Sports Picks & Predictions

All Sports Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
01-21-20	Ole Miss v. Tennessee UNDER 128	Top	48-73	Win	100	10 h 38 m	Show
Ole Miss has struggled as the schedule has become more difficult. They shot the ball very well against several cupcakes but as the schedule has increased in difficulty, they are 0-5 and as a team has shot as a team a woeful 37.3%. Tennessee lost a lot of firepower from last year's team, shooting just 40% at home, but the defense has been superb. The defense has always shown up at home, as the Vols are 60-31 to the under in its last 91 home games. Make the play on the under.
01-20-20	Thunder v. Rockets OVER 229	Top	112-107	Loss	-110	8 h 54 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 398-275 ATS, and the play is on the OVER.
01-20-20	Raptors v. Hawks OVER 229.5	Top	122-117	Win	100	5 h 24 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 398-275 ATS, and the play is on the OVER.
01-19-20	Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 211.5	Top	115-107	Win	100	11 h 5 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is extremely strong and is 162-84 ATS. The play is on the under.
01-16-20	Magic v. Clippers UNDER 216	Top	95-122	Loss	-110	8 h 19 m	Show
LA CLIPPERS/ORLANDO UNDER 215.5 -107 194-145 ATS SITUATION
01-16-20	CS-Northridge v. Cal-Riverside UNDER 142	Top	80-68	Loss	-116	8 h 38 m	Show
CS NORTHRIDGE/UC IRVINE UNDER 141.5 -105 40-19-2 UNDER SITUATION
01-15-20	Cal-Irvine v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 133	Top	74-61	Loss	-110	13 h 47 m	Show
UC Fullerton has been an under machine producing a 59-32-4 ATS mark to the under in its last 95 games, including 6-2 to the under vs UC Irvine, in games that have produced just an average of 128 total points. All 3 meetings at home have played low and 3- to the under producing just 113.3ppg. Make the play on the under.
01-15-20	Notre Dame v. Georgia Tech UNDER 134.5	Top	78-74	Loss	-110	12 h 44 m	Show
Georgia Tech has been a defensive demon at home, and when you put that together with the limited offense the result has been 92-47-1 ATS to the under in their last 140 home games. Make the play on the under.
01-15-20	Samford v. East Tennessee State OVER 141.5	Top	63-88	Win	100	10 h 37 m	Show
E. Tennessee St. is off to a 15-3 start to the season. They have shot the ball poorly in recent games, but against a defenseless Samford team, they will be looking to tick up the tempo and should have a breakout offensive game. Samford has allowed 88ppg in its last 9 and Chatanooga just struck for 105 against them. The last 5 road games have seen Samford yield 92.6ppg and the Bulldogs are notorious for road games playing over the total as they are 43-18 to the over in their last 61 roadies. Make the play on the over.
01-14-20	Rockets v. Grizzlies UNDER 241	Top	110-121	Win	100	7 h 56 m	Show
HOUSTON VS MEMPHIS UNDER 240.5 -105 This game fits a total situation that is 185-111-4 ATS to the under.
01-14-20	Iowa v. Northwestern UNDER 142.5	Top	75-62	Win	100	7 h 25 m	Show
The B-10 Conference has long been known for its physical play. the question is if there is a way to cash in on that? Today in the newsletter we will take a look at the rugged B-10 Conference and key in on the home dogs and see what we find. We can start by looking at all B-10 home dogs: conference = B10 and HDSU:184-345 (-4.78, 34.8%) ATS:270-249-10 (0.54, 52.0%) avg line: 5.3O/U:249-272-3 (0.55, 47.8%) avg total: 133.4 There is a 52.2% starting point which is a good springboard to dig deeper. If we only look at games with a medium to high total from 141 and up we get: conference = B10 and total > 140.5 and HDSU:33-72 (-4.78, 31.4%) ATS:57-45-3 (1.12, 55.9%) avg line: 5.9O/U:41-63-1 (-0.84, 39.4%) We now see 60.6% of these games play to the under. If we avoid uncompetitive games and cap the line at fewer than +12 points we get: conference = B10 and total > 140.5 and HD and line < 12SU:33-63 (-3.77, 34.4%) ATS:51-42-3 (1.12, 54.8%) avg line: 4.9O/U:34-61-1 (-1.76, 35.8%) That is 64.2% to the under. Tonight consider Iowa/Northwestern UNDER the total.
01-12-20	Texans v. Chiefs UNDER 51.5	Top	31-51	Loss	-115	52 h 30 m	Show
The Kansas City Chiefs will host the Houston Texans in the AFC divisional round. this team has undertaken many transformations since the start of the 2018 season. Let's break this team down to 2019, the first 10 games of 2019, and the final 6 games of 2019 and you will see the transformation: 2019 avg, points scored 34.8 avg points allowed 2019 26.22018 1st 10 28.4 23.92018 last 6 27.8 11.5*******************************************************************************************************************The Chiefs score 7 points fewer than last season overall but look at the quantum leap in defense. They have shaved 14.7ppg off of last season and in their last 6 games this year, and 12.4ppg since where they were through 10 games. Andy Reid, given time to prepare and in the right spot has the following: coach=Andy Reid and rest in [12,13] and season>1999 and line>-14 and o:WP
01-11-20	The Citadel v. Wofford OVER 152	Top	71-73	Loss	-115	10 h 7 m	Show
Wofford lives to turn games into track meets especially at home where they are averaging 89ppg and shooting a sizzling 53% from the field. the Citadel will be obliging as they are averaging 83.6ppg. Wofford has seen their last 128 home games play 84-42-2 to the over. make the play on the over.
01-11-20	Jacksonville v. Liberty UNDER 115	Top	37-54	Win	100	8 h 45 m	Show
Jacksonville has a tough as they head to Liberty to take on the upstart 17-1 Flames. Liberty has been the surprise of the season so far, and the Flames are dominating defensively on their home floor, which has been going on for quite some time. Flames allowing a stingy 32% shooting at home, and 23% from deep. Slow pace, the great defense has led Liberty to a 54-24 mark to the under at home in its last 78. Make the play on the under.
01-11-20	South Carolina v. Tennessee UNDER 132	Top	55-56	Win	100	4 h 57 m	Show
Tennessee and South Carolina saw a lot of roster turnover from last year. each team returned just 1 starter from 2018. The offense has been slow and methodical for both teams, and Tennessee is shooting just 43% on the season. the good news is the defense which has always been elite, especially at home is allowing just 37.8% shooting on home hardwood. SC is also shooting just 43% and allows 39%, so there will be some scoring droughts in this contest. Tennessee's defense continues to dominate home games as the Bols are now 60-30-2 to the under in their last 92 at Rocky Top. make the play on the under.
01-10-20	Spurs v. Grizzlies OVER 231	Top	121-134	Win	100	11 h 43 m	Show
This game fits a very active and long-term total situation that is 391-274 ATS. The play is on the OVER.
01-09-20	Louisiana-Monroe v. Georgia Southern UNDER 140	Top	56-67	Win	100	10 h 43 m	Show
UL Monroe has been a cash cow to the under on the road where they are 62-100-3 O/U in their last 165 games. (1-4 O/U so far this year). team = ULMON and A and date >= 20071229SU:41-146 (-9.71, 21.9%) ATS:93-82-3 (0.15, 53.1%) avg line: 10.3O/U:62-100-3 (-2.96, 38.3%) avg total: 135.6 Make the play on the under.
01-08-20	Duke v. Georgia Tech UNDER 139.5	Top	73-64	Win	100	8 h 14 m	Show
Georgia Tech is the biggest under team at home in NCAAB. They are 92-47-1 to the under in their last 140 games at home. Make the play on the under.
01-08-20	Raptors v. Hornets UNDER 208.5	Top	112-110	Loss	-110	7 h 36 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 312-168 ATS and the play is on the under.
01-08-20	Heat v. Pacers UNDER 211	Top	122-108	Loss	-110	7 h 35 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 312-168 ATS and the play is on the under.
01-06-20	Bucks v. Spurs OVER 229	Top	104-126	Win	100	10 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 386-272-21 ATS and the play is on the over.
01-06-20	Pacers v. Hornets OVER 208	Top	115-104	Win	100	9 h 44 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 386-272-21 ATS and the play is on the over.
01-04-20	Spurs v. Bucks UNDER 228.5	Top	118-127	Loss	-110	11 h 58 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 190-143 ATS. Make the play on the under.
01-04-20	Tulane v. Southern Miss UNDER 56.5	Top	30-13	Win	100	4 h 59 m	Show
Tulane started the season 5-1 but finished 1-5. A lot of that had to do with scheduling as the Green Wave lost to UCF, Memphis, SMU, Navy, and Temple. Their 6th loss was to Auburn. They were up yo task against several elite teams. One thing the Green Wave has done is averaged 41.1ppg as a favorite in their last 8. S. Miss has a very good passing attack that averages 8.8 yards per attempt. See some value on the total here as AAV teams have seen Bowl games average over 63.1ppg all-time and the over has cashed 57% of the time. Make the play on the over.
01-02-20	Grizzlies v. Kings UNDER 225.5	Top	123-128	Loss	-110	8 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 89-44-6 ATS and the play is on the under.
01-01-20	Baylor v. Georgia UNDER 42.5	Top	14-26	Win	100	34 h 38 m	Show
This game is from my super total system and the play is on the under.
12-30-19	Suns v. Blazers UNDER 231	Top	122-116	Loss	-109	13 h 23 m	Show
This game gits a total situation that is 190-141 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-30-19	Heat v. Wizards UNDER 228	Top	105-123	Push	0	10 h 23 m	Show
This game gits a total situation that is 190-141 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-27-19	76ers v. Magic UNDER 210	Top	97-98	Win	100	11 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 265-158 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-23-19	Marshall v. Central Florida UNDER 60.5	Top	25-48	Loss	-110	6 h 47 m	Show
High scoring teams tend to under-perform in Bowl games: game type = BG and tA(points) >= 40.25 and total < 64 and season > 2007 and line
12-22-19	Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 209	Top	128-104	Loss	-110	12 h 56 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 304-164-10 ATS.Make the play on the under.
12-22-19	Hornets v. Celtics UNDER 209.5	Top	93-119	Loss	-101	8 h 28 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 304-164-10 ATS.Make the play on the under.
12-22-19	Raiders v. Chargers UNDER 46	Top	24-17	Win	100	53 h 46 m	Show
When it gets late in the season (week 15 and on), and you have what I call a snoozer game between 2 teams that each have a losing record there is nothing to play for, and they seem to play to get the game over with. this leads to low scoring games as a rule: week >= 15 and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and AD and total > 36 and total < 46.5 and line < 8 SU:47-94-0 (-4.46, 33.3%)Teaser Records ATS:66-73-2 (-0.20, 47.5%) avg line: 4.3+6: 97-41-3 (70.3%) -6: 36-102-3 (26.1%) +10: 111-27-3 (80.4%) -10: 24-116-1 (17.1%) O/U:48-92-1 (-2.83, 34.3%) Make the play on the under.
12-22-19	Lions v. Broncos UNDER 38.5	Top	17-27	Loss	-110	53 h 46 m	Show
When it gets late in the season (week 15 and on), and you have what I call a snoozer game between 2 teams that each have a losing record there is nothing to play for, and they seem to play to get the game over with. this leads to low scoring games as a rule: week >= 15 and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and AD and total > 36 and total < 46.5 and line < 8 SU:47-94-0 (-4.46, 33.3%)Teaser Records ATS:66-73-2 (-0.20, 47.5%) avg line: 4.3+6: 97-41-3 (70.3%) -6: 36-102-3 (26.1%) +10: 111-27-3 (80.4%) -10: 24-116-1 (17.1%) O/U:48-92-1 (-2.83, 34.3%) Make the play on the under.
12-22-19	Giants v. Redskins UNDER 42	Top	41-35	Loss	-110	50 h 42 m	Show
When it gets late in the season (week 15 and on), and you have what I call a snoozer game between 2 teams that each have a losing record there is nothing to play for, and they seem to play to get the game over with. this leads to low scoring games as a rule: week >= 15 and WP < 50 and o:WP < 50 and AD and total > 36 and total < 46.5 and line < 8 SU:47-94-0 (-4.46, 33.3%)Teaser Records ATS:66-73-2 (-0.20, 47.5%) avg line: 4.3+6: 97-41-3 (70.3%) -6: 36-102-3 (26.1%) +10: 111-27-3 (80.4%) -10: 24-116-1 (17.1%) O/U:48-92-1 (-2.83, 34.3%) Make the play on the under.
12-21-19	SMU v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 71	Top	28-52	Loss	-110	51 h 11 m	Show
Florida Atlantic will be at home vs SMU in the Boca Raton Bowl. Both these teams love to put the ball in the air, but the weather may curtail what is supposed to be a shootout. The winds are going to have a lot to say about this one with sustained winds of 20 MPH and husts to over 30 during the game. Rain is in the forecast as well. Bowl games with a total of fewer than 73 points with a team that averages over 40pph have played under the total to a 59-31-1 ATS. make the play on the under.
12-20-19	Grizzlies v. Cavs UNDER 223.5	Top	107-114	Win	100	10 h 3 m	Show
This game fits a tital situatyion that is 98-55-7 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-20-19	Buffalo v. Charlotte UNDER 52.5	Top	31-9	Win	100	26 h 20 m	Show
The Bahamas Bowl will see the winner collecting its 1st Bowl win in school history as Buffalo will take on Charlotte. perhaps the bigger story in this game is going to be the weather. The game time wind profile shows 30 MPH winds with husts to 45 MPH. This is going to for the most part negate the kicking and passing games. Buffalo runs the ball 50+ times a game, but without the threat of the pass Charlotte will stack the box and make it tougher to run. Charlotte prefers to throw the ball, but will be limited and Buffalo has been tough against the run. Biffalo comes in having played 5 straight to the over, but a Bowl team that enters their Bowl game off 3+ overs are 65-39-1 ATS to the under including 59-29-1 to the under if the total is fewer than 66 points. (37-13 as a favorite). Make the play on the under.
12-18-19	Grizzlies v. Thunder UNDER 219	Top	122-126	Loss	-104	11 h 52 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 189-139 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-17-19	Magic v. Jazz UNDER 207	Top	102-109	Loss	-110	12 h 24 m	Show
This game fits one of my strongest total situations which is 412-248 ATS. The play is on the under.
12-16-19	Spurs v. Rockets UNDER 232.5	Top	107-109	Win	100	10 h 20 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 188-139 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-15-19	Lakers v. Hawks UNDER 226.5	Top	101-96	Win	100	9 h 3 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 187-139 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-15-19	Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 211	Top	85-107	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 412-249 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-15-19	Jaguars v. Raiders UNDER 47	Top	20-16	Win	100	20 h 26 m	Show
This game fits a situation that os 27-3 ATS: H and po:points > 34 and ppo:points > 34 and tS(o:points,N=2) > 80 and 49 > total > 35 SU:13-18-0 (-2.84, 41.9%)Teaser Records ATS:13-18-0 (-2.29, 41.9%) avg line: 0.5+6: 20-11-0 (64.5%) -6: 7-22-2 (24.1%) +10: 27-4-0 (87.1%) -10: 1-28-2 (3.4%) O/U:3-27-1 (-8.94, 10.0%) Make the play on the under.
12-15-19	Browns v. Cardinals OVER 49	Top	24-38	Win	100	20 h 20 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 177-112 ATS and the play is on the under.
12-13-19	Knicks v. Kings UNDER 210	Top	103-101	Win	100	12 h 18 m	Show
This game fits one of my top total situations which is now 303-161 ATS. Make the play on the under.
12-11-19	Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 210.5	Top	117-122	Loss	-109	10 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a vert strong 410-247 ATS situation. The play is on the under.
12-10-19	Nuggets v. 76ers UNDER 207.5	Top	92-97	Win	100	9 h 26 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 76-44 ATS to the under: total > 199.5 and p:AFL and WP > 50 and o:WP > 50 and A and line >= 3SU:36-87 (-5.85, 29.3%) ATS:62-60-1 (0.95, 50.8%) avg line: 6.8O/U:44-76-3 (-2.47, 36.7%) avg total: 210.8 Make the play on the under.
12-09-19	Grizzlies v. Warriors UNDER 219	Top	110-102	Win	100	12 h 41 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 185-139. Make the play on the under.
12-09-19	Thunder v. Jazz UNDER 211	Top	104-90	Win	100	10 h 16 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 115-79. Make the play on the under.
12-08-19	Kings v. Mavs OVER 216.5	Top	110-106	Loss	-109	10 h 51 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 302-161 ATS to the over. Make the play on the OVER.
12-08-19	Nuggets v. Nets UNDER 210.5	Top	102-105	Win	100	6 h 53 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 409-247 ATS to the under. Make the play on the UNDER.
12-07-19	Pacers v. Knicks UNDER 207.5	Top	104-103	Win	100	10 h 25 m	Show
This game fits one of my top total situations that is 260-154 ATS. Make the play on the UNDER.
12-06-19	Clippers v. Bucks UNDER 233	Top	91-119	Win	100	11 h 9 m	Show
When a pair of elite teams get together (both have a season scoring margin of 7 or more) and the total is set at more than 200, defense shows up. These games have seen the under go 494-371 ATS. Make the play on the under.
12-01-19	Chargers v. Broncos UNDER 38.5	Top	20-23	Loss	-105	102 h 39 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 153-89-8 ATS. Make the play on the under.
12-01-19	Eagles v. Dolphins UNDER 45	Top	31-37	Loss	-109	98 h 17 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 46-6 ATS. The play is on the under. season>=2012 and HD and line>8 and total>=39 and total
11-29-19	76ers v. Knicks UNDER 207.5	Top	101-95	Win	100	11 h 57 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 295-158 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-29-19	Hornets v. Pistons UNDER 213.5	Top	110-107	Loss	-110	11 h 32 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 64-36 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-29-19	Raptors v. Magic UNDER 207.5	Top	90-83	Win	100	10 h 28 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 295-158 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-27-19	Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 210.5	Top	98-126	Loss	-110	10 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 294-156 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-27-19	Kings v. 76ers UNDER 211	Top	91-97	Win	100	10 h 43 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 294-156 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-24-19	Nets v. Knicks UNDER 215	Top	103-101	Win	100	8 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a total situation that is 301-186 ATS. make the play on the under.
11-24-19	Panthers v. Saints UNDER 47	Top	31-34	Loss	-105	96 h 48 m	Show
Division games are often lower scoring than other NFL games. The teams play at least twice a year so they know and have experienced the tendencies of their division rivals. the situation in this game has been a long term winner: division=o:division and HF and total>43.5 and rest=6 and opo:points
11-23-19	Raptors v. Hawks UNDER 224	Top	119-116	Loss	-110	10 h 6 m	Show
This game applies to a situation that is 509-424 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-22-19	Hornets v. Wizards UNDER 235.5	Top	118-125	Loss	-110	9 h 41 m	Show
This game is based on a team off a win and a matchup vs below-average teams. This particular situation is 90-49-7. make the play on the under.
11-22-19	Houston Baptist v. Michigan UNDER 153.5	Top	68-111	Loss	-109	6 h 50 m	Show
A lot of these early season mismatches end up playing under the total, likely due in part o so much garbage time. Gome teams of -15 or more points and a higher total from 150 and up tend to play a lot of games under the total: H and line=150SU:1068-49 (21.63, 95.6%) ATS:544-551-22 (0.40, 49.7%) avg line: -21.2O/U:491-612-14 (-1.59, 44.5%) avg total: 156.7 Make the play on the under.
11-20-19	Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 224	Top	95-105	Win	100	11 h 22 m	Show
A pretty good test for each team in the early going as 11-3 Houston hits the road to take on Denver at 9-3. The Rockets are rolling with 8 straight wins and covers. This team has decided to play a little defense and they are 6-2 to the under in the streak. The Nuggets are all about defense and are 9-3 to the under in the season as 5 of their last 7 opponents have failed to reach the century mark. this hame also applies to a situation that is O/U:217-302-7 (-2.46, 41.8%)Make the play on the under.
11-18-19	Cavs v. Knicks UNDER 211	Top	105-123	Loss	-109	7 h 17 m	Show
The Cavs and the Knicks are both in a massive rebuild and have just 5 wins between them on the season. There is a solid line in the sand for this Cavs team. When they allow 50% shooting or better they are losing 120.2 to 105.6 on average. When they allow less than 50% shooting against them they are 103.6 to 98.7 on average. A much lower scoring team. The Knicks have failed to shoot 50% in any game this season, and have now played 10 of 13 contests to the under. make the play on the under.
11-17-19	Falcons v. Panthers UNDER 51	Top	29-3	Win	100	143 h 40 m	Show
This game fits a totals system that plays on the under at 127-53-2 ATS. Make the play on the under.
11-17-19	Jaguars v. Colts UNDER 44	Top	13-33	Loss	-110	143 h 39 m	Show
This game fits a totals system that plays on the under at 127-53-2 ATS. Make the play on the under.
11-13-19	Grizzlies v. Hornets UNDER 220.5	Top	119-117	Loss	-110	9 h 1 m	Show
The Charlotte Hornets have been missing on the defensive end all season long. Their last 2 efforts have just magnified the situation as each of their last 2 opponents has shot 53% or better. This is typically the time the coach comes in and starts barking loud about the lack of effort on the defensive end and a team usually responds. A team that has allowed 53% or better in each of its last 2 games on the blind is 53.8% to the under allowing 101.6ppg. This game also fits an under situation that is 89-48 ATS based mostly on a pair of below-average teams taking the floor. Make the play on the under.
11-12-19	Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 213.5	Top	85-111	Win	100	5 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 292-155 ATS. Make the play on the under.
11-11-19	Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 223.5	Top	113-109	Loss	-109	10 h 49 m	Show
The Memphis Grizzlies at 2-7 on the season have seen the wins come infrequently. The issue is on defense as the Grizzlies are allowing over 220 points per contest. (225.7ppg over their last 3). the pace has also been fast and furious with opponents squeezing off 92.5 shots per game while they take an equal amount. Spurs no longer the defensive team e have seen in the past allowing 112.7ppg. This game also fits a situation that has worked for many years that is 548-381-17 O/U. Make the play on the over.
11-10-19	Ravens v. Bengals UNDER 46	Top	49-13	Loss	-105	118 h 25 m	Show
This game fits my strongest NFL totals situation (at least by winning percentage).This game fits a 46-5 ATS situation and the play is on the under.
11-10-19	Lions v. Bears UNDER 42.5	Top	13-20	Win	100	118 h 24 m	Show
This game fits a long term under angle that is 591-420-19 ATS. Make the play on the under.
11-04-19	Bucks v. Wolves UNDER 230.5	Top	134-106	Loss	-110	12 h 59 m	Show
The Minnesota Timberwolves are off to a 4-1 start to the season and will be tested tonight vs 3-2 Milwaukee. It will be a bit tougher as they will take the floor without Karl-Anthony Towns who is suspended. The loss of Towns means a loss of offensive efficiency. Towns is averaging 27.2ppg on the season shooting 54.4% as well as 52.9% from deep. He also dishes out 4 assists per contest. Both reams off easy double-digit wins. This game fits a situation based on that. When 2 teams get together that didn't have to extend themselves much in their last game defensively they typically bring defensive energy to the court in their next game. I have a 106-183-7 O/U situation based mostly on that theory. Make the play on the under.
11-02-19	Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 226	Top	105-115	Win	100	11 h 60 m	Show
A pivotal early season NBA contest tonight in Milwaukee as the 4-1 Toronto Raptors invade. These teams met 10 times a year ago, so familiarity is certainly there. The one highlight of the 10 games from a year ago is just 1 time did a team shoot 50% or better in this matchup, so in 10 games (20 opportunities to do so), just 1 got to 50%. Moreover, 10 times a team shot 41% or less. These teams get after it on defense. It is what to expect tonight. When a pair of elite NBA teams hit the floor, the under outcome becomes highly probable. Looking back on this, when both teams come into an NBA game with a scoring margin of 7 or more points each, the games tend to go under at a rate of 64.1%. here is a look: total>=200 and H and tA(margin)>=7 and oA(margin)>=7SU:71-62 (3.04, 53.4%) ATS:64-65-4 (-0.65, 49.6%) avg line: -3.7O/U:46-82-5 (-4.23, 35.9%)Make the play on the UNDER.
11-01-19	Navy v. Connecticut UNDER 54	Top	56-10	Loss	-110	7 h 41 m	Show
This game is part of my mega totals situation. make the play on the under.
10-31-19	Georgia Southern v. Appalachian State UNDER 44.5	Top	24-21	Loss	-104	8 h 45 m	Show
This game fits the mega total system. Make the play on the under. (GASO/APPALACHIAN ST.)
10-25-19	Knicks v. Nets OVER 225.5	Top	109-113	Loss	-110	11 h 54 m	Show
This game fits the situation of a total that is 183-105 ATS to the over. Make the play on the over.
10-25-19	Wolves v. Hornets OVER 228	Top	121-99	Loss	-109	10 h 24 m	Show
This game fits the situation of a total that is 183-105 ATS to the over. Make the play on the over.
10-24-19	Clippers v. Warriors UNDER 224	Top	141-122	Loss	-105	14 h 13 m	Show
The Golden St. Warriors for the first time in several years has more questions than answers. Kevin Durant is gone as is Klay Thompson (for now), as well as DeMarcus Cousins. Deangelo Russell arrives, but he was involved in more pick and rolls than the entire Golden St. team a year ago, so how does he fit with Stephen Curry? Draymond Green is going to have an expanded role on defense, and the Golden St. wings are not nearly as productive as in recent tears. The Clippers are loaded and Paul George isn't even playing yet. These teams averaged 237ppg in 10 meetings a year ago, but I see a lot more than 10 points missing from this one. I will also lean on this for support: total >= 210 and p:DW and p:margin >= 10 and A and line >= -2 and line
10-21-19	Patriots v. Jets UNDER 44	Top	33-0	Win	100	101 h 52 m	Show
NFL0101: total>42 and total3 and HSU:140-138-0 (1.20, 50.4%) Teaser RecordsATS:130-141-7 (-0.16, 48.0%) avg line: -1.4+6: 189-85-4 (69.0%) -6: 81-195-2 (29.3%) +10: 218-55-5 (79.9%) -10: 55-215-8 (20.4%) O/U:111-163-4 (-2.20, 40.5%) avg total: 45.0 Make the play on the under
10-20-19	Cardinals v. Giants UNDER 50.5	Top	27-21	Win	100	70 h 41 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 44-5 to the under: season>=2012 and HD and line>8 and total>=39 and total
10-20-19	49ers v. Redskins UNDER 41.5	Top	9-0	Win	100	70 h 38 m	Show
NFL0101: total>42 and total3 and HSU:140-138-0 (1.20, 50.4%) Teaser RecordsATS:130-141-7 (-0.16, 48.0%) avg line: -1.4+6: 189-85-4 (69.0%) -6: 81-195-2 (29.3%) +10: 218-55-5 (79.9%) -10: 55-215-8 (20.4%) O/U:111-163-4 (-2.20, 40.5%) avg total: 45.0 Make the play on the under
10-13-19	Bengals v. Ravens UNDER 48	Top	17-23	Win	100	48 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 188-110 ATS to the under. Make the play on the under.
10-13-19	Seahawks v. Browns UNDER 46.5	Top	32-28	Loss	-105	48 h 19 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 163-110 ATS to the under. Make the play on the under.
10-06-19	Colts v. Chiefs UNDER 56	Top	19-13	Win	100	54 h 58 m	Show
Kansas City is one of the loudest places to play in the entire NFL. It helps elevate the Chiefs below-average defense, and at the same time, it tends to lower the offensive output, but not in the way you would think. here is what I mean. Since taking over at QB at the beginning of last season Pat Mahomes and the Chiefs have averaged 32.2ppg at home, but 37.1 on the road. The biggest reason is they have led on average by 12ppg at home. This tends to lead to a shorter game, with the big plays kept off the field. The Chiefs defense allows 31.2ppg on the road but just 20.2ppg at home. That is 12 points different. Overall the Chiefs road games average 68.3ppg and home games just 52.4ppg. A 16ppg differential. The reason is similar, they average leading at the half on the road by an average of just 2.6ppg, almost a full 10 points less than at home. This is what has caused a hidden value on the total in this contest. Moreover, 8 of the Chiefs 11 home games have seen 57 or fewer points scored between both teams. Make the play on the under.
10-06-19	Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 44.5	Top	20-13	Win	100	72 h 35 m	Show
This game is backed by one of just a few systems that I blindly bet because it has been that good. The situation is 126-53-2 ATS and the play is in the UNDER.
10-03-19	Rams v. Seahawks UNDER 49.5	Top	29-30	Loss	-110	7 h 51 m	Show
NFL TEAMS IN A GAME FOLLOWING A DEFENSIVE TD: Nothing can skew a box score more than a game that featured a team that scored without their offense. The next game tendency is usually impacted with a higher than normal total, as odds-makers realize most bettors don't go into great detail from the previous game. This applies significantly to division games, which are historically bias to the under. ALL NFL GAME TOTAL RESULTS BY GAME TYPE (RESULTS ARE THE PERCENTAGE UNDER THE TOTAL): NON-CONFERENCE 48.8% CONF (But not division) 50.1% DIVISION 52.1%** It is clear division games have a much higher probability of playing under. These teams tend to know tendencies from playing each other twice a season every season. So now when the totals get skewed by a previous game that involved defensive TD things become profitable. Let's take a look: 1) Home team scored a defensive TD in its last game 2) This game is a division game These games have gone: 93-145-5 O/U or 60.1% to the UNDER p:DTD > 0 and DIV and HSU:146-97-0 (4.14, 60.1%) Teaser RecordsATS:119-118-6 (0.61, 50.2%) avg line: -3.5+6: 170-71-2 (70.5%) -6: 73-163-7 (30.9%) +10: 189-49-5 (79.4%) -10:** 60-181-2 (24.9%) O/U:93-145-5 (-1.45, 39.1%) avg total: 43.0 Make the play on the UNDER
09-29-19	Redskins v. Giants UNDER 47	Top	3-24	Win	100	123 h 3 m	Show
This game is a systems play. It plays on the UNDER when there is a division home favorite to a total of 44 or higher, if the opponent allowed less than 3 points last game: division=o:division and HF and total>43.5 and rest=6 and opo:points
09-29-19	Browns v. Ravens UNDER 47	Top	40-25	Loss	-120	123 h 2 m	Show
This game is a systems play. It plays on the UNDER when there is a division home favorite to a total of 44 or higher, if the opponent allowed less than 3 points last game: division=o:division and HF and total>43.5 and rest=6 and opo:points
09-22-19	Jets v. Patriots UNDER 44	Top	14-30	Push	0	118 h 37 m	Show
This game is based on a situation that is 109-186-2 ATS to the UNDER. division=o:division and HF and total>43.5 and rest=6 and opo:points
09-21-19	Kentucky v. Mississippi State UNDER 48.5	Top	13-28	Win	100	103 h 40 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER
09-21-19	Central Michigan v. Miami-FL UNDER 52	Top	12-17	Win	100	103 h 39 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER
09-21-19	Washington v. BYU UNDER 50.5	Top	45-19	Loss	-107	102 h 11 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER
09-21-19	Wyoming v. Tulsa UNDER 47	Top	21-24	Win	100	102 h 10 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER
09-21-19	Troy v. Akron UNDER 56.5	Top	35-7	Win	100	102 h 42 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER
09-21-19	Michigan v. Wisconsin UNDER 43.5	Top	14-35	Loss	-109	99 h 46 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER
09-21-19	Southern Miss v. Alabama UNDER 61	Top	7-49	Win	100	99 h 42 m	Show
This is from my totals formula that kicks in starting week 4: OVERALL RECORD TO THE UNDER: 387-191-13 67% 8.06 z-score Make the play on the UNDER

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