Sports Picks & Predictions

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Dixie State Trailblazers + the points over New Mexico State.  The Aggies won a huge game vs. Seattle on Saturday, 79-64, to take over first place in the Western Athletic Conference.  Tonight, they'll face the Trailblazers, who are 4-6 in conference play, and they're laying double-digits.  Unfortunately for the Aggies, they're 6-12 ATS as road favorites of -9 (or more) points.  I expect a letdown by the Aggies off that big win, and we'll grab the points with Dixie State.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the San Diego Toreros + the points over Saint Mary's.  San Diego is 5-0 ATS as a conference road underdog this season, and 76-44-1 ATS in this role since 2002.  That bodes well for the Toreros.  As does the fact that the Gaels have covered just 19 of their last 48 conference home games.  Take San Diego.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Belmont Bruins minus the points over Morehead St.  Belmont's 19-5, after winning its 6th straight on Monday vs. Austin Peay.  And its last loss was against these Eagles, back on January 20.  We'll lay the points with the Bruins in this revenge match, as Belmont is 21-9 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat, while the Eagles are 0-7 ATS their last seven as road underdogs of more than 2 points.  Take Belmont.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies minus the points over North Dakota.  The Fighting Hawks come into this game off a win over Omaha.  But the Fighting Hawks had lost their previous 12 games, and are 5-20 on the season.  They're also 13-32 ATS on the road, including 0-17 ATS when priced from +6 to +8.5 points.  Take St. Thomas minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over UAB.  The Golden Eagles come into tonight's game off 3 SU/ATS losses by double-digits, while UAB won SU/ATS vs. Middle Tennessee in its last game.  We'll take Southern Miss, as Conference USA double-digit dogs off 3 SU/ATS losses have covered 62% since 1990 vs. conference foes off a win.  Grab the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Towson.  The Tribe was blown out by the Tigers earlier this season, 91-69.  We'll grab the big number with William & Mary in this early evening game, as the revenger is 24-12-2 ATS in this series, including 16-5-1 ATS as an underdog.  Take William & Mary.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Memphis Tigers minus the points over Tulane.  The Tigers were upset at Tulane earlier this season, 85-84, as a 6-point road favorite.  We'll lay the points with Memphis in this revenge match, as it is 67-42 ATS when playing with revenge from a road defeat.  Even better:  the Green Wave are a horrid 11-24 ATS off a 20-point (or greater) home win.  With Tulane, indeed, off an 86-66 home victory on Saturday over East Carolina, we'll fade Tulane tonight.  Lay the points with Memphis.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Houston.  SMU is 11-0 straight-up at home this season, and has been installed as a home dog tonight.  We'll grab the points, as home underdogs of +1.5 (or more) points have cashed 61% since 1990 if they were undefeated at home, with a record of 11-0 (or better).  Take SMU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisville Cardinals + the points over Notre Dame.  The Cards were blown out, 92-69, by Syracuse on Saturday.  But off that defeat, we'll grab the points with Louisville tonight, as it's 27-7 ATS in conference games off a loss by more than 12 points.  Take the Cardinals.

At 5 pm (note the early start), our selection is on the Columbia Lions + the points over Cornell.  The Lions have been installed as a double-digit road underdog, which bodes well, as they're 47-24 ATS as a double-digit road underdog, including 22-5 ATS their last 27 if their ATS win percentage was below .500.  Meanwhile, Cornell has covered just 10 of 27 Ivy League contests at home when laying more than 9 points.  Take Columbia + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over Missouri-Kansas City.  St. Thomas' SU/ATS losing streak reached seven games with its 88-66 loss at Oral Roberts on Saturday.  They're now back home, and will look to avenge their 81-72 loss to the Kangaroos five days ago.  We'll go against UMKC, as Summit League road favorites have covered just 35.2%  vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses. Take St. Thomas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over the Auburn Tigers.  This is a great matchup between the #1-ranked Tigers, who have won 19 straight, and Arkansas, which enters on an 8-game win streak.  The Razorbacks have also covered four straight, and seven of their last eight.  And that bodes well for them tonight, as in match-ups between two teams with winning SU/ATS records, home underdogs have gone 87-63-2 ATS vs. foes off a win, if our home dog was off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Even better:  the Tigers have gone 20-39-3 ATS as a road favorite, while the Razorbacks are 22-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.  Take the Razorbacks.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies minus the points over Fordham.  The Bonnies are 12-7, but were blown out by Richmond, 71-61, in their last game.  Tonight, they're back home, and we'll lay the points, as at Game 20 forward, .580 (or better) double-digit favorites, off a double-digit loss, are 36-12 ATS their last 48.  Even better:  St. Bonaventure is 8-0-2 ATS their last 10, and 12-1-2 ATS their last 15 vs. Fordham.  Lay the points.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies minus the points over Marquette.  The Golden Eagles upset Villanova, 83-73, in their last game, and will go for their 10th straight ATS win tonight.  And while Marquette does play this game with revenge from a home loss earlier this season, revenge-minded road underdogs off 7 ATS wins have gone 23-46 ATS since 1990.  Take Connecticut minus the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Roadrunners come into tonight's game off three SU/ATS losses to Florida Atlantic (73-64), Rice (91-78) and North Texas (69-45).  They're now getting double-digits on the road, and we'll grab the points.  For technical support, consider that underdogs of more than 9 points have gone 495-409-15 ATS off three SU/ATS losses by 9+ points.  Even better:  .545 (or worse) underdogs of more than 3 points, off 3 SU/ATS losses, have gone 14-0 ATS their last 14 vs. Middle Tennessee.  Take UTSA + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Miami-Ohio RedHawks + the points over Akron.  This is the second of back-to-back games between these Mid-American Conference teams.  Prior to COVID-19, it wasn't routine for teams to play such back-to-backs in the regular season.  Indeed, in 29 seasons, it only happened 144 times.  But in the last two seasons, we've had 707 instances where teams played back-to-back games in the regular season.  The Zips won Round 1 in Akron two days ago, 66-55, as an 8-point home favorite.  We'll take the underdog RedHawks in the rematch, as home teams off SU/ATS losses have been profitable in Round 2, and especially if they played a close game to the point spread in Round 1, and failed to cover by 3 or less points.  These home teams have covered 67% of the time in the COVID-19 era.  Even better:  Akron is a horrid 1-10 ATS its last 11 regular season games when installed as a favorite vs. a revenge-minded foe.  Take Miami-Ohio + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions + the points over St. Mary's.  The Gaels are on a 6-game win streak, while LMU has dropped its last four.  But St. Mary's is a horrid 23-41 ATS off a double-digit conference win, including 3-11 ATS vs. a foe off back to back losses.  Take the Lions + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the BYU Cougars + the points over Gonzaga.  The Cougars were blown out by 26 points by the Zags on January 13.  And that game kicked off a stretch where BYU has gone 3-4 SU and 1-6 ATS, including 0-5 ATS its last five.  We'll take BYU to bounce back tonight, as it falls into a 103-60 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back games where they failed to cover the spread by double-digits.  BYU is 25-8 ATS off 4+ ATS defeats, and 30-19 ATS at home off a point spread loss by 10+ points, including 9-2 ATS vs. foes off back to back wins.  Take the Cougars + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Yale Bulldogs minus the points over Harvard.  The Crimson upset Brown last night, 65-50, as a 3-point road underdog.  But that victory has triggered a negative 67-142 ATS system of mine.  Take Yale.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina Tar Heels + the points over Duke.  It's not often that you can get the Tar Heels as a home underdog, and we won't pass up the opportunity to back them this evening.  Indeed, North Carolina is 8-4 its last 12 as a home dog, and 11-1 ATS at home vs. foes with a scoring margin of at least +5.0.  Take the Tar Heels.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Texas San Antonio Roadrunners + the points over North Texas.  The Mean Green have won seven straight following their upset win at Louisiana Tech last Saturday.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 40-67 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off big wins.  The Roadrunners are 16-7 ATS off back to back conference losses, while North Texas has covered just 13 of 33 vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take UTSA + the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the McNeese State Cowboys minus the points over Northwestern State.  We played on the Demon Deacons on Thursday, and got the $$$ when they defeated Houston Baptist, 97-87.  That was their 3rd straight win, and they're also 6-0-1 ATS their last seven.  But they'll now face a McNeese team off 3 SU/ATS losses, and McNeese falls into a 103-66 ATS angle of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back SU/ATS losses vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take McNeese.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the USC Trojans + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats avenged their lone Pac-12 Conference loss this season when they blew out UCLA on Thursday night.  But off that emotional win, we will fade the Wildcats here, in Tucson, on Saturday.  USC is a solid 19-9 ATS on the road, while Arizona is a soft 38-58 ATS at home off a home conference win.  Take USC + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Buffalo Bulls minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Bulls were upset at home by Ohio last week.  We'll lay the points with Buffalo, as it's 9-1 ATS as a favorite on the road off an upset loss when matched up against a losing opponent.  Take Buffalo.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers minus the points over Bryant.  The Bulldogs have won their last seven games, including 6-0 ATS their last six, while the Mountaineers have won six straight, but have covered eight in a row.  So, something will have to give this afternoon.  We'll take the Mountaineers at home, as they play with revenge from a 7-point loss at Bryant in January, and are 10-2 their last 12 home games off a win.  Meanwhile, the Bulldogs are a poor 12-28 ATS when playing the 2nd of back-to-back road games.  Lay the points with the Mountaineers.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers minus the points over Middle Tennessee.  The Blue Raiders upset the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers in Bowling Green last Saturday, and will look for their third straight upset win this afternoon.  But they'll be hard-pressed to get it, as UAB is 17-8 ATS at home, and also 6-0 ATS at home off a road loss.  Take the Blazers minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Duquesne Dukes + the points over VCU.  Keith Dambrot's men are on a six game SU/ATS losing streak.  But Duquesne falls into a 377-245 ATS contrarian system of mine which plays on certain teams playing poor basketball.  And VCU is a poor 33% ATS the past 32 years as double-digit favorites vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Duquesne + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the NC State Wolfpack over Notre Dame.  NC State has dropped 3 straight games (both SU and ATS), including a loss to Notre Dame, 73-65, in South Bend 10 days ago, and an upset loss here in Raleigh, on Wednesday, to Syracuse.  We'll take the Wolfpack in this rematch, as ACC home teams have cashed 63% since 1990 off an upset home loss, when matched up against an opponent off a win.  Take NC State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the George Washington Colonials + the points over Davidson.  The Wildcats upset St. Bonaventure on the road this past Tuesday.  But they're a horrible 1-9 ATS when playing the 2nd of back to back road games.  Take George Washington + the points.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Towson.  The Huskies are mired in an 8-game ATS losing streak, and have also dropped their last 12 games, straight-up.  But that's led to a point spread which is inflated.  Indeed, the last time the Huskies covered was against these Tigers, and Northeastern was an 8-point road underdog in that game (and lost by just 3).  Now, they're getting too many points at home.  Take Northeastern + the points.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the North Carolina Greensboro Spartans + the points over Furman.  The Paladins have won 10 of 12, and are also on an 8-game ATS win streak.  But they're priced too high in this game, and we'll happily take the double-digits with Greensboro, which is 30-15 ATS as a double-digit conference underdog.  Take UNC-G + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Colorado State Rams minus the points over San Diego State.  When these two teams met earlier this season, the Rams were undefeated, at 11-0.  We played against CSU in that game, and were rewarded with a 79-49 victory.  But we will take the Rams as .700 (or better) teams, playing with revenge from a 30-point (or worse) defeat, have covered 67% at home since 1990, if they were also off a loss in their previous game.   With the Rams, indeed, coming into tonight's game off a loss to Wyoming, we'll take Colorado State to bounce back on this Friday.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals + the points over Toledo.  The Rockets have won and covered each of their last 9 games, including a 13-point win (as a 12.5-point home favorite) vs. these Cardinals, on Jan. 18.  We'll take Ball State in this rematch, as the Cards are 7-0 ATS their last seven lined home games, while Toledo has covered just 6 of 19 road games vs. revenge-minded underdogs it beat earlier in the season.  Finally, the home team is 39-24 ATS in this series, including 10-3 ATS as a home underdog.  Take the Cardinals + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears minus the points over Washington.  California enters tonight's game on an 8-game losing streak.  And one of those eight defeats was in Seattle vs. these Huskies.  We'll lay the points with California, as it is 17-7-1 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season vs. a foe off a SU/ATS win.  And it also falls into a 49-14 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3+ losses.  Lay the points with California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Cal Riverside Highlanders minus the points over Hawaii.  Riverside was upset, 65-60, by Cal Davis on Tuesday.  But Riverside has cashed 75% since 1990 as a favorite off a loss, when matched up against a conference foe off back to back wins.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Pacific.  The Waves were blown out by 24 points on Saturday by St. Mary's.  But the Waves are 74-49 ATS off a double-digit road loss.  Take the underdog Waves tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys over Boise St.  The Cowboys lost at Boise, 65-62, less than 10 days ago, but that has been their only defeat in their last nine games.  We'll take Wyoming tonight, as it is 22-9-1 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 10-1 ATS off a SU/ATS win.  And the Cowboys are a wallet-fattening 25-11 ATS off a SU win.  Take Wyoming.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Grand Canyon Antelopes minus the points over Seattle.  The Antelopes had an 0-3 SU/ATS road trip, which culminated in a 71-61 loss at New Mexico State on Saturday.  But they're back home tonight, where they're 10-1 SU this season.  And they're 21-4 SU and 15-5 ATS over their last 25 home games, including 2-0 ATS off a SU loss.  Take Grand Canyon.  Good luck as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the St. Thomas Tommies + the points over Kansas City.  UMKC is 12-9 on the season.  But Summit League teams, with a winning record, are an awful 29.6% ATS as favorites vs. conference foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take St. Thomas + the points.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Northwestern St. Demon Deacons over Houston Baptist.  The Demon Deacons are on a 5-0-1 ATS streak, and are 29-16-1 ATS in conference games, while the Huskies are 10-22 ATS at home.  Take Northwestern St.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Troy St.  The Panthers fall into several of my very best systems, including one with a 258-174 ATS record.  The Panthers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins, and we'll look for them to notch their 3rd straight win and cover as they will take on a Troy team off an upset win in its last game.  Unfortunately for the Trojans, they're 0-10 ATS on the road off a conference upset win.  Take Georgia State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks have ripped off an improbable 12 straight wins, including 8 UPSET WINS, and are 11-0 ATS in this stretch.  But we'll fade Wilmington tonight, as it falls into a negative 62-86 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams that have won more than 10 games in a row, as well as a negative 53-84 ATS angle that goes against certain teams off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Elon to end Wilmington's win streak tonight.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Michigan Broncos + the points over Central Michigan.  The Broncos are in a great position to snap their long losing streak (11 games) tonight, as they fall into several of my favorite NCAA Basketball systems, including one with an 83-28 ATS record, and another with a 167-95 ATS mark.  For technical support, consider that Mid-American Conference teams off 3 straight double-digit losses, have covered 73% on the road since 1990 vs. foes off upset wins.  Take Western Michigan.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Charlotte.  Western Kentucky comes into tonight's game on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  And this downturn has triggered a very good 127-64 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off a home loss, that have also lost 5+ games in a row.  Charlotte has covered 13 of 36 home conference games vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS losses.  Take Western Kentucky.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Tech Bulldogs minus the points over Florida Atlantic.  La Tech lost a 1-point game to North Texas on Saturday, but should bounce back at Florida Atlantic tonight.  The Bulldogs are 21-11 ATS their last 32 as a favorite, and 9-2 ATS off a loss.  Lay the points.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Austin Peay Governors + the points over Murray St.  We played on the Racers as a double-digit home favorite on Saturday, and got the $$$ with a win over Morehead St.  Tonight, we'll fade the Racers as a double-digit road favorite, as Austin Peay is 4-13 ATS on the road off a double-digit home win.  Take the Governors + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison + the points over Colgate.  The Bison will look to make it two-wins-in-a-row on this Wednesday after upsetting Loyola-Maryland on Sunday, 82-80.  And this is a revenge match for Bucknell, as the Raiders went into Lewisburg two weeks ago, and blew out the Bison, 75-56.  We'll go against the Raiders tonight, as favorites of more than 15 points, that won on the road by more than 8 points earlier in the season, have covered just 128 of 309 vs. foes off a win.  Take Bucknell + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Kentucky.  The Wildcats went into Lawrence, and upset Kansas, as a 5-point road underdog this past weekend.  But Kentucky has covered just seven of 18 home conference games off an upset win, including 4-9 ATS when playing a revenge-minded foe.  Even worse:  SEC Conference favorites of more than 14 points are a poor 87-130 ATS in the regular season when matched up against an opponent not off a SU/ATS win.  Take Vandy + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the St. John's Red Storm minus the points over Providence.  The Johnnies lost by 11 at Villanova on Saturday, and also fell by 10 at Providence earlier in January.  But they're 11-3 ATS at home off a road loss.  And they're 35-17 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, including 13-2 ATS as a home favorite of less than 6 points.  Take St. John's minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Seton Hall Pirates minus the points over Georgetown.  The Pirates stumbled badly in their last two games -- both at home -- as they were upset by St. John's and Marquette.  We'll look for Kevin Willard's men to rebound tonight against a 6-12 Hoyas club which has lost eight straight games (3-5 ATS).  Seton Hall is 27-10 ATS away from home off a home loss.  And it also falls into a 67% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back home losses.  Take the Pirates.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Canisius Golden Griffins + the points over Siena.  In its last game, Siena scored a season-high 85 points, in a nine-point win over Quinnipiac.  And that was the Saints' second straight win and cover.  Unfortunately for Siena, it's 0-9 ATS as a home favorite in Conference games off a home win, in which it scored 82+ points.  And it's also a woeful 20-40 ATS in the regular season off back to back SU/ATS wins, including 0-9-1 ATS when favored by less than 6 points (or PK).  Take Canisius + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:00 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs minus the points over New Mexico.  The Aztecs were upset by Utah State on Wednesday, 75-57, as a 1-point road favorite.  I look for SDSU to bounce back tonight, as it's 33-23 ATS as a favorite of 9+ points off a SU loss.  Additionally, Mountain West conference home favorites have gone 50-28 ATS off an upset loss.  Lay the points with the Aztecs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Morehead State Eagles minus the points over Tennessee Tech.  We played against Morehead State in its road game on Saturday at Murray State, and were rewarded with a 77-66 victory.  Tonight, we'll switch gears and play on Morehead State as a road favorite, as winning Ohio Valley Conference teams have gone 27-13 ATS as road favorites vs. .333 (or worse) foes.  Lay the points with Morehead.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Drexel Dragons + the points over NC Wilmington.  The Seahawks have won 11 straight, with 10 straight ATS wins.  But this extremely long win streak has set Wilmington up in several negative point spread situations, so we'll take Drexel tonight + the points.  Moreover, the Seahawks are a poor 2-12 ATS at home off 4+ ATS wins.  Take the Dragons.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Canisius Golden Griffins + the points over Rider.  The Broncs have been installed as a favorite this afternoon vs. Canisius, but have covered just 19 of their last 50 when dressed up as the favorite.  Meanwhile, the Golden Griffins are 31-17-3 ATS as an underdog, including 14-1-1 ATS vs. Metro Atlantic conference foes off a SU/ATS loss.  The underdog has covered the last 5 in this series, and we'll take the points with Canisius.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over BYU.  The Tigers are mired in a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But this ice cold stretch has triggered a very good 180-98 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Additionally, the Tigers have cashed 73% at home as a double-digit underdog when playing with revenge from a double-digit loss.  Take Pacific + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the UCF Knights + the points over Houston.  Central Florida has gone 67-20 SU and 39-32-1 ATS its last 87 home games.  And we'll grab the points with UCF tonight, as it will take on a Houston club coming into this game off a 43-point blowout of East Carolina.  Unfortunately, that blowout win has triggered a negative 30-80 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams off blowout victories.  And the Knights are also 9-3 ATS off a point spread loss, while Houston is a wallet-busting 23-38-1 ATS on the road vs. foes off back to back ATS losses.  Take Central Florida.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola Marymount Lions minus the points over San Diego.  The Lions lost to the Toreros, 70-65, earlier this month.  We'll take Loyola in this rematch, as the Toreros have covered just 56 of 154 when not getting more than 8 points vs. a revenge-minded foe.  That bodes well for Loyola today.  As does the fact that the Lions are 6-0 ATS their last six (and 17-4 ATS their last 21) off back to back losses.  Take Loyola minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over UAB.  The Blazers come into Huntington on a 4-game win streak.  But UAB is a dreadful 1-22 ATS away from home off 3+ wins, if matched up against a conference foe, and not getting more than 2 points.  Take Marshall.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Murray State Racers minus the points over Morehead State.  Two red-hot teams will clash in the Ohio Valley Conference tonight.  Murray State has won its last nine (6-3 ATS), while Morehead is on a 10-game win streak (4-4-1 ATS).  We'll lay the points with the Racers, as they're 24-8 ATS their last 32 at home, including 5-1 ATS vs. .700 (or better) foes.  Moreover, double-digit underdogs, off 10+  wins, have covered just 35.7% vs. winning conference foes off back to back wins.  Take Murray State minus the points.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the Texas State Bobcats minus the points over Texas Arlington.  These two teams met in Arlington, on Thursday, and the Mavericks upset Texas State, 70-58, as as 3-point home dog.  That was the Bobcats' second straight SU/ATS loss.  But it's covered 63% as a favorite off back to back SU/ATS losses, and we'll look for Texas State to get back into the win column this evening.  Lay the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Alabama Crimson Tide + the points over Baylor.  Nate Oates' Crimson Tide have not lived up to expectations this season, as they're 13-7 SU and 7-12-1 ATS, after dropping Tuesday's game in Athens, 82-76, as a 14.5-point road favorite vs. Georgia.  The good news for 'Bama is that it's a solid 36-17-3 ATS at home off a conference loss, when it wasn't favored by 3 or more points in the current game.  And Baylor's 0-8 ATS in the regular season vs. a foe off an upset loss as a favorite of more than 5 points.  Take Alabama.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix minus the points over William & Mary.  After starting the season with 12 straight ATS defeats, the Tribe is now 7-1 ATS its last eight, including a point spread win vs. this Elon team two nights ago.  Elon did win that game, 61-54, as an 8-point home favorite.  Tonight, the series has shifted to Williamsburg, and the Tribe are a small home underdog.  We'll fade the Tribe, as it's covered just 4 of 18 games when not getting more than 4 points, including 0-6 ATS its last six.  Take Elon to hand the Tribe a second consecutive defeat.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over Charleston.  The Cougars have been horrid of late, as a favorite, as they're 0-6 ATS their last six.  We'll grab the points with Northeastern, as Colonial Athletic Ass'n teams off back to back SU/ATS losses have gone 82-63 ATS as road underdogs vs. winning conference foes.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers minus the points over Middle Tennessee.  In its last game, Western Kentucky gave the 17-4 UAB Blazers all they could handle, before falling by three points at home, 68-65.  And that was Western's fourth straight loss by single digits.  Still, the Hilltoppers either pushed or covered the point spread in that game.  This afternoon, the Hilltoppers are favored against the Blue Raiders.  And we'll lay the points, as home favorites off a home loss, and 3+ losses overall, have cashed 67.1% vs. conference foes off a road win, and 3+ wins overall.  Even better:  the Hilltoppers are a perfect 8-0 ATS as a home favorite off a home loss, if matched up against a foe with a winning ATS record.  Take Western Kentucky.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Winthrop Eagles plus the points over Longwood.  The Eagles aren't making many friends "in Vegas" this season, as they're just 4-13 ATS.  But Winthrop's underperforming play has created point spread value.  So, we'll happily take the Eagles as an underdog this afternoon versus a team they've defeated in 15 of the previous 16 meetings, including 3 double-digit wins last season.  Even better:  Winthrop's 10-1 ATS its last 11 as a road underdog (or PK).  Take the Eagles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the TCU Horned Frogs + the points over LSU.  The Horned Frogs have covered eight of their past 10 games, and have held their opponents to an average of 61.9 ppg over this stretch.  For the season, TCU gives up just 61.4 ppg, and the LSU Tigers have covered just 5 of 26 road games when favored by more than 2 points against an opponent which surrenders less than 68 per game.  Even better:  in competitively-priced games between the Big 12 and SEC Conferences, with point spreads of 4 points or less, the Big 12 teams have gone 68-39-1 ATS, including 29-9 ATS vs. SEC foes with a W/L percentage of .800 (or better).  Take the home underdog Horned Frogs.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Butler.  These two teams met less than three weeks ago, and the Bulldogs bested the Hoyas, 72-58. We'll take the underdog Hoyas this afternoon, as they're an awesome 13-0 ATS their last 13, and 23-5 ATS when playing with revenge, and not getting more than 9 points.  Take Georgetown.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Northridge State Matadors + the points over Hawaii.  The Rainbow Warriors are on a 5-game SU/ATS win streak while Northridge is on a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But we will step in and take the points with the ice cold underdog on the road tonight, as Big West Conference road teams (like Northridge) off 3 ATS losses, have covered 72.5% vs. conference foes off back to back ATS wins.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10:30 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over San Diego.  The Waves were upset, 72-62, at home by San Diego less than three weeks ago, as a 4-point home favorite.  We'll take the Waves to avenge that loss, as Pepperdine is 11-3 ATS when playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season, while San Diego has covered just 5 of 21 vs. revenge-minded foes that it beat on the road earlier in the season.  Take Pepperdine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Idaho State Bengals + the points over Sacramento State.  I'm not a fan of laying a lot of points with bad teams in bad form, yet that's what the oddsmakers would have you do with the Hornets tonight.  Sacramento State is 5-10 this season, and has lost four straight (both SU/ATS), yet is favored by a healthy amount against Idaho State.  But teams on 3-game (or worse) SU/ATS losing streaks, with .333 (or worse) records have been awful bets when favored by 6 (or more) points at Game 16 forward.  Take Idaho State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Pacific Tigers + the points over Portland.  The Pilots have dropped their last two games, and have been installed as a home favorite tonight vs. Pacific.  We'll grab the points with the Tigers, as Portland is a horrid 46-71 ATS at home off back to back losses, and 1-9 ATS its last 10 off back to back Conference defeats.  Pacific has also won 9 straight in this series (7-2 ATS).  Take the underdog Tigers tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie. 

At 8 pm, our selection is on Omaha + the points over Oral Roberts.  The Golden Eagles blew out the Mavs, 107-62, when the two teams met at ORU on New Year's Day.  We'll take the home dog tonight, as it falls into a 57-27 ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams that lost by 40+ points earlier in the season.  Take Omaha.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the North Dakota Fighting Hawks + the points over South Dakota State.  The Jackrabbits enter this game with a 17-4 record, and have won 8 straight after blowing out Western Illinois, 93-75, on Saturday.  Summit Conference teams have covered just 30% when laying more than 14 points, while the Jackrabbits are 1-6 ATS in this point spread role.  Take North Dakota.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers + the points over LA Lafayette.  The Panthers have dropped their last five games, including back to back home upset losses to Appalachian St and Coastal Carolna last week.  We'll grab the points with Rob Lanier's men, as they fall into a 67% ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Even better:  the Panthers are 7-0-2 ATS off 5+ losses.  Take Georgia State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies + the points over NC Wilmington.  These two teams met just three days ago at Northeastern, and the Seahawks upset the Huskies, 74-68, as a 2.5-point road underdog.  And that was NC Wilmington's 4th straight upset win!  We'll take the Huskies in this revenge match, as Wilmington falls into a negative 25% ATS system of mine based on the fact that it's won four straight games outright as an underdog.  And, even better, the Seahawks are 0-12 ATS at home when on a 4-game (or greater) ATS win streak.  Take Northeastern.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Herd has dropped nine straight games -- both SU and ATS -- while Middle Tennessee is on a 3-game win streak, and has covered three of its last four.  These two diverging near-term results might have you react by favoring the underdog Blue Raiders.  But be careful, as Marshall falls into several of my best contrarian systems with records of 169-85, 45-20, 100-39 and 60-21 ATS since 1990.  Moreover, the Blue Raiders are a poor 7-20 ATS off back to back double-digit home wins.  Take Marshall.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the UCLA Bruins + the points over Arizona.  The Wildcats are running roughshod over the Pac-12 Conference, with a 6-0 record, and wins by 25, 16, 21, 18, 28, and 25 points.  That's led the Wildcats to be favored on the road vs. a solid 13-2 UCLA team which has (admittedly) been less impressive in its Pac-12 games, with a scoring margin of +6.33 ppg.  But UCLA is 6-2 ATS as a home underdog since 2015.  And teams that are at least 10 games above .500 have gone 60% ATS as home underdogs vs. conference foes off a point spread win.  Take UCLA.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgetown Hoyas + the points over Connecticut.  Big East Conference teams have gone 431-357 ATS as double-digit road underdogs, and Georgetown has done its part in this role, as it's gone 21-13-1 ATS as a double-digit road underdog, including 7-1 ATS when priced from +13.5 to +17.5 points.  We'll grab the points with Patrick Ewing's men, as Georgetown also falls into a 211-117 ATS system of mine which plays on certain off losses vs. foes with winning SU/ATS records.  Take the Hoyas.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores + the points over Missouri State.  The Sycamores will look to bounce back tonight off an upset home loss to Valpo, on Saturday.  Meanwhile, the Bears went into Chicago that same day, and upset the Ramblers, 79-69, as an 8-point road underdog.  Off that upset win, we'll fade the Bears as a road favorite in Terre Haute, as they're 2-8 ATS as a conference road favorite after covering the spread by 10+ points in their previous game, while the Sycamores have covered 63% since 1990 as a home dog off an upset loss.  Take Indiana St + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Kansas Jayhawks minus the points over Texas Tech.  The Red Raiders upset Kansas, 76-67, as 7-point home underdogs earlier this season.  We'll take the Jayhawks in this rematch, as Kansas is a spectacular 17-2 ATS when playing with revenge from an upset loss earlier in the season.  Lay the points.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the Delaware State Hornets + the points over South Carolina State.  The Hornets are 0-11 SU and 2-9 ATS their last 11 games, while the Bulldogs are 7-3 SU and 6-3-1 ATS their last 10, including an upset win over Maryland-Eastern Shore their last time out.  Unfortunately for South Carolina State, NCAA teams off upset wins, with a winning ATS record, have cashed just 39% since 1990 vs. foes on an 11-game (or worse) losing streak.  Take Delaware State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Northeastern Huskies minus the points over NC Wilmington.  On the surface, the two teams are headed in opposite directions.  Wilmington has won eight straight games, while Northeastern has lost eight straight.  But the ice cold Huskies have been installed as a favorite.  We'll lay the points as favorites off 8+ defeats have covered over 55% the past 32 years.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks minus the points over Texas A&M.  The Aggies upset Arkansas, 86-81, as a 1.5-point home underdog two weeks ago.  We'll take the Razorbacks in this revenge match, as they're 8-0 ATS their last eight and 24-10 ATS their last 34), if they weren't favored by 10+ points, and matched up against a foe which upset it in the previous meeting.  Lay the points with the Razorbacks.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tarleton State Texans minus the points over Seattle.  The Redhawks are 14-4 after winning at Abilene Christian on Thursday, as a 6-point road underdog, while Tarleton was upset as a 5-point home favorite by Cal Baptist.  But that upset win by Seattle has triggered a very good 31-1 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  Additionally, Seattle is 5-9 ATS off an upset win.  And winning WAC Conference teams off an upset win have covered just 33% as underdogs since 1990 vs. foes off an upset loss.  Take Tarleton minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Louisiana Lafayette Rajin Cajuns minus the points over Troy.  The Trojans upset Louisiana Monroe in their last game.  But Troy is a horrible 8-24-1 ATS its last 33 (and 27-47-1 ATS its last 75) games off an upset win.  Meanwhile, the Cajuns were upset here, at home, by South Alabama on Thursday.  But Lafayette is a terrific 36-22 -2 ATS off an upset loss.  And it also falls into 47-20 and 348-227 ATS systems of mine which play on certain teams off a loss vs. foes off a win  Take Louisiana Lafayette minus the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks + the points over Murray State.  The Skyhawks come into this game off a 15-point upset loss to Austin Peay, and now fall into a 430-239-13 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off blowout losses.  Moreover, NCAA double-digit underdogs, off a 15-point (or worse) upset loss, have covered 140-93-4 ATS since 1990.  Take Tennessee-Martin + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the New Mexico Lobos + the points over Wyoming.  The Lobos are 79-58-1 ATS vs. .750 (or better) foes, while Wyoming is a wallet-breaking 0-12 ATS as a double-digit conference favorite in the regular season.  Take New Mexico.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Texas Southern Tigers minus the points over Alabama A&M.  The Tigers are 5-10 after an 0-2 road trip which saw them lost at Alcorn State, and at Jackson State.  But those two losses have triggered a very good 61% ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off back to back defeats.  And Texas Southern is also 19-7 ATS its last 26 games.  Take the Tigers minus the points.

At 5 pm, our selection is on the McNeese State Cowboys over Incarnate Word.  The Cardinals are a wallet-breaking 0-13 SU and 2-11 ATS when priced as an underdog of +20 (or less) points (or PK).  And McNeese also falls into a strong 164-85 ATS system of mine which plays on certain losing teams installed as a favorite.  Take McNeese St. minus the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the North Carolina State Wolfpack minus the points over Virginia.  NC State lost its last game, SU/ATS here, at home, to Virginia Tech, to drop to 9-10 on the season.  And that was the 2nd straight SU/ATS loss by the Wolfpack.  But it's covered 67% at home over the past 32 years if it was off a home SU/ATS loss, and also lost SU/ATS two games back.  And NC State also falls into one of my favorite systems, which is 85-24 ATS, which plays on certain favorites with losing records.  Lay the points with the Wolfpack.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points.  TCU comes into this game off a narrow 1-point loss (and ATS win) at Oklahoma State, while Iowa State lost here, at home, its last time out.  But I love Iowa State to bounce back, as the Cyclones have historically had one of the strongest home courts in college basketball, and especially when favored by single-digits (or PK), as they're 102-63-3 ATS since 1990, including 30-12-1 ATS if their foe was playing back to back road games.  Meanwhile, TCU is a horrible 0-8 ATS in the regular season, as an underdog playing back to back conference road games, if its opponent owned a losing conference record.   Take Iowa State.

At 4 pm our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd + the points over Florida Atlantic.  The Herd have lost eight straight games, but I love them to end their long losing streak this afternoon.  Marshall is 8-2 ATS the last 10 meetings with the Owls.  And Florida Atlantic is a poor 8-27 ATS as a favorite vs. losing teams off back to back losses.  Take Marshall + the points.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Ole Miss Rebels + the points over Mississippi State.  The Rebels were blown out, 78-53, as an 8-point home favorite by Missouri in their last game.  But we'll take Ole Miss to bounce back tonight, as SEC Conference double-digit dogs have gone 140-82 ATS off a loss by 12+ points, including 12-3 ATS on the road off an upset loss.  The Rebels are also 12-5 ATS their last 17 vs. their cross-state rivals, including a 10-point win two weeks ago.  Take Mississippi + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Bucknell Bison over Holy Cross.  Bucknell has dropped 8 straight games, but is in a great position to break its losing streak this afternoon at Holy Cross, as the Crusaders have won just once in its last 10 games.  The Crusaders have been installed as a small home favorite, but they're a woeful 6-16 ATS as a home favorite (or PK).  And they also fall into a negative 25-80 ATS system of mine which goes against certain losing teams that aren't favored by 4+ points.  Take Bucknell.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles + the points over Middle Tennessee St.  The Blue Raiders come into this home game off an 11-point home win over Florida International.  Unfortunately, the Blue Raiders are 6-12 ATS off a double-digit win, and 7-19 ATS off back to back double-digit home wins.  Meanwhile, Southern Miss has dropped its last three to the point spread, but falls into 168-85 and 77-22 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on ATS losing streaks.  Grab the points with the Golden Eagles.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Georgia State Panthers minus the points over Coastal Carolina.  The Panthers have dropped their last four games, while the Chanticleers upset Georgia Southern their last time on the court.  Unfortunately for Coastal Carolina, it's 1-8-1 ATS its last 10 (and 8-24-1 ATS its last 33) off a straight-up win.  And Georgia State is a super 16-7 ATS off 4+ losses.  Take the Panthers.

At 11 pm, our Mountain West Game of the Year is on the Nevada Wolf Pack over Fresno State.  The Bulldogs come into this game off 3 SU/ATS wins, while Nevada will try to bounce back off a 77-67 upset home loss to Wyoming this past Monday.  The good news for Nevada is that it's 30-10 ATS off an upset loss, when not favored by more than 6 points.  Even better:  Nevada's won the last eight meetings vs. Fresno (6-2 ATS).  And it also falls into 257-172 and 76-22 ATS systems of mine which play against certain teams (like Fresno) off wins.   Finally, the Wolf Pack are a dominant 13-4 ATS at home vs. foes off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take Nevada.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Evansville Purple Aces + the points over Illinois State.  The Aces come into tonight's game off back to back blowout losses to Bradley (79-47) and Loyola-Chicago (77-48), and have won just 4 of 16 games.  Meanwhile, Illinois State is 9-9, and has covered 6 of 7.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to go against Evansville tonight, especially given the single-digit point spread.  But NCAA teams off back to back 25-point (or worse) losses have covered 72 of 115 vs. .500 (or better) foes, when our 'play-on' team (here, Evansville) wasn't getting 10+ points.  That bodes well for Evansville tonight.  As does the fact that it's 11-3-1 ATS at Illinois State, including a perfect 6-0-1 ATS off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Evansville + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Pepperdine Waves + the points over Loyola Marymount.  The Waves have dropped 4 straight games (both SU and ATS) and fall into a 429-239 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off losses.  Loyola did win its previous game -- 70-58 vs. Portland -- also here, at home.  But Loyola is a poor 7-16 ATS its last 23, and 55-76-4 ATS its last 135 off a home win.  And it's 15-31 ATS in this series.  Take Pepperdine.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.