Sports Picks & Predictions

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Hofstra.  This game will be played at Simmons Bank Arena, in Little Rock tonight.  The Razorbacks were upset by Oklahoma last Saturday.  But they're a fantastic 31-15 ATS at home, or on a neutral court in non-conference games, if they were off a loss, including 13-2 ATS off an upset defeat.  Additionally, the Razorbacks fall into a 65.8% ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off upset losses.  Lay the points tonight with Arkansas.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over Southern Utah.  The Wolverines have had an up-and-down season after starting the year ranked among the Top 5.  Juwan Howard's men have now lost games to Seton Hall, Arizona, North Carolina and Minnesota.  The last game (vs. Minnesota) was the least probable, as Michigan was a 13.5-point home favorite in that contest.  But off that loss, we'll lay the points this evening, as Michigan is 72-39-2 ATS its last 113 off a loss in its previous game, including 11-0-1 its last 12 (and 30-9-1 its last 40) when priced from -5.5 to -16 points.  Take the Wolverines.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Canisius Golden Griffins + the points over Buffalo.  This cross-town rivalry game will be played at KeyBank Center this afternoon, as part of a triple-header of hoops in downtown Buffalo.  Like many City rivalries, this one has been kind to the underdog, which has gone 12-6-1 ATS since 1993, including 6-2-1 ATS when getting more than 6 points.  We'll fade Buffalo today, as Mid-American Conference teams have covered just 71 of 173 as a double-digit favorite vs. losing opponents playing away from home, if such foe was off back to back SU/ATS losses.  With Canisius currently riding a 5-Game SU/ATS losing streak, we'll grab the double-digits with the Golden Griffins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars minus the points over Northern Colorado.  The Cougars lost here, at home, on Wednesday, 64-61, as a 7.5-point favorite.  After that defeat, Washington State's coach, Kyle Smith, questioned his team's toughness and grit when he fielded questions at the press conference.  So, I expect his men will have heard that criticism, and will respond today with a much better effort.  For technical support, consider that Wazzu is 38-19 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points off a loss, including a wallet-fattening 25-9 ATS vs. foes that don't have a winning record.  Moreover, the Northern Colorado Bears have gone 1-5-1 ATS their last seven games vs. the Pac-12 Conference and are 0-14 SU vs. the Pac-12 since 1990.  Lay the points with Washington State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Jackson State.  Last season, the Bulldogs opened their campaign with 18 straight wins, and also covered their first 13.  This season, the Bulldogs covered their first lined game, on November 14, vs. South Dakota.  But they've gone 0-8 ATS since (4-4 straight-up).  Tonight, they're laying double-digits to Jackson St., who will be playing its 3rd straight game in in the State of Iowa.  Jackson State dropped the first two, as they fell by 10 points each to Northern Iowa and Iowa State.  We'll lay the points, as we note that Drake is 10-3 ATS at home when favored by 9 or more vs. non-conference foes off back to back losses.  And the Bulldogs also fall into a 65% ATS system of mine which takes certain double-digit favorites off a SU/ATS loss.  Lay the points with Drake.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Portland.  These two teams met here last season, and the Ducks won, 80-41, as a 24.5-point favorite.  Oregon did lose at Pac-12 rival, Stanford, 72-69, on Sunday, which was its second straight loss, overall.  But the Ducks are 8-0 ATS their last eight home games vs non-conference foes, if the Ducks were off back to back losses.  Take the Ducks minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Lipscomb.  Both teams enter tonight's game on losing streaks.  The Bisons have dropped 4 straight, while the Seminoles have lost their last three (and also failed to cover their last four).  If there is a silver lining for Florida State, it's that its last two losses were narrow.  It lost by a single point to South Carolina this past Sunday, 66-65, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And it fell by 3 to Syracuse on the previous weekend.  Over the last 27 years, Florida State's gone 9-1 ATS as a favorite of more than 10 points off back to back losses.  And it's also been terrific off 3+ losses, as it's gone 41-20 ATS, overall.  We'll lay the points with Florida State, as it falls into a super 56-13 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home favorites off upset losses.  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Rebels were stunned by Western Kentucky, 71-48, on Saturday, as a 5.5-point favorite, while Middle Tennessee St. won (and covered) at Tennessee-Martin.  We'll lay the points with Ole Miss, as NCAA teams off 20-point (or worse) upset losses to non-conference foes, have bounced back to cover 64.5% of the time since 1990 when matched up against another non-conference foe off a SU/ATS win.  Even better:  Ole Miss is 22-9 ATS at home off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Rebels.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Fairleigh Dickinson Knights + the points over Fairfield.  The Stags are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak and have been installed as a big road favorite at Fairleigh Dickinson.  We'll fade Fairfield, as it's 10-23 ATS off 3 ATS wins (and 1-9 ATS off 4 ATS wins).  Take Fairleigh Dickinson + the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers + the points over Cal Davis.  Oregon State was blown out by 25 points here, at home, by Arizona in its last game (its 3rd straight loss by double-digits).  And that was also OSU's 3rd straight ATS loss.  We'll lay the points with the Beavers, as they fall into a 99-46 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Additionally, Pac-12 teams off back to back losses have gone 81-55-1 ATS vs. non-conference foes, including 38-18 ATS off a loss by more than 10 points.  Take Oregon State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm our selection is on the Memphis Tigers + the points over Alabama.  The Tigers have generally been a very strong point spread team under coach Penny Hardaway, but they're 0-4 ATS over their last four games.  The good news for Memphis here, as a home underdog, is that it's 44-26-2 ATS under Coach Hardaway when not laying double-digits, including 3-1-1 ATS as a home underdog.  And Memphis has also cashed 65 percent over the last 32 years off 4+ ATS defeats.  Meanwhile, the Crimson Tide has covered just 5 of 17 as a non-conference road favorite.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers minus the points over Jackson State.  We played on the Tigers +19 over Iowa State on Sunday, and got the $$$ when they lost by just 10, 47-37, in a very low scoring game.  Unfortunately for Jackson St., underdogs haven't fared well following a game where they covered the spread, but mustered 37 or less points, as they've cashed just 27% over the last 32 years.  Even worse:  the Tigers have covered just 5 of their last 15 when getting 12+ points, while the Panthers are 19-8-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite, including 11-2 ATS against foes off double-digit losses.  Take Northern Iowa to blow out Jackson State.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Oklahoma State Cowboys minus the points over Cleveland State.  The Cowboys will welcome the Vikings to Stillwater this evening, and will look to bounce back off their upset loss here to Xavier their last time on the court.  Oklahoma State was favored by 3.5 vs. Xavier, but lost, 77-71, which lowered their record to 6-3 SU and 4-5 ATS.  The good news for Oklahoma State tonight is that Big 12 Conference teams have cashed 62.3% since 1990 as home favorites of more than 9 points in non-conference games, after failing to cover the spread by 9+ points in their previous game.  And, even better, the Cowboys are 43-14-3 ATS as a home, or neutral court favorite in non-conference games, if they owned a losing ATS record.  Take the Cowboys minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats plus the points over Baylor.  These two teams met in the Sweet 16 round of last year's NCAA Tournament, and Baylor won, 62-51, as a 7.5-point favorite.  We'll take Villanova in this revenge match, as it falls into several of my NCAA revenge systems.  Additionally, Jay Wright's Wildcats are a superb 28-12 ATS on the road when playing with revenge, if they owned a winning record.  Take Villanova.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Jackson State Tigers + the points over Iowa State.  The Cyclones upset rival, Iowa, by a whopping 20 points (as a 5-point underdog).  But teams off such blowout upset wins have only covered 44% of non-conference games the past 32 years.  And Iowa State also has been poor as a double-digit favorite in non-conference games off an upset win, as it's covered just 25% of the time.  Take the Tigers + the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Fairfield.  We'll take the points in this matchup between the Colonial and Metro Atlantic conferences, as the Colonial teams have covered 64.3% of the time.  Even better:  Colonial Atheletic Ass'n teams have gone 39-17 ATS as home underdogs of +4 (or more) points, if they were off 3 SU/ATS losses, and matched up against a foe off back to back wins, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 when priced from +4.5 to +8 points.  Take William & Mary + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Utah State Aggies minus the points over New Orleans.  After winning six straight games (5-0 ATS) to wind up November, the Aggies have opened December off back to back losses to Saint Mary's and BYU.  But we'll lay the points with Utah St. tonight, as it falls into a 70.7% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Moreover, the Aggies are a reliable 31-10 ATS when laying more than 8 points vs. a foe off a loss, and they're a perfect 9-0 ATS off back to back losses, when laying more than 12 points.  Take Utah State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs + the points over Virginia Commonwealth.  The Monarchs will seek their 3rd straight win (and 4th straight cover) tonight when then welcome the Rams to Chartway Arena.  Old Dominion falls into a 95-43-2 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, home dogs (or PK) off back to back double-digit wins away from home have gone 25-6 ATS.  Take Old Dominion + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over North Carolina.  The Tar Heels have won their last three games, and have covered their last two.  But they're a wallet-busting 0-8-1 ATS off 3+ wins, and they're also an awful 3-13 ATS their last 16 when laying more than 9 points.  Meanwhile, Elon is a powerful 28-8 ATS as a road dog of more than 5 points when playing an opponent off back to back wins, including 12-0 ATS its last 12 when catching double digits.  Take Elon + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama A&M.  Last year, Alabama A&M came into the Pete Hanna Center, and upset Samford, 78-76, as a 7-point road underdog.  But we'll take the revenge-minded home team this evening, as it falls into a 104-49 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Take Samford minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Saint Louis Billikens minus the points over Boston College.  The Eagles will look for their second straight upset win after shocking Notre Dame, 73-57, as a 4.5-point home dog.  But the Billikens will prove to be a tough foe today, as it will be looking to bounce back from a pair of upset losses.  Saint Louis doesn't lose many home games, and especially not back to back home games.  But that's what happened earlier this past week, as UAB and Belmont came into Chaifetz Arena, and exited with wins.  But the Billikens are 49-31-2 ATS at home off back to back losses, while Boston College is 1-8 ATS its last nine off an upset win.  Lay the points with St. Louis.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Wisconsin.  This is a great matchup in Columbus between the red-hot 8-1 Badgers, who have won and covered six straight, and the 7-2 Buckeyes.  We'll lay the points with Ohio State, as the Buckeyes fall into a terrific 385-242 ATS system of mine, which plays on certain winning teams favored over other winning teams.  Also, Wisconsin is an awful 24-50 ATS on the road vs. conference foes with an ATS win pct. less than .563, if the Badgers were getting less than 13 points.  And the Buckeyes are a fantastic 27-9 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, when matched against an opponent off a point spread cover.  Lay the points with the Buckeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 am, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Auburn.  This game will be played at State Farm Arena, in Atlanta, Georgia, in the Holiday Hoopsgiving Classic.  Both teams will be short-handed, as 18th-ranked Auburn will be without its head coach, Bruce Pearl, who will serve a 2-game suspension handed down by the NCAA, while Fred Hoiberg's 'Huskers will be without a couple of players due to the flu.  In its last game, the 'Huskers were blown out, 102-67, by Michigan.  But we'll take the 'Huskers + the points this morning, as Auburn is a horrid 15-45 ATS vs. .500 (or better) foes that failed to cover the spread by 8+ points in their previous game, if Auburn wasn't getting 3+ points in the current game.  Take Nebraska + the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Murray State.  The Racers are 7-1 this season, but have largely played a cupcake schedule.  Indeed, this will be the first time this season that Murray has played a superior team, and been installed as an underdog.  Unfortunately, the Racers are 0-9 SU and 3-5-1 ATS their last nine as a dog.  And they're 4-44 SU and 17-29-2 ATS when getting 5+ points.  Memphis returns home after a 2-game road trip which saw it go 0-2 at SEC Conference schools, Georgia and Mississippi.  The good news for Penny Hardaway's men is that they're undefeated at home this season, and have won 11 straight (7-4 ATS) since last Christmas.  Even better:  Memphis is a reliable 37-15-2 ATS off back to back losses, including 13-2-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  With the Racers in off victories over Campbellsville and Middle Tennessee St., we'll lay the points with Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Monmouth.  The Hawks are red-hot, and have won and covered each of their last seven games.  But they're installed as a big road underdog tonight.  And road underdogs of +10 (or less) points have cashed just 38% of non-conference games over the last 32 years, if they were off 7+ wins, and 3+ covers.  That doesn't bode well for Monmouth.  Nor does the fact that St. John's is a solid 20-4 ATS at home vs. non-conference foes with a better record, if the Johnnies weren't favored by 11+ points.  Take St. John's.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe minus the points over Hampton.  The Tribe is 0-9 on the season vs. Division 1 foes (but did defeat Mary Baldwin, 87-50), but they were favored in just one of those nine Division 1 games.  And that was as a 2-point favorite vs. American.  Tonight, they'll step down-in-class, and host the Pirates, who are 3-6 on the season (but have also played a much easier schedule than has William & Mary).  We'll lay the points with William & Mary, as we note that, since 1990, teams installed as a favorite (or PK) have cashed 63.9% at Game 8 forward, if their win percentage was .100 (or worse).  Look for William & Mary to blow out Hampton.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Idaho St. Bengals + the points over California.  The Bengals have lost 7 straight games, including back to back home upset losses to Portland St and Northern Arizona last week.  We'll look for Idaho State to bounce back off those upset defeats, as double-digit road dogs have cashed 60% over the last 32 years off back to back home upset losses, if their opponent was off a point spread win.  Take the Bengals.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Fresno State.  This is a great match-up tonight between the 9-0 Dons and 9-1 Bulldogs.  The Bulldogs, though, have played an exceptionally easy schedule, and San Francisco will be its toughest foe to date.  Fresno also has been generally poor vs. top-level clubs, as it's 33-62-3 ATS vs. .785 (or better) opponents, including 23-53-1 ATS when not getting more than 12 points.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Towson.  The Buckeyes return home tonight after dispatching Penn State, 76-64, in Happy Valley, on Sunday.  That triumph followed an upset of #1-ranked Duke, so the Buckeyes avoided a letdown, which speaks volumes for this team.  We'll lay the points tonight with Ohio State, as it's 21-5 ATS as a favorite of -7 (or more) points off back to back wins, if matched up against a foe off an ATS win.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech minus the points over Cornell.  The Hokies were upset, 80-61, by fellow ACC member, Wake Forest, on Saturday.  Tonight, the Hokies will welcome Cornell to Blacksburg, and ACC favorites of -8 (or more) points are 79% ATS since 1990 off a SU/ATS loss, if they failed to cover by 9+ points in their previous game, and are now matched up against a .714 (or better) foe.  Take the Hokies.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Holy Cross Crusaders + the points over Fairfield.  The Stags come into this game off back to back upset road wins, and have been installed as a double-digit home favorite vs. the Crusaders, who are on a 3-game losing streak.  We'll fade Fairfield, as favorites of more than 8 points have covered just 33.8% since 1990 off back to back upset road wins, if their opponent was off back to back losses.  Take Holy Cross + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on Lipscomb + the points over Miami-Florida.  The Bisons are 5-4, but were blown out by 21 points by Chattanooga, on Sunday.  That defeat has triggered one of my favorite systems, which is 422-231 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, Miami is 2-8-1 ATS its last 11 (and 28-47-1 ATS its last 76) as a favorite, while Lipscomb is 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.  Take Lipscomb + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Gators minus the points over North Florida.  It doesn't happen often that a 24-point home favorite loses by 15 points.  But that is exactly what the 14th-ranked Gators did on Monday night.  I expect Florida to be in an ornery mood tonight, and to take out their frustration on the Ospreys.  Since 2009, teams off upset losses as favorites of 20+ points, have bounced back to cover the spread 71% of the time.  Take the Gators.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on NC-Asheville + the points over Chattanooga.  These two teams met in Chattanooga on Nov. 14, and the Mocs blew out the Bulldogs, 75-45.  But Asheville has gone 4-0 ATS since that defeat, and I look for it to win its 5th straight ATS tonight.  Indeed, over the last 32 years, winning teams, playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, have covered 61.1% at home if they were off back to back wins, and also on a 3-game (or better) ATS win streak.  Take NC-Asheville.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Eastern Kentucky Colonels + the points over USC.  The Trojans opened their Pac-12 Conference schedule with big wins last week against Utah and Washington State, but will revert to a non-conference schedule for the next 15 days.  Tonight, the undefeated Trojans (8-0) will welcome the Colonels to the Galen Center, and have been installed as a big double-digit favorite.  Eastern Kentucky is 10-3 its last 13 as a road underdog, and it also falls into a 71.9% ATS system of mine which plays on certain underdogs vs. foes off wins.  Meanwhile, USC is a poor 2-10 ATS off 8 (or more) straight wins.  Take Eastern Kentucky + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Old Dominion.  This is the 3rd straight road game for the Monarchs, who upset George Mason, in Fairfax, on Saturday.  Old Dominion was an 8.5-point road underdog in that game, but stunned the Patriots, 60-50.  We'll fade Old Dominion tonight, as it's an awful 22-47 ATS after a double-digit win away from home, if it wasn't favored by more than 13 points in its current game.  And it's 23-37 ATS off an upset win.  Even worse:  ODU is 1-9 ATS its last 10 vs. William & Mary, including 0-5 ATS on the road.  Take William & Mary + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over James Madison.  The Dukes are 7-2, but have yet to defeat a top-150 team.  Instead, their victories have come against Carlow, Old Dominion, George Mason, Eastern Mennonite, Wright State, and Florida Atlantic.  In contrast, the Cavaliers have already played top-tier teams like Houston, Providence, and Iowa, as well as mid-tier teams like Pittsburgh and Georgia.  The Dukes are a soft 5-24 SU and 10-19 ATS as a home dog of more than 5 points, while Virginia is 57-28 ATS on the road, including 24-9 ATS vs. foes with winning SU/ATS records.  Lay the points with Tony Bennett's men.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 9 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico State Aggies minus the points over New Mexico.  Richard Pitino's Lobos went into Las Cruces in their last game, and upset the Aggies, 101-94, as 10.5-point road underdogs.  This rematch will be played at home, in Albuquerque, and the Lobos have been installed as a home underdog.  We'll take the revenge-minded road team, and lay the points, as home underdogs -- like New Mexico -- that are playing back to back games against the same opponent -- have covered just 38% over the last 32 years vs. foes that have winning SU/ATS records (New Mexico State is 5-3 SU and 4-3 ATS).  Also, the Aggies will have coach Chris Jans back on the sidelines for this one, as he missed that earlier game due to COVID-19 protocols.  The Lobos are a poor 9-20 ATS as underdogs off an upset win, including 1-8 ATS if they were an underdog of more than 4 points in that upset win.  Take New Mexico State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Colgate Raiders minus the points over Columbia.  Colgate comes into this game off 3 straight upset losses, while Columbia checks in off a win and cover vs. Maine.  But the good news for Matt Langel's men tonight is that teams off 3 upset losses have covered 64.5% of non-conference games since 1990, including 76% if its opponent is off a SU/ATS win.  Take Colgate to blow out Columbia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions + the points over Ohio State. the Nittany Lions will look to bounce back off their upset loss to Miami-Fla this past Wednesday.  And they will welcome Ohio State to Happy Valley on this Sunday evening.  Earlier this week, the Buckeyes upset #1-ranked Duke, 71-66, as a 3-point home underdog.  But off that emotional win, we'll fade the Buckeyes on the Big 10 Conference road.  Indeed, NCAA teams have covered just 14 of 39 off upset home wins over Duke, if they were on the conference road in their next game, including 1-8 ATS as a road favorite priced from -2 to -9.5 points.  And Penn State also falls into a 73-31 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams in conference games off upset defeats.  Take Penn State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Central Michigan Chippewas + the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks were at home yesterday, on Saturday afternoon, and blew out Tennessee-Martin, 81-64.  But they now have to play back to back days, and also take on a Chippewas team playing its home opener (after 7 road games to start its season).  We'll grab the points with the home underdog, as home teams have covered 59% in their home openers, if they weren't laying 15 (or more) points, and their opponent was playing without rest.  And the Chippewas have cashed 63% at home since 1995 vs. non-conference foes when the Chips weren't laying more than 3 points.  Finally, Central Michigan falls into 31-4, 306-212, and 74-28 ATS systems of mine. Take Central Michigan + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix minus the points over High Point.  Elon enters this game off 5 SU/ATS losses, while the Panthers have covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to take the points with High Point.  But road underdogs of +4 (or more) points, off 4 ATS wins, have covered just 39% since 1990 against foes off back-to-back SU/ATS losses.  Take Elon.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over St. Mary's.  Colorado State is off to an 8-0 start this season.  And it plays with big-time revenge from a 53-33 loss to the Gaels last season.  St. Mary's is also to a strong start, as it's 8-1, and has won and covered each of its last two games.  Unfortunately, NCAA teams off back to back SU/ATS wins have covered just 21% since 1990 vs. revenge-minded teams that scored less than 37 points in the previous meeting.  And St. Mary's is a wallet-breaking 33-58 ATS as an underdog vs. foes that have winning SU and winning ATS records.  Lay the points with Colorado State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Commonwealth Rams minus the points over Campbell.  The Camels have won four straight, while VCU has dropped its last two.  But VCU is 35-2 SU and 26-9 ATS as a favorite off back to back losses.  And it also falls into two super 66-22 and 93-53 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off losses.  Lay the points.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Davidson.  The Tribe and Wildcats are going in opposite directions.  William & Mary is 1-7 SU and 0-7 ATS to start this season, while Davidson is 5-2 SU and 6-1 ATS, including 4-0 SU/ATS its last four.  But we'll step in and take the large number of points with Bill and Mary, as it falls into 94-44 and 137-64 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams off ATS losses.  Moreover, Davidson's a woeful 0-8 ATS its last eight, and 4-15 ATS its last 19, as a favorite of -14 (or more) points vs. foes off a point spread defeat.  This is the largest number of points that the Tribe has been given this season.  And it's 17-5 ATS as a road underdog of 9 (or more) points off a SU/ATS loss.  Take William & Mary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Michigan Wolverines minus the points over San Diego State.  Juwan Howard's men have largely disappointed this season, and were blown out by 21 points at North Carolina earlier this week.  The good news is that Michigan is 21-8-1 ATS its last 30, and 75-42-2 ATS its last 119 off a straight-up loss.  Additionally, Mountain West conference underdogs of 8+ points are 0-23 straight-up, and 8-15 ATS vs. the Big 10, including 0-7 ATS vs. a foe off a straight-up loss.  Take the Wolverines minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers minus the points over Nebraska.  Mike Woodson's men were upset in overtime, 112-110, at Syracuse, on Tuesday.  But off that upset loss, we'll lay the points with Indiana in its Big 10 season opener.  Over the last 32 seasons, the Hoosiers have cashed 71% off an upset road non-conference loss, and it's won and covered each of the last three meetings vs. the Hoosiers.  Even better: Nebraska is a horrid 3-43 SU and 11-33 ATS as an underdog of more than 3 points vs. an opponent off an upset defeat.  Take Indiana.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Boise State Broncos minus the points over Tulsa.  It's not often that the Broncos lose back to back games at home, but that's exactly what occurred over the last week.  But, over the last 26 seasons, Boise has not lost 3 straight games, if all three were at home.  That bodes well for them tonight.  As does the fact that it is 9-3 ATS at home off an upset loss, and also a perfect 6-0 straight-up, and 5-1 ATS off back to back upset losses.  Take Boise State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Cavaliers minus the points over Pittsburgh.  The Cavs were upset by Iowa, 75-74, at the buzzer on Monday.  And that loss snapped UVa's 4-game win streak.  The good news for Tony Bennett's men tonight in their ACC Conference opener is that they are 18-0-1 ATS off a non-conference loss, when priced from -3 to -24.5 points.  Take Virginia minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Niagara Purple Eagles over the Monmouth Hawks.  In its last game, Monmouth shocked Cincinnati, 61-59, as a 10.5-point road underdog.  They'll try to win back-to-back road games tonight, but the going should be tough for King Rice's men.  For starters, the Hawks are a horrid 0-8 ATS their last 12 (and 1-12 ATS their last 13) on the road off a road win.  And Monmouth also falls into a negative 61-116 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off an upset victory.  Take the Purple Eagles.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Southern Cal.  The Utes lost to their rival, BYU, 75-64, on Saturday.  And that was Utah's first defeat after five wins to start the season.  But off that loss, we'll take Utah to rebound tonight vs. Southern Cal.  The Trojans pulled off an upset last Friday vs. San Diego State.  Unfortunately, the Trojans are 7-20, 26% ATS, off an upset win, if they were favored by more than 4 points in their current game.  And USC has only covered 3 of its last 17 games vs. the Utes.  Take Utah + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Albany.  The Wildcats blew out North Dakota, 84-42, on Sunday.  And that 42-point win has triggered a super 74% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins.  Even better:  Kansas State is 13-1 ATS its last 14, and 29-12-1 ATS its last 42, off a win by 20+ points, if its opponent was also off a win.   Take the Wildcats.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:15 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Georgia.  The Tigers were handed their first defeat of the season this past Friday, when it succumbed to Iowa State, 78-59.  But off that 19-point loss, we'll take the Tigers to bounce back, as they're 17-2 ATS their last 19 when not laying 13+ points, while the Bulldogs are 0-5 ATS their last five.  And American Athletic teams have gone 41-27 ATS in non-conference games off an upset non-conference loss.  Take Memphis minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Wagner.  The #25-ranked Pirates will welcome the Seahawks to Newark this evening, and they'll no doubt be happy to see them, as Seton Hall has completely dominated this series.  Indeed, the last four years has witnessed the Pirates win by 33, 34, 40 and 21 points, and Seton Hall is 20-1 at home vs. Wagner!  The Seahawks did pull off an impressive upset at VCU in their last game.  But that was 18 days ago, as the Seahawks haven't played in almost three weeks, so any momentum which could have been gained from that victory has long since evaporated.  The Pirates have been impressive this season, as they own the only road win against a team then ranked among the top 5 (Michigan, Nov. 16).  And their only loss was a narrow 3-point defeat to Ohio State, which just defeated #1-ranked Duke last night.  The Pirates are 23-0 SU and 17-6 ATS at home when priced from -10.5 to -21 points.  Lay the points with Seton Hall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida Atlantic Owls minus the points over Stetson.  The Hatters upset the Owls last year, so Florida Atlantic will be out to avenge that defeat.  And I expect a focused effort tonight, as Florida Atlantic comes into tonight's game off back to back home losses.  The Owls have cashed 75% at home over the last 16 years if they were off back to back home defeats.  Take the Owls minus the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Santa Clara Broncos minus the points over Hawaii.  The Broncos lost here, at home, to UC Irvine on Saturday, 69-64, as a 3.5-point home favorite, while Hawaii comes in off a loss -- but a point spread cover -- vs. South Alabama.  But after getting upset at home, we'll take the Broncos to bounce back tonight in this home game against Hawaii.  Over the last four seasons, the Broncos have cashed 74% off an ATS defeat, including 12-1 ATS vs. a foe off an ATS win.  Lay the points with Santa Clara.  And the Broncos also fall into a 72.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Oregon Ducks minus the points over Montana.  Dana Altman's men were blitzed by #12-ranked Houston last week, 78-49, in the Maui Invitational, played in Las Vegas.  The Cougars shot 51.7% from the floor, and that was the 3rd straight Division 1 opponent which has shot better than 50% vs. the Ducks.  And, with its game against Division 2 Chaminade excepted, the Ducks have allowed their last three Division 1 foes to exceed the 50% shooting mark.  The silver lining -- if there is one -- is that all of those games were away from home.  At the Matthew Knight Arena, the Ducks have played much better, as they're 2-0 SU, with a +6.00 point spread differential (compared to a -19.62 point spread differential away from home).  Likewise, tonight's opponent, Montana, has played much better this season at home, in the friendly confines of Dahlberg Arena, than outside Missoula.  Indeed, we played on Montana at home this past Friday, and got the $$$ when they smashed Southern Miss, 74-62.  The Grizzlies are now 4-0 SU, and 3-0 ATS at home this season, and have covered the spread by 5.83 ppg.  But away from home, they are 0-2 ATS, and have a negative point spread differential of -17.25.  Going back further, we find that the Grizzlies are 12-23 ATS their last 35 away from Dahlberg Arena, including 2-10 ATS as an underdog of 7+ points.  Meanwhile, the Ducks are 97-9 SU and 63-34 ATS at home, including a perfect 5-0 ATS as a double-digit favorite off a loss, in non-conference games, and also 56-4 SU and 44-16 ATS when priced from -4 to -15 points.  Take Oregon to blow out Montana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas State Red Wolves minus the points over Kansas City. This game is being played as part of CollegeInsider.com's Eracism Invitational.  It will be the 7th meeting between the two schools, and the Wolves lead the series 6-0.  In its last game, Arkansas State was upset, 75-51, by Morehead State.  But off that upset defeat, we'll take the Red Wolves to bounce back this afternoon.  Arkansas State is 39-23-1 ATS off a loss by more than 15 points, including 7-0 ATS its last seven.  And the Red Wolves also fall into 73-28 and 57-19 ATS systems of mine, based on their game vs. Morehead State.  Lay the points with the Red Wolves.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Texas Tech Red Raiders minus the points over Lamar.  The Red Raiders have sprinted out to a 5-0 record after walloping Nebraska-Omaha, 96-40, on Tuesday.  We'll lay the points with Texas Tech as it is 52-4 SU and 30-10 ATS at home off a win by 12+ points, if it wasn't an underdog of 5+ points in its current game, including a perfect 8-0 ATS vs. .250 (or worse) opponents.  Lay the points with the Red Raiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves minus the points over Maine.  Each of these teams has gotten off to slow starts this season.  Bradley is 1-5 SU and 1-4 ATS, while Maine is 2-3 SU and 0-3 ATS.  We'll step in and take Bradley today as a double-digit home favorite, as Missouri Valley Conference teams off 3+ losses, have gone 21-8 ATS when laying more than 3 points at home vs. non-conference foes.  Take Bradley.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Long Island Sharks minus the points over Delaware State.  The Sharks are 0-4 following their narrow defeat, 64-62, at St Peters, as a 9.5-point underdog.  This will be the home opener for Long Island, and it will also be the first game in which it is favored, so it will no doubt be happy to see the Hornets today at Steinberg Wellness Center.  Long Island has cashed 67% when laying 5+ points, while the Hornets are 1-10 ATS as a double-digit underdog vs. foes off a SU loss.  And the Sharks fall into a 73.5% ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites of more than 8 points off a SU loss.  Take Long Island.

At 1:30 pm, our selection is on the Samford Bulldogs minus the points over McNeese State.  The Cowboys and Bulldogs are playing in the Emerald Coast Classic this afternoon, in Niceville, FL.  Yesterday, each of these teams pulled off victories.  McNeese blew out St Francis (NY), 71-59, as a 2.5-point dog, while Samford edged NC A&T, 77-75.  We'll lay the points with Samford, as it falls into a superb 115-49 ATS system of mine, which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  Take the Bulldogs minus the points.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates minus the points over Coppin State.  The Eagles enter this afternoon's game in Greenville off seven straight ATS wins.  But this ATS success has triggered a negative 58-98 ATS system of mine.  Additionally, underdogs of more than 14 points, off 6 straight covers, have cashed just 34% since 1990.  Take East Carolina.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders + the points over Mississippi State.  This game will be played in the Baha Mar Convention Center, in the Bahamas.  Maryland and Louisville reached the championship game, while these two teams will meet in the consolation round.  And it will be the 2nd meeting in 2021 between the schools.  They actually met last year in the quarter-finals of the NIT Tournament, and Miss State hit a 3-pointer with 2 seconds left to lift it to a 68-67 victory.  We'll take revenge-minded Richmond this afternoon, as it falls into a 73.9% ATS revenge system of mine.  And the Spiders are also 16-9 ATS when installed as an underdog away from home, and playing with revenge vs. a non-conference foe.  Take the Spiders.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Southern Miss.  The Golden Eagles enter tonight's Zootown Classic game, at Dahlberg Arena, off back to back upset wins to start the tourney.  They defeated NC Wilmington on Wednesday, 80-66, as a 2-point dog.  Then they also upset UC San Diego last night, 56-55.  Now, they'll take on the homestanding Grizzlies.  Unfortunately, unrested teams, off back to back upset wins, have covered just 26% on the road in the regular season since 1990 vs. foes off a SU win.  Take Montana minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Iowa Hawkeyes minus the points over Portland State.  This is a momentum play for us, as Iowa comes into tonight's game off a 48-point thrashing of Western Michigan.  Iowa is now 5-0 on the season, and has outscored its opposition by 31.2 ppg.  And it's covered the spread by an average of 6.10 ppg.  Portland State, meanwhile, has a negative point spread differential (-8.25), and has covered just 38% as underdogs vs. non-conference foes off a SU/ATS win.  Iowa has also covered 63% as a big favorite of -23 (or more) points.  Lay the points with the Hawkeyes.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Iona.  This game will be played at HP Field House, in Orlando, FL.  Rick Pittino's Gaels upset Alabama yesterday, in the first round of this ESPN Events Invitational, as a 13-point underdog.  And that avenged a 68-55 loss to the Crimson Tide in the opening round of last year's NCAA Tournament.  Off last night's huge emotional victory, we will fade Iona tonight.  Indeed, teams that avenged non-conference tourney losses as underdogs of 7 (or more) points have covered their next game just 25% since 1991.  That doesn't bode well for the Gaels tonight.  Nor does the fact that Iona has covered 0 of 9 off an upset win as a dog of 6+ points.  Or that the Bruins are 13-4 ATS away from home vs. .880 (or better) foes.  Lay the points with the Bruins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 am, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Michigan State.  This game tips off early in the Battle 4 Atlantis Tournament in the Bahamas.  Michigan State comes into the game off an upset win over UConn, 64-60, as a 2.5-point underdog.  They'll now take on the defending champion Bears, who eked out a 69-61 win over Virginia Commonwealth, as a 13.5-point favorite.  But Baylor is 12-7 ATS off a point spread loss.  And it also falls into a very good 140-67 ATS system of mine which plays on certain favorites off ATS defeats.  Take the Bears.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs minus the points over Sam Houston State.  The Mustangs were upset by Loyola Marymount on Monday, but we'll take them to bounce back tonight vs. the Bearkats, as they're 26-2 SU and 19-7-2 ATS off a loss, when favored by more than 4 vs. a non-conference foe.  Take SMU.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks plus the points over Cal State Fullerton.  Each of these teams played Rio Grande Valley over the past two days.  On Monday, the Vaqueros upset the Lumberjacks, 82-80.  Then, last night, Rio Grande also upset Fullerton, 72-67.  We'll grab the points with the Lumberjacks, as they're 15-4 ATS as an underdog of +5 (or more) points off an upset loss, including 6-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes.  Take Northern Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Massachusetts Minutemen minus the points over Massachusetts Lowell, as UMass falls into 55-20 and 91-54 ATS systems of mine that play on certain big home favorites off a SU loss.  The Minutemen lost to Ball State at the Jersey Mike's Classic, 89-86, on Sunday.  And that continued a long-term trend for the Minutemen.  UMass is 2-0 SU/ATS at home this season, but 0-4 ATS away from home.  And it's 18-7 ATS its last 25 at home, compared to 11-23 ATS its last 34 away from home.  So, with the Minutemen back in the friendly environs of the Mullins Center, we'll lay the points with UMass on this Wednesday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over VCU.  This game will be played in the Bahamas, in the Battle 4 Atlantis tournament.  Syracuse comes into this game off an upset loss to Colgate, 100-85, on Saturday.  We'll lay the points with Jim Boeheim's men, as they're 23-11 ATS off an upset defeat.  Take Syracuse.

At 2:30 pm (TIME CHANGE), our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Drexel.  The Gamecocks were supposed to meet Abilene Christian in the first round of this Baha Mar Hoops Tourney, but the Wildcats had to pull out due to COVID-19 protocols.  So, the Gamecocks opened against Valparaiso, instead.  The Beacons won that game, 78-70, and the Gamecocks had yesterday off.  We'll play on Jacksonville State off that defeat, as it falls into one of my favorite NCAA Basketball systems which is 72-27 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, the Dragons are 0-8 ATS off a SU/ATS win when priced from +2 to +6.5 vs. non-conference foes.  Take Jacksonville State.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Bucknell.  These two teams met, coincidentally, seven days ago at Bucknell.  The Bison won that game, 81-74.  They'll now meet in the final round of the Cancun Challenge, and we'll take the revenge-minded Broncs, as they fall into a 65% ATS revenge system of mine.  Lay the points.

At 7:00 pm, our selection is on the Illinois Illini minus the points over Kansas State.  For each of these two teams, yesterday's games were Jekyll-and-Hyde affairs.  Illinois was favored by 10, and broke out to an early 15-point lead vs. Cincinnati, but lost by 20, while K-State fell behind by 18 at the half, yet stormed back to lose by just 8 vs. Arkansas.  We'll lay the points with the Illini, as they're 10-5 ATS off an upset loss, including a perfect 5-0 ATS vs. foes off a SU loss.  Meanwhile, the Wildcats have covered just six of 24 vs. non-conference foes off an upset loss, including 0-9 ATS if their foe was favored by more than six points in its defeat.  Take Illinois to bounce back tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Hofstra.  The Pride is 1-3 SU to start the year, but 3-1 ATS, while Richmond is 2-2 SU/ATS.  These teams met 11 months ago here, and the Pride upset Richmond, 76-71, as a 12-point favorite.  We'll lay the points with Richmond in this revenge match, as the Spiders are a solid 36-26 ATS with revenge, including 16-5 ATS if their foe has a winning ATS record.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Penn State Nittany Lions minus the points over Cornell.  The Big Red are 4-0 SU/3-0 ATS, but will have a tough time staying undefeated after this evening's game, in which they're a double digit underdog.  Cornell is just 1-9-1 ATS when priced from +16.5 to -10 points, off back to back wins.  Take Penn State minus the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Kent State Golden Flashes minus the points over James Madison.  This early game is being played in Naples, FL, as part of the Naples Invitational.  James Madison enters this game off 4 straight wins (including upset win in its last two), and 3 straight covers.  But off those two upset wins, the Dukes fall into a negative 54-105 ATS system of mine.  Even worse, the Dukes are 15-34 ATS their last 49 off an upset win.  Take Kent State.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over Marquette.  The Golden Eagles enter this game off 3 straight upset wins over Illinois, Ole Miss and West Virginia.  But they now fall into a negative 16-43 ATS system of mine which fades certain .833 (or better) teams off back to back upset wins.  And Marquette has also just covered 30% over the last 32 seasons off back to back upsets.  We'll lay the points with St. Bonaventure on Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Boston College Eagles + the points over Rhode Island.  This game is being played as part of the Sunshine Slam tournament in Daytona Beach, FL.  From time to time, teams meet twice in the pre-conference schedule, due to playing a team in a tournament's later rounds, and also having that team on its regular schedule.  And that's the case here, as these teams met just four days ago in Rhode Island.  The Rams won that game by eight points, as a 4.5-point home favorite.  We'll grab the points with Boston College in this rematch, as it falls into three of my better revenge systems.  Moreover, Rhode Island is a wallet-breaking 32-61 ATS at home, or on neutral courts when favored against a revenge-minded foe.  Take Boston College.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Oregon State Beavers minus the points over Princeton.  Wayne Tinkle's Beavers were upset, 78-77, here in Corvallis by Samford, on Thursday.  The Bulldogs shot 50.9% for the game, which was the first time this season Oregon State allowed 44+ percent.  Still, Oregon State is a solid 19-8 ATS its last 27, including 8-2 ATS off a loss.  And the Beavers fall into a 66% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off upset losses.  Lay the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Montana Grizzlies minus the points over Nebraska-Omaha.  After an 0-2 road trip which saw the Grizzlies lose SU/ATS at Mississippi State (as an 11.5-point dog) and North Dakota (as a 7-point favorite), they'll no doubt be happy to be back home at Dahlberg Arena tonight.  And Montana has covered 67% at home vs. non-conference foes, if the Grizzlies were off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Meanwhile, the Mavericks are a poor 16-25 ATS their last 41.  And they fall into negative 43-92 and 91-158 ATS systems of mine that go against certain road teams vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Montana.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Illinois-Chicago.  The Ramblers won, 92-56, vs. Chicago St. on Tuesday.  And they're a terrific 57-32-1 ATS off a point spread win, including 27-10 ATS when favored by more than 6 points.  Even better:  that 36-point win against Chicago St. has triggered an 86-33 ATS 'momentum' system of mine.  Lay the points with Loyola-Chicago.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Dayton Flyers minus the points over Austin Peay.  There's not been a team more disappointing this season than Anthony Grant's Flyers.  They're 0-3 ATS, and have failed to cover by 3.5, 19, and 28.5 points.  No other team has as bad a point spread differential (with at least 3 lined games) than does Dayton.  But this horrible start has, of course, led to an adjustment by the oddsmakers.  And this number, by my math, now confers great value on Dayton.  Indeed, the last time these two teams met, Dayton won by 28, as a 19.5-point favorite.  And Austin Peay's never been great against non-conference foes, as it's 29-106 SU and 52-78-5 ATS, including 0-41 SU and 12-28-1 ATS as an underdog of +14 (or more) points.  Take Dayton.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Drake Bulldogs minus the points over Richmond.  The Bulldogs have been one of the more reliable teams at home over the last several years, as they've gone 41-18 ATS at Knapp Center.  In their last game -- also here at home -- Drake routed South Dakota, 99-50.  And that 49-point blowout win has triggered very good 95-36 and 186-122 ATS 'momentum' systems of mine.  Lay the points with Drake.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Baylor Bears minus the points over Stanford.  This will be the Cardinal's second road game this season.  They were favored by 3 at Santa Clara in their first one, but were blown out, 88-72, by the Broncos.  In that game, Stanford allowed Santa Clara to shoot 59.6% from the floor.  The Cardinal have been consistently poor on the road for years, as they're 29-50 ATS their last 79, including 18-37 ATS as an underdog.  Take Baylor minus the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide minus the points over Oakland.  Alabama is 3-0 SU and 2-1 ATS, but failed to cover the spread vs. South Alabama on Tuesday.  It was favored by 20.5, yet won by just five, 73-68.  Tonight, they'll host Oakland in the first match-up between these teams since 2013 (a game Alabama won by 20).  The Golden Grizzlies are 3-0 ATS to start this young season.  But they're also a horrid 0-13 SU and 2-10-1 ATS as an underdog off back to back point spread wins.  The Crimson Tide, meanwhile, are 5-0 SU/ATS at home off an ATS loss.  Lay the points with Alabama.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Florida International Panthers minus the points over Wisconsin Green Bay.  This game is being played at the Jersey Mike's Classic, in St. Petersburg, FL.  The Panthers blew out Ball State last night, 73-60, as a 1.5-point favorite.  And that was their second straight blowout win, as they also trounced Trinity (FL), 111-48, last Friday.  Green Bay, meanwhile, has yet to win a game, as it's 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS.  We'll take the Panthers tonight, as they're 31-16 ATS away from home off a double-digit win.  And, even better, the favored team in matchups between the Horizon League and Conference USA has gone 34-14 ATS when priced from -2 to -13 points.  Take Florida International.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers minus the points over Marquette.  This game is being played as part of the Charleston Classic, in South Carolina.  Marquette enters off back to back upset wins over Ole Miss (78-72) and Illinois (67-66), while WVU is 3-0 after blowing out Elon, 87-68, last night.  We'll fade Marquette off its back to back upsets, as it's covered just one of its last seven following 2 upset wins, while WVU is also 11-3 ATS vs. foes off back to back upsets (including 5-0 ATS vs. non-conference foes).  And Marquette also falls into a negative 88-139 ATS system of mine that goes against certain teams off back-to-back upsets.  Take WVU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers minus the points over South Carolina Upstate.  The Bucs were blown out by Tennessee, 94-62, on Saturday, but I love ETSU to bounce back this evening.  The Bucs are an impressive 28-11-2 ATS off a loss by more than 8 points, including 7-0 ATS the previous two seasons.  Meanwhile, the Spartans are a wallet-breaking 0-27 SU and 7-19-1 ATS as an underdog, priced from +6.5 to +20 points, including 1-8 ATS vs. a foe off a loss.  Take East Tennessee State minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Detroit.  This is Ben Howland's seventh season as Mississippi State's head coach, and his men are off to a great start this season.  They blew out Montana by 37, and North Alabama by 26, while holding those two teams to 35 of 116 from the floor, combined (30.1%).  This stellar defense is in sharp contrast to that displayed by Detroit in its first two games, as Wyoming hit 34 of 62, while Toledo converted 29 of 60 vs. the Titans (51.6% combined).  The Bulldogs are an awesome 69-39-2 ATS since 2014 at home, here in Starkville.  Meanwhile, the Titans are a woeful 3-27 SU and 6-22-2 ATS as an underdog (or PK) against good defensive teams that give up 66.5 (or less) points per game, including 0-7-1 ATS as an underdog of 14+ points.  Lay the points with Miss State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Harvard Crimson minus the points over Albany.  The Great Danes are 0-2 this season following a 77-56 loss here, at home, vs. Towson, and a road defeat in Philadelphia against LaSalle.  They'll now take on Tommy Amaker's Crimson, and we'll lay the points with the road team.  Harvard is 24-12-1 ATS away from home vs. non-conference foes, while Albany has covered just eight of its last 23 home games.  Additionally, the Great Danes fall into a negative 53-103 ATS system of mine based on their loss at LaSalle.  Take Harvard minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the California Baptist Lancers minus the points over Jackson State.  The Lancers have poured in 87 and 95 points in their first two games, which is not a surprise for this Rick Croy-coached team (the Lancers averaged 79.1 ppg last season).  In their last game, also against a SWAC Conference member (Mississippi Valley State), the Lancers won by 29, but failed to cover the 31-point spread.  But Cal Baptist is 10-4 ATS its last 14 off an ATS loss.  And Jackson State falls into negative 6-35 and 49-97 ATS systems of mine based on their start to this season.  Lay the points with the Lancers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats minus the points over North Dakota State.  The Bison played last night at UNLV, and lost a tough one, 64-62, as a 3.5-point road underdog.  They'll now make the trek to Tucson, to take on Arizona, which has had the last three days off following its 104-50 blowout of Rio Grande Valley, on Friday.  We'll lay the points with Tommy Lloyd's men, as the Bison are 33-54 ATS as a road underdog, while Arizona has cashed 75% since 2014 when playing with at least 3 extra days of rest than its opponent.  Finally, the Wildcats are an impressive 31-0 straight-up, and 27-3-1 ATS at home when favored by 7+ points, if the 'Cats were off a 20-point (or better) blowout win, and covered the spread by at least 10 points in that prior game.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels minus the points over Charleston College.  The 18th-ranked Heels will pay a visit to TD Arena in Charleston tonight.  The last time, these two teams met here was in 2010, and the Cougars upset the Heels, 82-79, as a 13.5-point home dog.  But Carolina has won the two meetings since, including a 19-point SU/ATS win last season in Chapel Hill.  Charleston has been especially poor at home when they've not been the better team, as evidenced by their 8-20-1 ATS record at home when not favored by more than 2 points.  Take North Carolina.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Saint Louis.  Penny Hardaway's 11th-ranked Tigers come into this game off back to back blowout wins over NC Central and Tennessee Tech.  And they've been installed as a double-digit favorite over the Billikens.  We'll lay the points, as Saint Louis is a horrid 1-41 straight-up, and 10-32 ATS as a non-conference underdog of +6 (or more) points.  Take Memphis.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern Wildcats minus the points over New Orleans.  Chris Collins' men are 2-0 SU/ATS after back-to-back wins over teams nicknamed the Panthers (Eastern Illinois + High Point).  New Orleans isn't the Panthers, but we'll still fade it on this Tuesday.  The Privateers have covered just 35.7% as a double-digit dog vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  And they lost SU/ATS here, at Northwestern, in 2016 and 2018 by 34 and 30 points, respectively.  The Wildcats are 26-14 ATS off back to back double-digit wins, and it also falls into a 70.4% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout wins.  Take Northwestern.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Georgia State.  The Spiders were upset by the Aggies of Utah State on Thursday, 85-74, as a 6.5-point favorite.  And that upset loss has triggered a very good 68.1% ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Spiders are 13-3 ATS their last 16 following an upset loss as a 3-point (or greater) favorite.  Take Richmond.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the UNC-Greensboro Spartans minus the points over Coppin State.  This will be the Eagles' 5th game in 7 days -- all on the road -- and they've played these games in the states of Illinois, New Jersey, Connecticut, and now North Carolina.  In its first four, Coppin State has gone 0-4 SU, and 2-2 ATS.  But one disturbing stat is that it's given up 103, 97, 81 and 89 points in its first four games, which is 13.5 ppg higher than its defensive average last season.  These two teams met in Baltimore last season, and the Eagles came away with an 85-80 victory.  I look for the Spartans to avenge that defeat, as it falls into 70-28 and 45-12 ATS Revenge systems of mine, as well as a 20-1 ATS angle which plays on certain revenge-minded teams against foes that give up 90+ points per game.  Take North Carolina-Greensboro.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys minus the points over Arkansas-Pine Bluff.  Jeff Linder took over the Wyoming basketball program last season, and the Cowboys played great toward the end of the season.  They went 3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS to finish the regular season.  And then they also covered the point spread in both Mountain West tourney games, including a narrow 3-point loss (as a 15.5-point underdog) against #1-seeded San Diego State to finish the 2020-21 season.  Wyoming got this year off on a great note, as it blew out Detroit on Thursday, 85-47, as a 4.5-point favorite, for its 7th straight ATS win, dating back to last year.  I look for the Cowboys to notch their 8th straight cover this afternoon against a Pine Bluff team which has allowed 90+ points in each of its first two games this season.  Additionally, the Cowboys are 9-0 ATS their last nine (and 16-5 ATS their last 21) off a cover by 11+ points.  Lay the points with the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.