Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over TCU.  The Cyclones come into this game off back to back blowout losses to Kansas (91-71) and Texas Tech (87-57), while TCU is off an upset win over West Virginia.  I love Iowa State to rebound from those defeats, as it plays this game with revenge from a two-point loss in Fort Worth last month.  And college basketball favorites have cashed 67% since 1990 off back-to-back 20-point losses, if they played with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, and their opponent was off an upset win.  Take Iowa State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies + the points over Kentucky.  The Aggies are playing great basketball, as they come into this home game off three straight upset wins.  We'll grab the points with Texas A&M, as it's 39-22 ATS its last 61 as a home underdog.  And Kentucky is a poor 2-13 ATS off 3 straight wins.  Take Texas A&M + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Duke.  The Blue Devils thrashed Wake Forest, 90-59, in the season's first meeting.  We'll take the home underdog tonight, as .390 (or better) revenge-minded, double-digit home dogs have cashed 63% since 1991 if they lost the season's first meeting by 25+ points.  Take Wake Forest.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Texas.  These two teams met earlier this year in Morgantown, and Bob Huggins' men blew out the Longhorns by 38 points.  But I doubt that overconfidence will be an issue this evening.  After all, West Virginia just lost to TCU, 67-60, in Fort Worth, on Saturday.  And it had also blown out TCU earlier this season, in Morgantown, 81-49.  Overall, the Mountaineers have now dropped four of their previous five games.  Of course, two of those four losses were to Top 3-ranked Kansas and Baylor, so there's no shame in losing to each of those teams.  West Virginia is a fantastic 39-18 ATS in competitive games with point spreads less than 10 points, if WVU is off a point spread defeat.  And Texas is a poor 4-12 ATS off back to back wins, including 1-7 ATS at home.  Take WVU minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on The Citadel + the points over Western Carolina.  The Bulldogs played very well in defeat when these two teams met in Charleston, back on January 4.  Western Carolina won that road game, 86-82, but didn't cover the 7-point spread.  We'll take the Bulldogs in the rematch as a double-digit underdog, as the Catamounts are an awful 13-29-1 ATS as a home favorite of more than six points.  Take The Citadel. 

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies minus the points over California.  The Golden Bears snapped their 4-game losing streak with an upset win over Washington State on Wednesday, while Washington was upset by Stanford two nights ago.  But off its upset road win, we'll fade California this evening, in Seattle, as the Bears are an awful 28% ATS over the last 30 years off an upset road win, if matched up against a conference foe off a SU loss.  And Washington is 22-7 ATS at home off an upset loss, including 12-1 ATS when priced from -1.5 to -12 points.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Rhode Island.  Davidson lost to the league's doormat, St. Joseph's, on Tuesday, so it will be looking to redeem itself this evening.  Also, the Rams defeated the Wildcats by 11 points in the season's first meeting, in Kingston.  But all of this sets up today's play, as Davidson is a fantastic 23-12 ATS when playing with revenge, including 9-1 ATS off a loss.  Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Air Force minus the points over Wyoming.  The Falcons enter this afternoon's game on a horrid 9-game point spread losing streak, and are now 9-18 ATS.  Meanwhile, the Cowboys are 13-12 ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to fade the ice cold Falcons.  But consider that NCAA Teams on 9-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks have covered 59.1% over the last 30 years vs. foe with a winning ATS record.  Take Air Force minus  the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Florida State.  The Wolfpack have been installed as a home underdog this afternoon, and they're 14-6 ATS their last 20 as home dogs vs. foes off a win, including an upset victory over Duke in their most recent game.  Additionally, revenge-minded ACC home underdogs have gone 179-131 ATS vs. conference foes off back to back conference wins.  Take North Carolina State + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Hofstra.  This is a great match-up between two teams that have already reached the 20-win mark.  Delaware earned victory #20 with a 22-point win as a home underdog vs. Northeastern, on Thursday.  And conference underdogs, off 20-point upset wins over conference foes, have cashed 165 of 291 since 1990.  Take the Blue Hens.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes + the points over William & Mary.  The Dukes will play their 3rd straight home game today, after dropping their first two on this home stand.  We'll grab the points with James Madison, as William & Mary's an awful 0-19 ATS away from home vs. conference foes with a win percentage between .255 and .450 that are off back-to-back ATS losses.  Take James Madison + the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Morehead St. Eagles + the points over Tennessee St.  The Tigers were blown out, 83-62, at Eastern Kentucky, on Thursday.  And that extended the Tigers ATS Record away from home to 4-16 ATS their last 20.  This afternoon's game is also on the road, in Morehead.  And it will also be Morehead State's final home game of the season.  And we'll take the Eagles + the points, as they fall into a 59-33 ATS "last home game" system of mine, as well as a 76-45 ATS revenge angle.  Take Morehead St.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Youngstown State Penguins + the points over Northern Kentucky.  The Penguins upset Wright State, 88-70, as a 5-point home underdog in their previous game.  And that was Youngstown's eighth straight ATS win as a home underdog (and 15th of their last 18).  Even better:  the Penguins are now 20-7-1 ATS their last 28 as an underdog (regardless of the venue), including 6-1 ATS if they lost earlier in the season to their opponent.  Take Youngstown St. + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Ball St. Cardinals minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles have won and covered their last three games, including a 21-point blowout of Kent St., as a 2.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately for the Eagles, they've covered just 51 of 127 games off back to back wins, and are also 7-26 ATS their last 33 off back to back wins, when priced from +3.5 to +6.5 points.  Take the Cardinals.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri.  The Razorbacks lost two weeks ago to Missouri, in Columbia, 83-79.  And they've lost five straight, overall, coming into this game.  But Arkansas has always played MUCH BETTER at home than on the road.  Indeed, the Razorbacks are an awful 115-173 ATS their last 288 on the road.  But they're also a super 62-35-2 ATS at home off a road loss.  Take Arkansas minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks + the points over Baylor.  The Jayhawks will be out for revenge this afternoon, as they lost at home to Baylor by 12 points last month.  We'll grab the points with Kansas, as it's covered 78% over the last 30 years when playing on the road with revenge from a home defeat.  Meanwhile, Baylor's covered just 12 of 35 home games vs. revenge-minded foes that sought revenge from a home defeat earlier in the season.  Take Kansas + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Auburn Tigers minus the points over Tennessee.  The 13th-ranked Tigers look to rebound off their two losses to Missouri and Georgia.  But those were road games; today's game is at home.  And the Tigers are a solid 75% ATS since 2002 in SEC Conference games off back to back SEC road losses.  Take Auburn.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans minus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay.  The Titans are on a 5-game losing streak (1-4 ATS), including back to back upset losses here, at home, to Cleveland State and Youngstown State.  But off those two upsets, we'll step in and take Detroit as a small, 1-point favorite, as it's covered 63% over the last 18 years as a favorite in conference games off an upset loss.  And it's covered 61.1% at home off back to back SU/ATS losses when playing with revenge.  Take Detroit.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Brown.  The Lions enter tonight's game on a 7-game losing streak (3-4 ATS), including a 72-66 defeat at Brown back on February 1.  But the good news for Lions' fans is that they're 50-32 ATS vs. Ivy League foes if the Lions were off back to back losses, including 39-19 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Columbia.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Buffalo.  Kent State was blown out by 21 points, as a 2.5-point road favorite, by Eastern Michigan, on Tuesday, which was Kent's worst game (ATS) this season.  The culprit was Kent's shooting percentage (29.1%), which was the lowest percentage (by far) it shot this season.  But immediately before this game, Kent had its second-best shooting performance of the season (53.1%) in a 15-point blowout win vs. Ohio.  So, it's best to just chalk up Tuesday's debacle to "variance."  We'll look for Kent State to bounce back this evening, as it falls into 48-14 and 37-7 ATS angles of mine which play on certain teams off loss vs. foes off wins.  Take Kent State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Morehead St. Eagles + the points over Belmont.  The Bruins have won and covered each of their last five games, while the Eagles are off back to back SU/ATS losses.  The knee-jerk reaction, then, might be to lay the points with red-hot Belmont, which already defeated Morehead St. by 18 points.  But be careful.  Indeed, since 1990, double-digit favorites have covered just 38%, if they were off back to back SU/ATS wins, and their opponent was a revenge-minded, losing team off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And, along the same lines, Belmont has only covered 36% since 1990 vs. revenge-minded foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Morehead St. + the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Tulsa.  I expect the 22nd-ranked Cougars to be in an ornery mood tonight.  They lost in overtime at SMU, 73-72, on Saturday (which was their 2nd straight point spread loss).  And they also will play this game with revenge from a 63-61 loss at Tulsa -- a game in which Houston went the final 5:32 without a field goal!  But the Cougars had won the previous five games (4-1 ATS) in this series prior to that loss.  And Houston's an awesome 43-23-4 ATS as a favorite (or PK) when playing with revenge against a conference foe, including 25-9-4 ATS if the Cougars owned a better conference record.  Finally, the Cougars are 8-1 ATS off back to back ATS defeats.  Lay the points with Kelvin Sampson's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Oklahoma State.  Tonight, the Mountaineers will welcome the Cowboys to Morgantown.  And Okie State has not been a good traveler, as it's 52-75 ATS as a road underdog of +4 or more points.  The Mountaineers are on a rare 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, while the Cowboys are off back to back upset wins.  But WVU is a super 9-3 ATS its last 12, and 21-13 ATS its last 34, off 3 straight point spread defeats.  And Oklahoma State is a poor 43-64 ATS off a home win vs. a conference foe.  Take the Mountaineers minus the points.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Illinois Panthers minus the points over Morehead St.  The Eagles won the first meeting in Morehead, 69-66, back on January 11.  And they enter this afternoon's game on a 3-Game SU/ATS win streak after defeating SIU-Edwardsville, 58-49, on Thursday.  We'll lay the points with Eastern Illinois, as it's covered 67% since 2001 as a favorite vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  College Basketball home favorites of more than 6 points, on a 3-game losing streak, have covered 63% over the last 30 years, if playing with revenge from a road loss earlier in the season, and their foe was on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  Take the Panthers.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on ESPN2-TV, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over the Baylor Bears.  Baylor's 19-1, and ranked #1 in the country, while K-State is 9-12 on the season.  But the Wildcats have covered their last three games, and now fall into an 86-48-8 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any home underdog off 3 ATS wins, with a strong home court (that has won at least 32 of its previous 40 home games), if it was playing an opponent off a SU win.  Take Kansas State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the SE Missouri State Redhawks + the points over Eastern Kentucky.  The Colonels are on a 4-game win streak.  But three of those four wins were on the road.  Now, they're back home where they've NOT performed well over the years.  Indeed, Eastern Kentucky is an awful 44-70-1 ATS here at home in Richmond, including 10-29 ATS as a favorite of more than 5 points off a win.  Even worse:  the Colonels come into this game off a 99-86 victory over Tennessee-Martin.  But they're 2-14-1 ATS off a double-digit win, including 0-8-1 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Take the Redhawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers + the points over Arkansas St.  The Red Wolves are on a 5-game ATS win streak, including outright upset wins in each of their last three games.  Unfortunately, teams (like Arkansas State) off five straight ATS wins and 3 straight upset wins have covered just 42 of 103 games since 1990.  Even worse:  the Red Wolves are 0-5 ATS as a favorite vs. Appalachian St, while the Mountaineers are a solid 37-24 ATS vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS wins.  Finally, Appalachian State falls into several of my favorite NCAA systems, with records of 165-82, 125-65 and 144-67 ATS since 1990.  Grab the points with the Mountaineers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over West Virginia.  The Red Raiders play tonight's game with revenge from a 66-54 loss in Morgantown on January 11.  And West Virginia has gone 3-1 SU/ATS since that game, including back-to-back SU/ATS home wins over Texas and Missouri last week.  Unfortunately for the Mountaineers, tonight's game is away from home.  And the Mountaineers have covered just 14 of 46 games away from home, if they were off back-to-back ATS wins.  Lay the points with Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs + the points over Chattanooga.  This is a big revenge game for Samford, which was handed its worst loss of the season by the Moccasins, 105-67, earlier this month.  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as Chattanooga's a disastrous 6-27-1 ATS when favored (or PK) over a revenge-minded opponent which it defeated by more than 10 points in the previous meeting.  Take Samford + the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores plus the points over Kentucky.  Vanderbilt's on a seven-game losing streak (including 0-5 ATS its last five).  That's the bad news.  The good news -- at least for tonight's game -- is that double-digit SEC Conference underdogs, off 4 ATS defeats, are 30-12 ATS vs. conference foes not off 4 ATS losses.  Vanderbilt also falls into 119-54, 417-228 and 38-10 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Commodores + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Richmond.  These two rivals are located less than 6 miles apart in the city of Richmond.  And the Spiders have not had much success vs. the Rams, including 8-18 ATS when playing away from their home gym.  This season, both of these teams have identical 15-5 records, and 5-2 Atlantic 10 Conference records.  The Rams did get off to an AWFUL start "in Vegas" this season, as they opened with a 4-13 ATS record.  But they're 3-0 SU/ATS since that horrid start, including an 11-point road win at La Salle on Saturday.  I look for VCU's resurgence to continue this evening, as VCU is a super 29-15 ATS in conference games as a favorite off back to back wins.  And it also falls into a 338-216 ATS "momentum" system of mine which plays on certain favorites of more than 4 points off back-to-back wins.  Take the Rams to blow out Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Valparaiso.  The Aces have lost their last 7 games -- both SU and ATS, including a 73-50 defeat at home to Drake, on Wednesday (and a narrow, 2-point loss to Valparaiso on Jan. 4).  But this long SU/ATS losing streak has created great point spread value for this game, and has triggered several great systems of mine, with records of 164-90, 118-54, 416-228, 157-76 and 523-381 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, Missouri Valley Conference teams are a solid 103-71 ATS as double-digit road underdogs, if they lost the season's earlier meeting.  And Evansville is 7-1 ATS vs. conference foes, if the Aces lost by 20+ points at home in their previous game.  Take the Aces + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over UCLA.  The Bruins won the first leg of their 2-game road trip when they upset Oregon State, 62-58, as a 9-point road underdog.  And that was the Bruins' 2nd straight win, overall.  Unfortunately, UCLA is a poor 18-37 ATS off a road conference win, if they also won 2 games back.  And the Ducks are an awesome 42-21-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset win, including 18-4 ATS when playing with revenge.  With the Ducks, indeed, having revenge from a pair of losses last season, we'll lay the points with Oregon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers over Maryland.  Both of these teams own identical 15-4 records, and 5-3 conference records.  Earlier this month, the Terrapins won Round 1 when they defeated Indiana in College Park, 75-59, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But we'll take the Hoosiers in this re-match, as .750 (or better) revenge-minded favorites, off back to back SU/ATS wins, have gone 146-95 ATS at home since 1990.  Take Indiana.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the St. Joseph's Hawks + the points over George Washington.   The Hawks were blown out, 73-60, at home on Tuesday by VCU.  And that was their 6th loss in their last seven games.  And they're just 4-15 on the season.  But the Hawks are an awesome 32-9-1 ATS on the road off a double-digit loss, including 15-2 ATS if their previous game was at home.  And St. Joseph's also falls into 2 of my favorite systems, with records of 43-9 and 195-96 ATS since 1990. Take the Hawks + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Wisconsin.  Matt Painter's men dropped their second straight game, 79-62, on Tuesday vs. Illinois.  But we'll lay the points with Purdue tonight, and look for it to bounce back in a big way vs. a Wisconsin team off an 82-68 victory vs. Nebraska.  Purdue is a solid 34-14-2 ATS off a double-digit loss, including 10-2 ATS off back to back losses, if now matched-up against a Big 10 Conference foe.  Purdue's 19-3 SU and 17-5 ATS at home vs. the Badgers, and it's also 12-0 ATS in the regular season vs. Wisconsin when priced from -3 to -9.  Lay the points with the Boilers.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Louisiana Tech.  The Bulldogs were upset, 51-50, at home by North Texas on Saturday.  And they're now a double-digit road favorite here in Murfreesboro.  Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, road favorites of -9 (or more) points are a terrible 23-51-2 ATS off an upset loss at home.  And Middle Tenn is a solid 123-96 ATS at home, including 5-0 ATS as an underdog of more than 6 points in conference games.  The Blue Raiders fall into 448-266 and 487-320 ATS systems of mine.  Take Middle Tenn + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over San Diego St.  The Aztecs, at 19-0, remain the country's lone unbeaten team.  But we will grab the double-digits with Wyoming, which has lost its last six games.  The Cowboys play with revenge from a 20-point loss to San Diego St. less than two weeks ago.  And Mountain West conference road underdogs of more than 13 points have gone 42-18 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins, if our road underdog was playing with revenge.  Even better:  undefeated teams, with a 19-0 or better record, have covered just 35.1% since 1990 at home, including 20% vs. foes with a .455 (or worse) win percentage.  Wyoming also falls into two of my favorite College Basketball systems, that are 194-94 and 94-37 ATS since 1990.  Take the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers minus the points over Quinnipiac.  The Jaspers' leading scorer, Tykei Greene (12.1 ppg), has been upgraded to 'probable' for tonight's game.  And that's all I needed to pull the trigger on Manhattan, as Manhattan falls into a 125-55 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset wins.   The Jaspers have gotten off to a 3-1 start in MAAC play this season, even though they've been underdogs in three of their four games, including an upset win as a 2.5-point home dog vs. Siena their previous game.  Manhattan's 55-34 ATS off a conference win, while the Bobcats are a poor 9-17 ATS off back to back wins, including 2-10 ATS if their last win was by double-digits.  Lay the points with Manhattan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Cyclones were blown out by Kansas, 79-53, on Wednesday, and fell to 0-2 in Big 12 Conference play.  But I love them to bounce back tonight, here at home, vs. Oklahoma.  ISU has been installed as a small home favorite.  And the Cyclones are an awesome 43-22 ATS as single-digit home favorites off a conference defeat.  Moreover, the Cyclones have dominated the Sooners, with a 33-16 ATS record, including 9-2 ATS their last 11.  Finally, Iowa State falls into 29-2, 41-11 and 123-61 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off back to back losses.  Take Iowa State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Mavericks hope to win the Sun Belt Conference this season (after finishing 2nd the past two seasons).  The Mavs were the preseason #2 pick to win the Sun Belt Conference this season, in part, because they returned five starters from last year's team which went 12-6 inside the conference.  But they've gotten off to an 0-2 start, after road losses at Georgia State (last season's champ) and Georgia Southern (12-6 last season).  I look for them to break through tonight, and earn their first conference win, against a Red Wolves team which returned just one starter from the team which finished ninth (7-11) in the league last season.  Arlington is 53-32-4 ATS off a loss.  And it also falls into a super 73.2% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Take Texas Arlington minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St Johns Red Storm + the points over Butler.  These two teams met here last February, and the Johnnies upset Butler, 77-73, as a 3.5-point home dog.  At the time of that game, both teams had losing 5-6 records in Conference play.  But both teams look to be improved this season.  Butler's 12-1, while St. John's is 11-2 SU and 7-4-1 ATS thus far.  Butler's been installed as a road favorite, once again.  But we'll take the home team tonight, as .800 (or better) home dogs, with a winning ATS record, have cashed 60% over the last 30 years vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Moreover, Butler's a dismal 5-16 ATS away from home vs. conference foes, including 1-12 ATS with revenge.  Take St. John's.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Yale.  The Tar Heels have been installed as a single-digit home favorite vs. the Bulldogs.  And, over the years, the Tar Heels have dominated non-conference foes here in Chapel Hill.  Since 1990, North Carolina's gone 149-16 straight-up, and 101-62-2 ATS in its lined games at home vs. non-conference opposition.  And if UNC was playing a top-level opponent with a win percentage greater than .750, then UNC has been even better -- 52-3 straight-up, and 39-16 ATS, including 12-1 ATS when priced from -3.5 to -10!  Take North Carolina minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes + the points over New Mexico.  Dan Majerle's men are 4-8 this season, but they've had to deal with the fact that two projected starters were in street clothes.  One of those -- 6'2" point guard Mikey Dixon -- will make his season debut tonight, while the other -- 6'7" forward Oscar Frayer -- also may play if his eligibility is approved by the NCAA.  Dixon was the former MAA Conference Freshman of the Year, while Frayer has started for Grand Canyon each of the previous three years, and is among the school's career statistical leaders in several categories.  In its last game, New Mexico got a huge, emotional win over its rival, New Mexico State.  But the Lobos are a soft 3-7 ATS at home off a SU/ATS win over New Mexico State, and 2-8 ATS off a point spread win, if they're matched up against non-conference foes.  And they also fall into a negative 224-414 ATS system of mine which goes against certain double-digit favorites.  Take Grand Canyon + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes minus the points over Northern Iowa.  This is a great match-up tonight between the 24th-ranked, and 7-1 Buffs vs. the 8-1 Panthers.  We'll lay the points with the home team, as Colorado is a fantastic 89-50-4 ATS when playing at home, and not favored by 17+ points (including 8-0-1 ATS its last nine), while the Panthers are a horrid 0-11 ATS away from home vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss that didn't have a winning ATS record.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Michigan.  This is the best match-up of the season-to-date, and the final non-conference game for each team before they each have their conference home opener on Friday.  The #1 Louisville Cardinals are now 7-0 after a blowout win over Western Kentucky on Friday, while Juwan Howard's Wolverines are also 7-0, and ranked #4 in the country following back to back upsets of Gonzaga and North Carolina last week.  We'll play against Michigan, as .833 (or better) teams, off back to back upset wins, have gone 15-40-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes off a SU win, including 4-20 ATS if their opponent was playing with at least 3 days of rest.  Take Louisville.  College Hoops Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals minus the points over Western Illinois.  This will be the Leathernecks' 2nd road game of the season.  And the first didn't go so well, as they were blown out by 33-points in Bloomington by the Indiana Hoosiers.  Western Illinois is now 29-53-1 ATS as a road underdog, including 0-12 ATS as an underdog priced from +11 to +18 points vs. non-conference foes.  And the Leathernecks also fall into a negative 58-136 ATS system of mine which goes against certain double-digit road underdogs.  Take Ball State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins over BYU.  Both of these teams come into tonight's game off upset losses.  The Bruins fell at home, 88-78, to Hofstra, while BYU lost at Boise State, 72-68.  We'll take Mick Cronin's men tonight, and go against BYU, which is an awful 21-53-3 ATS at home, or on neutral courts, when not laying more than 3 points.   Meanwhile, Pac-12 Conference teams have cashed 66.0% off an upset loss as an 8-point (or greater) favorite, if their current game was at home, or on a neutral court.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas come into this game with a spotless 4-0 record.  Of course, that's to be expected as their games were against Michigan-Dearborn, Mississippi Valley St., Sam Houston St. and Siena Heights.  Minnesota, meanwhile, is 1-3, but its last three games were against Oklahoma, Butler and Utah, all of whom rate better than the Gophers.  In its lone game this season against an inferior opponent (Cleveland St.), the Gophers walloped them, 85-50, as a 22-point favorite.  Minnesota is also favored by double-digits tonight.  And the Gophers fall into an 62.2% ATS system of mine which plays on certain big favorites with inferior records.  Minnesota's also 34-19 ATS as a non-conference favorite, priced from -3 to -21, while Central Michigan is a wallet-busting 17-35-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes off a loss, including 0-8-1 ATS when priced from +6.5 to +16.5 points.  Take Minnesota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Princeton.  The Tigers enter tonight's game on an 0-3 SU/ATS run to start the season, while Indiana is 4-0 straight-up, and 3-1 ATS.  I look for Archie Miller's men to register another blowout win tonight, as Indiana is a spectacular 73-43 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes when favored by 10+ points.  Meanwhile, Princeton is a wallet-busting 4-29 straight-up and 8-24-1 ATS as an underdog, including 0-15 ATS in the regular season when the Tigers weren't off a win!  Take the Hoosiers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:20 pm, on Monday, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers on the money line (currently -118), to win the game straight-up vs. Texas Tech. At the start of the season, in November, I picked the Cavaliers to win the NCAA Title, at 22-1 odds. I also selected Virginia to win this tournament when the field was announced three weeks ago. So, with the Cavaliers on the doorstep of winning their first National Championship, I am certainly not going to back away now. It's absolutely true that Virginia has been fortunate to win their last two games. They needed overtime to put Purdue away in the Elite Eight, and then benefited from an Auburn shooting foul on Kyle Guy on a failed 3-point attempt. The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Red Raiders, who have covered their last five games, and against a Cavaliers squad which failed to cover vs. Auburn. But Final Four teams off a point spread loss have gone 11-0 ATS when not favored by more than 4 points, if their opponent was off an ATS win. Even better: teams (like Texas Tech) off an upset win, have gone just 28-47 ATS vs. #1 seeds, if they weren't getting 9+ points. And teams off 3 straight upset wins have cashed just 31.5% in the NCAA Tournament since 1994 vs. foes not off an ATS win. Finally, the Cavaliers have been spectacular the past two seasons off an ATS defeat (19-1 SU; 15-4 ATS). Take Virginia on the money line. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, on Saturday, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Auburn.  The 5th-seeded Tigers are the hottest team left in the Tournament, with 12 straight wins, including back to back upset wins in the Sweet 16 and Elite 8 rounds.  But this is the point where Cinderella generally gets her glass slipper smashed.  Indeed, in the NCAA Tournament, teams seeded #5 (or worse), and installed as an underdog of +6 or less points, are 0-7 SU/ATS in the semi-final round since 1990.  And, since 1995, underdogs off back-to-back upset wins in the Sweet 16 and Elite 8 rounds are a poor 0-11 straight-up, and 2-9 ATS in the NCAA Semi-Finals.  Finally, #1-seeded ACC Conference teams have gone 14-3 straight-up and 13-4 ATS since 2000 in the NCAA Tourney's Final Four.  Virginia will blow out Auburn.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over DePaul.  The Bulls have covered four straight heading into tonight's game at McGrath-Phillips Arena.  The first two games in this series went down to the wire.  South Florida outlasted DePaul, 63-61, on Monday at Yuengling Center, in Tampa.  Then, on Wednesday, the Blue Demons evened up the series with a 4-point overtime win, here in Chicago.  South Florida, though, covered the closing line of +4.5 (it did open at +3.5, however).  Given the closeness of this series, it's hard to turn down points with the Bulls.  After all, besides its current 4-game ATS win streak, the Bulls have gone 9-0-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Blue Demons.  Take South Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns over Lipscomb.  The #5-seeded Bison have been underdogs (or PK) every step of the way in this NIT Tournament.  And they've been installed as a dog, yet again, in this Championship game.  By my numbers, though, they should be getting 1.5 more points, so the value rests on the side of the Longhorns.  Even worse for Lipscomb:  underdogs have been awful in the NIT Tournament off 3 straight wins as an underdog (or PK), as they've gone 1-6 ATS in that role.  And teams seeded#5 (or worse) are 0-6-1 ATS in the NIT Final Four if they're matched up against a higher-seeded opponent (here, Texas is seeded 2nd).  Finally, Big 12 Conference teams have gone 12-3 ATS in the NIT Tournament, at the quarter-final round forward, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when not favored by 4+ points.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, on Wednesday, in Game 2 of the Best-of-3 Championship series of the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over South Florida.  These two schools have a long history against one another, as they were member schools in Conference USA together, and also member schools of the Big East Conference together.  Currently, South Florida is an American Athletic Conference member, so this series was the first time the schools had met since March 2013.  Lately, South Florida has had the upper hand, with nine straight wins (8-0-1 ATS).  But since 1996, the series has been pretty evenly played, with the Bulls holding a 13-11 record (12-11-1 ATS).  The key factor for tonight's game is that the Bulls have been dreadful in the post-season when they've had to play on an opponent's home court.  They've gone 0-8 straight-up and 1-6-1 ATS (with their only ATS win by a single point).  And, yes, it's true that South Florida is 2-0-1 ATS its last three games, while DePaul is 0-2-1 ATS in its last three.  But in post-season tournaments, home teams not off an ATS win in either of their two previous games, have covered 63.1% if they weren't favored by more than 7 points against a foe which didn't fail to cover the spread in either of its two previous games.  Take the Blue Demons.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over TCU.  Both of these teams come into this NIT Semi-Final off 13-point wins.  Texas defeated Creighton, 71-58, while TCU bested Colorado, 68-55.  The Longhorns and Horned Frogs are both Big 12 Conference members, of course.  And the two teams met twice earlier this season, with TCU coming out on top in both games.  However, Texas now falls into several revenge systems of mine, with records of 35-12, 35-18 and 10-0 ATS.  Even better:  TCU is an awful 35-56-2 ATS when playing a revenge-minded Conference foe, including 4-16 ATS if the Horned Frogs were off a double-digit win.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Michigan State.  Mike Krzyzewski has owned Tom Izzo, with seven straight wins in this series.  This evening, I look for Duke to rip off its 8th straight win vs. Michigan State.  Yes, it's true that the Spartans come into this game off impressive wins over LSU (80-63) and Minnesota (70-50), while Duke has yet to cover the spread in the Tourney.  But Number 1-seeded teams have covered 68% off back to back ATS losses, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Duke falls into several of my very best systems, with records of 287-191, 32-8 and 164-81 ATS.  Lay the small number with the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Purdue.  The Boilermakers upset Tennessee, in overtime, on Thursday.  Unfortunately, single-digit underdogs (or PK) off upset wins have cashed just 57 of 132 NCAA Tournament games vs. foes off a point spread loss.  And teams off overtime wins are a horrid 29% ATS since 2001, including 9-38 ATS when priced from -3 to +10 points.  Take Virginia.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are off to a 3-0 ATS start to this Tournament.  And they've won each game in blowout fashion, with wins by 15 (Northern Kentucky), 20 (Buffalo) and 19 (Michigan).  Unfortunately, NCAA Tourney teams have cashed just 18.7% over the last 29 years off three ATS wins, if they won those three games by 15+ points.  Take Gonzaga today to blow out Texas Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Houston.  The Wildcats have rebounded off their loss to Tennessee in the SEC Conference Tournament with back to back wins (and covers) over Abilene Christian and Wofford.  On Friday, the Wildcats will take on the 33-3 Houston Cougars.  And Kentucky is at its very best in the post-season when matched up against top-level teams with a win percentage of .750 (or better), if Kentucky is not off 3+ ATS wins.  Since 1991, the Wildcats are an awesome 42-14-2 ATS, including 11-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round of the NCAA Tournament.  Lay the points with Kentucky.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Oregon.  The Ducks, as a 12 seed, are the lowest seed remaining in this Tourney.  They upset Wisconsin in the first round, and then caught a break by getting to play 13-seed Cal Irvine last Sunday.  Oregon was favored by 4.5 in that game, and won, 73-54.  Unfortunately, Oregon won't be catching a break in the Sweet 16, as they'll have to play the 2nd best team in the Tournament.  And teams seeded #11 (or worse), that won as a favorite in Round 2, are a horrid 0-13 straight up and 3-9-1 ATS in the Sweet 16 Round.  Admittedly, the Ducks are the hottest team left in the Tournament, with 10 straight wins and covers.  But that's never been a positive indicator in this NCAA Tournament, as teams off 9+ ATS wins have covered just 22% over the past 26 years.  Take Virginia.  NCAA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Florida State.  Number 1 seeds have dominated, lately, in the NCAA Tournament's Sweet 16 Round.  Over the last four seasons, they've gone 12-0 straight-up, and 10-1-1 ATS.  And, dating back to 1990, #1 seeds, priced from -6 to -10 points, are 37-4 straight-up and 27-13-1 ATS in the Sweet 16.  This is also a huge revenge game for Gonzaga, which lost in last season's Sweet 16 Round to these same Seminoles.  Last season, the Bulldogs were a #4 seed, but they were still favored by 6 over the 9th-seeded Seminoles, who pulled off the upset, 75-60.  However, in the post-season, over the last 18 years, teams playing with revenge from an upset Tourney loss, in which they failed to cover by more than 7 points, have gone 12-0 straight-up and 10-0-2 ATS (including 6 outright upset wins)!   Take Gonzaga to blow out the Seminoles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:00 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Colorado, in the quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament.  The Buffaloes won and covered their first two games in this NIT Tournament.  But both of those were played in Boulder.  This game will be in Austin, Texas.  And Colorado is a horrid 9-27 straight-up and 8-27-1 ATS in its last 36 lined road games, including 2-18 ATS when the Buffaloes owned a W/L percentage greater than .600.  Even worse:  the Buffs are 9-24 ATS off back to back ATS wins, including 1-9 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Meanwhile, the Big 12 Conference has been strong (8-1 ATS their last nine) in the NIT Tournament, at the quarterfinal round forward.  Take Texas to blow out the Buffaloes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Wichita State.  The Shockers will attempt to become the first NIT Tournament team (in the Tourney's 82-year history) to knock off its Region's Top 3 Seeds.  Wichita has already won blowouts at Furman (76-70) and at Clemson (63-55).  Unfortunately for the Shockers, NIT Tourney teams are a soft 34-54 ATS away from home after covering the point spread by 6+ points in each of their previous two games.  Take Indiana to blow out Wichita.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  The key factor in this game is WVU's home court.  The Mountaineers have been solid over the years in the post-season, when playing at home.  Since 1990, they've cashed 64%, including a perfect 3-0 ATS when laying 9+ points.  Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina has been awful in the post-season when playing away from home (8-27 straight-up; 5-10 ATS (with 20 non-lined games).  And when the point spread on the game was in the single-digits (i.e., below 10), then the Chanticleers were 1-7 ATS.  West Virginia blew out Grand Canyon, 77-63, here, at home, in its first round game.  In contrast, Coastal Carolina struggled, somewhat, at home vs. Howard, and failed to cover the 11-point spread in an 81-72 win.  WVU is 48-20-1 ATS at home off a home win, including 19-3 ATS if its opponent failed to cover the point spread in its previous game.  Take the Mountaineers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Buffalo.  The Bulls won the Mid-American Conference this season, and are 30-3 on the year.  But Mid-American Conference teams are an awful 0-11 straight-up and 2-9 ATS as underdogs of +3.5 (or more) points off an NCAA Tournament win.  And MAC Conference teams are also 1-23 straight-up and 5-17-2 ATS vs. Big 12 foes with a win percentage of .800 (or better), including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  We played on the Red Raiders in their Friday victory over Northern Kentucky.  Texas Tech won that game, 72-57, as a 13-point favorite.  And the Red Raiders are now 10-1 straight-up and 9-2 ATS their last 11 games.  This will be a rout.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Arkansas.  The Razorbacks defeated the Hoosiers by a point earlier this season.  But that game was played in Fayetteville.  On the road, Arkansas has consistently burned money for bettors over the years.  Indeed, the Razorbacks are a miserable 16-33 on the road vs. revenge-minded foes, including 1-10 ATS vs. foes off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with Indiana.  High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, on Friday afternoon, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Cal Irvine.  The Wildcats were seeded #1 in their Big 12 Conference tourney, but were bounced out by the Iowa State Cyclones.  They're now seeded 4th in this NCAA Tournament against a 13th-seeded Anteaters squad, which has won 16 straight games.  We'll lay the points with the Wildcats, as NCAA Tourney teams, seeded #4 or #3, that lost as a top 2-seeded team in either the quarter-finals or semi-finals of their conference tourney, have cashed 63.2% since 1990 vs. foes off SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, Kansas State falls into my favorite Tourney system which is 155-58 ATS since 1990.  Finally, Big West Conference teams are a horrid 23-52 ATS vs. Big 12 member schools, including 6-25 ATS when priced from -3 to +13 points.  Take Kansas State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears + the points over Syracuse.  Baylor enters this Tournament ice cold, with four straight losses.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Baylor.  But teams off 4+ losses have actually cashed 65.3% over the last 29 years in the post-season (non-conference) tournaments, if they were at home, or on a neutral court.  Moreover, Baylor is a spectacular 57-25-4 ATS off back to back defeats, including 7-0 ATS when priced from PK to +2.5.  And, finally, the Big 12 Conference has dominated the ACC Conference lately, with a 25-7 SU and 23-9 ATS record over the last 5 seasons, including a perfect 11-0 SU/ATS when priced from -4.5 to +3.5 points.  Take Baylor.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie

At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over Fairleigh Dickinson.  The Bulldogs were upset by rival St. Mary's to end their West Coast Conference season.  Gonzaga, though, is an awesome 24-2 SU and 16-9 ATS off a loss.  Even better:  #1-seeded teams are a solid 60% in the post-season off an upset loss, if they're playing the 2nd of back to back games away from home.  Take the Zags minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the COLLEGE INSIDER TOURNAMENT, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Buccaneers had covered nine straight games prior to losing to Radford in the semifinals of the Big South Conference tourney.  We'll take the Bucs to bounce back at home tonight vs. the Owls, as the Owls have covered just two of their last 11 post-season games.  Finally, Charleston Southern falls into a 69-27 ATS Tourney system of mine which plays on certain home teams in Conference tourneys.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles minus the points over Murray State.  The Racers upset Belmont in the Championship game of the Ohio Valley Tournament, and are 27-4 this season.  Meanwhile, Marquette was upset by Seton Hall to end its Big East season, and finished with a 24-9 overall record.  Over the last 29 seasons, teams off upset defeats have covered 64.3% vs. .750 (or better) foes off upset wins.  Take Marquette.

At 3:10 pm, in the NCAA Tournament, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins minus the points over Belmont.  The Bruins have been a great offensive team this season, as they average 87.2 ppg.  But I believe they'll find it a tad difficult to score against this Maryland club, which gives up just 65.1 ppg.  Even worse:  In the NCAA Tourney, teams seeded #3 (or worse), that average 86+ points per game, are an awful 0-16 ATS as underdogs of less than 12 points (or PK).  Take Maryland.

At 12:40 pm, on Thursday, our selection is on the LSU Tigers minus the points over Yale.  Yale comes into this game off three straight wins -- over Princeton (twice) and Harvard in the Ivy League title game.  But all three of those games were played on Yale's home court.  And, dating back to 1990, teams that had the benefit of winning their conference tournament on their home court have burned $$$ in their first NCAA tourney game.  Even worse for Yale:  it's a woeful 2-13 ATS as an underdog priced from +4 to +9 points.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the California Baptist Lancers + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions have been an historically poor traveler, as they've covered just 65 of 155 road games.  That doesn't bode well for them tonight, as a small road favorite.  Even worse:  West Coast Conference teams (like Loyola) are a horrid 0-9 SU/ATS their last nine on the road in the post-season.  Finally, Loyola was upset by Pepperdine, as a 4.5-point favorite in the West Coast Conference tourney.  And road favorites have cashed just 34.3% over the past 29 years in the post-season tournaments off an upset defeat.  Take California Baptist.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Central Michigan. The Blue Demons lost to St Johns, 82-74, to end their Big East season.  That game, however, was played in St. John's home town of New York City.  Tonight's game will be back in Chicago, where the Demons are 12-6 this season.  We'll lay the points, as Mid-American Conference teams are an awful 30-57 ATS as non-conference underdogs away from home, priced from +3 to +5.5 points, including 5-26 ATS their last 31, and 4-16 ATS in the Tournaments.  Additionally, DePaul's cashed 67% as a home favorite in the post-season off a SU loss.  And it also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 135-55 ATS since 1990.  Take DePaul.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Longwood Lancers + the points over Southern Mississippi.  Over the last 29 years, there have been 101 home underdogs in the post-season (non-conference) tourneys, and the Lancers are the only double-digit home underdog among them.  Over the last five seasons, home dogs in these tournaments have cashed 63.8%, and we'll grab the points with Longwood tonight.  The Lancers fall into 67-27 and 17-0 ATS tourney systems of mine.  Meanwhile, Southern Miss is a poor 2-9 SU and 3-7-1 ATS on the road in the post-season, including 0-5 ATS off a straight-up loss.  Take Longwood.

At 9 pm, in the CBI Tournament, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Utah Valley.  The Matadors are double-digit underdogs this evening, and it's hard to turn down that many points with a team which was 16-4-1 ATS as an underdog/PK this season (and 20-7-2 ATS, overall).  Northridge also falls into a 100% Perfect, 16-0 ATS Tourney system of mine.  Take the points with the Matadors.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over South Dakota State.  Texas ended its season with losses in five of its last six games.  One problem for the Longhorns was that their leading scorer, Kerwin Roach II (14.7 ppg), missed five of those six games due to suspension.  But he returned for Texas' final Big 12 game of the season -- a 65-57 loss to Kansas in the quarterfinals.  The NIT Tournament committee seeded Texas #2 in its region, so it will start this tourney at home, in Austin.  And the Longhorns won 12 of their 18 home games this season.  That bodes well for Texas tonight, as home teams have cashed 78% in the post-season tourneys since 1991 if they owned a .666 (or better) home W/L percentage, and lost their three previous games SU/ATS.  Take Texas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, in the College Insider Tournament, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials over Cornell.  This game will be played in Coraopolis, PA, where Robert Morris was 12-3 SU and 8-5 ATS this season.  Cornell, meanwhile, won just six of its 17 games away from home.  And it lost its last four road games by 24, 23, 18 and 9 points.  Yet the Big Red have been installed as a road favorite.  We'll go against Cornell, as road favorites have covered just 10 of 34 games to open a post-season tournament.  Take Robert Morris.

At 3:15 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Cincinnati.  These two teams met just seven days ago in Cincinnati, and the Cougars blew out the Bearcats, 85-69.  And Houston also won the first meeting, 65-58, at home.  That bodes well for Houston this afternoon vs. the 27-6 Bearcats, as College Basketball underdogs of +1.5 (or more) points, with a win percentage greater than .700, have cashed just 35 of 97 times when playing with double-revenge.  Take the Cougars minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia St. Panthers minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mavericks have won and covered five straight games, heading into this Championship round match.  They've been installed as an underdog vs. the Panthers, who defeated them in each of the two regular season meetings this season (63-58; 77-71).  And it's actually the 3rd straight Tournament game in which Texas Arlington has been the underdog.  That doesn't bode well for them this afternoon, as Sun Belt Conference teams have cashed just once in 10 Title games when they were off an upset win in the Semi-Finals (and their foe was not).  Take Georgia St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over Oregon.  The Ducks won and covered for the 7th straight time last night when they stormed back in the 2nd half and won in overtime vs. the Utah Utes.  But off that overtime win, we will fade the Ducks tonight.  One reason is Oregon's long ATS win streak.  And the Ducks fall into a negative 29-79 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams on long point spread win streaks.  Additionally, Washington falls into 41-5, 63-27 and 56-18 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams in the Conference tourneys with stellar records (the Huskies have won 17 of 20 Pac-12 Conference games this season, and earned the #1 seed in the Tournament).  Finally, Washington is 24-15-1 ATS in its last 40 Pac-12 Conference games, and Top 2-seeded teams have cashed 19 of their last 24 Pac-12 Tourney games (including 9-0 ATS when priced from +2 to -4.5 points).  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons moved into this Mid-American Conference Championship round game with wins over Ball State and and Northern Illinois.  This will be a much taller task for Bowling Green, as #1-seeded Buffalo is on an 11-game win streak.  Even worse:  Mid-American Conference underdogs of +4 (or more) points, with a .636 (or better) conference win percentage, have gone 99-151 ATS, if they were off a win vs. a conference foe in their previous game.  Take Buffalo.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Seton Hall.  This is a big revenge game for the Wildcats, who lost to the Pirates in their final regular season game.  The Wildcats are a super 67% ATS as a favorite in the post-season since 1990 when playing with revenge.  And they're also 21-6 ATS off a point spread defeat.  With the Wildcats in off an ATS loss to Xavier yesterday, we'll lay the points with the Wildcats.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones + over Kansas.  The Cyclones play this game with revenge from an 80-76 loss at Kansas, on January 21.  And Iowa State is 53-26-2 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss on the road earlier in the season (including 13-6 in the Tournament).  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Diego St.  The Aztecs pulled off a big upset last night when they defeated top-seeded Nevada.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams have cashed just 14% when matched up against .813 (or better) teams after upsetting the top seed in the Semi-Final round.  Take Utah St.

At 4:00 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers over Texas State.  The Panthers come into this afternoon's game on a 3-game SU/ATS winning streak.  And they also play with revenge from a 13-point home defeat to the Bobcats back on January 24.  Georgia State is an awesome 31-14-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 5-0 ATS their last five, and 15-3 ATS when the point spread was 6 points or less.  And the Panthers also fall into 44-7 and 58-20 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine that play on certain teams that covered the spread by 8+ points in their previous game.  Finally, the Panthers have an advantage today in that they received a "bye" into this semi-final round, while the Bobcats had to play yesterday.  And, since 2007, teams that received a bye into the semi-finals have covered 70% of the time vs. unrested foes off a quarter-final round win.  Take Georgia State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies over Fresno State.  The Aggies are 25-6 this season, and have won their last eight games in a row.  It's true that they failed to cover last night as a double-digit favorite.  However, the price is much cheaper tonight.  There's no way I will step in front of this freight train, and especially not in this price range.  Indeed, over the last 25 years, the Aggies have cashed 68% in the Conference Tourney when the line was 8 points or less, including 11-0 ATS its last 11 if Utah State was off a point spread defeat.  Take the Aggies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Iowa.  We played on the Hawkeyes last night, and were rewarded with a blowout win over Illinois.  The Hawkeyes now will try to upset a Wolverines team which was defeated by Michigan State, 75-63, in its final regular season game.  Michigan, though, is a spectacular 70-27 SU and 61-32-1 ATS off a loss, including 11-1 ATS its last 12.  Take Michigan minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Volunteers were upset on the road by Auburn to end their regular season.  I fully expect the Vols to rebound tonight, as top 3-seeded SEC Conference teams have cashed 75% in the Tourney over the past 29 years if they were upset in their final regular season game.  Lay the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over West Virginia.  The Mountaineers stunned the 2nd-seeded Texas Tech Red Raiders last night.  But it's "out of the frying pan, and into the fire" for the Mountaineers, as they will now have to face the 3rd-seeded Jayhawks.  And Kansas has generally destroyed its opponents when such foes were off an upset Tourney win, in which they covered the point spread by double-digits.  Since 1992, the Jayhawks are 21-7 ATS.  Take Kansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  Avery Johnson's Crimson Tide upset Ole Miss last night to advance to this quarterfinal round game.  And they also upset Kentucky when the two teams last met in January.  The Wildcats, meanwhile, lost against the spread vs. Florida to end their regular season.  But we'll lay the points with Kentucky tonight, as SEC Conference teams have covered 75% over the last 29 years in the Tourney, if they were off an ATS loss, and favored against a team which defeated it in the season's previous meeting.  Even better:  the Wildcats are 34-16 ATS in the post-season off a point spread defeat.  This will be a rout.  Take Kentucky minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over SMU.  The Bearcats are 0-9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.  And they also lost their last two games, both straight-up and ATS, to end their regular season.  So, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Cincy, and on the Mustangs, who won and covered their last two games.  But since 1990, Tourney teams seeded #2 or better have covered 79% if they lost their two previous games SU/ATS while their opponent won their two previous games SU/ATS.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Central Michigan.  The 18th-ranked Bulls failed to cover the point spread in their last four regular season games.  But they bounced back in a big way yesterday with a blowout win (82-46) over Akron to kick off what they hope will be a run to the MAC Conference Tournament Championship.  This evening, they will look to make it two-in-a-row, and they'll battle the Chippewas, who upset Kent State yesterday.  The Chips are also on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  However, double-digit underdogs off an upset Conference Tourney win (and off 3 SU/ATS wins, overall), have covered just 35% of Conference Tourney games since 1990.  Take Buffalo.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over South Alabama.  The eighth-seeded Jaguars upset Louisiana-Lafayette last night, while Texas State was upset, on the road, by Texas Arlington to end its regular season.  The good news, though, for the Bobcats is that teams off upset road losses have covered 73% since 1990 vs. 8th-seeded (or worse) foes off an upset Tourney win.  Take Texas State.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Illinois.  The Hawkeyes come into this game on an 8-game point spread losing streak.  And they've also lost their last four games straight-up.  Still, Iowa throttled Illinois earlier this season, 95-71, as a 9-point home favorite.  I don't foresee much changing tonight, given that Illinois had to go to overtime to win last night, 74-69 in its Tourney opener vs. Northwestern.  Illinois is a poor 7-23 ATS off a win, if its opponent was off back to back SU/ATS losses, while Iowa falls into 59-26, 85-45 and 18-6 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a string off losses.  Take the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Kansas.  Texas stumbled down the stretch with back to back losses, 70-51 at Texas Tech and 69-56 at home (as a 7-point favorite) vs. TCU.  However, Texas is a super 45-23-1 ATS off a home defeat, including 3-0 ATS in the Tourneys, and 16-3 ATS if they lost their previous game by more than 10 points.  Take the Longhorns.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Southern Utah. The Bears were stunned, 89-78, as a 13-point home favorite by Northern Arizona in their final regular season game.  Off that horrible game, we will back Northern Colorado to bounce back this evening.  Generally speaking, teams off double-digit losses as double-digit favorites do bounce back in their next game, including 141-106, 57% ATS as a favorite.  Lay the points with the Bears.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners over UAB.  The Roadrunners were blown out, 81-48, by Southern Mississippi to end their regular season.  Off that debacle, we'll play on UTSA this evening.  One reason I am not unnerved by that 33-point loss is that the Roadrunners were great against the point spread this season, with a 16-9 ATS record.  And NCAA teams with a winning ATS record have cashed 57% ATS in the Conference Tourneys off a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  UTSA also falls into 21-1, 45-10 and 47-18 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Roadrunners.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.