Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Rhode Island.  Yes, the Rams have won nine straight games, and have covered their last four.  But I love to fade such teams in the NCAA Tourney, as teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a money-burning 17-39 ATS in Round 2 against opponents not off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Oregon.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Arkansas.  The Tar Heels blew out Texas Southern by 39 on Friday.  And I love taking top 2-seeded teams off big wins of 23+ points to open the tourney, provided they lost two games back.  Such teams are 70.9% ATS since 1991 in the Tourney.  Take North Carolina.

At 5:15 pm, on Sunday, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Michigan State.  We not only had Kansas as our top-rated play of the first round, but we also tabbed Kansas to win this entire Tournament.  So, it was with great pleasure that we watched the Jayhawks blow out Cal Davis, 100-62.  That big win has triggered several of my best 'momentum' systems, with records of 46-16, 23-3 and 49-19 ATS since 1991.  That's one reason why I love Kansas on Sunday.  Another is that I want to go against Michigan State following its 20-point upset win vs. Miami.  Indeed, underdogs of +4 or more points, off 20-point (or better) wins in the NCAA Tournament, have cashed just 20% of the time since 2000.   Finally, these two teams met last season, and the Spartans upset the Jayhawks, 79-73, as 4.5-point underdogs.  But teams playing with revenge from an upset loss as a 4-point (or bigger) favorite, have cashed 77.2% in the NCAA Tourney since 1998, including 9-1 ATS if they were seeded #3 or better, and 6-0 if their opponent was off an upset win. Take Kansas.  NCAA 2nd Round Game of the Year.

At 5 pm, in the NIT Tournament, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes were bounced quickly out of the Big 10 Tournament, as they lost by 22 points to the Hoosiers.  Iowa did win its initial NIT Tourney game, but the fact remains that it's been awful in the Tournaments, of late, as it's covered just two of its last 11, including 0-6 ATS off a win.  Take TCU.

At 12:10 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines stunned the basketball world when they reeled off four victories to win the Big 10 Tournament as a #8 seed.  Unfortunately, for the John Beilein's men, this 2nd round of the Tournament is usually when the Cinderella slipper is smashed.  And that's because since 1991, teams that won their Conference Tourney as a #5 seed (or worse) are 0-8 SU and 0-7-1 ATS when not laying 2 or more points.  With the Wolves installed as an underdog, we'll fade Michigan on Sunday.

At 8:40 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Florida.  Virginia's off back to back ATS losses, but that's actually a good thing, as underdogs have gone 32-14 ATS in the Tourney at Round 2 forward, if they weren't favored by 4+ points.  Take the Cavaliers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Blue Raiders enter the weekend's action as the hottest ATS team (along with Xavier and Duke), as they've covered their last five games.  And they also haven't lost straight-up in their last 11.  Unfortunately, teams off 4 SU/ATS wins are a wallet-busting 17-38 ATS in Round 2 against opponents not off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Butler minus the points.

At 6:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Xavier.  The 11th-seeded Musketeers upset Maryland on Thursday, 76-65.  But teams seeded #11 or worse have been awful as underdogs in the Tourney off an upset win, as they've gone 48-69-1 ATS since 1991.  Take Florida State.

At 9:55 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Kent State.  The Golden Flashes were the #6 seed in the MAC Conference Tourney, but bested top-seeded Akron last Saturday, 70-65, as a 3.5-point underdog.  Unfortunately for Kent, teams that won their tourneys as a #4 (or higher) seed have gone 30.2% ATS in round 1 of the NCAA Tourney when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Take UCLA.

At 9:50 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks over Marquette.  Though not on their home court in Columbia, the Gamecocks must be happy to be playing within their own state, in Greenville (just 104 miles away from campus).  I expect the significant home court advantage to be helpful.  And I also like the fact that South Carolina comes into tonight's game off back to back upset losses.  Generally speaking, teams off back to back upset losses have delivered in the NCAA Tourney, and especially when not favored by 6+ points, as they've cashed 78% in that situation over the last 27 years.  Take South Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes minus the points over Michigan St.  The Hurricanes were annihilated by North Carolina eight days ago in the ACC Tourney, 78-53.  But the good news for Miami is that good teams, with a win percentage of .625 or better, have rebounded to cover their initial NCAA Tourney game 10 straight times off blowout losses of 24+ points.  Take Miami.

At 7:25 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Kansas State.  The Wildcats won their "play-in" game on Wednesday vs. Wake Forest, which was their fifth straight ATS win.  But now the Wildcats fall into a negative 13-42 ATS Tourney system of mine which goes against certain teams off 5+ ATS wins.  Even better for Cincy:  it lost its conference final to SMU, and falls into a 57-29 ATS system of mine which takes certain teams off losses in their Conference final.  Take the Bearcats.

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers + the points over Wichita St.  The Flyers were the #1 seed in their Conference tourney, but got stunned by the #8 seed, Davidson, in the quarterfinals.  However, teams that were upset as the #1 seed in their conference tourney do very well in the NCAA's opening round, as they've cashed 61% over 27 years.  Take Dayton + the points.

At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Cal Davis.  The Jayhawks lost in the quarterfinals of their Big 12 Conference Tourney, 85-82, to TCU.  And Kansas was seeded first in that tourney!  But teams that lost in their conference's quarterfinal round -- as a #1 or #2 seed -- have been awesome in the NCAA Tourney over the years vs. foes off SU/ATS wins.  We saw that yesterday with both Florida and Butler, and such teams have cashed 78.1% over the past 25 years.  Take Kansas.  NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Blue Jays over Rhode Island.  The Blue Jays were blown out, 74-60, in their last game, while Rhode Island has won 8 straight, and covered its last three.  Obviously, the knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Rams.  But as faithful followers know, we generally don't go with such plays.  Instead, we'll back the Blue Jays, as teams off blowout losses of 14+ points in their conference tourney have covered 73% of the time over the past 27 years vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Creighton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers + the points over North Carolina.  The Tigers won their conference Tournament, but were 0-3 ATS in winning those three games.  However, teams that played at least 3 Conference Tourney games, and didn't cover the spread in any of them, have cashed 67% of the time in their initial NCAA Tourney game over the past 27 years.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals minus the points over Jacksonville State.  After a 1-year ban from participating in the NCAA Tournament, the Cardinals will no doubt be excited to be back in the Tourney this season.  And over the past two years, they've been a very profitable 15-5 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  The Cards did get upset in their last game, 81-77, vs. Duke.  But they've cashed 60% over the past 15 years as favorites of -9+ points off an upset loss.  And, finally, NCAA Tourney teams (like the Gamecocks) off 4+ SU/ATS wins are a money-burning 38% ATS the past 27 years vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Louisville.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Iona.  Oregon was upset in its Pac-12 Conference Final, 83-80, by the Arizona Wildcats.  And the Ducks were the Pac-12's number 1 seed.  But teams that got upset in the Conference finals as the top-seeded team generally bounce back to cover their NCAA Tourney opener.  Since 1991, they've won 61% of the time.  Take Oregon.

At 12:15 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines won their conference Tournament as the Big 10's #8 seed, which doesn't bode well for them in this opening game of the NCAA Tourney.  Indeed, since 1991, teams that won their tourneys as a #4 (or higher) seed have gone 13-30 ATS in round 1 of the NCAA Tourney when matched up against foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Oklahoma State.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Badgers' defense is much better than Virginia Tech's defense.  Wisky allows just 61.4 ppg, while the Hokies give up 74.4.  And that's key, as teams that don't give up more than 62.5 ppg have cashed 65% the past 27 years in the opening round of the Tourney vs. foes that give up 12.5 more points a game.  Take Wisconsin.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:20 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Florida Gulf Coast.  The Eagles were impressive in their Atlantic Sun Conference Tourney, as they went 3-0 SU/ATS, and won each game by double-digits.  But it's surely worth noting that Florida Gulf Coast had a huge advantage in its Tourney, as each of its three games were played at home.  The NCAA Tournament is a different story, of course, as no team gets to play on its home court.  And teams off upset losses away from home have cashed 62.7% in the opening round of the NCAA Tourney vs. foes off a home game.  Take Florida State.

At 6:50 pm, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins over Xavier.  On the surface, you have two teams going in opposite directions.  The Terrapins had a great season, as they went 24-8, but did get upset by Northwestern in the Big 10 Tourney.  The Terps have now lost back to back games to the pointspread, and five of their last six, while Xavier has covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the red-hot Musketeers.  But that's generally been the wrong move in the NCAA Tournament, as teams on 4-game (or better) ATS win streaks have covered just 31% vs. superior foes off upset losses.  Take Maryland.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats + the points over Vanderbilt.  The Wildcats' Big 10 season came to an end last Saturday when the Wisconsin Badgers drilled them by 28 points.  But good teams, with a win percentage of .625 or better) have bounced back off blowout losses (of 24+ points) very well in the NCAA Tournament.  Since 2003, they're a perfect 9-0-1 ATS.  Take Northwestern. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers over Middle Tennessee St.  The Gophers have dropped 2 of their last 3 games (both SU and ATS), while Middle Tenn has won its last 10 games, and covered its last 10.  But teams that have lost at least two of their three previous games to the pointspread have been profitable in the NCAA Tourney, and especially when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK) against foes off 3 SU/ATS wins, as they've covered 66% of the time since 1991.  Take Minnesota.

At 3:10 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over East Tennessee State.  The Gators were upset by Vanderbilt in back-to-back games to end their SEC Conference season.  But we'll lay the points with Florida on Thursday, as favorites of more than 9 points are 89% ATS in the post-season in the past 25 years off back to back upset losses, if our team has a winning ATS record on the season (Florida's covered 57% this year).  Take the Gators.  NCAA Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:45 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Bucknell.  The Mountaineers have always performed well against the spread in post-season (non-conference) tournaments.  And they've been especially good (11-1 straight-up and 12-0 ATS) vs. .770 (or worse) foes off an ATS win.  Take West Virginia.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Winthrop.  Since 1990, Butler's a super 96-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes, provided Butler's not getting 13+ points, and its foe's scoring margin is greater than +5.5 ppg (Winthrop's margin is +9.53).  Take Butler.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on Virginia minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Cavs were upset by Notre Dame last week in the ACC Tourney, but favorites off a loss, priced from -6.5 to -19.5 points, are 60.9% ATS in the NCAA Tourney since 1991 vs. foes off an ATS win.  Take Virginia.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Cal Irvine.  The Redbirds lost by 20 points in their Missouri Valley Conference championship game, but home teams off 20+ point losses have rebounded to cover 68.9% of the time in the NIT since 1991 provided they weren't favored to win their previous game.  Also, Missouri Valley teams are a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS vs. Big West Conference teams in the post-season since 1991.  Take Illinois St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Houston Cougars minus the points over Akron.  The Zips had a great year, as they were 26-8, but lost to Kent State in their conference championship game, 70-65.  Now, they have to go on the road to face Houston, but I expect a letdown tonight, as .735 (or better) teams have covered just 20% of the time on the road in NIT Tourney games following an upset loss in their conference championship game.  Take Houston.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins + the points over Georgia.  The Bruins lost to Georgia in this same tournament last season, and that game was also here, in Athens.  I like the Bruins to avenge that defeat, as they fall into a 26-9 ATS revenge system of mine.  Additionally, the Bruins are 6-1 ATS their last seven road games, while Georgia is 2-8 ATS its last 10 as a favorite.  Take Belmont.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Utah Valley.  The Eagles come into Wednesday night's game off 3 straight losses.  But home favorites off 3+ losses are a solid 65.2% ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a loss.  Take Georgia Southern.

At 6:40 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies + the points over NC Central.  The Aggies held Cal Irvine to 47 points on 38% shooting to win the Big West Conference championship.  And that was the third straight game the Aggies held their foes to less than 40% shooting.  We'll grab the points with Cal Davis as teams not laying 2+ points are 65% ATS since 1998 if they didn't give up 55+ points in their previous game.  Take the Aggies.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over Charleston College.  The Rams come into tonight's game on a 15-6-1 ATS run, including 11-1-1 ATS vs. foes not off a SU/ATS win.  And Charleston is not off a SU/ATS win, as it lost to NC Wilmington in the Colonial Athletic Ass'n title game eight days ago.  Also, Mountain West Conference home favorites of 5 or less points are 15-1-1 ATS since 2000 vs. non-conference foes in the post-season.  Take Colorado State.  As always, good luck, Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Iowa State.  West Virginia defeated the Cyclones both times in the regular season -- by 11 points last week in Morgantown, and by 13 on the road in Ames.  Some folks will bet attracted to the Cyclones for the "Double Revenge" motive, but really good teams actually are poor bets when playing with double-revenge.  Indeed, teams with a ..680 (or better) win percentage are a wallet-busting 98-119 ATS when playing with double-revenge, including 71-94 ATS off a pointspread win.  The Mountaineers have won and covered the last four meetings with Iowa State.  And the favorite has gone 8-1 ATS in the Big 12 Title game since 2008.  Take WVU.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Creighton.  Villanova is 30-3 on the season, and comes into this game off a 55-53 win vs. Seton Hall (as an 11.5-point favorite).  I look for Villanova to blow out the Blue Jays in this Championship game, as .901 (or better) teams, favored by -4 or more points, are 16-1 ATS in Title games off an ATS loss in the Conference semi-finals.  Take Villanova.  Big East Conf. Tourney Game of the Year!

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the UConn Huskies + the points over Cincinnati.  The Huskies have the advantage of playing this game at home, and .300 (or better) home dogs of +5.5 or more points in the Conference Tourneys have cashed 76.4% vs. foes off a win over the past 27 years (and 83% if playing with double revenge).  Take UConn. Elite Info play.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over the Northwestern Huskies.  Northwestern got, perhaps, the biggest win in its history yesterday when it upset Maryland.  So, this is the furthest the school has ever advanced in the Big 10 Tourney.  And it virtually ensures that the school will earn a trip to the NCAA Tournament for the first time ever when the teams are announced tomorrow.  This, though, will be a tough game for Chris Collins' men, as Wisky plays with revenge from a home loss to the 'Cats earlier this season.  And that sets Wisky up in a 161-88 ATS Revenge System of mine.  Take Wisconsin.  Big 10 Conf. Tourney Game of the Year.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over TCU.  Yesterday, the Horned Frogs upset the 28-3 Kansas Jayhawks, as 9-point underdogs.  Unfortunately for TCU, teams off wins over .801 (or better) foes in Conference Tourney games generally fall flat in their next game, as they've gone 54-81-2 ATS since 1991.  Take Iowa State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Vanderbilt.  This will be the second straight game for the Gators vs. the Commodores.  Vanderbilt upset Florida last weekend, 73-71, as a 3.5-point underdog, and then followed that win up with a win yesterday vs. Texas A&M.  Unfortunately for the Commodores, SEC Conference teams are 0-11 ATS in the post-season off a win by more than 10 points, if they're matched up against a revenge-minded foe, which is not getting 3+ points, and also not off a SU/ATS win.  Additionally, Florida falls into a 91-37 ATS Conference Tourney system of mine which plays on certain top 3-seeded teams off upset losses.  And Vandy is 32-50 ATS when getting more than 6 points away from home off a win.  Take Florida minus the points.  SEC Tourney Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Indiana.  The Hoosiers walloped Iowa yesterday, 95-73, and came within 2 points of the highest-score posted in a Big 10 Tourney contest.  Will Indiana be able to play another great game?  It's not likely, as it's just 18-14 on the season, and also just 14-14-2 ATS (including 5-7-2 ATS away from home, and 4-9 ATS when the line was 5 points or less).  The Hoosiers also lost both meetings to the Badgers this season, and Indiana's an awful 0-6 SU/ATS as an underdog of +1.5 or more points in the Big 10 Tourney when playing with revenge vs. a rested opponent.  Finally, the Hoosiers fall into a negative 28-74 ATS system of mine which fades certain .710 (or worse) teams off blowout wins.  Take Wisconsin.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide played on Thursday, and defeated Mississippi St., 75-55, while South Carolina earned a bye into the quarterfinals.  We'll take the Gamecocks on Friday, as rested SEC Conference teams are 71-35-1 ATS in the SEC Tournament vs. unrested opposition, including 23-5-1 ATS when playing with revenge!  Alabama upset South Carolina, 90-86, on February 7 in Columbia, so let's lay the points with the Gamecocks.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Central Florida.  The Tigers were routed in their last game, 103-62, by SMU.  But teams generally bounce back strong in the post-season off blowout losses, and especially when they're matched up against an opponent off a win.  Indeed, teams off losses by more than 25 points have covered 66.2% since 1991 in the post-season vs. foes off a win (and 13-2 ATS when the game was competitively priced with a line less than 3 points).  Memphis has also won 18 of the last 20 meetings vs. UCF (14-5-1 ATS).  Take the Tigers.  AAC Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  The Mavericks were the class of the Sun Belt Conference in the regular season.  But one team which handed them a loss was Coastal Carolina.  The Chanticleers defeated UT-Arlington, 72-70, back on January 30, as a 6.5-point home underdog.  But Arlington rebounded very well off that defeat, as it then proceeded to win eight straight games (5-3 ATS) before dropping its final regular season game six days ago, at LA-Lafayette.  We'll lay the points with Arlington, as it is 35-19 ATS off a loss, and 6-0 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  Take Arlington.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Kansas State.  The Wildcats upset Baylor in Waco earlier this season.  Unfortunately for Kansas State, revenge-minded top 5 seeds in the Big 12 Tournament have gone 15-0 SU and 13-1-1 ATS in the quarterfinal round when priced as a favorite of -7 points or less.  Take Baylor.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on Cal Riverside + the points over Cal Irvine.  Irvine comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, while Riverside is on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But I love playing on cold teams.  Indeed, Riverside falls into a 101-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) SU/ATS losing streaks.  Even better:  teams off a pointspread loss have covered 60.4% in the Big West Conference Tourney since 1991 vs. foes off a pointspread win.  Take Riverside.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs minus the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd opened the Tourney with a 15-point win vs. Florida Atlantic, but I don't see them making it two Tourney wins in a row, especially with Old Dominion coming into this game off a loss.  The Monarchs stumbled in their final regular season game at Texas San Antonio, as the Roadrunners upset them as 8-point underdogs.  But I love Old Dominion to bounce back on this Thursday, as it falls into 195-146, 59-19 and 91-35 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off upset losses.  Moreover, Marshall's been dreadful (82-112 ATS) away from home vs. conference foes over the years, including a money-burning 37-58 ATS off a conference win.  Take Old Dominion. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane minus the points over Tulane.  Tulane's won just six games this season, but one of those six wins came at home, as a 3-point underdog, against this Tulsa team last weekend.   I look for Tulsa to avenge that defeat, and rout the Green Wave on Thursday, as teams that lost their final regular season game as a road favorite of -2+ points have cashed 64.9% in Conference Tourneys over the past 27 years vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Tulsa.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Matadors have lost their last five games (and last two ATS), while Fullerton is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  However, in the post-season, favored teams off back to back SU/ATS wins are a wallet-busting 55-89 ATS when playing away from home against a foe off a SU/ATS loss, including 34-62 ATS when going into revenge.  Take Northridge.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Idaho.  The Grizzlies were upset at home by idaho earlier in the season, but that upset loss has triggered a very good 78-34 ATS Tourney revenge system of mine.  Additionally, revenge-minded favorites have cashed 58% in the Big Sky Tournament since 2002.  Take Montana.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls over Texas El Paso.  It's absolutely true that UTEP is red-hot in Vegas, as it's covered 13 straight games.  But, generally speaking, hot streaks typically fizzle out in the post-season.  Indeed, teams on 10-game (or better) ATS runs have only covered 28% in the post-season since 1991!  That doesn't bode well for the Miners today.  Also, UTEP falls into a negative 38-89 ATS system of mine which goes against certain team on long ATS win streaks.  Take Rice.  NCAA Elite Info.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over Southern Cal.  Washington has lost 12 straight games (2-10 ATS), including 98-68 and 74-58 defeats last week.  But double-digit dogs off back to back double-digit losses have cashed 71% in the post-season since 1991 vs. foes off a straight-up win.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Xavier.  Xavier defeated DePaul in both meetings this season.  But double-revenging underdogs (or PK) have gone 23-11 ATS in the Big East Tournament.  Take DePaul.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Auburn.  Missouri's lost its last six games, but we'll grab the points with the Tigers, as revenge-minded SEC Conference teams have cashed 68% in the post-season over the past 27 years off an ATS loss, if they weren't getting 10+ points, and their opponent is off a SU/ATS win.  Take Mizzou.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over St. Louis.  The Billikens have covered four straight, while Duquesne has lost its last five games, straight-up.  Yet, St. Louis has been installed as an underdog this evening.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on St. Louis, but consider that, in the post-season, teams on a 4-game (or worse) losing streak have covered 69% vs. foes off 4+ ATS wins since 1991, if our 'cold' team wasn't getting 6+ points.  Take Duquesne.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison minus the points over the Lehigh Mountain Hawks.  Bucknell lost both meetings to Lehigh this season, but still had a better conference record, so it earned home court advantage for this Championship game.  Going into its semi-final match vs. Navy, the Bison were 6-0 ATS this year.  But they failed to cover the spread in their 5-point win.  However, home teams playing with double revenge have cashed 69% as favorites in the post-season since 1991 if they failed to cover the spread in their previous game.  Take Bucknell minus the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Air Force + the points over Wyoming.  Air Force was blown out, 98-70, at home by Boise State in its last regular season game, while Wyoming downed San Jose St., 74-62.  Unfortunately for Wyoming, it's a horrid 1-21 ATS in the post-season when not getting 8+ points, if it's matched up against a foe off a loss!  That doesn't bode well for the Cowboys.  Moreover, Air Force falls into 73-36 and 32-4 ATS systems of mine which play on certain teams off double-digit losses.  Take the Falcons + the points.  Mountain West Tourney Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers over Georgia Tech.  The Panthers have dropped four straight (and three straight to the pointspread).  Unfortunately for Georgia Tech, it is a woeful 9-36 ATS if it's not getting more than four points, and its opponent is on a 3-game ATS losing streak (including 0-8 ATS its last eight).  Take Pitt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Bethune-Cookman Wildcats over Delaware State.  The Hornets went into Daytona Beach earlier this season and defeated the Wildcats, 88-82.  But we'll take Bethune-Cookman in the rematch, as revenge-minded teams off a win, have cashed 78.2% in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference Tourney, if they're priced from PK to +8.  Take the Wildcats.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Wake Forest.  Wake Forest is on a 3-game win streak after upsetting Virginia Tech at the end of the regular season.  On the opposite end of the spectrum, the Eagles have lost 14 straight games.  But I love them as double-digit underdogs this afternoon, as they fall into 99-41 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  BC also falls into 64-25 and 73-35 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off blowout losses (BC lost, 82-68, at Clemson in its final regular season game).  Finally, the Eagles are 95-54 ATS away from home off a pointspread defeat, while the Demon Deacons are 9-17 ATS off an upset win.  Even worse for Wake Forest:  it's 8-22 ATS its last 30 in the ACC Tourney, including 1-10 ATS when favored by more than two points.  Take Boston College.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iona Gaels minus the points over Siena.  The Saints pulled a monster upset yesterday when they stunned Monmouth, 89-85, as a 7-point underdog.  But off that big win, we'll fade Siena tonight.  Iona plays with revenge from a 2-point home loss to the Saints in February.  But the Gaels are 16-2-1 ATS (including 7-0 ATS their last 7) when playing with revenge from a home defeat earlier in the year.  And the revenger is 10-4 ATS in MAAC Championship Games.  Iona's also 9-2 SU and 7-4 ATS in the last 11 meetings.  Lay the points with Iona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Kentucky Norse minus the points over Youngstown State.  The Penguins upset Oakland, 81-80, as a 13.5-point underdog.  But Youngstown now falls into a negative 14-39 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams in conference tourneys off upset wins over .751 (or better) foes (Oakland's win pct. was .774).  The Norse are 17-8 ATS their last 25, including 14-4 ATS when not getting more than 2 points.  Take Northern Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Central Michigan.  We played on CMU in its last game, and got the cash when it lost by 8 as a 10 point underdog.  Overall, CMU has lost its last seven games (1-6 ATS), and we'll switch gears and go against the Chippewas this evening.  Kent is 5-1 SU its last six (4-2 ATS) and plays with revenge from a 7-point loss to the Chips on Jan. 28.  The Golden Flashes are 56-28-4 ATS when playing with same-season revenge, including 20-7 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Kent St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks minus the points over Charleston.  Wilmington is 28-5 on the season, and comes into tonight's game on a six-game win streak.  It split the season series, 1-1, with Charleston, but lost the last meeting, on Feb 2, 67-66.  Wilmington is 66-47 ATS when running with same-season revenge, including 15-8 ATS in the post-season.  And the Seahawks fall into a 150-83 ATS 'revenge' system of mine which plays on certain revengers in Tourney games favored by more than 2 points.  Take the Seahawks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Wright State Raiders over Northern Kentucky.  Wright State blew out Illinois Chicago, 87-49, last Sunday.  And the Raiders now fall into a super 'momentum' system of mine.  What we want to do is play on any Tourney team off a SU/ATS win that won by 30+ points in its last regular season game, provided it wasn't favored by double-digits in that previous game, and is now not favored by more than six points.  Such teams have rolled on to cover 79% of their Tourney games over the past 27 years.  Take the Raiders.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers + the points over S. Dakota St.  Denver comes into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Jackrabbits have won their last 3, and covered their last four.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on South Dakota State, given that its recent form is better.  But consider that, since 1991, teams off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 69.2% in Tournament games vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins, provided the game wasn't being played on the "hot" team's home court.  Take Denver + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Minnesota.  The Badgers have dropped three straight, and were upset as an 11.5-point home favorite on Thursday by Iowa, while Minnesota has won its last eight games.  Yet Wisky finds itself installed as a big home favorite on Sunday.  We'll lay the points as favorites of more than 3 points, off an upset loss, have cashed 65.1% since 1990 vs. conference foes off 7+ wins.  Take Wisconsin.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois-Chicago Flames + the points over Green Bay.  The Flames were blown out by 38 points at Wright State last Sunday.  But College teams off losses by 35+ points have rebounded to cover the spread in their initial Conference Tournament game when matched up against foes off a win.  Since 1990, such teams have gone 67% ATS.  Take Illinois-Chicago.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats minus the points over Montana State.  Weber has lost its last four games, straight-up, and has failed to cover its last nine ATS.  But those losing streaks has set up the Wildcats in several of my favorite NCAA systems, with records of 52-20, 146-94 and 67-31 ATS systems.  Moreover, the Bobcats have won their last five.  But .500 (or better) underdogs off 3+ wins have covered just 22% since 1990 as dogs of more than 7 points, if they're playing a conference foe off 3+ losses.  Take Weber St.  Big Sky Game of the Month.  Good luck as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers minus the points over Mercer.  ETSU had its 6-game win streak snapped last Monday by NC Greensboro. But I look for the Bucs to start a new streak this evening, as they fall into 58-18 and 85-27 ATS systems of mine.  Even better:  East Tennessee is a perfect 10-0 ATS off an upset loss, provided it wasn't laying 7+ points.  Take East Tennessee.  Good luck, as always....McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Martin Skyhawks + the points over Jacksonville St.  The Skyhawks have been installed as a small underdog.  And the underdog has barked loudly in the Ohio Valley Conference title games over the years, as they've gone 8-2 ATS, including 6-0 ATS the last six years.  Additionally, Tennessee Martin lost to Jacksonville State in the teams' one meeting this season.  And i have two great revenge systems, with records of 29-8 and 14-1 ATS that are on Tennessee Martin tonight.  Finally, the Skyhawks are 11-3 ATS as a Tourney underdog.  Take the points with Tennessee Martin.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over the USC Trojans.  USC snapped its four game SU/ATS losing streak with a 23-point win (and cover) vs. Washington State earlier this week.  But USC is an awful 15-45 ATS at home off a pointspread win, if it's not off 2+ wins overall.  Take Washington.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Youngstown St. Penguins + the points over Cleveland St.  Youngstown comes into this game off back to back blowout losses (by 29 and 14 points).  However, NCAA teams off back to back losses by 14+ points have covered 67.6% of Conference Tourney games since 1990 when matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Penguins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas over Western Michigan.  The Broncos have won and covered seven straight.  Unfortunately, teams on 7-game SU/ATS win streaks have only covered 30.4% of the time in Conference Tourneys since 1994.  Take Central Michigan.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin Milwaukee + the points over Detroit.  The Panthers have dropped 9 straight games, but fall into a 134-63 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Moreover, Milwaukee was upset by Detroit a week ago, 81-74.  But teams off SU/ATS losses, and playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season, have cashed 62.2% in Conference Tourneys since 1990 when not installed as a dog of more than 2 points, provided they're not playing on their opponent's home court.  Take the Panthers.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers over Southern Illinois.  The Ramblers were upset by the Salukis in Carbondale in the final regular season game for each team.  But we'll take Loyola Chicago in the rematch, as teams off upset losses have cashed 64.8% of the time in Conference Tournaments the past 27 years, if the game is a rematch from the final regular season game of each team, and our revenger is not playing on its opponent's home court.  Take Loyola.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Manhattan Jaspers + the points over Rider.  Manhattan falls into 27-2, 39-6 and 90-50 ATS Tourney systems of mine.  Moreover, underdogs off a SU/ATS loss have cashed 67% in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins that also have a winning ATS record, provided our dog is playing on a neutral or home court.  Take Manhattan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs + the points over the Bradley Braves.  Bradley's covered its last seven games, while Drake is on an 0-9 SU and 2-7 ATS run.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Bulldogs and on the red-hot Braves.  But I wouldn't do that if I were you.  Bradley falls into several negative systems of mine, based on its 7-game ATS wins streak (with records of 11-41, 58-102 and 22-42 ATS).  Even worse:  the Braves are off 3 straight upset wins, and that fact has also triggered several negative angles, with records of 22-37, 50-81, and 8-21 ATS.  Take Drake + the points.  Missouri Valley Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans minus the points over Arkansas State.  The Trojans fall into a 149-85 ATS system of mine.  Additionally,  the Red Wolves have covered just 35 of 84 games away from home following a game at home.  Take Troy State.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Panthers fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 492-339 ATS since 1990.  Also, double-digit underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses are 58% ATS away from home if they failed to cover by double-digits in their previous game.  Take the Panthers.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Rebels + the points over Utah State.  The Rebels are 0-9 SU and 1-7-1 ATS their last nine games, but we'll take them in this home underdog role tonight, as they fall into a 99-44 ATS system of mine that plays on certain teams on long losing streaks.  Additionally, this will be UNLV's final home game of the season.  And teams are 64% ATS since 1990 in their final home games, if they're off 3+ losses and their foe is off a win by more than 16 points.  With Utah State in off an 89-58 win over Air Force, we'll take UNLV on this Wednesday.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies + the points over UCLA.  The Bruins upset the Arizona Wildcats, 77-72, in Tucson last week, for their seventh straight win.  And they now return home to face a reeling Washington club, off 10 straight losses.  I expect UCLA to have a big letdown tonight, and will take the points with the Huskies, as UCLA falls into negative 124-222 and 130-237 ATS systems of mine that play against certain double-digit favorites off upset wins.  Take Washington + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UMass Minutemen over Richmond.  The Minutemen blew out La Salle, 84-71, as a 1.5-point home dog in their last game, and have been installed, once again, as a home underdog tonight vs. the Spiders.  We'll grab the points with UMass, as home dogs of less than 9 points are a solid 59% ATS since 1990 off double-digit upset home wins.  Take UMass.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos have won and covered their last six games.  But four of those six were home games, while their two road wins were against Miami-Ohio (3-13 in Conference games) and Toledo (8-8 in Conference games).  The Broncos have a great home record this season (11-2), but have been horrid away from home (2-13).  That doesn't bode well for them in DeKalb tonight.  Moreover, the Broncos fall into negative 95-153 and 69-121 ATS systems of mine that go against teams on long ATS win streaks.  Finally, Northern Illinois does come into this game off a 16-point loss at Eastern Michigan.  But NIU falls into a great 46-8 ATS angle of mine which plays on certain favorites in conference games off a double digit loss when matched up against teams off back to back wins.  Take Northern Illinois.  Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils minus the points over Florida State.  Duke comes into this game on a rare 2-game losing streak, as it was upset by both Syracuse and Miami.  So the Blue Devils should be in an ornery mood tonight.  Making matters worse for Florida State is that it already defeated Duke in Tallahassee by 16 points earlier this year.  And Duke is an awesome 78% ATS since 1995 as a favorite when playing with same season revenge vs. a foe off back to back wins.  Finally, this is Duke's final home game of the season.  And teams playing their final home game are 63.2% ATS since 1999 off back to back upset losses!  Take Duke.  Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Colorado State.  The Rams have won and covered five straight, but fall into negative 49-120 and 339-492 ATS systems of mine.  Even worse for Larry Eustachy's troops:  they're a horrid 2-13-1 ATS at home off back to back wins.  And they've won just five of the previous 28 games vs. the Aztecs, straight-up.  Take SDSU + the points.  Mountain West Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on The Citadel + the points over Samford.  The Citadel was 9-9, but has dropped its last 11 games to slip to 9-20 on the season.  I look for Citadel to get the $$$ this evening, as it falls into a 438-273 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit dogs off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, Samford's a poor 25-44 ATS home (or neutral) court favorite.  Take The Citadel.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Georgia.  The Bulldogs upset Alabama, as a 5.5-point underdog, on Thursday.  But I look for a letdown this evening, as Georgia falls into negative 124-219 and 130-234 ATS systems of mine that fade certain double-digit home favorites off upset road wins.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa St. Cyclones minus the points over Baylor.  ISU has been installed as a small home favorite.  And it's a spectacular 21-0 ATS when playing with same season revenge, and priced from +1 to -5.5 points.  Take Iowa State.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over North Carolina State.  UVa has dropped its last four games (both SU and ATS), but is a fantastic 79% ATS since 1994 off an upset home loss, if it also lost two games back.  And the Cavs also fall into a 65-27 ATS system of mine which plays on certain .643 (or better) teams off 4+ losses.  Take Virginia.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Temple Owls minus the points over Tulane.  The Owls are playing their final home game of the season, and they're also off back to back upset losses.  But teams off 2 upset defeats are a solid 64.2% ATS in their final home game of the season the past 10 years.  Lay the points with Temple.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles minus the points over Northern Illinois.  EMU has dropped its last seven games (both SU and ATS), yet finds itself installed as a favorite vs. the Huskies.  Faithful followers know I love playing on teams on losing streaks.  Indeed, we had a big play on NC State this past Tuesday vs. Georgia Tech when the Wolfpack were on a 7-game SU/ATS skid.  Coincidentally, the Eagles fall into one of my systems that also tabbed NC State five days ago, and that angle has now cashed 14 in a row, and is 98-44 ATS since 1990.  Take Eastern Michigan.  MAC Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points against St. Mary's.  The Gaels are off back to back blowout wins and covers, while the Waves have lost SU/ATS by double-digits in each of their last two games.  But .888 (or better) double-digit favorites, off back to back double-digits SU/ATS wins are a poor 34.7% ATS the past 27 years vs. foes off back to back double-digit SU/ATS losses.  Take Pepperdine.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Wisconsin.  The Buckeyes have dropped their last four games, and also play with revenge from a 23-point loss in Madison, in January.  But we'll take Ohio State in this home dog role tonight, as OSU is a super 78% the past 27 years off back to back losses, if it is getting more than 2 points, and lost earlier in the season to its opponent (including a perfect 8-0 ATS its last eight).  Take Ohio St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls + the points over Texas El Paso.  The Miners have been a streaky team this season.  Earlier this year, they dropped 12 straight games.  They're now on a 9-2 run, and have also covered their last nine ballgames.  But it's tough to back the Miners tonight, and especially given that they're off back to back road wins, and the game is competitively-priced.  For technical support, consider that UTEP is 0-15 ATS following back to back wins away from home when the line was single-digits.  Take the Owls.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon.  We played on the Ducks on Saturday in their final home game of the season, and were rewarded with a 28-point blowout win over the Colorado Buffaloes.  But off that emotional victory, we'll fade the Ducks on Wednesday in Berkeley.  Oregon's won and covered three straight, but road favorites off back to back SU/ATS wins are a dismal 30.8% ATS since 1990 vs. .685 (or better) foes off an upset road loss.  With California in off an upset loss at Stanford, we'll grab the points with California tonight.  NCAA Roadkill.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens + the points over Virginia Commonwealth.  The Billikens come into tonight's game off back to back double-digit SU/ATS losses.  But those two blowout defeats set up our play tonight, as St. Louis falls into 92-34, 114-58 and 172-100 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, .250 (or better) underdogs of more than 20 points have cashed a whopping 84.3% in regular season games since Feb. 10, 1991 off back to back double-digit losses, when matched up against conference foes off back to back double-digit wins.  Take St. Louis.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Ole Miss.  The Bulldogs have dropped four straight games, but have been competitive in their last five, as they're 4-1 ATS, with their only ATS loss by a mere point.  Miss State is a super 47-25 ATS at home off back to back losses, and is also 7-0 ATS its last 7 at home with same-season revenge vs. .640 (or worse) foes.  And SEC Conference home teams, off back to back losses, are 262-196 ATS vs. conference foes if our home team's conference record is worse than its opponent's, and its opponent is NOT off back to back losses.  But that's not the best part.  If our home team is favored, and also playing with same season revenge, then our 262-196 stat zooms to 35-14 ATS.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over Georgia Tech.  The Wolfpack are on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But NC State was inferior to each of those seven opponents; it's not inferior to Georgia Tech, as my numbers actually rate NC State as the slightly better club.  However, NC State's long losing streak has caused the pointspread to be somewhat inflated.  We'll grab the points with (lame duck coach) Mark Gottfried's men, as NC State falls into 97-44, 99-55 and 77-42 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on SU/ATS losing streaks.  Meanwhile, the Yellow Jackets are a dismal 2-12 SU and 0-14 ATS when favored by less than 13 points, if they're playing an opponent off 3+ ATS losses.  Take the Wolfpack.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Bears lost a heartbreaker, at home, to Kansas on Saturday, as they were outscored 8-0 down the stretch to fall by two points to the Jayhawks.  That was the 2nd straight loss by the 22-5 Bears.  But I look for Baylor to rebound on this Tuesday, and blow out the Sooners, as Baylor is 50-21 ATS in the regular season off back to back losses, including a perfect 7-0 ATS vs. .460 (or worse) opponents!  Even better:  .800+ teams, at Game 25 forward, have cashed 63% at home over the past 27 seasons off back to back losses.  Lay the points with Baylor.