Sports Picks & Predictions

4* NCAAB Non-Conf Game of the Week  on Alabama +

I like the value here with the Crimson Tide as a home dog against the Sooners on Saturday. I think we are getting a great price here on Alabama because of how much love Oklahoma is getting because of the play of Trae Young. The Sooners have lost 3 straight on the road and couldn't be in a bigger letdown spot after their huge win over Kansas earlier this week. 

Alabama on the other hand is very tough to take down on their home court. The Crimson Tide are a perfect 4-0 at home in SEC play and 9-1 overall. That includes a 22-point win over Texas A&M and a victory over Auburn, who is on top the SEC and has a 18-2 record overall. Adding to this is the fact that Oklahoma is a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 road games when listed as a favorite. Take Alabama! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on Duke -

I like the value here with the Blue Devils laying a short number at home against Virginia in Saturday's huge ACC showdown. Duke was widely considered the most talented team in the country coming into the season and they haven't disappointed. The fact that the Cavaliers are 19-1 is certainly helping us here and I'm not saying Virginia isn't a good team, I just don't think they can keep it this close against Duke on their home floor.

The Blue Devils are a perfect 10-0 at home this season, where they are averaging 96 ppg. As good as the Cavaliers are defensively, they haven't seen anything like what Duke is going to bring to the table on Saturday and I don't think they have the offensive fire-power to keep pace. 

Adding to all of this is a great system backing a fade of Virginia here. Road underdogs who are an excellent defensive team, allowing 63 or less points/game, and fresh off a game where they held their opponent to 50 or less are just 16-46 (26%) ATS when facing an average defensive team that allows 67-74 points/game. Take Duke! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Dartmouth +

I like the value here with the Big Green as a decently priced road dog against the Bears on Friday. Dartmouth is getting zero love here due to the fact that they are just 4-11 overall and have lost 5 straight. The key here is that Brown is a team they can not only hang with on the road, but beat outright. 

The Big Green lost by just 5 points in their last game, but failed to cover as a 4.5-point dog. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 off a game where they didn't cover, 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 off a SU defeat and 13-4 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come into a game having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7. Take Dartmouth! 

5* NCAAB Small Conf GAME OF THE MONTH  on St. Peter's +

I love the value and the spot here with the Peacocks catching a big number here on the road against the Broncs.   St. Peter's comes in having lost 4 straight, but have been a lot more competitive than you would think for a team on a 4-game skid. All 4 losses came by 12-points or less, including a mere 4-point loss at home to Rider. Revenge is a big time motivator in college sports and I wouldn't be surprised at all if the Peacocks returned the favor and won this game outright. 

The road team has dominated this series, going 27-10-2 ATS in the last 39 meetings, with St. Peter's going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Rider. The Peacocks are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 road games off a loss. The Broncs are also just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home games after 3 or more consecutive wins and 5-15 ATS in their last 20 off a close road win by 3 points or less. Take St. Peter's!

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT B-L-O-W-O-U-T on Santa Clara +

I like the value here with the Broncos catching near double-digits on the road against the Toreros. While San Diego comes in with an overall record of just 7-13, they are 4-4 in conference play. The Broncos lost 60-75 at home to the Gonzaga in their last game, but did cover as a 20 point dog.

Santa Clara is 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games off a conference loss and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 road games off a loss by 15 or more points. San Diego on the other hand is just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in favor of the Broncos. Road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are off a cover where they lost outright are 66-33 (67%) ATS when facing a team off a road loss by 10 or more points. Take Santa Clara! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS NO BRAINER on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe catching what I feel is way too many points here against the Tigers. This line would suggest that Towson is the much better team. I don't think that's the case at all. William & Mary is 6-2 in conference play, while the Tigers are just 4-4 and fresh off a loss as a 5.5-point favorite at Wilmington. The Tribe on the other hand just won by 7 on the road as a dog against Elon and are now 6-4 away from home this season. 

Tribe are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after scoring 80 or more points, 7-0 ATS after a game where they shot 50% or better from the field and 10-0 ATS in their last 10 when revenging a loss. Take William & Mary! 

5* NCAAB CAA (Colonial) GAME OF THE MONTH on Northeastern +

I love the value here with the Huskies at basically a pick'em here against the Pride. Northeastern is tied with William & Mary on top the CAA and red-hot right now having won 3 straight, which includes a 20-point road win over William & Mary. I look for the Huskies to have no problem here coming away with a win against Hofstra. 

The Pride upset Northeastern on the road earlier this season, which only adds more fuel to the fire here for the Huskies. Hofstra failed to cover in their last game and that's worth noting, as they are just 1-11 ATS in their last 12 home games after failing to cover the spread. The Pride are also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games overall and 3-15 ATS over the last 3 seasonswhen playing for just the second time in a week stretch. 

Adding to all of this is a great system in play on the Huskies. Road teams who are listed at +3 to -3 that are revenging a home loss and have won each of their last 2 games by 10 or more points are 30-9 (77%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Northeastern! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Quinnipiac +

I like the value with the Bobcats at basically a pick'em here against the Red Foxes. While Quinnipiac is just 2-9 on the road, Marist is just 3-5 at home and have just 1 win in their last 6 games. They are also just 2-8 in their last 10 overall. 

Bobcats come into this one off a 76-69 win at home over Siena as a 2-point favorite and are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a contest in which they covered the spread. The Bobcats are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team with a losing record, while the Red Foxes are a mere 8-19-1 ATS in their last 28 home games vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take Quinnipiac! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Missouri -

I like the value here with Missouri as a short home favorite against Auburn on Wednesday. Missouri has been better than most expected after losing star freshman Michael Porter Jr and as a result have been undervalued in a number of their games. I really like them here at home at basically a pick'em, as they are 9-1 on their home floor this season. 

Auburn comes in at 17-2 and have been a big surprise, but I also think they aren't quite as good as their record would suggest. Auburn played a really weak non-conference schedule and have yet to face the elite teams in the SEC. They recently lost at Alabama as a 5-point favorite and struggled in their previous road game against a mediocre Mississippi State team. Take Missouri! 

5* NCAAB 'ACC' GAME OF THE MONTH on Miami -

I love the value we are getting here with the Hurricanes as a short home favorite against the Cardinals. Louisville is getting way too much respect coming off a 4-game winning streak, while Miami isn't getting near enough respect due to the fact that they come in having lost 2 of their last 3. They did however win their last game, going on the road and handing NC State a rare loss on their home floor. 

One of the key factors here is the home court advantage for the Hurricanes, who are 6-1 at home with the only loss coming against Duke in a game they should have won (led by double-digits). Louisville is 15-4 overall, but just 3-3 away from home and I believe this is their biggest road test since losing 61-90 at Kentucky. They also lost 69-74 at Clemson in ACC play. 

Cardinals are also just 9-19 ATS in their last 28 road games after a win, while the Hurricanes are a dominant 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a contest where they made 55% or more of their field goal attempts. Take Miami! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Georgia Tech +

I like the value here with the Yellow Jackets as a double-digit road dog against the Seminoles on Wednesday. Last time out Georgia Tech pushed as a 14-point dog at UNC and the previous game they failed to cover as a 7.5-point home dog to Virginia (lost 48-64). I think those two results are creating the value here with the Yellow Jackets, as well as the fact that the Seminoles are off a 9-point win and cover as a 2-point dog at Va Tech. 

Prior to losing their last two, the Yellow Jackets had really been playing well. They had won 4 straight and covered 5 in a row. I just think they took a big step up in class against the Tar Heels and Cavaliers. FSU is a good team, but I think they are a bit overrated and that's been evident by their mere 3-4 record in ACC play. Seminoles likely win, but I see a much closer game than books are suggesting. Take Georgia Tech! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on LSU +

I love the value here with LSU as a home dog against the Aggies on Tuesday.  Texas A&M comes in having won their last two, but those were home games against Missouri and Ole Miss. Nothing to get excited about. Prior to that they had lost 5 straight and are winless on the road in SEC play with two of the three losses coming by double digits. 

LSU has dropped 3 straight and that's playing into the value here. The Aggies did managed to cover in their most recent win over Missouri, but that's not a good thing for them in terms of covering tonight. Texas A&M is a mere 3-13 ATS over the last 2 seasons after a game where they covered the spread. They are also just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 SEC games and and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs a team with a winning record. Take LSU! 

3* NCAAB KU/Oklahoma ATS ANNIHILATOR  on Oklahoma -

My money is on the Sooners laying a short number at home against the Jayhawks on Tuesday. Oklahoma comes in having lost 2 straight, but both were on the road. The Sooners are a perfect 9-0 at home this season, including a 4-0 record in Big 12 play. 

Defense has been a problem for Kansas inside conference play. While the Jayhawks are allowing just 69.8 ppg on the season, they are giving up 76.9 ppg in the Big 12. Now they go up against one of the most explosive offenses in the country in Oklahoma, which averages 98.9 ppg at home behind freshman sensation Trae Young, who leads the nation at 30.5 ppg. 

KU is a mere 3-7 ATS in their last 10 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 following a SU win. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NCAAB K-State/Baylor VEGAS INSIDER on Baylor -

I like the value here with the Bears as a short home favorite against the Wildcats on Monday. Baylor is just 2-5 SU in their last 7 games, but have covered 4 of their last 5, including a mere 3-point loss at Kansas in their last game as a 8-point dog. The previous game they won by 16 at home against Oklahoma St as a similar 4.5-point favorite to what we see here against K-State. 

This has the feeling of a must win game for the Bears and I expect an all-out effort here. I don't think K-State is going to be able to match that intensity. This has the makings of a letdown spot for the Wildcats, who are coming off two huge wins at home over Top 25 teams and have played 5 ranked teams in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 against a team that's won more than 60% of their games and I expect them to cruise to a win here. Take Baylor! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers catching points on the road against the Peacocks. These are two very similar teams and this line suggests that St. Peter's is the superior side. I don't think that's the case at all and wouldn't be the last bit surprised if the Jaspers won this game outright. 

The other big thing here is the Peacocks aren't playing great basketball right now. St. Peter's comes in having lost 3 straight. The most recent being a 84-88 outright loss at home to Rider as a 4-point favorite. Peacocks are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Jaspers on the other hand are 4-1 ATS last 5 off a SU loss and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games against a team with a winning home record. Take Manhattan! 

5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Pepperdine +

I love the value here with the Waves as a double-digit dog against the Dons on Saturday. We are simply seeing a big overreaction here by the books due to Pepperdine coming in with a 3-16 record and 0-7 mark in league play. San Francisco hasn't exactly been playing well, as they have lost 3 straight, including a 62-65 loss at home to Santa Clara as a 10-point favorite in their last game.

The Dons are also just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs a team with a losing record. 

Adding to this is a great system in favor of the Waves. Road teams off 2 straight conference losses by 10 or more and revenging a same season loss are 89-49 (65%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Pepperdine! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Marist +

I like the value here with the Red Foxes as a big road dog against the Broncs. Maris is just 4-14 on the season, but 2 of those wins have come in league play. That poor record has led to them being undervalued by the books and they come in having covered 3 straight. The most recent being a mere 3-point loss at Siena as a 7.5-point dog. They also lost by just 1-point at Quinnipiac as a 7.5-point dog in their previous road game. 

Rider comes in playing well, but are just 12-25 ATS in their last 37 home games when they come in having won 4 of their last 5. The Red Foxes have been a great bet against good teams, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. The road team is also 12-5 ATS in their last 17 meetings overall. Take Marist! 

3* NCAAB Vegas ATS ANNIHILATOR on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe as a short road dog against the Phoenix. William & Mary come in off a couple of blowout losses at home against two of the top teams in the CAA in Northeastern and Towson. Prior to that they had started out 5-0 in conference play and I look for them to bounce back in a big way here against Elon. 

Tribe are 27-8-2 ATS in their last 37 off a SU loss and 19-7-2 ATS in their last 26 off a double-digit loss at home. They are also 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games after playing 3 or more straight games at home and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 on the road vs a team with a winning home record. Take William & Mary! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Cal Poly -

I like the value here with the Mustangs as a short road favorite against the Matadors. Cal Poly comes in off a couple of hard fought losses on the road against Hawaii and UC-Irvine and I think they are primed to bounce back with a big win here against Northridge. Cal Poly is scoring 73.7 ppg in conference play, while the Matadors are averaging a horrific 59 ppg on just 36.2% shooting. That makes it tough to win regardless if you are playing at home or on the road. 

Northridge is just 8-22 ATS in their last 30 home games against a team with a losing road record and a mere 1-10 ATS in their last 11 as a home underdog and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games played on Saturday. Take Cal Poly! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching points on the road against the Dukes. Neither of these teams have been very good in league play, as both come in with a 1-6 record in conference games. I just think the books are giving James Madison too much respect here in what I think is a very evenly matched game, especially with the Dukes missing second leading scorer Joey McLean. 

Both teams also figure to be a bit fatigued playing on one day of rest and it's a spot that James Madison has struggled with, as they are just 2-13 ATS in their last 15 when playing on 1 or less day  of rest. It's worth noting that last time out the Dragons lost by 22 at Towson, as they are 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games off a road loss by 20 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Early Bird HEAVY HITTER  on Niagara +

I like the value here with the Purple Eagles catching points against the Stags. Niagara shouldn't be a dog in this one. Fairfield is just 6-11 overall and a mere 1-5 in league play. The Purple Aces are 12-8 overall with a 5-2 record in conference games and are 7-3 SU and 6-2 ATS on the road this season. 

Niagara is also playing some of their best basketball right now. They just won at Quinnipiac, extending their winning streak to 5. The Stags are headed in the exact opposite direction, as they have lost 5 straight. The most recent being a 6-point loss at Marist as a 5-point favorite. They also lost the game before that at home to Manhattan as a 6.5-point favorite. 

Niagara is a big time threat offensively, averaging 83 ppg and that's worth noting as Fairfield is a mere 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games vs teams who average more than 77 ppg. Purple Eagles are also 26-13 ATS in their last 39 road games vs bad teams who have won between 20% to 40% of their games. Take Niagara! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on North Dakota State +

I like the value here with the Bison catching points on the road against the Mastodons. North Dakota State comes in off an upset loss at home to in-state rival North Dakota. I believe it's going to have the Bison 100% locked in for this showdown against Ft-Wayne.

I don't think there's any question that North Dakota State is the better team. These two teams have 4 common opponents. The Bison are 3-1 in these games, while the Mastodons are just 2-2. NDSU averaged 80.3 ppg against these teams, while giving up only 67 (+13.3). Ft-Wayne only average 72 ppg and allowed 72.8 (-0.8). 

Mastodons are just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 conference games and a mere 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 off a game where they failed to cover the spread. Bison are 5-2 ATS last 7 on the road and 4-0 ATS last 4 off a SU loss. Take North Dakota State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider GAME OF THE MONTH on Yale -

I love the value here with the Bulldogs as a short road favorite against the Bears. These two teams come in with similar overall records and each has played only one league game so far. I think it's got Yale way undervalued here. The Bulldogs were expected to give Harvard a run for their money for the Ivy League title, while Brown was picked by many to finish in the bottom 3 of the league. 

It also just so happens that these two teams only league game was against each other with Yale winning 78-72 at home. While the Bulldogs only won by 6, it should have been more, as they shot 50% from the field and the Bears shot only 43.4%. 

I'm not concerned with the change in venue. Yale has been a great road team when in a similar spot to what we see here. The Bulldogs are 33-16 ATS in their last 49 as a road favorite of 6 or less dating back to 1997 and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 as a road favorite over the last 3 seasons. Take Yale! 

5* NCAAB Pac-12 GAME OF THE MONTH on Oregon State +

I love the value here with the Beavers as a home dog against the Bruins. UCLA will be the popular side, but I don't trust the Bruins on the road in this spot. Last time out UCLA lost at home to Colorado 59-68 as a 11-point favorite. The Bruins have only played 3 true road games and the lone win was against a bad Cal team. 

Oregon State might not look like much on paper, especially given they come in having lost 3 of their last 4, but the Beavers are a vastly improved team. Two of those losses came on the road against Arizona and Arizona State (covered both). The other was a 2-point home loss to Utah. Earlier they beat Colorado at home by 19 and I think their ability to frustrate teams defensively will allow them to pull of the upset here. 

UCLA is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 off a SU loss, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 on the road vs a team with a winning record. Take Oregon State! 

4* NCAAB Vegas Line Mistake on Pepperdine +

I like the value here with the Waves catching double-digits on the road against the Tigers. Needless to say it's been a tough stretch for Pepperdine, as they come in at just 3-15 overall and are 0-8 on the road and 0-6 in conference play. I believe all of that has the Waves way undervalued here against a pretty average Pacific side that is just 9-10 on the year. 

I also think it's going to be tough for the Tigers to give the Waves the respect they deserve, as they are riding high off 3 straight wins and have 3 big games against top tier teams in the conference on deck. Pacific comes in off a 66-54 win at Portland as a 3.5-point favorite, which is worth noting, as the Tigers are just 3-11 ATS after playing their previous game as a favorite and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 after allowing 60 points or less. Take Pepperdine! 

5* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER Top Play on Rider +

I love the value here with the Broncs catching points against the Peacocks. Rider is 11-7 with a 4-2 mark in conference play, while St. Peter's is just 8-9 overall and 2-4 in league play. 

Last time out the Broncs were embarrassed in a 64-91 defeat at Iona, but that puts them in a great spot to rebound and cover against the Peacocks. Rider is 11-2 ATS in their last 13 after allowing 80 or more points and a perfect 6-0 ATS after giving up 90+. 

The Broncs are also 4-1-1 ATS in their lat 6 road games against a team with strong home record of 60% or better. On top of that, the road team in the series is 26-10-2 over the last 38 meetings, with the Broncs going 5-1 ATS in their last 6 trips to St. Peters's. Take Rider! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued Underdog  on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons as a big road dog against the Tigers. Last time out Drexel lost at home to Hofstra 86-91. It was a dismal defensive performance by the Dragons, who not only gave up 90 points, but allowed Hofstra to shoot 61% from the field. Drexel has responded well from a poor defensive effort, as they are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after allowing more than 90 points. 

The other big key here is how strong the road team has been in this series. The home team is a mere 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. On top of that, Towson is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 home games when they come in having won 2 of their last 3. Take Drexel! 

3* NCAAB Late Night ATS Annihilator on San Diego State -

I like the value here with the Aztecs at home in Wednesday's late night action against the Bulldogs. This is a big bounce back spot for San Diego State, as they come in off a tough 80-83 loss at Boise State over the weekend. Prior to that the Aztecs had won 3 straight all by double-digits. This is also a big revenge game for the SDSU, as they were upset by Fresno State on their home floor last year. 

The Bulldogs come in off a win over New Mexico at home, but failed to cover as a big favorite. It continued a trend of Fresno State failing to cash, as they are now 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games. They are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games (Aztecs are 7-1 at home) and are 0-4 ATS off a SU win. Take San Diego State! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on IUPU Ft Wayne -

I love the value here with the Mastodons as a short road favorite against the Leathernecks. Western Illinois has started out 0-3 in the Summit and that's really not a surprise, as the Leathernecks were the consensus pick to finish in the basement of the league. All 3 losses have come by 12 or more points, including a 21-point loss at home to Nebraska-Omaha as a 3-point favorite. Ft Wayne is 2-2 and last time they beat Nebraska-Omaha at home, which is a good sign that they can make easy work of Western Illinois and cover this spread on the road. 

One thing the Mastodons do well is connect from outside. They come in averaging 10 made 3-pointers per game and that's worth noting as the Leathernecks are just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 vs teams who average 8 or more made 3-pointers. Western Illinois is also just 3-11 ATS in their last 14 home games when playing a team with a winning record. Take IUPU Ft Wayne! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS Blowout on Temple -

I like the value here with the Owls laying single digits at home against the Golden Hurricane. Both teams come in off heartbreaking losses. Tulsa lost at home by 3-points to No. 5 Wichita State, while Temple fell on a last second shot in OT at home to Memphis. My money here is on the Owls to have the easier time bouncing back from defeat. 

Tulsa put everything they had into that game against the Shockers and I just don't think they will have a lot left in the tank on the road. Note that their last two road games didn't end well, losing by 23 at Houston and by 9 at Memphis. On the flip side, the Owls likely didn't come out with the right intensity against the Tigers as they were fresh off an upset win at SMU as a 10-point dog. 

Golden Hurricane are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games overall and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games off a conference loss. Take Temple! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Ole Miss +

I like the value here with the Rebels as a double-digit dog against the Aggies on Tuesday. Texas A&M was expected to be a Top 10 caliber a team this year and they were well on their way after a 11-1 start. Then things started to go unravel, as players were suspended and injuries piled up. The suspensions aren't a good sign that everyone is all in on the team and I just think this is way too many points for them to be laying. 

Texas A&M comes in having lost 5 straight. The most recent being a 13-point loss at Tennessee. They have also lost at home to LSU and Florida during this stretch. Ole Miss isn't a top tier team in the SEC, but are more than capable of keeping this game close. In fact, the Rebels are 16-4 ATS in their last 20 as a road dog of 10 or more, while the Aggies are a mere 4-13 ATS in their last 17 as a home favorite. Take Ole Miss! 

5* NCAAB 'SEC' GAME OF THE MONTH  on LSU -

I like the value here with the Tigers laying a short number at home against Georgia. LSU has been one of the big surprises early on this season out of the SEC, as not much was expected after last year's 10-21 campaign. Will Wade has done a tremendous job in year one turning the Tigers into a contender and as a result LSU has been a team constantly undervalued by the books. I think that's exactly the case here at home against the Bulldogs. 

Georgia is a good team, but aren't exactly playing well at the moment. They just lost by 7 at home to South Carolina as a 5-point favorite and the game before that they fell by 12 at Missouri. The road struggles have been a theme all season and a big reason why I got no problem laying this short number on LSU here. The Tigers are 7-3 at home and the Bulldogs are a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. 

Georgia's offense has been struggling and have really relied on the defense to keep them a float. In that loss to the Gamecocks, they scored just 57 points and allowed only 64. That's worth bringing up, as the Bulldogs are a miserable 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games after a game where both teams scored fewer than 65 points. Take LSU! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on DePaul +

I like the value here with the Blue Demons catching double-digits on the road against the Golden Eagles. DePaul is just 1-4 in their last 5, but have been competitive during this stretch outside a blowout loss to Villanova. They only lost by 5 at Xavier, 9 at Georgia, won by 17 at St John's and lost by just 7 to Providence. 

Marquette is a decent team, but I think they are getting a little too much respect here against the Blue Demons. The Golden Eagles lost by 11 last time out at Butler and could struggle to get up for this game against an inferior opponent. Plus, Marquette has a big break looming, as they won't play again until 1/24. 

Blue Demons are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning home record, while the Golden Eagles are just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 after allowing 90 or more points in their previous game. Take DePaul! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Indiana -

I like the value here with the Hoosiers at basically a pick'em at home against the Wildcats. We saw Indiana cover in a very similar spot last time out, defeating Penn State 74-70 as a 1.5-point home favorite. The Hoosiers are now 8-3 at home on the season and I think they should be a much bigger favorite here. Big reason they aren't is the fact that Northwestern comes in off a 23-point win at home over Minnesota as a mere 4-point favorite. This is also a Wildcats team a lot was expected of coming into the season, so the books will be quick to overvalue them off a performance like that. 

The Wildcats are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU win and are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Hoosiers are 4-1 ATS last 5 at home and are a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 games against a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Indiana! 

3* NCAAB Prime Time HEAVY HITTER on Arkansas -

I like the value here with the Razorbacks as a short home favorite against the Tigers. Last time out Arkansas was upset on their home court by LSU, as the Tigers embarrassed the Razorbacks by 21 points. That was Arkansas first home loss of the season and even with that lopsided defeat the Razorbacks are still outscoring teams on their home floor by nearly 20 ppg. 

Any time a team gets embarrassed the way Arkansas was in their last game, they almost always respond with one of their best efforts in their next game, especially at home. They also make a great team to back, as you often get them at a discount off the blowout loss. Missouri is a good team and playing better than expected without Porter Jr, but are just 4-3 on the road and I just don't see them matching the intensity of the Razorbacks in this one. Take Arkansas! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Hofstra -

I like the value here the Pride as a short road favorite against the Dragons. Hofstra comes in off a 76-73 win at Towson as a 5-point dog. Their previous road game they won 71-70 at Northeastern as a 5.5-point dog. The Pride are now 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 road games vs a team with a winning home record. 

On the flip side of this Drexel is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games and are a dismal 1-10 ATS in their last 11 conference games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 home games vs a team with a road winning percentage of 60% or better. Take Hofstra!

5* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER Top Play on Towson +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching points on the road against the Tribe. I also think the books are tipping their hand in this one. William & Mary, who are only laying 3-points despite the fact that they come in having won 5 straight and are a perfect 7-0 at home. 

The Tigers have a history of stepping up their game against top level teams on the road. Towson is a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games when matched up against top level teams who are outscoring opponents on averaging by 8 or more points/game. The road team is also a solid 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in the series. Take Towson! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Iowa State +

I like the value here with the Cyclones catching points at home against the Bears. Not a lot was expected of this Iowa State team after all they lost from last year's team, but they have been better than expected, despite the results not going their way. Last time out they went on the road and gave Kansas a massive scare before eventually losing 78-83. 

This is a team that has one of the biggest home court advantages in the country and Hilton should be rocking this afternoon. Baylor also hasn't been playing all that great in league play, as they are just 1-3 in the Big 12. They have lost both road games, including a 24-point loss at Texas Tech. 

Cyclones are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 after 2 straight games where they scored 75 points or more, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on Saturday and 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs a team with a losing road record. Take Iowa State! 

4* NCAAB Oklahoma/TCU NO BRAINER on Oklahoma -

I like the value here with the Sooners in Saturday's Big 12 showdown against TCU. Oklahoma has come out of nowhere to be a force behind freshman sensation Trae Young. These two teams already played once and the Sooners knocked off the Horned Frogs at TCU. Oklahoma took control of that game late after trailing early. I expect them to dominate from the start here at home, where they are a perfect 8-0 on the season, outscoring opponents by more than 21 ppg. 

This is also a tough spot for TCU. The Horned Frogs have found life a lot harder in conference play, as they are just 1-3 in the Big 12. Last time out they suffered a crushing double-overtime loss at Texas. I just don't think they will have enough gas in the tank to keep this one close. Take Oklahoma! 

4* NCAAB Ivy League NO BRAINER Columbia +

I like the value here with the Lions catching double-digits on the road against the Tigers. Columbia comes in with a miserable 3-10 record, but have won each of their last two games and are catching Princeton off a crushing 70-76 loss at Penn in their Ivy League opener.

I look for the Lions to keep this one close, as they have in their last several trips to Princeton. Last year Columbia lost by just 2-points on the road agains the Tigers as a 14-point dog and are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 trips to Princeton. 

It's also worth noting the Tigers are just 1-6 ATS in their last 7 off a SU loss and a mere 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games after playing 3 or more straight road games. Lions are 32-11 ATS in their last 43 as a road dog of 6.5 to 12 points and perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 road games after leading in their previous game by 20 or more points at the half. Take Columbia! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS HEAVY HITTER on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number against the Broncs. Quinnipiac comes in having failed to cover 3 straight and last time they played on the road they lost by 26 to St. Peter's. On the flip side of this, Rider has won and covered 3 straight. There's little doubt these recent results are playing into this big number here with the Bobcats. 

The Broncs are just 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games after 3 or more consecutive wins and a mere 15-29 in their last 44 off 3 straight conference wins. Quinnipiac on the other hand has been great in this spot, going 6-2-2 ATS in their last 10 road games against at team with a winning home record. 

We also find a great system in play on the Bobcats. Road teams off a home win as a favorite where they didn't cover the spread are 44-16 (73%) ATS when playing on Friday over the last 5 seasons. Take Quinnipiac! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on St. Peter's

I love the value here with the Peacocks catching points on the road against the Golden Griffins. St. Peter's has owned this series of late, winning 4 of the last 5 meetings, including their last trip to Canisius, as well as their meeting in the MAAC Tournament. Going back even further the Peacocks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games against the Golden Griffins. 

St. Peter's is also a team that has consistently played well on the road against quality opponents, as they are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 road games against a team with a winning home record. They are also working on a 35-16 ATS run in their last 51 conference games and are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 when coming off a game where they covered the spread. 

Not only did the Peacocks cover in their last game, they absolutely destroyed Quinnipiac at home 84-58. That has them in a very profitable situation over the last 5 seasons. Road underdogs off a win by 20 or more at least 15 games into the season are 36-9 (80%) ATS if the game is between two average teams with a +/- 3.5 ppg differential. Take St. Peter's! 

5* NCAAB *WCC* GAME OF THE MONTH on San Diego +

I like the value here with the Toreros at basically a pick'em on the road against the Tigers. San Diego comes in at 12-4, but are fresh off a 63-70 loss at St Mary's, which snapped a 4-game winning streak. I look for the Toreros to bounce back in a big way here against a Pacific team that isn't very good. The Tigers are just 7-10 overall and are a mere 2-6 in their last 8. 

More than anything, Pacific should not be favored here against San Diego. You won't find me complaining. The Toreros are 15-3 ATS in their last 18 road games with an impressive 13-2 ATS mark in their last 15 as a road underdog. Pacific won last time out, which is also a plus, as the Tigers are a mere 2-12 in their last 14 off a win and 1-9 ATS when that win was at home. Take San Diego! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching points on the road against the Blue Hens. Drexel is simply undervalued because their record doesn't stack up with Delaware, but I view these two teams as one in the same. If anything, I would argue the Blue Hens are the lesser of the two teams. Either way, the play here is with the Dragons, who I'm confident will win this game outright. 

Delaware is not a good home team. They are just 4-4 on their home floor, where they are getting outscored on the season. The Blue Hens are also just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 home games when they come into a game having won 5 or 6 of their last 7. Also a great spot to back the Dragons off their blowout loss to William & Mary, as they are 19-8 ATS in their last 27 off a loss by 20 or more points. Take Drexel! 

4* NCAAB Small Conf ATS NO-BRAINER on Hofstra +

I like the value here with the Pride catching points on the road agains the Tigers. Towson has the better overall record, but I don't think there's much that separates these two teams. Both are 2-2 in league play and if anything the Pride have played the tougher schedule to this point. 

My numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em, making this an easy play for me on Hofstra. Note that the Pride are an impressive 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 road games against a team with a winning record and 14-3 in their last 17 as a road dog, including a perfect 7-0 ATS mark in their last 7 as a road dog of 3.5 to 6 points. Take Hofstra! 

5* NCAAB *MAAC* GAME OF THE MONTH on Manhattan +

I like the value here with the Jaspers catching points against the Stags. Manhattan has already beat Fairfield once this season. The Jaspers held the Stags to just 35% from the field, while they connected on 59% of their shots. There's simply no reason that Manhattan should be this big of a dog here. In fact, my numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em. 

Fairfield is only 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games following 3 or more consecutive road games and a mere 1-5 ATS in their last 6 following a loss. Jaspers on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs a team with a winning home record. 

We also have a great system in play backing a fade of the Stags. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points who are a good free throw shooting team (69-73%) against an average free throw shooting team (65-69%), after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent are a mere 16-43 (27%) ATS since 1997. Take Manhattan! 

4* NCAAB 'Late Night' BAILOUT BLOWOUT  on SMU -

This is likely going to seem like a big number to back SMU at home with against Temple. The Owls got off to a decent start, racking up non-conference wins over the likes of South Carolina, Wisconsin and St Joseph's. However, they come in at just 7-8 overall and have lost 5 straight. The most recent being a 21-point loss at UCF as a mere 5-point dog.

I actually think there's some value here with SMU, who is a completely different team at home than on the road. The Mustangs lost their last two, fallowing 70-73 at Tulane as a 7.5-point favorite and 56-76 at Cincinnati as a 7.5-point dog. That should have SMU 100% locked in for this game and I look for them to lay in on the Owls. 

The Mustangs are 11-0 at home, where they are outscoring their opponents by 23.5 ppg, as they are shooting 50.1% from the field and holding their opponents to just 36.8% from the field at home. Mustangs are also 21-6-1 ATS in their last 28 home games and 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take SMU! 

3* NCAAB 'Situational' ATS ANNIHILATOR on New Mexico -

I like the value here with the Lobos laying a short number at home against the Cowboys. All we basically need here is for New Mexico to win the game outright. The Lobos should have no problem doing just that, as they are 7-3 at home, outscoring their opponents by 17.5 ppg. Wyoming on the other hand is just 3-4 on the road. 

Last time out the Lobos crushed laid it on San Jose State, beating the Spartans 80-47 as a 10-point favorite. New Mexico has responded well off a blowout win, as they are 25-12 ATS in their last 37 off a victory by 30 or more points. 

We also have a great system in play backing a fade of the Cowboys. Teams off a conference home win (Wyoming) going up against a team that won by 30+ in a conference game are 25-57 (30%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take New Mexico! 

3* NCAAB Vegas UNDERVALUED UNDERDOG on Wisconsin +

I like the value here with the Badgers catching points on the road against the Cornhuskers. Nebraska is getting a lot of respect for keeping it closer than expected last time out against Purdue, despite losing the game by 12-points. That was simply a bad line by the books, as they continue to overvalue the Boilermakers. The Cornhuskers have now covered the spread in 6 straight games where a line has been posted and I believe we are seeing this line inflated as a result. 

There's no arguing that this isn't the same caliber a Badgers team as previous seasons, but it's not a bottom feeder either. The loss at Rutgers in their last game looks bad on paper, but that's a much improved Scarlet Knights team and I don't think Wisconsin went into that game with the right mindset. That won't be the problem here, as I expect a big time effort and outright win by the Badgers tonight. Take Wisconsin! 

4* NCAAB Situationa ATS NO BRAINER  on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching a big number on the road against the Peacocks. Quinnipiac had started out 2-0 in league play before they went ice cold in a 74-82 loss at home to Canisius on Friday. The Bobcats shot just 35.1% from the field and had 15 turnovers, while only forcing 5. The fact that they only lost by 8 is pretty impressive.

I think it has them undervalued here and wouldn't be shocked if Quinnipiac won this game outright. St Peter's is just 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games after going over the total in 2 straight games, while the Bobcats are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games when listed as a dog of 6.5 to 12 points. Take Quinnipiac! 

5* NCAAB Vegas Insider TOP PLAY on Fairfield +

I like the value here with the Stags catching a big number on the road against the Gaels. I just don't see a whole lot that separates these two teams. Iona is simply getting too much respect here playing at home and the fact that the Stags are coming off an ugly 77-96 loss at Rider. 

The Gaels are just 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 home games overall and a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 home conference games. Iona is also just 3-9 ATS in their last 12 following a SU win and are just 1-5 ATS in their lat 6 games played on Sunday. Stags are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 after allowing 90 or more points in their last game and 23-10 ATS in their last 33 as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 points.  Take Fairfield! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Long Beach State +

I like the value here with the 49ers catching points on the road against the Anteaters. These two teams have played a similar strength of schedule, yet Long Beach State is sitting at 7-10 and UC-Irvine is just 5-12. The 49ers are also coming into this game having won 2 straight. The most recent an upset 89-81 win over Hawaii.

The Anteaters have just 1 win in their last 8 games and simply should not be this big of a favorite against any team right now. Even if they find a way to win this game, chances are it's by fewer than 7 points. Take Long Beach State!

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Riverside +

I like the value here with the Highlanders catching double-digits on the road against the Gauchos. While Santa Barbara is the more talented team, Riverside played the tougher non-conference schedule and are simply way undervalued coming into league play.

We saw that first hand in their last game, as the Highlanders lost by a final of 65-68 as a 7.5-point underdog. Exact opposite for the Gauchos, who were a 4.5-point favorite over Cal Poly and lost outright. Take UC Riverside! 

5* NCAAB 'Ivy League' GAME OF THE MONTH on Dartmouth +

I love the value here with the Big Green catching double-digits here against the Crimson. Dartmouth has gone a miserable 1-6 in road games so far this season, but that's playing into this line. Their losses on the road have actually come by fewer than 10 ppg. Harvard is also just 5-9 on the season and while they are 3-1 at home, their wins at home have come by just around 4 ppg. 

The Big Green have historically been a good team to back when they come in having not exactly played well. Dartmouth is 12-3 ATS over the last 3 seasons when they come in having won just 1 or 2 of their last 7 games. They are also a dominant 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after a SU loss. 

It's also worth pointing out that the Big Green have covered 5 of their last 7 trips to Harvard and the road team is 10-3-1 ATS in the last 14 overall. Take Dartmouth! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on St. Peter's

I like the value here with the Peacocks as a decently priced road dog against the Gaels. St. Peter's comes in off an impressive 77-64 home win over Monmouth as a 2-point dog, while Iona enters off a 78-85 loss at Canisius as a 1-point favorite. 

The Peacocks are the much better defensive team, as they come in allowing just 67.2 ppg, while the Gaels are allowing 77.2 ppg. That's going to make it difficult on Iona just to win, let along win here by near double-digits. Gaels are just 2-13 ATS in their last 15 home games after playing 2 straight as a road favorite, while the Peacocks are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 off a conference win by 10 or more points. Take St. Peter's! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Fairfield +

I like the value here with the Stags catching points on the road against the Broncs. Fairfield is coming off a crushing 58-61 loss at Manhattan. The Stags couldn't have played much worse and still almost won the game. Fairfield shot just 35% from the field, while Manhattan shot 49%. I expect a much better showing here offensively from the Stags against a Broncs defense that has allowed 76+ in each of their first two conference games. 

Fairfield has covered 14 of the last 17 meetings in the series, including 3 of the last 4. They are also a perfect 4-0 SU in the last 4 meetings, including a 2-0 SU mark in their last 2 at Rider. The Broncs are also just 6-19 ATS in their last 25 home games after a road game where both teams scored 75+ and  just 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games after 3 or more straight games on the road. Take Fairfield! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Santa Clara +

I like the value here with the Broncos as a short road dog against the Lions. Santa Clara was embarrassed in their last game, losing 101-52 at Gonzaga. No team likes to get beat like that and my money is on the Broncos coming out extremely motivated and not only covering the spread but beating Loyola Marymount outright. 

The Lions come in having lost 4 straight and simply shouldn't be this big a favorite against the Broncos in this spot. Loyola is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games after playing 2 straight road games, while the Broncos are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games after a game with 9 or less assists. Take Santa Clara! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Western Carolina +

I like the value here with the Catamounts catching a decent number here on the road against the Mocs. These two teams come in with similar records, but Western Carolina has played the much tougher schedule and my numbers suggest this should be closer to a pick'em. The Mocs are just 4-16 ATS in their last 20 conference games and 4-14 ATS in their last 18 home games after scoring 65 or fewer points in 2 straight games.

We also have a great system in play backing a fade of Chattanooga. Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (UT-CHATTANOOGA) - poor defensive team (45-47.5%) against a horrible defensive team (47.5% or worse), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's) are 5-25 (17%) ATS since 1997. Take Western Carolina! 

5* NCAAB *Big West* GAME OF THE MONTH on Riverside +

I love the value here with the Highlanders as a near double-digit dog on the road against the Titans. In the last 8 meetings in the series UC-Riverside has won 5 times and all 3 losses have come by fewer than the spread listed here.

In fact, the Highlanders are 15-2 ATS in their last 17 meetings at UC Fullerton, as the road team is 23-6 ATS in the last 29 meetings overall. In last year's meeting at the Titans Riverside was a 7.5-point dog and won outright 71-63. I see no reason why not to expect a close game here and wouldn't be shocked at all if the Highlanders won this game outright. Take UC Riverside! 

4* NCAAB Vegas INSIDER on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens catching double-digits on the road against Charleston. Delaware comes in having won 4 straight and last time out won outright at UNC-Wilmington as a underdog. Charleston is simply overvalued here playing at home and coming in having won 9 of their last 10. 

Note that we have a lot total here of 129, which only adds more value to the points. Charleston is also a mere 8-21 ATS in their last 29 home games with a total of 129.5 or less and just 18-34 ATS in their last 52 home games when they come in having won 4 of their last 5. Take Delaware! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on William & Mary +

I like the value here with the Tribe catching points on the road against James Madison. William & Mary comes in a t8-4 and are 1-0 in conference play, while the Dukes are just 4-10 on the season and lost at home in their conference opener to Northeastern. 

Last time out the Tribe beat Hofstra 90-87 behind great 3-point shooting and are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 off a game where they combined for 155 or more points and 6-0 ATS last 7 after a game where they shot 50% or better from behind the 3-point line. 

We also have a great system in play backing a fade of the Dukes. Home teams with a line of +3 to -3 after a game where they allowed 80 or more points and playing a team that has allowed 80+ in at least 2 straight games are a mere 18-44 (29%) ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take William & Mary! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats catching points on the road against the Saints. Quinnipiac comes in off an impressive 78-76 win at home over Monmouth as a 6.5-point dog and have now covered 4 straight games where a line has been posted. Siena on the other hand comes in off a road loss at Marist as a 3-point favorite and are now just 1-3 ATS in their last 4 lined games.  

The Saints are also just 2-5 SU in their last 7 games and this puts them in a great fade spot, as they are 0-6 ATS over the last 2 seasons when they come into a contest having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games. Siena is also just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team with a losing record, while the Bobcats are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 after covering last time out. Take Quinnipiac! 

4* NCAAB Vegas HEAVY HITTER on Iona -

I like the value here with the Gaels laying a short number on the road against the Golden Griffins. Iona comes in having won 6 of their last 8 with the only two losses coming on the road against St. John's and Rhode Island as double-digit dogs. They are simply the better team and should be laying more than this against one of the bottom feeders of the MAAC. 

Iona has gone an impressive 19-8 in their last 27 conference road games, while the Golden Griffins are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games when coming off 3 or more wins in a row. 

We also have a strong system in play backing a fade of Canisius. Home underdogs with just two returning starters from last year, who are coming off a close home win by 3-points or less are just 61-109 (36%) ATS dating all the way back to 1997. Take Iona! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rider +

I like the value here with the Broncs as at basically a pick'em on the road against the Purple Eagles. Rider comes in off a heartbreaking 76-77 loss at Canisius, but that was a tough spot playing on 7 days rest and off that huge upset win on the road over Penn State. I expect the Broncs to rebound here with a comfortable win over Niagara. 

While neither of these teams play much defense, the Purple Eagles have been atrocious on that side of the ball. Niagara is allowing 88 ppg, while allowing opponents to shoot 48% from the field and 40% from behind the 3-point line. Last time out they gave up 98 points to Iona and the Gaels only shot 39.5% from the field. 

Broncs are a perfect 8-0 ATS in their last 8 after playing 2 straight games as an underdog, while the Purple Eagles are just 7-19 ATS in their last 26 at home after a home game where both teams scored 75 or more points and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 after playing their previous game as a home dog. Take Rider! 

3* NCAAB Early Bird ATS ANNIHILATOR on Monmouth -

I like the value here with the Hawks laying a short number on the road against the Peacocks. This line really says it all, as Monmouth is favored, yet they come in at 4-9, while St. Peter's is 6-6. Not only have the Hawks played the much tougher schedule, but they have had some tough breaks in close games.

Out of their 9 losses, only 2 have come by more than 11 points and those two were against Virginia and Kentucky. Last time out they lost a heartbreaker at Quinnipiac 76-78 in their conference opener and that's only going to have them more motivated to get a win here. 

Note that St. Peter's is just 26-48 ATS in their last 74 games when listed as a home dog and a mere 9-22 ATS in their last 31 home games vs teams who shoot 45% or better from the field. Take Monmouth! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Eastern Illinois +

I like the value here with the Panthers catching points against the Governors. While Austin Peay has the better overall record, both teams have losing records and I just don't see a lot that separates these teams. 

The big key here is the history of this series and the struggles of the home team. The road team has gone an impressive 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings in the series and the underdog has covered 11 of the last 12. Take Eastern Illinois! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Fairfield +

I really like the value here with the Stags as an underdog against Manhattan. Fairfield was the consensus favorite to win the MAAC this season, as they returned 4 starters, including a legit conference of the year candidate in senior guard Tyler Nelson. While the Stags have started out just 6-6, the schedule has been tough, as they have faced off against the likes of Purdue and Houston and had just 5 home games. All that experience playing away from home will only help them here. 

Manhattan is just 5-7, despite playing a much softer schedule than Fairfield. That was with the Jaspers starting the year out 2-0. They have won just 3 times in their last 7 games and are simply outclassed here. Note that last year Fairfield dominated both meetings, winning 78-49 at home and 97-79 at Manhattan (3-point dog in that one as well). 

The Stags are also 23-9 ATS in their last 32 road games after playing 2 straight as a home favorite and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs a team with a winning record. Take Fairfield! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Eastern Kentucky +

I like the value here with the Colonels as a big road dog against the Eagles. Eastern Kentucky has started out just 6-8, but have played a tough schedule with true road games against the likes of Ole Miss, Western Kentucky, Oregon State, Northern Kentucky, Marshall and Jacksonville State. They were double-digit dogs in each of those games and are 6-2 against the rest of their schedule. 

Tennessee Tech is a quality team, but are simply getting too much respect here. Not a big surprise as the Eagles have been overvalued quite a bit of late. In their last 6 games Tennessee Tech is 0-5-1 ATS. It's also worth noting that the Colonels returned 4 starters from last year's team, which swept the season season series against the Eagles, which included a 79-66 win at Tennessee Tech as a 4-point dog. Take Eastern Kentucky! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Towson +

I like the value here with the Tigers catching what I feel is too many pints against the Cougars. Towson is simply undervalued here off back-to-back road losses to Pittsburgh and Oakland, while Charleston is overvalued coming in having won 7 of their last 8. 

This is a big time revenge game for the Tigers, who were knocked out of last year's CAA Tournament by the Cougars. These two teams have played a very similar strength of schedule to this point. Defensively both teams have played well, but the edge here goes to Towson on the offensive side of the ball. The Tigers are averaging 75.5 ppg vs teams that allow 74.2 ppg, while the Cougars are scoring just 69.5 ppg vs teams that allow 74 ppg. 

Charleston covered last time out and that's a good sign to go against them, as the Cougars are just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 off a cover. Tigers are 10-4-2 ATS last 16 games overall and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Towson! 

5* NCAAB *CAA* GAME OF THE MONTH on Drexel +

I like the value here with the Dragons catching a decent number here on the road against the Phoenix. Drexel comes in at just 6-7, but I've liked what I've seen from this team in non-conference play. They beat Houston 84-80 on a neutral court as a 14-point dog and won at LaSalle as a 12-point dog. They also lost by just 3-points in a true road game against Temple as a 16-point dog. 

Elon has started out 8-5, but most have their success has come against a soft schedule. The Phoenix did pull off an upset in their last game against Indiana State, but are just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games following a SU win. This is also Elon's first home game after playing 4 straight on the road and they are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games after playing 3 or more consecutive road games. 

It's also worth noting that the road team is 7-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings and the Dragons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 trips to Elon. Take Drexel! 

5* NCAAB *MAAC* GAME OF THE MONTH on Rider +

I love the value here with the Broncs as a short road dog against the Golden Griffins. Rider has been a pleasant surprise early on and come in off an impressive 71-70 win at Penn State as a 15-point dog. This is also a team that won at George Washington as a 5.5-point dog and only lost by 4 on the road against Providence as a 14-point dog. 

Canisius' strength of schedule doesn't even come close to comparing to the Broncs. The biggest dog the Golden Griffins have been all season is a 9.5-point dog at Buffalo. I just don't see Canisius being able to keep pace offensively in this one. Rider is averaging 82 ppg and scoring roughly 10 ppg more than what their opponents allow. The Griffins average just 70.8 ppg and are scoring less than what their opponents allow. 

I think Canisius is getting some respect here with this line because they come in off a 14-point win at Robert Morris, but the Griffins are just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 home games off a road win by 10 or more points. Take Rider! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Francisco +

I like the value here with the Dons catching points against the Toreros tonight. San Francisco returned just about everyone from last year's 20-win team and could push into the Top 3 of the WCC this season. San Diego also brings a lot back from last year, but they went just 13-18 and still have a ton of ground to make up to catch the top teams in this conference. 

I think we are getting value here because of the Toreros hot start, as they posted a 9-3 record in non-confernce, while the Dons went just 8-5. However, I've been a lot more impressed with San Francisco, who has played the tougher schedule. Last time out the Dons showed just how good they can be with a 66-64 upset win over Nevada as a 12.5-point dog and that Nevada team is a legit NCAA Tournament team. They also lost by just 18 against an elite Arizona State team on the road. I'll take the points here, but I fully expect the Dons to win this game outright. Take San Francisco! 

4* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Edwardsville +

I like the value here with the Cougars catching big number against the Governors in Thursday's college hoops action. These two teams were both picked to finish middle of the pack in the Ohio Valley and so far there's not a lot that has separated these two teams early on. SIU-Edwardsville is 4-7, while Austin Peay is 5-7 and both teams have played roughly the same strength of schedule to this point. 

I believe we are getting value here with the Cougars based on how these two teams performed against the spread in non-conference. Edwardsville went a miserable 1-8 ATS in their 9 lined games, while Austin Peay posted a 6-2 ATS mark in their 8 line games. 

History is definitely on the Cougars side in this one, as the road team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings and the underdog has gone 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Take SIU-Edwardsville! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on St. Peter's +

I like the value here with the Peacocks at basically a pick'em on the road against the Stags. This line is begging for you to take Fairfield, who many had pegged as the top team coming into the season in the MAAC, but the Stags haven't been all that impressive early on. Fairfield went just 5-6 in non-conference play and are just 3-6 over their last 9 games, which includes a 84-92 loss to Jacksonville as a 9-point favorite.

St. Peter's went 6-5 carrying over some of that momentum that saw them close out last year on a 11-1 run in route to winning the CIT postseason title. The Peacocks have won 2 straight and 5 of 7 overall. I think we saw a glimpse of the potential of this team when they went on the road early and only lost by 9 as a 18-point dog to Northwester. 

Peacocks have been an excellent team to back away from home against quality opponents, as they are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 road games vs a team with a winning home record. They are also 16-5 ATS in their last 21 conference games. Take St. Peter's! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Rhode Island -

I got no problem laying the big number here with the Rams at home against Florida Gulf Coast. Rhode Island is one of the better teams that no one knows about. They brought back 4 seniors, including a legit NBA talent in guard E.C. Matthews. Their only 3 losses have come against the likes of Nevada, Virginia and Alabama and two of those were without Matthews, who missed 6 games before returning for the last two.

With him on the floor, the Rams should have little to no problem winning here by 15+ points. The Eagles are just 7-7 and come in having gone just 1-5 in their last 6 games. Last time out they were able to keep it within 10 at Wichita State as a 16.5-point dog and I believe that's created some line value here. Take Rhode Island! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Colorado State -

I like the value we are getting here with the Rams laying single-digits at home against the 49ers. While Colorado State is just 6-6, a big reason for that is their schedule, which has had them go up against the likes of FSU, Colorado, Arkansas and Oregon. The big key here is that all 6 of their losses have either come on a neutral site or in a true road game, as they are a perfect 6-0 at home. 

Long Beach State comes in at 5-9 and while they too have played a tough schedule, they are simply not on the same level as the Rams. The 49ers have really struggled on the road, where they are 3-9 and getting outscored by 13.7 ppg. Last time out Long Beach State was embarrassed in a 42-point (60-102) loss at Michigan State and that was on Thursday, so they are playing their 2nd big road game in just 3 days in the thin air of Colorado. On top of that, the 49ers are just 3-12 ATS in their last 15 road games off a loss. Take Colorado State! 

3* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Alabama -

I like the value here with the Crimson Tide laying a short number against the Longhorns. While not a true home game for Alabama, it's going to certainly feel like it, as this game is being played just a short drive from their campus in Birmingham at Legacy Arena. Both teams are off to a solid 8-3 start, but I've really liked what I have seen from this Crimson Tide team. They can really get after you both inside and out on the offensive side of the ball and that balance has them averaging just under 80 ppg. Texas doesn't punch near the fire-power on offense and I think that with this being on the road the Longhorns are going to struggle to keep pace. 

Note this is not a spot where Texas has fared well. The Longhorns are just 10-27 in their last 37 neutral court games as a dog of 6-points or less. They are also just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 when they come in having won 2 of their last 3 and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 away from home after two straight games that went under the total. Take Alabama! 

5* NCAAB Late Night GAME OF THE MONTH on Gonzaga -

I like the value here with the Bulldogs as a short road favorite against the Aztecs on Thursday. San Diego State has been a great program for a long-time, but took a big step back last year in the first season without Steve Fisher at the helm. While they are off to a respectable 7-3 start a big reason for that has been the schedule.

They do have a win over Georgia on a neutral court, but they also lost by 22 at Arizona State, by 7 on a neutral court to Washington State and most recently a 62-63 loss at home to Cal as a 16.5-point favorite. 

Gonzaga is loaded once again and have started out 10-2 with their only losses coming against big time powers in Florida and Villanova. While the home court edge might help the Aztecs make this competitive early, I look for the Bulldogs to pull away and win this one comfortably. Take Gonzaga! 

4* NCAAB Situational ATS HEAVY HITTER on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls as a double-digit dog against the Aggies. Buffalo comes in with a respectable 7-4 record and has shown well against the two big time opponents they have played. The Bulls lost by just 6-points in a neutral site game against Cincinnati as a 16-point dog and last time out they lost by just 7 as a 10.5-point dog in a true road game at Syracuse. 

While Texas A&M is off to an impressive 10-1 start and clearly the better team, I think this is a clear letdown spot for the Aggies, who are playing their final non-conference game and have a long  8-day layoff before starting SEC play. Another big factor here is the home court edge isn't as strong this time of year, as you not only have people busy with the holidays, but the majority of the students aren't on campus over Christmas break. I think it's enough to allow the Bulls to keep this a lot closer than expected. Take Buffalo! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Southern Miss +

I like the value here with the Golden Eagles as a massive road underdog against the Seminoles on Thursday afternoon. I just don't think we are going to see an all that motivated Florida State team here, as this is their final non-conference matchup before getting 9-days off. You also have to keep in mind that with students off for Christmas break and this not being a big time opponent, they aren't going to have that same home court edge. 

Southern Miss isn't on the Seminoles level, but do come in having won 4 straight, including an impressive 89-71 win over Troy as a 3-point underdog. They also showed well earlier this season in a true road game at Michigan, losing by just 14 as a 24 points dog. The big thing I like here with the Golden Eagles is they get after it defensively, as they are only giving up 64.9 ppg. Look for a lot closer game than the books are expecting. Take Southern Miss! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Utah -

I like the value here with the Utes at home against the Demons from Northwestern State. Utah is a bit undervalued right now, as they come in off a 12-point loss at BYU and have lost 2 of their last 3 overall. They also are expected to be without Donnie Tillman. Even without Tillman, this team should have no problem winning here by 25+ points over the Demons, who are in a brutal spot here playing on the road with no rest after last night's ugly 68-105 loss at Oklahoma, where the Sooners shot 59% from the field. This is also a team that lost by 46 to both Texas and SMU. Take Utah! 

4* NCAAB Vegas LINE MISTAKE on Seton Hall - 

I don't think the books have set the bar high enough here. Seton Hall is coming in off an upset loss at Rutgers as a 8.5-point favorite and are going to be highly motivated to get back on track. That was just the second loss of the season for the Pirates. The first came in a heartbreaking 74-75 neutral court loss to Rhode Island and they came back in their next game and rolled Vanderbilt 72-59 as a 6.5-point favorite. 

I don't think it's going to take a lot here for Seton Hall to win by 20+ points, as this is not nearly as good a Wagner team as their 7-2 record would suggest. The Seahawks haven't played a lot of top teams. The one step up game they had was road contest at Missouri, which they lost by 44-points as a similar 19.5-point dog to what we see them at here. I expect a similar outcome here with this one well in hand early. Take Seton Hall! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG  on Buffalo +

I like the value here with the Bulls as a double-digit dog against the Orange. While not a huge rivalry, these are two teams from the same state of New York. I think that's a big motivator edge here for Buffalo, who would love nothing more than to upset Syracuse on their home floor. As for the Orange, I don't think they are getting anywhere close to as excited about playing this game and I actually think they could be in for a letdown after their big overtime win on the road over Georgetown on Saturday.    

Keep in mind this is a Bulls team that is expected to compete for the MAC title. They have a big-time play-maker in CJ Massinburg, who is averaging 20 ppg and 8 rpg. He's not the only scoring threat, as they have 4 active players that are averaging in double-figures. They could also be adding another big weapon in Missouri transfer Wes Clark, who hasn't been eligible to this point because of transfer rules. Either way, I think the Bulls give the Orange a scare here and keep this well within the number. Take Buffalo! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER  on Quinnipiac +

I like the value here with the Bobcats as a decently priced road dog against the Dragons. While Quinnipiac is just 3-7 and Drexel comes in at 5-6, the Bobcats have played the tougher schedule up to this point and I simply don't see as big a game between these two teams as this line would suggest. The Dragons have been hit hard with injuries this year. Only 4 players have played in all 11 games this season and they have 4 guys out tonight. 

Bobcats have also been great in this spot, going 5-1-2 ATS in their last 8 road games vs a team with a winning home record. At the same time, the Dragons are a mere 2-11 ATS in their last 13 against a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games, 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 off a loss and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games following 3 straight on the road. Take Quinnipiac! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas -

It's been a rough stretch here for the Jayhawks who followed up back-to-back losses against Washington and Arizona State with a mere 1-point win on the road over Nebraska as a 12-point favorite. It's still not enough to keep me from laying this big number here with Kansas at home against the Mavericks. Winning my more than this spread at home wouldn't be out of the ordinary for the Jayhawks. They have a 38-point win at home over Toledo, 43-point win over Oakland, 43-point win over Texas Southern, 34-point win over South Dakota St and 36-point win over Tennessee State. 

Nebraskas-Omaha comes in off back-to-back wins, but are not a good team. Earlier this season they lost by 33-points at TCU. With the Jayhawks pissed off with their recent play, I think the Mavericks are in for an absolute beating at Allen Fieldhouse tonight. Take Kansas! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Marshall -

I like the value here with Marshall as a short home favorite against the Bobcats. The Thundering Herd come in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6. The most recent was an impressive 93-87 win at Toledo as a 5-point dog. As for Ohio, they are just 5-4 overall and have struggled away from home against better competition. Last time they were on the road was at Maryland on 12/7 and they lost by 25. Bobcats are giving up a staggering 85.2 ppg on the road and that's going to be a problem here against Marshall, as they come in averaging 89.3 ppg. 

Thundering Herd are 25-13 ATS in their last 38 as a favorite, 10-2 in their last 12 after playing a game as a road underdog and 11-3 ATS in their last 14 when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days. Take Marshall! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Florida -

I like the value here with the Gators laying a short number against Clemson on Saturday. While this is technically a neutral site game, it's going to feel like a home game for Florida, as it's being played in their home state at the BB&T Center. The Gators were able to right the ship after losing 3 straight with a 66-60 win over Cincinnati last time out. I look for this team to carry over that momentum here against the Tigers.

Gators are a solid 35-19 ATS in their last 54 games away from home when they come in having failed to cover 3 of their last 4 and are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games. Clemson on the other hand is a mere 4-12-2 ATS in their last 18 vs a team that's won more than 60% of their games. Take Florida! 

5* NCAAB Non-Conf GAME OF THE YEAR on Northern Iowa +

I absolutely love the value here with UNI as a dog in Saturday's neutral site showdown against in-state rival ISU. My power rankings show that the Panthers should be the ones favored in this contest. The big reason they aren't is the fact that the Cyclones come in having won 7 straight, but the best wins for ISU are a neutral site game against Boise State and a home win over Iowa. The Cyclones are also way down this year, as they lost a ton from last year's team and are likely headed for a finish near the basement of the loaded Big 12. 

UNI is an experienced team that has proven itself against some of the big boys early. The Panthers are 8-2 with the two losses coming away from home against the likes of UNC and Villanova. They also have some impressive wins, knocking off the likes of SMU, NC State and UNLV. 

Panthers are 10-1 ATS in their last 12 against the Big, while ISU is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 against the Missouri Vally. Panthers are also 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games played on a neutral site and 21-9-1 ATS in their last 31 off a win. Take Northern Iowa! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Grand Canyon +

I like the value here with the Antelopes as a double-digit dog against the Broncos. Most people haven't even heard of Grand Canyon and will just assume they aren't any good, but this is a legit threat to make the NCAA Tournament, as they are considered the team to beat in the WAC. They are off to a strong 7-2 start and are locking down teams on the defensive side of the ball, giving up just 59 ppg (nearly 11 points less per game than what their opponents average). Boise is averaging 78 ppg, but that's come against teams that on average allow 75.7 ppg. I'm not saying the Antelopes will win this game outright, but it's not out of the question. Take Grand Canyon! 

3* NCAAB Undervalued UNDERDOG on Ark-Little Rock +

I like the value here we are catching with the Trojans as a double-digit dog against the Braves. Arkansas-Little Rock comes in at just 2-7 while Bradley is sitting at 7-2 with a perfect 5-0 record at home. Most will just lay the points here with the Braves, but I think this is going to be a tough spot for them to play well. That's because Bradley hasn't played since 12/3 and this will be just their 3rd game in the last 18 days. It's just not the same practicing as it is playing in real games and I think we see a rusty Braves squad here, especially with the Trojans not being a team to get all that excited to play. Take Arkansas-Little Rock! 

3* NCAAB Situational ATS ANNIHILATOR on Texas - 

I like the value here with the Longhorns laying what I feel is a short number here at home against the Wolverines. Michigan comes in with a respectable 8-3 record, but I haven't been all that impressed with this team. Last time out they got an extremely fortunate win and cover at home against UCLA, as they overcame a 15-point deficit to beat the Bruins 78-69 as a 7-point favorite in overtime. Wolverines have played 2 true road games and neither went well, as they lost by 15 at UNC and by 9 at Ohio State. 

Texas has started out 6-2 and are a team I think is flying under the radar in 2017. The Longhorns went just 11-22 in the first year under Shaka Smart. They are a vastly improved team and we have already seen evidence of that. Texas' only two losses are neutral site games against Duke and Gonzaga, who are both ranked in the Top 15. Keep in mind they had the Blue Devils on the ropes, as they blew a 16-point lead in an overtime loss. I not only think the Longhorns win here, but I could see this turning into a blowout. Take Texas! 

5* NCAAB Heavy Hitter GAME OF THE MONTH on Charleston Southern -

I really like the value here with the Bucs as a short road favorite against the Bulldogs. Charleston Southern comes in having won 4 of their last 5, including a road win at Illinois State. South Carolina State is projected to finish near the bottom of the MEAC and are off to a poor 2-9 start with their only wins coming against the likes of Morris College and Brevard College. Last time out they lost to Furman by 29 points. This is simply a much bigger mismatch than the books are suggesting with this line. Take Charleston Southern! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Kansas -

I like this Arizona State team, but my money is on the Jayhawks to not only win but to win convincingly on Sunday. Kansas started to get a big head after their 7-0 start and simply didn't come to play in their last game, which they lost 65-74 to Washington at the Sprint Center as a 22-point favorite. I believe that loss will have the Jayhawks locked in for this one. The Sun Devils are a perfect 8-0 on the season, but have had a pretty easy schedule and the big key here is that this will be their first true road game of the season. Take Kansas!   

5* NCAAB Small Conf GAME OF THE MONTH on Western Illinois +

I like the value here with the Leathernecks as a home dog against the Panthers. Western Illinois has been in this spot before, as they were just a 2-point home dog to IUPUI and they went onto to win that game outright 90-77. They also beat Eastern Illinois as a 4.5-point home dog. 

Milwaukee has started out 6-3, but this isn't a good team and are expected to finish near the basement of the Horizon League. Simply not the kind of team that should be laying points on the road against a quality team. 

The Leathernecks pack quite a punch offensively, as they come in averaging 76.6 ppg (83.2 at home), while shooting 51% from the field (54% at home). The Panthers haven't had a lot of success against teams like this, as they are a mere 5-14 ATS in their last 19 against a team that's shooting 45% or better from the field. Take Western Illinois! 

4* NCAAB Vegas ATS NO BRAINER on Michigan -

I really like the value here with the Wolverines laying a short number at home against the Bruins. UCLA comes in at 7-1 and overvalued in my opinion. They have a couple of close wins over Georgia Tech and Wisconsin, but I don't think those wins are as impressive as people think. The best team they faced was Creighton and they lost by 11. Michigan isn't an elite team, but one that I think will give these Bruins a lot of problems. Big key here is that this will be UCLA's first true road game of the season.

Wolverines are a perfect 5-0 at home, where they are outscoring their opponents by 20 ppg. I look for Michigan's defense to be the difference here. Wolverines are allowing just 63.3 ppg against teams that average nearly 77, while the Bruins are allowing 75.1 against teams that average 76. UCLA is also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 off a cover and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games vs a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. Take Michigan! 

4* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on USC -

I think we are getting the Trojans at a great price here in basically a pick'em against the Sooners. While this game is technically being played on a neutral court at the Staples Center in LA, I expect it to feel like a home game with how close it is to USC's campus. On top of that, I think the Trojans are the far superior team in this matchup. 

Oklahoma comes in at 6-1 and a lot of people are taking notice of this team because of the play of freshman Trae Young, who leads the nation at 28.7 ppg and is 3rd in assists at 8.7 apg. I just think the Sooners rely too much on Young and it's going to be hard for them to compete with a loaded USC team that is strong top to bottom. Not to mention the Trojans will be playing with a chip on their shoulder after losing their last two. Nothing to be ashamed about with those two defeats, as one was against Texas A&M and the other a true road game at SMU. Trojans bounce back in a big way here. Take USC! 

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on San Fran

I like the value here with Dons at home against a struggling Eastern Washington team. The Eagles have lost 4 of 5, with the most recent being a 19-point loss at Seattle. One of the reasons Eastern Washington is hitting a wall here is they have been on the road since they opened the season at home against Walla Walla. Since that game they have played 7 straight on the road, with 5 of those being true road games. 

San Francisco has won 4 of their last 6 and are fresh off a win over Central Arkansas at home. Unlike the Eagles, the Dons have enjoyed playing the majority of their games at home, as they have had just 1 game on the road. The Dons have been a great bet against bad teams, as they are a perfect 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their games. Take San Francisco! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Pacific  +

I love the value here with the Tigers as a decently priced dog against the Aggies. Pacific went just 11-22 last year in the first season under head coach Damon Stoudamire. This should be a much improved team in 2017 and they are off to a strong 5-4 start and come in having won 3 straight and 5 of their last 6 overall. 

The Tigers did lose to UC Davis at home in their second game of the season 58-62, which I think is playing into this line here. Pacific was a 4-point favorite in that game and based off that line you would only expect them to be around a 2-3 point dog on the road against the Aggies. I'll take my chances here with the Tigers getting their revenge, plus this is a great spot to fade UC Davis off their big upset win on the road over Washington State, where they won 81-67 as a 7.5-point dog.

Tigers are 32-15 ATS in their last 47 when revenging a loss as a home favorite, while the Aggies are just 9-21 ATS in their last 30 home non-conference games. Take Pacific! 

3* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Providence -

The Friars should have no problem here winning in blowout fashion over Brown at home. Providence comes in at 6-2 with their only two losses coming against a very good Minnesota team at home and a good Rhode Island team on the road. The most recent was that loss to the Rams and I think that will have the Friars not looking past the Bears and coming out with one of their best efforts. 

Brown simply isn't a good team. They were picked by most experts to finish near the basement of the Ivy League and are off to a 4-4 start with their only wins coming against J&W-Providence, Quinnipiac, Long Island and Bryant. They have ugly losses to to the likes of St Francis-NY, Stony Brook and Central Connecticut State. They also lost at Rhode Island by 24, which is a pretty clear sign of how big a gap we have here from the Friars to the Bears. Take Providence! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Delaware +

I like the value here with the Blue Hens as a home dog against the Bulls. Delaware comes in having lost their last 2, but are 4-4 on the season. The Blue Hens have experience with 4 returning starters, while also getting big time contributions from a couple of freshman in Kevin Anderson (12.3 ppg) and Ryan Allen (11.6 ppg). They are 2 of 5 players for Delaware that are averaging in double-figures. 

Buffalo is a team that a lot of people had picked to win the MAC East and I think it has them a bit overvalued here on the road. The Bulls just lost at home to St Bonaventure by 11 as a 1-point favorite. Buffalo lost their two best players and only returned 4 starters. That lack of experience will make it tough for them to win on the road here against a balanced Blue Hens offensive attack. Take Delaware!