Sports Picks & Predictions

All Sports Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-11-11	UC Riverside v. Montana State UNDER 129		75-73	Loss	-110	12 h 44 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination UC Riverside isn't a very good team, but they are good at controlling the tempo of the game. The Highlanders have not had a game finish above this posted total all season despite having two games go into overtime. Montana State plays at an average pace, but I think they'll struggle to turn this into a quick game against UC Riverside. The under is 6-2 in UC Riverside's last 8 road games. I projected this one at 123 or 124 points, so I like the value here. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt. Take the under here.
12-11-11	Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47		31-23	Win	100	47 h 11 m	Show
3 Star NFL Play of the Week Carolina has shown they have the ability to move the football against just about everyone this year. The Atlanta defense isn't very good against the pass, and Cam Newton should have some success against them. On the other side, the Panthers defense is allowing 27 points per game. The Panthers lost two defensive tackles last week, and that will certainly hurt the run defense. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense chewed up this unit in the first meeting this year, and I expect them to do the same this time. Look for both offenses to move it with ease here. Take the over.
12-11-11	New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 48		34-27	Win	100	47 h 46 m	Show
3 Star NFL Total Domination The New England Patriots offense had a brief period where they struggled a few weeks ago, but they are back in a big way of late. The Patriots have scored at least 31 points in four straight games. The Redskins defense gave up 34 points against the Jets last week, and I suspect they'll struggle against Brady and the Pats. Rex Grossman has Santana Moss back, and the Patriots secondary ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. Washington should be able to move the ball and score. Also, Grossman always has the potential to throw a pick-six at any time. The over is 23-8 in New England's last 31. Take the over.
12-10-11	Wake Forest v. Seton Hall OVER 144		54-68	Loss	-110	17 h 19 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total Wake Forest isn't a very good team, but they definitely like to run and push the pace. The Demon Deacons aren't good at all defensively, and they will certainly give up several easy layups. Both Seton Hall and Wake Forest get to the free throw line quite often, and I expect points from the charity stripe to pile up in this one. Neither team will be looking to slow down the pace, and that is important in helping a game get over the posted total. I think this has a good chance of hitting 150. Take the over.
12-10-11	Clemson v. Arizona UNDER 126.5		47-63	Win	100	13 h 21 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Bookie Beatdown Clemson has had a completely change in philosophy under Coach Brownell. Brownell's Tigers use up the shot clock and play great halfcourt defense. Arizona doesn't have Derrick Williams and the Wildcats are definitely feeling the pain offensively this year. The Wildcats still have length and athleticism, but they struggle to score against the top defenses. I think this game will be a showcase of two very good defenses that are just a little bit ahead of the offenses. Take the under here.
12-10-11	Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5		21-27	Win	100	97 h 35 m	Show
3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here.
12-10-11	Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Iowa UNDER 122.5		51-67	Win	100	13 h 60 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Northern Iowa's scores have been a little higher this year, but it has simply been because the Panthers have been shooting lights out from beyond the arc. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is actually a pretty solid defensive team, and I don't think the Panthers will knock down everything in this one. Look for the pace to stay slow since both teams like to play at a slow pace on a normal basis. I projected this one at 116 or 117 points. It won't be pretty, but I like the under here.
12-10-11	Butler v. Ball State UNDER 123.5		55-58	Win	100	13 h 58 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO Butler isn't the same team it was last year. The Bulldogs simply don't have the offensive leaders they have had in recent years. The Bulldogs must make the game sloppy to have a chance to win. Ball State is a solid defensive team, especially at home. I don't see either team looking to speed up the tempo in this one. I think there is a good chance this one stays in the 115 to 120 range. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt and the shooting numbers to be below par. Take the under.
12-10-11	UNLV v. Wisconsin UNDER 126		51-62	Win	100	11 h 22 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown No one slows the game down better than the Wisconsin Badgers. Bo Ryan's team doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with UNLV, but they definitely have the defense to win this matchup. Look for the Badgers to turn this into a halfcourt game like they managed to against North Carolina. Only one Wisconsin game has gone above this posted total all season, and that finished at 129. The under is 6-1 in Wisconsin's last 7 games. I projected this at 121 points. Take the under here.
12-09-11	Rider v. Florida OVER 155		69-90	Win	100	16 h 27 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day The Rider Broncs play at one of the fastest paces of any team in basketball. Rider also has one of the worst defensive teams in the country. The Broncs are absolutely horrible at guarding beyond the three-point line. Opponents are shooting 42.3% from beyond the arc. Florida is a great three-point shooting team, and they love to shoot from long range. The Gators will be gunning three pointers in this one, and I'm suspecting many of them will be wide open looks. Rider also allows second chance points in bunches, and the Gators should take advantage. I think Florida will top 90 points in this one. Look for this one to get to around 160. Take the over.
12-07-11	Wright State v. Air Force UNDER 120	Top	34-55	Win	100	21 h 51 m	Show
5 Star Top Total Wright State lost a lot of talent from last year's squad. Coach Donlin has decided that the best way for the Raiders to stay in the game this year is to slow the tempo down and rely on their defense. Air Force has perenially been one of the slowest paced teams in the country, and I definitely don't see them speeding this game up. Neither team shoots the ball particularly well, and that should be magnified by the solid defense that I expect both teams to play in this one. I projected this one at 114 or 115. I like the under big here.
12-07-11	Cal St-Fullerton v. Utah OVER 138.5		81-50	Loss	-108	21 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total Cal State Fullerton pushes the pace very well and I don't expect Utah to stop that. The Titans really like to get out in transition at every opportunity. Utah has shown that they have virtually no defense this year. The Utes are giving up 81 points per game this season. Utah isn't a very good offensive team, but I do expect them to get some easy looks against a poor Cal State Fullerton defense. I projected this game at about 143 or 144. Look for this one to finish above the posted total.
12-07-11	Iona v. Denver UNDER 141.5		80-78	Loss	-110	20 h 46 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Iona pushes the tempo and they can definitely fill it up, but I really think this total is set too high. Denver is terrific at slowing the game down to a crawl. The Pioneers will milk the shot clock on every trip in this game. Iona has only played two games on the road this year, and I expect this to be their toughest road test yet. The under is 5-2 in Denver's last 7 home games. I projected this total at 136 points. Look for the home team to control the tempo enough to keep this one under the posted total.
12-07-11	Virginia Tech v. Rhode Island UNDER 136.5		78-67	Loss	-110	19 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO Rhode Island is an interesting team this year. The Rams look to push the pace, but they are very inefficient offensively. The Rams have burned me a couple times on the 'over' this year, and I think this is actually a good spot to play the under. Virginia Tech plays strong defense, and they will do their best to slow this game down. Don't expect Rhode Island to get many open looks in this game. On the other hand, Virginia Tech really doesn't have many big scorers. I like this one to stay under the total.
12-07-11	Colorado St v. Duke OVER 149		64-87	Win	100	18 h 37 m	Show
3 Star Colorado St/Duke Total Takedown Colorado State ranks first in all of college basketball in three-point percentage. The Rams manage to knock down 46% of their attempted three's. Duke's three-point defense has been mediocre this year, and the Rams should knock down some shots in this one. On the other side, Duke's offense will be looking for a bounce back after their bad loss to Ohio State last week. The Rams defense has been giving up big points to everyone this year, and I think Duke could really rack up the points in this one. Take the over.
12-06-11	Hawaii v. Pacific UNDER 136		54-64	Win	100	21 h 37 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Hawaii and Pacific are meeting for the second time already this year. The first meeting came at Hawaii, where the Warriors pushed the pace and won 75-70. There were also more than 50 free throws attempted in that game. Pacific wishes to play a slower paced game, and I expect them to do that one their home court Tuesday night. The oddsmakers put the total at 131 in the first meeting, and that is where this one should be. The value has quickly turned to the under here. Look for this one to stay under the total.
12-06-11	Long Beach State v. Kansas OVER 141.5		80-88	Win	100	24 h 20 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Long Beach State has been going out and playing a ton of powerful teams this year, and they have acquitted themselves very nicely. The 49ers are most comfortable in the open floor pushing the pace. Kansas has been running more than normal this year. The Jayhawks are averaging 83 points per game at home. Long Beach State isn't a very good team defensively, and I fully expect Kansas to dominate in the paint. The over is 10-1 in Long Beach State's last 11 road games. I think this one could top 150. Take the over big in this one.
12-06-11	Evansville v. North Carolina OVER 152.5		48-97	Loss	-108	22 h 4 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO North Carolina is very good at controlling the tempo of a game, especially at home. Evansville is the type of team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent, which won't be good for them in this contest. The Purple Aces defense has been horrendous this year, so I expect North Carolina to get plenty of open looks. North Carolina should get out in transition early and often in this one. The over is 5-1 in Evansville's last 6 games. I had this one projected at 156 or 157. Take the over.
12-05-11	Brown v. Providence OVER 143.5		49-80	Loss	-108	17 h 15 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Providence is a team that likes to use its athleticism by pushing the basketball at every opportunity. The Friars have big guys who can run the floor, and they get out in transition at every opportunity. Brown plays much faster than the average team in the Ivy League, and in a non-conference game like this they should be comfortable. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive end of the floor. These teams got together last year and scored 155 points. The over is 20-8 in the Friars last 28 home games. Take the over.
12-04-11	Mississippi v. Penn State UNDER 128.5		72-70	Loss	-110	16 h 29 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO Penn State lost a ton of talent from last year's team, including their leader Talor Battle. The Nittany Lions are really slowing the tempo down this year and attempting to win with solid defense. Mississippi is a team that likes to push the pace, but they are not efficient at all offensively. Penn State is especially good at controlling the tempo on their home floor. The under is 13-6 in their last 19 home games. I had this one projected at 122 points. I like the under in this matchup.
12-04-11	St Peter's v. Manhattan UNDER 121.5		42-68	Win	100	12 h 19 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination St. Peter's and Manhattan are both teams built around playing a slow paced game with not very many possesions. Last year these teams met twice, and the final total finished at 115 points both times. St. Peter's is miserable offensively, but their defense is tremendous. The books have been missing the number for quite some time on St. Peter's. The under is a stunning 41-18-2 in St. Peter's last 61 road games. The under is also 35-17 in Manhattan's last 52 home games. I think this one stays around the 115 mark again. Take the under here.
12-04-11	Oakland Raiders v. Miami Dolphins UNDER 43		14-34	Loss	-105	13 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NFL Play of the Week The Oakland Raiders have been playing pretty good football of late. The Raiders are right in the thick of the AFC West race, and this is a game they really need to win. Miami may have started 0-7, but they have won 3 of their last 4. The Dolphins defense is giving up less than 19 points per game this year. Without Darren McFadden, the Raiders offense is certainly less explosive. Jacoby Ford is also expected to miss this game. Matt Moore is a solid quarterback, but the Raiders should key in on the run in this one. Look for the defenses to have the upper hand in this one. The under is 15-5-1 in Miami's last 21 games. Take the under.
12-03-11	Utah State v. Pacific UNDER 126	Top	57-65	Win	100	25 h 51 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total Utah State and Pacific are two of the slowest paced teams in the nation. Utah State wins on a yearly basis with their terrific halfcourt defense. Opponents are averaging just 64 points per game this year against Utah State. Pacific is horrible offensively this year, and they average just 54 points per game. It's hard to see either of these teams speeding up the pace in this one. This one should be played in the halfcourt all the way through. I had this one projected at 117 points, so I was very surprised to see this number pop up. Take the under big here.
12-03-11	Michigan State v. Wisconsin OVER 54.5		39-42	Win	100	43 h 9 m	Show
3 Star Big Ten Title Total Michigan State and Wisconsin played that fantastic game in late October, and now we get to see a rematch of that one for the conference title. Wisconsin moved the ball on the ground nicely in East Lansing, and I expect more of the same in this one. Wisconsin's offense may be the most balanced attack in the country. Russell Wilson has put up Heisman Trophy type numbers for the Badgers, and Montee Ball has an amazing 29 touchdowns in 2011. Wisconsin has scored at least 48 points in each of their last four games. Michigan State's offense has improved as the season has moved along. Look for Martin and Cunningham to make plays on the outside. Both defenses are good, but the offenses are even better. The over is 19-6-1 in Wisconsin's last 27 Big Ten conference games. Take the over.
12-03-11	Tennessee Tech v. Duquesne OVER 150		67-77	Loss	-108	22 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total Duquesne is one of my single favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Dukes force other teams to play to their style. Duquesne likes to trap and try to create offense from their defense. Tennessee Tech doesn't have many good ball-handlers, and I think the Dukes pressure could be a real problem for them. At the same time, Tech has plenty of scorers and they should be able to put up some points. Neither team will be walking it up the floor in this one. It should be up and down the whole way. Take the over.
12-03-11	Oregon v. Brigham Young OVER 146		65-79	Loss	-108	20 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout I really like what Dave Rose is doing with this BYU program. Jimmer Fredette isn't here any longer, but the Cougars are still a pretty good team. BYU has quite a few shooters all over the floor, and this team really can push the tempo. Oregon typically tries to speed the game up, so I don't expect them to be slowing this game down. BYU is averaging 91 points per game at home so far this year. Oregon's defense isn't very good, but the Ducks should be able to score. Take the over.
12-03-11	Marquette v. Wisconsin UNDER 126.5		61-54	Win	100	19 h 21 m	Show
3 Star Intrastate Total Takedown Wisconsin slows the pace down better than any other team in the country. Bo Ryan's team doesn't have nearly as much talent as some of the other top teams in the country, but they play under control and play great defense. No team has scored more than 60 points on the Badgers this year, and that includes North Carolina. Wisconsin gives up just 42 points per game on average this year. The under is 19-7 in Marquette's last 26 games. The under is 4-1 in Wisconsin's last 5 games. Take the under.
12-03-11	Utah State v. New Mexico State OVER 61.5	Top	24-21	Loss	-110	38 h 24 m	Show
5 Star NCAA FB Top Play Total Utah State's offense has been a pleasant surprise this year. Utah State has two very nice quarterbacks who are capable of leading the team down the field consistently. New Mexico State's defense is one of the worst in the nation. New Mexico State gives up 38 points per contest. New Mexico State's offense is much better at home. The team averages 29.4 points per game at home, and the over is 4-1 in their 5 home games this year. Utah State gives up 35 points per game on the road. The over is 7-1 in New Mexico State's last 8 home games. The over is 5-2-1 in Utah State's last 8 road games. I expect a lot of points to be scored here. Take the over big.
12-03-11	USC v. Minnesota UNDER 120		40-55	Win	100	14 h 10 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special Minnesota will be without the services of star Trevor Mbakwe the rest of the season. Mbakwe was the team's leading scorer and rebounder, and it will be very difficult for this team to replace him offensively. USC has decided to slow the pace down as much as possible this year. The Trojans are only putting up about 47 or 48 shots per game this year. The average final score in a USC game this year is 57-55. Minnesota put up only 58 points last game in their first outing without Mbakwe. Look for the defenses to rule in this one. Take the under.
12-02-11	Washington v. Nevada OVER 147.5		73-76	Win	100	10 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout There are only eight teams in the nation with a tempo rated quicker than Washington. That is pretty impressive when you consider there are 345 teams in Division I basketball. Nevada is near the middle of the pack when it comes to pace, but they have played several teams who slow the game down. They have yet to play a team like Washington, who will push it at every single opportunity. Last year these two teams met and the final was 90-60. The posted total was 158 last year. I don't think the total should be 10 points lower this year, and I think this is a nice chance to get a value on the over. Take the over.
12-02-11	Manhattan v. Rider OVER 143		71-55	Loss	-114	19 h 2 m	Show
3 Star TGIF Total Domination The Rider Broncs are a team I really like to play the 'over' with. Rider really pushes the tempo on the offensive end, and on the defensive end they are not good at all. Opponents are scoring 81 points per game on Rider, and they are shooting 41% from three-point range. Manhattan has sped up their tempo a bit from last year. The Jaspers shoot a lot of three's, which should be a good thing in this matchup. In addition, it should be noted that both of these teams get to free throw line often. Look for there to be plenty of points from the charity stripe. The over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the over.
12-01-11	Georgetown v. Alabama UNDER 126.5		57-55	Win	100	26 h 26 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout Anthony Grant has done a fabulous job with the Alabama basketball program. The Crimson Tide play terrific defense and their athleticism on the wings make them a very difficult matchup. Georgetown doesn't have the offensive firepower they have had in previous years, and I can't see them having too much success against the Crimson Tide in Alabama. Last year Alabama allowed opponents to score only 50 points per game on their home floor. The under is 12-5 in Georgetown's last 17. Take the under.
12-01-11	Mississippi v. DePaul OVER 144.5		70-68	Loss	-108	26 h 1 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total Oliver Purnell has his DePaul Blue Demons running in transition in a big way. Mississippi has been running at every opportunity this year, and I don't see them slowing this one down. Neither team is strong defensively, and there should be quite a few easy layups in this game. DePaul is averaging 80 points per game so far this year. Mississippi has a strong frontcourt that should get them some good looks in the halfcourt. I think this one has a solid chance of topping the 150 point mark. Take the over.
12-01-11	Youngstown State v. Detroit OVER 146.5		64-61	Loss	-108	24 h 58 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Youngstown State and Detroit both like to push the tempo. In their meeting last February, the final score was 91-79. Detroit is terrible at guarding beyond the arc, and Youngstown's offensive strength is their long range shooting. Detroit is paced by Ray McCallum, a talented point guard who can get to the basket with the best of them. The oddsmakers have been behind the curve on both of these teams. The over is 9-0 in Youngstown State's last 9 road games. The over is 25-9-1 in Detroit's last 35 games. Take the over.
12-01-11	Providence v. South Carolina OVER 136		76-67	Win	100	24 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown Providence has put up 80 points or more three times this season. South Carolina allows opponents to shoot 44% from three-point range. Providence has been highly successful this year when they push the tempo, so I expect that from them in this game. Both of these teams are great on the offensive glass, and I think they'll be plenty of second chance scoring opportunities in this game. I projected this one at about 141 or 142, so I like the value on this one. Take the over in this matchup.
11-30-11	Brigham Young v. Northern Arizona OVER 138		87-52	Win	100	20 h 60 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout BYU doesn't have Jimmer Fredette anymore, but they still have a solid team that can put up quite a few points. Brandon Davies is back with the team, and the Cougars have some solid guards who can score as well. Northern Arizona likes to push the pace quite a bit, so I don't expect them to slow down the fast paced BYU attack. Northern Arizona's defense is one of the worst in the nation, and I fully expect them to get torched in this one. The pace here should push this one over the posted total.
11-30-11	Rhode Island v. Brown OVER 146		56-65	Loss	-103	18 h 30 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION Rhode Island loves to push the pace, and Brown should be the perfect team for them to do that against. Brown plays faster than anyone else in the Ivy League, and when they play a non-conference opponent I like to play the over when I see value. Brown has given up more than 70 points in four of their six games this year, and they have yet to face a team that pushes the pace as much as Rhode Island. The Rams should take advantage of a pourous Brown defense in this one. I projected this one at 150 or 151. I like the value on the over.
11-30-11	Indiana v. North Carolina State OVER 150		86-75	Win	100	18 h 5 m	Show
3 Star Big Ten/ACC Total Takedown Indiana is a team to watch out for this year. Cody Zeller is making a big difference already for the Hoosiers. Zeller, just like his older brother Tyler, is a big man who can run the floor. Indiana has sped up its pace quite a bit because of their improved athleticism. NC State won't be looking to slow the game down. In fact, the Wolfpack are really running this year under new coach Mark Gottfried. Six NC State players are averaging double figures so far this year. The over is 14-6 in Indiana's last 20 road games. Take the over.
11-30-11	Drexel v. St. Joseph's UNDER 122.5		49-62	Win	100	17 h 28 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO St. Joe's is much improved on the defensive side of the ball this year. Phil Martelli's team has not been allowing many easy looks in the paint, which is key against Drexel. The Drexel Dragons defense is one of the best in the nation almost every year. Bruiser Flint's team is second in the nation in three-point defense, and St. Joe's relies heavily on three's. Last year at this time these two teams met and the final was 62-50. The under is 14-3 in Drexel's last 17 games. Expect the defenses to control this game. Take the under.
11-29-11	Eastern Michigan v. Syracuse OVER 129		48-84	Win	100	17 h 24 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Syracuse has quietly sped up their pace quite a bit so far this year. The Orange are typically a team that walks it up the court, but they have moved to become more of a transition team. This team struggled in halfcourt sets last year, and I think they are trying to use their athleticism more by running the floor. Eastern Michigan struggles to control the basketball, and Syracuse is really forcing turnovers in bunches this year. Look for Syracuse to score early and often here. Take the over.
11-28-11	Pacific v. Stanford UNDER 126.5		37-79	Win	100	21 h 57 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Pacific is one of the slowest paced teams in college basketball. The Tigers are not nearly as talented this year as they have been in the past. The only chance Pacific has is to slow this game down to a snail's pace and try to make it extremely ugly. Stanford doesn't exactly run up and down the floor either, and the team lacks great athleticism. Look for this game to be played in the halfcourt for all 40 minutes. I had projected this one in the low 120's, so I like the value on the under here.
11-27-11	Santa Clara v. Villanova OVER 142		65-64	Loss	-108	17 h 23 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Santa Clara has shown that they like to push the pace this year. Kevin Foster is one of the best scorers in the country that most people have never heard anything about. Foster could easily put up 30 points in a game, and he gets to the line very often. Villanova has struggled a bit at the beginning of this year. Jay Wright's team isn't very good defensively, and they have the shot the ball poorly. Santa Clara fouls more than almost any team in the nation, and Villanova shoots 83% from the line. Look for the points to pile up in this one. Take the over.
11-27-11	St Bonaventure v. Virginia Tech UNDER 128		64-73	Loss	-108	7 h 40 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The departure of Malcolm Delaney has left Virginia Tech without a real offensive star. The Hokies have become a much more defensive-minded team this season. Erick Green is one of the team's best on offense, but he is dinged up and might miss this game. Andrew Nicholson is essentially a one-man show for St. Bonaventure most of the time. The under is 35-16-1 in St. Bonnie's last 52 road games. Look for the pace to stay slow here. I projected this total at about 124, so I like the value on the under.
11-27-11	MD Eastern Shore v. Portland State OVER 132		69-79	Win	100	5 h 55 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout Maryland-Eastern Shore is a strange team in that they love to push the pace, but they aren't any good at all. Portland State has played a lot of teams this year that like to slow the pace down, but this won't be that way. The Vikings should be able to put up a lot of points against such a weak defense. Maryland-Eastern Shore isn't an efficient offense, but they should get up enough shots to help push this one over the posted total. I think the oddsmakers have set this one too low based on what the tempo should be in this game. Look for this one to go well over the posted total.
11-27-11	Morehead St. v. Bucknell UNDER 128.5		50-54	Win	100	5 h 40 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer Morehead State lost Kenneth Faried, but the team still has a defensive identity. Morehead State walks it up the court and works the ball around to look for a great shot. On the defensive end, they play very solid man defense. Bucknell isn't a team that likes to push the pace, and they should be happy to stay in a halfcourt game with Morehead State. The under is 6-1 in Bucknell's last 7 home games. They are allowing less than 50 points per game at home this year. Take the under.
11-27-11	Cleveland State v. Rhode Island OVER 137.5		67-45	Loss	-108	3 h 1 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown Rhode Island is a team that doesn't play much defense at all, but they can put up the points in bunches. Opponents shoot a ridiculous 57% on two-point shots against Rhode Island. Cleveland State has shown that they are much better than people expected them to be. The Vikings are a veteran team that should take advantage of a bad defense. Rhode Island controls the pace best when at home, and this is a home game for the Rams. Look for both teams put up quite a few here. Take the over.
11-27-11	Arizona St v. DePaul OVER 142		64-68	Loss	-110	2 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NCAA Hoops Tempo Total DePaul plays at a very quick pace. The Blue Demons use full court pressure and try to get easy layups from their defense. Oliver Purnell always used this style at Clemson, and he is continuing that tradition at DePaul. The lowest total points in a game involving DePaul this year was 146 points. The Blue Demons halfcourt defense allows plenty of easy looks, and Arizona State is averaging 67 points per game, but I'll be pretty surprised if they don't top 70 here. Take the over in this one.
11-27-11	Washington State v. UC Riverside UNDER 131		63-64	Win	100	2 h 6 m	Show
3 Star Under the Radar Total Washington State will attempt to push the pace in this one, but UC Riverside should know that if they have any chance of staying in the game they must make this a slow paced contest. UC Riverside has not had a game go above 128 points this year despite having two overtime games. One of their overtime contests still only finished at 53-49. The Highlanders play solid defense, but they certainly don't shoot the ball well. At a neutral site, I expect the overall shooting numbers to be less than stellar. Take the under.
11-26-11	San Diego St v. Cal Santa Barbara UNDER 134		76-75	Loss	-108	11 h 9 m	Show
3 Star Late Night Basketball Bailout San Diego State is a defensive minded team this year. Steve Fisher realizes his team doesn't have the offensive firepower that they had a year ago, so he has turned this team into a defensive powerhouse. UCSB is historically one of the slowest paced teams in the Big West. I expect the Gaucho's to play tough defense on their home court here. I projected this line at about 128 or 129, so I like the under quite a bit here. Look for a defensive minded game. Take the under.
11-26-11	Louisiana-Lafayette v. Duquesne OVER 146.5	Top	65-84	Win	100	8 h 11 m	Show
5 Star Top Play Total Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with and that is because they can really make the other team play their style of game. The Dukes press and push the tempo at every single opportunity. That should be perfect against a Lafayette team that typically puts up quick shot and does not use up the shot clock. I think this game has a legitimate chance to get to 160 points, so the value here is big on the over. Look for a fast paced game that ends with a winner on the over.
11-26-11	Rider v. La Salle OVER 148.5		70-82	Win	100	5 h 28 m	Show
3 Star Hidden Gem Total Rider and LaSalle both love to push the pace, and when these two teams get together the scoring should be abundant. I thought this line would be around 155 points, so I was very surprised to see the total open where it did. Look for both teams to get plenty of open looks from beyond the arc in this one. In addition, both teams get to the basket well, which should mean a lot of free throws in this game. I think there is a ton of value on the over in this game. Take the over.
11-26-11	Louisiana-Lafayette v. Arizona OVER 61.5		37-45	Win	100	38 h 18 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination Both of these teams have very good passing offenses. Both of these teams also have terrible pass defenses. It's a recipe for a shootout on Saturday in Arizona. The Wildcats have a clear athleticism advantage here, but the Arizona secondary ranks second to last in the nation in pass defense. The over is 6-1 in Lafayette's last 7 non-conference games. The over is 6-2 in Arizona's last 8 games. Look for a lot of completed passes and several big plays here. Take the over in this matchup.
11-26-11	Western Michigan v. Gonzaga OVER 140.5		58-78	Loss	-108	5 h 14 m	Show
3 Star Tempo Total Western Michigan isn't a very good team right now, but they certainly push the tempo. Gonzaga won't slow the game down on their home court in Spokane. Look for the Zags to put up a big number against a Western Michigan defense that tends to leave a lot of guys wide open on a consistent basis. I had this line projected at 146 or 147, so the value is definitely on the over in my book on this game. Look for a fast paced game where both teams get up plenty of shots. Take the over.
11-26-11	Oregon State v. Oregon OVER 63.5		21-49	Win	100	112 h 22 m	Show
3 Star Pac 12 Total Takedown Oregon was stunned at home by the USC Trojans last week. The Ducks offense took a little longer than normal to get started, and the defense showed its major flaws in the secondary. Oregon State's defense simply doesn't have the team speed to keep up with the Ducks in this one. Oregon State does move the ball well through the air, and I expect them to have some success there. The over is 20-6-1 in Oregon's last 27 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over.
11-26-11	Virginia Tech v. Virginia UNDER 46		38-0	Win	100	13 h 5 m	Show
3 Star Rivalry Totals Play Virginia Tech and Virginia are bitter rivals. The team's are more similar than most would think this season. The Cavaliers have put together a shocking season behind the play of a solid defense and a decent ground game. The Hokies are built around their defense and run game as well. Look for both teams to try to establish the run, and the clock should be ticking early and often in this game. The under is 12-5-1 in Va. Tech's last 18 games. The under is 6-0 in Virginia's last 6 home games. Take the under.
11-26-11	Princeton v. Morehead St. UNDER 123		56-68	Loss	-119	3 h 31 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special Princeton is as methodical of a team as you'll find, and Morehead State isn't about to speed up the pace either. Both teams struggle shooting it from the field, so I expect poor shooting percentages from both sides. Look for a walk it up the floor type of game where both defenses have the upper hand. I projected this game at about 118 points, so I like the value here. Only one Princeton game has gone higher than this total so far this season. Take the under here.
11-25-11	California v. Arizona State OVER 54		47-38	Win	100	20 h 21 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Late Night Bailout Cal's defense is great at home, but they seem to struggle quite a bit on the road. Cal gives up 34 points per game away from home. Arizona State is averaging 40 points per game on offense at home. The Sun Devils defense is terrible against the pass, and Cal should be able to move the ball in this one. Both offense have quite a few talented players at the skill positions. The total here is set quite low, and I was expected a number closer to 60. The over is 7-1 in Arizona State's last 8. Take the over.
11-25-11	Pittsburgh v. West Virginia OVER 57		20-21	Loss	-105	17 h 6 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Rivalry Total Pitt and West Virginia have been rivals for years, but since Pitt is getting ready to leave the Big East, they won't be meeting each other annually. The Panthers offense has been inconsistent this year, but West Virginia's defense has given up a ton of big plays this year. On the other side of the ball, Dana Holgorsen has turned West Virginia into a very impressive offensive team. Geno Smith and the offense should carve up a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. The over is 8-1 in the Mountaineers last 9 games. Take the over.
11-24-11	New Mexico v. Santa Clara OVER 138.5		76-79	Win	100	21 h 18 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Turkey Day Total New Mexico is a team I have my eye on this year. Steve Alford's team has the ability to surprise some people this season. The Lobos have a solid backcourt as well as a frontcourt that can score on just about anyone. Santa Clara likes to push the pace, and Kevin Foster is a great scorer. Santa Clara has scored 80 and 84 points in their two wins, and in their loss they gave up 89 points. The over is 5-2 in Santa Clara's last 7 neutral site games. Look for this one to be higher scoring than expected. Take the over.
11-24-11	San Francisco 49ers v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 40		6-16	Win	100	20 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Total Domination San Francisco is a ball control type of team. Alex Smith has been great for the 49ers, but he isn't going to throw for a ton of yards against many teams. The Niners will be looking to establish Frank Gore. Baltimore's front seven is terrific. The 49ers defense is first in the NFL in points allowed, and the Ravens offense has been very inconsistent this year. This looks like a game where both teams try to pound the ball and play a field position battle. Take the under here.
11-22-11	California v. Missouri OVER 144	Top	53-92	Win	100	10 h 9 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Late Night Missouri may have a new coach this year, but they still have the same philosophy of pressing and pushing the pace. Missouri has scored more than 80 points in every game they have played this year. Cal has Allen Crabbe, Harper Kamp, and Jorge Gutierrez as a powerful trio of scorers. The over is 5-1 in Missouri's last 6 games. The over is 65-31-1 in Cal's last 97 games following an ATS win. Look for the tempo to be very quick here. I think this one tops 150 points. Take the over big.
11-22-11	Florida Intl. v. Oral Roberts OVER 142.5		65-73	Loss	-108	8 h 10 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Florida International is coached by Isaiah Thomas. Thomas likes to have his team push the tempo and trap in the full court on defense. Oral Roberts is a team with a lot of scoring prowess, and I think they'll pile up the points on Florida International. The over is 40-18-1 in Florida International's last 59 games. The over is 23-8 in Fla International's last 31 road games. Both teams should score in bunches tonight. Look for this one to go over the posted total. Take the over.
11-22-11	Georgia State v. Samford UNDER 126		55-47	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
3 Star Under the Radar Total Georgia State and Samford are both defense oriented teams. They both play strong defense in the halfcourt. Both teams have played opponents this year that they forced the tempo, and that gives us some value on the under in this game. Neither team should be pushing the tempo in this one. Look for both teams to walk it up the court and use up the shot clock on almost every possession. The under is 9-3 in Georgia State's last 12 road games. The under is 7-3 in Samford's last 10 non-conference games. Take the under.
11-22-11	Northern Colorado v. Iowa State OVER 145		82-90	Win	100	7 h 17 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total Iowa State is full of new players that transferred into the school over the past year. The team has all kinds of talent, and they have decided that they are best off if they push the pace this year. Chris Allen, Chris Babb, Royce White, and others are all threats to score in bunches. Northern Colorado is giving up 81 points per game because of their poor defense. Look for Iowa State to score even more than that here. The over is 8-2 in Northern Colorado's last 10 games. I expect this one to go over.
11-22-11	Rutgers v. Illinois State UNDER 123.5	Top	70-76	Loss	-108	7 h 53 m	Show
5 Star Top Play Knockout Rutgers and Illinois State are both teams built around their strong defensive play. This game will be played at a neutral site in Cancun Mexico. This site is known for poor shooting percentages because of a tough backdrop for shooters. Neither team will be pushing the tempo here, and I expect both teams to play very good halfcourt defense. The trends point strongly to the under here. The under is 22-8 in Rutgers last 30 non-conference games. The under is 15-3 in Illinois St's last 18 non-conference games. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under big.
11-22-11	Cornell v. Delaware OVER 132.5	Top	64-72	Win	100	7 h 43 m	Show
5 Star Top Play Totals Takedown Cornell is a rare Ivy League team that likes to run. Delaware showed last time out against Villanova that they can score. Sadler is a guy who can score from anywhere on the floor for Delaware. Cornell likes to shoot three's, and Delaware simply isn't very good at defending in the halfcourt. The over is 4-1-1 in Cornell's last 6 road games. The over is 16-4-1 in Delaware's last 21 games. The total here is set quite low. I projected this one at 139 or 140, so I really like the value on the over.
11-22-11	Fresno State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 136.5		79-83	Win	100	7 h 39 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer Fresno State showed yesterday that they are looking to push the pace much more this year than they have in the past. Texas San-Antonio is loaded with scorers, and they will run at every opportunity. UTSA has scored at least 73 points in every game they have played this year, and they should continue that trend in this game. The over is 8-1 in UTSA's last 9 games overall. I expect the Roadrunners from Texas San-Antonio to control the tempo in this one. Take the over in this matchup.
11-22-11	South Dakota State v. Sam Houston State OVER 134		77-60	Win	100	4 h 15 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special South Dakota State isn't a very well-known team, but they put up points with the best of them on an annual basis. The Jackrabbits love to run the floor, and they have several guys who can bury the three-ball. Sam Houston State has played against teams who want to slow the game down so far this year, but that will change today. Typically Sam Houston St. is a team that runs and pushes the tempo and I expect them to do that again this year. The over is 20-6 in SD State's last 26 games. Take the over.
11-21-11	Norfolk State v. Marquette OVER 149.5		57-59	Loss	-108	7 h 53 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown Norfolk State and Marquette met just a week ago. Marquette won that matchup 99-68. Marquette has scored 91, 99, 95, and 96 points in their four games this year. The Golden Eagles offense should be far too much for Norfolk State again in this one. Norfolk State tends to play pretty quickly, so I don't imagine they will slow the tempo down too much. Look for Marquette's guards to control the tempo and score early and often in this one. The game should get ugly early, which generally leads to a high scoring game. Take the over.
11-21-11	Manhattan v. Fresno State UNDER 127		85-83	Loss	-117	6 h 15 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Manhattan and Fresno State are two teams in a similar position right now. Neither team is very good, and in order to stay in the game they really are better off slowing the tempo down. I expect a game between these two to be quite ugly. Manhattan's highest point total of the year is 62 points. Fresno State's highest offensive output is 59 points. A neutral site like this one typically leads to lower shooting percentages. I expect a low scoring game that finishes below the posted total. Take the under.
11-21-11	Texas Christian v. Mississippi OVER 131		69-80	Win	100	4 h 10 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO TCU has been pushing the pace a little more this year than they have in the past. The Horned Frogs also get to the line frequently, which is a good thing since Ole Miss fouls a lot. Both teams should get a lot of trips to the line in this one since both take it to the bucket often. I had projected this line at about 136 or 137, so I'm getting several points worth of value here. Neither team is strong defensively, and this number is set quite low. Take the over in this matchup.
11-21-11	Monmouth v. Albany NY UNDER 131.5		49-85	Loss	-108	3 h 16 m	Show
3 Star Under the Radar Total Monmouth and Albany are two teams that had to replace a lot from last year's squads. Both of these are struggling to develop a rhythm on the offensive end. Both teams also have a couple key players injured right now. The preferred tempo for both teams is quite slow, and unless the shooting percentages are very high I don't think they'll get above this total. I projected this one in the mid 120's. The under is 12-4-1 in Monmouth's last 17 games overall. Take the under.
11-20-11	Montana v. San Diego UNDER 124		73-60	Loss	-108	10 h 59 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Montana is a team that slows down the pace a lot on every possession. The Grizzlies play great halfcourt defense and contest every shot. San Diego simply doesn't have very many offensive weapons. The Toreros will struggle to score against almost everyone this year, but that will be magnified against a good team like Montana. The under is 13-4-1 in San Diego's last 18 games overall. The under is 8-1 in Montana's last 9 against West Coast Conference teams. I like the under here.
11-20-11	Duquesne v. Valparaiso OVER 148		68-84	Win	100	5 h 48 m	Show
3 Star Tempo Total Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Dukes force turnovers and push the basketball at every single opportunity. Valpo is a team with several quick guards who will want to push the pace as well. This one should end up in an up and down matchup. Look for both teams to hoist plenty of shots here, and the free throws will be abundant. The posted total is set high, but I don't think it is high enough. I really like the over in this matchup. Take the over.
11-20-11	Belmont v. Middle Tenn. St. OVER 138		87-84	Win	100	5 h 46 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown Belmont can score points with the best of them, and if MTSU wants to keep up they'll need to score as well. This should be a highly contested rivalry game and I expect it to go down to the wire. Free throws should help push this one over the top if it isn't already there before the last couple minutes of the game. I projected this one at about 142 or 143, so I like the value on the over. Take the over here.
11-20-11	Arizona Cardinals v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 41		7-23	Win	100	41 h 18 m	Show
3 Star NFL Play of the Day Arizona's offense may have had enough to beat the Eagles last week, but with Skelton at quarterback I don't expect them to move the ball much at all against the 49ers. The 49ers lead the league in rushing defense, so they should shut down the Cardinals rushing attack. Skelton and Smith are two quarterbacks that really can't air it out that often. Look for both teams to be running a lot here. Jim Harbaugh's team should grind out another win here. I don't expect this to be a pretty game, and it should stay under the posted total. Take the under.
11-20-11	South Florida v. Penn State UNDER 127		49-53	Win	100	3 h 44 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer USF and Penn State both love to slow the pace down, and neither team has a real scorer this year. This should be an extremely ugly game, but it is a good chance to take a look at the under. Look for the shooting percentages to be low, and I think both teams will be walking the ball up the court all game long. I actually had this game projected around 117 or 118, so the value on the under is very large in my opinion. Take the under.
11-20-11	Rhode Island v. Nebraska OVER 130		63-83	Win	100	3 h 14 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO Rhode Island runs and guns, and they play very little defense. Nebraska is a very slow paced team, but I think they'll score more than normal becuase of the great looks they'll get today. The Rams have played two games and the final totals were 182 and 190. I don't expect a high scoring game here, but I do think 130 is too low for a game involving Rhode Island. Look for solid shooting percentages to push this one over the posted total.
11-20-11	Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Green Bay Packers OVER 48		26-35	Win	100	39 h 44 m	Show
3 Star Bucs/Packers Total Domination Tampa Bay's secondary is a mess right now, and the last team they would want to be playing is the Green Bay Packers. Aaron Rodgers is carving up every defense he faces, and he should do the same to this weakened Bucs secondary. The Packers have scored 45 points in each of their last two games, and I think they could easily top 40 again in this one. At the same time, Green Bay's secondary has struggled this year and I think Josh Freeman and the Bucs will be able to move the ball at times. The over is 8-2 in Green Bay's last 10 home games. Take the over.
11-20-11	Dallas Cowboys v. Washington Redskins UNDER 42		27-24	Loss	-110	38 h 29 m	Show
3 Star NFL Total TKO Washington's offense has been abysmal of late. The Redskins made the change to John Beck and it hasn't helped the offense one bit. Tim Hightower is out and the running game is struggling as well. Washington just doesn't have many play makers at all on offense right now. Dallas has been playing well defensively this year. Rob Ryan should have a scheme to shut down this Redskins offense. The Redskins usually get up to play the Cowboys, and that generally leads to a low scoring affair. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 13-3 in the Redskins last 16 games. Take the under.
11-19-11	Cal St-Fullerton v. Louisiana-Lafayette OVER 145.5	Top	69-63	Loss	-108	9 h 36 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM CS Fullerton is a team that is at its best when it is out in transition. The Big West is notorious for teams who run and score, but don't play any defense. CS Fullerton fits the bill perfectly this year. La. Lafayette has shown that they like to run when given the opportunity. I think Lafayette will be able to score on the inside quite a bit in this one. The over is 13-3 in CS Fullerton's last 16 Saturday games. I think this one tops 150 points, so I really like the value on this over.
11-19-11	USC v. Oregon OVER 67		38-35	Win	100	116 h 22 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Top Total Oregon showed the college football world how good they are last weekend when they took it to Stanford on the road. The Ducks high powered offense got rolling in the second half, and when it is rolling it is a thing of beauty. LaMichael James is back in the lineup and he is a gamebreaker. USC has one of the best passing attacks in the nation, and Oregon ranks 80th in the country in pass defense. The Ducks will have trouble with Matt Barkley and company, but I expect Oregon to put up a big number here as well. Last year's game finished 53-32. Don't be surprised if this game ends up in the upper 70's or so low 80's. Take the over.
11-19-11	Wofford v. Wisconsin UNDER 123		33-69	Win	100	8 h 59 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total TKO Those who have followed me in the past know that one of my favorite teams to play an 'under' with is Wisconsin. Bo Ryan's team always knows how to play defense, and they absolutely know how to take the air out of the ball when they are ahead late in the game. Wofford is a team built on defensive principles as well. Look for both teams to walk it up the court and use up the shot clock consistently. The Badgers should be too strong for Wofford, and they will slow the game to a crawl once they get the lead. Take the under.
11-19-11	Vanderbilt v. Tennessee OVER 44		21-27	Win	100	66 h 35 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout The word around Tennessee is that Tyler Bray will likely be back for the Volunteers in this one. Bray is probably the best quarterback in the SEC, and he will instantly make this Tennessee offense much better again. Vanderbilt has improved as an offense of late. The Commodores should be able to run the ball some against a mediocre front seven for Tennessee. Jordan Rodgers has helped this Vanderbilt offense build some momentum of late. Look for this game to have more scoring than most expect. Take the over.
11-19-11	Lehigh Mountain v. Liberty Flames OVER 142	Top	90-80	Win	100	7 h 4 m	Show
5 Star Under the Radar Total I played the over in Lehigh's game yesterday and lost by half a point. It wasn't Lehigh's fault at all that I lost that pick. Lehigh put up 82 points yesterday, but their opponent scored just 57. Lehigh pushes the tempo a lot, and Liberty isn't the type of team that has the guard play to slow the game down. I fully expect Lehigh to be around 80 points again in this game. Liberty has some shooters who could do some damage as well. Look for this one to go up and down nicely. Take the over big in this game.
11-19-11	Duquesne v. Akron OVER 140		81-76	Win	100	6 h 5 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Pace Pick Duquesne does its best to push the pace at every opportunity. Akron has some scorers, and I think this game will go over this total.
11-19-11	Cal Poly SLO v. USC UNDER 115		42-36	Win	100	4 h 0 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer Cal Poly and USC both rank in the bottom ten in college hoops as far as pace. Look for this one to stay below 110 points. Take the under.
11-19-11	Virginia Cavaliers v. Drexel UNDER 117		49-35	Win	100	4 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Halfcourt Battle This should be a battle of two teams trying to slow the game down even more than the opponent. This one should be ugly, and I like the under.
11-19-11	Towson v. Belmont OVER 141.5	Top	41-87	Loss	-103	3 h 29 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Uptempo Total Belmont is one of the best mid-major teams in the country this year. They played Duke to a one point loss, and they fought hard against Memphis as well. They scoed 76 and 81 points against Duke and Memphis. Towson is terrible defensively. Towson allowed a Kansas team that is down this year to put up 100 points on them in their opener. Belmont should control the tempo here, and Towson won't be able to slow them down a bit. Look for this one to get ugly early on. This should go well over the posted total. Take the over big.
11-19-11	James Madison v. La Salle OVER 147		83-92	Win	100	3 h 5 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Takedown James Madison and LaSalle are two teams who have historically tried to push the tempo inside their own conference. When these types of teams get together in non-conference action, the line is usually a little too low. James Madison returns almost all of their offensive production from last year, and they should be able to put up a lot of points on a consistent basis. LaSalle creates turnovers with their press, and that should lead to easy buckets for both teams. Take the over here.
11-19-11	Louisville v. Butler UNDER 126.5		69-53	Win	100	2 h 5 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total Louisville has quite a bit of talent this year, but several key offensive players will miss this game. Butler is far from the same team that went to the title game last year. Brad Stevens is a great coach who knows that this year his team will need to slow the tempo down much more than they did last season. Butler simply doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with a team like Louisville. Expect both teams to play very good halfcourt defense. I like the under here.
11-19-11	Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 41		22-28	Loss	-110	16 h 55 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special Eastern Michigan is a much improved football team this year. Ron English and the Eastern Michigan Eagles have done it by running the football well and controlling the ball. The defense is also much better than it was last year. Kent State ranks 119th out of 120 teams in the country in total offense. The Golden Flashes do have a very good defense, especially against the run. Neither of these offenses can throw the ball much at all, and the defenses should hold up well here. Expect an ugly low scoring game. Take the under.
11-18-11	Houston Baptist v. Louisiana-Lafayette OVER 146.5		64-73	Loss	-108	9 h 34 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination Houston Baptist loves to run the floor, and they also play some terrible defense. Those are two things that tend to lead to a very high scoring game. In this case, La. Lafayette also likes to run the floor. The Ragin Cajuns should be able to take advantage of Houston Baptist's pourous defense. La. Lafayette allows 72 points per game and Houston Baptist allows 78 points per contest. Look for a fast paced game with both teams getting up a lot of shots. Take the over in this one.
11-18-11	Cal State Fullerton v. Nicholls State OVER 142.5		73-63	Loss	-108	5 h 11 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO CS Fullerton returns the majority of their team from last year. The Titans play in the Big West, where just about every team runs and guns. Fullerton will want to run at every opportunity in this one, and I don't see how Nicholls State stops them. Nicholls State allowed 96 points against LSU and 96 points against Tulane as well. Fullerton has just as good (if not better) of an offense compared to those two teams. Fullerton likely won't put up 96 points, but they should top 80. Look for this to be a high scoring affair. Take the over.
11-18-11	William Mary v. Lehigh Mountain OVER 139.5		57-82	Loss	-118	5 h 33 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Hidden GEM Lehigh is a team that really pushes the tempo of the game. William & Mary generally plays to the pace of their opponent. William & Mary has several good three-point shooters, while Lehigh knocks down free throws at a very high clip. The over is 7-3 in Lehigh's last 10 games. The over is 11-4-2 in the Tribe's last 17 games overall. Look for this game to be played at a quick pace, and I think both teams will knock down quite a few three's. I like the over in this matchup.
11-18-11	Drake v. Mississippi OVER 131		59-63	Loss	-108	3 h 18 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Drake showed they have more offensive firepower than most realized when they went out and beat a talented Iowa State team earlier this week. Mississippi has played two cupcakes to this point, but I do think the Rebels have the athleticism to get to the bucket against Drake. Neither team is stellar on the defensive end, and since I expect the pace to be fairly quick, this total is set quite low. I expected this one to be around 135 or 136, so I like the value on the over.
11-17-11	Pacific v. Nevada UNDER 132.5		54-78	Win	100	10 h 12 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Nevada's first two games have fallen far short of the posted total. The Wolfpack have looked very out of sync offensively so far this year. Pacific is one of the slowest paced teams in all of basketball. The Tigers will want to make this game as ugly as possible. Expect Pacific to use up the entire shot clock every time down the court. The under is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams. I had this one projected at 127, so I like the value here. Take the under in this one.
11-17-11	Idaho v. Montana UNDER 127		52-57	Win	100	8 h 56 m	Show
3 Star Under the Radar Total Idaho showed how successfully they can slow a game down last week when they held Long Beach State to 69 points. The 49ers put up 86 points against Pitt last night, and they love to run the floor. Montana is a very good defensive team that typically uses up the shot clock on the offensive end. I don't expect either team to be pushing the pace in this one. The shooting numbers will likely be pretty poor. The under is 7-2 in Idaho's last 9 road games. The under is 9-3 in Montana's last 12 games. Take the under here.
11-17-11	Georgia Tech v. St. Joseph's UNDER 135		53-66	Win	100	8 h 6 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown Brian Gregory is the new coach at Georgia Tech. Gregory always had his teams at Dayton (his previous school) slow the tempo down and play tough defense. Glen Rice Jr. is the team's best scorer, but he is suspended right now. St. Joe's is short on offensive firepower this year as well. This game will be played at a neutral venue, which generally favors the under since neither team is accustomed to the shooting backdrop. The under is 8-2 in Ga. Tech's last 10 neutral site games. Take the under.
11-17-11	Texas A&M v. Mississippi State OVER 133	Top	60-69	Loss	-108	19 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB 5 Star Top Total Texas A&M has decided to change their style of play this year. All through the offseason the team worked on pushing the tempo and utilizing their depth as a team. The team has scored 81 and 83 points in their first two games. Mississippi State has athletic players all over the court, and they typically don't try too hard to slow down their opponent. Two of their first three games went over 140 points. The total here is set at just 133. I think this game is lined as if A&M was playing their slow pace of last year. Take the over big in this one.

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