Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Boston College.  Florida State comes into this game off back to back losses -- at Notre Dame and at Pittsburgh.  But FSU will catch a breather tonight, as Boston College has lost 10 straight games, and is an awful 1-9 on the road this season, and 2-12 in ACC play.  Meanwhile, Florida State is 16-0 SU at home (10-4 ATS), and falls into a super 71.7% ATS system of mine, which plays on certain home favorites of -12.5 (or more) points, off back-to-back losses, that are undefeated at home.  This will be a roast.  Lay the points with the Seminoles.  NCAA High Roller Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Southern Eagles + the points over Texas Arlington.  The Mavericks are 20-6 on the season, and are 10-3 in Sun Belt Conference play.  But Georgia Southern is just a half-game behind, at 10-4.  The Eagles are 10-1 at home this season, with their only loss by 3 points, 85-82, to Florida Gulf Coast (a defeat they avenged nine days later with a 72-59 win at Florida Gulf).  This will be Georgia Southern's final home game of the season, and teams playing their final home game of the season have cashed 62.3% as home dogs of +5 or more points since 1991, if their home W/L percentage was .770 (or better).  Additionally, the Eagles fall into a 138-64 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs with strong home courts.  Take Georgia Southern.  NCAA Roadkill.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over St. Mary's.  BYU comes into this game with a 19-9 record.  It is 14-2 at home, but 5-7 away from Provo (including a 13-point loss at St. Mary's on January 5).  Within West Coast Conference play, it is 7-1 at home, with its only loss being an 85-75 defeat to #1-ranked Gonzaga.  It is also 30-5 its last 35 conference home games, including 10-0 SU and 7-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  So, with that as a backdrop, we'll back the home underdog Cougars against St. Mary's tonight.  One of the things I love to do is play on home underdogs with strong home courts.  With 36 wins in its last 40 home games, BYU certainly qualifies.  And the Cougars fall into a 153-100 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home dogs with strong home courts against .876 (or better) foes.  Also, this will be BYU's final home game of the season, and it falls into a 300-226 ATS "Last Home Game" system of mine which takes certain teams in their final home game with strong home records.  Take the Cougars + the points.  NCAA Roadkill play.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Weber State Wildcats minus the points over North Dakota, as Weber falls into 78-21, 162-77 and 285-173 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home favorites in conference games.  Moreover, the Wildcats have dropped five straight games to the spread, while North Dakota has won and covered four in a row.  But the Fighting Hawks' 4-game ATS win streak has set it up in a negative 71-123 ATS system of mine.  These two teams met back on January 19 in Grand Forks, and the Hawks won by six, 83-77, as a 1.5-point underdog.  However, Weber State is an awesome 68-25 ATS in the regular season since 2004 when playing with revenge vs. .251 (or better) foes, including 9-0 ATS when priced from -4 to -6 points.  And North Dakota is a poor 3-8 ATS in the regular season off a win, when playing an opponent it defeated earlier in the season.  Take Weber State.  Big Sky Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Rice Owls minus the points over Texas El Paso.  The Miners have covered eight straight games, including a 77-71 win at North Texas on Thursday.  But this extended ATS win streak has placed UTEP in a negative 36-89 ATS system of mine.   Even worse:  the Miners are a wallet-busting 19-29 ATS off back to back SU/ATS wins when playing a conference foe off a win, while the Owls are 18-7 ATS off a pointspread defeat when matched up against a conference  opponent off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Rice.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on Marshall + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Thundering Herd are 12-1 at home this season, and have won 28 of their last 33 home games (22-7 ATS) since January 24, 2015.  I love playing on teams with strong home courts when they're installed as home underdogs, and Marshall falls into 125-51 and 138-62 ATS systems of mine that play on such teams.  It's true that Middle Tennessee is 22-4 on the season, and comes into today's game off a 26-point win at Western Kentucky.  But the Blue Raiders are a horrid 0-18 ATS off a 22-point (or greater) victory, if they covered by 10+ points in that win, and are now priced from -2 to -12 points.  Take Marshall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Rhode Island Rams minus the points over George Mason.  The Rams are looking to bounce back off back-to-back home losses to Dayton and Fordham, and fall into a 39-16 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back home losses.  This afternoon, they'll face a George Mason squad in off an upset win over Richmond.  Unfortunately for the Patriots, they're an awful 0-13-2 ATS since 2004 in conference games off an upset win!  Take Rhode Island.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over Central Florida.  ECU upset Temple, 78-64, as a 6.5-point home underdog this past Wednesday, which has triggered a solid 96-38 ATS 'momentum' system of mine on the Pirates this afternoon.  East Carolina is 29-18 ATS as a dog of +3 or more points off an upset win, while Central Florida is a poor 18-27 ATS on the road off an 8-point (or greater) win.  Take East Carolina.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Michigan Eagles + the points over Western Michigan.  The Eagles have dropped five straight games -- both SU and ATS -- but that sets them up in one of my favorite systems, which is 99-54 ATS.  That angle plays on certain teams off 5 SU/ATS losses.  Moreover, the Eagles are a fantastic 32-10 ATS away from home off back to back losses, if they're matched up against .556 (or worse) conference opponents.  Take Eastern Michigan.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes upset the Ducks in Boulder three weeks ago, but I look for Dana Altman's men to avenge that defeat today.  This will be Oregon's final home game of the season, and the Ducks are an awesome 10-1 SU and 9-1-1 ATS in their final home games since 2006.  Meanwhile, Colorado is an awful 1-8 SU and 1-7-1 ATS when playing a revenge-minded opponent, which is playing its final home game of the season.  And it's just 10-24 ATS off back to back wins, including 0-12 ATS on the road when priced from -4 to +11.5 points.  Take Oregon.

At 2:15 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over Texas Arlington.  The Panthers come into this game off back to back upset losses, at Appalachian State, and at Coastal Carolina.  But those two defeats have triggered a 78-32 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back upsets.  Additionally, the Panthers are a super 26-14 ATS at home (or on a neutral court) when playing off back to back losses, including 13-4 ATS when installed as an underdog vs. a conference foe.  Take Georgia State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Kansas.  The Bears were upset, 84-78, by Texas Tech on Monday.  But we'll back them to bounce back and avenge their 5-point loss at Kansas earlier this month, as the Bears are 9-0-1 ATS after giving up 74+ points in their previous game.  And they also fall into a 162-98 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off upset losses.  Take the Bears.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on Arkansas Little Rock + the points over Arkansas St.  The Trojans blew a 14-point lead, and lost at home to the Red Wolves, 77-72, back on January 14.  That was the first time in six seasons that UALR lost to Arkansas State in Little Rock.  But I like the Trojans to avenge that defeat as they're 6-0 ATS their last six roadies when playing with revenge.  Additionally, Little Rock falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 320-186 ATS.  That angle plays on certain teams away from home vs. .400 (or better) conference foes, if our team is off a SU loss. Finally, it's true that Arkansas State is one of 17 teams that are unbeaten at home this season (the Red Wolves are 10-0).  But A-State also comes into this game off back to back road losses.  And it had one of its worst offensive performances of the season in its last game, when it shot just 37% from the floor, and lost 62-58 to Texas State, as a 1-point dog.  That leads us to our final angle, as we'll note that teams with a 10-0 (or better) home record are a dismal 66-122-3 ATS at home in conference games, if they own a winning SU/ATS record, but lost SU/ATS in their previous game.  Take Arkansas Little Rock.  ELITE INFO PLAY.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on Western Kentucky + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Hilltoppers have been installed as a big home underdog on Thursday night against the 22-4 Blue Raiders, notwithstanding the fact that Western Kentucky owns a strong home court, with 32 wins in its last 40 home games.  And I'll always look to back such teams at home if I can get at least 5.5 points, as they're 57% ATS since 1993, including a super 62% ATS vs. conference foes off a win.  And Middle Tennessee has covered just 11 of 30 as a road favorite, if the Blue Raiders are off a win, while their opponent is off a loss.  Take Western Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Towson minus the points over Elon.  The Phoenix upset NC Wilmington, as a 6-point underdog on Saturday.  But I look for a letdown on the road at Towson, as Elon falls into a negative 53-95 ATS system of mine which fades certain road teams off upset wins.  Moreover, Towson lost by 11 at Elon back on January 7, so it will be playing with revenge this evening.  And, since that loss, Towson has gone 9-1 SU and 6-4 ATS.  The Tigers are 19-8 ATS off a SU win, when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Towson.

At 7 pm, our selection is on SIU Edwardsville + the points over Murray State.  Faithful followers know I love to play on bad teams, and Edwardsville certainly fits the bill, as it's lost 13 in a row.  But long losing streaks like this work to create line value, and we'll happily grab the points with the Cougars, as they fall into 111-60 and 131-61 ATS systems of mine (including a 22-1 ATS subset in that 131-61 ATS angle) that play on certain teams on losing streaks of 5+ games.  Even better:  the Racers have covered just 16 of 67 games since 2006 when priced from -10.5 to -18 points (including just 9 of 46 at home)!  Take Edwardsville.

At  10 pm, our selection is on the Fresno State Bulldogs minus the points over San Jose State.  The Bulldogs have lost 5 straight games ATS, while San Jose has won and covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Spartans.  But San Jose falls into negative 127-197, 71-122 and 98-160 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine that fade certain 'hot' teams.  Also, Fresno plays this game with revenge from an earlier defeat this season.  And the Bulldogs are 12-4 ATS their last 16 regular season games when playing with same-season revenge.  Take the Bulldogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over SMU.  The Green Wave lost by 29 to Houston in their last game.  But Tulane generally rebounds off bad defeats, and especially on the road, as it's 11-3 ATS off 20-point (or worse) defeats when playing on the road.  Also, underdogs of more than 19 points, off double-digit home losses, are 130-84 ATS since 1990 vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take Tulane.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack + the points over North Carolina.  The Wolfpack were blown out 107-56 in Chapel Hill, in January.  But we'll take NC State to avenge that embarrassing defeat, as ACC teams have cashed 78% at home over the past 26 years when playing with revenge from a 34-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season.  Take NC State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates over Creighton.  The Blue Jays are 21-4 this season, and already bested the Pirates, 89-75, back on Dec. 28.  However, Seton Hall falls into a 76-25 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams against .876 (or better) foes off wins by 18+ points.  Additionally, Seton Hall is a super 21-6 ATS as an underdog off an ATS loss.  Take the Pirates

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Illinois Salukis + the points over Wichita State.  The Shockers won Round 1 between these two Missouri Valley rivals when they thrashed the Salukis, 87-45, back on Jan. 24. But with 42-point revenge, we'll grab the points with the home underdog tonight.  Indeed, teams playing with revenge from a 32-point (or worse) loss to their opponent earlier in the season are an awesome 13-1 ATS at home when getting 6+ points, if they're also off a SU/ATS loss in their previous game.  Take Southern Illinois.

Our selection is on the LSU Tigers.

Our selection is on Eastern Michigan.

Our selection is on St Joes.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Virginia.  The Hokies lost 11 days ago by 23 to the Cavaliers.  But Virginia is a poor 13-43 ATS away from home if its opponent is playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Va Tech + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over UCLA.  The Bruins have won 3 straight, while the Beavers find themselves 0-12 in Pac-12 play.  But Oregon State falls into a 40-7 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 5+ losses.  Take the Beavers.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over Nevada.  The Aztecs lost as a 7-point favorite to San Jose in their last game, but that upset defeat triggered a good 159-98 ATS 'bounce-back' system of mine.  Take Steve Fisher's men on this Sunday.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Southern Cal Trojans + the points over Oregon.  The Ducks come into this game of a road loss to UCLA, an dhave lost their last two road games, overall.  I expect Oregon to suffer its third straight road defeat tonight, as USC is 30-6 SU and 21-13-1 ATS at home since Feb. 11, 2015.  And faithful followers know I love playing on home dogs with strong home courts. I certainly won't make an exception here, as USC falls into one of my favorite "Power Home Dog" systems, which has cashed 64 of 92.  Take USC.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8:15 pm, our selection is on the St Mary's Gaels + the points over Gonzaga.  St. Mary's plays with revenge from a 23-point loss at Gonzaga earlier this season.  And the Gaels are also a stellar 22-2 on the season.  It's never a wise move to lay points on the road vs. a great team.  Indeed, since Jan 13, 2004, teams with an .888 (or better) win percentage (at Game 14 forward) have cashed 80% as home underdogs, including 100% when playing with same-season revenge, and a staggering 14-0 ATS when matched up against a foe off an ATS win!  Take St. Mary's + the points.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons + the points over Towson St.  The Dragons were extremely competitive in defeat nine days ago at Towson, as they lost 104-103, as a 12-point dog.  Still, Drexel rewarded its backers in Las Vegas with a win, and it's now covered its last 3 games.  Meanwhile, Towson's riding a 4-game ATS losing streak.  It's true that I often will play on teams on ATS losing streaks, but this is not one of those times.  Indeed, I love the red-hot Dragons as a home underdog.  For technical support, consider that home dogs off a SU win and 3 ATS wins are 272-215 ATS vs. conference foes that have both a winning record, and a winning conference record.  Take Drexel.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Xavier Musketeers.  Xavier lost at Villanova earlier this year, but is 85-55 ATS since 1995 as a revenger, including 6-2 ATS as a home dog.  Payback Payday.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Penn St.  The Illini lost, 71-67, at Penn State two weeks ago.  But I love the Illini to exact revenge on Saturday afternoon, as they fall into a 113-45 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites against foes off a win.  Also, Penn State upset a very good Maryland team on Tuesday, but now fall into a negative 33% ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off upset wins over .834 (or better) foes.  Take Illinois.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pennsylvania Quakers minus the points over Columbia.  The Quakers come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses.  But Penn is a solid 39-20-2 ATS its last 61 off 3+ losses, including 8-1-1 ATS when priced as a favorite of -4 points or less.  And Ivy League teams off 3 SU/ATS losses have cashed 69% the past 25 years as single-digit favorites against foes off a win.  Take Penn minus the points. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over USC.  The Trojans are 20-4 on the season, and have already defeated the 4-20 Beavers at Corvallis in late December, 70-63.  But I look for USC to struggle tonight, as revenge-minded Pac-12 teams, off 3+ losses and 2+ ATS losses, have gone 31-8 ATS in Conference games vs. .721 (or better) foes.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over St. Mary's.  Portland lost earlier this season by 41 to the Gaels, but we'll grab the points in the rematch, as West Coast Conference teams have cashed 64.2% ATS as road underdogs the past 18 years when playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season.  Take Portland.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls + the points over SMU.  Temple will be at home tonight, and that bodes well for Fran Dunphy's men, as they're 48-11-1 ATS at home over the past 12 seasons when when priced from +8 to -5 points (including 10-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season).  With Temple looking to avenge its 14-point loss in Dallas to the Mustangs, in January, we'll grab the points with the home underdog Owls tonight.  NCAA Roadkill. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Youngstown State Penguins over Illinois Chicago.  The Flames come into this game off an upset win at Wisconsin-Milwaukee, 105-100, as a 2-point dog.  Meanwhile, the Penguins are off an upset loss, at home, vs. Detroit.  But we'll step in and take the points with Youngstown, as Horizon League underdogs off upset losses have cashed 76.2% the past 16 regular seasons vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Youngstown.

At 7 pm, our selection is on North Texas + the points over Florida Atlantic, as North Texas falls into a 178-86 ATS system of mine (as well as a 17-0 ATS subset in that general system).  The Owls come into this game off 3 straight road wins -- all upsets -- over Florida International, Charlotte and Old Dominion.  Meanwhile, North Texas has dropped its last 11 games to fall to 6-16 on the season, and 7-9 ATS.  But I look for a massive letdown by Florida Atlantic tonight vs. the Mean Green, as favorites of 12 or less points, off 3 upset wins, are a poor 31% ATS the past 27 years vs. foes off 3+ losses.  Even worse:  .411 (or worse) teams off 3 upset wins have cashed just 11% vs. foes that also have a .411 (or worse) W/L percentage.  Finally, the Owls are a horrid 3-22 ATS as a favorite of more than 3 points vs. foes that have a losing ATS record on the season (and 0-9 ATS when laying 7+ points).  Take North Texas.  Conference USA Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Irvine Anteaters (rotation #574) minus the points over UCSB.  Cal Irvine is off three straight upset losses, but gets a breather tonight against the 3-18 Gauchos.  And, unfortunately for UCSB, .311 (or worse) teams are 0-14 ATS away from home vs. foes off 3 straight upset losses, if they're getting 9+ points in the game.  Take Cal Irvine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials (rotation #568) plus the points over VCU.  GW has a strong home court with 53 wins in its last 61 home games (and it's 3-1 ATS as a home underdog in this stretch).  We'll take the Colonials + the points tonight, as they fall into a 71% ATS system of mine which plays on certain winning teams, off back to back losses, that are playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take George Washington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Fort Wayne (rotation #584) minus the points over South Dakota, as the Coyotes fall into a negative 39-113 ATS system of mine after their upset win at North Dakota State, on Saturday.  Also, Fort Wayne is 31-12-1 ATS its last 44 home games, including 17-2 ATS with revenge.  The Mastodons lost at South Dakota on January 14, 66-63, so we'll lay the points with Fort Wayne on Wednesday.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Northwestern.  We played against Illinois on Saturday, and got the $$$ with Minnesota, which defeated Illinois, 68-59, as a 1.5-point favorite.  That was Illinois' 3rd straight loss (both SU and ATS), but I love Illinois to rebound at Northwestern, tonight.  The Illini have dominated the Wildcats, here, in Evanston, as they're 14-5 SU/ATS since 1995, including a perfect 4-0 ATS as an underdog.  Additionally, Illinois is an awesome 91-50 ATS off a conference loss, if it was an underdog in that previous game.  Finally, Northwestern will be without Scottie Lindsey tonight.  He averages 15.36 ppg, 4.27 rpg, and 1.18 steals, so his production will be difficult for Northwestern to replace.  Take Illinois.  NCAA HIGH ROLLER WINNER.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Syracuse.  Clemson was blasted, 109-61, by Florida State, in Tallahassee, on Saturday.  But I look for the Tigers to rebound at home, tonight, vs. a Syracuse squad which upset Virginia, 66-62, at home in its last game.  Since 1990, Clemson is a fantastic 26-7 ATS as a favorite off a double-digit loss, if they also lost ATS in that defeat, and are now playing at home, or on a neutral court.  Even better:  if Clemson is matched up against an ACC Conference foe with a winning Conference record, then our 26-7 stat zooms to a perfect 6-0 ATS.  Finally, Clemson falls into a 134-65 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams in conference games off losses.  Take the Tigers.  ACC Conference Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Temple.  The Owls come into this game off a 79-71 win at Tulane, as an 8-point road favorite, and have gone 5-8-2 ATS their last 15 games.  The Owls are back home this afternoon, and have been installed as a double-digit home favorite, but that's not good news for them.  Indeed, since Dec. 18, 2010, Temple's an atrocious 2-20-1 ATS at home vs. .590 (or worse) foes, if Temple's favored by more than 10 points.  That doesn't bode well for the Owls on Sunday.  And neither does the fact that South Florida falls into a 177-86 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams with losing records in conference games.  Finally, over the past 24 seasons, the Bulls are a super 35-10 ATS as conference road dogs of +12 or more points in the regular season when they've had a losing record, including 20-0 ATS their last 20 when their opponent didn't cover the pointspread in its previous game.  Take South Florida.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos (rotation #703) + the points over Gonzaga.  Santa Clara lost by 31 points at home to Gonzaga in January.  But the Broncos are 12-3 ATS vs. conference foes when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 25 points.  And they also fall into a 161-101 ATS revenge system of mine which plays on certain teams that lost by 25+ points earlier in the season.  Finally, Gonzaga's 23-0 record has set it up in negative 39-92 and 98-172 ATS systems of mine.  Take Santa Clara.

At 8 pm, our selection is on Appalachian St (rotation #665) + the points over Arkansas St.  The Mountaineers have lost their last five games (and last 3 ATS), while the Red Wolves are the mirror opposite, with 5 straight wins (and 3-0 ATS their last 3).  Not surprisingly, in a situation like this, it's the 'cold' team that generally gets the cash (64% ATS the past 27 years).  Indeed, we saw this exact situation just nine days ago and had our Big West Game of the Year on Cal Poly SLO in its upset of Cal Irvine as a 13-point dog.  The Mountaineers are 14-4 ATS off 5+ losses, and we'll grab the points tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the NC Wilmington Seahawks (rotation #658) minus the points over Delaware.  The Seahawks are off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But we'll lay the lumber with Kevin Keatts' men tonight, as home favorites of -19 or more points are 68% ATS over the past 27 seasons off back to back SU/ATS losses, if they're playing a conference foe off a loss.  Take Wilmington.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros (rotation #636) + the points over St Mary's.  These two teams met on New Year's Eve, and the Gaels won, 72-60, as a 22-point home favorite.  I expect another closer-than-expected game tonight, as St Mary's falls into a negative 67-133 ATS system of mine.  That angle fades certain road favorites with exceptional records.  The Gaels are 20-2 on the season, so their record certainly would qualify as 'exceptional.'  And, for all of the Gaels' success under Randy Bennett, they've certainly burned money as a big favorite vs. conference rivals, as they're 4-22 ATS when laying 14+ points.  Take San Diego.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers over Illinois.  The Gophers lost to the Illini in last year's Big 10 Conference Tourney by an 85-52 score.  But they're a solid 83% over the past 27 regular seasons when playing with revenge from a loss by more than 25 points.  That bodes well for Minnesota this afternoon.  As does the fact that Illinois is an atrocious 11-28 ATS vs. foes off 2 SU/ATS losses.  Finally, the Gophers fall into a 65-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 4+ losses.  Take Minnesota.  Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the NC Greensboro Spartans (rotation #711) + the points over Samford.  The Spartans have lost 3 straight, and five straight ATS.  But their losing streaks sets them up in several of my systems, with records of 139-61, 67-31, 25-6, and 95-36 ATS.  Moreover, the Spartans have excelled in conference play off 3+ losses, as they've gone 27-9 ATS, while Samford is a horrid 20-37 ATS as a home favorite vs. foes off a loss.  Take Greensboro + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces over Missouri State.  The Aces have dropped 9 in a row, but we'll take them at home this afternoon vs. the Bears, who snapped a 2-game losing streak with a 1-point home win this past Tuesday.  Evansville plays with revenge from a 4-point loss to Missouri St on Jan. 11. And Missouri Valley teams are 157-104 ATS at home vs. foes not off back to back wins, if our home team lost the season's previous meeting, and doesn't have a winning record, either in conference play, or overall.  Even worse for Missouri St.:  It's just 19-34 ATS off a home win.  Take Evansville.  NCAA Roadkill Winner!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on Wisconsin Green Bay + the points over Valparaiso.  The Crusaders have won 8 in a row, including a 24-point victory over the Phoenix back on January 16.  But Green Bay is an awesome 42-12 ATS if it lost its previous meeting to its opponent by more than 12 points, including 17-2 ATS if Green Bay failed to cover the spread in its previous game!  Take the Phoenix.  PAYBACK PAYDAY!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Maryland Terrapins.  (Analysis to follow.)

At 11 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Gonzaga.  Home courts don't get much stronger than that of the Cougars.  BYU has won 10 straight at home (6-3 ATS), and has won 36 of its last 39 at the Marriott Center (21-11 ATS).  BYU also plays with revenge tonight from a 4-point loss to Gonzaga in last year's West Coast Conference Tournament.  And one of the things I love to do is play on home dogs with strong home courts (wins in at least 35 of their last 40 home games), if they have a winning conference record, and are playing with revenge from a conference tournament defeat.  Since 1995, our home teams have gone 21-4 ATS, including a perfect 10-0 ATS when catching 3+ points.  Take BYU.  West Coast Conf. Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs over Cal Davis.  The Mustangs are 1-6 in Big West Conference play this season, yet find themselves favored over Cal Davis, which is 5-1.  The knee jerk reaction might be to play against Cal Poly SLO, but I wouldn't do that if I were you.  Indeed, since 1990, NCAA teams with a much worse conference win percentage than their opponent (at least .400 percentage points worse) have covered 60.2% of the time when favored (or PK), if our favored team didn't own more than 1 win in Conference play on the season (with at least 6 conference games under its belt).  Take Cal Poly SLO. NCAA High Roller. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers + the points over Belmont.  The Bruins are riding a 12-game win streak, but should see that streak snapped on the road vs. Murray State tonight, as Belmont falls into a negative 43-77 ATS system of mine which plays against certain teams on win streaks.  Additionally, the Racers are 124-18 straight-up in their last 142 home games, so we'll grab the points with Murray St.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Roadrunners have lost their last three games, but all three of those were on the road, where they have won just one game all season (69-68, as a 16.5-point underdog at Louisiana Tech).  But at home, it's a different story, as Texas-San Antonio is a perfect 8-0 straight-up in front of its home faithful.  We'll take the points with the Roadrunners, as they fall into a 123-51 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams with strong home courts.  Even better:  Middle Tennessee is a poor 2-14-1 ATS away from home off back-to-back home wins!  Take Texas-San Antonio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Missouri Tigers + the points over Florida, as Missouri falls into 177-85, 112-51, 95-36, and 130-83 ATS systems of mine.  On the surface, it might look hard to take Mizzou, as it's lost 12 straight games, and is 6-9-2 ATS on the year, while Florida is off back to back SU/ATS wins, and is 11-8 ATS.  But road teams without a winning record, or winning ATS record, that are off more than 5 losses, are 62% ATS vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins since 1991.  Also, Florida has a home game this Saturday vs. rival Kentucky, and if history is any indication, it could be caught looking ahead to that match-up.  Indeed, since 1991, Florida is an awful 7-18-1 ATS in games immediately before a home game vs. Kentucky, including 3-12 ATS vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take Missouri.  SEC Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on James Madison + the points over Elon.  James Madison's lost its last four games, including an upset loss at Delaware on Saturday, while Elon's on a 4-game win streak.  But I never have a problem grabbing points with "cold" teams in such situations.  Indeed, JMU falls into a 487-338 ATS system of mine which targets such clubs.  Moreover, Elon's a poor 36% ATS as a favorite vs. foes off upset losses over the past 27 years.  Take James Madison.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane + the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats are 19-2 this season, after winning their 12 straight game, on Sunday vs. South Florida.  But teams that have won more than 90% of their games (at Game 22 forward) are money-burners as favorites in the regular season.  And especially when they're playing with less than 3 days' of rest.  Since 1990, those teams have cashed just 42% of the time.  Take Tulsa.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders are a poor traveler, as they're 16-31 ATS their last 47 as road underdogs.  And they're also 5-15 ATS at Texas when not getting more than 15 points.  And they've lost their 20 straight games in Austin (straight-up), so that doesn't bode well for them tonight.  Texas has covered seven of its last nine, and falls into a 147-84 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off SU losses vs. foes off SU wins.  Finally, the Longhorns are an awesome 35-18 ATS at home since 1991 vs. conference foes when not laying 5+ points, including 11-2, 84.6% ATS vs. .735 (or worse) foes.  Take Texas.  NCAA Roadkill Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie..

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah St Aggies + the points over Nevada.  The Aggies upset the Fresno St Bulldogs on Saturday, 78-65, as a 2-point home dog.  And I like playing on home dogs to follow up one upset win as a home dog with a second straight upset.  And especially later in the season, when priced as a home dog of +9 or less.  Indeed, at Game 17 forward, those home dogs are 117-75 ATS.  The Aggies have also gone 12-4 ATS at home vs. Nevada since 1993.  Take the points with Utah St.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers + the points over Illinois St.  The Redbirds have won 11 straight games, but might meet their match tonight against Northern Iowa.  The Panthers are just 10-11 this year, and 5-5 in conference play.  But Northern Iowa is red-hot with 3 SU/ATS wins in its last three games, and five straight conference wins, overall.  We'll grab the points with the Panthers, as teams (like Illinois St) on a 10-game (or better) win streak have covered just 28% of the time since 2000 vs. .525 (or worse) foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Also, .636 (or worse) teams on 5-game win streaks have cashed 63% as dogs of more than 7 points vs. .770 (or better) foes since 1990.   Take Northern Iowa.  NCAA Road Warrior. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over Kansas St.  The Horned Frogs suffered a loss to Auburn, 88-80, as a 10-point home favorite last Saturday.  But TCU generally bounces back from upset losses, including 9-0 ATS if it didn't lose by double-digits its previous game.  Take TCU.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Providence Friars + the points over Villanova.  The Friars have a strong home court, as they've won 14 of their last 16 home games, and 51 of their last 64.  They're also a solid 23-10 ATS at home when not favored by more than five points.  And home dogs of +5 or more points that have won more than 10 home games (against 2 or less home losses) are 64.7% ATS the past 27 years.  Take Providence.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Yellow Jackets have covered their last six games.  But this ATS win streak has set up the Jackets in two negative systems of mine, with records of 66-120 and 92-152 ATS since 1990.  Moreover, the Tigers lost as a 10-point favorite earlier this year at Georgia Tech.  But teams playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season as a favorite of more than 5 points are 173-121 ATS vs. .635 (or worse) foes.  Take Clemson.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego St. Aztecs minus the points over Wyoming.  Steve Fisher's men have dropped their last two games, but SDSU is a super 18-8 ATS as a conference favorite of -2+ points off back to back losses.  And the Aztecs fall into a 111-60 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Finally, San Diego St. is 9-3-1 ATS its last 13 vs. Wyoming, including 5-0-1 ATS when favored by more than 6 points.  Take the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kentucky Wildcats minus the points over Georgia.  UK has dropped its last two games, at home vs. Kansas, and on the road to Tennessee.  But off those two upset losses, we'll lay the points with Kentucky, as it falls into an awesome 89-40 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Moreover, Kentucky is 8-0 ATS off an upset loss vs. foes with a .500 (or better) ATS win percentage.  Take Kentucky.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini + the points over Wisconsin.  The Illini are 10-2 at home this season, and fall into a 136-61 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs with strong home courts.  Additionally, the Illini have cashed 100% (8-0 ATS) as .500 (or better) home underdogs of +6 or more points.  Take Illinois.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Creighton.  These two teams met 20 days ago, and the Blue Jays won, 75-64, at home vs. Butler.  That extended the record of the home team in this series to 6-1 ATS.  We'll lay the points with Butler tonight, as the Bulldogs fall into a 156-97 ATS revenge system of mine.  Also, Creighton falls into a negative 33-57 ATS angle of mine that fades certain teams off a win, if they lost by 20+ points two games back.  The Bulldogs lost a rare home game on Saturday, when they were upset by Georgetown, 85-81.  But the Bulldogs are a sensational 23-10 ATS at home, or on a neutral court, off an upset loss, including 8-0 ATS since Dec. 22, 2014.  Additionally, Butler's an awesome 97-53 ATS in competitively-priced games, with single-digit pointspreads, if it's playing an opponent with a margin of victory of 7.4 or better.  Take Butler.  Big East Game of the Month!  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Bulls come into this game off back to back losses.  But both games were on the road.  The Bulls are back home tonight, and they're 15-5 ATS since 2014 off a road loss.  Even better:  the Chippewas have covered just 10 of 38 vs. .600 (or worse) foes off a loss, including 0-9 ATS when priced from +2 to +7.5 points.  Take Buffalo.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio St Buckeyes over Maryland.  The Buckeyes lost, 85-72, at Iowa on Saturday.  But I love them to bounce back at home, tonight.  Since 2015, Ohio State is 11-0 ATS at home off a loss to a Big 10 rival.  Take Ohio St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on SIU-Edwardsville + the points over Belmont.  The Cougars have dropped their last nine games, while Belmont is on an 11-game win streak.  Unfortunately for the Bruins, their win streak has set them up into several negative systems of mine, with records of 71-111, 56-108 and 65-118 ATS since 1990.  Even better:  the Cougars' losing streak has triggered a strong 129-57 ATS system of mine.  Finally, Edwardsville is 13-2 ATS as a dog of less than 20 points off 5+ losses, including 7-0 ATS vs. a foe off a win.  Take the points with the Cougars. OVC Game of the Week. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our Sun Belt Conference Game of the Month is on the Appalachian State Mountaineers minus the points over Texas State, as the Mountaineers fall into a 39-14 ATS System of mine, which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Appy State comes into this game with a 1-7 Sun Belt Conference record, but has been installed as a favorite over Texas State, which is 5-3 in Sun Belt play.  But teams that have won less than 15% of their conference games, and own a much worse conference win percentage than their opponent (at least .400 worse, after at least six conference games), have cashed 61.1% the past 27 years when installed as a favorite/PK!  Additionally, Appalachian St, which lost at home to Texas Arlington on Saturday, is 8-0 ATS its last eight off a home loss.  Take the Mountaineers.  Sun Belt Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils over Notre Dame.  The Blue Devils lost in the ACC Tournament last season to Notre Dame (and also were upset in the regular season), but fall into a great 95-51 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams playing with revenge from 2 losses the previous season.  Additionally, Duke eked out an 85-83 win over Wake Forest on Saturday.  And the Blue Devils are a solid 125-93 ATS off a game in which they scored 80+ points.  Take Duke.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the South Florida Bulls + the points over Cincinnati.  The Bearcats have won 11 in a row (covering their last two), while South Florida has lost its last eight games (failing to cover its last three).  But we'll jump on the Bulls this afternoon, as they fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 177-84 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, double-digit underdogs off 3 SU/ATS losses are 67% ATS away from home if they also failed to cover by double-digits in their previous game, and their opponent is off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Finally, the Bulls are 7-0 ATS on the road if they didn't cover the spread in their previous game, while Cincy has covered just 6 of 28 as a home favorite of more than 10 points vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take South Florida.  NCAA Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12:30 am, on Sunday morning (or Saturday night, depending on your perspective), our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (rotation #672) minus the points over Cal Santa Barbara.  Hawaii comes into this game of back to back upset home losses to Cal Davis and Cal Riverside.  But I love the Rainbow Warriors to stop their slide in this game vs. the Gauchos.  Hawaii falls into several of my best systems, with records of 110-59, 82-47 and 128-71 ATS, that play on certain teams off upset losses.  Moreover, since 1990, Big West favorites are a super 68% ATS in the regular season conference games the past 23 years, if they're off back to back upset losses.  Take Hawaii.  NCAA High Roller.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Butler Bulldogs minus the points over Georgetown.  The Hoyas upset Creighton, 71-51, earlier this week.  But off that upset win, we'll fade John Thompson's men, as they fall into a 32-73 ATS 'letdown' system of mine that goes against certain teams off upset wins over exceptional foes (Creighton was 18-2 going into that game).  These two teams met in DC earlier this month, and the Bulldogs got the better of the Hoyas, 85-76.  I don't see much changing this evening, as Butler's a solid 43-32 ATS at home, including a perfect 7-0-1 ATS its last eight against foes it defeated earlier in the season.  Take Butler.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Towson State.  Northeastern has dropped its last four games, both SU and ATS, including an upset loss, here at home to Elon, two days ago.  But Northeastern's losing streak has triggered several of my best systems, with records of 120-68, 195-124 and 102-47 ATS (since 1990).  Additionally, the Huskies play with revenge from a loss at Towson on Jan. 14.  And they fall into a 155-97 ATS 'revenge' system of mine.  Finally, Colonial Athletic Ass'n teams are an awesome 78.9% ATS since 1990 as a favorite off an upset loss, if they also lost two games back, and are playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season to their opponent.  Take Northeastern.  CAA Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Marshall.  Utep has broken out of its mid-season swoon (which saw it lose 12 straight games) by winning three of its last four games (and covering its last two).  UTEP did lose its last game at Western Kentucky, 65-62 (but covered as an 8-point underdog), and now falls into a great 316-185 ATS system of mine which plays on certain road teams off losses.  Moreover, the Thundering Herd are a dismal 0-7 ATS vs. UTEP when the Herd has not had a worse ATS win percentage than UTEP.  Take the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Utah.  The Utes just lost a tough game against the Pac-12's best team, Oregon.  Now, they'll face the conference's worst team, Oregon State, which has yet to win in eight Pac-12 tilts this season.  We'll grab the points with the Beavers, as Utah's an awful 10-43 ATS in Conference games when priced from -14 to -28 points if the Utes don't have a losing ATS record on the season, including 1-19 ATS vs. foes with an ATS win percentage below .465.  Take Oregon St.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Baylor.  Ole Miss falls into a great 54-24 ATS non-conference system of mine which plays on certain underdogs in non-conference games vs. foes off a win.  Even better:  Ole Miss has cashed 22 of 31 as an underdog the past 3 seasons, including a perfect 8-0 ATS when priced from +5 to +9 points, and 7-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes off a win.  Take Mississippi.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over NC Wilmington.  William & Mary lost by 24 at Wilmington earlier this month, but they're back home this afternoon, and they've gone 35-5 SU and 17-11 ATS at home since Feb. 17, 2014, including a perfect 5-0 ATS vs. .700 (or better) foes.  We'll grab the points with the revenge-minded home underdog this afternoon, as it falls into a 64% ATS system of mine, which plays on home dogs of +5.5 or more points with strong home courts (with wins in at least 35 of their last 40 home games).

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers minus the points over Maryland.  The Terrapins are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak, but we'll fade them this afternoon in Minneapolis, as they've covered just 4 of their last 20 games away from home while on a 4-game ATS win streak.  Also, Minnesota is a perfect 6-0 ATS since 1997 off back to back losses, if they're matched up against an .820 (or better) foe off back to back wins, and that foe also covered its previous game.  Take Minnesota.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma Sooners + the points over Florida.  The Sooners come into this non-conference affair off back to back losses to Iowa State and Texas.  But I look for Oklahoma to rebound today, as the Sooners have dominated SEC Conference foes at home, going 7-0 ATS since 2000.  And the Sooners are also 7-0-1 their last eight off back to back losses, if they lost to a Conference foe in their previous game.  Take Oklahoma.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Fla Hurricanes + the points over North Carolina.  Miami is 9-1 at home this season, and has won 22 of its past 23 home games.  That bodes well for the Hurricanes as a home underdog, as they fall into 123-55, 120-51 and 135-61 ATS systems of mine that play on certain home dogs with strong home courts.  Also, the Hurricanes have lost their last three games to the spread, but are 12-0 ATS off 3+ ATS losses when matched up against .750 to .900 foes (North Carolina's win percentage is .863).  Take Miami.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights + the points over Wisconsin.  Earlier this season, Wisconsin defeated Rutgers, 72-52, in Madison.  But we'll grab the double-digits with the Knights this afternoon, as they fall into a super 95-34 ATS revenge system of mine, which plays on certain teams with revenge from a 20-point (or worse) defeat.  Additionally, Big 10 Conference underdogs are an awesome 54-30 ATS since 1990 off a pointspread defeat when playing with revenge from defeat worse than 15 points earlier in the season.  With Rutgers indeed off an ATS loss (at Maryland) in its last game, we'll grab the points this afternoon.  High Noon Hanging. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes minus the points over Oregon.  Utah's covered its last five games, and has also won its last two in blowout fashion -- 88-47 at Washington St, and 94-72 at Washington.  That bodes well for the Utes tonight, as home teams, not favored by 6+ points, off back to back 20 points wins, have cashed 89.4% at home since 1990 if they own a strong home court (with wins in at least 36 of their previous 40 home games), and are matched up against an opponent off back to back wins.  Take Utah.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Irvine, as Cal Poly falls into 315-185, 94-36 and 62-17 ATS systems of mine.  The Anteaters come into this game off 3 ATS wins, while Cal Poly has lost its last four games ATS.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Anteaters and against the 'cold' Mustangs.  But Big West Conference road teams off 3 ATS losses have covered 14 of 15 (and 22 of 26) vs. conference foes off back to back ATS wins, including a perfect 7-0 ATS as double-digit dogs!  Take Cal Poly + the points.  Big West Game of the Year.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Eastern Washington.  The Eagles are 10-1 at home this season, but a poor 3-6 on the road.  And the one team to defeat the Eagles at their home gym was Montana, back on Jan. 7.  Since that game, Montana's split its four games, with home wins over N. Colorado and N. Dakota, but road losses at Portland St. and Sacramento St. their last two games.  I look for the Grizzlies to bounce back off those last two losses, and sweep this season series, as the Eagles are an awful 11-28-1 ATS on the road, when priced from +4 to +6.5 points.  Meanwhile, the Grizzlies are a super 73% ATS as favorites off back to back losses if playing a winning foe.  And they fall into a 73-30 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Take Montana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over Elon.  Both teams come into this game with 12 wins, though it's been the Fighting Christians (sorry, I can't resist using Elon's old nickname) who have been hotter, lately.  Elon's won its last two games, and has covered its last six, while Northeastern's on a 3-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But this cold patch has set up Northeastern in several of my strong systems, including one which is 194-123 ATS, which plays on certain favorites off back to back SU/ATS losses, and another which is 158-94 ATS.  Additionally, Northeastern's cashed 80% as a favorite (or PK) vs. a foe off 3 SU/ATS wins the past 27 years, while Elon's only covered 14% over the past 14 years off 3 SU/ATS wins, if its opponent wasn't off a SU/ATS win.  Take Northeastern.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors minus the points over Cal Riverside.  Hawaii dropped its last game, as a home favorite vs. Cal Davis.  But that upset loss sets up our play tonight, as Hawaii falls into a very good 102-65 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Additionally, Cal Riverside has covered its last five games, but now falls into a negative 109-190 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off 5+ pointspread wins in a row.  Hawaii is 8-0 ATS when priced from PK to -8 off an ATS defeat, while Riverside is a poor 0-10 ATS on the road off 3+ wins, if not getting more than 16 points.  Take Hawaii.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over UCLA.  The Trojans are 10-2 at home this season after defeating Arizona State, 82-79, here, on Sunday.  Meanwhile, UCLA lost its last game, 96-85, to Arizona, yet has been installed as a big road favorite vs. USC, even though the Bruins are an awful 2-11 ATS their last 13 in Pac-12 play.  Last year, these two rivals met three times, and the Trojans won all three meetings by 14+ points!  We'll grab the points with USC, as home dogs of +5 or more points, off a win, have cashed 74% in conference games the past 27 years if they haven't lost more than 2 home games on the season (against at least 8 home wins), and their opponent is off a SU/ATS loss.  Take USC.  Pac 12 Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee St. Tigers minus the points over SIU-Edwardsville.  The Tigers come into this game on a 3-game losing streak, including two upset losses at home last week.  But I love the Tigers to bounce back today against Edwardsville, which has lost 12 of its last 13 games (including 0-7 in Ohio Valley play), though Edwardsville did cover the spread in its last game, an 8-point defeat at Tennessee-Martin.  The Tigers are an awesome 14-4 ATS as a road favorite vs. foes off a loss.  And road teams have covered 64% the past 27 years off back to back home upset losses, if matched up against an opponent off a pointspread win.  Take Tennessee St.  Ohio Valley Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls over Memphis.  The Owls are a terrific 51-19 ATS at home since 2005, if not favored by more than six points, including 33-9 ATS vs. conference foes!  That bodes well for the Owls on Wednesday.  As does the fact that the Tigers are a horrid 16-33-1 ATS off a win, including 1-8 ATS as an underdog of less than 5 points.  Take Temple.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights + the points over SMU.  UCF has a strong home court, as it's 10-1 at home this season, and it's also 18-13 ATS at home its last 31.  Tonight, UCF falls into a 102-61 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home underdogs of less than 8 points with strong home records.  Take the Knights.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Marquette Golden Eagles + the points over Villanova.  We played against the #1-ranked Villanova Wildcats back on January 4, and were rewarded with a win by Butler, 66-58.  Immediately after losing that game, the Wildcats rebounded with a win over these Golden Eagles, 93-81, in Philly.  And the defending Champs have won each game since, for a 5-game win streak, and an overall record of 19-1.  But much like that Butler team (which is unbeaten at home this season), Marquette sports a very strong home court.  Marquette's won 10 of its 11 home games this season, and comes into tonight's game off an upset win over another team that had just one loss this season -- Creighton.  We'll fade Villanova tonight, as .901 (or better) teams have covered just 24.1% of their road games off a home win, at Game 21 forward, if they're matched up against a conference foe with a Home W/L percentage better than .765, if that foe is also off a win (including 8 straight ATS losses since Feb 14, 2014).  Take Marquette.  NCAA Elite Info Winner. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Tigers have dropped five straight games, both SU and ATS, including a 92-60 loss at Louisville on Thursday.  But I love them to snap their losing streak on Sunday.  Since 1990, the Tigers are 13-0 ATS as a favorite off an ATS loss, if they also lost by more than 15 points in their previous game, and are now matched up against a .375 (or better) foe.  Take Clemson.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the VCU Rams minus the points over LaSalle.  VCU is 14-5 on the season, but lost its last two games, both as a favorite.  But .701 (or better) teams have cashed 64.2% at home over the past 27 years off back to back upset losses, if they were favored by double-digits in their last game.  Take Virginia Commonwealth.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over George Mason.  Richmond returns home this afternoon after losing on Thursday, 75-59, as an 11-point underdog at Dayton.  George Mason also lost its last game, but as a 13.5-point home favorite vs. St. Louis.  Last year, these two teams met twice, with George Mason winning both games outright as an underdog.  The Patriots upset the Spiders, 83-73, as a 6-point home dog, and 78-74, as a 13-point road underdog.  But those two upsets set today's play up, as Richmond falls into a revenge system of mine which is 50-22 ATS since 1990.  That angle plays on certain teams with double-revenge, if they are off a SU loss.  Even better:  Richmond has cashed 64.7% over the past 25 years when playing with double revenge, and favored off a SU loss.  Take the Spiders.