Sports Picks & Predictions

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Detroit +

I like the value here with the Titans catching points at home against the Rockets. Detroit comes in off back-to-back losses at IUPU-Fort Wayne (82-91) and UCLA (73-106). That most recent 33 point loss to the Bruins has them way undervalued here against a pretty average Toledo team that is expected to finish near the bottom of the MAC standings. 

Playing at home is a big time advantage for the Titans, who are 2-0 at home this season, but what I really like is this teams ability to score the basketball. Detroit comes in averaging 91.1 ppg on 46% shooting from the field. They will be going up against a Toledo defense that is allowing 82.7 ppg and 53% shooting on the road. I just don't see the Rockets being able to keep pace and will call for the outright win here for the Titans. Take Detroit! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH  on Arizona +

Love the value here with Arizona catching points in Tuesday's game against Texas A&M. While this game is technically being played on a neutral site at Talking Stick Resort Arena in Phoenix, it's going to feel like a home game for the Wildcats.

I believe this line is a direct result of the Wildcats struggles in the Battle 4 Atlantis, where they lost 3 straight to NC State, SMU and Purdue. They have since responded with a 30+ point win over Long Beach State and a outright win on the road against a very good UNLV team.

This is a statement game for Arizona and I think they get it done against the Aggies, who are getting a little too much respect here after their 7-0 start. The Wildcats have owned the SEC, going a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs teams from the SEC. On the flip side of this Texas A&M is a mere 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 vs the Pac-12. Take Arizona! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Central Michigan -

I like the value here with the Chippewas at basically a pick'em at home against the Bobcats. Central Michigan comes in at 6-1 and have won 5 straight. While the schedule hasn't been all that challenging for the Chippewas, they did show some of their potential in a mere 7-point loss at Michigan as a massive 22.5-point dog. Montana State is 6-3 but their two toughest games this season have come at Louisiana Tech and Fresno State and they lost both by double-digits. The Bobcats are also just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 against a team with a winning record, while the Chippewas are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs a team with a winning record. Take Central Michigan! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Western Carolina +

I like the value here with the Catamounts as a home dog against the Mountaineers. Western Carolina is just 2-6 to start the year, but have played a brutal schedule with non-conference games against the likes of Clemson, Cincinnati and Minnesota (all on the road). I just don't feel this team is getting enough respect here at home against Appalachian State.

The Catamounts returned all 5 starters from last year and will be playing only their second home game of the season. Mountaineers are just 1-4 on the road, where they are giving up a staggering 90.4 ppg. App State is also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games off a home win, while the Catamounts are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 at home after losing 3 of 4. Take Western Carolina! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Ohio State -

I like the value here with the Buckeyes laying a short number at home against the Wolverines. This Ohio State team is flying under the radar and I'll gladly back them at basically a pick'em here against what I think is an overrated Michigan team. The Buckeyes just won outright 83-58 at Wisconsin as a 7.5-point dog, which just goes to show how undervalued they are right now. Michigan was able to knock off Indiana by 14 at home, but this is simply not as good a team as they had a year ago and I think they struggle a lot on the road this season. We already have seen them lose on a neutral floor to a pretty bad LSU team and got blown out on the road by UNC. Take Ohio State!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arkansas -

I really like this Razorbacks team this year, as they returned 6 seniors with playing experience and brought in an excellent freshman class. Arkansas has been led by senior Jaylen Barford to start, as he's scoring 20.8 ppg. Fellow senior Daryl Macon is right behind him at 16.3 ppg and freshman Daniel Gafford is averaging 12.8 ppg and 5.7 rpg and 1.5 bpg. The only loss so far for the Razorbacks is a loss to UNC. They have impressive wins over Oklahoma (92-83) and UConn (102-67). Houston is a good team and might flirt with making the NCAA Tournament, but I don't think that playing at home is going to be enough for the Cougars to keep this one competitive. Take Arkansas! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Syracuse +

I really like the value here with the Orange catching double-digits on a neutral floor against the Jayhawks. Kansas has started out 6-0 and are the No. 2 team in the country. I think they are way overvalued here against a good team. The only legit opponent they have played is Kentucky and they were lucky to leave with a 65-61 win. Syracuse is also 6-0, but because they haven't beat anyone, they aren't getting a ton of love just yet. I think the zone of the Orange can really cause some problems for the Jayhawks and keep this much closer than expected. Take Syracuse! 

4* NCAAB Non-Conf ATS NO BRAINER on North Carolina -

The Tar Heels should have no problem here cruising to a win over the Wildcats in this neutral site meeting at Time Warner Cable Arena. North Carolina's only loss came to Michigan State, who is absolutely loaded this year, as they have started out 6-1 with impressive double-digit wins over the likes of UNI, Arkansas, and Michigan. 

Davidson has started out 3-2, but their 3 wins are against the likes of Charleston Southern, UNC-Wilmington and Charlotte. They lost by 13 to Nevada and had an ugly 16-point loss to Appalachian State as a 10-point favorite. I just don't see the Wildcats being able to keep this within 20. Take North Carolina! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Diego State - 

I like the value here with San Diego State against in-state rival San Diego tonight. The Aztecs are off to a respectable 5-2 start with the only two losses coming at Arizona State and a natural site defeat to Washington State. The most recent loss to the Cougars looks bad on paper, but I also think it's playing into this favorable line here against the Toreros. 

Another factor in this line being shorter than what I think it should be is the fact that San Diego has started out 5-0, but it's nothing to get too excited about given their best win is against San Jose State, who is one of the worst teams out of the MWC. The Toreros could be a surprise player in the West Coast this season, but they are simply outclassed in this non-conference matchup. Take San Diego State! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Pacific -

I like the value here with the Tigers, who are showing signs of improvement in year two under head coach Damon Stoudamire. While Pacific is just 3-4 to start, they have showed they can compete against some good teams, most notably a 15 point loss to a very good Nevada team. As for UC-Riverside, they just recently lost by 45 points to Michigan and are just 1-3 in their last 4 overall, which also includes a 12-point loss at home to Portland State, who I think is right on par with this Pacific squad. 

I think the difference in this one is going to come down to the Tigers being the much more efficient offensive team. Pacific comes in averaging 75.9 ppg and are shooting a blistering 47.1% from the field. The Highlanders on the other hand average just 67.4 ppg and are connecting on just 40.7% of their attempts. Note that overall I think the schedules have been pretty even between the two, so it's easy to see the value here with the Tigers laying such a short number. Take Pacific! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Missouri -

I like the value here with Missouri laying a short number on the road against the Knights. The Tigers suffered a huge blow when freshman and potential No. 1 overall pick Michael Porter Jr. was lost for the season, but I think it has them undervalued right now. While Porter Jr. was a special talent, there's still enough pieces in place for Missouri to have a decent season and they have showed they can compete without him. Last time out they only lost by 4 on a neutral court against a very good West Virginia team. 

As for UCF, there missing some key pieces too. Most notably junior guard B.J. Taylor, who led the team in scoring a season ago at 17.4 ppg and is good enough to take home the AAC Player of the Year honors. He's out indefinitely with a knee injury. The Knights started out 4-0, but have since lost 2 straight. The first coming against the same West Virginia team Missouri almost beat and UCF lost to Mountaineers by 38 points. The other was a 3-point loss to St John's who the Tigers beat by 8. These two teams simply aren't as close as this line would suggest. Take Missouri! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Oklahoma State -

This isn't a top tier Oklahoma State team that will be competing for a Big 12 title this season, but I've liked what I've seen from the Cowboys early on and simply put are the far superior team in this matchup. Austin Peay is a middle of the pack team out of the Ohio Valley Conference, who went just 11-19 a year ago and only returned 1 starter. They have played a couple Power 5 teams and it hasn't been pretty, losing by 19 to Vanderbilt and by 44 to Virginia. 

The Governors are simply going to struggle to keep pace with this high-powered Cowboys offense, which comes in averaging 80.2 ppg and 88.2 ppg at home. The only hope for a team like Austin Peay in this spot is to hit a lot of 3's and that's just not their strength, as they come in averaging just 4 made 3-pointers a game and are shooting just 28.6% from long distance. Adding to this is the fact that the Cowboys have owned teams that can't shoot from deep, as they are 20-7 ATS in their last 27 home games vs teams who are hitting 31% or worse from behind the 3-point line. Take Oklahoma State! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Coastal Carolina - 

I like the value here with the Chanticleers laying what I feel is a short number at home against the Terriers. While the competition hasn't been great, Coastal Carolina has absolutely dominated their opponents at home this season winning by 52 and 36. They also have a 14 point win over UTSA as a short 3-point favorite and also beat Iona by 5 as a 4-point dog. 

Wofford is 3-4 on the season and have really struggled on the road. The most recent being a 65-85 loss at UNC-Asheville in a game that didn't even have a line. They also lost by 23 at Texas Tech and 14 at Cal. While CC isn't quite on the level of the Red Raiders and Bears, they should have no problem here winning by double-digits in this one. Chanticleers also fall into a great spot, as they are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games off a home win. Take Coastal Carolina! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS ANNIHILATOR on San Fran -

I really like the value here with the Dons as a short home favorite against UC-Santa Barbara. San Francisco was one of the great stories from last year that no one talked about. In his first year as the head coach, Kyle Smith guided the Dons to a 20-13 record with a make-shift roster that only had one senior. San Francisco should be even stronger in year two under Smith and I just don't see them losing at home here against the Gauchos. Santa Barbara returned 4 starters and should be improved, but this is also a team that went just 6-22 a year ago. Gauchos won last time out, but are just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a win. They are also just 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games vs a team with a winning road record. Take San Francisco! 

5* LATE INFO INSIDER 

No Analysis on LATE INFO INSIDERS 

4* NCAAB Money Line VEGAS INSIDER on Northwestern

I'm taking the Wildcats here on the money line in Tuesday's game at Georgia Tech. While the Yellow Jackets have started out 3-1, the 3 wins have come against bad teams, two of which didn't even have lines. Georgia Tech will be a good team and should finish near the top of the ACC standings, but aren't that team right now, as they continue to play without their best player in sophomore Josh Okogie. 

Northwestern hasn't had the start some expected, but there two losses have come against a couple of quality teams in Creighton and Texas Tech. The big key here is the Wildcats have the veterans to  go on the road and win  in a tough venue like this. Look for seniors Bryant McIntosh and Scottie Lindsey to carry the load and guide the Wildcats to victory. Take Northwestern! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Davidson -

I really like this spot for the Wildcats, who I think are way undervalued here on the road against the 49ers. Charlotte is just 3-2 to start the year, with their 3 wins over the likes of Methodist, Presbyterian and High Point and two of those they won by just single digits. They also lost by 9 at home to College of Charleston. 

Davidson enters off back-to-back losses, as they fell 68-81 at Nevada and 62-78 at Appalachian State. This is still a talented Wildcats team and we are catching them laying a shorter number than they should due to their recent struggles. Note that these two teams played last year and the Wildcats won by 22, as they held the 49ers to just 28% shooting from the field. 

49ers are just 5-14 ATS in their last 19 as an underdog and are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Davidson! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida International +

I like the value here with FIU catching a big number at home against the Gamecocks. South Carolina has started out 4-1, but I've not been all that impressed with what I have seen. The lone loss was a 65-69 defeat to Illinois State on a neutral court where they shot just 29.5% from the field. Keep in mind that the Gamecocks are going to be down from last year, as they lost 3 starters, who all averaged double-digits, including one of the best players in the country in Sindarius Thornwell.

Now I know this FIU team isn't anything to get excited about, but this is a ton of points for the Gamecocks to be laying on the road. The Panthers have a couple of guys who score the basketball, as junior Erick Lockett is averaging 16 ppg and sophomore Trejon Jacob is putting in 15.8 ppg. Keep in mind no one on South Carolina is averaging more than 12 ppg.

Gamecocks are just 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 against a team with a losing record, while the Panthers are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take FIU! 

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS SHOCKER on UC Davis +

I like the value here with the Aggies on Sunday against the Huskies. UC Davis has started out 3-1 and are a perfect 3-0 ATS in their 3 lined games this season. Washington is improved over last year's disastrous 9-22 campaign, but are far from a NCAA Tournament caliber team. They are 3-2 to start the season, which includes an ugly 24-point loss to Virginia Tech. They have also struggled against lessor competition, as they only beat Eastern Washington by 10 and most recently only beat Seattle by 5 at home in a game they were expected to dominate so much that their wasn't even a line posted. Huskies are just 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games vs a team that has a winning record, while the Aggies are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take UC-Davis! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on East Tennessee State

I think we are getting some great value here with the Buccaneers laying this short number at home against Fort Wayne. ETSU is one of the top teams out of the Southern Conference and should have no problem here winning and covering against the Mastodons, who have had all kinds of trouble away from home. Fort Wayne is just 3-14 ATS over the last 2 seasons and just 1-8 in their last 9 road games after playing their previous game on the road. ETSU was upset in their last game, but are 17-4 ATS in their last 21 off an upset loss as a favorite and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 off an upset loss as a home favorite. Take East Tennessee St! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Oakland +

I like the value here with the Grizzlies catching a big number against the Jayhawks on Friday. Oakland is the clear-cut favorite to win the Horizon League, as they return 4 starters from last year's 25-9 team. No denying that Kansas is an elite team, but they are young and still learning how to play together. I just question how motivated the Jayhawks will be for this game during Thanksgiving break, while there's no question the Grizzlies are going to lay it all on the line against the No. 3 ranked team in the country. Kansas gets the win, but it's a lot closer than expected. Note that the Grizzlies are 27-9-1 ATS in their last 37 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Oakland! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Virginia -

I like the value here with the Cavaliers against the Commodores. Vanderbilt has already dropped two games in the early going and the most recent was a crushing 89-93 overtime loss at home. The Commodores are a team that relies a lot on the outside shot and that's just not a good recipe for success against Virginia, who plays as good a defense as any team in the country. The Cavaliers are holding teams nearly 20 points below their season average and teams are shooting just 37.5% against them overall and just 26.2% from behind the 3-point line. Vanderbilt doesn't provide near the threat defensively and that has this one likely turning into a blowout. Take Virginia! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Northern Iowa +

I think we are getting some great value here with UNI as a decently priced dog against SMU. The Mustangs have started out 4-0, but that's no surprise given the cupcake schedule they have had. Only one of their games even had a line and they were favored by 17.5 in that one. I believe SMU's strong start combined with the fact that they are coming off a 30-win season, has them overvalued here against a good Panthers team. Keep in mind that the Mustangs lost 3 players who were either drafted or signed by NBA teams, including last year's AAC Player of the Year in Semi Ojeleye. 

UNI isn't going to wow you with their roster, but Ben Jacobson knows how to get the best out of his team and the Panthers have plenty of talent coming back to finish in the top 4 of the Missouri Valley for a 10th straight season. They showed a lot of that potential in their opener, when they competed in a 17-point loss at UNC. I not only think they can cover the number here, but I wouldn't be surprised if they won this game outright. Take Northern Iowa! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Syracuse -

I like the value here with the Orange laying what I feel is a favorable number against the Rockets. Toledo has opened up 3-0, but all 3 have come at home and against sub-par competition. This is a team that's expected to finish in the middle of the pack in the MAC and simply have no business here against Syracuse. 

The Orange have started out 4-0 and are fresh off an easy win and cover in a 74-50 win over Oakland as a mere 9-point favorite. Syracuse is really getting after it defensively, as they are holding their opponents nearly 16 points under their season average. That defensive intensity will simply be too much for Toledo to overcome, as the Rockets are a team that wants to try and outscore their opponents. Look for the big athletic guards of the Orange to be the difference in this one, as I see the home team winning here by 20+ points. Take Syracuse! 

3* NCAAB Late Night Bailout BLOWOUT on Davidson +

I like the value here with Davidson catching what I feel is a big number in a game I think they have a great shot at winning outright. The Wildcats lost the A-10's leading scorer in Jack Gibbs, but have the pieces in place to replace him. Senior forward Peyton Aldridge averaged 20.5 ppg and 8.2 rpg a year ago and is one of the best players in the A-10. He's off to a great start, averaging 27.5 ppg to start the year, but he's not the only Davidson player lighting it up, as freshman Kellan Grady is averaging 23.5 ppg and sophomore Jon Axel Gudmundsson is putting in 21.5 ppg.

The Wildcats are shooting light-outs as a team from long distance, as they come in hitting 45.3% from long-distance with an average of 19 made 3-pointers per game. Nevada is a good team and one of the best in the MWC, but I think they have their hands full here against the Wildcats. Take Davidson!  

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Southern Illinois +

I like the value here with the Salukis catching a big number against Louisville. The Cardinals haven't looked the same without Rick Pitino. While they are 2-0, they failed to cover each of their first two games, beating Georgia Mason by 11 as a 19-point favorite and Nebraska-Omaha by just 9 as a massive 27.5-point favorite. 

Southern Illinois is a team that has a chance to compete for the top spot in the Missouri Valley now that Wichita State is no longer around and this is a great measuring stick for this program early on. Look for the Salukis to be the more motivated team here and do enough to keep this within the number. Take Southern Illinois! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Oklahoma State +

I like the value here with the Cowboys catching a decent number here against the Aggies in Monday's non-conference clash at the Legends Classic in Brooklyn. Both teams have yet to lose this season, but Texas A&M is getting a lot of love for their early blowout win over West Virginia. Oklahoma State doesn't get the same respect, but they have been equally impressive going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS with 3 blowout wins to start the season. I actually think the Cowboys have an excellent shot at winning this game outright, but I'll gladly take the points for a little extra insurance. Take Oklahoma State! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Virginia -

Look for the Cavaliers to make easy work of the Hawks on Sunday. Virginia has come out sharp to start the season and are fresh off an impressive road win and over VCU as a 6.5-point favorite. Monmouth is 2-1, but that lone loss is a double-digit defeat to Seton Hall. I look for the Hawks to struggle to keep this any where close to the number, as this is a clear NCAA Tournament team in Virginia, plus we have a great system in play backing a play on the Cavaliers. Underdogs (MONMOUTH) - good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games, with just one or fewer starters returning from last year in the first 5 games of the season are a mere 15-38 (28%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Virginia!

3* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR (St. Joe's -2.5)

I like the value here with the Hawks laying a short number against the the Tigers. Princeton is way overvalued coming into the season after winning 23 game last year. The Tigers lost and failed to cover their opener at Butler and then lost by 9 as a 3.5-poing favorite against BYU at home. 

The Hawks won and covered their last game 86-82 over Illinois Chicago as a 2-point dog and that's important to note, as St Joseph's is 15-4 ATS in their last 19 after scoring 80 or more point in their last game. They are also 10-1 ATS in their last 11 against the Ivy League and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take St Joe's 

3* NCAAB Late Night ENFORCER on Oregon -

I'm not sure why the books even set a line on this game, but I'll take advantage as I don't think it's going to be close at all. Oregon is a legit NCAA Tournament team and it just seems like they are flying under the radar. yes they lost a lot from last year's 33-win team, but Dana Altman is now 187-70 in 7 years in Eugene. He reloads with the best of them and has done so again, both with the incoming freshman class, as well as some nice grad transfers. 

They won their last game by 33 over Prairie View A&M and I expect an even bigger blowout here against the Bulldogs, who have already lost by 28 to Mississippi State, 34 to Iowa and 31 to South Dakota State. Take Oregon! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on UNLV -

I like the value here with the Rebels laying what I feel is a short number against an inferior team. The big reason we are seeing a low price here on UNLV, is the fact that Eastern Washington comes in off a 67-61 win at Stanford as a 16.5-point underdog. That's a nice win, but that's also a bottom-tier Pac-12 team. The previous game they lost by 10 against Washington, who also isn't anything special. Don't let the fact that the Rebels only won 11 games last year fool you. Head coach Marvin Menzies landed a big time recruiting class, headlined by 6'11 forward Brandon McCoy, who was a Top 10 talent in this year's freshmen class. 

Rebels are 10-2 ATS over the last 3 seasons in November, 10-2 in their last 12 non-conference home games and a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 at home off a game where they were listed as a home favorite. Take UNLV! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Kentucky -

I like the value here with the Wildcats, as I don't think the books have set this anywhere close to enough for East Tennessee State to get the cover. Kentucky had their hands full in their first two games against experienced teams in Utah Valley and Vermont and failed to cover both. They then lost the big showdown against Kansas on a neutral court and either covered by a 1/2-point or pushed.

I think the perception is down a bit on this team and they are going to struggle against teams who have experience, as they don't have any with 5 freshmen in the starting lineup. The Wildcats also aren't a great 3-point shooting team, which is a big reason why they struggled early. They aren't going to need the 3-point shot, as the Bucs don't have the experience (only 1 returning starter) or talent to keep Kentucky from doing whatever they want. This is the ideal spot off a loss for the Wildcats to lay a beating and we will lay the big number here. Take Kentucky! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on South Alabama +

I like the value here with the Jaguars catching a big number here against the Explorers. South Alabama should be a much improved team this year, as they addressed their biggest weakness by adding in Pitt transfer Rozelle Nix, who will help sure up a team that struggled to protect the rim a year ago. This team already went on the road and were more competitive than people expected in a 25-point loss and cover against Texas Tech. 

La Salle is a team that the Jaguars can keep it close against. While the Explorers like to play at a frantic pace, they aren't known for playing a lot of defense. Last year they ranked 274th in the country, giving up 76.6 ppg. I also think we could see a less than 100% focused La Salle team here, as they have some big games coming up against Northern and Miami on neutral sites. Look for the Jaguars to keep this one closer than expected. Take South Alabama! 

3* NCAAB Afternoon ATS BLOWOUT on Boise State -

I really like the value here with the Broncos laying a short number on a neutral court in the Puerto Rico Tip-Off. Boise State is known for being a small conference football power, but they are quietly having some great success on the hardwood. The Broncos have won 20 or more games in each of the past 5 seasons and this might be the best team yet for head coach Leon Rice, who is in year 7 with the program. Boise has 3 starters back and are led by a legit NBA-talent in 6'7 senior guard Chandler Hutchison. 

UTEP needed to go on a 13-4 run in C-USA play to close out the season, yet still finished the year at 15-17. With 4 starters back the Miners should be improved, but I just think they are getting way too much respect here against a legit NCAA Tournament team. Take Boise State!

5* NCAAB No Limit GAME OF THE MONTH on Nevada -

I like the value here with the Wolf Pack laying a short number on the road against the Broncos. Nevada went 28-7 last year, taking home both the MWC regular-season and tournament titles. The Wolf Pack lost some key pieces like Cameron Oliver, Marcus Marshall and D.J. Fenner, but are loaded with talent. They have two of the MWC's best players in Lindsey Drew and Jordan Caroline, plus add in four transfers from Power 5 programs. Two of those being twins Caleb and Cody Martin, who have been huge impacts early, as Caleb leads the team at 25 ppg and Cody is 3rd with 14 ppg. 

Santa Clara is a quality team and have a couple of nice players in K.J. Feagin and Matt Hauser, but the overall depth isn't that great and this is a team that went just 17-16 last year (4th in the WCC). Even with this game at home, I don't think the Broncos have the talent to keep this one competitive against a NCAA Tournament caliber team in the Wolf Pack. Take Nevada! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona State +

It's been a couple of tough years for head coach Bobby Hurley at Arizona State, but all signs point to year 3 being a breakout season for the Sun Devils. Arizona State brings back two big time scorers on the perimeter in senior guards Tra Holder (16.2 ppg) and Shannon Evans (15.0 ppg). It's one of the best backcourts in the Pac-12.

Last year they just didn't have the size inside and had to play 4 guards, which really hurt the defense. That's no longer an issue, as Hurley's Top 25 recruiting class addressed the issue. Freshmen Vitaliy Shibel and juco transfer De'Quon Lake are going to make a big difference this season for the Sun Devils. Lake had 24 points, 8 boards and 3 blocks in the opener, while Shibel only scored 4, he had 8 boards and 4 assists. 

San Diego State has quite a history as Steve Fisher really turned this program into a mid-major power over the years. Unfortunately for the Aztecs Fisher retired and while there's some nice talent on the roster, I think it's asking a lot for this team to go on the road and get a win here. Take Arizona State! 

3* NCAAB ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Wright State -

I like the value here with the Raiders laying a short numbers against the RedHawks. Wright State lost their opener on the road against a very good Loyola (Chicago) team 80-84, easily covering as a 12.5-point dog. The Raiders have two double-digit scorers back from last year's 20-win season, plus some nice new additions that should have them in contention in the Horizon League. 

Miami (OH) won their opener 55-54 at Fordham, but I believe this team is going to be outmatched here. The RedHawks bring back 4 starters, but los their best player in Michael Weathers, who won MAC Freshman of the Year honors a season ago. They are also in the first year under a new head coach and picked by many to finish near the basement of the MAC this season. 

Great system in play backing a fade of the RedHawks, as home teams as an underdog or pick'em that are off a win by 6 or less against an opponent that is off a loss by 6 or less are just 28-67 (29.5%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Wright State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Charleston +

Wichita State is getting all kinds of love coming into the season. The Shockers are ranked in the Top 10, which is a big deal for a non-power 5 team. Wichita St looked impressive in their opener, but that was against Missouri-Kansas City. Most will look to back the Shockers here against Charleston, but this is far from another pushover. The Cougars are the clear favorite to win the CAA and are loaded with experience, returning all 5 starters from last year's 25-win team. I don't think the Cougars have enough to pull off the upset, but I see them easily keeping this within the number. Take Charleston! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Oklahoma State -

I think we are catching the Cowboys at a great price here at home against an under matched Charlotte team. Oklahoma State lost Jawun Evans to the NBA, along with two other starters. They also have decided to sit leading returning scorer Jeffrey Carroll due to investigations. All of that and this team went out and rolled Pepperdine 78-47 in their opener at home, as the Cowboys used a balanced attack. Charlotte won their opener 116-76 over Methodist, but that was to be expected. It sets up the 49ers in a great spot to fade, as they are just 9-22 ATS in their last 31 off a win by 20 or more and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 when listed as a dog of 10 or more. Take Oklahoma State! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Browns -

I cashed in on Quinnipiac in their opener at home against Dartmouth, but I'm going to go against the Bobcats here at home against Brown. The Bobcats were lucky to escape with a win over the Big Green, escaping with a 78-77 win. This is also a spot in which Quinnipiac has not performed well in the past, as they are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games as a dog of 6 points or less. It's also worth pointing out that Brown has 3 returning starters to the Bobcats 2 and the Bears won the head-to-head meeting a season ago. Take Brown! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Pacific +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching a big number against the Cardinal. I believe this Pacific team is flying under the radar this season, as they enter year two under former NBA point guard Damion Stoudamire. The Tigers are going to play an up-tempo small-ball/position less basketball that you are seeing in the NBA. While they lost a lot from last year, they will be debuting 3 transfers who should make a big impact in Oregon's Kendall Small, St. Louis' Miles Reynolds and Dugquesne's Tyson Powell. 

I believe they have enough fire-power here to keep this well within the number against a Stanford team that only won by 16 against Cal-Poly in their opener. Note that Cal-Poly is expected to finish in the bottom 3 of the Big West this year, so that's not exactly a great team. It's also worth mentioning that the Tigers have thrived in the role of a big dog, as they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when listed as a road dog of 18.5 to 24 points. Take Pacific! 

4* NCAAB ATS HEAVY HITTER on Eastern Washington

I like the value here with the Eagles catching double-digits against in-state foe Washington on Sunday. The Huskies are in a bit of a transition year here under first year head coach Mike Hopkins, who was a long-time assistant at Syracuse under Jim Boeheim and will bring that same zone attack to Washington. I just think it's going to take some time before they can play the zone at the level needed for it to be effective.

The defense certainly wasn't sharp in their opener, as they gave up 82 points and allowed Belmont to shoot 49% from the field. Eastern Washington won 22 games last year and have 3 returning starters, including a big time scorer in senior Bogdan Bliznyuk, who averaged 20.6 ppg last season. I think the Eagles can not only score enough to keep this close, but wouldn't be shocked if they won this game outright. Take Eastern Washington! 

3* NCAAB UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG  on Arkansas Pine Bluff

I like the value here with the Golden Lions catching a big number against the Trojans. Arkansas-Pine Bluff went just 7-25 last year, but I like the direction of this team in 2017 under long-time head coach George Ivy. While they lost their opener to Hawaii, they lost by just 12 as an 18-point dog and did so despite shooting just 37% from the field, while the Warriors connected on 49%. I look for a much better shooting effort here from the Lions. 

Troy is a team that is coming off a 22-15 campaign, but I believe it has them overvalued early and it certainly looked to be the case in their opener, as they lost outright to North Dakota as a 7-point favorite. The Trojans likely bounce back with a win here, but I think it's a lot more competitive than the number would suggest. Take Arkansas-Pine Bluff! 

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5* NCAAB Opening Weekend GAME OF THE MONTH on La Salle -

I really like the value here with the Explorers laying single digits at home against the Peacocks. La Salle has two of the best players in the A-10 conference in junior Pookie Powell (13.7 ppg) and senior B.J. Johnson (17.6 ppg). They also bring back experience at the point with senior starter Amor Stukes (4.3 apg). If they can get some solid productions from their bigs, I really think this is a sleeper team to watch out for in the A-10 this year. As for St. Peter's they closed out last year by winning the CIT, but the Peacocks lost 3 starters from their 23-win squad, including their top two scorers in Trevis Wyche and Quadir Welton. Take La Salle!

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats at basically a pick'em at home against Dartmouth. I believe that Quinnipiac's program is headed in the right direction under new head coach Baker Dunleavy, who is the son of former NBA player and current Tulane head coach Mike Dunleavy Sr. Bobcats big man Chaise Daniels should be the best player on the floor in this one, as the there's really not a lot to like with the Big Green, who went just 3-10 outside of Ivy League play a year ago and are expected to finish in the bottom half of the league again this year. Also, Dartmouth will be without one of their best players in junior forward Evan Boudreaux, who led the team with 17.5 ppg and 9.5 rpg, as he's not eligible to play. Take Quinnipiac! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Buffalo -

I like the value here with the Bulls laying single digits at home against the Golden Griffins. Buffalo is one of the best teams out of the MAC and have a great mix of returning talent, as well as some big time new pieces.

The Bulls return one of their top scorers in C.J. Massinburg, as well as last year's MAC Defensive Player of the Year in Dontay Caruthers. They also added in one of the top juco players in the country in Jeremy Harris. Nate Oats has really done a fine job here and this should be his breakout season with the Bulls.

Canisius has some nice pieces, but are expected to finish in the bottom half of the MEAAC this year. Take Buffalo! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ODDSMAKERS ERROR on Southern Utah +

I think we are getting some great value here with the Thunderbirds as a massive dog in Friday's late night action against Oregon State. While the Beavers should be improved, they still got a ways to go after last year's 5-27 campaign. Simply put, this team should not be laying this big of a number here, even against one of the lower teams in the Big Sky. Take Southern Utah! 

4* NCAAB Late Night VEGAS INSIDER on Colorado State -

Larry Eustachy did a remarkable job with this Colorado State team a year ago, guiding the Rams to a 24-12 record despite being short-handed with just 7 scholarship players. He rightfully received MWC Coach of the Year honors. While Colorado St loses two big pieces in Gian Clavell and Emmanuel Omogbo, there's a nice nucleus coming back and some help in the form of junior college transfers. Sacramento State was expected to be a middle of the pack team in the Big Sky, but now are likely headed towards the basement with the loss of one of their best players in Marcus Graves. Just not enough talent left for the Hornets to keep this one respectable. Take Colorado State! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on St Bonny -

I'll back the Bonnies here to win by at least 10 at home against the Purple Eagles. St. Bonaventure returns their two backcourt stars in seniors Jaylen Adams and Matt Mobley, who are a big reason why the Bonnies are coming off their first back-to-back 20-wins seasons since the late 70's. This team is a legit threat to win A-10. Even though Adams isn't expected to play here because of an ankle injury, I believe there's a big enough gap here in talent for the Bonnies to turn this into a blowout at home. Take St. Bonaventure!

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on IPFW +

I think we are getting some good value her with the Mastodons. Oakland is the favorite to win the Horizon and rightfully so, but this Fort Wayne squad should be a serious contender in the Summit. The Mastodons went just 8-8 in league play last year but had a lead in the 2nd half of every game. This is a team to watch out for with 3 double-digit scorers coming back and I'll take them and the points Friday night. Take Fort Wayne! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Wofford +

I like the value here the Terriers against a South Carolina team that I'm way down on this year. The Gamecocks reached the Final 4 last year, but lost their heart and soul in Sindarius Thornwell, who averaged 21.4 ppg. They also lost two more key pieces in P.J. Dozier (13.9 ppg) and Duane Notice (10.2 ppg). South Carolina will be lucky to just make the NCAA Tournament. Wofford has some nice talent coming back, including sharpshooter Fletcher Magee, who connected on 112 3-pointers and led the team with 18.6 ppg. An outright upset isn't out of the question for the Terriers. Take Wofford! 

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5* N Carolina/Gonzaga National Title NO LIMIT Top Play on North Carolina -

The Tar Heels have burned me in each of their last two games, where they were in prime position to cover and failed to do so. I'm not jumping off the bandwagon now. I pick North Carolina to win it all when the bracket came out, as I believed they were the most talented team in the field of 68. That's still the case and while Gonzaga has proved me wrong, let's not overlook the path for the Bulldogs to the title game. The best team they faced in terms of seeding was No. 4 West Virginia and they arguably should have lost that game. Gonzaga has great size down low and there bigs do a really good job of passing out of double-teams. North Carolina has elite size and won't have to help on the bigs, which I believe is going to make things really difficult for Gonzaga's offense. Take North Carolina!

5* Final Four Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on North Carolina -

I really like the value here with the Tar Heels, as I think they should be a much bigger favorite against the Ducks. North Carolina was just in the title game last year and the ability to fall back on that experience of the Final Four is going to pay off in a big way this time around. Not to mention the Tar Heels are the most talented team left in the field. Oregon was impressive in wins over Michigan and Kansas last weekend, but both of those teams were great matchups for the Ducks. The Wolverines and Jayhawks are both guard oriented. North Carolina has great guards, but their strength is their size and talent inside. I believe it's going to be too much for the Ducks to overcome in this one. Tar Heels are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against the Pac-12 and 21-7-3 ATS in their last 31 neutral site games as a favorite. Take North Carolina!

5* Elite Eight Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on North Carolina -

I really like the value here with the Tar Heels at basically a pick'em at against the Wildcats. Kentucky is coming off a tough game against UCLA, which they had revenge against from an earlier loss. North Carolina on the other hand cruised to a 11-point when over Butler. The Tar Heels had the much easier Sweet 16 matchup and they are the ones playing with revenge, as they fell 100-103 to Kentucky earlier this season. When North Carolina plays like they have been in the tournament, they are without a doubt in my mind the best team in the country. The Tar Heels have the speed and athleticism at the guard positions to limit Fox and Monk for the Wildcats and without those two there's not a lot for Kentucky to go with. Take North Carolina!

4* Oregon/Kansas Elite Eight Annihilator on Oregon +

I really like the value here with the Ducks as a decently priced dog against the Jayhawks. Kansas is coming off a 98-66 blowout win over Purdue in the Sweet 16 and I believe that's playing into this number being higher than it should be. The big thing to keep in mind, is that the Boilermakers were a perfect matchup for Kansas. Purdue didn't have the speed or athleticism to hang with the Jayhawks for 40 minutes. Oregon definitely does and the Ducks have now proven they can't be taken lightly, even with the big injury to Boucher. Not only do I think the Ducks keep this closer than the number, but I give them a really good shot at winning this game outright. Take Oregon!

5* Sweet 16 NO LIMIT Top Play on West Virginia +

The public is going to be all over No. 1 seed Gonzaga at this price, but I believe the books have set a nice trap here and know that the Mountaineers are the better team here. I've said this multiple times now. The Bulldogs are a really good team, I'm just not buying they would be a No. 1 seed if they played in a Power 5 conference. West Virginia is more than capable of taking down Gonzaga. The Mountaineers press attack is extremely difficult to prepare for, even when you have had a few days to prepare for it. Until you see it in action, you really don't know what to expect. West Virginia's doesn't have a superstar, but are strong from top to bottom. What also gets overlooked is that while it's know they force a lot of turnovers, people don't realize how well they take care of the basketball and attack the offensive glass. I'll take the points, but I'm calling for the Mountaineers to win outright. Take Gonzaga!

4* Sweet 16 ATS Annihilator on Michigan -

The Wolverines have got something special going right now and I just don't see it coming to an end just yet. Oregon is a talented team, but was very fortunate to get past No. 11 Rhode Island in their last game. I believe that's a clear sign that this is not the same Ducks team that was so good during Pac-12 play. The loss of star big man Chris Boucher has really taken Oregon down a level. There's no question that Michigan is playing their best basketball of the season and the confidence and belief in this team is at an all-time high. Derrick Walton has been the go to guy, but there's a lot more weapons than just him. I look for the Wolverines to keep it rolling with anther hard fought win. Take Michigan -1!

4* NIT Situational ATS Annihilator on Ole Miss -

The ACC hasn't lived up to the hype in postseason play and I look for the Rebels to put an end to Georgia Tech's season tonight in relatively easy fashion. The Yellow Jackets won their first two NIT games in impressive fashion, but both of those came at home. Georgia Tech is not the same team away from home, as they are a mere 2-11 on the road this season. Ole Miss has won back-to-back road games at Monmouth and Syracuse and I believe are one of the more underrated teams in the country. The Rebels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games, 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a favorite and a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games. Take Ole Miss!

4* NIT Situational ATS Heavy Hitter on Illinois -

I look for the Fighting Illini to have no problem putting away Boise State by double-digits at home. Illinois came out inspired in their NIT opener, crushing a talented Valpo team 82-57 as a 9-point favorite. I look for a similar type of effort here against the Broncos. Boise State pulled off a big upset in their opener, defeating Utah 73-68 as a 12-point dog. The thing is, the Utes didn't show up to play. The Fighting Illini have thrived in this spot, as they are a perfect 8-0 ATS over the last 3 seasons as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points, winning on average by more than 16 ppg. Take Illinois!

4* Michigan St/Kansas Midwest ATS Annihilator on Michigan St +

The Spartans are showing great value here against the Jayhawks. We saw a Big Ten team (Wisconsin) pull off a similar upset yesterday and I think Michigan State is more than capable of taking out Kansas. This is a much better Spartans team than the one that struggled to compete against that brutal schedule they played in non-conference. As is the case every year, Izzo has Michigan State peaking at the right time. The biggest key here is that the Spartans have the disciple and talent to make things tough on Kansas' high-powered offense and take them out of their game. Note that the Spartans are 62-37 ATS on the road against elite teams that have won 80% or more of their games and 24-9 in their last 33 when playing only their 2nd game in a 8 day stretch. Take Michigan State!

5* Round of 32 Game of the Year on Kentucky -

I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a short favorite against the Shockers. Wichita State is a lot better than their No. 10 seed, but unfortunately for them the poor seeding by the committee has them playing an elite Kentucky team in the 2nd round. The Wildcats were once again the class of the SEC and once the games started meaning a little more this team really came alive. I just think Kentucky is head and shoulders above Wichita State in terms of talent in this one. The Shockers three toughest games in non-conference were against Louisville (lost by 10) Michigan State (lost by 5) and Oklahoma State (lost by 23). Note the game against the Spartans was back when Michigan State was struggling to compete against the elite teams. The Wildcats aree better than all of those teams and I expect them to win here by double-digits. Take Kentucky!

5* Round of 32 Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Arizona -

I really like the value here with the Wildcats laying what I feel is a very short number against the Gaels. Arizona made easy work of North Dakota in their opener, hanging 100 points on the Fighting Hawks. St. Mary's was impressive in their win over VCU, but lets not carried away with a win over a A-10 team. Arizona is on a whole different level and are playing their best basketball of the season right now. When the Gaels have had to face an elite team like the Wildcats (Gonzaga), they have struggled to keep it competitive and I see this being no different. All 3 of their losses to Gonzaga were by double-digits. Take Arizona!

4* Round of 32 Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Notre Dame +

I really like the value here with the Fighting Irish as a dog against the Mountaineers. The perception here is that the Mountaineers have the edge with Note Dame not having a lot of time to prepare for the non-stop press of West Virginia. The thing is, the biggest key to breaking a press is guard play and the Irish are strong in the backcourt and a veteran team that understands the importance of taking care of the basketball. The Irish haven't turned it over more than 9 times in 9 straight games. Without getting easy baskets via the press and turnovers, this West Virginia team is pretty average. The Mountaineers are a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games away from home after 15+ games against a team that averages 14 or less turnovers/game. Take Notre Dame!

4* Late Night March Madness ATS No Brainer on Kentucky - 

I got no problem laying this big number on the Wildcats. I know Kentucky is a No. 2 seed, but I just don't feel this team is getting near the respect they should be getting. I believe a lot of that has to do with so much attention in the South Region on UNC and UCLA, as well as the poor seeding of Wichita State. This Wildcats team is the real deal and really turned it on down the stretch and I expect them to be even better in the tournament. Northern Kentucky has no business being on the same floor as them. The Norse lost by 15 to Illinois and 31 to West Virginia in non-conference play (only two power 5 teams they played). I think this one gets ugly in a hurry and the Wildcats potentially have this number covered by halftime. Take Kentucky!

4* NCAA Tourn ATS Heavy Hitter on Rhode Island Pick'em

The fact that you have a pick'em in a 6 vs 11 really tells you all you need to know here. We saw the same thing yesterday with Xavier and Maryland and the 11-seeded Musketeers took that one. I see this one playing out similar, as this Rhode Island team is the real deal. The Rams knocked off Cincinnati and only lost to Duke by 10 in non-conference play. Plus they are playing even better right now than they were to start the year. Creighton is just not the same team without point guard Mo Watson. The Bluejays at one point were 18-1 with their only loss to Villanova. They are just 7-8 in their last 15 since. Take Rhode Island!

5* NCAA Tourn First Round Game of the Year on USC +

The Trojans pulled off a remarkable comeback in their play-in game on Wednesday against Providence and that's the kind of win that really gives a team the belief and confidence they go do something special. I also love that USC's best player, Boatwright, had a monster game with 24-points. You need your best players playing their best to pull off an upset like this. However, I'm not really sure it would be that big of an upset. USC has already beat SMU once this season.

I know the Mustangs record is impressive and they come in on a huge winning streak, but outside of Cincinnati the AAC is a joke and even the Bearcats aren't an elite team, which is why SMU is 6 seed and not a 2 or 3. I look for this game to go right down to the wire and think there's a really good chance the Trojans win here outright. Take USC!

4* Big Dance Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Seton Hall +

I really like the Value here with the Pirates as a dog against the Razorbacks. Seton Hall comes into the tournament playing their best basketball of the season. The Pirates have won 5 of 6 with the only loss being a mere 2-point defeat to Villanova in the Big East Tournament. I know Arkansas has been on a decent run of their own, but outside of Kentucky and Florida the SEC is very weak and the Razorbacks did a nice job feeding on the bottom feeders in the conference to bolster their resume. Keep in mind Arkansas lost by 14 to Minnesota early in the year and by 28 to Oklahoma State in the middle of their SEC schedule. I think the wrong team is favored in this one, but I'm okay with it, as the Pirates are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 as a dog. Take Seton Hall!

5* NCAA Tourn First Round NO LIMT Top Play on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones laying single-digits against the Wolf Pack. Nevada gets a lot of love for their showing in the Mountain West, but I don't think it's justified. The Wolf Pack played a soft non-conference schedule. The best team the played was St Mary's and they lost by 18. Iowa State is arguably going to be the best team they have played this season and the Cyclones come into the NCAA Tournament playing their best basketball of the season. They won the Big 12 tournament and finished 9-1 over their last 10. With so much attention going to Kansas, Baylor and West Virginia, a lot of people overlook how good this ISU team is. They have a ton of experience and one of the elite point guards in the country in senior Monte Morris.

Iowa State can knock down the 3-point shot with the best of them and that's worth noting as Nevada is just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 road games against a team that makes 8 or more 3-point shots per game. Cyclones are also 10-2 ATS in their last 12 tournament games and 9-1 in their last 10 road games after winning 3 of their last 4. Take Iowa State!

4* West Region Vegas Oddsmakers Error on Xavier +

I think the Big Ten isn't getting enough respect as a whole, but Maryland is one team I'm not sold on. The Terps have had a very fortunate run in close games and were not the same team down the stretch, going just 4-6 in their final 10 games. I know Xavier hit a rough patch as well later in the season, but I like how they responded in the Big East Tournament. I don't think they go far without Edmond Sumner, but after looking at this game closely I think they are the better team here and will find a way to win behind the play of Trevon Bluiett, who led the team in scoring at 18.1 ppg.

Musketeers have a history of exceeding expectations in the Big Dance, as they are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 games in the NCAA Tournament. They are also 16-6 ATS in their last 22 neutral site games and a perfect 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games with a total of 140 to 149.5. Take Xavier!

4* Big Dance Early Bird ATS Annihilator on UNC-Wilmington +

I really like the value here with UNC-Wilmington against the Cavaliers. This is not the same Virginia team that we have seen in recent years coming into the tournament. Sure they are still really good on the defensive side of the ball, but the offensive struggles are for real. The Seahawks aren't going to be intimidated by Virginia's defense, as they come in averaging 85.2 ppg on 48% shooting. They are especially dangerous from deep, as they average 10 made 3-pointers a game. I'm calling for Wilmington to get hot early and put Virginia on their heels. It wouldn't surprise me at all if the Seahawks won this game outright. Note they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral site underdog and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 NCAA Tournament games as a dog of 7 to 12.5 points. Take UNC-Wilmington!

5* First Round NIT Game of the Year on Iowa -

I look for the Hawkeyes to have no problem cashing in against South Dakota. Iowa is young team that really showed a lot of positive signs towards the end of the season. They ended up getting beat badly in the Big Ten Tournament by Indiana and I think it's going to have them coming out with a chip on their shoulder at home against the Coyotes. Iowa was a much better team at home and I wouldn't be surprised if the Hawkeyes ended up winning the NIT.

This isn't just a play on Iowa. South Dakota is in a brutal spot here having to try to emotionally get up for this game after coming so close to the NCAA Tournament. The Coyotes blew a double-digit half-time lead and lost on a last second shot to in-state rival South Dakota State in the Summit League Championship Game. Even if South Dakota State came in 100% locked in, I still think they would struggle to keep this close. Note they lost by 27 to Houston, 12 to Nebraska and by 37 to Gonzaga in non-conference play. Take Iowa!

4* NIT No Doubt ATS Annihilator on CS Bakersfield +

I really like the value here with the Roadrunners as a double-digit dog against the Golden Bears. Bakersfield won the WAC this year and while they suffered a heartbreaking loss in the title game against  New Mexico State, I believe this team is going to show up here against the likes of Cal. Two non-conference games for the Roadrunners that stand out were a mere 12-point loss at Arizona and just a 6-point defeat at SMU. This team isn't just capable of hanging in there with the Golden Bears, but winning this game outright. Keep in mind that this is not the tournament Cal expected to be in. On top of that, one of their best players in Jabari Bird is questionable and there's talk already starting about head coach Cuonzo Martin leaving town. Take CS Bakersfield!

4* NIT Situational Undervalued Underdog on Georgia Tech +

Indiana is the higher seed, which I think is playing into this line, but it's Georgia Tech that's the home team. That's a big time factor, as the Hoosiers are just 4-11 on the road this season. I know Georgia Tech was on the bubble later in the year than Indiana, but the Hoosiers came into the season ranked in the Top 15 in the country. To not be playing in the NCAA Tournament is a major disappointment. As for the Yellow Jackets, not getting to the tournament hurts, but this team wasn't even suppose to be a factor in the ACC this year. Head coach Josh Pastner has the program excited about what's to come and I look for this team to try and start building for next year with a strong showing in the NIT. Keep in mind that the Yellow Jackets are 15-4 at home with wins over the likes of Notre Dame, FSU, and North Carolina. Take Georgia Tech!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Wisconsin -

I really like the value here with the Badgers at basically a pick'em here against the Wolverines. Michigan is a great story with what they have done, but Wisconsin is playing their best basketball when it matters the most and are the much more rested team here. Michigan has done an amazing job riding the adrenaline of getting to the title game, but now that they have made it, I look for them to come out a bit flat. After that brutal stretch that saw them lose 5 of 6 late in the season, Wisconsin knows they desperately need to keep the momentum going if they want to make a run in the NCAA tournament. Badgers have rolled in each of their 2 games in the Big Ten tournament and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after back-to-back wins by 10 or more. Take Wisconsin!  

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Wisconsin - 

I really like the Badgers here as a short favorite against the Wildcats. Wisconsin has really turned it on after a miserable stretch late in the regular season and I look for them to keep it going against Northwestern. Wisconsin is going to be the much fresher team here, as yesterday's game was their first of the tournament, while the Wildcats are getting ready to play their 3rd game in 3 days. These two teams did meet up in the regular season, which Northwestern won at Wisconsin. That actually sets up a very profitable system. Favorites playing with revenge from a loss a home favorite of 7 or more are 76-44 (63%) against the spread when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days. Take Wisconsin! 

5* NCAAB SEC Game of the Month on Florida - 

I really like the Gators here against the Commodores. Kentucky is the team that gets all the hype, but Florida might just be the best team in the SEC. I know Vanderbilt has been playing better of late and just recently beat the Gators at home, I just think that adds more fuel to the fire for Florida in this one. I also think it has the line lower than what it should be. The thing that gets overlooked here is the fact that Florida has the big edge in rest, having not played yesterday. Gators are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 road games off a road loss by 3 points or less, 21-7 ATS in their last 28 games as a favorite and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 as a neutral site favorite. Vandy is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games as a dog. Take Florida! 

4* NCAAB Afternoon ATS Annihilator on South Carolina - 

I really like the value here with the Gamecocks as a short favorite against the Crimson Tide. South Carolina is just a notch below the two elite SEC teams in Kentucky and Florida. They just aren't getting much love right now, as they have gone just 1-8 ATS in their last 9. I see this as a statement game for the Gamecocks and they should be able to have their way here. South Carolina has a big time edge here in rest. They haven't played a game yet in the SEC Tournament and Alabama is playing their 2nd in as many days. The Crimson Tide did blowout Miss State yesterday, but are just 19-41-2 ATS in their last 62 off a SU win and a miserable 9-23 ATS in their last 32 after a came where they covered the spread and 2-9 ATS in their last 11 off a win by 10 or more. Take South Carolina! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS Shocker on Minnesota - 

I really like the value here with the Gophers in this one. I cashed in on Michigan State yesterday against an inferior Penn State team. The Spartans had the big edge in that one playing on multiple days of rest with the Nittany Lions in the 2nd game of a back-to-back. Now it's Minnesota who owns that advantage in rest. That's not all. The Gophers are out for double-revenge against Michigan State. This Minnesota team is a lot better than people think and are playing their best basketball right now. They come in having won 8 of their last 9. The last time these two teams played the Spartans won by double-digits on their home floor. That's worth noting, as Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 ATS this season when revenging a loss by 10 or more points. Take Minnesota! 

5* Big 10 Tournament Game of the Month on Northwestern -

I really like the value here with the Wildcats laying what I feel is a very short number against the Scarlet Knights. Rutgers was able to pull off the big upset win over Ohio State yesterday, but I just don't see this team being able to bring that same intensity on no rest against what I believe is going to be an extremely motivated Northwestern team that wants to get some momentum going into the tournament. Rutgers is a mere 17-41-1 ATS in their last 59 after a game where they covered the spread, 3-9 ATS in their last 12 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and 4-13 ATS in their last 17 after losing 15 or more of their last 20. Wildcats are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week and 11-2 in their last 13 road games after failing to cover the spread last time out. Take Northwestern! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Annihilator on Florida State -

I like the Seminoles to lay it on the Hokies today. Florida State has a big advantage here catching Va Tech on no rest after a hard fought win over Wake Forest yesterday. This Seminoles team I feel is flying under the radar and one that can not only do damage in the ACC Tournament but in the NCAA Tournament. The Hokies are a good team, but I just don't see them on the same level as the top teams in the ACC. Seminoles seem to step up their game when facing a good team, as they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 against a team that's won 60% to 80% of their games. It's also worth noting the Seminoles held Miami to just 57 points in their last game and are a perfect 6-0 ATS the last two years after holding an opponent to 60 points or less. Take Florida State!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Blowout on Butler - 

I like the value here with the Bulldogs laying what I think is a short number against the Musketeers. Xavier is not the same team right now as they were a couple months ago. They escaped with a 11-point win over DePaul yesterday, but played just 7 players and had 3 guys play 36+ minutes. Keep in mind the Blue Demons are the only team Xavier has beat since Feb. 4th. Bulldogs are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 neutral court games as a favorite of 6 or less, while the Musketeers are a mere 1-9 this season as an underdog. Take Butler! 

4* NCAAB Afternoon Vegas Insider on Michigan State - 

The Spartans are in rare territory this time a year, as they likely need to win this game to ensure a spot in the NCAA Tournament. I don't think that will be a problem for Izzo and Michigan State. The Spartans have gotten better and better as the season has progressed and are simply undervalued in this spot after losing their final two games of the regular season. However, both were on the road and by a mere 3-points a piece. I also think we are getting value here due to The Spartans losing to the Nittany Lions in their lone regular season meeting. Big edge here for Michigan State having yesterday off, while Penn State had to play Nebraska. Spartans are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 when playing on their 2nd game in a week and 31-10 ATS in their last 41 off a loss by 3 points or less. Take Michigan State! 

5* ACC Tournament Game of the Month on Louisville - 

I really like the value here with the Cardinals as a short favorite against the Blue Devils. Louisville has a big advantage here in rest, as this is their first game of the tournament, while Duke had to play yesterday. I also think the Cardinals are the better team. I know the Blue Devils are playing better of late, but there's something to be said about the Cardinals 9-point win over Duke earlier this season. Note that Duke is just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 after a game where they covered the spread, 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as a dog of 6.5 or less points and 4-11 ATS in their last 15 neutral site games. Take Louisville! 

4* Conference Tourn Undervalued Underdog on Texas +

I really like the value here with the Longhorns as a decently priced road dog against the Red Raiders. These two teams split their two regular season meetings, but Texas Tech is getting all the love here due to the fact that beat Texas on 67-57 at home on 3/1. I like the revenge angle here for the Longhorns and I feel like Texas is undervalued due to the fact that they have lost 7 straight. This team is a lot better than their record would suggest as they have had some tough luck in close games. As for the Red Raiders, it's not like they are lighting it up down the stretch. They are just 4-9 in their last 13. Texas Tech is just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games after losing 5 or 6 of their last 7 and 0-6 in their last 6 road games after losing 3 of their last 4. Longhorns on the other hand are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when revenging a road loss. Take Texas!

4* Oklahoma/TCU Big 12 Tourn ATS Annihilator on TCU

These two teams just closed out the regular season against each other with Oklahoma pulling out a 73-68 win at home. The Sooners covered as a short 3.5-point favorite and have now covered the number in 6 straight. TCU on the other hand has dropped 7 straight. Needless to say the public is going to be all over the Sooners here, but I think the value is with the Horned Frogs. I like the revenge angle and the fact that the Sooners are a miserable 3-12 SU away from home this season. Keep in mind that TCU beat Oklahoma at home. The Horned Frogs are also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 neutral site games. Take TCU!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Northwestern +

I really like the value here with the Wildcats as a home dog against the Boilermakers. Northwestern comes in off a thrilling 67-65 home win over Michigan and that victory was a big relief for the Wildcats, as it all but punched their ticket to the big dance. I look for them to come out relaxed and motivated here to build off that win in their home finale. Purdue on the other hand is in a tough spot. Not a lot to play for here, as the Boilermakers already have the Big 10 regular season title locked up. I think they struggle to match the intensity of the Wildcats in this one. Take Northwestern!

5* Duke/UNC ACC Game of the Month on North Carolina -

I like the Tar Heels to not only get their revenge from that earlier loss at Duke, but to do so in blowout fashion. While Duke has been playing better of late, I still North Carolina is the much better team and playing at home is a massive edge here. The Tar Heels are a perfect 14-0 at home this season and have double-digit wins over the likes of Louisville, Virginia, Syracuse and FSU in conference play. I don't think it will be any different against the Blue Devils.

Duke is just 2-8 ATS this season when they come in having won 8 or more of their last 10 games, while the Tar Heels are 10-3 ATS at home, 21-7-2 ATS in their last 30 as a favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 as a favorite in that range. Take North Carolina!

4* NCAAB Vegas No Doubt ATS Blowout on Utah -

The Utes come into this one off a 30-point (74-44) blowout win at home over California and I got no problem laying less than 10 points on Utah at home against the Cardinal. Stanford just lost 72-91 on Thursday at Colorado, dropping them to 4-10 on the road this season. It's not just the poor road record that has me like the Utes, it's the fact that Stanford is playing two road games at Colorado and then Utah in a span of just 3 days. That's as tough as it gets with the thin air players have to deal with.

Adding even more value here is that the Utes will be out for revenge from a 75-81 loss at Stanford back on 2/4. Utah is 31-14 ATS in their last 55 home games when playing on 1-day or less of rest, while the Cardinal are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 road games after playing their previous game on the road and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games off a conference road loss. Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational Undervalued Underdog on Notre Dame +

I like the value here with the Fighting Irish as a decently sized dog against the Cardinal. You don't hear a lot about them on TV, but Notre Dame is currently sitting second by themselves in the ACC, just 1-game back of North Carolina for the top spot (can tie with win and UNC loss to Duke). I just feel the Irish aren't getting near the respect they deserve in this one. Notre Dame is a veteran bunch that knows how to go on the road and win in a hostile environment and they already beat Louisville earlier this season at home 77-70.

The Cardinals come into this one off a 81-88 loss at Wake Forest on Wednesday and that's worth noting, as Louisville is just 9-23 ATS in their last 32 after playing a game where both teams scored 80 points or more. Cardinals are also just 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 as a home favorite of 7 to 12.5 points and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Irish are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Notre Dame!

4* NCAAB Early Bird ATS Annihilator on Illinois -

The Fighting Illini have really turned it on down the stretch. Illinois comes in having won 4 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. During this stretch they have impressive road wins over Northwestern, Iowa and Nebraska. I don't see the Illini letting their guard down here against Rutgers. The Scarlet Knights are a mere 2-15 in Big Ten play and come into this one having lost 6 straight. I know it's their home finale, but I just don't think that's a big deal for a team as bad as Rutgers.

Last time out Illinois defeated Michigan State 73-70 at home and that's worth noting, as the Illini are a dominant 22-8 ATS in their last 30 off a conference win by 3 points or less. They are also 12-3 AT in their last 15 against a team with a losing record. Take Illinois!

4* Evansville/Illinois St MVC Early Bird Heavy Hitter on Illinois St -

The Redbirds swept the season series against the Purple Aces, winning by 12 at home in the first meeting and 10 on the road in the rematch. I believe the 3rd time around is going to be an even bigger blowout, as Illinois State has a big time edge in rest. The Redbirds last played on 2/25, while Evansville had to lace them up last night against Indiana State. Big favorites playing with rest against an opponent off a cover and playing on no rest have been a very profitable bet over the years. Evansville is just 1-6 ATS over the last 3 years when revenging a loss of 10 or more points and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 when playing with double-revenge like we have here. Take Illinois State!

4* NCAAB Late Night ATS No Brainer on Utah -

I really like the value here with the Utes as a short home favorite against Cal. Utah is just below the top 3 teams (Arizona, UCLA & Oregon) in the Pac-12 and I just don't think they are getting the respect they deserve at home in this one. Utes are 9-7 in Pac-12 play with 5 of those losses coming on the road. The 2 home losses were a 1-point defeat to UCLA and 6-point loss to Oregon. Right now Utah is projected to make the NCAA Tournament, while Cal is. That only addes fuel to the fire here for the Utes and I expect them to deliver in a big way.

Utes are 34-17 ATS in their last 51 home games after losing 2 of their last 3, 36-19 in their last 55 home games after scoring 80 or more points in their last game and 23-9 ATS in their last 32 when revenging a loss of 3 points or less (lost 75-77 at Cal on 2/5). Take Utah!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on Colorado -

I like the value here with the Buffaloes as a relatively short home favorite against the Cardinal. Colorado comes in off a 81-86 home loss to Utah, but are still a very respectable 11-4 at home and I just don't see them dropping two straight on their home floor, especially with Stanford not being a great road team (4-9). This is also a bad spot for the Cardinal, who are coming off a crushing 73-75 home loss to Oregon. While that loss looks good on paper, it's really hard for a bad team like Stanford to bounce back from a defeat like that.

Cardinal are 7-21 ATS over the last 3 seasons in conference road games, 2-12 ATS in their last 14 off a conference loss and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games after covering the spread in 2 of their last 3 games. On top of that, the Buffaloes are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off an upset loss as a favorite. Take Colorado!

4* NCAAB Situational ATS Annihilator on TCU -

I really like the value here with the Horned Frogs laying a short number at home against the Wildcats. Both of these teams have struggled of late, but for TCU it's been more about a brutal schedule than anything. They have lost 5 straight but the 5 games were @ Baylor, Oklahoma St, @ ISU, @ Kansas and West Virginia. Without question the 5 best teams in the Big 12. As for the Wildcats, they just have lost all confidence and are a mere 2-8 in their last 10.

TCU already went on the road and beat K-State and I give the Horned Frogs a big advantage here with this being their home finale and how desperate they are going to be after losing their last 5 games. Note that the Wildcats are a mere 2-9 ATS when revenging a same season loss over the last 2 years. Take TCU!

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Tennessee -

LSU is a complete mess right now and not even their regular season home finale is going to snap them out of this slump. The Tigers come in having lost 15 straight and are just 5-10 ATS during this stretch. Note that all 5 of those games where they covered were on the road. LSU is a mere 3-11 ATS at home this season, as the books just aren't setting the lines high enough. I believe that's once again the case here, as Tennessee is more than capable of turning this into a blowout.

The Vols are just 1-4 in their last 5, but the losses have come against Georgia, Kentucky, Vanderbilt and South Carolina, 4 of the better teams in the SEC at the moment. The lone game against a bottom feeder like LSU was a home game against Missouri, which they won by 20. It's also worth noting that Tennessee has played well on the road this season. The Vols are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games off 2 or more losses and 13-4 ATS in their last 17 off a conference loss by 20 or more points. Take Tennessee!

4* NCAAB Late Night Heavy Hitter on Iowa State -

I really like the value here with the Cyclones at basically a pick'em at home against the Cowboys. Iowa State has quietly been playing their best basketball of the season and come into this game in sole possession of 2nd place in the Big 12, yet are only ranked No. 24 in the country. Hilton will be electric with ISU playing their final home game of the season and even more so given how well Oklahoma State has been playing. While the Cowboys have won 10 of their last 11 they lost by 10 at home to Iowa State earlier this season and that was with them shooting 53% from the field.

Cyclones come in off a big win and cover against Baylor on Saturday and are a dominant 20-8 ATS in their last 28 home games off a home win against a conference opponent. It's also worth noting that OK State is just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 as a road dog of 3 or less, while ISU is 27-4 as a home favorite of 3 or less. Take Iowa State!

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Providence -

The fact that the Friars lost 63-64 at DePaul earlier this season will have some questioning why Providence is such a big favorite here, but I think it's more than warranted. The Friars are playing their best basketball of the season right now, as they come in having won 4 straight over the likes of Butler, Xavier, Creighton and Marquette. Providence isn't going to over look DePaul given the first meeting and I expect them to get their revenge in blowout fashion.

The Friars are a 14-3 at home this season, compared to 4-8 on the road, so the road loss to DePaul isn't a huge shocker. On the flip side of this, DePaul is 1-11 on the road, where they are getting outscored by nearly 14.5 ppg. Coming off a crushing 79-82 home loss to Seton Hall, I just don't see them being all that interested in a meaningless game. DePaul is 5-13 ATS in their last 18 road games off a home game and 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games off a loss. Friars are 9-2 ATS when revenging a road loss. Take Providence!

4* West Virginia/Baylor ATS No Brainer on West Virginia +

I played against Baylor successfully on Saturday at ISU and will fade them once again, as they get ready to host West Virginia. The Mountaineers tormented the Bears at home in a 89-69 win back on 1/3. The win snapped Baylor's perfect 15-0 start to the season, which had just got them to No. 1 in the polls. West Virginia's press gave the Bears a lot of problems, as Baylor turned it over 29 times. Sure they shouldn't turn it over that much at home, but they could be without starting point guard Manu Lecomte, who is questionable after leaving their last game against ISU early. Even if he does play, he's not going to be at full strength and if he doesn't the West Virginia press could cause chaos once again.

The Mountaineers are also playing the much better basketball right now. They are 8-2 in their last 10 and one of those losses was that unthinkable 14-point collapse at Kansas in the final minutes. Baylor on the other hand is just 3-5 in their last 8. Bears are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on Monday. Take West Virginia!