Sports Picks & Predictions

This game fits a conference tournament system that has hit 70% the last 7 years, and the play is on the over

This game fits a conference tournament system that has hit 70% the last 7 years, and the play is on the over

This game fits a totals situation which is 214-154 and the play is on the under

Ths game fits into a strong totals situation which is 45-12, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 214-154 and the play is on the under.

The Harvard Crimson put their 9-1 Ivy mark on the line tonight at Princeton, in a game that will go a long way to determine the Ivy representiative in the NCAA Tournament. Princeton enters the contest at 7-2 in league play, can even things up in the loss column. While the Ivy League is known for lower scoring games, this season, both these teams are amongst the best shooting teams in the country. The Tigers rank 17th at 47.6%, while also hitting 40.8% from deep and converting 71.2% from the line. Harvard enters with even better numbers ranked 8th in the country shooting 49%, hit 72% from the line, and 40.1% from deep. The Crimson have scored 63 or more points in every Ivy contest this season, and while Princeton still runs the high post backdoor offense, they have scored 70.1 points per game in their last 7 at home, a far cry from the numbers this team used to put up, when games were played in the 40s. The last 5 meetings between these teams have all topped the current posted total, and 9 of the 10 scores were 63 or higher, from both teams. This game should also be close enough down the stretch to see fouling and an extension of the game at the free throw line where both teams are very good. Play this one OVER the total, my NCAA Basketball TOTAL OF THE YEAR.

This game fits a totals situation which is 213-154 and the play is on the under.

This game applies to a 52-21 totals situation, the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation which has played under to a 106-68 mark, play the under

This game fits a totals situation which has played under to a 106-68 mark, play the under

No time for writeups, the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation which is 28-7 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 28-7 and the play is on the over.

One of my top totals indicators will be live in this game tonight. This situation is a super powerful 81-38 to the over, and is already 10-3 this season. Make the play on the over.

This game is based on a powerful situation which has gone 36-7 ATS and the play is on the under.

The Colorado Buffalos can strengthen their NCAA Tournament profile tonight at home, when they entertain the #9 Arizona Wildcats, who enter the game at 20-3 on the season. The Buff's held their own on the road against the Wildcats in a thrilling overtime loss, in a game that saw 65 free throws attempted. Arizona has not been a good shooting team on the road where they connect on just 43.8% and 34.3% from deep, scoring less. Colorado is allowing just 64ppg at home on 38.6% shooting, and the numbers are valid since each team hasplayed a schedule comarable to their opponent. Their scores vs commn opponents have totaled on average 131ppg, so we have some line value in the total here. We also have a situation that is 35-7 to the under here so when you put it all together there is value playing on the under in this one.

This game fits a situation that is based in part on good teams and high totals. It has a record of 45-11 since 1996, and doesn't come up often (3-1 this year), but is potent. Play on the under.

This is from a situation which is a powerful 123-67 and the play is on the under.

It has not been a good road trip for the Sacramento Kings as they have found the win column just 1 time in the 5 games on this trip. The offense has gone stone cold as Sacramento has not topped the 81 point mark in 3 straight games, and have averaged 89ppg over their last 10. Utah has topped off at 104 points in their last 7 games, when you consider just regulation minutes, and overall have been under the cenury mark in 29 of their last 45 games, or about 64.4% of all games. The Kings have now played 4 straight to the under on this road tri, and are 6-1-1 to the under in their last 8 following an ATS loss. Jazz now 11-4 to the under in their last 15 vs a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400, and 6 of the last meetings here haqve failed to reach the total. Play the under.

The Houston Rockets offense is always in high gear, and they have really exploded over their last 3 games where they have averaged 118ppg. The problem they face is they have also allowed 29 opponents to top the century mark this season. The Charlotte Bobcats aren`t exactly the type of team that offers much in the way of resistance as they have allowed 27of their last 35 opponents to get to the century mark. This game also applies to a very strong over indicator which plays on certain teams playing over, if both are off road losses in their previous game. It has been 72-34-2 to the over since 1996. Play this one over the total.

This has been a great spot to play on the unders ver the last 15 years, and this game is on my card today for clients. When both teams come into the game off of big wins, they are feeling good about themselves, which has translated into a big defensive effort. When we have a home team off a 15 point win or more facing a road team off a 20 [oint win or more, with a total of less than 210, we get 97-56-2 ATS to the under. Pacers also come into this game at 9-0 to the under if they are off an ATS win. Play this game on the under

I will ride a long time winner which has been 685-550 ATS and the play is on the under.

Going with a longterm situation which has produced a 177-125 ATS mark, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 56-30 ATS, play on the OVER

FOXBORO,MASS:

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TAUNTON HAS ISSUED A WIND
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM EST
THIS EVENING.

* WINDS...WEST 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

* TIMING...WESTERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE LATER THIS MORNING. THE
STRONGEST WINDS SHOULD OCCUR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

While many think snow and rain impact football scores the most it is actually only a strong wind that impacts totals, and they have a history of playing under.

This is a weather play on the under.

This game fits one of my strongest totals situations that plays on certain teams that are both off double-digit wins, and has been 98-50 to the under, with an even higher rating when the total is over 204. Play on the under.

The Indiana Pacers have struggled offensively all season without the services of Danny Granger. It has forced a good defensive team, to turn it up a notch on the backend of the floor, and with the talented Heat on the floor, look for an even greater emphasis. Miami has regained their focus on the defensive end of late, and this game fits a siuation which is 105-67 to the under and another which is 115-73. Play this one on the under.

The Cincinnati Bengals have played at a high level, but it has been spearheaded by a defense that has registered a lot of sacks ranking 3rd in the NFL. While the defense has been surging Andy dalton has struggled behind an offensive line that has surrendered 18 sacks in the last 4 games, and Houston is right there with Cincinnati ranking 5th in sacks. To complecate matters for the bengals is RB Green-Ellis is playing with an ailing hamstring. Andy dalton over his last 5 games has just 4 TD passes and 7 INT's, and his yards per attempt are down as well. Houston has had problems offensively as well, and with Cincinnati allowing less than 2.5 yards per carry over the last 4 games, and a lot of pressure, schaab isn't likely to find answers in this one. this one sets up to be defensively dominant by both sides, and the play is on the under.

Both these teams showed warts as well as talent during their seasons. Pittsburgh had Notre Dame on the ropes, and Ole Miss had A&M on the ropes. They are both outstanding passing teams, with each surpassing their opponents yards per attempt average by more than a full yard. neither has a very stable running game, so I expect that they both put the ball to the air often, slow the game down, and score a lot more than expected. Pitt looked very defensive in their last 2 games allowing just a total of 9 points, but that is not a marker for the under, it is a marker for the over. teams that enter their Bowl game having held their final 2 opponents to less than 7 points each, have allowed over 30ppg in the last 9 occurances dating back to 1994. The average points in those games has been 59. play this game over the total.

This is a system play that is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 30-11 to the under. Play the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 37-11 to the under in Bowl games, play the under.

This game fits a Bowl totals situation which is 37-11 to the under. The play is on the under.

When a team in a Bowl game averages over 40 points a game the total is 29-14 to the under. make the play on the under

Bowl games with lines of from -3 to +3 go under 57% of the time, play on the under.

When a Bowl team that averages over 40 points a game plays to a total from 50.5 to 58.5 the under is 12-0. Play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 675-531 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 142-93 and the play is on the under

The Michigan St. Spartans had trouble moving the ball all season. This is a team that played a difficult schedule, having faced 8 Bowl teams from BCS Conferences, and I include Boise St. in that equation for obvious reasons. They averaged a meager 16.7ppg against those 8 teams. The good news is the Sartans held 9 teams to 20 points or less on the season as well. TCU lost its QB early on, and the Horned Frogs have always been a strong defensive team, although they struggled at times vs the high powetred offenses of the Big-12. They did hold baylor to a season low 21 points, held Oklahoma to 24, Texas to a season low 13, and Kansas St. to a season low 23. They also held Kansas and Virginia to season lows in points scored, so 5 of the teams they faced this season scored season low points against them, and a pedestrian Michigan St. offense isn't going to score much at all here. TCU has also struggled offensively vs better defenses, and Michigan St. is one of the best. I look for the winner here to be lucky to see 20 points, and the play here is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 51-21 and has a lot to do with a pair of bad eams, play the over.

This game fits a totals situation which is 21-6 ATS in Bowl games, and the play is on the under.

The West Virginia Mountaineers have one of the best offenses in the country, and have a quick striking assing attack behind geno Smith, but can also run the ball with authority. The problem they have is one of the worst pass defenses in the country and Syracuse is a great passing team behind QB Ryan Nassib who threw for 8.1 yards per attempt and 24 TD's. The Syracuse offense propelled them to a 5-1 finish after starting just 2-4. The first 6 games saw them score just an avrrage of 22.8ppg while they tallied 35.8ppg in their last 6. Syracuse also scored 47 against this West Virginia defense last year, which was their highest scoring output against a FBS team in a game that did not go to overtime since scoring 49 vs Rutgers back on November 2, 2000, or over 12 years ago. Play this one on the over.

The Air Force Academy runs the triple option, and Bowl teams thatdo that are usually able to have success against anyone. This is the Air Force's 6th straight Bowl appearance, and they rank 2nd in the country with 329.2 rushing yards per game. Their last 10 Bowl games, shows this to be the one that has averaged the most on the ground. there are only 2 teams that have stopped them, and that is a Virginia Tech team that averaged allowing 9.3ppg and just 92.9 rushing yards per game, and the Air Force scored just 13 points. The other was georgia tech, who also runs the triple optiin and knows how to stop it, and like a lot of military teams facing each other play low scoring games, this one ended 14-7 Air Force. Over their last 10 Bowl games, the Air Force has faced 3 teams that allowed over 4 yards a carry and they scored 41,47,and 28 points against them. That is an average of 38.7ppg. Only one time did they face a team that allowed better than 5 yards per carry and they scored 47. Rice allows over 5 yards per carry, and I expect the Falcon offense to have a big day. the Air Force also brings their worst defense in their last 10 Bowl appearances to this game, allowing 28.7ppg on the season, and they have been prone to allow a lot of points to teams that don't run the triple option, as they have allowed 34.8ppg in their last 8. Rice found their offensive stride late in the season, as they won 5 of their last 6.Along the way they averaged 36.7ppg. neither of these defenses are adept at stopping what the other brings to the table on offense, and I expect this to be a very high scoring game, that tops the total. Rice is 67-33 to the over in their last 100 games. Play this one over the total.

The Texas Tech Red Raiders have long been considered an offensive team. The fact is, which may surprise many here, is they are a better defensive team this year, than they are an offensive team. They are 0.6 yards per play better from the line of scrimmage than the offenses they have faced, and are 0.4 yards per play better on offense, than the defenses they have played. What clouds the issue here is the fact that they game up 50 or more points in 4 of their last 5 games. The fact is they faced Baylor,Oklahoma St.,Texas, Kansas St.,TCU, Oklahoma, and West Virginia in 7 of their last games. The defense was completely worn out playng so many elite offenses in succession. The fact is their first 4 opponents scored a grand total of 43 points, or 10.8ppg. Those opponents ranked 84th to 92nd in offense. They will face a Minnesota team that is ranked 114th in ther country, and scored 17 points or less in 8 of their last 9 games, and averaged 13.8ppg in their 9 games vs defenses ranked 56th or better, or in the upper half of all teams. Texas Tech dispite the countless games vs elite offenses, finished 39th on defense. It s very likely Minnesota scores 14 or less here, and if that is the case, Texas Tech is going to have to score 45+ to put this one over the total, and noone has scored 40 on Minnesota all season, and their defense is ranked 29th. The Texas Tech offense is below average running the ball, while the minnesota defense is excellent against the pass, where they rank 11th in the counry, in fewest yards per game. The top 2 pass defenses they faced this season Oklahoma and Texas held them to 20, and 22 points. Thhis game is going to be hard pressed to reach the total. Play on the under.

I have been great at finding cluster wager opportunities in all sports, and today is anothetr one that is active in the NBA. The play on this game is on the under.

I have been great at finding cluster wager opportunities in all sports, and today is anothetr one that is active in the NBA. The play on this game is on the under.

I have been great at finding cluster wager opportunities in all sports, and today is anothetr one that is active in the NBA. The play on this game is on Brooklyn.

I have been great at finding cluster wager opportunities in all sports, and today is anothetr one that is active in the NBA. The play on this game is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 141-93, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 98-49 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 91-49, and the play is on the under

This game fits a 43-11 totals situation and the play is on the under.

This game fits several strong situations, and because it is a late addition, I won`t do a writeup so I can get it out timely, the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 201-138 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 201-138 and the play is on he under.

This game fits a situation based in part on 2 bad teams that are on no rest, and has produced a 51-20 over mark in the last 20 years. Play this one over the total.

This game fits a situation which is 141-92, and the play is on the over.

The San Diego St. Aztecs have been a proficient offensive team for the entire season. They have averaged 35.1ppg but they are going to have a tall task getting anywhere near that against this BYU defense which ranks 3rd in the country behind only Alabama, and Florida St. The Aztecs have played a rather soft schedue, and while they average 35ppg, it was ahieved vs defenses that allow 30.1ppg, so they have modestly out-performed the defenses they faced. the reality is they are just 0.2 yards per play better than the opponents they have faced from on offense from the line of scrimmage. few realize they are a better defensive team, than offensive, as they are 0.4 yards per play better than the offenses they have faced. They are better at running the ball than passing, and run 66% of all plays. That is a bigger problem vs BYU who has stuffed the run all season and have been 1.2 yards better against the run, than the run attacks they have faced, and well above average against the pass as well. the Cougars have held 9 teams to 17 points or less on the season. This will be the lowest total the Aztecs have faced all season, but the 3 lowest totals they have faced this season of 49.5 twice, and 53.5 have all played under the total. Interesting to note, their 3 highest totals all played over. They have been consistent, piling up the points when expected, and not so when not expected. ByU is 11-2 in their last 13 vs a winning team to the under, and SD St. is 23-9 to the under after gaining over 200 on the ground in their last game. Play the under.

This game fits an over situation that has in part to do with 2 teams off a road loss playing each other. This has been 267-205 to the over snce 1996, so the play in this game is on the over.

This game is a purely situational pick. When you get to a certain stage of the season, and you have a pair of bad teams playing, and both are on 0 rest, the games in this particular situation go over the total 7.4% of the time. play this one over the total.

This game applies to situations that are 91-49 and 212-133 and the play is on the under.

This game applies to a totals situation which is 97-49 and the play is on the under.

The Rutgers Scarlett Knights will host the Louisville Cardinals to determine the Big East Champion, with the prize awaiting the winner including a likely trip to the Orange Bowl. Rutgers has been one of the top defensive teams all season as they have held 8 of their 11 opponents to 15 points or less. The problem they have faced is their achillies heel offense that has produced all of 16 points in their last 2 games. This will by far be the best defense that Louisville has faced all season, and we saw how a good defense can halt this Cardinal attack last week when Louisville lost at home to Connecticut getting shutout for 3 quarters before scoring 10 in the 4th. This game is going to be intense, and physical, which usually translates to low scoring.It also fits a huge totals system that has been 87-42 to the under. make the play in this one on the under.

When a pair of NBA teams lock horns with both teams off very big wins the game is typically played low scoring. The result since 1996 in this particulr situation has been 212-132 to the under. the selection in this game is on the under.

The Florida St. Seminoles may want to reconsider their schedule in the future. They are 10-1 but barely on the bCS radar as their schedule has been a joke. They have faced South Florida,savannah St., and Murray S. outside the ACC, and the ACC isn`t exactly a powerhuse, filled with teams that get top billing, so despite the 1 loss, there is virtually no way for them to make it to the Championship game. the sot schedule has fed their results, and what looks like an over=powering offense, is good but not as good as it looks. Their 9 games vs FBS teams has seen them play 7 games in which the defenses they faced, in terms of yards per game rank from 76-115, or have an average rank of 91.42. That is the 74th percentile in terms of worst defenses in the country, so the offense has basically had its way. add in the pair of non-FBS teams, and 9 of their 11 games were against teams that couldn`t stop much of anything. The top 2 defenses they have faced are Maryland, and Virginia Tech, neither even close to the caliber of the Florida defense. maryland allowed the Noles 397 total yards, but down to a converted linebacker at QB, the defense has worn down, and allowed more points in eaach of their last 3 games, than any games before it, so no surprise here, and they still did a good job. Virginia Tech held Florida St. to 311 yards and that includes negative yards rushing. I would expect that Florida, by far the best defense they have faced all season, will hold them to less than 300 yards. Florida St. has a top level defense, and the gators offense is horrid, and may be even worse if QB jeff Driskel isn`t 100%. This game is going to be a low scoring game, play on the under.

The LA Clippers have been a hot team as they have won each of their last 5 contests. Along that trail they exacted revenge on the Spurs for last year's playoff loss, and held them to 84 points. Defense has been their clling card holding the Chicago Bulls to 80 in their last game.The Spurs let LA run at will last meeting this season, and I would expect them to be in a better defensive mind frame tonight. This game fits a totals situation that is 103-66-2 to the under. Play this one on the under.

These teams are a mess defensively, in large part due to multiple key injuries. The Lions secondary is completel depleted. Their best defender safety Louis delmas will be out. Amari Spievey, their other safety is also out. Chris Houston suffered an ankle sprain against the Vikings, and he may play by necessity, but certainly not at 100%.The Lions other corner Bill Bentley is already out for the year, so the entire secondary, which was pedestrian to begin with is now replaced for this game, and the depth is going to be extremely challenging. meanwhle Aaron Rodgers gets back Jordie nelson and John Kuhn, to add to the already potent attack. The Packers failed to score more than 23 points in any if their first 3 games, but have not scored less than 24 since, and have averaged over 30 in their last 6 contests. The Packers have more defensive problems than the Lions. They have 6 linebackers that won`t play this game. DJ Smith who led them in tackles and had 2 sacks is on IR. Nick Perry ,Frank Zombo,Terrell Manning, and Desmond Bishop join him on the sidelines. That quintet of linebackers represents a whole lot of tackles, and 5.5 sacks. Then for good measure add in Clay Matthews and his 9.0 sacks, and just his presence is worth more than that. That is 14.5 sacks missing from the Packer defense. They are also missing Charles Woodson, and Sam Shields, so the entire back of the Packer defense is going to be challenged. Both these teams like to throw the ball, and with the back side of the defenses depleted and lacking depth, I can see the gameplan attacking all game to wear the defenses out. This game is going to be a track meet, play the over.

This is a blind total situation which has gone 85-40 over the last 7 years, and the play is on the under

This is a blind total situation which has gone 85-40 over the last 7 years, and the play is on the under

This game features a pair of my strongest total indicators, which are 71-34, and 65-27 ATS. The play is on the over.

: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

The Pittsburgh Panthers are off a spirited effort in South Bend where they had a 14 point lead late, let it slip away, and then missed a hip-shot FG in OT to bow to the unbeaten Irish. They certainly could be flat in this one, but it may not matter. The Huskies offense is pathetic, and they have not scored a single TD in the 2nd half of any of their 4 Big East games. let's take a look at the Huskies season:

UMASS: They scored 37 but that was the 3rd fewest points the winless Minutemen have allowed all season
NC STATE: Scored 7, the lowest output of any team against NC State this season
MARYLAND: Scored 24 but 7 came on a punt return, so the offense got 17, 3rd lowest allowed by MD all season
W. MICH: Scored 24 which was 3rd lowest allowed by WMU all season, who got more? Umass, and E. Illinois!
BUFFALO: scored 24, which was the 3rd fewest allowed by Buffalo this season.
RUTGERS: scored 3 fewest allowed by Rutgers all season to FBS teams
TEMPLE: scored 14, fewest allowed by temple all year
SYRACUSE: Scored 10 fewest allowed by Syracuse all season.
S. FLA: Scored 6 fewest allowed by S. Fla all year

All 4 Big east games have seen them score fewer points than the 4 teams have allowed all season. Every team has over-achieved their season results dfensively against Uconn!

They also rank in the top 15 on defense, so only one way to go here

Play this game under the total.

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a 266-197 ATS situation that has won in 7 of the last 8 NBA seasons, and has its first play tonight. Play this game over the total.

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

The Washington redskins have been an over-hyped team all season, mainly because RG3 gets a lot of ink, and has had a pretty good rookie season. This becomes an inbteresting matchup because the Panthers have last year's rookie QB sensation, Cam Newton. The points have not come as easily in the last few games for Washington, and at the same time they have played a lot tougher on defense. Their first 4 games were vs teams that are now a combined 11-18, while their last 4 have come against teams that are 22-8, and the last 4 games shows them allowing less yards, and points than they did against the bad teams. Carolina won't be the type of team to challenge the Redskins defense, as they have struggled offensively, scoring 14 points or less in 4 games. The panthers defense was horrible, but they moved Kuechley to middle linebacker, and in the last 3 games he has made 37 tackles, and the Carolina run stop unit has gotten much better. This game fits a situation that is 110-68-2 to the under, which is the call here. Play on the under.

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

: This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game`s 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game's 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game.

This game fits a situation that plays on certain teams from last year to play under the total from game's 1-5 to start the season. There have been 23 such teams in the last 7 years, and the under is 71-43-1 62.3% winners. Play the under in this game.

I think there is a ton of value in this one, as detroit has the perception of being a big offensive team, as well as a poor defensive team, but both of those have changed in the opposite directon this season, and all is not as it appears. Last season the Lions went for 24 or more points in each of their last 5 games, and all together hit the 24 mark on 12 occasions. This year that number hasds been reached just twice without the benefit of overtime. They also allowed 8 of their last 9 opponents to score 27 or more a year ago, and this season just twice, although the 44 tallied vs Tennessee saw 3 of the points scored in OT and 21 points on non-offensive TD`s, so the reality is the defense allowed 20 over 60 minutes. The Lions rank as the NFL`s #8 ranked defense in yards allowed but their 25ppg allowed is tainted by 42 non-offensive points allowed, 28 allowed on special teams, and 14 defensive points against them. The Lions subsequently allow 25ppg, but the reality is the defense has allowed 19ppg, and that ranks #7 in the league. They have fixed their special teams issues, and althugh the problem can`t be ignored, there is an over-compensation here based on total points and 42 points allowed in 7 games is 6ppg, and that is unsustainable going forward. Seattle is a much different team that they werre in their first 8 games last season where they allowed 23.3ppg. Going back further, they allowed 27.3ppg fron 2010-11 season`s last 7 games to the first 8 in 2011-12. Since then, not a single team has reached or topped either average, the 23.3 or the 27.3. The Seahawks are allowing 15.8ppg over their last 15 games, and wre have seen the Detroit offense score 7 vs Chicago, 19 vs San Francisco, and 13 vs Minnesota. In the same order these teams rank 6,12, and 1 in the league defensively, and Seattle is 5th. The Seattle offense has struggled all seasson long, and this game is going to struggle to get into the 40s. I also have an under indicator which is 129-87 since 1989, and it is 5-3 this year. Play this one under the total.

This is a good spot to play low here, as you have a strong righthander in Justin verlander that can finish the game himself, against a team that finished the regular season just 4 games over .500 vs righthanders. The same time you have a redhot lefthander in barry Zito who has seen SF win all of his last 13 starts, and a 2.20 ERA in his last 6. Tigers attack diminished by LHP, Fielder .328 24 62 vs RHP, just .289 6 46 vs LHP (363 at bats vs RHP, and 218 vs LHP). Cabrera is night and day. he pounded RHP at .335 40 122 while LHP held him to .314 4 17 in 159 at bats. Austin jackson can't steal a base vs LHP (0 on the season thrown out 4 times), so he is reduced as well. Play this one under the total.

The NFL has many close games, and Sunday closed with just a pair of late games, and both of them ended in overtime, and finished as 3 point games. So what happens to teams that win their last game by 3 points or less and have to take to the road, in respect to the total?

340-328-10 to the over

There is obviously nothing there and most would move on at this point, but wait a minute!

What happens if they are faciing a team that won by 10 points or more in their last game?

83-67-2 to the over or 55.3% as we start to see something interesting develop

So what if we went one more step, and made their opponent have to have won 2 straight by 10 or more points?

31-12 to the over, and suddenly we have a situation returning 72.1% on the over

We can then go and handicap the total in the game and if it is set at less than 48 it is all systems go as our system is 29-8 to the over cashing in 78.4% of the time.

We can go for the perfecto and if our team was also on the road in their last game the situation is a picture perfect:

11-0 to the over since 2001!

Play on the over

There are a lot of people that fell off the West Virginia bandwagon last week, when they were destroyed by a solid Texas Tech team. They face a similar team in Kansas St for this one. West Virginia was rambling along scoring points faster than you could keep track of. They then ran into a pair of big defenses and those huge numbers the last 2 weeks were reduced to 22.5ppg. kansas St. is equipped to run the ball right up the gut of the weak West Virginia defense, on long drives that eat up a lot of clock time to limit the opportunities for Geno Smith who has thrown 25 TD passes to 0 INT`s on the season. This game has a total set well into the 70s and I just don`t see the type of wide open game, or a West Virginia team that has proven to be lethal against bad or mediocre defenses, but somewhat average against good ones. No team this season has topped the 21 point mark against the Wildcats and that includes going to Norman Oklahoma and holding a powerful Sooner attack to 19. While I think West Virginia tops that number here, I think it is going to take a lot more than that to get this one close to an inflated number because of the west Virginia mystique. Play on the under.

There is going to be a tremendous opportunity for points to be scored in this game. Army is the #1 team in the country in rushing yards per game with an amazing 385.2 per contest, churning out 5.5 yards per carry. The Black Knights run the option, and who better to run it against than Eastern Michigan a team that allows more rushing yards against them, than any team in the nation, and allow 6,2 yards per tote on top of it, and just about 40ppg. As bad as that sounds Army is allowing 6.3 yards per carry against them and just over 36ppg. When the offense is on the field for either team, they will far and away be the best units on the field. The number here on the total just doesn`t add up to the potential points to be scored here. I think this game should easily get into the 70s, unless it turns into a turnover fest, which isn`t likely since neither team defends very well. Army has allowed 31 points or more to every FBS team they have faced this season. Army`s last 10 games vs MAC teams have seen 9 of them top the total, while the Eagles have played 8 of their last 10 vs a losing team over the total. Play this one on the over.

The expectation here is for a high scoring game, but I'm not in that camp. The public still views this Green Bay team as being a high octane offense, but thhis is not last year. teams have figured out how to stop them y playing a 2 deep, putting pressure on Rodgers, and taking advantage of the Green Bay offensive line, that can't pass protect. The packers lack of running game, and lack of pass protection has forced Rodgers to be dumping off underneath coverage for small gains. That has lowered his yards per attempt from 9.2 a year ago, to 6.9 this season. At the same time if the opponent doesn't stop the Packers they stop themselves already commiting 40 penalties for 390 yards in 5 games. Houston has a big defense that has 16 sacks, and allows a QB rating of 62.80, so this will not be the place for the Packer offense to shine, especially without WR Greg Jennings. The Houston offense ranks just 14th, but that is part because they have gotten big leads and played keep away, but the Packers defense resembles the 2010-11 version, not last year's and they have been tough. All in all this game is supposed to be high scoring, but when these teams have the ball, in each case, the defense will be the best unit on the field. Play under the total.