Sports Picks & Predictions

6* Kings +9.5
The Key: Sacramento is 12-3 ATS in road games when playing 8 or more games in 14 days over the last 2 seasons.

6* Florida -16
The Key: The Bulldogs are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in this series and 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings at Florida.

6* Hornets +13
The Key: The Hornets are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 11.0 points or more.

6* Idaho State +16
The Key: The Idaho State Bengals are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a loss of more than 20 points and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game.

7* BCS Championship *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama pk
The Key: I love Alabama in this revenge spot considering it outplayed the Tigers in the first meeting but came up short due to 4 missed field goals. The Crimson Tide are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.

6* Pistons +14
The Key: The Bulls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games when laying 11 points or more.

6* Nets +6
The Key: Expect the third time to be the charm for the Nets, who have already lost to Atlanta twice this season. The Hawks are 2-7 ATS in the last 9 meetings at New Jersey.

6* Raptors -3
The Key: The Raptors are 13-1 SU and 12-2 ATS in their last 14 versus the T-Wolves.

6* Connecticut -5.5
The Key: The Huskies have never lost to the Mountaineers at home, going 8-0 with a 15-point average margin of victory.

7* GoDaddy Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois +1.5
The Key: I'll take the more explosive offensive team in what will likely be a shootout. Statistically, Arkansas State is solid defensively. The statistics, however, are misleading considering the Red Wolves play in the Sun Belt and it was a down year for the league. I just don't see the Red Wolves having an answer for Chandler Harnish, who led the Huskies to an impressive 40-17 win over Fresno State in last season's Humanitarian Bowl. The Red Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less. Take Northern Illinois.

7* AFC Wild Card *HEAVY HITTER* on Broncos +9
The Key: I'm not hesitating to fade the banged up Steelers in this spread range. Pittsburgh has dropped 11 of its last 13 against the number when valued as a favorite of 7.5-14.0 points on the road.

6* NFC Wild Card CA$H COW on Giants -3
The Key: The Giants are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff games. The Falcons, meanwhile, are 0-2 SU and ATS in playoff games with Matt Ryan under center. I'll take the more experienced postseason performers at home here.

7* Wild Card Game of the Year on Lions +11
The Key: The Lions may come up a little short in terms of winning the game straight up but I love them catching double-digits in this revenge spot. Plays on road teams that are out for revenge for a loss to an opponent following a road game in which both them and their opponents scored 24 points or more are 19-1 ATS the last 5 seasons. We'll take the points.

6* Austin Peay +5.5
The Key: The Governors ate 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against Murray State. Also, the underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

6* Santa Clara +19
The Key: The Bulldogs are just 1-9 ATS all-time under coach Few in home games after successfully covering the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.

6* AFC Wild Card CA$H COW on Texans -3.5
The Key: The Bengals are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record, 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog and 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the AFC. The Bengals are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 with the Texans.

6* Oklahoma +6
The Key: The Sooners are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games while the Jayhawks are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games. The home team is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

7* Compass Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on SMU +4
The Key: Pitt isn't the same team without RB Ray Graham. Now the Panthers are too reliant on QB Tino Sunseri. That's not a good thing as teams have really been able to go after him, taking advantage of a weak Pitt O-line. The Panthers have allowed Sunseri to be sacked 54 times this season. Look for SMU to win the battle of the trenches and the football game.

6* Suns +2.5
The Key: We'll fade the Blazers on the road following a big win over the Lakers last night. The Trail Blazers are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 7-15-2 ATS in the last 24 in Phoenix.

7* Cotton Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on Arkansas -8.5
The Key: Arkansas is the better team on both sides of the football in terms of statistics and talent and should win by double digits tonight. The Razorbacks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite, winning these contests by an average score of 40.3 to 18.3.

6* Siena +6
The Key: This is a major bounce back spot for Siena following an embarrassing 36-point loss last time out. The Saints also haven't forgotten that Fairfield swept last season's 2 meetings. Expect a motivated Siena squad to take the Stags down to the wire tonight.

6* Rider -6.5
The Key: This game is all about revenge for Rider, who was kicked at Marist earlier this season. The favorite has been the play in this series, covering the number in the last 2 and 6 of the last 8.

6* Cal Santa Barbara -9
The Key: The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

7* Summit League Game of the Year on Southern Utah +7
The Key: This is a lookahead spot for South Dakota State, who has a matchup with Summit league co-leader Oral Roberts Saturday. Meanwhile, this is an extreme revenge spot for Southern Utah, who will be looking to snap a 5-game losing streak to the Jackrabbits. The Thunderbirds are 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 home games and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 against Summit league foes.

6* Utah +12.5
The Key: Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UTAH) - after being beaten by the spread by 54 or more points total in their last ten games - with a losing record are 38-16 ATS the last 5 seasons.

6* Troy +9
The Key: The home team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.

6* Tennessee-Martin +3
The Key: The Skyhawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points.

6* Penn State +7
The Key: The Nittany Lions are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a home underdog.

6* Oakland -6.5
The Key: The Western Illinois Leathernecks are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.

7* Orange Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on West Virginia +3.5
The Key: The Mountaineers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Tigers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 bowl games and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the Big East.

6* Oklahoma State -11.5
The Key: The Red Raiders are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Cowboys are 36-16-2 ATS in their last 54 home games.

6* Northern Iowa -6
The Key: The Sycamores are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

6* Marshall -10.5
The Key: The Thundering Herd are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss and 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU loss.

6* Charlotte -3.5
The Key: Richmond is 4-13 ATS in road games after covering the spread in 3 of their last 4 under coach Mooney.

6* Florida St. -12.5
The Key: The Auburn Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when entering a matchup following a win.

7* Sugar Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Michigan -3
The Key: Both of these teams had good seasons defensively, but Michigan averaged 5.7 more points per game and did so against better competition. That's not a general statement. The Hokies played 7 bowl teams and the 63rd-toughest schedule while the Wolverines played 10 bowl teams and the 39-toughest slate. The Hokies are just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games overall. We'll take Michigan.

6* NCAAB CA$H COW on IUPU Ft. Wayne -4.5
The Key: Motivated by 3 consecutive defeats and a 20-point loss to S. Utah in the most recent meeting, expect the Mastodons to be out for blood this evening. IUPUFW has won its last 4 at home in this series with those wins coming by an average of 10 points.

6* Fiesta Bowl Bailout on Stanford +4.5
The Key: The Cardinal are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games. It's impossible to prepare for the precision of Andrew Luck, and I don't expect an Oklahoma State defense ranks 103rd against the pass to be up for the challenge.

7* Bowl Game of the Year on Wisconsin +6
The Key: Wiscy has the better defense and the better quarterback and I believe wins this game outright because of these 2 factors. The Badgers are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 bowl games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Ducks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games as a favorite. Take the points.

6* Sunday Night Football CA$H COW (NBC) on Cowboys +3
The Key: The underdog is 5-0 SU and ATS in the last 5 in this series. Also, the Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog while the Giants are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

6* Chargers +3
The Key: The Raiders are a lousy 9-23 ATS in their last 32 games as a favorite and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these AFC West rivals.

7* NFL Line Mistake Game of the Week on Panthers +9
The Key: The Panthers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in this series and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings in New Orleans. Even if New Orleans doesn't decide to rest its starters, the odds makers aren't giving enough respect to a Carolina team that played the Saints to a 3-point game earlier this season.

6* Lions -3.5
The Key: Already locked into the No. 1 seed, the Packers have nothing to play for here. Detroit, meanwhile, has a chance to move into the No. 5 seed with a win to get an easier first-round opponent.

6* Redskins +9
The Key: The Eagles have been overvalued the majority of the season and that remains the case here. The Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a favorite. The Redskins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Philadelphia.

7* Chick-fil-A Bowl Blowout (ESPN) on Virginia +3
The Key: The Chick-fil-A Bowl isn't too exciting for an Auburn team that played in the BCS title game last season. Apathy toward this bowl is only part of the problem for the Tigers, who are dealing with the departure of D-coordinator Ted Roof and O-coordinator Gus Malzahn (he will be on the sidelines but has had bigger things to worry about concerning his new job than preparing for Virginia). Plus, Auburn is missing its best offensive weapon - Michael Dyer - who has been suspended for violating team rules. Virginia has a lot more team chemistry entering this game and has a lot more to prove. We'll take the Cavs as they crush the reigning champs.

6* Liberty Bowl CA$H COW (ABC) on Vanderbilt -1.5
The Key: The Cincy Bearcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games. The Commodores are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

6* Sun Bowl CA$H COW (CBS) on Utah +3
The Key: The Utes are 36-15-1 ATS in their last 52 games as an underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 bowl games. The Yellow Jackets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games.

6* Early Annihilator (ESPN) on Northwestern +10
The Key: The Texas A&M Aggies are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 bowl games. The Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 bowl games.

7* Insight Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Iowa +14
The Key: The Hawkeyes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as an underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Sooners are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 bowl games as a favorite. Take the points.

6* Music City Bowl CA$H COW (ESPN) on Wake Forest +7
The Key: The Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Bowl games. Mississippi State is solid defensively but not explosive enough offensively to be laying this many points.

6* Pinstripe Bowl CA$H COW (ESPN) on Iowa State +1
The Key: Really believe the wrong team is favored here as 5 of Iowa State's losses came to teams in the top 25 and Rutgers only played one ranked foe all season. The Cyclones are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog.

7* Alamo Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Washington Huskies +10
The Key: Baylor is being overvalued here because of all the hype surrounding Heisman winner RG3 and we'll take advantage. While Baylor has one of the top offenses in the country, it also has one of the worst defenses. Bad defensive teams have tough times covering big spreads. The Huskies have been a quality investment, going 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games. They are a rock solid 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as an underdog.

6* NBA Game of the Night on Spurs -4
The Key: The Clippers, who have been catching tons of hype with the addition of Chris Paul, still need time to mesh before they can challenge an experienced team like the Spurs on the road. The Clippers have lost 16 straight in San Antonio by an average of 14.3 points. Take the Spurs.

7* Holiday Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on Texas -3.5
The Key: Texas has one of the best defenses in the country and likely would have added a couple more wins had it not caught the injury bug at the running back position. Fortunately, the Horns have two of their talented running backs back for this game, and that will make all the difference in the world. UCLA rushed for 294 yards against Cal and ASU rushed for 213. If these teams could run the ball on the Bears, I fully expect Texas, which averages 210.4 rushing yards per game, to be able to gash the Cal defense tonight. Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when laying points. Lay the points.

7* Belk Bowl Blowout on Louisville +1.5
The Key: The Cardinals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 12-1 ATS in their last 13 vs. the ACC, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. The Wolfpack are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less. Take Louisville.

6* Little Caesars Bowl Cash Cow on W. Michigan +3
The Key: The Boilermakers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a favorite, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 vs. the MAC, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 bowl games as a favorite. The Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall. Take the Chippewas.

7* MNF Game of the Year on Falcons +7
The Key: The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in this series. Atlanta is 9-1 ATS in the last 4 weeks of the regular season over the last 3 seasons. New Orleans is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 after covering the spread in 6 or 7 out of its last 8 games. Take the Falcons.

7* Independence Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* on North Carolina +6
The Key: The Tigers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in December. Take the Tar Heels.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Bears +13
The Key: Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 points or more. No team has won by more than 10 points in the last 7 in this series.

7* Hawaii Bowl Blowout on Nevada +8.5
The Key: The Wolf Pack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog. I love them in the underdog role here against a So. Miss team that is dealing with the issue of head coach Larry Fedora taking the UNC job.

6* Cowboys -1
The Key: The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 in this series, and the Eagles are 1-5 ATS in the last 6 against Dallas.

7* NFL Line Mistake Game of the Month on Dolphins +10
The Key: Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 with only 1 loss of more than 10 points during this stretch. The Dolphins are on a 5-0 ATS run vs. teams with winning records, and they are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 road games vs. teams with a winning home record. Take the points.

6* Raiders +2.5
The Key: The road team is 20-5-1 ATS in the last 26 in this series, and the Raiders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Kansas City.

6* Buccaneers +9
The Key: The Buccaneers are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as a road underdog and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Vikings +6.5
The Key: The Redskins are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Texans -6.5
The Key: The Texans are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. Take the Texans.

7* Las Vegas Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Arizona State +14.5
The Key: The Boise State Broncos are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games when valued as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. The Sun Devils are a solid 6-2-3 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog, and an even more potent 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points. Take ASU.

7* Pre New Year's Bowl Game of the Year on Louisiana Tech +9.5
The Key: The Bulldogs only have 1 loss of more than 6 points this season, and they are a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when listed as an underdog of pickem. The Bulldogs are also a perfect 7-0 ATS this season when playing away from home as well. It is also worth noting that the Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games while the Horned Frogs are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games. Take Louisiana Tech.

7* Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Marshall +4.5
The Key: FIU is 2-12 ATS in its last 14 games when playing a game following an off week. It has lost these contests by an average 16.8 points. It's also worth mentioning that the Golden Panthers have failed to cover the number in 5 of their last 7 games when laying points. Bet Marshall.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Steelers +3
The Key: I really like Pittsburgh catching a field goal tonight as it is on a 14-5 ATS run as an underdog of 3 points or less. The Steelers are 8-1 in their last 9 games with that only loss coming by just 3 points. Baltimore's loss last night gives the Steelers an opportunity to climb into the top spot in the division with a win here, and I expect them to take advantage.

6* Raiders +1.5
The Key: The Lions are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record, 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games as a road favorite and 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite of 3.0 or less.

6* Chiefs +14.5
The Key: The Chiefs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater while the Packers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater. Green Bay hasn't won by more than 12 on the road all season.

6* Bears -3.5
The Key: This is a must-win game for the Bears as they look to keep their playoff hopes alive, and I expect them to come through against a Seattle team that struggles on the road. The Seahawks are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 road games. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite.

6* Panthers +6.5
The Key: Houston has been one of the best defensive teams in the league this season, but the stop unit has been dealt a blow with coordinator Wade Phillips set to miss this contest following surgery. Without Phillips on the sideline last year, the Houston defense was 30th in the league. Houston is 0-6 ATS in the second half of the season the last 3 seasons when matched up against good offensive teams averaging >=5.65 yards/play.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Vikings +7.5
The Key: The Vikings haven't gone down by more than six points in any home game this season. It's also worth noting the Saints haven't prevailed by more than five points in any of their previous five on the road. The Saints have lost their last 5 in Minnesota and are just 1-5 ATS in the last 6 meetings with the Vikings. The Saints are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 vs. a team with a losing record. The Vikings are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0. We'll take the live home dog here.

6* Bowl Bailout on UL Lafayette +5
The Key: Lafayette is a perfect 7-0 ATS when catching points under coach Hudspeth, winning these games outright on average by a score of 32 to 30.9. If it ain't broke, don't fix it. We'll take the Ragin' Cajuns behind this perfect trend.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Buccaneers +7.5
The Key: Recent trends stack the odds heavily against Dallas here. The Cowboys are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record, 0-5 ATS in their last 5 vs. the NFC and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. Bet the Bucs.

7* Bowl Game of the Week on Temple -7
The Key: The Owls have been nothing short of awesome against non-conference foes the last two seasons, posting a perfect 7-0 ATS record and winning by an average score of 31 to 17.4. Despite winning 8 games last season, Temple didn't receive a bowl bid. Getting one this time around is a huge deal for this team, and I expect it to make the most of it. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on UC Santa Barbara +7.5
The Key: Washington is just 9-19 ATS versus good defensive teams holding their opponents to 42% shooting or worse since the beginning of the 2009 season. The Huskies are only defeating these teams by an average of 1.8 ppg. The Gauchos are holing the opposition to 39.4% shooting on the season. Also, the Huskies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite. Take the points.

7* NFL Thursday Night Side & Total *POWER PARLAY* on Jaguars +12.5/Under 42.5
The Key: Atlanta has only defeated 2 teams by more than 12 points this season and one of those teams was the Colts. The Jaguars have a win over a Baltimore team that is arguably the class of the AFC. They have also played 10-win Pittsburgh and Houston teams to single-digit games. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points while the Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more.

The total is elevated because both teams are coming off high-scoring affairs. This gives us an opportunity to cash in on the under. The Jags have finished under the number in 10 of 13 games this season and the Falcons have come in under the total in 8 of their last 9.

7* NFL Thursday Night Side & Total *POWER PARLAY* on Jaguars +12.5/Under 42.5
The Key: Atlanta has only defeated 2 teams by more than 12 points this season and one of those teams was the Colts. The Jaguars have a win over a Baltimore team that is arguably the class of the AFC. They have also played 10-win Pittsburgh and Houston teams to single-digit games. The Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more points while the Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more.

The total is elevated because both teams are coming off high-scoring affairs. This gives us an opportunity to cash in on the under. The Jags have finished under the number in 10 of 13 games this season and the Falcons have come in under the total in 8 of their last 9.

7* NCAAB Humpday *HEAVY HITTER* on NIU +11
The Key: NIU is still searching for its first win of the season so it will be lacking no motivation tonight. Plus, it won't be a bit intimidated by this DePaul team it played to a 2-point game on the road last year. The Huskies are a red hot 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points. The Blue Demons, meanwhile, are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points. Take the points!

7* NCAAB Line Mistake Massacre on Central Michigan +17.5
The Key: The Golden Gophers are being largely overvalued here as I believe C. Mich is capable of keeping this one to single digits. The Golden Gophers are a poor 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 13.0 or more points. Plus, it has been wise to stay away from Minnesota on Tuesday nights as it is just 4-12 ATS in Tuesday night tilts under coach Smith, including 0-8 ATS in its last 8 Tuesday games. Normally playing on Saturday, this tells us that 2 days to rest and prepare hasn't been enough for this team. Just last week we saw the Gophers crush USC by 15 on a Saturday for an easy cover but failed to cover the spread against Appalachian State on Tuesday. Take the points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Rams +10.5
The Key: The Seahawks are being overvalued following a big 17-point win over the Eagles last week. Seattle benefited from a +4 turnover margin in that game but shouldn't enjoy the same advantage tonight versus a St. Louis team that hasn't had worse than a -2 margin all season. The Seahawks are a poor 3-24-2 ATS in their last 29 games following a SU win of more than 14 points. Bet St. Louis.

6* Bears +3.5
The Key: The Broncos are 16-35-3 ATS in their last 54 games as a home favorite and 2-14 ATS in their last 16 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Cardinals +4
The Key: The 49ers are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a road favorite and 7-23-4 ATS in their last 34 games following a win of more than 14 points. The Cardinals are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

7* AFC Game of the Month on Bengals -1.5
The Key: The Texans, who are riding a 6-game winning streak, are getting points against a Cincy team that was blown out last week. Something smells fishy. The Texans are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Also, Cincy is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 vs. good offensive teams scoring 24 or more points/game. With Houston's third-string QB making his first road start against one of the best defensive teams in the NFL, this one won't end well for the Texans.

6* Titans +4
The Key: The Saints are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points while the Titans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Eagles +3
The Key: The Dolphins are 20-48-1 ATS in their last 69 home games and 9-29 ATS in their last 38 games as a home favorite. The Eagles are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Miami (Florida) +6.5
The Key: The Hurricanes are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a loss, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a double-digit loss at home and 32-11-1 ATS in their last 44 non-conference games. Miami beat WVU by 3 points last season and has either won or lost by 5 points or less in 8 straight in the series. Take the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (CBS) on Army +7
The Key: Navy has won 9 straight in this series but Army has narrowed the gap the last 2 years and I fully expect the Black Knights to take the Midshipmen down to the wire. Not only is Army undervalued here because it has lost 9 in a row in the series, it's last impression on the public was a poor performance against Temple in which it gave up 42 points and 335 yards rushing. This actually bodes well for us considering the Black Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. Take Army.

7* In-state Rivalry Game of the Year on Iowa +9
The Key: The underdog has dominated this series covering the spread in 7 of the last 10 meetings. Plus, plays on underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (IOWA) off a road loss by 20 points or more, in December games, are 69-33 ATS (67.6%) the last 5 seasons. Teams in this situation have lost by just 3.2 points on average. Take the points.

7* NFL Thursday Night Parlay of the Year on Browns +14.5/Under 39
The Key: The Steelers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 35 points or more last game. They have only won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation. Also, they are only 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games when laying 10 or more points. They have only won by an average of 8.9 points in this situation.

The Under is 4-1 in the Steelers' last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and 6-2 in the Browns' last 8 games overall. Both of these teams are very solid defensively with the Browns ranking 8th in the NFL in both total and scoring defense and the Steelers ranking No. 1 in total defense and 4th in points allowed. We'll take the points and the under.

7* NFL Thursday Night Parlay of the Year on Browns +14.5/Under 39
The Key: The Steelers are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring 35 points or more last game. They have only won by an average of 1.5 points in this situation. Also, they are only 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games when laying 10 or more points. They have only won by an average of 8.9 points in this situation.

The Under is 4-1 in the Steelers' last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater and 6-2 in the Browns' last 8 games overall. Both of these teams are very solid defensively with the Browns ranking 8th in the NFL in both total and scoring defense and the Steelers ranking No. 1 in total defense and 4th in points allowed. We'll take the points and the under.

7* NCAAB Underdog Game of the Month on Tulsa +3
The Key: Tulsa is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games versus teams that are outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game on the season. Off a big win over UNLV and playing its first true road game of the season, look for Wichita State to fall flat on its face.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPNU) on Long Beach State +12.5
The Key: The Jayhawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win. The 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 14-2 ATS in their 16 games when checking in having lost 2 of their last 3 games. Take Long Beach State.

7* AFC Game of the Week on Chargers -3
The Key: The Jaguars are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog and 3-7 ATS in their last 10 Monday Night Football games. San Diego, which crushed the Jags by 25 points last season, is 18-3 ATS in its last 21 games versus AFC South foes, defeating them by an average of 10.7 points. Lay the number.

6* Sunday Night Football Bailout (NBC) on Lions +9
The Key: The Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss of 10 points or more at home. Take the points.

7* NFC Game of the Year on Giants +7
The Key: The Giants need this game badly, and they haven't forgotten about the beating they were handed at Green Bay last season. The Packers are good, there's no doubt, but they are extremely lucky to still be undefeated because their defense is so poor (30th in the NFL with 393.4 ypg allowed). Look for this hungry New York squad to take Green Bay right down to the wire with a chance to win outright for an easy cover. The Giants are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. Take the points and best of luck.

5* Cardinals +5
The Key: The Cowboys are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite. We'll fade Dallas laying more than a field goal in Arizona, where it lost last year.