Sports Picks & Predictions

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Minnesota Vikings offense isn't great, but the Dallas Cowboys defense is dead last in the NFL in yards allowed per game so far this year. Adrian Peterson should be able to do some damage here. On the other side, the Vikings defense is miserable. Minnesota has allowed 32.1 points per game so far this year. Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense are out to prove something this week after coming up just short against Detroit. Dez Bryant had an outburst last week, and I'm thinking he'll have a big game here.

The over is 10-1 in the Vikings last 11 games during week 9. The over is 7-0 in Dallas' last 7 home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games. The over is 4-0 in the Vikings last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more through the air the previous day. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The San Jose State Spartans have one of the most underrated quarterback in the country in David Fales. Fales is adept at picking apart subpar secondaries, and that is exactly what he'll be up against this week at UNLV. The Rebels secondary struggled badly against Hawaii and Fresno State's aerial attack. San Jose State should put up big points here. At the same time, UNLV's offense is light years better than it was last year. Caleb Herring and the Rebels offense should have a lot of success against a Spartans defense that ranks 100th in the nation in total defense. The scoreboard will light up in Las Vegas on Saturday afternoon. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a long ways removed from their Cinderella season last year. The Golden Flashes are a mess defensively right now. With Reardon healthy at quarterback and Dri Archer back healthy in the backfield, the Golden Flashes offense is much better than it was a few weeks ago. Akron isn't the punching bag they were a year ago. The Zips have a quality quarterback who should move it through the air against a poor Kent State secondary. This game should be very close, which puts overtime into play as well. I think this has a good chance of reaching the upper 50's or even 60 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have shown a ton of fight the last few weeks. Jim Grobe's team is much better defensively now than they were early in the year. Syracuse has tons of issues on offense, and Wake Forest's offense is one-dimensional. Wake Forest is averaging only 96 yards per game on the ground. Wake's defense is giving up just 20.8 points per game. I expected to see a total in the mid 40's in this one. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games on turf. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 games after gaining less than 100 yards on the ground in the last game. The under is 9-1 in Wake Forest's last 10 conference games. A 19-1 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Temple Owls have found a bit of a spark in young quarterback P.J. Walker. Walker threw 4 touchdowns and no picks in the team's 59-49 loss last weekend. Rutgers was overrated from day one this year, and the Scarlet Knights defense isn't even close to what it used to be. Oddsmakers are putting out totals that are too low for this group right now. Rutgers offense isn't any good, but they don't have to be to score a lot on a pathetic Temple defense. The Owls are giving up 516 yards per game this season. This total is set quite a bit too low. Take advantage and bet the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Marshall Thundering Herd lost a heart breaker last week at MTSU. Marshall is one of the most talented teams in Conference USA, and they get a perfect chance to bounce back in a big way this week. Southern Miss has lost 19 games in a row! The Golden Eagles are giving up more than 40 points per game this year. It wouldn't surprise me at all if Marshall gets to the posted total by themselves in this one. Rakeem Cato and the Thundering Herd offense will look great in this one. I had this number at 64 points. Look for this one to sail over the total. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Pistons and Memphis Grizzlies are both teams I have circled as teams that will play much faster this year. Early in the season is a good chance to get good values on teams that are changing up their styles. Detroit has guys who run the floor well all over the court now, and they would be crazy to not run at every opportunity. The Grizzlies are committed to speeding up this year and looking for transition buckets. This one should be lined in the 192-193 area. Look for plenty of easy baskets in transition and lots of trips to the line. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Mavericks/Rockets Total* The Dallas Mavericks and Houston Rockets don't care for each other very much right now. Dwight Howard picked the Rockets over the Mavericks and Mark Cuban isn't happy about it. The problem for Dallas here is they don't have any answer for Howard. Dallas' interior defense is a major weakness, and Howard should exploit that here. Houston is still running and gunning this year, and Dallas will play faster this year with Monta Ellis added to the roster. Neither of these teams is any good on the defensive end. Both teams will get up plenty of shots here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Lakers/Warriors Total DOMINATION* The Los Angeles Angels Lakers are going to push the pace all year long. Without Dwight Howard in the lineup, the Lakers don't have someone slowing the offense down. They also don't have a big defensive presence in the paint. Los Angeles will run and gun and have some very high totals this year. Golden State plays solid defense, but the Warriors are still going to run and put up big point totals. With Steph Curry, Klay Thompson, Harrison Barnes, and now Andre Iguodala this team is stacked with scorers. The total here is set artificially low because it is early in the season. Look for these teams to clear this number easily. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Opening Night Total Domination* The Orlando Magic will be one of the NBA's worst teams this year. I'm not a fan of their experiment of moving Victor Oladipo to point guard. Oladipo is ultra-talented, but I feel like the team is taking away from his talents by putting him in a spot where he isn't as comfortable. Indiana had the league's best defense last year, and they'll be top notch again this year. The Pacers are great at controlling the tempo of the game. Indiana should win this game comfortably, and they will likely take their foot off the gas before the end of the game. It usually takes the offenses a bit to get going at the beginning of the season, and this has low scoring game written all over it. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star Monday Night Football Total Domination* The St. Louis Rams offense is going to look a whole lot different without Sam Bradford under center. Bradford went down with a season-ending injury last week, and I believe the Rams are going to struggle in a big way to score points without him. Kellen Clemens will start here for the Rams. Clemens hasn't been good in his NFL career, and the Rams have virtually no running game. How do the Rams score points here? The Rams defense does play much better at home, and I expect them to fight to keep this game competitive, at least for a while. The posted total here hasn't been adjusted down enough for Bradford's injury. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under.

*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Washington Redskins defense has been one of the worst in the NFL for the past two years. The Redskins are giving up 30.7 points per game, and now they'll go up against the highest scoring team in the league. Denver is ticked off after losing last week in Indy, and the Broncos should light up the scoreboard here. RG3 wasn't completely ready at the beginning of the season, but he has looked much better in the past couple games. This Denver defense isn't very good. They are actually dead last in the NFL in pass yards allowed per game. The Redskins have one of the most balanced offenses in the league, and they should score plenty too.

The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 against a team with a losing record. The over is 13-3 in the Broncos last 16 October games. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game on Sunday, but my numbers had this one at 66 points. I would play this up to 61 points.* Take the over big here!

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense isn't any good. Jason Campbell comes in here and it's hard to expect him to be much better than Brandon Weeden. Campbell doesn't have much help around him. After the Browns got rid of Trent Richardson, the offense became helpless. Defensively, Cleveland is a very solid unit. The Browns are 7th in the NFL in total defense. Kansas City is 1st in the NFL in points per game allowed. The Chiefs are giving up just 11.8 points per game. No opponent has scored more than 17 points on the Chiefs. KC's offense isn't high-powered and they are content to win low scoring games.

The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 during week 8. The under is 7-1 in Cleveland's last 8 after throwing for less than 150 yards in the previous game. The under is 21-5 in the Chiefs last 26 home games. The under is 7-1 in KC's last 8 following a win. The under is 12-2 in Cleveland's last 14 after scoring 14 or less in the previous game. A 51-9 angle backs this. Take the under.

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Late Night BAILOUT* The Hawaii Warriors offense really struggled early in the year, but they have been getting it together of late. Hawaii has no running game, but their passing game has gotten much better. Sean Schroeder has been a nice spark for the passing attack. Hawaii has scored 37, 27, and 37 points in their last three games. Colorado State is their opponent this week, and the Rams are 119th in the nation in pass defense. Hawaii is 122nd in the nation in pass defense. The Rams are coming off a momentum-building 52-22 shellacking of rival Wyoming. Both aerial attacks should get going here against two bad secondaries. The over is 5-0 in the Warriors last 5 October games. The over is 8-2 in their last 10 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in Colorado State's last 4 after scoring 30 points or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Rams last 4 after putting up 450 yards or more of offense. A 20-2 angle backs this. Take the over big!

*5 Star TOP Play Total CRUSHER* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in the country. Derek Carr is a great drop back passer, and I don't see SDSU being able to get pressure on him with their weak front seven and poor pass rush. Carr has lots of weapons and this Bulldogs offense is top ten in the nation in passing. Fresno State has allowed 37 points or more on three occasions already this year, so their defense isn't nearly as good as the offense. San Diego State's offense has been much better on their home field this year, and the Aztecs should get plenty of scoring chances here. Look for big plays from star running back Donnel Pumphrey. I made this total 70 points.

The over is 8-2 in Fresno State's last 10 games after gaining 450 yards or more in their last game. The over is 7-1 in San Diego State's last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Take the over big in this one!

*4 Star NCAA FB Stanford/Oregon State Total DOMINATION* The Stanford Cardinal and Oregon State Beavers meet in a key Pac-12 matchup Saturday night in Corvallis. I really like what I've seen out of this Oregon State offense this year. The Beavers are first in the nation in passing yards per game. What's the weakness of the Stanford defense? Their secondary. Brandin Cooks and Sean Mannion should carve up this secondary. Stanford will be able to score too. Oregon State is giving up 28.4 points per game so far this year.

The over is 9-0 in Oregon State's last 9 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 20 points in a game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up less than 100 rushing yards. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after putting up 450 yards or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games against a team with a winning road record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Stanford's last 4 after allowing less than 100 rushing yards in their last game. A 34-0 angle in all backs the over. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play World Series Game of the Year* The Boston Red Sox and St. Louis Cardinals are all tied up at a game each. The Red Sox took Game One 8-1, but the Cardinals won 4-2 at Fenway in Game 2. Both teams started their top two pitchers in the first two games and the posted total was set at 7 in those games. Joe Kelly and Jake Peavy start Game 3, and the total is still set at 7.

Kelly has been significantly worse at home than on the road this year, and he has never proven himself in the majors over the long run. He'll be up against a Boston Red Sox lineup that led the majors in runs scored this year. Peavy used to be a great pitcher, but his 4.17 ERA wasn't very impressive this year. He allowed 7 runs at Detroit in last outing, and he is up against a Cardinals lineup that averages 5.18 runs per game against right-handed pitching. These two lineups are very deep and a total of just 7 is too low here. Dana DeMuth is behind the plate in this one, and I rate him as a slight over umpire based on his small strike zone so that will help this play as well.

The over is 9-1 in the Red Sox last 10 as a road favorite. The over is 6-1-1 in Kelly's last 8 starts. The over is 6-0-1 in Kelly's last 7 starts during game three of a series. I like the value on this one. Take the over in a big way!

*5 Star TOP Big 10 Total of the Year* The Ohio State Buckeyes are rolling right along on offense this year. Braxton Miller is clearly much better than he was a year ago, and the Buckeyes are playing at a faster pace. On the other side, the Buckeyes defense is significantly weaker than we are used to seeing. Their biggest weakness is the secondary. Penn State's Christian Hackenburg should find plenty of open receivers against this Buckeyes secondary. At the same time, the Nittany Lions aren't the same defensive team they used to be either. Ohio State's offense should have its way here. I had this one lined at 65 points, so I love the value on the over.

The over is 5-0 in Penn State's last 5 October games. The over is 8-0 in Penn State's last 8 following an ATS win. The over is 8-0 in the Nittany Lions last 8 against a team with a winning record. A 21-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Value* Texas State is great at forcing a low scoring game. The Bobcats have a strong rushing defense, and their offense is very poor. Texas State often struggles to put together scoring drives. South Alabama is one of the most improved teams in the country. The Jaguars usually score a decent amount, but I see them struggling on the road here. My numbers had this total at 45 points. The Bobcats aren't an easy team to beat at home, and this one should end up being a hard fought battle in the trenches. Texas State slows this game down and controls the clock. I like the value here. Take the under.

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Under Radar Total* The Georgia State Panthers have actually improved quite a bit this year. This is a team that has been shocking people by covering the spread. Their defense isn't good, but they are serviceable. Louisiana-Monroe's offense is really lacking play makers right now. The Warhawks last three games have finished at 45, 41, and 35 points total. Monroe's defense is one of the best in the Sun Belt. Georgia State averages just 16.6 points per game on offense. The under is 4-0 in Georgia State's last 4 road games. The under is 6-1 in Monroe's last 7 following a bye week. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Take the under big here.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Troy Trojans have a way of making games very high scoring. Troy throws the ball early and often and they have a terrible defense. Western Kentucky likes to push the tempo and run a bunch of plays under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is the best back in the Sun Belt, and he should have a big game for the Hilltoppers here. Western Kentucky's defense was top notch last year, but they are inexperienced and shaky this season. With both teams running a lot of plays, I like the over. I had this number set at 66 myself. Look for both teams to find the end zone several times in this contest. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Eastern Michigan Eagles have one of the worst rushing defenses in the nation. With a horrible rushing defense, heading to Northern Illinois to face Jordan Lynch and the Huskies is the last place you want to be going. Eastern Michigan is giving up 42.3 points per game, and Northern Illinois will be the best rushing attack they have faced this year. While Northern Illinois has an elite offense, their defense isn't good at all. The Huskies are 100th in the nation in total defense, and Eastern Michigan should get scoring opportunities here. This one gets ugly in a hurry, but both offenses should score plenty. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* These are two of the worst teams in the nation. I certainly wouldn't want to wager on who is going to win this mess of a game, but I don't mind taking advantage of the fact that it should be an ugly low scoring game all the way. UMass hasn't scored more than 17 points in a game all year. Western Michigan's top offensive output is 20 points. This one has a 17-14 ugly game written all over it. Both defenses have looked better in recent weeks, but the offenses are a disaster.

The under is 7-0 in UMass' last 7 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 170 passing yards in their last game. It is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 following a loss of 20 points or more. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 games on turf. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after scoring less than 20 points. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in Western Michigan's last 4 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 450 yards or more in the previous game. In all, a 51-0 angle backs this play! Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Pittsburgh Panthers have performed a little better offensively than most people expected (myself included). Navy's defense isn't any good, and the Panthers should be able to overpower the small Navy defensive front. Navy's offense is really hard to prepare for, and the Panthers defense has been disappointing this year. Pitt lacks play makers at linebacker, and that really is the key to stopping the Navy triple option attack. The posted total here opened more than 10 points off my projected total here (60 points). This line has slowly been moving up this week, but I'd play this one up to 55 points. Take the over big.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Browns offense is a real mess right now. Only Brian Hoyer has had any real success moving this team, and he is injured. Brandon Weeden has been bad all year, and the Packers defense has looked much better the last couple weeks. Green Bay's offense is missing several play makers right now, and I'm not sure they'll score as easily as most think here. The Browns defense is pretty good, especially in the secondary where they have Joe Haden and T.J. Ward. The Packers last two games finished at 31 and 36 points. The Browns know they can't win a shootout with the Packers and I expect them to try to slow this game down and control the ball. The under is 6-1 in the Browns last 7 during week 7. The under is 5-1-1 in the Browns last 7 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Oregon State Beavers and Cal Bears are two teams who don't even attempt to run the football. Both teams are terrible at running, but they can both air it out. Expect this to be a game where both quarterbacks get 50 pass attempts or more. A ton of passing attempts for good offenses against terrible defenses means a lot of points. Brandin Cooks has 63 receptions and 11 touchdowns already this year for Oregon State, and Cal doesn't have anyone who can even come close to slowing him down. Jared Goff and the Bears put up 34 points at home against an Ohio State defense that is much better than Oregon State's. The line is high here for a reason. This should be a real shootout.

The over is 4-0 in Oregon State's last 4 road games. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 following a SU win. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 conference games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after gaining 450 yards or more in their previous game. The over is 4-0-1 in Cal's last 5 home games. The over is 5-0-1 in the Bears last 6 after scoring 20 points or less in their previous game. A 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The UNLV Rebels have picked up the tempo in a big way on offense. UNLV ran 113 offensive plays last week. That set a new school record and a new Mountain West Conference record. It was only two plays away from the NCAA record set by Houston last year. Fresno State is regularly running more than 100 plays per game this year. This is going to be a fast-paced game and both offenses are very good. Fresno State has scored at least 40 points in their last 10 regular season games. UNLV's offense is firing on all cylinders with Herring now at quarterback. On the other side, both of these defenses will be completely overmatched. Fresno is giving up 33.4 per game on defense, and they have allowed 40 or more twice at home this year. UNLV has given up more than 50 twice this season already.

The over is 6-0 in Fresno's last 6 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in Fresno's last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0-1 in UNLV's last 5 after giving up more than 280 passing yards. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 overall. The over is 6-1 in UNLV's last 7 following an ATS loss. Take the over. A 26-2 angle here. Take the over.

*5 Star FSU/Clemson TOP Total* The Florida State Seminoles offense has been firing on all cylinders with Jameis Winston at quarterback. Winston is completing 73% of his passes this year. Florida State is 4th in the nation in total offense, and they are averaging 53.6 points per game. Clemson has a terrific offense led by quarterback Tajh Boyd. Boyd is now a senior and he knows this offense extremely well. Sammy Watkins is one of the best receivers in the country, and he is capable of taking it the distance any time he touches it. These defenses have impressive stats, but they haven't faced an offense even close to as good as their opponent this week. Last year's game was 49-37 and there was a total of 1,096 yards in that game.

The over is 5-0 in the Seminoles last 5 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the Seminoles last 6 games following a win by 20 points or more. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS win. The over is 2-0 in the last 2 meetings between these teams. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have an awful defense, but they can definitely score points. Cody Fajardo is the same type of quarterback as Colin Kaepernick, and he'll be able to move this offense against a less than stellar Boise State defense. Boise State has picked up the pace in a big way of late on offense. Both of these teams rank in the top 10 in the nation in terms of plays per game. Lots of plays should equal lots of chances to score points here. Boise State could put up 45 or 50 here, and Nevada should get more than 20.

The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 October games. The over is 5-0 in Boise State's last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. A 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The USC Trojans offense has looked much better in the past couple games. It's big for them to have Silas Redd back in the lineup. Marqise Lee is expected to play this weekend as well. In their last two games, USC has scored 41 and 38 points. Notre Dame's defense hasn't been nearly as good as expected this year. It looks like they miss Teo even more than expected. USC's defense has been susceptible against the pass this year, and Tommy Rees is getting more comfortable at QB for the Fighting Irish. This was primarily a numbers play for me since I made this total 55. Look for this one to get over the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Washington Huskies had to play at Stanford and home against Oregon the last two weeks. The schedule makers must not be fans of Washington. I like the Huskies team a lot, but this is a really tough spot for them. I think that shows up most on the defensive side of the football this week. Washington's defense will be gassed in the hot Arizona weather after two long weeks before this one. Todd Graham's offense is very fast-paced and Taylor Kelly is making great decisions for the Sun Devils. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey lead a very good Washington offense who should score plenty in this one as well. Look for a high scoring contest. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Miami (Ohio) Redhawks are one of the very worst teams in college football this year. Akron hasn't won a road game in their last 30 tries. This game has ugly written all over it. Miami hasn't scored more than 14 points in a game all year, and I don't see any reason to believe they'll do it in this game either. Akron nearly took down Michigan and Northern Illinois this year, so the Zips are much better than they have been. The defenses will be ahead of the offenses in this one. This looks like one of those 20-14 ugly games that are terrible to watch, but I don't mind cashing in a bet on ugly football.

The under is 8-0 in Akron's last 8 road games. The under is 7-0 in Akron's last 7 October games. The under is 5-0 in Miami's last 5 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Sunday Night Football Total* The Washington Redskins and Dallas Cowboys meet in an interesting Sunday Night game this week. These two teams have a rivalry that goes back a long ways. Robert Griffin III hasn't been very sharp early on this year, but I expect him to get much better as the season progresses. The Cowboys defense isn't very impressive, and Griffin has had plenty of success in Dallas before. Tony Romo had a terrific game last week, and I think he can back it up with another great performance against a really bad Washington defense in this one. The over is 16-2 in the Cowboys last 18 games against teams averaging at least 260 yards per game through the air. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4 against a team with a losing record. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL Play of the Week* The Arizona Cardinals defense is one of the best in the NFL right now. Arizona is third in the NFL against the run, and they have one of the best corners in the NFL in Patrick Peterson. San Francisco is all about the running game, and I expect the Cardinals to slow them down pretty well throughout this game. Arizona's offense hasn't been very good this year. Carson Palmer is far too inconsistent, and the Cardinals have virtually no running game. San Francisco's secondary is very good against the pass, and I don't see Arizona putting together long drives against the 49ers.

The under is 4-0 in the Cardinals last 4. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 October games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC. The under is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 October games. The under is 7-0 in the Cardinals last 7 games following a win. A 24-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs have stunned everyone with their red hot start. Many people expected this team to be better, but no one saw this team sitting at unbeaten heading into week 6. Oakland was considered by many to be at or near the bottom of the NFL power rankings this year. The Raiders aren't a good team, but they are definitely more competitive than expected. Oakland's defense has been pretty solid against both the run and the pass. Kansas City's offense is about ball control and letting their defense win the game. Oakland will struggle to score here, but I don't see the Chiefs putting up all that many points either.

The under is 14-2 in the Raiders last 16 during week 6. The under is 7-0 in their last 7 after allowing more than 250 passing yards in the previous game. The under is 11-1 in the Chiefs last 12 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two at KC. A 37-3 angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Steelers had a bye week to think about how awful they were through the first four contests of the season. Pittsburgh still has a very good defense, and I expect them to show up ready to play in this one. The Jets offense is still one of the worst in the league. Defensively, the Jets have been even better than expected. This sets up perfectly as a game where both teams will have to fight hard for all their yardage. Expect the scoring to consist of a lot of field goals. If you like defense, this should be your type of game. I think this stays in the low to mid 30's. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Late Night BAILOUT* The Colorado Buffaloes are a more competitive team this year under Coach Mike MacIntyre, but the Buffs still have an awful defense. Colorado is giving up 38 points per game so far this year. Arizona State's offense is high-octane and they can really score in bunches on their home field. Taylor Kelly should be able to pick apart this Colorado secondary. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see Arizona State score more than 50 points in this game. Colorado's passing attack is much improved this year, and due to the pace of the game, the Buffs should get plenty of chances to score here.

The over is 4-0 in Colorado's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Arizona State's last 4 home games. The over is 6-0 in Arizona State's last 6 after gaining at least 280 yards through the air in their previous game. The over is 7-1 in the Sun Devils last 8 October games. A 21-1 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Hawaii coach Norm Chow is slowly helping this Hawaii offense progress as season moves along. The Warriors are picking up the tempo a bit and airing it out often. UNLV's pass defense hasn't been tested all season, but that will change here. UNLV has won three games in a row, and the Rebels offense is much improved. Caleb Herring hasn't turned the ball over since taking over as the team's starting quarterback. Both of these defenses are way below average, and the offenses have been clicking well in the last couple weeks. I had this total projected at 60 points. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* Who do you think is the number one rushing team in the country? Most fans would probably guess Navy, Army, Air Force, Georgia Tech, or maybe Oregon. All of those guesses are wrong. New Mexico comes into this game with the top ranked rushing attack in the nation. Bob Davie has really done a good job getting this team to buy into his system. The Lobos have a great runner in Kasey Carrier, and he should rack up the yards here against an undersized defensive front for Wyoming. Brett Smith is a superb quarterback for Wyoming. New Mexico's defense is still a mess. The Lobos are giving up 36 points per game. Wyoming is averaging 38 points per game. This one has shootout written all over it. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Kent State Golden Flashes are a totally different team with Dri Archer in the backfield. Archer came back last week, and the team put up 24 points and moved the ball well all game against a good Northern Illinois team. Ball State is led by the best quarterback in the MAC, Keith Wenning, and he can do it all. Wenning had a great game and led the Cardinals to a big win at Virginia last week (48 points on the road at an ACC school). Ball State is 12th in the nation in passing. Kent State's is ranked 113th in the nation in total defense this year. At the same time, the Cardinals defense is 106th in the nation at stopping the run. Archer and the Golden Flashes running game should rack up the yards here. In last year's game, the final score was 45-43. Expect another high scoring contest here. The over is 17-8 in Ball State's last 25 conference games. Take the over big!

*3 Star NCAA FB Total Value* The Navy Midshipmen are all about the running game on the offensive side of the ball. Past history between these two teams tells me that Duke isn't good at all at stopping the triple option. Duke couldn't stop Georgia Tech's triple option last month, and I don't think they'll stop Navy here. Duke has improved over the last few weeks offensively, and the Blue Devils should be able to move the ball consistently against an undersized Navy defense that isn't very good against the run or the pass. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I had this number at 63 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Missouri Tigers are one of the most improved teams in college football. James Franklin and Henry Josey were both banged up last year, and now that they are healthy this is a completely different offense. The Tigers have been piling up the yards. Missouri ranks in the top ten nationally in total offense. Missouri's one weakness as a team right now is the secondary. The Tigers secondary ranks 114th in the nation in pass defense. Georgia has a ton of injured players, and their defense isn't any good right now, but the Bulldogs can still air it out with quarterback Aaron Murray at the helm. Both teams should put up a lot of points here.

The over is 4-0 in the Tigers last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Missouri's last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The over is 7-0 in the Bulldogs last 7 games overall. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in Georgia's last 4 against the SEC. In all, a 30-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The San Diego State Aztecs offense has come alive in the past three weeks. The Aztecs have scored 30, 26, and 51 points in their last three games. They should have plenty of success here against an Air Force defense that is among the worst in the country. Air Force is allowing 39.8 points per game this year. The Falcons are undersized on the defensive front, and San Diego State should be able to run all over Air Force. At the same time, Air Force's triple option is tough to defend, and San Diego State had a short week to prepare. Last year's game was low scoring between these two, but that was the exception rather than the rule. These teams have played a lot of high scoring games. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 conference games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Air Force. Take the over. *Note- This line has moved since I locked it in early in the week. I would play this one up to, but not above 56 points. Thank you.*

*3 Star Red Sox/Rays 100% Angle Total* The Boston Red Sox are first in baseball in runs scored per game. Boston is averaging 5.27 runs per contest. Tampa Bay is fighting for their lives in this one, and the Rays lineup has been pretty good of late. Jake Peavy has a 4.27 ERA this year and Jeremy Hellickson has a 5.27 ERA on the year. These guys haven't been pitching very well late in the year, and I think this total has been set far too low for two very talented offenses. None of the games in this series has been this low. Both of these pitchers are capable of giving up a big inning, and that could us close to the total right away. Too much value here to pass up.

The over is 7-0 in Boston's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a righty. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the AL East. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a right-handed starter. The over is 4-0 in the Rays last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0-1 in the Rays last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the AL East. In all, a huge 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Denver Broncos are an offensive juggernaut. The Dallas Cowboys defense isn't terrible, but they didn't look very good last week against Phillip Rivers and the San Diego Chargers offense. Peyton Manning is going to pick apart this Cowboys secondary. The Broncos are averaging a ridiculous 44.8 points per game. I give them a very reasonable chance of hitting 40 again in this one. Dallas' offense will have plenty of opportunities too. The Denver defense isn't very good against the pass, and I see Dallas airing it out often after getting behind early on. Denver is giving up 316 passing yards per game.

The over is 8-0-1 in the Broncos last 9 games following a win by 10 points or more. The over is 4-0 in Denver's last 4 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Cowboys last 5 during week 5 of the season. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*4 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The New Orleans Saints offense is firing on all cylinders once again. The Saints have Sean Payton back on the sideline, and Drew Brees is at his best once again. Brees has all kinds of weapons to work with, and this Saints offense is going to be hard for anyone to slow down. The Bears defense isn't what it used to be. Offensively, the Bears are much better than they were the last couple years. Chicago is averaging 31.8 points per game. The Bears defense is forcing turnovers that lead to a lot of points as well. Rob Ryan is improving this Saints defense, but they are going to get exposed sooner or later. This number is too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Bears last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 on grass. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 against an NFC oppponent. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 week five games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams. In all, a 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Jacksonville Jaguars are the worst team in the NFL by a mile right now. Their offense is just brutal. Jacksonville is averaging just 7.8 points per game this season. The Jaguars will likely have trouble scoring in St. Louis against a Rams defense that plays much better at home. The Jaguars defense isn't good, but they should be able to keep the Rams off the board enough to keep this one under the total. St. Louis has no real running game, and Sam Bradford has been struggling with inconsistency this year. The under is 5-0 in the Jaguars last 5 following a double digit loss at home. The under is 5-0 in the Jags last 5 after allowing more than 30 points. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing more than 250 yards through the air in the previous game. A 14-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Detroit Lions offense is so much better with Reggie Bush in the backfield. Bush can do it all, and that gives Matt Stafford and this offense the missing piece to the puzzle. Green Bay's offense is tremendous, but their defense is giving up points in bunches. The Packers first three games have finished with a total of 62, 58, and 64 points. Detroit is fully capable of getting into a shootout with the Packers, and that is what I expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 games overall. The over is 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home games against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1 in Detroit's last 7 road games against a team with a losing home record. The over is 7-1 in the Packers last 8 after allowing less than 90 yards rushing the previous game. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Baylor Bears will get together Saturday night. Last year, these teams played to a 70-63 final. West Virginia's offense isn't as good as last year, but their defense is just as bad. Baylor's offense is even better than last season. The Bears are averaging a ridiculous 751 yards of offense and 69.7 points per game so far this year. It wouldn't shock me if Baylor put up 60 points in this game by themselves. The posted total here looks far too low. West Virginia likes to play at a fast pace, and Baylor will be glad to run a ton of plays. I made the total in this one 79 points, so I love the value on the over.

The over is 12-0 in Baylor's last 12 games following a win of 20 points or more. The over is 7-0 in Baylor's last 7 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in Baylor's last 6 after allowing less than 20 points in their last game. The over is 3-0-1 in the Bears last 4 following a bye week. The over is 4-0 in the Bears last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. A 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over. *Note- This line has been all over the place this week. I would play this one up to 69 points for 4 stars and for 3 stars up to 74 points. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The New Mexico Lobos are great at running the football. They are awful at everything on the defensive end. New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in all of football, and they are particularly weak when it comes to stopping the run. New Mexico State is allowing 301 yards per game on the ground which is by far and away dead last in the nation. The Lobos should find running room all day long. New Mexico State allows 45.4 points per game defensively. New Mexico allows 40.2 points per game. Both these teams are bad, but they should both score a ton of points here.

The over is 4-0 in the Aggies last 4 road games. The over is 8-1 in the Aggies last 9 games overall. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 non-conference games. The over is 7-1 in the Aggies last 8 following a loss. In all, a 26-3 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Fresno State Bulldogs have one of the best offenses in college football. Derek Carr is a terrific quarterback who can make all the throws necessary. Idaho's defense won't have a chance to slow down this Bulldogs high-powered offense. At the same time, Fresno State's defense has been terrible this year. Fresno State is giving up 38.2 points per game. Idaho has scored 71 points in two home games this year. The Vandals should be able to put plenty on the board here. Fresno should comfortably put up at least 45-50 points here. The over is 8-2 in Idaho's last 10 games against a team with a winning record. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The East Carolina Pirates got their offense going in a big way last week against North Carolina. The Pirates racked up 55 points against an ACC defense. East Carolina has a rising star in quarterback Shane Carden. Middle Tennessee State hasn't shown the ability to stop anyone with a decent offense all year. The Blue Raiders offense is much more dangerous at home. East Carolina is going to score a lot of points here, so if MTSU is going to stay in this one they'll have to be ready offensively. The over is 14-2 in the Pirates last 16 games following a win by more than 20 points. The over is 5-0 in MTSU's last 5 after scoring less than 20 points in the previous game. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The Northern Illinois Huskies are once again the team to beat in the MAC. Northern Illinois is piling up the points on a weekly basis. NIU is averaging 43.2 points per game. Kent State's defense is inexperienced this year, and the Golden Flashes will have trouble slowing down Jordan Lynch and company. Kent State's offense is much better now that Dri Archer is back in the lineup. Archer is the most electrifying player in the MAC. Northern Illinois has given up a bunch of points to everyone this year. Even Eastern Illinois racked up almost 600 yards and 39 points on NIU. The over is 4-0 in NIU's first 4 games this year. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games on turf. The over is 4-1 in Kent State's last 5 following a win. Take the over here.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Total of Week* The Marshall Thundering Herd have a real weapon in quarterback Rakeem Cato. Cato has all the tools to be a good NFL quarterback in the future. He can absolutely pick apart lesser defenses like UTSA. UTSA has been stout against the run of late, but they don't have a good secondary. Marshall is the perfect team to expose UTSA's weakness in the secondary. UTSA's offense has looked very good this year. Marshall's defense is almost as bad as their offense is good. Both teams like to play fast and this one has high scoring game written all over it.

The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 October games. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 games following a loss. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 home games against a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Total TAKEDOWN* The UCLA Bruins and Utah Utes meet on Thursday night in a game televised by Fox Sports 1. UCLA had a bye week last week, so they'll be very fresh. The Bruins have one of the nation's best dual-threat quarterbacks in Brett Hundley. Hundley is a rising star in college football, and he is putting up some huge numbers this year. The Bruins offense is second in the nation in total offense at 614 yards per game. They are averaging 52 points per game. Utah changed their strategy in the offseason. The Utes now play an uptempo style employed by Dennis Erickson. Travis Wilson is a 6'7 quarterback who is getting this offense moving up and down the field consistently this season. The Utes have scored 148 points in their three home games this year. Both of these defenses lost their top players from last year, and I see the makings of a real shootout in this one. I made this one 68 points.

The over is 6-0 in UCLA's last 6 Pac-12 games. The over is 5-0 in UCLA's last 5 after gaining at least 450 yards in their last game. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a win. I recommend a 5 star play up to 61 points. I would play it for 4 stars up to 63 and 3 stars up to 64 points. Take the over big!

*3 Star MLB Rays/Indians Total Domination* The Tampa Bay Rays and Cleveland Indians will play Wednesday in the AL Wildcard game to decide who moves on in the playoffs. Star rookie Dane Salazar starts here for the Indians, while Alex Cobb starts for the Rays. Both of these teams have a lot of pitching options in this game, and I don't expect to see either manager let the starter give up many runs at all before switching to another strong arm if they get in any trouble. Cobb has been on fire of late. He has a 1.16 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has been the team's best starter this year. Salazar has a 3.12 ERA this year. Neither of these teams have a great offense from top to bottom. The under is 5-0 in the Rays last 5 playoff games as a favorite. The under is 10-1 in the Rays last 11 road games against a team with a home winning percentage of 60% or higher. The under is 2-0-2 in the Indians last 4 home playoff games. Take the under.

*4 Star NFL Play of Week* The Philadelphia Eagles and Denver Broncos square off in a matchup of high-octane offenses. Neither of these teams will huddle up, and there will be a ton of plays run in this one. Peyton Manning has had a ton of great seasons in the NFL, but he is off to the fastest start of his career. Manning has 12 touchdown passes and 0 interceptions this year. This Eagles defense is giving up 323 yards per game through the air and Manning should shred them up here. On the other side, the Broncos have allowed at least 21 points in each game this year. The Eagles fast-paced offense can put up points as well. Denver is number one in total offense and Philly is number two in the NFL.

The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 90 yards or less on the ground in the previous game. The over is 5-0-1 in the Broncos last 6 following a win. The over is 7-0-1 in the Broncos last 8 following a win by 14 points or more. The over is 4-0-1 in the Broncos last 5 on grass. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in their last 6 following a game where they scored 30 points or more. The over is 7-0 in their last 7 after gaining at least 150 yards rushing in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Eagles last 4 after gaining at least 350 yards in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. In all, a 43-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Chicago Bears have played three games that have went well over the posted total this year. Chicago's offense is improved, and their defense is forcing turnovers in a big way so far this season. Detroit's offense is one of the most dynamic in the league, and Reggie Bush will be back for this one. With Bush and Calvin Johnson around him, Matt Stafford should have a great season. Johnson should take advantage of a banged up Bears secondary. The Bears are averaging 31.7 points per game. The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5. The over is 7-1 in the Bears last 8 road games. The over is 6-1 in the Bears last 7 during week 4. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total* The UNLV Rebels have actually won two straight games for the first time in a very long time. UNLV still isn't a good team at all. They beat up on a short-handed Central Michigan team and FCS Western Illinois. The Rebels run defense is atrocious. New Mexico can't throw the ball, but Bob Davie's team can definitely run with the best of them. The Lobos are averaging 267 yards per game on the ground. Earlier this year, UNLV allowed 397 yards on the ground in a single game against Arizona. New Mexico's defense is one of the worst in the country, and they won't be able to stop anyone all season long. Both of these teams are giving up about 35 points per game. I like the value here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Air Force Falcons can run the football extremely well, but they can't stop anyone this year. Their defense is about as bad as you'll find anywhere. Air Force is undersized along the defensive front and their secondary isn't even as good as normal. Air Force will have a new quarterback here, but as long as he is decent in the triple option, this team will get some points against Nevada's horrible rushing defense. Air Force is allowing 41 points per game this year. Nevada is giving up 34 points per game this year. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 games in September. The over is 4-0 in Air Force's last 4 conference games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Arizona Wildcats are much improved this season. Rich Rodriguez has one of the best running attacks in the country, and they should be able to move the football against everyone on their schedule. Steve Sarkisian has his most talented offense since he has been in Washington. Sarkisian decided to push the tempo on offense this year, and it has been paying off. Keith Price and Bishop Sankey are a terrific tandem in the backfield. Washington is averaging 629 yards per game this year. Arizona's defense hasn't faced a decent offense yet, and they will get chewed up here. The over is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings at Washington between these teams. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are a completely team different team this year. Louisiana Tech had a high flying offense last year, but this season their offense is terrible. Louisiana Tech's strength is their defensive line, which will help them in this game against an Army team that runs the ball on nearly every play. Louisiana Tech hasn't been able to score on questionable defenses such as Tulane and Kansas in recent weeks, and I don't expect them to put up all that many here either. The clock should be rolling through much of this game. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 neutral site games. The under is 4-0 in Army's last 4 games following a game where they allowed 200 yards on the ground. The under is 4-0 in LA Tech's last 4 games overall. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The UTEP Miners have a solid quarterback in Texas A&M transfer Jamiell Showers. Showers nearly beat out Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M before last season, but ended up transferring to UTEP. He has faced some good defenses this year, but I expect him to be able to put up big numbers against a Colorado State secondary that was torched by Colorado in game one. On the other side, UTEP's front seven is their weakness and the Rams should be able to exploit that. Colorado State has been much better offensively at home over the past few years. This total is set too low for two defenses that are below average. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Oklahoma/Notre Dame Total* The Oklahoma Sooners and Notre Dame Fighting Irish will do battle in South Bend on Saturday. Oklahoma lost 30-13 to Notre Dame in Norman last year, and you better believe they'll want revenge here. The Sooners defense has been very good this year, and Notre Dame's offense has been very underwhelming. Notre Dame can't run the ball much at all, and the Sooners pass rush should get to Tommy Rees often. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the nation, and I don't expect this Oklahoma team to be able to run consistently on them. There should be a lot of field goals here as both defenses buckle down in the red zone. The under is 22-7 in Notre Dame's last 29 home games. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Month* The Navy Midshipmen can run the football against just about anyone. It doesn't matter if their opponent knows the run is coming, because they can't stop it. Western Kentucky's weakness on defense is stopping the run. The Hilltoppers have been giving up running yards by the bunches. Opponents are running for 195 yards per game against them. Western Kentucky's offense is top-notch, and they have one of the most underrated runners in the country in Antonio Andrews. Andrews has already run for 6 TD's this year. Navy's defense isn't good, and I expect both teams to get huge chunks of yardage in this one. The over is 7-1 in the Hilltoppers last 8 home games. I expect a game that gets into the mid 60's at a minimum. Take the over in a big way here!

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Kansas City Royals are still battling to try to get into the final AL Wildcard spot. Seattle is limping to the finish of another season. Two lefties start in this one. Bruce Chen has been very good for the Royals this year. Seattle's offense has struggled against lefties all year, and Chen is the soft-throwing type of lefty that seems to bother the Mariners the most. James Paxton is a top pitching prospect for the Mariners, and he has been throwing the ball really well in his first few starts in the bigs. Bill Miller is the umpire here, and that's great news for the under. The under is 22-10 in his 32 games behind the plate this year. He calls 64.36% of pitches a strike (one of the highest percentages in the league).

The under is 6-0 in the Mariners last 6 games against a left-handed starter. The under is 5-0 in Bruce Chen's last 5 starts on Tuesday. The under is 5-0 in Chen's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 road starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in KC's last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. A 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The San Francisco Giants offense has let them down all year. The pitching staff wasn't very good for most of the season, but they have improved over the past month or so. The Yankees lineup is certainly better than it was a few months ago, but the bottom of the order is still extremely weak. Petit is doing a good job for the Giants this year. Ironically, Andy Pettitte pitches for the Yankees in this one. Pettitte just announced he will retire after the year and this is a great chance for him to mow down a weak lineup in front of the home crowd. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he has the biggest strike zone in all of baseball.

The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 interleague road games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Giants last 5 following a game where they scored 2 runs or fewer. The under is 4-0-2 in the Giants last 6 following a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in the Giants last 4 with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The under is 4-0-1 in the Yankees last 5. The under is 5-0-1 in the Yankees last 6 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 against a righty. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in New York. In all, a 33-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL ATS Play of Week* The Detroit Lions and Washington Redskins are both going to be airing it out on Sunday afternoon. The Redskins secondary might be the worst in the league, and you better believe Matt Stafford and Calvin Johnson are going to exploit that. On the other side, Robert Griffin III has slowly improved in the first two weeks and I expect him to play his best game of the year so far in this one. Reggie Bush is questionable here, but I think the Lions score plenty whether he plays or not. Washington's offense is quite a bit more sharp at home.

The over is 6-0 in the Redskins last 6 September games. The over is 6-0 in Detroit's last 6 road games against a team with a losing home record. A nice 12-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Green Bay Packers have the top ranked offense in the NFL right now. Don't be surprised if the Packers stay at or very close to the top of the NFL in total offense throughout the season. The Bengals have an elite front seven, but Cincinnati has some problems in the secondary. Look for Aaron Rodgers to expose Cincinnati's problems in the secondary in this game. The Bengals have more play makers on offense than they have had in a very long time. Gio Bernard is a great addition to this team, and A.J. Green is an elite receiver. The Packers defense has been giving up a lot of yards, and I think that continues here. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns offense was horrendous in the first two weeks. Now, they'll be without their starting quarterback and running back from the beginning of the season. The trade of Trent Richardson was a confusing one, and it is going to really hurt this offense. Cleveland is averaging 8 points per game so far this year, and now they are permanently without Richardson, who was their best player. Minnesota's offense is all about running the football, and the Browns are 5th in the NFL at stopping the run. Minnesota is likely to win, but I don't think they'll put up many points. Look for an ugly game here. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* Texas State and Texas Tech will get together this weekend. Texas State is going to be outmanned in a big way here. The Bobcats gave up 58 points to Texas Tech last year, and I could certainly see Tech topping 50 points once again in this one. Texas State's offense is slowly improving, and the Red Raiders defense doesn't normally shut too many opponents down. This total is several points lower than my numbers had it (62). Expect the Red Raiders high powered offense to do whatever they want in this one. The pace alone should allow for plenty of scoring opportunities. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns will be at Akron this week. Akron nearly upset the Wolverines in Ann Arbor last weekend in what would have been the biggest upset of the year. The Zips have to be a little down after their near upset from last week, and I think Lafayette shuts them down nicely here. Akron's defense is much improved from a year ago, but their offense doesn't have many play makers. Lafayette is a team that can put up big points, but the total is set too high here. I made this one 60 points, so I see plenty of value. The under is 9-1 in Akron's last 10. The under is 6-0 in Akron's last 6 after accumulating 280 yards or more through the air in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Lafayette's last 4 following a win of 20 points or more. A 19-1 angle in all. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Michigan State/Notre Dame Total Domination* The Michigan State Spartans offense is awful, but their defense is one of the top five in the nation. Michigan State's defense doesn't have a weakness. They have a lot of strength on the defensive line and speed and athleticism at the back of the defense. Notre Dame's defensive front is one of the best in the country. The Fighting Irish defense didn't look good at Michigan, but they should look very good here against a weak Michigan State offense. Last year's game between these two finished at 20-3, and I think both offenses are worse this season.

The under is 5-0 in MSU's last 5 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. The under is 3-0-1 in their last 4 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 6-1-1 in Michigan State's last 8 non-conference games. An 18-1 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Tim Lincecum and C.C. Sabathia used to be elite pitchers, but they aren't anymore. Lincecum and Sabathia both have ERA's well above 4 this year. In 2013, these guys have both been worse than the major league average. Sabathia has been even worse of late. Sabathia has allowed at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 10 games, and he hasn't allowed less than 3 runs in any of his last 13 starts. Yankee Stadium is still a hitter-friendly park, and this number is set too low with two below average starters on the mound.

The over is 4-0 in the Yankees last 4 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 Friday games. The over is 6-0 in Sabathia's last 6 starts as a favorite. The over is 5-0 in his last 5 starts at home. A 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total DOMINATION* The Cincinnati Reds put up 10 runs by themselves last night, and they are definitely capable of putting up another big number against the hapless Houston Astros in this one. In this one, Greg Reynolds will start for the Reds. Reynolds has a 5.66 ERA this year, and he is clearly the worst starting pitcher on the Reds roster right now. Houston should be able to put together a few runs. Brad Peacock starts for the Astros, and his minor league numbers tell me it will be a struggle for him for a while in the big leagues. Tim McClelland is behind the plate here. I would argue he is the single best 'over' umpire in the majors. McClelland consistently has the smallest strike zone in the majors. Both pitchers will get squeezed in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Los Angeles Dodgers and Arizona Diamondbacks meet on Tuesday night and both teams will have great pitchers on the mound. The Dodgers are 17-4 in Greinke's last 21 starts. The Arizona Diamondbacks are 23-7 in Patrick Corbin's last 30 starts. I'm not going to take a side here, but I do like the under. Both of these pitchers have been great this season, and the Dodgers are short-handed offensively right now. Corbin has a great 2.27 ERA against LA in his career. Greinke shut out Arizona in his only start in Arizona earlier this year.

The under is 4-0 in the Dodgers last 4 road games. The under is 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 road starts. The under is 4-0 in his last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Greinke's last 7 road starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The under is 6-0-1 in Greinke's last 7 against a team with a winning record. In all, a 27-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total Domination* The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals are bitter rivals, and you better believe both teams want this game badly. Not only is this game a huge rivalry, but both teams really want to avoid going 0-2. The Steelers were embarrassed at home last week, while the Bengals blew a game in Chicago. The strength of both of these teams is their defense, and I expect both defenses to rise up and play great Monday night. The Steelers defense is still one of the best in the NFL, and they'll show pride in this game. The Bengals defensive front is very good, and I expect them to get after Big Ben here.

The under is 8-0 in the Steelers last 8 week 2 games. The under is 6-0 in the Bengals last 6 against the AFC. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Bengals last 4 games after gaining at least 250 yards passing in the previous game. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds are fighting to try to catch up to the St. Louis Cardinals and Pittsburgh Pirates. Cincinnati is also trying to stay ahead of the suddenly red hot Washington Nationals. Bronson Arroyo goes to the mound here for Cincinnati, and he has been a good pitcher for the Reds in key spots over the last few years. Arroyo has a 2.90 ERA at Miller Park during his career. Yovani Gallardo has shut down the Reds twice in the past month. Gallardo is healthy now, and he is pitching his best baseball of the year right now.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Brewers last 6. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Gallardo's last 4 starts as a home underdog. The under is 6-1-1 in the Reds last 8 games. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Utah Utes are a completely different team than they were a year ago. Wilson has matured a great deal as a quarterback, and Utah's offense is playing uptempo thanks to help from Dennis Erickson. Utah put up 30 points against a very good Utah State defense before putting up 70 point in a glorified scrimmage last week. Oregon State's defense isn't as good as last year, as evidenced by their allowing 49 points and more than 600 yards against FCS school Eastern Washington. Utah's defense isn't as good this year either. This number should be in the 60's.

The over is 6-0 in Oregon State's last 6 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 conference games. The over is 4-0 in Utah's last 4 following a game where they gained at least 200 yards on the ground. The over is 6-1 in Utah's last 7 home games. A 20-1 angle backs this. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB SEC Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a team that gets very little respect heading into the season every single year, but the Commodores have proven they are a reputable team now. Vanderbilt still remembers their 17-13 questionable loss against South Carolina to start the season out last year. Vanderbilt coach James Franklin has proven to be a great motivator, and I expect this team to be ready for this game. On the other side, South Carolina's defense will just be too much for Vandy's offense. It's hard to imagine Vanderbilt getting any kind of a running game going here. Look for a lot of field goals and defense in this game. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden GEM Total* Iowa and Iowa State meet in the battle for bragging right in the state of Iowa on Saturday. Neither of these teams are very good this year, but that won't change how hard these teams fight to win this game. Both defenses are far ahead of the offenses here. The under is on a huge roll in this series. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The one game that went over only went over because the game went into triple overtime. Don't expect big plays or lots of scoring here. Look for hard nosed defenses that fight for every inch of the field. It won't be pretty, but we don't need it to be pretty to cash in the under. The under is 8-1 in Iowa State's last 9 against the Big Ten. The under is 4-0 in Iowa's last 4 on grass. The under is 3-0-1 in Iowa's last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings. In all, 22-2 angle backs this. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals are a team that I believe a lot of people will know more about by the end of the year. This has been a team on the rise the last couple years, and they should be one of the top teams in the MAC this year. Wenning is a very versatile quarterback who makes this offense tick. The Cardinals offense has done whatever it pleases in the first two games of this year. Their fast paced style forces some very high scoring games. This number was knocked down during the week to the point where I felt it is too good of a value to pass up. I made this total 62 points. North Texas should be able to run the ball well and score plenty against a suspect Ball State defensive front. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Bowling Green Falcons have found a new starting quarterback that has kick started their offense in a big way. Matt Schilz was replaced by Matt Johnson, and the offense has benefited right away. The Falcons defense has been very good against the run, but I don't think they'll be able to stop an Indiana passing attack that is very potent. Kevin Wilson has this Indiana offense playing as fast as just about anyone in the country right now. Indiana's defense is terrible, and the Hoosiers have been giving up yards by the bunches for several years in a row. The over is 4-0 in Indiana's last 4 September games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games after throwing for at least 280 yards in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 home games. The over is backed by a 14-1 winning angle. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Cincinnati Reds really need some wins to keep pace with the Cardinals and Pirates in the NL Central. Mat Latos will be on the hill for the Reds in this one, and he has been their most consistent pitcher this year. Latos is 14-5 with a 3.02 ERA. In his career at Miller Park in Milwaukee he has a 3.20 ERA. Kyle Lohse has been on a bad team all year, but he has pitched very well. Lohse has 3.59 ERA overall this year, and his home ERA is 3.03. He has an ERA of just 1.8 in his last two years against the Reds.

The under is 7-0 in Latos' last 7 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 as a road favorite. The under is 6-0 in Milwaukee's last 6 against a righty. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 overall. In all, a 22-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Thursday Night Total Domination* The Tulane Green Wave upgraded their offense in a big way by getting Nick Montana as their quarterback. Orleans Darkwa is an underrated running back for the team, and I expect a nice season from him. Louisiana Tech has a solid quarterback in Scotty Young. Skip Holtz won't move the team quite as quickly as last year, but the Bulldogs are still going to be an uptempo team. Tulane allowed 41 points to a bad South Alabama team last weekend. Louisiana Tech gave up 40 to NC State in their opener. It won't surprise me a bit if both teams get well into the 30's in this one. The over is 11-3 in Louisiana Tech's last 14 games overall. The over is 21-8 in their last 29 home games. I made this total 62 points, so I see plenty of value on this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total DOMINATION* The Colorado Rockies and San Francisco Giants will finish off a three-game series on Wednesday in San Francisco. San Francisco's pitching staff disappointed for the majority of the season, but they have finally turned it around a bit of late. The Giants have been on a tremendous under run. Colorado isn't the same offense without Carlos Gonzalez. Leadoff hitter Dexter Fowler also has missed the last three games, and he may miss this contest. Juan Nicasio has a 2.89 ERA in his career against the Giants. Yusmeiro Petit almost threw a perfect game last time out, but he only threw 95 pitches. Petit has been great of late, and he loves pitching in this big ballpark.

The under is 4-0 in the Rockies last 4. The under is 4-0 in Nicasio's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0-3 in the Rockies last 9 as a road underdog. The under is 6-0 in the Giants last 6 home games against a righty. The under is 5-0 in the Giants last 5 as a home favorite. The under is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Houston Astros and Seattle Mariners both send pitchers to the mound in this one that are more than capable of giving up a bunch of runs. Jordan Lyles has a 5.08 ERA on the year. Joe Saunders has a 4.95 ERA on the year. Saunders started the year well, but to say that he has been bad of late is a major understatement. Saunders has given up at least 5 runs in 5 of his last 9 appearances. Seattle's Safeco Field isn't the big under ballpark that it once was. The over is actually 38-32-3 in the Mariners 73 home games this year.

The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-2 in Lyles' last 5 on 5 days of rest. The over is 5-0 in the Mariners last 5 against a right-handed starter. The over is 6-0 in Saunders' last 6 starts with a total between 7 and 8.5. The over is 5-0 in Saunders' last 5 home starts. A 23-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star Eagles/Redskins Total Domination* The Philadelphia Eagles are going to be a completely different team this year. Chip Kelly's offenses were the best in the country at Oregon. Some think it will take a long time for the Eagles offense to look good, but I think they'll rack up the points right away against a bad Washington Redskins defense. At the same time, the Eagles defense wasn't very good last year, and I think they are a bit weaker heading into this season. RG3 isn't 100%, but he should be plenty good enough to pick apart this defense. Fast pace and lots of big plays should equal a very high scoring game. The over is 5-1 in the Eagles last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in the Redskins last 4 September games. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball Total* There's no doubt that Clayton Kershaw has been the best pitcher in baseball this year. Homer Bailey has also elevated his game a lot this season. Bailey is pitching as well as ever in his last few starts. He has a 1.42 ERA in his last 3 outings, and he has been good at home all year. Kershaw has an impressive 2.81 ERA in his career against the Reds, and he has an ERA under 2 this season. This is the type of game that should have a lot of very quick innings with these elite pitchers on the mound. The under is 9-1-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 3-0-1 in the Reds last 4 home games against a lefty. The under is 6-1 in the Dodgers last 7 road games against a team with a winning record. An 18-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Notre Dame/Michigan Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have the best defensive line in the nation. Michigan is struggling on the offensive front right now. The Wolverines will likely have a hard time protecting Devin Gardner. On the other side, Notre Dame's offense is far from a finished product right now. They will miss Eifert at tight end, and they have no clear cut leader at the running back spot. Michigan's defense has been very good ever since Brady Hoke came to campus. Last year's game finished in a 13-6 final. While I don't expect that low of a total here, I do think the value is with the under. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following a win of 20 points or more. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 against the Big Ten. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 after gaining 280 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in Michigan's last 4 games after scoring 40 points or more in the previous game. A 20-0 angle backs the under. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Takedown* The Indiana Hoosiers offense is a well-oiled machine this year. Indiana is going to score a bunch of points on Big Ten defenses this year, and they are definitely going to score a ton of points on weaker teams in their non-conference schedule. Last week, Indiana poured on 73 points against Indiana State. Navy's defense isn't quite that bad, but they certainly aren't good. Navy allowed 50 points at Notre Dame last year and 41 at Troy. I could see Indiana putting up 45 or 50 here. Indiana's defense is still a major problem, and the Midshipmen should run the ball well here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Bookie SMASHER* The Duke Blue Devils defense may have looked good last week, but we all know that isn't going to stick around for long. Duke's offense is much improved over the last few years, but they still have a bad defense. The Blue Devils face a much improved Memphis team who I believe should be able to put up quite a few points in this game. Memphis does have some problems in the secondary on defense, and Duke has the right personnel to exploit those issues. I expected a line in the upper 50's here. Quite a bit of value on this one. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Air Force Falcons are notorious for running the football constantly and completely abandoning the throw. Utah State's front seven on defense is extremely good, probably as good as anyone in the Mountain West Conference. Air Force won't stop trying to run the ball, but I don't think they'll be getting big chunks of yardage either. Utah State's offense is good, but they haven't been as good away from home the past couple years. Air Force has the best defense they have had in several years, and their secondary is extremely good. Both teams should be running the ball a lot here. This number is too high. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are a brand new team this year with Bobby Petrino as their new head coach this season. Petrino is an offensive mastermind, and he has a lot of talent to work with here. Antonio Andrews is one of the top runners in the nation, and he should have a good game against a Tennessee defense that is less than stellar. Doughty is the new quarterback for the Hilltoppers, and he is a big upgrade from last year. Tennessee has a great running game, and Western Kentucky is inexperienced on the defensive line. I think this game gets into the 60's. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA FB Florida/Miami Total Domination* The Florida Gators have one of the top five defensive lines in college football, and they may have the single best secondary in the nation. The Gators offense still needs a lot of work, but I don't see them getting beaten up by many people this year thanks to their terrific defense. Florida will run the ball a lot, and Miami is sure to try to run it early and often with Duke Johnson as well. Miami is much better when they establish Johnson first and then try to have Morris throw the ball around a little. The clock should keep ticking during this one. Expect a close game all the way to the end. The under is 43-19-1 in Miami's last 63 home games. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Opening Night Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens beat the Denver Broncos 38-35 en route to a Super Bowl win last year. The Broncos and Ravens both got a lot worse on the defensive side of the ball in the offseason, and we get a total that is set at just 48.5. Von Miller is a huge loss for the Broncos, and the Ravens absolutely have the offensive weapons to put up big numbers against Denver. Peyton Manning and this Broncos offense can score against anyone, and Baltimore is going to miss Ray Lewis and Ed Reed this season. Denver's no huddle offense gets them extra plays throughout the course of the game. Look for this total to climb as the game draws near, so bet the over as early as possible. I think this one gets into the mid 50's. The over is 7-1 in the Ravens last 8 games in September. The over is 3-0-1 in the Broncos last 4 against the AFC. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Texas Rangers and Oakland Athletics have split the first two games of this critical three-game series in Oakland. Just one game separates these teams in the AL West standings, and game three of this series means a ton to both of these teams. Yu Darvish will take the mound for the Rangers while Jarrod Parker will be on the hill for the Athletics. Darvish has been superb all year, and he has been slightly better away from home (2.62 ERA). Parker started the year very poorly, but he has been a quality starts machine of late. In 20 of his last 21 starts, he has allowed 3 runs or less. Ron Kulpa is behind the plate calling balls and strikes, and he is one of my favorite under umpires because of his consistently large strike zone.

The under is 5-0 in the Rangers last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts following a quality start in his last outing. The under is 4-0 in Darvish's last 4 starts in game three of a series. The under is 4-0 in the Athletics last 4 games. The under is 3-0-1 in Parker's last 4 starts against Texas. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing for an NL Central division title. Gerrit Cole will start in this one, and Cole has been very good in his rookie year. He was one of the top ten ranked prospects in the nation coming into the season. The Brewers lineup isn't anything special without Ryan Braun, Rickie Weeks, and Corey Hart. Yovani Gallardo has been pitching brilliantly of late. Gallardo has an ERA of 2.7 in his career against the Pirates. He shut them out in his last outing against them last week. Both pitchers should pitch well. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 road starts. The under is 6-0 in Cole's last 6 on 4 days of rest. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Cardinals and Reds meet in a crucial series for the NL Central standings. Both Adam Wainwright and Mat Latos are very good pitchers, but they have struggled against the team they will face Monday afternoon. Wainwright has a 4.84 ERA in his career against the Reds. Latos has a 6.25 ERA in his career against the Cardinals. The total has been set very low here, but both of these offenses are capable of putting together a big inning at any time. The warm weather in Cincinnati should help the ball fly well. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of the Week* The Cal Golden Bears are in for a long season. I like Sonny Dykes, and I think he was a great hire, but he inherited a team with very little talent that needs built from the ground up. Cal is going to push the tempo and try to run Dykes' patented offense this year, which should create a lot of extra possessions for both teams in this one. Northwestern's defense is improved, but they aren't a shut down defense. Venric Mark and the Wildcats defense are very good, and the Cal defense simply doesn't have the firepower to stop them. Look for Northwestern to score quickly here, and Cal is going to keep running plays without using up the clock. These are huge benefits to the over. I had this number pegged at 65 points, so I see a lot of value on the over. The over is 20-8-1 in the Bears last 29 non-conference games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Big 10. Take the over big!