Sports Picks & Predictions

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Old Dominion Monarchs over Louisiana Tech.  Old Dominion comes into this game off back to back upset losses.  Still, ODU was 13-5 in Conference USA play this season.  And teams with a .601 (or better) conference W/L percentage have covered 67% since 1990 in the Conference Tourneys, if they were off back to back upset losses. Take Old Dominion.

At 12:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes + the points over Indiana.  Ohio State has dropped its last three games, including an overtime heartbreaker on Sunday vs. Wisconsin.  The good news for the Buckeyes this afternoon is that they will be playing an Indiana team off a 16-point home blowout of Rutgers (and an 18-point road win at Illinois two games back).  Why is this good?  Because Indiana is an awful 33-55 ATS away from home after covering the spread in back to back games.  And it's 0-8 ATS away from home after winning its previous game by 15+ points.  Take the Buckeyes.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Villanova Wildcats minus the points over Providence.  The #1-seeded Wildcats were upset in their final regular season game -- 79-75 at Seton Hall.  We'll take the 'Cats to bounce back this afternoon, as teams off upset losses away from home to end the regular season have rebounded to cover the spread 59% of the time in the Conference Tourney.  Even better:  Villanova won both meetings this season vs. Providence, including an 18-point blowout on Feb. 13.  Take Villanova.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Washington State Cougars + the points over Oregon.  Wazzu has lost five straight games -- both SU and ATS -- while Oregon has won and covered four straight.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play against the ice-cold Cougars.  But I have a great 39-9 ATS system, as well as a 26-3 ATS angle, that both play on certain teams off 5 straight losses (and 3 straight ATS losses).  The Cougars are also 9-2 ATS in their last 11 post-season games.  Take Washington State + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the North Texas Mean Green minus the points over Florida International.  This is a rematch of a game played four days ago on the Panthers home court.  Florida International did win that home game, 73-58.  But that sets up North Texas to get revenge today, as teams off a SU/ATS road loss in their final regular season game have covered 57% of the time when they're matched up against the very same foe in the Conference tourney.  Take North Texas.

At 9:30 pm, our selection is on the Syracuse Orange minus the points over Pittsburgh.  After losing 13 straight games (both SU and ATS) - which was the first time it has happened in the 29 years my database covers (and maybe the first time ever) - the Panthers have ripped off 2 straight wins and covers.  We actually played on Pitt in the first of those two wins (against Notre Dame), though we laid off yesterday's game vs. Boston College.  We won't lay off tonight's game, though, as Syracuse falls into an 85-47 ATS system of mine, based on its 67-55 loss to Clemson on Saturday.  And it's also 7-1 ATS off a double-digit loss this season.  Additionally, Syracuse has defeated Pitt four straight times.  And the Panthers are a poor 5-13 ATS this season when playing with revenge.  Take Syracuse.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Richmond Spiders minus the points over Fordham.  The Spiders have dropped four straight games heading into this Atlantic 10 Tourney.  But Fordham hasn't done much better, with losses in five of its last six games (and 16 of its last 19).  We'll lay the points this afternoon, as favorites on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks have cashed 71% of Tournament games provided they weren't upset in their previous game.  Take Richmond.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2:30 pm, our selection is on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish minus the points over Georgia Tech.  The Fighting Irish are currently riding a 7-game losing streak, as they haven't won since February 10.  And their opponent on that day?  These Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets.  Notre Dame won that game, 69-59.  And we'll look for the Irish to defeat Georgia Tech once again on this Tuesday afternoon, as favorites on 4-game (or worse) losing streaks have cashed 70% of Tournament games provided they weren't upset in their previous game.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the San Francisco Dons minus the points over Pepperdine.  The Dons have dropped three straight games.  But this losing streak has triggered several of my best systems, with records of 89-41, 75-35 and 237-163.  Moreover, in the West Coast Conference Tournament, teams off 3 ATS losses have covered 75% of the time, including a perfect 7-0 ATS when favored by more than a point.  Take San Francisco.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over LSU.  The Commodores were blitzed, 84-48, as a 1.5-point home underdog vs. Arkansas.  The good news is that SEC Conference teams have generally rebounded off horrible losses, as they've cashed 77% as underdogs in Conference games off a loss where they failed to cover by 30+ points.  Take Vanderbilt + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the Mercer Bears + the points over Furman.  The Bears suffered their worst Southern Conference defeat as NC Greensboro blew them out by 27 points last Saturday.  But we'll grab the points with Mercer, as losing teams, off a double-digit SU/ATS loss (and 2 SU/ATS losses, overall), have cashed 78.5% since 1990 in the Tourneys vs. winning teams off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Mercer.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Western Illinois Leathernecks + the points over South Dakota State.  These two teams just met seven days ago, and Western Illinois lost by 20, 86-66.  But we'll take the double-digit underdog in this re-match, as underdogs have covered a solid 58.4% in the Summit League Tourney.  The Leathernecks also fall into 75-35 and 84-46 ATS systems of mine.  Take Western Illinois.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Duke Blue Devils + the points over North Carolina.  UNC went into Durham, and routed the Blue Devils, 88-72, in late February.  But we'll grab the points with Duke in this rematch, as the revenging team in this series has covered 10 straight away from home if it wasn't getting more than 4 points.  Take Duke.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 6:05 pm, our selection is on the Northern Iowa Panthers + the points over Drake.  The Panthers have been a consistently good tournament team over the years, and especially when they owned a winning Missouri Valley Conference record.  Since 1994, they've cashed 71.4% in this role.  Northern Iowa has also dominated the Bulldogs, as they've gone 39-18-3 ATS in the series, including 13-0-1 ATS their last 14 off a game in which they covered by 6+ points.  Take Northern Iowa.

At 6:00 pm, our selection is on the Kansas State Wildcats minus the points over Oklahoma.  The Sooners upset Kansas, 81-68, in Norman, on Tuesday.  Unfortunately, they're an awful 0-17 ATS away from home off a conference win, if they weren't getting 10+ points.  Take Kansas State.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Temple Owls over Central Florida.  The Owls have been extremely dominant at home when not laying more than 6 points.  They're 60-27-2 ATS in this role, including 42-14-1 ATS vs. Conference foes (and then 32-7 ATS when Pk'em or favored).  Take Temple to blow out UCF.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers minus the points over Notre Dame.  The Panthers have lost 13 straight games, and have failed to cover the point spread in each of those 13 games.  My basketball database goes back to 1990 and includes 133,749 games.  But this is the first time in the past 29 seasons where a team has lost AND failed to cover the spread in 13 straight games.  But upon close inspection, the Panthers have been fairly competitive throughout this losing streak.  Their average point spread differential has "only" been -4.80 points per game.  To put this in perspective, when a team has failed to cover the point spread this season, they've failed to do so, on average, by 8.92 ppg.  The Panthers fall into 111-52 and 84-45 ATS systems of mine that play on certain teams on long losing streaks.  And Notre Dame is an awful 1-8 ATS vs. ACC Conference foes off back to back losses.  Take Pitt.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the St Joseph's Hawks + the points over VCU.  The Hawks were upset by Rhode Island, 86-86, on Tuesday.  So, they will look to bounce back on this Friday at VCU.  I believe they will, as the underdog has cashed nine straight in this series.  Also, since 1996, NCAA double-digit road underdogs have gone 358-258 ATS off an upset loss, if they were playing an opponent off a SU/ATS win.  Take St Joe's.  NCAA Elite Info Winner.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11:30 pm, our selection is on the Portland Pilots + the points over San Diego.  The Toreros have had scant success as a conference favorite over the years.  Over the last 19+ years, they've covered just 55 of 144, including 9-31-1 ATS their last 41.  That doesn't bode well for San Diego tonight.  Even worse:  the Toreros defeated the Pilots by 11 just two weeks ago.  But San Diego is an awful 13-32-2 ATS at home, or on neutral courts, against revenge-minded foes off a loss.  Take Portland.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos minus the points over Cal State Northridge.  The Matadors pulled off a huge upset in their last game, as they went into Honolulu and upset the Rainbow Warriors, 84-73, as an 8-point dog.  But off that win, we'll fade Northridge as a home underdog, as Big West home dogs have cashed just 82 of 215 Conference games off an upset win as a 4-point (or greater) road underdog.  Take UCSB minus the points.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Jacksonville State Gamecocks minus the points over Tennessee-Martin.  These two teams met four weeks ago in Tennessee, and the Skyhawks upset the Gamecocks, 66-64, as a 9-point home underdog.  Unfortunately for Tennessee-Martin, Ohio Valley Conference teams have cashed just 11% in the Conference Tourney if they won the previous meeting as a 5-point (or greater) underdog.  Even better:  the Gamecocks fall into 174-93 and 95-55 ATS revenge systems of mine.  Lay the points. OVC Tourney Game of the Year! Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Houston.  The Mustangs were upset by the Cougars, 69-58, at home back in January.  But I love SMU to avenge that defeat, as it's cashed 67% since 2008 when playing with revenge from a home loss earlier in the season.  Meanwhile, Houston falls into a negative 255-415 ATS system of mine which fades certain teams with superior records.  Take SMU + the double-digits.

At 5:00 pm, our selection is on the Marist Red Foxes minus the points over St. Peter's.  Marist plays this Tournament game with double revenge, including an upset home loss to the Peacocks in the most recent meeting.  That game -- back on February 22 -- kick-started Marist's current losing streak, which reached four games this past Sunday when the Red Foxes lost at home to Rider.  We'll lay the points with Marist in this early evening game, as Metro Atlantic Athletic Conference teams have covered 71% in the Conference Tourney if they were playing with double-revenge, and were not getting 3+ points.  Additionally, Marist is 23-11-1 ATS when playing with revenge, if it was off a straight-up home defeat.  Finally, Marist falls into 85-62 and 57-37 ATS Tourney systems of mine that play on certain teams off 4+ losses.  Take the Red Foxes.  MAAC Tourney Game of the Year!  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Florida International.  This game is part of a new regular-season scheduling format employed by Conference USA.  The new format was motivated to give its better teams an opportunity to garner more wins against stronger competition, in order to provide them with an increased chance to make the NCAA Tournament.  For the Conference's final four games of the season, teams are grouped according to their W/L records, and play teams within their group.  And whether a game is played at home, or on the road is determined by a pre-set formula.  Thus, when teams play a Conference opponent twice in the regular season, there will be a 50% chance that one of the teams will have had both of the meetings at home.  And that's the case in this game, tonight.  Marshall already defeated Florida International, 105-97, when these two teams met here, in Huntington, in January.  The Herd was laying 9 points for that game.  But the point spread is more favorable this evening due, in part, to the fact that Florida International comes into this game off 3 straight upset wins.  Unfortunately for the Panthers, single-digit underdogs off 3 upset wins, have covered just 77 of 194 games.  Take Marshall to blow out Florida International.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles minus the points over Virginia Tech.  The Hokies upset Duke, 77-72, as a 3-point underdog in their last game.  Unfortunately, road teams have covered just 40% of the time after upsetting Duke over the past 29 seasons.  And the Hokies also fall into a 58-100 ATS letdown system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset victories.  Take Florida State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the South Carolina Upstate Spartans + the points over Charleston Southern.  The Buccaneers have been installed as a big, double-digit favorite tonight in this Big South Conference Tournament game.  However, Big South Conference favorites of more than 6 points have cashed just 38.2% in the Tournament.  Additionally, the Spartans fall into two of my favorite Tourney systems, with records of 84-44 and 75-33 ATS since 1990.  Finally, the Buccaneers have covered just two of their last 13 off a straight-up win.  Take South Carolina Upstate.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Michigan State.  We played against MSU on Saturday, and got the cash with Indiana, which upset the Spartans as a 6-point underdog.  We'll go against the Spartans again tonight, as they've covered just 29.4% off an upset loss, when priced from -12.5 to -22 points.  The Spartans also fall into several negative systems of mine that go against certain teams off losses, with records of 132-234, 47-97 and 31-74 ATS, while Nebraska falls into a very good 509-292 ATS system which plays on certain teams off blowout losses (Nebraska lost by 29 in its last game).  Take the Cornhuskers.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Temple.  These two teams met in New Orleans, back on February 2, and the Green Wave covered the spread as a double-digit underdog.  I look for Tulane to once again get the $$$, as Temple is a horrid 3-25 ATS vs. foes with a win percentage less than .600, if Temple was favored at home by more than 10 points.  Take the points with the Green Wave.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Texas El Paso Miners + the points over Charlotte.  The 49ers are 6-20 on the season, and have yet to cover the point spread as a favorite (0-3 ATS).  They lost earlier this season in El Paso, but I don't look for them to avenge that defeat, as they're a poor 3-13 ATS when playing with same-season revenge.  Finally, UTEP falls into a strong 96-47 ATS system of mine.  Take the Miners.  Good luck, as always....Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Indiana Hoosiers + the points over Michigan State.  The Spartans upset their rival, Michigan, last weekend.  But off that victory, I expect a letdown this afternoon in Bloomington, as Michigan State falls into a negative 58-99 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off upset wins.  Also, Indiana is a strong 27-14 ATS as a home underdog when it didn't have a losing record.  Take the Hoosiers.  NCAA Hoops High Noon Hanging.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Cornell Big Red + the points over Yale, as Cornell falls into 411-220, 97-46, 175-85 and 234-130 ATS systems of mine.  These two teams met 13 days ago in Ithaca, and the Bulldogs came away with a six-point win, 98-92.  We'll grab the points with the Big Red, as Ivy League road underdogs are 106-79-1 when playing with same-season revenge, if they're off back to back losses.  With Cornell off 3 straight defeats, we'll take the points with the road underdog.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Denver Pioneers minus the points over Western Illinois.  The Leathernecks blew out Denver earlier this season, 78-60, at home.  We'll take the Pioneers tonight in this revenge situation, as they also come into this game on a 7-game SU/ATS losing streak.  However, since 1990, teams off 3+ SU/ATS losses have cashed 65.7% as a favorite, if they were playing with revenge from an 18-point (or worse) defeat earlier in the season.  Moreover, Western Illinois defeated Oral Roberts last Saturday, 75-66, as a 2-point home favorite.  But it's a poor 29-50 ATS as a road underdog, and 14-30-2 ATS off a point spread win.  Take Denver.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Wyoming Cowboys + the points over Fresno State.  The Cowboys have lost their last four games to the point spread, and have dropped their last three games, straight-up.  Wyoming falls into several of my favorite systems, with records of 339-211, 410-220, 415-248, 83-27 and 174-85 ATS.  We'll grab the points with Wyoming, as Mountain West underdogs of +13.5 (or more) points are 157-103-3 ATS vs. winning opponents that are not off a double-digit loss.  Take the Cowboys.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Indiana State Sycamores + the points over Drake.  These two teams met last month in Terre Haute, and the Bulldogs edged Indiana State, 68-62.  We'll take the underdog Sycamores in this revenge role, as they are 23-8-1 their last 32 when playing with revenge on the road from a home defeat earlier in the season.  Additionally, Indiana State falls into a super 124-61 ATS system of mine.  Take the Sycamores.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Pitt Panthers + the points over Clemson.  The Panthers have lost 10 straight games -- both SU and ATS.  But this (very) long losing streak has set up the Panthers in 161-88 and 69-29 ATS "contrarian" systems of mine that play on certain teams on long losing streaks.  Moreover, Clemson is a poor 37-61 ATS on the ACC Conference road off a win over an ACC Conference rival.  Take Pittsburgh + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arkansas Razorbacks + the points over Kentucky.  The Razorbacks come into this game on a 5-game losing streak.  And they also lost those five games against the point spread.  But the good news for Razorback backers tonight is that SEC Conference teams have gone 175-122 ATS off 4+ point spread defeats, including 29-10 ATS as a double-digit underdog.  The Razorbacks also fall into one of my favorite systems, which is 409-220 ATS since 1990 (and 14-7 ATS this year).  Take Arkansas.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7:30 pm, our selection is on the St Louis Billikens + the points over VCU.  The Rams are on an 8-game SU/ATS winning streak.  But this hot stretch has placed the Rams into a negative 61-121 ATS system of mine.  This will be a tough game for VCU to cover, as the Billikens lost, 70-62, on Saturday at Dayton, as a 6-point underdog.  And the Billikens are a jaw-dropping 16-0 ATS off a straight-up loss as a road underdog.  Take St. Louis.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio State Buckeyes minus the points over Iowa.  The Hawkeyes have been a horrid road team over the last 3+ years, as they're 11-24 straight-up, and 9-25-1 ATS their last 35 road games, including 1-7 ATS if they were off back to back home games.  That doesn't bode well for the Hawkeyes tonight.  As does the fact that the Buckeyes are 10-3 ATS at home when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Ohio State.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Arizona State.  The Bears come into this game off back to back losses by 23+ points.  And they failed to cover the point spread by 16.5 and 11.5 points in those two defeats.  In contrast, Arizona State comes into this game off back to back SU/ATS wins.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the 'hot' Sun Devils and against the 'cold' Bears.  But NCAA Basketball teams off back to back 23-point (or worse) SU/ATS losses, in which they failed by 10+ ATS, have covered 68% vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Take Cal + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Illinois State Redbirds minus the points over Drake.  This has been a one-sided series, of late.  Since February 2013, the Redbirds have won 11 of the 12 meetings (9-3 ATS), including the game played earlier this season, in Des Moines.  Admittedly, the Redbirds are not playing great basketball at the moment, as they're on a 5-game losing streak (and an 0-3 ATS run).  However, Missouri Valley Conference home teams have cashed 58.5% off 3 SU/ATS losses.  Take Illinois State.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the IUPUI Jaguars minus the points over Wisconsin-Green Bay.  The Phoenix come into this road game off three SU/ATS wins over Oakland, Detroit and Illinois-Chicago.  But we will fade them in this game, as they're a horrid 3-15 ATS away from home off 3 conference wins.  And they're 10-22 ATS away from home in Conference games, if they won ATS in their two previous games.  Take IUPUI.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the UNLV Runnin' Rebels + the points over San Diego State.  We played on SDSU on Thursday, and got the $$$ when the Aztecs upset Nevada (which is 24-2), 65-57, as an 8-point home underdog.  Unfortunately for San Diego State, road favorites have covered just 30% of conference games over the last 29 years after pulling off a home upset as an underdog of +7.5 (or more) points.  Indeed, just two nights ago, this system had an easy winner with Elon +1.5 over NC Wilmington after Wilmington pulled off an upset as a 9-point home underdog over Hofstra last Saturday.  Take the Runnin' Rebels + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies + the points over Toledo.  The Huskies are currently riding a 5-game SU/ATS losing streak, which started with a home loss to these Rockets.  But I love the Huskies as a big underdog this evening, as they're a sensational 78-44 ATS as an underdog of more than 7 points off a loss, including 35-15 ATS if their opponent owned a winning SU/ATS record.  And they're 22-9 ATS away from home if they were on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak.  Northern Illinois falls into a 151-73 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on 5-game (or worse) ATS losing streaks, as well as a 113-53 ATS angle.  Take the Huskies + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Furman Paladins over Wofford.  The Terriers are 15-0 SU in Southern Conference play this season.  But don't be surprised if Furman hands Wofford its first conference defeat, as it's red-hot as well, with a 6-0 SU/ATS mark in its last six games.  And Furman's hot streak has set it up in 67-41 and 231-128 ATS systems of mine.   The Paladins also play this game with revenge from a 5-point loss to Wofford back in January.  And Furman is 15-2 ATS (including 10-1 ATS at home), if it lost a season's previous meeting to its opponent.  Take the Paladins.

At 3:45 pm, our selection is on the Florida State Seminoles + the points over North Carolina.  This is a tough spot for the Tar Heels.  They're ripe for a letdown following their big upset of rival Duke, as a 10-point underdog, earlier this week.  And the Tar Heels are a poor 2-8 ATS their last 10 vs. .760 (or better) foes, if the Tar Heels are off an upset win.  Moreover, Florida State  has won eight straight, and covered their last five.  And Florida State also falls into 155-74 and 134-60 ATS systems of mine.  Take the Seminoles + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 3:30 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over Mississippi.  It's true that the Rebels have been terrific this season, with an 18-8 record, and a 19-7 ATS ledger.  But Ole Miss has covered just 16 of 43 home games when favored by 9+ points, if it had a winning SU/ATS record.  Moreover, this SEC Conference series has been dominated by the Bulldogs, as they're 26-10 ATS in the last 36 meetings.  Take Georgia.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Iowa State Cyclones minus the points over TCU.  The Cyclones play this game with revenge from an upset loss at home two Saturdays ago to these Horned Frogs.  But ISU is a staggering 22-0 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, if it was priced in the current game from +1 to -5.5 points.  Even better:  the Cyclones fall into a 113-74 ATS revenge system of mine.  Take the Cyclones.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Ball State Cardinals minus the points over Central Michigan.  The Chippewas are 7-0-1 ATS in their last eight games.  But this ATS hot streak has actually placed the Chips into a negative 99-167 ATS system of mine.  Even worse:  Central Michigan lost earlier this season to Ball State.  But the Chips have been horrible in a revenge role when priced as an underdog of less than 7 points, as they're 8-28 SU and 11-24-1 ATS.  Take Ball State.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the WVU Mountaineers + the points over Baylor.  The Bears upset Iowa State, 73-69, as a double-digit underdog in their previous game.  But that upset win has triggered a negative 81-160 ATS letdown system of mine.  Also, Baylor is a horrid 6-18 ATS, including 0-7 ATS their last seven, as a regular season home favorite priced from -10 to -18.5 points.  Take WVU.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the LSU Tigers + the points over Tennessee.  The Tigers fall into several super angles of mine, with records of 133-68, 157-84 and 146-80 ATS.  Additionally, the home underdog has gone 5-2 ATS in this series.  And LSU is an awesome 9-0-1 ATS in competitively-priced SEC Conference games with a line of 4 points or less.  Take LSU.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 12 Noon, our selection is on the Texas Longhorns + the points over Oklahoma.  The Longhorns fall into several strong systems of mine, with records of 140-64, 89-28 and 121-60 ATS.  Texas comes into this game on a 5-1 ATS run, including a 12-point SU/ATS win over Oklahoma State last Saturday.  And the Longhorns are a super 12-2 ATS on the road off a double-digit win, while Oklahoma is a poor 3-14 ATS vs. Big 12 Conference foes off a double-digit win, if the Sooners weren't getting more than 2 points.  With the Longhorns 23-13 ATS in this series, we'll grab the points with Texas today.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the St Peter's Peacocks + the points over Marist, as St. Peter's falls into 230-164, 143-79 and 107-59 ATS systems of mine, based, in part, on their 8-game losing streak.  But the Peacocks can gain confidence from the fact they already drilled the Red Foxes, 72-63, at home back on January 13.  St. Peter's is also a solid 51-28 ATS on the road off an ATS loss.  Finally, Marist comes into off back to back upset wins on the road.  Unfortunately, over the past 29 years, home favorites off back to back upset road wins, have covered just 40.7% vs. foes off back to back losses.  Take St. Peter's + the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6:30 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Bowling Green.  This is a major revenge spot for the Bobcats, who lost by 19 points earlier this season, as a 4-point road dog at Bowling Green.  The good news for Ohio is that Mid-American Conference home teams have cashed 72% since 1997 when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, in which they failed to cover by 15+ points, provided our home team wasn't favored by more than four points.  Take Ohio.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Cal Irvine.  The Mustangs have lost their last four games, straight-up and against the spread.  However, Big West Conference road teams off 3 straight ATS losses are 78.7% ATS the past 22 years vs. conference foes off back to back covers.  Take Cal Poly.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 10 pm, our selection is on the Sacramento State Hornets + the points over Weber State.  The Wildcats won the first meeting between these two Big Sky Conference rivals, 75-65.  But we'll fade Weber St. in this re-match, as they're a big banged-up right now.  Weber State's leading scorer, Jerrick Harding (22.3 ppg), turned his ankle in Saturday's win over Montana State, and is questionable to play tonight.  Center Zach Britton (questionable, ankle injury) and guard Doc Nelson (out, leg injury) are also battling injuries.  The Hornets come into this game off an upset loss to Northern Arizona.  But that upset defeat has triggered a very good 95-56 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off upset home losses.  Take Sacramento State.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Minnesota Golden Gophers + the points over Michigan.  These two teams met earlier this season, and the Wolverines came away with a narrow 2-point victory.  That game, however, was in Ann Arbor.  Tonight's game is in Minnesota.  And the Gophers have a strong home court, with a 13-2 record at home this season.  They're also 43-12 SU and 28-21 ATS at home since February 2016, including 12-6 ATS with revenge.  Meanwhile, the Wolves are a horrid 10-24 ATS on the road off a win, if they were matched up against an opponent which they defeated earlier in the season.  Take Minnesota.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the Utah Utes + the points over Washington.  These two teams met earlier this season in Utah, and Washington defeated the Utes, 69-53.  We'll take Utah in this revenge match, as they fall into a 58-18 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Even better:  Utah's 6-0 ATS on the Pac-12 road this season, and 21-9-1 ATS since 2016.  And it's an awesome 50-27-3 ATS when playing with revenge, including 20-5 ATS when getting 8+ points.  Take Utah.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on the San Diego State Aztecs + the points over Nevada.  The Aztecs have been dominant at home.  They've won their last seven here, and have covered their last six.  And they're 41-9 straight-up in their last 50 home games, including a perfect 12-0 ATS when not laying 6+ points.  And they're also 7-0 straight-up and 6-1 ATS at home, or on neutral courts vs. Nevada.  Take San Diego State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Tulane Green Wave + the points over Memphis.  The Tigers have been a very poor double-digit favorite, of late, as they're 3-10 ATS their last 13 in this role.  And Memphis has covered just three of its last 12 games this season.  One of those ATS losses was against this very Tulane team, when Memphis won by just four points, 83-79, as a double-digit road favorite.  Take Tulane + the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers minus the points over Evansville.  The Ramblers come into this game off back to back SU/ATS losses.  But those two defeats have set Loyola up into two very good systems of mine, with 61-35 and 72-30 ATS records.  And Loyola also plays this game with revenge from a 19-point loss to the Aces earlier this season.  The Ramblers have cashed 69% over the past 15 years when playing with revenge, and favored by 8+ points.  Take Loyola.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Clemson Tigers minus the points over Florida State.  The Tigers have dropped back to back games to Miami and Louisville -- each by a single point -- while Florida State is off seven straight wins (and four straight covers).  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the underdog Seminoles, given how hot they are.  But consider that, over the past 29 seasons, ACC Conference home teams have cashed 64% in conference games, if they were favored off back to back losses, and they were playing an opponent off 3 SU/ATS wins!  Take Florida State.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Bradley Braves + the points over Drake.  The Braves lost earlier this year by 17 points, 69-52, to Drake.  We'll take the Braves in this rematch, as Missouri Valley Conference underdogs have gone 127-91, 58% ATS, when playing with revenge from a 17-point (or worse) defeat to a conference foe earlier in the season.  Take Bradley.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Vanderbilt Commodores + the points over Tennessee, as it falls into 558-419, 411-247 and 191-90 ATS systems of mine.  The Volunteers were ranked #1 going into their showdown last Saturday vs. Kentucky.  They didn't play like a #1-ranked team, and were blown out by the Wildcats.  Tennessee is now ranked #5, and don't be surprised if they stumble once again -- this time vs. their cross-state rival, Vanderbilt.  Tennessee already defeated the Commodores, 88-83, as a 9.5-point road favorite.  They're favored by much more tonight, here at home.  And we'll grab the double-digits, as Vanderbilt is 37-22 ATS in the regular season when playing with same-season revenge against an SEC Conference foe with a winning conference record.  Take the Commodores.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Wake Forest Demon Deacons + the points over Notre Dame.  The Demon Deacons were blown out, 95-57, by North Carolina on Saturday.  But we'll look for them to bounce back in South Bend tonight against a Notre Dame team with a 10-15 ATS record.  For technical support, we note that ACC Conference underdogs, off losses by 25 (or more) points, are 42-14 ATS vs. foes with a losing point spread record.  Moreover, Notre Dame is a poor 12-28 ATS as a double-digit home favorite vs. foes off a SU/ATS loss.  Take Wake Forest.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Ohio U. Bobcats + the points over Buffalo.  The Bobcats lost, 87-80, as a 5.5-point road underdog against Central Michigan, on Saturday.  But off that defeat, we'll grab the points with Ohio, as it's a super 67-40-1 ATS off a conference road defeat, including 31-12-1 ATS when playing with revenge.  Take Ohio.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Virginia Tech Hokies + the points over Virginia.  The Hokies are 20-5 this season, including 12-1 at home.  And since 2016, they've gone 50-9 straight-up and 29-16 ATS here in Blacksburg.  I won't fade a big underdog with a strong home court such as this.  Indeed, since 1990, College Basketball teams have cashed 63% at home (including 6-1-1 ATS this season) if they were getting 5+ points, and had won at least 11 home games in the season, with just 2 or less home defeats.  Additionally, the Cavaliers won the season's first meeting between the teams, 81-59, in Charlottesville.  But Virginia is an awful 17-47 ATS away from home if its opponent was playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season.  Take Virginia Tech.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Colorado.  The Buffaloes enter tonight's game on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  Unfortunately for the Buffs, they're an awful 16-37-1 ATS off back to back wins, including 4-18 ATS if they also covered the spread in those two wins.  Take Arizona.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Princeton Tigers minus the points over Dartmouth.  The Tigers were upset last night, 78-69, by Harvard.  And that was the 3rd straight loss by Princeton.  However, this losing streak has set up the Tigers in a very good 78-29 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams on losing streaks.  Even better:  single-digit Ivy League home favorites have cashed 57.4% since 1990 in Saturday games off an upset home loss the night before.  Lay the points with Princeton.  Ivy League Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 6 pm, our selection is on the Georgia Bulldogs + the points over LSU.  Georgia has lost its last five games -- both straight-up, and against the spread.  But we'll take the home dog this evening, as SEC Conference teams are a super 60% ATS since 1992 at home in Conference games off 3+ losses when playing with revenge.  With the Bulldogs, indeed, playing with revenge from a 92-82 loss at LSU last month, we'll take the points with Georgia.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

Our selection is on the Northern Illinois Huskies over Bowling Green.  The Huskies enter this game off four straight losses, while the Falcons come in off a home win over the CMU Chippewas.  The good news for the Huskies is that they are 24-13 ATS at home off a loss, including 11-3 ATS when not favored by 1.5 or more points.  And Mid-American Conference home favorites (or PK) have cashed 63% since 1990 off 3 SU/ATS losses, if matched up against a Conference opponent off a win.  Finally, the Huskies fall into 33-9 and 40-14 ATS systems of mine which play on certain teams off 4+ losses.  Take Northern Illinois.  MAC Game of the Week.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4:30 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Panthers + the points over Virginia Tech.  It's true that the Panthers are on an 8-game SU/ATS losing streak.  But when one looks closely at the eight ATS defeats, they have not been by very many points.  Indeed, Pitt's average ATS defeat over this stretch has been by a mere 3.87 points per game.  So, one can chalk it up largely to randomness, as opposed to poor play.  I love the Panthers here, at home, this afternoon, as they fall into a 69-28 ATS system of mine which plays on certain team on losing streaks.  Pitt is also 12-4 ATS as revenge-minded conference home dogs of +5 or more points, if Pitt was off back to back losses.  And Pitt's 4-1 straight-up its last five home games vs. the Hokies.  Take Pitt.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the West Virginia Mountaineers + the points over Kansas.  The Jayhawks upset TCU, 82-77, in overtime, on the road this past Monday.  Unfortunately for Kansas, it's a horrid 2-17 ATS in its last 19 Big 12 Conference games off a road win.  Take West Virginia.

At 3 pm, our selection is on the Valparaiso Crusaders + the points over Drake.  The Crusaders were upset, 87-82, at home on Wednesday, while Drake went into Carbondale, and upset Southern Illinois, 72-69.  Since 1990, Missouri Valley teams off an upset home loss have covered 88% vs. foes off an upset road win, if our 'play-on' team (here, Valparaiso) was playing with revenge from a loss sustained earlier in the season.  With the Crusaders, indeed, playing with revenge from an 11-point loss three weeks ago to Drake, we'll grab the points with Valpo this afternoon.

At 3 pm, our selection is on SIU-Edwardsville over Tennessee-Martin.  On the surface, these two teams are headed in opposite directions, as Edwardsville is off 3 SU/ATS losses, while Tennessee-Martin is off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Interestingly, the Skyhawks find themselves in a Pk-em situation on the road, even though they are 0-12 straight-up, and 2-10 ATS on the road this season!  That doesn't bode well for Tennessee-Martin today.  And neither does the fact that Edwardsville is 5-0 ATS its last five off 3 SU/ATS losses, and also 5-0 ATS its last five vs. opponents off 3 SU/ATS wins.  Take the Cougars.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Marshall Thundering Herd minus the points over Middle Tennessee St.  Earlier this season, Middle Tennessee was winless against the spread until its 13th game of the season, at Rhode Island.  Since then, the Blue Raiders are 9-5 ATS, including 5-0 ATS its last five.  The Thundering Herd, now, are the team on the point spread losing streak, as it has lost its last nine games against the spread.  We'll lay the points with Marshall, as teams off a loss have covered 66.1% since 1990 (and a perfect 8-0 ATS the past 2 years) if they were on a 9-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, and their opponent was off a point spread win.  Take Marshall.  Conference USA Game of the Month.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Wright St. Raiders over Northern Kentucky.  The Raiders have won and covered three straight games.  And they play with revenge from a 4-point loss at Northern Kentucky earlier this season.  Since 1991, .572 (or better) home favorites (or PK) have covered 64.8% off 3 SU/ATS wins, when matched up against .721 (or better) opponents off a win.  Take the Raiders tonight.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Monmouth.  The Broncs come into this game off 5 straight upset losses.  And their last defeat was the most excruciating, as they were up by nine with just 47 seconds left, but blew the lead, and lost in overtime, 98-88.  Tonight, they'll face the team which started them on this losing skein.  On February 2, Monmouth upset the Broncs, 75-71, as a 4.5-point underdog.  We'll lay the points, as home favorites of -6+ points, off four SU/ATS losses, have cashed 65.6% over the past 28 seasons when playing with revenge.  Take Rider.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Toledo Rockets + the points over Buffalo.  The Rockets play with revenge from a 30-point loss last month at Buffalo.  Toledo has a sparkling 20-4 record, including 11-1 at home, and 8-3 inside the Mid-American Conference).  And it's also won its last 5 games, straight-up, and its last four against the spread.  We'll grab the points, as .666 (or better) teams, off back-to-back SU/ATS wins and playing with revenge from a 25-point (or worse) defeat, have cashed 67.8% at home over the past 28 seasons.  Take Toledo.

At Midnight, our selection is on the Cal Poly SLO Mustangs + the points over Hawaii.  The Mustangs fall into a variation of my favorite College Basketball system, which is 411-246 ATS since 1990.  Additionally, they lost their previous game, 76-68 at home to Long Beach State.  But Big West Conference underdogs of 9+ points have covered 65.5% in Conference games off a SU/ATS home loss.  Take Cal Poly SLO.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 11 pm, our selection is on Loyola Marymount + the points over Gonzaga.  The Lions have won 12 of their last 14 home games, and are 9-5-1 ATS their last 15 as home underdogs.  They played Gonzaga earlier this season in Spokane, and hung tough in an 18-point loss (as a 23-point road underdog).  We'll grab the big number of points tonight, as the Lions fall into a 48-17 ATS system of mine which goes against certain teams off blowout wins (Gonzaga routed St. Mary's, 94-46, last Saturday).  Take the Lions + the points.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Arizona Wildcats + the points over Utah.  The Wildcats come into this game off 5 straight losses, including back to back games in the past week as a home favorite vs. Washington and Washington State, and are now 5-6 in Pac-12 Conference play.  Meanwhile, Utah comes into this game off back to back road upset wins at USC and UCLA, and is 7-4 inside the conference.  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the Utes as a small home favorite, especially since they've also won and covered six of their last eight, own the better conference record, and have revenge from a 3-point loss at Arizona earlier this season.  But this is a classic example of a sucker bet.  To wit:  over the last 22 seasons, .750 (or worse) teams, off back to back upset home defeats, have cashed 83% vs. foes off back to back upset wins on the road.  Even better:  the Wildcats have won 19 of the last 21 meetings straight-up, including 3-1 SU/ATS as an underdog, and 9-1 SU/ATS when not favored by 8+ points.  Finally, the Wildcats are 39-25 ATS when they didn't own a winning Pac-12 Conference record.  Take Arizona + the points. College Hoops Sucker Bet of the Month. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Delaware Blue Hens + the points over Towson.  The Blue Hens are on an 0-5-1 ATS losing streak.  However, we'll grab the points with them tonight, as they're an awesome 26-9-2 ATS on a 3-game (or worse) ATS losing streak, including a perfect 10-0-1 ATS vs. an opponent off an ATS win.  With Towson off a 66-59 win over James Madison, as a 3-point favorite, we'll fade the Tigers, and take the points with the Blue Hens.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the James Madison Dukes minus the points over Drexel.  The Dragons are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games.  But this ATS win streak has triggered a negative 112-208 ATS system of mine.  Even better:  the Dukes lost by five points at Drexel back in January.  However, Colonial Athletic Association teams are a solid 227-177 ATS when playing with revenge from a loss earlier in the season, if they weren't off a SU/ATS win, and their opponent was off an ATS cover.  Take James Madison.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Connecticut Huskies + the points over Houston.  The Cougars come into tonight's game off a huge win over Cincinnati last weekend.  Houston and Cincy were both 9-1 inside the AAC Conference, so Houston's 7-point win catapulted it into sole possession of 1st place.  One of the things I love to do is play against teams off wins in meetings between two top conference teams (with win percentages of .866 or better).  Such teams suffer letdowns over 60% of the time in their next game (and 67% if they're laying more than 6 points).  Indeed, we saw this just two days ago when Duke struggled to defeat Louisville after defeating Virginia in its previous game.  Take the points with Connecticut.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Central Florida Knights minus the points over South Florida.  The Knights have won 10 of their last 11 at home this season, with their only loss coming against #9-ranked Houston.  Tonight, they'll face the South Florida Bulls, and they've defeated South Florida six straight times, and eight of the last nine (6-3 ATS).  Over the last four seasons, the Knights are an awesome 45-6 straight-up and 33-17-1 ATS as a favorite, including 12-1-1 ATS when priced from -5 to -8 points.  Even better:  the Bulls are a horrid 43-75-1 ATS when priced as an underdog of +4.5 to +8 points, including 18-44-1 ATS vs. an opponent off a straight-up win.  Take the Knights.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 9 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs minus the points over Alabama.  Miss State comes into this game off back to back home losses to LSU and Kentucky.  I look for the 3rd game to be the charm, as Miss State falls into a 41-9 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Even better:  the Bulldogs are 94-62 ATS at home off a loss, and they're 49-24 ATS at home when playing with revenge, including 36-12 ATS if they weren't off a SU/ATS win.  Lay the points.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, our selection is on the St Johns Red Storm minus the points over Butler.  The Bulldogs come into this game at Carnesecca Arena off back to back wins over Seton Hall and Georgetown, while St Johns lost its last game -- here at home -- to Providence.  Unfortunately for the Bulldogs, they're 0-6 ATS this season off back to back wins, while St Johns is a super 11-3 ATS its last 14 off a home defeat.  That bodes well for St Johns tonight.  As does the fact that the Johnnies fall into a 95-56 ATS system of mine which plays on certain home teams off home losses.  Lay the points.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Quinnipiac.  The Broncos have lost their last four games, and they were favored in those four games by 4.5, 8, 9 and 7 points.  But off those string of losses, we'll step in and take the Broncs on the road this evening.  For technical support, consider that road teams off four upset defeats have covered 77.2% over the past 29 years.  Take Rider.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the East Carolina Pirates + the points over South Florida.  The Bulls are on a 4-game SU/ATS win streak.  And among their wins in this stretch was a 20-point blowout of East Carolina on January 26.  We'll take the double-digits in this rematch, as college basketball teams off 3 SU/ATS wins have covered just 51 of 142 if they defeated their opponent by 14+ points earlier in the season, and their opponent is off a loss by 14+ points.  With East Carolina, indeed, off a 65-49 loss to Wichita in its last game, we'll grab the points with the Pirates on Sunday.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Rider Broncs minus the points over Siena.  Rider has dropped its last seven games to the point spread, and has lost its last three, overall.  That's the bad news.  The good news is that the Broncs still only have four losses in Metro Atlantic Conference play, which ties them in the loss column atop the conference with Monmouth, Quinnipiac, Canisius, and today's opponent, Siena.  And they'll likely be favored in six of their final seven Conference games, so they still have a great shot to finish with the #1 seed in the MAAC Tournament.  We'll lay the points with the Broncs this afternoon, as they fall into a 54-25 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams off back to back losses.  Also, Siena's a horrid 10-27-1 ATS when playing an opponent off an upset loss.  Lay the points with Rider.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the George Mason Patriots minus the points over La Salle.  The Explorers have won four straight games to move their record to 7-14 on the season.  This afternoon, they'll take on a George Mason team coming off back to back losses.  Unfortunately, the Explorers have covered just 2 of 15 off four straight covers since 1990, including 0-7 ATS since January 9, 2008.  Meanwhile, George Mason is 51-34 ATS off back to back ATS losses.  And the Patriots are also a fantastic 49-19-3 ATS off a loss when playing an opponent which is not a winning team, including 13-0 ATS their last 13 if their opponent is off a win.  Take George Mason.

At 10 pm, on ESPN TV, our selection is on the Arizona State Sun Devils over Washington.  Arizona State had an awful game its last time on the court, as it lost by 21, at home, to Washington State.  We had a big play on Washington State in that game, so we weren't wholly surprised.  Here, though, we'll back the Sun Devils, as they're 19-10 ATS as a home favorite (or PK) off an upset home defeat.  Moreover, ASU falls into a 195-130 ATS system of mine which plays on certain teams that failed to cover the spread by more than 20 points in their previous game.  Take the Sun Devils.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 8:30 pm, on the Big 10 TV Network, our selection is on the Nebraska Cornhuskers + the points over Purdue.  The 'Huskers have lost their last five games all as favorites -- and are 0-6 SU/ATS their last six, overall.  We'll grab the points with Nebraska, as College basketball teams have covered 88.2% on the road over the past 27 years off 4 (or more) upset losses.  Take the Cornhuskers.

At 7 pm, our selection is on the Middle Tennessee St. Blue Raiders + the points over Old Dominion.  The Blue Raiders have won and covered three straight games.  And they fall into several "momentum" systems of mine, with records of 27-2, 22-2 and 46-14 ATS since 1990.  Even better:  the Blue Raiders are a perfect 8-0 SU/ATS vs. the Monarchs since 2014.  Take Middle Tennessee + the points.

At 5:30 pm, our selection is on the California Golden Bears + the points over Oregon State.  We played on California on Wednesday, and got the $$$ when they covered the 16-point spread at Oregon.  That was the 2nd straight cover for the Bears, and I look for them to win their 3rd straight "in Vegas" today, as they're once again a double-digit dog.  The Beavers, meanwhile, were upset, 83-60, by Stanford, on Thursday.  And they have covered just 3 of 12 at home when favored by 13+ points off a loss.  Even worse:  NCAA favorites of more than 6 points have cashed just 28 of 80 conference games off a 21-point (or worse) upset conference defeat.  Take California.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Idaho Vandals + the points over Montana St.  The Vandals come into this game off a 100-59 blowout loss, at Montana.  And that was their eighth straight defeat (and seventh straight point spread loss).  Meanwhile, the Bobcats have won their last two, and covered their last four  The knee-jerk reaction might be to play on the "hot" Bobcats and against the "cold" Vandals.  But underdogs (or PK'em teams) off 3 SU/ATS losses, that gave up 99+ points in their previous game, have cashed 88% over the last 29 years vs. foes off back to back SU/ATS wins.  Additionally, the Vandals fall into 135-88 and 403-217 ATS systems of mine that play on certain underdogs off blowout losses.  Grab the points with the Vandals. BIG SKY GAME OF THE YEAR!

At 4 pm, our selection is on the William & Mary Tribe + the points over Hofstra.  The Tribe lost by 12 points, 72-60, at Northeastern, on Thursday.  But they played a much better game earlier this season against this afternoon's opponent, when they lost by just 3 to Hofstra. 93-90.  Generally speaking, road teams off double-digit conference losses have done very well over the past 29 years in a regular season's second meeting, if they narrowly lost the first meeting by 3 points or less.  And William & Mary is also a strong 33-13-1 ATS when playing with revenge, including 7-0-1 ATS off a loss by 7+ points.  Take William & Mary.

At 4 pm, our selection is on the Elon Phoenix + the points over Northeastern.  Elon was drilled, 102-61, by Hofstra, on Thursday.  However, Colonial Athletic Association teams, off a 40-point (or worse) conference defeat, have cashed 80% of conference games since 1990.  Likewise, Colonial teams off a conference defeat in which they gave up 90+ points, and failed to cover by 10+ points, have rebounded to go 64-34 ATS in Colonial Athletic Ass'n games.  Take Elon.

At 2 pm, our selection is on the Michigan State Spartans minus the points over Minnesota, as Michigan State falls into several of my favorite NCAA systems, including a 71-29 ATS angle, and a 58-18 ATS system.  The Spartans had won 13 straight games (and covered nine straight) prior to their game at Purdue, on January 27.  We played against Michigan State that afternoon, and easily got the $$$ when Purdue blew out MSU.  The Spartans, however, didn't bounce back off that loss, and instead also lost their next two games -- both as double-digit favorites -- vs. Indiana and Illinois.  I love the Spartans to bounce back today, as home teams have cashed 67% over the past 29 years off back-to-back losses as double-digit favorites, if they were matched up against an opponent off a SU/ATS loss.  Take the Spartans.  BIG 10 FAVE OF THE MONTH.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.

At 1 pm, our selection is on the Mississippi State Bulldogs + the points over Kentucky.  The Bulldogs were upset by LSU, 92-88, here in Starkville, on Wednesday.  We'll grab the points with Miss State, as it's 19-3-1 ATS as a home underdog (or PK) off a straight-up loss, including 10-0 ATS when getting 4 or more points.  Take Mississippi State + the points.  PERFECT 10 CLUB PLAY.  Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.