Sports Picks & Predictions

6* Bedlam Bash on Oklahoma State -3
The Key: Motivated by a loss at Iowa State and with an extra week to prepare, look for the Cowboys to end their 8-game skid in this series. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6.

6* SEC Championship (CBS) on Georgia +14
The Key: The Dawgs get this one close to home in the Georgia Dome, and they have been lethal when catching this many points, going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or more.

7* NCAAF Game of the Month on New Mexico State +15
The Key: New Mexico State beat Utah State by 3 points at home as a 10.5-point underdog in 2009. It was an 18.5-point underdog at Utah State last season and only lost by 5 points. I know New Mexico State is coming off a pair of bad losses on the road, but it is expected to get QB Matt Christian back and it will be jacked up for this game on senior day. The underdog is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. Take the points.

6* C-USA Championship (ABC) on So. Miss +14.5
The Key: Houston is clearly overvalued here against a team it lost to by double digits last season. The Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 10.5 points or more.

6* Nevada +4.5
The Key: The Huskies are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 6.5 or fewer points.

7* Pac-12 *HEAVY HITTER* (FOX) on UCLA +32
The Key: The Ducks are 0-2-2 ATS in their last 4 home games. Also, plays on road underdogs (UCLA) off a loss by 10 points or more to a conference rival that return 6 or more starters than their opponent are 55-24 (70%) ATS since 1992. We'll take the points.

6* Canisius +14
The Key: Canisius is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 in this series, including 4-0 ATS in the last 4 at home.

6* Fairfield -7.5
The Key: The favorite is 10-3 ATS in the last 13 meetings in this series. The Purple Eagles are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog.

6* NFL CA$H COW on Eagles -3
The Key: The road team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings in this series. Also, the Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games. Seattle doesn't have quite enough offense to keep pace tonight. Lay the number.

7* Big East Game of the Month (ESPN) on West Virginia -2.5
The Key: Under coach Holtz, USF is 0-6 ATS in home games against conference opponents, 0-7 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record and 0-6 ATS in home games in the second half of the season. We'll lay the number with the Mountaineers.

7* Big Ten/ACC Challenge Game of the Year (ESPN) on N. Carolina -7
The Key: The Tar Heels are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. the Big Ten and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points. Wisconsin is yet to play anyone with even close to as much talent as it will face tonight. Plus, UNC will be out for blood after enduring its first loss of the season. Lay the points.

6* Nebraska -12.5
The Key: Wake Forest is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 road games as an underdog of 7 to 12.5 points. It's also 1-10-1 ATS in its last 12 matchups following a victory against the point spread.

6* Idaho State +21.5
The Key: The Bengals are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Lobos are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a home favorite.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Ohio State -6
The Key: Duke is incredibly reliant on the 3-point shot. That likely doesn't bode well for the Blue Devils here in their first true road game of the season against a team that typically defends the 3-point line well. The Buckeyes are 9-0 ATS in home games the last 3 seasons versus good 3 point shooting teams that make 37% or more of their attempts. We'll lay the points with the home team.

7* Monday Night Football Game of the Month on Giants +7.5
The Key: The Giants are an impressive 30-14 ATS in their last 44 road games and a perfect 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Monday Night Football games. It is also important to note that New York is 8-0 ATS in road contests under coach Coughlin when matched up against good passing teams that average 260.0 passing yards or more per game. Take the points.

6* Sunday Night Football Bailout on Chiefs +11
The Key: The Steelers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 10.5 or greater. The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

6* AFC West CA$H COW on Chargers -5
The Key: The Chargers are 8-1-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings with the Broncos. The favorite is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings, and the Chargers are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. This team is disappointed by its losing streak but knows it can get right back in the division hunt with a win here.

7* NFL Letdown Game of the Year on Seahawks -3
The Key: After 5 consecutive SU and ATS losses, which all came by at least 7 points, the Redskins found a way to get up for their biggest rivals (Dallas) only to fall in overtime. I believe that loss was the knockout punch for this disappointing team. The Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall, 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

6* Pac-12 Game of the Week on UCLA +16.5
The Key: Big letdown spot for Southern Cal following its upset win over Oregon. UCLA is playing its best football of the season and should keep this one easily within the number.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ABC) on Notre Dame +7.5
The Key: The Irish are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.

6* Texas Tech +14
The Key: The Red Raiders have won 15 in a row over Baylor and are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

5* National TV CA$H COW (ABC/ESPN2) on Virginia +5.5
The Key: The Hokies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall while the Cavaliers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

7* NCAAF Game of the Week on Vanderbilt -1.5
The Key: Vandy is the more talented team from a tougher conference, and I like it to roll here with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Commodores are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Wisconsin -14.5
The Key: The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater while the Badgers are 7-0-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 10.5 or greater.

5* Northwestern +6
The Key: With a spot in the Big Ten title game already reserved, look for the Spartans to get caught looking ahead. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 in this series and the Wildcats are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* NCAAF Bailout (ESPN 10:15 ET) on Arizona State -5.5
The Key: ASU is 6-0 ATS in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. Plus, the Home team is 6-0 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

7* SEC Game of the Week (CBS 2:30 ET) on Arkansas +12.5
The Key: Arkansas is 7-0 ATS in November games over the last 2 seasons and 9-0 ATS when checking into a game off 2 or more consecutive overs the last 2 seasons. Arkansas is 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup.

6* NCAAF CA$H COW (12 ET) on Tulsa +3.5
The Key: Houston is 0-8 ATS all-time under coach Sumlin as a road favorite of 7 points or less. It's losing these games by an average score of 38.3 to 31. Also, the underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

7* NFL *HEAVY HITTER* (NFL Network) on Ravens -3
The Key: Baltimore is 6-0 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons, 8-0 ATS after being outgained by 100 or more total yards last game over the last 3 seasons and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 3.0 points or less.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Texas +8
The Key: Motivated by back-to-back defeats, and further motivated by last year's 7-point loss to the Aggies, expect the Longhorns to give A&M all it wants and more here. The Aggies are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games overall, 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a favorite and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. The Longhorns are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* NFL Total of the Week (CBS) on Dolphins/Cowboys UNDER 44.5
The Key: Under coach Sparano, Miami is 7-0 Under lifetime in road contests versus good teams with winning percentages between 60% and 75%. We have seen an average of just 37 total points scored in these games.

6* CA$H COW (FOX) on Packers -6
The Key: The Packers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS loss and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. The Lions are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Michigan +7
The Key: MICHIGAN is 14-4 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons, and 6-0 ATS during this span as a neutral court underdog or pick. The Wolverines lost to Duke by 2 points in the second round of the Big Dance last March. That defeat is all the motivation Michigan needs here.

7* MAC Game of the Week (ESPN2) on Miami Ohio +9
The Key: With nothing to play for after clinching a spot in the MAC title game last week, look for the Bobcats to come out flat this evening. Miami Ohio is 4-3 in its last 7 games and 2 of those defeats came by only 3 points. Look for the Redhawks to take Ohio down to the wire with a chance to win in the end.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Chiefs +17
The Key: I know the Chiefs are playing without starting QB Matt Cassel, but this too many points for them to be catching, especially against a team that ranks dead last in the NFL with 412 yards allowed per game. The Pats have only won by a margin greater than this once this season. Their other double digit wins came by 14 points or less. The Chiefs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Patriots are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite of 10.5 points or more. We'll take the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisiana-Monroe +20
The Key: After consecutive upset wins over Texas A&M and Arizona, expect a letdown from Mississippi State this evening. UL Monroe, meanwhile, will be hungry as it looks to break into the win column for the first time this season. While it isn't likely that ULM will be able to pull off the upset, I don expect the Warhawks to keep this one within the number rather easily. After all, the Bulldogs have dropped 5 in a row ATS when laying points at home and 8 in a row ATS when laying 13 or more points on their home floor.

7* NFL Underdog Game of the Year on Chargers +4
The Key: The Chargers are 22-8-3 ATS in their last 33 games as an underdog and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Bears are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.

6* Cardinals +10
The Key: The road team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings. Arizona is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games versus elite teams with a winning percentage better than 75%.

6* Buccaneers +14.5
The Key: The Buccaneers are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 road games and 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

6* Ravens -7
The Key: The Ravens are 48-23-1 ATS in their last 72 games as a home favorite and 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.

7* PAC-12 Game of the Month on Cal +18.5
The Key: The Cardinal are just 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games when coming off an upset loss to a conference foe. Stanford has actually lost these games by an average of 4.3 points. Expect a letdown from the Cardinal after having their national championship hopes crushed by Oregon last Saturday.

6* Texas -8
The Key: The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite. The Wildcats are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

6* SMU +20
The Key: The Mustangs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

5* Colorado State +34
The Key: The Rams are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. The Horned Frogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following an ATS win.

6* Texas Tech +18.5
The Key: The Red Raiders are 45-20-1 ATS in their last 66 games following a loss and 5-2-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a double-digit loss at home.

5* MTSU +11.5
The Key: The Red Wolves are a lousy 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games as a road favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Middle Tennessee.

6* on Illinois +15
The Key: The Badgers are 3-11 ATS in their last 14 games as a road favorite of 10.5 or greater while the Fighting Illini are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater.

5* Iowa -3
The Key: The Hawkeyes are 32-12-1 ATS in their last 45 games following a loss while the Boilermakers are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a win.

6* Winthrop +18
The Key: Winthrop is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 neutral site games as an underdog while Marquette is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 neutral site games as a favorite.

7* Big 12 Game of the Month (ESPN) on Iowa State +28
The Key: Iowa State needs to win 1 of its final 3 games to become bowl eligible so it will be leaving it all on the field each week. The Cyclones have had an off week to gear up for this one, and it's senior night. In other words, a nice combination of extra preparation and extreme motivation are in our favor. It's been a short week for Oklahoma State, and its biggest task right now is to make sure it's healthy for Oklahoma. The Cyclones are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a home underdog of 10.5 or greater, and the home team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings. Take the points.

5* Nicholls State +10
The Key: The CS Fullerton Titans are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games as a favorite.

5* Ball State +6
The Key: Ball State has defeated Indiana State each of the last two seasons and returns 4 starts from last year's team, which won by 15 points. Also, the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in his series.

6* NCAAB CA$H COW (ESPN2) on Arizona -2
The Key: The Wildcats are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 6.5 points or less.

6* NFL CA$H COW on Broncos +7
The Key: Tough spot for the Jets as they hit the road on a short week following a deflating loss to division rival New England. The Broncos are playing their best football of the season, and they'll be lacking no confidence against a Jets squad they played to a 4-point game at home last year. Bet the Broncos.

7* ACC Game of the Year (ESPN) on UNC +10.5
The Key: The road team has been the play in this series as it is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 matchups. Plus, VA Tech is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games as a favorite of 10.5 or more points. UNC, meanwhile, is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games as an underdog of 10.5 or greater. Take the points.

7* MAC Game of the Week on Bowling Green +7
The Key: Bowling Green is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings in this series. It's also 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games following a loss of 10 points or more at home.

6* Princeton +10
The Key: The Tigers are 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games as an underdog of 7.0 to 12.5 points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* on Louisiana-Monroe +21.5
The Key: The Volunteers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games when laying points.

5* Georgia Southern +13
The Key: The Demon Deacons are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5 points and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN2) on Ohio State -10
The Key: Ohio State crushed Florida by 18 on the road last year, and I like the Buckeyes big again playing at home this time around. Plays against underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (FLORIDA) after a win by 10 points or more, with just two starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season, are 34-11 ATS the last 5 seasons. Teams fitting into this situation are losing by an average of 17.6 points. Take Ohio State.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPNU) on Ball State +17.5
The Key: The Cardinals are 30-11 ATS in their last 41 road games and 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as a road underdog of 10.5 or greater. With a MAC West title still within reach, the Cards will leave it all on the field and keep this one closer then the odds makers think.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on Michigan State +6.5
The Key: Michigan State is 24-11 ATS as a neutral court underdog or pick under coach Izzo. It has lost these games by just 1.0 point on average.

6* NCAAB CA$H COW (ESPNU) on Detroit +7.5
The Key: No Tim Abromaitis for Notre Dame tonight spells bad news for the Irish as they are up against an experienced Detroit team that has a lot of talent. The Titans are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 versus Big East schools. Take the points.

7* Monday Night Football *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Vikings +14
The Key: This is just too many points for a Minnesota team that runs the ball well and gets after the quarterback to be catching. The Vikes, who played the Packers to a 6-point game the first time around, have been defeated by more than 14 points just once this season. They have only been beaten by more than 14 points two times by Green Bay dating back to 1998. That's only two times in 28 matchups. We'll take Minnesota.

6* Seahawks +7
The Key: The Ravens are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. The Seahawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog and 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points.

5* Redskins +4
The Key: The Dolphins are 17-48-1 ATS in their last 66 home games, 6-29 ATS in their last 35 games as a home favorite and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a SU win.

7* AFC North Game of the Year on Steelers -3
The Key: The Steelers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU loss, 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss and 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Cincinnati.

6* Texans -3
The Key: The Buccaneers are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games as a home underdog and 1-8 ATS as a home underdog of 7 points or less under coach Morris.

6* Cowboys -4.5
The Key: The Bills are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home. The Cowboys are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. a team with a winning record.

5* Oregon +3.5

7* NCAAF Game of the Year on Central Florida +9
The Key: Love the Knights catching more than a TD as they have either won or lost by 7 points or less in 8 of 9 games this season. The Knights are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. Plus, the road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in this matchup. UCF is one of the best defensive teams in the nation (4th in total D and 5th in scoring D). This defense has kept the Knights in nearly every game this season, and it will give them an opportunity to win this game outright. Take the points.

5* Mississippi State +19

5* Illinois +1

6* Texas A&M -4.5

5* Georgia -12.5

5* San Jose State +10.5

5* Pittsburgh +3

5* Purdue +7.5

6* Rice +16.5

6* West Virginia +4

5* Missouri +2

5* Nebraska -3.5

5* Texas Tech +17.5

6* Michigan State -2.5

7* Big East Game of the Month on S. Florida -3.5
The Key: The Bulls are 5-1 straight up and against the spread all-time versus Syracuse, including a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS in games at Syracuse. Those 3 wins have come by an average of 24 points. Lay the points with the Bulls.

6* NCAAB Dog of the Day on Loyola (MD) +1.5
The Key: The Greyhounds are 60-29-1 ATS in their last 90 road games and 24-9-1 ATS in their last 34 games as a road underdog of 6.5 points or less. Take the Hounds.

7* Thursday NFL *HEAVY HITTER* (NFL Network) on Chargers -7
The Key: Motivated by 3 straight losses, and further motivated by getting swept by Oakland in last year's regular season, expect the Chargers to take care of business tonight. Carson Palmer is struggling and Darren McFadden won't be on the field. The Chargers are 24-7 ATS in their last 31 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. They're also 6-0 ATS in the second half of the season the last 3 seasons versus good offensive teams who averaging >=350 yards/game. They're winning by an average of 17.1 points in this situation. Lay the number.

6* NFL "Total" Annihilator (NFL Network) on Raiders/Chargers Under 48
The Key: 12 of the last 13 meetings between these AFC West rivals have finished with 47 total points scored or less. We've seen an average of just 42.3 total points scored in these 13 contests.

6* National TV CA$H COW (ESPN) on VA Tech -1
The Key: I'm not hesitating to take the Hokies in the road chalk. They've won 3 of the last 4 in this series and have been deadly when laying points on the road under coach Beamer, going 22-4 ATS as a road favorite of 7 points or less. We'll take the Hokies.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN) on Temple -12.5
The Key: This is a must win game for Temple to remain in the MAC East hunt, and I like the Owls to deliver. Temple is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, and I'm expecting an inspired defensive effort tonight following its worst defensive performance of the season last game. The Owls are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. We'll lay the points.

7* NCAAB *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN2) on Lehigh +13
The Key: The Mountain Hawks are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Take the points.

6* (ESPNU) on Mississippi State -6.5
The Key: This is not the same Akron team that won 23 games last season. Mississippi State, meanwhile, has an opportunity to make some noise behind Renardo Sidney, Dee Bost and Rodney Hood. Plays on home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MISSISSIPPI ST) - team from a major division 1-A conference against a team from a second tier conference, off a home win by 10 points or more, are 120-65 ATS since 1997. Teams in this system are winning by an average of 9.6 points.

7* NCAAF *HEAVY HITTER* (ESPN2) on Bowling Green +6
The Key: The Falcons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog of 3.5-10.0 points while the Huskies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points. Take the points.

6* (ESPNU) on Valpo +13.5
The Key: The Crusaders are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog of 13.0 points or more while the Wildcats are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite of 13.0 points or more.

7* MNF *HEAVY HITTER* on Eagles -7.5
The Key: The Bears have been a terrible investment as a road underdog. In fact, they are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog and 8-24 ATS in their last 32 games as a road underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. We'll lay the points with an Eagles team that has its mojo back.

6* (ESPNU) on William & Mary +8.5
The Key: The Red Storm are 6-14-1 ATS in their last 21 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5 points while the Tribe are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5 points.

7* 2011 NFL Game of the Year on Chargers +6
The Key: The Bolts have been one of the best home bets in the NFL for quite some time now. They are 3-0 at home this season, 35-8 the last 6 seasons and 46-13 the last 8 seasons. The Chargers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a home underdog, 22-7-3 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog and 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0 points. The Packers are the second-worst team in the NFL against the pass and the Chargers rank 6th in the league in passing offense. Look for San Diego to take advantage through the air and stun the defending Super Bowl champs.

5* Titans -2.5
The Key: I'm not a believer in the Bengals, who gave up big yards to one of the worst offense teams in the league last week. The Titans are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record and 17-8-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home favorite of 3.0 points or less.

6* Saints -8
The Key: Highly motivated spot for the Saints as they look to bounce back from last week's dud and avenge an earlier season loss to Tampa Bay. Plays on favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (NEW ORLEANS) that are out to avenge a loss to an opponent and are off an upset loss are 72-37 ATS the last 28 seasons, including 8-1 ATS the last 3 seasons.

6* Redskins +4
The Key: I'm not ready to lay this much chalk on the road with a 49ers team that is overachieving in my opinion, especially since the Niners are just 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite of 3.5-10.0 points.