Syracuse. Oklahoma State, which is 9-0, only outgained them by 77 yards in an 11-point road win. Central Michigan is rested having last played on October 31. Toledo is in a tough spot here after playing on November 3 last Tuesday in a 32-27 home loss to Northern Illinois. That loss is likely going to keep the Rockets out of the MAC Championship Game again, and these players know it. It's going to be hard to bounce back from that loss as a result. Central Michigan has won its last three home games all by 10 points or more, including a 29-19 victory over that same Northern Illinois team. The Chippewas are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Take Central Michigan.
11-10-15	Lakers +11 v. Heat		88-101	Loss	-103	7 h 6 m	Show
6* NBA Non-Conference CA$H COW on Los Angeles Lakers +11 The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers have been better than their 1-5 record would indicate. They just haven't been able to close games late because they have been in almost every game they've played. Four of their five losses have come by 11 points or less, and if they lose this game Tuesday, it's likely to be by 11 or less once again. The Miami Heat are coming off a huge 96-76 home win over Toronto last time out that has them overvalued. But the Heat haven't won two straight games yet this season as they've alternated wins and losses. The Lakers were awful last year and not as good as they are this year, yet they only lost to the Heat by 6 and 3 points. In fact, each of the last 9 meetings in this series have been decided by 11 points or less, which is even more impressive when you consider Lebron James played the majority of those games for the Heat. That's a 9-0 angle when you figure in this 11-point spread tonight. Take Los Angeles.
11-09-15	Blazers v. Nuggets		104-108	Win	100	9 h 34 m	Show
6* NBA Western Conference CA$H COW on Denver Nuggets PK The Key: The Denver Nuggets are hungry for a win after dropping two straight and four of their last five. They have had two days off in between games having last played on Friday. So they had the entire weekend to correct their mistakes. Head coach Mike Malone was pleased with the way his team responded in the second half against the Warriors on Friday, outscoring them 60-45 after intermission while shooting 51.1 percent. Look for that effort to carry over into this game. The Blazers will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 4th game in 6 days. They were outscored 41-11 in the 4th quarter to lose to the Pistons 103-120 last night. I look for them to come out flat in this game after that brutal finish and because their starters are asked to play so many minutes. The Blazers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss by more than 10 points. The Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a loss. Take Denver.
11-09-15	Bears v. Chargers OVER 49	Top	22-19	Loss	-107	8 h 60 m	Show
7* Bears/Chargers MNF TOTAL Annihilator on OVER 49 The Key: I like taking the OVER in games between two teams who are pretty much out of the playoff hunt. Offenses tend to play a little looser with more of a playground feel to it, and defensive don't offer as much resistance. We saw that last week in the Chargers/Ravens game, which went over the 50.5-point total. I think we'll see it again this week from the Chargers/Bears game with only a 49-point total on the Monday Night Football stage. The Chargers are 1st in the NFL in total offense at 423 yards per game and 1st in passing offense at 337 yards per game. Jay Cutler has been playing much better with Alshon Jeffery in the lineup. Jeffery has at least 100 receiving yards in all three games that he has started this season. Both defenses are awful with the Bears allowing 28.9 points per game and the Chargers giving up 28.4 per contest. Chicago is 7-0 OVER after covering the spread in two of its last three games over the past three seasons. San Diego is 58-36 OVER in its last 94 non-conference games. The OVER is 19-7 in Bears last 26 road games. Take the OVER.
11-08-15	Suns v. Thunder -8		103-124	Win	100	14 h 17 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Oklahoma City Thunder -8 The Key: The Thunder have lost three straight games by all by 6 points or less to three good teams in Houston, Toronto and Chicago, with two of those losses coming on the road. They also had to play 4 games in 5 days during that losing streak, so it was just a very difficult stretch of games. They've had two days off to regroup, rest, and get better as a team. I expect them to put their best foot forward now as they return home to face the Phoenix Suns. They weren't healthy last year, yet they won 3 out of 4 meetings with the Suns with two of those coming by 12 and 24 points. The Thunder are a dangerous team now at full strength with Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook and Serge Ibaka all healthy. They'll cruise to victory tonight in a huge effort to end this losing streak. Take Oklahoma City.
11-08-15	Packers -2.5 v. Panthers	Top	29-37	Loss	-117	9 h 56 m	Show
7* NFC GAME OF THE YEAR on Green Bay Packers -2.5 The Key: Aaron Rodgers hasn't lost consecutive games as a starter since 2010. That just shows the kind of resiliency he and the Packers have had ever since he's been at the helm. After a blowout loss to the Broncos last week, the Packers will be playing with extra motivation this week. They also want to earn the tiebreaker over the Panthers if it comes down to home-field advantage in the playoffs. The Panthers are 7-0, but they haven't beaten a team with a winning record, and this will be the best team that they've played this year. The Packers are 9-0 ATS after playing a road game over the past two seasons. Take Green Bay.
11-08-15	Raiders v. Steelers -4.5		35-38	Loss	-115	9 h 55 m	Show
6* AFC Game of the Week on Pittsburgh Steelers -4.5 The Key: The Steelers need a win after dropping their last two games to the Chiefs and Bengals. Ben Roethlisberger returned last week, but he cost the team with 3 interceptions in their 16-10 loss to the Bengals. He will certainly want to redeem himself this week. That shouldn't be a problem against an Oakland defense that ranks 31st against the pass at 302 yards allowed per game. The Raiders are getting a little too much respect from oddsmakers here because of their two wins over the Chargers and Jets the past two weeks. But they were coming off a bye when they faced a San Diego team that was coming off a heartbreaking last-second loss to Green Bay and didn't show up. The Jets didn't show up last week either after their tough loss to the Patriots the previous week. The Raiders are 4-18 ATS in their last 22 games off an upset win as a home underdog. The Steelers are 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after losing two of their past three games. Take Pittsburgh.
11-08-15	Dolphins +3 v. Bills		17-33	Loss	-104	9 h 47 m	Show
6* Dolphins/Bills AFC East CA$H COW on Miami +3 The Key: This play fits into a system that tells us to bet on teams that lost their last game by at least 20 points, are receiving less than 50% of the spread bets, and are underdogs of 3 or more points. Teams off blowout losses are almost always undervalued. The Dolphins lost 7-36 to the Patriots last Thursday. They are not only going to be motivated following that loss, they also want revenge from a 41-14 blowout loss to the Bills earlier this year. This is a Dolphins offense that put up 41.0 points per game in two wins over Tennessee and Houston before that loss to New England. Buffalo has surrendered 34.0 points per game in back-to-back losses to Cincinnati and Jacksonville. Plays on road teams where the line is +3 to -3 who are coming off a road loss and have a losing record on the season are 25-5 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Miami.
11-07-15	Rockets v. Clippers OVER 215.5		109-105	Loss	-105	9 h 8 m	Show
6* Rockets/Clippers Western Conference BAILOUT on OVER 215.5 The Key: These are two teams that love to push the tempo as they both rank in the top 10 in the NBA in possessions per game. That's going to lead to a high-scoring game tonight, which is the usual outcome when these teams get together. They have combined for 213, 226, 227, 223, 223, 224 and 218 points in their last seven meetings, respectively. That's an average of 222 combined points per game. Because of this, I believe there's some value with the over 215.5 tonight. Houston has combined with its opponents for 226, 233 and 215 points in its last three games overall. The OVER is 9-1 in Clippers last 10 games following an ATS win. The OVER is 10-3 in Clippers lats 13 games overall. The OVER is 15-5 in Clippers last 20 Saturday games. The OVER is 6-1 in the last seven meetings. Take the OVER.
11-07-15	LSU v. Alabama -7	Top	16-30	Win	100	18 h 24 m	Show
7* LSU/Alabama NCAAF Rivalry GAME OF THE YEAR on Alabama -7 The Key: LSU has breezed to 7-0 thanks to a soft schedule that has featured five home games. But the two road games the Tigers have played in, they didn't play nearly as well. They only won 21-19 at Mississippi State as 3-point favorites and 34-24 at Syracuse as 23.5-point favorites. Alabama is built to stop the run and dominates all teams that think they can just run the football on them. LSU is a one-dimensional offense that only averages 11 pass completions per game. Alabama will be highly motivated to stop Leonard Fournette, who has benefited from playing such a soft schedule to this point. Alabama only gives up 78 rushing yards per game and 2.6 per carry. Two other one-dimensional running teams didn't have any success against the Crimson Tide this year. They beat Wisconsin 35-17 and Georgia 38-10, both on the road. Alabama can both pass (233 yards/game) and run (188 yards/game), and its balance offensively will be huge in this game. LSU has allowed at least 19 points in all seven of its games this season, so it is no juggernaut defensively. The Tigers are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games following a win. Take Alabama.
11-07-15	Old Dominion +8.5 v. Texas-San Antonio		36-31	Win	100	17 h 14 m	Show
6* C-USA Game of the Week on Old Dominion +8.5 The Key: Old Dominion is 0-8 against the spread this season, still the only team to fail to cover at least one spread all year. The betting public obviously doesn't want anything to do with this team because of their futility against the number. But there's a ton of sharp money on the Monarchs as this line has been bet down from 12 to 8.5 already. I still don't think it's enough because the Monarchs are the better team in this one. They are 3-5 on the season and needing to win 3 of their last 4 games to become bowl eligible. It starts this week against UTSA, which is just 1-7 on the season and has nothing to play for but pride. So I like the motivational advantage for the Monarchs here They still play UTSA, UTEP, Southern Miss and Florida Atlantic in their final four games, so winning three of those is very doable. UTSA is so bad that it just lost to North Texas 23-30 last week, which fired its head coach earlier this year. The Roadrunners have been outgained in five of their last seven games, and by 144-plus yards in four of those. They shouldn't be laying this kind of weight against the Monarchs. Plays against of 3.5 to 10 points (UTSA) - off an upset loss as a road favorite of 7 or more in weeks 10 through 13 are 29-6 ATS since 1992. Take Old Dominion.
11-07-15	New Mexico State +17 v. Texas State		31-21	Win	100	14 h 4 m	Show
6* Sun Belt Game of the Week on New Mexico State +17 The Key: New Mexico State is coming off its first win of the season last week in a 55-48 victory over Idaho. But make no mistake, this team is better than 1-7. The Aggies have three losses by 9 points or less this year, so they have been competitive in most of their games. They should not be catching 17 points against a Texas State team that has rarely even been competitive in a 2-5 start. Four of Texas State's five losses have come by 22 or more points. The only exception was a 50-56 home loss to Southern Miss. Texas State's two wins have come against FCS foe Prairie View A&M and South Alabama. But the 36-18 home win over South Alabama was very fluky as the Bobcats were outgained by 44 yards in that contest. Texas State gives up 43.1 points, 553 yards per game and 7.2 per play. New Mexico State is no slouch offensively, averaging 26.5 points, 419 yards per game and 6.0 per play. The Aggies will be able to score enough points to stay within the number here. Texas State only beat NMSU 37-29 last year and shouldn't have won that game at all. The Aggies outgained the Bobcats 639-430 for the game and will be playing with revenge in mind. Plays against home favorites (TEXAS ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games against opponent after going over the total by 28 or more points total in their last three games are 33-8 ATS since 1992. Take New Mexico State.
11-07-15	Army +17 v. Air Force		3-20	Push	0	14 h 43 m	Show
6* NCAAF Non-Conference Game of the Week on Army +17 The Key: In rivalry games like this, I usually look to side with the underdog first. I can't help but think there is some serious value here with Army catching 17 points against Air Force. For starters, Army has had two full weeks to prepare for Air Force after last playing on October 24 in a 31-38 road loss to Rice. Meanwhile, Air Force had to travel all the way to Hawaii last weekend. The Falcons won that game 58-7 against a hapless Warriors bunch that hasn't been competitive against anyone lately. That final score has inflated this line higher than it should be. The spread for the Army/Navy game hasn't been higher than 17 points in any of the last 11 meetings. Army hasn't lost to Air Force by more than 17 points in any of the last four meetings. Army QB Ahmad Bradshaw is probable for this game. He is a decent passer completing 50% of his passes with a 3-to-2 TD/INT ratio, while also rushing for 336 yards and four touchdowns while being limited to only six games this year due to injury. Army has played its best football on the road this year with a 5-point loss at UConn as 6.5-point dogs, a 22-point win at Eastern Michigan as 2-point favorites, a 6-point loss at Penn State as 25.5-point dogs, and a 7-point loss at Rice as 7-point dogs. So, the Black Knights are 3-0-1 ATS in road games this year. The road team is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings. Take Army.
11-07-15	Duke +7.5 v. North Carolina		31-66	Loss	-110	10 h 14 m	Show
6* ACC Game of the Week on Duke +7.5 The Key: Duke got the shaft when Miami's kick return TD on the final game of the play wasn't overturned. Instead of winning like they should have, they lost 30-27. For most teams it would be hard to recover from that kind of result, but that won't be the case for Duke. That's because if they win out, they'll still win the ACC Coastal Division and play in the ACC Championship Game. "Even if we (had beaten Miami), we would still need to beat UNC to make it to (first place in) the Coastal," defensive lineman A.J. Wolf said Tuesday. "That helps us refocus up and say, `Guys, this game's huge.' We still need to beat them to make it there. We're still in the driver's seat." In UNC's two toughest games this year, they only beat both Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh by a touchdown each. I believe there's a good chance this game is decided by a TD or less as well. Duke is outgaining its foes by 126 yards per game and the Tar Heels by 112. Duke is not only 8-1 ATS in its last nine regular season games as an underdog, but also 8-1 straight up in those. Take Duke.
11-06-15	BYU v. San Jose State +13	Top	17-16	Win	100	11 h 43 m	Show
7* BYU/San Jose State NCAAF Friday Night Lights on San Jose State +13 The Key: San Jose State is a better team than it gets credit for. It is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall while outgaining four of its last five opponents. The Spartans outgained Fresno State by 296 yards, Auburn by 64 on the road, UNLV by 41 on the road, and New Mexico by 163 at home while winning three of those four contests. BYU is a team that relies heavily on the pass to move the football, averaging 294 yards per game through the air. That makes this an excellent matchup for the Spartans, who lead the country in giving up just 122 passing yards per game and 5.8 per attempt. BYU is without three starting offensive linemen in Ryker Matthews, Ului Lapuaho and Kyle Johnson, so it is short-handed up front, too. The Spartans are actually outgaining opponents by 63.6 yards per game this season. The home team is 3-0 in the last three meetings in this series, including a 20-14 win by the Spartans in their only home meeting with the Cougars. Even in their two road losses they only lost by 13 as 14.5-point dogs and by 3 as 18-point dogs. This one will go right down to the wire as well. BYU is 0-6 ATS off a bye week over the last three seasons, losing by 5.8 points per game. Take San Jose State.
11-06-15	Nuggets v. Warriors OVER 211		104-119	Win	100	10 h 47 m	Show
6* Nuggets/Warriors Western Conference BAILOUT on OVER 211 The Key: The Nuggets are going to make a concentrated effort to push the tempo tonight after their 84-96 loss to defensive-minded Utah last night. "In our losses, we've had too many ups and downs," said Danilo Gallinari, who scored a team-high 18 points. "We cannot allow ourselves to have too many ups and downs and have lapses in the game where we don't have pace". The Warriors play at the league's fourth-fastest pace this season and lead the NBA in averaging 114.2 points per 100 possessions. Looking at recent meetings, it's easy to see that there is value with the OVER. These teams have gone 3-1 to the OVER in their last four meetings while averaging 226.3 combined points per game. That's roughly 15 points more than tonight's posted total of 211. Take the OVER.
11-06-15	Wizards v. Celtics		98-118	Win	100	7 h 47 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Boston Celtics PK The Key: The Boston Celtics were one of the most impressive teams in the preseason with their 6-1 record while ranking 2nd in the NBA in efficiency, outscoring teams by 11.6 points per 100 possessions. It hasn't exactly translated into the regular season with their 1-3 start, but their three losses have come to the Raptors, Spurs and Pacers. Off 3 straight losses, look for the Celtics to be playing with a little extra motivation tonight. At the same time, I expect the Wizards to come out flat following Bradley Beal's last-second 3-pointer to down the Spurs 102-99 on Wednesday. The Wizards are 3-1, but all three wins have come by 5 points or fewer, and two against the lowly Magic and Bucks. They also lost to the Knicks at home. The home team went 3-0 in their 3 meetings last year. The Wizards are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games following a win by 6 points or less, coming back to lose by 5.5 points per game in this situation. Take Boston.
11-05-15	Hornets v. Mavs -4.5		108-94	Loss	-108	8 h 33 m	Show
6* NBA Non-Conference CA$H COW on Dallas Mavericks -4.5 The Key: The 1-3 Charlotte Hornets are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers tonight as only 4.5-point road underdogs to the Dallas Mavericks. They are coming off a huge offensive performance against the Bulls to get their first win of the season, which has them overvalued. But now they take on a Western Conference playoff contender in the Dallas Mavericks, whose two losses this season have come against two of the best teams in the NBA in the Clippers and Raptors. The Mavericks have won 23 of their last 24 meetings with the Hornets in which Dirk Nowitzki has played. They have held Charlotte to below 100 points 13 times in a 14-game home winning streak in this series. I look for their home dominance in this series to continue tonight. Take Dallas.
11-05-15	Browns +11.5 v. Bengals	Top	10-31	Loss	-105	7 h 23 m	Show
7* Browns/Bengals TNF HEAVY HITTER on Cleveland +11.5 The Key: Johnny Manziel will get the start for the Browns and has grown a lot since last year as a player. He has thrown three touchdown passes against one interception with a very solid 93.2 QB rating this year. He led the Browns to a 28-14 win over the Titans earlier this season and has handled himself well when forced into action. While the Bengals are the better team on paper, I don't believe they are 11.5 points better than the Browns in this one. The Bengals are in a prime letdown spot off their big win over the Steelers on Sunday and likely won't bring the focus it takes to put away the Browns by double-digits. Plus, this rivalry game has been very whacky with the road team winning both meetings last year, including a 24-3 win by the Browns. The underdog is 13-2-1 ATS in the last 16 meetings as well, so rarely do these games go as expected. Plus, I like the fact that Cleveland is 8-1 ATS off one or more straight ATS losses over the last two seasons. The Browns are actually outscoring their opponents by 4.7 points per game in this spot. Take Cleveland.
11-05-15	Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 68		31-24	Win	100	6 h 28 m	Show
6* Baylor/Kansas State Big 12 TOTAL Annihilator on UNDER 68 The Key: The Kansas State Wildcats aren't going to be able to put up enough points to help get this over. They have been held to a combined 9 points in their past two games with a 55-0 loss to Oklahoma and a 9-23 loss at Texas. The Sooners held them to 110 total yards while the Longhorns held them to 242. QB Joe Hubener has completed 30 of 78 passes with one touchdown and five interceptions in Big 12 play. This Baylor defense is one of the strongest in the Big 12 in allowing just 25.1 PPG this season. Kansas State does still have a respectable defense that is allowing 28.9 PPG this season. Baylor won't be as prolific offensively with a freshman QB making his first start in the absence of Seth Russell. I also like that both teams have had nearly two weeks to prepare for one another, which certainly favors defense over offense. They have combined for 65 and 60 points in their last two meetings. Take the UNDER.
11-04-15	Knicks +10.5 v. Cavs		86-96	Win	100	7 h 15 m	Show
6* Knicks/Cavs NBA on ESPN CA$H COW on New York +10.5 The Key: The New York Knicks have played their best basketball on the road this season. They won 122-97 at Milwaukee as 4.5-point underdogs and 117-110 at Washington as 7-point dogs. Their only two losses came at home against two of the best teams in the NBA in the Atlanta Hawks and San Antonio Spurs. So, they have played four playoff teams from last year, and they've handled themselves very well. Cleveland is overvalued right now due to a 3-1 SU & 3-1 ATS start. That was the case for the Cavaliers as they failed to cover as 13-point road favorites in a 7-point win at Philadelphia last time out, and it's the case again here tonight as double-digit favorites when they shouldn't be. The Knicks are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. The Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Cleveland. Take New York.
11-04-15	Ohio +20 v. Bowling Green	Top	24-62	Loss	-105	7 h 11 m	Show
7* Ohio/BG MAC Game of the Week on Ohio +20 The Key: The betting public loves backing high-scoring teams like the Bowling Green Falcons. They have been rewarded this year as the Falcons have gone 6-2 straight up and 6-2 against the spread up to this point. But now the oddsmakers have over-adjusted here in listing the Falcons as 20-point favorites over rival Ohio. Adding to this adjustment is that Ohio has been blown out in its past two games against Western Michigan and Buffalo. But the loss to Buffalo was far from the 17-41 final score as the Bobcats actually outgained the Bulls by 49 yards in the game, but shot themselves in the foot with four turnovers. Ohio has played some good football on the road this year, winning 14-12 at Akron and only losing 24-27 at Minnesota. The Bobcats still believe they can win the MAC, but it starts with an upset here of the Falcons. Look for them to put their best foot forward in this rivalry game. The Bobcats are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Bobcats are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 games following a bye week. Take Ohio.
11-03-15	Raptors v. Mavs +1.5		102-91	Loss	-104	7 h 56 m	Show
6* NBA Non-Conference CA$H COW on Dallas Mavericks +1.5 The Key: The Toronto Raptors are 3-0 and overvalued as 1.5-point road favorites over the Dallas Mavericks as a result. They have beaten three teams who are a combined 2-8 on the season. Now they face a Dallas team that is getting healthy with Deron Williams, Wesley Matthews and Chandler Parsons returning to the lineup. The Mavs are 2-1 this season despite playing three tough road games already. They are going to be amped up for their home opener tonight. The Mavericks are 13-2 in their last 15 home meetings with the Raptors. Take Dallas.
11-03-15	Northern Illinois +7.5 v. Toledo	Top	32-27	Win	100	6 h 21 m	Show
7* Northern Illinois/Toledo MAC HEAVY HITTER on Northern Illinois +7.5 The Key: Northern Illinois is the king of the MAC and isn't ready to let Toledo take its throne this year. I like the 7.5 points we're getting here with how dominant the Huskies have been in this series. They have gone 5-0 in their last five meetings with the Rockets. They are 6-1 in the last seven meetings as well with their only loss coming by a single point. Northern Illinois has three losses this year, but all three came by 10 points or less and all three on the road. That includes a 13-20 loss at Ohio State in which they held the Buckeyes to less than 300 yards. They have the better defense in this one. Toledo is 7-0 but should have lost to both Arkansas and Iowa State. It was outgianed by 197 yards by Arkansas and by 172 yards by Iowa State. The Rockets also trailed 10-28 at UMass in their last game before coming back to win. The Huskies are 19-6-2 ATS in their last 27 road games & 7-1-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a win by 21 points or more. The underdog is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. Take Northern Illinois.
11-02-15	Colts +7 v. Panthers	Top	26-29	Win	100	41 h 53 m	Show
7* Colts/Panthers MNF HEAVY HITTER on Indianapolis Colts +7 The Key: The Indianapolis Colts really need a victory as they are sitting at 3-4 and off two consecutive losses to the Saints and Patriots. I expect them to put their best foot forward here against a Carolina team that is one of the most overvalued in the league. Despite being 6-0, I believe the Panthers are just a middle-of-the-pack team, and I actually have the Colts rated higher than them. So getting seven points here is a gift. The Panthers have faced the league's easiest schedule to this point as they haven't beaten a team with a winning record. They are only outgaining teams by 4.4 yards per game despite this easy schedule. The only other time this season the Panthers were favored by more than a field goal, they failed to cover the spread in a 27-22 home win over the Saints as 10-point favorites. Keep in mind that Drew Brees didn't play in that contest. Ron Rivera is 2-9 ATS in the second of back-to-back home games as the coach of Carolina. Take Indianapolis.
11-02-15	Spurs v. Knicks +8		94-84	Loss	-105	7 h 7 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on New York Knicks +8 The Key: The New York Knicks got better this offseason than most people think. Just having a healthy Carmelo Anthony back has made a huge difference, but four new players are making big-time contributions en route to a 2-1 start. Derrick Williams is averaging 13.3 points per game, Robin Lopez is averaging 11.3 points and 1.7 blocks, Kristaps Porzingis is putting up 11.3 points and 6.3 rebounds, and Kyle O'Quinn is averaging 9.3 points and 7.7 boards. The Knicks beat the Bucks 122-97 on the road and the Wizards 117-110 on the road, which were two payoff teams last year. They have had a day off since that win over the Wizards on Saturday. The Spurs, meanwhile, will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here after beating the Celtics 95-87 Sunday. The Spurs are obviously up there in age, so I'll be looking to go against them in these types of situations all year. New York has actually won 4 of its last 6 meetings with San Antonio, including 3 of its last 4 home meetings. The home team is 9-4-1 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take New York.
11-01-15	Royals +129 v. Mets		7-2	Win	129	9 h 53 m	Show
6* Royals/Mets Game 5 CA$H COW on Kansas City +129 The Key: The Kansas City Royals have all the momentum now after erasing a 2-3 deficit in the 8th inning to win 5-3 in Game 4. The Mets just took a sucker punch and won't be able to recover from it in time for Game 5 as they were on the verge of squaring the series 2-2. The Royals are hungry to clinch the World Series now after losing it to the Giants in Game 7 last year. They don't want this series to go back to KC. Edinson Volquez lost his father on the same day he pitched Game 1, and he's going to be dedicating tonight's performance to his father. The Royals players can't help but rally around him, and this just has the feeling that the Royals won't be denied tonight. Volquez has pitched well in the postseason and is 1-0 with a 2.65 ERA in his last three starts against New York. The Royals are 27-9 in their last 36 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. The Royals are 6-0 in Volquez's last 6 interleague starts. Take Kansas City.
11-01-15	Bucks +7 v. Raptors		87-106	Loss	-108	7 h 48 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Milwaukee Bucks +7 The Key: The Bucks are 0-2 right now and desperate for their first victory of the season, while the Raptors are 2-0 and overvalued here as 7-point favorites as a result. This Bucks team is better than they have shown through their first two games, and I look for them to prove it tonight. When a game is expected to be high-scoring, the Bucks usually have success because their defense is so good. The Bucks are 10-1 ATS in a road game when the total is 200 to 209.5 over the last two seasons. Meanwhile, Toronto is in a bad spot here. The Raptors are 2-11 ATS off a road win by 10 points or more over the last two seasons. I'll gladly back both of these situations in what will likely be an outright win for the Bucks. Take Milwaukee.
11-01-15	Seahawks v. Cowboys +5		13-12	Win	100	14 h 41 m	Show
6* Seahawks/Cowboys NFC CA$H COW on Dallas +5 The Key: This play falls into a system that is 101-67 (60.1%) ATS since the start of the 2003 season. It is a contrarian system that tells us to bet on teams who have performed poorly against the spread. It tells us to bet on teams with a 7-game ATS winning percentage of less than 15%. The betting public tends to overreact to these teams and not want to bet them because they haven't won them many bets at all. This game doesn't technically fit the system, but that's because the Cowboys have already had their bye week. Teams with just one or fewer ATS wins in a six-game stretch are still 193-151 (56.1%) ATS in the seventh game. It's a larger sample size and a proven winner long-term. Dallas is 2-4 SU & 1-5 ATS this season and most of the bets are coming in on Seattle, but most of the money is coming in on Dallas and moving this line down from 6 to 5 and 4.5 in some places. This reverse line movement is a clear indication of sharp money on the Cowboys. Seattle is just 45-57 ATS on the road compared to 64-41 ATS at home during that same stretch. Jason Garrett is 22-12 ATS as an underdog, including 11-3 ATS as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Dallas also fits a system that is 63-34 ATS that focuses on playoff teams from last season when they're underdogs following a loss the next season. Dallas racked up 460 total yards on the New York Giants last week and outgained them by 171, so it is not broken. Plus, Dez Bryant is expected to make his much-awaited return this week, which only helps the Cowboys. Take Dallas.
11-01-15	Chargers v. Ravens -3.5	Top	26-29	Loss	-105	10 h 15 m	Show
7* NFL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Ravens -3.5 The Key: This play falls into a system that is 101-67 (60.1%) ATS since the start of the 2003 season. It is a contrarian system that tells us to bet on teams who have performed poorly against the spread. It tells us to bet on teams with a 7-game ATS winning percentage of less than 15%. The betting public tends to overreact to these teams and not want to bet them because they haven't won them many bets at all. The Ravens are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS, so they fit the system. But the Ravens clearly aren't as bad as their record as all seven of their games have been decided by 8 points or less, so they have simply been unfortunate in close games. I trust them more than the Chargers, who have lost three in a row coming in and trailed Oakland 37-6 at home last week. Look for the Ravens to rally the troops at home this week. They have only played two home games this year compared to five road games, including four trips to the West Coast, which is always difficult. Their schedule lets up going forward, starting with this week's game against the Chargers. John Harbaugh is 11-1 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 4 or 5 of his last 6 games as the coach of Baltimore. Take Baltimore.
11-01-15	Lions +4 v. Chiefs		10-45	Loss	-125	7 h 46 m	Show
6* Lions/Chiefs Sunday EARLY RISER on Detroit +4 The Key: This play falls into a system that is 101-67 (60.1%) ATS since the start of the 2003 season. It is a contrarian system that tells us to bet on teams who have performed poorly against the spread. It tells us to bet on teams with a 7-game ATS winning percentage of less than 15%. The betting public tends to overreact to these teams and not want to bet them because they haven't won them many bets at all. The Lions are 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS, so they fit the system. They made some major changes to the coaching staff this week, and I look for those changes to start paying dividends in London against the Chiefs. They fired their offensive coordinator and two offensive line coaches, and that's the type of bad news that I like to buy on. The Chiefs are overvalued due to beating the Steelers and third-string QB Landry Jones last week. They won the turnover battle 3-0, which aided their victory despite getting outgained 339-377 for the game. Kansas City is 5-16 ATS in its last 21 road games vs. excellent passing teams that average 260 or more passing yards per game. Take Detroit.
10-31-15	Stanford -10 v. Washington State		30-28	Loss	-100	24 h 48 m	Show
6* Stanford/Washington State Pac-12 BAILOUT on Stanford -10 The Key: Stanford has been a completely different team since a season-opening 6-16 loss at Northwestern. It has gone 6-0 SU & 6-0 ATS in its last six games overall and has clearly climbed back into the national title discussion. All six wins came by 10 points or more, including five by 17-plus points. That includes wins over USC, Arizona and UCLA. This game with Washington State is for first place in the Pac-12 North, so the Cardinal will not be taking the Cougars lightly. This is a Washington State team that lost 17-24 at home to Portland State in the opener. It has rebounded nicely since, but it is also overvalued as a result. The Cougars have a good offense, but now they'll be up against the conference's top defense. Stanford leads the Pac-12 with 339.3 total yards allowed per game, and only 204.7 through the air. The Cardinal are 7-0 in their last seven meetings with the Cougars with an average margin of victory of 26.6 points per game. They have held Washington State to just 15.1 points per game while scoring 41.7 per contest themselves during this streak. Their last three trips to Washington State have resulted in blowout wins by 38, 30 and 26 points. Take Stanford.
10-31-15	Suns v. Blazers -2.5		101-90	Loss	-110	8 h 17 m	Show
6* NBA Situational SLAM DUNK on Portland Trail Blazers -2.5 The Key: This is one of my favorite situations. This is a home-and-home situation where the Blazers played in Phoenix last night and lost 92-110, but now they play for a second straight night, this time in Portland. I look for the Blazers to have their revenge at home. They won their home opener 112-94 over New Orleans behind 37 points from one of the most underrated players in the NBA in C.J. McCollum. This Blazers roster is much better than it gets credit for despite the loss of four starters from last year. They space the floor very well with 3-point shooters everywhere, which is perfect for today's NBA. McCollum and Damian Lillard can both get to the rim at will and make plays for their shooters. It's definitely the most underrated guard tandem in the league. The Blazers only shot 19 free throws last night while the Suns shot 42. The Blazers voiced their frustration over the officiating, and I look for them to get the calls at home tonight. The home team is 7-2 in the last nine meetings. The favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take Portland.
10-31-15	Warriors v. Pelicans +5		134-120	Loss	-110	6 h 48 m	Show
6* Warriors/Pelicans Western Conference CA$H COW on New Orleans +5 The Key: The New Orleans Pelicans are out for some serious revenge on the Warriors. Not only did they get swept in the playoffs last year, they also lost the opener on ring night to the Warriors 95-111 on the road. They are 0-2 on the season with two road losses, but now they return home and have had two days off in between games to get ready for the Warriors. Golden State won't have that same luxury as it won at Houston last night and will be playing the second of a back-to-back. Two of the past three meetings in New Orleans have gone to overtime. Andrew Bogut is hurt for the Warriors, so look for Anthony Davis to have a field day. Davis went just 4-of-20 in the opener against the Warriors with Bogut on the floor, but that was a fluke as he's averaged 30.9 points on 56.9 percent shooting in his previous seven matchups with Golden State. New Orleans is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 games off a road loss. The Pelicans are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record, 41-20-3 ATS in their last 64 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take New Orleans.
10-31-15	Tulane +31.5 v. Memphis		13-41	Win	100	20 h 18 m	Show
6* NCAAF Dog of the Week on Tulane +31.5 The Key: Memphis is rolling right now at 7-0 and ranked in the Top 25. Many feel that this is the best Non-Power 5 team in the country and that the Tigers are deserving of a New Year's 6 bowl bid. While I won't argue against that much, the fact of the matter is that it's time to sell high on the Tigers. They are coming off back-to-back wins and covers against Ole Miss and Tulsa. They know that their fate rests in their next three games following this matchup with Tulane, which makes this a lookahead spot. They have a trio of key AAC games on deck in Navy, Houston and Temple. Don't expect them to put their best foot forward against Tulane this week. Tulane is coming off one of its strongest performances of the season. In a losing effort at Navy, it actually outgained the Midshipmen 386-291 for the game. The Green Wave do have a good defense that can keep this game closer than expected. They are also going with a change at QB in Jordy Joseph, who led them on an 88-yard TD drive late against Navy. I like that change because this offense needs a spark and he's a veteran. Last year Memphis beat Tulane 38-7 despite the Green Wave outgaining the Tigers 351-334 for the game. It was a fluky final score because Memphis returned two interceptions for touchdowns to turn a close game into a blowout. Memphis is 4-17 ATS in its last 21 games off a road win by 10 points or more. The Tigers are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games after a game where 80 or more combined points were scored. Take Tulane.
10-31-15	USC -4 v. California		27-21	Win	100	16 h 19 m	Show
6* USC/Cal Pac-12 PUNISHER on USC -4 The Key: Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham said it best after his team's 24-42 loss at USC last week. He stated that USC is the best 4-3 team in the country, and that's a massive understatement. The Trojans could easily be 7-0 right now, but their 4-3 record has them undervalued. Their offense averaged 38.9 points and 492.0 yards per game, while their defense gives up just 21.7 points and 395.4 yards per game. They are outscoring opponents by 17.2 points per game and nearly outgaining them by 100 yards per game despite playing a difficult schedule that has included Stanford, Notre Dame, Utah, Arizona State and Washington. California breezed to a 5-0 start against soft competition, but has met its match the last two weeks. The Golden Bears lost 24-30 at Utah and then 24-40 at UCLA last week. They gave up 573 total yards to the Bruins, and now they will be up against another high-powered offense here in USC. USC is 11-0 in its last 11 meetings with Cal since 2004 with an average margin of victory of 19 points per game. Last year's 38-30 USC win was the closest the Golden Bears have come since 2007, but that game only got close because Cal scored two late touchdowns long after the game had been decided. Take USC.
10-31-15	Illinois v. Penn State -4.5	Top	0-39	Win	100	13 h 19 m	Show
7* Big Ten GAME OF THE YEAR on Penn State -4.5 The Key: Penn State is 5-0 at home this season and outscoring opponents by 16.4 points per game. The Nittany Lions have held the opposition to just 11.8 points per game at home this year. They lead the nation in sacks (31), and now they'll be up against a primary passing team in Illinois and Wes Lunt. He won't have the luxury of handing the ball off to top running back Josh Ferguson, who is out with an injury. Lunt will be under pressure all game as this Penn State defense carries it to victory. The Nittany Lions are 8-1 straight up in their last nine home meetings with the Fighting Illini. Not only do they win this one, but they cover with ease winning by a touchdown or more. I also like the fact that James Franklin is 7-0 ATS off an ATS loss where his team won straight up as a favorite in all games he has coached. Take Penn State.
10-31-15	South Florida v. Navy -7		17-29	Win	100	13 h 19 m	Show
6* USF/Navy AAC EARLY RISER on Navy -7 The Key: I'm always looking to back Ken Niumatalolo's teams and the triple option at the right opportunity. Navy just joined the AAC this year, so other teams aren't familiar with the triple-option, which is a big reason for Navy's 5-1 start to the season. The Midshipmen are 3-0 in AAC play with wins over ECU (45-21), UConn (28-18) and Tulane (31-14). Now they face a South Florida team that is overvalued after going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in its last three games off wins over Syracuse, UConn and SMU. USF coach Willie Taggart is an offensive guy, and first-year defensive coordinator Tom Allen has not seen anything like the triple-option at the FBS level. Despite being 4-3, South Florida has actually been outgained in six of its seven games this year. The Bulls are getting patted on the back because they aren't used to winning, but this team clearly isn't as good as the 4-3 record suggests. Plus, QB Quinton Flowers is playing banged up right now. Expect Navy QB Keenan Reynolds to be the difference in this one as he's primed for a big game against an unprepared USF defense. The Midshipmen are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games and 10-4 ATS in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Navy.
10-30-15	Wyoming v. Utah State UNDER 49	Top	27-58	Loss	-105	10 h 5 m	Show
7* Wyoming/Utah State ESPN 2 Friday Night Lights on UNDER 49 The Key: Wyoming is only averaging 19.5 points per game this season. And that's with a healthy QB Cameron Coffman and a healthy WR in Tanner Gentry for most the year. Both both Coffman and Gentry are going to miss this game due to injury. Coffman was completing 65.8 percent of his passes with a 15-to-7 TD/INT ratio, so that's a big loss. His backup is freshman Nick Smith, who has completed just 7-of-21 (33.3%) of his passes this year. Gentry leads the team with 678 receiving yards and is also a huge loss. I don't expect Wyoming to do much against this Utah State defense, which only gives up 321.3 yards per game. At the same time, Utah State lacks firepower offensively as well. It only averages 338.1 yards per game this year. Both teams like to run the football as Wyoming rushed is 40 times per game and Utah State averages 38 attempts per contest. That will keep the clock moving and aid this under. Utah State beat Wyoming 20-3 last year and 35-7 in 2013 in two pretty low-scoring games that finished well under this 49-point total. The UNDER is 4-0 in Cowboys last 4 games overall. Wyoming is 17-3 UNDER as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992. Take the UNDER.
10-30-15	Nets v. Spurs -14		75-102	Win	100	8 h 14 m	Show
6* NBA Non-Conference BLOWOUT on San Antonio Spurs -14 The Key: The Brooklyn Nets might be the worst team in the NBA this season. They still have Joe Johnson and Brook Lopez around, but outside of those two it's very ugly. They are starting Shane Larkin and Wayne Ellington, who combined for six points in a season-opening 100-115 home loss to the Bulls. They are an awful defensive team that the Spurs should shred up. San Antonio lost 106-112 at Oklahoma City and will be motivated for its first win in its home opener tonight. The Spurs may be the best team in the NBA now that they added LaMarcus Aldridge. Kawhi Leonard has arrived, scoring a career-high 32 points against the Thunder. The Spurs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a loss. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings. The Spurs are 19-7-1 ATS in the last 27 meetings. Take San Antonio.
10-30-15	Royals v. Mets -142		3-9	Win	100	8 h 44 m	Show
6* Royals/Mets Game 3 CA$H COW on New York -142 The Key: It's now or never for the New York Mets. Down 0-2 in this series, Game 3 is a must-win, and I look for them to get the job done behind the massive advantage they have on the mound. Noah Syndergaard is 8-2 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.814 WHIP in 13 home starts this year. He has pitched well in the postseason, too, going 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.842 WHIP in his last three starts. Yordano Ventura sports a 4.36 ERA and 1.342 WHIP in 15 road starts this year, and a 4.02 ERA and 1.469 WHIP in three postseason starts. The Royals are 0-5 in Venturas last 5 interleague starts. The Mets are 8-2 in Syndergaard's last 10 home starts. The Mets are 17-1 (+15.8 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 this season. Take New York.
10-29-15	Oregon v. Arizona State -2.5		61-55	Loss	-114	10 h 53 m	Show
6* Oregon/Arizona State ESPN BAILOUT on Arizona State -2.5 The Key: The Arizona State Sun Devils want revenge from eight consecutive losses to Oregon coming in. The Sun Devils are certainly a great team this season that already has three losses. But those three losses have come to Texas A&M, Utah and USC with two of them on the road. They are 3-1 at home with their only loss to USC, but despite the lopsided final score, they were only outgained by one yard by the Trojans. They also went on the road and beat UCLA 28-13 while outgaining the Bruins by 123 yards. Oregon also has three losses and is way down this year. Its four wins have come against Eastern Washington, Georgia State, Washington and Colorado. It has lost to Utah (by 42), Washington State and Michigan State. ASU actually led Utah 18-14 on the road in the fourth quarter in its last game, too. Oregon's defense allows 36 points and 462 yards per game this season. Oregon's offense relies heavily on its rushing attack, which produced 297 yards per game. But ASU is one of the best in the country against the run, giving up only 129 yards per game and 3.2 per carry. The Sun Devils have allowed 76 or less rushing yards in four straight to some very good teams in USC, UCLA, Utah and Colorado. The Sun Devils are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 20 points per fewer in their previous game. Take Arizona State.
10-29-15	Dolphins +9 v. Patriots	Top	7-36	Loss	-110	8 h 48 m	Show
7* Dolphins/Patriots AFC East HEAVY HITTER on Miami +9 The Key: The Miami Dolphins have been arguably the best team in the NFL over the past two weeks since Dan Campbell took over. They have a completely different mindset as these players are really buying into Campbell's tough man mentality. They beat Tennessee 38-10 on the road and led Houston 41-0 at home before settling for a 44-26 victory. The offense exploded for 434 total yards against the Titans and 503 total yards against the Texans. The ground game has combined for 428 yards the past two weeks as the Dolphins have gotten more physical. They are 2-2 in their last four meetings with the Patriots with the home team winning each time. But the Dolphins have led 17-3 and trailed 13-14 at halftime in their last two trips to New England, but just haven't been able to close the deal. They way they are playing right now, I believe they can pull off the upset. The Patriots are coming off two straight 7-point wins over the Colts and Jets, and I fully expect this game to be decided by a TD or less as well. The Dolphins are 30-13 ATS in their last 43 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Take Miami.
10-29-15	Hawks v. Knicks +4.5		112-101	Loss	-103	7 h 28 m	Show
6* Hawks/Knicks NBA on TNT CA$H COW on New York +4.5 The Key: The New York Knicks are going to be one of the most improved teams in the NBA this season, while the Atlanta Hawks are going to take a big step back. I love all of the moves the Knicks made this offseason, and it really paid off in their opener in a 122-97 rout at Milwaukee. Newcomers Derrick Williams and Kristaps Porzingis combined for 40 points. The Knicks bench outscored Milwaukee's reserves 73-32 in a game where Carmelo Anthony didn't have to do much as he scored just 11 points on 4-of-16 shooting. That's a great sign for this team going forward. The Hawks lost key wing DeMarre Carroll to the Raptors this offseason and aren't going to be nearly as good without his presence on both ends of the floor. His replacement, Kent Bazemore, went scoreless in in 21 minutes in a 94-106 home loss to Detroit in the opener. The Hawks should not be favored on the road tonight. The Knicks played them tough last season as all three games were decided by 7 points or less. Take New York.
10-28-15	Wolves v. Lakers -3		112-111	Loss	-101	10 h 33 m	Show
6* Timberwolves/Lakers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -3 The Key: The Los Angeles Lakers are finally healthy to open the 2015-16 season and should be able to play some great basketball in the early going as a result. Kobe Bryant is back, and they've added in some nice pieces in Roy Hibbert, Lou Williams and De'Angelo Russell. Julius Randle played great in the preseason and looks fully recovered from his season-ending injury that he suffered in the opener last year. Jordan Clarkson is an up-and-coming star, so the Lakers are in really good shape with their starting 5, plus they have Williams, Nick Young and Brandon Bass providing some offensive punch off the bench. The Timberwolves have one of the worst rosters in the NBA, and that showed in the preaseson as they ranked 30th in efficiency, getting outscored by 11.0 points per 100 possessions. The Lakers have won 29 of their last 34 meetings with the Timberwolves, including 17 of their last 19 at home. Take Los Angeles.
10-28-15	Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 193.5		122-97	Loss	-110	7 h 3 m	Show
6* NBA Wednesday TOTAL Annihilator on Knicks/Bucks UNDER 193.5 The Key: The New York Knicks improved their defense this offseason by signing Robin Lopez, who is one of the best defensive centers in the league. His presence has been felt in the preseason as the Knicks ranked 4th in the NBA in defensive efficiency, giving up 94.8 points per 100 possessions. The Milwaukee Bucks were a great defensive team last year in allowing just 43.7% shooting to opponents. The Knicks averaged just 91.9 points on 42.8% shooting last year, while the Bucks managed to shoot just 45.4% from the field. The final three meetings between these teams last year saw 190, 174 and 177 combined points, which is an average of 180.3 combined points per game. I look for this game to finish in the 180-point range as well. The Knicks are without shooting guard Aaron Afflalo, which hampers their offense. The Bucks are without Jabari Parker, O.J. Mayo and Giannis Antetokounmpo, which hampers them as well. Take the UNDER.
10-28-15	Mets v. Royals +112		1-7	Win	112	7 h 3 m	Show
6* Mets/Royals Game 2 CA$H COW on Kansas City +112 The Key: The Royals have all of the momentum now after coming from behind in the 9th inning to force extra innings, where they would eventually win in the 14th with a sacrifice fly from Eric Hosmer. I like Johnny Cueto at home as he's 7-4 with a 3.08 ERA at home this season. Cueto has also had plenty of success against the Mets in recent years from his time with the Reds in the National League. He is 3-2 with a 2.05 ERA in his last seven starts against New York, allowing two or fewer earned runs in six of those seven starts. Cueto is 21-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 7.5 over the last 2 seasons. Take Kansas City.

Picks

Handicappers

Sports Picks & Predictions