Sports Picks & Predictions

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Hornets +8.5
The Key: I expect a strong showing from New Orleans tonight following a disappointing performance versus Utah in its last home game. That 12-point loss bodes well for us here as the Hornets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat of more than 10 points. It is also worth mentioning that the Hornets are on an awesome 46-24 ATS run as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They have only lost by an average of 1.3 points in these games. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bulls -6.5
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Bulls, who were knocked out of the playoffs by the 76ers last season. It works in Chicago's favor that Philly played a tough one last night. The 76ers are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games when playing without a of rest and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes the previous day. The favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings. The home team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings. The 76ers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Chicago. Lay the points.

6* SEC Championship *CA$H COW* on Georgia +8
The Key: Georgia fits into a strong system or mine that has been very profitable in recent seasons. Plays on any dominant team that outgains its opponents by 125 yards or more per game, provided it has averaged 6.25 yards or more per play in 4 consecutive games, are 63-37 ATS the last 5 seasons. This system basically says not to go against good teams that are running hot. The Dawgs will be playing this one in their home state, and they will be motivated by last season's loss in the SEC title game. Georgia is the more explosive offensive team, and it has a shutdown defense (just look at what it did to Florida). Take the points.

6* Early *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -6
The Key: Oklahoma is 5-0 away from home where it has double-digit wins against Texas Tech and Iowa State - teams TCU lost to at home. The Sooners still have a shot at an outright conference title and a BCS bowl if they win and Kansas State loses. The K-State game isn't unit Saturday evening so I expect the Sooners to do their part and then sit back and see if Texas can help them out. The Horned Frogs are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Lay the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on UCLA +9
The Key: Stanford held down UCLA's solid running game when these two faced off last week, and I believe it is being overvalued here as a result. The Bruins are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. They are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after being held to less than 20 points in their previous game, 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a double-digit loss at home and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss. The Bruins are even 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games versus teams that have a winning record. UCLA didn't show all of its cards last week knowing this is the one that really matters. Take the points as I expect the Bruins to give the Cardinal a game.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +4.5
The Key: This is a huge game for the Magic, who are out for revenge for two losses to the Nets this month and who are trying to close out their season-high 5-game homestand with a winning record. It actually bodes well for us that the Magic are coming off a double-digit defeat since they are 8-0 ATS off a home loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons. They have won by an average of 3.5 points in these spots. Also, teams coached by Avery Johnson are just 9-32 ATS all-time following a road win of 10 points or more. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Northern Illinois -7
The Key: Plays against underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that enter off 2 straight wins against conference rivals and are up against an opponent that checks in off a double digit road win are 40-12 ATS the last 10 seasons, 22-3 ATS the last 5 seasons and 3-0 ATS this season. These teams have been underdogs of 6.6 points on average over the last 10 years and have lost by an average of 15.2 points. In addition, NIU is 5-0 SU and ATS in its last 5 against Kent State. It crushed the Golden Flashes by 30 last season, and I like it to post another double-digit win this evening. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB Bailout on Montana State -2
The Key: Montana State has had this one circled since the season tipped off. That's because it was handed an embarrassing 59-36 defeat at Pepperdine last December. That loss will be the driving force behind a win and cover tonight. The Bobcats enter off a loss but are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a defeat. The Waves are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games, and it is significant that they enter off an upset win because they are just 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following an upset win at home. They have lost by an average of 8.3 points in this scenario. Lay the deuce.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Saints +3.5
The Key: We saw in the season's first meeting, and in plenty of other meetings in recent seasons, that the Atlanta defense isn't good enough to slow down the Saints, who are 8-0 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons versus teams like Atlanta that allow 5.65 yards or more per play. The Saints are also 8-0 ATS in the 2nd half of the season the last 2 seasons versus teams that allow a pass completion percentage of 61% or higher. The Saints have won 4 in a row and 11 of 13 versus the Falcons. Plus, they really need this game to stay in the wild card race. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Louisville +3
The Key: The Cardinals have been an awesome road dog lately. In fact, they are 6-0 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons and have won these games by an average of 3.0 points. The Cards have lost their last two, but they are 7-0 ATS in road games after 1 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 3 seasons. They have won by an average of 7.1 points in these seven games. Both teams are good defensively, but Louisville is the far superior offensive team. Take the points as it wins a third straight over Rutgers and earns a share of the Big East title.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on UCLA -14.5
The Key: This is a highly motivated spot for UCLA after it blew a big lead and lost to Cal Poly in its last game. The Bruins are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 home games. They are also 54-41 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points under coach Howland. They have won these games by an average of 17.4 points. UCLA is one of the most talented teams in the country, and it will be very focused after the way it was embarrassed last time out.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Magic +7.5
The Key: The Magic has been solid at home where they are 4-3 this season and should be lacking no confidence after taking Boston to OT as a 5.5-point dog last game. Also, Orlando has won 3 of its last 4 home games against the Spurs with the defeat coming by just 2 points in OT. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings. This is also a look ahead spot for San Antonio as it takes on the Heat tomorrow night. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Youngstown State -4
The Key: Kent State can't be trusted on the road tonight. The Golden Flashes are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 12-22 ATS in all lined games since the beginning of last season. The Penguins, who went 10-4 at home last season, are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Also, the Golden Flashes are just 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings. Lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Northern Illinois +6.5
The Key: This is Illinois-Chicago's first true road game of the season, and history says the Flames will flame out. NIU has struggled to score the ball in a couple of its games and only averages 57.0 points on the season. However, Illinois-Chicago is on a 0-7 ATS slide in road games versus horrible offensive teams that score 57.0 points or less per game. The Flames have lost by an average score of 69.6 to 62.0 in these 7 instances. The Huskies were held to 46 points in their last game but are Huskies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Cavaliers +2.5
The Key: The Suns can't be trusted on the road where they are 1-5 this season. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall. They are also 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS win. The Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record. The Suns are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with the Cavs. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Jazz -3.5
The Key: The home team has been the play in this series lately. It has won the last 2 and 4 of the last 5. The last 2 wins by the home team have come by 19 and 20 points, respectively. Also, the Jazz have been exceptional at home for years. They are off to a 5-0 start at home this season and are 4-1 ATS in those games. 4 of these wins have come by 9 points or more. Bet Utah.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on N. Colorado +15
The Key: This is a double-revenge spot for Northern Colorado, who has gone down to Colorado State each of the past two seasons. 4 starters return from last year's team which lost 92-78 at home to the Rams, and I expect these guys to be out for some serious revenge tonight. The Bears are an awesome 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 10 or more points. Take the points.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Panthers -3
The Key: Plays against Monday Night Football underdogs or pickems that check in having lost 5 of 6 of their last 7 games are 42-15 ATS since 1983. This system is 7-1 ATS the last 3 seasons. The Eagles have given up. They have lost each of their last 4 games by double digits and will be lacking some serious offensive punch with Vick and McCoy sitting this one out. Plus, the offensive line has been horrible. The Panthers are continuing to fight. 6 of their losses have come by 6 points or less, and they'll be chomping at the bit to take it to the Eagles here. Lay the field goal.

7* Sunday Night Football Game of the Year on Giants -2.5
The Key: Extremely hungry following two straight losses, and extremely prepared following a bye week, I expect the Giants to take care of business at home against a team they defeated 37-20 in last season's playoffs. The G-Men have won 3 of their last 4 at home and should be able to take advantage of Green Bay's 21st-ranked pass defense here. Eli Manning, who connected on 21 of 33 throws for 330 yards with 3 TDs and 1 INT the last time these two met, leads the NFL's 9th-ranked passing attack. I also like the New York pass rush to have success in this one. It sacked Aaron Rodgers 4 times in the last meeting. The Green Bay pass rush has been good this season, but the New York offensive line has allowed Manning to be sacked only 12 times - the lowest total among QBs who have started the majority of the games. New York is on a fantastic 9-2-1 ATS run versus opponents that have a winning record. Lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -4
The Key: The Suns are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games overall, 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games following a win. They are on a 0-7 ATS slide versus teams that have a winning record and a 0-5 ATS slide after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. The 76ers are 3-0 SU and ATS in the last 3 meetings with each of these wins coming by double digits. Also, the favorite is 18-4 ATS in the last 22 meetings. Lay the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Dolphins +3
The Key: Seattle is 6-16 ATS in its last 24 games following a bye week, 0-7 ATS in its last 7 road games after covering the spread in 6 or 7 of its last 8 games and 1-16 ATS in its last 17 games following a home blowout win of 21 points or more. Also, Pete Carroll's NFL teams are just 3-12 ATS all-time as a road favorite. The Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the points.

6* AFC Game of the Week on Chiefs +11.5
The Key: Denver is 0-9 ATS in its last 9 games in the 2nd half of the season vs. terrible teams that are outscored by 10+ points per game on the season. It has lost these games by an average of 7.8 points. The Broncos are also 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games in the second half of the season versus teams that commit 2.5 or more turnovers per game. They have lost these games by an average of 11.5 points. Lastly, the Chiefs are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half. They have won these by an average of 5.7 points. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Lakers -1
The Key: The Lakers will be hungry to tonight as they check in off back-to-back defeats. Losing the season's first meeting with Dallas back on Oct. 30 will add more fuel to the fire. Prior to that loss, the Lakers had won 4 straight in the series. They are a much better team than they were the first time these two met this season, and I fully expect them to have their revenge here. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Also, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take LA.

7* NCAAB Game of the Week on Marshall -7
The Key Recent history suggests Marshall will be ready to go following an upset loss to Hofstra its last time out. The Thundering Herd are a perfect 6-0 ATS off an upset loss over the last 3 seasons. Plus, Nevada has struggled to defend the 3-point line as it ranks 281st in the country in 3-point percentage defense, allowing its opponents to shoot 37.1% from beyond the arc. Because it doesn't defend the 3-point shot well, it has struggled against volume 3-point shooting teams like Marshall. Nevada is on a 0-6 ATS slide in road games versus teams that attempt 21 or more 3 point shots per game. Lay the number.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Wake Forest +11.5
The Key: Off back-to-back ugly losses at NC State and Notre Dame, Wake will show up at home on senior day with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Demon Deacons have been awesome in bounce back spots. They are an impressive 9-2 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons and have won by an average score of 23.5 to 23.3 in these games. Vandy has won 5 in a row with a 41-18 victory over Tennessee in its last game and is being overvalued because of it. The Commodores are just 10-22 ATS in their last 32 games following a win by 17 or more points and 6-18 ATS in their last 24 following a home win by 17 points or more. They have lost by an average score of 27.4 to 13.0 in the latter situation. Vandy came to Wake as a one-point dog last season and buried the Demon Deacs 41-7. You can bet they haven't forgotten about that beatdown. Prior to that loss, Wake had won 3 in a row in the series by double digits. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and I believe we have a live dog here.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Duke +6.5
The Key: Duke has lost its last 3 but 2 of those losses came to Florida State and Clemson - 2 of the top teams in the country. I expect Duke to bounce back strong at home where it is 5-1 SU and ATS this season. Dating back to last year, the Blue Devils are one an awesome 8-1 ATS run at home games. Miami has dropped 4 of its last 6, including both of the games played away from home during this stretch. It won't get anything easy on the road here against a Duke team that will be hungry to end an 8-game losing streak in the series. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Pittsburgh -1.5
The Key: Oddsmakers are begging for the money to roll in on 9-1 Rutgers by making 4-6 Pitt the favorite. I'm not falling for the trap as Pitt, which is better than its record indicates, is at home, where it is 3-1 in its last 4, and has had an extra week to prepare. Pitts has been able to make penalty-prone teams like Rutgers pay in recent years. The Panthers are 8-0 ATS the last three seasons versus teams that average 60.0 penalty yards or more per game. Pitt has won these contests by an average of 13.8 points. The Panthers are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games following a loss and 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record. Look for Pitt to take care of business on senior day to keep its bowl hopes alive.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Idaho State +6.5
The Key: Idaho State is showing some nice value catching a good amount of points against a Wright State squad that is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games overall. The Raiders are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games while the Bengals are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take the points as this game goes right down to the wire.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Celtics +4.5
The Key: Oklahoma City is getting too much respect on the road this evening as it goes up against a solid Boston squad that will be hungry following back-to-back disappointing performances. Three of OKC's road contests have been close with two of them being decided by only 2 points so I'm loving Boston catching more than that here. The Thunder are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. They are constantly overvalued against East teams with the exception of Miami. Take the points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington State +14
The Key: The Cougars have lost 8 in a row and are being undervalued at home because of it. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games as a double-digit dog, and I expect them to keep this one much closer than the oddsmakers think. Washington State has been very competitive at home this season where it hasn't lost by more than 14 points. It played UCLA to a 12-point game Nov. 10 in its last home game so it is more than capable of keeping this one within the number. The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record,3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games following an ATS loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The Cougars are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. The Huskies are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games. The Underdog is 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ohio +9.5
The Key: Ohio, which started the season 7-0, will be very hungry here as it looks to bounce back from consecutive disappointing performances. The Bobcats have been a rock solid bet against good competition, going 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games versus a team with a winning record. Giving up 52 points in their last game actually works in our favor as it has caused them to be undervalued here. It also motivates them to tighten the screws. The Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game. They are also 8-1 ATS in their last 9 Friday games. The underdog is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings. Ohio has either won or lost to the Golden Flashes by 9 points or less in 6 of the last 7 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAF Thanksgiving *CA$H COW* on TCU +7
The Key: TCU is supported by a rock solid system Thursday. Plays against home favorites that have won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games, a top-level team that has won 80% or more of its games playing a team that has won 51% to 60% of its games, are 29-9 ATS the last 10 seasons. Also, TCU has had a bye week to gear up for this one. It has been money off the bye at 6-0 ATS in its last 6 games following an off week. The Horned Frogs lost their last game but have been awesome in bounce back spots at 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a defeat. It is also important that TCU has a winning record on the road because the Longhorns are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games versus a team with a winning road record. This is a lot of chalk for Texas to be laying considering how poor it has been defensively and how solid TCU has been on defense. TCU ranks 16th in the nation in total defense while the Longhorns rank 86th. Take the points.

7* NFL Thanksgiving *HEAVY HITTER* on Cowboys -3
The Key: The Cowboys get the call on Thanksgiving day against a Washington team they have owned. The Boys have won 6 of the last 7 matchups, including each of the last 3, and they have long dominated the Redskins at home where they are 17-3 in the last 20. Dallas is better equipped to play on such a short week because it is far superior defensively. It has the 7th best stop unit in the NFL in terms of yards allowed per game while Washington ranks 26th in total defense. Plus, the Boys have fared well on Thursday going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games. They are 28-15-1 on Thanksgiving Thursday, and I expect them to continue their Turkey Day dominance here.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings +5.5
The Key: The Lakers have lost their last two in Sacramento by 9 and 17 points and will have a difficult time avenging those losses considering how fatigued they are. They played last night and this will be their third game in four days. They are just 20-35 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 3 seasons and have only won by an average of 2.5 points in these games. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on BYU -17
The Key: After suffering back-to-back losses to quality programs, the Cougars will be ready to run up the score on an inferior opponent tonight. They are a rock solid 50-38 ATS as a favorite of 10 or more points under coach Rose and have won these games by an average of 19.0 points. Lay the number.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Cornell +11.5
The Key: The Big Red went down hard at Wisconsin (73-40) last game, but that won't keep me off them here. That's because they are a perfect 6-0 ATS all-time under coach Courtney following a loss of 15 points or more. They are a perfect 7-0 ATS all-time under Courtney following a road loss of 10 points or more and have won these contests by an average of 6.6 points. Also, ASU has been a dead fade when laying points. It is just 1-10 ATS in its last 11 games as a favorite and has lost these games by an average of 3.1 points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Raptors +5.5
The Key: This is a big revenge game for the Raptors, who lost by 93-83 at home to the 76ers Nov. 10. Toronto is on an awesome 18-8 ATS run when out for revenge for a loss of 10 points or more to an opponent. It's also worth mentioning that Philly is just 68-104 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1996. The Raptors are 18-5-2 ATS in the last 25 meetings in Philadelphia, and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Akron +19.5
The Key: I like Akron catching big points because it has the passing attack to really hurt Toledo. The Rockets rank 120th in the country against the pass with 297.9 ypg allowed. The Zips, meanwhile, rank 14th in passing offense with 317.1 ypg. It is also worth mentioning that Akron has a solid 62.2 percent pass completion rate because Toledo is just 13-27 ATS in its last 40 games against teams that complete 62.0 percent or more of their passes. The Zips are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games, and the Rockets are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Tuesday games. Take the points.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Bears +7
The Key: I realize the line has shifted with breaking news that Alex Smith will be out in addition to Jay Cutler, but I still like the Bears as a 7* Top Play. Both defenses are good, but the Bears have the better defense because of their ability to force turnovers. They are tops in the league with 30 takeaways and 19 interceptions. This defense poses problems for the inexperienced Colin Kaepernick. Jason Campbell has a big edge in terms of experience, which I believe plays in Chicago's favor. The Bears are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 road games, 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday night games and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game. Chicago's defense gives it an excellent opportunity to win this one outright.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Nuggets +7.5
The Key: I know Memphis has been rolling and Denver has lost 3 in a row, but the Nuggets clearly aren't getting the respect they deserve here. Denver is 53-35 ATS in road games over the last 3 seasons, 42-25 ATS as an underdog over the last 3 seasons and 30-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons. The Grizzlies are just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on North Carolina Greensboro +6
The Key: VA Tech can't be trusted laying points on the road. It is on a 9-21 ATS slide as a road favorite or pickem and a 5-15 ATS skid as a road favorite of 6 points or less or pickem. NC Greensboro is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home games, 5-2 ATS in its last 7 vs. the ACC and 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games vs. a team with a winning percentage greater than .600.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Ravens -2.5
The Key: This is a tough, tough spot for Pittsburgh which is playing on a short week and without star QB Big Ben Roethlisberger. The Steelers are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on Sunday following a Monday night contest. Baltimore took both of last seasons meetings SU and ATS, and I really like their chances of continuing their recent dominance of the Steelers. I just don't think Byron Leftwich will be able to make enough plays for Pittsburgh to keep this one close enough to cover. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Kings +3.5
The Key: The Nets have really struggled in Sacramento, where they have lost or won by fewer than 3 points in 12 of the last 13 meetings. The home team is on a 5-1 ATS run in the series. Also, the Nets are just 25-51-2 ATS in their last 78 games versus a team with a winning percentage below .400, 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 road games versus a team with a losing mark at home and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on 2 days' rest. Take the points.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Raiders +5.5
The Key: This is a big-time letdown spot for the Saints after handing Atlanta its first loss of the season last week. Plays against favorites in the month of November that are coming off an upset win at home are 28-9 ATS since 1983. These teams have been favored by an average of 4.1 points but have lost by an average of 1.6. Also, plays on home underdogs or pickems that have a good offense that averages 5.4 yards or more per game, as long as the defense allowed 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games, are 30-8 ATS since 1983. These teams have been underdogs of 4.5 points on average but have won by an average of 1.4 points. This system is 8-1 ATS the last 5 seasons and 2-0 ATS this season. Take the Raiders.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Nebraska Omaha +15
The Key: Plays against favorites of 10 or more points following a win of 6 points or less that are up against an opponent coming off a loss by 15 points or more are 72-40 ATS the last 3 seasons. These teams have been favored by an average of 15.3 points but have only won by an average of 13.7. Also, the Cornhuskers are just 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Jets +3.5
The Key: This is a letdown spot for the Rams after last week's emotional tie against division rival San Francisco. Meanwhile, this is a major bounce back spot for the Jets, who have laid eggs in their last two games since taking New England down to the wire. The Jets are a better football team than they've shown, and I fully expect them to show up in a big way this week. Plays on road teams that are coming off a road loss in the month of November have produced an awesome 40-9 ATS mark the last 5 seasons. This system is a perfect 5-0 ATS this season. Bet the Jets.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Baylor +12.5
The Key: Kansas State is being overvalued on the road just as you might expect the No. 1 team in the nation to be. I'll gladly take the points with a Baylor team that is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 home games and 6-0 ATS in home games when playing with 6 or less days' rest over the last 2 seasons. The Wildcats haven't been quite the same team on the road where two of their victories have come by 6 points or less. They were pushed to the limit in Ames by an Iowa State team that is very mediocre. Baylor is best offensively where K-State is at its weakest on defense. The Wildcats rank 80th in the land in pass defense with 251.1 ypg allowed, and they'll be tested by a Baylor passing game that ranks 2nd in the entire nation with 367.7 ypg. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Bobcats +6
The Key: Off three consecutive big wins over Miami, Oklahoma City and New York, I'm expect a letdown from Memphis. The Bobcats have played Memphis tough. In fact, they have won 5 of the last 7 meetings. The Bobcats are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Grizzlies are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ole Miss +18.5
The Key: LSU is getting too much respect from oddsmakers this week. We're talking about a team that is just 5-16 ATS in its last 21 games as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. It has won these games by an average of only 11.1 points. The Rebels have consistently been undervalued in this matchup and are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings as a result. They have especially been undervalued at LSU where they are on an 8-0 ATS run. Ole Miss has not forgotten about the 52-3 defeat the Tigers handed out last season. That loss will be the driving force behind a strong performance Saturday. Take the points.

7* Big East Game of the Year on Cincinnati -6.5
The Key: The books are looking to trap bettors here by listing Cincinnati as more than a TD favorite against a ranked team that has a better record. I'm not falling for it. Rutgers is offensively challenged, and its defense is not good enough to hold down Cincy's explosive offensive attack. The Bearcats are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 6-0 ATS in their last 6 conference games. Cincy is also 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points and has won these by an average of 11.5 points. Last season's 20-3 loss at Rutgers can't be setting well as the Bearcats had won the 5 previous meetings by an average of 18.0 points. Lay the number as Cincy has its revenge.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Pepperdine +10
The Key: Pepperdine has lost its first two but both of those were on the road. I expect it to show much better in its first home game tonight. This is also a difficult spot for Washington State, which is going on the road for the first time and has a big game against Kansas on deck. Don't be surprised if the Cougars get caught looking ahead here. The Waves are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 non-conference games, 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. the Pac-12 and 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Grizzlies -5.5
The Key: The Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall, 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning record and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 1 day of rest. They are also on an 8-0 ATS run versus teams that outscore their opponents by 6+ points/game and an 8-0 ATS run after 5 straight games of committing 14 or less turnovers. The Grizz have taken it to the Heat and Thunder - the two top teams in the NBA last season - in their last two games, and I expect them to hand the Knicks their first loss of the season tonight.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Florida International +2
The Key: FIU has underachieved considering all it had coming back. It has played some good teams, like Louisville, tough but hasn't been able to make it over the hump. Ending a lengthy skid with a win in its last game does a lot for its confidence. I expect the Golden Panthers to build on their most recent win with a victory here against a team they whacked 41-7 last season. The Owls are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games, 3-10 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a losing record and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games as a home favorite.

6* Thursday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Dolphins +3
The Key: Miami has been at its best in terms of an investment when playing on the road. It is 19-7-1 ATS in its last 27 road games, 8-1 ATS in road games following a home loss over the last 3 seasons and 6-0 ATS in road games after playing its last game at home over the last 2 seasons. The Phins have won by an average of 3.4 points in the six straight aforementioned covers. The Dolphins are also 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games following a loss of more than 14 points. They are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in this series. Take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Western Carolina +17.5
The Key: This is a big letdown spot for Wichita State following an emotional win on the road against a Virginia Commonwealth team it was upset by in last season's Big Dance. Plus, Wichita State has had very little time to get prepared for this game as it played VCU Tuesday and had to travel back home. Western Carolina has had 3 full days to gear up for this one. The Catamounts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games, 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Virginia +3.5
The Key: The Tar Heels can't be trusted on the road where they are on a 0-5 ATS skid. It is also worth mentioning that they are 0-6 ATS in road games directly following a home game over the last 2 seasons. They have lost by an average of 9.2 points in this spot. Plus, Virginia is 9-1 SU and ATS in its last 10 at home versus UNC. Take the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Warriors -1.5
The Key: Golden State has been a quality investment in bounce back spots. It is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss. It especially works in our favor that it is coming off consecutive defeats because it is 18-8 ATS after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. Lay the number.

7* MAC Game of the Year on Ohio +6.5
The Key: Ohio will be lacking no motivation tonight after laying an egg last week. Plus, you better believe it hasn't forgotten about last season's 3-point loss to Ball State. Ohio hasn't lost to Ball State by more than three points in the last six meetings. It hasn't lost by more than 7 points in the last nine meetings. Ball State is primed for a letdown following last week's upset win over Toledo. And, it's not deserving of this much respect considering how poor it is on the defensive side of the football. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Toledo +14
The Key: The Rockets have dropped each of their first two games by double digits but are an impressive 6-0 ATS in road games after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more. Also, the UNI Panthers are just 14-29 ATS in their last 43 games as a home favorite of 10 or more points. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Cal Irvine +18
The Key: Plays on underdogs of 10 or more points that had a losing record last season and return all five starters from that team are 71-38 ATS since 1997. Teams fitting this scenario have only lost by an average of 14.1 points. The Anteaters are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at UCLA. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Magic +7
The Key: Plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points that won 45-55% of their games last season are 38-11 ATS since 1996. These teams have won by an average of 0.9 points. This system is already off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start this season. The Magic are being undervalued here, and the above time-tested system supports this claim. Take the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Delaware -9
The Key: This is a big revenge spot for Delaware, who has lost to Penn by 10 and 9 points, respectively, the past two seasons. Delaware is the superior team this season as it returns all five starters, and losing the last two meetings assures us it won't be taking it easy on the Quakers. Penn returns only two starters and lost three of its top four scorers from last year's squad. The Blue Hens lost their first game to a La Salle team that was hungry to pay them back, but they are on a 55-39 ATS run in games directly following 1 or more consecutive losses. Lay the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Suns +5
The Key: This is a big revenge spot for the Suns, who will be out to end a 6-game losing streak in the series. The Suns were pounded at Utah Saturday, but they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss of more than 10 points. They were outrebounded by 23 boards by the Jazz, but they are 11-2 ATS under coach Gentry following a game in which they were outrebounded by 20 or more. They have won these games by an average of 8.4 points. Lastly, the Suns are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games versus Denver.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Chiefs +12.5
The Key: The Chiefs are being undervalued because they've lost 5 in a row. They've had 3 more days than Pittsburgh to prepare for this one, and I expect that to make a big difference. Plus, this is a look ahead spot for the Steelers, who have a big game with Baltimore Sunday. Pittsburgh is just 10-23 ATS in its last 33 as a favorite of 10 or more points while Kansas City 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games as an underdog of 10 or more points since 1992. The Chiefs are also on a sweet 9-1 ATS run in road games when coming off a road blowout loss of 14 points or more. Take the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Pistons +6.5
The Key: The Pistons are 0-7 but have played 6 of their games on the road. Back home and hungry to notch their first win of the year, I expect them to take the Thunder down to the wire. OKC won't be as fresh as Detroit as it played yesterday. And, it will be more interested in its next opponent, Memphis, since it just defeated the Pistons by 11 Friday. The home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings, and the underdog is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take the Pistons.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Texans +1
The Key: The Bears will meet their match Sunday night. The Bears don't have an impressive win in my opinion while Houston has impressive wins over Denver and Baltimore. The Bears have relied on their defense to make big plays against lesser opponents as they have struggled offensively, but their defense won't be able to bail them out here against against a Houston team that doesn't give the ball away. The Texans have had 0 giveaways in 5 games and just 6 total on the season. The Texans are on a 6-0-1 ATS run vs. teams with a winning record, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Houston is 7-0 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons and 9-0 ATS after allowing 99 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons. Take the Texans.

6* Late Afternoon *CA$H COW* on Rams +11.5
The Key: The Rams are being undervalued here and the numbers support my claim. Underdogs of 10.5 or more points that allowed 30 points or more in their last game and have been outscored by an average of 4.0 points or more on the season are 28-9 ATS the last 5 seasons. These teams have only lost by an average of 8.5 points in this spot. Also, going against home favorites of 10.5 or more points that have won at least 60% of their games on the season and are coming off at least two consecutive victories has produced a 59-29 ATS record since 1983. These teams are only winning by an average of 10.3 points in this spot. Grab all the points you can and take the Rams.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Magic +8
The Key: Orlando will be extremely motivated here after the egg they laid at home against the Nets Friday night. The Magic are on an awesome 6-0 ATS run when checking into a game following a loss of 10.0 points or more at home. Plus, the Nets are on a 0-4 ATS skid when checking into a game off a victory. Prior to Friday's victory, Brooklyn's only other win came by just 7 points at home against the Raptors. Orlando has thumped Denver and Phoenix and played the Bulls to a 6-point game. Take the points as the Magic keep this one closer than the oddsmakers think.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Jacksonville State -8
The Key: The Eastern Michigan Eagles are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record while the Gamecocks are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Eagles are also 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. The Eagles are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games while the Gamecocks are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 non-conference games. The Eagles are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games while the Gamecocks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Sunday games. Jacksonsville State is also 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games overall, 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games following a win and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 home games. Lay the number.

7* AFC Game of the Year on Raiders +9.5
The Key: The Ravens are being way overvalued at home where they are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games. The Raiders have a win over Pittsburgh and took Atlanta down to the wire at home so they are clearly capable of playing with anyone. Baltimore is a dismal 0-6 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons and 0-6 ATS vs. poor teams that are outscored by 6+ points per game on the season over the last 2 seasons. The Ravens are also 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a win and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Lastly, Baltimore is just 1-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 14 points over the last 3 seasons. Take Oakland.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Jazz -8
The Key: The Suns' only road win came against lowly Charlotte. They were blown out on the road by Orlando and Miami. The Jazz have won both of their home games by double digits and they'll be hungry tonight following last night's ugly performance in Denver. The Suns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games,1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall, 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a win, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Western Conference foes and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Jazz are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games when playing on no rest and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Lay the points.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Eastern Washington +12.5
The Key: Eastern Washington will be the hungrier team tonight as it looks to pay the Cougars back for handing it a 75-49 defeat last season. Washington State's backcourt took a big hit with the dismissal of guard Reggie Moore. Moore averaged over 5 assists per game and was clearly the best distributor on the team. Not having Moore will also affect Brock Motum, who built good chemistry with the guard last season. Expect the Cougars to struggle early on. Take the points.

6* Saturday Night *CA$H COW* on Mississippi State +14.5
The Key: It's going to be tough for LSU to bring enough energy and passion to the field to cover this number following last week's heart-breaking defeat to Alabama. History suggests this is way too many points for the Tigers to be laying as they are just 4-16 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite of 14.5 to 21 points. They have won these games but only by 10.6 points on average. It is also worth mentioning that plays against a home team off a close loss by 7 points or less to a conference rival, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 80% winning percentages), are 73-34 ATS since 1992. Take the points.

7* SEC Game of the Month on Texas A&M +14
The Key: This is a huge letdown spot for Alabama following last week's come from behind win against LSU. Texas A&M only has two losses on the season, and those were narrow defeats to Florida and LSU. Alabama is the best defensive team in the country, but it has yet to see an offense as good as the one it will see here. Playing against favorites of 10.5 to 21 points after 8 or more consecutive wins, provided they have won at least 80% of their games on the season and are matched up against a team that has won 60-80% of its games on the season, has produced a 39-13 ATS mark since 1992. These teams have been favored by 15.4 points in average but have only won by 8.4 points on average. Also, the Crimson Tide are just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take the points.

6* Early *CA$H COW* on Michigan -9.5
The Key: Oddsmakers have set a big trap here by favoring the unranked Wolverines by this much against the ranked Wildcats and the public has taken the bait, hook, line and sinker. I'm not hesitating to go against the grain. The Wolverines are 6-1 (86%) in their last 7 games against Northwestern and these 6 wins have all come by double digits. In fact, they've all come by at least 12 points. Michigan won last season's battle 42-24 on the road, and it will want this one just as badly because it lost the last time the Wildcats visited the Big House. Lay the points as Michigan flexes its muscles.

6* NCAAB *CA$H COW* on Maryland +10.5
The Key: Plays on neutral court teams (Maryland) - bad pressure defensive team from last season that forced 12 turnovers or less per game - with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are 34-11 ATS since 1997. This system tightens up to 16-4 ATS the last 3 seasons. Kentucky is being overvalued in its opener because it won it all last season. It has brought in an excellent recruiting class but don't expect the new guys to click right away. We're talking about a team that lost Anthony Davis, Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Marquis Teague, Terrence Jones, Doron Lamb and Darius Miller to the pros. Maryland has the size up front to contend with the size of Kentucky and should be able to keep this one within the number.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Pacers +2
The Key: Plays on road teams when the line is +3 to -3 that have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points or more per game and are coming off a loss of 6 points or less are 73-33 ATS since 1996. These teams have been underdogs by an average of 0.9 points and have won outright by an average of 1.8 points. Fueled by two straight losses, expect Indiana to bounce back strong against a team it defeated by double digits in both of last season's meetings.

7* Big East Game of the Week on Connecticut +3.5
The Key: This is a letdown spot for Pitt following last week's emotional loss to Notre Dame. Meanwhile, this is a bounce back spot for Connecticut, and the Huskies have been money in such spots. They are 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 games following a loss. The Huskies have also been money at where they are 31-15-1 ATS in their last 47 games. Teams coached by Paul Pasqualoni are 7-0 ATS in home games when they check into a contest with losses in 4 or 5 of their last 6 games. His teams have won by an average score of 40.0 to 18.3 in this situation. Look for this motivated UConn team to pull off the upset.

6* NBA Bailout on Trailblazers +1
The Key: Expect the Clippers to come out flat following last night's emotional win over a San Antonio squad that had swept them in the playoffs. The Blazers are rested having not played since Monday, and they'll be the hungrier team here as they look to avenge two straight narrow defeats to the Clippers. The Blazers have won 6 of their last 7 at home in the series. The Clippers are 2-5 ATS in the last 7 meetings and 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Portland.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* on Jaguars +4
The Key: Indy's upset win at home against Miami last week puts it into a prime fade spot. Playing against favorites that have a winning record and are coming off an upset win at home has produced a perfect 9-0 ATS record the last 3 seasons. The Colts have struggled against the Jags, losing each of the last 3 meetings both SU and ATS. They have also struggled on the road where they are 1-2 with their lone win coming in OT. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Virginia Tech +14
The Key: The Hokies have been at their best at home where they are 4-0 on the season. Florida State hasn't been nearly as dominant on the road where it hasn't won a single game by more than 13 points. VA Tech enters off back-to-back defeats, but it is 15-5 ATS all-time under coach Beamer after 2 or more consecutive losses. It has won these games by an average of 6.9 points. The Hokies are also 8-1 ATS all-time under Beamer as a home underdog. They have won these games by an average of 22.7 points. Take VA Tech.

6* NBA Bailout on Clippers +2
The Key: This game is all about revenge for the Clippers who were swept by the Spurs in last season's playoffs. Following back-to-back defeats, I have no doubt the Clipps will bring passion and energy to the floor tonight. The Spurs are 4-0 but have played 3 of those at home. We went against them in their only road game and earned the cover with the Hornets. They aren't nearly the same team on the highway. The Spurs are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games. Take L.A.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Raptors +6.5
The Key: The Raptors are 11-2 ATS in road games following a road loss under coach Casey. They have only lost these games by an average of 2.3 points. Their success in this situation has stemmed from a combination of the books overreacting to their previous loss and their resiliency. It is also worth mentioning that Dallas is just 19-42 ATS in home games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games under coach Carlisle. They have only won these games by an average of 2.9 points. Take the points.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Ohio -2.5
The Key: Bowling Green is cooking with 5 straight wins but history is actually on Ohio's side tonight. Plays on home favorites off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival and matched up against an opponent off 3 straight wins against conference rivals are 77-35 ATS since 1992. Teams fitting this criteria have won by an average of 16.6 points. Ohio has won the last 3 meetings in the series, including a 24-point win the last time Bowling Green visited. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Bulls -8.5
The Key: One thing you don't want to do is go against the Bulls when they check in off an upset defeat. That's because they are 23-9 ATS all-time under coach Thibodeau following an upset loss. They have bounced back to win by an average of 10.1 points in this situation. Bet Chicago.

6* NCAAF *CA$H COW* on Toledo -6.5
The Key: The Cardinals have won three in a row but wins over W. Michigan, C.Michigan and Army are nothing to write home about. They take a big step up in competition tonight, and I expect them to get smoked. Toledo is on a 13-4 ATS run at home when valued as a favorite of 7.0 points or less. It has won these games by an average of 12.9 points. Take Toledo.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Kings -2
The Key: The Kings will be very motivated as they finally step foot on their home floor following 3 straight road losses to start the season. They won't be lacking any confidence either having played the Bulls and Pacers very tough. The Kings have been exceptional defensively thus far. They rank No. 2 in the NBA in field goal percentage, holding opponents to just 39.2% shooting. They also rank No. 1 in 3-point field goal percentage defense, holding foes to a ridiculous 16.7%. The Warriors haven't shot the ball particularly well in the early going, and I expect them to really struggle from the floor tonight. Take the Kings.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* on Eagles +3
The Key: Even though the Eagles have found ways to lose games, we can't ignore the fact that 5 of their 7 games have been decided by 3 points or less. In other words, they have been in virtually every game this season. We also can't ignore how bad the Saints have been defensively. They are dead last in total defense with 474.7 yards per game and dead last against the run with 170.1 yards per game. Their terrible run defense gives the an Eagles the clear advantage tonight. Philly ranks 11th with 117.7 rushing yards per game and is certainly capable of running all over the Saints with LeSean McCoy and Vick. Being able to keep the ball on the ground should also help the Eagles keep their turnovers to a minimum. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games, 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games following a double-digit loss at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in New Orleans.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers -3.5
The Key: The 76ers will be very motivated this evening following yesterday's disappointing performance in New York. The Knicks have won each of their first two in impressive fashion as they've shot the lights out but don't expect the shots to fall as easily tonight as they go out on the road for the first time. The 76ers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss,4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games. Take Philly.

6* Sunday Night Football *CA$H COW* on Cowboys +4.5
The Key: The Cowboys are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. Plus, they have never lost under coach Garrett when valued as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. They are a perfect 6-0 ATS in this situation. The Falcons are 0-6 ATS after leading in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half over the last 2 seasons and 0-6 ATS after outgaining an opponent by 100 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. Atlanta's last 2 home wins have come by only 2 and 3 points against lowly Carolina and Oakland teams. They'll have a tough time beating a Dallas team that ranks in the top 7 in both total offense and defense by more than a field. Take the points.

6* NFL *CA$H COW* on Steelers +3.5
The Key: I'll gladly take the Steelers catching better than a field goal as they haven't lost by more than 3 points in their last 6 games. Pittsburgh has had no trouble getting up for elite competition. In fact, it is on a 34-15 ATS run against teams that have won at least 75% or their games. It has won these games by an average of 2.8 points. The Giants, on the other hand, are only 4-16 ATS in home games against teams with a winning percentage between 51% and 60%. They have lost to these teams by an average of 3.2 points. Pittsburgh is the better defensive team and Roethlisberger is playing the QB position better than Eli Manning right now. Take the Steelers.

7* NFL Game of the Week on Bengals +4
The Key: Fully prepared following a bye and in desperation mode following 3 consecutive defeats, look for the Bengals to get the job done at home. The Broncos won big last week at home against the Saints and are being overvalued because of it. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a victory of more than 14 points. The Broncos have won the last 3 meetings in the series but all 3 games went right down to the wire. 2 of the wins came by 2 points or less, and they would have lost the other had a deflected prayer not found Brandon Stokley with just 11 ticks left on the clock. The underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last four matchups. It is also worth mentioning that the Broncos haven't been the same team on the road where they are 1-2 and could easily be 0-3 (trailed SD 24-0 at halftime). Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. Bet the Bengals.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on 76ers +4
The Key: The Knicks are being overvalued following their blowout win over Miami. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win of more than 10 points. The 76ers should feel rested and be very prepared having not played since Wednesday. They are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games when playing on 3 or more days' rest. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings, and the road team is 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take the points.

7* NBA Game of the Week on Trailblazers +5.5
The Key: The Rockets are getting a lot of attention with their 2-0 start and the backcourt of Lin and Harden, and they are being overvalued because of it. The Rockets have defeated Portland by more than 5 points just twice in the past 10 meetings. Teams headed up by Kevin McHale are just 3-14 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive wins. His teams are also just 4-16 ATS in home games following an upset win. The Rockets are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on no rest. Also, the underdog is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

7* Pac-12 Game of the Year on USC +8
The Key: Oregon is a good football team but it is yet to face anyone as good as USC, who won last season's meeting 38-35 on the road. The Trojans got caught looking ahead last week as they blew a 28-13 lead to Arizona, but that assures us they'll be even more focused here. The Trojans are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games following a SU loss and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. USC's 3 home wins this season have come by 39, 18 and 44 points. Also, USC has either won or played the Ducks to within 7 points or fewer in 12 of the past 16 meetings. Lastly, plays on home underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points that have gained 125 or less rushing yards in 2 straight games and are up against an opponent that outrushed its last opponent by 150 or more yards are 31-7 ATS the last 10 seasons. This system tightens up to 16-4 ATS the last 5 seasons. Take the points.

6* Afternoon *CA$H COW* on West Virginia -4
The Key: West Virginia has lost ugly in its last two games since getting out to a 5-0 start. However, it has had a bye week to stop the bleeding. Having had two weeks to prepare for TCU, I expect a dominant performance from the Mountaineers Saturday afternoon. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU loss and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. The Horned Frogs are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference games. The TCU defense is not what it has been in recent seasons. Expect plenty of fireworks from Geno Smith here. Lay the number.

6* Early *CA$H COW* on Oklahoma -12
The Key: The Sooners have won their last two over ISU by a combined score of 78-6, and I expect them to roll again here as they enter motivated following an upset loss to Notre Dame. Oklahoma is 13-0 in its last 13 against the Cyclones, and these victories have come by an average of 24.3 points. Iowa State lacks the depth teams like Oklahoma have and really can't afford to be without star linebacker Jake Knott, who will the remainder of the regular season with a shoulder injury. Knott, who leads the conference in tackles, is one of the best linebackers in the country. His presence will be greatly missed. Lay the points.

7* NBA *HEAVY HITTER* on Lakers +1
The Key: Off back-to-back losses to start the season, the Lakers will go after this one with all they've got. I expected it to take some time for LA to jell after adding additions like Dwight Howard and Steve Nash. The offense looked good last game as it put up 106 points, but the defense was the issue as it gave up 116. Following that poor defensive effort, I fully expect the Lake Show to show up on both ends of the floor in front of their fans. The Lakers have won 2 straight and 4 of the last 5 versus the Clippers. It is also significant that the Lakers are listed as the home team tonight because they are on a 9-0 run against the Clippers when that's the case. This run speaks both to the Lakers being the superior team and the boost received from having the crowd behind them.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* on Cal -3.5
The Key: Washington can't be trusted on the road where it is 0-7 ATS in its last 7 and has lost each of this season's 3 road contests by an average of 34.7 points. The Huskies have also dropped 3 of their last 4 at Cal with the 3 defeats coming by nearly 32 points on average. Wash checks in off an upset win against Oregon State but is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU win and 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games following a cover. Bet Cal and lay the points.

6* NBA *CA$H COW* on Spurs -2.5
The Key: One thing you don't want to make a habit of is going against the Spurs at home where they are on a 23-6-1 ATS run. They went 3-1 at home against Oklahoma City last season with each of the 3 wins coming by at least 3 points. The Spurs were pushed to the limit by New Orleans last night, but you can expect them to play even harder here as they look for revenge against the team that knocked them out of the playoffs.