Sports Picks & Predictions

All Sports Archive
Date	Match Up	Rating	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
12-15-12	Alabama v. Virginia Commonwealth UNDER 130		54-73	Win	100	22 h 49 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown Anthony Grant will take his new team (Alabama) to face his old team (VCU) on Saturday. Both of these teams play extremely scrappy, and they fight as hard as they can on the defensive end. It's hard to imagine either team shooting the ball very well in this matchup. In addition, neither team really likes to push the tempo all that much. VCU does press, but they also use up the shot clock a lot in the halfcourt sets. I projected this one at 123 points. Look for this one to stay under the total.
12-15-12	Dartmouth v. Arizona St UNDER 129		42-61	Win	100	4 h 1 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special The Arizona State Sun Devils have played a slightly faster paced game than normal this year, but I think that is primarily because of the teams they have played against. Coach Sendek is normally a guy who likes to slow it down and play solid defense. Dartmouth is a very bad team who slows the game down and also shoots it very poorly from the floor. I projected this line at 123 points. I think Arizona State reverts to their old form in this one. The under is 10-2 in Dartmouth's last 12 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in AZ State's last 4 Saturday games. Take the under.
12-14-12	Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic OVER 194		85-99	Loss	-103	17 h 35 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Golden State Warriors are coming off a big win over the Miami Heat in their last game. Golden State may be a little more sloppy in this one, and if they are I think that will show up on the defensive end. Both of these teams are in the top ten in the NBA in pace, so there should be plenty of shot opportunities for both teams in this one. These teams reached 196 in their game a couple weeks ago despite neither team shooting it particularly great or getting to the line very much. The over is 10-3-1 in Golden State's last 14 against the East. Take the over.
12-12-12	Memphis Grizzlies v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 195		80-82	Win	100	8 h 29 m	Show
3 Star NBA Totals TKO The Memphis Grizzlies play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA, and they lead the league in defensive efficiency. Phoenix isn't the offensive juggernaut that they used to be. The Suns have been making a concerted effort to play more defense, and it has helped the team a bit. These two got together a couple weeks ago and the final total was 196 after overtime. I think this one has been set too high by 3 or 4 points. Look for the Grizzlies defense to control this one. Take the under here.
12-12-12	Chicago Bulls v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 182		96-89	Loss	-110	6 h 6 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Chicago Bulls and Philadelphia 76ers are both near the bottom in the NBA in terms of pace. Both teams walk it up the floor and use up the shot clock. Both are also near the top of the NBA in all the major defensive statistics. Doug Collins and Tom Thibodeau are both defensive-minded coaches. These two teams have played five straight games without a total going over 181 points. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Sixers last 5 following a day of rest. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under.
12-11-12	Cal Poly Slo v. Nevada UNDER 136		56-69	Win	100	9 h 33 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Play of Day Over the past few years, one of the best teams in college basketball at controlling the tempo of the game has been Cal Poly. With no change in the coaching staff, I expect that to be the same again this year. So far this season, Cal Poly has controlled the possessions quite well in most of their games. Nevada plays at an average pace, and the Wolfpack defense is pretty good. Look for the slow tempo to keep this lower than most expect. The under is 7-0 in Nevada's last 7 games against the Big West. The under is 9-2 in Cal Poly's last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-1 in Cal Poly's last 5 games overall. Take the under.
12-11-12	Los Angeles Clippers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 190		94-89	Win	100	8 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Los Angeles Clippers dismantled the Chicago Bulls earlier this year. The Clippers won 101-80 at home earlier this year against the Bulls. Tom Thibodeau's Bulls weren't playing their patented strong defense early in the year, but they have been much better again of late. Chicago should have this one circled, and I think we'll get a lot of effort from them in this one on the defensive end. Neither team pushes the tempo much at all, so I don't think there will be too many possessions here. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games following two days of rest. Take the under.
12-11-12	Los Angeles Lakers v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 203		94-100	Loss	-104	6 h 33 m	Show
3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN The Los Angeles Lakers have finally started to pick up the scoring under Coach D'Antoni's new system over the past few games. Los Angeles has scored more than 100 points in six straight games. They have also given up at least 103 points in five of their last six games. Kyrie Irving is expected back for the Cavs, and Cleveland should be able to break down the Lakers defense here. At the same time, the Cavs have no one capable of stopping Kobe or Dwight Howard. This one should coast over the posted total. Take the over.
12-11-12	New York Knicks v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 194		100-97	Win	100	5 h 56 m	Show
3 Star New York City Battle Total The New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets met a few weeks ago in a very low scoring game in Brooklyn. Why do I like the value on the over this time? Brook Lopez won't play tonight and that makes a huge difference in how the Nets play. The Nets aren't going to be able to control the tempo in this one like they did before. Also, Andray Blatche isn't the defensive presence that Lopez is. New York is the most efficient offense in the NBA right now. The over is 4-1-1 in the Knicks last 6 games overall. Take the over.
12-09-12	Miami Dolphins v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 39		13-27	Loss	-105	157 h 54 m	Show
3 Star NFL Play of the Week The Miami Dolphins have an underrated defense. Miami is especially strong against the run. San Francisco can throw the football, but they still rely heavily on their rushing attack. It looks like Colin Kaepernick will get another start in this one. He certainly has the potential to be a special player, but he has plenty of room for improvement. The 49ers defense is the best in the NFL. San Francisco is giving up only 14 points per game this year! I expect both teams to settle for field goals in a low scoring battle. The under is 26-9 in Miami's last 35 road games. The under is 5-0 in the 49ers last 5 following a loss. Take the under.
12-09-12	Dallas Cowboys v. Cincinnati Bengals OVER 45		20-19	Loss	-110	58 h 54 m	Show
3 Star NFL Totals TKO The Dallas Cowboys and Cincinnati Bengals meet in a very important game Sunday afternoon. The Bengals have won four straight and they are right in the thick of the AFC playoff race. Dallas has struggled much of the year, but they are still 6-6 and very much alive. Tony Romo should be able to throw it against a Bengals secondary that has struggled this year. The Bengals offense has been much better of late, largely thanks to a strong offensive line and a great wide receiver in A.J. Green. BenJarvus Green-Ellis has three straight 100 yard rushing games. The over is 12-5 in the Cowboys last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the over.
12-09-12	Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 48		20-30	Win	100	13 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NFL Early Bird Special The Atlanta Falcons have the best record in the NFL, but their defense relies too heavily on forcing turnovers. Cam Newton and the Panthers offense have had a lot of success against the Falcons in their last few matchups. Look for Carolina to surprise some people and score several times in this on. On the other side, the Falcons offense is much better than it was a year ago. Matt Ryan has a tremendous group of pass catchers at his disposal. The Panthers don't have the personnel to stop the Falcons passing attack. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 games. The over is 7-1 in their last 8 vs. the NFC. The over is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
12-08-12	Valparaiso v. New Mexico OVER 128		52-65	Loss	-110	9 h 3 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Both Valparaiso and New Mexico are teams that I expect to do very well in their respective conference this year. The Crusaders should be the best in the Horizon League, and they have quite a few scoring options on the offensive end. New Mexico will have the athleticism advantage, and they should be able to get to the basket with dribble penetration. I had this one projected at 134 points. I think both offenses are better than the oddsmakers are giving them credit for. Take the over.
12-08-12	Arizona v. Clemson UNDER 130		66-54	Win	100	8 h 21 m	Show
3 Star Arizona/Clemson Total Brad Brownell is a coach that sticks by his philosophy every single year. Clemson is now a team that walks it up the floor and uses up the shot clock almost every time. They also focus on getting back defensive and setting up a very good half court defense. Arizona likes to push the tempo when they can, but I don't think they'll be able to dictate the tempo in a tough road environment here. Look for this one to stay close all the way. I think this one finishes around 125 points. Take the under here.
12-08-12	IUPU Ft Wayne v. Drake OVER 138		64-74	Push	0	8 h 4 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total The Drake Bulldogs are a solid team in a very good Missouri Valley Conference. Most teams in the MVC like to slow it down, but Drake pushes the tempo whenever they can. Drake has had six games against Division I opponents this year. The lowest scoring game finished at 142 points. Fort Wayne might not be a good team, but they love to push the tempo and jack up quick shots. This should play right into Drake's hands. Look for a quick tempo and plenty of points in this one. Take the over.
12-08-12	Butler v. Northwestern UNDER 130		74-65	Loss	-108	8 h 40 m	Show
3 Star Butler/Northwestern Total Brad Stevens is one of the best coaches in the country. Stevens focuses on ball control and solid defense. Bill Carmody is a very underrated coach as well, and he gets a lot out of his teams thanks to his defensive philosophy. It's hard to imagine a ton of points being scored when these two meet today. It should be a game that is played almost completely in the half court. I projected this one at 124 points. Look for this one to be close all the way. The under is the best value. Take the under.
12-08-12	CS Sacramento v. San Jose St UNDER 151	Top	57-62	Win	100	8 h 51 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Play of the Week The oddsmakers were way off my projected line on this one. I had this one pegged at 140 points, so I definitely don't know how they came up with 151 points. Both of these teams are in the moderate tempo range, so I don't expect a track meet. Both defenses are good at playing defense without fouling, so there shouldn't be an abundance of free throws. These teams both have a lot of youth and inexperience, which typically leads to an inefficient offense. The under is a perfect 6-0 in San Jose State's last 6 games overall. Take the under big!
12-08-12	Idaho State v. Oregon UNDER 137		35-87	Win	100	6 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown Oregon is a team that likes to push the tempo, but I think this total is set too high considering who their opponent is in this one. Idaho State has played five games against Division I teams this year and they have yet to score more than 52 points. In fact, they have scored 48 or less in four of their five games. The highest total score in a game of theirs this year was 106 points. This one will clearly be higher because of Oregon's offense, but I don't think it will be this high. Take the under.
12-08-12	UCLA v. Texas UNDER 134.5		65-63	Win	100	6 h 38 m	Show
3 Star UCLA/Texas Total The UCLA Bruins and Texas Longhorns meet today in Reliant Stadium. Texas has had one of the worst offenses in college basketball this year. They have also had one of the best defenses in the nation. UCLA has been extremely inconsistent this year. Big stadiums like this (especially ones that aren't normally used for basketball) tend to have very difficult shooting backdrops. I lower my totals by three or four points just on this factor alone. The under is 4-0 in Texas' last 4 neutral site games. The under is 6-0 in Texas' last 6 non-conference games. Take the under.
12-08-12	Virginia Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 142.5		67-68	Win	100	4 h 25 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The West Virginia Mountaineers are never going to be a run and gun team with Bob Huggins as their head coach. This team has an identity built around playing physically and clamping down on defense. Virginia Tech hasn't played a team nearly as physical as West Virginia so far this year, and I think it will slow the Hokies offense down quite a bit. At the same time, the West Virginia offense has been terrible so far this year. Look for a sloppy game that leads to the under cashing in.
12-08-12	Navy v. Army UNDER 56.5		17-13	Win	100	86 h 9 m	Show
3 Star Navy/Army Total Domination The Navy and Army game should be never be overlooked as a major rivalry. These two teams have a ton of respect for each other, but they also want to beat each other very badly. The defenses have a key advantage in this game. Both offenses run a very similar triple option. This means both defenses are seeing something in the game that they see every single day in practice. It's no coincidence that the 'under' has been on a nice run when these two teams get together. The under is a perfect 6-0 in their last 6 meetings. The under is 8-0 in Navy's last 8 games on turf. The under is 5-0 in Navy's last 5 December games. The under is 7-0 in Army's last 7 December games. Take the under here!
12-08-12	Loyola-Chicago v. Michigan State UNDER 124		61-73	Loss	-110	2 h 8 m	Show

12-07-12	Manhattan v. Marist OVER 126		58-62	Loss	-110	7 h 55 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Marist Red Foxes have been running and gunning for the last couple years. Marist isn't a very good team, but you can count on them getting up plenty of shots. Manhattan used to play at a slow pace, but the Jaspers adopted a new style last year and it has worked out for them very well. Manhattan has several very good scoring options on their team. I had this one projected at 132 points, so I like the value on this one quite a bit. Look for both teams to get easy looks from pressure defenses. Take the over here.
12-07-12	Canisius v. Fairfield UNDER 139		67-55	Win	100	7 h 30 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination The Fairfield Stags are the favorite in the MAAC. Fairfield is great at controlling the tempo and playing very solid defense. Canisius is pushing the pace this year, but Fairfield should be able to get this game into their style of play on their home floor. These teams have met five times in the past couple years. The final totals of those games were 124, 127, 125, 127, and 126 points. The line has been adjusted upward far too much here. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two at Fairfield. Take the under.
12-06-12	Dallas Mavericks v. Phoenix Suns OVER 199.5		97-94	Loss	-110	21 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Dallas Mavericks and Phoenix Suns both like to push the pace. In fact, both of these teams are in the top nine in the NBA in tempo this year. Dallas is playing faster with O.J. Mayo in the lineup this year. He is a guy who can score in bunches, and I think he'll be effective in this one. Shawn Marion and Vince Carter are both back in Phoenix here, and they should be fired up for a good performance. The Suns still push the pace and put up points at home. The over is 10-2 in the Suns last 12 games playing on one day of rest. The over is 5-0 in the Suns last 5 against the Western Conference. Take the over.
12-06-12	Idaho v. Eastern Washington UNDER 146		81-79	Loss	-110	9 h 37 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total The Idaho Vandals are very good at controlling the tempo. It is very rare that you see one of their games with this high of a posted total. Eastern Washington definitely gets out and runs whenever they can, but I don't think they'll be able to turn this game into a track meet like they do with most games, because the Vandals will want to move slowly. I had this game projected at 143 points. The under is 6-0 in Idaho's last 6 games against teams with losing record. The under is 5-0 in Eastern Washington's last 5 games against a team with a losing record. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 meetings in Washington. Take the under.
12-06-12	Creighton v. Nebraska UNDER 137		64-42	Win	100	8 h 36 m	Show
3 Star Instate Battle Total It's a battle for Nebraska tonight in Lincoln. Creighton is the better team here, but Nebraska plays good half court defense and will make the Blue Jays work for their points in this one. These rivalry games are often won on the defensive end, and I think the pace will slow down a bit here. Creighton is an extremely efficient team on offense normally, but they don't really run and gun all that much. Nebraska plays defense on their home floor, and I think this will be a hard fought game. The under is 37-18-1 in Nebraska's last 56 home games. Take the under.
12-06-12	Arkansas-Little Rock v. Cincinnati UNDER 136		53-87	Loss	-110	7 h 36 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Cincinnati Bearcats have picked up their tempo a bit this year, but they are still playing very good halfcourt defense. In fact, opponents are shooting only 36% on two-point field goal attempts against the Bearcats. Arkansas Little Rock isn't used to playing teams like Cincinnati, and I suspect they'll have quite a bit of trouble scoring in this one. Look for the Bearcats to jump out to a big lead and then take their foot off the gas. The under is 12-4 in Cincinnati's last 16 home games. Take the under in this one.
12-05-12	South Florida v. Oklahoma State UNDER 124.5		49-61	Win	100	9 h 7 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination The South Florida Bulls are as good as anyone in the nation at controlling the tempo of the game. The Bulls like to play a slow half court style, and they force their opponent to get into that type of matchup. Some teams are only able to do this on their home floor, but USF has done it consistently on the road. The under is 13-4 in the Bulls last 17 road games. The under is 15-5 in Oklahoma State's last 20 home games. I projected this one at 121 points. Look for the slow pace to keep this one under the total.
12-05-12	Milwaukee Bucks v. San Antonio Spurs OVER 197.5		99-110	Win	100	19 h 30 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Milwaukee Bucks play at the second fastest tempo in the NBA. The San Antonio Spurs are also in the top ten in the NBA in tempo. A game between these two should mean plenty of possessions and shots for both teams. The Spurs are well rested now, and that should mean we'll get a good effort out of guys like Parker, Ginobili, and Duncan. The over is 5-0 in the Spurs last 5 games following a straight up win. The over is 10-2 in their last 12 games against the NBA Central. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Look for this to coast past the total. Take the over.
12-05-12	IUPU Ft Wayne v. Valparaiso OVER 126		52-63	Loss	-110	8 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total Valparaiso should be the best team in the Horizon League this year. Valpo has a nice combination of good shooters as well as solid inside play. Fort Wayne doesn't play teams as good as Valpo very often, and I think they'll give up a lot of points here. Fort Wayne likes to push the tempo, and I expect them to be able to put up a decent amount of points simply because their tempo is quick. This line is quite a ways off what I projected. I expected a line of 132 points here. Take the big value on the over.
12-05-12	UAB v. Middle Tennessee St UNDER 142.5		64-84	Loss	-110	8 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO UAB has a new coach who is installing a faster-paced offense for the Blazers. They are speeding things up, but Middle Tennessee State is a very good team. I don't expect the Blue Raiders to just let UAB have its way with the tempo here. In addition, MTSU's defense will be one of the best that UAB faces this year, and that should keep their shooting percentage down. I had this one projected at 138 points. The oddsmakers probably got a little ahead of themselves making this one so high. Take the under.
12-05-12	UMKC v. North Dakota OVER 127.5		73-70	Win	100	8 h 6 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total This game is way off most people's radar, but I like the value on this one. North Dakota likes to push the tempo, and their defense is weak. UMKC has one of the worst three-point field goal defense percentages in the nation. Last year, these teams combined to score 153 points with similar lineups. I don't expect 153 points here, but I do think this one gets into the 130's. Look for plenty of made shots from beyond the arc here. This total was just set too low for these teams. Take the over in this contest.
12-05-12	Marshall v. West Virginia UNDER 142		59-69	Win	100	18 h 12 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Instate Rivalry The Marshall Thundering Herd and West Virginia Mountaineers will meet on a neutral court to settle the battle for West Virginia on Wednesday night. Neutral courts typically lead to lower scoring games, and both of these teams have very inefficient offenses right now. The Mountaineers will scrap and claw on defense, but they just aren't very good right now. Neither team will push the pace here very much, and I think this game stays in the half court. Look for this one to stay in the 130's. Take the under.
12-04-12	Nevada v. Pacific UNDER 142		72-78	Loss	-110	10 h 39 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total The Pacific Tigers have historically been a team that does a great job dictating the tempo of the game. Pacific likes to play in the half court and not get out and run. The Tigers will be able to control the tempo better here on their home floor. Nevada will push the pace when they can, but this total is set as if both teams will be running and gunning. I projected this game at 136 points. The under is 7-0 in Nevada's lats 7 games against the Big West. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the under.
12-04-12	Siena v. St. Bonaventure UNDER 131.5		43-58	Win	100	9 h 39 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Siena Saints aren't anything even close to the team they used to be. A few years ago they were a high flying team that pushed the tempo under Fran McCaffrey. He is now at Iowa, and Siena is now slowing the tempo down and looking to win with ball control and defense. St. Bonaventure lost their star (Andrew Nicholson) from last year, and this team's offense is no longer all that strong. I had this one projected at 127 points. Look for this to stay under the total by a couple of baskets.
12-04-12	Western Michigan v. Michigan UNDER 132.5		41-73	Win	100	8 h 3 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Intrastate Battle The Michigan Wolverines have looked about as good as anyone in college basketball so far this year. Michigan controls the tempo extremely well, and there won't be anything Western Michigan can do to turn this into a track meet (I don't think that would help them anyways). Michigan's defense is much better this year, especially in the half court. Western Michigan doesn't have any clear established leaders on offense right now. Look for Michigan's style of play to keep this one under the posted total.
12-04-12	Richmond v. Old Dominion UNDER 131		80-53	Loss	-110	16 h 14 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown The Richmond Spiders are a very good defensive team. This is a team that controls the tempo of the game and makes it tough for their opponents to get easy looks near the basket. Old Dominion hasn't found any go to guys on offense yet this year, and the Monarchs simply haven't been very good this year. ODU isn't the type of team to push the tempo, especially now that they are weak in the backcourt. Look for a defensive game here between two teams who have a lot of question marks offensively. The under is 5-2 in Richmond's last 7 games. Take the under .
12-04-12	Texas v. Georgetown UNDER 121		41-64	Win	100	7 h 42 m	Show
3 Star Texas/GTown Total The Texas Longhorns have one of the best defenses in the nation so far this year. They also have one of the worst offenses. Without Myck Kabongo, this offense is struggling to find any kind of rhythm. Georgetown lost a lot of talent from last year, but the Hoyas are still playing very good defense. Georgetown will keep the pace of the game slow here. Madison Square Garden is the site of this game, and the shooting background here is notoriously difficult. The under is 5-0 in Texas' last 5 non-conference games. The under is 5-0 in GTown's last 5 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
12-04-12	Lamar v. Purdue UNDER 138.5		39-72	Win	100	6 h 5 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special The Purdue Boilermakers are known for their defense. This year Purdue has given up just 63.3 points per game. Lamar's offense has been horrible this season. Lamar is scoring just 56.1 points per game. Purdue should get in front in this and then cruise to a big victory. Lamar has no offensive leadership, and the Boilers will make them take a lot of difficult shots in this one. The under is 12-4 in Purdue's last 16 non-conference games. The under is 3-1-1 in Lamar's last 5 road games. Take the under.
12-03-12	Milwaukee Bucks v. New Orleans Hornets OVER 189		81-102	Loss	-105	17 h 58 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Milwaukee Bucks have the second fastest paced offense in the NBA by the numbers (Houston is first). Milwaukee has two guards who can push the tempo as well as anyone in the NBA in Jennings and Ellis. New Orleans is without Anthony Davis in this one, and that probably helps the over more than anything because he is a defensive beast. These two met earlier this year and the final was 117-113. The total in that game was 191. The total here is set two points lower for some reason. Milwaukee will get their shots up, and New Orleans allows opponents to shoot 40.2% from three-point range. The over is 4-0 in the Hornets last 4 vs. a team with a winning record. The over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Take the over.
12-01-12	CS Sacramento v. Arizona St UNDER 143		70-90	Loss	-110	9 h 45 m	Show

12-01-12	Fairfield v. Austin Peay St UNDER 137		74-55	Win	100	9 h 44 m	Show

12-01-12	Pacific v. Gonzaga OVER 126		67-85	Win	100	8 h 16 m	Show

12-01-12	Arkansas State v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 134	Top	65-72	Loss	-110	8 h 16 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Total The Florida Atlantic Owls have slowed their tempo down this year. Arkansas State is a very slow paced team under John Brady. The oddsmakers line here is way off of my projections. I projected this one at 124 points, so I see a ton of value on this one. The recent trends have been to the over, but I can't overlook that much value on my numbers. Both of these teams play slow, and neither team shoots the ball very well. Look for an ugly game that finishes way under the posted total. Take the under in a big way!
12-01-12	Louisiana-Monroe v. Arkansas-Little Rock UNDER 127		58-83	Loss	-110	8 h 8 m	Show

12-01-12	UL - Lafayette v. North Texas OVER 136		80-76	Win	100	8 h 4 m	Show

12-01-12	Western Carolina v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 142		70-72	Push	0	8 h 45 m	Show

12-01-12	Princeton v. Kent State UNDER 135	Top	62-50	Win	100	7 h 16 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total The Princeton Tigers may not play quite as slow as they used to, but they still don't let a game speed up much at all. Kent State lost most of their offense from last year, so I don't see them being able to turn this into an offensive shootout. The Tigers will run the shot clock down and slow this game down in a big way. I had this line projected at 128, so I see a lot of value in this one. Unless the shooting numbers are outrageously high, I just don't see this one breaking 130 points. Take the under big!
12-01-12	Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 139.5		70-59	Win	100	7 h 40 m	Show

12-01-12	Alabama v. Georgia UNDER 50.5		32-28	Loss	-110	20 h 21 m	Show
3 Star Alabama/Georgia Total Domination The SEC is going to be back in the BCS title game once again this year. Who will be playing for that title? Most assume it will be Alabama, but Georgia is better than many believe. The strength of both teams is their defense. Georgia likes to run the football with Marshall and Gurley, but Alabama's run defense is extremely good. Aaron Murray has been shaky in big games. Georgia's defense has been amazing of late. The Bulldogs have allowed 14 points or less in four straight games. The under is 6-0 in Georgia's last 6 games. The under is 5-0 in Georgia's last 5 conference games. Look for both defenses to play well. Take the under.
12-01-12	Wisc-Green Bay v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 123		51-67	Win	100	4 h 5 m	Show

12-01-12	Alabama v. Cincinnati UNDER 130		56-58	Win	100	3 h 23 m	Show

12-01-12	Oklahoma State v. Baylor OVER 81.5		34-41	Loss	-110	129 h 58 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special This will be the highest 'over' I have ever recommended, but I still believe this is a good value. Baylor is a perfect over team because they have a prolific passing offense and a horrible defense. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense, and second to last in the nation in total defense. Oklahoma State averages 45.6 points per game, and they have allowed more than 40 points four times this year. Don't expect to see any defense played in this game. It should be a lot of passing and missed tackles by the secondary. The over is 4-0 in the Cowboys last 4. The over is 21-4-1 in Baylor's last 26 games. Take the over. I recommend a play on this one all the way up to 88 points
11-30-12	Detroit Pistons v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 190.5		78-90	Win	100	16 h 16 m	Show
3 Star NBA Totals TKO The Memphis Grizzlies have the best record in the NBA right now. The number one reason for that has been their effort on the defensive end. Memphis is only allowing 91.1 points per game this year. Detroit is coming off a huge win over Phoenix, but things won't come nearly as easy for the Pistons in this one. I expect Memphis to jump out to an early lead and coast late in the game. Detroit has been blown out on several occasions this year, and this could certainly be another one. The under is 6-1 in the Grizzlies last 7 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Memphis. Take the under.
11-30-12	Washington Wizards v. New York Knicks UNDER 190.5		87-108	Loss	-103	16 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Washington Wizards play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA. Not many people realize it, but the Knicks are also playing at one of the slowest paces in the league right now. Coach Woodson has the Knicks playing efficiently on offense, but they don't look to push the tempo very often at all. Washington has improved quite a bit on the defensive end this year, and the Wizards aren't as bad as their record would indicate. Look for a half court game here where both teams use up the shot clock. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last 7 home games. The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 games following a win. The under is 20-5-1 in the Knicks last 26 games against a team with a winning percent below 40%. Take the under.
11-29-12	Pepperdine v. Montana State UNDER 133	Top	76-66	Loss	-110	9 h 3 m	Show
5 Star NCAA Hidden GEM Total Pepperdine has been great at controlling the tempo of the game over the last couple years. Pepperdine had two overtime games earlier this year, and the final totals in those games was 110 and 114 points. The Waves aren't going to get sucked into a transition type of game here. Montana State has played against a lot of fast-paced teams this year, which gives us a lot of value here on the under. Montana State's offense has a ton of question marks this year because of youth. The under is 11-3 in Pepperdine's last 14 road games. Take the under big!
11-29-12	Long Beach State v. Loyola Marymount OVER 137		73-70	Win	100	9 h 42 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Long Beach State definitely doesn't have the talent they had last year, but Dan Monson's team is still going to put a lot of pressure on the opposition and force them into mistakes. Loyola Marymount will likely turn it over a lot here and lead to easy buckets for Long Beach State. On the other end, Anthony Ireland and Ashley Hamilton should be able to get open looks just about any time they want to in the half court sets. The over is 4-0 in Marymount's last 4 games overall. The over is 6-0 in the 49ers last 6 games against the WCC. Take the over.
11-29-12	Western Kentucky v. UL - Monroe UNDER 133.5	Top	65-54	Win	100	8 h 31 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Total The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have had a lot of success in football this year, but this basketball squad isn't any good. They will struggle to score points all year. Last year the Warhawks went 3-26, and they won't be much better this season. In their two games this year they have scored 51 and 52 points. Look for Western Kentucky's pressure defense to bother them a lot. Western Kentucky plays quickly, but they shoot a poor percentage. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these two at Louisiana-Monroe. I think this one stays under 130. Take the under big!
11-29-12	IUPU-Indianapolis v. UMKC UNDER 136		65-79	Loss	-110	7 h 3 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO UMKC has been brutal on the offensive end so far this year. They are shooting only 28.8% from three-point range, which is particularly bad since this team shoots a ton of three-pointers. They are also only shooting 62.8% from the free throw line. UMKC has traditionally been a team that slows the game down when given the chance, and I think they'll be able to do that against a mediocre IUPUI team. The under is 8-2 in IUPUI's last 10 games against the Summit League. The under is 4-1 in UMKC's last 5 against the Summit League. Take the under.
11-29-12	Arkansas State v. Florida International UNDER 140	Top	61-80	Loss	-110	7 h 53 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Play of Day The Arkansas State Red Wolves really control the tempo under head coach John Brady. Brady has always been a defensive-minded guy. Arkansas State won't let Florida International turn this into a track meet. I also don't believe FIU has the talent to put up a ton of points right now. The team is in a rebuilding mode. Several of Arkansas State's best players are dinged up right now. They will likely play, but they aren't going to be at 100 percent. My numbers had this one projected at 133 points, so I see a ton of value in this play. Take the under big!
11-29-12	CS NORTHRIDGE v. UCLA OVER 151.5		56-82	Loss	-110	11 h 40 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO The Cal State Northridge Matadors only know one way to play and that is extremely fast. Northridge will press and try to turn this game into a track meet. The problem with that is UCLA has tons of speed and athleticism all over the floor this year. Teams who are going to beat UCLA will likely need to slow them down a bit, but Northridge can't do that. UCLA should put up a huge number against this Northridge defense. On the other side, Northridge moves quick enough that they should get plenty of shots and points to push this over. Take the over.
11-28-12	Seattle v. Stanford OVER 147.5	Top	57-68	Loss	-110	9 h 51 m	Show
5 Star Top Play Under Radar Total Stanford has picked up the pace since Dawkins took over as their coach. Aaron Bright and Chaisson Randle are very talented in the backcourt. The Cardinal should certainly put up a very big number against a Seattle team that doesn't play much defense at all. Seattle loves to push the tempo. In fact, they play at the fastest pace in the entire nation right now. Seattle will get up quick shots, and they'll get their points. Stanford has a big size advantage on the inside and they'll get easy looks. The over is 6-2 in Stanford's last 8 home games. Take the over big.
11-28-12	Utah State v. Santa Clara UNDER 140		80-78	Loss	-110	9 h 51 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Bookie Blaster The Utah State Aggies are very good at dictating the tempo that they want the game to played at. Utah State isn't nearly as talented this year as they have been in many years in the past, but they'll still control the tempo and play solid defense. Stew Morrill's team is fundamentally sound, and I think they'll slow down Santa Clara's high powered offense. Santa Clara likes to play quickly, but they aren't particularly efficient on the offensive end. I had this line projected at 136 points. Look for this to stay under.
11-28-12	Idaho v. Washington State UNDER 126.5	Top	55-64	Win	100	9 h 51 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Play GEM The Washington State Cougars have slowed down their pace in a big way from where they were a couple years. Of course it makes sense because they don't have Klay Thompson or any prolific scorers on this team anymore. Washington State is content to burn clock and play solid defense. Idaho is a very similar team. The Vandals don't have any great scorers, but they have plenty of guys who play great one on one defense. This has all the makings of a half court game where both teams struggle to get open looks. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. The under is 5-1 in Washington State's last 6 home games. Take the under big!
11-28-12	Cal Irvine v. UNLV OVER 144.5	Top	57-85	Loss	-110	9 h 50 m	Show
5 Star NCAA BB Top Play of Week The UNLV Runnin' Rebels love to push the tempo under coach Dave Rice. UNLV has speed at every position on the floor, and they are extremely dangerous in the open floor. UC Irvine is a team that runs and guns all the time. The Anteaters nearly knocked off UCLA on the road, and they scored 79 points in that one. UC Irvine isn't going to slow the game down, which means UNLV should have a field day here. Don't be surprised if UNLV puts up 90 points on their own in this one. If the shooting in this game isn't atrocious, I think this sails over the total. The over is 22-5-1 in Irvine's last 28 following an ATS loss. Take the over in a big way!
11-28-12	Ohio State v. Duke OVER 142		68-73	Loss	-110	19 h 8 m	Show
3 Star Ohio State/Duke Total Domination The Ohio State Buckeyes and the Duke Blue Devils both have some guys who can really fill it up. Deshaun Thomas is capable of going off for 30 points at any time for Ohio State. Seth Curry is one of the best shooters in the nation for Duke. Both teams like to get out in transition when given the opportunity. I expect the tempo here to be conducive to an over. Both defenses are far from terrific at this point. Neither team has a great shot blocker down low. Look for both teams to get to the line often. The over is 13-3 in the Buckeyes last 16. The over is 6-0 in Duke's last 6 against the Big 10. The over is 6-1 in the Buckeyes last 7 non-conference games. Take the over.
11-28-12	New York Knicks v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 198.5	Top	102-88	Loss	-110	18 h 31 m	Show
5 Star NBA Top Play Total The New York Knicks haven't been playing any defense of late, and the Milwaukee Bucks push the ball better than any other team in the NBA. Milwaukee pushes the tempo even more on their home floor. In 3 of their last 4 games the Knicks have given up at least 100 points (in two of those games they allowed 114 and 131 points). Milwaukee's offense should be great in this one, and the Knicks should be able to score big against a mediocre Bucks defense. The over is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 Wednesday games. The over is 7-2-1 in the Bucks last 10 road games. I had this one pegged at 204, so I really like this over. Take the over big!
11-28-12	Virginia Cavaliers v. Wisconsin UNDER 117		60-54	Win	100	6 h 53 m	Show
3 Star Virginia/Wisconsin Total The Virginia Cavaliers and Wisconsin Badgers couldn't be more alike. Both teams like to walk it up the floor and essentially stall on the offensive end. A game between these two isn't going to be fun to watch, but it should be a good one for an 'under' bettor. This is the type of game where I believe it stays under the posted total unless the shooting percentages are absolutely amazing. I had this one set at 112 points, so getting 117 points is a really nice value. Look for this to stay comfortably under the total.
11-28-12	Weber State v. Dayton UNDER 140		62-61	Win	100	6 h 48 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Value Weber State isn't the same team they were a year ago. Damian Lillard is now a star with the Portland Blazers, and Weber State is looking for a new identity. Weber State no longer has that guy to push the tempo and score when they need it most. Weber State is playing much slower this year, and they aren't nearly as efficient on offense. Dayton is a pretty good defensive team, and they aren't going to get out in transition all that often. I had this one pegged at 135 points. Look for a slower tempo to keep this under. Take the under.
11-27-12	Indiana Pacers v. Los Angeles Lakers OVER 195.5		79-77	Loss	-106	9 h 11 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Los Angeles Lakers are starting to get a little bit of a grasp on Mike D'Antoni's system. D'Antoni has said he wants the Lakers to be scoring 110-115 points per game. They are obviously picking up the tempo quite a bit. They are coming off a 115 point performance at Dallas on Saturday. After two days off, they should be well rested and ready to run in this one. Look for the Lakers to jump out to an early lead and force a faster pace in this game. Indiana's defense has been poor so far this year. The over is 12-3 in the Lakers last 15 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The over is 8-1 in the Pacers last 9 after allowing 100 points in the previous game. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
11-27-12	Minnesota v. Florida State OVER 138		77-68	Win	100	17 h 9 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination The Florida State Seminoles are a great team to look at for overs right now. Florida State has always played at a pretty quick tempo, but their amazing defense has made the 'under' they way to go with them. Their team is different this season. The Seminoles still have shooters and offense, but the defense isn't nearly what it used to be. Minnesota has a great point guard in Andre Hollins, and Trevor Mbakwe is a terrific wing. Both of these teams can score, and I expect a close game with fouling at the end. The over is 10-3 in the Seminoles last 13. The over is 4-1 in Minnesota's last 5 road games. Take the over.
11-27-12	Dallas Mavericks v. Philadelphia 76ers OVER 194		98-100	Win	100	16 h 6 m	Show
3 Star NBA Totals TKO The Dallas Mavericks have really been a great over team this year. Dallas' defense isn't what it used to be, and bringing in O.J. Mayo has made this team much better offensively than most people expected. The Mavericks are pushing the tempo this year, and the 76ers are also playing quicker with a small lineup this season. Look for both teams to get plenty of looks at the basket in this one. The posted total here is set 5 points lower than I expected. I think this one cruises past the total. Take the over in this one.
11-26-12	Milwaukee Bucks v. Chicago Bulls OVER 191		93-92	Loss	-107	7 h 40 m	Show
3 Star NBA Totals TKO The Milwaukee Bucks and Chicago Bulls met on Saturday night and I unsuccessfully played the over. I'm going to go with the over again in this one. The line is about 3 or 4 points lower than it was on Saturday night. Saturday night's shooting was atrocious by both teams, and the total still only finished 12 points below this number. I doubt this teams will combine to shoot 7 for 33 from beyond the arc again. Milwaukee plays at the fastest pace of any team in the NBA right now, so there should be plenty of shots in this one. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. Take the over.
11-26-12	Charlotte Bobcats v. Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 200		69-114	Loss	-115	6 h 46 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Oklahoma City Thunder offense is firing on all cylinders right now. The Thunder have scored at least 100 points in their last five games. Charlotte is a surprising 7-5 this year. The Bobcats are really pushing the tempo, which should lead to a high scoring game here. Charlotte is third in the NBA in pace so far this year. The trends for this one are tough to pass up. The over is 6-0 in OKC's last 6 games. The over is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 following one day of rest. The over is 4-0 in the Bobcats last 4 overall. The over is 4-0 in the Thunder's last 4 following a straight up win. Take the over.
11-25-12	Green Bay Packers v. NY Giants OVER 50.5		10-38	Loss	-110	52 h 5 m	Show
3 Star Sunday Night Total Domination The Green Bay Packers offense hasn't been what they were last year, but they are still are a very formidable unit. The New York Giants defense has struggled against top quarterbacks this year, and the Packers have a terrific QB in Aaron Rodgers. Look for his quick passes to chew up this secondary. On the other side, the Packers secondary has given up a lot of yards this year. Eli Manning is putting up big numbers this year, and he has been good in the past against the Packers. The over is 11-4 in the Packers last 15 games against the NFC. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. Take the over.
11-25-12	Detroit Pistons v. New York Knicks UNDER 192		100-121	Loss	-110	12 h 40 m	Show
3 Star NBA Early Bird Special New York Knicks have been horrible on defense over their last few games, but I expect that to change on Sunday. For the season, the Knicks are giving up 95 points per game, which is slightly better than the league average. The Knicks have been great defensively at home this season. Detroit is not an efficient offensive team, and the Pistons don't push the tempo. The under is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 home games. The under is 7-1 in the Pistons last 8 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in the Knicks last 5 Sunday games. Take the under.
11-25-12	Atlanta Falcons v. Tampa Bay Buccaneers OVER 50.5		24-23	Loss	-110	45 h 35 m	Show
3 Star NFL Early Bird Special Matt Ryan is having the best season of his career. Having said that, he played very poorly last weekend. Ryan should fare better against a Tampa Bay defense that ranks dead last in the NFL in pass defense. Opponents are racking up 313 yards through the air against Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay's offense has been on fire of late as well. The Bucs have scored at least 27 points in each of their last six games. Atlanta's defense relies on forcing turnovers, but Tampa Bay should be able to move the ball. The over is 7-0 in Tampa Bay's last 7 games. The over is 5-0 in the Bucs last 5 games following a victory. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the over.
11-24-12	Chicago Bulls v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 194		93-86	Loss	-110	20 h 43 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Milwaukee Bucks play at a faster tempo than anyone else in the league right now. Milwaukee has two great guards in Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis. Both of these guys are more than capable of putting up 30-35 points by themselves. Not many teams can keep up with the Bucks in transition this year. Chicago is playing faster than expected so far this season. The Bulls defense also hasn't been as good as it was last year. The last five meetings between these teams have all gone easily over the posted total. I like the value on the over, as I think this gets to about 200. Take the over.
11-24-12	Vanderbilt v. Wake Forest UNDER 47.5		55-21	Loss	-110	23 h 17 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination The Vanderbilt Commodores are only giving up 175 yards per game through the air. This is one of the best secondaries in the country. Wake Forest's offense is brutally bad, and they especially can't do anything on the ground. Look for Vanderbilt to make life miserable for Wake Forest's offense in this one. Wake Forest's defense has been much better at home. This being the team's last home game of the year, I think the Demon Deacons defense shows up better than expected here. Neither team is likely to put up many points. The under is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 against the SEC. The under is 14-3 in Wake Forest's last 17 November games. Take the under.
11-24-12	Connecticut v. Louisville UNDER 45.5		23-20	Win	100	20 h 17 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The UConn Huskies have one of the best defenses in the country, but their terrible offense holds them back quite a bit. UConn only allows 296 yards per game, which puts them at ninth best in the nation in total defense. Five of their last six opponents have failed to reach 20 points. Louisville's offense is pretty good, but I don't think they'll move it too easily against UConn. On the other side, Louisville's pass defense has been stellar. UConn has almost no running game, so it is hard to imagine them getting many points in this one. The under is 5-1 in UConn's last 6 games. Take the under.
11-22-12	New England Patriots v. NY Jets OVER 48		49-19	Win	100	42 h 59 m	Show
3 Star Patriots/Jets Total Domination The New England Patriots offense is firing on all cylinders right now. No team in the NFL is scoring more than New England. Tom Brady has had quite a bit of success against the Jets in the past, and I think he'll have even more now without Revis on the outside for the Jets. New England's rushing attack has been very good this year, which helps Brady and the passing game in a big way. The Jets offense should be able to get their points against a mediocre Patriots defense. The over is 4-0 in the Patriots last 4 Thursday games. The over is 13-3 in their last 16 against a team with a losing record. The over is 6-0-1 in the last 7 meetings between these teams. Take the over.
11-22-12	Washington Redskins v. Dallas Cowboys OVER 48		38-31	Win	100	38 h 4 m	Show
3 Star Redskins/Cowboys Turkey Total The Washington Redskins offense has been terrific all year. RG3 has been everything anyone could have expected and more. The Redskins are very balanced on offense, and I expect them to move the ball well against Dallas. The Redskins defense has been bad all year. Washington's secondary is a major weakness. Tony Romo makes a lot of mistakes, but he can pick apart bad secondaries. Until last week, Washington had allowed at least 21 points in every game this year. Both teams should put up a decent amount of points here. Both of these teams have been on a recent under streak, which gives us great value here. Take the over.
11-21-12	Pittsburgh v. Michigan UNDER 124.5		62-67	Loss	-108	8 h 8 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination The Pittsburgh Panthers and the Michigan Wolverines play at a similar pace, which is very slow. Don't expect many breakaway layups or fast break points in this one. This should be a half court game where both offenses use up the shot clock. This type of grind it out game certainly benefits an under play. Madison Square Garden is the site of this game, and the shooting backdrop at MSG is notoriously difficult. College games with two teams not accustomed to this floor can often have very low final totals. I projected this one at 120 points, so I like the value. Take the under.
11-18-12	New Orleans Saints v. Oakland Raiders OVER 54.5		38-17	Win	100	39 h 32 m	Show
3 Star NFL Total Domination The New Orleans Saints are still in a must win situation after a horribly slow start to the year. New Orleans' offense has been clicking after a bit of a slow start. Drew Brees seems to have a nice rhythm, and the Raiders defense hasn't been able to stop anyone lately. Oakland allowed 42 and 55 points in their last two games. New Orleans is absolutely capable of putting up 40 plus points here. The Saints defense isn't very good, and Carson Palmer should be able to find plenty of open receivers to help the Raiders get on the board a few times here. The over is 7-1 in the Raiders last 8 home games. The over is 11-3 in the Saints last 14 games. Take the over.
11-18-12	Akron v. Penn State UNDER 130		85-60	Loss	-110	12 h 16 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination The Penn State Nittany Lions don't have much offensive firepower at all, so they will rely on strong defense to win some games this year. Penn State will slow the game down and make the opposition work hard for open shots. Akron has a terrific shot blocker in Marshall, and I don't think Penn State will be able to do much of anything around the hoop. The pace here should be slow enough that it will take a very hot shooting night by both teams to push this one over the posted total. The under is 4-0 in Penn State's last 4 games at a neutral site. Take the under.
11-18-12	Philadelphia Eagles v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5		6-31	Loss	-105	65 h 31 m	Show
3 Star NFL Play of the Week The Washington Redskins offense was shockingly terrible last week against the Carolina Panthers. RG3 and the Redskins just couldn't get the job done in that game. I expect them to bounce back and be much better this weekend. Philadelphia will have Nick Foles starting at quarterback, and I actually think Foles will do a solid job for them. Washington's defense has given up at least 21 points in every single game this year, and the Eagles have some nice offensive weapons. Don't be surprised if Foles looks better than most expect in this game. Neither defense has been shutting anyone completely down this year. Look for a relatively high scoring game. The over is 6-2 in Washington's last 8 home games. Take the over.
11-18-12	Cincinnati Bengals v. Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 43.5		28-6	Win	100	36 h 33 m	Show
3 Star NFL Early Bird Special The Cincinnati Bengals are coming off a big win against the New York Giants last week. The Bengals defense played by far its best game of the season in that one. This unit has been dinged up pretty badly this year, but they are slowly getting healthier. The Chiefs offense has been horrible of late, and I think the Bengals defense will play well again. Kansas City has a good pass rush, and I think they'll make life difficult on Andy Dalton in this game. The Bengals don't have much of a ground game to keep them honest. The under is 9-0 in the Chiefs last 9 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 7-0 in the Bengals last 7 games following a win by 14 points or more. Look for a low scoring game here.
11-17-12	Kansas State v. Baylor OVER 74		24-52	Win	100	43 h 11 m	Show
3 Star Kansas State/Baylor Total The Baylor Bears are just 4-5 on the season, but they get to host Kansas State in a huge game Saturday night in Waco. The Bears would love nothing more than to end Kansas State's perfect season. Baylor can put up points with the best of them, but they also give up points like nobody's business. Baylor is second in the nation in total offense (averaging 564 yards per game). On the other side of the ball, Baylor is dead last in total defense in the nation. Opponents are averaging 520 yards per game. Kansas State's defensive weakness is their secondary, and Baylor will exploit that. Collin Klein and the Wildcats should run all over Baylor's terrible defense. Look for big points here. The over is 23-5-1 in Baylor's last 29 games. Take the over.
11-17-12	East Carolina v. Tulane OVER 60.5		28-23	Loss	-110	70 h 21 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total SMACKDOWN The Tulane Green Wave couldn't put up any points earlier in the season, but now they have their starting quarterback back in the lineup. Ryan Griffin is a pretty good quarterback, and the team has been moving the ball well with him under center. East Carolina has been bad defensively for several years now. The Pirates offense hasn't been terrific, but everyone has been able to move the ball against Tulane's horrific defense. Both of these teams move quickly, so the tempo should be conducive for a high scoring game. The over is 4-0 in Tulane's last 4 home games. The over is 9-1 in Tulane's last 10 November games. The over is 8-1 in East Carolina's last 9 November games. Take the over.
11-17-12	Wake Forest v. Notre Dame UNDER 42.5		0-38	Win	100	39 h 32 m	Show
3 Star Wake Forest/Notre Dame Total The Notre Dame Fighting Irish have a ton to play for right now. Not many could have expected that Notre Dame would get through their tough first ten games on the schedule without a blemish. Indeed, the Fighting Irish have done it with a terrific defense. Manti Te'o has been the best defensive player in the nation this year, and it is Senior Day for him in this one. Wake Forest's offense hasn't been able to score much on anyone, and I think they'll struggle to get past 10 points or so in this one. Notre Dame's offense is still raw, and Wake Forest's running defense is better this year. This looks like a low scoring contest. The under is 5-0 in Wake Forest's last 5 games. The under is 6-0 in Notre Dame's last 6 following an ATS loss. Take the under.
11-17-12	Duke v. Georgia Tech OVER 67.5		24-42	Loss	-105	39 h 31 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination The Duke Blue Devils are a much improved team this year. Duke's Sean Renfree is a nice veteran quarterback who can throw the football around pretty well. Georgia Tech's defense has given up at least 41 points in 4 of their last 6 games. Georgia Tech's option offense is nearly unstoppable for most defenses, and Duke struggles to stop the run almost every week. Georgia Tech piled up 68 points against North Carolina last weekend. Last year, these two teams played to a 38-31 final. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 conference games. The over is 9-0 in Georgia Tech's last 9 following an ATS win. The over is 6-0 in Georgia Tech's last 6 when playing a team with a winning record. Take the over.
11-17-12	Houston v. Marshall OVER 74.5		41-44	Win	100	67 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Early Bird Special The Marshall Thundering Herd offense is prolific this year. Rakeem Cato leads the entire nation in passing yards. Marshall also plays at as fast of a tempo as anyone in football right now. They'll get plenty of plays, and against a Houston defense that ranks 110th in the nation in pass defense, they should get a ton of yards. On the other side, Marshall's defense is terrible. Houston averages 475 yards per game on offense. Marshall is giving up 41.1 points per game this year. This one has the makings of a major shootout. The over is 4-0 in Marshall's last 4 following a straight up loss. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. Take the over.
11-17-12	Central Florida v. Tulsa UNDER 56.5		21-23	Win	100	39 h 52 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Under Radar Total Tulsa has a good offense, but the Golden Hurricane offense revolves around running the ball and eating up clock. UCF has one of the best defenses in Conference USA, and I think Tulsa will struggle to pound it down their throats in this one. On the other side, UCF's offense just isn't as dynamic as most in this conference. The Knights are inconsistent and often can't finish off drives. The under is a perfect 5-0 in Tulsa's last 5 home games. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings between these two. Look for a lot of running the ball from both teams, and the clock will tick away quickly here. Take the under.
11-17-12	Rutgers v. Cincinnati UNDER 48		10-3	Win	100	35 h 11 m	Show
3 Star NCAA FB Totals TKO The Cincinnati Bearcats have changed starting quarterbacks. Munchie Legeuax is out because of turnover problems and Brendon Kay is in. Kay looked good last week, but he'll face a much better defense this week. Rutgers and Cincinnati are both terrific at stopping the run. Both of these offenses revolve around running the football. I think both teams will try to run the ball early and often, but I don't see them having very much success. Cincinnati gives up 18.8 points per game, while Rutgers gives up only 13.4 points per game. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under.
11-17-12	Kent State v. Bowling Green UNDER 47		31-24	Loss	-105	35 h 8 m	Show
3 Star MAC Total Takedown The Bowling Green Falcons have been absolutely dominating on defense of late. Bowling Green is allowing just 15.1 points per game this year. How good has this unit been of late? No team has scored more than 14 points on Bowling Green in their last six games. Kent State's offense revolves around the run, and Bowling Green is great on the defensive line. Bowling Green's offense isn't very good, and Kent State is better than average defensively, especially against the run. It's hard to imagine either team lighting up the scoreboard int his one. The under is 7-0 in Bowling Green's last 7 home games. The under is 6-0 in the Falcons last 6 conference games. Take the under.
11-16-12	Brigham Young v. Florida State OVER 147.5		70-88	Win	100	16 h 28 m	Show
3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination The BYU Cougars are all about getting out and running. Dave Rose has this team looking to score big every single game. I think BYU is a team that we can expect to see averaging 75-80 points or so per game this year. Florida State doesn't have the same kind of defense they had the past couple years, and the Seminoles actually play better at a quick tempo with their personnel now as well. Keep a close eye on guys like Tyler Haws for BYU and Michael Snaer for Florida State. These are guys that can get very hot from long range. The pace here should push this one over. The over is 8-3 in the Seminoles last 11 games. Take the over.
11-14-12	Washington Wizards v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 193		101-107	Loss	-110	31 h 30 m	Show
3 Star NBA Play of the Day The Washington Wizards are 0-6 so far this year. Without John Wall, the Wizards offense doesn't have a real catalyst to get things going. Washington is playing a totally different style of basketball without Wall in the lineup. The Wizards are trying to slow it down and use up the shot clock, and that has led to low scoring games for Washington this year. Only one of their games has gone over this year, and that was solely because it went into overtime. Dallas has less firepower without Nowitzki and Marion. The under is 4-0 in the Wizards last 4 on zero days rest. The under is 7-1 in the Wizards last 8 road games. Take the under.
11-14-12	Indiana Pacers v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 190		85-99	Loss	-110	30 h 56 m	Show
3 Star NBA Total Domination The Indiana Pacers lost a really tough game last night 74-72 against the Toronto Raptors. Indiana certainly isn't as good without Danny Granger in the lineup, but this is still a decent team. Milwaukee is a team that pushes the pace in a big way with Jennings and Ellis in the backcourt. Indiana will likely have some tired legs in this one, and I think the Bucks could put up a big number. Milwaukee's defense isn't very impressive, so I think Hibbert, George, and others will put up a solid amount of points for the Pacers. The over is 17-4 in the Bucks last 21 against the NBA Central. Take the over.
11-14-12	Detroit Pistons v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 188		94-76	Win	100	17 h 25 m	Show
3 Star NBA Totals TKO The Detroit Pistons haven't won a game yet this year. Detroit doesn't have the offensive firepower that most teams in the NBA have right now. Still, Detroit has been staying in games more often than not because of an improved defense this year. They held Oklahoma City to 92 points earlier this week. The 76ers are a team built around their ability to play defense. Doug Collins' team should be able to slow down Detroit quite well in this matchup. Neither of these teams likes to run, so I expect a slow pace and fewer free throws than normal. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two. Take the under.

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