Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Youngstown State.  Last year, the Penguins shocked Oakland, 81-80, as a 13.5-point underdog, to knock out the Grizzlies from the Horizon League Tournament.  But you know what they say about "Paybacks."  We'll lay the points with Oakland tonight, as double-digit home favorites have cashed 62% since 1991 when playing with revenge from a loss as a 13-point (or greater) favorite the previous season.  Moreover, the Grizzlies are 20-7 ATS their last 29 when playing with revenge.  Take Oakland.  Horizon League Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies over Central Florida.  The Knights come into tonight's game with eight wins in their last 11 games.  And they've gone 7-0 ATS in those 11 contests (with four non-lined games).  Unfortunately, its 7-game ATS win streak has set the Knights up in negative 48-90 and 156-208 ATS systems of mine.  UConn has also won the last seven meetings, straight-up, and has gone 6-1 ATS in those games.  Take the Huskies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers over Indiana State.  The Panthers have dropped their last six games -- both SU and ATS -- but should snap their losing streak tonight at Indiana State.  The underdog is 35-17 ATS in this series, including 14-2 ATS when getting less than 4 points.  Also, Northern Iowa falls into a 153-87 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Take the Panthers + the points.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Jose State Spartans + the points over San Diego State.  Mountain West Conference underdogs of more than 13 points are a sensational 88-37 ATS if their opponent won their previous two games.  Moreover, the Aztecs have been dreadful over the last 28 years as conference favorites of -13 or more points, as they've cashed just 32.3% of the time.  Take San Jose State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones + the points over Kansas.  The Cyclones have opened Big 12 play with an 0-3 SU/ATS record, while Kansas is 2-1 SU/ATS.  But we'll grab the points with ISU, as it has cashed 79% as an underdog since 1990, if it's off back-to-back SU/ATS losses, and its opponent is off a SU/ATS win.  Take Iowa State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange + the points over Virginia.  The Orange find themselves in the rare position of having a losing Conference record, as they've started 1-2 in this young ACC season.  But Syracuse is a solid 36-19 ATS since 1997 in Conference games, if they didn't own a winning Conference record.  Take Syracuse + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Bradley.  Southern Illinois is on a 3-game ATS losing streak, but it's a fantastic 38-23 ATS as underdogs of less than 8 points (or PK) off back to back ATS losses.  Take the points with Southern Illinois.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets minus the points over Western Michigan.  The Broncos come into this game off 4 straight wins (3-0 ATS), but will be hard-pressed to earn their fifth straight victory.  Toledo is a solid 23-13 ATS at home in Conference games, if it's off a point spread defeat, and its opponent is off back to back wins.  Take Toledo minus the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Michigan State.  The Buckeyes have dominated opponents here, at home, in Value City Arena, as they've gone 225-32 SU and 120-99 ATS since 2004, including 28-15 ATS when playing with revenge vs. a Big 10 Conference foe (Ohio State lost, 74-66, in the previous meeting).  Additionally, this will be just the 2nd road game of the season for Michigan State, which has played 15 of its 16 games at home, or on neutral courts.  And in MSU's only other road game this season, they failed to cover at Rutgers, when they won by 10, as a 14.5-point favorite.  Even worse:  the Spartans are an awful 0-7 ATS their last seven road games off a double-digit conference win.  Take Ohio State.  NCAA Hoops High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over Central Florida, as Temple falls into 494-340, 377-237 and 322-188 ATS systems of mine.  The Knights come into this afternoon's game off back to back wins/covers, while Temple is off back to back losses.  Unfortunately, since 1990, the Knights have covered just 33% off back to back SU/ATS wins vs. foes off back to back losses.  Meanwhile, Temple's a powerful 123-90-3 ATS on the road vs. Conference foes, including 70% ATS off back to back losses.  Take the Owls.  NCAA Hoops High Noon Hanging!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee Volunteers minus the points over Kentucky.  The Volunteers come into this home game, in Knoxville, off back to back losses to start their SEC season.  The good news, however, is that they are 10-0 ATS vs. Kentucky if the Volunteers lost their two previous games, and are not favored by 4+ points.  And Tennessee also falls into a 106-49 ATS angle of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Finally, Kentucky is an dreadful 0-7 ATS its last 7 as road underdogs.  Take Tennessee.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes over Central Michigan.  The Chippeawas smashed Ohio, 75-50, to open Mid-American Conference play, while the Golden Flashes were blown out, 75-61, in their conference opener, at Northern Illinois, on Tuesday.  But I love them to bounce back this evening, as Kent State is 42-11 ATS at home vs. conference foes off a win, if Kent State lost to a conference foe in its previous game.  And the Golden Flashes also fall into a 78-25 ATS system of mine, which fades certain teams (like Central Michigan) off blowout wins.  Take Kent State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi Rebels minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Rebels enter this afternoon's home game off a 71-60 loss to Georgia, on Wednesday.  However, since 1995, the Rebels are 49-26-1 their last 76 home games off a loss, if priced as a single-digit favorite (or PK), including 9-0 ATS since 2015.  And Mississippi also falls into a 92-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses vs. foes off wins.  Lay the points with Mississippi.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders pulled off a huge upset, 85-73, at Kansas on Tuesday.  Unfortunately, that upset win has triggered a negative 30-74 ATS system of mine which goes against Texas Tech this afternoon.  Moreover, Texas Tech is an awful 27-48 ATS since 1992 off an upset win, while Kansas State is a solid 20-10 ATS vs. conference foes off an upset win, including a perfect 6-0 if its opponent is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Wildcats + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces over Bradley.  The Aces are on a 4-game losing streak, while Bradley has won its last two games, but I love the Aces to bounce back at home on Saturday.  Evansville falls into a 132-55 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off SU losses.  Meanwhile, the Braves are a horrid 66-105 ATS away from home off an ATS win, if they're not laying more than 3 points.  Take Evansville.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials + the points over Rhode Island.  The Colonials were upset by Duquesne, 69-52, in their last game, and have been installed as a home underdog vs. the Rams.  We'll grab the points with George Washington, as it's cashed 100% as a home underdog off an upset loss since 1990.  Moreover, GW falls into a 76-27 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs of +5 or more points off SU losses.  Take the Colonials + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio Bobcats minus the points over Northern Illinois.  Ohio was shellacked by Central Michigan, 75-50, on Tuesday, while the Huskies won their MAC Conference opener, with a 14-point win vs. Kent State.  Northern Illinois, though, has covered just 11 of 28 away from home as underdog off a SU/ATS win, while Ohio is a solid 11-1 ATS off a 20-point (or worse) conference defeat.  Take Ohio minus the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Colorado Buffaloes + the points over Arizona.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens minus the points over William & Mary.  The Blue Hens were blown out, 93-78, at Charleston on Tuesday.  But they're now back home for their first conference game in front of their own fans.  And Delaware has been extremely strong off blowout losses over the years.  Since 2005, it is 30-12-2 ATS after losing by 15+ points, including 11-1 ATS their last 12 at home.  Even better:  Delaware falls into a 132-54 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off SU losses.  Delaware is also 20-6 SU and 18-8 ATS vs. William & Mary since Feb. 20, 2002, including 11-3 ATS off a loss.  Take the Blue Hens.  CAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers (rotation #535) + the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green come into their home game tonight off back to back UPSET road wins over Texas El Paso and Texas San Antonio.  Unfortunately, they're FAVORED tonight, and this will be the first time all season, in 10 lined games, that the Mean Green were favored.  North Texas is a poor 10-23 ATS when priced as a home favorite of -6.5 to -9 points, and it is 12-26 ATS at home off back to back wins.  Take Charlotte.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers (rotation #547) + the points over Missouri State.  The Bears are off to a 2-0 start in the Missouri Valley Conference thus far, but have only covered four of their last 20 home games vs. the Panthers.  Even worse:  Missouri State is an awful 1-10 ATS at home off back to back conference wins (and 37-62 ATS, generally, off a conference win).  Take the points with Northern Iowa.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks (rotation #601) + the points over Montana.  The Grizzlies are 5-2 SU and 7-0 ATS over their last seven games, while North Dakota is 0-6 SU and 1-5 ATS its last six.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Grizzlies against the 'cold' Fighting Hawks.  But North Dakota falls into a 'contrarian' 381-203 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses against opponents off wins.  Take North Dakota.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks (rotation #538) minus the points over Troy.  Texas Arlington was upset by Appalachian State, 80-76, as a 4.5-point road favorite in its last game.  Now, it's back home, and it will take on a Trojans squad which is on a poor 1-5 SU/ATS run in its last five lined games.  Arlington is an awesome 30-11 ATS off a road loss.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the VMI Keydets (rotation #573) + the points over Wofford.  VMI comes into this game off back to back losses, including an 87-57 home blowout defeat to Furman on Saturday.  But VMI now falls into a "bounce-back" 475-265 ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs off big losses.  Take VMI.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys + the points over Oklahoma.  In its last game, Oklahoma upset an undefeated TCU team, 90-89, in Fort Worth.  Now, the Sooners are a big favorite vs. rival Oklahoma State.  But favorites of -8 (or more) points have cashed just 20% in conference games over the last 19 years off an upset win over a previously undefeated conference foe!  Additionally, the Cowboys are 9-0-1 ATS their last 10 road games as an underdog.  Take the Cowboys + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers + the points over St. Bonaventure.  The Flyers blew out UMass, 98-78, on Saturday, while Dayton was upset by Duquesne, 70-62.  But I look for the Flyers to bounce back on Wednesday, as St. Bonaventure falls into a negative 25-77 ATS system of mine which goes against certain road teams off blowout losses.  Also, the Flyers are a solid 4-1 ATS this season off a loss, and they're 67% ATS over the last 28 years as a home underdog off an upset loss.  Finally, the Bonnies are a poor 19% (4-17 ATS) as road favorites of 15 or less points vs. foes off an upset defeat.  Take Dayton.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the DePaul Blue Demons minus the points over Georgetown.  The Hoyas take the to the road to play DePaul, and are undefeated ATS in their last four games.  Unfortunately, that ATS win streak has triggered a negative 12-50 ATS system of mine that goes against Georgetown, tonight.  DePaul covered both meetings last season (by an average of 10.25 ppg), and will blow out the Hoyas today.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Texas Tech.  We played on the Red Raiders as our Big 12 Game of the Month in their win over Baylor last Friday.  But they've had zero success of late vs. Kansas (18 straight losses in the series).  The Red Raiders have struggled on the road, generally, over the years, including 73-103 ATS as an underdog (or PK), so we'll lay the points with the Jayhawks, here, at Allen Fieldhouse.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes + the points over Michigan.  The Hawkeyes have won five straight (4-0 ATS), and fall into a 33-4 ATS 'momentum' system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs off a SU/ATS win.  Iowa's also won and covered the last five meetings in this series, and the last four here at Carver-Hawkeye Arena.  Meanwhile, Michigan is a dreadful 3-11 ATS off a double-digit home win.  Take Iowa + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats + the points over West Virginia.  Both the Mountaineers and Wildcats got their Big 12 Conference seasons off on the winning note with road wins on Friday.  The Mountaineers bested Oklahoma State, 85-79, while Kansas State blew out Iowa State, 91-75.  These two teams last met in the Big 12 Conference Tourney last March, and the Mountaineers edged the Wildcats by a single point, 51-50 (after the two teams had traded home wins in the two regular season meetings).  I look for the Wildcats to avenge that Tourney loss on this Monday, as they fall into an 82-38 ATS Tourney revenge system of mine which plays on certain home dogs that lost in last year's post-season to their opponent.  Also, the Wildcats are an awesome 11-3 ATS since 2003 when playing with Tourney revenge, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from +9.5 to -4 points.  That bodes well for Bruce Weber's men on Monday.  As does the fact that the Mountaineers are a wallet-busting 44-73 ATS away from home off a Big 12 Conference win, including 0-6 ATS in their six opportunities last season as a favorite!  Take Kansas State.  BIG 12 GAME OF THE WEEK. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our BIG SKY GAME OF THE MONTH is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over Portland State.  The Vikings have opened their season with 10 straight ATS wins.  George Mason (2011) and UTEP (2017) both covered 14 straight, which are the longest ATS win streaks on record in my database (since 1990).  We'll take the Hornets + the points, as home dogs priced from +2.5 to +11 have covered 62% since 1990 vs. foes off 9+ ATS wins.  Additionally, the Vikings are a horrid 10-26 ATS on the road off an ATS win, if they're playing an opponent off a SU loss.  Take Sacramento State.  BIG SKY GAME OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats (rotation #610) minus the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils come into this game undefeated, and ranked among the Top 5.  But I expect Arizona to blow them out tonight, as Arizona has won each of the last four meetings by an average of 19.75 ppg (and covered each of them, as well).  Also, undefeated teams, with a 9-0 (or better) record, have been poor (3-22 ATS) when playing with revenge, and getting more than 5 points.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SIU-Edwardsville Cougars (rotation #649) + the points over Murray St.  The Racers are 9-3, including wins in their last two games -- at Detroit, and vs. Eastern Illinois.  Unfortunately, Murray St. is one of College Basketball's worst double-digit favorites as they've gone 15-38-3 ATS in that role, including 4-28 ATS off back to back wins.  Yikes!  Grab the points with SIU-Edwardsville.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls (rotation #521) + the points over Houston.  The Owls stumbled in their last game when they fell by 10 points, at home, to Tulane.  But the good news for Temple is that it's a strong 12-3 ATS off a double-digit home loss.  Take the Owls + the points.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats (rotation #583) minus the points over Richmond.  Last year, the Wildcats were upset not once, but twice by the Spiders.  But you know what they say about 'Payback.'  And Davidson will get it this afternoon, as it's 189-138 ATS in Conference play since 1997, while Richmond has dropped 13 of its last 18 home games ATS.  The Wildcats also fall into a super 23-3 ATS 'revenge' system of mine.  Lay the points with Davidson.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars (rotation #620) over St Marys.  BYU lost to St Marys, 81-50, in last year's West Coast Conference Tourney.  But I love BYU to avenge that defeat, as the Cougars are 103-69 ATS at home off a SU win.  And they also fall into a 121-84 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with revenge from a Tourney loss by 14+ points.  Take BYU.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Baylor.  The Red Raiders have had the last six days off.  And that bodes very well for them, as they're 22-6 ATS at home when playing with at least the previous five days off, including a perfect 11-0 ATS as a favorite of more than 5 points.  Take the Red Raiders on Friday.  Big 12 Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over San Jose State.  The Aggies have dropped their last four games to the pointspread, but fall into an 82-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 4+ losses in a row to the spread.  Also, the Aggies have owned the Spartans over the years, as they are 20-0 straight-up in the last 20 meetings (15-5 ATS), and have covered the last nine in a row.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  Both of these teams are off to good starts this season:  Syracuse is 10-2 while Eastern Michigan is 8-3.  The Orange did lose their last game, 60-57, as a 6.5-point home favorite.  But I look for the Orange to bounce back off that upset defeat, as the Orange have cashed 59% over the last 28 years as a double-digit favorite off an upset loss.  And Syracuse also falls into an 84-34 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points with Syracuse.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over Akron.  Bob McKillop's Wildcats returned 4 starters from last year's 17-15 team, but have gotten off to a slower-than-expected 4-6 start this season.  In their last game -- a 79-71 upset loss, here, at Hawaii to the homestanding Rainbow Warriors -- they shot a season-low 38% from the floor.  But the last time the Wildcats were upset this season was at Appalachian State, when they shot just 40%, and fell, 78-62, as a 10-point favorite.  They rebounded nicely from that defeat with a 15-point blowout of Charlotte (while shooting 51.6%) in their next game.  I expect a similar rebound this afternoon vs. Akron, as the Wildcats are 59% ATS since 1990 off an upset loss.  And they also fall into a 53-13 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats.  Take Davidson.  NCAA High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors (rotation #578) minus the points over Idaho State.  The Bengals won Round 1 when these two teams met in Pocatello 17 days ago.  Idaho State was favored by 3 in that ball game, and cruised to a 74-66 victory.  Unfortunately for Idaho State, it's a horrid 16-34 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe, including 9-31 ATS when it didn't win the previous meeting by 12+ points.  Finally, Northridge falls into a 101-45 ATS Revenge system of mine.  Take the Matadors.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers (rotation #584) minus the points over Wagner.  The Seahawks have been a generally poor bet over the last few years, as they're 4-11 ATS their last 15 lined ball games.  Meanwhile, Dayton's a solid 28-16 ATS its last 44 as favorites of more than 9 points.  And it also falls into an 81-48 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of 5+ points.  Take the Flyers.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Alabama A&M Bulldogs (rotation #581) plus the points over Georgetown.  We played on Georgetown in its last game, a 75-63 win over North Texas.  And the Hoyas rewarded us with a point spread cover.  But that ATS win snapped Georgetown's 5-game ATS losing streak, and it's just 2-5 ATS on the season.  Even worse:  the Hoyas are an awful 0-8 ATS when laying 15+ points over the past three seasons.  Take Alabama A&M.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Golden Grizzlies minus the points over Eastern Michigan.  These two schools met 16 days ago in Ypsilanti, and the Eagles upset Oakland, 95-89, as a 2-point home underdog.  But I love Oakland to avenge that defeat as college basketball home favorites of -5 or more points have cashed 85% over the past 15 years vs. non-conference foes, if our team was playing with revenge from an upset loss away from home earlier in the season.  Even better: Oakland is 20-5 ATS since 2015 when playing with revenge, including 14-1 ATS off a straight-up win, while Eastern Michigan is 18-42 as an underdog (or PK) vs. a revenge-minded foe, including 0-11 ATS since 2014.  Take Oakland. NCAA Payback Payday. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings are 9-3 straight-up and 9-0 ATS to start the season, while California is a pedestrian 6-6 SU and 4-5 ATS.  But the Vikings' red-hot start "in Vegas" has set them up in an awful point spread situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-16 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas minus the points over North Texas.  These two teams have had "mirror opposite" seasons against the point spread.  North Texas lost against the spread in its first lined game, but has covered five in a row since.  Meanwhile, the Hoyas covered the spread in their first lined game, but then failed to cover each of their next five.  I look for both teams to reverse course on this Wednesday, and will lay the points with Georgetown.  For technical support, consider that NCAA teams off five ATS losses have covered 71% since 1990 as a favorite vs. foes off five ATS wins (including 9-0 ATS the last three years).  Take Georgetown.  NCAA ROADKILL WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal State Northridge Matadors + the points over Sacramento State.  Northridge comes into this game on a nine-game losing streak (and seven-game ATS losing streak).  But we'll grab the points, as the Hornets have only covered 33% of their non-conference games the past 11 years when installed as a favorite.  Also, Northridge falls into a 142-63 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ ATS losses.  Take the Matadors + the points. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Southern Utah.  The Thunderbirds are 6-4 straight-up and 8-0 ATS to start the season.  But their hot start has set them up in an awful situation, as College Basketball teams on a 7-game (or better) ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 1-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take Iowa.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Northern Colorado.  Wyoming is 9-3 on the season, and has yet to lose at home.  And they're a solid 18-11 ATS as a home favorite.  Wyoming also falls into a fantastic 79-23 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points.  Take the Cowboys.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Troy State Trojans over Austin Peay.  The Trojans were blown out, 88-63, by Arkansas on Saturday.  But Troy has generally bounced back from blowout defeats, as it's 23-10 ATS off a loss by 20+ points.  Even better:  Troy falls into a 94-36 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take the Trojans.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers minus the points over Marshall.  Marshall has been a double-digit underdog just once before this season.  And we went against Marshall in that game, and got the $$$ with Illinois.  We'll go against Marshall as a double-digit underdog again tonight, in this game at Xavier.  The Musketeers are the nation's 3rd best field goal shooting team, so Marshall's up-tempo style plays right into the hands of the Musketeers.  Xavier's 9-2 ATS this season, while Marshall is a wallet-busting 83-121 ATS as a road underdog (or PK).  Lay the points with Xavier.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Arizona State.  The Sun Devils come into this game off an upset win last week at Kansas.  That extended ASU's streak to start the season to 9-0 straight-up and 8-0 ATS. In contrast, the Commodores are 3-6 this season, and 0-8 ATS.  Thus, this is the rarest of games with respect to two teams going in opposite directions against the spread.  Indeed, my basketball database goes back to 1990.  There have been 78,660 games played over the past 28 years (with pointspreads), including 61,176 games played where each team had at least eight games under its belt, and it has NEVER before happened that one team had been on an 8-game ATS win streak, while its opponent was on an 8-game ATS losing streak!  Of course, one thing that isn't quite rare is a team, by itself, going on a 5-game ATS losing streak.  And such teams have actually done quite well as double-digit road underdogs when matched up against foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Since 1990, they've covered 66%.  Even worse for the Sun Devils:  they're a horrid 15-39 ATS off an upset win since February 2001.  Take Vanderbilt + the points.  NCAA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack minus the points over NC Greensboro.  The Spartans are 7-3 SU and 4-0-1 ATS this season, but I look for NC State to hand them their first point spread defeat on Saturday afternoon.  Long-term, the Spartans have been dreadful off a point spread win (63-97 ATS since 1990), including 25-44 ATS as a single-digit underdog.  They're also a soft 17-24 ATS vs. the ACC Conference, including 0-4 ATS when they owned a winning point spread record.  NC State falls into a 131-52 ATS system of mine which plays against certain underdogs off ATS wins.  Take the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings have ripped off eight straight point spread wins to start the season.  But that streak should come to an end, in Eugene, tonight.  Indeed, since 1990, College Basketball teams on a 7-game ATS win streak, with a .900 (or better) ATS win percentage, are 0-15 ATS as underdogs of +3 or more points in the regular season vs. .500 (or better) foes.  Take Oregon.  NCAA Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Michigan.  We played on the Wolverines in their last game -- a 78-69 overtime win vs UCLA.  That victory moved Michigan to 8-3 on the season.  But the Wolverines are 0-2 SU/ATS this year when they had to play on their opponent's home court, with losses at North Carolina and at Ohio State.  And they're 6-20 ATS off a home win, including 0-7 ATS their last seven.  Meanwhile, Texas is 6-2, but is a perfect 4-0 straight-up at home this season, with an average margin of victory of 27.75 points.  These two teams did meet last season in Ann Arbor, and the Wolves came away with a narrow three-point win (as a 10-point favorite).  But Michigan is a poor 38% ATS over the past 28 years vs. revenge-minded non-conference foes.  And the Longhorns also fall into a 285-174 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites of -5+ points.  Take Texas.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cincinnati Bearcats minus the points over Mississippi State.  The Bulldogs are 8-0 on the season, but have had a diet of creampuffs so far.  Indeed, this will be the Bulldogs' first game played away from home this season.  And just their 3rd game against a school from a major or mid-major conference (Dayton and Green Bay were the other two).  But even though Mississippi State defeated Dayton and Green Bay, it didn't cover the point spread in either game.  And neither was particularly close.  Miss State failed to cover by 10.5 points vs. Green Bay, and it failed to cover by 8 points vs. Dayton.  The Bulldogs did win their most recent game, 95-62, vs. North Georgia.  Unfortunately, the Bulldogs are an awful 0-7 ATS off a win by 18+ points.  Take Cincinnati.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Charlotte 49ers + the points over Tennessee Chattanooga, as Charlotte falls into 141-62, 80-18 and 116-55 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off a SU/ATS loss.  The 49ers come into this game off a 23-point SU/ATS home loss to Wake Forest, while Chattanooga lost (but covered) as an 8-point road dog to Marshall.  Unfortunately for Chattanooga, it's a wallet-busting 20-44-3 ATS off a pointspread win vs. an opponent off a pointspread defeat, including 3-15-1 ATS as a home favorite of -4 or more points.  Take Charlotte + the points.  NCAA Hoops Underdog of the Week!

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings are 7-2 straight-up this season, including an upset win at Loyola Marymount on Wednesday.  Even better:  the Vikings are a perfect 7-0 ATS on the year.  But this 7-0 point spread win streak has set up the Vikings in a negative 39-90 ATS system of mine which goes against certain "hot" teams.  Moreover, Portland State is a wallet-busing 35.7% ATS on the road off back to back wins, if it pulled an upset in its previous game, while Santa Clara is an awesome 67% ATS at home since 1990 vs. non-conference foes off upset wins.  Lay the points with the Broncos.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles are 0-9 on the season, so they should be a welcome sight for a 6-3 UConn team which has gone 2-3 SU and 0-5 ATS over its last five games (after starting the season 4-0).  But .800 (or worse) teams, favored by more than 18 points, off 5+ ATS losses, have covered 70.3% over the past 28 years.  Take the Huskies.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on Michigan minus the points over UCLA.  The Wolverines lost their previous game, 71-62, at Ohio State.  But U-M is 53-31 ATS off a loss.  And .500 (or better) teams are 49-22 ATS at home in games between the Big 10 and Pac-!2 Conferences, including 11-1 ATS off a loss.  Take Michigan.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over William & Mary, as Ohio State falls into 284-174, 78-2 and 130-50 ATS systems of mine.  William & Mary comes into this game off an upset win at George Mason, and is 6-2 SU and 4-0 ATS on the season.  However, the Buckeyes are 69-45 ATS at home vs. foes with an ATS win percentage of .333 (or better), while William & Mary is an awful 18-35-1 ATS away from home as a dog of +5 or more points, if it won and covered its previous game.  Take Ohio State.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Cal Davis.  These two teams met earlier this season at Pacific.  The Tigers were favored by 5.5 points in that game, but were upset, 62-58.  But Pacific has won five of its last six games.  And it's a solid 32-15 ATS when playing with revenge from a home upset loss.  Finally, the Tigers fall into a 93-54 ATS NCAA revenge system of mine.  Take Pacific.  NCAA ELITE INFO. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers over the Northern Kentucky Norse.  These two clubs met in the season opener, and the Norse came away with an 81-63 home victory, as a 5-point favorite.  Now, East Tennessee State has been installed as a home underdog, and we'll grab the points, as the Buccaneers fall into a 49-16 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain revenge-minded teams with a winning record, as well as a 33-14 ATS angle which plays on certain revengers that lost by more than 15 points earlier in the season.  East Tennessee is also 11-4 ATS when playing with revenge from a double-digit road defeat, while the Norse are a poor 40% ATS as a road favorite of 6 or less points.  Take East Tennessee.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Missouri State Bears minus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bears and Bison met earlier this season, in November, and Missouri State was upset in Springfield, 57-54, as a 9.5-point favorite. Since that defeat, however, the Bears have won five of six games to move their season record to 7-2.  In sports, revenge can often be sweet, and I expect the Bears to get some payback on this Monday night.  Indeed, NCAA road teams with a .625 (or better) win percentage, have cashed 71% since 1990 when playing with revenge from a loss, as a favorite of more than 6 points, to a non-conference foe.  Additionally, North Dakota State has covered just 11 of its last 34 non-conference games, and 14 of its last 40 as underdogs.  Take Missouri State. NCAA Hoops Road Warrior Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Detroit.  The Titans are one of the highest scoring teams (#6) in the nation, as they average almost 94 points per game.  But their offensive efficiency is below average, as they rank 197th in that category.  So, the fact that they score such a high number of points relates to their pace of play.  Detroit's average possession lasts less than 15 seconds.  That won't bother UCLA, as the Bruins like to play EVEN FASTER than Detroit.  UCLA actually ranks 9th in the country in pace of play.  So, I expect a track meet tonight, which will play into the hands of UCLA, which is much more efficient on offense (#32) than Detroit.  The Titans are currently on a 3-game ATS win streak.  Unfortunately, the Titans are a poor 16-36 ATS when on a 3-game ATS win streak, while UCLA is 60-42 ATS vs. foes on a 3-game ATS win streak, including 43-26 ATS as a favorite or PK.  Take the Bruins.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Illinois State.  The Golden Hurricane and Redbirds met earlier this season, and the Redbirds upset Tulsa, 84-68, as a 2-point underdog.  Since that game, though, Tulsa's gone 2-0, while Illinois State has gone 1-2, including losses in each of its last two games. We'll take the Golden Hurricane as the underdog in the rematch, as they fall into an 89.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams, in non-conference games, that play with revenge from an upset loss.  Even better:  Tulsa's a super 27-6 ATS vs. non-conference foes with a losing record (Illinois State is 3-4), including 11-0 ATS vs. such foes off back to back losses.  Take Tulsa.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over Illinois.  The 'Cats were upset not once, but twice last season by Illinois.  In this, their Big 10 Opener, the Wildcats will look to avenge those two defeats.  And, if history is any indication, they will, as College teams have cashed 68.8% since 1991 in their Conference openers when playing with revenge from two upset losses the previous season!  Take Northwestern.  PAYBACK PAYDAY.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Northern Arizona.  The Broncos come into this game off back to back upset losses to Alaska Anchorage and Sam Houston State.  So they will no doubt be happy to take on the 0-6 Lumberjacks.  And, yes, it's true that Northern Arizona is 3-2 ATS this season.  Unfortunately, underdogs of +13 or more points, with a winning ATS record, are an awful 0-17-1 ATS if their win percentage is less than .160, and their opponent is off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Santa Clara.  NCAA Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Northern Colorado Bears + the points over Cal Davis.  The Bears and Aggies actually met earlier this season, in Greeley Colorado.  And the Aggies upset the Bears, 74-59, as a 7-point underdog.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded Bears, as they fall into 59-18, 19-2 and 92-53 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Additionally, the Aggies are a poor 7-19 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes, including 1-5 ATS when going into revenge.  Take Northern Colorado.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is  on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Duke.  The Hoosiers have won 69 of their last 71 home games vs. non-conference foes, straight-up, and gone 36-16 ATS in those games, including a perfect 11-0 ATS when priced from -12.5 to +12.5 points!  And they're 27-13 ATS as a home underdog since 1990, if they owned a win percentage greater than .415.  Take the Hoosiers + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos minus the points over Evansville.  The Lobos have dropped their last four games (though three of the four were on the road).  But they're back home this evening, where they've gone 113-9 straight-up and 51-33-2 ATS vs. non-conference foes since Dec. 8, 2003 (including 20-5 ATS as a favorite of -8 points or less).  We'll lay the points with the Lobos, as they've also cashed 71% over the last 28 years as a home favorite off 3+ losses.  Take New Mexico.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over Long Beach State.  The Wildcats are off to a miserable 3-3 SU and 1-5 ATS start this season, and come into tonight's game off three straight upset losses, at the hands of North Carolina State, SMU and Purdue.  But those three upsets have triggered very strong systems of mine, with records of 77-33, 93-44, 21-6 and 69-22 ATS.  Moreover, those three upsets were on the road.  The Wildcats are back home tonight, where they're a perfect 3-0 SU, with all three wins coming by 25+ points.  I look for the Wildcats to bounce back strong tonight.  Lay the points with Arizona.  NCAA Basketball Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over South Dakota State.  The Rebels are 4-1 on the season, while the Jackrabbits are 6-2.  It's true that Ole Miss has failed to cover its last four games, but it's a solid 52-28 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, when it was on a 2-game (or worse) ATS losing streak (and 9-0 ATS its last nine when it was on a 4-game (or worse) ATS losing streak).  Additionally, Ole Miss falls into a 64-22 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off ATS defeats.  Take Mississippi.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Stanford Cardinal minus the points over Portland State.  The Vikings are 4-2 SU and 5-0 ATS this season, while Stanford is 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS.  This will be the final round of the PK80 Invitational Tournament, held in Portland.  And both Stanford and Portland State lost their two previous games in this tournament.  Let's lay the points with Stanford, as Winning teams (like Portland State) off 4+ covers have cashed just 2 of 28 games as an underdog vs. non-Winning opponents, if both they and their opponent are off SU losses.  Take Stanford.  NCAA Hoops Elite Info Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the St. Joe's Hawks minus the points over Sacramento State.  The Hawks come into this game off back to back losses to Washington State and Harvard, so they'll be thrilled to go up against an outclassed team like Sacramento State this afternoon.  St. Joe's has been installed as as double-digit favorite, which bodes well for Phil Martelli's Hawks, as they've gone 34-8 ATS when priced from -12 to -19 points, including a perfect 14-0 SU/ATS away from home.  St. Joe's also falls into 54-14 and 83-34 ATS systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Hawks.  NCAA Hoops Road Warrior!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wisconsin Badgers minus the points over Wisconsin-Milwaukee.  The Badgers are in the midst of a rare 3-game losing streak.  And they were favored to win in each of those three games!  But I love Wisky to bounce back, as it's 5-0 its last five when playing off 3+ losses; 3-0 ATS off three upset losses; and it's also 12-5-1 ATS at home since 1990 on a 3-game (or worse) losing streak.  Meanwhile, College Basketball favorites have covered the spread more often than not off three or more upset losses, including 67% if they're a losing team favored over a winning team.  Take Wisconsin minus the points. NCAA Game of the Month!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens minus the points over Detroit, as St. Louis falls into a 129-59 ATS system of mine.  I look for the Billikens to blow out Detroit, as the Titans have given up 100+ points in three of their four games this season.  It's true that Detroit did win its last game, against Houston Baptist, 116-109.  But College Basketball underdogs of +7.5 (or more) points have covered just 32.6% off a win in which they scored 112+ points.  Take St. Louis.  NCAA Hoops High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over NC State.  Both of these teams enter this game with undefeated records.  NC State is 4-0, while Arizona is 3-0.  But the Wolfpack has faced a soft schedule thus far, as none of its four victories came against a school from a major conference (and just one from a mid-major conference).  NC State is an awful 5-16 ATS its last 21 as an underdog, including 1-9 ATS off a straight-up win.  And it's covered just 19 of 56 off 4+ wins.  Meanwhile, Arizona is a solid 75-42 ATS vs. non-conference foes with an .800 (or better) record, provided the game is played at Arizona, or on a neutral court.  Lay the points.  NCAA Hoops Game of the Week!  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Marshall.  Illinois is off to a 3-0 start this season, and it's offense has hummed, with 102, 77 and 82 points scored (on 46% FG shooting) thus far.  Meanwhile, Marshall has allowed 91, 74 and 86 points (on 46% FG shooting) against teams that average 70 ppg and 39.4% from the floor.  That doesn't bode well for the Thundering Herd against Illinois.  And neither does the fact that the Illini are 39-21 ATS at home after scoring 80+ in their previous game.  Finally, the Herd is a poor 82-119 ATS as a road underdog.  Take Illinois.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over South Carolina.  This is a tough situational spot for the Gamecocks, as they actually played (and defeated) these Broncos just six days ago, at home, in Columbia, South Carolina.  So, the motivational edge seemingly would rest with the Broncos, who no doubt would like to avenge that 18-point defeat on this Sunday.  Western Michigan falls into 69-36 and 33-13 ATS revenge systems of mine  Take the Broncos + the points.  NCAA Payback Payday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Fresno State, as Arkansas falls into 119-70, 99-46 and 139-65 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine based on its two previous games -- wins by 28 and 39 points.  Also, the Razorbacks are 67% ATS over the last 28 years at home vs. non-conference foes off an ATS loss, and have covered their last 6 at home (and 19 of their last 31).  Meanwhile, Fresno's 19-35 ATS off a straight-up win, if they're playing a non-conference foe off back to back wins. This will be a rout.  Lay the points.

At 11:30 am, in the first round of the Puerto Rico Tip Off Tournament, our selection is on the South Carolina Gamecocks minus the points over Illinois State.  Frank Martin's men are off to a 2-0 SU/ATS start this year, with blowout wins over Wofford (73-52) and Western Michigan (78-60).  They'll now face the Redbirds, who lost at Florida Gulf Coast, 87-98, in their season opener on Saturday. The biggest problem for Illinois State in that game was that it was outrebounded 48-24, even though both teams made virtually the same percentage of their field goals (50% for Illinois State; 49% for Florida Gulf Coast).  Corralling a rebound often just comes down to effort, so it's a big red flag when a team gets outrebounded by a 2:1 margin.  And it certainly doesn't bode well against a South Carolina squad which is outrebounding its foes by 13 rpg.  The Redbirds also fall into a negative 57-126 ATS system of mine.  Lay the points with South Carolina.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Davidson Wildcats minus the points over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks won the Colonial Athletic Association the past two years, but this will be a "down" season for them, as they only returned one starter to go along with returnee, Devontae Cacok, who was the CAA Defensive Player of the Year.  And they also have a new head coach, as CB McGrath moved over from his assistant's job at North Carolina to take the reins from Kevin Keatts, who left for the greener pastures of North Carolina State.  McGrath's goal is to push the pace, but I believe that will play into the hands of this perimeter-oriented Davidson team.  Meanwhile, Davidson returned four starters from last year's squad.  And it opened up this campaign with a 110-62 win over Charleston Southern.  Davidson falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 138-65 ATS since 1990.  And the Wildcats are also 36-19 ATS after scoring 80+ points in their previous game.  Lay it.  NCAA Hoops High Roller.

At 8:35 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Oregon.  The Ducks pulled the upset of the Tournament when they defeated the 31-4 Kansas Jayhawks, 74-60, in Kansas City last weekend.  Admittedly, the Ducks' defense was impressive, given that it held the Jayhawks to just 60 points, which was Kansas' lowest offensive output of the season.  But I don't foresee Oregon having similar success tonight.  Indeed, North Carolina is 8-3-1 ATS this season vs. foes that gave up 66.5 or less points on the season.  Even worse for Oregon:  Final Four teams are a dreary 0-25 ATS when priced from -2 to +7.5 points, if they're off a win vs. an .833 (or better) foe, and are now matched up against a very good offensive team which averages at least 78.5 ppg.  Take North Carolina.  NCAA Tournament Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Peter's Peacocks minus the points over Texas A&M Corpus Christi, as St. Peter's falls into 126-57, 92-43 and 119-75 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, the Peacocks are 114-73 ATS on the road, including 11-1 ATS when laying 3+ points, and 14-0 ATS their last 14.  Lay the points with St. Peters.  Perfect 10 Club Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, on Friday, our selection is on Coastal Carolina + the points over Wyoming, in Game 3 of the Best of 3 Championship series.  Since 2002, teams playing with revenge from a tournament loss are 9-0-1 ATS on the road vs. non-conference foes.  Also, Wyoming is 0-22 ATS in the post-season vs. foes off a loss, if Wyoming wasn't getting 6+ points, and the Cowboys didn't fail to cover the spread by 15+ points in their previous game.  Take Coastal Carolina.  NCAA Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, on Wednesday, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  This best-of-3 Championship series opened in Carolina, on Monday, and the Chanticleers upset the Cowboys, 91-81, as a 1-point home underdog.  The series now shifts to Wyoming for tonight's game (and Game 3, if necessary).  We'll lay the points with Wyoming, as teams off an upset loss on the road, with an winning ATS percentage on the season, are 79% ATS in the post-season since 1991 if they're favored by 7+ points, and their opponent is off a win.  Additionally, since 1995, the Cowboys are a super 88% ATS in the post-season off a loss, if their opponent is off a win!  Take Wyoming.  NCAA HIGH ROLLER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Maryland-Baltimore County Retrievers minus the points over Texas A&M Corpus Christi.  The Islanders earned the #2 seed in the Southland Conference Tournament, and made it to the Finals, but fell, 68-65, to New Orleans.  They've won all three games in this College Insider Tourney thus far, but had the benefit of playing at home in each.  That won't be the case tonight, as they have to travel to Baltimore to play the Retrievers.  And road teams, off 3 home tourney wins, have covered just 33% of the time over the past eight years.  We saw that situation just two nights ago when Wyoming was drilled on the road at Coastal Carolina after winning three home games to earn a berth in the CBI Tourney Championship series.  For additional technical support, consider that Southland Conference teams have generally been poor in these post-season tourneys, as they're 23-34 ATS since 1991.  Also, Corpus Christi's covered just 20% of its games since 2007 off back to back wins.  Meanwhile, UMBC's cashed 78% since 2008 vs. foes off a win, and the Retrievers also fall into 126-57 and 92-43 ATS Tourney systems of mine.  Lay the points with the Retrievers.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, on Tuesday, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs minus the points over Central Florida.  Both of these teams earned a berth in the Semi-Finals with 2 home wins sandwiched around a road victory.  Central Florida bested Colorado and Illinois at home, and upset Illinois State on the road.  Meanwhile, TCU defeated Fresno and Richmond at home, and upset Iowa on the road.  TCU's been installed as a favorite in this game, and falls into one of my favorite NIT Tourney systems, which is 29-10 ATS since 1991.  Additionally, Central Florida falls into negative 13-26 and 13-28 ATS systems of mine.  Finally, TCU is 15-4 ATS in the post-season when the point spread was single-digits, while Central Florida is a poor 10-27 ATS away from home off a win vs. foes off wins by 5+ points.  Take TCU.  NIT Tourney Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5:05 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Kentucky.  The #2-seeded Wildcats upset UCLA in the Sweet 16 Round to advance to the Elite 8.  Can Kentucky make it two upsets in a row?  Well, not if past history is any indication, as #2-seeded teams off upset wins are an awful 1-13-1 ATS since 1991 vs. foes not off an upset win!  Moreover, North Carolina plays with revenge from a loss suffered earlier this season vs. Kentucky and falls into several of my better Tourney revenge systems.  Lay the points with the Tar Heels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:45 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Oregon.  We played on the Jayhawks in each of the first 3 rounds, and were rewarded with point spread wins by 15, 12.5 and 27 points.  So, that's a combined ATS margin of victory of 54.5 points through the Sweet 16 round.  Kansas' last game was perhaps its most impressive, as it won by 32 points, as a 5-point favorite vs. Purdue.  And NCAA teams have cashed 63% in the post-season over the past 27 years after winning by 30+ points, provided they weren't favored by double-digits in that 30-point win, and their opponent was also off a win.  Take Kansas.  NCAA High Roller Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers + the points over Gonzaga.  Xavier upset Arizona as a 7.5-point underdog.  And that bodes well for them today against the #1-seeded Bulldogs.  Since 1991, teams off an upset win in the Sweet 16 Round as an underdog of +4.5 (or more) points are a perfect 17-0 ATS in the Elite 8 Round when matched up against a top-3 seeded team.  Take Xavier.  Perfect 10 Club Play.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins minus the points over Campbell.  The Fighting Camels shocked their Big South Conference brethren when they won three games in their conference's tournament, as a #7 seed, to reach the finals.  But they lost to top-seeded Winthrop, 76-59, so they didn't advance to the NCAA Tourney.  Thus, they received a bid to the College Insider Tournament, and have won their first two games -- both at home -- vs. Houston Baptist and Tennessee-Martin, even though they weren't favored to win either game.  The Tournament committee granted Campbell a 3rd straight home game, but this time it will be facing its toughest opponent yet in the Furman Paladins, out of the Southern Conference.  Furman went 14-4 in league play this season, and earned the #2 seed in the Southern Conference tourney, but was upset by Samford in the quarterfinals.  Still, Furman was a solid 16-8 ATS this season, including a 22-point blowout of South Carolina Upstate, on the road, in its sole Insider Tourney game so far (it was one of three teams to receive a "bye" into this quarterfinal round).  Once again, Campbell isn't favored, and I look for its win streak to end this afternoon, as home dogs of +2 or more points have covered just 41% in the Tourneys off a win as a home dog (or PK) since 1991.  Even worse for the Camels:  Furman is a jaw-dropping 52-23 ATS its last 75 games as a favorite, including 8-2 ATS as a road favorite of -4 or more points.  Take the Paladins.  Insider Tourney Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:25 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over South Carolina.  The Gamecocks were on a 1-9 ATS run prior to breaking out with big wins vs. Marquette (93-73) and Duke (88-81).  But those two big victories have actually triggered several negative Tourney systems of mine, with records of 58-99, 73-134, 26-72, 64-113, 97-160 and 48-116 that apply to South Carolina.  One of the biggest doubts I have with South Carolina will be its ability to sustain the offensive production (90.5 ppg) it mustered in its first two tournament games.  After all, this is a team that averaged just 73 ppg this season.  And in its 29 lined games prior to the Tourney, it had scored 88+ points in just two of them!  For technical support, consider that Tourney teams seeded #2 (or worse) that averaged 13+ points more per game (above their offensive average) in their two previous Tournament games combined have covered just 26.3% in the Tournament since 1991 -- and just 14% if their opponent gave up 65 or less points per game.  Baylor, of course, gives up just 63.5 ppg, and I look for the Bears to shut down South Carolina on Friday night.  Lay the points with Baylor.  Sweet 16 Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:05 pm, on Friday, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Butler.  UNC survived a tough game vs. Arkansas last Sunday.  The Heels won by seven, but failed to cover the 11-point spread.  I look for North Carolina to have an easier time of it on Friday vs. Butler, as UNC falls into 79-30, 195-96, 234-146 and 317-228 ATS systems of mine.  Additionally, it's worth noting that #1 seeded teams have cashed 84% since 1991 off a game where they didn't cover the spread, if they're favored from -6 to -9 points against an opponent off a SU/ATS win, which is seeded #6 or better.  And the Tar Heels are a perfect 10-0 ATS since 1991 when priced from -6.5 to -9 points in the post-season vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take the Tar Heels. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:35 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Purdue.  Kansas was my selection to win this Tournament.  And the Jayhawks were also my favorite play of the 1st Round, as well as my favorite play of the 2nd round.  As my mom used to teach me, "if it ain't broke, don't fix it."  So, we'll once again play on the Jayhawks minus the points in this 3rd round game vs. Purdue (though the Jayhawks aren't my favorite play of this Sweet 16 round -- that game will go on Friday).  But the Jayhawks fall into several of my favorite Tourney systems, with records of 110-51, 53-23, 81-46, 23-5, 114-66, 50-25, and 104-60 ATS since 1991.  The Jayhawks have piled up 190 points in their two games, thus far (38-point and 20-point blowouts).  And #1 seeds are an awesome 58-34 ATS in the Tourney after scoring 90+ points in their previous game.  Furthermore, teams priced from +1.5 to -7.5 in the Sweet 16 round are 22-8 ATS since 1997 off back to back double-digit covers.  Finally, Purdue's a wallet-busting 0-6-1 ATS in the post-season off back to back wins, if its foe is off a win by 15+ points.  And it's 6-13 ATS in the 3rd round (or later stages) of a post-season tournament, including 0-5 ATS vs. .850 (or better) opposition.  Take Kansas.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Arlington Mavericks minus the points over Cal Bakersfield.  The Roadrunners upset California (as a 6.5-point road dog) and Colorado State (as a 4.5-point road dog) to advance to this quarterfinals match-up against Texas Arlington.  Unfortunately, though, for Bakersfield, road underdogs of +5 or more points are a poor 36.7% ATS in the NIT Tourney off a road win, including 1-12 ATS their last 13.  And the Mavericks are 19-5 ATS since Dec. 2014 vs. non-conference foes, including a perfect 6-0 ATS at home.  Take Texas Arlington.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Boise St.  The Broncos stunned Utah, 73-68, as a 12-point road underdog to win their opening round NIT game.  But that was just Boise's 2nd ATS win it its last 10 games.  And teams off wins as dogs of +7 or more points have cashed just 42% of Tourney games.  Meanwhile, Illinois drilled Valpo, 82-57, on Tuesday to advance to this round.  And single-digit favorites are 20-9 ATS in the NIT Tourney off a win by more than 20 points.  Take Illinois.  NCAA ELITE INFO.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:40 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins minus the points over Cincinnati.  The Bruins won on Friday, 97-80, vs. Kent State, but made no friends in Las Vegas, as they failed to cover by a bucket.  That was the fourth straight ATS defeat by UCLA.  Meanwhile, the Bearcats covered by double-digits in their blowout win over Kansas State, and have cashed five of their last six at the betting window.  However, underdogs of more than 2 points, off a pointspread win, have covered just 28% away from home in the post season since 1991 against foes off 4+ ATS defeats!  Take UCLA to blow out the Bearcats.  NCAA High Roller Winner. As always, good luck, Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Oakland.  The NIT committee didn't do the Golden Grizzlies any favors with the schedule, as they put team on the road at Clemson to start the tourney, and now have them traveling to Richmond for tonight's game.  And teams playing back to back road games in the NIT Tourney have been awful of late, as they've gone 2-17 SU and 3-15-1 ATS.  Take Richmond minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.