Sports Picks & Predictions

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Long Beach State 49ers over UC San Diego.  The Tritons have lost 3 straight games (both SU and ATS), and have been installed as a home dog vs. Long Beach.  We'll take the Beach, as they're 23-7 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. foes off back to back losses, including 11-1 ATS if Long Beach was off a SU/ATS win.  Take the Beach.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies over Boise St.  The Aggies have lost 3 straight, and failed to cover their last two, including a 61-54 defeat at Fresno on Tueday.  But Utah State is back home in Logan tonight, where it has gone 29-3 SU and 18-9 ATS off a point spread defeat (including 9-0 SU and 7-1 ATS since Jan 11, 2020).  Take the Aggies.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears minus the points over Idaho.  The Bears were upset by Sacramento State, 85-71, in their last game.  We'll lay the points tonight with Northern Colorado, as it's 11-1 ATS on the road off an upset loss, including 9-0 ATS its last nine.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nicholls State Colonels minus the points over Northwestern State.  Nicholls State was upset by New Orleans, 78-66, in its last game.  And that was its second straight defeat.  But the Colonels are 6-1 ATS off back to back conference losses.  And they also fall into 104-67 and 77-35 ATS systems of mine based on their 2-game losing streak.  Take the Colonels.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over Oral Roberts.  North Dakota falls into a 209-105 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  And the Fighting Hawks have dropped six straight games.  But they played well in defeat in their last game -- a 5-point home loss, as a 9-point home dog.  We took North Dakota in that game, and will take them again tonight at Oral Roberts which has won five straight.  But the Golden Eagles are a poor 0-4 ATS their last four (and 10-24 ATS their last 34) at home off back to back wins.  And they're 7-16 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  Take the Fighting Hawks + the points.

>At 7 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over SMU.  Memphis returns home tonight off back to back upset road losses against UCF and East Carolina.  We'll lay the points with Penny Hardaway's men, as they're 30-13 ATS off back to back conference defeats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Florida International.  The Panthers were blown out, 50-39, at Middle Tennessee on Saturday.  And that was Florida International's 3rd straight double-digit loss.  We'll fade the Panthers tonight, as they are 1-9 ATS off a double-digit loss.  And they're 1-10 SU and 2-9 ATS their last 11 vs. the Thundering Herd.  Take Marshall.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Purdue.  The Hoosiers will desperately want to get back into the win column in this Hoosier State rivalry, as they've lost nine straight to the Boilers.  We'll play against Purdue off its road upset win at Illinois, as it's 10-34 ATS when favored away from home off a win, if its foe was playing with revenge.  Take Indiana + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Colorado State.  The Rams are 13-1 after a blowout win at San Jose State on Saturday.  They're back home to face a Lobos squad in off four straight losses, and one which they beat by 14 and 33 points in the last two meetings.  This is a classic letdown spot, and we'll grab the double digits with the Mountain West road underdog, as Mountain West dogs of more than 13 points have gone 101-56 ATS away from home vs. foes off back to back wins.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Auburn.  The Tigers have ripped off 13 straight wins (and six straight covers) to move to 16-1 on the season.  They're now favored north of 20 points against an SEC rival.  We'll take the points with the Bulldogs, as SEC Conference underdogs of more than 14 points have covered over 72% (50-19-1 ATS) of regular season SEC games if they weren't off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent owned an .888 (or better) win percentage.  Take Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Illinois State.  Missouri State fell, 79-74, as a 6-point road favorite at Illinois State earlier this season.  But that upset defeat has triggered a very good 161-90 ATS revenge system of mine.  Even worse for the Redbirds:  they upset Bradley, 74-65, as a home dog in their last game.  Unfortunately, they're 1-10-1 ATS their last 12 off a conference win.  Take Missouri State minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over TCU.  The Cowboys will be seeking revenge tonight from a pair of losses last season to the Horned Frogs.  And we'll look for them to get their revenge, as TCU is an awful 12-30 ATS as underdogs on the conference road, when it owned a winning record and its opponent was playing with revenge.  Even better:  the Cowboys upset Baylor as a 14-point road underdog in their last game.  And home teams off upset wins as a 14-point (or greater) underdog, have covered 64.7% as a favorite vs. foes also off a win.  Take Oklahoma State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Beacons + the points over Northern Iowa.  Valpo was blown out here at home, 74-57, by Missouri State in its last game.  But the Beacons are 58-33 ATS off a double digit loss.  Moreover, Valpo lost at Northern Iowa, 92-65, earlier this month.  But Missouri Valley Conference teams are 139-92 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 17 points, provided they weren't favored by more than 3 points in the current game.  Take Valpo + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners minus the points over Cal Poly SLO.  Bakersfield comes into tonight's game off back to back losses, and will host the 4-10 Mustangs on Tuesday night.  And the Mustangs are a horrid 17-46 ATS when facing opponents off back to back losses.  Take Cal State Bakersfield minus the points.

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders were upset at home, 87-84, by Davidson on Friday.  We'll look for Richmond to rebound on the road tonite, as it's 12-4 ATS as a road favorite vs. foes with a winning ATS record.  Meanwhile, the Rams are a wallet-breaking 16-42 ATS at home vs. conference foes off an ATS loss.  Take Richmond minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks over Ohio.  The Bobcats are in the midst of an 8-game win streak, and are unbeaten in Mid-American Conference play, at 4-0.  And they've also won 4 straight in this series.  Still, we will go against the hot Bobcats, as they fall into a negative 35.9% ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams undefeated in conference play.  Additionally, Miami is a strong 77-49-3 ATS at home if it wasn't favored by more than 2 points.  Take Miami.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Ohio State.  For the Buckeyes, this non-conference home game vs. the Jaguars is sandwiched between two Big 10 Conference home games vs. Penn State and Nebraska.  We will fade the Buckeyes, as Big 10 home favorites of -8 (or more) points are a woeful 26.6% ATS since 1990 in regular season non-conference home games sandwiched in between two conference games.  Take IUPUI as a big underdog.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over Davidson.  As they say, "all good things must come to an end."  This past Friday, we had one of our strongest plays of the year, when we took St. Bonaventure against VCU.  The Rams came in on a 7-game win streak, but left on the short end of a 73-53 defeat.  Now, they return home to host Davidson, which is on a 13-game win streak.  And we will look for this streak to also come to an end tonight, as the Wildcats fall into a negative 21-54 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Rams are 11-2 SU and 8-3 ATS off a loss by 20+ points, while Davidson is 4-9 ATS as an underdog vs. winning foes off a loss.  Take VCU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Liberty Flames minus the points over Jacksonville.  Both of these teams come into this game on 4-game win streaks.  But the Dolphins were never a decided underdog in any of those four games.  They are tonight, as they're catching double-digits from the Flames.  We will fade Jacksonville, as it's a poor 4-10 ATS when priced from +9 to +15 points.  Lay the points with Liberty.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Akron.  Yes, the Broncos have lost six straight games.  But they've also covered the spread their last three times as a double-digit underdog.  And we'll happily take the double-digits tonight, as Western Michigan falls into a 208-115 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) losing streaks.  Take Western Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Northern Arizona.  We played against Idaho on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Idaho State, as our #1 Big Sky Game this season.  But on this Monday, we'll switch gears and take the Vandals in an underdog role.  Idaho is a solid 94-62 ATS away from home off a loss, including 34-16-2 ATS when priced from +3 to +10 points.  Take the Vandals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Nevada Wolf Pack minus the points over Wyoming.  The Cowboys pulled off a big upset at Utah State on Saturday.  Unfortunately, they're 10-22 ATS on the conference road off an upset win.  Take Nevada.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over SIU Edwardsville.  The Bruins laid an egg at home vs. Murray State in their last game, as they were blown out by 22, as a 6-point favorite.  But Belmont usually bounces back strong off ATS losses, as it's 33-13-1 ATS in the regular season following a point spread defeat, including 14-0-1 ATS when priced from -10 to -14.5 points.  Take Belmont.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over St Francis.  The Terriers have not been a bettor-friendly home team, as they're 7-15 ATS their last 22.  And they're also a poor 4-10 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Meanwhile, Long Island is 23-10 ATS vs. foes off a loss.  Lay the points on the road with the Sharks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over St John's.  The Hoyas are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, including back-to-back blowout losses at the hands of Marquette and Butler.  This afternoon, they'll face a St. John's team which is off back to back losses, itself.  We'll grab the points with the Hoyas, as the Red Storm is a poor 5-17 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a SU loss (and 1-6 ATS off back to back losses).  And they're 5-13 ATS in this rivalry, when off a loss.  Take the Hoyas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison over American.  It's not often that you see a Bucknell team mired in a 6-game losing streak.  Or see it with an 0-5 Patriot League record.  But that's the situation today, as the Bison are 0-5 in league play.  And they're 5 games under .500 in conference play which puts them in jeopardy of having their worst Patriot League season in 32 years (heretofore, their worst season was 2008-09, in which they went 6-10 in Patriot League games).  But they should be primed to snap their losing streak today, as they fall into several of my better NCAA systems, including one which is 78-28 ATS since 1990.  Take Bucknell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over BYU.  The Cougars were blown out by Gonzaga in their last game.  And that continued a long-term trend for BYU where it's struggled as an underdog vs. foes off back to back wins.  And BYU especially is poor as an underdog away from home vs. revenge-minded foes off back to back wins (like San Francisco, which lost twice to BYU last season).  In that situation, BYU is an ugly 9-28 ATS.  That bodes well for San Francisco tonight.  Even better:  the Dons have won all 12 home games this season, including a 24-point win over Loyola Marymount two days ago.  And San Francisco is 22-8 ATS off a win by more than 16 points over a conference foe.  Finally, the Dons fall into a 379-231 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain favorites off big wins.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos + the points over Cal State Fullerton.  The Gauchos are on a 6-game ATS losing streak, while the Titans have won four straight, and are also on a 4-game ATS winning streak.  We'll take UCSB + the points, as Big West Conference teams are 28-10 ATS off 3 ATS losses, if they're playing a foe off back to back ATS wins.  Take Cal Santa Barbara.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions over San Diego.  The Toreros have been installed as small home underdog tonight.  But they're a poor 3-18 ATS when priced from -2 to +7.5 points, including 0-8 ATS at home.  Take Loyola Marymount

Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals minus the points over Idaho.  These two rivals are struggling to win games.  Idaho St. is 2-11, while its cross-state rival, Idaho, is a half-game better, at 3-11.  In Vegas, however, it's the Vandals who have been superior, as they're 9-3 ATS, while Idaho State is 1-10 ATS.  But this lack of point spread success -- Idaho State has failed to cover the spread by an average of 9.86 ppg this season -- has worked to create value on behalf of the home team.  And we will lay the points with Idaho State tonight, as it falls into several of my better systems, including one which is 97-39 ATS since 1990.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Arizona.  The Utes have lost their last four games -- both straight up and ATS -- and have been installed as a huge road underdog at Arizona.  But Pac-12 teams are a super 40-24 ATS when getting more than 19 points, including a perfect 7-0 ATS if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Utah + the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers over Southern.  Grambling is back home this evening after a trip to the Sunshine State, which saw it split games against Bethune Cookman and Florida A&M.  Grambling will host Southern, which enters on a 7-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately for Southern, NCAA teams on ATS win streaks longer than 6 games have covered just 43% away from home vs. foes not off back to back ATS wins.  And Grambling also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 75-21 ATS since 1990.  Take Grambling.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Panthers were routed by UAB two days ago, 84-56, while the Blue Raiders blew out Florida Atlantic, 70-57, the same night.  But the Blue Raiders are a poor 5-12 ATS off a double-digit win, and 3-11 ATS their last 14 vs. Florida International, including 1-7 ATS if the Panthers were off a loss.  Take Florida International.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Houston Baptist Huskies + the points over McNeese St.  Ron Cottrell's men have dropped their last three games (all played last weekend in the Southland Tip-Off Tourney in Katy, Texas), and are also on a 5-game ATS losing streak.  But the Huskies fall into a super 67% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, this will be the first time all season that the Cowboys have been installed as a favorite.  And they're 1-5 ATS their last six in that role.  Take the Huskies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Portland State Vikings over Sacramento St.  The Hornets blew out Northern Colorado, 85-71 last Saturday.  But Sacramento State is a poor 12-21 ATS off a double-digit win over a conference foe, while Portland State is 37-22 ATS as a road underdog of more than 2 points.  Take the Vikings + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on Coppin State over Morgan State.  These two Baltimore rivals come into this afternoon game off wins over South Caroina State.  Coppin St. upset the Bulldogs, 74-65, last Saturday, while Morgan State pulled off the same feat two days later, with an 88-81 win.  We'll take Coppin St. in this road game, as the road team has won six of the last seven in this series, while Morgan St. is a poor 9-16 ATS in competitively-priced games with spreads of less than 4 points. Take Coppin State.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles over Tennessee Martin.  The Skyhawks were blown out by Morehead St. on Wednesday, 76-62.  And that doesn't bode well for them tonight, as they're 12-25 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Take Tennessee Tech.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over LSU.  The Tigers are 15-1 after their upset win in Gainesville, on Wednesday.  LSU was a 3-point road underdog at Florida, but upended the Gators, 64-58.  That was LSU's 3rd straight win and cover.  But it's been dreadful at home over the last 32 seasons off an upset win, if it also was on a 3-game SUATS win streak, as it's covered just 25% since 1990.  Take Arkansas.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Cornell.  Yale's on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak, and is 6-8 overall this season.  But this is a perfect spot for it to get back into the win column, as it is Yale's Ivy League opener.  And Yale is 7-0 SU its last seven conference openers.  And, even better, it has won the last 15 meetings vs. Cornell, and has gone 12-3 ATS in those 15 games.  Take Yale.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota St. Bison minus the points over After starting the season with an 8-2 SU record, and 7-1 ATS record, the Leathernecks have hit the skids, with a 1-6 ATS mark since December 18.  We'll lay the points with the Bison, as they're 22-13-4 ATS as a favorite of less than 10 points.  Take North Dakota State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Charlotte.  After a 3-week layoff, Charlotte got back onto the court two days ago here, at home, vs. Western Carolina.  And Charlotte blew out the Catamounts, 98-82.  We will fade Charlotte off that big win, as it is a wallet-busting 16-33-1 ATS at home off a double-digit win.  Take Texas San Antonio + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over VCU.  The Rams are on a 7-game win streak (and 6-game ATS win streak), while the Bonnies are comparatively cold, with a 7-game ATS losing streak entering tonight's key Atlantic 10 Conference match.  But don't be surprised if the two teams' hot/cold ATS streaks get snapped tonight.  Indeed, VCU falls into a negative 39.7% ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on 4-game (or better) ATS win streaks, while the Bonnies fall into a 67.5 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on a 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  St. Bonaventure is 35-13 SU and 31-16-1 ATS its last 48 Atlantic 10 Conference games, including 15-4 in games with point spreads of 4 points or less, 14-5 ATS at home, and 23-9-1 ATS as a favorite.  And VCU is a horrid 11-25 ATS its last 36 vs. .750 (or better) foes, including 0-11 ATS when priced to -6 to +3 points.  Lay the points with St. Bonaventure.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:00 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks plus the points over Western Illinois.  The Fighting Hawks come into tonight's game on a 5-game losing streak, and they've also failed to cover the spread in three straight.  But North Dakota's poor play has triggered a 77-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game losing streaks.  Additionally, Summit League home underdogs of more than 8 points have covered 72%.  Take North Dakota + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Ohio State.  Wisconsin was blown out by the Buckeyes earlier this season, 73-55, in Columbus.  We'll take Wisky in this rematch, as it's 54-20 ATS at home when playing with revenge vs. .750 (or better) foes.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles minus the points over NC Asheville.  The Bulldogs come into this game off 4 straight wins, and 3 straight covers, while Winthrop is on a 3-game ATS losing streak.  And Asheville also upset the Eagles, 57-55, as a 12.5-point road underdog when the two teams last met.  We'll take the Eagles, as revenge-minded NCAA favorites of 2+ points, on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak, have covered 59% vs. foes that were on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  Take Winthrop.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Mercy Titans over IUP-Fort Wayne.  The Mastodons have covered five straight, including back to back SU/ATS road wins vs. Youngstown and Robert Morris.  We'll look for this ATS win streak to come to an end tonight, as Fort Wayne has been poor as a favorite of 10 or less points, as it's 48-67 ATS, including 14-24 ATS vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, Detroit has won and covered 3 straight, and is 23-13 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins, when it wasn't getting 2+ points.  Take Detroit Mercy as a small underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Missouri.  The Tigers pulled off a massive upset over the weekend, when they upset the Crimson Tide, 92-86, as a 14-point dog.  But that game was at home, where Missouri has been very strong as an underdog (45-30-6 ATS).  On the road, it's a completely different story for the Tigers, who are a dreadful 74-111-5 ATS as a road underdog, and 11-29 ATS their last 40 as road dogs when matched up against a foe off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, the Razorbacks are 37-24 ATS as a home favorite off back to back losses.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware State Hornets + the points over Norfolk State.  Delaware State enters this game on a 9-game losing streak, as well as a 5-game ATS losing streak.  And they've lost their last three games by 33, 42 and 37 points!  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against such an ice-cold team.  But teams off three straight SU/ATS losses by 21+ points have covered 60.1% over the last 32 years.  Take Delaware State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over LSU.  The Gators come into tonight's game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Alabama and Auburn.  But Florida is a solid 43-13-1 ATS off two ATS defeats, when matched up against a .680 (or better) foe off a win.  Take the Gators.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers + the points over Campbell.  The Bucs come into this game on a 5-game losing streak, and a 4-game ATS losing streak.  But they're undervalued by my numbers, and are 10-3 ATS when priced from +12.5 to +18 points on the road.  Meanwhile, the Fighting Camels are 3-9 ATS their last 12 when laying 5+ points.  And Charleston Southern also falls into a 138-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Bucs + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams enter tonight's game off an upset win over La Salle, and have covered five straight, overall.  We'll fade Fordham, as it's a wallet-busting 24-45 ATS off 3+ ATS wins, and has lost the last six meeting to the Dukes.  Additionally, Duquesne falls into a 61% ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites vs. foes off wins.  Lay the points with the Dukes.  Good luck, as always...Al  McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Auburn.  Nate Oates' men return home to Tuscaloosa, after a shocking 92-86 loss at Missouri, as a 14-point favorite.  The good news for 'Bama is that home favorites have covered the spread in 73% of Conference games over the past 32 seasons, if they were upset on the road as a 14-point (or greater) favorite in their previous game.  Even better:  Auburn is 1-10 ATS on the road when not getting 4+ points, if its foe failed to cover the spread by more than 13 points in its previous game.  Lay the points with Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over Davidson.  We played against the Wildcats on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Rhode Island.  The Rams lost by 4 to Davidson, but covered the spread as a sizable road underdog, and snapped Davidson's 9-game ATS win streak.  UMass has been installed as an even bigger underdog at Davidson tonight, and we'll grab the double digits with the Minutemen, as Davidson continues to be overvalued on the heels of that long point spread win streak.  UMass is a solid 19-5-1 ATS on the conference road off a SU loss, if it was getting 8+ points in its current game.  Take the Minutemen.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Hofstra Pride over James Madison.  We played against Hofstra in its last game, and took William & Mary +17, and were rewarded with an outright win, 63-62.  But that was a great set-up, as Hofstra was in off back to back upset wins over Arkansas and Monmouth.  Here, they're in off an upset defeat as a 17-point road favorite!  The Dukes are off to a great start, and are 9-2 SU and 7-2 ATS, yet have been installed as a home underdog vs. Hofstra.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on JMU, but be careful.  In "win situation" games, with point spreads between +3 and -3, the Pride has gone 53-28-1 ATS away from home.  In contrast, James Madison has covered just 20 of 59 home games vs. conference foes when the line was priced from +3 to -3 points.  That bodes well for Hofstra this afternoon.  As does the fact that the Dukes are a dreadful 33-52 ATS as a home underdog vs. Colonial Athletic Ass'n foes, while Hofstra is 36-13-2 ATS on the conference road when priced from +1 to -6.5 points.  Finally, the Pride falls into a 265-186-12 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites in confererence games.  Take Hofstra.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Dartmouth Big Green + the points over Brown.  The Bruins pulled off a big upset win, 84-73, last night at Harvard.  Unfortunately, though, Brown is 0-11 ATS its last 11 as a favorite off an upset win.  Take Dartmouth + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Dakota Coyotes + the points over South Dakota St.  This rivalry series has been good to the underdog, as the dog is 10-4 ATS, including 6-1 ATS off a straight-up loss.  With the Coyotes in on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, we'll grab the points with South Dakota this evening.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Cornell.  The Tigers won their sixth straight game last night, with a 15-point win over Columbia.  And Princeton is 17-9 ATS its last 26.  It's also dominated Cornell over the years, and especially in this price range, as Princeton is 15-1 SU and 14-2 ATS (including 9-0 ATS its last nine) when favored between -5.5 and -11 points vs. the Big Red.  Lay the points with Princeton.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on Charleston Southern + the points over North Carolina-Asheville.  The Bulldogs pulled off a big upset on the road in their last game -- a 60-54 win at Campbell, as a 6.5-point road underdog.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 133-226 ATS system of mine that goes against certain double-digit favorites off road upset wins.  Even worse for Asheville:  it's 5-12 ATS off a conference win.  Grab the points with the Buccaneers.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Grambling Tigers + the points over Bethune Cookman.  This will be the Wildcats' 2nd game in its new conference -- the Southwestern Athletic Conference -- after playing for years in the MEAC.  The Wildcats will host Grambling this afternoon, and we'll grab the points with the Tigers, who are on a 6-game losing streak.  But Grambling is undervalued, and it also falls into a 76-26 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing records.  Take the Tigers + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our Mountain West Game of the Week is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Colorado State.  The Rams are 11-0, but have not yet played a true road game.  So, this afternoon's game against the Aztecs will be their first.  And we'll go against Colorado State, as it falls into a negative 78-160 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams that have played home-heavy schedules to start the season.  Even better for San Diego State:  it's won its last four, straight-up, and has covered its last three.  And the short price this afternoon has triggered a 232-135 ATS momentum system of mine which plays on certain home teams on 3-game SU/ATS win streaks, that are not favored by more than six points.  Lay the points with San Diego State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders + the points over Kansas.  The Jayhawks have been installed as a road favorite following their win at Oklahoma State, which raised their record to 12-1 on the season.  But Kansas falls into a negative 72-136 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road favorites off road wins, while Texas Tech falls into a super 161-72 ATS angle, which plays on certain single-digit underdogs with winning SU/ATS records.  Take Texas Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles minus the points over Texas Arlington.  The Eagles are 0-2 in conference play after dropping road games at Arkansas Little Rock, and at Arkansas State.  Meanwhile, the Mavericks are 3-0 in the Sun Belt following wins against South Alabama, Troy and Georgia State.  The good news for the Eagles is that they're back home, where they've yet to lose this season.  And they're 18-9-2 ATS their last 29 at home vs. a foe off a win.  Lay the points with Georgia Southern.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Golden Eagles are 10-6 SU and 9-3-1 ATS this season.  And although those are solid numbers, when one delves deeper into Oral Roberts' stats, one will find that Oral Roberts has covered the spread at home by 9.2 ppg, but has failed to cover the spread on the road by -1.31 ppg.  Meanwhile, the Leathernecks are covering the spread at home this season by 6.62 ppg.  Take Western Illinois as a home underdog.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams + the points over Davidson.  This is a great match-up between the 9-3 Rams and the 11-2 Wildcats.  We'll take the points with Rhode Island, as it's 9-3-1 ATS its last 13 vs. .742 (or better) foes, while Davidson is a soft 36-55 ATS its last 91 vs. .742 (or better) foes.  Take the Rams + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on IUPUI + the points over Wright State.  The Raiders are on a 5-game win streak following their 18-point blowout of Illinois-Chicago, while the Jaguars are riding a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But Wright State is a woeful 0-7 ATS at home off a double-digit win.  Take the points with IUPUI.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Owls will welcome the Blue Raiders to Tudor Fieldhouse tonight, and will look to bounce back off a blowout loss five days ago at North Texas.  The Owls were a 10-point underdog in that game, but lost by 32 points.  Rice, though, has been terrific of late, at home, as it's 10-1-1 ATS its last 12.  And it's also 15-9 ATS off a blowout loss by 15+ points.  Meanwhile, the Blue Raiders are a wallet-busting 9-21 ATS away from home when not getting more than 9 points.  Finally, the Owls have covered the last five in this series.  Lay the points with Rice.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Penn State.  Northwestern comes into this home game off a loss to Michigan St., while Penn St. upset the Indiana Hoosiers last Sunday, in Happy Valley.  We'll lay the points with Chris Collins' troops, as Big 10 home favorites of less than 10 points (or PK) have gone 44-22 off a loss, if they were matched up against a conference opponent off a home upset win.  Take Northwestern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Creighton.  The Blue Jays stunned Villanova earlier this year, when it blew out the Wildcats, 79-59, as a 7-point home underdog.  We'll take Jay Wright's men in this rematch, as they're 27-14 ATS when playing with revenge, including 9-1 ATS when priced from -8 to -12.5 points. Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over DePaul.  The Blue Demons have been poor in Big East Conference play, and especially when they've not gotten more than 6 points.  In that situation, they've covered just five of 26.  DePaul will visit a St. John's team which was upset by Pitt, 59-57, as an 11-point favorite in its last game.  But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points today, as St. John's is 26-12 ATS at home off a loss.  Take St. John's.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers + the points over Clemson.  Tony Bennett has transformed Virginia into a national power since being hired away from Washington State more than 10 years ago.  And though the Cavaliers are certainly strong in many situations, one of their best situations under coach Bennett is when they play with revenge.  And Virginia is currently riding an 11-1 SU/ATS run when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (and 32-12 ATS if one would include revenge from a prior season).  The Tigers upset Virginia in Charlottesville last month, 67-50.  Take Virginia + the points in the rematch.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Lipscomb Bisons minus the points over North Alabama.  The Lions come into this game off a point spread win against Gonzaga, which was the Lions' 4th straight cover.  And tonight, they're in Nashville to play the Bisons, who are headed in the opposite direction -- with respect to the point spread -- as they've failed to cover their last four games.  But we'll take the Bisons on this Tuesday, as they fall into 139-91 and 196-127 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off ATS losses.  Additionally, Lipscomb plays this game with revenge from an upset loss to North Alabama last season.  But revenge-minded NCAA teams off 4+ ATS losses have covered 60.2% since 1990 when favored against an opponent off 4 ATS wins.  Lay the points with Lipscomb.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the LSU Tigers over Kentucky.  The Tigers are 12-1 SU, and 10-3 ATS on the season, with each point spread defeat coming away from Baton Rouge.  The good news for LSU tonight, then, is that this game is at home, where it has covered all eight games this season (and 11 in a row, dating back to last year).  More good news:  Kentucky is a wallet-breaking 2-11 ATS on the road off back to back double-digit home wins.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs minus the points over Arkansas Pine Bluff.  The Bulldogs are 1-9, and will look to snap a 9-game losing streak tonight when they visit the Lions, are are 0-11 this season vs. division 1 programs. Pine Bluff is 45-58 ATS as an underdog, and also 1-9 ATS its last 10 when priced from +1.5 to +9 points.   Meanwhile, Alabama A&M falls into a 105-58 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road favorites with losing records.  Lay the points with the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Dixie State Trailblazers + the points over Abilene Christian.  The Wildcats are 10-2 SU, and 7-1 ATS, with seven straight ATS wins coming into tonight.  Here, Abilene Christian has been installed as a big favorite on the road vs. Dixie State.  But Western Athletic Conference teams off 3+ point spread wins, that are favored by 8 (or more) points, have cashed just 30.7 percent vs. conference foes off back to back ATS losses, including 0-14 ATS if our favored team owned a win percentage greater than .750 and less than .850.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights minus the points over Central Connecticut State.  Rutgers had 17 days off between games due COVID-19, but returned to the court on December 30 vs. Maine.  The Scarlet Knights shook off the rust to get by the Black Bears, 80-64, as a 24.5-point home favorite.  This will be the final non-conference game in its regular season schedule, as the Knights will resume Big 10 Conference play on Tuesday.  We'll lay the points with Rutgers, as it will be hosting a Blue Devils squad which comes in off a 12-point upset win over St Francis.  Since 1990, Big 10 Conference teams have cashed 67.2% as favorites of more than 15 points vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  Additionally, the Scarlet Knights are 12-3-1 ATS at home vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win, while the Blue Devils are a poor 4-12 ATS as an underdog of 14+ points.  And Rutgers also falls into 19-0, 74-29 and 306-213 ATS systems of mine that play against certain foes off upset wins.  Take the Scarlet Knights to blow out the Blue Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack + the points over Florida State.  The Wolfpack enter this ACC Conference game off four straight losses, while Florida State is in off a win against Lipscomb.  We played on the Seminoles in that game, and were rewarded with a 97-60 blowout win over the Bisons.  We'll switch gears on this New Year's Day, and fade Florida State in Raleigh.  Since 1990, NC State has covered 62.2 percent as an underdog off back to back losses, if its opponent was off a point spread win.  Grab the points with the homestanding Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons + the points over Providence.  DePaul looks to bounce back this afternoon after falling by four points at Butler, on Wednedsay, as a 2.5-point road underdog.  Meanwhile, Providence comes into this game off a big win over nationally ranked Seton Hall earlier this week.  And that was the Friars' 7th straight win.  But Providence has covered just four of 20 games after winning their previous six games.  And it's also a dreadful 1-14 ATS as a favorite away from home vs. an opponent off a straight-up loss.  Take DePaul + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over Toledo.  The Golden Flashes come into this game off 3 SU/ATS losses, while the Rockets are in off back to back victories over Marshall and Western Michigan.  The Golden Flashes are a fantastic 30-8-2 ATS at home when favored by 10 or less points (or PK), if they were off a point spread loss, and matched up against a conference foe off a win.  Lay the points with Kent State.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UTEP Miners + the points over UAB.  The Blazers are 10-3 after blowing out Mississippi Valley State, 100-58, as a 37.5-point favorite.  We played on UAB in that game, but will switch gears and take the double-digits with Texas El Paso tonight.  UAB is a miserable 38-65-1 ATS off a win by more than 13 points, while UTEP is a strong 31-16 ATS away from home when getting more than 12 points.  Take the Miners + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers minus the points over Fordham.  The Rams come into this Atlantic 10 opener off 4 straight ATS wins, but they're a wallet-busting 9-22-2 ATS off 3+ ATS wins, and 0-9-1 ATS when a road underdog, priced from +1.5 to +11.5, at La Salle.  Meanwhile, the Explorers were upset by Bucknell, 82-70, the last time they took the court.  But Atlantic 10 home teams are a super 7-0 ATS their last seven (and 36-10-1 ATS their last 47) conference games off a SU/ATS loss in which they were not getting more than 2 points.  Take La Salle minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Tennessee.  The Crimson Tide have dropped their last four to the point spread.  But SEC Conference teams, off 4+ ATS losses, have cashed 61% at home over the last 32 years vs. fellow SEC opponents off a SU win.  With Tennessee, indeed, off a win over Arizona, we'll lay the points with 'Bama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs minus the points over Gardner-Webb.  Georiga will conclude its non-conference schedule tonight with a home matchup against Gardner-Webb.  Georgia comes into this game off three straight ATS losses, including an upset at the hands of East Tennessee St. last Wednesday.  But the Dawgs are 35-20 ATS off back to back point spread defeats, including 12-4 ATS off an upset loss (and a perfect 6-0 ATS off an upset loss, if they off 3+ ATS defeats).  And Gardner-Webb is 1-6 ATS off a loss, when playing an opponent off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Georgia.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Hofstra.  The Pride come into this game off back to back upset wins against Arkansas and Monmouth.  Unfortunately, since 1990, Hofstra has covered just 35.7% as a favorite off back to back wins, when playing an opponent off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Tribe enter this Colonial Conference opener off a 22-point loss to Valparaiso.  And since 1990, NCAA underdogs of +13 (or more) points have cashed 64.1% in their first conference game, if they were off a loss by more than 18 points.  Take William & Mary.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs + the points over St. Mary's.  The Gaels come into this game off a blowout SU/ATS win over Missouri St., 75-58, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  Unfortunately, the Gaels are an awful 11-27 ATS as a home favorite of -4 (or more) points, if they are off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent lost its previous game, while Yale is a reliable 26-12 ATS away from home off back to back ATS defeats.  Take the Bulldogs + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Lehigh Mountain Hawks + the points over Maryland.  The Terrapins have been installed as a big home favorite tonight, but they've had scant success in this role over the years.  Indeed, the Terrapins are a horrid 8-27 ATS when priced as a home favorite of -13 to -23 points, if they're playing an opponent which wasn't off a SU/ATS win.  That doesn't bode well for the Terps on Tuesday.  Nor does the fact that Lehigh's 13-4 ATS when getting more than 8 points away from home.  Take Lehigh as a big road dog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds minus the points over Dixie State.  These two Beehive State schools are located less than an hour from one another.  And this will be the 2nd meeting of the season.  The first go-round was won by the Trailblazers, 83-76, as a 10.5-point home underdog, on November 12.  We'll lay the points with the Thunderbirds in this re-match, as Southern Utah falls into a 66% ATS revenge system of mine.  And Southern Utah is also 4-0 ATS with revenge against a non-conference foe.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks plus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bison have been installed as a double-digit home favorite over their rival, and we'll take the points with the Fighting Hawks, as the underdog in this rivalry has cashed 9 of 13, including 5-1 ATS on the road (and the road teams are 7-3 ATS their last 10).  Take the Fighting Hawks + the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Mississippi Valley State.  The Delta Devils are 0-9 on the season, while UAB is 9-3 after dropping a home game to West Virginia on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with the Blazers, as they've covered the spread at home 68.5% vs. non-conference foes since 1990, if they were off a SU loss.  Take UAB minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wichita State Shockers minus the points over Prairie View A&M.  The Shockers were "shocked" here, at home, by North Texas, on Saturday.  But off that double-digit upset loss, we'll lay the wood with Wichita tonight, as it's covered 71% at home over the last 32 years off a double-digit upset defeat.  Take the Shockers minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Saint Francis (PA).  Both of these teams come into tonight's game off blowout losses.  Robert Morris lost by 26 at Bowling Green, while the Red Flash fell by 58 at Illinois.  Tonight, the Red Flash have been installed as a home favorite.  But it's a poor 0-4 ATS as a favorite of 5 (or more) points.  And it's 3-14 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss, including 0-5 ATS as a favorite.  Take the points with Robert Morris.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Nicholls State.  The Beavers are 1-10 on the season after dropping their 10th straight game on Saturday, 83-73, to Texas A&M.  But teams on 10-game (or worse) losing streaks have covered 60.8% over the last 20 years when favored by more than four points.  Lay the points with Oregon State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets minus the points over Georgia State.  These two cross-town rivals met in last season's opening game, and the Panthers won, perhaps, the most exciting game of the NCAA season, as they down the Yellow Jackets, 123-120, in four overtimes.  Georgia Tech does come into this game off four straight losses.  But those games were against a quartet of power conference foes (Wisconsin, North Carolina, LSU and USC), of which all but the Tar Heels rank among the country's Top 25.  So, this will be a step-down-in-class for Georgia Tech, and we'll lay the points against a Panthers team which is 0-5 ATS on the road this season.  Additionally, Georgia State is an awful 1-15-1 ATS on the road vs. a revenge-minded foe off a double-digit SU/ATS loss.  Take Georgia Tech.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the South Alabama Jaguars minus the points over SIU-Edwardsville.  The Jaguars had their 8-game win streak snapped on Friday, at Tarleton St.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points with Richie Riley's men tonight.  Indeed, since 1990, teams off an upset loss, which snapped an 8-game (or longer) win streak, have bounced back to cover the spread 60.6% of regular season games vs. a foe off a SU win.  Take South Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Elon.  Arkansas sprinted out to a 9-0 record before dropping games to Oklahoma and Hofstra in the last 10 days.  But I look for Eric Musselman's men to rebound tonight, as the Razorbacks are a reliable 86-53-3 ATS at home off a loss.  Even better:  NCAA teams with a win percentage of at least .818 have cashed 70.5% at home over the past 32 years vs. losing teams, if our home team was off back to back SU/ATS losses.  And Elon's a wallet-breaking 11-24-1 ATS vs. foes off an upset loss, including 2-11 ATS when getting more than 5 points.  Lay the points with Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on The Citadel minus the points over Manhattan.  In a matchup of "Bulldogs," The Citadel was upset last night by cross-state rival, South Carolina State, 74-57, as a 12-point home favorite, in the opening round of The Citadel Classic.  That upset loss shouldn't have come as too much of a surprise, as South Carolina State was looking to avenge a loss to The Citadel in Orangeburg a few weeks ago.  We'll take the Bulldogs to bounce back here, at home, tonight vs. the Jaspers, as it's 11-3 ATS its last 14 at home, or on neutral courts, while Manhattan is a woeful 0-7 ATS its last 7 vs. opponents off a double-digit loss.  Take The Citadel minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Davidson.  This game will be played on a neutral court, in Birmingham, AL.  Nate Oats' men do come into this game off three straight ATS losses.  But I look for 'Bama to get back into the (point spread) win column tonight, as the Crimson Tide is a solid 19-7-1 ATS away from home if it was on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  It's true that Bob McKillop has built a great program at Davidson over the last few decades, and he will be seeking his 21st straight winning season this year.  But one area he has NOT had much success is against the country's better teams, as Davidson is 10-48 straight-up, and 18-39-1 ATS as an underdog of +15 (or less) points (or PK) vs. .742 (or better) opposition.  Take Alabama to blow out the Wildcats.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Harvard.  Harvard comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses, and has been installed as a huge favorite vs. the Crusaders.  But Harvard is a wallet-breaking 12-25-1 ATS as a favorite, including 1-8 ATS as a double-digit favorite.  And Holy Cross has covered 61.7% since 1990 when getting more than 8 points, including 70% ATS if it was off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Holy Cross + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders + the points over Monmouth.  The Raiders come into this Gotham Classic game off back to back SU/ATS losses to Pittsburgh and St. John's, while the Hawks are off back to back SU/ATS wins over Pittsburgh and Yale.  Unfortunately for Monmouth, it's 1-8 ATS off back to back wins, when matched up against an opponent off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Raiders + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons have been installed as a double-digit favorite vs. Robert Morris.  But Bowling Green hasn't been the most reliable favorite over the years.  Indeed, it's covered just eight of 41 games as a favorite, including 0-5 ATS as a double-digit favorite, and 0-11-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Robert Morris.

At 9:10 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Utah State.  This game will be played at the Sanford Pentagon, in Sioux Falls, SD.  Iowa will be looking to redeem itself after getting blown out by rival, Iowa State, 73-53, as a 5-point favorite, nine days ago.  Based on history, it should, as it's 41-24 ATS off a loss by more than 15 points, as well as 10-3 ATS after failing to cover by 23+ points (including 6-0 ATS when favored by more than 3).  Take Iowa minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.