Sports Picks & Predictions

All Sports Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-02-17	Youngstown State v. DePaul UNDER 155.5	Top	73-89	Loss	-110	6 h 35 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 112-69 ATS mark, and the play is on the under.
11-30-17	Bucks v. Blazers UNDER 203	Top	103-91	Win	100	9 h 41 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 167-92 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-30-17	Bulls v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5	Top	110-111	Loss	-113	8 h 41 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 219-125 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-30-17	76ers v. Celtics OVER 211.5	Top	97-108	Loss	-110	6 h 12 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 495-346 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-29-17	Hornets v. Raptors UNDER 205.5	Top	113-126	Loss	-110	8 h 56 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 219-124 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-27-17	Lakers v. Clippers UNDER 214	Top	115-120	Loss	-107	10 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is is 200-123 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-27-17	Mavs v. Spurs UNDER 194	Top	108-115	Loss	-106	8 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is is 167-91 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-26-17	Panthers v. Jets UNDER 40	Top	35-27	Loss	-110	28 h 32 m	Show
This is a weather play on the under.
11-25-17	Clippers v. Kings UNDER 204.5	Top	97-95	Win	100	13 h 14 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 533-388 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-25-17	BYU v. Hawaii UNDER 49	Top	30-20	Loss	-125	12 h 38 m	Show
This is a weather play on the UNDER.
11-25-17	Pelicans v. Warriors UNDER 229.5	Top	95-110	Win	100	12 h 45 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 373-226 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-25-17	Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 207	Top	108-98	Win	100	11 h 14 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 212-138 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-20-17	Clippers v. Knicks UNDER 208.5	Top	85-107	Win	100	4 h 35 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 164-91 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-20-17	Jazz v. 76ers UNDER 212.5	Top	86-107	Win	100	3 h 6 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 164-91 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-19-17	Nuggets v. Lakers UNDER 223	Top	109-127	Loss	-110	12 h 33 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 543-424 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-19-17	Bulls v. Suns UNDER 216	Top	105-113	Loss	-110	10 h 2 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 117-77 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-18-17	Rockets v. Grizzlies OVER 213.5	Top	105-83	Loss	-110	11 h 60 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 493-345 ATS record, and the play is on the over
11-18-17	Clippers v. Hornets OVER 213	Top	87-102	Loss	-110	10 h 59 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 98-42 ATS record, and the play is on the over
11-17-17	Jazz v. Nets UNDER 208.5	Top	107-118	Loss	-105	6 h 7 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 214-122 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-17-17	Heat v. Wizards UNDER 208	Top	91-88	Win	100	6 h 36 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-123 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-13-17	Rider v. Xavier UNDER 156	Top	75-101	Loss	-110	4 h 47 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 113-57 ATS mark, and the play is on the under.
11-12-17	Browns v. Lions UNDER 44	Top	24-38	Loss	-110	75 h 32 m	Show
The Detroit Lions saved their season last week in Green Bay with a 27-17 win on Monday Night. That has gotten Detroit even at 4-4, but they have had red-zone issues all season. Detroit has managed just 45.8% scoring TD's in the red-zone, while Cleveland is at 45%. DeShone Kizer has been in and out as the Cleveland starting QB, and his 52% completion rate, just 3 TD's and 11 INT's are not NFL caliber at this stage of his career. The Browns have gotten to 20 points just one time this season, all the way back to game 3, and have averaged just 14.6ppg with Kizer at QB. The Browns defense is better than it looks, last year they allowed 10 teams to go for 400+ yards, and this year none. Think there is some value on the under here, and a situation here that is 31-69 O/U offers some support. Make the play on the under.
11-11-17	Clippers v. Pelicans OVER 217	Top	103-111	Loss	-105	9 h 5 m	Show
The New Orleans Pelicans scoring is trending up, and when you have twin towers Cousins and Davis adding 56 points, 27 rebounds, 8 assists, 3 steals, and 4 blocks, your not afraid to get the ball up and down. This team has gone for 114+ in half their games on the season, and their opponents have squeezed off an average of 97 shots a game in their last 3. Clippers in at 111ppg in their last 5, but have lost 4 straight and last 2 opponents went for 120. This sets up a huge long term situation that is 493-344 O/U. Make the play on the over in this one.
11-08-17	Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210.5	Top	96-107	Win	100	10 h 8 m	Show
The Boston Celtics were primed to be a contender for an NBA Championship, bringing in Kyrie Irving, Gordon Hayward, and drafting Jason Tatum. Those dreams appeared to end 5 minutes into the season when Gordon Hayward suffered a season ending gruesome injury. Boston seemed to be hung over after that, lost their first two games, but have since been a force and take the court tonight vs their arch-rival LA Lakers on a 9 game winning streak. Boston has seen 20 year old Jalen Brown come of age, and 19 year old Jason Tatum is putting up rookie of the year numbers. The Celtics are defending better than anyone, controlling the glass, and have a deep team. The Lakers have been slowly improving and come in at 5-5 to start the season. Boston has held 8 of their 9 opponents during the winning streak to 94 points or less. I look to the Lakers game against Utah, a team that defends for 48 minutes, and the shots were way down, and just 177 total points scored. This game fits a match up indicator that has been lethal over the years to the total, and is 128-212-8 O/U the last 348 times it has come up. Make the play on the under.
11-07-17	76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205	Top	104-97	Win	100	4 h 1 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 196-128 ATS and the play is on the under.
11-05-17	Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 209	Top	99-103	Win	100	13 h 20 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 298-177 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-04-17	Arizona v. USC OVER 75.5	Top	35-49	Win	100	13 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 41-14 ATS, and the play is on the over.
11-04-17	Auburn v. Texas A&M UNDER 52	Top	42-27	Loss	-110	2 h 24 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 87-44 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-03-17	Celtics v. Thunder UNDER 205.5	Top	101-94	Win	100	9 h 17 m	Show
This is an early season big time match up, with Oklahoma City hosting Boston. It certainly is a good measuring stick as to where these teams are. While both these teams have plenty of firepower, they have each been average to this point shooting the ball. The success for these clubs has come on the defensive end, where both have excelled to start the season, and with a meaningful measuring stick game, I expect both defenses to be at their best tonight. Boston since opening the season 0-2 has held 6 opponents to an average of 90ppg. The Thunder have held 5 of 7 opponents to 96 points or less. This game also fits a totals profile that is 91-163 O/U. Make the play on the under.
11-03-17	Bucks v. Pistons UNDER 204.5	Top	96-105	Win	100	7 h 40 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-118 ATS, and the play is on the under.
11-01-17	Raptors v. Nuggets UNDER 213.5	Top	111-129	Loss	-105	12 h 1 m	Show
Dwane Casey seems to have all players bought in now on his defensive emphasis. His Raptor's team smothered Portland on the road, and its on to Denver at 4-2 to start the season. Outside of a game vs the Golden St. offensive machine, the Raptors have limited opponents to 101 points or less in 5 games. The Raptors get their hands on a lot of balls, and have forced 18.3 turnovers per contest. Nuggets off 2 big scoring games vs defenseless NY and Brooklyn, have otherwise struggled averaging less than 100 in their other 5 contests. Total has been pushed upward, but if Toronto continues to buy in on Casey's defensive demands, this one won't make it. Coming into play for this contest is a huge and successful total indicator, which has logged an impressive 256-160 mark to the under as well. Make the play on the under.
10-31-17	Miami-OH v. Ohio UNDER 54	Top	28-45	Loss	-105	10 h 1 m	Show
Weekday totals (Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday historically play well under the total, in fact they are 228-308-11 O/U over the last decade. Make the play on the under.
10-31-17	Bowling Green v. Kent State UNDER 50.5	Top	44-16	Loss	-105	10 h 51 m	Show
Weekday totals (Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday historically play well under the total, in fact they are 228-308-11 O/U over the last decade. Make the play on the under.
10-31-17	Kings v. Pacers UNDER 210.5	Top	83-101	Win	100	10 h 48 m	Show
Scoring thus far in the NBA has ticked down a bit, but after steadily increasing, the odds makers have been over-adjusting, and have missed by 1.37ppg thus far, equating to a 1.75% advantage to the under. They will eventually get this straightened out. Kings opened the season with 3 straight strong defensive efforts, but last 3 showing 114ppg allowed. This is not likely to continue, as the pace of their games, has not changed. A couple of monster shooting games by Indiana has the offense looking much better than it is, and my total for this game is 207, so there is some decent line value here. This game also fits a statistical match up indicator, that has been a powerful tool for decades, and shows 281-180 ATS in favor of the under here. Make the play under the total.
10-30-17	Raptors v. Blazers UNDER 213	Top	99-85	Win	100	9 h 42 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 67-37 ATS and the play is on the under.
10-29-17	Bucks v. Hawks UNDER 204.5	Top	117-106	Loss	-107	6 h 20 m	Show
This is a young Milwaukee team, and usually that means a lot of empty trips on defense. That has not been the case with this team, as they are 3-2 on the season despite getting pounded off the glass where they are -10 a game. They stay in games because they put the work in on the defensive end, and that has led to 4 of their opponents shooting less than 43% for the game, and their pace has been below average. Atlanta shot the ball well on opening night in Dallas, but have since struggled, shooting under 40% in 3 of 4, and there are not a lot of consistent scoring options on the floor, and the result is 5 straight under the total. The winner has averaged 100.5ppg in the last 11 meetings, in a series that has often been represented by first one to 100 wins. This game also fits an under situation that is very reliable at 299-172 ATS, make the play on the under.
10-26-17	Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 214	Top	104-103	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
Clippers at 3-0 have not yet felt the impact of losing Chris Paul. The biggest asset for this team so far has been the defense allowing just 88ppg, despite a lot of uptempo by opponents, and despite the pace, all 3 have played under the total. They have been huge off the glass,and turning the opponent at a high rate. Portland not afraid to push the pace, but at the expense of offensive efficiency, with 3 of 4 in the under column to start the season. Many will observe low total, and site pace as an indicator of a lot more points, but hasn't been showing up on the scoreboard. Bulk of Blazers shots have come in first 10 seconds of the shot clock (36%), and Clippers defending well, will lower efficiency. Statistical match up indicator showing 37-66 O/U here, supports thoughts for a lower scoring game than projected. Make the play on the under. Gazing into the public action at many sources sees bettors are 63-67% on the over, but total on the decline, as bigger smart money sees this differently. Make the play on the under.
10-25-17	Grizzlies v. Mavs UNDER 196.5	Top	94-103	Loss	-100	10 h 7 m	Show
The Dallas Mavericks have limited options, and often have to run the shot clock down, as the offense plays for good shots, and also tries to limit total possessions as a strategy to stay in games. They were 26-15 to the under a year ago at home, and the average points scored were 197.3. Memphis has already played Golden St. and Houston this season, a pair of explosive offensive teams, and held them to a combined 95.5ppg. The Houston game saw just 145 total shots taken. The Mavs are a better defensive team than what they have shown through 4 games, and will look a lot better at home vs a team with limited offense. Last 11 meetings between these teams has seen both teams get to 100 in just 2 of them, and the last 11 in Dallas has seen both teams get to 100 in just 1 of them. This game also features a statistical match up situation that has produced a 199-123 ATS mark to the under. Playing this one under the total.
10-24-17	Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 208	Top	89-110	Win	100	11 h 56 m	Show
Boston took a blow 5 minutes into their season when Gordon Hayward went down with a season ending injury. Brad Stevens has tried to use his entire roster, and still seems to be experimenting with combinations, to see what looks best. This does take some continuity and flow out of the offense that lacks consistent scorers other than Kyrie Irving, but he is shooting just 37%. Al Horford is at 38% and Marcus Smart at 31%. When you add it all up Boston is shooting just 41.8%, and just 32.8% from 3. Knicks trying to find 20-30 shots a night vacated when they moved Melo, but 43.1% from the floor says they are still searching, and a woeful 27% from deep speaks volumes of their offensive struggles. This game fits a statistical match up situation that has been the fuel for a 123-198 O/U situation, active in Boston tonight. Make the play on the under.
10-23-17	Kings v. Suns OVER 207	Top	115-117	Win	100	8 h 1 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 91-46 ATS and the play is on over.
10-23-17	Raptors v. Spurs UNDER 203.5	Top	97-101	Win	100	7 h 32 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 64-37 ATS and the play is on the under.
10-23-17	Grizzlies v. Rockets UNDER 213	Top	98-90	Win	100	6 h 3 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 64-37 ATS and the play is on the under.
10-22-17	Cowboys v. 49ers OVER 48.5	Top	40-10	Win	100	23 h 14 m	Show
The San Francisco 49ers have been just bad enough to lose each of their first 6 games in 2017. They have lost the last 5 of them all by 3 points or less. Their first 2 games of the season saw them do nothing offensively, as they generated 12 total points and under 240 yards a game. The offense has been doing much better since, as they have averaged 25.3ppg on 366 yards per game. Last week CJ Bethard in his NFL debut looked like a poised veteran when he came in and threw for 245 yards on 19-36, and nearly rallied the Niners to victory. He will get the start Sunday. The Dallas offense is doing fine, but the defense has allowed 35 or more points in 3 of their last 4, and has been average on the season. San Francisco has been vulnerable in the air, and I would expect Dak Prescott to have a big game. A team that is off a home favorite loss, and playing on the road, in the first half of the season (prior to week 9)are 55.8% to the over. These teams in their last 4 games (8 games total), has seen the average points scored in their game at 55.8ppg. Niners 18-1 to the over as a single digit dog vs a team that forces less than 1.25 turnovers per game, and allows less than 4.95 yds a carry on the season since 2006, going over by over 7ppg. Make the play over the total.
10-22-17	Titans v. Browns UNDER 44.5	Top	12-9	Win	100	3 h 46 m	Show
This game is based on one of my top totals situations which is 57-17 ATS, make the play on the under.
10-21-17	Wyoming v. Boise State UNDER 45.5	Top	14-24	Win	100	12 h 23 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 1136-968 ATS, and the play is on the under
10-21-17	Mavs v. Rockets OVER 214.5	Top	91-107	Loss	-107	12 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 80-32 ATS, and the play is on the over.
10-21-17	Michigan v. Penn State UNDER 43.5	Top	13-42	Loss	-105	10 h 45 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 75-49 ATS, and the play is on the under
10-21-17	Illinois v. Minnesota UNDER 45.5	Top	17-24	Win	100	6 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 1136-968 ATS, and the play is on the under
10-21-17	Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 46.5	Top	9-17	Win	100	6 h 47 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 75-49 ATS, and the play is on the under
10-21-17	Central Michigan v. Ball State UNDER 48	Top	56-9	Loss	-115	75 h 14 m	Show
The Ball St. Cardinals has seen their offense diminish considerably in the absence of starting QB Riley Neal. He has been replaced by 5th year senior Jack Milas. Milas was decent in his freshman year throwing 9 TD's to 5 INT's at 6.2 yards per attempt, but he has since regressed, lost his job, and has been pretty bad since. Milas since the start of his sophomore year has averaged 5.2 yards per attempt, with just 2 TD's and 11 INT's (0 TD's and 6 INT's this year. His last 2 games have seen the Cardinal's offense produce 6 points on 3.77 yards per play. C. Michigan has generated 15ppg in their last 5, playing under the total in all 5 games. This game fits a situation that is 57-124 O/U. I will make the play on the under in this one.
10-21-17	Temple v. Army UNDER 47	Top	28-31	Loss	-105	2 h 13 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 1136-968 ATS, and the play is on the under.
10-20-17	Magic v. Nets OVER 223	Top	121-126	Win	100	11 h 46 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 489-344 ATS, and the play is on the over.
10-20-17	Western Kentucky v. Old Dominion UNDER 49.5	Top	35-31	Loss	-110	54 h 28 m	Show
When you think of W. Kentucky, you think one thing, offense. That was true under Jeff Brohm, as his team averaged 44.7ppg in his 3 year tenure. Those numbers are gone, and W. Kentucky is averaging a pedestrian 25.5ppg this season, as Brohm has moved on to Purdue. Old Dominion is trying to find their way in the FBS, and the offense has really struggled this season. The Monarchs have produced just 16.2ppg against FBS opponents on the season, and turnovers have also been stinking them, as they have averaged 2 per contest. W. Kentucky has allowed 18.8ppg on the season, with no team topping 23 against them on the season. This game also fits a situation that is 57-124 O/U, and my play in this game is on the under.
10-15-17	Dolphins v. Falcons UNDER 46	Top	20-17	Win	100	14 h 28 m	Show
The Atlanta Falcons had one of those seasons a year ago, where everything seemed to work perfectly, that is except for holding a big lead in the Super Bowl. Matt Ryan was on fire and dialed in the entire season throwing 44 TD's to just 7 INT's, including the playoffs. The Falcons reached 30 points in 13 games, and went 16-3 to the over. Those seasons are hard to duplicate, and things are not looking nearly the same this season. The 34.1ppg from a year ago has dropped to 26ppg this year, and Ryan is almost at his INT total from a year ago through 4 games, with 5. Moreover, Julio Jones was injured last game, and will play, but may not be up to speed, and Mohamed Sanu is still out with a hamstring injury. Miami is 2-2 despite averaging just 10.5ppg, and that is because they have not allowed any team to get over 20 on the season, and the most points scored in their games this year by both teams is just 36. They have played some very quick games, with none of them seeing as many as 120 total plays snapped. Ryan has faced Miami twice in the last 5 years with an average of 38 points scored. Miami fits a total situation that has been 34-59 O/U since 1989, and active for this one. Make the play on the under.
10-08-17	Jaguars v. Steelers UNDER 43	Top	30-9	Win	100	4 h 54 m	Show
The Pittsburgh Steelers will host the Jacksonville Jaguars today. The Jaguars have not gotten the consistency out of QB Blake Bortles that they had hoped to have at this stage of his career, despite an inflated 44 points against Baltimore 2 games back. Bortles has a very pedestrian 81.7 passer rating coming into this contest, and their 5.8 yards per attempt vs defenses that average allowing 6.7 is considerably below average. The running game is +0.2 yards vs the defenses they have faced, so their 27.2ppg average is heading for a rather steep regression. Defensively, the Jags are allowing just 18.5ppg, and the biggest reason is their pass defense allowing just 4.8 yards per attempt. The Jags can however be run on, and I expect Pittsburgh to put it on the ground often here, as their offense has been very poor through 4 games, generating -0.5 yards per play vs what the defensive average of opponents allows. Pittsburgh has been even more elite than Jacksonville vs the pass, allowing 4.4 yards per attempt, but also struggle stopping opponents ground games. This game looks to be a ground war, and the last 23 meetings between these clubs has seen an average of just 36 total points scored, and Big Ben, in 7 games vs the Ville has averaged just 18.3ppg, and in the 23 meetings, Pittsburgh has never topped 30 points. Make the play on the under.
10-08-17	Panthers v. Lions UNDER 43	Top	27-24	Loss	-105	4 h 52 m	Show
Maybe the Detroit Lions all carry a rabbit`s foot with them during games. The Lions are 3-1 on the season, and everything has gone their way. They were beaten severely from the line of scrimmage last week by more than 1.5 yards per play, but won. The Lions offense may be ranked in the top 10, but they have scored mostly from starting drives in opponents territory, as they rank last in the league in drives starting in their own territory. Carolina has a legit top level defense, but has allowed 62.5% TD`s in the red-zone, but only 8 attempts, and strong defenses are not prone to that type of percentage, so expect that to drop. This game also fits a totals indicator, based on how these teams got here off of last week, which has been 22-58 O/U and particularly strong recently. Make the play on the under.
10-05-17	Yankees v. Indians UNDER 8.5	Top	0-4	Win	100	7 h 45 m	Show
The Yankees and the Indians have a couple of things in common. They can hit the long ball from any spot in the order. They also have amazing bull pens, that can shut a game down from the 5th inning on. The bats are going to be challenged in this one, as Yankee starter Sonny Gray has held the Tribe to 42-179 over his career with just 3 HR's. Yanks have had no success against Trevor Bauer either, at 33-139, with just 2 HR's. Bull pens likely in early at first sign of trouble, and both can dominate. Make the play on the under.
10-05-17	Red Sox v. Astros UNDER 7	Top	2-8	Loss	-100	3 h 19 m	Show
You have to respect both teams ability to score runs in this game, as both Houston and Boston are good at getting runs across the plate. That has not been quite the case with the starters on the hill for the opener. Justin Verlander has outstanding career numbers vs the current Sox line up, as he has allowed just 55 hits in 171 at bats against him for a .205 average. Moreover, he has served up 0 HR's to the Sox in those 171 at bats. Houston hasnot done a whole lot vs Chris Sale with just 24 hits in 115 at bats, and the powerhouse lineup has touched him up for just 3 HR's. Both solid in the back of the pen, runs look tough to come by here. Make the play on the under.
10-01-17	Giants v. Bucs UNDER 43.5	Top	23-25	Loss	-105	123 h 40 m	Show
The NY Giant offense is a total mess, and not up to speed with typical NFL standards. Outside of a breakout 4th quarter against Philadelphia, through 3 quarters of play in their 3 games they are averaging 4.3ppg. Overall on the season they average just 12.3ppg. There troubles didn`t start this season, as they failed to score 20 points in each of their last 6 games in 2016, and have now scored a woeful 129 points in their last 9 games, at 14.3ppg, and Giant`s games have now averaged 37.6ppg in their last 20 played. The Bucs have been inconsistent on offense, and are 6-2-1 to the under over their last 9 games. This game fits several under indicators that are 25-3,23-6-1, and 21-58. Make the play on the under.
10-01-17	49ers v. Cardinals OVER 44.5	Top	15-18	Loss	-110	103 h 28 m	Show
The Arizona Cardinals opened their game vs Dallas on Monday Night, looking like a team that was ready to play. Dallas only managed to get 3 snaps the entire 1st quarter. The problem was, as dominate as they looked in the opening period, they looked ordinary from that point on. This team seems to lack intensity, and focus, as they take on the San Francisco 49ers this week. The Niners offense through 2 games was as inept as ever, managing just 12 total points, but they came to life vs the Rams in a tough 41-39 loss. QB Brian Hoyer threw for 308 yards in that one, and in his 16 starts in the NFL as a road dog, his team is 10-6 to the over. Carson Palmer has no running game with David Johnson out for the year, so it is no surprise the cards have averaged 44 pass attempts per contest. This game fits a match up situation that has produced a 66-28 ATS mark to the over, with more supportive strong situations as well. Make the play on the over.
10-01-17	Rams v. Cowboys OVER 46.5	Top	35-30	Win	100	100 h 13 m	Show
Sometimes the light goes on for a QB, in year one, year two, year three, or sometimes not at all. The coaching changes, and new offense for the Rams has been taken on by QB Jered Goff. Goff was a `can`t miss` prospect that really struggled last year, but he has really awaken, and starting to pay dividends for the Rams. Goff has a 118 passer rating through 3 games, and the Rams are averaging 35.7ppg. The Rams offense has produced 40 points twice in three games, and to give that some perspective, they managed 40 just 3 times since December of 2006. The Rams are 2-1, and this is their biggest game in quite some time, as a win legitimizes them as a playoff contender. Dallas has not looked the same this season, and they have a lot of new parts in the secondary, that I think Goff will be able to exploit. This is another match up situation that has produced a 66-28 ATS totals indicator, and it has me backing the over.
09-24-17	LA Sparks v. Minnesota Lynx UNDER 158	Top	85-84	Loss	-102	6 h 35 m	Show
These teams have played 20 of their last 28 games to the under, including 4 of their last 5 at Minnesota. Both teams off 6 days rest, and last time this occurred the game played in the 130s. Make the play on the under.
09-24-17	Steelers v. Bears UNDER 44	Top	17-23	Win	100	19 h 46 m	Show
The Pittsburgh Steelers are 2-0, and despite ranking 12th in the league with 23.5ppg, the offense has not moved the ball nearly as expected. I expect the Steelers to try and establish a running game here, as they have not run the ball well at all. Chicago is a run first team, and have a very good offensive line, but last week they turned the ball over 4 times, and got way behind early and were forced to pass, and that is not their game. Overall scoring is considerably down in the NFL this season, and neither of these offenses has shown much through a pair of games. I think this game is going to feature a lot more running than the total seems to indicate, and will play the under.
09-17-17	Bills v. Panthers OVER 43	Top	3-9	Loss	-105	4 h 5 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 26-0 ATS record, and the play is on the over. I live in Florida, just got my power back on, so no write ups this week.
09-17-17	Browns v. Ravens UNDER 38.5	Top	10-24	Win	100	4 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 57-21 ATS mark, and the play is on the under.
09-17-17	Eagles v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5	Top	20-27	Win	100	4 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has a 57-21 ATS mark, and the play is on the under.
09-17-17	Patriots v. Saints OVER 54.5	Top	36-20	Win	100	1 h 5 m	Show
NE/NO OVER 55 -110 (teams off a MNF game vs an opponent off a Thursday game are 24-5-1 to the over, including 12-1 if the total is 45 or more.
09-03-17	Texas A&M v. UCLA UNDER 58.5	Top	44-45	Loss	-105	9 h 6 m	Show
UCLA caught a tough break when QB Josh Rosen went down with a season ending injury. UCLA finished 4-8 and were 1-5 without Rosen, who is on the NFL scouts radar. Texas A&M loses he destructive DE Myles Barrett from the defense, which was pretty much average with him. The UCLA defense lost 4 starters to the NFL, and will be a lot less talented and experienced than last season's very good defense. Overall, I think both offenses will have the advantage in this game. Kirk and Williams are play makers on the Aggie's offense, and with Garrett gone on defense, and little pass rush, and an NFL caliber QB, I think this game is going to see a lot more points than projected. Make the play on the over.
07-18-17	Chicago Sky v. Seattle Storm UNDER 164.5	Top	94-83	Loss	-105	6 h 6 m	Show
Sometimes when a game goes into overtime, the algorithms of the odds makers don't handle it well. Witness the fact that when a team is coming off an overtime loss, the under in the WNBA is 59-37-2 ATS for a strike rate of 61.5%. (39-21 ATS last 4 years, so they are not making progress on this). Make the play on the under.
07-13-17	Connecticut Sun v. LA Sparks UNDER 167	Top	77-87	Win	100	11 h 54 m	Show
This game fits a totals situation that is 49-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.
06-28-17	Indiana Fever v. Chicago Sky UNDER 164.5	Top	82-75	Win	100	3 h 34 m	Show
The Sky has done little to turnover their opponent, as they have forced 10 or less turnovers in each of their last 4 games. Teams that have done this are 13-1-1 ATS to the under in their next game in the last 15 occurrences. Make the play on the under.
06-21-17	Astros v. A's OVER 9	Top	5-1	Loss	-100	13 h 28 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	White Sox v. Twins OVER 9.5	Top	2-4	Loss	-115	12 h 34 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	Pirates v. Brewers OVER 9.5	Top	3-4	Loss	-105	12 h 34 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	Indians v. Orioles OVER 9.5	Top	5-1	Loss	-100	11 h 0 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	Cardinals v. Phillies OVER 9.5	Top	7-6	Win	100	11 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	Angels v. Yankees OVER 10.5	Top	4-8	Win	100	10 h 30 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5	Top	4-6	Win	100	6 h 41 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-21-17	Reds v. Rays OVER 9	Top	3-8	Win	100	4 h 36 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 209-143-24 ATS and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Tigers v. Mariners OVER 9	Top	4-5	Push	0	10 h 33 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Astros v. A's OVER 9	Top	8-4	Win	100	9 h 28 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	White Sox v. Twins OVER 9.5	Top	7-9	Win	100	8 h 34 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Padres v. Cubs OVER 9	Top	0-4	Loss	-100	7 h 29 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Pirates v. Brewers OVER 9.5	Top	7-3	Win	100	7 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Giants v. Braves OVER 9.5	Top	6-3	Loss	-100	7 h 60 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Nationals v. Marlins OVER 9	Top	12-3	Win	100	7 h 35 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Reds v. Rays OVER 9	Top	5-6	Win	100	7 h 35 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Cardinals v. Phillies OVER 9.5	Top	8-1	Loss	-115	7 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-20-17	Angels v. Yankees OVER 10	Top	8-3	Win	100	7 h 31 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ATS record of over 59%, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Tigers v. Mariners OVER 9.5	Top	2-6	Loss	-105	10 h 45 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Astros v. A's OVER 9	Top	4-1	Loss	-125	10 h 40 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Giants v. Braves OVER 9	Top	0-9	Push	0	8 h 27 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Red Sox v. Royals UNDER 9.5	Top	2-4	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Blue Jays v. Rangers OVER 10.5	Top	7-6	Win	102	8 h 41 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Indians v. Orioles OVER 9	Top	12-0	Win	101	7 h 28 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Pirates v. Brewers OVER 9.5	Top	8-1	Loss	-100	7 h 16 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-19-17	Nationals v. Marlins OVER 9.5	Top	7-8	Win	100	7 h 47 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 199-135 ATS, and the play is on the over.
06-18-17	Nationals v. Mets UNDER 8.5	Top	1-5	Win	104	5 h 31 m	Show
is game fits a situation that has an ROI of 74.2% and the play is on the under.
06-14-17	Yankees v. Angels UNDER 8	Top	5-7	Loss	-115	12 h 4 m	Show
This game fits a situation that has an ROI of 11.3%, and the play is on the under.
06-14-17	New York Liberty v. Connecticut Sun UNDER 161.5	Top	76-96	Loss	-110	9 h 49 m	Show
This game fits a situation that is 20-2 ATS, and the play is on the under.

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