Sports Picks & Predictions

I have 3 very strong historical situations for this game which are 77-28, 122-71, and 55-15, all against the spread, and on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 259-141 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 259-141 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 259-141 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a pair of extremely strong totals situations, one that is 198-113, and the other 157-85. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 56-21 ATS, make the play on the under.

The Detroit Pistons after years of lacking a competitive nature appear to have turned the corner. They are led by Andre Drummond who is averaging 19.2ppg along with a scary 18.2rpg. The Pistons are off to a 7-5 start and look to have some staying power. Washington is over .500 with a pair of wins in their last 2 games to move to 5-4 on the season. The Wizards have finally decided to start defending after allowing 110+ points in 5 of 6 games, they have held each of their last 2 opponents under the century mark. The Pistons have held 8 of 12 opponents under the 100 point mark and are 8-4 to the under on the season. This game also fits a situation based on a pair of teams both off big wins, that has a long term record of 111-62 to the under. Make the play in this game, on the under.

This game fits a 233-138 ATS situation, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 213-149 ATS, and the play is on the under.

Division games tend to play a lot more intensely than other games, and lower scoring games are more probable, as both teams certainly see each other more frequently there are few surprises, and on a short week, less opportunity to create any new things. Thursday Night division games when their is a home favorite and a low to modest total of 36.5 to 44 have gone 27-10 to the under. 916-5 if a competitive game with a line of less than -6), and 3-0 if both teams are less than .400. Make the play on the under.

The San Antonio Spurs have gotten off to a fast start, and after an opening night loss have won 8 of their last 9, and have out-scored their opponents by nearly 11ppg on the season. The Nuggets are off to a 6-5 start, and have reached the century mark in 7 of their 11 games, while allowing 95 or more points in each of their last 10. Both of these teams have played to totals that have averaged over 200 points a game this season, and the pace of these teams are consistently above average with each team's average shots for both teams is 169 per contest. there have been over 8500 NBA games in the last 26 years where more than 165 shots have been taken by both teams, and the average total has been 200.3, and 60.4% of those have gone over that 200.3 total, and the average points scored by both teams has been 205.4 points, so clearly looking at game similarities, we see several points of value on the total here. If we lower total shots to greater than 160 we still get games that have averaged 202.3 points, and that is 10% less that what these teams have averaged. I also have a huge totals indicator, that has been 94-35 ATS to the over as well, and applies to this contest. Lots of value here, make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation that is 58-19 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 356-248 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 356-248 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 164-110 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 356-248 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 356-248 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 483-377 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 55-21 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 148-107 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 148-107 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 58-19 ATS and the play is on the under.

NFL division games have long been considered the 6 most important games on the schedule, after all, winning the division is an automatic entry into the playoffs, and if you win the vast majority of the division games, a team does not have to worry about tie breakers. The toughest of those division games occur when division teams collide on Thursday, without the benefit of a full week to prepare, r add many new wrinkles. These are teams that see each other twice a year, and are all too familiar with each other, and typically when we have enough defense around to keep the total on the low to moderate side, we end up with a defensive struggle.  Today in the newsletter we will illustrate an example of those forces at work with the following parameters:

1)  Thursday division home favorite

2)  Total is greater than 36 and less than 44.5

These Thursday Night division games have played:

10-27 O/U

BUT....

If these teams are meeting from game 9 on we get:

3-18 O/U

Tonight, make the play on the NY Jets and Buffalo Bills on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 73-37 ATS, and the play is on the over.

The Chicago Bears and the San Diego Chargers are both in need of a win. The Chargers 2-6 record may already be saying it is too late, and the Bears at 2-5, are desperate to avoid being 2-6 themselves. The Bears have been a great team in inter-conference games, sporting the best record of any NFC team, and when it comes to facing the AFC West they are 20-8-2 ATS. Their 2 wins this season, you guessed it, have come as an under dog of 3 points vs the Raiders, and 9 points vs the Chiefs. The Bears have lost 3 games this season by more than 4 points, but those were to Green Bay, Seattle, and Arizona, not anything like what they will face here. Phil Rivers continues to have success, but his team doesn't, as the Chargers have lost 4 straight games. His offensive line is in shambles, he has no running game, and while effectively moving the ball between the 20s, the points and yards don't add up. he now has to go without Keynan Allen who caught 77 balls for 783 yards and 4 TD's a year ago, and already had 67 for 725 and 4 TD through 7.5 games this year. The Bears go without Matt Forte, but Jeremy Langford was effective vs a stout Minnesota defense last week after the Forte injury, with 46 yards on 12 attempts, and vs a horrific Charger's run stop unit, he could have a breakout game. The Bears in their last 30 games vs the AFC West have seen an average of just 34.4ppg scored by both teams, and have been 21-9 to the under. Just 2 of the 30 games have topped 45 total points by both teams, and none of the 15 that have been played on the road. The fact is the 15 games have averaged just 31.7ppg, the lowest amount of points between any 2 teams in either league in 15 games at a non-conference opponent's site. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 76-43 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 216-136 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 216-136 ATS and the play is on the under

This is an interesting matchup pitting Adrien Peterson vs Todd Gurley. One considered the best RB in the NFL, the other a rookie, ready to be that guy. The Rams have changed offensively since Gurley came back and started in the backfield. They went from a team running the ball 39.1% of the time to a team running 56.1% of the time. Minnesota runs the ball a lot at home, as 63.2% of their plays at home have been running plays. This could be a very short game, with below average total plays. Vikings have been stout all season on defense and allow just 13.3ppg at home, while the Rams, over their last 67 road games have averaged a woeful 14.3ppg, and it has not gotten any better this year at 14.7ppg. St. Louis is 43-23-1 to the under in those 67 road games, including 23-5 to the under to a low total of less than 42.5, and if they are less than a 13 point favorite, that goes to 22-3 to the under. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 106-62 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game's total seems way out of line to me. Missouri is amongst the top defensive units in the country, and not a single team has scored more than 21 points against them all season, while their offense is the worst in the country, as the Tigers offense has not found the end-zone in 3 straight games. Miss St. has a good offense, but it isn't as good as the defense they will face tonight, and the top 3 games on their schedule vs Auburn, A&M, and LSU held them to 53 total points, or 17.7ppg. Miss St. is certainly an above average defensive team as well, and Missouri will be hard pressed to get to 10 here, meaning Miss St. is going to have to get into the 30s, and I just don't see that happening on the road vs the Missouri defense, that has allowed a max of 369 yards to any team all season. The last 6 Tiger's games have seen a grand total of 135 points scored by both teams, or 22.5ppg. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 72-37 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 169-107 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a total situation which is 89-44 ATS, and the play is on the over.

I held off as long as I could on this, knowing the total would go up. I was hoping for 63, and it may get there, but anyway, it has gotten to 62 at 3 books, so I'm ready to jump in. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a total situation which is 168-107 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 126-82 ATS, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which has gone 257-140 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which has gone 257-140 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which has gone 213-136 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game applies to a totals situation which is 196-113, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which has gone 196-113-2 the last 26 years, the play in this game is on the under.

Division games have a tendency to be physical, and more intense, which usually spells defense. The Vikings have the better team here, but playing in Chicago, regardless of how good the Vikings have been, has been a nightmare, as Minnesota has lost seven straight here and 13 of their last 14. The Vikings have scored 13 points or fewer here in four of their last five, and 14 or less in nine of the last 14. The Vikings defense is allowing just 17 points per game on the season, and an up-and-down Bears` offense is going to have trouble moving the chains and scoring points. The Vikings are 6-1 to the UNDER in their last seven games, and this series has seen the same result, as six of the last seven have come in UNDER the total. The Bears have bounced back from a porous rushing defensive game, as they are 36-17-1 to the UNDER in their last 54 after allowing 150 or more yards on the ground in their previous game. This game also fits a situation which is 118-76 to the under (54-23 if a division game). Take the UNDER in this one.

The odds makers are very sharp, and they see a series that has produced 29 runs so far to a combined total of 20 for the 3 games, striking gold for the over loving public, winning by an average of 3 runs per contest. What was supposed to be a pitcher dominated series has been anything but, as the winner has averaged 7 runs per game. We now see 7.5 posted tonight, clearly a padded total. Chris Young gets the ball for Kansas City, and is not considered to be a top of the rotation starter for the Royals. That would be a huge mistake to think that. Young started 19 games for the Royals this year and the opponent finished with 2 runs or less in 13 of those, including bull pen runs. (68.4%). No other starter for the Royals was even close to that, with Volquez doing it 15 times, but in 37 starts (40.5%). Steven Matz came up at the end of June, and made a splash by making 8 starts allowing a total of 18 runs, including bull pen runs, or 2.25 runs allowed in all of his starts on average. MLB playoff games that have seen 3 straight games go over the total have averaged a combined 5.6 runs in the next game, and from game 2 of a series on (not being mostly contingent on the last series), the under is 22-13 following 3 straight over the total. While this pitching matchup appears to be secondary, these are the 2 starters that have the best numbers from each club in limiting opponents runs, yet because of the nameless faces on the mound, and the scoring barrage in the first 3 games (which is actually a low scoring signature, see above), we have ample value on an inflated total. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 76-28 ATS, make the play on the over.

This game fits a very strong 61-30 ATS situation, the play is on the under.

This game fits a very strong 61-30 ATS situation, the play is on the under.

This game fits a very strong 125-82 ATS situation, the play is on the under.

This game fits a very strong 61-30 ATS situation, the play is on the under.

This game fits a very strong 61-30 ATS situation, the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year`s perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 55-25 mark, and the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year`s perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 55-25 mark, and the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year`s perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 55-25 mark, and the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year`s perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 55-25 mark, and the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year`s perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 55-25 mark, and the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year`s perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 55-25 mark, and the play is on the under.

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year's perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 53-24 mark, and the play is on the under. 

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year's perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 53-24 mark, and the play is on the under. 

This is a game 1 specific situation, that has produced a 68.8% win rate. Totals at this point of the season are based on last year's perception, and since bettors love playing the over, they are usually stepped up by odds makers as opposed to reduced, for that reason. This situation has produced a 53-24 mark, and the play is on the under. 

This game fits a totals situation which is 196-110 since 1989. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 196-110 since 1989. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which has played to the under to a 196-108 record over the past 26 NFL seasons. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which has played to the under to a 196-108 record over the past 26 NFL seasons. Make the play on the under.

The Georgia Tech option has been as good under Coach Paul Johnson as it was at Navy, when most said it would not work on this level. This year however he doesn't have the horses to pull it off and tech no longer has the power running game, although they are still trying. The overall numbers say 5.2 yards per contest, but that is a mirage. The yellow jackets piled up the yardage vs over-matched teams such as Alcorn St. and Tulane, but in their 4 games vs comparable competition just 208-705 3.4 yards per carry, an all-time low. Pitt has one of the top defensive teams in the country, especially against the run where they have limited opponents to 2.9 yards per carry on the season. The better part of the Panther attack has been in the air, but Georgia Tech's defense has defended the pass better than the run, so it is not a favorable match up for the Panthers offense either. I don't see a lot of scoring here. Pitt has averaged just a total of 118 plays by both teams per game, as they control the game with their defense. Make the play on the under.

I have a playoff totals situation which is 34-13 O/U, and will ride with it, make the play on the over.

This game is an automatic blind total play for me, as it is from a situation that has gone 61-161-4 ATS O/U. Make the play on the under.

This game is an automatic blind total play for me, as it is from a situation that has gone 61-161-4 ATS O/U. Make the play on the under.

The Oakland Raiders come to week 4 favored to equal their season win total from a year ago of 3. The Bears on the other hand, at 0-3, look to avoid their worst start in 15 years. The Raiders may be 2-1, but it took 2 straight games with less than :40 seconds to go to claim those victories, so the margin for error with this team is still razor thin. The Raiders have not won consecutive games on the road since 2011, and we have seen this movie before. The bears suffered their first shutout since 2002 last week, but that was a desperate 0-2 Seattle team, and Oakland is not Seattle. It isn't about the teams here however, it is about the points. Oakland's improvement has come on offense, and Chicago has not stopped anyone at this point, allowing 28.7ppg. The Raiders have allowed 28ppg on the road over the past 4 years, and 2015. The fact is their best effort was allowing 13 on the road over the period and just 4 teams have scored less than 20. The Bears since the start of the 2013 season have held 5 teams under 20 points, while allowing 16 to get to 30+. This game fits an inter-conference total situation which is 55-17 to the over. This one follows suit, make the play on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 11.5% to 37.3%. The play in this game is on the under.

It is tough to suffer a letdown after a loss, but the Ravens dropped a tough 19-13 decision in their opener in Denver, then were a no-show last week in Oakland, losing 37-33. I expect a huge effort this week as the Ravens know if they want to make the playoffs, starting 0-3 would likely leave them behind. History certainly tells the story as any team starting the season at 0-3 has a 2% chance of making the playoffs. I expect to see an intense defensive effort at home vs Cincinnati by the Ravens this week, much the same as we saw in week 1 in Denver. The fact is Baltimore has allowed an average of 16.8ppg here in their history, which dips to 14.4ppg when favored here. The last 2 years have seen Cincinnati road games average just 38.3ppg, less in division games. Baltimore division games averaging just 32.6ppg the last 2 years. This game also fits a 105-196-2 O/U situation. Defensive struggle expected, play on the under.

 We have watched the slow erosion of the New Orleans Saints offense over the last 4 years, and it continues into the start of the 2015 season. The Saints in 2011 scored 30 points in 12 games, down to 8 in 2012, down to 6 in 2013, and down to 5 last season. Drew Brees has had a great run, but his 84 INT`s the last 5 seasons have taken their toll, and the Saints through 2 games have not scored even 20 in either game. Count the NFLX dress rehearsal game 3, where they scored just 13, and it is a problem. Carolina has never been a high scoring team, and have always been strong defensively. Their 165 home games have seen an average of 39.7ppg scored. Just 47 of their 165 home games have seen more than 45 total points scored (28.4%). That has translated to a 24-42-1 O/U mark at home in their history. This game also fits a situation which is 105-196-2 O/U. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 7.9% to 48.2%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 17.7% to 30.2%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 17.7% to 30.2%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 15.0% to 51.7%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 15.0% to 51.7%. The play in this game is on the under.

The Alabama Crimson Tide have not skipped a beat under Saban, thanks to a continued influx of 5* recruits, that reload, and never rebuild. This season however, it may take some time for the offense to get on track. QB Blake Sims is the single season passing leader, and he is gone and his replacement is still undetermined. The top 3 receivers are gone, as well as the 4th all-time rusher, and 3 of the 5 members on the offensive line. While the talent pool is rich, early tough games could slow the offense. The defense is another story, and as good as defense has been in recent years, this may be their best, especially the front 7, which is not only big, but quick and versatile enough to handle all the spread offenses in the SEC. they have lots of experience at corner, and plenty of talented competition to fill the safety positions. All in all, Wisconsin will not find the going easy here. The strength of the Badger's offense will be RB Corey Clement, and a strong defense. Like Alabama, they are questionable at QB, and likely not able to take advantage of where the Tide is most vulnerable, in the secondary, at least early. Melvin Gordon and his near 2,600 yards is gone, and replacing those yards will not be easy, especially in this game, as the Tide is tough against the run, and undeniably so this season. QB Joel Stave has been more of a protector, than a difference maker, and with a very inexperienced line in front of him, against a fierce defense, he will be hard pressed to be a difference maker here. The defenses have a lot more answers than either offense for this opener. Since Nick Saban came to Alabama, he is 30-2 SU in regular season non-conference games, and his defenses have combined to allow just 9.2ppg in the 32 games. None of those 32 opponents have scored more than 24 points, in fact 26 of the 32 scored 14 or less!That hasn't changed much in the 4 games where the game was expected to be more competitive, as Alabama has allowed 13ppg in the 4 played to a line of -7 to -14. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 16.0% to 47.0%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 10.5% to 22.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 7.9% to 36.1%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 11.0% to 48.0%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years, have produced ROI`s from 12.6% to 39.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

The Tampa Bay Rays made a rare comeback last night, scoring 2 in the ninth to win 5-4 in Oakland. These same two teams will have at it again, this time with Jake Odorizzi taking the mound for the Rays. Odorizzi was on his way to a big season, before injury sat him down, and he struggled some in his return. he has gotten things back on track as he has not lost in his last 6 starts. Odorizzi has allowed more than 3 runs in just 3 of his last 10 starts on the season. Kendall Graveman has shown his upside, but has been inconsistent, but he did tame the Ray's bats in his start against them this season, allowing just 3 hits in 6 scoreless frames. The Rays are in a historic under spot for the team, one that has seen the under cash in at 27-2 the last 29 times it has occurred. They have also played to a 9-2 mark to the under in Odorizzi's last 11 road starts. A's are now 20-5-2 in their last 27, to the under, after allowing 5+ runs in their previous contest. Under in this one.

The Baltimore Orioles may look back on this season if they don't make the playoffs, and circle all the contests they had vs Minnesota. The Twins have mastered the Orioles, and have won all 6 meetings this season, running the consecutive streak to 7 vs the O's. Mike Pelfrey gets the ball for the Twins vs Kevin Gausman, and nothing stands out for or against here. This game does however fit a historical totals situation that has been 205-147 over the last 12 years, and is live for this contest. The Twins have topped the total just 5 times in Pelfrey's last 18 starts on regular 4 days rest, while the Bird's have topped the total just 3 times in Gausman's last 14 starts on 4 days rest. Make the play on the under.

Today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.1% to 42.7%. The play is on the under.

Today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.1% to 42.7%. The play is on the over.

Today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.1% to 42.7%. The play is on the under.

Today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.1% to 42.7%. The play is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.3% to 53.7%. The play is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.3% to 53.7%. The play is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 12.4% to 22.0%. The play is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.3% to 27.4%. The play is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.3% to 27.4%. The play is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have shown ROI`s from 8.3% to 27.4%. The play is on the under.

The Oakland A's poor start has kept their playoff hopes pretty much empty. Oakland closed May with a team record of 20-33. One of the big reasons was pitching that was failing them, as the team was allowing 4.2 runs per contest. They have since become somewhat under the radar as they have been 31-32 since, but have dropped their runs allowed per game from the 4.2 pointed out above to 3.6. Baltimore since July 2nd, has scored 3 runs or less in 2/3 of their games, and the hitting just has not been consistent at all. This game also fits a high volume 12 year historic situation that has produced a 552-411 mark to the under, and 8.4% ROI. Make the play on the under.

A huge rivalry series gets underway in Chicago tonight as the Cubs and White Sox have at it. These teams are still in contention, with the White Sox just 5 games removed from a wild card spot, and the Cubs currently holding down a wild card spot in the NL. Kyle Hendricks can match his season win total from a year ago with a win, as he looks to win for the 3rd straight time, and has done well on the season. The White Sox turn to Jeff Simardzija, who has not pitched up to his ability the last 2 times out, but has pitched much better at home on the season. This looks to be a well matched meeting, and the Cubs have seen just 9 of their last 30 vs an interleague right hander make it over the total. Hendriks has pitched to a 7-2 mark to the under in his last 9 vs a team with a losing record. Simardzija's success at home has led to his last 7 starts here to a total of 7-8.5 to all go under the total, and just 6 of the last 21 meetings have made it over the total. Make the play on the under.

The Texas Rangers made some moves to strengthen their rotation before the trade deadline, but the bats have been quiet on this road trip, where they are just 1-3, scoring 3 times or less in the 3 losses. The Twins came back with a pair in the 8th, and a walk off run in the 9th to capture a 3-2 win. The Twins have however, scored just 8 runs in their last 4 at home, but despite the lack of offense they have gone 2-2 in the 4 games. This game fits a 190-123 situation, that has produced an ROI of 15% over the last 12 years, while the Rangers work on a 10-1 run to the under vs the AL Central. Twins have played 4 straight to the under at home, and this series has gone 10-2-1 to the under in the last 13 meetings here. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which has played to the under at a 190-122 pace the last 12 years, make the play on the under.

The Texas Rangers and the Minnesota Twins both still have playoff aspirations, so this is a competitive series, as sometimes we get toward mid-August and teams have lost focus, but that should not be the case here tonight. The Twins have gotten some good mileage out of  Kyle Gibson. Gibson has a respectful 3.78 ERA on the season, and has been better at home at 3.13. Rangers have to be pleased with Yovani Gallardo who has pitched to a 3.47 ERA on the season. Both pitchers tonight own solid resumes vs their opponent. This game fits into a long term under signature as the situation is 551-410 to the under over a 12 year period. Make the play on the under.

 A's come in at 18-6-2 to the under in their last 26 at home vs a right hander. Houston scores 0.8 runs less vs right handed pitching, and a long term total situation, pointing to the under has been 551-409 over the last 12 years. Make the play on the under in this one.