Sports Picks & Predictions

The Marshall Thundering Herd had it all going, but stumbled in a shootout vs W. Kentucky losing 67-66. They may be without their best running back Devon Johnson who injured his shoulder. N. Illinois is an average team on both sides of the line of scrimmage while Marshall is above average on both sides, but things haven't gone as smoothly late in the season with just 23 points vs UAB, and 26 vs LA Tech. This game also fits a Bowl total situation that plays under the total when there is a team that scores 40 or more points a game in a December Bowl, which is 21-6. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 454-361 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 191-117 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 191-117 ATS, and the play is on the under.

Bowling Green lost a lot of their defense from a year ago, but still managed to get to the MAC Championship game. That didn't work out too well, as they were crushed by N. Illinois. While the defense did improve as the season progressed, the offense tended to regress, and generated 5.5 yards per play vs teams that would combine to allow 5.8, so below average. The defense was average vs the pass, but below average against the run, but better in the 2nd half of the season, as this team grades out average. They should fare much better vs a S. Alabama team that has a brutal offense, one that averages just 5.1 yards a play vs a schedule of teams allowing 5.9. The S. Alabama defense is above average, so this game should really be won or lost by the defenses, and the total is considerably off the mark here. Teams that lose a conference Championship game, and are playing in a December Bowl game are 20-2 to the under since 2006. Make the play on the under in this one.

This game fits a 57-22 ATS situation, and the play is on the over.

It has been an amazing season for Utah St. who finished at 9-4. The amazing part about it is they have lost 3 QB's to injury, two of them season ending, and a 3rd, Craig Harrison is nursing a knee. Harrison completed just 51.2% of his passes, and has attempted just 32 passes. The Aggies do however have a strong defense, and they will try to shorten this game, and win it with their defense. UTEP has a pedestrian offense, but are above average on defense and I don't expect there to be a lot of scoring in this game, as both offenses have struggled, and facing defenses, both which are better than the offenses, yards and points will come slowly. This game also fits a Bowl angle total situation which is 25-4. Make the play on the under.

The UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns have to feel comfortable here, as they have won and covered the New Orleans Bowl, which is right in their own back yard 3 straight years. Their strength on defense is against the run, and they have been suspect against the pass, but Nevada is a very poor passing team generating just 6.3 yards per attempt vs teams that average allowing 7.3. UL Lafayette may keep it on the ground here as well, as that is where Nevada is vulnerable on defense. This game should come down to a ground war, and I think the total is over done here. these teams have combined to average 86 rushing plays per game, and over 93 the 2nd half of the season. This game also fits a perfect total Bowl angle which is 12-0-1 to the under, that plays under when a team rushed for over 360 yards in their last game and their Bowl total is over 51.5. Make the play on the under.

This may be the NFL Primetime Snoozer of the year, as the 2-12 Tennessee Titans take on the equally inept Jacksonville Jaguars, also at 2-12. One reason these teams have struggled is the absence of playmakers at QB and the skill positions. That has left both teams amongst the worst in plays per game, featuring Tennessee an NFL worst at getting off 56.6 plays per game, and Jacksonville 23rd at 62.9. Teams playing after week 15 and both have less than 6 wins to a line of less than -6.5, with the home squad off an under are 14-1 to the under all-time. That is a subset of a full set which shows 34-9 to the under, and n average of 33.9ppg scored by both teams combined. The last 17 meetings between these teams at Jacksonville have resulted in a 13-4 mark to the under, with an average of 36.1ppg scored, and 8-0 to the under if the meeting occurs from week 11-16. Three times these teams played an under game earlier in the season at Tennessee and the rematch later in the season all went under. Also home favorites in division games, played on Thursday with a total of 36.5-44 are 26-7 to the under, with an average of just 32.8ppg scored, and have beaten the total by 8ppg, and are 4-0 this year to the under. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a 76-28 ATS situation, and the play is on the over.

The New Orleans Saints at 5-8, are still in control of their own playoff destiny. The NFC South is a mess of bad teams. One thing for sure this is not the offense it once was despite of the yardage. Drew Brees is generating just 7.4 yards per attempt, his lowest in 4 years, his 28 TD passes, the lowest in 7 years. The Saints have scored 30 points or more in just 1 of their last 6 games, and to put that in perspective, the last time they went through a 6 game stretch reaching 30 points just 1 time, was 60 games ago! The Bears are no bargain on defense, but have done much better here than on the road. They give up just 25.3ppg here, and 31.8ppg on the road. Chicago will also miss Brandon Marshall who is out, and on the season the Bears have yet to score more than 28 points in a game. Teams that have scored less than 30 points in their first 13 games average 18.3ppg in game 14, so they don't get things figured out as a rule. The fact is no team that has scored less than 30 in their first 13 games has played to a total of greater than 49. The Saints offense has scored 30+ points just 4 times all season. It has been a slow and steady erosion of this defense over the last 4 years. Three years ago they did it 10 times, 2 years ago 8 times, last year 6 times, this year just 4. This is a reputation total, and is over done. This game also fits a situation which is 109-74 to the under. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a 159-99 ATS situation, and the play is on the over.

The Philadelphia Eagles are off a poor offensive game, but that has been a testament to the over in their next game. The Eagles are 24-0 to the over in their last 24 games when they scored less than 23 points as a dog. Make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 151-97 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 189-117 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 190-99 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 53-12 ATS and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 189-117 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 136-66, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 136-66, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 136-66, and the play is on the under.

The Army vs Navy game is one of my favorite games of the year. I guess it started when I was a kid, and used to love watching the game, and that has never changed. These teams tend to mirror each other as they both run the option on offense, and because of that have a tendency to play better than their ability on defense, because what they see, they have practiced against the entire year. That is one reason why since 1980 these teams have scored more than 55 points combined just 4 times. The under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings, and with the clock running continuously, these games usually have less plays, with an average yards per play, less than a game that involves a lot of passing. Army has scored an average of 11ppg in the last 12 meetings. Make the play on the under.

Neither of these teams have been impressive on offense, while the defenses have shown up big. Arizona has held 11 of 13 opponents to 20 or less points, while the Rams have held 4 of their last 6 opponents to 10 points or less including Denver and Peyton Manning to 7. Thursday Night games between division teams with relatively low totals (36.5-44) have been 25-7 to the under in the last 32 meetings when the home team is favored, with 5 of the overs coming when the line was -6 to -9, and 20-2 under to all other lines. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 241-156-5 ATS and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 497-359 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 497-359 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 497-359 ATS, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 156-92  ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 151-76 and another which is 190-99. The play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 75-28 ATS and the play is on the over

Central Florida knew they would not be the same offensive team as they were a year ago behind Blake Bortles. they did however expect to have a good team, as they returned 9 starters on defense. That certainly has been the case, as they have held their last 3 opponents to a total of 14 combined points. UCF allowed 38 points to Missouri but on just 322 yards, 37 to UConn on jut 327 yards, and 24 to BYU on just 342 yards. The bottom line is they have allowed a lot of points in very few games, and when they did the opponents yardage did not equate to the points scored. ECU behind Shane Carden is considered a big time offense, but the fact is they are ordinary. They have struggled against good defenses, and I expect them to score less than expected here. The total is way too high in this one, make the play on the under.

 This game fits a situation which is 67-34 ATS, make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 107-57 ATS, make the play on the under.

This is a non-conference total situation which is 53-12 since 1990, including 8-3 this season. The play is on the over.

This is a non-conference total situation which is 53-12 since 1990, including 8-3 this season. The play is on the over. This also has a subset of 26-2 to the over

This game fits a total situation which is 240-155 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 65-22, and the play is on the over.

The Detroit Lions offense has not scored a TD in their last 2 games. Since scoring 35 points against the Giants in their opener this team has produced all of 16 TD's on the season. When you consider that 2 of those came on a fumble, and interception return, the offense has produced just 14 in 10 games. Then consider that 6 of the 14 came on pass plays of 59,49,73 yards and a running play of 26 yards, that leaves just 9 others. There is certainly more offensive talent on this team to produce more, and the Bears may be the answer. The Lions rank 10th in the NFL in passing yards, and that was mostly done without Megatron. The Bears are 29th defending the pass, and allow a lot of big plays. The Lions are the best team in the NFL vs the run, and despite a good overall defense, they are more vulnerable to the pass. I think the ball is going to be in the air a lot in this game, with big plays abounding. The Lions have not played a game since their opener with more than 47 points scored in it. teams that score 0 TD's in 2 straight games with the last one being away are 18-4 to the over in their next game, and 10-1 to the over if both games were away. Make the play on the over in this one.

The New Orleans Saints should be out of the playoff picture at 4-6 through 10 games. The fact is even with a loss tonight, and if they dropped to 4-7 they are still tied for first in the woeful NFC South. Worse yet, the 2-9 Tampa Bay Bucs would be just 2 games out. The fact is the Saint's offense has been in a slow decline for the past 4 years, including this one. Looking back 4 years ago they scored 30 plus in 12 of 18 games, the following year 8 in 16 games, last year 6 in 18 games, and this year just 2 of their last 8. Baltimore had one bad defensive game, which came in the midst of Big ben on a 3 game rampage. The Ravens, other than that have allowed 27 or less to every other team, and an average of 15.3ppg. This total is based on the Saints offensive reputation, which no longer exists. make the play on the under.

This game fits a total situation which is 150-76, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 238-155, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 72-41, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 74-28, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 22-3, and the play is on the under

This game fits a situation which is 237-155, and the play is on the under

This game fits a totals situation which is 21-1-1 and the play is on the under.

The St. Louis Rams will start Shaun Hill at QB. Hill has had a history of playing in high scoring games, as in his 22 starts over the last 5 years the over is 14-8, and that includes 9-4 to the over as a dog, and 3-0 over as a home dog where an average of 63.7ppg has been scored. he has also started 4 games with a total from 47-54, and all 4 topped the total. Peyton Manning should be almost a default over play as over the last 5 years when he starts his team is 50-29 to the over, including 21-8 as a road favorite, where he has led his team to an average of 31.8ppg. This game also fits a situation that is 26-1 to the over as well. Make the play on the over.

This game fits one of my top totals situations which is 149-76-2 to the under over the last 25 years, and it has only been under .500 in one season, and over the last 4 years it is 31-12 to the under, and 62.5% this year so far. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which has gone in favor of the under to a 60-15 record, make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 57-22 ATS, and it also has one of my best perfect subsets which is 26-0 ATS. Make the play on the over.

The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Baltimore Ravens are a huge rivalry, and these teams not only know each others tendencies well, they play to very close games with a high degree of regularity with 9 of the last 11 meetings decided by 3 points or less. The last 23 meetings have seen the Steelers pass for 300 yards or more just 1 time, while the Ravens have not passed for 300 yards or more in any of the last 23. The last 23 games in this series has seen the average points scored at 36.8ppg lower than any other combination of teams in the last 23 meetings. Just 1 of those last 23 games saw more than 48 points scored between these teams. This is an inflated total, and this game also fits a situation which is 117-74 to the under, including 18-3 when the total is posted at 47 or higher. Cold conditions in Pittsburgh tonight won't help the cause for points. Make the play on the under.

The UL Lafayette Ragin Cajuns were supposed to be a dynamic offensive team this season. Terrence Broadway is a solid senior QB that started his career in Houston, and transferred and threw for 5200 yards and 36 TD's over the last 2 years, but has struggled this season. That was until WR and main target Jamal Robinson came back from an injury, and things are looking like they were supposed to. The defense has been very poor allowing over a yard per play more on average than the offense they have faced. Arkansas St. has gotten a huge boost on offense with RB Michael Gordon back. Gordon in his last 2 games has run for over 10 yards per carry on 33 attempts, and will likely get a lot of opportunities here against a soft defense. Cajun's are 18-7-1 to the over in their last 26 at home, and 10-2-1 to the over in their last 13 on turf. This game applies to a totals situation which is 65-34, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a totals situation which is 148-74-2 to the under. After going 13-4 last year it is now 4-1 this year. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which is 148-74-2 to the under. After going 13-4 last year it is now 4-1 this year. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is now 74-148-2. It won on both games yesterday, making it 4-1 this year after going 13-4 last year, the play is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 146-74-2 over the last 25 years, and it went 13-4 last year, and so far it is 2-1 this year. make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 146-74-2 over the last 25 years, and it went 13-4 last year, and so far it is 2-1 this year. make the play on the under.

This game fits a totals situation that is 67-23, the play is on the over.

This game fits my strongest total situation which is 46-9-3, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a huge totals situation that has gone 145-73-2 over the last 25 years, including 14-4 last year, and is now 74-31 over the last decade. Division games are played much more intensely on defense. Totals from 50 and up in non-division games are 162-154 to the over where division games are 120-78 to the under. Make the play on the under in this one

 Not much to be learned with this Florida Gator`s team in their expected 65-0 romp over Eastern Michigan. The good news is QB Jeff Driscoll is back and healthy, and the offense is as explosive as ever. Kentucky`s offense was poor a year ago, and they scored just 79 points in 3 non-conference games, but have gotten 80 in their first 2 this year, and should at least be good enough to top the 7 points they got in this game a year ago. Florida is going for 45 here, so unless the Wildcats get shutout, and even if they do, I think this one goes well over the total. History gives us some insight to that effect with a dynamic 64-19 total situation here that leads us to make the call in this one on the over

This is a big game for a couple of reasons. Both these teams got out of the gate extremely slow against opponents that were far superior. They each want to avoid an 0-2 start, and both feel they can win this game. It is also for bragging rights when it comes to recruiting as they share a close proximity, and both recruit Texas hard, as it is each team's home state. SMU failed to score at Baylor, while North Texas scored a lone TD, which occurred when the game was long over. SMU not only lost QB Garrett Gilbert, but he was a proficient runner as well, and the top 2 receivers are gone as well. The running game went for -24 yards in the opener, so the team is hurting offensively, as they generated just 67 total yards of offense. North Texas displayed little in their opener generating 94 total yards. The bottom line here is these teams will really struggle for points, while the defenses are at least average, but both should be above average facing little on offense by their respective opponents. This game fits a game 2 indicator, that plays under the total in a certain situation, which has been 102-55 the last 10 seasons. Play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

  All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under. 

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

  All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the over.

  All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

 All of today`s selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today's selections are based on the last 10 years situations active for this game that have provided a 10% or greater ROI, as well as line value. Make the play on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the over.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the under.

All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the under.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the over.

  All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the under.

  All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the over.

 All of today`s selections are based on a 10 year history of situations returning 10% or more, as well as line value. The play is on the under.