Sports Picks & Predictions

This game fits a situation that is 200-123 to the under, and has won 9 straight times, play the UNDER

This game fits a 259-193 total situation, and the play is on the over

This game fits a situation that is 98-65 and the play is on the over

This game applies to a long running bracketbuster system that has generated over 63% winners the last 6 years and the play is on the over

This game applies to a long running bracketbuster weekend formula that has produced over 63% winners over the last 6 years, play on the over

This game fits a situation that is 258-193 and the play is on the OVER

This game fits a situation that is 121-80 ATS with a live subset that is over 75%. The play is on the OVER

This game fits a total situation that is 41-10 and the play is on the UNDER

This game fits a situation that is 58-30 and the play is on the UNDER

This game applies to a totals situation that is 61-25ATS and the play is on the UNDER

This game applies to a totals situation that is 31-7 and the play is on the UNDER

: This game applies to a total situation that is 98-63 ATS. The play is on the OVER

This game apllies to a total situation that is 98-63 ATS. Play on this one to go OVER the total

This game fits a 115-77 situation, and the play is on the over.

This game fits a great under situation that is 58-29 play the under in this one.

This game fits a huge total situation that is 199-123 to the under, including 8-1 this year. Play on the under.

This game fits nicely into a situation that is 97-63 to the over, and has gone 7-1 this year so far. Play on the over in this one

This game applies to a 197-123 total indicator that applies to the under in this game. Play under the total

: This game has a situation that has produced a 196-123 mark to the under. Play under in this one

There are wo high level situations in this one both pointing to the over. One is 254-190 ATS while the other is 90-50 ATS. Play on the over.

This game fits 2 big situations both pointing to the under. One is 91-46 and the other is 194-123 play the under

This game fits into a situation that has seen it go 193-123 ATS to the under, and is 7-3-1 to the under already this year, play the under in this one.

This game is being played with an over situation that is 131-84 to the over since 1990. Play the over here

The Georgia St Panthers have one of the best defenses in the country on the mid-major level, while their offense struggles. Noone scores on this team and the situation is backed by a 94-45 situation that is in play on the UNDER. Play under the total.

The San Francisco 49ers have been all about defense this season. Alex Smith has had a breakout season but despite of that the Niners finished ranked just 26th in the league on offense. The Giants defense was pounded for an average of over 40ppg in a 3 week period by some good offenses, but has since patched up the hokes and has been a top 10 defense since. The weather here will be a major factor as heavy rains are pounding the bay area, but it isn't just the rain, the wind will be the biggest factor gusting t oover 50 MPH at times. That will reek havoc on the passing game and kicking games.

From the National Weather service:

A STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC WILL GENERATE
STRONG AND GUSTY SOUTHERLY WINDS NEAR THE COAST AND IN THE COASTAL
HILLS LATE SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT. WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH ARE
POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY NIGHT.

While the stronger winds are forecast for this evening and tonight gusts to 35MPH during the game are likely. Play this one under the total

These are a pair of bad teams starving for a win and I have a huge situation that is 101-62 to the over for this one, that also has an applicable subset that is 59-27 to the over. Play this one over the toal.

The Baltimore Ravens are considered a big defensive team in the NFL.I ould agree to that in their past, but the numbers are very misleading this season. The Ravens faced the following offenses this season:

#32 Jacksonville

#31 St. Louis

#30 Indianapolis

#29 Cleveland

#29 Cleveland

#28 Seattle

#26 San Francisco

#25 NY Jets

#20 Cincinnati

#20 Cincinnati

#19 Arizona

#17 Tennessee

#13 Houston (which without Schaub is much lower)

teams that allow less than 15 points a game are 15-8 to the over and 8-1 to the over from week 20 on. Teams that average better than 30ppg are 10-5 to the over and 5-1 to the over if they scored 40+ in their last game. Teams that allow less than 15 points a game and held their last playoff opponent to less than that season average are 4-0 to the over in their next playoff game. Play the over in this one.

This game fits a situation that is 88-50-2 to the over and a qualifynng subset that is 30-13 to the over. Play on the over

these teams matchup with historical results pointing to the over as I have a situation that is 254-189 to the over and another that is 88-49 to the over. Play this one over the total.

There are countless situations in this game that all point to this one going UNDER the total

A situation that hits 63.6% of the time is pointing to the OVER in this game.

I have a huge total system that is 87-47 and tonight it is on the over

I`m riding a huge total system that wins over 67% of the time with well over 100 games in the database. Play this one over the total

Huge 87-47 situation on the OVER

The Green Bay Packers have been lethal behind the accurate throws of Aaron Rodgers and a cast of talented recievers. The problem is their defense ranks last in the league. The packers have played 3 home games s teams in the playoffs this season and the points scored in those 3 games were 76,72, and 86. This total is way to low especially with Eli Manning having the hot hand and facing a defense he torched for 347 yards and 3 TD`s just over a month ago. Play this one over the total.

Last night I had the over between these teams based on a 86-47-2 over indicator, that is active again for tonight. Play the over.

The New Orleans Saints have been a scoring machine as they have scored 42 or more points in each of their last 4 games. All of those were vs weask defenses, and all of them were on turf. Their scoring at home this year was off the charts at 41.ppg but they scored 2 TD`s less on the road at 27.3ppg. The Saints have won 9 straight and 8 of the 9 show defenses that were ranked 20th or worse. The other team, Atlanta ranked 12th overall bt 20th against the pass. Things won`t come so easy here vs the #4 Niner defense, which ranked 16th vs the pass, but a closer look is revealing. The Niners finished 13-3 and had leads in most of their games late forvcing teams to the air, while they gave up late points after letting down. San Francisco allowed 14.3ppg but 104 of their 229 points allowed came in the 4th quarter when they didn`t play with the same resolve. That means they allowed 125 points through 3 quarters of prime time focused football. That would be 10ppg carried through 4 quarters. The Niner offense is not great but servicable, and the Saints have been much better of late on defense. Do I do my homework? You bet. here are the list of teams off of scoring 40 in a playoff game, and how many they scored the following playoff game in the same year (OT points not included)

Seattle 41 24
GB 48 21
AZ 51 14
NO 45 28
GB 42 20
IND 49 3
ATL 47 10
NE 41 24
IND 41 38
NYJ 41 10
OAK 41 21
STL 45 29
NYG 41 7
JAX 62 14
MINN 41 27
DEN 42 14
DALL 40 17
PITT 42 3
PHIL 58 11
PITT 40 20
____________________________

That is the last 20 times a team has scored 40 in a playoff game back to 1995-96. Their scoring game to game went from 898 to 358 or from 44.9ppg to 17.8ppg. You read that right a 27.1ppg difference on the negative side, and if you look at the teams there were plenty of Hall of Fame QB`s in the mix that were hot in their prime, and having great seasons. The bottomline here is this is a high inflated total because the Saints are unstoppable, which is true until today, just like the greatest show on turef found out when they scored 11 against the Bucs, remember that one? Play the under.

This game fits into a nice 61-33 situation that is already 1-0 this year. The play here is on the over.

: This game fits a nice 62-34 situation based on Charlottes last 2 losses and the fact that Detroit is a low scoring team. Play on the over.

: This game has a lot of clout in historical results one such situation is 20-0-2 ATS play on the over in this one

The Penn Quakers once ruled the Ivy with princeton but that has changed. Columbia has played well thus far on the season and come into this game at 11-5 on the season. The Lions have long been a slowdown team, not of the ilk of Princeton, but they don`t shoot the ball well, and neither does Penn. Columbia has seen just 2 of their games vs div-1 teams top the 130 point mark this season. Their home games have gone 35-16 to the under in their last 51 played here including 23-4 to the under in their last 27 Ivy home games that did not go into overitme. There has been 12 of the 23 wins on the under that beat the total by 10 points or more. Play on the under.

Tghis total is backed by a longterm situation that is 282-214-13 to the UNDER. Play this one under the total.

The Towson Tigers are just about the worst NCAAB team in the country. They play a slow tempo averaging 47 shots per game, while the offense has scored 42.4ppg in their last 5 games. William Mary has not scored more than 69 points in any of their last 12 games on the season, so a total that is currently showing over 120.5 is really out of range here. Not a long history but teams that score 50 points or less in 4 straight games are 6-1 to the under. This is a Princeton paced team, with no ability, and the total should be in the 110 range. Play this one undeer the total.

Situation here points decidedly to the under as I have a huge situation that is 51-17 to the under and is live for this game. Play on the under in this one.

The Arkansas Red Wolves have some coaching issues for this game. Their new head coach will be Gus Malzahn, the former offensive coordinator at Auburn. Hugh Freeze parlayed his sucess at Arkansas St. into the head job at Ole Miss. Malzahn will not be on the sidelines for this game, and he asked the inerim head coach David Gunn to return to the staff and coach this game. Talk about a lame-duck coach. Northern Illinois is all about Chandler Harnish. he led the MAC at rushing for 112.6ypg as well as passing for an additional 2,692 more. The Northern Illinois offensive line has not allowed a single sack all season. They will meet an imposing force in the Arkansas St. defense that ranks #20 of all teams and allows just 19.3ppg. They allowed just 26 in a game earlier this season at Virginia Tech, so the Wolves can play some defense. They held Tech's David Wilson (1,713 yards on the season) to 88 yards on 21 carries. red Wolves also have 16 INT's in their last 9 games. Brandon Joiner is a legit NFL draft pick on the Red Wolves defensive line, he had 12.5 sacks on the season and 15.5 tackles for a loss. Darryl feemster had 5 INT's on the season as well. Arkansas St. is 16-4-2 to the under in their last 22 vs a winning team and Northern Illinois is 7-1 to the under in their last 8 at a neutral site. We have seen 15 teams enter their bowl game allowing less than 20 points on the season this year, and despite some huge scores, just 2 of the 14 have played in a game totalling more than 65 points, and 10 of the 14 played to 57 or less. Value is on the under, and so is the play in this one. Play on the under.

The Denver Nuggets love to get up and down the court and San Antonio, who used to be a halfcourt team that plays great defense is now more of a conventional NBA team with the aging stars. This also fits an OVER situation that is 63-30. Play the over in this one.

The Milwaukee Bucks played to the best under record in the NBA last year. Last night I took them as an under play in denver and got the easy win. Tonight they are an unrested team, playing against another unrested team in the Utah Jazz, who like to get up and down the court. While the Bucks sizzled to the under a year ago, one situation presenting itself tonight reverses that notion, as it has hit on the over with better than a 60% strike rate. The public normally plays overs in all their consensus picks, but see early NBA results falling under, so what a better team than to follow the under laden Bucks to the cash window on the under, as well over 70% on the under here. WRONG NIGHT! Play this one OVER the total.

This is a great opportunity on an offensive minded Denver Nugget team playinng a slowdown halfcourt Milwaukee Bucks team. These contrasts in styles paid dividends on the Bucks last year. They had 24 games last season vs teams that were ranked in the top 10 in the NBA in points scored. They played these games tgo an average points scored by both teams of 185.1ppg. The under tally was 19-5. Just 11 of their 82 games last year topped the 200 point mark without the aid of overtime, that is 1 of every or about 12.5% of the time. When they played top 10 offenses the total points scored topped the 200 mark just 2 times in the 24 games played against them. That is 1 of 12 or about 8.5% of the time, even less than their overall season performance. They have not played any of their 3 games yet to more than 193 points. Play this one undeer the total

This is strictly a situational under that is 47-27, play on the under

The New Jersey Nets have scored an average of 83.6ppg through their first 5 games on the season. That sets them up in a few nice spots playing on the over in this one. The situation for tonight`s game shws an NBA history of 89-47-2 to the over, and if their opponent is off a game that went over the total it goes to 39-17 to the over. Play this one OVER the total.

This is from a pair of under Bowl situations one has gone 9-0, play on the under

This is a situational system that is 47-27 in Bowls to the under. Play this one under the total.

This is from an unbeaten Bowl angle, play on the under

This is a nice situational angle that plays on a pair of rested teams, where their is a home dog involved off a home dog win. Thais has been a close to 70% under situation in the NBA. The play here is on the under

One of my favorite NBA angles is to play on the over when their has been shooting anomolies that ultimately revert back to the mean, but at the same time the oddsmakers have to post a total that they deem is fair based on public perception. That gives us a duel advantage going into a game. I have a base angle that plays exactly on this which is 54% winners one condition with over 2,600 games in the database. This game with 1 added condition becomes a 58.1%% chane of winning, with still over 900 games in the database, so certainly an investement oriented advantage. Tonight the play is on the over in this one.

This one is strictly a situational play that has historic results of close to 65%. Play on the under

The LA Clippers and the San Antonio Spurs are both off of decisive wins to start the season 1-0. The Spurs forced 24 Memphis turnovers in their opener, and although they shot less than 40% they came away with the easy win. The 24 turnovers included 13 steals by San Antonio. The Clippers went on the road and scored 105 against Golden St. The resistance will be far greater on the road tonight at San Antonio. This game fits a situation that has turned over 60% winners with close to 400 games in the data set, and tonight the play is on the under.

The Kentucky Wildcats are playing to some large pointspreads, and they haven`t been able to deliver as they have now gone 8 straight games without getting the cover. The Wildcats are 2nd in defensive FG percentage as well as top 11 in FG percentage offense. The Lamar Cardinals are 8-4 on the season, and certainly can play some defense allowing just 40.4% against them. The problem is they can`t shoot, connecting on less than 40% from the field. There in lies the basis for this pick. Lamar has played 2 top caliber teams, that are both great defensively, and they scored 50 vs Ohio St. and 48 vs Louisville. Kentucky gets after it even better on the defensive end than either of those 2 teams, that combined held Lamar to 35-122 from the field, or a woeful 28.6% shooting. To make matters worse for Lamar is they shot 3-31 against these 2 teams from 3pt range, less than 10%. None of the top 8 scorers for Lamar shoot over 45% and 3 of the top 5 shoot in the 30s. It will be difficut here for them to exceed the 49 point average they achieved vs Ohio St., and Louisville. The other end of the floor has seen the Cardinals do a good job holding Ohio St to 70, and Louisville to 68. The Wildcats also lead the nation with 9.3 blocked shots per game, further impeding Lamar`s ability to score. It would stand to reason that to push this one over the total, Kentucky will have to get well into the 90s, and the Wildcats have topped out at 87 in their last 11 games. Play this one under the total.

The Green Bay Packers lost for the first time in 20 games last week at Kansas City. They come home needing 1 more win to clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs. The Packers have been an offensive machine at home, where they have scored 35ppg in their last 17 home games on average, and this season they are above that at 40.3ppg, so just on pure average they can just about cover this total themselves. The Bears are a mess offensively, but the Packer defense just isn't good enough to keep even the Chiefs out of the end-zone who scored 19 against them. The Chiefs hadn't scored more than 13 in any game for 7 weeks, so the Bears will likely get some points here. despite the reduced offense the Bears have still played 5 of their last 7 to the over, and Green bay is now 24-9 to the over in their last 33 as a home favorite. Play this one over the total.

Strictly a system play that is 47-27 to the UNDER in Bowl games play on the under

The Miami Dolphins after an 0-7 start have really come on, and the defense has played as well as any in the league. Miami has played 13 games and 6 of them, almost half, have been against the top 9 offenses in the league. When they have faced a team outside the top 9, they have allowed 13.3ppg, and juast 8.5ppg vs the last 4 they have played as the defense is on the improve. The bad part for Miami, is they have topped the 20 point mark just 3 times in their last 12 games. Buffalo opened the season 5-2 and appeared to be a real playoff threat, but have since lost 6 straight. The offense through the first 7 was averaging 30.1ppg, but over the last 6 ust 12.8ppg. it is going to be tough for these teams to get to 40 in this one, and the total is set to high. Miami now 10-1-1 to the under in their last 12 games and 21-6 to the under in their last 27 on the road, and have played 8 straight to the under as a dog. Buffalo now 22-8 to the under in their last 30 as a home do, with the wind, and cold in Buffalo in december seeing the Bills go 10-1 to the under in their last 11 December games. Under is the play.

The UL Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns had a very good season finishing an unexpected 8-4 on the season. two of the losses came at the expense of BCS Conference teams, so they have played 8-2 on their own level. The season was made possible by the maturation of QB Blaine Gautier who threw for 20 TD's and just 5 INT's, generating 8.2 yards per attempt. While the running game wasn't great they virtually equalled the output of the passing game with 19 TD's scored on the ground. Gautier is an equal threat to run and the second leading ground gainer, with over 100 attempts, so they are not easy to defend. desoite playing in the Sun belt they faced the #22 ranked defense in UL Monroe and scored 36, and got 36 against the #33 defense of FIU. This team can score and San Diego St. is a mid level defense. The problem is they will have to as the defnse surrendered 34.4ppg in their last 5. San Diego St. has a pretty good QB of their own in Ryan lindley who also threw for 20 TD's with just 8 INT's. The Aztecs also have the top running back in yards in the country in Ronnie Hillman at 1,656 yards and 19 TD's. This team scored 35 on Boise St., and went for over 30 on 7 occasions this season, including the last 3. Their problem, like UL Lafayette is the Bowl teams on their schedule went for 33ppg. Look for a shootout in the New Orleans Bowl, and play the over.

This is strictly a system play of which will qualify for 6 games going forward during the Bowl season. This is a total system that is 51-24-3 ATS in Bowl games, and the play here is on the under.

The Jacksonville Jaguars went into their game last week vs the Tampa Bay Bucs not having scored more than 20 points all season long, and hung a 41 against them.That has gfiven a lift to the total here in this one, but the reality is, this is still a horrible offensive team. Despite the 41 points a week ago, the Jacksonville offense only gained 325 yards on 66 plays at less than 5 yards per play. The Jags have been home for 3 straight games, and life on the road for a bad team can be ugly. The Jags average all of 11ppg on the road in 6 games this season. Atlanta has been a much better team at home where they allow less than 20ppg over their last 11 regular season games played here. That list includes 5 pretty good offensive teams in Green Bay,New Orleans twice, Philadelphia, and Carolina this season.

SITUATION REVEALED:

Teams playing as a home favorite in an NFL Thursday game with the line more than -8 have seen their games go 17-3 to the under, and that includes the last 9 not seeing the opponent top the 10 point mark. If the total in the game is set at 39.5 points or higher the total is a picture perfect 13-0 to the under! Make the play on the under in this one.

This is one of my favorite games to watch of all. there is such a long history and tradition associated with this game that began way back in 1890. here is something that most probabl don't realize. A series that goes back over 120 years, how many times have these teams combine to score at least 56 points? The answer will likely shock and amaze you. It is 4! There are some reasons. Going way back teams simply didn't score that much, but in the last few decades that certainly has changed, but what hasn't changed is the intensity of this rivalry. Intensity=defense, and when you get a pair of teams that are both going to run the ball over 90% of the time, you have fewer plays run in the game. Both these teams see the option offense every single day, so they certainly get a long dress rehersal how to stop it, which is usually the case. When the pointspread in this game is posted at a TD or more, as we have here, the total has never failed to go over. It is 14-0-1 to the under since 1984! What will make matters more difficult, is Army QB trent Steelman has been in and out of games the last few weeks, and the Army offense has been hurting without him scoring 13.3ppg over their last 3. Steelman hurt his leg in the last game on top of a high ankle sprain. He will play, but will certainly not be 100%. Army is off a bye in which they are 10-2 to the under in their last 12. Navy is 18-6 to the under following an ATS loss, as well as a picture perfect 6-0 to the under as a nuetral site favorite in their last 6, and Army 8-1 under in their last 9 neutral site games, and 6-0 under in their last 6 December games. This is my NCAA Football total of the year ON THE UNDER

The Steelers defense his hit their stride and currently rank #1 in the league. The Browns have really struggled to move the ball, and are amongst the worst teams in the league scoring points, while the defense is respectful. The last 15 games Pittsburgh has played at home vs a team with a losing record they are 11-4 to the under holding 12 of the 15 teams to 10 points or less, while scoring 31 at best. The average points scored in these games has been 30.4ppg well under what is posted here for this one. This is also one of the toughest places for kicking FG's in the league. Cleveland is now 18-6-2 to the under in their last 26 December games. Thursday NFL games with a total from 35-42 have seen them go 35-18 to the under the last 21 years, and 4-10 to the under if the line is greater than -6. Home favorites on Thursday Night in the NFL that feature a home favorite with a winning percentage of greater than .700 have gone 5-0 to the under. UNDER is the play here.

Harvard has taken over at least this year as the new king of the Ivy. The Crimson are off to an impressive 9-0 start, and the only thing that got in their way of facing Uconn twice, was the Huskies shocking loss to central Florida, who the Crimson went on to beat. What Harvard has shown was a desire to slow things down vs teams they feel they matchup better in a slow tempo game vs a run and gun affair. That was the case when they squared off vs Florida St. that saw a combined 91 shots taken by both teams, in a 46-41 finalk score. I look for the same tactics that worked so well at frustrating Florida St. to be brought to the floor tonight, as the Huskies blew them out here a year ago by an 81-52 count. They won't let the Huskies run this time. That has led to them going 18-7-1 to the under in their last 26 as a road dog, slowing things down when considered the inferior team. They are also 35-15-1 to the under in their last 51 on the road. Huskies bring the "D" as home chalk leading to a 19-6 mark to the under as a home favorite. This one plays under the total.

This one is purely a situational sizzler that has been 19-1 to the over doesn't come up much but when it does it is pretty powerful. Play the over here.

The Philadelphia Eagles played themselves out of a potential playoff spot last week, losing at home to New Engand for their 7th loss. What was supposed to be the "Dream Season" has become a nightmare, and it now figures that long tenured coach Andy reid may be on the hot seat in Philadelphia. The last 2 games were played without QB Michael Vick, and leSean McCoy is nursing a bad toe, which hampered him vs New England where he generated just 31 yards on 10 carries. Vince Young has struggled at QB with 3 TD's and 5 INT's and 37 points in his 2 starts since the Vick injury. Seattle was looking good offensively last week, but then Sidney Rice suffered his 2nd concussion in just 3 weeks, and the Seattle offense left the field with him. A short week of rest is going to make any alterations difficult, and I expect a lot of running here by Seattle. I also have a situation that is 92-59 to the under that is also 2-1 this season, and that is my pick here, play UNDER the total.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are likely to be flat in this game and that usually means a lack of defensive intensity, and I expect the Chiefs who are off a dismal performance vs new England on the road to sterp things up on their home field. teams that score 6 or less points in their last game play over in their next game to an 82-62 mark. teams playing as a home dog of 10.5-14 points are 40-25 to the over as well. The Steelers have been over to a 20-8 mark in their last 28 as a road favorite, as well as 8-2 to the over after an ATS win. This series has also generated 5 straight to the over, as well as the last 4 played in KC. OVER is the pick.

I went deep into this series, which arguably is the most intense, hated, and heated rivalries in NCAA sports. There is a word that can be used in tandom when it comes with college football. Intensity = DEFENSE! This series has epitomized defense. The last 28 meetings dating back to 1978, there has never been more than 58 points scored between both teams in any one game. This series has seen some potent offensive players that have not been able to move the defenses against them. Joe Namath won his senior year 21-14. Kenny Stabler won 7-3. Heisman trophy winner Pat Sullivan led his team to all of 7 points. The great Bo Jackson won 23-22 but lost the following year 17-15. Jason campbell won 21-13. The list is endless, an offensive graveyard. This total has been posted at 47. What does that mean?

The last 35 years of this series has seen just 7 times the total points scored in this game reach 48 or more, that is 20% of the time.

When at least 1 team comes into this game with 0 or 1 losses (ALABAMA 10-1), the under is 9-2-1

When there is at least a 3 game differential between the teams in won/lost records ALA 10-1 AUB 7-4 so ALA 3 games better.... the under is 10-1-1

When the total has been posted at 40 or higher the under is 12-1-1

AVG TOTAL POSTED IN THIS GAME = 41.1ppg

AVG POINTS SCORED IN THIS GAME = 36.1ppg

That means there is a 5pt avg intensity value that the oddsmakers have simply neglected over the years.

UNDER is the play in this one.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers have really fallen on hard times in the Big-10. They have been bottom feeding for 2 years now, and it is easy to see why. They have allowed 21 points or more in their 15 Big-10 tilts the last 2 years, and an average of 35.7ppg. That certainly makes a low total atrractive in this one. Illinois has scored just 11.8ppg in their last 5look to be offensively challenged here, but a closer look at those 5 games is very revealing. They have faced the following 5 defensive ranks: 6,14,8,17,and 70 or an average defensie ank of #23 or in the 18th percentile on average of all teams. Their previous 6 games saw them average 34.7ppg, so it is very reasonable to see this team get that 35 point average vs a team that has allowed on average 36ppg in their last 15 Big-10 contests. The Gophers have scored 13 or more in every Big-10 game this season, so very resonable to expect that here. That combination projects 48-50 points here in this one, and the Illini have poured it on as a 10.5 point favorite or more in their last 10 going over to a 7-2-1 mark and this year averaging 38.3ppg in this situation. Gopghers coughing up the points at an alarming rate as a home dog, leading to a 19-6-1 mark to the over in their last 26 as home pups. This one goes over the total.

The San Francisco 49ers are the surorise team in the NFL this season at 9-1. These are two defense first teams and the Ravens are good at stopping mediocre offenses, and as steady as Alex Smith has been, when he has faced top pass defenses this year he is very pedestrian. he passed against 3 such defenses this season and managed just 446 passing yards combined in the 3 games. He will see a 4th tonight in Baltimore, and I expect the Niner offense to struggle. The ravens have had their own prolems vs good defenses, and a few weeks back needed 2.5 quarters to generate a 1st down against a very good Jacksonville defense. Thursday NFL games with a home favorite have been 25-42 to the over, so the under certainly has historic support as well. Those numbers move to 14-27 over if the line is -4 or less. I'll play this one under the total.

The Texas Longhorns offense leaves a little to be desired. To top that off they are playing short of running backs due to injuries, and their top wide reciever is ailing as well. Texas A&M is 6-5 but when you look at the schedule and how competitive they have been against very good 2-way teams that play defense and offense, they are a clearcut favorite here especially at home. They have a defese every bit the equsl to Texas so I expect the points to be at a premium here. They have managed just 18 total points the last 2 weeks. I don't see either team making it to 30 points here, and with a total in the mid 50s the call here is on the under.

Last year the Miami,O. red Hawks won 10 games off a 1 win campaign 2 years ago. This team has slipped back once again, and after losing last week, they are not going to a Bowl this year, and a lot of times team's letdown in this situation, which usually means a lack of focus on the defensive side of things. The offense has picked it up in the last 5 games averaging just shy of 30ppg. Ohio, U. sits atop the MAC at 8-3 and destined for a playoff for the title vs either N. Illinois or Toledo. The Bobcats have also found their offense averaging 36ppg over their last 4. The total here is set on the low side considering each of these teams is plenty capeable of 30+ in this contest, and I'm playing this one over the total.

I'm running late OVER is the play

I'm running late OVER is the play

I'm running late OVER is the play

***CORRECTION*** My writeup was correct that we are taking the Over in this game. I unintentionally selected the Under in the first e-mail sent out.

Ohio, U. has gone for over 30 points in 7 of their 10 games on the season, and scored an impressive 35 againsdt a very good Temple defense. Tyler tettleton is having a big year with 22 TD's to just 6 INT's, and the Bobcats can score quickly. Good passing offenses have done in Bowling Green allowing 45 to W. Michigan, 55 to W. Virginia and 45 to N. Illinois. falcons uuting up 26.6ppg at home will be enough to swend this one over the total

The Duke Blue devils had everything they could handle from a very solid Belmont team at home, escaping with a 1 point win. Michigan St. was handled easily out on the West Coast in the inaugrial Carrier Classic. It is a big game for Duke as Coach K tries to become the winningest of all time. look for a lot of the usual defensive intensity and Coach Izzo's team's are well noted for how they defend, and held NC to 67 in the opener. This one is posted to high, and I'm backing the under in this game.

No time for a writeup under is the play

142-94-7 ATS total system, OVER is the play

Due to the fact I'm moving no writeup for this one but the play is on the OVER

Weather play heavy snow with whiteout conditions

This is a system play that has generated over 70% winners and the play is on the over

The MLB playoffs over the last 8 years has seen a total of 10 or higher following a game that went over the total go 16-4-2 to the under. A game following a combined score of 12 runs or more has seen the under go 3-0 in the next game. Oddsmakers really hedging the public here in this one with an inflated number, UNDER is the play.

Tonight is GAME 3 of the World Series, I have won each of the first 2 games. I am posting my pick for game 3 for FREE in the newsletter so don't buy my MLB pick for game 3.



Looking in an area you won't find anyone else doing here, or if you do, it would be a shocker. I often times look at what the oddsmakers thoughts are when they assign a total to an MLB game. Game one saw the total at 7.5, it was moved up to 8 last night, and despite the fact that these teams have combined to score 8 runs in 2 games, the total nw exceeds that production by 1.5 runs all in one game. Ok, the venue changes so the park is more hitter froendly, but history shows that doesn't make as much difference as the oddsmnakers have moved this one, nor do the pitchers.



Looking at playoff games the last 8 years whenever total is bumped by more than 1 run from the previous game, the under strikes at 18-8 or 69% of the time.here we have exactly that a toal of 8 in game 2, bumped to 9.5 in game 3. Guess what? if their is a venue change (switching of parks), the odds are even better for an under at 71%!



GAME 3 UNDER 9.5

league Chamopionship Series games with a total of 9-9.5 go under at the rate of 65% since 1997. Under gets the call.

Major League baseball is a moneyline sport, not to be measured in winning percentage, but units won. I have devised a system that over the last 7 years has won a huge amount of money. There will probably be about 200 or so plays the entire season. I'm looking for this sytem to produce winners for the 8th consecutive year. get ready to win big in MLB with this proven system of winners. The play in this game is on the UNDER

Cluster wager on the under

There is an early illusion painted in this game, as Tennessee has played better than the teams they have faced, and could easily be 2-0 on the season, while Denver has been outplayed in a pair of games. What is notable is that Denver played with out 2 of their best defenders last week and Elvis Dumervil, and Champ bailey might both play this week. denver has been better on defense than a year ago, whike tennessee has been very good defensively. This game fits into a huge situation that says under, and that is my call.

Cluster system play on the under

Cluster wager on the under

MREAST cluster wager #4 on the under

MREAST cluster #5 on the under

The Cincinnati Bearcats had an easy game last week as they crushed hapless Akron 59-14. That brings them into this one well rested against NC State who has struggled against some marginal competition. The Wolf Pack is 0-3 ATS in their first 3 games. QB Russell Wilson has been released from his scholarship, and the Wolfpack has not had a 1000 yard rusher since 2001! Cincinnati should be in the thick of things in the Big east, as despite last year's 2-5 mark, they actually outgained their Big East opponents by over 35 yards a game. Zack Callaros is back to run the offense and the defense has 10 starters returning, facing a new QB on the road for NC State. Cincinnati is a tough place to play, especially for teams that haven't played here as they are 22-1 straight up in their last 23 non-conference home games. Last year these teams both had better offenses and they played to just 49 points at NC State. I also have a situation that is 84-40-4 to the under live for this game. I like this one under the total.

The St. Louis Rams won all of 6 games from 2008-10 and lasy year topped that combined 3 season mark with 7 wins. This is a team that was outscored in the 2009-10 season by 26 total points, and they shaved that to 39 last year. They averaged 8ppg more last year, and should eclipse that mark this season. The Giants averaged 24,6ppg a year ago whilke the defense, once the backbone of the team has allowed 24ppg oer their last 9 regular season games, and opened the season allowing 28 to Washington, a team that scored 21 against them in 2 games a year ago. This game fits a situation that has produced an 82-42 mark to the over, and I'm playing this one over the total.

I have a week 2 under system that is live in this game. Unders are more prone than ever in week 2, simply because players last week had more contact than they have had in almost a year. It tends to leave them bumped, stiff, and bruised from week 1, as their bodies begin to get accustomed to the contact. This works well when you have an anticipated defensive game, with a relatively low total. It has been 89-48 to the under the last 20 years in the NFL, and under is the play in this one.

I have a week 2 under system that is live in this game. Unders are more prone than ever in week 2, simply because players last week had more contact than they have had in almost a year. It tends to leave them bumped, stiff, and bruised from week 1, as their bodies begin to get accustomed to the contact. This works well when you have an anticipated defensive game, with a relatively low total. It has been 89-48 to the under the last 20 years in the NFL, and under is the play in this one.

I have a week 2 under system that is live in this game. Unders are more prone than ever in week 2, simply because players last week had more contact than they have had in almost a year. It tends to leave them bumped, stiff, and bruised from week 1, as their bodies begin to get accustomed to the contact. This works well when you have an anticipated defensive game, with a relatively low total. It has been 89-48 to the under the last 20 years in the NFL, and under is the play in this one.