Sports Picks & Predictions

This game fits a situation which is 224-141 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 224-141 ATS and the play is on the under.

The Carolina Panthers learned just how hard it is to run the table in this league. they made it unbeaten into week 16, but thoughts of a perfect season were washed away by Atlanta. If that were not bad enough, the Panthers could still end up not having home field advantage throughout the playoffs if they lose their finale, and Arizona wins. The Bucs have a bit of incentive themselves, beyond taking down a 14-1 team. Tampa Bay with a loss will become the first NFL team since the merger, to finish last in their division 5 straight years, and they would like to strike that news from the records. Carolina had scored 33 or more points in 5 straight games, before just 13 vs a weak Atlanta defense, and the loss may have this team playing very flat, and another offensive meltdown may ensue. This game fits a very strong under situation that is 202-116 ATS, make the play on the under.

The Seattle Seahawks are all about defense, and they will face the ultimate challenge in the desert, going against the best offense in the NFL this year, in the Arizona Cardinals. The Cards are tough in the desert, but have not been tough enough for Seattle who has won each of the last 2 meetings here. Seattle, after a slow start has regained some of their swagger on the defensive side of the ball. They are allowing 12.3ppg over their last 4 on just 216 total yards a game by their opponents. Seattle has won 3 straight on the road, and got some good news this week, as Marshawn Lynch is expected to play, and that could add some ball control for the Seahawks, and a closer in a tight game. Seattle is in a different place defensively, than they were in the 39-32 shootout in the season's first matchup with the Cards. This game fits a strong under situation, one that has delivered a 202-116 ATS record. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 224-141 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 164-66 ATS and the play is on the under.

The New Orleans Saints are not destined for the playoffs for the 2nd straight year, and that could spell the dismissal of Sean Peyton. The Saints have a lot of news circulating about the future of many of their top players, including QB Drew Brees, and many are likely not to be here next year. Atlanta looked impressive in a 5-0 start, but the offense crashed and burned, and never found its way back. The Falcons averaged 32.4ppg in their first 5, but since just a meager 16ppg. That has left the Falcons at 12-2-1 to the under for the season, and their games have averaged just 37 points total over the last 10 weeks where they are 9-0-1 to the under. Drew Brees is hurting, the game means nothing, and I see a fast played game, with both teams trying to exit the season without any additional injuries. This game fits a 202-116 ATS under situation. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 164-66 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a 22-1 situation, and the play is on the over.

The NCAA Playoffs will bring together the Michigan St. Spartans and the Alabama Crimson Tide. What most have forgotten about Nick Saban is he coached a year at Toledo before taking the reigns at Michigan St. for 5 years. One of his coaches was Mark Dantonio. Dantonio was on his way up at Michigan St. when he took his team to a Bowl game to face his former mentor, and was taken behind the woodshed in a 49-7 defeat. That was the Tide's best defensive team under Saban that allowed just 8.2ppg. This is a strong Tide defense as usual but the offense averages less points than any Tide team since 2009, and the Spartans can play some defense. Michigan St. is 1 point away from being 13-0, and have held their last 4 opponents to 12.5ppg, and those opponents include Ohio St., and Iowa. Spartans are one of the top dog teams in NCAA Football, now 10-0 ATS in their last 10 as a single digit dog. The Tide is allowing 11.2ppg in their last 5. Both these teams love to run the ball, as combined they put it on the ground 84 times a contest, and both run stop units are amongst the best in the nation. Look for a quick, ground heavy game, and a fight for field position in this one. The play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 128-84 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This looks like the best two teams in the country to me, although Alabama fans may argue with that. Both of these teams dominate at the line of scrimmage, out-gaining their opponents by over 200 yards a game. Oklahoma has gone for 30+ points in all but one, their unexplained game vs Texas. The issue is the Sooners had trouble moving the chains against the best defensive teams they faced on the season, and the same can be said for Clemson who produced just 20 points vs Louisville, 23 vs Florida St. and 24 vs Notre Dame. These teams are equally equipped defensively to keep this game out of the mid-60s. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a 22-2 situation that plays on the under, which is also 0-18 O/U the last 18 times it has come up. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a Bowl situation which is 27-6 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 162-63 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a 22-2 situation that plays on the under, which is also 0-18 O/U the last 18 times it has come up. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 26-6 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 44-17 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 133-71 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-36 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 27-0 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 20-3 ATS, and the play is on the under.

There are not many situations I play on the blind, but this one has been perfect for so long, I'm riding it out. The Philadelphia Eagles are 27-0 ATS in their last 27 games to the over, after a game in which they scored less than 23 points as an under dog. The average points scored in these games has been 55.5, and have beaten the total by an average of 10.78 points per game. Make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 838-693 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a 22-2 situation that plays on the under, which is also 0-18 O/U the last 18 times it has come up. Make the play on the under.

The NBA on Xmas day has been known for low scoring games. Like Thanksgiving in the NFL, or selected MLB Holiday's, the action is amped up, and the public loves the overs.

Since the 2005 NBA on Xmas day if you blindly played all games under the total you would be:

27-13-1 ATS, and would have been a winner 10 straight seasons, never winning less than 60% of your bets in any year. If we eliminate extremely high totals, which show 3-3 O/U of all totals 210 or higher, you would be 24-10-1 ATS. That leaves 4 games this year under the total. This game qualifies, play the under. (save for the future)

Merry Christmas,

East

The NBA on Xmas day has been known for low scoring games. Like Thanksgiving in the NFL, or selected MLB Holiday's, the action is amped up, and the public loves the overs.

Since the 2005 NBA on Xmas day if you blindly played all games under the total you would be:

27-13-1 ATS, and would have been a winner 10 straight seasons, never winning less than 60% of your bets in any year. If we eliminate extremely high totals, which show 3-3 O/U of all totals 210 or higher, you would be 24-10-1 ATS. That leaves 4 games this year under the total. This game qualifies, play the under. (save for the future)

Merry Christmas,

East

The NBA on Xmas day has been known for low scoring games. Like Thanksgiving in the NFL, or selected MLB Holiday's, the action is amped up, and the public loves the overs.

Since the 2005 NBA on Xmas day if you blindly played all games under the total you would be:

27-13-1 ATS, and would have been a winner 10 straight seasons, never winning less than 60% of your bets in any year. If we eliminate extremely high totals, which show 3-3 O/U of all totals 210 or higher, you would be 24-10-1 ATS. That leaves 4 games this year under the total. This game qualifies, play the under. (save for the future)

Merry Christmas,

East

The NBA on Xmas day has been known for low scoring games. Like Thanksgiving in the NFL, or selected MLB Holiday's, the action is amped up, and the public loves the overs.

Since the 2005 NBA on Xmas day if you blindly played all games under the total you would be:

27-13-1 ATS, and would have been a winner 10 straight seasons, never winning less than 60% of your bets in any year. If we eliminate extremely high totals, which show 3-3 O/U of all totals 210 or higher, you would be 24-10-1 ATS. That leaves 4 games this year under the total. This game qualifies, play the under. (save for the future)

Merry Christmas,

East

This game fits a situation that is 47-27 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 25-5 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 122-74 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a 22-2 situation that plays on the under, which is also 0-18 O/U the last 18 times it has come up. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 161-59 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 63-19 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a Bowl situation which is 22-4 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 28-5 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a Bowl situation which is 55-27 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 833-691 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 833-691 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 54-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a 22-2 situation that plays on the under, which is also 0-18 O/U the last 18 times it has come up. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 487-381 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 223-139 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 73-37 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 127-84 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 171-109 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 161-61 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 171-109 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 161-61 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 832-687 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 832-687 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a total situation which is 158-60 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 77-30 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 831-684 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 831-684 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 831-684 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 158-67 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 81-33 ATS and the play is on the over.

I want to rewind the clock back to the 2013 NFL season. Many may remember what a rage playing the OVER was in NFL non-conference games. The strongest area during that 2013 season was playing a non-conference game to go over when the home team was posted at less than -3. fast forward to 2015 and those same games, are now 20-3 to the UNDER in 2015! What goes around comes around, you might say. (including 10 straight games going under). We have a pair of inept offenses, squaring off vs a pair of inept defenses. The Giants defense has allowed 420 yards a game, but only 1 team through 12 games has scored more than 27 points against them. The offense has been limited to 20ppg as well over their last 3. Miami's struggling offense has scored 20 points or less in 6 straight games. They have only managed to run an average of 55 plays a game in the 6 games. This total is way over done, as Miami going all the way back to 1989 has only played 12 of their 215 home games over the period to a higher total, and just 1 of their last 23. The Giants last 18 games on grass has seen both teams total just 39.6ppg. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 22-4 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The New England Patriots have certainly struggled offensively of late, due to a lot of key injuries. They have also struggled playing on grass. They have played on grass 11 times, since September 10, 2012, and they are averaging a not so Patriot-like 21.6ppg. That compares to 32.6ppg over the same period on artificial turf. Houston has held 4 of their last 5 opponents to 17 points or less, and are allowing just 13ppg in their last 5 at home. Think the mere mention of Tom Brady and the Patriots has this total beyond where it should be, and right now the New England offense isn't in peak form, nor does it have all its weapons. They also have a history of not scoring much on grass. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 170-109 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 221-139 ATS, and the play is on the under.

Johnny Manziel's NFL start has been a rocky one, and he has already worn out his welcome in Cleveland. That being said, he will get the start on Sunday, and it is likely more of a move to showcase him for a trade at some point, or a final shot at an NFL career, that so far has gone bad on and off the field. The Browns are 2-10 and have failed to make the playoffs for a 12th straight year, and their last 4 games will feature a lot of auditions for some young players on the roster. If that doesn't warrant trouble for Manziel the fact that Travis Benjamin and Andrew Hawkins both may miss, or at best not close to 100%, an offense that can't move the ball will be further hampered. QB Blaine Gabbert has been an upgrade to Colin Kaepernick, but don't be fooled by the 26 points last week vs Chicago, as they generated just 273 total yards, and the Niners are averaging just 13ppg in their last 6. Make the play on the under.

When the Philadelphia Eagles signed DeMarco Murray and Ryan Mathews it appeared they were going to have a very potent offense, and a punishing running game, to compliment their fast style of play, and air assault. Buffalo ended up with LeSean McCoy who has been good, but not great. The Eagles offensive woes were well hidden, as they generated just 248 yards vs New England last week, but got 3 TD's without the offense on the field. It was the 2nd consecutive week they generated less than 250 total yards. Philadelphia has allowed 118 points in their last 3 games, and that tends to focus the practice week, and put an emphasis on defense, as NFL teams that have allowed 100 or more points in 3 straight weeks, are 129-164 O/U, so the under is 56% on the blind. Watch what happens however when that 3 game total reaches greater than 110 points allowed in 3 straight games. It is 30-58-2 O/U or the under is 65.9%! Make the play on the under.

The St. Louis offense has been the worst in the league, allowing opponents to key on Todd Gurley, and the entire Ram offense has not gained 100 yards in a game in their last 4, after dominating on the ground. The Detroit defense has not allowed more than 372 yards to any team over the last 5 games. That puts them in rare company, as just 2 other NFL teams have done so.

Quote by Fisher:

 Rams coach Jeff Fisher said he was `almost out of answers` in trying to fix the team`s offensive woes.

 I`m not a fan of Boras, if you follow his career starting at Benedictine Univ. in 1998 (head coach 3-7), and to DePauw, Texas, UNLV,bears, Jags...et al, he is a loser! Fisher is done, his 4 years in St. Louis have seen regression every year in the win column. The defense has been on the field so much, it isn`t holding up anymore. (8 TD`s first 7 games, and 11 in last 4). This game fits a totals situation which is 110-75 and the play is on the under.

One of the things I like to do handicapping totals, is look at division games closely, as they tend to play with a lot more intensity and division games on their own, no other condition. That is shown by the fact that the last 2800 division games in the NFL are 52% to the under, a slight bias. If we just look at the 1850 games where there is a home favorite involved it becomes blindly profitable, at 52.5% winners on the under. There has never been a 12-0 team that generates less yards per play than the average allowed by the schedule of opponents they play. Such is the case of Carolina 5.5 v teams allowing 5.8. They have tremendously over-achieved their stats, but that does not last forever. Atlanta, much like Green Bay, opened the season 5-0 averaging 32.4ppg. They have since averaged 16.7ppg, while the defense has gotten markedly better, despite more time on the field at 20.7ppg. Carolina has allowed just 5 yards a play, and has been the best against the pass. This game fits a situation that is 158-86, and the play is on the under.

One of the things I like to do handicapping totals, is look at division games closely, as they tend to play with a lot more intensity and division games on their own, no other condition. That is shown by the fact that the last 2800 division games in the NFL are 52% to the under, a slight bias. If we just look at the 1850 games where there is a home favorite involved it becomes blindly profitable, at 52.5% winners on the under. The Chiefs have gone from 1-5 to 7-5 with 6 straight wins allowing just 16.2ppg. San Diego is a one-dimensional offense, that has not run for 100 yards since week 2. Teams playing after failing to run the ball for 100 yards in 9 straight games have seen the total points in their games equal 38.3, and the under covers 60% of the time, with 11 of the last 14 going under as well, with those games generating an even less 35.1 total points. This game fits a very strong under situation which is 158-86 as well. Make the play on the under.

One of the things I like to do handicapping totals, is look at division games closely, as they tend to play with a lot more intensity and division games on their own, no other condition. That is shown by the fact that the last 2800 division games in the NFL are 52% to the under, a slight bias. If we just look at the 1850 games where there is a home favorite involved it becomes blindly profitable, at 52.5% winners on the under. The next thing to do is look at the total posted and see 50. I like to see similar games in the range of 4 points on each side of that, and NFL division games with a total of 46-54 have seen the under go 55.7% to the under on about 300 games. That becomes 56.6% when 2 winning teams are involved. I also have a situation which is very strong at 86-158 O/U. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 127-83 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 60-157 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 828-692 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 828-692 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The Army v Navy game is one of my favorites, can't remember the last time I missed the game. They have been going at it since the late 1800s, and Navy has certainly had the upper hand, with a series longest 13 game winning streak. these teams both run the flex-bone, or triple-option, and in all their meetings they have gone over the posted total for this game just 7 times in their over 100 meeting history. Granted, in the early days there simply wasn't many games scoring this many points, but that being said, the last 9 games have averaged just 39.8 total combined points with the under prevailing in all 9 games, and no game has seen more than 48 points scored. It seems that when the game is expected to be non-competitive with a posted line of greater than -13, the total points scored is even less. There have been 8 such games 9most of which have been played in the last decade), and never has their been more than 41 combined points scored, when the line is over 13, and in fact the average is just a paltry 31.7ppg. Teams that run the option, can obviously defend it, as they defend it in practice every week. Games between the 3 Military Academies at the FBS level (Army, Navy, and Air Force)have seen the total go 22-7 to the under over the last decade. (Army v Air Force 5-5 O/U but -5.25 ppg under avg), Army v Navy 0-9 O/U -15.67ppg to the under), Navy v Air Force 2-8 O/U -7.35ppg to the under). All together that is 22-7 O/U with the average combined points scored at less than 42ppg! Seems like there is a lot of value here on a total that has been posted in the 50s. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 234-140 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 827-682 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 62-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 63-32 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game applies to a situation which is 77-29 ATS, and the play is on the over

The New Orleans Pelicans have had trouble getting things going this season, as they refuse to play defense. It hasn`t hurt them as much at home as it has on the road. New Orleans averages just 95.8ppg on the road, but at home they are torching the twine at 110.1ppg. The problem is, despite the lofty offense at home, they are getting out-scored here, and the result is 221.8 total points per game when they take the floor at home. Boston will be happy to accommodate a fast pace, as Boston is the Pelican`s equal, launching 88 shots per contest. New Orleans is 7-2 to the over at home, and has a willing partner here. Moreover, this game fits a situation that is 55-15 ATS, to the over as well. Make the play over the total.

This game fits a situation which is 487-380, and the play is on the under.

The New England Patriots are off their first loss of the season, and will take on the struggling Philadelphia Eagles at home, in a Sunday Nighter at New England. The Patriots offense has always been great with the Brady/Belichick combination. They have lost a lot of receivers to injury, but Belichick has proven, it is next man up in his system, and don't be surprised if an unheard of entity has a big game. The Pats since the start of the 2010 season, have averaged 33.1ppg after a loss. There is one glaring stat however, that pertains to Philadelphia for this game. The last 26 times they have taken the field after losing as a dog, and they scored less than 23 points, they are 26-0 to the over, beating the total by 10.67ppg. Make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 220-139, and the play is on the under.

The Houston Texans, like the Kansas City Chiefs were left for dead, with horrible starts. They have both rebounded, and Houston has run the streak to 4 straight, with 4 straight covers, and moved to 6-5 on the season. The defense appears to be the catalyst, as they have allowed 35 points in their last 4 games. Most will view this as a reason to give the under a look, after all Houston just kept New Orleans out of the end-zone for the first time since X-Mas Eve 2005, and no one seems to be able to score on them. here is the trouble with that logic. The total is now pushed so far down, the value is the other way, and so is history. Houston is still a team that is allowing over 20ppg, despite the 4 game stout defensive efforts. teams that have allowed less than 10 points total in their last 4 games, but on the season allow more than 18.2ppg, are 15-4 to the over in their next game, with the opponent scoring just about 23ppg. (24.6ppg on the road and 8-2 to the over, allowing 20 or more points in 9 straight games!)Bills home games are producing over 50ppg this season. Make the play on the over.

The San Antonio Spurs are a very good team, and right now they are a very good team playing at the top of their game with 7 wins in their last 8 games. Boston has had difficulty against them having lost 8 straight times at the hands of the Spurs, the last being a defensive struggle, that saw San Antonio come away from The Garden with a 95-87 win. The Celtics have never done well offensively against San Antonio as they average a mere 90.4ppg against them in the last 38 meetings, with the under prevailing 23-15. it has gotten even worse of late with Boston failing to top the 93 point mark in the last 6 meetings and averaging under 90ppg. While they have defended well vs the Spurs, holding them to 98.8ppg, the lack of answers on offense has kept them out of the win column. This game fits a 247-171 situation on the total, and the play is on the under.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have had their issues over the last 7 years with the Portland Trailblazers, and the problem has been on the defensive end. Portland has scored 100 points or more in 22 of the 24 games played over the period, and consequently, just 6 of those 24 meetings have played under the total, with the Blazers blistering the cords for 107.2ppg. When these teams have met to a total from 193 to 205.5, they have played to a 13-1 mark to the over, thrashing the total by just shy of 10ppg. Portland games this season have seen both teams average over 101ppg, so this total certainly looks to be reachable, and Portland's last 2 games have seen both teams top the 110 point mark. teams playing on the road after a pair of games that saw both teams, in both games score 110+, have seen the combined score of their games average 210ppg. Make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 234-139 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 263-174 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 61-23 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 234-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 485-379 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 485-379 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 260-143 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 260-143 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 57-17 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 218-139 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 169-108 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 95-35 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 58-20 ATS, make the play on the under.