Sports Picks & Predictions

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Utah.  The Utes have been terrible travelers of late, as they're 12-27-1 ATS on the road.  Utah did upset the Wildcats in December.  But Arizona was not playing well at that time, as it was in the midst of a 1-6 ATS run.  Currently,  Arizona is on a super 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS run.  And the Wildcats are also 15-6 ATS when laying 10+ points vs. a foe it lost to earlier in the season.  Take the Wildcats minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars over the Southern Miss Golden Eagles.  Southern Miss is atop the Sun Belt standings, with a 12-2 record.  One of those wins came last month when they defeated the Jaguars by four points in Hattiesburg.  We'll take South Alabama to avenge that loss, as it's a powerful 26-7-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if it wasn't favored by 2.5 or more points (including 14-2 ATS at home).  Moreover, Sun Belt teams, with a conference win percentage > .840, have covered just 2 of 22 games when they were not favored by more than 3 points (at Game 8 forward).  Take South Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Rice.  The Roadrunners lost earlier this season to the Owls by 7 points.  We'll take UTSA in this rematch, as Rice is 1-9 ATS its last 10 when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take the Roadrunners + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southeast Missouri St. Redhawks minus the points over Eastern Illinois.  The Panthers and Redhawks met a few weeks ago, and SEMO won, 79-68.  But the Redhawks have gone 0-4 ATS since, including 0-3 SU their last three.  We'll take the Redhawks to sweep the season series (and snap their losing streak in the process).  Eastern Illinois has not performed well in the Revenge role, as it's 11-26 ATS its last 37, including 0-7 ATS when priced from +7.5 to +11.  Even worse:  the Panthers are 6-21 ATS in the last 27 meetings with SEMO, including 0-12 SU and 1-11 ATS when priced from PK to +8.5.  Take the Redhawks minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers minus the points over Georgia State.  The Panthers' 4-game home stand started off well, with a win over Georgia Southern.  But they lost the next three games SU/ATS (including an 11-point loss to Marshall on Saturday) and are on a 1-7 SU/ATS run.  We'll lay the points with Coastal Carolina, as the Panthers are 1-10 ATS away from home off a double-digit home loss.  Take Coastal Carolina.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Robert Morris.  The Phoenix were thrashed, 72-38, by the Colonials in Pittsburgh last month.  We'll take the Phoenix to avenge that defeat, as they're 65-30-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 12 points.  Take Green Bay.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Albany Great Danes + the points over Maryland-Baltimore County.  The Retrievers upset Bryant, 76-73, on Saturday for their 2nd straight win, and are favored on the road tonight.  Meanwhile, the Great Danes have lost their last nine games -- both SU and ATS.  But for most of their game at Binghamton, on Saturday, they certainly looked set to snap their ATS losing streak.  Unfortunately, the game went into overtime, and Albany lost by 14 points, as a 6.5-point underdog.  We'll grab the points with the Great Danes tonight, at home, as underdogs on a 9-game (or worse) ATS losing streak have covered 60.4% since 1990 vs. foes off back-to-back wins.  Take Albany + the points.  Good luck as always..Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Alabama.  The Vols come into this game off back to back upset losses to Vanderbilt and Missouri, and have also lost the last three meetings with Alabama.  But Tennessee is an awesome 18-0 ATS at Game 18 forward, off back to back losses, if it was not favored by 4+ points, and was playing an SEC foe with a .500 (or better) conference win percentage, and a win percentage > .650, overall.  Additionally, Alabama is a poor 36-75 ATS in the regular season off a win, when priced from -3.5 to +6.5 away from home, provided Alabama was not playing with revenge.  Take Tennessee minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Oakland.  Since December 18, the Jaguars have been making a lot of friends "in Vegas," as they're 12-4 ATS.  They're catching double-digits tonight from the Grizzlies, who lost at Milwaukee, 80-77, over the weekend.  We'll fade Oakland tonight, as it's 5-17 ATS off a SU loss, including 0-7 ATS when favored by 4+ points, and 1-11 ATS when playing a sub-.580 foe.  Take IUPUI + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over Air Force.  The Aggies come into tonight's game off back to back losses to San Diego St and San Jose St.  We'll lay the points tonight, as Utah St is a stellar 10-0 ATS its last 10 when favored by more than 12 points off back to back losses.  Take the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Kansas State.  The Sooners come into this game off four straight double-digit losses, including a 23-point thrashing at the hands of Kansas, on Saturday.  We'll take Oklahoma to bounce back tonight, as it's 28-14-1 ATS as a home favorite in conference games off a double-digit conference loss.  Meanwhile, the Wildcats are a poor 12-25-2 ATS off a loss away from home, including 1-9 ATS their last nine vs. conference foes with a losing conference record.  Take Oklahoma.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Missouri.  Auburn dropped its 3rd straight game Saturday when it fell, 77-69, here at home to rival Alabama.  Meanwhile, Missouri comes into tonight's game off an upset road win at Tennessee.  We'll take Auburn to bounce back tonight, as SEC Conference teams, off back to back losses, are a super 96-60 ATS as favorites vs. SEC foes with a winning conference record.  Even better:  Missouri is a miserable 2-11 ATS on the road following a road win.  Take Auburn minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Texas.  The Longhorns blew out West Virginia, 94-60, on Saturday, in Austin.  But Texas is 3-14 ATS away from home off a home win, including 0-5 ATS off a win by > 15 points.  Take Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over College of Charleston.  The Cougars come into tonight's game on a 3-game win streak.  But we'll go against the Cougars, as they're a poor 39-60 ATS as a favorite off 3+ wins.  Take Northeastern + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Miami-Fla.  The Hurricanes are outscoring their opposition by 8.56 ppg this season.  But North Carolina is an awesome 106-57 ATS at home when favored/PK against foes that have a scoring margin of +8.2 (or better).  Take the Tar Heels minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over Stony Brook.  The Blue Hens are on an ugly 3-game losing streak (and 5-game ATS losing streak).  But these results have triggered a 23-0 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Even better:  Delaware is 16-0-1 ATS when it was on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, and its opponent was on an ATS winning streak.  Take the Blue Hens minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Purdue.  The Wildcats come into this home game off momentum-building, back to back SU/ATS road wins, while Purdue is in off a double-digit victory vs. Iowa.  It's true that Purdue has won 11 straight (6-4-1 ATS) in this series.  But we'll take the points with the home underdog, as Purdue is a dismal 13-42-2 ATS off a win, when playing away from home vs. a revenge-minded underdog.  Take Northwestern + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over the Iowa Hawkeyes.  The Gophers were obliterated by Maryland, 81-46, here at home, last weekend.  And they also lost by 35 to Rutgers the game before that.  We'll take Minnesota to bounce back off those 2 blowout defeats, as Big 10 home teams have covered 65.2% since 1990 off back to back losses by more than 20 points.  Take the Gophers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Valley Wolverines minus the points over Southern Utah.  The Thunderbirds won the first meeting, 79-67.  But the Wolverines were an underdog in that game.  Tonight, they're favored.  And Utah Valley is 15-5 ATS its last 20 as a single-digit favorite.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Central Florida.  The Golden Hurricane come into tonight's game off a 38-point blowout loss to Houston.  But they're 6-1 ATS off a loss by more than 30 points.  And the Knights are a dismal 7-14 ATS as a home favorite of -9 (or more) points.  Take Tulsa as a double-digit underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers are 17-7 on the season, but we'll go against them in Ann Arbor, on Saturday evening.  The Wolverines are a wallet-fattening 97-46 ATS at home, or on neutral courts, when playing a sub-.800 foe off a SU/ATS win.  With Indy in off a SU/ATS win over Rutgers, we'll fade the Hoosiers today.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks minus the points over Arkansas-Little Rock.  The Trojans upset Morehead St, 72-68, as a 2-point home underdog, on Thursday.  But Little Rock has not traveled well, as it's 21-38-1 ATS on the road, including 4-14 ATS its last 18 off a SU win.  Take the Skyhawks minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Northern Illinois.  The Broncos lost by 14 at home to the Huskies less than two weeks ago.  We'll take Western Michigan + the points, as it's 8-1 ATS its last nine (and 37-24 ATS its last 61) when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take the Broncos.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Mustangs have lost 12 straight games.  Their last win:  against these Matadors back on December 29.  We'll take Cal Poly SLO to sweep the season series, as Northridge is 37-59 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a road defeat.  Meanwhile, Cal Poly is 7-0 ATS on the road when they've lost their previous 8 games.  And Big West Conference road underdogs are 285-234 ATS in conference games off back to back losses, including 100-76 ATS when playing a revenge minded foe.  Take Cal Poly SLO.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on The Citadel + the points over Samford.  The Citadel comes into this Southern Conference game on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, and owns a 9-17 record, while Samford is just the opposite, at 17-9.  We'll grab the points, as Samford is a horrid 23-51 ATS at home vs. losing foes not off a SU/ATS win, including 0-10 its last 10 if its foe was off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take The Citadel.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams won by double-digits, 77-67, at home vs. UMass, on Wednesday, while Davidson has had six days off following its 15-point SU/ATS win over UMass last Saturday.  We'll lay the points, as the Rams are an atrocious 11-26 ATS as a road underdog off a win when playing an opponent off an ATS win.  Take Davidson.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers had a disappointing road trip, as they lost at Tennessee (46-43) and at Texas A&M (83-78).  They're back home today, and we'll grab the points with Auburn, and go against the #3-ranked Crimson Tide.  Auburn is a solid 95-73-4 ATS off back to back SEC Conference losses, including 18-6 ATS vs. foes off a win by more than 12 points.  Take Auburn.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers + the points over Bradley.  The Racers come into this afternoon's game off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Bradley has won five straight (and covered three in a row).  We'll take the underdog Racers, as they're 60.6% ATS since 1990 in conference games off a SU/ATS loss vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Take Murray State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red minus the points over Brown.  The Bears are an ugly 10-27-2 ATS at home in Ivy League games, while Cornell is 16-10 ATS its last 26 on the road, and 15-10 ATS its last 25 as a road favorite.  Lay the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers + the points over Indiana St.  The Panthers play this game with revenge from an 8-point loss in Terre Haute two weeks ago.  We'll take the Panthers, as Missouri Valley Conference home underdogs have covered 58.2% since 1990 off back to back SU/ATS losses when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Northern Iowa.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Albany Great Danes + the points over Binghamton.  These two teams met in January, and Binghamton upset the Great Danes, 65-54.  But we'll fade Binghamton this afternoon, as the Bearcats are a horrid 9-22 ATS at home, including 1-6 ATS when favored by 3+ points, and 2-7 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Take Albany as a road underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over American.  The Crusaders come into this afternoon game off back to back home losses to Navy and Lafayette, while American's off a loss to Boston U.  Last month, the Eagles went into Worcester and defeated the Crusaders, 73-68.  We'll take Holy Cross in this rematch, as the Crusaders are 16-2 ATS as an underdog of more than 4 points when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 11-0 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Holy Cross.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets + the points over East Tennessee St.  The Buccaneers blew out VMI on New Year's Eve, 64-50.  We'll take the double-digits with VMI in this revenge role tonight, and go against an East Tennessee squad which is a woeful 0-11 ATS as a home favorite since Jan. 22, 2022, and also 0-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded conference foe which didn't own a better conference record.  Take VMI + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the UC San Diego Tritons + the points over Hawaii.  The Tritons were upset, at home, by Cal State Bakersfield, 75-69, on Saturday, while Hawaii blew out Cal Poly SLO.  UC San Diego is on a 3-game losing streak.  But we'll take the Tritons to bounce back at Hawaii, as Big West underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points, off a home loss, have gone 76-30 ATS vs. conference foes off an ATS win.   That bodes well for the road team.  As does the fact that Hawaii is an awful 12-24 ATS as a double-digit home favorite vs. conference foes off back to back losses.  Grab the points with UC San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions + the points over St. Mary's.  The Gaels toppled Gonzaga, 78-70, on Saturday, in overtime.  Now, they're tasked with traveling to Los Angeles to take on Loyola Marymount, which was upset by San Diego over the weekend.  Still, LMU is a solid 16-9 SU and 14-9 ATS this season.  Unfortunately, for St. Mary's, teams have covered just 10 of 30 following a win over Gonzaga, including 2-6 ATS on the road.  And St. Mary's has covered just 10 of 44 games off a win, if they were matched up against a team win a winning SU/ATS record off an ATS loss.  St. Mary's won the season's first meeting, but I expect the Lions to avenge that defeat tonight.  Take Loyola Marymount + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over San Francisco.  Gonzaga did something on Saturday it doesn't do very often.  It lost.  The Bulldogs led for most of the game, but collapsed down the stretch, and fell in overtime, 78-70, to St. Mary's.  We'll take Gonzaga to bounce back tonight, as it's gone 16-3 ATS at home in West Coast Conference games off a straight-up loss, including 6-0 ATS when priced from -5 to -15.5 points.  Even better:  at home, in "The Kennel," the Bulldogs are 23-0 SU vs. the Dons, including 6-0-1 ATS when the Dons were off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Gonzaga.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles minus the points over Louisiana-Lafayette.  Both teams enter tonight's game on long win streaks.  The Rajin' Cajuns have won 10 straight, while Southern Miss has prevailed in each of its last seven (and has covered its last five).  Louisiana won Round 1 earlier this season with a 14-point win at home.  We'll take Southern Miss to avenge that defeat, as it's 15-4-1 ATS as a single-digit favorite when playing with revenge from a loss in the first meeting of the season, including 6-0-1 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Northwestern.  Chris Holtmann's men have one just once in their last 10 games.  But we'll look for Ohio State to get out of its funk tonight, at home, vs. the Wildcats.  Northwestern pulled off an upset in its last game, 54-52, at Wisconsin.  Unfortunately, Northwestern is a soft 30-50 ATS off an upset win.  Take Ohio State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the New Orleans Privateers + the points over Nicholls St.  The Colonels won, 92-91, at Houston Christian, on Saturday, which moved their season record to 11-11.  However, Nicholls St. has not reacted well as a .500 (or better) team off a win, as it's gone 12-29-1 ATS.  Take New Orleans + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over James Madison.  The Eagles lost by 12 points to the Dukes earlier this season.  We'll take the home underdog tonight, as Georgia Southern is 18-4-1 ATS as a dog of less than 6 points when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 10 points.  Take the Eagles.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Owls are 22-2 straight-up, and 16-5-1 ATS.  But they're laying double-digits tonight against a Rice team which is 15-8 SU and 11-9 ATS.  Since 1990, .650 (or better) underdogs of +12 (or more) points have gone 98-63-5 ATS (at Game 24 forward).  Take Rice + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Diego State.  The Aggies come into this game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak after an 88-79 win at Colorado State, on Saturday.  They'll host the Aztecs, and will be seeking to avenge a 10-point loss in San Diego two weeks ago.  We'll lay the points with Utah State, as it's 103-64 ATS at home off a SU win, when favored by 13 or less points (or PK).  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over DePaul.  Earlier this season, the Blue Demons stunned the Wildcats, 75-65, as a 6.5-point home underdog.  And that DePaul victory snapped its 22-game losing streak in this series (DePaul was 9-13 ATS during that losing streak).  We'll take the Wildcats to avenge that upset loss, as they've covered 68% over the last 30+ seasons when playing with revenge from a 5-point (or worse) defeat in the season's first meeting.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over Wichita St.  The Shockers won, 86-75, at Tulsa, on Sunday, and will welcome the Knights, who are on a 5-game losing streak.  But we'll fade Wichita tonight, as it's 0-9 ATS off a win, if its opponent was off a loss.  Take Central Florida.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Houston.  The Cougars are 22-2 after blowing out Temple, 81-65, in Philadelphia, on Sunday.  Unfortunately, Houston is a poor 4-20 ATS when favored by 6+ points off a double-digit road win.  Take Tulsa + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones upset Kansas, 68-53, in Ames, on Saturday.  But they're a wallet-breaking 4-13 ATS on the road off a home upset win.  Take West Virginia minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Maryland.  MSU is 6-6 in Big 10 play this season, while Maryland has a 7-5 league record.  Tom Izzo doesn't have .500 (or worse) Big 10 Conference records very often.  But when the Spartans have been at or below .500 in league play, they've been quite profitable at home over the years.  Indeed, since 1990, the Spartans have gone 50-23-2 ATS at home in Big 10 games when their Big 10 win percentage was .500 (or less).  Take Michigan State to blow out Maryland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Air Force.  Both of these teams come into this game on long losing streaks.  But we will side with the road team to snap its streak, as it plays with revenge from an 11-point home loss to Air Force last month.  And Air Force is an atrocious 24-54-3 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, if Air Force wasn't favored by 4+ points.  Grab the points with the Rams.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers upset the North Carolina Tar Heels, 65-64, as an 8.5-point road underdog in their previous game.  Unfortunately, for the Panthers, they've covered just 41% as a home favorite off an upset win since 1990.  And ACC teams have covered just 28% since 1990 off an upset road win over North Carolina, if the point spread in that upset win was 8+ points. Take Louisville + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Golden Flashes return home after dropping a game at Akron, as a 1.5-point road favorite, on Friday.  Kent is 11-0 at home this season.  And it's covered 64% at home since 1990 in conference games off an upset conference defeat.  Lay the points.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears over Weber State.  This is the 4th straight road game for Weber State, which won at Idaho State, 72-71, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Bears return home from a miserable 3-game road trip which was a disastrous 0-3.  The good news for Northern Colorado is that home teams off a double-digit loss, and 3+ losses overall, have covered 59.1% since 1990 in conference games when favored (or PK) against a foe off a road win.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Bethune Cookman.  Perhaps the 3rd time will be the charm for Texas Southern?  The Tigers will conclude their 3-game home stand tonight when the Wildcats will come calling.  Unfortunately for Texas Southern, it dropped the first two games of this home stand -- 89-74 to Prairie View, and 76-69 to Florida A&M.  And Texas Southern was favored in both losses (and failed to cover the spread by 20+ points each game).  But off those two horrible games, we'll take the Tigers to rebound tonight.  Indeed, they've gone 24-11 ATS off back to back games where they gave up 75+ points. Take Texas Southern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin-Green Bay Phoenix + the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  Faithful followers know I love playing on bad teams, so tonight we're going to go with the Phoenix, who have the worst record (2-22) in College Basketball.  But they're not just bad in Green Bay; they're also bad "in Las Vegas" as they're 6-18 ATS this season, which is the 2nd-worst ATS percentage of the 363 NCAA Division 1 teams (only Tulsa is worse).  And they've failed to cover the spread by an average of -5.81 ppg, which ranks #360 of 363 in that metric.  So, why take the Phoenix tonight?  Because, by my numbers, there's value on them against the Panthers.  Additionally, Green Bay was blown out by Milwaukee, 81-67, in the first meeting this season.  But in this rivalry, the team which lost the season's first meeting has covered 64% in Round 2, including 6-1 ATS when getting 9+ points.  And Green Bay is also 73-45-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by 13+ points.  Take Wisconsin-Green Bay + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Bobcats and Mountaineers met earlier this season in Emmitsburg, and the Bobcats prevailed, 58-51, as a 6-point road favorite.  Quinnipiac is laying a bigger number this afternoon, and we'll take Mount St Mary's + the points in a revenge role.  Admittedly, the Mountaineers aren't playing their best ball of late.  They're 3-9 in league play, and lost by 30 points at Iona on Friday, which was their 3rd straight loss.  But the Bobcats are a horrid 7-28 ATS as a favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss, if such foe owned a losing conference record.  And they're 19-30-3 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe they defeated earlier in the season, including 3-9-2 ATS if the Bobcats were off back to back wins.  Take Mount St. Mary's as a big underdog this afternoon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Seton Hall.  The Blue Demons were routed by UConn, 90-76, on Tuesday.  And that was their 4th straight loss (both SU and ATS).  We'll take DePaul to bounce back off that blowout defeat, as Big East Conference teams have gone 194-132 ATS as road underdogs of +3 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss, if they're matched up against a Big East Conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  the Blue Demons are 12-3-1 ATS away from home off back to back ATS losses.  Take DePaul + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders come into this Atlantic 10 game off 4 straight losses, while Fordham is on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak after it won back to back home games to wrap up January.  We'll go against the Rams this afternoon, as they're a wallet-breaking 5-15 ATS away from home off back to back home wins, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Even worse:  they've won just 1 of the previous 19 meetings vs. the Spiders.  Take Richmond to blow out Fordham.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies over Seattle.  The Aggies upset Stephen F. Austin, 73-67, on Wednesday, and return home to play the Redhawks who won the season's first meeting, 69-66.  We'll take New Mexico State, as the Aggies have covered 61.2% since 1990 in conference home games, if they were off a point spread win, and playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Florida.  The Gators pulled off a huge upset on Wednesday, as they defeated Tennessee, 67-54.  We'll fade Florida tonight, as it's 11-18-1 ATS as an underdog off an upset win, while Kentucky's 87-65-6 ATS vs. foes off an upset win.  Lay the points with the Wildcats.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies + the points over Dayton.  The Bonnies come into this home game off back to back upset wins over VCU and Richmond.  We'll look for St. Bonaventure to make it three-in-a-row, as it's 10-0 ATS at home its last 10 off an ATS win.  Take the Bonnies + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Lamar Cardinals + the points over Northwestern St.  The Demons have won five straight, including an 80-65 victory over the Cardinals last Saturday, and are now 7-3 in Southland Conference play.  Unfortunately, they've covered just 22% off a win, when playing a revenge-minded opponent they defeated earlier in the season. We'll take Lamar in this rematch, as the Cardinals are 11-2-1 ATS as a home underdog priced from +5.5 to +13 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers have been installed as a road underdog this afternoon in Bloomington.  Unfortunately, for the #1-ranked Boilermakers, they're a horrid 37-60-6 ATS as single-digit road underdogs, including 3-10-3 ATS vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  With Indiana in off a 66-55 defeat at Maryland, we'll take the Hoosiers this afternoon to bounce back.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana State Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide blew out LSU last month, 106-66.  We'll take the revenge-minded Tigers this afternoon, as NCAA double-digit underdogs, playing with revenge from a 40-point (or worse) defeat suffered earlier in the season, have covered 61% since 1990.  Grab the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Florida Atlantic.  We played against the Owls on Thursday, and got the $$$ with UAB.  And we'll go against Florida Atlantic once again, on this Saturday.  Charlotte lost by 4 points on the road vs. the Owls last month.  But the 49ers have covered 60.3% as home dogs when playing with revenge.  Take Charlotte + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs + the points over Marquette.  The Bulldogs have lost their last 4 games SU/ATS, with each defeat by more than 20 points.  But off those 4 blowout losses, we'll take Butler, as NCAA teams off 4+ SU/ATS losses by more than 20 points have covered 62.9% since 1990.  Take Butler.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Monmouth Hawks + the points over Drexel.  The Dragons smashed Monmouth, 67-35, last month.  We'll take Monmouth to avenge that embarrassing defeat, as NCAA home dogs have covered 65.3% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season in which they scored less than 38 points.  Take the Hawks.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers minus the points over Campbell. The Lancers return home off an upset loss at Winthrop.  And Longwood is 20-8-1 ATS at home its last 29, while Campbell is a poor 6-14 ATS vs. foes off a point spread loss.  Take Longwood.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU.  The Cowboys are favored in this game, and are 9-0 ATS their last nine as a favorite.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Morgan State Bears minus the points over Delaware State.  The Hornets won round 1 last Saturday as they defeated Morgan State, 64-62.  This game will be played at a neutral site, in Newark, NJ, and we'll lay the points with the revenge-minded Bears, who have covered 83% the last 3 years when playing with same-season revenge.  Additionally, the Bears fall into a 60.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Lay the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over NC State.  The Jackets were upset by Louisville, 68-58, on Wednesday.  We'll take Georgia Tech to bounce back this afternoon, as it's 18-4 ATS off a 9-point (or worse) upset loss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies minus the points over Virginia.  The Home team has dominated this cross-state rivalry, with a 14-5 ATS record since February 2013, including 6-0 ATS as a favorite of less than 12 points.  Lay the points with the Hokies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Kansas.  Kansas defeated the Cyclones by 2 points in Lawrence three weeks ago.  We'll take ISU in the rematch, as it's 46-30 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-2 ATS off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Iowa State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Boise State.  This Mountain West Conference game is between two teams with 8-2 league records, so the winner will sit alone in first place.  San Diego State was upset by Nevada on Tuesday, while Boise won that night at Air Force.  And those results set up our play tonight.  We'll lay the points with the homestanding Aztecs, as they fall into a 61% ATS system of mine.  What we want to do -- in conference match-ups between teams with > .750 league records (at Conference Game #10 forward) -- is play on teams off a loss vs. foes off wins.  Since 1990, our teams off a loss have cashed 61%.  Take the Aztecs on Friday night.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on Sacramento State over Eastern Washington.  The Eagles bested the Hornets, 78-75, earlier this season.  We'll take Sacramento State to avenge that defeat, as Big Sky Conference teams are 51-28-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if they didn't lose the season's previous meeting by more than 12 points.  Even better:  if our revenge-minded team wasn't favored by 2+ points, they our 51-28-1 ATS angle zooms to 37-14-1 ATS.  Take the Hornets.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes are 4-12 ATS their last 16 as a favorite, and 1-8 ATS their last nine vs. California when favored by 5+ points.  Take the Golden Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  The Mustangs were blown out at home, 65-36, by Cal State Fullerton on Saturday, while UCSB comes into tonight's game off an upset win at Hawaii.  We'll take the points with Cal Poly SLO, as Big West Conference underdogs of more than 7 points have gone 75-30 ATS off a home loss, if they were playing a conference foe off an ATS win.  Take the Mustangs + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Pacific.  The Tigers are 0-7 ATS their last seven as a favorite.  And they're also a miserable 0-11-1 ATS in competitively-priced games with point spreads less than 4 points.  Take Pepperdine + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars minus the points over Loyola Marymount.  Over the years, BYU has been solid as a home favorite (197-163-7 ATS), but awful as a home underdog (17-30-3 ATS).  Tonight, they're favored, and the Cougars have gone 21-12 (63.6% ATS) as a home favorite off back to back losses.  Lay the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils minus the points over Oregon State.  ASU hasn't won since defeating these Beavers, 74-69, back on January 14.  Since then, Arizona State has dropped four straight.  So, the Beavers will surely be a welcome sight for the Sun Devils, as ASU has won the last 13 meetings vs. Oregon State in Tempe, and 21 of the last 22.  Arizona State is an awesome 28-8 ATS at home when it owned a .550 (or better) win percentage, and was off back to back losses!  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits edged the Fighting Hawks, 60-59, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take North Dakota + the points, as revenge-minded road teams have cashed 61.9% since 1990 vs. foes off a win, if our road team lost the season's previous meeting by a single point, and was off back to back losses.  Take the Fighting Hawks.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Liberty.  The Governors have been installed as a huge home dog.  And we'll take the points, as Austin Peay is 8-0 ATS as a home dog of more than 7 points, while the Flames are a poor 2-10 ATS as a favorite of more than 9 points away from home.  Take Austin Peay.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers over Florida Atlantic.  We played against the Owls last Saturday and got the $$$ with Western Kentucky.  We'll come right back and go against Florida Atlantic again, as it will be taking on a UAB squad which seeks revenge from a narrow 2-point loss last month.  The Owls are 11-0 in Conference USA play this season.  But NCAA teams with an 11-0 (or better) conference record have cashed just 36% away from home when they were not favored by more than 4 points against a revenge-minded foe.  Take UAB.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Stony Brook.  The Seawolves have burned money as a favorite of more than 3 points, as they're 12-24-2 ATS.  We'll take Elon as a road underdog, as it's 75-54 ATS on the road vs. foes off a SU win.  Grab the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Stetson Hatters minus the points over North Alabama.  Stetson comes into tonight's game with an 11-10 record after dropping its two previous games, but both were on the road.  Tonight's game is at home.  And the Hatters are 5-1 at home this season, and have covered the point spread at home by an average of 4.75 ppg.  Meanwhile, North Alabama is 0-7 ATS on the road vs. .475 (or better) foes off a loss.  Take Stetson minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on LSU + the points over Missouri.  Missouri is 16-5 after its blowout win over Iowa St.  We'll go against Mizzou tonight, as SEC Conference teams (like LSU) off 4 SU/ATS losses are a solid 20-4-1 ATS as underdogs vs. .750 (or better) conference foes.  That bodes well for LSU, which enters this game on a long, 8-game losing streak (and 7-game ATS losing streak).  Take LSU + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Panthers upset UNC earlier this season at the Petersen Events Center.  But we'll lay the points with the Tar Heels tonight at Chapel Hill, as they're 8-1 ATS their last nine when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  And Pitt's 3-11 ATS its last 14 when playing a revenge-minded foe it defeated in the season's previous meeting.  Take North Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bryant Bulldogs minus the points over Maine.  Bryant lost its last two games -- 98-79 at UMass Lowell, and 84-67 at Binghamton -- but is a super 8-0 ATS at home off back to back double-digit losses.  And it's 18-8 ATS off a point spread defeat.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Lowell River Hawks minus the points over Albany.  The River Hawks come into this game off back to back losses.  But those two games were on the road.  This evening's game is at home, where UMass Lowell is a perfect 11-0 this season.  It's also 5-3-1 ATS at home this season, and has covered the spread by an average of 2.66 ppg at home.  Albany, on the other hand, is 2-12 SU on the road (and 5-8 ATS), and has failed to cover the spread on the road by an average of 3.42 ppg.  Earlier this year, the Great Danes stunned the River Hawks, 89-63, as a 9 point home dog.  We'll lay the points River Hawks, as favorites of more than 10 points have covered 62% since 1990 when playing with revenge from an upset loss by more than 15 points earlier in the season.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over UNLV.  The Rams return home tonight off an 0-2 road trip, as they lost at Wyoming (58-57) and at Boise State (80-59).  We'll lay the points with the Rams, as they're 41-23-2 ATS as a home favorite off back to back road games, including 9-1 ATS their last 10 when they were also off back to back losses.  Take Colorado State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Indiana.  Both of these teams are 11-1 at home this season, but own a losing record away from home.  Unfortunately for Indiana, this game is being play in College Park, MD.  The Hoosiers have failed to cover the spread by an average of 5.50 ppg away from home this season.  In contrast, they're covering the spread by 5.25 ppg at home, in Bloomington.  Take Maryland minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Kansas State.  Earlier this season, the Wildcats upset Kansas, 83-82, in Manhattan.  We'll lay the points with Bill Self's men, as Kansas is 18-4 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, including 5-0 SU/ATS when matched-up against a .790 (or better) opponent.  And, since 1990, it's a perfect 4-0 ATS when playing with revenge against its rival, Kansas State, after the Wildcats defeated it earlier in the season.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes + the points over Quinnipiac.  The Red Foxes were blown out, 70-55, by Siena, on Saturday.  But we'll look for Marist to bounce back tonight, as it's 17-3 ATS on the road off a double-digit loss when playing a foe also off a loss.  Take Marist.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Illinois.  The Illini routed Nebraska, 76-50, in Lincoln, three weeks ago.  We'll take the underdog 'Huskers tonight, as Big 10 teams have gone 142-91-7 ATS off a point spread defeat when playing with revenge from a 14-point (or worse) loss earlier in the season.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alabama State Bulldogs + the points over Florida A&M.  The Rattlers have not been a good point spread team at home, as they're 1-8 ATS their last nine.  Meanwhile, Alabama State has excelled as a favorite of -10 points or less, as it's 16-7 ATS, including 8-1 ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones have been great at home this season, as they're 11-0 straight-up, and 7-4 ATS (and have covered by an average of 8.0 ppg).  But on the road, it's been a different story.  The Cyclones are just 2-4 straight-up, and have failed to cover the spread by 2.5 ppg.  And Iowa State is also a horrid 13-26 ATS its last 39 as a road favorite, including 5-17 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes.  It's true that the Cyclones blew out the Red Raiders, 84-50, earlier this month, in Ames.  But Big 12 teams are 33-14-3 ATS when playing with revenge from 24-point (or worse) defeat, if they weren't getting 7+ points in the current game.  Take Texas Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina State Bulldogs + the points over Howard.  The Bison won, 71-67, against NC Central on Saturday.  And that was Howard's 5th straight win (and 4th straight cover).  Still, Howard is a poor 6-17 ATS off a win, including 2-10 ATS vs. losing teams.  And South Carolina State is a solid 16-2 ATS its last 18 when playing with revenge.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Chicago State Cougars + the points over The Citadel.  Chicago State has been installed as a small road underdog tonight at The Citadel.  And the Cougars are a solid 17-6 ATS when they haven't been an underdog of more than 8 points.  Take Chicago State + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars +the points over Cleveland State.  The Jaguars have won just three times this season (and just once vs. Division 1 foes), but they are winning lately where it counts -- in Las Vegas.  IUPUI is 1-10 straight-up its last 11 games.  But it's also 8-2-1 ATS in those 11 games.  We'll take the points with IUPUI tonight, and go against Cleveland State, as Horizon League teams are 37-68 ATS when favored by more than 15 points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners + the points over Hawaii.  Both teams come into this Big West Conference game off losses.  The Rainbow Warriors were upset by UC Santa Barbara on Thursday, while Bakersfield lost by 21 to Cal Davis.  We'll take the points with Bakersfield, as Big West teams have gone 79-58-3 ATS as road underdogs off a SU/ATS loss when matched up against a foe off an upset loss.  And Hawaii has gone 0-12 ATS as a favorite of 13+ points vs. foes off a double-digit loss.  Take Cal State Bakersfield.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions have won the last two meetings vs. Pepperdine.  We'll take the points with Pepperdine, as revenge-minded conference underdogs have gone 33-10 ATS away from home vs. Loyola Marymount, including 22-4 ATS off a loss.  Take the Waves + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford.  California lost both home games last week to Oregon and Oregon State, and is now 2-7 in Pac-12 play.  We'll take the points with California as Pac-12 teams are 31-17-1 ATS as road dogs off back to back home losses.