Sports Picks & Predictions

*3 Star NCAA FB West Coast Total* The Nevada Wolfpack return a terrific quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo had a brilliant season a year ago, and he has a lot on his shoulders this year as Chris Ault is gone as head coach at Nevada. Look for Nevada to open it up and throw a lot here. Jim Mora Jr. did a good job with the UCLA Bruins last year, but this defense lost a lot of talent from last season. The Bruins secondary is the weakness of their defense and I expect that to be exploited on Saturday night. Nevada had a bad defense last year, and they should be even worse this year. Brett Hundley is going to have a sensational season for the Bruins, and I expect him to light up this Wolfpack defense on Saturday. The over is 5-1 in Nevada's last 6 against the Pac 12. The over is 6-1 in the Bruins last 7 games. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB LSU/TCU Total CRUSHER* The TCU Tigers went 7-6 overall last year and just 4-5 in the Big 12. That made some think the team can't compete with top teams, but that isn't the case at all. TCU still finished with the top defense in the Big 12, and that was with some significant injuries. The Horned Frogs should be much better this year with a much healthier team. At the same time, LSU isn't getting enough respect ahead of the 2013 season. Les Miles' team is stacked on defense yet again, and the Tigers could easily be a top ten team once again. Expect both of these defenses to flex their muscles in a big way here. I see a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. This number is a few points too high. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the most prolific offenses in the nation. They also have one of the worst defenses in the country. How bad was the Marshall defense last year? They allowed at least 51 points in five different games. Miami (Ohio) doesn't necessarily have a terrific offense, but a terrific offense isn't needed to score points against Marshall. On the other side, Rakeem Cato is one of the most talented quarterbacks in the nation and he put up video game stats last year. I expect more of the same from him this season. Cato is athletic and has a big arm. Marshall has a ton of weapons around him, and the Redhawks from Miami have seen their defense go downhill quickly the past few years. The scoreboard should be lighting up in this one. Expect lots of quick strike scores from both teams. The over is 8-1 in Marshall's last 9 games overall. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans offense is all about moving quickly and not letting the defense get set. UAB runs the same type of hurry up offense. When these two teams get together, there are going to be a ton of plays ran. Combine that with the fact that both of these defenses are very weak, and we have a recipe for a very high scoring game here. Last year's contest between these two finished at 68 points, and I think this total should have been right around that number. Instead, we got a solid amount of line value with the over. The over is 4-0 in Troy's last 4 home games. The over is 5-1 in UAB's last 6 against the Sun Belt. The over is 6-1 in Troy's last 7 games overall. Take the over in this one.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Seattle Mariners and Houston Astros will meet on Thursday night in the first of a four-game series. Both Seattle and Houston have nothing to play for in the standings, but both teams have lots of young guys who just came up to the big leagues and they are trying to prove a lot right now. Jordan Lyles will start for Houston and he has been terrible at home. He has a 6.38 ERA in Houton. Erasmo Ramirez has a 5.44 ERA on the year. These teams have the worst (Houston) and second worst (Seattle) bullpens in baseball as well, so there isn't likely to be much relief from the pen here. The over is 6-0 in the Astros last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. The over is 5-0-1 in Lyles' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0 in Houston's last 6 during game one of a series. The over is 5-0-1 in the Mariners last 6 Thursday games. The over is 3-0-1 in Seattle's last 4 overall. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Play of Day* The Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox have a few things in common for this game. First of all, both of them have terrible offenses. The White Sox offense wasn't very good to start with, then they got rid of their most consistent hitter in Alex Rios. Houston's offense has been bad all year, especially on the road. In this game both teams will also have their best starting pitcher on the mound. Chris Sale hasn't allowed a run in 16 innings in his career against the Astros. Sale had a bad outing last time out, and he should be much better in this one. Jarred Cosart is the Astros best young pitcher. He has a stellar 1.60 ERA in his first 7 big league starts. The under is 5-0 in Cosart's last 5 road starts. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Texas Rangers have a very good pitching staff that is underrated by many people. Derek Holland is right near the top of my list of underrated pitchers. Holland has a 2.95 ERA on the year despite pitching in a very tough home ballpark. How has Holland done at Safeco Field against the Mariners? He has a spectacular 0.68 ERA in his career at Seattle. Hisashi Iwakuma has a WHIP of just 1.01 this year, and he has been great at home. Both of these pitchers are very good, and I see a low scoring close game all the way here. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Houston Astros will start Paul Clemens in this one. Clemens has been a reliever in his big league career, and he hasn't been a good one. He has a 6.36 ERA on the year. In Triple-A, Clemens had an ERA well above 4. This isn't a formula for success here. Jose Quintana is a mediocre left-hander, and the Astros are better against south paws than righties. The hot weather in Chicago is really helping the ball fly well here. The wind is also expected to be blowing out during this one. The over is 4-0 in the Astros last 4 road games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0-1 in the White Sox last 6 games with the total set at 9 to 10.5 runs. The over is 4-0 in home plate umpire Brian O'Nora's last 4 games behind the plate. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. In all, a 17-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Play of Week* The San Francisco 49ers haven't been showing much at all on offense so far this preseason. It appears Jim Harbaugh is content to save up his best players for the regular season. He knows he has a very good offense, and he doesn't want anybody getting hurt in these games. Colin Kaepernick has seen almost no action this preseason, and he'll be limited again in this one. Adrian Peterson will play for the first time this preseason, but don't expect him to get many carries. I expect to see these two defenses controlling the game as both offenses stay very vanilla. Look for a low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Total Angle* Jorge De La Rosa has been one of the most underrated pitchers in baseball this year. De La Rosa has consistently put up quality starts for the Rockies. Miami is averaging just 2.96 runs per game against left handed starters this year. Jacob Turner starts for the Marlins. Turner has been very good this season, and the Rockies lineup isn't nearly as intimidating without Carlos Gonzalez. The under is 8-0 in the Rockies last 8 road games versus a team with a losing record at home. The under is 4-0-2 in the Rockies last 6 overall. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 as a road favorite. The under is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 6-0 in De La Rosa's last 6 starts as a road favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Marlins last 4 games. The under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings between these two. In all a 37-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Julio Teheran and Shelby Miller are two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Miller has an ERA of less than 2 at home this year. Teheran struggled a bit early in the season, but he has been the Braves most consistent starter of late. These two come in with a 2.96 and 2.98 ERA respectably. Doug Eddings is the home plate umpire in this one. Eddings has been the best under umpire in baseball throughout his career. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the Braves last 4 following a loss. The under is 3-0-1 in the Braves last 4 road record against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0 in Teheran's last 7 starts when following 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Teheran's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 6-0 in the Cardinals last 6 against the NL East. The under is 5-0 in Miller's last 5 starts against the NL East. The under is 5-0 in the Braves last 5 against the NL Central. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. In all a 45-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Washington Nationals and Kansas City Royals are both struggling against left-handed pitchers of late. Gio Gonzalez and Bruce Chen have both been very good this season. Ian Desmond is injured and will likely miss this game and Lorenzo Cain is out with an injury for the Royals. Two pitchers who are pitching well and two short-handed lineups here. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. the under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Chen's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 home starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 meetings. The under is 7-1 in the Nationals last 8 road games against a lefty. Take the under.

*3 Star 100% Angle Total* The Arizona Diamondbacks and Philadelphia Phillies meet in an interesting game Friday night. Wade Miley and Cole Hamels both started the season very poorly, but if we look at how well they have been pitching of late it is very impressive. Hamels is 5-13, but he has been throwing the ball extremely well of late. Hamels has a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 starts. Miley has a 2.86 ERA in his last 3 starts.

The under is 5-0-1 in the last 6 games overall. The under is 6-0-1 in the Phillies last 7 against the NL West. The under is 4-0 in the Phillies last 4 games against a lefty. The under is 7-0 in Hamels last 7 home starts. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0-1 in Miley's last 5 starts as an underdog. In all, a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total CRUSHER* The Chicago White Sox have a dreadful lineup at this point. The lineup they ran out at the beginning of the year wasn't any good, and now they are without Alex Rios who was traded away. James Shields starts for the Royals here, and he has been very good this year. Shields has thrown 26 innings against the White Sox this year and he has a stellar 1.73 ERA against them. Jose Quintana has been underrated his whole career, and the Royals offense has struggled of late.

The under is 8-0 in the White Sox last 8 road games vs. a righty. The under is 8-0 in the White Sox last 8 games as a road underdog. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 home games against a lefty. The under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0-2 in the Royals last 9 games as a favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 during game 3 of a series. In all, a 36-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Boston Red Sox have been getting some very good pitching of late. Jon Lester shut out the Giants on Monday night. Jake Peavy starts in this one and he has had great success at San Francisco in his career. AT&T Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. The Giants offense has been really bad at home this year. Ryan Vogelsong generally pitches well at home, and he will be up against a worn out Red Sox lineup. After going from Boston to San Francisco on Monday and getting virtually no rest, it could catch up with them here. The under is 5-0-1 in the Red Sox last 6 road games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Red Sox last 5 games with the total set between 7 and 8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Red Sox last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1-2 in the Giants last 10 interleague games. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Chicago White Sox have one of the worst offenses in baseball. They had a bad offense to start with, and then they let Alex Rios (who had been their most consistent hitter) go. Ervin Santana has been great for KC this year, and he is one of the reasons this team has been able to make a nice run. John Danks has been amazing in his career against the Royals. He has an ERA of less than 2 in his career against the Royals.

The under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 as a road underdog. the under is 6-0 in the White Sox last 6 road games vs. a righty. The under is 4-0-1 in Danks last 5 Tuesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Danks last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0-1 in the Royals last 5 home games against a lefty. The under is 5-0-2 in the Royals last 7 as a favorite. The under is 3-0-2 in the Royals last 5 home games. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Oddsmaker Error* The Boston Red Sox have the second best offense in baseball. The San Francisco offense isn't great, but they heated up nicely in Miami this past weekend. They are slowly getting a little healthier. Tim Lincecum and Jon Lester used to be considered two of the best pitchers in baseball, but not any more. They both have poor ERA's this year, and both of them are capable of giving up the big inning at any time. Lincecum will struggle to hold down this strong Boston offense. Lester hasn't been shutting anyone down, and the Giants are better at home. I expected a total of 7.5 or even 8. Take advantage of this error from the oddsmakers. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Colts/Giants Preseason Top Total* The Indianapolis Colts were beaten 44-20 in their preseason opener. Jim Irsay took to twitter to blast the team's effort in that game, and the oddsmakers have responded by moving the line several points in the Colts favor. The Colts secondary was chewed up and spit out by the Bills last week. I think in time we'll find out that the Colts secondary just isn't very good. Eli Manning will get more playing time in this one, and the Giants passing game is very good with Cruz and Nicks on the outside. The Colts have good backup quarterbacks in Matt Hasselbeck and Chandler Harnish. New York's defense isn't what it used to be, and the Giants should give up quite a few yards here. Look for both offenses to move the ball up and down the field with ease in this one. The over is 42-27 in Tom Coughlin's 69 preseason games. The over is 4-1 in Pagano's 5 preseason games as Colts coach. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Chicago White Sox and Minnesota Twins are the worst 2 teams in the AL Central. Chicago's lineup wasn't very good at the beginning of the season, and it is even worse now without Alex Rios. Hector Santiago has a 2.7 ERA on the road this year. He also has a 2.7 ERA in his career against Minnesota. Sam Deduno has been good at home this year, and I expect him to pitch well against this weak White Sox lineup. The wind should be blowing in from center field which should be helpful for the under. The under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Tampa Bay Rays have hit left handed pitching extremely well all season. Lefty J.A. Happ will start in this one for the Blue Jays. Happ hasn't been consistent this year, and he has an 8.3 ERA in his career against Tampa Bay. He already had one terrible start earlier this year against the Rays. Roberto Hernandez starts for the Rays. Hernandez is just a mediocre pitcher who generally gives up 3 or 4 runs. Toronto's lineup has been better of late. Jose Reyes being healthy makes this Blue Jays offense much better. I like the value here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Andrew Albers has burst on the scene for the Minnesota Twins. He was absolutely dominating in AAA, and he has come up to the big leagues and pitched two shutouts in his first two major league starts. He will be up against a White Sox lineup that has been terrible against left handed pitchers all year. The White Sox have one of the worst lineups in baseball at this point. Chris Sale starts for the White Sox. He has been great this year, but his win loss record isn't good, because he rarely gets much run support. The under is 4-0 in the White Sox's last 4 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the White Sox's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Twins last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. The under is 3-0-1 in the Twins last 4 as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. The under is 2-0 in Albers' first two starts in his major league career. In all a 22-0 winning angle. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds swept the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field thanks to some tremendous pitching. The Milwaukee Brewers had a late game in Texas last night, and they are liable to be a little worn out for this one. Kyle Lohse has been amazing all year for the Brewers though, and the Reds have struggled to hit him in the past. Cincinnati's offense has been rather cold of late, and I don't see them coming out of it here. Tony Cingrani is one of baseball's best young pitchers, and he has been rolling of late. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 home games against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. The under is 12-1 in Lohse's last 13 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Brewers last 5 as a home underdog. The under is 7-1-1 in the Reds last 9 road games. In all, a 35-2 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Los Angeles Angels have essentially packed it up for the season. The Angels still have some very talented hitters, so I expect them to put runs on the board against subpar pitchers such as Phil Hughes, but they will give up a lot of runs as well. Hughes has a horrible 8.38 ERA in his career against the Angels. Wilson has struggled on the road this year, and the Yankees offense is much better now with Granderson back and Soriano killing it in the middle of the order. The over is 20-5-1 in Wilson's last 26 road starts. Take the over here.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. The under is a staggering 20-5-2 in their last 27 games overall. Kansas City has climbed back into contention, and they have done it with terrific pitching from both their starting rotation and their bullpen. Erbin Santana has had a couple terrible starts, but overall he has piled up a ton of quality starts in 2013. Jacob Turner is one of the Marlins young talented pitchers. Turner has an ERA of 2.95 on the year. The under is 7-0 in Turner's last 7 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in the Marlins last 6 interleague games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 starts as an underdog. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 overall. The under is 5-0-1 in the Royals last 6 interleague games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in Turner's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. In all a 28-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Philadelphia Phillies haven't been any good lately, but they have hit Kris Medlen very well in the past. Medlen has a career ERA of 5.66 against the Phillies. This year alone, he has an ERA above 6 against Philadelphia. Ethan Martin has two big league starts and he was lit up for 6 runs by the Braves in one of them. A total set this low is usually reserved for two very good pitchers and bad offenses, but that isn't the case at all in this one. I made this total at 9, so I definitely like the value here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Boston Red Sox and Toronto Blue Jays have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto's offense is much better now with Brett Lawrie and Jose Reyes healthy. The Red Sox are averaging 5.04 runs per game this year. Redmond doesn't go deep in a game, and I doubt his ability to shut down the Red Sox lineup. Ryan Dempster has been bad of late with an ERA over 7 in his last 3 starts. The over is 6-0 in Dempster's last 6 starts overall. These two offenses should put up some fireworks in this one. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Madison Bumgarner has been the Giants best pitcher all season. Despite the fact that San Francisco has had a disappointing season, Bumgarner has been consistently great in 2013. He has a 2.75 ERA this year. Gio Gonzalez has had a few very bad starts, but for the majority of the season, he has been excellent. He has a 2.67 ERA when pitching in Washington in his career. Both these teams struggle against lefties, and these are two very good left handed starters. The under is 4-0 in the Giants last 4 road games. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts on 5 days of rest. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts during game 1 of a series. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0 in Washington's last 5 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0 in Gonzalez's last 5 on 6 days of rest. The under is 5-0-1 in the Giant's last 6 games as an underdog. In all a 34-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Danny Salazar and Andrew Albers will start in this game for Cleveland and Minnesota respectfully. They have a total of 3 career major league starts between the two of them. Salazar was great in his first outing, and he pitched well late time until allowing a late home run to Miguel Cabrera. Albers shutout Kansas City on the road in his first big league start last week. Albers is 27 years old and had a long track to the majors due to injuries, but he has been great in the minor leagues. These are two guys that I expect will become big names in the next couple years. The under is 7-0 in Cleveland's last 7 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 5-0 in the Twins last 5 when scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. In all a 20-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Sunday Night Baseball Total* The Dodgers have taken the first 2 in this series of two red hot teams. They'll have a good chance of finishing the sweep with star Clayton Kershaw on the mound here. Still I don't see any value on the Dodgers when they are such a big favorite here. Kershaw has a good chance of allowing a single run or less as he often does at home. Jeremy Hellickson started the year poorly, but he has been much better of late. Doug Eddings is the umpire here, and he has the biggest strike zone in all of baseball. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 home games versus a right handed pitcher. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 when starting after 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 home starts. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 interleague home games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Rays last 4 against a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. In all a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Colorado Rockies aren't the same team without Carlos Gonzalez in the lineup. Gonzalez is on the disabled list, and the Rockies' offense has slowed down of late. Francisco Liriano has a 2.02 ERA this season, and he has been the Pirates most consistent pitcher. The Rockies don't hit left handed pitching well, and they should struggled against Liriano. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for Colorado, and he has been great at Coors Field. The Pirates offense isn't particularly good, and I expect a low scoring game. The under is 5-0-1 in the Rockies last 6 games overall. The under is 4-0 in De La Rosa's last 4 road starts. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 games following a loss. The under is 5-0 in the Rockies last 5 home games versus a team with a winning road record. A 19-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* John Lannon has struggled all season on the road. He has an ERA slightly above 6 away from home in 2013. The Phillies haven't been winning a lot of games lately, but their offense is improved. Dan Haren has struggled all season, and he has a career ERA above 5 against the Phillies. With two bad pitchers on the mound I expected a total of 9 or even 9.5, but we got a low total of 8.5 instead. Neither of these team have anything to play for the rest of the season. Typically disappointing teams that have nothing to play for have a lot of high scoring games near the end of the season. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jose Fernandez and Gerrit Cole are two of the most talented young pitching prospects in baseball. Fernandez is only 21 years old and Cole is 22 years old. Both of them have been pitching like seasoned veterans so far in their rookie seasons. Fernandez has been particularly dominant of late. He has struck out 35 batters in his last 23 innings pitched. While Pittsburgh is a very good team, they generally win with their pitching rather than their offense. Gerrit Cole has been consistently very good, and he will go up against a Marlins offense that is the worst in baseball. Expect a lot of quick innings in this one. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 road games against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 Thursday games. The under is 4-0 in Fernandez

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of the Month* Chris Archer and Randall Delgado will start in this one. Both of these guys are young starters who have done a great job early in their career. Archer has been great even in very difficult conditions on the road. Delgado struggled a bit last season, but he has hit his stride in 2013. Both of these teams have been winning with pitching, while their offenses have been slumping of late. The under is 8-0 in the Rays' last 8 interleague games. The under is 5-0 in the Rays' last 5 following a loss. The under is 7-0 in the Rays' last 7 against the AL West. The under is 4-0 in Archer's last 4 starts with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 9-0 in Archer's last 9 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Archer's last 5 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Diamondbacks last 5 interleague games versus a right handed pitcher. The under is 6-0 in the Diamondbacks' last 6 with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. In all a huge 55-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* J.A. Happ will make his first start since being hit in the head 3 months ago by a line drive. Happ wasn't a very effective starter before the injury, and those types of injuries are very tough to get over. I expect him to struggle for awhile as he tries to get his confidence back. Aaron Harang pitches for the Mariners and Harang has an ERA well over 5 this season. He has allowed 6 or more runs on more than 5 occasions already this year. Toronto has a solid offense that has been hot of late. I like the value here. Take the over.

*5 Star MLB Top Play Early Bird* Oakland and Cincinnati will play the second of a rare two game series in Cincinnati. Bartolo Colon and Homer Bailey have both been very good this season, and they'll square off against each other in this contest. Colon may be 40 years old, but he is pitching as well as ever this season. He has been a quality start machine. Homer Bailey has been excellent at home with a 2.98 ERA on the year. The under is 5-0 in Oakland's last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the A's last 6 interleague games. The under is 9-1 in the A's last 10 road games. The under is 5-0 in Colon's last 5 interleague starts. The under is 7-0-2 in Bailey's last 9 starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a home favorite. In all a 35-1 angle backs this play. Take the under big!

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Wade Miley struggled earlier in the season, but he has been pitching great over the past few weeks. Miley hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his last 8 starts. Tampa Bay's offense was on fire a few weeks ago, but they have largely been winning with pitching of late. Jeremy Hellickson is a much better pitcher than his 2013 numbers would suggest. Arizona's offense is very inconsistent, and I don't expect them to do well against Hellickson. The under is 3-0-1 in Miley's last 4 starts overall. The under is 5-0 in Miley's last 5 interleague starts. The under is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 interleague games as a favorite. The under is 10-1 in Arizona's last 11 against the AL East. The under is 5-0 their last 5 meetings. In all a 30-1 backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* This game features two underrated starting pitchers. Hiroki Kuroda and Chris Sale have both been excellent this year. These guys very rarely have a bad start. Sale is coming off one of those rare bad starts, but he pitches much better at home. Kuroda hasn't allowed a run in his last 2 starts. The White Sox offense is terrible, and the Yankees' offense isn't much better. Expect a lot of quick innings here. The under is 9-0 in Kuroda's last 9 starts as an underdog. The under is 8-0 in Kuroda's last 8 starts as a road underdog. The under is 4-0-1 in Sale's last 5 home starts as a -110 to -150 favorite. The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Al Porter's last 4 games behind the dish. In all a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Mike Minor and Stephen Strasburg will be on the hill tonight for the Braves and the Nationals. Minor has quickly turned into a very good pitcher for the Braves, and Strasburg has some of the best stuff in the majors. Strasburg has a 1.6 ERA at home this year. Minor has a 2.3 ERA on the road this season. The Braves strike out a lot, and Strasburg is great at missing bats. Minor has pitched well in his career against the Nationals. Washington has struggled against left-handed pitching all year. The under is 8-2 in Strasburg's last 10 home starts. The under is 4-0 in Strasburg's last 4 starts against Atlanta. The under is 5-0 in his last 5 starts against a team with a winning record. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Derek Holland and A.J. Griffin have both been consistently good this season. Holland has a 2.97 ERA in his career against Oakland. Griffin has a 3.00 ERA in his career against Texas. Bill Miller will be the home plate umpire in this game. Miler is my single favorite under umpire because of the consistency of his large strike zone. Expect both pitchers to get some beneficial calls from Miller. The under is 7-0 in the Rangers last 7 Sunday games. The under is 6-0 in Oakland's last 6 during game 3 of a series. The under is 8-0 in Griffin's last 8 against a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Griffin's last 4 starts against the AL West. In all, a 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play CRUSHER* The Milwaukee Brewers' offense is a shadow of its former self right now. Without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez this lineup isn't very dangerous. Quality pitchers have been shutting them down on a nightly basis. Taylor Jordan is a good prospect for the Nationals, and he has pitched well so far in his young career. Kyle Lohse has been dominating of late. His ERA is less than 1 in his last three outings. Lohse has been one of the most consistent pitchers in the National League this year. Washington will likely be without Jayson Werth in this game. The under is 12-1 in the Brewers last 13 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers last 4 versus a right handed starter. Take the under big!

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Erban Santana was a terrific pickup for the Royals this past off season. Other than a couple rare bad starts, Santana has been extremely good this year. He will face a Mets lineup without David Wright. The Mets have really been struggling to score of late, and without Wright I expect it to be even tougher for them. Zach Wheeler is a top prospect for the Mets, and he has pitched very well in his last couple starts. Look for Wheeler to keep it going against an inconsistent Royals offense. The under is 5-0 in the Mets last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Santana's lats 4 starts during game 3 of a series. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. The under is 7-1 in Wolf's last 8 games behind home plate. Take the under. The under is 4-0 in the Mets last 4 games with the total set between 7.0 and 8.5. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Detroit Tigers are averaging 5.13 runs per game this season which is the best mark in all of baseball. Chicago will start a rookie pitcher making only has second career start in the big leagues. Detroit should tee off on him early and often here. Rick Porcello pitches for the Tigers, and he is very inconsistent. Tim McClelland is the home plate umpire in this game, and he has a tiny strike zone. Don't be surprised if both pitchers get mad at McClelland at some point in this game. I like the value here. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Texas Rangers offense has been terrible of late. The only reason the Rangers are still in the AL West race at all is their pitching staff. Alexi Ogando has been injured most of the year, but when he has pitched, he has done well. Oakland's offense isn't very good, and they have cooled off a lot of late. The Athletics are winning games because their pitchers have been dominating. Tommy Milone has always been great at home, and he should be able to quiet a scuffling Rangers lineup. The under is 10-1-2 in Ogando's last 13 starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Milone's last 4 starts. The under is 6-0 in the Athletics last 6 versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in the Athletics last 6 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. The under is 7-0 in Ogando's last 7 starts following a team loss in the previous game. In all a 32-1 winning angle backs this one. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* San Francisco has been struggling in a big way lately due to their anemic offense. Tampa Bay has one of the best starting rotations in baseball, and Chris Archer has been awesome in his last few outings. Archer has an ERA under 2 at home this year. On the other side, Madison Bumgarner has been as steady as anyone in baseball over the last month. The Giants haven't been giving him any run support but Bumgarner keeps racking up quality starts. The under is 5-0 in Bumgarner's last 5 starts following a loss by his team in their previous game. The under is 4-0 in Bumgarner's last 4 road starts. The under is 6-0 in Archer's last 6 home starts. The under is 6-0 in the Rays last 6 home games against a team with a losing record. In all a 21-0 winning angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Two underrated starting pitchers will be on the mound for this contest. Chacin will start for the Rockies. He struggled a bit at home in Coors Field, but he has a 1.9 ERA on the road in 2013. PNC Park is a pitcher's park and the Pirates offense doesn't put up many runs very often. Cole is a very talented rookie for the Pirates. He has looked even better in his last couple starts. Colorado generally has a very good lineup, but Carlos Gonzalez and Michael Cuddyer may miss this game. The Pirates have gotten very good at winning close games thanks to their pitching staff. Pittsburgh has the best team ERA in all of baseball. The under is 8-1-2 in Chacin's last 11 road starts versus a team with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in Cole's last 4 starts. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Johnson used to be one of the best pitchers in baseball, but now he is struggling to keep a starting spot in this Toronto rotation. Johnson has a 6.1 ERA on the season which is among the worst in all of baseball. His ERA is 7.4 on the road this year. Garrett Richards starts for the Angels, and he has been very inconsistent in his young career. Both Toronto and Los Angeles have good offenses, and with two subpar starting pitchers I would have expected a total of 9 or even 9.5. Expect a high scoring game. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* James Shields has pitched great this year, but the Royals haven't supported him much this year with many runs. Shields has a 2.5 ERA on the road in 2013. The Twins offense isn't nearly as strong now with Josh Willingham out of the lineup. Scott Diamond has been up and down this year for the Twins, but he has looked better in his last few starts. Doug Eddings will be behind the plate in this one, and there isn't a better under umpire in all of baseball. Eddings has consistently called a higher percentage of strikes than any other umpire in the league. The under is 4-0 in the Royals last 4 road games versus a left handed pitcher. The under is 6-1-1 in the Royals last 8 overall. The under is 7-1 in Diamond's last 8 starts following a quality start in his previous outing. The under is 4-0 in the Twins last 4 against a team with a winning record. Take the under.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Justin Masterson has turned into a legitimate number one starter this year. Masterson has dominated the Chicago White Sox more than any other team during his career. This White Sox offense has been bad of late to start with, and I don't expect them to heat up against a guy with a career ERA of 2 against them. Chris Sale is a very good pitcher on a bad team. Sale pitches well on the road, and I expect a good outing from him. Home plate umpire John Hirschbeck is one of the best under umpires in the league. The under is 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 following a quality start in his last appearance. The under is 4-0 in Masterson's last 4 against the White Sox. The under is 5-0 in the Indians' last 5 versus a starter with a WHIP of 1.15 or less. The under is 7-1 in Sale's last 8 starts as a road underdog. Take the under big!

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. Jenrry Mejia has been a top prospect in the Mets organization for quite some time. The Mets are easing him into the rotation. He shut out the Nationals five days ago. The Marlins are the perfect opponent for Mejia to continue to build up his confidence. Henderson Alvarez has pitched a shut out in his last two outings, and the Mets offense is inconsistent at best. I expect this to be a game where runs are at a premium. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Homer Bailey has been up and down this year, but he has tremendous stuff, and he has pitched really well in San Diego in his career. The Padres offense is one of the weakest in all of baseball. The Reds have a good lineup on paper, but their offense has been anemic of late. Eric Stults will pitch for the Padres, and he has been superb at home. Stults has a 2.5 ERA at home in 2013. The under is 6-0-2 in Bailey's last 8 starts overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Bailey's last 5 starts as a favorite. The under is 5-0-1 in the Reds last 6 games overall. The under is 9-0 in Stults' last 9 starts during game 3 of a series. In all, a 24-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The New York Yankees lineup is slowly getting better, but they have a very long way to go. Derek Jeter still isn't completely healthy, and the majority of this offense's stars are still sidelined with injuries. The Dodgers' offense has actually gone cold of late, but they have been winning games thanks to a much improved pitching staff. It took the Dodgers until the 11th inning to score a run in their 1-0 win over the Reds on Sunday. Zack Greinke has a 2.53 ERA at home this year. The under is 5-0 in the Yankees last 5 interleague road games. The under is 3-0-1 in the Yankees last 4 road games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Pettitte's last 4 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 8-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 9 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Dodgers' last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 7-0-1 in the Dodgers last 8 games as a home favorite. The under is 3-0-1 in Greinke's last 4 starts overall. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Tim McClelland has been the most consistent over umpire in baseball for the past decade. McClelland routinely squeezes the strike zone and makes life miserable for pitchers. Alex Wood is a huge prospect for the Braves, but he hasn't proved himself in the majors yet. Juan Nicasio has an ERA of 4.4 this year, and this Braves lineup should put up several runs against him. The posted total here is set at a very reasonable number here, and we aren't even having to lay any juice. Look for a relatively high scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Stephen Strasburg and Anibal Sanchez will square off in what I expect to be a pitchers duel Tuesday night in Detroit. Strasburg struggled a bit early this year, but he has been great in his last few outings. Sanchez is a very underrated starter for the Tigers. Washington's offense has been bad of late, and I don't see them getting it going against a guy like Sanchez. While the Tigers offense is very good, Strasburg definitely has the stuff to slow them down. The weather conditions here should help. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Bruce Chen has allowed just one run in 12 innings in his only two starts of the season. The White Sox are awful against left handed pitchers. Chicago averages just 3.16 runs per game against lefties. On the other side, Hector Santiago has allowed only one run in 19 career innings against the Kansas City Royals. Both of these offenses have been struggling of late, and with the abnormally cool weather in Chicago, the ball should fly as well as normal. The under is 3-0-1 in the Royals last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0-1 in Chen's last 5 starts overall. The under is 4-0 in Chicago's last 4 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two in Chicago. The under is 4-0 in home plate umpire Tony Randazzo's last 4 games behind the dish. In all, a 20-0 winning angle. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of the Day* Both of these teams struggle offensively, and this contest will feature two of the best young pitchers in baseball. Gerrit Cole was really sharp in his last outing at Washington, and he has yet to pitch poorly in his young major league career. Jose Fernandez is a guy who could easily be one of the top pitchers in the league in the next couple years. Fernandez has pitched well everywhere including Coors Field where he allowed only two runs in seven innings in his last start. The Marlins have the worst offense in baseball, and the Pirates have the best pitching staff in baseball. The under is 4-0 in the Pirates last 4 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 during game 3 of a series. The under is 6-0 in Fernandez's last 6 starts. The under is 10-1 in the Marlins last 11 games overall. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Pittsburgh Pirates have the best team ERA in all of baseball. The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball. It's a nice combination for a low scoring game. Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good, and the Marlins have actually been pitching well as of late. Tom Koehler had one terrible start at home earlier this year against the Cardinals, but other than that game, he has been very solid. The Pirates lineup certainly doesn't have the same pop that the Cardinals do, and I expect Koehler to pitch well. The under is 10-0 in Miami's last 10 games overall. The under is 9-0 in the Marlins' last 9 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins' last 7 games against a righty. The under is 5-0 in Morton's last 5 starts as a favorite. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Josh Johnson was a dominate starter a couple of years ago, but something just isn't right with him this season. He has an ERA of 5.50, and he has had multiple games where he can't make it past the third inning. Houston will start Dallas Keuchel. Keuchel was never very good in the minors, and he has really struggled on the road in his major league career. Toronto hits left-handed pitchers well, and I fully expect them to put up a lot of runs against Keuchel. Houston's bullpen is the worst in baseball so there will be no relief in sight if Keuchel is knocked out of the game early. Toronto scored 8 runs in a single inning last night against Houston's bullpen. Take the over.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks have two of the weakest offenses in the National League. Arizona has been winning solely because of their pitching. Arizona has been particularly bad against lefties, and Eric Stults is an underrated left-handed starter. Randall Delgado is a talented young pitcher for Arizona, and he has pitched well so far this year. The under is 5-0 in Arizona's last 5 during game 1 of a series. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Stults' last 6 road starts against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in Stults' last 5 starts versus the Diamondbacks. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* The Miami Marlins definitely have the worst offense in baseball. They recently went 37 straight innings without scoring a single run. How can we expect them to score more in this one when they are facing a pitcher as good as Jeff Locke? Locke has been as good as any rookie starting pitcher in baseball this year. He has a 2.11 ERA, and I expect him to dominate this Marlins lineup. Pittsburgh's offense isn't very good, but the Pirates have the best pitching staff in baseball. Enderson Alvarez has lots of potential, and he has pitched well lately. The under is 9-0 in Miami's last 9 games. The under is 4-0 in the Marlins' last 4 following a win. The under is 8-0 in the Marlins' last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The oddsmakers continue to put high totals on this series so I'll take this last opportunity to take advantage of a line that is set too high. Miami didn't score a run for 37 straight innings, and even at Coors Field, the Marlins offense hasn't been productive at all. Nathan Eovaldi has pitched very well in his two previous starts at Coors Field. With this being get away day, the Rockies may as well sit one or two of their best players. The under is 8-0 in the Marlins last 8 games. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 against a right handed starter. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Hiroki Kuroda and Derek Holland will be on the mound for the finale of this series. Holland has struggled in the past against the Yankees but that was a completely different Yankees lineup than he will face Thursday afternoon. Holland pitched a complete game shutout a few weeks ago against this Yankees lineup. Kuroda has an ERA of less than 3 against the Rangers. Vick Carapazza is the home plate umpire here, and he has a very large strike zone which will help both pitchers. The under is 5-0 in Holland's last 5 home starts. The under is 8-1-2 in the Rangers' last 11 overall. The under is 7-0 in Kuroda's last 7 as an underdog. The under is 14-2-1 in the Yankees last 17 road games versus a left handed starter. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Washington Nationals are two of the best pitching staffs in all of baseball. The Pirates actually have the single best team ERA in baseball. Washington has a very good rotation, and Gio Gonzalez has been lights out of late. A.J. Burnett has had a couple bad starts here and there, but he has been very good for the Pirates this season. Both of these offenses really struggle to put together a big inning. Look for a pitchers duel as both pitchers pitch deep into the game. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Miami Marlins went 37 straight innings without scoring a single run. They did manage to score four last night, and that was enough for the win. Don't expect this Marlins offense to start putting up big run totals any time soon. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. Despite pitching in a very difficult ballpark, he has had an ERA of right around 3 all season. The Marlins have been terrible against lefties all year, and I don't expect that to change here. Jacob Turner is an extremely talented youngster for the Marlins, and he seems to be taking the next step this year. The under is 7-0 in the Marlins last 7 games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 road games. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins 6 against a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in Turner's last 5 road starts. The under is 5-0-1 in home plate umpire Dan Iassogna's last 6 games behind the plate. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Bill Miller is probably my single favorite under umpire. Miller has consistently been an under umpire because of his massive strike zone for many years in a row. Erbin Santana has been great at home this year, and he is a strikeout pitcher who will benefit from Miller's large strike zone. Chen has pitched well since coming off the disabled list for Baltimore. The Royals offense has been struggling mightily of late. Two solid pitchers teamed up with a top strike caller behind the dish makes the under a good value. Take the under here.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Day* The Miami Marlins have the worst offense in baseball right now. In their series with Milwaukee this past weekend, Miami failed to score a run in 31 straight innings. Chacin has pitched well for the Rockies this year, and I can't imagine the Marlins getting many runs off of him. On the other side, Jose Fernandez will start for the Marlins. Fernandez is one of the best young pitchers in baseball. Bettors have made a lot of money backing Fernandez this year despite that fact that he plays for a terrible team. His stuff is absolutely electric, and I expect him to be a star for a long time. I won't back the Marlins because of their hitting woes, but I do really like the under. The under is 6-0 in the Marlins last 6 overall. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 road games. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 versus a team with a losing record. The under is 5-0 in the Marlins last 5 games versus a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in Fernandez's last 5 starts overall. The under is 3-0-1 in Chacin's last 4 Tuesday starts. The under is 7-0 in the Rockies last 7 when facing a starter with a WHIP of less than 1.15. In all a 36-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Here we have a pitching matchup of Cole versus Jordan. Both of these guys are highly touted young pitching prospects. Though the Pirates have a very good record this year, they don't have a good offense. Washington has been very disappointing this season, but they still have a quality pitching staff. Pittsburgh is first in the majors in overall team ERA. Both of these teams have been on nice under runs of late, and I don't see that changing on Tuesday. I expected a total of 8 or even 7.5, so being able to grab the under at 8.5 seems like a great value to me. Look for a pitchers duel in this one. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Arizona Diamondbacks have a lot of good young pitchers, and Tyler Skaggs will likely be the next big name for this rotation. While the Diamondbacks have pitched very well this year, their offense isn't good. Matt Garza will pitch for the Cubs here, and Garza is throwing the baseball extremely well right now. Every time he take the mound, there are tons of teams watching, and that seems to be pushing him to be even better. The under is 3-0-1 in Arizona's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 starts against Arizona. The under is 6-1 in the Cubs last 7 road games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1-1 in the Diamondbacks last 8 against a right handed pitcher. The under is 4-0 in Garza's last 4 against the NL West. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* A total of 10.5 isn't seen very often, but there are some great reasons for this total being set so high. Day games at Coors Field are notoriously high scoring. The weather should help as it is expected to be 90 degrees for this contest. Edwin Jackson starts for the Cubs, and to say that he has been horrible at Coors Field is a major understatement. In four career starts in Denver he has a 17.4 ERA. Tyler Chatwood allows a lot of base runners and I think this is the type of game where he'll pay for that. This one has the makings of a very high scoring game. Take the over.

5 Star MLB TOP Play Total* Clayton Kershaw and Jordan Zimmerman are two pitchers that I love playing the under with. Those two will square off against each other in this one and I love the value on the under here. Kershaw and Zimmerman are both extremely consistent, and the are among the most dominating pitchers in baseball. Yesterday's game between these two teams was a pitchers dual, and I expect another one on Sunday afternoon. The under is 6-0 in Dodgers last 6 games versus a team with a losing record. The under is 7-0 in the Dodgers last 7 against a right handed starter. The under is 5-0 in the Dodgers last 5 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Kershaw's last 4 starts. The under is 5-0 in Kershaw's last 5 Sunday starts. The under is 4-0 in Washington's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in their last four meetings. In all a 35-0 angle backs this play. Take the under big!

*4 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Pittsburgh Pirates and Cincinnati Reds are playing a very important 3 game series in Cincinnati this weekend. The Reds have taken the first 2 games in this series, but the Pirates will start lefty Jeff Locke in this game. Locke may be a rookie, but has been the Pirates best pitcher over the past couple months. His ERA is just a shade above 2. Homer Bailey will start for the Reds, and he has had a ton of success against the Pirates this year including a no hitter last season. The under is 8-1 in the Pirates last 9 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Locke's last 4 starts against the NL Central. The under is 8-0-1 in the Reds' last 9 during game 3 of a series. The under is 3-0-1 in Bailey's last 4 starts as a favorite. The under is 4-0-2 in Bailey's last 6 starts overall. The under is 2-0-2 in Bailey's last 4 starts against Pittsburgh. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* A total of 6.5 is always scary when betting the under, but this low number is definitely justified with Cliff Lee and Matt Harvey on the mound. Lee has been as solid as ever so far this year. He has a 2.09 ERA on the road. Harvey has been spectacular in 2013, and he has an ERA of just 1.37 against the Phillies in his young career. Mike Winters is a good umpire to have for the under because of his large strike zone. This should be a game where both starters shut down the opposition. Expect a very low scoring game. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Verlander has absolutely owned the Kansas City Royals in his career. He has a career 2.5 ERA against the Royals. He has actually been even better with a 2.3 ERA when starting in Kansas City. Jeremy Guthrie will start for the Royals, and he has a solid 3.8 ERA in his career against the Tigers. Guthrie is a much better pitcher at home as well. While Verlander struggled earlier this year, I expect him to be dialed in for the second half of the season. Lance Barksdale is behind the plate for this one, and he is a solid under umpire because of his generous strike zone. A strong wind blowing in from right field should also help the under. I like the value here. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates play a very important 3 game series this weekend in Cincinnati. The Reds took the first game of this series last night. Both teams will start one of their best pitchers in Saturday's matchup. A.J. Burnett will start for the Pirates, and he's been their most consistent pitcher this year. Matt Latos starts for the Reds. He's coming off his worst start of the year, and I expect him to bounce right back into form. These two teams have a history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. The under is 7-1-3 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 8-0 in the Pirates last 8 games. The under is 6-0-1 in the Pirates last 7 against a right-handed starter. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires, and he'll be behind the plate for this game. Kulpa has one of the biggest strike zones in all of baseball and both of these pitchers should benefit from that expanded zone. The under is 22-6-1 in Kulpa's last 29 Sunday games behind home plate. Wily Peralta is a young prospect for the Brewers who has improved a lot in his last few starts. Milwaukee's lineup is very short handed without Ryan Braun and Aramis Ramirez. The total is posted a little too high here. Take the under.

*5 Star TOP Play 100% Angle* The Milwaukee Brewers come into this game with a very short-handed lineup. Ryan Braun will miss the game as will Aramis Ramirez. Those two guys are their best run producers and this lineup is much weaker without them. The Diamondbacks have been a surprise this year, but it isn't because of their offense. Arizona's lineup isn't very good from top to bottom. Randall Delgado is a good young starter for the Diamondbacks and I think he has a bright future. Kyle Lohse has a solid 3.36 ERA on the road this year.

The under is 12-0 in Lohse's last 12 starts versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 road games versus a team with a winning record. The under is 6-0 in Lohse's last 6 starts as a road underdog. The under is 8-0 in Lohse's last 8 games as an underdog. The under is 5-0 in the Brewer's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in the Diamondback's last 4 versus a righty. The under is 6-0 in the Diamondback's last 6 versus a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 4-0 in Lohse's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Brewers' last 4 as an underdog. In all a massive 55-0 angle backs this play. Take the under BIG!

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Here we get a nice value on the over with two pitchers who I believe are capable of giving up a very big number. Jason Hammel has an ERA above 6 at home this year. Todd Redmond has made only 2 career major league starts and his ERA was nearly 4 in triple A. Toronto's offense is much more dangerous in Jose Reyes in the lead off spot. Baltimore's lineup doesn't get the credit it deserves. The Orioles have one baseball's best offenses from top to bottom. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Value* John Lackey has been pitching extremely well of late. Lackey is arguably throwing the ball better than he has at any time in his career. Jarrod Parker started the year slowly, but he hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of this last 7 starts. Boston has struggled badly in Oakland for several years. The Red Sox are 8-24 in their last 32 games in Oakland. Boston's offense is very good, but I have a feeling Parker and the strong Athletics bullpen will slow them down. This one has pitchers' dual written all over it. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Jeremy Hefner has really come into his own over his last few starts. Hefner was on the verge of losing his starting spot in the rotation, but he has solidified his spot with five very good starts in a row. Charlie Morton hasn't been able to prove himself yet this year, but he has a good history at home. Neither of these teams have a strong lineup. This is the type of game that I think both pitchers will have several easy innings. Because the Mets bats have been hot of late, the value is with the under. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Justin Grimm started the year well for the Rangers, but things have really fallen apart for him of late. Grimm never pitched very well in the minors so I'm not surprised he is struggling in the majors. Detroit isn't the type of team you want to face when you are struggling. Look for the Tigers to put up a big number here. On the other side Doug Fister has allowed 6 runs in 3 of his last 4 starts. The Rangers offense is pretty strong as well. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 starts as an underdog. The over is 4-0 in Grimm's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 road starts. The over is 8-1 in the Tigers last 9 home games. The over is 7-0 in the Tigers last 7 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Two left-handed pitchers who have really struggled of late will start in this matchup. Drew Pomeranz will start for the Rockies. He has lasted only 4 innings in his first two starts back from an injury. The Dodgers' lineup is hitting extremely well right now, and I think they are a really tough matchup for him. Chris Capuano has been awful at home this year. He has an ERA above 7 at Dodgers Stadium. Several guys in this Rockies lineup have great numbers against Capuano. For two struggling pitchers, I believe this total is just too low. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Arizona Diamondbacks have won games this year because of their pitching, not their hitting. Arizona's lineup is one of the worst in the National League. Milwaukee has a decent lineup when everyone is healthy, but the Brewers are severely shorthanded right now. Wade Miley pitched great last year, and after a slow start he has looked good in his last 3 outings. Yobani Gallardo is auditioning for a spot on someone else's roster right now, and I think he'll pitch well. The under is 10-1 in the Dbacks last 11 against a right handed pitcher. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* The Colorado Rockies are without their 3 best hitters right now. Without Gonzalez, Tulowitzki, and Fowler the Rockies lineup isn't very dangerous. The Padres are without both Grandal and Alonso and their lineup was very weak to start with. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starter for the Rockies. In his career he has an ERA of less than 2 when pitching in San Diego. Andrew Cashner has the stuff to be an elite pitcher, and this is a great chance for him to show that against a very short-handed Rockies lineup. Ron Kulpa is one of my favorite under umpires and he will be behind the plate here. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total Domination* C.J. Wilson and Jeff Samardzija will be on the mound tonight. Wilson has struggled on the road and Samardzija has struggled at home. A big factor in this game will be the home plate umpire, Sam Holbrook. Holbrook is one of my favorite 'over' umpires because of his tiny strike zone. He'll make both pitchers work very hard in this game. The Angels lineup has come to life of late, and the Cubs have been hitting it surprisingly well of late. The over is 7-0 in Samardzija's last 7 home starts. The over is 4-0 in his last 4 starts after allowing just 2 runs or less in his previous start. The over is 8-0-1 in the Cubs last 9 games against a team with a losing record. The over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams at Wrigley. The over is 4-0 in the Angels last 4 following a loss. The over is 6-0 in Wilson's last 6 as a road favorite. In all, a 32-0 angle backs this play. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Reds offense has been in a terrible slump on the road of late. This lineup should produce more than they have been, but now seems to be the perfect time for Brewers pitcher Johnny Hellweg to go against Cincinnati. Hellweg has had a very rocky start to his major league career, but his minor league numbers tell me that he should improve drastically. Mike Leake has been tremendous so far this year for the Reds. He pitches much better away from home. The under is 6-0 in the Reds last 7 games as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Leake's last 4 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Both Daniel Straily and Gerrit Cole are top pitching prospects. These guys don't have a lot of experience in the majors, but their history in the minors tells me they'll be dominating in the majors sooner rather than later. Oakland's offense started off red hot this year, but they have cooled off of late. Pittsburgh's offense is inconsistent and hasn't been good the last few days. Both of these teams have a great bullpen. Wally Bell will be behind home plate here and he has a huge strike zone that should help these two young pitchers. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* Here we have a matchup of two pitchers who have been struggling all season. Both Josh Johnson and Ubaldo Jimenez have had great seasons in the past, but 2013 hasn't been impressive for either of these guys. Johnson has an ERA above 7 on the road while Jimenez has an ERA above 6 at home. Toronto's offense is much better with Jose Reyes in the leadoff spot. Cleveland's offense is better than most realize, especially with Jason Kipnis and Michael Brandley hitting the ball as well as they are right now. The wind is expected to be blowing out center field which will help as well. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Late Night Bailout* Matt Harvey has been outstanding for the Mets this season. Harvey's ERA is barely above 2. The problem for Harvey has been that the Mets' offense doesn't give him much run support. Tim Lincecum has been up and down this season, but he is better at home and he'll be facing a weak Mets lineup. The Giants have won only 5 of their last 21 games, and that is primarily due to horrific production from their offense. Marco Scutaro is one of their most consistent hitters, but he is dinged up right now. It's hard to see either of these teams putting up many runs here. Take the under.

*5 Star MLB TOP Play Gem* Bartolo Colon and Jeff Locke are both pitchers I've fared well backing so far this year. Against each other, I struggle to see an edge for either team, but I do expect a low scoring game. Locke has a spectacular 2.12 ERA on the year. Colon has a 2.78 ERA this year, and his consistency has been tremendous. Both of these teams have a good bullpen, and I don't think either lineup is particularly strong. These aren't the kind of teams that usually give away free runs with defensive miscues either. The under is 4-0 in Colon's last 4 interleague starts. The under is 7-1 in Locke's last 4 starts on 4 days of rest. The under is 3-0-1 in the Pirates last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. Take the under big!

*5 Star MLB TOP Play of Week* The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies offenses have both been heating up in a big way of late. Chase Utley is healthy and Domonic Brown is hitting the cover off the ball too. Washington has gotten a major boost from Bryce Harper coming back. Dan Haren has an ERA above 6 this year, and in his career he has an 8.18 ERA at Philadelphia. John Lannan has been up and down all year and the Phillies have been locked in against lefties of late. The over is 4-0 in the Nationals last 4. The over is 6-0-1 in Haren's last 7 starts as a favorite. The over is 7-0 in the Phillies last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 Monday games. The over is 5-0 in Lannan's last 5 starts. In all, a 31-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* The weather is an important factor at Rangers Ballpark in Arlington. The high temperature is expected to be 95 degrees around the start of this game, which should help the ball fly very well. Justin Grimm pitched well in his first few starts for the Rangers, but he has been torched of late. The Astros put up 9 runs against Yu Darvish, and I expect them to put up several here. The Rangers have a strong lineup, and they matchup well against Houston pitcher Erik Bedard. The over is 7-1 in Grimm's last 8 starts overall. The over is 3-1-1 in the Astros last 5 games. The over is 4-0 in the Rangers' last 4 against a left-handed pitcher. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Garza and Bartolo Colon have both been pitching brilliantly of late. Garza has a 0.61 ERA in his last 3 starts. Colon has an ERA well under 3 so far this year. Neither of these offenses are particularly strong. Recent overs by both of these teams have bumped the total up here which gives us more value on the under. Both of these pitchers could pitch deep into the game and save up the bullpen. I have this one pegged at 6.5 runs, so I'll gladly take the under when given an extra run. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Felix Hernandez is clearly one of baseball's best pitchers, and Derek Holland is quickly becoming an elite pitcher. Hernandez tends to pitch his best against high quality competition. The Mariners scored 9 runs last night, but they have struggled all year against left-handed pitching. Look for the Rangers to bounce back behind a great effort from Holland. The under is 5-0-1 in Hernandez's last 6 Wednesday starts. The under is 3-0-1 in Hernadez's last 4 as an underdog. The under is 7-0 in Holland's last 7 starts against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Rangers last 4 as a favorite. The under is 4-0 in Holland's last 4 starts as a favorite. Take the under.

*5 Star Sunday Night Baseball TOP Play* The Baltimore Orioles still aren't getting the respect they deserve from the oddsmakers. Baltimore won with their pitching staff last year, but it is their amazing offense that has them winning games this season. Opposing pitchers really don't get a break at any point in the Orioles lineup. Hiroki Kuroda has been good this year, but he allowed five runs in just two innings at Baltimore a few weeks ago. Paul Schreiber will be the home plate umpire, and he is arguably the best over umpire in the business because of his tiny strike zone. Kuroda has a career ERA of 7.6 when Schreiber is behind home plate. On the other side, Chris Tillman has an ERA above 8 in his career against the Yankees. The over is 3-1-1 in the Orioles last 5 Sunday games. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 games with 4 days of rest. The over is 4-1 in Tillman's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. The over is 4-0 in Tillman's last 4 starts verses the Yankees. Take the over Big!

*3 Star MLB Early Bird Special* Zach Wheeler is one of the top pitching prospects in all of baseball. He pitched a shut out in his first start, but gave up 4 runs in his second league start. The Mets organization realized that Wheeler was tipping his breaking pitches in his last start, and look for Wheeler to have adjusted in time for this start. Gio Gonzalez started the year a little slowly, but he is a very good left-handed pitcher. The Mets lineup has been struggling of late, and I don't expect them to get it going against Gonzalez. Look for a good outing from both pitchers. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB 100% Angle Total* Jacob Turner was rushed to the majors by Detroit, and he struggled early in his career, but he his starting to look like the same dominant pitcher he was expected to be when he was brought up. Turner has a 1.97 ERA so far this season, and the Padres offense isn't very strong. Eric Stults will start for the Padres. Stults has been quietly raking in the money for under bettors so far this season. He is a quality left-handed pitcher who does a good job controlling all of his pitches. The Marlins arguably have the worst offense in baseball, and they have been particularly bad against left-handed pitching. The under is 7-0 in the Padres last 7 against a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%. The under is 7-0 in Stults' last 7 road starts. The under is 4-0 in Stults' last 4 road starts against a team with a losing record. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* Matt Cain started the season pitching terribly, but he is beginning to look a lot more like the Matt Cain of old in his last 4 starts. While he hasn't been terrific at Coors Field, he doesn't have a bad history in this hitter-friendly ballpark either. The Rockies are without Troy Tulowitzki, and they may be without Dexter Fowler. Jorge De La Rosa is an underrated starting pitcher for the Rockies. He has an ERA of less than 3.5 at Coors Field this year. Matt Cain has an ERA of less than 2 in his career with Bob Davidson behind home plate. I like the value on the under. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Late Night BAILOUT* The Chicago Cubs and Seattle Mariners both have terrible offenses. In this game, they both have very good pitchers going as well. Travis Woos is 5-6 on the season, but it isn't because he hasn't pitched well. In fact, Wood has a sparkling 2.85 ERA. The Cubs just haven't been hitting for him at all. Hisashi Iwakuma has been the Mariners best pitcher this year. Iwakuma has an ERA of 2.26 on the year, and his ERA is 1.46 at home. These two guys have been great game in and game out and I expect no different here. Take the under.

*4 Star MLB Play of Day* Shelby Miller and Bartolo Colon have both been awesome this season. Both of these guys have an ERA of less than 3 on the season. Colon has been even more dominant at home and in his career he has pitched better during night games. The Cardinals lineup is very good, but they are in a bit of a slump right now. Colon seems like the type of guy that could keep the Cardinals hitters guessing. Miller has been amazing in his rookie season, and the Athletics' offense has come back down to earth after their red hot start to the season. Expect both of these pitchers to go deep into the game. The under is 7-2 in the Cardinals last 9 games. The under is 5-1 in Miller's last 6 road starts. The under is 10-2 in the A's last 12 home games verses a right handed starter. Take the under.

*3 Star MLB Total Domination* The Kansas City Royals offense hasn't been particularly strong so far, but I expect them to get better as the season progresses. At the same time, the Royals bullpen has been over achieving this season. James Shields is a solid pitcher, but he has struggled against Willingham, Mauer, and Morneau. The heart of this Twins order is still pretty good. The weather conditions should help the ball fly out here as the wind is expected to be out at about 15 mph. P.J. Walters hasn't proven himself as a big league pitcher. He is the type of guy who can give up 5 or 6 runs in an inning. The over is 5-2 in Walters' last 7 home starts. I like the value here. Take the over.

*3 Star MLB Totals TKO* The Toronto Blue Jays and Boston Red Sox have two of the best offenses in baseball. Toronto just got back Jose Reyes and I would argue he is the key to their offense. He gets on base and gives Bautista and Encarnacion more RBI opportunities. Webster has struggled a lot early in his career, and shutting down Toronto is a tough task right now. Josh Johnson isn't the same pitcher he was a couple years ago. The Red Sox lead the majors in runs scored, and I expect them to score several here. Take the over in this one.