Sports Picks & Predictions

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs pretty much packed it in when they traded away Baez, Rizzo, Bryant and Kimbrel prior to the trade deadline.  They are now 2-8 in their last 10 games to fall to 10-26 in their last 36 games overall.  The White Sox have a big edge on the rubber today with Carlos Rodon over Adbert Alzolay.  Rodon is 8-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 18 starts this year.  Alzolay is 4-11 with a 4.85 ERA in 19 starts.  Take the White Sox on the Run Line.

6* Friday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Twins/Astros OVER 9

The Key: The Twins and Astros have 2 of the better lineups in baseball which should lead to cashing this OVER tonight.  The Astros rank 1st in runs and 1st in average this season in all of baseball.  They should hang a big number on Bailey Ober, who is 1-1 with a 4.95 ERA in 11 starts this year.  Zack Greinke has been at his worst at home with a 4.59 ERA in 12 home starts this year.  Minnesota is 30-10 OVER as a dog of +100 or higher this year.  Greinke is 24-11 OVER in all home games over the last 3 years.  The OVER is 6-0 in Twins last 6 games against a right-handed starter.  The OVER is 21-6-1 in Twins last 28 games as road dogs.  The OVER is 6-2 in Astros last 8 games overall.  Take the OVER.

7* Mets/Phillies ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -104

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Mets over the Philadelphia Phillies tonight on ESPN.  The Mets have the edge on the rubber with Marcus Stroman.  He sports a 2.80 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 22 starts this year, and a 2.56 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 11 road starts.  Stroman sports a 2.68 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Phillies.  Stroman has a 1.35 ERA in 4 starts against the Phillies in 2021 alone, yielding only 3 earned runs in 20 innings.  Kyle Gibson is 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA in his last 4 starts, yielding 17 earned runs in 24 innings.  Gibson is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Mets.  The Mets are 16-7 in their last 23 games against a team with a winning record.  The Mets are 7-3 in the last 10 matchups.  Take New York.

6* White Sox/Cubs Interleague *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox -150

The Key: The Chicago Cubs pretty much packed it in when they traded away Baez, Rizzo, Bryant and Kimbrel prior to the trade deadline.  They are now 2-7 in their last 9 games to fall to 10-25 in their last 35 games overall.  The White Sox will get back on track after 2 straight upset losses to the Royals the past 2 days.  They have the edge on the rubber with Lance Lynn, who is 10-3 with a 2.07 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 19 starts this year.  Kyle Hendricks sports a 4.37 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 11 home starts this year for the Cubs.  The Cubs are 1-11 in their last 12 games against a team with a winning record.  The White Sox are 50-22 in their last 72 games as favorites.  The White Sox are 53-24 in their last 77 games against a team with a losing record.  Take the White Sox.

7* Cowboys/Steelers NFLX *HEAVY HITTER* on Pittsburgh -2

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-115)

The Key: The Cincinnati Reds have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Pittsburgh Pirates.  Sonny Gray sports a 4.26 ERA in 15 starts this year, while William Crowe sports a 5.32 ERA in 15 starts, including a 6.03 ERA in 7 road starts.  Gray has yielded just 2 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Pirates.  Gray is 14-1 with a total of 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 years with his teams winning by 2.8 RPG on average in this situation.  Take Cincinnati on the Run Line.

6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105)

The Key: Arizona is 2-38 against a starting pitcher that strikes out 5 or more batters per start this season.  It is losing by 4.0 RPG on average in this situation.  The Giants are 14-2 in their last 16 matchups with the Diamondbacks.  Take San Francisco on the Run Line.

7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-106)

The Key: The San Francisco Giants have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Arizona Diamondbacks and should continue their dominance in this series.  Kevin Gausman sports a 2.35 ERA in 21 starts this year and a 1.55 ERA in 12 road starts.  Gausman is 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Diamondbacks as well.  Zac Gallen is 1-5 with a 4.60 ERA in 12 starts this year.  Gallen is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Giants.  Arizona is 2-37 against a starting pitcher that strikes out 5 or more batters per start this year.  It is losing by 4.0 RPG on average in this situation.  Take San Francisco on the Run Line.

6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Colorado Rockies -1.5 (+110)

The Key: The Chicago Cubs basically packed it in when they traded away 4 of their best players in Baez, Bryant, Rizzo and Kimbrel prior to the deadline.  They are now 1-6 in their last 7 games to fall to 9-24 in their last 33 games overall.  The Rockies beat them 13-6 yesterday and it should be a similar blowout today due to their edge on the rubber.  Jone Gray is 7-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.22 WHIP in 19 starts for the Rockies, including 5-2 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 10 home starts.  Alec Mills is 0-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in 5 road starts this year for the Cubs.  Colorado is 8-1 in home games after a win by 4 runs or more this year.  The Rockies are 34-20 in all home games this year.  The Cubs are 0-9 after a 5-game span with a 7.00 bullpen ERA or worse this season, losing by 3.4 RPG on average in this situation.  Take Colorado on the Run Line.

6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-125)

The Key: The Chicago White Sox are 35-11 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years and scoring 6.0 RPG while winning by 2.6 RPG on average in this situation.  They will tee off on lefty Carlos Hernandez, who they just saw less than a week ago on July 29th.  Lucas Giolito will shut down the Royals and continue his dominance where he is 1-1 with a 1.29 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Giolito has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts, including exactly one earned run in 6 of those starts.  He is 8-3 with a 3.02 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 16 lifetime starts against the Royals.  Take Chicago on the Run Line.

7* Interleague Game of the Week on Cincinnati Reds -118

The Key: The Cincinnati Reds are in playoff contention after going 5-1 in their last 6 games to improve to 56-50 on the season.  I like the price we are getting on them against the Minnesota Twins, who are 44-62 this season and playing for nothing but pride the rest the way.  Tyler Mahle has been solid for the Reds in going 8-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in 21 starts this year with 133 strikeouts in 111 2/3 innings.  Kenta Maeda has struggled at 4-4 with a 4.50 ERA in 17 starts, including 3-2 with a 5.67 ERA in 11 road starts.  Mahle is 1-0 with a 3.55 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Twins.  Minnesota has a ton of injuries up and down their lineup and just traded away some of their best hitters.  The Reds are 14-4 in their last 18 games as home favorites.  Take Cincinnati.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-138)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays have won 4 straight games and outscored their opponents 28-6.  Robbie Ray is 9-5 with a 3.04 ERA this year and is a much better starter than Eli Morgan.  Ray has yielded 4 earned runs or fewer in 21 consecutive starts, including 3 runs or less in 18 of those.  Morgan is 1-3 with a 7.47 ERA in 7 starts this year.  One of those starts came against the Blue Jays on May 28th when he yielded 6 earned runs and 10 base runners in 2 2/3 innings of an 11-2 defeat.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Philadelphia Phillies -134

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies will be hungry for a win to avoid the sweep to the awful Pittsburgh Pirates, who have taken the first 2 games of this series. The Phillies have a big edge on the rubber today that will lead them to victory. Kyle Gibson is 6-3 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 19 starts this year. Mitch Keller is 3-7 with a 7.04 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 12 starts. He is 2-5 with an 8.48 ERA and 2.13 WHIP in 8 home starts. Keller yielded 8 earned runs in 4 innings of a 3-12 loss in his lone lifetime start against the Phillies. Take Philadelphia.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Houston Astros +100

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Houston Astros tonight as underdogs to the San Francisco Giants.  The Astros have won 6 of their last 7 games and have scored at least 8 runs in each of their last 4 games. They will get to Alex Wood today. Zack Greinke should continue his success on the road where he is 5-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in 9 starts away from home in 2021. Greinke is 14-3 with a 2.18 ERA in 21 lifetime starts against San Francisco. Take Houston.

7* AL West Game of the Month on Oakland A's -111

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Oakland A's tonight against the Los Angeles Angels. The Angels are banged up right now without Trout, Rendon and Walsh and were just shut out 4-0 by the A's yesterday. It won't get any easier for them against Oakland ace Chris Bassitt, who is 10-3 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 21 starts this year. Bassitt tossed a complete game shutout in a 5-0 win over the Angels in his last start against them on May 27th. He is 2-0 while yielding just 2 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings in 2 starts against the Angels in 2021. Bassitt is 20-5 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 years. Take Oakland.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -133

The Key: The New York Yankees have a big edge on the rubber over the Tampa Bay Rays today.  Gerrit Cole is 10-5 with a 2.74 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 20 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Cole sports a 3.16 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 14 lifetime starts against the Rays as well.  Luis Patino is still in search of his first win for the Ryas.  He is 0-2 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Cole is 33-11 (+16.9 units) as a road favorite of -125 to -175 lifetime.  Take New York.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-115)

The Key: Lucas Giolito has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 12 starts.  He has dominated the Royals at 8-3 with a 3.12 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts against them.  Lefty Kris Bubic is 2-3 with a 5.68 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 9 starts this year.  The White Sox have gone 34-9 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years.  They should jump on Bubic early and often and Giolito will shut them down to preserve a dominant victory here tonight.  The White Sox have won 11 of their last 12 matchups in Kansas City.  Take Chicago on the Run Line.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Dodgers/Giants UNDER 8.5

The Key: Look for a pitcher's duel tonight between Julio Urias and Logan Webb.  Urias is 12-3 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 20 starts this year.  Webb is 4-3 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 12 starts.  Urias is 3-0 with a 2.61 ERA in his last 5 starts.  He sports a 2.78 ERA in 12 starts and 6 relief appearances lifetime against the Giants.  Webb is 3-0 with a 1.55 ERA in his last 6 outings.  He won't have to deal with Mookie Betts, who was placed on the injured list Sunday.  Take the UNDER.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -117

The Key: The Chicago White Sox have a big edge on the rubber tonight.  Dallas Keuchel sports a 4.16 ERA in 18 starts this year.  He has had the Royals' number at 7-1 with a 2.49 ERA in 12 lifetime starts against them.  Lefty Mike Minor is 7-8 with a 5.45 ERA in his 20 starts this year.  Minor is 1-3 with a 3.72 ERA lifetime against the White Sox.  Chicago feasts on left-handed pitching, going 34-8 against southpaw starters over the last 2 years.  The White Sox are 10-1 in their last 11 matchups in Kansas City.  Take Chicago.

7* White Sox/Brewers ESPN *BAILOUT* on Chicago +135

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago White Sox tonight as big underdogs to the Milwaukee Brewers.  They have dropped 3 straight games and will be hungry to avoid the sweep in this series.  They have only dropped 4 in a row once previously all season.  Lance Lynn is too good to be lacking this kind of respect from oddsmakers.  Lynn is 9-3 with a 1.94 ERA in 17 starts this year.  He is also 9-2 with a 2.23 ERA in 16 lifetime starts against Milwaukee.  Take Chicago.

7* Interleague Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -1.5 (-126)

The Key: The Washington Nationals have a big edge on the rubber tonight that should have them winning this game against the Baltimore Orioles by 2 runs or more.  Max Scherzer is 7-4 with a 2.83 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 18 starts this year with 142 strikeouts in 105 innings for the Nationals.  Matt Harvey is 4-10 with a 7.13 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in 19 starts this year for the Orioles, including 1-6 with a 7.89 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in 9 home starts.  Scherzer is 7-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 15 lifetime starts against the Orioles.  Harvey is 0-2 with a 9.22 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Nationals, yielding 14 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings.  Take Washington on the Run Line.

7* AL Central Game of the Year on Detroit Tigers +114

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 7 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be underdogs to the Kansas City Royals, who are just 10-29 in their last 39 games overall.  The Tigers have a big edge on the rubber tonight over the Royals, too.  Wily Peralta is 3-0 with a 0.38 ERA in his last 4 starts, yielding only one earned run in 24 innings.  Kris Bubic is 0-3 with an 11.12 ERA in his last 4 starts for the Royals, yielding 21 earned runs and 11 HR's in 17 innings.  Bubic sports a 5.58 ERA and 2.07 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against Detroit.  The Tigers are 7-2 in the last 9 matchups.  Take Detroit.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -133

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 6 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be nearly even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-8 in their last 8 games and have scored a total of 6 runs in their last 7 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-36 in road games this year.  We'll go against Mike Foltynewicz, who has gone 2-9 with a 5.91 ERA in 19 starts for Texas this year.  He is 1-5 with an 8.10 ERA in 8 road starts and 0-2 with a 10.20 ERA in his last 3 outings.  The Rangers are 16-55 in their last 71 road games.  The Tigers are 8-0 in their last 8 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Detroit Tigers -116

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 5 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be nearly even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-7 in their last 7 games and have scored a total of 4 runs in their last 6 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-35 in road games this year.  We'll go against Jordan Lyles, who is 5-6 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 18 starts for Texas this year.  The Rangers are 16-54 in their last 70 road games.  The Tigers are 7-0 in their last 7 home games.  Take Detroit.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Detroit Tigers -117

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 4 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be nearly even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-6 in their last 6 games and have scored a total of 3 runs in their last 5 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-34 in road games this year.  Skubal sports a 3.78 ERA in 9 home starts this year while Dunning sports a 6.54 ERA in 8 road starts.  The Rangers are 16-53 in their last 69 road games.  The Tigers are 6-0 in their last 5 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* Suns/Bucks Game 6 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 222.5

The Key: The 3 matchups in Phoenix have gone OVER the total and the 2 matchups in Milwaukee have gone UNDER the total with 220 and 212 combined points.  Oddsmakers closed with a 219.5-point total in Game 5 and it sailed over the number with 242 combined points.  But it was an aberration with the Suns shooting 55.2% overall and 68.4% from 3 while the Bucks shot 57.5% overall and 50% from 3.  Now they have set this total 3 points higher at 222.5, so I like the price we are getting with the UNDER knowing neither team is going to come close to matching their impressive shooting numbers in Game 5.  It was the slowest-paced game of the series and this one should slow down even more in an elimination game.  Take the UNDER.

6* MLB *Total* Annihilator on Phillies/Yankees OVER 9

The Key: Two struggling starters face two hot lineups tonight.  Domingo German sports a 4.50 ERA in 15 starts, a 5.02 ERA in 8 home starts and an 8.18 ERA in his last 3 outings.  German faced the Phillies on June 13th and yielded 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings.  Aaron Nola sports a 4.53 ERA in 18 starts this year, a 5.40 ERA in 10 road starts and a 9.28 ERA in his last 2 outings while yielding 11 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings to the Marlins and Cubs.  The Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 contests.  The Yankees are 13-3 OVER in their last 16 games after scoring 9 runs or more last game.  The OVER is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 games overall.  The OVER is 7-1 in Phillies last 8 road games.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in the last 5 matchups in New York.  Take the OVER.

7* AL Game of the Month on Detroit Tigers -102

The Key: The Detroit Tigers have won 3 straight coming in and are one of the most underrated teams in the American League.  They should not be even money here against the Texas Rangers, who are 0-5 in their last 5 games and have scored a total of 3 runs in their last 4 losses.  The Rangers are now 13-33 in road games this year.  Casey Mize has been Detroit's best starter at 5-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 17 starts this year.  Kyle Gibson is 10-10 with a 5.53 ERA in 23 lifetime starts against the Tigers.  He has yielded 18 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last 4 starts against Detroit for a 7.48 ERA.  The Rangers are 16-52 in their last 68 road games.  The Tigers are 5-0 in their last 5 home games.  Take Detroit.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -124

The Key: The White Sox have a big edge on the rubber today over the Astros.  Carlos Rodon is 7-3 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 starts this year.  Rodon owns the Astros at 1-0 with a 1.83 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them.  Lefty Framber Valdez has faltered with a 7.00 ERA in his last 2 starts.  The White Sox are 33-8 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years and should get after him today.  Chicago is 48-19 in its last 67 home games.  Take Chicago.

7* Bucks/Suns Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix -3.5

The Key: Home-court advantage has clearly been huge in this series. The home team is 4-0 with 3 wins by double-digits. Game 4 was close as the Suns were covering the entire way before the Bucks closed strong for a 109-103 victory. Now it's the Suns back at home in Game 5 here where they will be much more comfortable and should get a bounce back game from Chris Paul. The Suns scored 118 points and shot 46.6% in Game 1 and scored 118 points and shot 48.9% in Game 2 including 50% from 3-point range. They have been so good at home in these playoffs and this is a short number for them to be laying when you consider they were 5-point favorites in Game 1 and 4.5-point favorites in Game 2. They are now 35-11 at home this year. The Suns are also 36-16 ATS in their last 52 home games. The Bucks are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as road underdogs. The Suns are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as home favorite. Phoenix is 46-19-1 ATS in its last 66 games against a team with a winning record. The Bucks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 trips to Phoenix. The Suns are 18-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less this year. Take Phoenix.

6* Astros/White Sox AL *CA$H COW* on Chicago -109

The Key: The Chicago White Sox will be hungry for a win Saturday to end a 5-game losing streak to the Houston Astros this season.  Lucas Giolito is just the guy to get the job done.  He has yielded 3 earned runs or less in 8 of his last 10 starts.  He sports a 1.10 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Astros.  The White Sox are 14-2 in their last 16 home games off a loss.  The White Sox are 47-19 in their last 66 home games.  Take Chicago.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -128

The Key: The Chicago Cubs have a chance to get back to .500 today with a win over the worst team in baseball in the Arizona Diamondbacks.  The Diamondbacks are just 26-67 this season.  I like the price we are getting on the Cubs, who should be bigger favorites.  Adbert Alzolay has had a problem with giving up HR's this year but his 1.09 WHIP in 15 starts is elite.  Zac Gallen is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in 4 home starts this year for the Diamondbacks.  Arizona is 1-17 after scoring one run or less this season.  Gallen is 1-9 at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 years.  The Diamondbacks are 4-32 against an NL starter with a 1.25 WHIP or better this year.  Take Chicago.

7* Astros/White Sox AL *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago +115

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago White Sox as home underdogs to the Houston Astros tonight. They will be hungry to avenge their 4-game sweep at the hands of the Astros in Houston in June. Chicago starter Dylan Cease has done his best work at home this year. Cease is 4-0 with a 1.81 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in 8 home starts and the White Sox have gone 7-1 in those starts. Chicago is 47-18 in its last 65 home games. Take Chicago.

7* NBA Finals Total of the Year on Suns/Bucks UNDER 220.5

The Key: I think we see the lowest scoring game of the series between the Suns and Bucks tonight. They combined for 223 points in Game 1, 226 in Game 2 and 220 in Game 3. The pace will slow down as this series goes on because both teams get better at defending the other the more familiar they become with one another. There will be fewer and fewer fast break opportunities and more half court sets. And it's unlikely that both teams shoot as well as they did in Game 3 and that game still only produced 220 combined points. Take the UNDER.

7* NBA Finals Game of the Year on Milwaukee Bucks -4

The Key: It's now or never for the Milwaukee Bucks in Game 3 at home after falling down 2-0 in this series.  I don't see the Suns shooting as well on the road as they did at home, especially in Game 2 when they cashed in a ridiculous 20 of 40 3-pointers.  The Bucks should get much better performances from their role players after Giannis is really the only one that showed up offensively in Game 2 with over 40 points.  The Bucks are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games against a team with a winning road record.  Take Milwaukee.

6* Blue Jays/Rays AL East *CA$H COW* on Toronto -116

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays will be hungry to avoid the sweep after dropping the first 2 games of this series to the Tampa Bay Rays.  I like their chances with Robbie Ray on the rubber.  He is 6-4 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 16 starts this year with 119 strikeouts in 93 2/3 innings.  Ray has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 7 consecutive starts now.  He sports a 3.30 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Rays.  Rich Hill sports a 6.06 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Blue Jays.  Take Toronto.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -110

The Key: The Boston Red Sox have the edge on the rubber today over the Philadelphia Phillies and will be hungry to bounce back from a blowout loss to them yesterday.  Nick Pivetta is 7-3 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 17 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  He will be hungry to face his former team for the first time.  Aaron Nola has been overrated all season.  He is 6-5 with a 4.53 ERA in 18 starts this year, 3-3 with a 5.40 ERA in 10 road starts, and 1-1 with a 9.28 ERA in his last 2 outings while yielding 11 earned runs and 3 HR's in 10 2/3 innings.  The Red Sox are 7-0 in their last 7 home games against a right-handed starter.  Boston is 9-1 in its last 10 home games.  Take Boston.

7* Blue Jays/Rays AL East *HEAVY HITTER* on Toronto +111

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Toronto Blue Jays today.  They will be hungry to bounce back from a Game 1 loss to the Rays.  I like their chances with Ross Stripling taking the ball for Toronto.  Stripling is 3-1 with a 2.77 ERA in his last 7 starts while yielding 2 earned runs or fewer in 6 of those.  Ryan Yarbrough is 3-3 with a 4.42 ERA in 12 starts this year and 1-2 with a 4.77 ERA in 5 home starts.  Stripling just faced the Rays on July 3rd and limited them to one earned run in 5 2/3 innings in 6-3 Toronto victory.  Take Toronto.

7* AL Total of the Month on Yankees/Astros OVER 9

The Key: This total is too low for two of the best lineups in the American League.  The Astros are the best offensive team in baseball hitting .272 and scoring 5.5 RPG.  The Yankees have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 8 games overall and are starting to hit up to their talent level.  Nestor Cortes faced the Astros last year and yielded 7 earned runs in 1/3 of an inning in a 1-11 loss.  Jake Odorizzi is 0-2 with an 11.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Yankees yielding 11 earned runs and 3 HR's in 9 innings.  Odorizzi is 0-2 with a 6.76 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 home starts this year.  The OVER is 8-2-1 in Yankees last 11 games as road underdogs.  The OVER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 matchups.  The OVER is 14-6-1 in Astros last 21 games against a left-handed starter.  Take the OVER.

7* Bucks/Suns Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +5.5

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks got Giannis back for Game 1 of this series and are back to basically full strength now for these finals.  In no world should the Bucks be 5.5-point dogs to the Suns in Game 2 with their backs against the wall after losing Game 1.  Giannis showed he was still his same old self with 20 points and 17 rebounds, but the Bucks couldn't overcome a huge game from Chris Paul.  Jrue Holiday is one of the best perimeter defenders in the NBA and will accept the challenge of trying to limit Paul, who can't possibly be as effective as he was the past couple games.  This has been a resilient Bucks team this season and that will show up here in Game 2 with the series basically on the line Thursday.  Take Milwaukee.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -107

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Chicago Cubs today at home over the Philadelphia Phillies.  They are 1-11 in their last 12 games overall which is why the price is so good.  But they finally ended their skid with an 8-3 victory yesterday and I look for them to take this final game of the series with the Phillies today as well.  The Cubs have the edge on the rubber with Adbert Alzolay, who is 3-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 7 home starts.  Zach Eflin is 1-5 with a 5.71 ERA in 9 road starts this year.  Efflin is 7-24 lifetime in road games against an NL team with a .255 average or worse.  The Phillies are 16-35 in their last 51 games as road dogs.  The Cubs are 19-8 in their last 27 home games.  Take Chicago.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-127)

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays will be hungry for a win today after falling to the lowly Orioles yesterday.  The Blue Jays have a huge edge on the rubber tonight as well.  Ryu is 7-5 with a 3.65 ERA in 16 starts and 4-3 with a 3.35 ERA in 9 road starts.  He is 3-0 with a 3.69 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Orioles.  Matt Harvey is 0-7 with a 10.85 ERA in his last 10 starts this year.  Harvey sports a 5.73 ERA in his 2 starts against the Blue Jays in 2021 while yielding 7 earned runs in 11 innings.  The Blue Jays have gone 11-1 in their last 12 road games against a starting pitcher with a 5.90 ERA or higher in AL games.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

6* Cardinals/Giants NL *CA$H COW* on St. Louis +123

The Key: I believe the Cardinals have the edge on the rubber tonight over the Giants and I like this underdog price on them because of it.  Adam Wainwright is 6-5 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 16 starts this year and having a phenomenal season.  Wainwright is 2-0 with a 1.71 ERA in his last 3 outings despite having to pitch 2 tough road games at Colorado and at Atlanta.  He has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 6 consecutive starts and 2 earned runs or fewer in 5 of those.  Wainwright sports a 2.93 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 18 lifetime starts against the Giants.  Johnny Cueto is 6-4 with a 4.00 ERA in 13 starts this year and 7-9 with a 3.98 ERA in 24 lifetime starts against the Cardinals.  Take St. Louis.

7* Bucks/Suns Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +6

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks showed what they could do without Giannis by beating the Atlanta Hawks in Games 5 and 6.  They won by 11 in Game 5 and again by 11 on the road in Game 6.  They got big games from both Middleton and Holiday in each victory, and these two are better than they get credit for.  There is still enough talent surrounding them to keep this series with Phoenix competitive until Giannis returns.  We'll see that in Game 1 tonight as the Bucks are catching too many points against the Suns.  Take Milwaukee.

6* Dodgers/Marlins NL *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -126

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers are 4-0 in games started by Tony Gonsolin this year and he sports a 2.77 ERA for his solid efforts.  I like the price we are getting with the Dodgers because Gonsolin doesn't command the same kind of respect that some of the other starters due on this staff.  Los Angeles has won 36 of its last 52 games overall and is 87-34 in its last 121 games against a team with a losing record.  They are far and away the better team than the Marlins and should be bigger favorites tonight.  Take Los Angeles.

7* NL Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -125

The Key: The Chicago Cubs are hungry to end their 9-game losing streak which has seem them lose 5 times by exactly one run.  All 9 losses came on the road but they are back home here with a winnable game against the Philadelphia Phillies.  The Cubs are 26-13 at home this year while the Phillies are 15-26 on the road.  They should tee off on Matt Moore, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in his 4 starts this year for Philadelphia.  Zach Davies is 3-2 with a 4.15 ERA in 8 home starts this year for the Cubs.  Chicago is 9-1 at home against left-handed starters this season.  The Phillies are 17-35 in their last 52 road games.  The Cubs are 22-8 in their last 30 home games.  Take Chicago.

7* MLB Total of the Week on Red Sox/A's UNDER 9

The Key: I'll back the UNDER today between the Red Sox and A's considering how good both of these starting pitchers have been this season.  James Kaprielian is 4-2 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 9 starts this year for the A's and 2-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 3 home starts.  Nick Pivetta is 6-3 with a 4.43 ERA in 16 starts for the Red Sox and 3-2 with a 3.40 ERA in 7 road starts.  Kaprielian held the Red Sox to one run in 5 innings of a 4-1 victory at Boston on May 12th.  Take the UNDER.

7* Bucks/Hawks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks are underdogs for the first time in this series in Game 6 tonight.  They have been 8-point favorites or higher 3 times in their first 5 games, so I certainly like the price we are getting on them as dogs tonight.  Middleton, Holiday, Lopez and Portis all had 22 or more points in Game 5 and combined for 106 points in a 123-112 victory over the Hawks in Game 5.  I like their chances of closing out this series in Game 6, especially with Trae Young still questionable for the Hawks.  Take Milwaukee.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-107)

The Key: The Astros have a big edge on the rubber today over the Cleveland Indians that should lead to their 3rd straight blowout victory in this series.  Jake Odorizzi is 2-1 with a 3.26 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in his 4 road starts this year.  Odorizzi is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.53 WHIP in his last 3 starts overall.  Eli Morgan is 1-2 with a 9.36 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 4 starts this year for the Indians, including 1-1 with a 10.32 ERA and 1.85 WHIP in 3 home starts.  Odorizzi is 2-0 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Indians, yielding only 4 earned runs in 22 1/3 innings.  Take Houston on the Run Line.

6* Rays/Blue Jays AL East *CA$H COW* on Toronto -111

The Key: The Toronto Blue Jays are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and have scored 5 or more runs in 7 of their last 8 games, including an 11-1 victory over the Rays yesterday.  The Rays are faltering right now at 4-11 in their last 15 games.  I like the price we are getting on the Blue Jays at home today with Ross Stripling on the rubber.  Stripling has yielded 3 earned runs or fewer in 13 of his last 16 starts.  Tampa Bay is 0-9 this season after a game where its bullpen was rocked for 4 or more earned runs.  Take Toronto.

7* AL Game of the Week on Houston Astros -1.5 (-120)

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are 1-5 in their last 6 games overall and their struggles will continue against the Houston Astros tonight. The Astros have a big edge on the rubber with Lance McCullers over Sam Hentges. McCullers is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 12 starts this year. Hentges is 0-2 with a 7.77 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 6 starts. He already has 18 walks and 19 earned runs yielded in 22 innings this year. Take Houston on the Run Line.

7* Hawks/Bucks Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -2

The Key: The books and the betting public have moved this line too much for the injury to Giannis Antetokounmpo. The Bucks have won plenty of games without him this year and will have the advantage of playing at home in front of their fans without him tonight. And the Hawks could still be missing Trae Young and Clint Capela isn't 100% either. The Bucks will rally for one game here without their star. Consider that they favored by 8 and 8.5 points in their first 2 home games in this series. They were also favored by 5 and 8.5 points in their 2 road games in this series. Now they are only 2-point favorites at home in Game 5, so you can tell just how much the books have moved the line for the Giannis injury. The Bucks are 39-24 ATS in their last 63 games off an upset loss as a favorite. The Hawks are 23-43 ATS in their last 66 playoff road games. Take Milwaukee.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-105)

The Key: The Cleveland Indians are a tired team right now after just playing a double-header yesterday with the Detroit Tigers and getting swept. They are now 1-4 in their last 5 games overall. The Houston Astros come in hungry after shockingly getting swept by the Orioles last series. I like the price we are getting on the Astros today due to their edge on the rubber. Framber Valdez is 4-1 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 6 starts this year for the Astros. Jean Carlos Mejia is still in search of his first win for the Indians. He is 0-2 with a 6.27 ERA in 5 starts this year. Take Houston on the Run Line.

7* Suns/Clippers Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix +1

The Key: Paul George, Reggie Jackson and Marcus Morris combined to make 32 of their 50 field goal attempts in Game 5 to stave off elimination for at least one more game. They have to shoulder so much of the load for this team without Kawhi. But I don't think they'll be able to repeat that performance. And I like the price we are getting on the Suns as underdogs in Game 6 after they were 7.5-point favorites in Game 5. This is an 8.5-point adjustment for home court and it's too much. Take Phoenix.

6* AL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -122

The Key: Dylan Cease is 3-0 with a 1.63 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 7 home starts this year for the White Sox, who have gone 6-1 in those 7 starts. Bailey Ober is 0-0 with a 4.64 ERA in 5 starts for the Twins and averaging only 4.3 innings per start. The White Sox have a big edge on the rubber tonight and should be bigger favorites. Ober yielded 4 earned runs in 4 innings against the White Sox on May 18. Cease has only yielded 4 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Twins. The White Sox are 29-14 at home this year. Take Chicago.

6* NL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -153

The Key: The Atlanta Braves have a big edge on the rubber over the New York Mets tonight. Max Fried is 3-3 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 7 home starts this year. Fried is 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last 3 outings. David Peterson is 0-3 with a 7.03 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 8 road starts this year for the Mets. Fried is 3-2 with a 3.17 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against the Mets. He has yielded 2 earned runs or fewer in 7 of those 9 starts. Take Atlanta.

6* Giants/Dodgers NL West *BAILOUT* on UNDER 7.5

The Key: No game report on vacation.

7* Bucks/Hawks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +7

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks are getting 2.5 more points than they were in Game 3. They were 4.5-point dogs in Game 3 and now 7-point dogs in Game 4. The price is right to back the Hawks in this situation. Atlanta is 51-23 ATS in its last 74 games after losing its last game by 10 points or more. The Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games. Take Atlanta.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (+125)

The Key: No game report on vacation.

7* Clippers/Suns Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles +5.5

The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers have been a resilient bunch in these playoffs. They've come back from 0-2 down in each of their first 2 series to win. And they were down 0-2 in this series before winning Game 3 and only losing Game 4 by 4 points. I like the price with them in Game 5 tonight considering they have just one loss to the Suns by more than 4 points in this series. They won't go down without a fight. And there's a lot of pressure on the Suns trying to make their first NBA Finals since 1993 with a win. The Clippers are 13-2 ATS on the road with a total of 210 to 219.5 this year. Los Angeles is 45-22 ATS in its last 67 games off a loss. The Clippers are 16-7 ATS in the last 23 matchups. Take Los Angeles.

6* Monday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Angels/Yankees OVER 10

The Key: The weather is going to help us cash this OVER tonight between the New York Yankees and Los Angeles Angels. There is expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to left center at Yankee Stadium and temperatures in the upper 80's in New York. These are 2 terrible starting pitchers going tonight as well. Dylan Bundy is 1-7 with a 6.68 ERA in 13 starts this year, and 0-5 with a 6.97 ERA in 6 road starts. Michael King is 0-2 with a 5.76 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 5 starts for the Yankees. Bundy is 2-6 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts against New York. The Angels are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 games after batting .225 or worse over a 5-game span. The OVER is 9-1 in Angels last 10 road games. The OVER is 6-0-1 in Yankees last 7 against a team with a losing record. Take the OVER.

6* Bucks/Hawks Game 3 *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 224

The Key: No game report on vacation.

6* Sunday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Rockies/Brewers OVER 9

The Key: No game report on vacation.

7* AL East Game of the Year on New York Yankees -146

The Key: No game report on vacation.

7* Suns/Clippers Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Phoenix ML -107

The Key: Devin Booker and Chris Paul went a combined 10 for 40 (25%) in the Game 3 loss.  That's not going to happen again and I expect the Suns to regain control of this series with a Game 4 victory tonight.  Phoenix is 7-0 ATS when avenging a loss as a road favorite this season.  The Suns are 8-1 ATS when avenging a road loss by 10 points or more this season.  Take Phoenix.

6* NL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Washington Nationals +100

The Key: The Washington Nationals are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall.  They have the edge on the rubber today over the Marlins and Zach Thompson, who is getting too much respect from the books after posting good numbers in only 3 starts this year.  Patrick Corbin has turned the corner of late with a 2.79 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  Corbin held the Marlins to 2 earned runs in 7 innings of a 7-2 victory for the Nationals in his only start against them in 2021.  Take Washington.

6* NL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -167

The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers are hungry for a victory tonight after losing 4 straight games, including getting no-hit by the Cubs yesterday.  But they now have Bellinger, Muncy and Betts all healthy and will be a problem moving forward.  They have the edge on the rubber tonight with Tony Gonsolin, who sports a 3.00 ERA in his 3 starts this year.  Jake Arrieta is 5-8 with a 5.48 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 14 starts this year, including 3-4 with a 6.51 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 8 road starts.  The Cubs are 6-14 in their last 20 games as road underdogs.  The Dodgers are 87-32 in their last 119 home games against a right-handed starter.  Take Los Angeles.

7* Hawks/Bucks Game 2 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -7.5

The Key: The Hawks are 0-2 SU & 0-2 ATS after winning Game 1 in these playoffs.  They came back to lose by 9 to the Knicks and by 16 to the 76ers in Game 2.  And the Bucks should put it on them tonight after only making 8 3-pointers and 11 free throws in Game 1.  Those numbers won't be that low again in Game 2.  Take Milwaukee.

6* AL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (+105)

The Key: The White Sox are home now after a 6-game road trip that saw them go just 1-5.  The White Sox are 27-12 at home this season.  Now they are taking on a left-handed starter in Yusei Kikuchi, which is also in their wheelhouse considering they are 33-6 against southpaw starters over the last 2 years.  Kikuchi sports an 11.05 ERA and 2.59 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts against the White Sox.  Carlos Rodon sports a 1.83 ERA and 0.84 WHIP in 12 starts this year.  Rodon is 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Mariners.  Take Chicago on the Run Line.

7* Suns/Clippers Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles ML +101

The Key: The Los Angeles Clippers were down 2 games to 0 against both the Mavericks and Jazz and not only came back to win Game 3 both times, but also to win the series both times.  They have been here before and won't be phased.  Now the Clippers will rely on their home-court advantage where they have gone 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as home underdogs.  Take Los Angeles.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -158

The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are 1-13 in their last 14 games overall with 10 losses by 2 runs or more.  The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-0 in their last 4 games and just got George Springer back to make their lineup even more potent than it already is.  The Blue Jays have the edge on the rubber tonight over the Orioles with Anthony Kay.  Baltimore will go with Dean Kremer, who is still in search of his first victory this year.  Kremer is 0-6 with a 6.20 ERA and 1.48 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  Take Toronto.

7* Hawks/Bucks Game 1 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +8

The Key: The Atlanta Hawks have done their best work on the road in these playoffs.  They are 5-2 SU & 5-2 ATS on the road this postseason including 3 outright wins at Philadelphia last series.  This 8-point spread is too high for Game 1 of this series with the Bucks, who have been able to advantage but have been shaky in the process, especially offensively.  The Hawks won their final matchup of the season with the Bucks outright as 6-point home dogs.  And they have been a different team with Nate McMillan as head coach.  They have a great chance to steal Game 1 tonight just as they did against both the Knicks and 76ers in their first two Game 1's.  The Bucks are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record.  The Hawks are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 matchups in Milwaukee.  Take Atlanta.

6* AL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A's -135

The Key: The Oakland A's are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall to improve to 45-30 this season.  They just tied a season high with 13 runs against the Rangers yesterday.  And now they should get after Mike Foltynewicz, who is 1-7 with a 5.59 ERA in 14 starts this year, including 0-2 with a 12.70 ERA in his last 3 outings.  The A's have the edge on the rubber with James Kaprielian, who is 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 7 starts this year.  The A's are 42-18 in the last 60 matchups with Texas.  The Rangers are 1-7 in their last 8 games overall.  Take Oakland.

6* Braves/Mets NL East *CA$H COW* on Atlanta +111

The Key: The New York Mets are just 2-6 in their last 8 games overall and have been held to 2 runs or fewer in all 6 losses, including getting shut out in 4 of them.  They should not be favored tonight over the Braves with how poorly they are hitting at the plate right now.  Kyle Wright is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Mets while firing 9 2/3 shutout innings.  The Braves are 16-3 in their last 19 games after batting .200 or worse over a 5-game span.  Take Atlanta.

6* Clippers/Suns Game 2 *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +5

The Key: You're definitely paying a tax to back the Suns at this point after going 8-0 SU & 8-0 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  They go from being 4-point favorites in Game 1 to 5-point favorites in Game 2 after winning Game 1 by 6 points.  They got a huge game from Devin Booker and it's going to be hard to see him playing that well again.  The Clippers have been playing well without Kawhi Leonard as they won Games 5 and 6 against Utah as underdogs without him, and then hung tough for 4 quarters with the Suns in Game 1.  I expect them to stay within this 5-point spread in Game 2 and possibly pull the upset here tonight.  Take Los Angeles.

6* Red Sox/Rays AL East *CA$H COW* on Tampa Bay -120

The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are hungry for a win after dropping 6 straight games coming into this series with the Boston Red Sox.  They should end this skid by getting to Eduardo Rodriquez, who sports a 6.21 ERA in 13 starts this year, a 6.49 ERA in 9 road starts and an 8.36 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Rodriquez is 1-3 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against the Rays.  Andrew Kittredge sports a 2.45 ERA this year and a 2.25 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Red Sox.  The Rays are 18-4 at home with a money line of +100 to -150 over the last 2 years.  Take Tampa Bay.

7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -158

The Key: The Chicago White Sox feast on left-handed pitching as they have gone 33-5 against southpaw starters since the beginning of the 2020 season.  They come in hungry for a win after dropping all 4 games to the Astros last series.  And they take on a Pirates team they should handle in this series starting with Game 1 tonight.  The Pirates have lost 11 of their last 13 games.  Lefty Tyler Anderson sports a 4.89 ERA in his 13 starts this year.  Lucas Giolito has been on his game for a couple months now with one run or fewer yielded in 5 of his last 9 starts.  Take Chicago.

7* NL Game of the Week on Milwaukee Brewers -114

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 2-31 in their last 33 games and 0-17 in their last 17 games.  They haven't won a game since June 1st.  Yet they continue getting some respect from the books when they shouldn't be today.  Arizona starter Merrill Kelly is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA in 14 starts this year, 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA in his last 3 starts, and 0-1 with an 8.71 ERA in his last 2 starts against Milwaukee.  Brett Anderson sports a decent 4.24 ERA in 11 starts for the Brewers this year.  Take Milwaukee.

7* Hawks/76ers Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on UNDER 216

The Key: The UNDER definitely makes sense in Game 7 here.  This has become an even lower scoring series as the games have gone one.  They combined for 203 points in Game 4, 215 in Game 5 and 203 in Game 6.  The Hawks are 16-1 UNDER in their last 17 playoff games when trying to close out the series.  Take the UNDER.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-121)

The Key: It's amazing that Matt Harvey still has a job in Baltimore's rotation.  He is 0-6 with a 14.09 ERA in his last 7 starts.  Ryu sports a 3.43 ERA in 13 starts this year and will lead the Blue Jays to victory as they hang a big number on Harvey today.  The Orioles are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall.  Take Toronto on the Run Line.

6* NL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-127)

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 2-29 in their last 31 games and 0-15 in their last 15 games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games and will put it on the reeling Diamondbacks tonight.  Walker Buehler hasn't lost in 22 starts and is 6-0 with a 2.38 ERA in 13 starts this year.  Buehler is 2-0 with a 2.47 ERA in 9 lifetime starts against Arizona.  Matt Peacock is 1-4 with a 4.55 ERA in 6 starts this year and 0-3 with a 7.14 ERA in his last 3 outings.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line.

7* Bucks/Nets Game 7 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2

The Key: The Milwaukee Bucks have won 3 of the last 4 matchups in this series.  They have essentially won 7 of 8 halves as well with the only exception being Kevin Durant going off in the 2nd half of Game 5 to bring the Nets back from 17 points down to win.  The Nets just shouldn't be favored over the Bucks without Kyrie Irving and with a 50% James Harden.  The Bucks get over the hump with a Game 7 victory tonight.  Take Milwaukee.

6* AL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox +112

The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Chicago White Sox tonight.  They are 32-4 in their last 36 games against left-handed starters over the last 2 years.  Lance Lynn sports a 1.63 ERA in 12 starts this year and a 1.15 ERA in 3 road starts.  Take Chicago.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125)

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are 2-28 in their last 30 games and 0-14 in their last 14 games.  The Los Angeles Dodgers are 7-2 in their last 9 games and will put it on the reeling Diamondbacks tonight.  Trevor Bauer sports a 2.64 ERA and 0.95 WHIP this year.  Caleb Smith sports a 5.19 ERA and 1.44 WHIP this year.  Take Los Angeles on the Run Line.

6* MLB *Total* Annihilator on Twins/Rangers OVER 8.5 (-115)

The Key: The Twins are 43-22-3 OVER in their 68 games this year.  This looks like another good OVER spot for them.  Jose Berrios has decent numbers this year but sports a 5.76 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Rangers.  Mike Foltynewicz has been roughed up for 12 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his last 2 starts to balloon his ERA to 5.48 on the year.  Foltynewicz also sports a 6.32 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against Minnesota.  Minnesota is 12-1 OVER after allowing 2 runs or less this year.  The OVER is 4-0-1 in Rangers last 5 games overall.  The OVER is 5-0-2 in Rangers last 7 games as underdogs.  The OVER is 6-2 in the last 8 matchups in Texas.  Take the OVER.

7* 76ers/Hawks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -2.5

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers have let the Hawks off the hook in the last 2 games losing each by 3 points apiece.  That includes a 26-point blown lead in Game 5.  Now we will get their biggest effort of the year tonight to try and stave off elimination.  And this young Hawks team isn't ready to win a huge close out game like this just yet.  I like the price with the 76ers as they go from being 7-point favorites in Game 5 to just 2.5-point favorites in Game 6.  Take Philadelphia.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-106)

The Key: The Tampa Bay Rays are coming off 2 straight losses to the Chicago White Sox.  They haven't lost 3 in a row since April 29 to May 1.  They will bounce back tonight against the Seattle Mariners and win this game by 2 runs or more due to their edge on the rubber.  Rich Hill is 5-2 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 13 starts this year and 3-0 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 6 road starts.  Hill has never lost to the Mariners as he is 3-0 with a 2.14 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them.  The Rays are 11-1 in their last 12 road games against a team with a losing record.  The Mariners are 17-44 in their last 61 games against a team that wins more than 60% of their games.  Take Tampa Bay on the Run Line.

7* Nets/Bucks Game 6 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -5.5

The Key: Kevin Durant had a career game in Game 5 in leading the Nets back from 17 points down to pull the upset over the Bucks.  Now Milwaukee is back home where they will be a lot more comfortable and I don't think Durant can shoulder the entire load again and keep the Nets competitive.  Kyrie Irving is still out and it's clear James Harden is a shell of himself after going just 1-for-10 from the field in Game 5.  Take Milwaukee.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -158

The Key: The Arizona Diamondbacks are now 0-21 in their last 21 road games.  They gave up a grand slam in the 8th inning to blow a 3-run lead last night.  That is going to be hard for them to recover from.  The Giants have a huge edge on the rubber tonight over the Diamondbacks.  Anthony Desclafini is 6-2 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.02 WHIp in 13 starts this year for the Giants.  Merrill Kelly is 2-6 with a 5.14 ERA in 13 starts for the Diamondbacks, including 1-4 with a 6.13 ERA in 7 road starts.  Desclafini sports a 2.70 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Diamodnbacks.  Take San Francisco.

7* Hawks/76ers Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -7

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers have one of the best home-court advantages in the NBA.  They are 33-8 at home this year and will win in this pivotal Game 5 tonight.  Joel Embiid isn't going to have only 4 field goals and go 0 for 12 in the 2nd half again like he did in Game 4 when the 76ers still had a chance to win in closing seconds.  He'll play better, and the role players will play better in front of their home fans tonight.  Take Philadelphia.

7* Bucks/Nets Game 5 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -4

The Key: The Brooklyn Nets are in a world of hurt right now with the injuries to Harden and Irving.  They now have to ask Kevin Durant to do too much.  The Bucks are too good of a team to let one player like Durant beat them.  And they are hungry to prove that they are NBA title contenders.  That showed in their gutsy Game 3 win followed by an 11-point win in Game 4 with their backs against the wall.  Now they will grab a stranglehold on this series with a Game 5 victory on the road.  Take Milwaukee.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -111

The Key: The Atlanta Braves have the advantage of being rested after having Monday off while the Red Sox had to play the Blue Jays on Monday.  The Braves also have the edge on the rubber tonight and should be bigger favorites.  Tucker Davidson sports a 1.53 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in his 3 starts this year while yielding only 3 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings.  Eduardo Rodriquez sports a 6.03 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 12 starts, a 6.23 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in 8 road starts, and a 9.20 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in his last 3 outings.  The Braves are 9-0 after losing 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 years.  Take Atlanta.

6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+111)

The Key: The St. Louis Cardinals are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall to fall below .500 at 32-33 on the season.  They have played a tough stretch of teams which is the big reason for their downfall.  But now they get to host the lowly Miami Marlins for a 3-game set for a chance to get right.  They will get right in Game 1 thanks to their edge on the rubber.  Braxton Garrett will be making his 2nd start of the season after yielding 2 runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings of a 3-4 home loss to Colorado on June 9.  Adam Wainwright sports a 2.62 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in 8 home starts this year for the Cardinals.  Wainwright is 6-2 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 11 lifetime starts against the Marlins.  Take St. Louis.

7* 76ers/Hawks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta +3

The Key: The price is right to back the Atlanta Hawks as 3-point home dogs tonight.  They were just 1.5-point home dogs in Game 3 so there has been an adjustment here.  The 76ers shot 58.2% from the floor and 47.6% from 3 in Game 3 and that is unlikely to happen again.  It's also unlikely the Hawks shoot as poorly as they did in Game 3 as they made only 6 3-pointers at a 26.1% clip.  Remember, they cashed 20 3's in Game 1.  Philadelphia is 3-11 ATS off 2 consecutive covers as a favorite this year.  The 76ers are 13-27-2 ATS in their last 42 road games against a team with a winning home record.  The Hawks are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games.  The Hawks are 50-23 ATS in their last 73 games off a double-digit home loss.  Take Atlanta.

7* Nets/Bucks Game 4 *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee +2.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Milwaukee Bucks as home underdogs in Game 4 after they were just 3.5-point favorites in Game 3 at home. They won by 3 and now this is a 6-point adjustment. The Bucks still haven't shot the ball to their capability in this series and it's coming sooner rather than later. Take Milwaukee.

6* Blue Jays/Red Sox AL East *CA$H COW* on Boston +117

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Boston Red Sox as home underdogs with the underrated Martin Perez taking the rubber. Perez is 4-3 with a 3.88 ERA in 12 starts this year for the Red Sox. He sports a 2.74 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Blue Jays, yielding only 2 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against them. Take Boston.

7* Jazz/Clippers Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Los Angeles -4.5

The Key: The Clippers are in a must-win situation at home after losing the first 2 games in this series in Salt Laker City by a combined 9 points. Now they are back home and should give a big effort and cover this short number tonight. Take Los Angeles.

6* Saturday Interleague *CA$H COW* on New York Yankees -117

The Key: I like the price we are getting on the New York Yankees today. They have scored 5 runs or more in 4 straight games. Jameson Taillon is pitching well with a 3.52 ERA in his last 3 outings against 3 of the best teams in the American League in the Red Sox, Rays and White Sox. Vincent Velasquez has yielded 9 earned runs in 7 innings in his last 2 starts to come back down to earth. Philadelphia is 10-20 after a win this season. Taillon is 17-5 on the road following a team loss lifetime. Take New York.

7* 76ers/Hawks Game 3 *HEAVY HITTER* on Philadelphia -1

The Key: The Philadelphia 76ers are the better team in this series and have the best player in Joel Embiid. He is clearly healthy now after backing up his 39-point effort in Game 1 with a 40-point effort in Game 2. The Hawks have no answer for him, and the players around him are pretty damn good this season. The Hawks shot the lights out in Game 1 but came back down to reality in Game 2. It should be more of the same here in Game 3 as the 76ers take control of this series with a victory. Take Philadelphia.

6* AL *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago White Sox -155

The Key: The White Sox are 30-4 against left-handed starters over the last 2 years. Lucas Giolito has yielded one run or fewer in 5 of his last 7 starts. Take Chicago.