Sports Picks & Predictions

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Tampa Bay Bucs were really having trouble scoring points earlier this year. While their offense isn't great now, they are far better than they were earlier this season. Mike Glennon has settled into the role over the last few weeks, and he goes against a poor Bills defense in this one. Buffalo can run the football well, and Tampa Bay's rush defense has been very shaky of late. A total set this low is usually reserved for games between two top-notch defenses, but neither of these defenses are very good.

The over is 4-0 in Tampa Bay's last 4 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 6-1 in the Bills last 7 games after allowing 350 yards or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle. Take the over.

*5 Star NFL TOP Play of the Week* The Oakland Raiders and New York Jets meet in what should be a really ugly game on Sunday afternoon. The Jets have scored 3 points in each of their last two games. They have scored 14 points or less in four of their last five games. Geno Smith is a complete disaster right now. He has thrown 8 INT's since his last touchdown pass. The Raiders defense isn't elite, but they are decent, which should be plenty. The Raiders can't throw it, but they are a good running team. New York's defense is number one in the NFL at stopping the run. This has all the makings of a game where both offenses struggle to get going. The under is 8-0 in the Raiders last 8 away games following four consecutive overs. The under is 6-1 in the Jets last 7 December games. A 14-1 angle. Take the under big!

*3 Star NBA High Noon MONEYMAKER* The Boston Celtics and New York Knicks tip things off at noon eastern on Sunday afternoon. I always like to look at the under in games like this. New York City has a lot of nightlife and there are plenty of NBA players who are out late on Saturday nights in New York City. That can often lead to poor shooting percentages and sloppy play on early games on Sunday. The Knicks aren't a good team despite playing better of late. Both of these teams play slowly, and the offenses aren't very efficient. Boston is working hard defensively for Brad Stevens. The under is 12-2 in the Celtics last 14 road games. The under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings at New York. A 24-3 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't as good of a team without Andre Iguodala healthy. Golden State's defense has been very good so far this year, but their offense has been less efficient than normal. Memphis tested out a new experiment of running earlier this year. It didn't work. Memphis decided to slow things down even more than ever. These teams met and the game finished 88-81 in overtime. At the end of regulation, that game was tied 75-75. The under is 16-5 in Memphis' last 21 vs. the NBA Southwest. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 after allowing 100 points in their last game. Take the under.

*5 Star CFB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The USF Bulls are a very good under team for a couple reasons. Number one is they have arguably the worst offense in the nation. How bad are they? They are averaging just 14.5 points per game. Their defense is solid though. The Bulls have allowed 23 points or less in 5 of their last 7 games. Rutgers has a poor pass defense, but the USF offense hasn't been able to pass on anyone all year. Rutgers' rushing defense ranks 7th in the nation against the run. All signs point to a very low scoring game.

The under is 6-0 in USF's last 6 games vs. a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 100 yards on the ground. The under is 6-0 in Rutgers' last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Arizona Wildcats are an elite team this year. Arizona is really putting in tremendous effort on the defensive end of the court. Their length and quickness make them extremely difficult to get a good look against. UNLV likes to get out and run, but the Rebels offense is very inefficient. UNLV has had trouble scoring on bad defenses, and now they'll play one of the best defenses in the country. Arizona's tempo isn't as fast, and they should slow the game down once they have a nice lead. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 overall. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Texas Longhorns defense has been one of the most disappointing units in all of college football this year. This Longhorns defense gave up 40 points at West Virginia, 44 points at home to Ole Miss, and 40 points at BYU. This Baylor offense will be the best offense they have faced this year. It's typically not a challenge for Baylor to put up 45-50 points at home at a minimum, and I think they'll do that here. The Baylor defense has been exposed of late, and Texas has the potential to put up plenty of points here. I think this game gets to the upper 70's at a minimum. Baylor is first in the nation in points per game at 55.4 per contest. The over is 22-5-1 in Baylor's last 28 home games. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NCAA BB Wisconsin Battle* This intrastate rivalry game will be played at a very slow tempo with solid defense on both sides. My numbers had 125 points for this one. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* I took the under in the Wizards vs. Bucks game last week when they met in Milwaukee and the score was 87-87 at the end of regulation. I ended up losing the under by one point in overtime. It was a rough loss, but I'm going back to the under here. Washington isn't the same fast paced team they were in the past. They are much better defensively now, and without Bradley Beal, they aren't that good offensively. The Bucks offense is among the worst in the league in terms of efficiency and Milwaukee plays a very slow pace. I had this one lined at 186. Take the under big! *Note- I would play this for 5 Stars down to 191, 4 Stars down to 189. Thank you.*

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes have been playing pretty slow since Jim Larranagga took over at the school a couple years ago. This year, they are playing much slower than ever before. Why is that? Quite simply the Hurricanes aren't very good this year. Without Shane Larkin and the rest of the stars from last year, Miami can't score. They have to slow the game down and rely on defense to win. Nebraska is a slow team as well, so they won't force the issue. I expect a fairly close game here as both defenses play well. My numbers had this one at 121 points. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Ball State Cardinals have a new coach this year who is all about defensive schemes and trying to win with defense. While Valpo has had some very high scoring games early this year, those were against weak defenses and teams that run. Ball State will work hard to slow the game down here, and they should succeed. Expect this game to largely be played in the halfcourt with both teams taking up most of the shot clock before getting a shot up. I had this one at 143 points. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Boston Celtics and Milwaukee Bucks got together just a few nights ago. I took the under and won in that game, and I'll take the under again here. The Bucks hit an uncharacteristically high 49% of their shots in that game, and the under still cashed in comfortably. The Celtics defense is now top ten in the NBA. The Bucks and Celtics both rank in the bottom five of the NBA in terms of offensive efficiency. Look for a slow paced game with both defenses having the upper hand.

The under is 5-0-1 in the Bucks last 6 following a win. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 playing on 2 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in Boston's last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the Eastern Conference. A 20-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* A huge key to winning college basketball totals bets is keeping up with changes in strategy. UC Riverside has a new coach this year, and the Highlanders are running a lot more this year after playing stall ball the last few seasons. There should be value on their overs for a little while. Loyola Marymount has an elite point guard in Anthony Ireland, and they are always willing to run with anyone. My numbers had this one at 152 points. Look for a lot of shots here, and if the shooting percentages are even decent this should top the posted total. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Wright State Raiders have sped up a significant amount compared to last season. This year's team is forcing the issue and getting to the line a lot. The defense has also slacked off quite a bit from last year. Morehead State uses full court pressure and is a very aggressive team. Both of these teams foul far more than the average team. Lots of trips to the charity stripe in this game. I had this number at 145. Look for the pace and the fouls to send this game over the total. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* North Dakota and Pacific are two teams who are making a concerted effort to pick up the tempo this year. North Dakota ranks in the top 20 in terms of pace. Pacific shoots the ball well, and they are playing much faster than they did last year. North Dakota and Pacific both foul a bunch, which means trips to the charity stripe should be very frequent in this one. The Tigers shoot 81% from the line, so expect them to cash in on those opportunities. Both teams defenses give up a lot of open looks. I had this total pegged at 160. Take the over here.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The College of Charleston Cougars have slowed the pace down in a big way this year. Cal State Fullerton has typically been a run and gun team, but they have a new coach who wants the tempo slowed down a lot. Fullerton played to a 48-46 final yesterday against Miami. The tempo should be slow in this one, and both teams have had a ton of problems shooting the basketball so far this year. I had this line projected at 133 points. Look for an ugly game here with lots of missed shots. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Broncos/Chiefs Total DOMINATION* The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet for the second time in three weeks this Sunday. Peyton Manning and the Broncos took a really rough loss last week in New England after blowing a huge halftime lead. Denver will be anxious to get back on track here, and the Broncos offense should have more success against KC's defense the second time around. The Chiefs will be without Justin Houston, who is their best pass rusher. Denver's defense isn't elite, and the Chiefs will have scoring chances.

The over is 4-0 in the Broncos last 4 after allowing 30 points last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining less than 150 passing yards last game. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 games during week 13. The over is 13-2-1 in their last 16 after scoring 30 points or more last game. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. A 33-4 angle. Take the over.

*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings meet up on Sunday in a game between two teams with very disappointing defense. The Bears were known for their strong defenses in the past, but no longer. This Bears defense has allowed 42 points or more in three of their last eight games. They also allowed 30 to the Vikings in their first meeting. Minnesota is dead last in the NFL in points allowed per game at 31.5 per contest. The Vikings offense has been much better of late as well with Peterson healthy and Christian Ponder playing better. The Bears offense has done pretty well with McCown under center. They are 4th in the NFL in points per game.

The over is 5-0 in the Bears last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 6-0 in the Vikings last 6 home games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after giving up 350 yards in the previous game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following an ATS win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the NFC North. A 24-0 angle here. Take the over big!

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Cleveland Browns are forced to turn back to Brandon Weeden at quarterback after Jason Campbell suffered a concussion last weekend. Campbell was clearly making this offense better, and Weeden has struggled all year. The Jaguars defense isn't very good, but they have been playing quite a bit better of late. Cleveland's offense isn't any good, but the Browns arguably have one of the top 6 or 8 defenses in the NFL. This should be a sloppy game all the way around, and I think it stays in the 30's. You probably won't want to watch this one, but I like the value on the under. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The New York Jets and Miami Dolphins both have some serious issues on the offensive side of the football. Miami's offensive line is a total mess right now, and the Jets defensive front should be able to take advantage of that. The Jets offense is decent at running the ball, but stopping the run is the strength of the Dolphins defense. Geno Smith has been a disaster in recent weeks at quarterback for the Jets, and you better believe this will be a conservative game plan offensively for the Jets. Lots of running the football here and the clock should keep ticking. This game should stay in the 30's. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA 100% Angle Play of Day* The Boston Celtics aren't a very talented team, but Brad Stevens has this team working hard defensively. The Milwaukee Bucks have much better defensive numbers on their home court. Milwaukee slows the pace down in a big way this year, and the Celtics are usually fine with a slow pace. Neither team has a high powered offense at all. I had this one lined at 182 points. The under is 5-0 in the Bucks last 5 playing on zero days of rest. The under is 6-0 in the Bucks last 6 Saturday games. The under is 5-0 in the Celtics last 5 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Milwaukee. A 20-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Tex A&M/Missouri Total* The Texas A&M Aggies offense was slowed down last week by LSU in a way that we haven't seen in a long time. Johnny Manziel didn't look good, but I have a feeling that will be different this week. Manziel is still the most electrifying player in the nation, and Missouri's pass defense is a glaring weakness. The entire Texas A&M defense is a complete mess. The Aggies have been unable to stop anyone all year long. Look for both teams to pile up the points in this one. Take the over. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars if you can get the over at 66.5 or lower. 3 Stars up to 71. Thank you.*

*3 NCAA FB Instate Rivalry Total* LA Monroe and LA Lafayette don't like each other one bit. This is a rivalry that doesn't get attention on a national scale, but locally this game is a really big deal. Kolton Browning and the Warhawks offense haven't been good the last two weeks, but I expect a much better effort from them in this one. Lafayette's running offense is the best in the conference and LA Monroe is very unlikely to be able to do anything about slowing them down at all. I had this one projected at 61 points. Take the over in this matchup.

*5 Star TOP Play Total DOMINATION* The Boston College Eagles and Syracuse Orange meet up in what should be a very competitive game in Syracuse on Saturday. The defense is the strength of both of these teams. Syracuse's offense is a mess, and the Orange rarely can put together long scoring drives. Boston College has an elite runner, but the Syracuse defense excels at stopping the run. This is one of those games where both defenses should be able to rise up and force a lot of field goal attempts if the offenses do get into the red zone. I had this one lined at 44.5, so I see a ton of value here. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA TOP Play of Week* The Idaho Vandals gave up 80 points in a drubbing at the hands of Florida State last week. Idaho's defense has been giving up huge totals all year. The Vandals defense is allowing an FBS worst 48.8 points per game this year. What about New Mexico State's defense? Not much better. They are allowing 47.2 points per game, which is second worst in the FBS. These are the two worst defenses in the nation up against each other. Expect lots of points from two offenses that are improving quite a bit. I lined this one at 80 points, so I'm very surprised the line dropped the way it has.

The over is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 40 points or more. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on grass. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 following a loss of 20 points or more. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 6-0 in New Mexico State's last 6 November games. In all, a 37-0 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The BYU Cougars are a completely different team than they were last year. This BYU team is looking to snap the ball as quick as possible and get off as many offensive plays as they can. That should work really well against a Nevada defense that is among the worst in the nation. Nevada's offense has plenty of fight, and Cody Fajardo is capable of leading this team to several scores here. Don't be surprised if BYU puts up a big number here. Take the over. *Note- The line has moved up in a big way since the opener when I took this. I would play this up to 61 for 4 stars and up to 66 for 3 stars, but above 66 I would pass. Thank you.*

*3 Star NCAA FB ACC Rivalry Total* The Duke Blue Devils are one of the biggest surprises in college football this year. North Carolina has been putting the pieces together on offense of late after Bryn Renner went down with an injury. Most thought the UNC offense wouldn't be any good the rest of the year, but Marquise Williams has been very good at QB for them. In the last 3 weeks, UNC has scored 45, 34, and 80 points. The Tar Heels defense isn't consistent though, and Duke's offense has improved a ton since the beginning of the year. I had this total set at 64 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Rutgers Scarlet Knights and UConn Huskies are both ready for this season to be over. Rutgers was expected to be pretty good this year, but they've been a big disappointment. UConn won last week, but that was their first win of the season. The Huskies have been abysmal on offense all year long. UConn has absolutely no running game, and their passing attack isn't good either. The Huskies defense has shown some fight at home, and I expect more of that in this one. I had this number projected at 46 points. This should be an ugly game. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The San Diego State Aztecs are always one of the best defenses in the country. Steve Fisher's teams don't give up easy shots. Creighton has been scoring a ton of points this year, but this Aztecs defense is definitely the best one Creighton has been up against this year. Creighton doesn't push the tempo all that much, and San Diego State has really slowed down this year now that they don't have much offensive firepower. I had this number projected at 139 points, so I see plenty of value. Take the under here.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Washington Wizards aren't the run and gun team that they were a couple years ago. Randy Wittman has this team working hard on the defensive end. Indiana has the best defense in the entire NBA. The Pacers also like to slow the tempo of the game. With two solid defenses and a slow pace expected, I projected this total at 182 points. The under is 8-0 in the Pacers last 8 games after 1 day of rest. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 versus the NBA Southeast. The under is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 home games. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 meetings between these teams in Indiana. A 25-2 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA 100% Angle Total* The Milwaukee Bucks and the Charlotte Bobcats are very similar teams. Neither of them has very much fire power on offense. Both of them love to slow the game down and play in the half court. While the Bobcats certainly aren't a good team, it should be noted that they rank in the top ten in the NBA in field goal percentage defense.

The under is 6-0-1 in the Bobcats last 7 games playing on 1 day of rest. The under is 8-0-1 in their last 9 games overall. The under is 3-0-1 in the Bobcats last 4 games versus a team with a losing road record. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 home games. The under is 4-0-1 in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. The under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 versus the Eastern Conference. The under is 5-0 in the Bobcats last 5 versus the NBA Central division. In all a 44-0 angle. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Miami Hurricanes and Pitt Panthers both have offenses that have struggled to get going of late. The Hurricanes aren't the same team without Duke Johnson. Stephen Morris has been very disappointing of late at QB as well. Pitt lacks weapons on the offensive end. The Panthers have been playing some very low scoring games, and I've been backing the under with them for quite a while now. I'm not going to jump off the train just yet. Look for this one to stay close all game, and there should be a lot of field goals instead of touchdowns. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Hidden GEM* The Bowling Green Falcons and Buffalo Bulls meet in a key MAC matchup Friday. Ralph Wilson Stadium will be the site for this one. Bowling Green has the number one pass defense in the nation and they have a top 10 defense in every category. Buffalo's defense has been great against MAC opponents. Neither of these teams has an elite offense. Last year when they got together the final score was just 21-7. This one might be a little higher, but I think the line should have been around 45 points. Look for a tight defensive battle all the way. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA FB Feast TOP PLAY* The East Carolina Pirates and Marshall Thundering Herd meet in a very important game for both teams Friday. The winner of this game will play in the Conference USA title game next week. East Carolina and Marshall both have a high octane passing attack, and I think that means a very high scoring game here. Both teams like to move quickly, so there will be lots of plays. I projected this one at 73 points.

The over is 5-0 in the Pirates last 5 games. The over is 5-0 in Marshall's last 5. The over is 6-0 in Marshall's last 6 November games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a win. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more last game. A 28-0 angle. Take the over big!

*3 Star NFL Thanksgiving Day Top Total* The Oakland Raiders offense will get a big boost from the return of Darren McFadden in this game. McFadden is one of the best runners in the league when healthy, and this Cowboys defense has been bad against the run. Dallas is dead last in the NFL in total defense and they are without Sean Lee, their best linebacker. The Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop the pass this year, and Tony Romo and the Cowboys offense have been clicking through the air of late. Romo's numbers are pretty impressive this year, and this is a good chance for him and the offense against a poor secondary. The over is 3-0-1 in the Raiders last 4 games. I think this has a good chance to top 50 points. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Day* The Syracuse Orange play that matchup zone that gives nearly everyone fits. It's next to impossible to get inside the paint against their defense. Baylor makes a living in the paint normally, and I think the Bears will struggle again this defense. Baylor's defense has been much improved this year. The Bears have multiple shot blockers who make it really difficult for opponents. Opponents are shooting a miserable 36.3% on two-point shots against Baylor this year. Baylor is also slowing the tempo down in a big way. The Bears successfully slowed down a fast paced Dayton team yesterday. Syracuse plays slow as well. This total is set far too high. I had this projected at 129 points. Take the under big!

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a much better defensive team than they have been in the past couple years. Bradley Beal is now out with an injury, which will slow down the offense since he was averaging 20.6 points per game to lead the team in scoring. Milwaukee slows the game down in a big way, and the Bucks have played much better defense at home than they have on the road. Five of their first six home games have stayed under the posted total. Slow pace here and not much offensive firepower on either side.

The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 after giving up 100 points last game. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The under is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 home games. The under is 11-1 in the Bucks last 12 after allowing 100 points or more in their last game. A 23-1 angle here. Take the under.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Memphis Grizzlies experimented with speeding up the tempo in the first couple weeks of the season. It didn't work. What have they decided to do? Slow the pace down even more than they ever did in the past. It is working out very nicely. This is a team with a strong frontcourt that plays solid defense and controls the tempo. Boston doesn't have many offensive weapons, and the Celtics aren't a running team either. Memphis' last four games have been played at a ridiculously slow pace. The under is 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Ride the under with the Grizzlies in this one. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars play faster than any other team in the country, which is why this number is so high. Still, Wichita State is a very good defensive team and a number this high seems a little crazy on a game involving the Shockers. BYU and Texas only got to 168 yesterday, and Texas runs much more than Wichita State. The Shockers will slow things down a bit here, and contest BYU's shots from outside. I projected this line at 164. The under is 4-0 in BYU's last 4 neutral site games. Take the under in this one.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Houston Rockets were the fastest paced team in the NBA last year. They have slowed down a bit since Dwight Howard is on their team this season. The Rockets tried to make Memphis play fast paced games last year, but it didn't work. In the four meetings between these two last year, Houston topped 94 points only once. Memphis tried to play fast earlier this year, but it didn't work, and they abandoned the strategy. Now, they are playing slower than anyone else in the league. Look for the Grizzlies to slow this game down in a big way. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The LaSalle Explorers have changed the way they play this season. This team used to be running and gunning, but now they are slowing it down and trying to control the tempo. Northern Iowa has long been a team that likes to slow the game down and play a halfcourt style, so they aren't about to speed this game up. Both teams are better than average on the defensive end, and they don't turn the basketball over very often. A slow tempo and tough looks at the hoop should equal an under in this one. I had this one lined at 136. Take the under.

*5 Star NFL TOP Play of Week* The Denver Broncos have the best offense in the NFL. The New England Patriots offense wasn't very good earlier this year, but that is definitely changing as they get healthy. Neither of these defenses are very good. Both of them are decent against the run, but these offenses are going to be airing it out in this game. The Broncos are averaging 40 points per game. The Patriots have scored an average of 33.25 points per game in their last 4 games. The weather here is a little iffy, but both of these teams are used to inclement weather. *Note- The line has moved down since I have picked this game, so I feel even stronger about the over if you can get it below 56*

The over is 22-5 in the Broncos last 27 games against a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 games after playing on Monday night. The over is 5-1 in Denver's last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning home record. A 31-6 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Kansas City Chiefs defense is one of the best in the NFL. The Chiefs offense is one of the worst in the NFL when it comes to putting up yardage. They are especially bad through the air. San Diego's defense has been gradually improving over the last few games. The Chargers are very reliant on throwing the football offensively. They really don't have much of a running game. Expect the Chiefs to put a ton of heat on Phillip Rivers and make life miserable for him. KC has the best pass rush in the NFL.

The under is 5-0 in the Chiefs last 5 November games. The under is 6-0 in the Chargers last 6 against the AFC. The under is 6-1 in the Chiefs last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. A 17-1 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Tampa Bay Bucs still aren't a good football team, but their offense has been much better over the last few weeks. Glennon is starting to get into a bit of a rhythm and it is turning into much better productivity for this group. Tampa Bay got an amazing performance out of Bobby Rainey last week at RB, so they might have found a really nice new weapon. Detroit's offense can score on anyone, and this Tampa Bay defense has been a big disappointment this season. Both of these offenses have a big advantage here.

The over is 6-0 in Tampa's last 6 games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the Lions last 5 home games. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 after allowing 250 yards or more passing in the last game. The over is 4-0 in the Lions last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 4-0 in TB's last 4 after allowing 350 yards or more last game. The over is 4-0 in Tampa's last 4 after gaining 350 yards or more. A 32-0 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Portland Trail Blazers have been the biggest surprise in the NBA so far this year. Portland is very good offensively, but they are also much improved on the defensive end. Portland is capable of winning an uptempo game or a slow paced game. Golden State may be without Andre Iguodala and Steph Curry here. Even if these two do play, they won't be 100%. The offense hasn't been even close to the same without Curry. Golden State is one of the best defensive teams in the league. This number is several points too high. The under is 6-0 in the Blazers last 6 against the NBA Pacific. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4. The under is 4-0 in the Warriors last 4 against the Western Conference. Take the under. (Note- Curry will now likely miss this game as will Iguodala so the line has plummeted. Without those two in the lineup, I would play this for 4 Stars down to 198 and 3 stars down to 196. Thank you*

*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Fresno State Bulldogs are playing a little faster than they have in the past. Pacific is playing much faster than they have for a very long time. Pacific has a new coach who is pushing the team to get some transition scoring opportunities. This line is set about the way it should have been last year with two slower paced teams and without the new rules that cause quite a few more fouls and free throw attempts. I had this one projected at 143. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Missouri Tigers and Ole Miss Rebels meet in what should be a great SEC clash. Missouri is still in the national title race if they win out and Mississippi has proven capable of beating big name teams at home this year. The strength of both of these teams is their offense. Missouri's glaring weakness is their secondary and I expect Bo Wallace and Mississippi to exploit that. Missouri's offense hasn't been stopped by anyone this year when James Franklin is healthy and he'll be back for this one.

The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 road games. The over is 5-0 in Ole Miss' last 5 November games. The over is 5-0 in Missouri's last 5 road games against a team with a winning record. The over is 12-2 in Ole Miss' last 14 after allowing less than 100 yards rushing last game. A 28-2 angle backs this. Take the over.

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play of Week* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks offense looked bad most of the year, but that was without star quarterback Kolton Browning. Browning is Mr. Everything for this offense, and he is back and healthy now. They put up 49 points two games ago against Troy. The oddsmakers haven't yet caught up to Monroe's much better offense with Browning on the field. South Alabama's offense should be able to move it against a Monroe defense that isn't very good against either the run or the pass. The South Alabama defense played pretty well earlier this year, but they have a lot of injuries and are struggling of late. I had this line projected at 63 points, so this one has a ton of value. Take the over in a big way here!

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The UT Arlington Mavericks have a way of turning every game into a track meet. They haven't had a game all season finish lower than 156 points. Eastern Michigan's coach said in the offseason he wants his team to speed up and run more often. Here is their chance! UT Arlington's lack of defense should create tons of easy scoring opportunities for Eastern Michigan. UT Arlington will get their points in transition, and they do shoot it pretty well from long range. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Montana State Bobcats are playing a lot slower than they have the last few years. This is one of those teams that will likely be a good value on the under because of their change in style. The oddsmakers are going to put higher numbers than they should on them because of their past history. Austin Peay runs, but they don't shoot the ball well. This total is set at least 5 or 6 points too high. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The Vanderbilt Commodores were in total control of their game yesterday leading by 16 points late before allowing Providence to finish the game on a ridiculous 27-4 run. I cashed in on the under in that game, and I'm taking the under again here. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to outscore many teams, so they slow it down. Morgan State runs, but they don't score efficiently and they play solid defense. I projected this line at 141. A whopping 10.5 points lower than this total opened. The under is 7-1 in Vanderbilt's last 8 neutral site games. Take the under big!

*3 NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Ohio State Buckeyes won 60-35 last week in Illinois, but the Buckeyes weren't very impressive in that win. At this point in the season, Ohio State not only needs to win games, but they need to be very impressive when winning them. Urban Meyer knows the Buckeyes need style points. Indiana has the worst defense in the Big 10. The Hoosiers are allowing an eye-popping 535 yards per game. Opponents have scored at least 42 points against Indiana in 4 of their last 5 games. Ohio State will be the best offense they have faced yet. The Buckeyes could easily score 60 points by themselves. Indiana's offense put up 49 points on Ohio State last year, and they should score several here. This number is very high for a reason. Look for a very high scoring game. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB BYU/Notre Dame Total* The BYU Cougars and Notre Dame Fighting Irish are both tough defenses to run the football on when they know the run is coming. Last year these teams played to a 17-14 final score. A huge factor in this game will be the weather. There is snow expected during this game as well as 25 mph winds. Both of these passing games will have serious problems getting going. A ton of runs means a predictable offense for both teams as well as a clock that keeps running the entire game. Look for another low scoring contest here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Pitt Panthers and Syracuse Orange are two teams that I have bet on the under with successfully several times already this year. Pitt has an offense that isn't very good at either throwing or running it, and Syracuse's offense has been a complete disaster of late. On the other side of the ball, both of these defenses have improved a great deal through the year. Syracuse has lots of team speed on defense, and Pittsburgh has a dominating defensive line. Look for field goals instead of touchdowns here. Take the under in this one.

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Clemson Tigers are about as good as anyone in the country at slowing the game down and playing at their preferred pace. No one has been able to get them out of their game this year, and I don't think Davidson will be able to either. Davidson isn't nearly as good as they have been in recent years, and they don't have a ton of top notch scorers. Clemson will slow this down to a snail's pace, and this will be a very ugly game. The under is 12-1 in Davidson's last 13 against the ACC. Take the under here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The LaSalle Explorers have totally changed the way they play this year. LaSalle previously was a run and gun type of team, but they are controlling the tempo and running halfcourt sets this year. It will take a while for the oddsmakers to get accustomed to this new style of play for LaSalle, and that gives us a chance to find great value. Morgan State likes to run, but they aren't used to playing this kind of solid defense. LaSalle controls the tempo here and wins convincingly. I like the under a lot. Take the under big!

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Monmouth isn't a good team at all, but they love to run and put up shots as quickly as possible. That plays right into the hands of a St. John's team that isn't very good in the halfcourt, but is great when running the floor and scoring in transition. St. John's should get a big lead early here, and Monmouth should get some easy buckets late in the game. I had this one lined at 151. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Kent State Golden Flashes are improving quite a bit on the defensive end. They've been highly competitive against good teams this year, and I expect their defense to slow down USC Upstate in a big way here. Neither of these teams is comfortable running and gunning, so this total definitely seems too high. I had this one projected at 142 points. Look for a lower scoring game here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* I was burned by VCU last night (lost the over by a single possession). The Rams couldn't shoot the ball well at all, and they appeared to give up in that game. I don't think it happens two games in a row. It won't hurt that Long Beach State has no ball handler and they'll turn it over a ton of times here. VCU will get easy buckets all game long, and Long Beach State is going to play at a quick pace as well. I think this one gets to at least 155 points. Take the over.

*4 Star NBA TGIF Total DOMINATION* The Washington Wizards are a completely different team than they used to be. Washington used to be a high-octane team that didn't play any defense. They have slowed down significantly, and the Wizards have committed themselves on the defensive end under Randy Wittman. Toronto is playing at a slower pace than anyone in the NBA outside of Memphis. The Raptors will control the tempo here, and both defenses are better than average. I had this game projected at 187 points, so I definitely see value on the under. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB 100% Angle Total* The Providence Friars have slowed their pace down quite a bit with Ed Cooley as their head coach instead of Keno Davis. Cooley is preaching defense too, and the Friars are starting to buy in. Vanderbilt doesn't have enough talent to compete with top teams by running, so the Commodores will be slowing games down all season long. The under is 6-0 in Vandy's last 6 Friday games. The under is 5-0 in Providence's last 5 following an ATS win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 neutral site games. Take the under.

*4 Star Florida St/VCU Total Domination* The Florida State Seminoles and VCU Rams meet tonight, and both of these teams love to run. Both teams are great at forcing turnovers, and neither of them are very good at controlling the ball. The full court pressure in this one should lead to lots of easy buckets going both ways. FSU has transformed from a defensive-minded team into a team that tries to outscore the opposition. The way the officials are calling games now, there are going to be a bunch of fouls here so free throws should help this total in a big way. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UCF Knights and Miami Hurricanes meet in a nice intra-state battle tonight. Miami isn't even close to the team they were last year. The Hurricanes lost all their stars from last year, and the team is walking it up the court now and relying on defense to win it. UCF is in no hurry either. As long as we can stay away from ridiculous amounts of fouls, I really believe this game stays well under the posted total. I had this one projected at 131 points. Look for a tight game with both defenses playing well. Take the under.

*5 Star NBA TOP Total* The Indiana Pacers are playing better defense than any other team in the NBA once again this year. Indiana is playing at a slow pace again as well. New York has slowed their pace down even more, and the Knicks offense isn't even close to as efficient as they were last year. The games between these two last year were lined in the mid 180's every time, so we're getting line value here. Look for the Knicks to be competitive here, but it will likely be because they show up better than expected defensively. The under is 11-2 in the Pacers last 13. The under is 5-0 in the Knicks last 5 Wednesday games. Take the under big! *Note- This line has moved since I picked it at the open. 5 Star rated down to 188- 4 star to 187 and 3 star down to 186. Thank you*

*4 Star NBA Total Domination* The Washington Wizards and Cleveland Cavaliers meet on Wednesday, and both of these teams have been inefficient offensively of late. On the other side, Mike Brown has the Cavs playing pretty good defense and Randy Wittman has the Wizards committed on the defensive end. These two teams aren't what they were a couple years ago. Even if the tempo of the game is a bit quick, I expect to see low shooting percentages from these teams in this one. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 on 0 days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Cavs last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. A 21-3 angle. Take the under. *Note- I would play this for 4 stars down to 193, and for 3 stars down to 191*

*4 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* The Dayton Flyers and Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are two teams who have picked up the tempo quite a bit from last year. Brian Gregory has Georgia Tech speeding up in a big way right now, and the Yellow Jackets have a lot more talent than they had last year. Gregory used to coach at Dayton, and the Flyers will be motivated to beat their old coach in this one. Archie Miller has Dayton getting out in transition as often as possible right now. These two teams shoot 76% and 77% from the free throw line, so I expect a lot of made free throws to help this one out a lot. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Phoenix Suns have been the biggest surprise in basketball thus far, especially when it comes to covering the number. How has this young team done it? Phoenix is working extremely hard on the defensive end. They are fifth in the NBA in total defense right now, ahead of several other teams who are seen as defensive stalwarts. Sacramento is playing as slow as anyone in the NBA right now (a big change from their past) and the oddsmakers haven't been able to line their games low enough yet. I think this game stays in the 180's.

The under is 5-0 in the Kings last 5 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 following a SU loss. The under is 6-0 in the Suns last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. A 23-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Kentucky Wildcats have plenty of firepower on their roster this year. The Wildcats have all kinds of guys who are capable of scoring at will. UT Arlington won't provide any defensive resistance at all. Most importantly, UT Arlington has decided to run and gun and play at a breakneck pace this year. Boise State put up 116 points on Arlington in their season opener. Kentucky should hit 100 here, and the Wildcats aren't going to slow this game down. The tempo of the game makes it likely that we see at least 170 points scored in this one. Take the over in this game.

*3 Star NFL Monday Night Football Total* The New England Patriots and Carolina Panthers meet in what should be a great game Monday night. New England's defense is much improved from a couple years ago. Carolina's offense still isn't elite, but the Panthers defense is amazing. Carolina is first in total defense in the NFL. If you haven't bought into this defense being elite, then you should do it now. New England's offense definitely isn't what it was the past few years, and Carolina's defense should be well-prepared for this one. The Panthers haven't given up more than 15 points in their last 5 games. Take the under.

*4 Star NFL 49ers/Saints Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers and New Orleans Saints meet in a key matchup in New Orleans this weekend. The 49ers were humbled last week by Carolina at home. Colin Kaepernick is starting to get criticized by the experts. The 49ers need to establish the run here, and I think they can against a Saints front seven that isn't very good. New Orleans has been able to move the ball well against everyone they have faced. The Saints are really tough to stop in the Superdome. I think this total is several points too low.

The over is 6-0 in the Niners last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 5-0 in the Saints last 5 on turf. The over is 4-0 in the Saints last 4 overall. The over is 6-0 in the Saints last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 4-0-1 in the last 5 meetings. A 25-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL 100% Angle Total* The Miami Dolphins have been in the news for all the wrong reasons of late. Miami's offense is a complete mess right now. The offensive line was already terrible, and without Incognito and Martin they are even worse. San Diego's defensive line should control the line of scrimmage in this one. The Dolphins still have a pretty solid defense, and the Chargers have had trouble converting in the red zone this season.

The under is 5-0 in the Chargers last 5 vs. the AFC. The under is 5-0-1 in the Dolphins last 6 during week 11. The under is 9-0 in the Dolphins last 9 games against teams allowing 350 yards or more per game. The under is 9-0 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. A 28-0 angle. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Early Bird Special* The Washington Redskins and Philadelphia Eagles have a lot in common. Both of these teams have offenses that can score a lot of points quickly. They both also have defenses that can give up a lot of points in a short amount of time. The last few times these teams have gotten together it has been very high scoring. I don't see any reason to expect anything different in this game. Nick Foles is playing great for the Eagles and the Redskins secondary is terrible. RG3 is starting to look like himself once again, and he has had a ton of success against the Eagles in the past. Take the over here.

*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* The San Diego State Aztecs have been good to me on overs so far this year. The Aztecs are good at stopping the run, but their secondary is weak. Hawaii can't run the ball, but they can definitely air it out. Hawaii should put up a lot more points here than most expect. On the other side, Hawaii's defense is dreadful. They are giving up 37.3 points per game for the year. The Hawaii offense has steadily improved as the season has progressed.

The over is 6-0 in Hawaii's last 6 games overall. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 on turf. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 after allowing more than 200 yards on the ground last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after gaining at least 450 yards last game. A 22-0 angle. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB Total DOMINATION* The Oregon State Beavers and Arizona State Sun Devils both like to air it out early and often. Don't expect many rushing attempts in this game. The weakness of both of these defenses is their secondary. Arizona State has been piling up the points at home all year. The Sun Devils have scored 62, 54, and 53 points in their last three home games. Oregon State has mismatches against AZ State's secondary and they'll get their points too.

The over is 5-0 in Oregon State's last 5 games on grass. The over is 6-0 in AZ State's last 6 after allowing less than 170 passing yards last game. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing less than 275 total yards. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two. A 21-1 angle. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* When FIU and UTEP meet, I expect an absolutely horrible football game. Don't even try to watch, listen, or follow this game. There will be nothing exciting about this game. That being said, the game doesn't have to be exciting for me to see an opportunity to make money. FIU is dead last in the nation in points per game, and UTEP's offense is short-handed right now. These defenses aren't very good, but they'll probably look good on Saturday night. This number has moved throughout the week. I would make this a 4 star play down to 49 and a 3 star play as low as 47 points. Take the under.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Atlanta Hawks and New York Knicks have a solid history of playing low scoring games against each other. The Hawks are playing slightly faster this year, but the Knicks aren't going to get into a track meet with them. This line is more indicative of a game where both teams will run, and that isn't the case here. The Knicks offense was efficient last season, but they are putting up some horrible shots now. New York has been taking contested shots and settling for long range jumpers too often. I had this one lined at 197 points, so I like the value here. Take the under.

*4 Star NCAA FB Hidden Gem Total* The Texas State Bobcats had two weeks to prepare for this one, and I think that means their defense will be very well-prepared. Texas State's defense has been able to slow down some very good teams this year. Arkansas State's defense is also one of the best in the Sun Belt. Both of these offenses have really struggled with consistency so far this year. It wouldn't surprise me a bit to see a tight game here where both teams struggle to get into the end zone. I made this line 45, so I like the value on this one. Take the under here.

*3 Star NCAA FB Big 10 Total* The Michigan State Spartans have the best defense in the nation. They are allowing just 43 rushing yards per game. Michigan State's defense flies to the football. I don't see this defense giving up a big number against anyone. Without Taylor Martinez, Nebraska's offense isn't as dynamic. The Huskers are going to struggle to score in this one. Michigan State's stacked on defense, but their offense isn't very good. The Huskers defense stepped up in a big way last weekend at Michigan. Look for both D's to be very good here. Take the under. I would play this game as low as 41 points, but not lower.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns have won 7 straight games. Their offense has put up 35 points or more in 6 of those 7 wins. They have scored 41 or more in 4 of the 7 games. Georgia State's defense is so bad that Lafayette may get to 50 in this one. Georgia State's offense is slowly improving and you have to think that Lafayette will let them score some late in the game here. The over is 7-0 in Lafayette's last 7 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. The over is 3-0-1 in Lafayette's last 4 November games. The over is 4-0 in GA State's last 4 following a double digit home loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games at home. A 23-0 angle. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Cleveland Cavaliers have been picking up the pace over the last week or so. With a backcourt of Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters, the Cavs have plenty of speed to burn. Minnesota is playing as fast as anyone in the NBA right now. The Timberwolves are taking advantage of having a healthy Ricky Rubio running the point. This team is really playing well on the offensive end. These teams met earlier this year with the final score being only 93-92, but a closer look at that game shows that the shooting percentages (especially from 3 point range) were horrendous. With normal shooting numbers that game would have sailed over the total. Plenty of value here on the over. Take the over in this one.

*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Detroit Pistons have a much more athletic team than they did a year ago. Brandon Jennings and Josh Smith are guys that run the floor very well. Detroit is going to be playing much faster and scoring a lot more efficiently than they did last season. There should be opportunities on the Pistons games to go over the total early in the year. Golden State has more outside shooters than anyone else in the NBA. The Warriors should find it easy to bury a lot of three's against a Pistons defense that is terrible at guarding beyond the arc.

The over is 5-0 in Detroit's last 5 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against the Western Conference. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 9-1 in their last 10 overall. The over is 10-1 in the Warriors last 11 against the NBA Central. A 30-2 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* Here we have a meeting of two of the best defensive teams in the NBA. Both Indiana and Memphis have very good interior players that work hard on the defensive end. It isn't easy for guards to get inside against these teams. Indiana has the number one defense in the NBA, and the Pacers are a team that likes to control the tempo. Memphis has sped up a bit since last year, but they are far from a run and gun team. Last year's meetings between these teams finished 88-83 and 82-81. The posted total here is more than 10 points higher than it was the last time these teams met.

The under is 5-0 in the Pacers last 5 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 games on a single day of rest. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 against the NBA Southwest. A 13-0 angle here. Take the under.

*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Carolina Panthers and San Francisco 49ers meet for what should be a very good game on Sunday afternoon. The 49ers started a little slowly, but this offense is on fire right now. San Francisco has scored 31 points or more in five straight games. San Francisco also had a bye to prepare for this game, and I think that gives Jim Harbaugh and this offense an edge when it comes to facing a solid Panthers defense. On the other side, Carolina's offense is clicking in a big way right now. The Panthers have scored at least 30 points in four straight games. The 49ers run defense isn't all that good, and the Panthers should find room to run.

The over is 15-2 in the 49ers last 17 following a bye week. The over is 9-0 in Carolina's last 9 games against a team averaging at least 27 points per game. The over is 7-0 in the 49ers last 7 against teams averaging at least 24 points per game in the last half of the season. A 31-2 angle backs this one. Take the over.

*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Philadelphia Eagles and Green Bay Packers meet Sunday. This is a game I selected on Monday before Aaron Rodgers went down with an injury. At this number (52), I would not have selected the over in this game with Rodgers out, but at a current level of 46.5 I do believe the 'over' is worth a look. Seneca Wallace will be better with a week of practice, and this Eagles defense is pathetic. Philly's offense should find plenty of holes in a weak Green Bay secondary. There's a good chance this game gets into the low 50's. I recommend a play on the over at 48 or less.

*5 Star CFB TOP Total of the Month* The San Diego State Aztecs and San Jose Spartans have a nice little rivalry going on. San Jose State has an NFL-caliber quarterback in David Fales. San Diego State has a balanced offense with two good runners and a quickly improving quarterback. My numbers had this game at 64 points, so this line is more than a touchdown away, which rarely happens. The Spartans are 24th in the nation in total offense, and Fales should pick apart a suspect San Diego State secondary. At the same time, San Jose State is 93rd in the nation in total defense, and San Diego State will get plenty of opportunities to score as well.

The over is 6-1-1 in the Spartans last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. The over is 4-0 in SD State's last 4 after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their last game. The over is 8-2 in San Diego State's last 10 after an ATS loss. An 18-3 angle backs this play. Take the over big here!

*3 Star Notre Dame/Pitt Total Domination* The Notre Dame Fighting Irish defense hasn't been as good as expected so far this year, but it is still the strength of the team. Pittsburgh's offense has struggled the majority of the year, and I think they'll struggle up front against Notre Dame's front four. The Panthers defense is much improved and their defensive front is becoming a major strength for the team. Notre Dame doesn't have a consistent passing game, so I don't think they can beat this Pitt defense consistently. Look for both defenses to play well in this matchup.

The under is 5-0 in Pitt's last 5 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 on grass. The under is 4-0 in Pitt's last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Pitt's last 7 November games. A 19-1 angle. Take the under.

*5 Star NCAA FB ACC TOP Total* The Syracuse Orange won 13-0 over Wake Forest in a game that I played the 'under' in last week. That was a great play from start to finish. Syracuse has lots of offensive issues right now. Their quarterback play has been shaky at best, and Maryland has a talented defense. The Terrapins are once again having problems with the injury bug this season. Syracuse has a quality defense that does a good job keeping their opponents from getting those big plays. I had this game lined at 48 points. Expect both teams defenses to bring their A game here. This one stays low scoring all the way. Take the under big!

*5 Star NCAA FB TOP Play Hidden GEM Total* The Nevada Wolfpack have a very good quarterback in Cody Fajardo. Fajardo is a dual-threat quarterback who is a weapon in every aspect of the game. He'll be up against a Colorado State defense that has been susceptible against mobile quarterbacks the past couple years. Nevada's defense is among the worst in the nation. The Wolfpack are allowing an astonishing 513 yards per game so far this season. Colorado State's offense has come to life of late, and I expect a big number from Colorado State here. Back and forth with both offenses lighting it up in this one.

The over is 4-0 in Nevada's last 4 after allowing 200 rushing yards or more last game. The over is 4-0-1 in CSU's last 5 games. The over is 3-0-1 in CSU's last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in Colorado State's last 5 after gaining 450 yards in their last contest. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 home games. The over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 conference games. A 25-0 angle backs this play. Take the over big!

*4 Star NCAA FB 100% Angle Total* The Eastern Michigan Eagles may have the worst defense in the nation. These guys just haven't been able to stop anyone this year. How bad are they? Eastern Michigan has given up 45.6 points per game so far in 2013. They have allowed at least 50 points in each of their last 4 games. Western Michigan's offense got going in their last game against UMass, and the Broncos should have plenty of success offensively here. At the same time, Western Michigan is giving up 37 points per game as well. Two horrible teams that can't play any defense. The over is the play.

The over is 6-0 in the Eagles last 6 on turf. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 after allowing 40 points or more in the previous game. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 games following an ATS loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 conference games. A 22-0 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals Takedown* The Marshall Thundering Herd have one of the best quarterbacks in the country. Rakeem Cato can air it out with the best of them and it's hard to imagine UAB's pathetic defense slowing down Marshall at all here. UAB's defense is allowing 38.4 points per game so far this year, and Marshall will be one of the best offenses they have faced all year. Marshall's defense is fully capable of giving up a lot of points, and UAB's offense is improving over the last few weeks. I had this one lined at 71 points. Look for a high scoring affair all the way. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have a high quality offense under new coach Bobby Petrino. Antonio Andrews is one of the best running backs in the nation. Andrews has almost 1300 yards on the ground already this year. Army runs the football extremely well. In fact, Army has more rushing yards than any other team in the country. Western Kentucky's rushing defense has struggled all year, and the Hilltoppers are dinged up on the defensive side of the ball. Both teams are going to have lots of room to run in this one. I think this game comfortably tops 60 points. Take the over.

*3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special* The Cincinnati Bearcats wins over FBS opponents this year have come against teams with a combined record of 3-36. While Cincinnati's defensive numbers look great, I don't think this defense is very good. SMU has been on fire offensively of late as Garrett Gilbert has come into his own of late. Look for the Mustangs to burn Cincinnati through the air early and often. SMU's defense is giving up 42 points per game, and Cincinnati should be able to move the ball at will.

The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4. The over is 4-0 in SMU's last 4 after giving up more than 40 points in their last game. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 games on turf. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after allowing 280 yards or more through the air. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 after scoring 40 points or more. A 21-0 angle here. Take the over.

*4 Star NCAA FB Friday Night MONEYMAKER* The Air Force Falcons and New Mexico Lobos are both teams that run the ball on nearly every play. The assumption then is that a game between these two teams would finish under the total, but a closer look tells us the value is clearly on the over in this game. Air Force is 113th in the nation and allows 221 rushing yards per game. New Mexico is 122nd in the nation and allows 252.6 yards per game on the ground. These two ground games are both very good. The Falcons are gaining 279 rushing yards per game. The Lobos are averaging 314 yards per game on the ground. Both teams are going to be running wild in this one.

The over is 5-0 in the Lobos last 5 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 on grass. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground in the previous game. A 19-0 angle here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Philadelphia 76ers surprised everyone by winning their first three games of the season. Remember, this is a very long season, and the 76ers are still a bad team. One thing that we can tell from the 76ers start to the season is they are going to run early and often this year. They are going to score quite a few and give up a bunch on a nightly basis. All five of the 76ers first five games finished above this posted total. Four of their first five games have gotten to at least 211 points. Kyrie Irving and Cleveland's struggling offense will hit stride here. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Toronto Raptors are playing at a slower tempo than any team in the NBA right now. Indiana is barely faster. Toronto's defense is improving, and the Pacers once again have the best defense in the NBA so far this season. It's hard to imagine either of these teams putting up a big number in this game. Quarters where the teams don't even combine for 40 points should be expected in this one at some point and those are killers an over bet. I think this stays low scoring. The under is 4-0 in the Pacers last 4 home games. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 overall. Take the under.

*5 Star NFL Thursday TOP Play Total* The Washington Redskins are one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with because of their horrible defense and very well-balanced offense. RG3 wasn't himself at the beginning of the season, but he is playing well right now. How about Minnesota's defense? The Vikings have allowed at least 23 points in every game this year, and they have allowed 27 or more in every game but one. This Minnesota defense is a shell of its former self. Washington is giving up 31.6 points per game, so even though the Vikings offense isn't special they should be able to score plenty here. In the last two weeks, Minnesota put up 31 on Green Bay and 23 against Dallas. Christian Ponder is playing pretty well, and Adrian Peterson is running the ball as well as ever.

The over is 5-0 in the Vikings last 5 home games. The over is 6-0 in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record. The over is 6-1 in the Vikings last 7 games against a team with a losing record overall. A 19-1 angle backs this play. Take the over big! *Note- I would rate this a 5 star play up to 50 and a 4 star play to 51.*

*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Cleveland Cavaliers have ramped up their effort on the defensive end this year. Cleveland is second in the NBA in total defense so far this year. Milwaukee doesn't have the scoring firepower that most teams in the NBA do, so the Bucks have slowed down the pace this year. Expect to see quite a few unders from this team until the oddsmakers get a handle on what is going on in Milwaukee. I had this one projected at 183 points. Take the under. *Note- The line has dropped since I made this selection at the open, but I would play this one down to 185.5*

*4 Star NBA Play of Day* The Los Angeles Clippers are lighting up the scoreboard right now. Doc Rivers has this team running and gunning and the offensive is flowing extremely well. The Clippers are averaging 119 points per game through their first four contests. Orlando is playing at a faster tempo with a new look roster this year. The Clippers are giving up 112.5 points per contest. The Magic are averaging 104.8 points per game so far this season. Orlando is first in the NBA in offensive rebounds, so that should give them extra chances in this one. *Note- The line has moved up since I selected this game at the open yesterday. I would play this one up to 209, but not higher.*

The over is 4-0 in the Clippers last 4 road games. It is 4-0 in their last 4 Wednesday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 games following an ATS win. The over is 8-1 in the Clippers last 9 when playing on one day of rest. A 20-1 angle backs the over. Take the over.

*3 Star NBA Bulls/Pacers Total Domination* Every time the Chicago Bulls and Indiana Pacers get together, it is hard fought game between two teams that really get after it on the defensive end. Don't expect anything different in this one. The Pacers haven't given up more than 91 points in a game this year, and the Bulls aren't about to try to push the pace. Tom Thibodeau's team works hard on the defensive end, and they can rebound well and keep the Pacers off the offensive glass. Indiana is accustomed to scoring easy buckets on the offensive boards. The under is 6-1 in the Pacers last 7 games overall. The under is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings between these two. Take the under.

*4 Star NFL Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens and Cleveland Browns have a long history of playing hard fought low scoring battles against each other. Earlier this year, the Ravens won 14-6 over Cleveland in Baltimore. Cleveland is really lacking play makers on the offensive side, but the Browns defense is very good. Joe Haden and the secondary have given Joe Flacco a hard time the last couple years. Baltimore's pass rush will disrupt Cleveland's offense in this one as well. I was very surprised to see 41.5 here. I lined this one at 37 points.

The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 against a team with a losing record. The under is 8-0 in the Browns last 8 against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in the Browns last 4 after gaining 250 yards or more passing in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Cleveland. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams overall. A 26-0 angle backs this one. Take the under.