Sports Picks & Predictions

6* Nets/Wizards Eastern Conference *CA$H COW* on Brooklyn -7

The Key: The Washington Wizards have lost 4 straight games by an average of 18.3 PPG.  All 4 losses came by 16 points or more.  It's not going to get any easier for them here against a Brooklyn Nets team that is playing its best basketball of the season.  The Nets have won 4 straight games by 10.8 PPG and 8 of their last 10 games overall.  The Wizards just don't have enough bodies right now due to all the players they lost to COVID-19 and also injuries.  They don't have any chemistry because practice has been all messed up.  The Nets are coming together as a team with Harden, Durant and Irving starting to really figure out how to gel together.  Take Brooklyn.

6* NC State/Syracuse ACC *CA$H COW* on Syracuse -5

The Key: The Syracuse Orange have done their best work at home this season.  They are 8-1 on their home floor and have won their last two home games over Miami and Virginia Tech by an average of 22 PPG.  Now they face an NC State team that is 0-6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games.  The Wolfpack have lost their last 4 road games by 14.3 PPG.  They just had a season-ending injury in their last game to leading scorer Devon Daniels, who averages 16.5 PPG this season.  The Orange are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games off an ACC loss by 10 points or more.  Take Syracuse.

7* NBA Total of the Month on Suns/Mavs UNDER 217.5

The Key: The Suns already play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA due to having the aging Chris Paul at point guard.  And now they are without their best player in Devin Booker and have been for the past 3 games.  Let's take a look at those 3 games.  They were tied 98-98 at the end of regulation with the Nuggets for 196 combined points.  They lost to the Thunder 97-102 for 199 combined points.  And they beat the Warriors 114-93 for 207 combined points.  Now they will be without Booker again tonight and this total with the Mavs is set at 217.5.  The Mavs are a tired team playing for a second consecutive night after falling 101-120 in the altitude in Salt Lake City last night.  They won't be looking to push the tempo today give the situation.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Suns last 9 road games.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Mavs last 9 games off a loss.  The UNDER is 14-6 in the last 20 matchups in Dallas.  Take the UNDER.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Houston Rockets +1

The Key: The Houston Rockets have won 4 straight by by an average of 12 PPG.  They are healthy now and forming chemistry with all of their new faces, led by Wall and Oladipo.  Now they face a tired Pelicans team that will be playing for a second consecutive day after topping the Bucks 131-126 in a shootout.  The Pelicans won't have much left in the tank for the Rockets tonight.  Bets against home dogs that give up 103 PPG or more after leading in their previous game by 20+ points at halftime are 29-7 ATS since 1996.  Take Houston.

6* Saturday NCAAB *BLOWOUT* on Creighton -9.5

The Key: DePaul is neck-and-neck with Georgetown as the worst team in the Big East.  The Blue Demons are 1-6 SU & 2-5 ATS in Big East play this year.  They don't stand a chance of even keeping this game with Creighton competitive today.  Creighton is 12-0 SU & 11-1 ATS in its last 12 matchups with DePaul with 11 wins by double-digits.  Enough said.  Take Creighton.

6* Kansas/Tennessee ESPN *CA$H COW* on Tennessee -2.5

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are clearly down this season.  They have lost 3 of their last 4 coming in with their only win coming 59-51 at home over TCU as a 14-point favorite.  Now they take on a Tennessee team that is one of the best squads in the country.  And I like the price we are getting on the Vols due to their recent struggles as well in failing to cover 6 of their last 7 as a massive favorite in most games.  The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take Tennessee.

6* Saturday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Georgia Tech +4

The Key: Florida State has only played 2 road games all season.  Now the Seminoles hit the road to face a Georgia Tech team that has won 5 straight at home.  The 2 losses that the Yellow Jackets have had may be even more impressive during this stretch.  Both came on the road to Virginia by 2 and Duke by 7.  They were never not covering against Duke until the final seconds playing the foul game, and they nearly upset the Cavaliers, who are playing as well as nearly anyone right now.  They can take down Florida State tonight.  The Yellow Jackets are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games off 3 straight games committing 11 or fewer turnovers.  The Yellow Jackets are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games after failing to cover the spread in their previous game.  Take Georgia Tech.

6* Boise State/Colorado State MWC *BAILOUT* on Boise State -2.5

The Key: Boise State had won 12 in a row prior to getting upset at Colorado State on Wednesday.  Now the Broncos want to avenge that defeat and should get the job done here.  The Rams shot 55.8% as a team while the Broncos shot 38.2%.  That disparity is very unlikely to happen again.  The Broncos are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games off a loss.  Boise State is 6-0-1 ATS in its last 7 games off an ATS loss.  The Broncos are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games as favorites.  Take Boise State.

6* Nuggets/Spurs Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio +4.5

The Key: The Denver Nuggets have gone 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The price is now getting steep on them and they should not be laying 4.5 points on the road to the Spurs tonight.  This will be their 5th straight road game and they've had a couple OT games in there.  This is a tired Nuggets team.  They will be facing a Spurs team that has gone 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games overall and just upset the Boston Celtics at home.  It's a rested Spurs team too that will be playing just their 2nd game in 5 days.  This will be the 5th road game in 8 days for the Nuggets.  It's also a Spurs team that is as healthy as they have been all season.  The Spurs are 41-12 SU in their last 53 home matchups with the Nuggets.  Denver is 8-21 ATS in its last 29 road games off a win by 10 points or more.  The Spurs are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 Friday games.  The Spurs are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games as underdogs.  Take San Antonio.

7* NBA Eastern Conference Game of the Month on New York Knicks +1

The Key: The New York Knicks will be looking to avenge a 103-106 road loss at Cleveland in which they controlled the game most the way but got crushed in the 4th quarter.  They lost that game 2 weeks ago and have not forgotten.  And they also are hungry for a win after losing 3 straight on the road against a tough schedule coming in.  The Knicks are now as healthy as they have been all season and haven't played since Tuesday.  They are primed for one of their best efforts of the season tonight.  The Cavaliers are 30-61-1 ATS in their last 92 games as favorites.  The Knicks are 21-10 ATS when avenging a same-season loss in their last 31 tries.  Take New York.

7* Warriors/Suns TNT *BAILOUT* on UNDER 220.5

The Key: Phoenix has been without Devin Booker in each of its last 2 games and is likely to be without him tonight.  The Suns and Nuggets combined for 196 points at the end of regulation in their first game without him.  Then last night they combined for 199 points with the Thunder in their 2nd game without him.  Now the Suns are a tired team and will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  The Warriors are also a tired team playing the 2nd of a back-to-back.  That fatigue will affect shooting and will favor defense in this game tonight.  The UNDER is 6-0 in the last 6 matchups in this series with each of the last 3 seeing 218 or fewer combined points.  Take the UNDER.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Tulane +17.5

The Key: Tulane was a +17.5 dog when it lost 50-71 at Houston on January 9th.  The Green Wave shot just 28.8% from the field and 31.6% from 3-point range in that game while Houston shot 15-of-36 (41.7%) from 3-point range.  Just a slight improvement will have them covering this 17.5-point spread in the rematch.  This line should not be identical to the first matchup when you adjust for home-court advantage.  But the price is getting steep to back Houston now that the Cougars are ranked #6 in the country and have won 6 straight coming in.  Houston is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 road games off a combined score of 125 points or fewer.  The Green Wave are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games when avenging a same-season loss.  The Green Wave are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as home dogs.  Take Tulane.

6* Blazers/Rockets Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston -4.5

The Key: The Houston Rockets are starting to play up to their potential now that they have the negativity surrounding James Harden behind them.  They are also as healthy as they have been all season.  Wall, Oladipo, Cousins and Gordon are all making significant contributions and have played a big part in going 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall with 3 wins by a combined 45 points.  And now Christian Wood, one of the most underrated players in the NBA, is expected to make his return tonight after missing the past 3 games.  The Blazers are missing McCollum, Nurkic and Covington and have gone 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games while getting outscored by a combined 39 points in those 5 contests.  I like where the Rockets are at right now playing well as a team, while the Blazers are too reliant on one guy in Damian Lillard.  Take Houston.

6* Wednesday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Thunder/Suns UNDER 216.5

The Key: The Phoenix Suns will be without leading scorer Devin Booker tonight.  We saw how that went last game against the Denver Nuggets in a game that was tied 98-98 at the end of regulation for 196 combined points.  Obviously their offense takes a hit without Booker, so they have to rely more on their defense.  And that will be the case again here against the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The UNDER is 42-18-1 in Thunder last 61 games as a road underdog.  The UNDER is 15-4 in Thunder last 19 road games after a combined score of 245 points or more.  The UNDER is 6-0 in Suns last 6 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest.  The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups in Phoenix.  Take the UNDER.

7* Wisconsin/Maryland Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Wisconsin -2.5

The Key: I like the situation for the Wisconsin Badgers tonight.  They are coming off an upset home loss to Ohio State.  They also were upset by this same Maryland team as 10-point home favorites back on December 28th.  Now they will avenge that defeat and they are only 2.5-point favorites this time around.  That's a 7.5-point adjustment.  Wisconsin hasn't lost 2 in a row all season.  They are 3-0 SU & 2-0-1 ATS in their 3 games after a loss this year.  The Badgers are 4-0-2 ATS in their last 6 games off a SU loss.  The Terrapins are 1-5-2 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs.  Maryland is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games off a SU win.  Take Wisconsin.

6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on Colorado State +3

The Key: Boise State has padded its 12-1 record by playing the single-easiest schedule in the entire Mountain West to this point.  They haven't played any of the top teams in the Mountain West in Colorado State, Utah State or San Diego State yet.  Now they must face a Colorado State team that has already beaten both Utah State and San Diego State.  The Rams are 9-2 SU in their last 11 games overall with their only losses coming to those 2 teams.  The Rams are 6-0 at home this season and winning by nearly 17 PPG.  Take Colorado State.

6* VA Tech/Notre Dame ACC *CA$H COW* on Notre Dame +1

The Key: Virginia Tech has only had to play 3 true road games this season.  They are 1-2 with their only win against one of the worst teams in the ACC in Wake Forest by 4 points.  Notre Dame faced a gauntlet and is now up against a more manageable schedule of late and starting to pick up some wins.  The Fighting Irish beat Boston College 80-70 at home before topping Miami 73-59 on the road in its last 2 games coming in.  The Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games.  Take Notre Dame.

6* Penn State/Ohio State Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Ohio State -7.5

The Key: Penn State had lost 5 straight before beating Rutgers and Northwestern both at home in their last 2 games.  Now the Nittany Lions are starting to get some respect from the books when they shouldn't be.  Ohio State is playing as well as anyone in the Big Ten right now in going 4-1 SU & 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall.  If not for a big blown lead against Purdue in a 2-point loss, they've be 5-0.  They upset Rutgers, Illinois and Wisconsin all on the road while also topping Northwestern by double-digits.  Ohio State has won 15 of its last 18 home matchups with Penn State, including a 106-74 win last year as a similar 7-point favorite.  The Buckeyes are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 home games off a win by 10 points or more.  The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games off a SU win.  The Buckeyes are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home games.  Take Ohio State.

6* Georgia Tech/Duke ACC *CA$H COW* on Georgia Tech +6.5

The Key: Georgia Tech is way underrated right now.  The Yellow Jackets are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games overall which includes upsets wins over Clemson and North Carolina.  Their only loss during this stretch came 62-64 as 8.5-point road dogs at Virginia.  That's a Virginia team playing as well as anyone in the ACC right now.  The Yellow Jackets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.  And I like the price we are getting with them here against an overrated Duke team that is struggling.  The Blue Devils have lost 3 straight and are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  Their 2 wins during this stretch came against Boston College by 1 and Wake Forest by 11.  They lost by 7 at VA Tech, by 6 at Pitt and by 5 at Louisville.  They should not be laying 6.5 points to the Yellow Jackets.  Georgia Tech is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 road games off a loss.  Duke is 1-9 ATS in all lined games this season.  The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Take Georgia Tech.

6* Missouri/Auburn SEC *CA$H COW* on Auburn -2

The Key: Auburn is 3-2 SU & 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games overall.  The 2 losses came to Alabama by 4 and Arkansas by 2.  The 3 wins came over Georgia by 18, Kentucky b7 7 and South Carolina by 23.  Their recent surge has had everything to do with getting star freshman PG Sharife Cooper eligible.  He has played in each of the 5 games and has averaged 21.2 PPG and 9.0 APG for the Tigers.  Coopers is a problem for anyone.  Missouri is in a big letdown spot here off its upset win over Tennessee last time out.  Bets against underdogs who are coming off a conference win as a dog of 6 points or more, that is also winning 80% or more of its games on the season are 37-16 ATS since 1997.  Missouri is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games as a road dog.  Take Auburn.

7* NBA Non-Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Houston Rockets -3.5

The Key: The Washington Wizards just returned to action after being off from January 11th through January 24th due to COVID-19.  They abruptly got blasted by the Spurs by 20 points.  And it's probably going to be more of the same tonight against the Houston Rockets.  They are still missing a handful of key players in quarantine.  The Rockets are as healthy as they've been all season right now and it's starting to show with 2 straight upset wins over the Pistons and Mavericks by a combined 26 points.  They should be laying more than 3.5 points against the Wizards tonight.  I love the price we are getting on the Rockets.  Take Houston.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Detroit Pistons +6.5

The Key: The Detroit Pistons want to avenge their 110-114 loss to the 76ers 2 days ago.  They get their chance here as 6.5-point home dogs on Monday.  And they get Blake Griffin back in the lineup after not having him in that first matchup.  They also may not have to face Joel Embiid, who is questionable with a knee injury after scoring 33 points and grabbing 14 points in that first matchup.  Philadelphia is 14-35-2 ATS in its last 53 road games.  The Pistons are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as home dogs.  Take Detroit.

7* NBA Eastern Conference *HEAVY HITTER* on Indiana Pacers -2

The Key: The Indiana Pacers will be hungry to avenge their 102-107 home loss to the Toronto Raptors yesterday.  They don't have to wait long as they get to play them again today.  I like the price we are getting on the Pacers.  They were 4.5-point favorites against the Raptors yesterday and are now just 2-point favorites today.  The Raptors are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS win.  Take Indiana.

6* Monday NCAAB *Total* Annihilator on Loyola-Chicago/Bradley UNDER 131

The Key: Two of the slowest teams in the country in Loyola-Chicago and Bradley square off again today after playing each other Sunday.  Loyola-Chicago won that game 69-56 for 125 combined points.  Loyola-Chicago shot great from the field making 28-of-50 (56%) of its attempts too.  Bradley didn't shoot poorly making 23-of-51 (45.1%) from the floor.  The UNDER is 3-1 in the last 4 matchups with an average combined score of 118.8 PPG.  I like the price we are getting with this UNDER today.  The UNDER is 5-0 in Ramblers last 5 games overall.  The UNDER is 35-17 in Ramblers last 52 road games against a team with a winning home record.  Take the UNDER.

6* SDSU/Air Force Mountain West *BAILOUT* on Air Force +16

The Key: The Air Force Falcons will be looking to avenge their 61-98 loss to San Diego State on Friday.  They turned the ball over 27 times in that game.  That's not going to happen again.  As a result, the Aztecs attempted 26 more shots than they did.  They hadn't lost any of their previous 5 matchups with the Aztecs by more than 15 points.  And I think they cover this 16-point spread today with a much better effort in the rematch.  The Aztecs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games off a win.  Take Air Force.

6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Hawks/Bucks UNDER 232

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks have quietly been a great UNDER bet this season.  Bettors think offense with Trae Young, but the Hawks are playing tremendous defense this season.  The UNDER is 10-1 in Hawks last 11 games overall.  The only exception was the overtime game against the Pistons a few games back in which it was tied 106-106 at the end of regulation and would have went UNDER the 220.5-point total if not for OT.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Bucks last 6 games overall.  The only exception was against the Nets, who don't play any defense.  The last 2 matchups between the Bucks and Hawks have seen 198 and 213 combined points.  Take the UNDER.

6* Bills/Chiefs AFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 55

The Key: The Bills and Chiefs already played once this season so they are very familiar with one another.  That is going to favor defense.  The Chiefs won that game 26-17 in a game that saw only 43 combined points.  So getting a total of 55 here in the rematch is too many points.  The Chiefs can move the ball fine but they have been terrible in the red zone at scoring touchdowns.  They have to settle for a lot of field goals.  The same can be said of the Bills, who don't have a running game right now, and that hurts them in red zone situations.  I think we get our fair share of field goals here to help keep this game UNDER the number.  And it's not like Patrick Mahomes is going to be 100%.  I don't think the concussion will affect him, but that foot injury clearly had him hobbled and I don't think he is going to have the same mobility he normally does.  The Chiefs give up just 22.3 PPG on the season and the Bills give up 17.1 PPG in their last 8 contests.  This Buffalo defense stepping up is just as big a reason for their success as Josh Allen is here down the stretch.  They held the Ravens to 3 points last week.  The UNDER is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups.  It's going to be cold and windy in Kansas City Sunday night.  Take the UNDER.

7* NFC Playoffs Game of the Year on Green Bay Packers -3

The Key: The Green Bay Packers have won 7 straight games all by 7 points or more.  They have won those games by an average of nearly 15 PPG.  I think we are getting the Packers cheap as only 3-point home favorites against the Bucs in the NFC Championship Game.  The Bucs will be on the road for the 3rd straight week, and teams in this situation haven't fared well.  The Packers are still very fresh after getting that bye and haven't had to leave home.  They made easy work of the Rams in a 32-18 victory.  They outgained the Rams by 240 yards in that game and put up 484 yards against what was thought to be one of the best defenses in the NFL.  The Bucs struggled to move the ball against the Saints and the Packers have a good pass defense.  The Bucs benefited from a +4 turnover differential against the Saints, who basically gave that game away after having a 20-13 lead in the second half, getting outscored 17-0 the rest the way.  The Bucs scored 21 points off turnovers.  Aaron Rodgers doesn't turn the ball over.  He has 50 touchdown passes and only 5 interceptions this year.  The Packers have won 8 of their 9 home games this year with an average margin of victory of 12.4 PPG.   They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Green Bay.

7* Lakers/Bulls NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +9.5

The Key: The Bulls are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  They have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.  They have lost just once by more than 4 points in those 13 games too.  And they shouldn't be this big of underdogs to the Lakers.  The Bulls only lost 115-117 at Los Angeles as 8.5-point dogs in their first matchup this year earlier this month.  And now they come back as 9.5-point dogs at home.  I know they played yesterday, but this is a deep team that can handle these back-to-back situations better than most teams.  And they won't have any problem getting re-energized for the defending champion Lakers tonight.  The Bulls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as underdogs.  Take Chicago.

6* ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -2

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Pitt Panthers today as a short road favorite over the Wake Forest Demon Deacons.  Pitt is 8-1 SU & 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games overall.  That includes upset wins over Syracuse twice and Duke in its last 3 games coming in.  The Panthers are primed to get back to the NCAA Tournament, and they know they can't afford a loss here to a team they should beat in Wake Forest.  The Demon Deacons are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games overall.  They have been competitive in some games, but they basically have to win this game to cover.  The Panthers are easily the superior team and should be bigger favorites.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* SEC *CA$H COW* on Texas A&M +8.5

The Key: We are getting a great price on Texas A&M today over Ole Miss.  Ole Miss is getting too much respect for its 64-46 win at Mississippi State last time out.  And now the Rebels will have a hard time getting up for the Aggies after beating their big in-state rivals.  Ole Miss had gone 1-5 SU & 1-5 ATS in its previous 6 games with upset home losses to Wichita State, LSU and Georgia.  Texas A&M just upset Mississippi State on the road prior to losing to Missouri at home last time out.  And now the Aggies have a full week to get ready for this game after playing last Saturday.  Ole Miss only has 3 days to get ready to the Aggies.  The Aggies are 9-1 ATS int heir last 10 road games off a loss by 10 points or more, including 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off a conference loss by 10 points or more.  The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 matchups.  Take Texas A&M.  

6* SDSU/AF Mountain West *CA$H COW* on Air Force +15

The Key: Air Force has upset both Wyoming and Nevada this season and only lost to Boise State by 11, which is 12-1 this season and arguably the best team in the Mountain West.  San Diego State is not playing well enough right now to be a 15-point road favorite over the Falcons.  The Aztecs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games.  They beat Nevada by 5 and 2 points.  Then they lost to Utah State by 12 and 5 points.  The Aztecs haven't won any of their last 5 matchups with Air Force by more than 15 points, and that includes 2 matchups last year when San Diego State had one of the best teams in the country.  The underdog is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 matchups.  Take Air Force.

7* Celtics/76ers ESPN *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 222.5

The Key: The UNDER is 5-2 in the last 7 matchups in this series with 216 or fewer points scored in all 5 unders.  Wednesday was the exception when the game went over with 226 points scored.  But the 76ers attempted a ridiculous 45 free throw attempts as the refs were whistle-happy.  I look for this matchup to be much more lower scoring.  And keep in mind even with all those free throw attempts it still just went over this 222.5-point total by 3.5 points.  There's a lot of room for error with this UNDER.  These back-to-back rematches always seem to favor defense, too.  Take the UNDER.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls +3.5

The Key: The Bulls are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games overall.  They have been one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.  They have lost just once by more than 4 points in those 12 games too.  And they shouldn't be underdogs here to the Hornets.  This is a rusty Hornets team that hasn't played since January 16th due to COVID.  The Bulls are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games after covering 4 of their last 5 ATS.  Chicago is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games against teams that score 106 PPG or more.  The Bulls are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as underdogs, and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as road dogs.  The Hornets are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as home favorites.  Take Chicago.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks +4.5

The Key: The Golden State Warriors will be playing their 3rd game in 4 days and for a 2nd consecutive day after beating the Spurs last night.  They beat the Lakers the game before, and now this is a letdown situation for them and a tough rest situation.  The New York Knicks have been off since Monday's 91-84 win over the Magic.  That followed up a 105-75 road win over the Celtics.  The Knicks are a live underdog here against the Warriors because they are the much more rested team.  The Warriors are 14-32 ATS in their last 46 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points.  Golden State is 7-23 ATS in its last 30 Thursday games.  The Warriors are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 games as home favorites.  The Knicks are 5-1 ATS int heir last six road games against a team with a winning home record.  Take New York.

6* Utah/Washington State Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Washington State +2.5

The Key: The Washington State Cougars finally get to play a home game tonight after playing their last 4 games on the road.  And the Cougars are 8-1 at home this season with their lone loss coming to Arizona in OT.  They face a Utah team that has gotten to play its last 4 games at home.  But that hasn't helped the Utes as they are just 1-5 in their last 6 games overall.  The Utes are 0-3 in true road games this year.  The Utes are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games off a Pac-12 loss.  They just lost at home to Cal by 9 as an 11.5-point favorite.  The Cougars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as home underdogs.  Take Washington State.

7* Lakers/Bucks TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -1

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are fully healthy right now and hungry to take down the defending champion Los Angeles Lakers.  The Lakers have 6 guys on the injury report including both James and Davis, who will both likely play but it is concerning.  The Lakers were just upset by the Warriors on MLK Day.  Now they have to travel to face a Bucks team that is 6-1 SU at home this season.  The Lakers are just 4-13 ATS in their last 17 road games against Eastern Conference teams.  The Bucks are 30-12 ATS in their last 42 games off an upset loss as a favorite.  The Bucks are 37-17 ATS in their last 54 games off a SU loss.  The Bucks are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups.  Take Milwaukee.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +10.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Sacramento Kings today in this situation.  The Kings were just beaten badly by the Clippers as 6.5-point dogs on January 15th.  Now they will be looking to avenge that defeat just 5 days later here and are catching 10.5 points, a full 4-point adjustment.  The Kings will be the hungrier team.  And they had beaten the Clippers outright by 21 and 9 points in their 2 previous matchups last season as 14 and 9-point dogs, respectively.  The Clippers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite.  The Kings are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games as a road dog.  The Clippers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite.  Los Angeles is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against a team that wins less than 40% of their road games.  Take Sacramento.

6* Auburn/Arkansas SEC *CA$H COW* on Auburn +6.5

The Key: Auburn has been a different team since getting Sharife Cooper eligible.  He is averaging 21.7 PPG and 9.7 APG in his 3 games this season.  They were a 90-94 loss to a very good Alabama team, a 95-77 win over Georgia and a 66-59 win over Kentucky.  The Tigers now take on a struggling Arkansas team that is just 1-4 SU in its last 5 games overall.  That includes a 13-point home loss to Missouri, a 16-point road loss at LSU and a 31-point loss at Alabama.  The Tigers didn't have Cooper in their 85-97 home loss to the Razorbacks as 6.5-point dogs in their first matchup on December 30.  Now they are getting 6.5 points again and will be looking to avenge that defeat with Cooper on board this time around.  The road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 matchups.  Take Auburn.

7* Providence/Creighton Big East *HEAVY HITTER* on Providence +9.5

The Key: Providence wants to avenge a 65-67 loss to Creighton at home a couple weeks ago.  The Friars were only 4-point dogs in that game, and now they are 9.5-point dogs here.  The Friars haven't been getting blown out at all lately as they haven't lost any of their last 9 games by more than 10 points.  And Creighton just was upset by Butler without Marcus Zegarowski, who averages 14.1 PPG and is questionable to play tonight.  Zegarowski had 20 points against the Friars in their first matchup so he's clearly very important to the Bluejays' success.  The Friars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games when avenging a same-season loss.  They are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games when avenging a loss overall.  Creighton has only won 1 of its last 7 matchups with Providence by double-digits.  Take Providence.

6* Duke/Pittsburgh ACC *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh +4

The Key: It's time for Jeff Capel to beat Mike Krzyzewski, his former head coach at Duke.  Capel was a former assistant under him as well.  This Duke team just isn't very good.  COVID has interrupted their season as they have played the second-fewest games in the ACC.  The Blue Devils are 5-3 SU & 1-7 ATS this season and coming off a loss at VA Tech.  Their 5 wins have come against Coppin State, Bellarmine, Notre Dame, BC and Wake Forest.  Those are 5 terrible teams.  They have lost every time they've stepped up in class to Michigan State, Illinois and VT.  And Pitt is playing some great basketball this season at 7-2 SU & 6-3 ATS, including 6-1 SU & 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall.  That includes 2 upset wins over Syracuse and a 96-76 win over the Orange last time out.  It also includes a 15-point win at Miami.  Duke is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of its last 7 ATS.  The Blue Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Oklahoma City Thunder +10

The Key: The Okalhoam City Thunder are 4-2 SU & 4-2 ATS int heir last 4 games overall.  That includes 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games with upset wins over the Pelicans, Knicks and Nets.  And now they come in rested having the last 3 days off so they will be primed for a big effort against the Denver Nuggets tonight.  The Nuggets are just 6-7 SU & 4-9 ATS this season as they have consistently been overrated after making a deep run in the playoffs last year.  And they shouldn't be double-digit favorites against the Thunder tonight.  The Thunder are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games as underdogs, 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as road dogs, and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  Oklahoma City is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 road games with a total of 220 or higher.  Take Oklahoma City.

7* Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Ohio State -4.5

The Key: The Ohio State Buckeyes want to avenge their 60-67 loss at Purdue in their first matchup on December 16 this season.  The Buckeyes shot just 37.9% from the field and 6-of-24 (25%) from 3-point range.  They have been a different team since and are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now.  The Buckeyes are 3-0 SU & 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games with a 79-68 win at Rutgers as a 3.5-point dog, an 81-71 home win over Northwestern as an 8.5-point favorite and an 87-81 win at Illinois as an 8-point dog.  Purdue hasn't been great on the road with losses to Illinois by 8, Rutgers by 5 and Iowa by 15.  The Boilermakers are 2-7-2 ATS in their last 11 games against a team with a winning record.  The Buckeyes are 27-12 ATS in the last 39 matchups. Purdue is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games after going over the total in its last game.  The Buckeyes are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games off an ATS win.  Take Ohio State. 

7* NBA Situational Game of the Month on Miami Heat -5.5

The Key: The Miami Heat will be hungry for a victory today.  They have lost 3 straight coming in.  That includes their 100-120 loss to the Pistons as 5-point favorites on Saturday.  They led that game 56-52 at halftime and got outscored by 24 points after intermission.  The Heat should get even more players back today from COVID and will be ready to avenge that defeat.  The Pistons are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 road games after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 ATS.  The HEat are 37-14-1 ATS in their last 52 games off a loss.  Take Miami.

6* Mavs/Raptors Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Toronto -5

The Key: The Dallas Mavericks will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back after a home loss to the Chicago Bulls yesterday.  This is a terrible spot for the Mavericks because they were already missing Powell, Kleber, Finney-Smith and Richardson.  Now Porzingis is going to sit out this game to rest, and Hardaway Jr. is questionable.  There is just too much on Luka Doncic's plate here.  The Raptors are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games off a win by 6 points or less.  Dallas is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games against a team with a losing record.  Take Toronto.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on The Citadel +13.5

The Key: The Citadel is 8-2 this season and better than this 13.5-point spread would indicate.  They opened 8-0 this season before losing their last 2 games to 2 very good teams in Furman by 6 and VMI by 7.  So they haven't lost by this kind of margin all season.  UNC-Greensboro is 8-5 this season with upset losses to Winthrop, Coppin State, East Tennessee State and Wofford.  They haven't shown enough to be favored this heavily.  The Citadel is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games off 2 straight games where they made 10 or more 3-pointers.  They average 14 makes and shoot the 3 at a 43.1% clip.  They will never be out of this game due to their great shooting.  The Bulldogs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring more than 90 points last game.  The Spartans are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.  UNC-Greensboro is 6-19-2 ATS in its last 27 games off an ATS win.  Take The Citadel.

6* Spurs/Blazers Western Conference *CA$H COW* on San Antonio -1

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs have won 5 of their last 7 games including upset road wins over the Lakers and Clippers.  Now they face a Blazers team that will be missing 2 of their best players in C.J. McCollum and Jusuf Nurkic.  The Blazers just aren't a very good team when they are missing either Lillard or McCollum because they go together like PB and J.  Portland is 0-9-2 ATS in its last 11 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games.  The Spurs are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games.  Take San Antonio.

6* Hawks/Timberwolves Non-Conference *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +7.5

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are just 1-6 SU & 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  They are missing several key players including Danilo Gallinari and Bogdan Bogdanovich, and they could be without Cam Redish tonight.  They should not be favored by 7.5 points over anyone considering how poorly they are playing and their injury situation.  Now they face a rested, hungry Timberwolves team that hasn't played since January 13th.  The Hawks are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Atlanta is 9-24-2 ATS in its last 35 games against a team with a losing record.  The Timberwolves are 8-3-2 ATS in the last 13 matchups in Atlanta.  Take Minnesota.

6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Pelicans/Kings OVER 226

The Key: Sacramento has been an OVER bettors' dream.  The Kings are 6-1 OVER in their last 7 games overall.  They have combined with their opponents for 243, 252, 267, 224, 249, 258 and 238 points in those 7 games, respectively.  That's an average of 247.3 PPG and amazingly none of those games went to OT.  This 226-point total is 21.3 points less than they are averaging over their last 7 games.  The Kings are an offensive juggernaut as they have shot 51.6% or better in 4 of their last 6 games.  And they have the worst defense in the NBA in giving up 118.2 PPG per 100 possessions, a full 4.8 PPG worse than the next worst-team.  The Pelicans have yielded 111 points or more in 6 consecutive games coming in.  The OVER is 5-1 in Pelicans last 6 games.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups in this series with 232 or more combined points scored in 6 of those 7 matchups.  Take the OVER.

6* Bucs/Saints NFC *BAILOUT* on Tampa Bay +3

The Key: The Tampa Bay Bucs want to avenge their 2 regular season losses to the Saints.  They turned the ball over too often and did not play well at all.  But they have been a completely different team since those first 2 matchups.  The Bucs have won 5 straight and are scoring 35.8 PPG during this streak.  They just put up 507 yards against an elite Washington defense last week.  And you know Tom Brady will make the proper adjustments that will allow their offense to have success against the Saints the 3rd time he faces them here.  The Bucs also get good news with LB Devin White returning from a COVID absence against Washington.  He is their best defensive player with 140 tackles and 18 of those coming for loss, including 9 sacks.  The Bucs will avenge those 2 defeats with an upset victory Sunday night.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* AFC Playoffs Game of the Year on Kansas City Chiefs -10

The Key: Andy Reid has a proven track record of being the best coach in the NFL to back off a bye.  The Chiefs needed a bye as they just seemed to be going through the motions down the stretch.  Now they will turn the switch on and put their best foot forward in the playoffs.  And that will be enough to put away the Cleveland Browns by double-digits.  The Browns had everything go their way against the Steelers by forcing 5 turnovers.  They still gave up 37 points and 553 total yards.  They gave up 47 points to Baltimore and 35 points to Tennessee recently.  The Chiefs will do whatever they want to against this soft Cleveland defense.  And I don't trust Baker Mayfield to be able to keep up with Patrick Mahomes and company.  The Browns are 1-10 ATS int heir last 11 road games off a win by 10 points or more over a division opponent.  Cleveland is 9-26-2 ATS in its last 37 games against a team with a winning record.  Take Kansas City.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Memphis -1.5

The Key: This is the perfect situation to back the Memphis Tigers Sunday.  They are rested having last played on December 29th and champing at the bit to get back on the court.  They want to avenge a 49-56 home loss to Tulsa on December 21st as 9.5-point home favorites.  Now this line has been adjusted a full 8 points for home-court advantage with the Tigers only being 1.5-point road favorites in the rematch.  It's too much and it's finally an opportunity to back the Tigers at the right price range after they failed to cover each of their last 6 games ATS.  Tulsa is starting to get a lot of respect after going 6-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall.  The Golden Hurricane finally had their winning streak come to an end with a 53-72 road loss at Wichita State last time out.  Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games off 2 straight games where both teams scored 65 points or less.  The Tigers are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 games when avenging a loss.  Take Memphis.

6* UCF/Houston AAC *CA$H COW* on UCF +14

The Key: I like the price we're getting on UCF after going 0-3 SU & 0-3 ATS in its last 3 games overall.  The Knights will be hungry to get a win here facing a ranked Houston team for a 2nd time this season.  They will also be hungry to avenge their 54-63 loss as 7.5-point home dogs to the Cougars on December 26th.  Now they have adjusted this line a full 6.5 points for home-court advantage which is too much with the Knights coming back as 14-point dogs in the rematch.  The Knights are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Sunday games.  UCF is 6-0 ATS in its last 6 road games against a team that wins more than 80% of their games on the season.  Take UCF.

6* Ravens/Bills AFC *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 50

The Key: Temperatures will be in the 20s with wind and a chance of snow in Buffalo Saturday night.  Points will be hard to come by.  Both of these defenses are playing tremendous football down the stretch.  The Bills are giving up 19.1 PPG in their last 7 games.  The Ravens have yielded 19 points or fewer in 6 of their last 7 games overall, including 14 points or fewer in 4 straight.  And the Ravens like to control the ball with their running game, which chews clock and helps the UNDER.  They average 35 rushing attempts and just 25 passing attempts per game.  Baltimore is 10-1 UNDER in its last 11 games off 3 consecutive covers as a favorite.  The UNDER is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 road games.  The UNDER is 6-2 in the last 8 matchups.  Take the UNDER.

7* ACC Game of the Month on Clemson +2

The Key: Clemson is one of the most underrated teams in the country.  The Tigers are 9-1 SU & 7-3 ATS this season, including 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS at home.  And now they are getting no respect again as home underdogs to Virginia.  The Tigers have had 10 days to get ready for the Cavaliers after last playing on January 5th.  Virginia only has 2 days to get ready for Clemson after beating Notre Dame on Wednesday.  That's a big advantage for the Tigers.  Clemson is 7-0 ATS in its last 7 home games off a conference win.  Virginia is 0-8 ATS in its last 8 games off a home win by 10 points or more.  The Tigers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as home underdogs.  Take Clemson.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on San Antonio Spurs -7

The Key: The situation really favors the San Antonio Spurs tonight.  They were upset 105-109 by the Rockets on Thursday night as 7.5-point favorites.  They had control of that game late in the 4th quarter with a 9-point lead and let it slip away.  They come back hungry for a victory tonight against the same opponent.  The Rockets will be short-handed again without Wall, House, Cousins and possibly Gordon.  The Spurs are 54-26 ATS when revenging a loss, including 34-17 ATS when revenging a same season loss.  Take San Antonio.

6* Baylor/Texas Tech Big 12 *CA$H COW* on Texas Tech +4.5

The Key: This feels like the game Baylor suffers its first loss of the season.  Texas Tech is playing its best basketball of the season and just upset Texas on the road.  The Red Raiders also beat Kansas State by 11 and Iowa State by 27.  The Red Raiders are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as underdogs.  The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 matchups.  Take Texas Tech.

6* Michigan/Minnesota Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Minnesota +6

The Key: The Minnesota Golden Gophers are hungry for a win following 2 straight road losses to arguably the 2 best teams in the Big Ten in Michigan and Iowa.  Now they have had 5 days to get ready to avenge that loss to the Wolverines after last playing Iowa on Sunday.  And they take on a Wolverines team primed for a letdown off a big home win over Wisconsin on Tuesday.  They won't be that hungry to beat Minnesota again.  The Golden Gophers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games, which includes upset wins over Saint Louis, Iowa and Michigan State as well as a blowout win by 17 over Ohio State.  Take Minnesota.

7* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +7

The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers haven't won any of their last 7 games by more than 7 points and have gone 2-5 ATS during this stretch.  They shouldn't be 7-point road favorites over a hungry Sacramento Kings team tonight.  The Kings have won their last 2 matchups with the Clippers by a combined 30 points and covered the spread in those 2 games by a combined 53 points.  Take Sacramento.

6* NCAAB Horizon League *CA$H COW* on Cleveland State +9.5

The Key: Cleveland State has gone 8-0 SU & 7-1 ATS in Horizon League play this season.  The oddsmakers have not caught up to how good the Vikings really are.  And prior to this 8-0 run they only lost 61-67 at Ohio State as a 23.5-point dog.  So the Vikings are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Wright State is grossly overrated right now.  They are just 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games overall with outright losses to Oakland by 10 as 11-point favorites and Youngstown State by 2 as 11.5-point favorites.  They are being asked to win this game by double-digits to beat us tonight.  Take Cleveland State.

6* NCAAB Big South *CA$H COW* on Presbyterian +8

The Key: Presbyterian only lost 46-48 as 7.5-point road dogs to Campbell yesterday.  Now they come back as 8-point dogs today in the rematch.  Campbell is just 3-7 SU in its last 10 games overall with wins by 2, 6 and 9 points.  So they have won just one of their last 10 games by this kind of margin, and that was a 9-point win over Gardner Webb.  Presbyterian has lost just one of its last 6 games by more than 6 points.  The Fighting Camels are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games off a win.  Take Presbyterian.

6* Pepperdine/Gonzaga ESPN *CA$H COW* on Pepperdine +26.5

The Key: Pepperdine covered easily in both matchups with Gonzaga last year.  They only lost 70-75 as a 21-point road underdog and 77-89 as a 15-point home underdog.  And now the Waves are 26.5-point dogs in their first matchup of the 2020-21 season.  Pepperdine took UCLA to overtime, only lost to a very good San Diego State team by 5, and beat California by 12.  So the Waves have proven they can hang with some very good teams.  They have one of the best players in the country in Colbey Ross, who averages 19.0 PPG and 7.2 APG.  He is joined by Kessler Edwards (17.2 PPG, 5.9 RPG), and these 2 are capable of keeping the Waves competitive in this game for 40 minutes.  The Waves are 28-12-1 ATS in their last 41 games against teams that win more than 60% of their games.  Pepperdine is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 games as a road underdog.  The Bulldogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against a team with a losing record.  The Waves are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games against teams that outscore their opponents by 4 PPG or more.  The Waves are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games off 2 or more consecutive losses.  Take Pepperdine.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -9

The Key: The situation really favors the Toronto Raptors tonight.  They come in on 2 days' rest and ready to roll.  The Hornets are playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 5th game in 7 days.  Gordon Hayward is averaging 26.6 PPG in his last 5 games and got hurt in their 11-point loss to the Mavericks last night.  He is questionable to play tonight.  The Raptors are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite of -6.5 to -12.  Take Toronto.

7* Rockets/Spurs TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on San Antonio -7

The Key: The San Antonio Spurs have won 4 of their last 5 games including upset wins over both the Lakers and Clippers.  They are playing well right now and will be taking on a Houston Rockets team in turmoil.  The Rockets just traded away James Harden.  They won't have any of the players they gained in the trade in the lineup.  Plus their best player in John Wall is out, as is key contributor John Wall.  Eric Gordon is also questionable.  The Rockets will have a suspect lineup tonight to say the least.  Houston is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 road games.  The Rockets are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a loss by more than 10 points.  They are coming off 2 straight 17-point losses to the Lakers.  The Rockets are 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall with all 4 losses coming by 7 points or more.  Take San Antonio.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Sacramento Kings +3.5

The Key: The Sacramento Kings have shot 51.6%, 56.8% and 56% from the field in 3 of their last 4 games overall.  They are an offensive juggernaut.  The only exception was the 40.7% they shot in a 99-125 loss to the Blazers on January 9th.  Now the Kings will be hungry to avenge that defeat as they get to play the Blazers just 4 days later.  And while the Kings are almost fully healthy now, the Blazers could be without Jusuf Nurkic, plus Damian Lillard is dealing with an ankle injury.  The Kings are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 games overall.  Sacramento is 12-5-1 ATS in its last 18 games as an underdog.  Take Sacramento.

7* Mountain West Game of the Month on Wyoming +9.5

The Key: Boise State is getting too much respect from the books due to its 10-game winning streak.  The Broncos will now have to take on a hungry Wyoming team looking to avenge its loss in the first game in this matchup on Monday.  Boise State won the first matchup by 23 points, but it was a 5-point game with under 8 minutes to play.  And the Broncos have failed to cover in the last 2 times they've been in this situation.  They beat San Jose State by 52 and came back and won by just 1 point in the rematch.  They beat Air Force by 19 and came back and won by 11 in the rematch.  And this game will be decided by 9 points or fewer to give the Cowboys the cover.  The Cowboys are a sensational 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games revenging a loss in the same season.  Take Wyoming.

6* Wednesday NCAAB *UPSET SPECIAL* on La Salle +5

The Key: George Mason has no business being a favorite here.  The Patriots are 4-5 this season with 3 of their wins coming by 1, 2 and 5 points.  The only exception was an 84-70 win over Howard as a 20-point favorite.  La Salle is 5-6 this season with 4 wins by double-digits and a 67-65 upset win at Dayton as an 11.5-point underdog.  The Explorers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  La Salle is 14-1 ATS in its last 15 road games off 2 straight games with 10 or fewer steals.  The Explorers are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off 2 straight games with 9 or fewer offensive rebounds.  George Mason is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 home games after playing a game as an underdog.  Take La Salle.

6* Pacers/Warriors NBA TV *BAILOUT* on UNDER 228.5

The Key: The Indiana Pacers are a tired team right now after losing 122-127 in Sacramento last night.  They aren't going to be looking to run tonight, and they are going to be without both Victor Oladipo and TJ Warren, who combine to average 35.5 PPG.  Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis both played nearly 40 minutes last night and will be tired as well.  I expect this pace to be slower than oddsmakers expect.  And the Warriors have been a great UNDER bet recently because they lack offensive firepower outside of Steph Curry.  They have been having to win with defense.  The UNDER is 7-3 in all Warriors games this season, including 3-0 in the last 3 with combined scores of 209, 220 and 211 points against the Clippers (twice) and Raptors.  Those are 2 really good offensive teams like Indiana who they held in check.  Indiana is 21-8 UNDER in its last 29 games after a combined score of 245 points or more.  Bets on the UNDER on all teams where the total is 210 or higher (Indiana) an excellent shooting team making 47.5% or better against an average shooting team (43.5-45.5%) after 3 straight games where they allowed 47% shooting or higher are 31-8  since 1996.  The UNDER is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 games as underdogs.  The UNDER is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 after scoring 100 points or more in their last game.  Take the UNDER.

7* Big 12 *HEAVY HITTER* on TCU +6.5

The Key: The TCU Horned Frogs will be looking to avenge a 78-82 home loss to the Oklahoma Sooners in their first matchup this year.  This is a TCU team that has gone 5-2 SU in their last 7 games overall with their only losses coming to the 2 best teams in the Big 12 in Baylor and Kansas.  The Horned Frogs won't have to face Oklahoma's 2nd-leading scorer in Brady Manek, who is out with COVID.  He averages 13.4 PPG this year and had 14 points and 6 boards in their first matchup this season.  The underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 matchups.  TCU is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 road games.  The Sooners are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games against a team that wins more than 60% of their road games.  Take TCU.

6* Duke/VA Tech ACC *CA$H COW* on Duke -1

The Key: The Duke Blue Devils are starting to live up to their potential after 2 early losses to Michigan State and Illinois.  They have won 3 straight coming in and now the situation favors them tonight against Virginia Tech.  The Blue Devils have had 2 days to get ready for this game while the Hokies only have one day to get ready after playing Notre Dame on Sunday.  The Hokies are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games after 4 straight games where they committed 11 or fewer turnovers.  The Blue Devils are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games after playing 2 consecutive home games.  The Hokies are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as home underdogs.  Take Duke.

6* Raptors/Blazers NBA *CA$H COW* on Toronto +5

The Key: The price is right to back the Toronto Raptors, who are just shockingly 2-7 this year.  They play a Blazers team that has feasted on a weak schedule of late playing the Warriors (twice), Bulls, Timberwolves and Kings.  And they were upset in 2 of those games.  They should not be 5-point favorites here tonight against a Raptors team that is much better than their record would suggest.  And the fact that the Raptors are playing for a 2nd consecutive night is being factored into this line too much.  They know they have 2 days off after this and will be laying it all on the line to close out this 4-game road trip with a victory.  The Raptors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs.  The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.  Portland is 3-9-1 ATS in its last 13 games against a team that wins less than 40% of their games.  Take Toronto.

7* Ohio State/Alabama NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Alabama -8.5

The Key: The Alabama Crimson Tide are going to go down as one of the best teams in college football history.  They have an elite defense as always, giving up 19 PPG.  But their offense is a record-setting one that will continue to pile on the points against Ohio State.  The Crimson Tide average 48.2 PPG and 535 YPG this year as they have outscored their foes by 29.2 PPG on the season.  And they have let up in the 2nd half of most their games.  They won't let up against the Buckeyes after seeing what they did to Clemson last week.  That was an aberration as the Buckeyes managed just 22 points against Northwestern in the Big Ten Championship the week prior.  Clemson just allowed receivers to get behind them the entire game, which was a terrible strategy.  I trust Nick Saban to make the proper adjustments defensively.  And the weakness of this Ohio State defense is their secondary, which allowed 491 passing yards to Indiana and 400 more to Clemson.  That's bad news going up against Mac Jones, Devonta Smith and perhaps Jaylen Waddle returning.  The Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after yielding more than 280 passing yards in their last game.  The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against Big Ten opponents.  The Crimson Tide are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games off an ATS loss.  Take Alabama.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Bradley +1.5

The Key: Northern Iowa is getting too much respect from the books today as favorites against a Bradley team that has won the MVC Tournament each of the last 2 years and is very close to being 10-0 this season.  All 4 losses the Braves have suffered were by 6 points or fewer.  That includes their 6-point loss to Northern Iowa yesterday in which they fell apart down the stretch.  Now the Braves will be looking to avenge that defeat and should get the job done today.  The Panthers are just 3-7 SU & 2-7 ATS this season with 5 upset losses as favorites.  They'll suffer another in this rematch tonight.  Take Bradley.

7* NFL Wild Card Game of the Year on Pittsburgh Steelers -6

The Key: The Pittsburgh Steelers nearly beat the Cleveland Browns last week even with resting their starters.  They lost 22-24 but gained 394 yards with a backup QB.  They were a failed 2-point conversion from forcing OT.  Now the Steelers have their starters back and will win and cover in the rematch similar to when they beat the Browns 38-7 at home earlier this year.  Roethlisberger is 24-2-1 all-time against Cleveland and has never lost to them at home.  The Steelers are now 26-2 SU & 18-9-1 ATS in their last 28 home matchups with Cleveland.  The Browns will now be without head coach Kevin Stefanski due to COVID, and he is their play-caller on offense.  It's a huge loss.  The Browns are 8-26-2 ATS in their last 36 vs. a team with a winning record.  Cleveland is 3-11 ATS in its last 14 road games.  The Steelers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine playoff home games.  The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 matchups.  Take Pittsburgh.

6* Sunday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Spurs/Timberwolves UNDER 233

The Key: I cashed in the OVER 232.5 yesterday between the Spurs and Timberwolves and got lucky.  It was tied 113-113 at the end of regulation for 226 combined points before getting OVER in overtime.  And both teams shot lights out from 3-point range with the Timberwolves going 15-for-30 (50%) and the Spurs going 13-for-32 (40.6%).  Neither are likely to shoot that well again today, and familiarity favors defense and the UNDER.  Take the UNDER.

6* Lakers/Rockets Western Conference *CA$H COW* on Houston +3

The Key: The Houston Rockets finally have all their players back from COVID complications.  They showed their potential with a 132-90 win over the Magic on Friday.  And now they will upset the Lakers today at home.  The Lakers just seem to be going through the motions in the regular season.  In their last 3 games they beat Memphis by 2 as 9.5-point favorites, lost outright to the Spurs are 8.5-point favorites, and beat the Bulls by 2 as 9-point favorites.  This is now a big step up in class for the Lakers, who are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games off a win.  The Rockets are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 home games off 2 or more consecutive unders.  Take Houston.

6* Bears/Saints NFC *CA$H COW* on Chicago +10.5

The Key: The Bears go from being 4.5-point dogs to the Packers last week to 10.5-point dogs to the Saints.  The Packers just have their number, but they were competitive in their other 14 games this season.  And they will be competitive against the Saints as they continue playing their best football of the season down the stretch.  The Bears have scored 30.2 PPG and averaged 382.2 YPG in their last 6 games, all of which have come with Trubisky as their starter.  They still have a great defense that allows 344.1 YPG.  The Saints are getting too much respect from their 33-7 win over the Panthers in Week 17 in which the Panthers turned the ball over 5 times, including a couple INT in the end zone.  The Bears only lost 23-26 (OT) as 5-point dogs in their first matchup with the Saints this year and now are getting 10.5 points in the rematch.  The Saints are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 playoff home games.  Teams in the wild card round with a .500 record or worse are 7-0 ATS since 2004 while winning 6 of those games outright.  Take Chicago.

6* Bradley/Northern Iowa MVC *CA$H COW* on Bradley +2

The Key: Northern Iowa continues to get too much respect from the books as 2-point favorites here against a Bradley team that has won the MVC Tournament each of the last 2 years and is great again this season.  The Panthers are just 2-7 SU & 1-7 ATS this year with their 2 wins coming against St. Ambrose and Missouri State.  They already have 5 upset losses as favorites this year.  This team just isn't any good without the best player in the MVC in AJ Green, who has missed the last 6 games and is out for the season.  Bradley is 6-3 this year with its only losses coming at Xavier by 1, to South Dakota State by 4 and at Missouri by 1.  Those are 3 great teams as they were 10-point dogs to Xavier, 11-point dogs to Missouri and a pick' em against SDSU.  The Panthers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Take Bradley.

6* Oregon/Utah Pac-12 *BAILOUT* on Oregon -2

The Key: The Oregon Ducks had won 8 straight before losing at Colorado last time out.  They always lost at Colorado, and the home team owns that series.  But they have had not problem beating Utah home or away in recent years.  The Ducks are 14-1 SU in the last 15 matchups.  And this is a Utah team that has lost 2 in a row and is coming off an 18-point loss to USC.  The Ducks are 28-12 ATS in thier last 40 games against a team with a winning record.  The Utes are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as home underdogs.  Take Oregon.

6* Saturday NBA *Total* Annihilator on Spurs/Timberwolves OVER 232.5

The Key: The Spurs and Timberwolves both like to run and gun and chuck up 3's with defense seeming to be optional.  The Timberwolves yield 121.9 PPG and 50.6% shooting while the Spurs yeild 114.1 PPG and 48.1% shooting this year.  The OVER is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 games with combined scores of 233 or more in all 4.  The OVER is 6-1 in the last 7 matchups.  Take the OVER.

6* USC/Arizona State Pac-12 *CA$H COW* on USC -1.5

The Key: USC is a legit Pac-12 title contender.  They have proven that with an 18-point home win over Utah and a 14-point road win at Arizona in their last 2 games.  And now they take on the struggling Arizona State Sun Devils who are 1-3 SU in their last 4 games overall with their only win coming just before the buzzer, 71-70 at Grand Canyon as an 8-point favorite.  They were upset 68-80 by San Diego State, upset 63-76 by UTEP as a 13-point home favorite and lost 75-81 to UCLA in their other 3 games.  The Trojans are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 road games.  The Sun Devils are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 home games.  Take USC.

6* Sun Belt *CA$H COW* on Arkansas-Little Rock -1.5

The Key: Arkansas-Little Rock will be looking to avenge a 64-66 loss at Louisiana-Lafayette Friday night.  The Trojans will get their payback and win the rematch here Saturday night.  Take Arkansas-Little Rock.

6* Rams/Seahawks NFC *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +3.5

The Key: The Rams were 3-point favorites in their first matchup with the Seahawks in which they won 23-16 at home.  And they were only 1.5-point dogs in their second matchup in which they lost 9-20 in Seattle.  Now they are 3.5-point dogs in the playoffs.  That's a 6.5-point adjustment from that first matchup and a 2-point adjustment from the 2nd.  The price is right to back the Rams here.  They have a Super Bowl defense and should get Jared Goff back.  Even if they somehow don't, John Wolford proved he could lead the offense with a huge win in a must-win Week 17 game.  The Rams beat the Cardinals 18-7 and outgained them by 119 yards while holding them to just 214 yards.  They also outgained the Seahawks by 56 yards in their first matchup and by 42 yards in their 2nd matchup this year.  The Rams are 20-7-1 ATS in their last 28 against NFC opponents.  Los Angeles is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 against a team with a winning record.  The Seahawks are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games off a win.  Take Los Angeles.

7* Big 12 Game of the Month on Kansas -6.5

The Key: Kansas had its wake up call with a 25-point home loss to Texas two games back, its worst home loss in program history.  The Jayhawks bounced back with a 93-64 win at TCU as a 6-point favorite.  And now they are short 6.5-point home favorites against Oklahoma.  The Jayhawks have won 9 of their last 10 games overall, so that performance against Texas was an aberration.  Oklahoma just lost by 15 at Baylor and hasn't fared well at Kansas.  The Jayhawks are 16-0 SU in their last 16 home matchups with Oklahoma dating back to 1997.  Oklahoma is 4-15 ATS in its last 19 road games off a loss by 10 points or more.  The Sooners are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games against good offensive teams that score 77 PPG or more.  Take Kansas.

6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on UNLV +7.5

The Key: UNLV will be looking to avenge a 71-74 loss at Colorado State on Thursday night.  The Revels blew a 13-point lead with under 10 minutes to go in that game, and a 7-point lead with under 3 minutes.  They will come back hungry here for a win and should cover this 7.5-point spread.  The Rebels are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.  Take UNLV.

7* Clippers/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -6.5

The Key: The Clippers have won 4 straight matchups with the Warriors all by 7 points or more and by an average of 15 PPG.  They beat the Warriors 108-101 on Wednesday in what was a bad spot for them playing the 2nd of a back-to-back while the Warriors had the previous day off.  Now this is a much better situation for the Clippers as they are fully healthy, while the Warriors could be without Stephon Curry.  Either way, I like Patrick Beverly's chances of shutting him down again even if he does play.  Beverly held him to 13 points and only 5 made field goals in the first matchup.  Curry was seen limping off the floor afterward and it would be wise of the Warriors to sit him.  The Clippers are 39-17 ATS in their last 56 games as road favorites.  The Clippers are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 road games against division opponents.  The Clippers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Golden State.  The Warriors are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games.  Take Los Angeles.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Air Force +18.5

The Key: You're paying a tax on Boise State because they are on an 8-game winning streak right now.  The Broncos just had a situation like this home-and-home one they are facing with Air Force.  They beat San Jose State by 52 then came back 2 days later and only beat SJSU by one point.  And after beating Air Force 78-59 by 19 points 2 days ago, they won't beat the Falcons by 19-plus again here.  I love the price we are getting on the Falcons in this situation.  Boise State is 1-12 ATS in its last 13 games following 4 straight games where they scored 75 points or more.  Take Air Force.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on New York Knicks -2.5

The Key: The New York Knicks are one of the most underrated teams in the NBA.  They are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall with upset road wins over the Pacers, Hawks and Cavs and upset home wins over the Bucks and Jazz.  And here they are are only 2.5-point favorites when they are taking a step down in class against the Oklahoma City Thunder.  The Thunder have one of the least-talented rosters in the NBA.  They are 3-4 this season but 2 of their wins came by a combined 3 points.  They are getting outscored by 8.7 PPG on the season.  The Knicks are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as favorites.  Take New York.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Portland +17.5

The Key: San Francisco just played Gonzaga and lost 62-85.  I can't see the Dons being nearly as hungry to take on Portland tonight as they were Gonzaga.  That lack of intensity will make it difficult for the Dons to cover this massive 17.5-point spread.  Point spread wins have been hard to come by for the Dons in general since their early upset of Virginia that has had them overrated.  San Francisco is now 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games overall.  Portland is 6-3 this season with its only loss by more than this spread coming on the road against Oregon.  They upset Oregon State 87-86 as 16.5-point road dogs.  Portland is 3-0 ATS in its last 3 matchups with San Francisco with a 16-point loss, a 5-point loss in OT and an 11-point outright win as a 10.5-point dog.  The Dons are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite.  San Francisco is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 home games after allowing 80 points or more last game.  Take Portland.

6* Mountain West *CA$H COW* on UNLV +9.5

The Key: The UNLV Rebels played a tough early schedule which is a big reason for their 1-4 start.  They have losses to UNC, Alabama and Davidson as well as an upset win over Kansas State.  They are now battle tested and ready to enter Mountain West play.  They come in 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games overall and getting no respect here as 9.5-point dogs to Colorado State.  The Rams are getting too much respect after upsetting San Diego State.  They came back and lost by 13 in the rematch to SDSU.  They also lost by 20 to St. Mary's earlier this year.  UNLV is 4-1 SU in its last 5 matchups with Colorado State, including an 80-56 win in their final matchup last year.  The Rebels are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.  Take UNLV.

7* 76ers/Nets TNT *HEAVY HITTER* on Brooklyn ML +112

The Key: The situation really favors the Brooklyn Nets tonight.  They are rested after having yesterday off following their blowout win over the Jazz by 34 points on Tuesday that saw them get to rest their starters in the 4th quarter as well.  The 76ers were in a dog fight with the Wizards last night and prevailed 141-136 despite 60 points from Bradley Beal.  That effort will have taken a lot out of the 76ers, and now they won't have much fight left tonight for the Nets.  It will also be the 8th game in 13 days for the 76ers, a brutal schedule to start the season.  Bets against road teams where the line is +3 to -3 after being the spread by 30 or more points total in their last 5 games against a team that went under the total by 24 points or more in their last 3 games combined are 24-5 ATS over the last 5 years.  Take Brooklyn on the Money Line.

6* Clippers/Warriors ESPN *BAILOUT* on Golden State +1.5

The Key: The Golden State Warriors are now 4-1 SU in their last 5 games overall and have scored 137 points in 2 straight blowout victories over Portland by 15 and Sacramento by 31.  They had yesterday off and will be playing their 4th straight home games, so they are rested.  The same cannot be said for the Clippers.  After losing 113-116 to San Antonio last night, the Clippers will now be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 6th game in 9 days.  They are likely to rest some starters tonight, including Paul George and possibly Kawhi Leonard.  Marcus Morris is also doubtful for this one.  The Clippers are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day.  Take Golden State.

7* ACC Game of the Week on Louisville -4

The Key: Virginia Tech is overrated due to its 8-1 record this season.  This will actually be the Hokies' first true road game this season, and it comes against one of the best teams in the ACC in Louisville.  The Cardinals are 7-1 this season with their only loss coming on the road at Wisconsin.  They will make easy work of the Hokies, which has been a yearly tradition for them.  Louisville has won 16 straight matchups with Virginia Tech, most recently a 68-52 home win in March of 2020.  Virginia Tech hasn't beaten Louisville since 1991.  The Hokies are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.  The Hokies are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as underdogs.  Take Louisville.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Chicago Bulls +9.5

The Key: The Chicago Bulls have quietly gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  They are playing better than they are getting credit for and will not lose by double-digits to the Portland Trail Blazers tonight.  The Blazers are 3-3 SU & 2-4 ATS with only one win by more than 8 points this season.  The Blazers will be playing their first home game following a 4-game road trip through California.  I always like fading teams in their first game back home following a long road trip.  The Bills are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games on one days' rest.  The Blazers are 0-7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than 60%.  Portland is 6-14-1 ATS in its last 21 games against a a team with a losing record.  Take Chicago.

7* Kansas/TCU Big 12 *BAILOUT* on Kansas -5.5

The Key: The Kansas Jayhawks are coming off their worst home loss in program history to Texas.  Their only other loss this season came to top-ranked Gonzaga.  They will be fired up to bounce back here against an overrated TCU team that has won 5 straight against suspect competition coming in.  The Jayhawks have won 16 of their last 17 matchups with the Horned Frogs.  The Jayhawks are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 road games against a team with a winning record.  Kansas is 9-0 ATS in its last 9 games off a loss by 20 points or more.  Take Kansas.

7* Maryland/Indiana Big Ten *HEAVY HITTER* on Maryland +5

The Key: The Indiana Hoosiers are playing well enough since they opened Big Ten play to warrant being 5-point favorites over Maryland in this matchup.  The Hoosiers are 1-2 SU & 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games overall with their lone win coming in overtime over Penn State 87-85 as 6.5-point favorites.  They were upset at home by Northwestern 67-74 as 9-point favorites and also failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs at Illinois.  Maryland is 2-1 ATS in its last 3 games.  The Terrapins only lost by 3 as 6-point dogs at Purdue, upset Wisconsin 70-64 as 10-point dogs and lost to undefeated Michigan 73-84.  Maryland is 3-0 SU & 2-1 ATS in its last 3 matchups with Indiana.  Take Maryland.

6* NBA Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Toronto Raptors -3.5

The Key: The Toronto Raptors are hungry for a victory after opening the season 1-4 SU & 1-4 ATS.  They have lost to 4 good teams in the Pelicans twice and the Spurs and 76ers with 3 of those losses coming on the road.  They did beat the Knicks by 17 at home for their lone victory.  And now the situation is a good one for them and a terrible one for the Celtics.  While the Raptors had yesterday off, the Celtics played a 122-120 barn burner against Detroit yesterday.  And now they'll be playing for a 2nd consecutive day and their 5th game in 7 days.  They will be without Kemba Walker and likely without Jeff Teague, their top 2 point guards.  The Raptors also want to exact some revenge after losing to the Celtics in Game 7 of the playoffs last year.  Bets on favorites off an upset loss as a favorite against a team that won their last game but didn't cover as a favorite are 32-10 ATS over the last 5 years.  The Celtics are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games off a SU win.  The Raptors are 20-9-1 ATS in their last 30 games off an ATS loss.  Take Toronto.

6* NCAAB Situational *SLAM DUNK* on Monmouth +3

The Key: The situation is a good one for Monmouth.  The Hawks want to avenge their 77-78 loss at Siena as 2.5-point dogs yesterday.  I expect them to win this game outright.  Siena didn't get to play a single game all season until yesterday.  I can't imagine their cardio will be very good playing for a 2nd straight day now.  The Hawks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.  The Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games off a SU loss.  The road team is 8-2-1 ATS in the last 11 matchups.  Take Monmouth.

6* Washington/Philadelphia NFC East *CA$H COW* on Washington -3.5

The Key: Washington is expected to have its top 3 weapons on offense back this week in QB Alex Smith, WR Terry McClaurin and RB Antonio Gibson.  That is going to make all the difference in this game as Washington is 10-5 with Smith as a starter since he came to Washington and 6-26 without him.  The Eagles are missing several guys in the secondary, plus Fletcher Cox, Derek Barnett and Shaun Bradley up front.  They are also without DeSean Jackson, Miles Sanders and Dallas Goedert on offense.  Washington will be able to move the ball and score points on a soft Philadelphia defense that has yielded over 500 yards in 2 consecutive games.  And this elite Washington defense that has yielded 20 points or fewer in 6 straight games will make life hell on Jalen Hurts.  Washington is on a mission to win the NFC East, while Philadelphia has officially been eliminated from playoff contention after a bad 17-37 loss at Dallas last week.  The Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games off a road loss as a favorite.  Take Washington.

6* Northwestern/Michigan Big Ten *CA$H COW* on Northwestern +9

The Key: This is the ultimate time to sell high on the Michigan Wolverines.  They are 8-0 this season and with that perfect record comes expectations that are hard to live up to.  They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.  And they are coming off an 84-73 win at Maryland.  But Northwestern is no pushover and will give them a run for their money.  The Wildcats are 6-2 SU & 5-2 ATS in their 8 games this year with their only losses to Pitt by 1 and Iowa by 15.  They are coming off that lost to a Top 10 Iowa team.  So there's some line value here with them off that defeat.  They also upset Michigan State, Indiana and Ohio State prior to that Iowa game so it was asking a lot of them to give their best effort.  They will have a bounce back performance here and look for the Wolverines to relax a little.  Take Northwestern.