Sports Picks & Predictions

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers + the points over Kansas.  The #1-seeded Jayhawks enter this Tourney on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak, including an upset of WVU in the Big 12 Championship game.  Unfortunately, Big 12 Conference teams (or Big 8 Conference before that) have been dreadful in the 1st round of the NCAA Tourney off an upset win in the Conference Title game.  Since 1990, they've cashed just 28%.  Meanwhile, Ivy League teams have cashed 69% in the post-season since 1990 vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Penn + the points.

At 12:40 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Wright State.  The Raiders have won and covered four straight games.  But that hot streak sets them up in several of my negative situations, including two angles that are 83-45 and 34-15 ATS going against Wright State.  Meanwhile, Tennessee was upset by Kentucky in its previous game, and that defeat has triggered a solid 51-22 ATS system on the Volunteers.  Also, Tennessee's covered 14 of its last 18 games away from home vs. non-conference foes, while the SEC Conference has covered 83% vs. the Horizon League since 1990 as a double-digit favorite when the SEC team was off a loss.  Lay the points with Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Washington Huskies over Boise State.  The #4-seeded Broncos are the higher seeded team in this NIT Tournament, but #5-seeded Washington will enjoy home court tonight, since Boise's court is being used by the NCAA Tournament this week.  Boise was upset, 78-75, by Utah State in the Mountain West tourney last week.  And that doesn't bode well for the Broncos tonight, as road favorites off an upset loss have cashed just 33% in the post-season the past 28 years, including 1-10-1 ATS the past four year.  Take Washington.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Wagner.  The Bears dropped their last two games to end their Big 12 Conference campaign, but have still earned a #1 seed in this NIT tournament.  We'll lay the points with Baylor, as #1-seeded teams have cashed 80% since 1992 in the post-season when favored by 9+ points.  Even better:  Baylor's 41-13-3 ATS at home off back to back losses vs. .785 (or worse) foes.  Take the Bears minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Houston.  Cincinnati's a fantastic 29-4 this season, and earned the #1 seed in this AAC Tournament.  The Bearcats won by double-digits in each of their first two tournament games, and that's a good sign for them today, as #1 seeds have gone 73-50 ATS in the Championship round off back to back double-digit wins, when not favored by 9+ points.  Moreover, Cincy's playing with revenge from a loss earlier this season to Houston.  And the Bearcats are 11-2 ATS as a favorite when playing with revenge.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers over Kentucky.  It's true that Kentucky is off an impressive 86-63 blowout of Alabama.  However, the Vols won both meetings with Kentucky this season, and that bodes well for Tennessee to win the title, today, on Sunday.  Indeed, since 1991, .692 (or better) teams (like Kentucky) playing with double revenge from two losses earlier in the season, have been a wallet-busting 82-114 ATS in the Conference Tourneys.  Even worse:  teams off 18-point wins (and 18-point covers) in the semi-final round have covered just 40% of Title games when not getting double-digits.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over North Carolina.  Yesterday we played on North Carolina in its upset win as a 4-point underdog vs. its rival, Duke.  But off that upset win, I expect a letdown tonight vs. Virginia.  Indeed, North Carolina falls into negative 5-40, 14-34 and 3-19 ATS systems of mine that go against certain teams in the tourneys off upset wins.  And the Tar Heels are also a poor 1-6 ATS vs. Virginia when not favored in the game.  Take the Cavaliers minus the points.  ACC Tourney Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin' Cajuns minus the points over Texas State.  We played on the Bobcats in their opening game of this tournament, and were rewarded with a 73-66 upset win over Coastal Carolina.  But off that upset win, we will fade Texas State in this game vs. the #1-seeded Rajin' Cajuns, who are off an upset loss to end their regular season.  However, #1-seeded teams off an upset loss have cashed 68% in the Tournaments over the past 28 years vs. foes off upset wins.  And, since March 2015, the Cajuns have covered 11 straight away from home off an upset loss!  Take Louisiana Lafayette minus the points.  Sun Belt Conf. Tourney Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  The Mustangs have dropped their last seven games to the point spread, and have covered just one of their previous 15.  And, for the season, they're 7-19 ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against Cal Poly tonight.  But consider that, over the past 28 years, NCAA teams whose ATS records were more than 10 games below .500, have actually covered 67% in the Conference Tourneys vs. foes off a SU/ATS win!  Moreover, double-digit dogs with a losing record have cashed 68.1% since 1990 in the post-season if they were off back to back SU/ATS losses, and their opponent was off a SU/ATS win.  Finally, Cal Poly also falls into 37-20, 80-27, 503-351 and 62-28 ATS systems of mine, so we'll grab the points with the Mustangs. Big West Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers over UAB.  There aren't many teams with a better post-season resume than Western Kentucky.  Dating back to 1993, the Hilltoppers have gone 43-23 SU and 46-19-1 ATS in their 66 post season games!  They've also dominated the Blazers over the years, including a perfect 7-0 ATS at home or on a neutral court.  It's true that the Hilltoppers dropped their final two regular season games by 18 and 28 points, respectively.  But NCAA teams have cashed 74% in the Conference Tourneys off back to back losses by 18+ points, if they were playing a winning opponent.  Take Western Kentucky.  Conf. USA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Central Florida.  The Pirates have lost five straight games to end their regular season, and have also failed to cover their last four.  In contrast, the Knights are off back to back ATS wins.  Unfortunately for Central Florida, favorites of 8+ points, off back to back ATS wins, have been dreadful in the post-season vs. foes off three ATS losses, including 20.9% ATS since 1990 vs. conference foes off a SU loss.  Take East Carolina.  AAC Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over LSU.  These two teams met five days ago in Baton Rouge, and LSU got the better of the Bulldogs that day, with a 78-57 win.  LSU, though, was at home in that game, and was favored.  Here, it's an underdog, and the Tigers are a poor 17-30 ATS their last 47 as a dog, and also 0-6 ATS off a double-digit SEC Conference win.  Meanwhile, Miss State is a super 17-6 ATS when playing with revenge from a road loss, and is 57-36 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit defeat.  The Bulldogs are also 10-2 ATS off back to back ATS losses, and they fall into a 72-32 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off double-digit losses.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oklahoma State.  The Jayhawks play this game with revenge from an 82-64 loss to the Cowboys.  And that bodes well today, as Oklahoma State is an awful 16-35 ATS vs. revenge-minded foes, provided Okie State wasn't favored by more than 2 points.  Even worse:  if the Cowboys won the season's previous meeting by 14+ points, then our 16-35 stat crashes to 1-11 ATS.  Finally, the Jayhawks fall into several of my best Tourney systems, with records of 46-13, 202-120 and 82-41 ATS since 1990.  Take Kansas.  Big 12 Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on Cal Riverside + the points over Cal Davis.  Cal Riverside plays this game with double-revenge, and also falls into a 43-8 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  With Riverside in off an 18-point loss at Long Beach last Saturday, we'll grab the points with the revenging Highlanders.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over South Florida.  These two teams met a week ago in Memphis, and South Florida stunned the Tigers with a 75-51 win, as a 13.5-point underdog.  But you know what they say about 'Payback!'  And I love Memphis today, as it falls into a 71-25 ATS post-season revenge system of mine.  South Florida's also 0-7 ATS off back to back ATS wins.  Take Memphis.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Boston College.  BC is off an upset win over NC State yesterday, but will be hard-pressed to make it two in a row this afternoon, as Clemson has an advantage of not having to play yesterday.  BC falls into a negative 26-68 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins.  Lay the points with Clemson.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide + the points over Texas A&M.  Alabama has lost five straight games, but did cover both meetings this season vs. Texas A&M.  We'll grab the points, as Bama falls into a 40-15 ATS 'contrarian' system of mine which plays on certain teams in the Tourneys off 4+ losses.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles pulled off an upset, at home, against La Tech in their final regular season game.  But Southern Miss has lost (both SU and ATS) their four previous games before that upset win.  And it's an awful 19-36-3 ATS off an upset conference win since 1990, including 1-13 ATS their last 14 when priced from PK to +8.5.  Take the Panthers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Stanford.  The Cardinal upset Arizona State, 84-83, as an 8.5-point underdog to end their regular season.  Unfortunately for Stanford, favorites of -8+ points, off an upset win as an underdog of +6 or more points, have gone 0-for-15 ATS in the post-season over the past 16 years!  Take California.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats + the points over Coastal Carolina.  Both of these teams come into this game with identical 14-17 records.  But they've taken much different routes to that record.  Coastal Carolina finished the season by winning seven of its last 11 games, while Texas State was 1-10 its last 11, including 0-9 its last nine.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against a team in the Conference Tourney off nine straight losses.  But as we saw yesterday with Pittsburgh (which had lost 18 straight games), such 'cold' teams are often very good bets in the Tourneys.  Indeed, since 1990, teams off 9+ losses have covered 58% in the Conference Tournaments.  Take Texas State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Gonzaga Bulldogs minus the points over BYU, as Gonzaga falls into 50-17, 43-6 and 84-32 ATS tourney systems of mine.  Gonzaga has completely dominated this tournament.  It's won the WCC crown each of the last five seasons.  And it's gone a perfect 5-0 ATS in each of the Title games.  And none of those games were close, as the Zags won each by double-digits, and covered by an average of 8.6 ppg.   Gonzaga's also 19-6 ATS in the WCC Tourney when favored by 12 points or less.  And BYU has covered just one of 12 games vs. Gonzaga (whether in the regular season or tournament) when BYU's been installed as an underdog of less than 12 points.  Take Gonzaga.  WCC GAME OF THE YEAR.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern U. Jaguars minus the points over Jackson State.  The Jaguars lost their last two regular season games -- both at home -- and will look to rebound tonight in their opening game of the Southwestern Athletic Conference tourney.  The good news for Southern is that favorites of -4+ points have covered 67% in the tournaments off back to back home losses to end the regular season.  Take the Jaguars minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Blackbirds + the points over Wagner.  The Seahawks defeated Long Island, 78-74, in the previous meeting.  But we'll grab the points with Long Island, as the underdog has covered 82% of Northeast Conference tourney championship games, including 88% ATS when playing with revenge.  And Long Island also falls into an 84-45 ATS conference tourney revenge system of mine  Take the Blackbirds + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Charleston minus the points over Northeastern.  The Huskies have won nine straight entering this CAA Tourney Final.  Unfortunately for the Huskies, underdogs of more than 2 points, that have won their previous nine games, have covered just 23% in the Conference Tourneys the past 15 years.  Take Charleston to blow out Northeastern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, in the Big Sky Tourney, our selection is on the Montana State Bobcats + the points over North Dakota.  This is primarily a contrarian play, as the Bobcats enter the game off 6 straight losses.  But this losing streak has triggered a 74-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain cold teams.   Even better:  the Bobcats are playing with revenge from a 1-point loss at North Dakota in February.  But the revenger in Montana State tourney games has gone 13-2 ATS, including a perfect 8-0 ATS if they didn't lose the previous meeting by double-digits.  Take the Bobcats.

At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the Bowling Green Falcons plus the points over Central Michigan.  The Falcons were blown out, 100-70, in their final regular season game.  And Bowling Green has also lost five straight, overall, and has failed to cover its last two.  Notwithstanding its current cold streak, we'll grab the points with the Falcons, as teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have covered 59% in the post-season over the last 28 years, if they gave up 100+ points in their previous game.  Take Bowling Green.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee St. Buccaneers + the points over Furman.  The Paladins have won and covered seven straight games.  But we'll fade Furman, as they fall into negative 65-109 and 26-74 ATS 'contrarian' systems of mine that go against certain 'hot' teams.  Additionally, in the semi-final round of the Conference Tournaments, teams off 7+ wins have gone just 24-47 ATS vs. foes off exactly one win, including 8-28 ATS as a favorite off an ATS win.  Take East Tennessee + the points.  Southern Conf. Tourney Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Michigan.  The Wolverines upset Michigan State, 75-64, yesterday.  But we'll fade John Beilein's men this afternoon, as teams off double-digit semi-final wins over .759 (or better) foes have crashed in the finals, as they've covered just 37% over the past 28 years.  Take Purdue.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:05 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Illinois State.  The Ramblers have won nine straight, and 16 of their last 17.  They've also covered 13 of those 17 games, including yesterday's 62-54 win over Bradley, as a 6.5-point favorite.  These two teams met twice this season, and the Ramblers beat the Redbirds twice, by identical 68-61 scores.  That bodes well for Loyola this afternoon, as favorites have cashed 63% in Conference Tourney finals if their win percentage was .750 (or better), and they already defeated their opponent twice in the regular season.  Take Loyola.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Charleston College Cougars minus the points over Drexel.  We played on Drexel yesterday, and were rewarded with a 70-62 upset win over James Madison.  Unfortunately, the Dragons now have to play the #1 seed, Charleston, in its home city.  And #1-seeded teams off a loss have cashed 77% in the Conference Tournaments the past 28 years, if they're playing in their home city against a foe off a win.  Lay the points with the Cougars.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State.  Western Illinois was upset at home by Denver to end its regular season.  But I love the Leathernecks to bounce back on Saturday vs. the Jackrabbits, as they fall into 19-1, 41-14 and 52-29 ATS Tourney systems of mine.  Additionally, NCAA underdogs have cashed 69% since 1990 in Tourney games off an upset home defeat, if they're matched up against a foe off back to back SU/ATS wins.  With the Jackrabbits in off 4 SU/ATS wins, we'll grab the points with Western Illinois.  Summit League Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots plus the points over Loyola Marymount, as Portland falls into 69-28 and 79-38 ATS Conference Tourney systems of mine.  Moreover, Portland has lost its last six games.  But teams off 6+ losses have actually done well in NCAA Post-season Tourneys, as they've cashed 56% since 1990.  Even better:  if our team was off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and its opponent was off back-to-back SU/ATS wins, then our 56% stat zooms to 81%.  Take Portland + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Youngstown St. + the points over Cleveland St.  It's true that the Penguins are on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But they're an awesome 63.1% since 2002 off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 73% ATS when playing with revenge.  With Youngstown, indeed, playing with revenge from a 99-94 loss, we'll grab the points with the Penguins.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis over Missouri State.  Southern Illinois comes into this Missouri Valley Conference quarterfinal game off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But the Salukis are 19-3 ATS as an underdog of +6 or less points (or PK) off back to back ATS losses when matched up against foes off a point spread win!  Additionally, Southern Illinois falls into 78-39, 51-29 and 18-1 ATS Tourney systems of mine.  Take the Salukis.  MISSOURI VALLEY GAME OF THE YEAR.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Penn State.  The Buckeyes only lost three games in Conference play this season, but two of those were to these Nittany Lions.  So, Ohio State will surely want to avenge those two defeats this evening.  And i believe the Buckeyes will do just that, as they fall into an 81-38 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams in Conference Tourneys with revenge.  Moreover, Ohio State is 35-19 ATS when playing with double-revenge.  Lay it. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  The Eagles defeated Toledo, 85-79, on February 20, in Ypsilanti.  Unfortunately for Eastern Michigan, it's an awful 21-42 ATS as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded opponent off a win.  With the Rockets, indeed, off a win (97-67 at Northern Illinois), we'll lay the points with the Rockets this evening.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the Detroit Titans plus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay.  The Phoenix enter this Horizon League Tourney off back to back upset wins, while Detroit is off back to back SU/ATS losses.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the 'hot' Phoenix, and go against the 'cold' Titans.  But since 1990, NCAA teams have cashed just 29% in Conference Tournaments as a favorite off 2 upset wins, if their opponent was off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Detroit.

At 5 pm, our selection is on The Citadel Bulldogs minus the points over VMI.  These two teams met less than two weeks ago at The Citadel, and the Bulldogs were upset, 75-71, as an 8.5-point favorite.  The Citadel also dropped their last two regular season games.  But those facts set up our play this evening, as College Basketball favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses, and playing with revenge from an upset home loss, have cashed 67% since 1990 in Conference Tourney games.  Lay the points with The Citadel.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes + the points over Fairfield.  It's true that Marist won just six of its 30 games this season.  But one of its six wins was against this Fairfield squad, when it triumphed, 95-89, as a 5-point home underdog in January (the Stags did win the second meeting, in February).  And Fairfield also had an overall losing record on the season, which sets up our play tonight.  Since 1990, in conference tournament games between two losing teams, underdogs with a .200 (or worse) win percentage have covered 62%.  That bodes well for Marist on Thursday.  As does the fact that Fairfield is an awful 9-24 ATS as a favorite of -3 or more points, while Marist is 27-15 ATS off a loss when playing with revenge.  Take Marist.  MAA Conference Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Texas San Antonio.  The Mean Green enter tonight's home game off five straight losses.  But they were an underdog in four of those five games.  And they were only favored by a meager 1.5 points in the lone game they were installed as a favorite.  Here, they're favored by more than that, and I love North Texas to blow out UTSA, as North Texas falls into a 240-153 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Even better:  North Texas is 12-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Texas San Antonio is an awful 33% off back to back ATS wins (and 16% off 3+ ATS wins).  Take North Texas.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Virginia.  The Cardinals lost by 10, 74-64, at Virginia, in January.  But I love them to avenge that defeat this evening, as Virginia is a horrid 15-45 ATS away from home vs. opponents playing with same-season revenge.  And if UVa was priced from -2 to -5.5 points, then the Cavs' stat drops to 1-16 ATS.  Take Louisville.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Lafayette.  The Leopards won in the opening round of this Patriot League Tournament, 93-86, vs. American, while Colgate earned a bye, as the #2 seed.  Unfortunately for Lafayette, it falls into a negative 38-80 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams against revenge-minded foes.  Moreover, teams playing with revenge from a double-digit loss have covered 55% in Conference Tourneys since 1990 when favored by more than 3 points (and 62% if they were playing with same-season double revenge).  Take Colgate.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Robert Morris Colonials + the points over Mount St. Marys.  Robert Morris lost just six days ago to Mount St. Marys, 72-53, so it will be looking to avenge that blowout defeat, tonight.  And Northeast Conference Tourney teams have cashed 24 of 35 if they were playing with revenge, and installed as an underdog in the Tourney game.  Take the Colonials.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Presbyterian Blue Hose + the points over Charleston Southern, as the Blue Hose fall into one of my favorite Conference Tourney systems, which is 68-26 ATS since 1990.  Moreover, Presbyterian's been installed as a double-digit underdog.  And double digit road underdogs have cashed 69.2% since 1990 in Conference Tourneys if they were off 2 SU losses, and their opponent was off 2 SU wins.  Take Presbyterian. Big South Game of the Year. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Duke.  The Hokies were upset by Louisville here at home on Saturday, 75-68, while Duke has won and covered five straight.  One of those five wins was less than two weeks ago in Durham, when the Blue Devils blew out Va Tech, 74-52.  But with revenge from that 22-point loss, we'll jump all over the Hokies tonight, as they fall into a 93-33 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 20+ points earlier in the season.  Moreover, Virginia Tech is 12-1 ATS its last 13 as a home underdog, and 37-14 ATS at home or on neutral courts when playing with same-season revenge vs. a conference foe, including 5-0 ATS off an upset loss, and 27-7 ATS as a dog/PK.  Take the Hokies.  NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams + the points over Nevada.  Nevada is 24-5 and is riding a 4-game win streak.  Unfortunately, Mountain West underdogs of more than 13 points are 92-44 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Colorado State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is the IUPUI Jaguars + the points over Northern Kentucky.  IUPUI has won and covered its last three games, and will play its final home game of the season this afternoon vs. the Horizon League-leading Norse (21-8 overall; 16-10 ATS; 14-3 in Conference).  Since 1990, home dogs off 3 SU/ATS wins have cashed 65% vs. foes off ATS wins, if such foes also were .500 or better ATS.  Additionally, IUPUI is 9-1 ATS as a home underdog or PK over the last three seasons.  Take IUPUI plus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers + the points over Michigan State.  The Badgers enter this game with a losing record, at 14-16 (and 7-10 in the Big 10).  But they've won and covered three straight.  And they're also an awesome 48-26 ATS in Big 10 play when they entered the game with a .500 or worse Big 10 record.  Take Wisconsin.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over Auburn.  The Gators are off three tough losses to rival SEC foes.  They fell by 3 to both Georgia and Vanderbilt, before losing by five, on Wednesday, at Tennessee.  The good news, though, for Gator fans is that SEC Conference teams are an awesome 69-38 ATS off 3 SU/ATS losses, if they were favored (or PK) vs. rival SEC teams.  Take Florida.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Murray State.  The Racers are on a 10-game win streak.  But we'll go against Murray State as road teams off 10+ wins have covered just 120 of 288 conference road games as single-digit favorites.  Take Austin Peay + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Old Dominion.  The Monarchs and Hilltoppers are tied for second place in Conference USA with 13-2 records (behind Middle Tennesse (14-1)), so this game will likely determine the upcoming Tourney's #2 seed.  Also, it's Senior Day at Western Kentucky tonight, as the Hilltoppers will be playing their final home game of the season.  And WKU has won and covered each of its last three games.  That bodes well for Western Kentucky tonight, as teams playing their final home game, off 3 SU/ATS wins, have covered 60% since 1990 vs. conference foes with a winning conference record.  Lay the points with the Hilltoppers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers minus the points over Harvard.  Penn entered this weekend's 2-game home stand off five straight road games vs. Ivy League foes.  It held its own, as it went 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS in those five road games.  And it started off its 2-game home stand with a 74-46 win last night vs. Dartmouth.  Penn's now won all six of its home games vs. Ivy League foes this year, and will play its final home game of the season tonight.  We'll lay the points, as Penn has cashed 73% at home since 1990 when playing with revenge vs. an Ivy League foe off a win.  Take Penn.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Marshall.  The Thundering Herd lost SU/ATS as a home underdog to Old Dominion in their last game, and have now been installed as a favorite vs. Charlotte, which is 0-2 SU/ATS its last two games.  Unfortunately for Marshall, NCAA home favorites off a SU/ATS home dog loss have covered just 126 of 303 games vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Charlotte.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners minus the points over Kansas State.  The Wildcats beat the Sooners by 18 in Manhattan, Kansas back in January.  But I love Oklahoma to avenge that defeat this evening.  Since 1990, NCAA revengers are 76% ATS off 3 double-digit SU/ATS losses vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS double-digit wins.  Take Oklahoma.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Georgia State.  This is the Mavericks' final home game of the season, and they come into the game off a momentum-building 83-63 win over Georgia Southern (as a 5-point favorite).  We'll lay the points with the Mavs, as home favorites with a winning record are 133-98 ATS in their final home game of the season off a game where they covered by more than 14 points.  Take Arlington

At 4:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Kansas.  Both teams come into this game with identical 22-6 records.  In Big 12 play, Kansas holds a 1-game edge, however, at 11-4, while the Red Raiders are 10-5, notwithstanding the fact that Kansas lost earlier this season, at home, to the Red Raiders.  Texas Tech did lose its two previous games -- both as a favorite -- at Baylor, and at Oklahoma State.  But those two upset losses have triggered a great 117-58 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back upset losses.  Moreover, Texas Tech is an awesome 16-3 ATS at home off back to back ATS losses, while Kansas is 5-12 ATS on the road off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. an opponent off back to back ATS defeats.  Take Texas Tech.  NCAA ELITE INFO WINNER!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.. 

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers minus the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Lions upset Santa Clara as a 4-point underdog earlier this week, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Tigers who are off back to back home upset losses vs. Santa Clara and San Francisco.  I look for the Tigers to bounce back today, as road favorites off back to back home upsets, are a sensational 75% ATS over the past 28 years vs. conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points with Pacific.  NCAA Road Warrior!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Creighton Bluejays + the points over Villanova.  The Bluejays have lost their last three lined games, including a 23-point blowout loss at Butler on Tuesday.  But Creighton is a super 14-2 SU and 8-6 ATS at home this season.  And over the last three seasons, it's 41-11 SU and 29-18 ATS at home, including 15-2 off a point spread defeat, and 9-0 ATS its last nine off a straight-up loss.  Take Creighton.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers over the Harvard Crimson.  These two teams are heading in opposite directions.  The Crimson have won five straight, while the Tigers are on a 6-game losing streak.  The opening odds have established this as a 'Pk 'em' game, which might raise an eyebrow given the current form of the two teams.  Notwithstanding Princeton's poor play of late, we'll back the Tigers, as .500 (or worse) favorites (or PK) off 4+ straight losses have cashed 84% over the past 24 years vs. .500 (or better) conference foes off 4+ straight wins.  Take Princeton.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Western Kentucky.  It's true that the Hilltoppers are off back to back SU/ATS wins, while the 49ers are currently riding a 12-game losing streak.  But the second-best game the 49ers played during this losing streak was against these Hilltoppers, in Charlotte.  The 49ers were 13.5-point underdogs in that game, yet lost by only 10, and covered the 13.5-point spread.  That was the 3rd straight time the 49ers have covered vs. the Hilltoppers, and I expect the 49ers to once again cover vs. Western Kentucky.  Charlotte falls into three of my very best College Basketball systems, with records of 503-347, 379-234 and 328-193 ATS since 1990.  And Western Kentucky is an awful 17% ATS as a favorite since 1990 off back to back ATS wins, if its opponent is off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the points with the 49ers.  Conference USA Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks + the points over William & Mary.  Wilmington stumbled at home its last time out when it lost to Charleston.  But it had covered four straight prior to that defeat.  I expect Wilmington to resume its winning ways (in Vegas), as it's gone 64-41-3 ATS since 1993 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season (Bill and Mary beat Wilmington by 3 on Jan. 27).  Take NC Wilmington + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Wisconsin.  This will be the Wildcats' final home game of the season.  And I expect them to snap their 4-game losing streak, and blow out the 13-16 Badgers.  Since 1990, Big 10 Conference teams have gone 45-25 ATS as a favorite in their final home game of the season, if they were matched up against an opponent with a losing record.  And if their foe was also off a SU/ATS win, then our 45-25 stat zooms to 10-1 ATS.  Take the Wildcats.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Connecticut.  Cincy was upset in each of its last two games -- at Houston, and at home vs. Wichita.  But Cincy should bounce back on this Thursday evening, as they will face a 13-14 UConn squad which has lost eight of its last 10 games vs. the point spread.  Since 1990, Cincy has covered 86% as a big favorite of more than -17 points off an upset loss.  And it's 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS its last seven vs. UConn, as well as 3-0 SU/ATS at home vs. the Huskies the last three seasons.  Lay the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Jose St. Spartans + the points over Nevada.  Nevada comes into this game off three SU/ATS wins.  But we'll fade the Wolf Pack, as Mountain West Conference favorites of 14+ points, off back to back wins, have gone 20-40 ATS vs. conference foes.  Additionally, San Jose falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 185-88 and 401-240 ATS since 1990.  Take San Jose.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over Bradley.  The Bears stumbled in their last game, which was here at home vs. Drake.  Missouri State was favored by 7, but lost outright, 67-63.  However, the Bears generally bounce back at home off a home loss, as they've covered 58.9% since 1990, including 10-1 ATS their last 11 when priced as a favorite of less than 7 points.  Take Missouri State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones plus the points over TCU.  This is a tough spot for Jamie Dixon's Horned Frogs.  Not only is Iowa State off back to back losses, but it also will be out for blood after losing by 23 points in Forth Worth in January.  And Iowa State is 15-4 ATS its last 19 off back to back losses.  And it's 32-15-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 10 points earlier in the season.  Take the Cyclones.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets + the points over Virginia.  These two teams met in Atlanta, in January, and the Cavs won, 64-48.  Thus, Georgia Tech will be looking for revenge tonight.  The Yellow Jackets were blown out by 20 points, at home by Virginia Tech, in their last game.  And that was their 5th straight loss (both SU and ATS).  I love the Jackets to bounce back tonight in Charlottesville, as NCAA underdogs (or PK) on 5-game SU and ATS losing streaks, are 170-111 ATS if they also failed to cover the spread by 10+ points in their previous game!  Even better:  if our team is playing with revenge from a loss at home earlier in the season, then our 170-111 stat zooms to 38-16 ATS.  Take Georgia Tech.  NCAA Game of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over East Carolina.  The Mustangs played about as bad a game as a team could play last Saturday when it lost 52-37 at Central Florida.  SMU shot just 25% from the field (11 of 43) in that defeat, and it was its 5th straight loss, overall (and 3rd straight ATS).  But I expect them to bounce back at East Carolina.  SMU's been installed as a sizable road favorite.  And NCAA favorites of more than 6 points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, that scored 46 or less points in their previous game, have cashed 68.4%.  Take SMU.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Georgia.  South Carolina stunned the 23-3 Auburn Tigers, 84-75, as a 7-point underdog last Saturday.  And I look for them to follow-up that victory with a blowout of Georgia.  Indeed, home teams off upset wins as 7-point (or greater) dogs over .850 (or better) conference foes have gone 111-74 ATS.  Take the Gamecocks.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Missouri.  The Rebels are on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak, and were blown out by rival Miss State, 79-62, on Saturday.  But SEC Conference underdogs of +6 or more points, off more than 5 point spread defeats in a row, have gone 49-27 ATS vs. conference foes.  And Ole Miss is 41-20 ATS off a double-digit loss.  Take the points with Mississippi.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas A&M Aggies minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Aggies are 17-10 this season, but return home after losing two road games at Mizzou and Arkansas.  However, the good news for Texas A&M tonight is that it's 50-17 ATS at home off a loss when it owns a .440 (or better) record, and its foe is not off a SU/ATS loss.  And it's also a fantastic 37-15 ATS if it lost ATS in each of its two previous games.  Lay the points with Texas A&M.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos minus the points over Central Michigan.  These two rivals have yet to meet this season, but they'll meet twice over a 10-day period, starting with tonight's game.  The Broncos were upset by Bowling Green and Northern Illinois in each of their last two games.  But both of those were on the road.  Tonight's game is at home, where Western Michigan is 19-5 SU and 15-9 ATS its last 24 Mid-American Conference games.  Even better:  teams off back to back road upset losses are a super 57% ATS since 1990.  Take Western Michigan.

At 7 pm, our selection is on The Citadel + the points over East Tennessee State.  The Bulldogs narrowly lost to the Buccaneers, 73-71, as a 15.5-point underdog in late January.  And they're also 0-3 ATS over their last three games.  But we'll grab the points with the Bulldogs, as revenge-minded College Basketball underdogs of +20 or more points, off 3 ATS losses, are 66% since 1992.  Take The Citadel.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Kansas.  The Sooners have hit a tailspin, as they're on a 5-game losing streak (and a 7-game ATS losing streak).  They'll attempt to get back into the win column 'in Vegas' tonight, as they'll take on a Kansas Jayhawks team which is 21-6 SU and 13-12 ATS.  Interestingly, the last time the Sooners covered the point spread was against these Jayhawks.  Oklahoma won that game, 85-80, as a 2-point home favorite.  We had a big play on the Sooners in that game, and will take them again here, as a road underdog.  For technical support, consider that .600 (or better) teams, off 5+ losses, have covered 67% since 1990 as road dogs of more than 6 points.  Also, Oklahoma is a super 23-12 ATS vs. Kansas when not laying more than 2 points.  And Kansas is an awful 3-14-1 ATS its last 18 at home vs. Big 12 Conference foes.  Take the points with the Sooners.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Purdue Boilermakers minus the points over Penn State.  The Boilers have dropped their last three games, including two upset losses as a double-digit favorite (vs. Ohio State and at Wisconsin).  But I love the Boilermakers to bounce back tonight at home, as home favorites off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 4 points, and 3 losses, overall, have covered 65.9% since 1990 vs. conference foes off 3+ wins (and 8-1 ATS the last 2+ seasons).  Take Purdue.  NCAA Hoops High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Florida State.  The Panthers have lost their last four games by 33, 24, 34 and 23 points.  And they've failed to cover the spread in each.  But those games set up our play today, as double-digit underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses by more than 20 points each, have covered 65% over the past 28 years.  Additionally, the Panthers have covered five of the last seven in this series, and scored upset wins over the Seminoles each of the past two seasons.  Take the points with Pittsburgh.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Loyola Chicago.  Loyola's 22-5, and defeated the Aces earlier this season, 66-59, as n 8-point favorite.  They've been installed as a road favorite this afternoon, notwithstanding the fact that Evansville is 13-2 this season at home (and 7-4 ATS).  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as home teams that are more than 10 games above .500 at home on the season have cashed 62% when getting more than 4 points.  Take Evansville.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini over Nebraska.  The Illini lost at Indiana on Wednesday, 78-68, as a 9.5-point underdog.  And that was Illinois' 4th straight defeat, overall.  But I love Illinois to bounce back at home this afternoon, as it's 94-57 ATS off a Big 10 defeat, provided Illinois was an underdog in that previous game.  We actually had a big play on the Illini when these two teams met earlier this season in Lincoln, and the Illini rewarded us with a nice win as a 4.5-point underdog.  Interestingly, that was the last time Nebraska failed to cover the spread, as they're 8-0 ATS since (to go win a 6-0 SU run).  But they fall into a negative 57-110 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams on long win streaks.  Take Illinois.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Tulsa.  The Golden Hurricane upset Connecticut on the road, 73-71, on Thursday.  They'll now take on a Bulls team currently riding a six-game losing streak (including a 9-point loss vs. Tulsa two weeks ago).  Unfortunately for Tulsa, double-digit home favorites generally suffer letdowns off road upset wins, if they're matched up against conference foes off a loss, provided such conference foe also has a losing record (both in conference play, and overall).  Since 1990, our home teams in this situation have gone 167-233 ATS.  Take the Bulls + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over DePaul.  Seton Hall is 17-9 on the year, but 0-4 SU/ATS its last four games.  But the good news for Pirates fans is that .555 (or better) teams, on a 4-game SU/ATS losing streak, tend to bounce back when favored by 6+ points, as they've gone 66% ATS since 1990.  Take the Pirates.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Mississippi State.  The Rebels have dropped their last six games (both SU and ATS).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to fade Mississippi.  But consider that SEC Conference underdogs of +6 (or more) points, on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, have gone 85.3% ATS vs. Conference foes not off an ATS defeat.  Take Ole Miss.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  But three of those four games were at home.  And the lone road game was at NC State.  And the Tar Heels played that game with major revenge from a loss to the Wolfpack just two weeks earlier.  Tonight, however, North Carolina is not playing with revenge.  And Carolina has been awful away from home vs. revenge-minded conference foes if Carolina was off a win, as it's 1-10-1 ATS.  Take Louisville.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Texas Tech.  Baylor comes into this game red-hot, and has won its last four games, while it has covered its last five.  And it falls into a 'momentum' system of mine which has cashed 63% which plays on certain favorites off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Texas Tech, meanwhile, is an awful 71-117 ATS away from home as an underdog in the regular season, including 23-49-1 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Finally, the Bears lost to the Red Raiders by 24 in Lubbock back in December.  But Baylor's 65% over the past 28 years when favored and playing with revenge from a 15-point (or worse) defeat.  Take Baylor.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen + the points over Davidson.  UMass comes into this evening's game off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But it falls into 77-27 and 390-210 ATS systems of mine that play on certain double-digit underdogs off back to back losses.  Moreover, UMass is a super 24-3 ATS as a road underdog of 6+ points in conference games off a loss, if its opponent had a .400 (or better) ATS record.  Take the Minutemen.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies + the points over Nevada.  The Wolf Pack come into this game off back to back wins, and are ranked among the Top 25 teams in the country, with a 22-5 record.  But they've been pedestrian against the spread, as they're just 13-12 ATS this season, and just 6-7 ATS on the road.  Today, they'll have to take on an Aggies squad looking to make amends for an awful, 78-63, loss at New Mexico this past Wednesday.  But Utah State's back home now, and it has won 10 of its 13 home games, straight-up (6-5 ATS) this year, and is also playing with revenge from a 26-point loss in Reno back in January.  The Aggies are a solid 13-3 ATS since 1992 at home off a loss, when playing with same season revenge, including a perfect 7-0 ATS since 2007.  Take Utah State.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Cal Davis Aggies + the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  UCSB comes into this game on an impressive 8-game win streak.  Unfortunately, Cal Santa Barbara has burned money in the regular season off 3+ wins.  Since 1990, they're an ugly 36-59-2 ATS, including 0-8 ATS vs. .636 (or better) foes if the Gauchos covered their two previous games.  Take Cal Davis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska-Omaha Mavericks + the points over South Dakota.  Omaha fell by 14 points at home earlier this season to South Dakota.  But the Mavericks have been solid in the revenge role over the years, as they're 22-7-1 ATS their last 30.  South Dakota, meanwhile, has won its last five, and covered its last four.  But it falls into a negative 'contrarian' system of mine which is 51-125 ATS which goes against certain hot teams.  Take the double-digits with Omaha.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers minus the points over South Alabama.  The Jaguars come into this afternoon's game on a 3-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, South Alabama's an awful 1-7-1 ATS off 3 SU/ATS wins when playing a foe not off a SU/ATS win.  Meanwhile, Coastal Carolina's cashed 75% over the past 10 years vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  And it's cashed 63% as a favorite vs. foes off a win, including 89% vs. foes with a winning ATS record.  Finally, this will be Coastal Carolina's final home game of the season.  And it comes into today's game off back to back upset losses.  Since 1990, NCAA teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 62.1% if they were favored by 3+ points, and off back-to-back upset losses.  Take the Chanticleers.  Sun Belt Favorite of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State.  It's true that the Jackrabbits blew out Western Illinois by 28 four weeks ago.  But the Leathernecks have been solid on the road the past seven seasons when playing with revenge, as they've cashed 62%, including 80% as a double-digit underdog.  And Western Illinois also falls into a 140-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain double-digit underdogs off back to back losses.  Take the Leathernecks.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Alabama.  The Crimson Tide come into today's game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  But 'Bama is an awful 32-51-1 ATS away from home off back to back SU/ATS wins when priced as a single-digit underdog (or PK), including 11-34 ATS if their W/L record wasn't worse than their opponent's.  Take Kentucky.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the La Salle Explorers minus the points over George Mason.  The Explorers have dropped five straight games ATS, but this ATS losing streak has triggered a terrific 'contrarian' system of mine which is 110-56 ATS since 1990.  Moreover, the Patriots upset Dayton, 85-67, as a 4-point home dog on Wednesday.  But George Mason is a wallet-busting 5-19-1 ATS off an upset conference win.  Take La Salle.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores minus the points over Southern Illinois.  Indiana State's on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But I love them to bounce back on Saturday, as Missouri Valley Conference teams have cashed 61.6% at home over the past 26 years off 3 SU/ATS losses, including 69.4% ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  With the Sycamores, indeed, looking to avenge their 82-77 loss in Carbondale last month, we'll lay the points with Indiana State today.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Air Force.  Boise's 20-6, but comes into this game off back to back upset losses to Utah State and Nevada.  However, .725 (or better) teams are an awesome 65.7% ATS over the past 25 years at home when favored by more than 10 points, if they're off back to back upset defeats!  Lay the points with the Broncos.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Indiana.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Hawks fell by 13 points in Bloomington.  Currently, the Hawkeyes are mired in a 4-game losing streak, and have been installed as a home dog vs. Indiana, which is 16-9 ATS on the season, and has covered its last four games.  But Iowa's a stellar 14-0 ATS as a revenge-minded home dog of +1.5 or more points vs. foes off a SU/ATS win, if that foe also has a winning ATS record.  Take Iowa. NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMOrdie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Bowling Green.  The Falcons come into this game off back to back upset wins, and have covered five in a row, overall.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the double-digits with the Falcons, especially given that Buffalo's an awful 0-4-2 ATS in its last six games.  But consider that, since 1992, double-digit road underdogs have covered just 36% vs. foes off 4+ point spread defeats!  Take Buffalo minus the points.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors + the points over Cal Irvine.  This game is a classic example of two teams going in opposite directions.  The Anteaters are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, while Hawaii has lost its last five games, and has failed to cover three straight.  But Big West Conference teams are an awesome 24-4 ATS off three straight ATS defeats when matched up against a conference foe off back to back ATS wins, including a perfect 11-0 ATS if they also owned a better W/L record (which Hawaii does).  Take the Rainbow Warriors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Colorado.  Wazzu is on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And it's also failed to cover in 11 of its last 12.  But, as faithful followers know, I often like to play on teams in freefalls, as such losing streaks often confer value.  And this is certainly one of those times, as Washington State falls into a 119-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on long losing streaks.  Also, Colorado has lost its last five games ATS as a road favorite, and is also a horrid 3-16-1 ATS off back to back wins (and 1-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins).   Finally, Washington State lost to the Buffaloes earlier this season in Boulder.  But Colorado is a wallet-busting 13-33-2 ATS on the road vs. revenge-minded foes.  Take Washington State + the points.  NCAA Hoops Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans minus the points over Oregon.  USC and Oregon both have won 17 games this season.  And each team has just five losses in Pac-12 Conference play.  So, this game will have a big impact on the eventual conference standings for the post-season Tournament.  It's true that the Trojans come into tonight's game on a 3-game losing streak.  But all three of those games were on the road.  Here, in Los Angeles, the Trojans have won their last five conference games (3-1-1 ATS).  And .651 (or better) teams are 83% ATS the past 10 years at home off 3 road losses.  Lay the points with the Trojans.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Miss Golden Eagles + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Blue Raiders have won their last seven games, and also easily defeated the Golden Eagles by 20 points in Murfreesboro earlier this season.  So, don't be surprised if Middle Tennessee comes out a bit complacent, and gets knocked off tonight by Southern Miss.  And the Golden Eagles have been playing well, of late, as they've covered their last three games, including a 72-54 blowout of Charlotte last Saturday.  That bodes well for them tonight, as home dogs off a double-digit straight-up win, and 3 ATS wins, are a super 163-106 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off a win.  Even better:  Southern Miss is a perfect 7-0 ATS at home this season, and 24-9 ATS their last 33 in Hattiesburg.  Take the Golden Eagles.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Florida.  These two teams met 15 days ago, in Athens, and the Bulldogs blew out the Gators, 72-60.  Since that game, however, Georgia's gone 0-3 SU/ATS.  Meanwhile, Florida's won its last two games, including a 65-41 blowout of South Carolina on Saturday.  Unfortunately, though, for the Gators, double-digit, revenge-minded home favorites, off a double-digit win, have covered just 38% since 1990 vs. foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Even worse:  Georgia's 22-3 ATS away from home off a loss when matched up against a foe off a win, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when catching 7+ points.  Take Georgia + the points.