Sports Picks & Predictions

All of today's selections are based on positive line vale, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI from +12.1% to +52.1%. The play in this game is on Texas.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI of +8.6% to +15.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI of +8.6% to +15.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI of +8.6% to +15.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI of +8.6% to +15.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI of +8.6% to +15.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as 12 year situations which have produced an ROI of +8.6% to +15.5%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value as well as situations that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's ranging from +8.7% to +48%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value as well as situations that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's ranging from +8.7% to +48%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value as well as situations that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's ranging from +8.7% to +48%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as situations, that over the last 12 years have yielded positive ROI's from +9.3% to +39.7%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as situations that over the last 12 years have produced winning ROI's of +8.7% to +15.3%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as situations that over the last 12 years have produced winning ROI's of +8.7% to +15.3%. The play in this game is on the under.

This game fits a 12 year situation which has been 524-388. The play is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on line value, and situations that have produced a 12 year ROI of 8.5% to 34.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on line value, and situations that have produced a 12 year ROI of 8.5% to 34.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on line value, and situations that have produced a 12 year ROI of 8.5% to 34.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, as well as situations, that have had an ROI of +8.6% to +17.9% over the last 12 years. The play in this game is on the under.

A pair of teams that were not contenders a year ago, have made enough improvements to be a qualifying contender this season. The Mets are just a half game behind Washington in the NL East, while San Diego sits 6 games back in the NL West. It has been all abot pitching for the Mets, and tonight they send Dillon Gee to the mound for his first start since coming off he DL. Gee had allowed 3 or fewer runs in each of his previous 3 starts. The Padres have their ace on the hill in James Shields. Shields is 6-0 on the season and has been good just about every time out, and strikes out better than 10 per 9 innings on the season. The Mets have had just 3 of their last 14 games with Gee on the hill as a dog frm +110 to +150 make it over the total, and runs will be scarce in this one tonight. Make the play on the under.

The Kansas City Royals came of age last season, as this young and talented team made it all the way to the World Series. They are 29-20 this season, and they have a lot of strong arms in the rotation, as well as the best bullpen in baseball. Cleveland has some pitching of their own, in particular Corey Klubar, the reigning Cy Young winner in the AL. Kluber won for the 3rd straight time in his last start striking out 13. Kluber has allowed just 5 runs over his last 32 inning, fanning 50. Jason Vargas has had injury woes, and has won just 3 games, however 2 of those were against Cleveland. Tribe is 22-7 to the under in their last 29 vs a winning team, and 8-0 to the under behind Kluber vs a team plating 2 runs or less in their previous game. Make the play on the under.

The Boston Red Sox thought they had revamped their lineup and rotation to get back into the playoffs this season. Things have not worked out that well, and despite playing in hitter friendly Fenway, the offense has come to a screeching halt. The Sox have mustered a grand total of 4 runs in their last 3 games. Minnesota was shutout here 1-0 last night. Phil Hughes after a shaky start has gone at least 6 innings in his last 4 starts winning them all.  Eduardo Rodriguez madea spit start for Boston last time out, his major league debut. He was so impressive, he is getting a 2nd look, as he allowed 0 runs and just 3 hits over 7.2 innings of work. The Twins have posted an 18-8 mark to the under in their last 26 on the road vs a losing team, while Boston is 22-8-1 in their last 31 games, to the under. Make the play on the under in game 1 of the doubleheader.

All of today's selections are based on line value, as well as positive situations, that over the last 12 years have produced ROI's from +8.9% to +52.2%. The play in this game is on  the under.

All of today's selections are based on positive line value, and situations that over the last 12 years have produced an ROI from +11% to +33.1%. The play in this game is on the under.

This game fits a totals situation which has been 119-65 the last 12 years, and the play is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on line value, and a 12 year history of situations which have produced an ROI of 8.9% to 19.6%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on a 12 year history of situations that have produced an ROI from +10.1% to +56.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on a 12 year history of situations that have produced an ROI from +10.1% to +56.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on a 12 year history of situations that have produced an ROI from +10.1% to +56.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on a 12 year history of situations that have produced an ROI from +10.1% to +56.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are based on a 12 year history of situations that have produced an ROI from +10.1% to +56.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

The Minnesota Twins at 24-18 have been a big surprise this season, and lately they have played a lot of low scoring close games, as each of their last 3 have been decided by 1 run with no team plating more than 4 runs. The White Sox are not a threat to get there today either as the Sox offense has been grinding it out over he last week, scoring no more than 3 runs in all of their last 6 games. The Twins have set the stage for another low scoring affair in this one, as none of their last 3 opponents have topped the 3 run mark. That sets up a totals situation that has been 194-133, based in part on the Twins pitching efforts over their last 3 games. Make the play on the under in this one.

Miami finally found the win column at home during this extended home stand covering 10 games. The Marlins dropped the first 8, but won a pitching battle last night with Baltimore, when the Marlins scored in the 13th for a 1-0 win. That is nothing new for Miami who has struggled to score runs all season, and will struggle again today vs the serves of  Miguel Gonzalez. Gonzalez has won 2 straight, and 5 of his last 6, and is off to a great start to the season. Miami counters with Tom Koehler, who has seen his winless streak reach 4 starts, despite the fact he has a 3.70 ERA on the season. Runs will be hard to come by once again in this contest, and this game fits a situation based in part on last night's pitching duel, that has been 516-381 to the under the last 12 years. Make the play on the under.

All of today's selections are based on situations that have produced an ROI for 16.6% to 22.2% the last 12 years. The play in this game is on the under.

All of today's selections are from historically profitable situations over the last 12 years, ranging from 16.5% ROI to 66.9% ROI. The play in this game is on the under.

All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

All of todays plays have situations that have generated a 12 yr ROI of +9.0% to +51.4%. The play in this game is on the under.

Oakland finally broke through last night after dropping 4 straight, as they also halted the Houston Astros 5 game winning streak. Tonight they send their ace t the hill in Sonny Gray, who is 4-1 on the season and owns a stingy 1.61 ERA, and has had success against the Astros in his career, as he brings in a 2-1 career record, backed by a strong 2.05 ERA. He will be facing Roberto Hernandez, who has pitched to a 4.12 ERA on the season. This game fits a long term situation that plays in part on teams squaring off after a low scoring game in their last contest. The situation is 513-380 to the under. Houston enters with a 21-8 mark to the under in their last 29 games following a loss. Make the play on the under in this one.

Last night Corey Kluber went 9 strong innings, striking out 12, but the Indians just couldn't put anything together in what ended up being a loss in extra innings 2-1 to the White Sox. Chicago has been the best team in MLB over their lat 6 games winning them all and moving over .500 for the first time this season. Cleveland has scored just a lone run in their last 3 losses, and continue to seek out answers on the offensive attack. Trevor Bauer will provide another opportunity, as he struck out 10 in his last game, allowing just 1 run in 7.1 innings of work. White Sox starter, Jose Quintana, all but duplicated that feat, as he fanned 10 and allowed a single run in his last start. his game fits a long term situation that plays on certain teams off a low scoring game, and it has been 513-380. Make the play on the under.

This series has been a very defensive oriented first 5 games. Most consider Golden St. as a team like they were in the past, all offense and no defense. That simply has not been the case this season, as Golden St. was ranked #1 in opponents FG% allowing 42.8%, and #5 in 3pt FG% at 33.7%. Memphis has had control of the pace of the game all series, as Golden St. is averaging 9 fewer shots per game than their season average, while Memphis is getting to the line 4 fewer times per contest. Golden St. simply hasn't been able to play their game, and the scores and pace indicate that Memphis has been in control. Golden St. has failed to score 102 or more points just 24 times in 91 games, and all 5 in this series. They are 22-2 to the under when they don't reach 102. Memphis on the other hand, has held 67 opponents to 101 or less, and are 48-17-2 to the under when doing so (28-6 at home). Golden St. is on an 8-0 under run following a game where they won by 10+ points, and 40-17-1 to the under in their last 58 vs the NBA Southwest, including 5-0 to the under in their last 5 trips to Memphis. Memphis is 38-12 to the under in their last 50 overall, which includes 23-2 to the under in their last 25 at home, covering the under by over 11ppg, with just 182ppg scored by both teams. Just 8 of 50 possible team scores have reached 100, or 16%, and it is fairly certain with a total of 193.5-194, someone has to get into the 100s to push this over the top. This game also fits a playoff situation based in part on being a closeout game, and the last 2 having played under the total, which is now 47-8 ATS to the under. My NBA TOTAL OF THE YEAR IS ON THE UNDER.

By the time a series gets to a closeout game, the under becomes a viable consideration. That is because over the last 10 years in the NBA playoffs a closeout game has played 176-136-4 to the under. This series opened with a game 1 fair total of 211.5, but the fact that there have been 4 straight over the total, it has now ballooned to 219 (Bovada) and climbing. That sets up a huge chunk of value on the under for this one, as NBA playoff close out games (meaning at least 1 team has a chance to win the series in this upcoming game), that have been preceded by 4 straight games playing over the total are 13-0 to the under! Not only that, they have beaten the total by 15.1ppg! Make the play on the under.

Coming out of the steroid era several years ago, the pitchers have regained the edge. Tonight the Dodgers and the Brewers fit a situation that is 172-105-18, and the play is on the under.

Golden St. has been considered a mega offensive team this season. They haven't been quite as sharp on the road, as their scoring drops 6.2ppg. Meanwhile this game falls right into the sweet spot under the total for New Orleans who is 8-2 to the under at home to a total of 200.5-205.5, as well as 9-2 on the road to a total of 203-208, and they have also played to a 6-0 mark to the under in their last 6 following a loss. Golden St. in 43 home games this season scored 100 or less just 3 times, one was against New Orleans, while they have scored 100 or less 15 times on the road (5 times more likely), and again, one of those was vs New Orleans. This game also fits a playoff totals situation which has gone 47-15 ATS o the under as well. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 91-44 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 254-138 and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 61-19 and the play is on the under.

The Miami Heat have struggled for much of the season, and their is a firm line in the sand for this team. They are 14-0 SU and 12-0-2 ATS when they score 105 points or more, and 21-43 SU and 22-41-1 ATS when they score less than 105. The problem is Chicago has allowed 105+ in just 6 of their last 30 games, and Miami 105+ just 14 times all season, so the Bulls appear to have the edge in this one, but I like the total better, in a low scoring game, as this one fits a 30-9 total situation. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a strong total situation which is 61-26 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 253-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 253-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 207-130 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 207-130 ATS, and the play is on the under.

It took the Brooklyn Nets most of the season to get things figured out, but they have won 10 of their last 12 games, and thankfully play in the soft Eastern Conference, where if the season ended today, they are a playoff team. The Nets scored 110 or more points just 6 times prior to the all-star break, but have since done so 8 times, 4 of which have come since March 20th. The Nets were averaging just 95.5ppg prior to the break and 103.5ppg since. Their games have seen 11.5ppg more scoring since that point, and the full adjustment has not been made. This game also fits a 42-14 situation, that plays on over the total. Make the play on the over.

The Charlotte Hornets have had a disappointing season after making the playoffs a year ago, it appears they will fall short this season as they are running out of games. It has been another long season for the 76ers as they have just 18 wins. They have been awful offensively on the road where they average just 88.1ppg, but they have been much more efficient at home where they average 95.2ppg, better than 7ppg vs their road offense. This game fits a bad team v bad team situation involving their awful 3 point shooting which is 222-158. Make the play on the over.

If a #1 seed plays a team seeded #4 or worse in the Final Four, the under is 6-0 since 97-98. They have averaged falling 10.33ppg under the total.  I know 6 games are not a lot to go by, but in a F4 setting there is never going to be  significant sample size. I like the idea behind it,  Personally, I get a couple of points of value on this anyway, and the Michigan St. defense has been very Izzo-like in the tournament, 33.9% shooting against and 23.7% on 3's against. I know they will see a much more efficient offense here, but Duke just 41-101 in last 2 vs better competition, and the Duke "D" has stepped up big at 86-234  .368 against, and 14-58  .241 on 3's. I've watched Okafor the last 2 games, and he looks like he has hit the wall, while Winslow and Jones look like polished seniors, paying fearless, and elevating their game, and Cook has been big as well. Okafor may have some life with size advantage which was missing the last 2 games, but he looked tired, and somewhat going through the motions. I think overall Duke is more than 5 points better than Michigan St., but have seen this movie before, a team galvanizes down the stretch, and what was once less than the sum of the parts, becomes greater tan the sum of the parts, and that is Mich St. right now, believing you can win, is half the battle, and they certainly are buying into it. Overall anytime a #4 or worse seed plays in the Final 4 round, the under has been 12-2-1. Totals in this round of less than 150 have been 17-7 to the under in the last 24. Make the play on the under.

Teams that are off a road loss to a division opponent, and now face a team that lost their last game, and in doing so, failed to reach 80 points, have soared over the total to an 89-43 mark over the last 19 NBA seasons. Make the play on the over.

The Brooklyn Nets are doing the best they can down the stretch to make it into the playoffs, and they have moved into the #8 slot on the strength of a 9-2 run over their last 11 games. The Nets offense, lying dormant most of the season has come to life averaging 106ppg in the stretch. Toronto has allowed 100+ points in 12 of their last 18 games, while allowing just shy of 103ppg. This game also fits a high total, mediocre team with momentum situation that plays over a total of 200 or more if the home team has won at least 8 of their last 10, and is between 40-49% on the season in terms of winning percentage. These teams are 24-3 getting above the total, make the play on the over.

This game fits a 61-31 ATS situation, that is based for the most part on the inability of these teams to knock down 3's. Make the play on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 253-137 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 205-129 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 476-373 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 205-129 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 205-129 ATS, and the play is on the under.

Love the over in this spot. Kentucky has been considered an elite defensive team, and rightfully so. However, the SEC was a joke this year with the offenses really bad, which made the numbers look better than reality.

SEC OFFENSE FG%:

The only truly good shooting team was Vandy 47.5% but they were not a good team

Then you have:

LSU .455 69 points vs KY 28-59
Ark .447 67 21-56
Ark .447 63 24-54
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No other SEC team was even in the top 130!

OUT OF CONFERENCE:

All the good teams they faced were poor offensive teams:

Louisville
Kansas (44% many think better than reality)
Providence

The only good offense was NC and vs UK:

27-60 70 points
---------------------------------------------------------------

So 4 games against teams that shot at least decent to very good and:

100-229 .437

Way above the elite status of the KY defense, and points as well at 269/4 67.3ppg

ALSO:

ND:

9 toughest defenses they faced this yr:

all in the top 55 in defensive FG% allowed .368 to .402:

228-481 47.5% 74.4ppg

They shoot low 40s or better, this game is going over.


ND should be able to shoot 45% here, and if they are on maybe even better, and if that is the case, this game goes over the total.

This game fits a situation which is 80-39 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 80-39 ATS, and the play is on the under.

The Sacramento Kings are 25-45 on the season, and once again heading nowhere, but to their credit they have continued to play hard, and have been rewarded with 3 straight wins. This team has changed their approach to the game late in the season. The Kings are playing at a much faster tempo as they have averaged 106.1ppg in their last 13. Phoenix at 104.2ppg is certainly not shy about getting up and down the floor either, and this game looks like it could turn into a track meet, and history supports that as well, as this game fits the profile of a 31-6 ATS situation that plays on the over. Sacramento's running style has them at 6-0 ATS to the over in their last 6, and overall at 9-2 to the over in their last 11. make the play over the total in this one.

The Brooklyn Nets and the Charlotte Hornets were both playoff teams a year ago, and both appeared to be teams on the rise. Here we are late in the season, and if it ended today, neither would be in the playoffs. One of the biggest weaknesses of both these teams has been 3pt shooting as they both enter connecting at under 33% for the year. That sets the stage for  a situation that plays on losing teams facing each other that connect on less than 33% each from deep. This situation has been a huge over indicator at 163-101 to the over since 1996. Brooklyn cmes in at 4-0-1 to the over in their last 5 vs a losing team, Charlotte at 6-0-1 to the over in their last 7 vs a losing team, and none of the last 7 meetings between these clubs have stayed under the total. Make the play on the over.

This game also plays into a strong over tendency, that has a poor team, .250 or less, off 3 straight spread losses, and a modest total that is set in the 190s, and squaring off vs a team better than .500. These teams have played 32-5 to te under in the last 37 opportunities. Knicks recent play vs a winning team further enhances that, as they are 8-2 to the over in their last 10, and the Cliippers are 10-4-2 to the under in their last 16 vs a team below .400. Make the play on New York, and the under in this one.

The dream of the playoffs ended a long time ago for both these teams. Sacramento hpwever, has delivered big in their last 2 games, where they won both games as a home dog. That often can inspire a team that otherwise doesn't have a whole lot to hang their hat on, and it usually transforms itself to renewed intensity on the defensive end. Teams with a losing record that win 2 straight as a home dog have come back to go 22-6 to the under in their next game. The Sixers have not gotten out of the 80s in their last 4 road games that ended in regulation. The Sixers in fact average just 87.2ppg on the road this season, compared to 94.7ppg at home, and are 43-27 to the under on the season, and 11-23 to the under vs a losing team. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 71-23 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 252-136 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 252-136 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 71-23 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 36-8 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 252-136 ATS and the play is on the under.

Not a lot of time but this total has gone way up. Cincinnati over their last 101 games has allowed more than 70 points just 5 times. They are also 55-14 to the under the last 3 years, playing to a total of greater than 116.5. Bovada has this at 123 now, play the under Cinn vs KY!

The San Antonio Spurs are one of a very few NBA teams that show up on the defensive end of the court, even against brutally bad teams. I think the Knicks, and their 13 season to date wins, qualifies in that thought process. So let's review the Knicks. The Knicks have been a bad team all season, but dealing Shumpert, shutting down Melo, and dealing Amare Stoudemire, as left this poor team bankrupt of talent. The end result is their last 22 games have seen them average 89.3ppg. We then take a look at the Spurs. Since 1996 the Spurs when facing a team that has a winning percentage of less than .250, do their thing on the defensive end. They have allowed just 89.4ppg. What is also worth noting is they score less than 100ppg on average at 99.7ppg. All other teams allow 94.3ppg in this spot and score over 100ppg! This game clearly belongs in the 180s in terms of the total, and there are several points of value here. Make the play on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 70-23, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 70-23, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 252-135, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 140-76, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 37-11 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 120-58 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 120-58 ATS and the play is on the under.

All of today's plays are based on strong historic situations and line value. The play in this game is on  the under.

All of today's plays are based on strong historic situations and line value. The play in this game is on  the under.

All of today's plays are based on strong historic situations and line value. The play in this game is on  the under.

All games today fit strong situations, and with so many games starting from noon til midnight, and being a one man operation, write-ups at this time are impossible, and will resume for the NCAA Tournament, but the work has been done, be assured of that, the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 132-55 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation that is 132-55 ATS and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 86-30 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 50-12 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 76-26 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 50-12 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a top conference tournament situation, which is 52-8 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 62-17 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 61-19 ATS, and the play is on the under.

This game fits a situation which is 51-24 ATS, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a situation which is 351-226 ATS, and the play is on the under.